Speaker 1: You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast. Let make
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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Iran factor right now in the
Speaker 1: Middle East. This is the single biggest question I think
Speaker 1: out there about the trajectory of this conflict between Hamas
Speaker 1: and Israel and what's going to happen in the days
Speaker 1: and weeks ahead. The situation is that already Iranian backed
Speaker 1: militias have started to take action, started to fire rockets off,
Speaker 1: started to shoot at effectively US assets in the region,
Speaker 1: as well as the firing of rockets from Hesbola in
Speaker 1: Lebanon into Israel. So we'll discuss what this means, what
Speaker 1: the implications are. First off, this is from the Wall
Speaker 1: Street Journal. Iran has unleased regional militias it has spent
Speaker 1: years arming, raising the risks of a larger conflict in
Speaker 1: the region. For more than six months, these Iranian back
Speaker 1: militia groups were framed from launching drones or rockets against
Speaker 1: American troops in Iraq and Syria as what was called
Speaker 1: an undeclared truce between Tehran and Washington and the region
Speaker 1: that has come to a halt. Youth official said Iranian
Speaker 1: back groups launched a half dozen military, drone and rocket
Speaker 1: attacks against bases that US troops used in South Eastyria
Speaker 1: and in western and northern Iraq. You also have in Yemen.
Speaker 1: The remember there's the many civil war that has been
Speaker 1: raging on for many years. There's the Huthi group inside
Speaker 1: of Yemen that is Irani and their Shia and they
Speaker 1: are Iranian backed, and the Huthis have fired Iranian cruise
Speaker 1: missiles and drones toward Israel. But the US had a
Speaker 1: guided missile cruiser in the area that shot down some
Speaker 1: of the cruise missiles. Another cruise missile was hit by
Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia protecting its own airspace. So you've already seen
Speaker 1: some of these different militia groups that are all just
Speaker 1: proxies of Iran, of the Mullas and Tehran taking kinetic
Speaker 1: military action against either US assets or firing them at Israel.
Speaker 1: Now this could just be There's a few ways that
Speaker 1: can play out. One is that these groups do this
Speaker 1: knowing that they won't escalate beyond this, and so they
Speaker 1: can at least say if you will, they can they
Speaker 1: can hold themselves up with, Oh, well, we've tried to
Speaker 1: fight you know, America and the Zionist entity, which is
Speaker 1: what they call Israel. We've been you know, firing rockets
Speaker 1: and we've been taking action. So we stand with the
Speaker 1: Palestinians effectively using rockets for optics, right, because these rockets
Speaker 1: are not going to at least in the numbers that
Speaker 1: they've been firing them off, They're not going to change
Speaker 1: anything in the region. It's almost like they protest what's
Speaker 1: going on in Gaza right now, the Israeli air strikes
Speaker 1: and impending military invasion. They show their protest against that
Speaker 1: by firing off all these rockets and doing these kinds
Speaker 1: of things. So that's one possibility here. I think that's
Speaker 1: the likeliest one at this phase. The other possibility, and
Speaker 1: this is one that people are very concerned about obviously,
Speaker 1: is that these are effectively warning shots from Iran that
Speaker 1: if there is a major Israeli incursion into Gaza, that
Speaker 1: then all these different Iranian militious Remember you have Hesbola
Speaker 1: operating in Lebanon. It basically runs Lebanon, and it's sophisticated,
Speaker 1: has a lot of munitions, has a lot of rockets,
Speaker 1: and it's right next door to Israel. You have in
Speaker 1: Syria Irani trained and equipped militia groups, and you know
Speaker 1: the possibility of those being used to stage attacks not
Speaker 1: only into Israel, but more likely they would attack the
Speaker 1: remnants of US forces that are there. I think we
Speaker 1: have hundreds of US troops in Syria still to this day.
Speaker 1: In Iraq, we have some US troops present, and those
Speaker 1: bases could also be attacked by the very powerful Shia
Speaker 1: militia groups inside of Iraq. So we might have a
Speaker 1: situation where not only would there be an escalation against Israel,
Speaker 1: but an escalation against US forces. Now that's also though,
Speaker 1: why I think this is probably not the way that
Speaker 1: this is going to go. I think this is probably
Speaker 1: not going to happen. Now. When I say probably, I
Speaker 1: don't know. No one really knows. But the American response
Speaker 1: to missiles, or rather a full scale assault beyond just
Speaker 1: the missiles of American personnel in either Syria or Iraq,
Speaker 1: I think would be devastating. I think that we would
Speaker 1: very likely go in with whatever we need to from
Speaker 1: the air to unleash tremendous punishment on the Iranian militias.
Speaker 1: So there's the response the escalation that we would do.
Speaker 1: Then when people get really concerned, is well, well, that
Speaker 1: mean that we'd have to also hit Iran in some way,
Speaker 1: specifically that we'd have to go for targets inside of Iran.
Speaker 1: Would that be the next phase, which would be effectively
Speaker 1: a declaration of war, an effective declaration of war on Iran.
Speaker 1: Although you know, we've had strikes and countries before that
Speaker 1: didn't necessarily mean we're at full scale war, but in
Speaker 1: the case of Iran, it might very well mean something
Speaker 1: like that. And with twenty percent of the world's oil
Speaker 1: supply going through the straits of Warmus day in and
Speaker 1: day out, you can imagine the cataclysmic economic effects, never
Speaker 1: mind the national security implications. What could happen if this
Speaker 1: were to elevate to that level. So this is why
Speaker 1: the Iran factor is so important in all of this,
Speaker 1: and why US carrier groups are in the region, and
Speaker 1: why there's a tremendous amount of concern. You know, if
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Speaker 1: Paid for by Palm Beach Reach Search Group. Now there's
Speaker 1: been a big shift, uh that that is happening on
Speaker 1: college campuses right now. I mean the A lot of
Speaker 1: the when it comes to donors, A lot of what
Speaker 1: you're seeing in terms of support for the Palestinian Cause
Speaker 1: or HAMAS or combination thereof is is absurd. And I
Speaker 1: don't mean that as in its like generally speaking, I
Speaker 1: disagree with it. It's immoral and it's stupid. I mean
Speaker 1: that it's truly nonsensical. Uh, there's there's some there's these
Speaker 1: like trans groups for Palestine that are showing up on
Speaker 1: campuses in some of these marches and rallies. They have
Speaker 1: things like repro reproductive justice means free Palestine. That's actually
Speaker 1: something that is is that one of these marches. But
Speaker 1: what what does that mean? Hamas is a terrorist entity
Speaker 1: that runs effectively a totalitarian prison camp of jihad. That's
Speaker 1: what gaza is. The notion that there's human rights being
Speaker 1: respected or that reproductive justice is high, you know, whatever
Speaker 1: that means. It just means abortion as we know. It
Speaker 1: just means abortion. People want to be able to kill
Speaker 1: babies in this country on the left, and they want
Speaker 1: to be able to do it all nine months of
Speaker 1: a pregnancy. And they think that that's all fine. That's
Speaker 1: that's what's going on on campus and some of these rallies.
Speaker 1: But the donors at some of these elite universities are
Speaker 1: actually saying enough is enough. People. First of all, I
Speaker 1: thought this was a really interesting statistic. People giving a
Speaker 1: million dollars or more made up less than one percent
Speaker 1: of donors in the most recent year I think it
Speaker 1: was a couple of years ago they did this analysis.
Speaker 1: But fifty seven percent of total donations. So more than
Speaker 1: half of donors to universities, I'm sorry, more than half
Speaker 1: of donations to universities come from big dollar donors. Big
Speaker 1: dollar donors are right, big deal to universities. And that's
Speaker 1: why when you see a lot some very prominent donors
Speaker 1: finally saying not going to give any more money to UPEN,
Speaker 1: not going to give any more money to Harvard, et cetera,
Speaker 1: because of what's going on in response to this attack
Speaker 1: on Israelis and Jews in Israel. This is the first
Speaker 1: time you've seen I've seen anything like this before. Honestly,
Speaker 1: I can't remember a time when you had some of
Speaker 1: the wealthiest donors to universities and college campuses who were
Speaker 1: coming forward to say, I will not give another penny
Speaker 1: because of the politics of what I'm seeing here, or
Speaker 1: rather the political insanity that is unfolding. So do I
Speaker 1: think that that's indicative of a red line of sorts
Speaker 1: being crossed here and there's a recognition that something something
Speaker 1: is really wrong with the modern university and there's a
Speaker 1: real problem here. And these donors, I don't know, some
Speaker 1: of these campuses, or rather some of the administrations that
Speaker 1: run these college campuses. They're so wealthy. I'm not sure
Speaker 1: they care. Their endowments have gotten so massive. I mean,
Speaker 1: Harvard's got like fifty billion dollar, maybe sixty billion dollar endowment.
Speaker 1: I mean, think about that. I mean these are almost
Speaker 1: like massive hedge funds that happen to teach classes. I mean,
Speaker 1: they have so much money. So I don't know if
Speaker 1: the donor class revolt will really make that much of
Speaker 1: a difference, but something will continue to look at. Since
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Speaker 1: the speaker fight as I talk to you now. Tom
Speaker 1: Emmer is likely to be the next Speaker of the House,
Speaker 1: a Republican who Trump has already called him a globalist rhino.
Speaker 1: So I think people are recognizing that this guy is
Speaker 1: not not some stalwart conservative and that what were we
Speaker 1: really doing here with all this stuff? What was the
Speaker 1: whole point of this speaker's battle. I like to think
Speaker 1: that there's maybe a lesson learned in all this, and
Speaker 1: that is frustration with a system is a necessary building
Speaker 1: point to fixing or addressing a system. But frustration alone
Speaker 1: is not a plan. Frustration alone is not a strategy
Speaker 1: to dealing with it. And so we have to think
Speaker 1: beyond that. We have to think Okay, fine, if we
Speaker 1: don't like Speaker McCarthy because he's broken his promises, fine,
Speaker 1: who is going to replace him? And how is that
Speaker 1: person going to be held accountable? Because what we have
Speaker 1: right now is Speaker McCarthy has been pushed out and
Speaker 1: the result is going to be you have somebody who's
Speaker 1: probably worse than McCarthy as the speaker. How does that help?
Speaker 1: I can't think of what the point is here of
Speaker 1: all this that doesn't seem to make any sense to me.
Speaker 1: And I've been asking people please explain, and they they
Speaker 1: you know, people work on Capitol Hill. Is just in
Speaker 1: DC last week, not getting a lot here, not getting
Speaker 1: a lot of explanation as to what really has gone
Speaker 1: on here. So I just think going forward the GOP.
Speaker 1: You know, passion is good. Rage against the system to
Speaker 1: a degree, you know, or or frustration with the system
Speaker 1: that can be channeled into fixes, that's all very good.
Speaker 1: But just throwing a wrench into the gears to see
Speaker 1: what happens you get this, You get some rhino squish
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Speaker 1: Shield tie