WEBVTT - Buck Brief  - Will Iran Spark WWIII?

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast. Let make

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<v Speaker 1>sure you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app

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<v Speaker 1>or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to the Buck Brief.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about the Iran factor right now in the

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<v Speaker 1>Middle East. This is the single biggest question I think

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<v Speaker 1>out there about the trajectory of this conflict between Hamas

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<v Speaker 1>and Israel and what's going to happen in the days

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<v Speaker 1>and weeks ahead. The situation is that already Iranian backed

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<v Speaker 1>militias have started to take action, started to fire rockets off,

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<v Speaker 1>started to shoot at effectively US assets in the region,

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<v Speaker 1>as well as the firing of rockets from Hesbola in

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<v Speaker 1>Lebanon into Israel. So we'll discuss what this means, what

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<v Speaker 1>the implications are. First off, this is from the Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street Journal. Iran has unleased regional militias it has spent

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<v Speaker 1>years arming, raising the risks of a larger conflict in

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<v Speaker 1>the region. For more than six months, these Iranian back

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<v Speaker 1>militia groups were framed from launching drones or rockets against

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<v Speaker 1>American troops in Iraq and Syria as what was called

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<v Speaker 1>an undeclared truce between Tehran and Washington and the region

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<v Speaker 1>that has come to a halt. Youth official said Iranian

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<v Speaker 1>back groups launched a half dozen military, drone and rocket

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<v Speaker 1>attacks against bases that US troops used in South Eastyria

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<v Speaker 1>and in western and northern Iraq. You also have in Yemen.

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<v Speaker 1>The remember there's the many civil war that has been

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<v Speaker 1>raging on for many years. There's the Huthi group inside

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<v Speaker 1>of Yemen that is Irani and their Shia and they

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<v Speaker 1>are Iranian backed, and the Huthis have fired Iranian cruise

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<v Speaker 1>missiles and drones toward Israel. But the US had a

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<v Speaker 1>guided missile cruiser in the area that shot down some

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<v Speaker 1>of the cruise missiles. Another cruise missile was hit by

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<v Speaker 1>Saudi Arabia protecting its own airspace. So you've already seen

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<v Speaker 1>some of these different militia groups that are all just

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<v Speaker 1>proxies of Iran, of the Mullas and Tehran taking kinetic

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<v Speaker 1>military action against either US assets or firing them at Israel.

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<v Speaker 1>Now this could just be There's a few ways that

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<v Speaker 1>can play out. One is that these groups do this

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<v Speaker 1>knowing that they won't escalate beyond this, and so they

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<v Speaker 1>can at least say if you will, they can they

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<v Speaker 1>can hold themselves up with, Oh, well, we've tried to

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<v Speaker 1>fight you know, America and the Zionist entity, which is

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<v Speaker 1>what they call Israel. We've been you know, firing rockets

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<v Speaker 1>and we've been taking action. So we stand with the

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<v Speaker 1>Palestinians effectively using rockets for optics, right, because these rockets

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<v Speaker 1>are not going to at least in the numbers that

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<v Speaker 1>they've been firing them off, They're not going to change

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<v Speaker 1>anything in the region. It's almost like they protest what's

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<v Speaker 1>going on in Gaza right now, the Israeli air strikes

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<v Speaker 1>and impending military invasion. They show their protest against that

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<v Speaker 1>by firing off all these rockets and doing these kinds

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<v Speaker 1>of things. So that's one possibility here. I think that's

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<v Speaker 1>the likeliest one at this phase. The other possibility, and

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<v Speaker 1>this is one that people are very concerned about obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>is that these are effectively warning shots from Iran that

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<v Speaker 1>if there is a major Israeli incursion into Gaza, that

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<v Speaker 1>then all these different Iranian militious Remember you have Hesbola

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<v Speaker 1>operating in Lebanon. It basically runs Lebanon, and it's sophisticated,

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<v Speaker 1>has a lot of munitions, has a lot of rockets,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's right next door to Israel. You have in

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<v Speaker 1>Syria Irani trained and equipped militia groups, and you know

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<v Speaker 1>the possibility of those being used to stage attacks not

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<v Speaker 1>only into Israel, but more likely they would attack the

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<v Speaker 1>remnants of US forces that are there. I think we

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<v Speaker 1>have hundreds of US troops in Syria still to this day.

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<v Speaker 1>In Iraq, we have some US troops present, and those

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<v Speaker 1>bases could also be attacked by the very powerful Shia

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<v Speaker 1>militia groups inside of Iraq. So we might have a

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<v Speaker 1>situation where not only would there be an escalation against Israel,

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<v Speaker 1>but an escalation against US forces. Now that's also though,

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<v Speaker 1>why I think this is probably not the way that

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<v Speaker 1>this is going to go. I think this is probably

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<v Speaker 1>not going to happen. Now. When I say probably, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know. No one really knows. But the American response

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<v Speaker 1>to missiles, or rather a full scale assault beyond just

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<v Speaker 1>the missiles of American personnel in either Syria or Iraq,

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<v Speaker 1>I think would be devastating. I think that we would

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<v Speaker 1>very likely go in with whatever we need to from

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<v Speaker 1>the air to unleash tremendous punishment on the Iranian militias.

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<v Speaker 1>So there's the response the escalation that we would do.

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<v Speaker 1>Then when people get really concerned, is well, well, that

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<v Speaker 1>mean that we'd have to also hit Iran in some way,

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<v Speaker 1>specifically that we'd have to go for targets inside of Iran.

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<v Speaker 1>Would that be the next phase, which would be effectively

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<v Speaker 1>a declaration of war, an effective declaration of war on Iran.

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<v Speaker 1>Although you know, we've had strikes and countries before that

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<v Speaker 1>didn't necessarily mean we're at full scale war, but in

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<v Speaker 1>the case of Iran, it might very well mean something

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<v Speaker 1>like that. And with twenty percent of the world's oil

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<v Speaker 1>supply going through the straits of Warmus day in and

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<v Speaker 1>day out, you can imagine the cataclysmic economic effects, never

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<v Speaker 1>mind the national security implications. What could happen if this

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<v Speaker 1>were to elevate to that level. So this is why

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<v Speaker 1>the Iran factor is so important in all of this,

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<v Speaker 1>and why US carrier groups are in the region, and

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<v Speaker 1>why there's a tremendous amount of concern. You know, if

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<v Speaker 1>Paid for by Palm Beach Reach Search Group. Now there's

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<v Speaker 1>been a big shift, uh that that is happening on

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<v Speaker 1>college campuses right now. I mean the A lot of

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<v Speaker 1>the when it comes to donors, A lot of what

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<v Speaker 1>you're seeing in terms of support for the Palestinian Cause

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<v Speaker 1>or HAMAS or combination thereof is is absurd. And I

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<v Speaker 1>don't mean that as in its like generally speaking, I

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<v Speaker 1>disagree with it. It's immoral and it's stupid. I mean

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<v Speaker 1>that it's truly nonsensical. Uh, there's there's some there's these

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<v Speaker 1>like trans groups for Palestine that are showing up on

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<v Speaker 1>campuses in some of these marches and rallies. They have

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<v Speaker 1>things like repro reproductive justice means free Palestine. That's actually

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<v Speaker 1>something that is is that one of these marches. But

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<v Speaker 1>what what does that mean? Hamas is a terrorist entity

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<v Speaker 1>that runs effectively a totalitarian prison camp of jihad. That's

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<v Speaker 1>what gaza is. The notion that there's human rights being

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<v Speaker 1>respected or that reproductive justice is high, you know, whatever

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<v Speaker 1>that means. It just means abortion as we know. It

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<v Speaker 1>just means abortion. People want to be able to kill

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<v Speaker 1>babies in this country on the left, and they want

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<v Speaker 1>to be able to do it all nine months of

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<v Speaker 1>a pregnancy. And they think that that's all fine. That's

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<v Speaker 1>that's what's going on on campus and some of these rallies.

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<v Speaker 1>But the donors at some of these elite universities are

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<v Speaker 1>actually saying enough is enough. People. First of all, I

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<v Speaker 1>thought this was a really interesting statistic. People giving a

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<v Speaker 1>million dollars or more made up less than one percent

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<v Speaker 1>of donors in the most recent year I think it

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<v Speaker 1>was a couple of years ago they did this analysis.

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<v Speaker 1>But fifty seven percent of total donations. So more than

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<v Speaker 1>half of donors to universities, I'm sorry, more than half

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<v Speaker 1>of donations to universities come from big dollar donors. Big

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<v Speaker 1>dollar donors are right, big deal to universities. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>why when you see a lot some very prominent donors

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<v Speaker 1>finally saying not going to give any more money to UPEN,

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<v Speaker 1>not going to give any more money to Harvard, et cetera,

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<v Speaker 1>because of what's going on in response to this attack

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<v Speaker 1>on Israelis and Jews in Israel. This is the first

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<v Speaker 1>time you've seen I've seen anything like this before. Honestly,

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<v Speaker 1>I can't remember a time when you had some of

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<v Speaker 1>the wealthiest donors to universities and college campuses who were

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<v Speaker 1>coming forward to say, I will not give another penny

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<v Speaker 1>because of the politics of what I'm seeing here, or

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<v Speaker 1>rather the political insanity that is unfolding. So do I

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<v Speaker 1>think that that's indicative of a red line of sorts

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<v Speaker 1>being crossed here and there's a recognition that something something

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<v Speaker 1>is really wrong with the modern university and there's a

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<v Speaker 1>real problem here. And these donors, I don't know, some

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<v Speaker 1>of these campuses, or rather some of the administrations that

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<v Speaker 1>run these college campuses. They're so wealthy. I'm not sure

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<v Speaker 1>they care. Their endowments have gotten so massive. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>Harvard's got like fifty billion dollar, maybe sixty billion dollar endowment.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, think about that. I mean these are almost

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<v Speaker 1>like massive hedge funds that happen to teach classes. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>they have so much money. So I don't know if

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<v Speaker 1>the donor class revolt will really make that much of

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<v Speaker 1>a difference, but something will continue to look at. Since

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<v Speaker 1>dot org. And now just speak a little bit about

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<v Speaker 1>the speaker fight as I talk to you now. Tom

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<v Speaker 1>Emmer is likely to be the next Speaker of the House,

0:11:37.057 --> 0:11:40.897
<v Speaker 1>a Republican who Trump has already called him a globalist rhino.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think people are recognizing that this guy is

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<v Speaker 1>not not some stalwart conservative and that what were we

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<v Speaker 1>really doing here with all this stuff? What was the

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<v Speaker 1>whole point of this speaker's battle. I like to think

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<v Speaker 1>that there's maybe a lesson learned in all this, and

0:11:57.897 --> 0:12:02.897
<v Speaker 1>that is frustration with a system is a necessary building

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<v Speaker 1>point to fixing or addressing a system. But frustration alone

0:12:10.297 --> 0:12:12.977
<v Speaker 1>is not a plan. Frustration alone is not a strategy

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<v Speaker 1>to dealing with it. And so we have to think

0:12:16.217 --> 0:12:19.897
<v Speaker 1>beyond that. We have to think Okay, fine, if we

0:12:19.937 --> 0:12:23.417
<v Speaker 1>don't like Speaker McCarthy because he's broken his promises, fine,

0:12:24.137 --> 0:12:26.057
<v Speaker 1>who is going to replace him? And how is that

0:12:26.097 --> 0:12:28.497
<v Speaker 1>person going to be held accountable? Because what we have

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<v Speaker 1>right now is Speaker McCarthy has been pushed out and

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<v Speaker 1>the result is going to be you have somebody who's

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<v Speaker 1>probably worse than McCarthy as the speaker. How does that help?

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<v Speaker 1>I can't think of what the point is here of

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<v Speaker 1>all this that doesn't seem to make any sense to me.

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<v Speaker 1>And I've been asking people please explain, and they they

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<v Speaker 1>you know, people work on Capitol Hill. Is just in

0:12:49.457 --> 0:12:52.457
<v Speaker 1>DC last week, not getting a lot here, not getting

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of explanation as to what really has gone

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<v Speaker 1>on here. So I just think going forward the GOP.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, passion is good. Rage against the system to

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<v Speaker 1>a degree, you know, or or frustration with the system

0:13:06.817 --> 0:13:12.817
<v Speaker 1>that can be channeled into fixes, that's all very good.

0:13:13.057 --> 0:13:16.857
<v Speaker 1>But just throwing a wrench into the gears to see

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<v Speaker 1>what happens you get this, You get some rhino squish

0:13:21.217 --> 0:13:24.497
<v Speaker 1>who's gonna be the Speaker of the House probably probably,

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<v Speaker 1>So it's crazy you don't have somebody, you know, you

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