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Speaker 1: You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast. Let make

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Speaker 1: sure you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app

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Speaker 1: or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to the Buck Brief.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Iran factor right now in the

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Speaker 1: Middle East. This is the single biggest question I think

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Speaker 1: out there about the trajectory of this conflict between Hamas

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Speaker 1: and Israel and what's going to happen in the days

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Speaker 1: and weeks ahead. The situation is that already Iranian backed

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Speaker 1: militias have started to take action, started to fire rockets off,

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Speaker 1: started to shoot at effectively US assets in the region,

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Speaker 1: as well as the firing of rockets from Hesbola in

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Speaker 1: Lebanon into Israel. So we'll discuss what this means, what

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Speaker 1: the implications are. First off, this is from the Wall

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Speaker 1: Street Journal. Iran has unleased regional militias it has spent

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Speaker 1: years arming, raising the risks of a larger conflict in

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Speaker 1: the region. For more than six months, these Iranian back

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Speaker 1: militia groups were framed from launching drones or rockets against

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Speaker 1: American troops in Iraq and Syria as what was called

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Speaker 1: an undeclared truce between Tehran and Washington and the region

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Speaker 1: that has come to a halt. Youth official said Iranian

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Speaker 1: back groups launched a half dozen military, drone and rocket

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Speaker 1: attacks against bases that US troops used in South Eastyria

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Speaker 1: and in western and northern Iraq. You also have in Yemen.

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Speaker 1: The remember there's the many civil war that has been

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Speaker 1: raging on for many years. There's the Huthi group inside

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Speaker 1: of Yemen that is Irani and their Shia and they

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Speaker 1: are Iranian backed, and the Huthis have fired Iranian cruise

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Speaker 1: missiles and drones toward Israel. But the US had a

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Speaker 1: guided missile cruiser in the area that shot down some

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Speaker 1: of the cruise missiles. Another cruise missile was hit by

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Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia protecting its own airspace. So you've already seen

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Speaker 1: some of these different militia groups that are all just

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Speaker 1: proxies of Iran, of the Mullas and Tehran taking kinetic

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Speaker 1: military action against either US assets or firing them at Israel.

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Speaker 1: Now this could just be There's a few ways that

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Speaker 1: can play out. One is that these groups do this

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Speaker 1: knowing that they won't escalate beyond this, and so they

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Speaker 1: can at least say if you will, they can they

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Speaker 1: can hold themselves up with, Oh, well, we've tried to

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Speaker 1: fight you know, America and the Zionist entity, which is

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Speaker 1: what they call Israel. We've been you know, firing rockets

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Speaker 1: and we've been taking action. So we stand with the

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Speaker 1: Palestinians effectively using rockets for optics, right, because these rockets

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Speaker 1: are not going to at least in the numbers that

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Speaker 1: they've been firing them off, They're not going to change

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Speaker 1: anything in the region. It's almost like they protest what's

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Speaker 1: going on in Gaza right now, the Israeli air strikes

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Speaker 1: and impending military invasion. They show their protest against that

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Speaker 1: by firing off all these rockets and doing these kinds

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Speaker 1: of things. So that's one possibility here. I think that's

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Speaker 1: the likeliest one at this phase. The other possibility, and

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Speaker 1: this is one that people are very concerned about obviously,

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Speaker 1: is that these are effectively warning shots from Iran that

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Speaker 1: if there is a major Israeli incursion into Gaza, that

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Speaker 1: then all these different Iranian militious Remember you have Hesbola

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Speaker 1: operating in Lebanon. It basically runs Lebanon, and it's sophisticated,

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Speaker 1: has a lot of munitions, has a lot of rockets,

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Speaker 1: and it's right next door to Israel. You have in

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Speaker 1: Syria Irani trained and equipped militia groups, and you know

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Speaker 1: the possibility of those being used to stage attacks not

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Speaker 1: only into Israel, but more likely they would attack the

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Speaker 1: remnants of US forces that are there. I think we

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Speaker 1: have hundreds of US troops in Syria still to this day.

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Speaker 1: In Iraq, we have some US troops present, and those

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Speaker 1: bases could also be attacked by the very powerful Shia

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Speaker 1: militia groups inside of Iraq. So we might have a

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Speaker 1: situation where not only would there be an escalation against Israel,

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Speaker 1: but an escalation against US forces. Now that's also though,

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Speaker 1: why I think this is probably not the way that

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Speaker 1: this is going to go. I think this is probably

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Speaker 1: not going to happen. Now. When I say probably, I

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Speaker 1: don't know. No one really knows. But the American response

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Speaker 1: to missiles, or rather a full scale assault beyond just

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Speaker 1: the missiles of American personnel in either Syria or Iraq,

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Speaker 1: I think would be devastating. I think that we would

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Speaker 1: very likely go in with whatever we need to from

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Speaker 1: the air to unleash tremendous punishment on the Iranian militias.

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Speaker 1: So there's the response the escalation that we would do.

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Speaker 1: Then when people get really concerned, is well, well, that

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Speaker 1: mean that we'd have to also hit Iran in some way,

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Speaker 1: specifically that we'd have to go for targets inside of Iran.

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Speaker 1: Would that be the next phase, which would be effectively

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Speaker 1: a declaration of war, an effective declaration of war on Iran.

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Speaker 1: Although you know, we've had strikes and countries before that

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Speaker 1: didn't necessarily mean we're at full scale war, but in

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Speaker 1: the case of Iran, it might very well mean something

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Speaker 1: like that. And with twenty percent of the world's oil

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Speaker 1: supply going through the straits of Warmus day in and

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Speaker 1: day out, you can imagine the cataclysmic economic effects, never

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Speaker 1: mind the national security implications. What could happen if this

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Speaker 1: were to elevate to that level. So this is why

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Speaker 1: the Iran factor is so important in all of this,

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Speaker 1: and why US carrier groups are in the region, and

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Speaker 1: why there's a tremendous amount of concern. You know, if

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Speaker 1: Paid for by Palm Beach Reach Search Group. Now there's

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Speaker 1: been a big shift, uh that that is happening on

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Speaker 1: college campuses right now. I mean the A lot of

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Speaker 1: the when it comes to donors, A lot of what

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Speaker 1: you're seeing in terms of support for the Palestinian Cause

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Speaker 1: or HAMAS or combination thereof is is absurd. And I

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Speaker 1: don't mean that as in its like generally speaking, I

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Speaker 1: disagree with it. It's immoral and it's stupid. I mean

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Speaker 1: that it's truly nonsensical. Uh, there's there's some there's these

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Speaker 1: like trans groups for Palestine that are showing up on

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Speaker 1: campuses in some of these marches and rallies. They have

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Speaker 1: things like repro reproductive justice means free Palestine. That's actually

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Speaker 1: something that is is that one of these marches. But

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Speaker 1: what what does that mean? Hamas is a terrorist entity

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Speaker 1: that runs effectively a totalitarian prison camp of jihad. That's

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Speaker 1: what gaza is. The notion that there's human rights being

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Speaker 1: respected or that reproductive justice is high, you know, whatever

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Speaker 1: that means. It just means abortion as we know. It

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Speaker 1: just means abortion. People want to be able to kill

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Speaker 1: babies in this country on the left, and they want

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Speaker 1: to be able to do it all nine months of

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Speaker 1: a pregnancy. And they think that that's all fine. That's

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Speaker 1: that's what's going on on campus and some of these rallies.

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Speaker 1: But the donors at some of these elite universities are

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Speaker 1: actually saying enough is enough. People. First of all, I

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Speaker 1: thought this was a really interesting statistic. People giving a

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Speaker 1: million dollars or more made up less than one percent

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Speaker 1: of donors in the most recent year I think it

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Speaker 1: was a couple of years ago they did this analysis.

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Speaker 1: But fifty seven percent of total donations. So more than

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Speaker 1: half of donors to universities, I'm sorry, more than half

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Speaker 1: of donations to universities come from big dollar donors. Big

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Speaker 1: dollar donors are right, big deal to universities. And that's

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Speaker 1: why when you see a lot some very prominent donors

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Speaker 1: finally saying not going to give any more money to UPEN,

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Speaker 1: not going to give any more money to Harvard, et cetera,

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Speaker 1: because of what's going on in response to this attack

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Speaker 1: on Israelis and Jews in Israel. This is the first

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Speaker 1: time you've seen I've seen anything like this before. Honestly,

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Speaker 1: I can't remember a time when you had some of

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Speaker 1: the wealthiest donors to universities and college campuses who were

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Speaker 1: coming forward to say, I will not give another penny

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Speaker 1: because of the politics of what I'm seeing here, or

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Speaker 1: rather the political insanity that is unfolding. So do I

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Speaker 1: think that that's indicative of a red line of sorts

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Speaker 1: being crossed here and there's a recognition that something something

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Speaker 1: is really wrong with the modern university and there's a

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Speaker 1: real problem here. And these donors, I don't know, some

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Speaker 1: of these campuses, or rather some of the administrations that

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Speaker 1: run these college campuses. They're so wealthy. I'm not sure

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Speaker 1: they care. Their endowments have gotten so massive. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Harvard's got like fifty billion dollar, maybe sixty billion dollar endowment.

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Speaker 1: I mean, think about that. I mean these are almost

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Speaker 1: like massive hedge funds that happen to teach classes. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they have so much money. So I don't know if

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Speaker 1: the donor class revolt will really make that much of

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Speaker 1: a difference, but something will continue to look at. Since

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Speaker 1: nine eleven, the Tunnel the Towers Foundation has been committed

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Speaker 1: to its programs. Donate eleven dollars a month at T

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Speaker 1: two t dot org. That's t the number two T

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Speaker 1: dot org. And now just speak a little bit about

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Speaker 1: the speaker fight as I talk to you now. Tom

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Speaker 1: Emmer is likely to be the next Speaker of the House,

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Speaker 1: a Republican who Trump has already called him a globalist rhino.

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Speaker 1: So I think people are recognizing that this guy is

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Speaker 1: not not some stalwart conservative and that what were we

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Speaker 1: really doing here with all this stuff? What was the

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Speaker 1: whole point of this speaker's battle. I like to think

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Speaker 1: that there's maybe a lesson learned in all this, and

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Speaker 1: that is frustration with a system is a necessary building

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Speaker 1: point to fixing or addressing a system. But frustration alone

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Speaker 1: is not a plan. Frustration alone is not a strategy

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Speaker 1: to dealing with it. And so we have to think

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Speaker 1: beyond that. We have to think Okay, fine, if we

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Speaker 1: don't like Speaker McCarthy because he's broken his promises, fine,

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Speaker 1: who is going to replace him? And how is that

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Speaker 1: person going to be held accountable? Because what we have

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Speaker 1: right now is Speaker McCarthy has been pushed out and

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Speaker 1: the result is going to be you have somebody who's

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Speaker 1: probably worse than McCarthy as the speaker. How does that help?

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Speaker 1: I can't think of what the point is here of

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Speaker 1: all this that doesn't seem to make any sense to me.

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Speaker 1: And I've been asking people please explain, and they they

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Speaker 1: you know, people work on Capitol Hill. Is just in

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Speaker 1: DC last week, not getting a lot here, not getting

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Speaker 1: a lot of explanation as to what really has gone

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Speaker 1: on here. So I just think going forward the GOP.

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Speaker 1: You know, passion is good. Rage against the system to

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Speaker 1: a degree, you know, or or frustration with the system

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Speaker 1: that can be channeled into fixes, that's all very good.

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Speaker 1: But just throwing a wrench into the gears to see

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