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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Diet the Juice Podcast with me

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt at Sports Talk. Matt is my handle on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at betting Pros. For Betting Pros is Twitter handle.

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Speaker 1: We are here thanks to bet mgm. Every morning the

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Speaker 1: offer ten dollars to win one hundred and fifty dollars

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Speaker 1: any new account where betmgm is located not Nevada, but

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Speaker 1: it is here, but you just can't use juice one

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Speaker 1: fifty works everywhere else. So where bet mgm is available audio,

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Speaker 1: you can find it anywhere you get your audio podcasts

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Speaker 1: video for YouTube, go search Betting Pros two and one

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Speaker 1: again last night. So we've been doing pretty well here

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Speaker 1: with this two and one, two and one, two and

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Speaker 1: one three bets. College basketball NBA hoops have been pretty

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Speaker 1: good to us. We get the Nuggets right, they wreck

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Speaker 1: the nets, they cover, We get Laola right catching a point,

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Speaker 1: didn't need it, they went outright, and then Houston destroyed Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: so we got that wrong. But two and one winning day. Look,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the two and ones every time, winning

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Speaker 1: bets or winning bets. So we've been doing well for

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Speaker 1: the last eight, nine, ten days doing this, so I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to break it. However, before I give you

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Speaker 1: the three bets I'm making in college basketball today, which

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Speaker 1: I have made already, I made my first Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: bet tonight, and I'm going to give that to you

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Speaker 1: here in just one second. It is a full unit bet.

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Speaker 1: It is a side bet that you probably know where

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go here with this wager. But I

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Speaker 1: got some cool news today and this is going to

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Speaker 1: be kind of unique. I don't know where I'm going

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Speaker 1: to do the Daily Juice. It probably will come to

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Speaker 1: you from the house We're renting in Los Angeles. But

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Speaker 1: I'm going to be on Radio Row for my other

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Speaker 1: show now for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, So that kind

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Speaker 1: of changes a whole lot about what's going to be happening.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt for interviews

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Speaker 1: and different people were going to be talking to prop

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Speaker 1: bets that I like and whatnot. But let's just go

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Speaker 1: ahead and put a flag down. Points bet tonight went

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Speaker 1: to three and a half for about thirty minutes. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they were at four, at four, at four, and then

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Speaker 1: they went to three and a half and they were

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Speaker 1: bet back up right to four. For about a half

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Speaker 1: an hour after that happened, they went back to four.

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Speaker 1: In Vegas, we are still at four and a half.

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Speaker 1: So what I have decided to do. I went to

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Speaker 1: the Westgate tonight and I said, look, I'm not playing.

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Speaker 1: I don't think we're getting five. Okay, I don't believe

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Speaker 1: we're gonna get plus five. I mean maybe we get

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Speaker 1: it later, and maybe I'll be mad at myself. But

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Speaker 1: if that happens, if we do go to five, I

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Speaker 1: will then tease this thing up to eleven. Okay. So,

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Speaker 1: and I still very well might tease it up anyway.

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Speaker 1: I might tease it up from four and a half

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Speaker 1: to ten and a half. That may happen. But how

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Speaker 1: I'll deal with a line move is I want to

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Speaker 1: cross seven and nine, so I want four and a half.

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Speaker 1: But if I get three and a half, six point

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Speaker 1: teaser gets me over nine to nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: So I'm okay with that. I don't think we'll ever

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Speaker 1: see three, Okay, in this game, RAMS minus three and

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Speaker 1: a half will be the best. If you like the Rams,

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be the best number you're gonna see. In

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Speaker 1: my opinion is Rams minus three and a half. Pros

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Speaker 1: have been taking it like crazy. I'm gonna take Bengals

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Speaker 1: at plus four and a half. Now you have to

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Speaker 1: remember something. I have a plus seven to fifty bet

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Speaker 1: on the Bengals to win this game. Okay. That's way

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Speaker 1: better than any money line price you're going to get.

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Speaker 1: I am also waiting to see if if we get

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Speaker 1: a line crash when it comes to the comes to

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Speaker 1: the side, because if it goes to three and a half,

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Speaker 1: I then get better price in the Rams. I will

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Speaker 1: go ahead and I'm gonna hedge, Okay. I'm gonna bet

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Speaker 1: a couple of units on the Rams to win at all. Okay,

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Speaker 1: and if it's minus two hundred, I'll bet two units

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Speaker 1: to win one unit, knowing that what I've got coming

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Speaker 1: back on the other side is plus seven and a

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Speaker 1: half units. Okay. So I'll give up a couple just

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Speaker 1: to guarantee that I make my money back, and I

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Speaker 1: make my bet back, okay. So that's how I am approaching.

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Speaker 1: I have a one unit bet at plus seven fifty

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Speaker 1: on the Bengals to win it all. I will hedge

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Speaker 1: with the Rams coming back on a Rams bet. I

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Speaker 1: will make that later in the week. I'll wait kind

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Speaker 1: to the end, and I also have a teaser going

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Speaker 1: later as well, later on in the week. But I

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Speaker 1: want four and a half. I'm not sure we're going

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Speaker 1: to get four and a half anywhere else. So I

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Speaker 1: have some strategic ways of betting this game. I'm not

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Speaker 1: necessarily taking a position or having an opinion. I'm taking

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Speaker 1: a position to play off that said opinion, okay, or

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Speaker 1: that said position. One unit. Cincinnati plus four and a

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Speaker 1: half in the Super Bowl is the bet I made tonight.

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Speaker 1: If you want to know why, it's all on Joe Burrow.

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Speaker 1: Joe Burrow in the playoffs at LSU, Joe Burrow in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs in the NFL, Joe Burrow in the National

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Speaker 1: Championship Game against LSU, or for four LSU, and Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow here in the Super Bowl up against this Rams defense.

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Speaker 1: I get the offensive line, but I think this Rams

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Speaker 1: defense is going to have a real tough time stopping

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Speaker 1: this passing attack. And I think there's going to be

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Speaker 1: some tricks up their sleeve. I think the receivers this

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Speaker 1: is a hell of a receiving corps that they're going

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Speaker 1: to have to face. I know the offensive line's got problems.

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Speaker 1: I know Aaron Donald might chew it up, but I

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Speaker 1: don't think the Rams can run the football. Okay. If

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Speaker 1: the Rams can't run the football and you make them

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Speaker 1: one dimensional, then you've got Matthew Stafford back there trying

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Speaker 1: to be a hero. And I mean, I'm not trusting

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Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford in this game. Hell no, Okay, absolutely not.

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Speaker 1: Even if he wins the game and plays well, I

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Speaker 1: still wouldn't trust the dude. He led the league in

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Speaker 1: interceptions this year. Okay, I don't care what any Detroit

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Speaker 1: fans who are now all of a sudden, you know.

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Speaker 1: I saw one Detroit fan on Twitter saying, I'm so

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Speaker 1: nervous for this game I have to watch it alone.

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Speaker 1: You're a Lions fan, dude, Like you're not a Rams fan. Okay.

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Speaker 1: This idea that your guy is playing for the super

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Speaker 1: Bowl so you're playing for your team sucks. Okay, live

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Speaker 1: in your misery. That's what being a fan's all about.

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Speaker 1: Being a fan is You're gonna live in your misery

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Speaker 1: so when you are good, you can go ahead and

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Speaker 1: run around and say I was there through the hell.

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Speaker 1: It's the whole point of being a fan. You have

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Speaker 1: to suffer, you know, you know, bounce around from team

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Speaker 1: the team, and just because your guy who played for

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Speaker 1: you goes there. Nah, that's why. That's why it's so

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Speaker 1: different with the Patriots and the Bucks, because Brady won

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Speaker 1: six championships with the Patriots that that's their guy, and

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Speaker 1: he went down there, and it was like, you know what,

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Speaker 1: good for Tommy. I'm happy for him. Man, that's that's cool,

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Speaker 1: all right. I would like to see the Bucks wouldn't

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Speaker 1: get Tommy in number seven? Good for him, right, We're

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Speaker 1: happy for him. But nobody was like running around like

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Speaker 1: living and dying if the Bucks had lost that Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Nobody in New England was like devastated about it. Be

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Speaker 1: moren't changing their life to watch the Bucks in the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl. No one was hyperly nervous about it. It

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Speaker 1: was just a game and you were hoping that tom

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Speaker 1: would do it because Tom's our guy. Totally different story

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Speaker 1: here with Stafford. Give me plus four and a half

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Speaker 1: Bengals plus four and a half for one unit? All right,

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Speaker 1: now more bets to come throughout the entire week. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's super weak. I'm going to have a litany of

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Speaker 1: things that were and We've been very good here in

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Speaker 1: the postseason with both the college football playoffs. We were

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Speaker 1: seven and zero in the postseason in college football here

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two, and we've done fairly well. I

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Speaker 1: think we're seventeen and ten so far here in the

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Speaker 1: playoffs in twenty twenty two as well in the NFL,

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Speaker 1: so we've done fairly well. We'll have a lot, We'll

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Speaker 1: have the live stream, We'll have player props. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to be pretty committed to player props. I We'll have

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Speaker 1: a lot of things going here. But because last year

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Speaker 1: I sucked so bad in the postseason, I was really

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Speaker 1: pretty light eight and oh in the Super Bowl, but

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Speaker 1: I was pretty light with the wagering, I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to be nearly as light this time. Maybe it blows

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Speaker 1: up my face, fine, but I'm going to be more

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Speaker 1: committed because we've got more green to work with, We've

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Speaker 1: got more We're in the black more than we were

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Speaker 1: in the red last year. Where I was playing defense,

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Speaker 1: I can play a little more offense coming up here tonight.

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Speaker 1: All right, three bets in college basketball that I want

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Speaker 1: to give you guys. Somebody by the way whined about

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Speaker 1: this and was like you need to be more diverse

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Speaker 1: with your picks. Why why do I need to be

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Speaker 1: more more diverse with my picks? Because you want me

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Speaker 1: to be more diverse with my picks. I went two

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Speaker 1: and one yesterday. I've gone two and one a lot

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Speaker 1: over the last week. I mean we were up two

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Speaker 1: and a half units last week. What do you want

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Speaker 1: I'm giving you out? I'm giving free picks on a

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Speaker 1: free podcast. Okay, that's my job. And if we're winning,

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Speaker 1: why do you want me to stop it? Like? Why

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Speaker 1: would you want me to do something else? Like you

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Speaker 1: want me to go bet golf? You want to go

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Speaker 1: bet NASCAR and lose? The Hell's the point of that?

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Speaker 1: Because it will help you when I'm hitting the mic.

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Speaker 1: It will help you like the podcast more. Okay, dude, Like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: take a hike. I'm good. Okay, all right, let's start

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Speaker 1: with the game that I Kansas against Texas. This is

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Speaker 1: a hell of a basketball game coming up here. It

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Speaker 1: is a pick for me game. Open up Texas minus

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Speaker 1: one and a half on the air, KU ten and

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Speaker 1: twelve against the spread, Texas ten and thirteen. Neither team's

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Speaker 1: all that great, although KU As one and covered their

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Speaker 1: last two games four and six the last ten or

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Speaker 1: four and six on the road this season in Big

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Speaker 1: Twelve play kus four and five. Texas covered their last

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Speaker 1: game two and three against the spread. Over the last ten,

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Speaker 1: they are eight and excuse me, eight and seven at

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Speaker 1: home against the number five and five against the Big

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Speaker 1: twelve against the spread. I think Kansas is playing really,

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Speaker 1: really well. They beat up on Iowa State on the road.

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Speaker 1: They beat down Baylor in their last game, and again

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Speaker 1: this KU team with Okbagi and company, this team can

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Speaker 1: win at all. Okay, I don't think Texas. I like

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Speaker 1: Chris Beard. Okay, I like you know, this is hodge

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Speaker 1: podge of guys they've thrown together. But they lost on

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Speaker 1: the road at Texas Tech. They lost to Kansas State

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Speaker 1: at home. They lost to Iowa State on the road.

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Speaker 1: They lost to Oklahoma State on the road. Yes, they

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Speaker 1: are at home here tonight. I think Kansas is just

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Speaker 1: a better basketball team. And I think Bill self on

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Speaker 1: Big Monday, I don't think he's ever lost. I saw

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Speaker 1: some what thirty one and oher or something like that

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Speaker 1: where Bill self is on Big Monday, like he doesn't

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Speaker 1: lose these games. Okay, Bill selth and Ku. They don't

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Speaker 1: lose these games. They win these games. It's the biggest

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Speaker 1: game of the night. I'm taking the better basketball team

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Speaker 1: at a pick minus one ten, half a unit, Kansas,

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Speaker 1: to just win this game. I think they're the better

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Speaker 1: team with a deeper roster. I think they're a Final

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Speaker 1: Four caliber team. We're sitting here now as we're going

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Speaker 1: into mid February, late February. Every one of these games matter.

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Speaker 1: It is a big time, big time game with a

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Speaker 1: lot of eyeballs. We're going Kansas. I had a pick

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Speaker 1: here for half a unit. All right, let's go to

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Speaker 1: a totally different game, and I mean totally different. Stonybrook

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Speaker 1: is being kicked out of the America East auguess they're leaving,

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Speaker 1: but they're not going to be allowed to play in

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Speaker 1: their conference tournament because they're leaving to go to the CAA,

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Speaker 1: the Colonial. So everyone is pissed off at stony Brook

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Speaker 1: for doing this, so they voted unanimously, you cannot go.

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Speaker 1: And since then the wheels have kind of come off

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Speaker 1: of Stonybrook. They've been they've been reeling since they made

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Speaker 1: the announcement that they're going to leave, and now they

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Speaker 1: can't play in their conference tournament. They've lost three of four.

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Speaker 1: Their only win came against New Hampshire, the team that

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Speaker 1: they're playing here tonight, New Hampshire up and down basketball team.

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Speaker 1: They're two and two, two and three over the last

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Speaker 1: five games. But I'm not gonna look for a side here.

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at the total in this game between New

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Speaker 1: Hampshire and Stonybrook. Stony Brook is fourteen and seven on

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Speaker 1: the year to the over. UNH is eight and eight,

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Speaker 1: but against the conference they're six and three, and the

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Speaker 1: last five games for you and H have gone over

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Speaker 1: seven and three to the over over their last ten

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Speaker 1: and on the road they're four and five. Stonybrook is

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Speaker 1: a better over team on the road, but they're still

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Speaker 1: six and five. The total for this game is one

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Speaker 1: forty and a half. Is what I got here in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: When these two teams played, it was one thirty five

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Speaker 1: in the first matchup went over by ten points. So

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Speaker 1: at one thirty five now it's one forty and a half,

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Speaker 1: so it goes over by ten points. They adjust by

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Speaker 1: five points. I don't think it's enough. I think this

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Speaker 1: game's going over. I think we're gonna see points. Even

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Speaker 1: though the last two games first stony Brook did go

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Speaker 1: under one forty three and a half against Binghamton and

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Speaker 1: won forty against NJIT. Both the game's been under by

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Speaker 1: five and a half in by thirteen points, but in

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Speaker 1: the game sixty one points and sixty five points were

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Speaker 1: scored by stony Brook. They scored seventy six points against

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Speaker 1: New Hampshire. They scored sixty seven against Vermont. They scored

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Speaker 1: eighty six against Albany, seventy four on the road against Binghamton,

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Speaker 1: sixty five on the road or at home against Maryland

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Speaker 1: Baltimore County. In the first matchup against Vermont, they gave

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Speaker 1: up ninety eight points on the road and law and

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Speaker 1: scored sixty five points. The game flew over by twenty

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Speaker 1: and a half points. I think this game's going over.

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Speaker 1: Seventy seven points scored last time out for New Hampshire

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Speaker 1: on the road they gave up eight eight. Last home

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Speaker 1: game they scored seventy gave up sixty four against Hartford.

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Speaker 1: I think both teams are scoring. Ken Palm's got this

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Speaker 1: number at one forty two, so a little bit of

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Speaker 1: value there. I think this is an overplay. Stonybrook in

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Speaker 1: New Hampshire totally off the beaten path. But I've been

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Speaker 1: watching Stony Brooks since they got kicked out of the

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Speaker 1: Americas tournaments. So I've been watching their games and looking

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Speaker 1: for a game to bet on. Five straight overs for

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Speaker 1: New Hampshire, Let's bet the streak. Let's go over here,

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Speaker 1: one forty and a half New Hampshire and Stonybrook going over,

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Speaker 1: and one final game to get into here. For college basketball,

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Speaker 1: Arizona Arizona State. So both these teams are under machines.

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Speaker 1: Arizona State more than Arizona Arizona State five and fifteen

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Speaker 1: or fifteen and five to the under, Arizona eleven and

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Speaker 1: ten to the under against the conference Arizona seven and

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Speaker 1: three to the under, Arizona State seven and three to

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Speaker 1: the under, one over the last five to the under

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Speaker 1: for Arizona eight and two over the last ten, four

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Speaker 1: and four on the road for Arizona Arizona State at

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Speaker 1: home they're nine in one to the under. At home

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Speaker 1: they're seven and three against the packed twelve. They have

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Speaker 1: gone under against USC and Arizona game against UCLA went

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Speaker 1: over because they won the game eighty seven eighty four,

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Speaker 1: okay over by thirty nine and a half points. Flew over.

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Speaker 1: The total for this game is one forty three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Okay, it opened up at one forty two

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's been bet up to one forty three.

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Speaker 1: You may get more. I think this is the wrong move. However,

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Speaker 1: we've got an under team last four in a row,

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Speaker 1: USC two games against UCLA and the first Arizona State matchup,

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Speaker 1: all going under. The total was one forty eight. In

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Speaker 1: the first matchup, it went under by twenty five points.

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Speaker 1: The correction is one forty three. The correction is only

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Speaker 1: going four and a half points here. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: That seems like not enough. That seems like it should

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Speaker 1: be in the one forty range here, one forty one

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Speaker 1: or so. Can Arizona score absolutely the numbers fourteen though,

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Speaker 1: So we're talking about an Arizona blowout here for Arizona State.

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Speaker 1: I just think Arizona scores. I don't think Arizona State's

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Speaker 1: gonna score enough to keep up here if you think

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a twenty point blowout, which it could.

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Speaker 1: But if Arizona State's gonna win this game, they can't

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Speaker 1: go up tempo. Okay, They've got to grind it down,

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Speaker 1: slow it down. Don't get into a running you up

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Speaker 1: and down battle here. I mean, look what Ucla did.

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Speaker 1: Total was one forty nine. The game went under, sorry's

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Speaker 1: one fifty. The game went under by sixteen points. It

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Speaker 1: was a seventy five to fifty nine win for UCLA.

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Speaker 1: That similar game has to happen here. I bet you

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Speaker 1: get a better number than me. Okay, I bet this

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Speaker 1: number of climbs. You get to bet under more than me.

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Speaker 1: I got one forty three and a half half a unit.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting under Arizona and Arizona State. I think we're

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Speaker 1: in for a kind of an ugly basketball game, and

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Speaker 1: I think both these teams aren't going to be scoring

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Speaker 1: a ton of points, like a seventy six maybe to

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Speaker 1: like sixty something type of game. Here, one thirty six,

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Speaker 1: we go under one forty three and a half. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Arizona State scores all that much. I'm not

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Speaker 1: sure how many points Arizona's going to score to be

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Speaker 1: quite like I said, they scored sixty seven points in

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Speaker 1: the first matchup. I see a very very similar game.

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Speaker 1: Sixty seven to fifty six was the first score. Something

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Speaker 1: in the same range, you know, seventy to sixty somewhere

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Speaker 1: in there. I'm going under one forty three and a

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Speaker 1: half Arizona and Arizona State. Okay, so four plays here,

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Speaker 1: one for the super Bowl in three going off here tonight,

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Speaker 1: we're taking the Bengals plus four and a half. Remember

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Speaker 1: we've got the Bengals money line already here at plus

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Speaker 1: seven to fifty. But Bengals plus four and a half

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Speaker 1: one unit mins one ten, Kansas at a pick half

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Speaker 1: a unit minus one ten over one forty and a

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Speaker 1: half for you and h and Stonybrook. And we're going

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Speaker 1: on under one forty three and a half for Arizona

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Speaker 1: and Arizona State. Mine's Matt Peroult. Follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's the

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Speaker 1: Deal Juice podcast, always being brought to you by BETHAMGM