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Speaker 1: It's that time, time, time, time, luck and load. So

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Speaker 1: Michael Arry Show is on the air. What will we

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Speaker 1: do with this moment? How will we be remembered?

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Speaker 2: Look at the opportunities before us.

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Speaker 3: We need to remember above and beyond that we must

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Speaker 3: love our neighbors, That we must treat.

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Speaker 1: Other people as we hope to be treated.

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Speaker 2: The people this current and it's the people who are

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Speaker 2: making America great again.

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Speaker 4: Together.

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Speaker 5: They crossed the oceans, settled the continent, came the wilderness,

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Speaker 5: laid down the railroad's, raised up those mighty skyscrapers, built

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Speaker 5: the highways, one two world wars, defeated fascism and communism,

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Speaker 5: and launched American astronauts to the moon. It was hard

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Speaker 5: working patriots like you who built this country, and now

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Speaker 5: it's hard working patriots like you who are going to

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Speaker 5: save our country.

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Speaker 6: When people ask me, why aren't the polls more accurate, Well,

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Speaker 6: first of all, remember this, folks.

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Speaker 3: You've been fed poles by different people for months. Some

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Speaker 3: of those people wanted you to believe that Trump couldn't win,

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Speaker 3: because if Trump couldn't win, then you would abandon him,

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Speaker 3: was the strategy.

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Speaker 1: So they would push.

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Speaker 3: His polling down and the idea was you'll go over

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Speaker 3: to Nicki Haley or you'll stay home. Another reason for

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Speaker 3: that is is truly Trump always overperforms. He's doing it

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Speaker 3: today the polls because a lot of people are going

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Speaker 3: to vote for Trump but will not tell a pollster

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Speaker 3: that they're going to vote for Trump.

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Speaker 1: Many of you are that way.

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Speaker 3: And another thing that factors into this, have you personally

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Speaker 3: been polled? And if and I don't mean it's not

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Speaker 3: Tim Wall's question, but you're not going to answer the poll.

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Speaker 3: I'm not going to answer a poll. All right, You're

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Speaker 3: not going to reach me, and you're not going to

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Speaker 3: reach people like me. We're busy when I have time

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Speaker 3: to deal with that. Alex Castianos was on Fox and

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Speaker 3: he's talking about, uh, this is about registration. Actually, no,

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Speaker 3: let me come back to that. Let me come back

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Speaker 3: to that.

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Speaker 1: This is from the New York Times.

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Speaker 3: They admit in their final poll that quote, white Democrats

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Speaker 3: were sixteen percent likelier to respond than white Republicans, adding

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Speaker 3: that quote, that's a larger disparity than our earlier polls

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Speaker 3: this year, and it's not much better than our final

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Speaker 3: polls in twenty twenty.

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Speaker 1: So what's happening.

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Speaker 3: White Democrats because this is their cult, it is their religion.

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Speaker 3: When they're called by upholster, they want to make sure

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Speaker 3: their vote is counting, whereas white Republicans go, no, I

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Speaker 3: don't trust you creeps New York Times, No, you people

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Speaker 3: are liars, you're fake news.

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Speaker 1: They note four.

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Speaker 3: Years ago, the polls were thought to underestimate mister Trump

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Speaker 3: because of non response bias, in which his supporters were

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Speaker 3: less likely to take surveys than demographically similar Biden supporters.

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Speaker 3: It's hard to measure non response bias, after all, we

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Speaker 3: couldn't reach these demographically similar voters.

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Speaker 1: But one measure I track.

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Speaker 3: From time to time is the proportion of Democrats or

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Speaker 3: Republicans who respond to a survey after considering other factors

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Speaker 3: across these final polls, and then that's where you get

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Speaker 3: the number. We don't respond to fake news. We don't

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Speaker 3: want to participate. You twist and contort. And by the way, folks,

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Speaker 3: let me tell you what's going to happen in the

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Speaker 3: coming days. There is going to be a reckoning for

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Speaker 3: these media outlets. Watch mark my words. CNN is going

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Speaker 3: to run out and try to grab some maga folks

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Speaker 3: to put on the air. Because CNN is in a

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Speaker 3: free fall. They desperately wanted to win this election, and

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Speaker 3: now now that it's over, their ratings are going to plumb.

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Speaker 2: It.

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Speaker 3: They're already down MSNBC, CNN. They're going to struggle and

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Speaker 3: they're going to try to win you back because nobody's

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Speaker 3: actually watching them on our side for anything resembling news

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Speaker 3: or commentary.

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Speaker 1: It's a grudge watch. Let's see what these idiots are

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Speaker 1: up to. All right, So.

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Speaker 3: Alex Castianos on Fox talking about how pole bolsters are

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Speaker 3: getting it wrong. Because remember when you take a poll,

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Speaker 3: if you if you interview one thousand people, you poll

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Speaker 3: a thousand people, you're supposed to poll them parallel equivalent

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Speaker 3: to what that demographic is in the registered population likely

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Speaker 3: to vote. So if you know that sixty eight percent

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Speaker 3: of voters in a particular state are going to vote

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Speaker 3: or expected to vote that are white male Republicans, then

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Speaker 3: you would you would need to pull that many people.

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Speaker 3: But when they don't pull, when the sample is not accurate,

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Speaker 3: the result is not accurate.

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Speaker 1: Here's what he said. We're talking about the Iowa Pole.

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Speaker 7: This is Des Moines Register and this poll had Harris

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Speaker 7: up Alex three points and there you see Robert F.

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Speaker 1: Kennedy Junior at three points.

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Speaker 7: And Emerson Pole came out with Trump up ten just

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Speaker 7: about a half an hour before that. Polling in the

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Speaker 7: last few days for an election, what's your thoughts on.

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Speaker 4: I'm ready to say, let's fill all the pollsters instead

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Speaker 4: of the lawyers, except my friend Mark Penn. I like

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Speaker 4: Mark Penn, I think the pollsters are getting this wrong.

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Speaker 4: We're all missing something because they're giving us the same

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Speaker 4: poll over and over again. There isn't even statistical variation.

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Speaker 4: You know, ninety five percent confidence level means that five

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Speaker 4: percent of the time you're going to get a crappy poll.

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Speaker 4: We hardly ever see that. It's like they're telling us

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Speaker 4: we're watching a basketball game, where ever he plays a

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Speaker 4: jump ball. Somebody is missing something. What I think they're

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Speaker 4: missing is a massive shift in voter registration underneath all

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Speaker 4: of this. Thirty one states have voter registration by party.

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Speaker 4: Thirty of them in the past four years have seen

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Speaker 4: movement toward Republicans. Miami Dade County is now voting more Republican.

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Speaker 4: Iowa was plus one Republican, it's now plus ten. And

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Speaker 4: yet we're getting these surveys that I think are off base.

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Speaker 4: Somewhere somebody is missing. I think there's I'm not going

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Speaker 4: to call it a wave, but I think there's a

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Speaker 4: wave lick out there of Republican enthusiasm and registration. If

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Speaker 4: I registered about Republican, whether I'm switching or new.

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Speaker 1: Ramon said, have you tried to ask? We both laughed

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Speaker 1: so hard, like a very show. It's kind of embarrassing. Actually,

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Speaker 1: he's an idiot.

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Speaker 8: Inflation has wiped out the life savings of our citizens

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Speaker 8: and forced the middle class into a state of depression

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Speaker 8: and despair.

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Speaker 2: That's what it is. It's despair and depression. We cannot

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Speaker 2: and will not let this continue. Less than four years ago,

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Speaker 2: we were a great nation, and we will soon be

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Speaker 2: a great nation again. We're going to be a great

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Speaker 2: nation again to our citizens. On day one, we will

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Speaker 2: drive down prices and make America affordable again.

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Speaker 1: We have to make it affordable. It's not affordable. People

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Speaker 1: can't live like this.

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Speaker 2: Under my plan, income as will skyrocket, inflation will vanish completely,

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Speaker 2: jobs will come roaring back, and the middle class will

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Speaker 2: prosper like never ever before. And we're going to do

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Speaker 2: it very rapidly. I will bring back the American dream.

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Speaker 1: That's what we're going to do.

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Speaker 2: You don't even hear about the American dream anymore.

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Speaker 1: With great humility, I.

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Speaker 2: Am asking you to be excited about the future of

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Speaker 2: our country.

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Speaker 1: Be excited, Be excited.

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Speaker 3: So uh, starting life as a lawyer, loving the art

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Speaker 3: of the jury trial and I have to go to

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Speaker 3: law school to have watched a lot of movies and

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Speaker 3: you know the dramatic trial and the closing argument. Well,

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Speaker 3: I was a debater growing up, and your closing statement

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Speaker 3: is where you're going to win or lose.

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Speaker 1: You're going to win or lose the case.

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Speaker 3: And I will say this, and Trump supporters don't like

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Speaker 3: me to say anything other than Trump is great. This

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Speaker 3: is a compliment. I want to be clear on that.

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Speaker 3: We're going to miss Donald Trump the candidate. But I

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Speaker 3: will tell you when I look at Donald Trump the

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Speaker 3: candidate starting June sixteenth, when he came down that escalator

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Speaker 3: in twenty fifteen, and I look at the twenty sixteen

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Speaker 3: race and a twenty twenty race, and now this race,

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Speaker 3: he has grown a great deal in certain aspects where

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Speaker 3: I don't think he was as strong as he is

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Speaker 3: in other aspects of the campaign. Or of being a campaigner.

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Speaker 3: He has grown in his ability to give a succinct

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Speaker 3: closing statement before. I think one of the things that

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Speaker 3: has made Donald Trump so popular is this very conversational

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Speaker 3: and very raw, authentic delivery. What I think people are

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Speaker 3: showing up for is the idea. I think most Americans

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Speaker 3: are of the opinion. Look, I don't care what he says.

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Speaker 3: I know what he'll do, and I think he cares

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Speaker 3: about me, and I think he loves this country and

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Speaker 3: it's a sad state of affairs that today was about.

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Speaker 3: We want our country back, and we're not ashamed to

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Speaker 3: say it anymore. But we went back. We were looking

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Speaker 3: at ways to kind of close out the show today

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Speaker 3: and Donald Trump's closing statement at the end of his

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Speaker 3: debate with Kamala Harris, let's go back to that. It

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Speaker 3: seemed like a good way to end the campaign on

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Speaker 3: election day because as of tomorrow, you won't want to

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Speaker 3: hear this stuff.

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Speaker 1: But it's really, really, really well done.

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Speaker 3: So this was the ABC debate, Remember the David Muir

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Speaker 3: and all those they gained up on him. What was

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Speaker 3: lost in all that was at the very end, he

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Speaker 3: delivered a wonderful closing statement and I wanted to give

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Speaker 3: that a little more like life today.

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Speaker 2: So she just started by saying she's going to do this,

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Speaker 2: She's going to do that, She's going to do all

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Speaker 2: these wonderful things. Why hasn't she done it. She's been

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Speaker 2: there for three and a half years. They've had three

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Speaker 2: and a half years to fix the border, they've had

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Speaker 2: three and a half years to create jobs and all

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Speaker 2: the things we talked about. Why hasn't she done it?

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Speaker 2: She should leave right now, go down to that beautiful

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Speaker 2: White House, go to the Capitol, get everyone together, and

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Speaker 2: do the things you want to do. But you haven't

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Speaker 2: done it, and you won't do it because you believe

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Speaker 2: in things that the American people don't believe in. You

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Speaker 2: believe in things like we're not going to frack, we're

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Speaker 2: not going to take fossil fuel, we're not going to

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Speaker 2: do things that are going to make this country strong,

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Speaker 2: whether you like it or not. Germany tried that and

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Speaker 2: within one year they were back to building normal energy plants.

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Speaker 2: We're not ready for it. We can't sacrifice our country

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Speaker 2: for the sake of bad vision. But I just ask

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Speaker 2: one simple que why didn't she do it? We're a

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Speaker 2: failing nation. We're a nation that's in serious decline. We're

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Speaker 2: being laughed at all over the world.

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Speaker 1: All over the.

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Speaker 2: World, they laugh. I know the leaders very well. They're

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Speaker 2: coming to see me, they call me. We're laughed at

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Speaker 2: all over the world. They don't understand what happened to

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Speaker 2: us as a nation. We're not a leader. We don't

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Speaker 2: have any idea what's going on. We have wars going

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Speaker 2: on in the Middle East, we have wars going on

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Speaker 2: with Russia and Ukraine.

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Speaker 1: We're going to end up.

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Speaker 2: In a third World War, and it'll be a war

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Speaker 2: like no other because of nuclear weapons, the power of weaponry.

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Speaker 1: I rebuilt our entire military.

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Speaker 2: She gave a lot of it away to the Taliban,

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Speaker 2: she gave it to Afghanistan. What these people have done

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Speaker 2: to our country, and maybe toughest of.

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Speaker 1: All is allowing millions of.

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Speaker 2: People to come into our country. Many of them are criminals,

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Speaker 2: and they're destroying our country. The worst president, the worst

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Speaker 2: vice president.

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Speaker 1: In the history of our runners. Today of everyone's thinking

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Speaker 1: they can actually live the American tream the Michael Berry Show.

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Speaker 3: You know, I look at elections and camp sorry campaigns.

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Speaker 3: The election is the conclusion of a campaign the elections,

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Speaker 3: where the rubber hits the road, that's that's where you

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Speaker 3: take stock. You know, you've been working up this recipe

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Speaker 3: for a while and you bring it out of the

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Speaker 3: oven and Mom says, all right, guys, taste this from me.

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Speaker 1: What do y'all think?

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Speaker 3: Well, that's good right when I look at this campaign

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Speaker 3: and how fluid campaigns are, you know, because most talk

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Speaker 3: radio listeners have very defined value systems. They're very consistent.

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Speaker 3: You've known who your candidate was all along, and you've

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Speaker 3: seen that. The crazy Democrats have known own that whoever

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Speaker 3: they were told to support, they would if it was

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Speaker 3: the old demented guy who pooped his pants, they would,

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Speaker 3: if it was this woman that's never won to vote

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Speaker 3: for president, she's never had one vote for president, not one,

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Speaker 3: not as a candidate. Then they would vote for whoever

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Speaker 3: they were told to and all the while claiming to

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Speaker 3: preserve democracy when their candidate was handpicked. I mean, it's

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Speaker 3: it's really grotesque if you think about it. It's really

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Speaker 3: distinctly un American. It is everything they claim, but that's

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Speaker 3: that's usual, right. But what tends to get lost is

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Speaker 3: there's just it's a bell curve. The people in the

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Speaker 3: middle who are now breaking for Trump across every demographic

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Speaker 3: group in massive numbers.

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Speaker 1: Today.

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Speaker 3: These people are watching and they what they saw told

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Speaker 3: them I like the direction of him. And I'm going

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Speaker 3: to tell you when we go back and do the

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Speaker 3: post mortem on this thing, we really look deeply at

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Speaker 3: where the voters have broken and we're seeing this. I

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Speaker 3: think in Pennsylvania one of the major issues was the

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Speaker 3: lack of Josh Shapiro on the ticket. I think Josh

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Speaker 3: Shapiro on the ticket or Kamala Harris could have made

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Speaker 3: this a very different election, very different election. But I

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Speaker 3: think we're going to see a lot of people who

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Speaker 3: weren't traditionally Republicans who have voted for Trump and their

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Speaker 3: other Republicans who voted for reasons like Trump coming out

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Speaker 3: and saying I'm going to put Elon Musk well Trump

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Speaker 3: bringing a musk stepping into the void and saying I

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Speaker 3: want to help Donald Trump. And you know when he

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Speaker 3: did it, when Trump was shot, that was the moment

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Speaker 3: that Elon said I'm supporting him. And I remember at

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Speaker 3: the time thinking, wow, that's pretty bold, because I'll bet

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Speaker 3: you eighty five percent of Tesla owners maybe not that high,

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Speaker 3: are Democrats, and they're not only Democrats.

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Speaker 1: They're going to be angry at him.

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Speaker 3: Over supporting Trump, and they're going to be angry at

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Speaker 3: him to the point that they're going to want to

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Speaker 3: burn his place down. They're going to be angry at him,

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Speaker 3: and they're going to want to do harm to him.

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Speaker 3: And you're seeing that they're calling for him to be deported.

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Speaker 3: I mean, it's a they're very nasty, mean, vicious people.

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Speaker 3: When Elon came out, that cleared the way for Rogan

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Speaker 3: to get.

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Speaker 1: Friendlier with him.

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Speaker 3: I mean, let's not forget Rogan was talking fondly about

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Speaker 3: Bernie Sanders.

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Speaker 1: And then Rogan, do you how many.

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Speaker 3: People remember your polls are closed now so I can

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Speaker 3: say this, how many people remember that? Trump got mad

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Speaker 3: at Rogan because he thought Rogan was endorsing another candidate

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Speaker 3: that was just a few months ago. And then last

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Speaker 3: night Rogan comes out and endorses Trump.

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Speaker 1: That was a big deal.

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Speaker 3: That may not seem like a big deal to you

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Speaker 3: because it doesn't move you, but that will move a

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Speaker 3: lot of people that are hard to get to vote

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Speaker 3: for a Republican, people that are maybe MMA bros, you know,

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Speaker 3: wrestling bros, boxing match bros.

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Speaker 1: Those people are heard.

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Speaker 3: It tends to be young white male disinterested in politics

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Speaker 3: who kind of vaguely buy into the well Republicans are

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Speaker 3: all racist and my parents are racist. Now Rogan comes

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Speaker 3: out and gives them, he makes it okay for them

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Speaker 3: to vote for Trump. I think Elon's involvement had a

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Speaker 3: lot to do with that, a lot to do with that.

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Speaker 1: So anyway, here's.

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Speaker 3: Trump talking about not just Elon's support, but bringing Elon

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Speaker 3: into the administration.

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Speaker 2: That the suggestion of Elon Musk, who has given me

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Speaker 2: his complete and total endorsement.

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Speaker 1: That's nice.

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Speaker 2: Smart guy. He knows what he's doing. He knows what

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Speaker 2: he's doing. That's very much appreciated. I will create a

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Speaker 2: Government Efficiency Commission, task with conducting a complete financial and

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Speaker 2: performance audit of the entire federal government and making recommendations

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Speaker 2: for drastic reforms we need to do. It can't go.

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Speaker 1: On the way we are now.

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Speaker 2: And Elon, because he's not very busy, has agreed to

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Speaker 2: head that task force. Interesting, if he has the time,

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Speaker 2: have a good one to do it.

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Speaker 1: I love it. I love it.

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Speaker 3: Not to mention when we're talking about this, what about

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Speaker 3: RFK Junior, don't underestimate how many people really like rfk

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Speaker 3: jor some of them are Republicans, some of whom are Democrats.

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Speaker 3: It was always a debate. I spent a lot of

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Speaker 3: time thinking about this, reading about it. Which one was

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Speaker 3: he pulling more from. But it's fascinating to me that

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Speaker 3: this guy has the pedigree, this is the most blue

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Speaker 3: blood Democrat in the country, and his make America Healthy

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Speaker 3: Again campaign, I think that resonates with a lot of people,

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Speaker 3: a lot of mommies especially. They're tired of junk being

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Speaker 3: fed to their kids, poison being fed to their kids,

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Speaker 3: poison being injected into their kids. And it kind of

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Speaker 3: part and parcel of healthy families, healthy children, healthy future.

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Speaker 3: This has come together nicely, and I think tonight, I

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Speaker 3: think through the course of this this night, and by

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Speaker 3: tomorrow morning, we're going to like where we are.

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Speaker 1: What do you think that top country, Michael Berry? We

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Speaker 1: think sweets tea.

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Speaker 8: We don't you think socialist?

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Speaker 3: You know, by tomorrow we're going to know not just well,

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Speaker 3: let me say this. I'm going to spend a lot

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Speaker 3: of time learning why people cast their vote, particularly based

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Speaker 3: on geographic areas.

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Speaker 1: But when I already know that Trump's success.

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Speaker 3: Is related to a unifying message, a very aspirational, uplifting,

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Speaker 3: soaring bit of of of language. And I'm going to

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Speaker 3: tell you, I think I'm going to go back to

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Speaker 3: the Madison Square Garden rally. The Democrats told you that

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Speaker 3: that hurt Trump. That's how you know they were scared

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Speaker 3: of it. That rally showcased a lot of talent around Trump,

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Speaker 3: and I think that's important. He talked about and he

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Speaker 3: has talked more and more openly about his relationship to

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Speaker 3: God and his personal faith. And I believe that getting

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Speaker 3: shot in the head had a lot to.

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Speaker 1: Do with that.

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Speaker 2: After all we have been through together, we stand on

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Speaker 2: the verge of the four greatest years.

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Speaker 8: In the history of the USA. With your help, from

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Speaker 8: now until election Day, we will restore America's promise. We

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Speaker 8: will put America first and we will take back the

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Speaker 8: nation that we all love.

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Speaker 1: We believe the same blood, we share the same.

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Speaker 2: Home, and we salute the same great American flag. We

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Speaker 2: are one people, one family, and one oation under God.

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Speaker 1: We will never give in. We will never give up, we.

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Speaker 2: Will never ever back down, and we will never ever

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Speaker 2: ever ever surrender.

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Speaker 8: Together, we will fight, fight, fight.

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Speaker 1: And we will win. Win, win. We're gonna win, win, win.

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Speaker 3: One of the things I've always found annoying is how

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Speaker 3: in sports, when a team wins or loses, Super Bowl,

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Speaker 3: World Series, whatever it is, before the game is even over,

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Speaker 3: fans start talking about what kind of team are we

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Speaker 3: gonna have next year?

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Speaker 1: And my point is, enjoy this moment for a moment, but.

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Speaker 3: This will immediately begin for the people for whom politics

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Speaker 3: is sport, and they will immediately begin the discussion about

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Speaker 3: who our candidates should be and who the leaders should be.

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Speaker 3: And there will always be an outsized discussion of who's

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Speaker 3: already there, because that's the table that's been set.

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Speaker 1: There will be a lot to talk about jd Vance.

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Speaker 3: Obviously, there'll be a lot to talk about Nicki Hailary

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Speaker 3: because the Hillary of the Republican Party, which is why

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Speaker 3: we call her Nicki Hailary, is out there and because

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Speaker 3: she ran before. But there will be other candidates who

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Speaker 3: will arise, much as jd Vance did once tapped by

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Speaker 3: Donald Trump. But what we will learn from this campaign

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Speaker 3: how Republicans can win, How Republicans can win voters who

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Speaker 3: don't see themselves as Republicans, whether they be independent or

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Speaker 3: full blown Democrats. As happened is you've got to you've

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Speaker 3: got to connect with people in a way that is inclusive. Ramon,

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Speaker 3: This is going to be clip number five oh three.

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Speaker 3: This is also from the Madison Square Garden rally, because

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Speaker 3: I want it to be understood what Trump did and

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Speaker 3: why this is important. So Jews and.

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Speaker 2: Muslims, and Catholics and Evangelicals, Mormons, and they're all joining

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Speaker 2: our course and large numbers larger than anyone has ever

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Speaker 2: seen in this country before, larger than they've ever seen

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Speaker 2: in any country. And the Republican Party has really become

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Speaker 2: the party of inclusion.

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Speaker 1: And that's something very nice about that.

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Speaker 3: Now, what is interesting is one of the unifying issues

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Speaker 3: in this election.

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Speaker 1: Believe it or not.

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Speaker 3: The Democrats will tell you that this is divisive and mean,

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Speaker 3: but it's not. Blacks and whites and Hispanics alike understand

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Speaker 3: that there is a mass invasion into this country that

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Speaker 3: is killing our people and that we cannot afford. And

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Speaker 3: Trump is a man that stays on message.

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Speaker 1: Today, I make you this promise.

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Speaker 8: I will liberate Wisconsin, in our entire nation from this

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Speaker 8: mass migration invasion of murders, child predators, drug dealers, gang members.

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Speaker 5: And thugs are going to be liberated to deliberate.

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Speaker 3: And we closed the show with a message of hope

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Speaker 3: by our leader. And we chose this one last because

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Speaker 3: I think this has been a positive campaign and a

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Speaker 3: positive direction for our country, and I'm proud to have

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Speaker 3: supported it alongside you, good folks.

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Speaker 2: I'm here today with a message.

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Speaker 1: Of hope for all Americans.

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Speaker 8: With your vote in this election, I will end inflation,

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Speaker 8: I will stop the invasion, and I will bring back

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Speaker 8: the American dream. Our country is being crippled and destroyed

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Speaker 8: by Kamala.

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Speaker 2: Harris Kamala.

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Speaker 1: How the hell did that ever? How did that ever happen?

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Speaker 8: The guy had fourteen million votes.

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Speaker 2: I'm no fan of his, by the way, but he

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Speaker 2: had fourteen million votes.

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Speaker 1: He had none.

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Speaker 8: She was the first to lose twenty two people. She

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Speaker 8: was the first out.

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Speaker 2: She never made it to the great state of Iowa,

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Speaker 2: never made it.

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Speaker 8: And well, you know, they talk about it.

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Speaker 2: She is a threat to democracy, Hoby, that's trelier.

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Speaker 8: She's a threat to a lot of things. But that's

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Speaker 8: the way it has to be. Because we're winning by

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Speaker 8: a lot, We're leading by a lot, We're leading in.

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Speaker 2: The polls, every single state looks like we're going you.

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Speaker 8: And with your supporter, of November fifth, America will be bigger, better, bolder, richer, safer,

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Speaker 8: and stronger than ever before. This election is a choice

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Speaker 8: between whether we will have a four I think of

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Speaker 8: this four more years.

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Speaker 1: Could you stand it? Four more years of incompetence and

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Speaker 1: stupidity and fail.

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Speaker 8: You're in disaster, Or whether we will begin the four

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Speaker 8: greatest years.

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Speaker 1: In the history of our country. I think we have

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Speaker 1: a real chair