1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,720 Speaker 1: Let's get to UH. The COP twenty seven. We have 2 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: a deal now that it included a historic provision to 3 00:00:06,000 --> 00:00:08,880 Speaker 1: set up a fund to help some of the poorer countries, 4 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:13,039 Speaker 1: those countries especially that faced harm or are facing harm 5 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: as a result of a changing climate. Going to take 6 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: a close to look now with our guest Nikita sen Gal, 7 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: who is cohead of a Sustainable Investment and e s 8 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:25,639 Speaker 1: G at Lazard Asset Management. She joins us here in 9 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 1: New York in our studios. Nikita, thank you for being 10 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: with us. Just give me your takeaway when you look 11 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,520 Speaker 1: at the news that's trickling out of Egypt, the wrap 12 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:37,560 Speaker 1: up of COP twenty seven. Should we take heart in 13 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 1: a lot of this? Is there an accomplishment that we 14 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 1: should feel good about? Thanks for having me, Doug. Many 15 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 1: are calling this the biggest win on climate since the 16 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:51,880 Speaker 1: Paris Accord, which was in UH and this is primarily, 17 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 1: as you said, because of the new funding agreement on 18 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: loss and damage. Um. I think it is a huge 19 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: demonstration of solidarity in agreement from so many nations around 20 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 1: the world to help developing countries that are perhaps going 21 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 1: to face some of the largest physical impacts of climate 22 00:01:08,520 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 1: change in the coming decades, and we're starting to see 23 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 1: that already, But I do think that there are many 24 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:17,320 Speaker 1: unknown still. Where will this money come from, what are 25 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:20,479 Speaker 1: the trigger points that are going to result in these payments? Uh? 26 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:23,559 Speaker 1: And then will it even be enough? Um? I would 27 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 1: actually like to point us to four seminal events leading 28 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: up to COP that I arguably are as important, if 29 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 1: not more important, than the COP decision itself. UM. So 30 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: the Inflation Reduction Act that I'm sure you've talked about, 31 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 1: arguably the largest climate policy coming out of the US 32 00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:42,960 Speaker 1: in its history. Uh, the euse energy policy response to 33 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: the Russia Ukraine conflict, Australia's landmark climate bill um. And 34 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: lastly the election of President Lula in Brazil that might 35 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 1: significantly impact the fate of the Amazon rainforest. So, Nikita, 36 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: how much is being done by individual countries as opposed 37 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 1: to know COP twenty seven mandates? Richelle, I think a 38 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,959 Speaker 1: lot of this is a combination of a few different factors. 39 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 1: There is the personal desire to contribute and mitigate climate 40 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:15,960 Speaker 1: change because it is a global issue, it is not 41 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 1: a regional issue. But a lot of it is also 42 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: the opportunity for countries to emerge as leaders in an 43 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 1: energy transition. And you know, a really good case in 44 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:29,919 Speaker 1: point is China. China is responsible for over thirty percent 45 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,799 Speaker 1: of emissions in the globe today, but when you look 46 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 1: at cumulative emissions, it is still behind the U, S 47 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: and the EU. And a lot of the discussion at 48 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 1: COP twenty seven was about this idea of cumulative culpability, 49 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: i e. What should each country's fair share of de 50 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:50,239 Speaker 1: carbonization be and for a country like China or individual 51 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 1: countries around the world, the questions that we are asking 52 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: as investors, so as as active fundamental investors at LAZARD, 53 00:02:57,200 --> 00:02:59,959 Speaker 1: we're not positioned to ask or to think about what's 54 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 1: right or wrong or what might be the right level 55 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:07,359 Speaker 1: of responsibility. Um Our fiduciary responsibility is to think about 56 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:11,360 Speaker 1: how will China respond to this pressure to decarbonize, or 57 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 1: not just China, any of the countries that were the 58 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: UM that part took in the in the copy. Will 59 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:21,520 Speaker 1: it come with certain trade offs to socioeconomic development? And 60 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:23,680 Speaker 1: it's a good point for a country like China, it's 61 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 1: I mean, it's inextricably linked to rise in emissions. And lastly, 62 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:31,359 Speaker 1: but perhaps most importantly, how will these countries compete on 63 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:34,120 Speaker 1: the global stage when it comes to the energy transition 64 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: and the Inflation Reduction Act as an example of where 65 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 1: the U. S has come in and said we're here 66 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 1: to compete. So so much of the conversation has centered 67 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 1: around kind of reducing carbon admissions in the new technologies, 68 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 1: whether it's wind, whether it's solar, that you can put 69 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: in place to kind of cover um what had previously 70 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 1: been a polluting industry. I'm thinking of coal as a 71 00:03:57,320 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: way of generating electricity. How much of the conversation, though, 72 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: if any of it, centers on capturing emissions that are 73 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 1: already out there technologies that can be used to carbon 74 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 1: sequestration that type of stuff. Is this top of mind 75 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:15,680 Speaker 1: for people in your industry? Are you more focused on 76 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:20,159 Speaker 1: alternative sources of energy? I think, unfortunately the answer today 77 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:22,839 Speaker 1: is we need any and all solutions, and so it 78 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 1: is top of mind UM of industry and also inevitably 79 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 1: then of Wall Street and the financial markets UM. And 80 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 1: a really good example, I think Doug Ear has been 81 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 1: the Ukraine Russia conflict because it's revealed, uh, the inherent 82 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:40,520 Speaker 1: challenges and the complexity of the energy transition. So fossil 83 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 1: fields are pervasive in our lives. It goes into everything 84 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 1: from you know, the plastic in our toothbrush to the 85 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 1: agricultural equipment that helps grow the grains that you and 86 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 1: I eat. Um. And so with the Russia Ukraine situation, 87 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 1: energy security has risen to the top, just as we 88 00:04:56,920 --> 00:05:00,280 Speaker 1: think about energy transition. But you're talking about hydrocarbons now, right, 89 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:02,839 Speaker 1: that's right, and I think there and and it is. 90 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,240 Speaker 1: We're not in a position today where we can rid 91 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 1: ourselves of this dependence on fossil fields. And there are 92 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 1: technologies today like renewable energy that can help abate emissions 93 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: to some extent, but we have to also start thinking 94 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:19,200 Speaker 1: about solutions to just remove the carbon from the atmosphere. 95 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:22,480 Speaker 1: And you see provisions for that in the Inflation Reduction 96 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:24,839 Speaker 1: Act that just came out of the US, which is 97 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:28,039 Speaker 1: already starting to have impact on valuations of companies and 98 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 1: m and A activity because companies that are involved in 99 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:33,839 Speaker 1: carbon capture and storage are starting to become you know, 100 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 1: interesting attractive opportunities. There is one point five degrees actually realistic. 101 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 1: Now we've gone to fine do we have a plan 102 00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 1: being or even a plan c So Richard that I 103 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 1: will say that there are many experts on climate science 104 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 1: who and physicists who are now saying that it is 105 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 1: almost impossible to reach a one point five degrees But 106 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: I do think as as investors, again, our job is 107 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:01,640 Speaker 1: not so much to a pine on what what should happen, 108 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 1: but it's more what is likely to happen. And what 109 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,040 Speaker 1: has happened is with net zero or one point five 110 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 1: degrees gold, there has been this coalescing force of policy 111 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 1: and investment in technology and even shifts in consumer behavior 112 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: that is starting to impact the financial productivity of companies 113 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:22,159 Speaker 1: and their valuations and start that is really exciting for 114 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:25,360 Speaker 1: us as investors and therefore still pertinent to us, even 115 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:28,040 Speaker 1: though we may never reach a one point five degree scenario. 116 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 1: So are you gonna expect a lot more in the 117 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:34,239 Speaker 1: way of evolution in terms of the financial architecture behind 118 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 1: a lot of the technologies that you're describing, could you clarify, well, 119 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:42,040 Speaker 1: just more advancement in the way that funding can reach 120 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:47,039 Speaker 1: these companies or situations where you know you have a 121 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 1: solution that you want to bring to market, maybe that 122 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 1: hasn't been thought of, something that that that is maybe 123 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:53,839 Speaker 1: at the cutting edge. Is there going to be a 124 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 1: way for companies startups to access funding more easily. I 125 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: do think. I think that the Department of Energy has 126 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 1: a fantastic loan program that is doing a ton of 127 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:08,039 Speaker 1: work there. There's also significant amount of fun flows into 128 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 1: venture capital in the energy technology and clean technology space 129 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 1: in particular. But I do want to make a broader 130 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:17,360 Speaker 1: point where we often think about clean tech as you 131 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 1: know your wind turbines, and you think of a typical 132 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:22,840 Speaker 1: company like a vest Us or a Siemens Go Mesa. 133 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 1: If you think more broadly, if you're looking at just 134 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 1: pure play companies um renewable energy electric vehicles, they're about 135 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 1: three to five percent of the AQUI index, but look 136 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,160 Speaker 1: at the supply chains and you're looking at more than 137 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 1: a quarter of the MSc I AQUI Index. So the 138 00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 1: implications are broad. Nikita Sengal from Lazard Asset Management, thank 139 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:45,680 Speaker 1: you so much for being with us here on day 140 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: Break Asia. This is Bloomberg