1
00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,360
Speaker 1: Happy Friday, everybody. Welcome in to another episode of the

2
00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:18,800
Speaker 1: Dial Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk.

3
00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:22,480
Speaker 1: Matt to follow me on social media. This podcast being

4
00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:24,960
Speaker 1: brought to you by Omaha Steaks Juice. The promo code

5
00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,680
Speaker 1: in the search bar gets you thirty dollars off the

6
00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,000
Speaker 1: already fifty percent off going on right now. They are

7
00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:34,440
Speaker 1: semiannual sale going on with Oma Steaks dot Com, fifty

8
00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,440
Speaker 1: percent off site wide at omasteaks dot Com. All right,

9
00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:41,760
Speaker 1: that is our sixth straight one unit bet to come

10
00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:44,320
Speaker 1: in for the NFL. So we are right back to

11
00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:52,200
Speaker 1: square one fourteen and fourteen for the NFL. Now that's

12
00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:55,040
Speaker 1: still down because of the Juice. So we are down

13
00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:59,720
Speaker 1: point four for the Juice. The prop is prop's now

14
00:00:59,720 --> 00:01:02,360
Speaker 1: for teen in thirteen. We're still down a touch there,

15
00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:04,880
Speaker 1: about a half unit down there. So we're still down,

16
00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:08,240
Speaker 1: you know, almost a unit in the NFL. But with

17
00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:12,000
Speaker 1: college nearly ten units up. We're doing pretty well here

18
00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,280
Speaker 1: with college football and that keeps us. You know, we're

19
00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,400
Speaker 1: up about ten units overall now, so we've recovered from

20
00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:20,160
Speaker 1: the poor start with the NFL. We're now back to

21
00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:22,200
Speaker 1: square one, so we'll pick that back up again, coming

22
00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:24,959
Speaker 1: up on Sunday to see what happens for us here

23
00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:31,360
Speaker 1: with that Tonight. It's Friday. There's no baseball, there's no basketball.

24
00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:36,200
Speaker 1: There are two college football games, and I am not

25
00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,640
Speaker 1: in love with any of them. I've got two bets

26
00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:41,960
Speaker 1: for us today on one game, but I don't love

27
00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:46,240
Speaker 1: the plays, and I am gonna be honest, like I

28
00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:49,000
Speaker 1: think they're the right side. I have bet them. I'm

29
00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:51,360
Speaker 1: not jumping up and down going like, yeah, we're on

30
00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:55,640
Speaker 1: the right side. And I'm not even totally completely comfortable

31
00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:57,760
Speaker 1: with my card yet for Saturday. Like you say, Matt,

32
00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:00,360
Speaker 1: why to give up the place for Saturday? I don't

33
00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:03,880
Speaker 1: know yet. I mean, like, I think I'm gonna bet

34
00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:07,920
Speaker 1: Texas minus five, but I don't know yet. I think

35
00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:12,360
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet Alabama minus one, but I don't know yet.

36
00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:19,119
Speaker 1: I think I'm going to take Arizona State plus four

37
00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,920
Speaker 1: and a half plus five, but I don't know yet.

38
00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:26,600
Speaker 1: So like, I don't want to give plays out early

39
00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:29,680
Speaker 1: when I'm not entirely comfortable or I haven't really settled

40
00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:33,520
Speaker 1: yet on what I'm gonna play. So Saturday's podcast will

41
00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:36,320
Speaker 1: have four or five plays like normal, But I'm not

42
00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:39,960
Speaker 1: totally comfortable yet firing. I like firing overnight, I will

43
00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:43,040
Speaker 1: admit that, but I don't necessarily like firing really early.

44
00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:45,560
Speaker 1: I want to watch and see what the pros do

45
00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:50,200
Speaker 1: where the numbers go, because frankly, it feels like everyone's

46
00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:53,200
Speaker 1: betting the over in red River. But like if it

47
00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:56,040
Speaker 1: gets to sixty three, I don't know, I may have

48
00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:58,639
Speaker 1: to bet under just almost online. I'm like principal bet

49
00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:01,040
Speaker 1: under just because like sixty three points, I think Texas

50
00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:03,000
Speaker 1: wins the game. I feel more way more comfortable with

51
00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:06,000
Speaker 1: Texas winning the game, and then you know, covering five

52
00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:08,440
Speaker 1: six points. I don't think Oklahoma's got a defense. Everyone's

53
00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,280
Speaker 1: saying Oklahoma's defense, like who have they played? I mean,

54
00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:15,440
Speaker 1: Alabama on the road is a massive win for Texas.

55
00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:19,399
Speaker 1: I'll take Texas's schedule over Oklahoma's every day of the week.

56
00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:22,239
Speaker 1: And Iowa State moved the ball on Oklahoma last week,

57
00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:24,919
Speaker 1: like we talked about. So, I don't know. I got

58
00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:27,000
Speaker 1: to keep going. I got to figure out, talk to

59
00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:29,960
Speaker 1: more people, do some more research, dig a little more

60
00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:32,200
Speaker 1: deeper into where we are with I mean, I could flip.

61
00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:34,240
Speaker 1: I gotta take Oklahoma. I don't know. I got to

62
00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:38,400
Speaker 1: figure that out. So two plays for us here, both

63
00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:43,120
Speaker 1: in one game. Nebraska at Illinois. This game is going

64
00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:49,440
Speaker 1: to stink. Remember Nebraska at Minnesota. Remember that game. I'm

65
00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,520
Speaker 1: pretty confident this game is going to be a replay

66
00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:57,000
Speaker 1: of that game. So Nebraska is three and two to

67
00:03:57,080 --> 00:04:01,560
Speaker 1: the over on the year, but they went over against

68
00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:04,240
Speaker 1: or sorry three and two to the under, rather three

69
00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:05,880
Speaker 1: and two to the under on the year. The two

70
00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:09,280
Speaker 1: times it went over, once against Northern Illinois bad team

71
00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:12,440
Speaker 1: and then they got killed against Michigan at home last week.

72
00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:17,160
Speaker 1: Game went over for Illinois. They're also three and two

73
00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:21,279
Speaker 1: to the under this year. Illinois, sorry, Illinois got killed

74
00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:24,080
Speaker 1: by Purdue that game went over, and they went over

75
00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:28,440
Speaker 1: against Toledo bad team. These are mirror images of each other.

76
00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:32,359
Speaker 1: They both have quarterback problems, they both have defense problems.

77
00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:36,160
Speaker 1: Defensive problems, but their offenses are so anemic that these

78
00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:40,279
Speaker 1: defenses are gonna look good tonight. I think Nebraska is

79
00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:42,799
Speaker 1: two and oh to the under on the road this year.

80
00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:47,200
Speaker 1: The total is forty three. I just do not think

81
00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:50,400
Speaker 1: these teams have offenses that can score. I don't think

82
00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:52,039
Speaker 1: these are teams are going to go up and down

83
00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,919
Speaker 1: on each other Illinois's defense is bad, I know. But

84
00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:59,120
Speaker 1: Nebraska's offense, no matter which quarterback plays tonight for Matt

85
00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:03,440
Speaker 1: Ruhle under forty three, under forty three, one point one

86
00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:08,440
Speaker 1: units down on Nebraska at Illinois. Now on the other side,

87
00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:11,039
Speaker 1: I do have a bet on the side, and you

88
00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,520
Speaker 1: can even same game tease this if you want. But

89
00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:18,680
Speaker 1: Nebraska's scoring eighteen points a game, eighteen point eight. It's

90
00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,880
Speaker 1: outside the top one hundred. But Illinois is giving up

91
00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:27,000
Speaker 1: thirty point six points per game. That is disgusting, ninetieth

92
00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:31,360
Speaker 1: eighty ninth in the country. Illinois's scoring twenty one point

93
00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:34,400
Speaker 1: six points per game. Nebraska's defense just twenty three point

94
00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:38,719
Speaker 1: eight yards per play four point six. It's not bad.

95
00:05:39,160 --> 00:05:41,719
Speaker 1: This is by far the best defense Illinois will have

96
00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:44,680
Speaker 1: faced so far this season, at least done paper five

97
00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,960
Speaker 1: point five yards per play for Illinois. Nebraska's tough to

98
00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,360
Speaker 1: run on two point nine yards per rush eleventh best

99
00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:55,279
Speaker 1: in the country, and that's after facing Michigan four point

100
00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:58,080
Speaker 1: three yards per rush for Illinois. You can throw on

101
00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:00,760
Speaker 1: Nebraska at times, but Illinois not great at throwing the

102
00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:03,359
Speaker 1: football anyway. Seven point four yards per pass play to

103
00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:06,800
Speaker 1: six point three yards per pass play for Nebraska. On

104
00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:10,320
Speaker 1: the other side, Nebraska's offense five point five yards per

105
00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,560
Speaker 1: rush pretty good when they can have time, but it's

106
00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:14,320
Speaker 1: you know, they can run the ball. In Illinois, they're

107
00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:16,960
Speaker 1: four point six yards per rush. That's ninety fifth and

108
00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:19,640
Speaker 1: six point seven yards per pass play is forty first.

109
00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:22,039
Speaker 1: I mean to take a look at what they do

110
00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:25,320
Speaker 1: in the red zone. Take a look at takeaways for Illinois,

111
00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:27,360
Speaker 1: they tend to take the ball away a little bit more,

112
00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:32,599
Speaker 1: but not a ton. Here, both teams can give the

113
00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:38,880
Speaker 1: ball away. Red zone offense for Nebraska has not been great.

114
00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:41,920
Speaker 1: It's been okay, ninety percent scoring in the red zone.

115
00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:47,719
Speaker 1: That's not good. One hundred red zone opposing scoring percentage

116
00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:50,400
Speaker 1: one hundred percent of the time teams that have gone

117
00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:54,960
Speaker 1: in to the red zone have scored points on Illinois,

118
00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:58,200
Speaker 1: just FYI on that. Nebraska as well, though, has been

119
00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:01,440
Speaker 1: giving up that same thing. Illinois scored on every single

120
00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:03,880
Speaker 1: trip to the red zone that they've been there, one

121
00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:05,960
Speaker 1: hundred percent of the time. They just don't get there

122
00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:08,920
Speaker 1: very often. They're just not very a team that you're

123
00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:10,760
Speaker 1: going like, oh, okay, yeah, they can score a lot

124
00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:13,200
Speaker 1: of points. I mean, you look at the points scored

125
00:07:13,280 --> 00:07:18,160
Speaker 1: so far for Illinois nineteen seventeen, thirteen, twenty three and

126
00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:23,600
Speaker 1: twenty eight for Nebraska seven, twenty eight, thirty five against

127
00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:29,040
Speaker 1: Northern Illinois fourteen and thirteen. This is a thirteen to

128
00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:32,160
Speaker 1: ten game. I'll take the hook with Nebraska at plus

129
00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:35,880
Speaker 1: three and a half. I'll take the under forty three. Okay,

130
00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:39,440
Speaker 1: three point margin one way or the other Huskers very

131
00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:42,000
Speaker 1: well might win the game. Outright. I'll take the dog

132
00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:45,480
Speaker 1: in this situation. Dog in under, take favorite in the over.

133
00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:48,440
Speaker 1: Go right ahead. You want to do a teaser, go ahead,

134
00:07:48,520 --> 00:07:51,000
Speaker 1: I don't tease college. You want to tease that. Go ahead.

135
00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:53,120
Speaker 1: Take Nebraska up to nine and a half, take the

136
00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:55,600
Speaker 1: total from forty three up to fifty, and take under.

137
00:07:55,760 --> 00:08:00,360
Speaker 1: Don't mind that, Okay, it's just what it is. Good night.

138
00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:02,960
Speaker 1: Last night we won one point four to six units here.

139
00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:06,880
Speaker 1: This is a really bad day. I can't even like

140
00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:09,559
Speaker 1: search to find things to bet. This is rare because

141
00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:14,240
Speaker 1: tomorrow is stupid. So I'm gonna bet two units today

142
00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,200
Speaker 1: and then be pretty heavily committed to college football and

143
00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:20,720
Speaker 1: maybe even a baseball player too coming up tomorrow, So

144
00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,600
Speaker 1: we could have five six units easy in play coming

145
00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:26,160
Speaker 1: up tomorrow, so I'm gonna go light on Friday, will

146
00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:30,160
Speaker 1: be heavy on Saturday, heavy on Sunday. We're currently down

147
00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:32,040
Speaker 1: one unit in a less than half a unit for

148
00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:34,040
Speaker 1: the week we came into last night. I misspoke on

149
00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,880
Speaker 1: the podcast yesterday. I said we were down three units.

150
00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:39,000
Speaker 1: We were just down two. Now we're down to winning

151
00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:41,240
Speaker 1: one point four to six. We're down basically five point

152
00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:43,440
Speaker 1: five units for the week. So we are right there

153
00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:45,320
Speaker 1: and striking this to have another winning week, to go

154
00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:48,079
Speaker 1: back to back on winning weeks. So I don't want

155
00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:50,320
Speaker 1: to blow it here with, you know, forcing a bet

156
00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:52,400
Speaker 1: on the Oklahoma State game. I have no idea. The

157
00:08:52,440 --> 00:08:54,439
Speaker 1: lines eleven and a half, the total fifty three and

158
00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:57,720
Speaker 1: a half. Oklahoma State stinks, but Case State's not very

159
00:08:57,720 --> 00:08:59,680
Speaker 1: good either. I don't want to make of that game.

160
00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:01,360
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm serious, you gonna be a case for

161
00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:04,199
Speaker 1: both sides. I just feel more confident with the Nebraska

162
00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,240
Speaker 1: Illinois game because I've seen more of Nebraska, and I've

163
00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:09,360
Speaker 1: seen more of Illinois. Two bets two point two units

164
00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:12,760
Speaker 1: in play Nebraska plus three and a half under forty

165
00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:15,240
Speaker 1: three tonight. You can watch one game here on our

166
00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:17,320
Speaker 1: Friday nights and We've got two bets going on it.

167
00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:20,880
Speaker 1: Do what you want with it. I'm not selling this hard, Okay.

168
00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:23,400
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna tell you right now. I'm not standing

169
00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:25,160
Speaker 1: on a table for either one of these bets. But

170
00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:27,800
Speaker 1: the bets have been made. Those are the sides I

171
00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,520
Speaker 1: am on for this one. Nebraska plus three and a

172
00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:34,800
Speaker 1: half under forty three here tonight, two point two units

173
00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:36,600
Speaker 1: in play mine as Matt parat do. You guys can

174
00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:39,360
Speaker 1: follow me across all socials at Sports Talk. Matt's big

175
00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:42,480
Speaker 1: weekend coming Daily Juice podcast being brought to you by

176
00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:57,280
Speaker 1: Omaha stakes dot Com