WEBVTT - Luigi Mangione, the Rise of Bluesky, and High-Stakes Chokes

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<v Speaker 1>Pushkin. Just a quick note that will be off for

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<v Speaker 1>the holidays next week. Have a wonderful new year and

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<v Speaker 1>we will see you in January. Welcome back to Risky Business,

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<v Speaker 1>a show about making better decisions. I'm Maria Kanakova and.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Nate Silver. Today we'll talk about a man who

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<v Speaker 2>allegedly made a very poor decision to murder a healthcare CEO.

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<v Speaker 2>That is, of course, Luigi Vangionese.

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<v Speaker 1>And after that we're going to talk about blue Sky

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<v Speaker 1>social media echo chambers and how that all ties into

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<v Speaker 1>the types of phenomenon that we're witnessing like Luigi Maggione.

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<v Speaker 1>And after that we are going to talk about chess

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<v Speaker 1>and choking under pressure and the importance of mental game.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's get into.

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<v Speaker 2>Maria. I want you to have the first word on

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<v Speaker 2>Luigi because I want to kind of try to get

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<v Speaker 2>in his I know we're not supposed to do this right,

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<v Speaker 2>but like you're the psychologist, I want to kind of

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<v Speaker 2>get your basic take on kind of what kind of

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<v Speaker 2>headspace that he was in.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so a lot of people have been supportive of him,

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<v Speaker 1>and I've said, you know, it's it's incredibly understandable. The

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<v Speaker 1>guys in pain, and so he does something about it.

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<v Speaker 1>And I have a few things to say to that.

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<v Speaker 1>First of all, like, we don't actually know what the

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<v Speaker 1>causes are, right, We do know he had back surgery.

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<v Speaker 1>We know it was covered by insurance, by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>so he did not have insurance problems in that sense.

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<v Speaker 1>And back pain is awful. Back pain is horrible. But

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<v Speaker 1>how many people in the world suffer from back pain

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<v Speaker 1>and some debilitating back pain? And some people can't even

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<v Speaker 1>have the surgery because it's not covered for them. And

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<v Speaker 1>some people live in countries where the surgery isn't even available,

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<v Speaker 1>or in countries where surgery is awful and the surgery

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<v Speaker 1>would be botched, maybe in even greater pain after that.

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<v Speaker 1>And out of those people, how many then decide, you

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<v Speaker 1>know what, I Am going to go and kill the

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<v Speaker 1>CEO of a healthcare company. That is not a normal reaction.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that. I think that psychologically speaking, like there's

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<v Speaker 1>something deeply fucked up about that being your response. And

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<v Speaker 1>there's also something deeply fucked up about a society that

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<v Speaker 1>looks at it and says, yeah, I get it, that's

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<v Speaker 1>really cool. And you know, those types of violent tendencies

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<v Speaker 1>have happened in the past, and there's been a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of scholarship on how you know we're getting better, right,

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<v Speaker 1>Stephen Pinker wrote a big book about it better, Angels

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<v Speaker 1>of Our Nature, about how violence has gone down over

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<v Speaker 1>the years, over the centuries in society, and how you

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<v Speaker 1>know we have society and rule and governments for a reason, right,

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<v Speaker 1>we have the legal system. And yes, sometimes you feel

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<v Speaker 1>like everything's against you. But the correct quote unquote correct response,

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<v Speaker 1>the moral response, the psychologically normal response, isn't to say,

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<v Speaker 1>let me get you know, a ghost gun with a

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<v Speaker 1>silencer and go and kill someone in cold blood allegedly.

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<v Speaker 1>And and I think that that you know that that

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<v Speaker 1>is in the psychological literature we call that profoundly fucked up.

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<v Speaker 1>That is not that is not a normal response. And

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<v Speaker 1>so I think, obviously he has major issues, and you

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<v Speaker 1>know that's that's a problem. And there are lots of

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<v Speaker 1>people who have major psychological issues. But the other psychological

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<v Speaker 1>problem is in society lionizing this and glorifying it. And

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, let me just like caveat this by saying,

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<v Speaker 1>I believe in universal healthcare. I think that they are

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<v Speaker 1>horrible problems with the healthcare system in the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>I think no one should be denied coverage, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think this should be a fundamental human right. So like,

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<v Speaker 1>let's just put that aside. But the answer to that

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<v Speaker 1>isn't you know, let's go out and shoot people. And

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<v Speaker 1>the first thing I thought about, and I'm not the

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<v Speaker 1>only one, is like the French Revolution, right, and when

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<v Speaker 1>people were like, yeah, justifiable, let's go behead some people.

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<v Speaker 1>You know what happened to those executioners who did the beheadings.

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<v Speaker 1>They got beheaded, right. They also died after in the

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<v Speaker 1>in the counter revolution, the Thermadorian reaction. So you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of historical precedent that says that this

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<v Speaker 1>ain't you know, yeah, sure society might change eventually, but

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<v Speaker 1>this ain't the way to go about it. And there

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<v Speaker 1>are I think we've advanced past that, and I hope

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<v Speaker 1>we keep advancing past that rather than regressing. And I

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<v Speaker 1>see a lot of signs of regression right now.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, if you look at the number of deaths and

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<v Speaker 2>armed conflict around the world, it kind of bottomed out

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<v Speaker 2>in the early two thousands and that has since risen.

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<v Speaker 2>There's actually a lot of people dying in Ukraine, for example,

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<v Speaker 2>there are interstate and interrustate conflicts in Africa. Yeah, I

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<v Speaker 2>don't know. I think people are not necessarily internally all

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<v Speaker 2>that much more civilized than they than they ever were.

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<v Speaker 2>And you know, the fact that you can have this

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<v Speaker 2>bountiful life in different ways, and the fact that you

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<v Speaker 2>have like a legal system, and the fact that you

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<v Speaker 2>have kind of diplomatic ways of resolving conflicts like the

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<v Speaker 2>courts or whatever else, or a negotiation of some kind

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<v Speaker 2>like that goes a long way, you know. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>this is clearly a guy who is quite smart. He

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<v Speaker 2>was valedictorian of his high school class. He went to

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<v Speaker 2>University of Penn. He read pretty widely. Clearly a guy

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<v Speaker 2>who is capable of profound rationalization for extremely violent behavior.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, the timeline he gave only makes a certain

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<v Speaker 2>amount of sense right where where he actually was like

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<v Speaker 2>texting friends that Hey, actually the surgery worked out pretty

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<v Speaker 2>well and I'm back to being able to do some

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<v Speaker 2>of the things used to be able to do. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>people have inferred that, you know, he's at the age

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<v Speaker 2>what's he twenty six, twenty seven, he's at the age

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<v Speaker 2>where if you have signs of schizophrenia. Yeah, then that

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<v Speaker 2>tends to be an inflection point for schizophrenia. He had

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<v Speaker 2>also experimented with psychedelic drugs, which which I have no

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<v Speaker 2>problem with people doing, but tends to be a bad

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<v Speaker 2>idea for people with schizophrenia.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, we know that they're a trigger. By the way,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of research on this. So if you

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<v Speaker 1>have a tendency towards schizophrenia, and you know, if you

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<v Speaker 1>have that genetic predisposition, psychedelics and there are other drugs,

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<v Speaker 1>but psychedelics are especially a trigger for it. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>something that can actually precipitate the psychotic rank. Please continue it.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, I also don't think the critique of the

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<v Speaker 2>healthcare system is particularly good, right, I mean, the problem

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<v Speaker 2>is that so the US spends a lot more on

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<v Speaker 2>healthcare relative to the quality of outcomes we have than

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<v Speaker 2>other westernized, industrialized countries. You know, the reasons for those

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<v Speaker 2>are much debated. Part of it has to do with

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of kind of profit built in for pharmaceutical

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<v Speaker 2>companies that develop actually very effective drugs like we saw

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<v Speaker 2>in Covid or whatnot. But you know, for whatever reason,

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<v Speaker 2>it tends to be subsidized by American taxpayers a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit more some it's because of incentives, right, if you're

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<v Speaker 2>not kind of paying out of pocket for things, and

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<v Speaker 2>you might consume more care than you want. And some

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<v Speaker 2>very small number of people consume a very high percentage

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<v Speaker 2>of resources in the healthcare system, some of whom are

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<v Speaker 2>in really bad shape and deserve it, but some of

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<v Speaker 2>them just kind of are, you know, consuming healthcare goods.

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<v Speaker 2>It's like a luxury good and things like that. And so,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, it is the job of insurers to like

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<v Speaker 2>track down fraudulent payments or track down procedures that they

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<v Speaker 2>be medically unnecessary. But like if you don't, if your

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<v Speaker 2>critque is the cost of health care, then you shouldn't

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<v Speaker 2>be complaining necessarily about the insurance companies that have a

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<v Speaker 2>relatively modest profit margin. Here, I'm a neoliberal capitalist. I

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<v Speaker 2>suppose I do think the healthcare system is fucked up.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure that I think, you know, socialized medicine

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<v Speaker 2>is a good idea. I think it wouldn't be politically viable,

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<v Speaker 2>among other things. But I you know, this is not

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<v Speaker 2>like a very mature I would say, critique of what

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<v Speaker 2>the causes of the pain points in the healthcare system are,

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<v Speaker 2>I would say despite being a smart eye overall, and

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<v Speaker 2>that probably fits a pattern. By the way, Also, a

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<v Speaker 2>guy who like is a little bit in kind of

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<v Speaker 2>what we call the gray tribe people who he's reading

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<v Speaker 2>some of these kind of like centrist rationalist newslayers, probably

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<v Speaker 2>subscribed to a lot of substacks. For example, maybe listen

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<v Speaker 2>to this show if you're listening in jail, Hello, Luigi,

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<v Speaker 2>we vibe on the program. Probably not, I think, probably

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<v Speaker 2>a bad idea.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I don't think so. I'm you know, I draw

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<v Speaker 1>the line at giving a platform to age.

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<v Speaker 2>A legend you never know, you never know.

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<v Speaker 1>But but yeah, no, I mean I think I think

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<v Speaker 1>we both agree healthcare system profoundly fucked up. It's not

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<v Speaker 1>just the insurance companies, it's the hospitals. I mean, there

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<v Speaker 1>are a lot of things that are wrong. But I

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<v Speaker 1>will also say that when people have really serious problems

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<v Speaker 1>I've had you know, I've had friends and my parents

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<v Speaker 1>have had friends. You know, older health issues, cancer, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>brain tumors, all sorts of things go wrong in Canada

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<v Speaker 1>and in Europe. Do you know where they come to

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<v Speaker 1>the United States to get the set, to get the surgery,

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<v Speaker 1>because that's where you can get that standard of your

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<v Speaker 1>care and you can't get it. Sure, they're experts everywhere,

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<v Speaker 1>but in general, you know, the quality the expertise is here.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's also here for a reason. I, like I said,

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<v Speaker 1>I firmly believe in universal health care, socialized medicine. Probably

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<v Speaker 1>not quite the way to go. I have no idea

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<v Speaker 1>how to solve this, right. This is why I am

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<v Speaker 1>not the CEO of a healthcare company or in charge

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<v Speaker 1>of health care. This is not my area of expertise.

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<v Speaker 1>But what I what is my area of expertise as

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<v Speaker 1>a psychological element of this, and it's really you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think the human brain has this tendency and I

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<v Speaker 1>think we see this in Luigi to just simplify, right,

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<v Speaker 1>black and white heroes, villains, bad good, this person must go.

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<v Speaker 1>There's just this tendency to simplification and avoidance of nuance,

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<v Speaker 1>like Shades of Gray eight people's strong point a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of times, and I think that's getting much worse, and

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<v Speaker 1>especially in the social media world, you know, where kind

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<v Speaker 1>of all of these things are being amplified, where people

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<v Speaker 1>get into their little silos, into their little bubbles, and

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<v Speaker 1>they see these things reflected that simplification that like black

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<v Speaker 1>and white thinking, that hero villain thinking is getting overblown.

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<v Speaker 1>I'd like to see people start studying this. Right now,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm no longer in academia, but I'd really like to

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<v Speaker 1>see some work done on kind of the rise of

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<v Speaker 1>this type of simplistic thinking and simplistic outlooks on the

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<v Speaker 1>world as it relates to social media.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think it's very widespread. There was some poll

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<v Speaker 2>that came out that found that only eighteen percent of

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<v Speaker 2>people approve of Luigi Mangioni, and like seventy percent disapprove.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm surprised that eighteen percent people have an opinion about

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<v Speaker 2>him or know who he is. Right, he could sound

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<v Speaker 2>like some Italian movie star from the forties or something

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<v Speaker 2>like that.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, So, just to clarify what I was thinking, I

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<v Speaker 1>was what I was talking about was actually Luigi himself

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<v Speaker 1>and the reason he thought this was a good idea,

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<v Speaker 1>that his view of the world is this kind of

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<v Speaker 1>black and white view. And I think that, but as yes,

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<v Speaker 1>it also applies to the people who support him. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that, Yeah, it is a widespread, kind of a

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<v Speaker 1>widespread fallacy, and our brains do work that way, and

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<v Speaker 1>we have to constantly fight against it, and the things

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<v Speaker 1>that actually help buttress against that are things that are

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<v Speaker 1>disappearing from the world, like critical thinking skills and reading

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<v Speaker 1>literature and you know, things that things that actually kind

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<v Speaker 1>of force you to slow down and to think and

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<v Speaker 1>to reflect. And instead we're i think, living in a

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<v Speaker 1>world where we're reacting and thinking very quickly and not

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<v Speaker 1>reading deeply and consuming you know, very simplistic media a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of the times, and that is I think that's

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<v Speaker 1>not a good that's not a good background.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, what's weird is like it was. It's not like

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<v Speaker 2>one of these like zodiac killer types where he plots

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<v Speaker 2>us out for years. I don't think right, Like he

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<v Speaker 2>wrote a manifesto that was like not very not the

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<v Speaker 2>best manifesto. I give it.

0:12:42.724 --> 0:12:44.164
<v Speaker 1>I rate your manifestos.

0:12:47.164 --> 0:12:49.644
<v Speaker 2>But he's like, yeah, I haven't really finished thinking about this,

0:12:49.844 --> 0:12:51.964
<v Speaker 2>but you know whatever, there's not time. It's like, okay,

0:12:51.964 --> 0:12:58.204
<v Speaker 2>come on, man, okay, we're I'm going to talk about

0:12:58.204 --> 0:13:00.364
<v Speaker 2>blueskind of moment. I'm interested in the phenomenon of like

0:13:01.804 --> 0:13:03.764
<v Speaker 2>the certain segment I guess you call it of the left.

0:13:04.044 --> 0:13:05.844
<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure why it's even necessarily left exactly. I

0:13:05.884 --> 0:13:08.004
<v Speaker 2>think it's just kind of like I think it's everything

0:13:08.164 --> 0:13:12.404
<v Speaker 2>crazy attention demanding people for sure.

0:13:12.684 --> 0:13:14.804
<v Speaker 1>Well you also I think I don't know if I've

0:13:14.844 --> 0:13:17.164
<v Speaker 1>said this on the show before, but I've definitely talked

0:13:17.164 --> 0:13:19.684
<v Speaker 1>to you about it. Which is my view that as

0:13:19.684 --> 0:13:22.244
<v Speaker 1>you get to that, you know, the political spectrum isn't

0:13:22.284 --> 0:13:25.044
<v Speaker 1>a line, it's a circle, right and ship to the

0:13:25.084 --> 0:13:28.324
<v Speaker 1>extremes of the of the right and the left, they meet,

0:13:28.764 --> 0:13:34.284
<v Speaker 1>right and those like total extremists are are actually basically

0:13:34.724 --> 0:13:37.004
<v Speaker 1>the same thing. It just it just comes full circle.

0:13:37.924 --> 0:13:38.364
<v Speaker 1>That's yeah.

0:13:38.404 --> 0:13:39.884
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I mean there are the demands. There's like

0:13:39.924 --> 0:13:44.604
<v Speaker 2>how much trust do you have in the system? Right, Yeah,

0:13:44.644 --> 0:13:48.764
<v Speaker 2>it's been weird. You've seen like democratic politicians ranging from

0:13:47.884 --> 0:13:53.764
<v Speaker 2>U AOC to Elizabeth Warren to Chris Murphy, who's this

0:13:53.884 --> 0:13:56.644
<v Speaker 2>very like whitebread senator from Connecticut who's now trying to

0:13:56.644 --> 0:14:00.924
<v Speaker 2>be like the cool dad. You know, he's lame. He's

0:14:00.964 --> 0:14:03.044
<v Speaker 2>like trying to run for the president of twenty twenty eight, right,

0:14:03.044 --> 0:14:05.884
<v Speaker 2>and he's like from the ultimate neoliberal insurance broker state.

0:14:06.244 --> 0:14:09.124
<v Speaker 1>You don't like the dad vibe. Walls now.

0:14:10.564 --> 0:14:14.644
<v Speaker 2>Went to Williams College, you know, which it's not the

0:14:14.884 --> 0:14:19.964
<v Speaker 2>populist hotbed exactly, Whereas Bernie Sanders, who is a much

0:14:20.004 --> 0:14:23.524
<v Speaker 2>better politician than all of the three people I mentioned

0:14:23.524 --> 0:14:26.164
<v Speaker 2>together multiplied by fifty. I mean, Bernie Sanders has a competent.

0:14:26.164 --> 0:14:28.564
<v Speaker 2>I mean, Aosc's a pretty good politician. I take that back.

0:14:28.564 --> 0:14:32.404
<v Speaker 2>I think Elizabeth WARN's a borderline terrible politician and Chris

0:14:32.484 --> 0:14:36.044
<v Speaker 2>Murphy is worse. Aos' is a pretty smart politician. So

0:14:36.084 --> 0:14:38.604
<v Speaker 2>that was suppressing to see. But like, but Bernie Sanders,

0:14:38.644 --> 0:14:42.564
<v Speaker 2>who like has built this coalition and you know, got

0:14:42.604 --> 0:14:45.484
<v Speaker 2>a lot of things, gotten minimum wage increases in a

0:14:45.524 --> 0:14:48.524
<v Speaker 2>lot of places, came not within a hair's breath, but

0:14:48.804 --> 0:14:51.724
<v Speaker 2>very respectably against Hillary Clinton in twenty sixteen. I mean,

0:14:51.764 --> 0:14:53.684
<v Speaker 2>like you know, he was like, yeah, this is not

0:14:53.764 --> 0:14:57.204
<v Speaker 2>the way into into people's hearts on this issue, right,

0:14:58.684 --> 0:15:00.804
<v Speaker 2>And like also, like, if you want to talk more

0:15:00.804 --> 0:15:03.004
<v Speaker 2>about healthcare, by the way, just to give you some context, right,

0:15:03.004 --> 0:15:05.564
<v Speaker 2>this is a real issue. The United States, according to

0:15:05.604 --> 0:15:09.044
<v Speaker 2>the Peter J. Peterson Foundation, spends seven hundred and forty

0:15:09.084 --> 0:15:13.884
<v Speaker 2>teen dollar per year on healthcare compared to and fifty

0:15:13.924 --> 0:15:16.084
<v Speaker 2>dollars of the other wealthy countries.

0:15:16.164 --> 0:15:18.244
<v Speaker 1>This is per person, right, per capity.

0:15:17.964 --> 0:15:21.844
<v Speaker 2>Yes, so twice as much. Ish about one thousand dollars

0:15:21.884 --> 0:15:25.004
<v Speaker 2>of that is in administrative costs, which is not all

0:15:25.044 --> 0:15:27.924
<v Speaker 2>of it or most of it, but compares toon averager

0:15:28.004 --> 0:15:31.484
<v Speaker 2>two hundred and thirteen dollars and these other wealthy countries Australia,

0:15:31.644 --> 0:15:36.244
<v Speaker 2>can Belgium and so forth. So there's a real issue here.

0:15:36.244 --> 0:15:39.204
<v Speaker 2>But you don't have to like just start talking more

0:15:39.204 --> 0:15:41.484
<v Speaker 2>about healthcare. You don't have to say we're talking more

0:15:41.484 --> 0:15:45.564
<v Speaker 2>about healthcare because it's fucking lunatic who allegedly killed somebody, right,

0:15:45.804 --> 0:15:48.644
<v Speaker 2>just talk more about healthcare, and like, don't like rationalize

0:15:48.644 --> 0:15:51.484
<v Speaker 2>it in your little bubble. And it's just I don't know,

0:15:51.644 --> 0:15:52.684
<v Speaker 2>it's just very weird to me.

0:15:53.124 --> 0:15:56.404
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I think that's I think that's exactly right. And

0:15:56.444 --> 0:15:58.964
<v Speaker 1>I think on that note, shall we take a break

0:15:58.964 --> 0:16:13.084
<v Speaker 1>and then talk about social media and caris guy. Yeah,

0:16:13.804 --> 0:16:16.884
<v Speaker 1>So over the last few months since October, blue Sky

0:16:17.004 --> 0:16:20.284
<v Speaker 1>has gained almost two and a half million users, and

0:16:20.524 --> 0:16:24.044
<v Speaker 1>Twitter or X as it's now known, has lost basically

0:16:24.044 --> 0:16:27.444
<v Speaker 1>the same amount two point seven million. So we're seeing

0:16:27.724 --> 0:16:31.444
<v Speaker 1>kind of Twitter x is still ten times bigger than

0:16:31.484 --> 0:16:34.164
<v Speaker 1>blue Sky, but we are seeing something that looks like

0:16:34.204 --> 0:16:37.564
<v Speaker 1>it might be a trend. Before we get into it, Nate,

0:16:37.604 --> 0:16:39.004
<v Speaker 1>do you have a blue Sky account?

0:16:39.244 --> 0:16:42.724
<v Speaker 2>I do, but I never use it, and I don't

0:16:42.764 --> 0:16:46.604
<v Speaker 2>know what kind of fucking psychedelics you drugs you'd have

0:16:46.604 --> 0:16:47.924
<v Speaker 2>to give me to want to spend a moment on

0:16:48.004 --> 0:16:48.484
<v Speaker 2>blue Sky.

0:16:49.844 --> 0:16:52.044
<v Speaker 1>So I knew you had a blue Sky account. I

0:16:52.044 --> 0:16:54.804
<v Speaker 1>thought it was you because I found you with zero posts.

0:16:54.964 --> 0:16:57.324
<v Speaker 1>But I have a blue Sky account. I still have

0:16:57.444 --> 0:17:00.844
<v Speaker 1>my Twitter account, but I made a blue Sky account

0:17:00.844 --> 0:17:05.604
<v Speaker 1>back when it was very early invite only, so sick brag. Yeah,

0:17:05.724 --> 0:17:07.924
<v Speaker 1>I know, I know, but I've had one for a

0:17:08.004 --> 0:17:10.804
<v Speaker 1>while and I've had periods of activity and dormancy, right,

0:17:11.004 --> 0:17:13.364
<v Speaker 1>so I was active at the beginning then, like I

0:17:13.404 --> 0:17:16.404
<v Speaker 1>was like, screw this. You know, it's too many social

0:17:16.444 --> 0:17:19.564
<v Speaker 1>media platforms. You've got Twitter, You've got Masta don do

0:17:19.564 --> 0:17:20.684
<v Speaker 1>you remember Masta Don?

0:17:21.324 --> 0:17:25.284
<v Speaker 2>You've got I've play loyled Twitter, you know, you've.

0:17:25.084 --> 0:17:26.964
<v Speaker 1>Got You've got blue Sky. You know, there are all

0:17:26.964 --> 0:17:28.564
<v Speaker 1>these things, and I'm like, you know, fuck this, Like

0:17:28.644 --> 0:17:30.884
<v Speaker 1>I can't, I can't maintain all of these different accounts.

0:17:31.564 --> 0:17:35.524
<v Speaker 1>But I actually re kind of recommitted to blue Sky

0:17:36.884 --> 0:17:41.604
<v Speaker 1>probably about oh, I don't know how many months ago, three,

0:17:41.684 --> 0:17:45.404
<v Speaker 1>four or five months ago, because Twitter was getting for me.

0:17:45.964 --> 0:17:49.364
<v Speaker 1>So your experience is probably different because as someone with

0:17:49.444 --> 0:17:53.404
<v Speaker 1>over a million followers, you were you got the you know,

0:17:53.524 --> 0:17:56.644
<v Speaker 1>check blue check mark, and your your Twitter experience is

0:17:57.004 --> 0:17:59.524
<v Speaker 1>a premium one. Mine is not. I refuse to pay

0:17:59.564 --> 0:18:02.844
<v Speaker 1>for a blue check mark. And so my Twitter just

0:18:02.884 --> 0:18:06.964
<v Speaker 1>became so unusable in terms of spam, in terms of

0:18:07.124 --> 0:18:12.484
<v Speaker 1>just like horrific content that I get, boughts, all sorts

0:18:12.484 --> 0:18:15.164
<v Speaker 1>of things, ads that I really don't want to see,

0:18:15.684 --> 0:18:19.364
<v Speaker 1>and Blue Sky became kind of a much cleaner way

0:18:19.444 --> 0:18:21.844
<v Speaker 1>of sharing. That's it. I didn't leave Twitter because I

0:18:21.884 --> 0:18:24.444
<v Speaker 1>actually think that that would have been a mistake. And

0:18:24.684 --> 0:18:27.964
<v Speaker 1>I think that it's a very bad idea to kind

0:18:28.004 --> 0:18:31.564
<v Speaker 1>of leave the party when you disagree with things that

0:18:31.604 --> 0:18:33.684
<v Speaker 1>are going on, because then you missed the discourse, right,

0:18:33.724 --> 0:18:36.044
<v Speaker 1>You missed the conversation. You have no idea what's going on.

0:18:36.444 --> 0:18:38.444
<v Speaker 1>And the worst thing you can do at that point

0:18:38.764 --> 0:18:42.844
<v Speaker 1>is like go off into your bubble in protests, because

0:18:42.964 --> 0:18:44.364
<v Speaker 1>that's not going to make anything better.

0:18:45.804 --> 0:18:48.124
<v Speaker 2>I'd much rather hang around the Twitter party than the

0:18:48.124 --> 0:18:50.444
<v Speaker 2>Blue Sky party. And by the way, I have been like,

0:18:51.084 --> 0:18:56.164
<v Speaker 2>you haven't tried the Blue Sky harass as much as

0:18:56.244 --> 0:18:59.764
<v Speaker 2>almost any person on Twitter. I'm just a little windy

0:18:59.804 --> 0:19:02.404
<v Speaker 2>baby about it, you know what I mean. But like,

0:19:02.404 --> 0:19:04.884
<v Speaker 2>in terms of like having people say awful things to me,

0:19:04.924 --> 0:19:06.524
<v Speaker 2>it happens to me all the time on Twitter. Maybe

0:19:06.564 --> 0:19:09.244
<v Speaker 2>a little bit less than it did in previous ethics,

0:19:09.524 --> 0:19:11.404
<v Speaker 2>a little bit less than it did in an election year,

0:19:12.764 --> 0:19:14.564
<v Speaker 2>but like you know, and I dish it out too,

0:19:14.764 --> 0:19:17.884
<v Speaker 2>to be fair, But yeah, I've been a trending topic

0:19:17.924 --> 0:19:20.284
<v Speaker 2>more times than I account for. I cancount for like

0:19:20.324 --> 0:19:26.044
<v Speaker 2>totally innocuous things, right, But I would still rather have

0:19:26.764 --> 0:19:29.804
<v Speaker 2>Twitter in als decrepit form. And there's lots of conspiracy

0:19:29.844 --> 0:19:33.444
<v Speaker 2>theories and and you know, the four you algorithm will

0:19:33.484 --> 0:19:36.844
<v Speaker 2>do kind of anything to get your engagement. You know,

0:19:36.924 --> 0:19:38.804
<v Speaker 2>you get lots It doesn't apparently know what I'm gay.

0:19:38.844 --> 0:19:42.044
<v Speaker 2>I get like lots of like smutty female stuff, right

0:19:42.084 --> 0:19:44.004
<v Speaker 2>and things like that, And like it hasn't quite figured

0:19:44.044 --> 0:19:47.724
<v Speaker 2>me out exactly. And I'm probably kind of gradually using

0:19:47.724 --> 0:19:50.164
<v Speaker 2>Twitter like less similars now, and then I'll have days

0:19:50.204 --> 0:19:51.924
<v Speaker 2>where I forget to check Twitter first thing in the morning,

0:19:51.924 --> 0:19:53.764
<v Speaker 2>even though it's kind of part of my routine, to

0:19:53.764 --> 0:19:54.204
<v Speaker 2>be honest.

0:19:54.244 --> 0:19:55.764
<v Speaker 1>But like, well, let me.

0:19:55.724 --> 0:19:59.724
<v Speaker 2>Back up a little bit right Twitter. I mean I

0:19:59.724 --> 0:20:01.804
<v Speaker 2>first had a Twitter account in two thousand and eight,

0:20:02.044 --> 0:20:05.084
<v Speaker 2>and this is kind of like before everybody is quite

0:20:05.124 --> 0:20:09.204
<v Speaker 2>so online as they are now, and so so you

0:20:09.444 --> 0:20:12.164
<v Speaker 2>kind of have like the founders are kind of tech

0:20:12.284 --> 0:20:14.844
<v Speaker 2>nerds in a different way, or like news nerds, people

0:20:14.844 --> 0:20:16.724
<v Speaker 2>who are working in the journals and ministry in some

0:20:16.804 --> 0:20:21.004
<v Speaker 2>ways and trying to find new platforms. And when you

0:20:21.044 --> 0:20:23.524
<v Speaker 2>have that, then you know, one nice thing about that

0:20:23.684 --> 0:20:27.684
<v Speaker 2>is that nerds tend to be I don't know, there's

0:20:27.684 --> 0:20:30.444
<v Speaker 2>a camaraderie with other nerds, right. If you're a tech geek,

0:20:30.484 --> 0:20:34.244
<v Speaker 2>then you can like, you know, tolerate certain things. They

0:20:34.404 --> 0:20:38.324
<v Speaker 2>tend to be pretty center left, although not necessarily that

0:20:38.364 --> 0:20:44.204
<v Speaker 2>political quote unquote. Around twenty fifteen you begin to see

0:20:45.524 --> 0:20:47.764
<v Speaker 2>you know, a lot more media organizations actually before that

0:20:47.804 --> 0:20:50.524
<v Speaker 2>really right, and then you kind of had and you know,

0:20:50.524 --> 0:20:53.124
<v Speaker 2>I don't know where you could like pinpoint the reasons

0:20:53.124 --> 0:21:00.124
<v Speaker 2>for this, but you had a certain type of very pedantic, progressive,

0:21:00.444 --> 0:21:06.164
<v Speaker 2>skuldly left wing commentator become very prominent on Twitter. It's like,

0:21:06.684 --> 0:21:09.324
<v Speaker 2>I call them knits, but they're worse because anyway, it's

0:21:09.604 --> 0:21:12.844
<v Speaker 2>my least favorite type of people in the world. And

0:21:12.884 --> 0:21:14.884
<v Speaker 2>they're all at Blue Sky and they all are in

0:21:14.924 --> 0:21:16.804
<v Speaker 2>a circle jerk with one another, and like, I just

0:21:16.844 --> 0:21:19.964
<v Speaker 2>can't imagine, like you would have to pay me millions

0:21:20.004 --> 0:21:21.964
<v Speaker 2>of dollars per year to be like an active Blue

0:21:21.964 --> 0:21:26.284
<v Speaker 2>Sky community member. Now, look, if if we got to

0:21:26.284 --> 0:21:26.884
<v Speaker 2>a point.

0:21:26.764 --> 0:21:29.124
<v Speaker 1>Let's say, you really feel it, tell us how you really.

0:21:29.204 --> 0:21:32.204
<v Speaker 2>By the way, Blue Sky's numbers are not really rising anymore.

0:21:32.244 --> 0:21:35.404
<v Speaker 2>The number of daily likes, this is according to bsky

0:21:35.484 --> 0:21:41.684
<v Speaker 2>dot jazzco dot dev backslash stats, actually peaked on November eighteenth.

0:21:41.764 --> 0:21:43.564
<v Speaker 2>It looks like and has now. The number of daily

0:21:43.644 --> 0:21:47.404
<v Speaker 2>likes has fallen by about thirty percent since the peak.

0:21:47.444 --> 0:21:50.364
<v Speaker 2>The number of daily posters fallen by about the same amount.

0:21:50.404 --> 0:21:53.404
<v Speaker 2>The number of daily followers fallen even more than that. Right,

0:21:53.444 --> 0:21:57.084
<v Speaker 2>and so so I think you actually have a self

0:21:57.124 --> 0:22:01.924
<v Speaker 2>limiting bubble here, right. Clearly, it's a compelling product to

0:22:02.124 --> 0:22:04.484
<v Speaker 2>a certain type. Actually to more than one group.

0:22:04.564 --> 0:22:04.764
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:22:05.324 --> 0:22:10.964
<v Speaker 2>There are these kind of like fringy more left wing people.

0:22:11.084 --> 0:22:12.724
<v Speaker 2>I would say that's one group. There's also kind of

0:22:12.724 --> 0:22:16.084
<v Speaker 2>like the resistance liberals. But you kind of combine the

0:22:16.244 --> 0:22:19.724
<v Speaker 2>crazy left people with the like goody two shoes like

0:22:20.164 --> 0:22:23.764
<v Speaker 2>resistance folks who I also have no real problem with,

0:22:23.844 --> 0:22:25.644
<v Speaker 2>but you know they're too I don't know, they're too

0:22:25.724 --> 0:22:29.124
<v Speaker 2>square for me and too cringe and like in like

0:22:29.164 --> 0:22:31.884
<v Speaker 2>two straight laced right, it's like it's like, I don't know,

0:22:32.084 --> 0:22:34.844
<v Speaker 2>it's again, it's the worst party in the world. And

0:22:34.884 --> 0:22:36.764
<v Speaker 2>I think I think that it actually has a pretty

0:22:37.364 --> 0:22:39.364
<v Speaker 2>limited audience. I think that audience will love it, but

0:22:39.404 --> 0:22:42.124
<v Speaker 2>I think it I think founder effects are profound. Founder

0:22:42.124 --> 0:22:45.004
<v Speaker 2>effects mean that when a certain like species into an ecosystem,

0:22:45.324 --> 0:22:48.404
<v Speaker 2>or a certain population enters a you know, physical ecosystem

0:22:48.404 --> 0:22:50.924
<v Speaker 2>that they have, like there's a lot of path dependency

0:22:50.964 --> 0:22:55.564
<v Speaker 2>and kind of who then joins or is or feels

0:22:55.604 --> 0:22:58.524
<v Speaker 2>like a strange from the system. And and and I think,

0:22:58.644 --> 0:23:01.004
<v Speaker 2>you know, people like Matt Iglesias, who was kind of

0:23:01.004 --> 0:23:03.324
<v Speaker 2>a friend of the newsletter. I don't know, a friend

0:23:03.364 --> 0:23:05.004
<v Speaker 2>of the podcast, but like he was someone who tried

0:23:05.004 --> 0:23:06.804
<v Speaker 2>to go on Blue Sky and acting good faith and

0:23:06.924 --> 0:23:09.244
<v Speaker 2>like and that's probably somewhat like me and being some

0:23:09.484 --> 0:23:12.204
<v Speaker 2>center left and also can give and take a little bit,

0:23:12.404 --> 0:23:14.364
<v Speaker 2>was like kind of hounded off it and like treat

0:23:14.364 --> 0:23:16.164
<v Speaker 2>it really really poorly, and like if you can't like

0:23:16.244 --> 0:23:19.324
<v Speaker 2>tolerate like Matt Iglasius. You see the left of seventy

0:23:19.324 --> 0:23:22.804
<v Speaker 2>five percent of the country, right, then your platform has

0:23:22.844 --> 0:23:24.324
<v Speaker 2>a limited reach, I think.

0:23:25.444 --> 0:23:28.924
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So I will you know, push back on part

0:23:28.924 --> 0:23:30.444
<v Speaker 1>of that in the sense that, like my blue Sky

0:23:30.564 --> 0:23:34.564
<v Speaker 1>experience is totally different, right, Like I curated it the

0:23:34.564 --> 0:23:38.004
<v Speaker 1>way that I curate my Twitter feed, which is like

0:23:38.204 --> 0:23:40.804
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people who make me laugh and are funny,

0:23:41.044 --> 0:23:44.564
<v Speaker 1>a lot of writers I admire, right, And it's actually,

0:23:45.204 --> 0:23:47.604
<v Speaker 1>you know, I've tried to steer clear. There's some political

0:23:47.644 --> 0:23:49.964
<v Speaker 1>stuff on there, but mostly you know, and some news

0:23:50.004 --> 0:23:52.004
<v Speaker 1>and stuff like that. And it's just a much cleaner

0:23:52.004 --> 0:23:54.204
<v Speaker 1>feed for me now than what Twitter has become. I

0:23:54.204 --> 0:23:56.564
<v Speaker 1>don't get death threats. I don't get rape threats. You know,

0:23:56.644 --> 0:23:57.564
<v Speaker 1>people people do say.

0:23:57.564 --> 0:23:58.844
<v Speaker 2>I mean, if you're you're like.

0:23:59.244 --> 0:24:01.564
<v Speaker 1>I'm just saying, I'm just saying my experience. So I'm

0:24:01.564 --> 0:24:03.204
<v Speaker 1>just saying that there are lots of different ways to

0:24:03.204 --> 0:24:05.964
<v Speaker 1>carry a blue sky. Where I will, well, I will

0:24:06.004 --> 0:24:08.964
<v Speaker 1>agree with you, is that I think that this kind

0:24:09.044 --> 0:24:11.884
<v Speaker 1>of just black and white knee jerk reaction like this

0:24:11.964 --> 0:24:14.844
<v Speaker 1>person is here, like let's hound them off, like that

0:24:15.004 --> 0:24:16.204
<v Speaker 1>is bad, right.

0:24:16.124 --> 0:24:18.804
<v Speaker 2>That is just it's also violent people who are seen

0:24:19.004 --> 0:24:22.604
<v Speaker 2>as being too conservative on trans rights. There like are

0:24:22.604 --> 0:24:27.284
<v Speaker 2>literally receiving literally receiving death threats right very out in

0:24:27.324 --> 0:24:29.124
<v Speaker 2>the open, and there's not much effort.

0:24:28.804 --> 0:24:30.324
<v Speaker 1>To that's that's the opposite.

0:24:30.364 --> 0:24:32.124
<v Speaker 2>And the fact that like that's tolerated on Blue Sky,

0:24:32.404 --> 0:24:34.604
<v Speaker 2>whereas like Mattic Glacis is hounded off. I mean, that's

0:24:34.604 --> 0:24:37.284
<v Speaker 2>really fucked up, right, I don't want to support that platform.

0:24:37.324 --> 0:24:39.884
<v Speaker 2>I literally think Twitter is is better. I literally think

0:24:39.924 --> 0:24:42.484
<v Speaker 2>Twitter is at least a little bit more bipartisan, and like,

0:24:43.124 --> 0:24:46.324
<v Speaker 2>you know, I you don't have this hypocritical endorsement of

0:24:46.404 --> 0:24:49.404
<v Speaker 2>violence on Blue Sky that I don't think people should

0:24:49.404 --> 0:24:51.044
<v Speaker 2>spend their time there now.

0:24:51.084 --> 0:24:53.644
<v Speaker 1>I think that the endorsement of virons is absolutely wrong.

0:24:53.724 --> 0:24:55.804
<v Speaker 1>And like I said, you know, that's the thing I'm

0:24:55.804 --> 0:24:58.004
<v Speaker 1>agreeing with you on. I think that you should. You know,

0:24:58.084 --> 0:25:01.444
<v Speaker 1>people need to be more open minded, more tolerant, and

0:25:01.524 --> 0:25:04.804
<v Speaker 1>more able to see nuanced. This as a thread throughout

0:25:05.204 --> 0:25:08.404
<v Speaker 1>this episode, I guess of Risky Business that you know,

0:25:08.484 --> 0:25:11.244
<v Speaker 1>the world ain't black and white. People like, there are

0:25:11.284 --> 0:25:14.804
<v Speaker 1>good things and bad things, and you can disagree respectfully, right,

0:25:14.844 --> 0:25:18.004
<v Speaker 1>You can have conversations, you can engage with people, you

0:25:18.044 --> 0:25:20.324
<v Speaker 1>can actually have debates about a lot of topics, and

0:25:20.364 --> 0:25:23.244
<v Speaker 1>it's not if you say this or if you think that,

0:25:23.324 --> 0:25:25.484
<v Speaker 1>then you're a horrible human being and I'm done with you.

0:25:25.924 --> 0:25:28.604
<v Speaker 1>And here's this person's address, let's go and get them

0:25:28.884 --> 0:25:31.364
<v Speaker 1>right like that that is just that is not okay

0:25:31.364 --> 0:25:34.204
<v Speaker 1>behavior and that kind of extremism. That's what we were

0:25:34.204 --> 0:25:36.884
<v Speaker 1>talking about, you know, in our last segment about Luigi.

0:25:37.084 --> 0:25:40.404
<v Speaker 1>That is rising. And I think that what Twitter has,

0:25:40.444 --> 0:25:42.844
<v Speaker 1>I that Twitter has that as well. That is not

0:25:42.964 --> 0:25:46.004
<v Speaker 1>unique to to Blue Sky. What Twitter has of that,

0:25:46.044 --> 0:25:49.204
<v Speaker 1>what Blue Sky is showing and amplifying there, like that

0:25:49.364 --> 0:25:51.964
<v Speaker 1>is a very very bad way of looking at the world,

0:25:52.044 --> 0:25:54.404
<v Speaker 1>and I think we're seeing it more and more and

0:25:54.444 --> 0:25:57.404
<v Speaker 1>we need to have you know, I don't know how

0:25:57.444 --> 0:26:00.804
<v Speaker 1>we draw back as as a society and say okay,

0:26:00.844 --> 0:26:05.164
<v Speaker 1>you know enough, right, like let's let's just maybe civilized

0:26:05.164 --> 0:26:06.804
<v Speaker 1>discost maybe somewhere.

0:26:06.844 --> 0:26:09.684
<v Speaker 2>Like social media platforms are like the great filter. There's

0:26:09.684 --> 0:26:13.044
<v Speaker 2>all this theory about the Fermi paradox and like why

0:26:13.124 --> 0:26:15.724
<v Speaker 2>don't we see extraterrestrial life? And they are like literally

0:26:15.724 --> 0:26:18.324
<v Speaker 2>dozens of possible answers to it. But like, you know,

0:26:18.404 --> 0:26:22.244
<v Speaker 2>maybe the Twitter type social media platforms, especially when they

0:26:22.244 --> 0:26:27.884
<v Speaker 2>get algorithmatized to spark engagement by any means necessary, Like

0:26:27.924 --> 0:26:31.204
<v Speaker 2>maybe those are just really bad that right, Yeah, and

0:26:31.244 --> 0:26:35.404
<v Speaker 2>maybe Twitter was actually the exception to be like relatively

0:26:35.444 --> 0:26:37.044
<v Speaker 2>good for a period. I mean it still is more

0:26:37.084 --> 0:26:38.644
<v Speaker 2>by parts. If you look at the data on like

0:26:39.044 --> 0:26:44.244
<v Speaker 2>Democrats for Republicans on Twitter, it is relatively balanced. Now,

0:26:44.324 --> 0:26:48.204
<v Speaker 2>I personally think that Elon with the for you algorithm,

0:26:48.244 --> 0:26:51.124
<v Speaker 2>I think quits a pretty heavy finger on the scale

0:26:51.244 --> 0:26:54.364
<v Speaker 2>for conservative viewpoints. And my subjective view was a very

0:26:54.684 --> 0:26:56.724
<v Speaker 2>long time user. Is that like there's a little thumb

0:26:56.764 --> 0:27:00.284
<v Speaker 2>on the scale for certain stuff, including Elon fucking posting

0:27:00.324 --> 0:27:02.764
<v Speaker 2>so much himself, right, maybe the most important thumb on

0:27:02.804 --> 0:27:03.404
<v Speaker 2>the scale.

0:27:04.164 --> 0:27:07.084
<v Speaker 1>I'm one of those people who constantly says, like don't

0:27:07.124 --> 0:27:09.564
<v Speaker 1>show like ignore, this is not for me, and it

0:27:09.604 --> 0:27:11.804
<v Speaker 1>doesn't work when it comes to Elon, and when it

0:27:11.844 --> 0:27:14.004
<v Speaker 1>comes to when it comes to those things, it just

0:27:14.924 --> 0:27:17.444
<v Speaker 1>it just completely does not work apparently.

0:27:19.284 --> 0:27:22.124
<v Speaker 2>Where it's like if tweet is from Elon, wait by

0:27:22.164 --> 0:27:23.524
<v Speaker 2>like one thousand x Right.

0:27:24.804 --> 0:27:27.564
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but I think you made a really important point

0:27:27.924 --> 0:27:30.884
<v Speaker 1>that maybe like social media platforms like Twitter, like Blue Sky,

0:27:31.004 --> 0:27:32.804
<v Speaker 1>like all of these sorts of platforms are not good

0:27:32.924 --> 0:27:34.684
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the day, right, Like, maybe that

0:27:34.844 --> 0:27:37.364
<v Speaker 1>is not good for critical thinking, that's not good for

0:27:37.444 --> 0:27:40.364
<v Speaker 1>deep thinking, it's not good for fostering the kind of

0:27:40.404 --> 0:27:43.244
<v Speaker 1>society where we want to live. And by the way,

0:27:43.404 --> 0:27:47.284
<v Speaker 1>you know, in other news, like we've seen Australia, right

0:27:47.404 --> 0:27:51.004
<v Speaker 1>just banned social media for people under sixteen? Is that right? Yeah?

0:27:51.044 --> 0:27:53.204
<v Speaker 1>But you know there are countries that I just try

0:27:53.284 --> 0:27:55.804
<v Speaker 1>to go like complete, Okay, whoa, this is not this

0:27:55.884 --> 0:27:57.204
<v Speaker 1>is not good. I think that might be a little

0:27:57.204 --> 0:27:59.684
<v Speaker 1>too extreme, but I do think we're seeing a lot

0:27:59.684 --> 0:28:02.324
<v Speaker 1>of signs that like maybe this just doesn't good, whether

0:28:02.324 --> 0:28:06.164
<v Speaker 1>it's Twitter or blue Sky or or any of these platforms,

0:28:06.164 --> 0:28:07.964
<v Speaker 1>that they're just not bringing out the best in people.

0:28:08.324 --> 0:28:10.284
<v Speaker 1>They're not bringing out the best in conversation, they're not

0:28:10.324 --> 0:28:12.724
<v Speaker 1>bringing out the best in the ways that our brains

0:28:13.124 --> 0:28:15.604
<v Speaker 1>can work, right, They're not challenging us the way that

0:28:15.604 --> 0:28:18.444
<v Speaker 1>they should be challenging us, and instead they're kind of

0:28:18.524 --> 0:28:21.324
<v Speaker 1>catering to the lowest common denominator, which is not good. Right,

0:28:21.604 --> 0:28:24.844
<v Speaker 1>That is not kind of catering to the lowest common

0:28:24.844 --> 0:28:27.004
<v Speaker 1>denominator is never never a good phenomenon.

0:28:27.684 --> 0:28:30.964
<v Speaker 2>In summary, Twitter sucks and Blue Sky sucks a little

0:28:30.964 --> 0:28:31.324
<v Speaker 2>bit more.

0:28:31.804 --> 0:28:35.084
<v Speaker 1>It makes opinion, I would say they both suck. Twitter

0:28:35.124 --> 0:28:37.844
<v Speaker 1>sucks a little bit more. So we will we will

0:28:37.884 --> 0:28:40.484
<v Speaker 1>disagree on that, and we both agree that the types

0:28:40.524 --> 0:28:43.324
<v Speaker 1>of platforms and the types of thinking fostered by that

0:28:43.364 --> 0:28:45.924
<v Speaker 1>approach to social media is not good and sucks, and

0:28:45.964 --> 0:28:49.204
<v Speaker 1>we need something better. Let's take a break, and then

0:28:49.284 --> 0:29:07.844
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about some chess. Are you a chess fan Nate.

0:29:08.804 --> 0:29:11.684
<v Speaker 2>Frame that I know, I kind of I'm like adjacent

0:29:11.684 --> 0:29:13.724
<v Speaker 2>to a lot of chess fans, right, so I absorbed

0:29:13.724 --> 0:29:17.204
<v Speaker 2>some of it through kind of like like Darryl Moory

0:29:17.244 --> 0:29:19.604
<v Speaker 2>who he spoke with, yeah in the previous episodes, a

0:29:19.644 --> 0:29:21.604
<v Speaker 2>big chess fan, so you get something through him and

0:29:21.644 --> 0:29:24.764
<v Speaker 2>people read on the internet. But I you know, I'm

0:29:24.804 --> 0:29:26.724
<v Speaker 2>a casual follower.

0:29:26.804 --> 0:29:29.844
<v Speaker 1>I'd say, yeah, so were you? Were you aware though,

0:29:29.884 --> 0:29:32.964
<v Speaker 1>even as a casual follower of the World Championship defense

0:29:33.004 --> 0:29:34.284
<v Speaker 1>that happened last week a.

0:29:34.324 --> 0:29:37.844
<v Speaker 2>Little bit and then from reading your sub stack, Yeah.

0:29:37.044 --> 0:29:40.364
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so for people for people who didn't see it,

0:29:41.244 --> 0:29:45.044
<v Speaker 1>The World Chess Champion, former World Chess Champion Deng lu

0:29:45.124 --> 0:29:51.244
<v Speaker 1>Zen was defending his championship title last week, and he

0:29:51.324 --> 0:29:55.844
<v Speaker 1>made a blunder. So they were tied, and they were

0:29:55.884 --> 0:29:58.484
<v Speaker 1>playing in a match that seemed like it would also

0:29:59.044 --> 0:30:02.324
<v Speaker 1>be a tie, and then he blundered, and he made

0:30:02.364 --> 0:30:05.324
<v Speaker 1>a blunder that was so bad that every chess expert

0:30:05.484 --> 0:30:07.804
<v Speaker 1>you know, you can read about this in every person

0:30:07.924 --> 0:30:11.804
<v Speaker 1>I spoke to. I spoke with Jennifer Shahade, who is

0:30:11.964 --> 0:30:17.044
<v Speaker 1>a former women's chess champion of the United States twice

0:30:17.084 --> 0:30:19.764
<v Speaker 1>and the only woman I believe to have ever won

0:30:20.004 --> 0:30:24.244
<v Speaker 1>the Junior Chess Championship Open in the United States woman grandmaster,

0:30:24.324 --> 0:30:27.324
<v Speaker 1>and she said, like people, it was just like horrific, right, like,

0:30:27.684 --> 0:30:30.564
<v Speaker 1>you do not make that kind of a mistake at

0:30:30.564 --> 0:30:32.964
<v Speaker 1>that level, even at much lower levels. It was so

0:30:33.004 --> 0:30:35.764
<v Speaker 1>bad that she went overrote with her son, who is

0:30:35.924 --> 0:30:39.004
<v Speaker 1>who is little and who was learning learning how to

0:30:39.004 --> 0:30:43.764
<v Speaker 1>play chess. And so he blundered and an eighteen year

0:30:43.764 --> 0:30:49.804
<v Speaker 1>old Gukesh Domaraju was able to claim the World Championship title,

0:30:49.844 --> 0:30:56.484
<v Speaker 1>becoming the youngest ever world chess champion. Yeah, Gary Kasparoff

0:30:56.604 --> 0:30:59.084
<v Speaker 1>used to hold that title. He was twenty two, and

0:30:59.164 --> 0:31:03.044
<v Speaker 1>so this was a huge, huge moment and I am

0:31:03.124 --> 0:31:05.244
<v Speaker 1>interested in it, and this is what I wrote about it.

0:31:05.324 --> 0:31:08.204
<v Speaker 1>Not because you know, this is a show about chess strategy,

0:31:09.044 --> 0:31:12.084
<v Speaker 1>but because of like the psychology behind it, right, Like

0:31:12.964 --> 0:31:15.564
<v Speaker 1>we've we've been there, and I'm sure I know I've

0:31:15.564 --> 0:31:19.084
<v Speaker 1>been there in poker, right like you sometimes like you

0:31:19.204 --> 0:31:23.084
<v Speaker 1>just have a brain fart. And sometimes a brain fart

0:31:23.124 --> 0:31:25.244
<v Speaker 1>isn't just a brain fart, right, Like, it can be

0:31:25.324 --> 0:31:28.564
<v Speaker 1>a brain fart that's like a blunder of epic proportions. Now,

0:31:28.764 --> 0:31:31.524
<v Speaker 1>you and I have never played on that kind of

0:31:31.604 --> 0:31:34.484
<v Speaker 1>a global stage where we're you know, defending our world

0:31:34.604 --> 0:31:37.644
<v Speaker 1>championship title. But you see this all the time in

0:31:38.204 --> 0:31:41.004
<v Speaker 1>high performance athletes, whether it's mental games or whether it's

0:31:41.044 --> 0:31:44.484
<v Speaker 1>actually physical games, where someone who's really really good just

0:31:44.564 --> 0:31:47.444
<v Speaker 1>chokes right and just has this kind of moment where

0:31:47.524 --> 0:31:52.164
<v Speaker 1>like what just happened, right, like a holy shit moment?

0:31:52.684 --> 0:31:56.444
<v Speaker 1>And I, you know, every when I see that, like

0:31:56.724 --> 0:32:00.044
<v Speaker 1>I'm fascinated in, you know, the psychology behind that, the

0:32:00.044 --> 0:32:04.244
<v Speaker 1>psychology of why kind of high high performance people can

0:32:04.324 --> 0:32:07.884
<v Speaker 1>actually you know, experience moments like that. And I'm sure

0:32:07.924 --> 0:32:10.764
<v Speaker 1>you've seen that much. I've seen that often in sports

0:32:10.844 --> 0:32:14.844
<v Speaker 1>like actual sports. I don't follow actual sports as closely

0:32:15.204 --> 0:32:17.604
<v Speaker 1>as you do, but in mind sports, you know, I

0:32:17.644 --> 0:32:19.764
<v Speaker 1>wrote about a brain fart that I had that was

0:32:19.964 --> 0:32:23.444
<v Speaker 1>that was a little bit less less extreme, but that

0:32:23.564 --> 0:32:27.004
<v Speaker 1>you know, changed the outcome of the napt the Poker

0:32:27.044 --> 0:32:29.444
<v Speaker 1>Stars event that I just went deep in. So these

0:32:29.444 --> 0:32:33.324
<v Speaker 1>things matter. And you know, when you're in high pressure situations,

0:32:33.364 --> 0:32:36.804
<v Speaker 1>mental game and your ability to perform is incredibly important.

0:32:38.084 --> 0:32:40.284
<v Speaker 1>But even the best people who have strong mental game

0:32:40.724 --> 0:32:41.644
<v Speaker 1>sometimes screw up.

0:32:42.684 --> 0:32:44.844
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, there's a lot about this in my book On

0:32:44.964 --> 0:32:48.244
<v Speaker 2>the Edge the ARTI for seeing everything from Penguin Press

0:32:48.244 --> 0:32:52.724
<v Speaker 2>and but about performance under pressure and actually the physiological

0:32:52.844 --> 0:32:57.444
<v Speaker 2>changes that you experience under pressure, because it's not just mental, right, No, No,

0:32:57.484 --> 0:33:03.324
<v Speaker 2>there's Evolutionarily our bodies understand when we're in high stake situations,

0:33:03.324 --> 0:33:08.564
<v Speaker 2>whether they're physical or mental or somewhere in between. You

0:33:09.604 --> 0:33:12.644
<v Speaker 2>not fake, and you don't necessarily want to fake because

0:33:12.684 --> 0:33:15.724
<v Speaker 2>actually your body is more alert and getting more information. Right,

0:33:16.564 --> 0:33:20.524
<v Speaker 2>if you're playing a the final table of a ten

0:33:20.604 --> 0:33:23.244
<v Speaker 2>thousand dollars poker tournament, as Marie and I hope to do, right,

0:33:24.244 --> 0:33:26.004
<v Speaker 2>you are going to react differently than when you're playing

0:33:26.004 --> 0:33:28.004
<v Speaker 2>your one dollar two dollars home game on Tuesday.

0:33:28.084 --> 0:33:30.604
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, and you.

0:33:30.684 --> 0:33:33.764
<v Speaker 2>Sell yourself and you counted your brain, but you're on

0:33:33.804 --> 0:33:36.004
<v Speaker 2>a different operating system where you your heart rate would

0:33:36.004 --> 0:33:36.644
<v Speaker 2>be a lot higher.

0:33:36.724 --> 0:33:36.924
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:33:38.844 --> 0:33:40.964
<v Speaker 2>You know, some people become more intuitive, which can be

0:33:41.004 --> 0:33:43.324
<v Speaker 2>a good thing or a bad thing, but like it

0:33:43.364 --> 0:33:45.884
<v Speaker 2>becomes you know, you can be in the zone where

0:33:45.884 --> 0:33:47.724
<v Speaker 2>you're like just kind of feel like I'm seeing things

0:33:47.764 --> 0:33:50.244
<v Speaker 2>that's happened to me a handful of times, right, or

0:33:50.284 --> 0:33:54.324
<v Speaker 2>you can choke. So when you run deep in a

0:33:54.324 --> 0:33:56.684
<v Speaker 2>poker tournament, like really deep. So I played in twenty

0:33:56.724 --> 0:34:00.524
<v Speaker 2>twenty three, I both made like day five of the

0:34:00.564 --> 0:34:03.164
<v Speaker 2>Millionaire Maker and day six of the main Event, right,

0:34:03.204 --> 0:34:06.644
<v Speaker 2>And so you see what happens in these big soft tournaments.

0:34:06.644 --> 0:34:08.204
<v Speaker 2>The Main Event, by the way, is like one of

0:34:08.204 --> 0:34:11.044
<v Speaker 2>the softest poker tournaments. And in the world, lots of

0:34:11.124 --> 0:34:14.004
<v Speaker 2>kind of rich yolo guys come and show up, right,

0:34:14.084 --> 0:34:17.564
<v Speaker 2>lots of people who qualify in some way, and like,

0:34:18.124 --> 0:34:23.044
<v Speaker 2>so this is a population of predominantly amateurs, right, and

0:34:23.084 --> 0:34:26.404
<v Speaker 2>they just lose their shit when the pressure is on. Right.

0:34:26.484 --> 0:34:29.564
<v Speaker 2>Some of them probably have like it's a self sabotage

0:34:30.364 --> 0:34:33.044
<v Speaker 2>complex or like survivorship guilt. Some of them are just tired.

0:34:33.044 --> 0:34:35.324
<v Speaker 2>They've been playing poker for you know, a six year

0:34:35.324 --> 0:34:37.444
<v Speaker 2>old guy who's not used to playing poker all day.

0:34:37.444 --> 0:34:39.364
<v Speaker 2>Now it plays high stressed poker for four days in

0:34:39.364 --> 0:34:41.844
<v Speaker 2>a row, for twelve hours with all these younger kids

0:34:41.884 --> 0:34:44.244
<v Speaker 2>and like, and then maybe they lose a big pot

0:34:44.284 --> 0:34:47.044
<v Speaker 2>and they freak out and they and they tilt, and

0:34:47.124 --> 0:34:50.564
<v Speaker 2>you see people shaking to the point where you know

0:34:50.644 --> 0:34:53.444
<v Speaker 2>it almost looks like they have some type of medical

0:34:53.444 --> 0:34:56.404
<v Speaker 2>condition because but but because your body is having a profound,

0:34:57.124 --> 0:35:00.164
<v Speaker 2>like physiological response to stress, and then it goes away

0:35:00.164 --> 0:35:04.084
<v Speaker 2>the minute hit the hands over. Okay, So if you

0:35:04.484 --> 0:35:06.364
<v Speaker 2>do not eventually adapt to that in poker, then you

0:35:06.444 --> 0:35:09.604
<v Speaker 2>probably don't get very far. So you filter in fromtional

0:35:09.644 --> 0:35:13.324
<v Speaker 2>setting people who like who are either tolerant other type

0:35:13.364 --> 0:35:15.484
<v Speaker 2>of stress or even enjoy it, the sickos of Michael

0:35:15.564 --> 0:35:19.404
<v Speaker 2>Jordan's of the world who enjoy the stress.

0:35:19.484 --> 0:35:19.604
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:35:19.684 --> 0:35:23.124
<v Speaker 2>Jason Kuhn, another very good fucker player quotuck to the book,

0:35:24.404 --> 0:35:26.604
<v Speaker 2>grew up in this very rough upbringing in West Virginia

0:35:26.644 --> 0:35:28.284
<v Speaker 2>and had like an abusive father and things like that.

0:35:28.284 --> 0:35:30.964
<v Speaker 2>And he's like, yeah, for me, it's like that's natural, right,

0:35:30.964 --> 0:35:32.964
<v Speaker 2>Like high stress, I feel kind of more comfortable in

0:35:32.964 --> 0:35:37.204
<v Speaker 2>a fucked up way under high stress. So yeah, impressional sports.

0:35:37.204 --> 0:35:40.324
<v Speaker 2>It's rare to see someone who will survive through the

0:35:40.324 --> 0:35:42.444
<v Speaker 2>gauntlet of high school and college and whatever else. You know.

0:35:42.484 --> 0:35:45.644
<v Speaker 2>Ben Simmons, the former Philadelphia seventy six er, is kind

0:35:45.644 --> 0:35:51.004
<v Speaker 2>of an exception. He's known as a choke artist and Parkers.

0:35:51.044 --> 0:35:54.284
<v Speaker 2>He's so naturally talented that he could kind of overcome that, right,

0:35:54.324 --> 0:35:56.244
<v Speaker 2>But like usually you kind of feelter that out. But

0:35:56.484 --> 0:35:59.844
<v Speaker 2>it's like not a natural thing to be, like to

0:35:59.884 --> 0:36:02.924
<v Speaker 2>have the eyes of the world kind of literally upon you.

0:36:03.004 --> 0:36:04.884
<v Speaker 2>This is all live stream, right, and like, you know,

0:36:05.044 --> 0:36:08.004
<v Speaker 2>the most high pressure moment of his life. And so

0:36:08.084 --> 0:36:11.044
<v Speaker 2>I'm very I'm very very empathetic. But chess is kind

0:36:11.084 --> 0:36:13.564
<v Speaker 2>of you know, it's not quite like poker, and that

0:36:13.644 --> 0:36:15.684
<v Speaker 2>like an amateur I could go play in a much

0:36:15.724 --> 0:36:18.084
<v Speaker 2>tougher tournament than I'm qualified for in poker, I still

0:36:18.124 --> 0:36:20.964
<v Speaker 2>have a chance of winning. Right, if I entered a

0:36:21.484 --> 0:36:25.684
<v Speaker 2>Chess World Championship, I guarantee you, I guarantee you I

0:36:25.724 --> 0:36:30.004
<v Speaker 2>get checkmated within ten moves every single time. Right, There's

0:36:30.044 --> 0:36:34.364
<v Speaker 2>not a lot of luck in chess, so the cream

0:36:34.444 --> 0:36:37.084
<v Speaker 2>rises to the top. But still still, you know, and

0:36:37.124 --> 0:36:39.924
<v Speaker 2>then it can be things like if you're a little tired.

0:36:39.964 --> 0:36:41.564
<v Speaker 2>I used to try to like do things like be

0:36:41.644 --> 0:36:44.324
<v Speaker 2>a hero. I want to play a poker tournament, and like, oh,

0:36:44.324 --> 0:36:45.924
<v Speaker 2>I'll just skip lunch. I you know how if you

0:36:45.964 --> 0:36:49.124
<v Speaker 2>make too many calories yesterday, so I'll skip lunch and

0:36:49.124 --> 0:36:51.084
<v Speaker 2>wait till the dinner break and like and you know,

0:36:51.164 --> 0:36:52.884
<v Speaker 2>you play enough, and you kind of see that when

0:36:52.884 --> 0:36:55.804
<v Speaker 2>you're physically tired, when you have other stresses in your life,

0:36:55.804 --> 0:36:59.524
<v Speaker 2>when you're hungry, then you play you worse, right, and

0:36:59.524 --> 0:37:02.844
<v Speaker 2>it kind of comes out in ways that aren't necessarily conscious,

0:37:02.884 --> 0:37:05.484
<v Speaker 2>but like rather like you know, you just kind of

0:37:05.484 --> 0:37:07.124
<v Speaker 2>punt a hand. You're like, you know, actually there's problem

0:37:07.164 --> 0:37:09.764
<v Speaker 2>on body telling me that, Like this post's probably pretty different,

0:37:09.764 --> 0:37:11.244
<v Speaker 2>and I really need to get some fucking dinner, right.

0:37:11.284 --> 0:37:14.004
<v Speaker 2>And you've done that enough where you kind of learn

0:37:14.044 --> 0:37:16.044
<v Speaker 2>how your body and your mind are are not so

0:37:16.084 --> 0:37:16.844
<v Speaker 2>easy to separate.

0:37:17.444 --> 0:37:20.524
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, absolutely absolutely, And I think that it's impossible, like

0:37:20.564 --> 0:37:23.404
<v Speaker 1>you cannot underestimate the effects of fatigue. And this is

0:37:23.404 --> 0:37:27.084
<v Speaker 1>what I mean. Dangla Jen was incredibly tired, right, this

0:37:27.164 --> 0:37:28.804
<v Speaker 1>is not He didn't blunder in the first game. He

0:37:28.844 --> 0:37:31.804
<v Speaker 1>had a beautiful first game like this is we're fourteen

0:37:31.844 --> 0:37:35.004
<v Speaker 1>games in here, and you know that that really and

0:37:35.284 --> 0:37:37.724
<v Speaker 1>it was I think four hours into the match, right, So,

0:37:37.884 --> 0:37:40.204
<v Speaker 1>like you you've been thinking at that high level for

0:37:40.244 --> 0:37:43.044
<v Speaker 1>a very long time. And something that I think that

0:37:43.204 --> 0:37:46.164
<v Speaker 1>a lot of poker players can probably relate to is

0:37:46.484 --> 0:37:49.764
<v Speaker 1>sometimes like when you've been working so hard for so long,

0:37:50.044 --> 0:37:52.004
<v Speaker 1>like you just want to simplify, right, Like you just

0:37:52.044 --> 0:37:54.044
<v Speaker 1>want it to be over. Like in poker, there's like

0:37:54.164 --> 0:37:56.044
<v Speaker 1>the tendency to go all in. Right, You're like, I

0:37:56.084 --> 0:37:57.924
<v Speaker 1>don't want to play post flop, like I don't want

0:37:57.964 --> 0:38:00.964
<v Speaker 1>to like have that complex decision making like he four

0:38:01.004 --> 0:38:03.404
<v Speaker 1>bet me, like fuck it, I'm all in, or lucky

0:38:03.524 --> 0:38:06.004
<v Speaker 1>three bet me, like fucking I'm all in for sixty

0:38:06.044 --> 0:38:08.484
<v Speaker 1>big blinds, right like whoa who whoa, whoa whoa. But

0:38:08.524 --> 0:38:11.844
<v Speaker 1>I've done that. Sometimes sometimes you're just like I don't

0:38:11.884 --> 0:38:15.244
<v Speaker 1>want to think through the complexities. Please simplify this for me.

0:38:15.524 --> 0:38:18.564
<v Speaker 1>And this is something that like I said, I'm not

0:38:18.604 --> 0:38:21.044
<v Speaker 1>a chess expert. When I talked to Jen and she

0:38:21.084 --> 0:38:22.764
<v Speaker 1>said that she's going to be writing about this on

0:38:22.804 --> 0:38:26.324
<v Speaker 1>her substack. She actually thinks that this is a good

0:38:26.764 --> 0:38:30.804
<v Speaker 1>kind of strategically this is part of what happened in

0:38:30.844 --> 0:38:34.724
<v Speaker 1>this particular case where he was trying to simplify the

0:38:34.804 --> 0:38:36.844
<v Speaker 1>end game. He was trying to kind of get it

0:38:37.004 --> 0:38:41.924
<v Speaker 1>to a stalemate more quickly, and he made a mistake

0:38:42.004 --> 0:38:44.644
<v Speaker 1>while he was doing that. So as opposed to kind

0:38:44.644 --> 0:38:47.404
<v Speaker 1>of just playing it out, he just wanted he just

0:38:47.444 --> 0:38:49.564
<v Speaker 1>wanted it to be over. And I think that's a

0:38:49.684 --> 0:38:54.084
<v Speaker 1>very very human that's a very human tendency and that's

0:38:54.124 --> 0:38:56.364
<v Speaker 1>something that you know, we should be aware of. But

0:38:57.084 --> 0:39:00.124
<v Speaker 1>I will end by saying, like he has remarkable self awareness, right,

0:39:00.164 --> 0:39:03.644
<v Speaker 1>Like he is someone who I think will take this

0:39:03.764 --> 0:39:07.724
<v Speaker 1>opportunity and learn from it, or at least I hope so,

0:39:07.844 --> 0:39:11.244
<v Speaker 1>because he you know, he dared to come back after

0:39:11.724 --> 0:39:17.204
<v Speaker 1>depression after losing dozens of games in a row, and

0:39:17.844 --> 0:39:20.604
<v Speaker 1>you know, he did not perform while after becoming the

0:39:20.604 --> 0:39:24.124
<v Speaker 1>world champion. Clearly that stress got to him and he's back.

0:39:24.204 --> 0:39:26.764
<v Speaker 1>So I think that that's kind of the other part

0:39:26.764 --> 0:39:29.404
<v Speaker 1>of mental game where everyone's going to choke at some point,

0:39:29.444 --> 0:39:31.644
<v Speaker 1>Like we're all going to have that moment where like

0:39:31.724 --> 0:39:34.724
<v Speaker 1>we fuck up, and how you react to that I

0:39:34.764 --> 0:39:37.524
<v Speaker 1>think is kind of the is the true kind of

0:39:37.604 --> 0:39:39.684
<v Speaker 1>the true test, right do you say Okay, you know

0:39:39.764 --> 0:39:42.004
<v Speaker 1>I fucked up, and then how do I avoid it

0:39:42.044 --> 0:39:44.364
<v Speaker 1>next time? Or do you just lose your shit completely?

0:39:45.324 --> 0:39:48.924
<v Speaker 1>On that note, Nate, let's go and play day two

0:39:49.244 --> 0:39:51.724
<v Speaker 1>of the Win Championship main event.

0:39:51.964 --> 0:39:55.364
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we both made it. I have a decent stack. Maria,

0:39:55.404 --> 0:39:59.724
<v Speaker 2>I texted you, how you doing what Sunday? She's like, Oh,

0:39:59.724 --> 0:40:02.964
<v Speaker 2>it's going good. I'm like, yo, how many chips do

0:40:03.044 --> 0:40:03.324
<v Speaker 2>you have?

0:40:03.404 --> 0:40:03.604
<v Speaker 1>Right?

0:40:03.924 --> 0:40:07.604
<v Speaker 2>I knew that you had a lot of chips. I

0:40:07.644 --> 0:40:08.964
<v Speaker 2>knew you had a lot of chips when you were

0:40:08.964 --> 0:40:11.124
<v Speaker 2>too say how many chips you had?

0:40:12.844 --> 0:40:12.964
<v Speaker 1>All?

0:40:13.044 --> 0:40:13.244
<v Speaker 2>Right?

0:40:14.284 --> 0:40:17.604
<v Speaker 1>On that note, let's both hope for a smooth sailing

0:40:17.724 --> 0:40:19.964
<v Speaker 1>day two. We are not yet in the money. By

0:40:20.004 --> 0:40:22.724
<v Speaker 1>the time you all hear this on Thursday, we will

0:40:22.764 --> 0:40:25.084
<v Speaker 1>know how we did. But right now, you know it's

0:40:25.404 --> 0:40:28.084
<v Speaker 1>an open question. And so here's to some run good

0:40:28.124 --> 0:40:36.204
<v Speaker 1>and good luck for the day. Let us know what

0:40:36.244 --> 0:40:38.644
<v Speaker 1>you think of the show. Reach out to us at

0:40:38.964 --> 0:40:44.524
<v Speaker 1>Risky Business at Pushkin dot FM. Risky Business is hosted

0:40:44.524 --> 0:40:46.804
<v Speaker 1>by me Maria Kannikova.

0:40:46.164 --> 0:40:47.484
<v Speaker 2>And byby Nate Silver.

0:40:48.084 --> 0:40:51.604
<v Speaker 1>The show is a co production of Pushkin Industries and iHeartMedia.

0:40:52.124 --> 0:40:55.684
<v Speaker 1>This episode was produced by Isabelle Carter. Our associate producer

0:40:55.764 --> 0:40:59.284
<v Speaker 1>is Gabriel Hunter Chang. Our executive producer is Jacob Goldstein.

0:40:59.924 --> 0:41:02.044
<v Speaker 2>If you like the show, please rate and review us

0:41:02.044 --> 0:41:04.084
<v Speaker 2>so all the people can find us too. And if

0:41:04.084 --> 0:41:06.364
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0:41:06.404 --> 0:41:09.124
<v Speaker 2>up for Pushkin Plus. For six ten nine a month,

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