1 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: What's up, guys. Happy Sunday. What's up and welcome to 2 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: Matt Parolta. Got's calling me across all socials at Sports 4 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: Talk Matt in. This podcast always being brought to you 5 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: by Omaha Steaks dot Com promo Code Juice at check 6 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:30,920 Speaker 1: out to get all these savings. We'll have a new 7 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:34,520 Speaker 1: offer for you guys coming up tomorrow for Father's Day 8 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: as we start the countdown to Father's Day in the 9 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:39,479 Speaker 1: month of June. To stay tuned for that with Omaha 10 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com promo Code Juice. All right, So three 11 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:48,840 Speaker 1: and oh on Friday, oh and three Saturday, the baseball 12 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:53,200 Speaker 1: gods bite back one nothing. I'm not sure the Cubs 13 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: won that game. I think Cody Bellinger was out at 14 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 1: home plate zero zero. They walked it off. I think 15 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: the Cubs got ripped. I think the Pirates get ripped off. 16 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:04,039 Speaker 1: I think the Cub's law, or at least I was tied, 17 00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 1: should have gone to extras. I think we still would 18 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 1: have lost a run line anyway, but maybe a two 19 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: run home run. I don't know, but we lose two 20 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: units on the Cubs. That's stunk. And then for nothing. 21 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 1: All of a sudden, Walker Buehler's back to being Walker 22 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:19,120 Speaker 1: Buehler and the Reds get shut out for nothing. So 23 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 1: there we got. We went from a what twenty two 24 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 1: and nine to twenty two and twelve real quick as 25 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:27,679 Speaker 1: we get reminded about baseball. It's Sunday. We don't bet 26 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: baseball on Sunday. No, no, no, So what are we betting? 27 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: Two more golf bets and two more are two NBA plays? 28 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 1: So right now I am downero point nine units for 29 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 1: the week. Okay, that Saturday was a killer. We had 30 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: a good week going. And then yeah, Brooks Kopka's not 31 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 1: winning this thing. Scottie Scheffler is not winning this thing. 32 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: Justin Thomas is not winning this thing. And who was 33 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 1: our fourth one that we had for that? So that 34 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 1: was Roy McElroy when this thing? Okay, so that will 35 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: be one unit down there. Rory has not beaten Xander 36 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 1: Shoffeley unless Andrew Shoffley has an absolute meltdown, so we 37 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:14,080 Speaker 1: down two point three units there, and then Brooks in 38 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 1: the top ten will not happen, So that's down another 39 00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 1: half a unit. So what would be left? So in 40 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 1: order for this not to be a catastrophic PGA. We 41 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: need Justin Thomas. I gu it's not catastrophic. It'll be 42 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,799 Speaker 1: down three units or so. But Justin Thomas plus four 43 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 1: thirty we need him in the top ten. He's lurking, 44 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:40,399 Speaker 1: he's right there. If Justin Thomas comes in the top 45 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 1: ten plus four thirty, we make over two units on 46 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:48,519 Speaker 1: a half a unit bet. We're okay. Now, it's probably 47 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: going to be a losing, you know, be a loser 48 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 1: for the PGA, but not nearly as bad. So that happens. 49 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: That puts us into a place to potentially have a 50 00:02:56,240 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 1: profitable PGA. Why two bets for us? Okay, I'm going 51 00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 1: to go to the round over underscore for round number four. 52 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 1: All right. Scotty Scheffler played a horrific round of golf 53 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: on Saturday. He is out of it. Okay, he's out 54 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:17,359 Speaker 1: of it. He gets to play care free on Sunday. 55 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:21,360 Speaker 1: He is being projected at sixty seven and a half. 56 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: It's the par seventy one. What will the PGA do 57 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:28,920 Speaker 1: with this golf course? Shane Lowry shot a sixty two yesterday, 58 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 1: same score that was posted by Xander Schoffley on Thursday, 59 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: that's the fourth and fifth time in the history of 60 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: major golf, over one hundred years of major golf, we've 61 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 1: had five rounds of sixty two, two of which have 62 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: happened in this tournament at this golf course. So what 63 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: would the PGA do. I don't know the course is 64 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: going to dry out, not no raining in the forecast. 65 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 1: But maybe they put really hard pin placements out there. 66 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 1: But I'm not sure they're going to got two golfers 67 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 1: at fifteen under, a couple at fourteen under, a bunch 68 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 1: of thirteen under. I think Scotty Scheffler goes out there 69 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 1: and puts up a number. I think Scotty will shoot 70 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 1: sixty six. Scottie Scheffler under sixty seven and a half 71 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:24,800 Speaker 1: minus one thirty one point three units down on Scotty 72 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 1: Scheffler to go out there, great, care free on a 73 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 1: Sunday and just throw a number up. Okay, just put 74 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 1: it up. See where you finish. Cheffer's not winning the tournament, 75 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: but without pressure on him, I think the machine comes back. 76 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:39,280 Speaker 1: I think he has a really good Sunday. He had 77 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 1: a horrible Saturday. I think he's a really good Sunday. 78 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 1: I think everything that happened on Thursday. Cut up after 79 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:47,359 Speaker 1: Thursday Thursday night to Friday. I think that caught up 80 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 1: with him. But on Friday he shot a sixty six. 81 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 1: I think a similar store score gets posted here on 82 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 1: Sunday for Scotty Scheffler under six seven and a half 83 00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 1: one point three units down Scotty Scheffler under sixty seven 84 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 1: and a half final round score here at the PGA. 85 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 1: Other bet Justin Thomas. I'm gonna double down. We need 86 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: JT in the top ten for plus four thirty half 87 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 1: a unit, sixty eight and a half. Justin Thomas, can 88 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:22,480 Speaker 1: he shoot a sixty eight three under par? I think 89 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 1: he can. It's Sunday, but I think he can. He'll 90 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 1: have a gigantic amount of people cheering for him. We're 91 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: gonna need him to shoot sixty eight or better to 92 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:33,279 Speaker 1: get into the top ten. So why not double down 93 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:35,640 Speaker 1: here a little bit and see maybe Justin Thomas puts 94 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:37,480 Speaker 1: up a big number, because who knows, maybe the course 95 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:40,119 Speaker 1: is really gettable and maybe he doesn't get that plus 96 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 1: four thirty, but he might, and if he does, we'll 97 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: have two point one or so. Let's add maybe one 98 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 1: unit to it, and maybe we wind up having ourselves 99 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: a flat PGA. If these two bets cash, we're gonna 100 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: have a horrific I mean, down with five units PG 101 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: will be a disaster, But you know it's golf betting. 102 00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 1: Golf betting's at a feast of famine types. But Justin 103 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 1: Thomas is plus money. FanDuel has this plus money Justin 104 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:09,840 Speaker 1: Thomas under sixty eight and a half final round score 105 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:13,640 Speaker 1: for the fourth round, it's plus one fifteen, one unit 106 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 1: down on Justin Thomas to shoot lower than a sixty 107 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 1: and a half. All right, So the final two bets 108 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 1: for the PGA Scottie Scheffler under six seven and a 109 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:25,039 Speaker 1: half at mis one thirty, Justin Thomas under sixty eight 110 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:27,479 Speaker 1: and a half at plus one fifteen. All right. To 111 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:35,159 Speaker 1: the NBA Pacers, Nicks, will og play, maybe, will heart play? 112 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:40,599 Speaker 1: Maybe the number tells me that the books don't really know. 113 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 1: Nicks are three and a half or three point favorites 114 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:47,279 Speaker 1: here the total is twoh seven and a half. I 115 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: definitely lean towards the under in both these games. Minnesota, 116 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 1: Denver and Indiana, New York lean towards the under in 117 00:06:55,440 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 1: both of these games. However, I think the Knicks are done. 118 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:03,040 Speaker 1: I think the Knicks are gonna have a tough time here. 119 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:06,919 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the plus one forty the money line 120 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 1: super book here in Vegas, plus one forty. They're kind 121 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 1: of like the market high, to be quite honest, from 122 00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 1: a moneyline perspective, Circa's at plus one thirty eight, South 123 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: Points at plus one twenty five, DraftKings plus one thirty. 124 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: Caesars is plus one forty three. There's a better number 125 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 1: out there that I don't have access to at the moment. 126 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 1: But you want to take Seesars plus one forty three, 127 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 1: there's a I can go ahead. I'm gonna take plus 128 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 1: one forty at the super book Pacers money line. Here's 129 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 1: what I'm gonna try to do, though, once I get 130 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 1: a good plus price, if I can get plus one 131 00:07:36,240 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 1: forty or better on the Knicks in game, I'm gonna 132 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 1: bet the Knicks. Let's just arb this, Okay. This is 133 00:07:43,800 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: gonna be a tight game. It's a game seven Knicks 134 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 1: are at home. Let's take the plus plus one forty, Okay, 135 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 1: and maybe the Pacers come out and blow them out. 136 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 1: We'll go wire to wire. It's never a doubt. But 137 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 1: if Indiana comes out and maybe takes a punch in 138 00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 1: the first half, and maybe in the third quarter they 139 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: wake up and they get a nice lead and the 140 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: Knicks are down by five or six points. We might 141 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 1: get plus one forty on the Knicks money line that happens. 142 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:11,640 Speaker 1: Bet it, Okay, So it's plus one forty, plus one forty. 143 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:14,640 Speaker 1: We're gonna arbit and we're gonna make point four. Okay, 144 00:08:14,920 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 1: just guaranteed win. Okay, that's what we're gunning for here 145 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 1: with Knicks and the Pacers in a game seven, try 146 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: to get that live number. If not, just ride the 147 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 1: Pacers at plus one forty all the way to the end. Okay, 148 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 1: Nicks going wire to wire, don't see it. We know 149 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:33,480 Speaker 1: that Brunson's banged up. Indiana it doesn't know any better. 150 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: They're young, They're gonna shoot a bunch of threes. Lean 151 00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:39,960 Speaker 1: towards the under. But I'm gonna take money line Pacers 152 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 1: plus one forty and look to work off that during 153 00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 1: the game for Game seven and the final bet. Denver 154 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 1: at home against Minnesota. Look, I think the Tea Wolves 155 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 1: are done. I don't think Minnesota loses. Sorry, Denver loses 156 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: another home game. It would be stunning. A game seven 157 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 1: at home. They lost Game one, they lost Game two, 158 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 1: they didn't lose Game three at home. Third home game 159 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:03,320 Speaker 1: for Denver, but the Nuggets are gonna lose three home 160 00:09:03,360 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 1: games in the same series. Can't see it. We saw 161 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 1: it with Dallas. They didn't cover, but they did win 162 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 1: against OKAC and the home teams come in here. Denver 163 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:19,480 Speaker 1: wins both OKAC and Minnesota both get sent packing on 164 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:21,439 Speaker 1: the weekend. But I'm gonna lay the four and a 165 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 1: half points Denver minus four and a half at home. 166 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:27,840 Speaker 1: I just think the better team the Denver's Nuggets, the 167 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 1: better team they're at home. Defensively, again, I lean towards 168 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 1: the under on this to go and take the under 169 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:35,319 Speaker 1: on Denver because I do think Denver is going to 170 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 1: play great defense. Denver was a dynamic under team for 171 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: most of the year. Last three games have gone under. 172 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:43,560 Speaker 1: But this total is so darn low. I feel like 173 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 1: this is the basement. One ninety six and a half, 174 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 1: I mean, my goodness, too low. But you know, I 175 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 1: still think about the under. But over, I think comes 176 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 1: into question the further this thing goes down in game 177 00:09:57,520 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 1: maybe one ninety three, ninety four somewhere that range you 178 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:02,559 Speaker 1: bet over, But I'm gonna lay the four and a 179 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:05,040 Speaker 1: half with the Minnesota with the Denver Nuggets at home 180 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 1: for one point one unit's Denver minus four and a 181 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:12,080 Speaker 1: half against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game seven. Okay, four 182 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:14,640 Speaker 1: bets on a Sunday, A lot hinges, a lot of 183 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:16,839 Speaker 1: things hinging on the day today, We'll see we wind 184 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,680 Speaker 1: up winning or losing for the week. Scottie Scheffler under 185 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 1: six seven and a half final round score, Justin Thomas 186 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 1: under sixty eight and a half plus one fifteen on 187 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:30,520 Speaker 1: that Pacers money line plus one forty Denver Nuggets minus 188 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:33,679 Speaker 1: four and a half for their Game sevens in the 189 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 1: NBA minus Matt Parole to Thunmo across all socials at 190 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt every morning Del Juice podcast I was 191 00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 1: being brought to you by Omah Steaks dot com