WEBVTT - The 10 Biggest Bounce-Back Candidates + 6 Undervalued Gems Based on Projections (Ep. 622)

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<v Speaker 1>Bounce Back Central, let's talk to the pros. Welcome in

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<v Speaker 1>everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy Baseball Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>It is me Joey p Joe Pizzapia, and today we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna take a look at ten bounce back candidates for

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<v Speaker 1>the twenty twenty three season. That's right, last year is

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<v Speaker 1>not the end all, be all for these guys. We're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna tell you which names you want on your team

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<v Speaker 1>to give a second chance, and we're also gonna talk

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<v Speaker 1>about some of the projection gems some guys that it

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<v Speaker 1>might be a little undervalued when it comes to projections

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<v Speaker 1>that we think have a bigger twenty twenty three in

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<v Speaker 1>store for them. And to help me do it, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>is my partner the Welsh Chris Welsh, following on the

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<v Speaker 1>Twitter machine at is it the Welsh and Welsh? I

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<v Speaker 1>like second chances? How about you?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, third, fourth, whatever, Yeah, give me all the chances

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<v Speaker 2>you can get. Yeah. No, in baseball, I'm definitely with it.

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<v Speaker 2>Also think, you know, you can look at it a

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<v Speaker 2>couple different ways, as we look at sleepers different ways.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, the term sleeper can mean a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>different things, even bounce back candidates are not only second chances,

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<v Speaker 2>but you know, you're looking at weird opportunities maybe lost

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<v Speaker 2>by injury and stuff like that that can necessitate the

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<v Speaker 2>bounce back, if you will. So there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>different ways to look at this, and I am here

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<v Speaker 2>for it. It's actually probably my biggest struggle Joe. Like

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<v Speaker 2>I'm I'm a sucker for a guy that has performed

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<v Speaker 2>really well, especially when they've done it, maybe even like

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<v Speaker 2>two seasons, and then just something weird or odd takes

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<v Speaker 2>them off the table. I got a hard time quitting them,

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<v Speaker 2>whether it's prospects or major leaguers. And there are definitely

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<v Speaker 2>quite a few on this list and your list, I

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<v Speaker 2>think I pretty much take a little glance a glance

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<v Speaker 2>at the Joe list here. Yeah, pretty much agree with

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<v Speaker 2>almost top ten. There's actually one I don't, But there's

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<v Speaker 2>a couple on there that I would have picked had

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<v Speaker 2>you not. But Joe got to the sheet first, folks.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, the advantage of making the sheet is that you

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<v Speaker 1>get to put all your stuff in the sheet first.

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<v Speaker 1>But I'll say this, you know, it's always different reasons too.

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<v Speaker 1>Sometimes it's injuries, sometimes it's you know, guy, you know

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<v Speaker 1>signs a big contract, puts that onus upon themselves. Sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>it's just circumstances beyond their control, or the team starts

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<v Speaker 1>jettising players around them, they lose line of protection. There's

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<v Speaker 1>so many reasons why guys sometimes have down years. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>sometimes it's just personal things. They're actually people, everybody, believe

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<v Speaker 1>it or not. Let's jump into some of these names.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about him. Let's start here with my number

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<v Speaker 1>one guy, which is Nick Castilianos. To me, Casianos is

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<v Speaker 1>the perfect suitor of what I just mentioned, which is,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, first spot in the new city. We've seen

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<v Speaker 1>this happen plenty of times in the past, where I

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<v Speaker 1>think when a player like Nick Casiganos, he's got such

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<v Speaker 1>a good track record behind him that you're not really

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<v Speaker 1>concerned about the kind of player he is. I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's just a matter of now that you know, you

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<v Speaker 1>can relax into this setting in Philadelphia. And I'll tell

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<v Speaker 1>you why. With Albryce Harper for the first three plus

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<v Speaker 1>months of the season, they're gonna need Casianos. They're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>need him to really kind of bounce back and be

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<v Speaker 1>the guy he was. And if you look at some

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<v Speaker 1>of the deeper numbers, they're still pretty good. I know

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<v Speaker 1>last year was a huge disappointment in the power department,

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<v Speaker 1>only thirteen home runs. He did steal seven bags, which

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<v Speaker 1>is not you know, normally what you get out of him.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, if you go back to the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty one numbers where thirty four home runs and drove

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<v Speaker 1>in one hundred, I don't necessarily expect that, but I

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<v Speaker 1>think you can get somebody closer to that twenty six

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<v Speaker 1>to one hundred, that twenty seven to ninety kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a player in Nick Castiano's it's a favorable home run ballpark.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's just a matter of first year in

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<v Speaker 1>a new place, pressing a lot. He's a very personality wise.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Casiana's a little wound up kind of a dude.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we've seen that in the past of the

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<v Speaker 1>Cincinnati days, so I think it was hard for him

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of relax and settle in this year. I

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<v Speaker 1>expect him to do that, and like I said, I

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<v Speaker 1>think they're going to really need him, and he's looking

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<v Speaker 1>right now. I mean, the ECRs won twenty one, the

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<v Speaker 1>ADP is one thirty overall, He's coming at a pretty

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<v Speaker 1>good price. Where outfield is rough and a guy like

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<v Speaker 1>Casiano's going as the thirty third outfielder overall, I think

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<v Speaker 1>you could do a lot worse than.

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<v Speaker 2>That Welsh Yeah, you know, and in taking a look

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<v Speaker 2>at him too, there's a lot of things that don't

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<v Speaker 2>feel crazy off. It was a lot about hard hit.

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<v Speaker 2>It was a lot about that. I mean, he was

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<v Speaker 2>striking the ball at quite a lower rate as far

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<v Speaker 2>as career wise, and usually is. Hard hit percentage was

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<v Speaker 2>thirty four point six percent, which was the second lowest

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<v Speaker 2>of his career. And my point is like that's an anomaly.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, he's been in the forty percent five straight

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<v Speaker 2>seasons in there. X slug was actually a little bit

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<v Speaker 2>higher than his slug as far as expected goes, and

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<v Speaker 2>most everything else kind of in line sat there. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>launch angle, barrel percentage is a little bit lower, but

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<v Speaker 2>you talk about pressing, that's kind of it. He's going

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<v Speaker 2>to be really really counted on this year, is going

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<v Speaker 2>to be locked into that team a little bit more.

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<v Speaker 2>You got Trey Turner who might be hitting at the

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<v Speaker 2>top of the lineup, which is probably going to also

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<v Speaker 2>create some problems as far as defenses go, and maybe

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<v Speaker 2>more RBI opportunities. I really like the bounce back on

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<v Speaker 2>Castianis because he feels like I like, he gets lost

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<v Speaker 2>in the shuffle of outfielders, Like you don't think about him,

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<v Speaker 2>you don't look, and then all of a sudden, you're

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<v Speaker 2>like one hundred and fifteen and you're like, all right,

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<v Speaker 2>I need a third outfielder or second outfielder, and you're like, oh,

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<v Speaker 2>Castianos is still there. He's a good buyback, all right.

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<v Speaker 1>So who is the first guy you want to talk about?

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<v Speaker 1>And the bounce back candidates for twenty three.

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<v Speaker 2>So the bounce back really has to do with the injury.

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<v Speaker 2>When I was thinking about this, like I said, I thought,

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<v Speaker 2>you actually encapsulated on the majority of these really good

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<v Speaker 2>bounce back guys that struggled maybe out of weird performance things.

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<v Speaker 2>This is one that this player was lining up to

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<v Speaker 2>be what I think would have been one of the

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<v Speaker 2>bigger statistical seasons, and the time taken away has kind

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<v Speaker 2>of pushed him back at his position. And it's jazz chisseum.

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<v Speaker 2>And I know that might feel weird. You like bounce back, Well,

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<v Speaker 2>he's not. Imagine had he played the season, the guy

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<v Speaker 2>was lining up to be a thirty twenty player, and

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<v Speaker 2>what a thirty twenty players do They go in the

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<v Speaker 2>first round. Well, right, Jazz is not going in the

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<v Speaker 2>first round, and he's not going in the second or third,

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<v Speaker 2>and he's going off as about the fourth second baseman

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<v Speaker 2>if you will across the board. And you know, Jazz

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<v Speaker 2>was really he's always been like this big, crazy poll hitter.

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<v Speaker 2>He was really starting to establish himself. Walk percentage went

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<v Speaker 2>up by two percent, strikeout percentage went down, batting average

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<v Speaker 2>was kind of like stabilizing if he could be a

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<v Speaker 2>two to fifty guy. Projections still really like him, and

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<v Speaker 2>the batex has him as almost that twenty thirty guy

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<v Speaker 2>to anyone Homer's twenty nine stolen bases. So this is

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit of a different situation where it's not

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<v Speaker 2>necessarily about like one off year of performance, but that

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<v Speaker 2>off time miss. Plus he's moving positions, which I think

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<v Speaker 2>just has people weirded out about him going to center field.

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<v Speaker 2>I think Jazz is prime for a bounce back off

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<v Speaker 2>of the injury and it's going to put up some

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<v Speaker 2>big stats. And like I said, if he's a twenty

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<v Speaker 2>thirty guy that is first round, like that's just what

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<v Speaker 2>it did, and let's tell you guys, that's first round talent.

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<v Speaker 2>That's why I'm so high on Jazz.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Look, I think you drafted him yesterday, didn't you.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you have Chishem on your team?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah? I think so. I mean I try you. I

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<v Speaker 2>think you did it.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to say you did. If you missed that,

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<v Speaker 1>go check it out. Justin Mason was around yesterday for

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<v Speaker 1>our first live stream draft. You can see it on

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<v Speaker 1>the YouTube channel. And by the way, if you are

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<v Speaker 1>watching us on YouTube, don't forget to drop a comment below,

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<v Speaker 1>because if you do, you have a chance to get

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<v Speaker 1>upgraded for free to our premium Fantasy Gros product. If

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<v Speaker 1>you don't want to wait, you can go to Fancybros

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<v Speaker 1>dot com slash Premium and start playing smarter, not harder,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course you get access to the custom mock drafts,

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<v Speaker 1>cap tools, the analysis, everything at a much higher level,

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<v Speaker 1>plus all of our draft tools that are in there

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<v Speaker 1>and our season long management tools as well. It's just phenomenal.

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<v Speaker 1>But again, make sure you drop the comment in the

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<v Speaker 1>chat if you want to be get a chance to

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<v Speaker 1>get a free upgrade too. We're gonna pick people out

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<v Speaker 1>of there, so be a subscriber and go drop a

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<v Speaker 1>comment in the chat about that, and Welsh looking at

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<v Speaker 1>the next guy on my list, it's Eddie Rosario of

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<v Speaker 1>the Atlanta Braves. Now, Rosario is going pretty late. He

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<v Speaker 1>is like in the nineties in the outfield range, and

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<v Speaker 1>I understand, you know, he'll probably play mostly against right

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<v Speaker 1>handed pitching, but in those deeper leagues, we're really looking

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<v Speaker 1>for some help. If the vision is right, I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>chasing the thirty two to one oh nine season from

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<v Speaker 1>twenty nineteen. I'm not doing that when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>Eddi Rosario. But what I am gonna do with Eddie

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<v Speaker 1>Rosario and say to myself, all right, is this guy

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<v Speaker 1>healthy enough to give me one hundred and thirty games

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<v Speaker 1>or somewhere in that range, Because if he does, and

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<v Speaker 1>if you look at some of those years that he

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<v Speaker 1>posted with the Twins, he had a twenty five home

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<v Speaker 1>run guy. And I think we're all searching for some

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<v Speaker 1>late power and Eddie Rosario could be one of these

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<v Speaker 1>guys that I think that if you look at spring training,

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't mean a whole lot for a lot of people,

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<v Speaker 1>but for guys like Eddie Rosario, it does. You want

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<v Speaker 1>to see that he's healthy. You want to see that

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<v Speaker 1>he's seeing the ball well, but you also want to

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<v Speaker 1>see him have some early success because I think he does.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a really good omen for the twenty twenty three season,

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<v Speaker 1>and he's basically a free player.

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<v Speaker 2>Welsh, Yeah, Okay, he is free. So this is the

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<v Speaker 2>one that I don't like. I'm not with of your

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<v Speaker 2>list or the other four. I buy three of them.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm very, very staunching at Castianos. Is one actually your

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<v Speaker 2>last two? Like one hundred percent. When I knew the

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<v Speaker 2>topic I was going to put on here and you'd

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<v Speaker 2>already got to them. This is the one that I'm

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<v Speaker 2>just not with, though he's free, And I try to

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<v Speaker 2>make this case a whole lot, because I feel like

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<v Speaker 2>sometimes in fantasy baseball, we all just get stuck in

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<v Speaker 2>this circle where it's like everybody's got to talk about

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<v Speaker 2>the furthest down players, and there's a problem with everybody

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<v Speaker 2>and dah dah da da da, And then people will

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<v Speaker 2>pick on a guy that's like two sixty and they're like, well,

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<v Speaker 2>this guy is really going to be a bus, and

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<v Speaker 2>it's like it's hard to be a bus at that level.

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<v Speaker 2>So I'm gonna acknowledge that that Eddy wasor is free,

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<v Speaker 2>which is nice. But the problem is, yeah, he's absolutely free.

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<v Speaker 2>The problem is strikeout rate went way up, contact rate

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<v Speaker 2>way down. He looks like he's in a platoon right

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<v Speaker 2>now with Marcello Zoon. I know Zunu can play DH,

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<v Speaker 2>but they also want Travis Darnault, something they kind of

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<v Speaker 2>promised when they brought in Sean Murphy. I just don't

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<v Speaker 2>know if the playing time is consistent, and I'm worried

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<v Speaker 2>about a player like this being able to have the

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<v Speaker 2>opportunity to get hot, and I don't think that's there

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<v Speaker 2>for him. But he's free, so the bounce back is

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<v Speaker 2>really guess what I want to.

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<v Speaker 1>Remind you remember a couple of years ago when Mitch

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<v Speaker 1>Hanneger was free. He was a free player with the power.

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<v Speaker 1>He had that huge power spike season. I'm not saying

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<v Speaker 1>he's gonna do that, but I think the Braves really

0:09:38.160 --> 0:09:40.000
<v Speaker 1>need some more help in the middle of that lineup

0:09:40.080 --> 0:09:41.720
<v Speaker 1>right now, and I think he could be that kind

0:09:41.720 --> 0:09:43.800
<v Speaker 1>of guy if he gets off to a good start

0:09:43.800 --> 0:09:45.600
<v Speaker 1>in the spring. Like I said, spring is very important

0:09:45.600 --> 0:09:48.000
<v Speaker 1>for his rio. I wanted to prove that the vision

0:09:48.040 --> 0:09:50.280
<v Speaker 1>problems are correct, and I wanted to prove that he's healthy.

0:09:50.480 --> 0:09:53.040
<v Speaker 1>And look I brought it up. He's not gonna play

0:09:53.080 --> 0:09:55.160
<v Speaker 1>every single day. The fact they have the DH of

0:09:55.200 --> 0:09:58.440
<v Speaker 1>the National League now helps his case to being, you know,

0:09:58.480 --> 0:10:00.000
<v Speaker 1>getting more at bats than you realize.

0:10:00.440 --> 0:10:03.160
<v Speaker 2>But to your point, and my breaking news is it's

0:10:03.200 --> 0:10:06.240
<v Speaker 2>not hard to bounce back off of five homers in

0:10:06.280 --> 0:10:09.400
<v Speaker 2>three stolen bases in eighty games. It's actually pretty easy

0:10:09.440 --> 0:10:12.000
<v Speaker 2>for him. Guy had thirty two homers just a couple

0:10:12.000 --> 0:10:15.000
<v Speaker 2>of years ago. Though he has not had more than

0:10:15.040 --> 0:10:18.440
<v Speaker 2>fourteen homers since twenty twenty, it's still a pretty easy

0:10:18.480 --> 0:10:21.280
<v Speaker 2>bounce back for a free player. Not my favorite of

0:10:21.320 --> 0:10:23.600
<v Speaker 2>your picks here, but I really don't understand the logic.

0:10:24.040 --> 0:10:26.880
<v Speaker 1>That's fine, twenty twenty, it's only fifty seven games to

0:10:26.880 --> 0:10:29.520
<v Speaker 1>be played because of COVID. So thirteen homers of fifty

0:10:29.559 --> 0:10:31.959
<v Speaker 1>seven games. That ain't so bad, baby, that's you're right,

0:10:32.000 --> 0:10:34.600
<v Speaker 1>that's a pretty good extrapolation. Nation. All right, let's get

0:10:34.600 --> 0:10:37.040
<v Speaker 1>to your number two. Who is the one guy I

0:10:37.040 --> 0:10:38.680
<v Speaker 1>should have put on my list but I didn't.

0:10:38.960 --> 0:10:41.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I was actually surprised about this because you're stealing

0:10:41.160 --> 0:10:43.719
<v Speaker 2>all the good names here. This is one that really

0:10:43.800 --> 0:10:45.640
<v Speaker 2>kind of qualifies more on the list of what you

0:10:45.720 --> 0:10:48.040
<v Speaker 2>put together. There's only just so many that you can have.

0:10:48.080 --> 0:10:51.040
<v Speaker 2>It's Ilo, Jim and az Aloe, who has only played

0:10:51.559 --> 0:10:53.640
<v Speaker 2>over one hundred games once, that was his rookie year.

0:10:53.679 --> 0:10:56.560
<v Speaker 2>That's been a big problem in the short sample sizes.

0:10:56.600 --> 0:10:58.760
<v Speaker 2>He's always putting up big stats. He's had double digit

0:10:58.800 --> 0:11:02.560
<v Speaker 2>homers three straight years, where two of them he played

0:11:02.600 --> 0:11:05.640
<v Speaker 2>fifty five games apiece. Health is always a big issue.

0:11:05.800 --> 0:11:09.160
<v Speaker 2>I saw him at camp about a five days ago

0:11:09.240 --> 0:11:12.679
<v Speaker 2>or so. Looked a little bit skinnier, like maybe a

0:11:12.720 --> 0:11:14.959
<v Speaker 2>little bit of weight loss, which is probably a good thing.

0:11:15.160 --> 0:11:18.240
<v Speaker 2>Strikeout percentage was down this past year. It's really about

0:11:18.240 --> 0:11:21.560
<v Speaker 2>health because last year he still had a career high

0:11:21.600 --> 0:11:24.680
<v Speaker 2>average exit velocity. He was up in the top ten

0:11:24.760 --> 0:11:27.880
<v Speaker 2>percent of max EV. He had a x slug which

0:11:27.920 --> 0:11:30.160
<v Speaker 2>was over five hundred, so that's still maintaining in a

0:11:30.200 --> 0:11:32.600
<v Speaker 2>three sixty five x WOE but with a three seventy one.

0:11:32.640 --> 0:11:34.600
<v Speaker 2>But all that stuff is just telling you with a

0:11:34.640 --> 0:11:37.120
<v Speaker 2>fifty four percent hard hit rate, he makes a lot

0:11:37.120 --> 0:11:39.680
<v Speaker 2>of contact and he's gonna barrel up the ball a

0:11:39.679 --> 0:11:41.880
<v Speaker 2>bunch and he's got great rob Howard Guy hit two

0:11:41.960 --> 0:11:44.320
<v Speaker 2>ninety five last year, and two of his four seasons

0:11:44.360 --> 0:11:47.240
<v Speaker 2>he has hit two ninety five or better. And I

0:11:47.280 --> 0:11:51.360
<v Speaker 2>think we could all see a situation where Eloy Jimenez

0:11:51.400 --> 0:11:53.520
<v Speaker 2>can get going. We just all know that the team

0:11:53.600 --> 0:11:56.280
<v Speaker 2>really needs to make a commitment to keeping him at DH,

0:11:56.360 --> 0:11:58.160
<v Speaker 2>and I don't know if they are going to be

0:11:58.240 --> 0:12:00.560
<v Speaker 2>fully committed to that. Plus the other that's a little

0:12:00.559 --> 0:12:02.600
<v Speaker 2>bit worrisome with them is they're just all their guys

0:12:02.640 --> 0:12:04.520
<v Speaker 2>are injured. Like even if they were like, okay, guys,

0:12:04.760 --> 0:12:07.000
<v Speaker 2>they sit around a table, they're like, we're gonna do this.

0:12:07.440 --> 0:12:11.640
<v Speaker 2>We are going to get Eloy at DH. Robert, Ben

0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:13.800
<v Speaker 2>and Tendee and then co Los, we're gonna put you

0:12:13.840 --> 0:12:17.600
<v Speaker 2>in the outfield. Robert's not the pillar of health. And

0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:19.600
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if you necessarily say that about Ben

0:12:19.640 --> 0:12:21.480
<v Speaker 2>and Tendee as well, that they might be put into

0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:23.360
<v Speaker 2>situations where they feel they need to get him out there.

0:12:23.360 --> 0:12:24.760
<v Speaker 2>If we can get him to DH and we can

0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:28.920
<v Speaker 2>keep him healthy, Eloy Jimenez will get back. Projections over

0:12:28.920 --> 0:12:32.679
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and thirty games vary from twenty five essentially

0:12:32.720 --> 0:12:34.640
<v Speaker 2>to thirty home runs. I think he's going to put

0:12:34.679 --> 0:12:36.319
<v Speaker 2>up thirty homers this year, if he plays one hundred

0:12:36.320 --> 0:12:38.959
<v Speaker 2>and twenty five games, make a ton of contact, and

0:12:39.000 --> 0:12:42.120
<v Speaker 2>those running RBI totals to be great. He's a good, good, good,

0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:45.000
<v Speaker 2>five category player. He just comes with some risk and

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:48.240
<v Speaker 2>that's why we can get a bounce back because he's teetered.

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:50.920
<v Speaker 2>Joe teetered. And by the way, did you know this

0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:52.800
<v Speaker 2>is a fascinating fact. I had no idea. Do you

0:12:52.800 --> 0:12:55.400
<v Speaker 2>know Elo Jimenez has zero career steals. I had no

0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:57.120
<v Speaker 2>idea about that. He has never stolen a base in

0:12:57.160 --> 0:13:02.200
<v Speaker 2>his career. He is becoming I think, the outfield version

0:13:02.240 --> 0:13:04.920
<v Speaker 2>of Carlos Korea, where it's just like he never actually

0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:07.480
<v Speaker 2>lives up to the potential that we're putting on him.

0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:09.400
<v Speaker 1>And it makes me sad. I don't want to put

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:13.400
<v Speaker 1>bad on him yet, but you're you're might not be off. Look,

0:13:13.640 --> 0:13:15.640
<v Speaker 1>I think him is going to play more games than

0:13:15.679 --> 0:13:18.280
<v Speaker 1>that this year. I think the White Socks arena need

0:13:18.360 --> 0:13:21.880
<v Speaker 1>him to to justify their investment in him as well.

0:13:22.000 --> 0:13:23.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, let's he's one of these guys that they

0:13:23.440 --> 0:13:26.199
<v Speaker 1>made their early investment in along with Robert, and I

0:13:26.280 --> 0:13:27.600
<v Speaker 1>think when you do that, you guys are looking at

0:13:27.600 --> 0:13:29.400
<v Speaker 1>these guys and saying, Hey, you know, Jose Brady's not

0:13:29.440 --> 0:13:31.840
<v Speaker 1>here anymore. You guys have to carry this offense and

0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:34.400
<v Speaker 1>be the guy. So, whether it be a rotation in

0:13:34.400 --> 0:13:35.880
<v Speaker 1>the outfielders, you're saying, you don't want to get these

0:13:35.880 --> 0:13:37.520
<v Speaker 1>guys in the outfield too much, But an attendee's a

0:13:37.559 --> 0:13:41.319
<v Speaker 1>much better defender obviously co loss as well. So look,

0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:44.320
<v Speaker 1>you're one hundred percent right. DH is where he should be,

0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:47.240
<v Speaker 1>and if he just has a healthy enough season to

0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 1>even get to one hundred and forty something games, that

0:13:49.320 --> 0:13:52.000
<v Speaker 1>would be I think very eye opening, and I think

0:13:52.000 --> 0:13:54.480
<v Speaker 1>he comes at a grid enough value to do that.

0:13:54.600 --> 0:13:56.080
<v Speaker 1>Let's take a quick break in the action to tell

0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:59.240
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0:13:59.520 --> 0:14:03.439
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0:14:03.480 --> 0:14:07.679
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0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:11.080
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0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:14.440
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0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:17.640
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0:14:17.679 --> 0:14:21.120
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0:14:31.360 --> 0:14:34.680
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0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:37.320
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0:14:37.600 --> 0:14:40.880
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0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:43.880
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0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:47.640
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0:15:04.600 --> 0:15:07.880
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<v Speaker 1>Tracks the home of fantasy sports. And now back to

0:15:29.440 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 1>the action. Next on my list is Jesse Winker and

0:15:34.040 --> 0:15:35.920
<v Speaker 1>that's right, Jesse Winker season last year.

0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:37.000
<v Speaker 2>Today I saw him.

0:15:37.000 --> 0:15:39.480
<v Speaker 1>It was pretty awful. Did you say hello to inform me?

0:15:39.560 --> 0:15:41.280
<v Speaker 2>I said, for you, I said hey, Joe says hello,

0:15:41.360 --> 0:15:43.040
<v Speaker 2>and he was like, man, thank you so much, Joe.

0:15:43.120 --> 0:15:44.800
<v Speaker 1>And you know, I'm so glad he likes me. Now,

0:15:44.880 --> 0:15:46.720
<v Speaker 1>last year I didn't like him, so he's probably pissed

0:15:46.760 --> 0:15:49.080
<v Speaker 1>off of me. Still. It was just the ADP was

0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:51.240
<v Speaker 1>way too high. And the reason why you know, he's

0:15:51.280 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 1>a career You know, if you look at his career

0:15:55.000 --> 0:15:58.520
<v Speaker 1>batting average against left handed pitching, okay, and not even

0:15:58.600 --> 0:16:00.440
<v Speaker 1>like the breakout ye because a breakout, he was still

0:16:00.440 --> 0:16:04.080
<v Speaker 1>bad against lefties okay, he was just monumentally good against

0:16:04.160 --> 0:16:06.320
<v Speaker 1>right handed pitching. He's still a two to five career

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:08.720
<v Speaker 1>hitter against left handed pitching for his career with a

0:16:08.720 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 1>six to sixty one. Ohps, he's terrible. He is practically

0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:14.520
<v Speaker 1>a platoon player, but he is coming in a discount

0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 1>this year. He is on the good side here, being

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:18.800
<v Speaker 1>the left handed bat where he's going to face a

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:20.480
<v Speaker 1>lot more right handed pitching. He's going to be out

0:16:20.480 --> 0:16:23.040
<v Speaker 1>there in good spots, and because he's in a favorable

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:25.640
<v Speaker 1>home run ballpark, I think this is a player that

0:16:25.680 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 1>you can look for some sort of moderate bounce back.

0:16:28.480 --> 0:16:30.640
<v Speaker 1>I have zero expectations for him to get to the

0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:33.800
<v Speaker 1>guy who you know, hit three zero five with those

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:36.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of splits in your career is not something you're

0:16:36.400 --> 0:16:38.480
<v Speaker 1>likely going to do. But can you get to that

0:16:38.520 --> 0:16:40.920
<v Speaker 1>two to eighty mark. Can you give me twenty home

0:16:41.000 --> 0:16:43.240
<v Speaker 1>runs or even eighteen home runs? I think there will

0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:45.560
<v Speaker 1>be a pretty good situation there for Jesse Winker. I

0:16:45.640 --> 0:16:47.280
<v Speaker 1>like the Brewers this year. I have money on them

0:16:47.280 --> 0:16:50.320
<v Speaker 1>already to win the Division. I think the Jesse Winker

0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:54.720
<v Speaker 1>this year is a much better let's invest in find

0:16:54.720 --> 0:16:57.320
<v Speaker 1>out player because last year you were paying for what

0:16:57.440 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 1>you got, which was an all star caliber player going

0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:01.520
<v Speaker 1>into twenty twenty two, and I just did not think

0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:04.040
<v Speaker 1>he was that. So to me, it's just now all

0:17:04.080 --> 0:17:07.439
<v Speaker 1>about the guy is at the right price point and

0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:11.000
<v Speaker 1>at two thirty one. Overall, it's a decent investment once again,

0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:12.560
<v Speaker 1>not gonna cost me much to be wrong.

0:17:13.119 --> 0:17:16.719
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he said this is like a totally weird anecdotal thing,

0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:21.040
<v Speaker 2>but seemed in really good spirits. Today, actually couldn't find him,

0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:23.600
<v Speaker 2>so all the other players at Brewer's camp and was

0:17:23.640 --> 0:17:27.200
<v Speaker 2>focused on William Contreras and Willia Damas and Rowdy Talez.

0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:29.000
<v Speaker 2>I got a little bit of video of and then

0:17:29.040 --> 0:17:31.320
<v Speaker 2>Winker just popped out. And I've never and I was

0:17:31.359 --> 0:17:35.639
<v Speaker 2>around him with the Mariners last year, and brooding would

0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:38.520
<v Speaker 2>be a description I would give to you his mentality.

0:17:38.600 --> 0:17:40.480
<v Speaker 1>It's tough, you know, player spends his whole life with

0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:43.760
<v Speaker 1>an organization and yet trade. I think sometimes guys take

0:17:43.760 --> 0:17:45.479
<v Speaker 1>it personally with a chip on their shoulder, and some

0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:48.639
<v Speaker 1>guys maybe powder you don't have issues with it, And

0:17:48.800 --> 0:17:50.080
<v Speaker 1>I'll go there are issues.

0:17:49.760 --> 0:17:52.239
<v Speaker 2>With the Mariners, the Mariners in general that this has

0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:55.080
<v Speaker 2>been off discussed where I think, you know, our friend

0:17:55.119 --> 0:17:56.760
<v Speaker 2>in Osaris had talked about it, that he talked to

0:17:56.800 --> 0:17:59.840
<v Speaker 2>Winker and like there was a very close knit group

0:17:59.840 --> 0:18:01.600
<v Speaker 2>with the Mariner's, a lot of guys that came up together,

0:18:01.760 --> 0:18:05.560
<v Speaker 2>and Winker was a little bit on the outside looking in. Yeah, exactly,

0:18:05.840 --> 0:18:08.119
<v Speaker 2>and then he comes over here. He was in great

0:18:08.160 --> 0:18:10.960
<v Speaker 2>spirits today working with I believe it's Pat Murphy, former

0:18:11.000 --> 0:18:14.120
<v Speaker 2>ASU baseball coach that was out here and the happiest

0:18:14.160 --> 0:18:16.359
<v Speaker 2>I've seen him. Not that that necessarily means anything, but

0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:18.639
<v Speaker 2>what I would say is a comfortability level is something

0:18:18.680 --> 0:18:20.159
<v Speaker 2>that you really can't consider.

0:18:19.960 --> 0:18:24.760
<v Speaker 1>This with their tam is sneaky. They're sneaky. I don't

0:18:24.760 --> 0:18:27.280
<v Speaker 1>even think they're sneak. They're stacked. It's all about the

0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:29.800
<v Speaker 1>pitching staff health. If they can get that pitching healthy,

0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:31.280
<v Speaker 1>they're in really good spot. All right, let's go to

0:18:31.320 --> 0:18:33.280
<v Speaker 1>the next on your list for a bounce back, candidate Welsh.

0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:37.040
<v Speaker 2>We got Well, if you guys, get on your internet,

0:18:37.200 --> 0:18:39.639
<v Speaker 2>your phone and click on over to Amazon and you

0:18:39.680 --> 0:18:43.200
<v Speaker 2>typed in the Fantasy Black Book twenty twenty three by

0:18:43.280 --> 0:18:45.840
<v Speaker 2>Joe Buzapia, you could pick that up and you would

0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:49.760
<v Speaker 2>know that I wrote quite a bit of infield profiles,

0:18:49.840 --> 0:18:52.320
<v Speaker 2>all of them first base, second. So I'm gonna read

0:18:52.359 --> 0:18:54.160
<v Speaker 2>you a couple of things that I had put about

0:18:54.240 --> 0:18:57.280
<v Speaker 2>Jose Bray, because I think the obvious thing here is

0:18:57.320 --> 0:19:02.439
<v Speaker 2>you're going into what is essentially hitting environment with incredible

0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:05.880
<v Speaker 2>players around you. Jose Brio coming off fifteen homers, eighty

0:19:05.920 --> 0:19:08.760
<v Speaker 2>five runs, seventy five RBIs not good. Those are not

0:19:08.840 --> 0:19:12.440
<v Speaker 2>good first base stats whatsoever. In the Fantasy Black Book,

0:19:12.480 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 2>which I had wrote about him, and this is a

0:19:14.280 --> 0:19:16.119
<v Speaker 2>lot of like kind of anecdotal stuff for you to

0:19:16.200 --> 0:19:18.800
<v Speaker 2>kind of understand the player that he was. Last year,

0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:22.040
<v Speaker 2>io hit dropped from three hundred and twenty twenty down

0:19:22.040 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 2>to one forty one. That's a dramatic drop, almost not believable.

0:19:26.000 --> 0:19:29.440
<v Speaker 2>That power decrease was also highlighted by a career low

0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:31.479
<v Speaker 2>launch angle and the first time he had a home

0:19:31.560 --> 0:19:35.080
<v Speaker 2>run a flyball ratio that was under ten percent, it

0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:38.919
<v Speaker 2>was nine point six. What's interesting, though, is he registered

0:19:39.280 --> 0:19:42.960
<v Speaker 2>as a top ten percentile in exit velocity and x

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 2>LUG based on oh I'm sorry. He'd also finished in

0:19:46.800 --> 0:19:49.560
<v Speaker 2>the top five percentile and XBA x woe, but in

0:19:49.680 --> 0:19:53.320
<v Speaker 2>hard hit percentage all of those at the position. A fun,

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:56.800
<v Speaker 2>fun little thing was based on expected home runs in

0:19:56.840 --> 0:19:59.760
<v Speaker 2>different ballparks. A radio would have hit twenty homers with

0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:03.040
<v Speaker 2>eight different teams compared to his fifteen, and if he

0:20:03.119 --> 0:20:05.080
<v Speaker 2>was a Cincinnati ready, who would have went twenty eight.

0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:08.359
<v Speaker 2>So coming back to it, it's just a better hitter

0:20:08.400 --> 0:20:11.280
<v Speaker 2>friendly environment for a contact hitter that's gonna be hitting around.

0:20:11.320 --> 0:20:14.840
<v Speaker 2>Tucker Alvarez al Tuve. I think the homers are going

0:20:14.880 --> 0:20:16.800
<v Speaker 2>to tick back up. I think projections kind of agree

0:20:16.840 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 2>with that. I think the batting average is going to

0:20:18.359 --> 0:20:20.359
<v Speaker 2>be up there. I think the RBI opportunities are going

0:20:20.400 --> 0:20:22.760
<v Speaker 2>to be phenomenal. I think we're getting back to him

0:20:22.800 --> 0:20:25.680
<v Speaker 2>being a three and a half to maybe high four

0:20:25.760 --> 0:20:28.760
<v Speaker 2>category player, and he was being way under sold early on.

0:20:29.080 --> 0:20:31.240
<v Speaker 2>He's coming back up. I just took him in tout.

0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:33.640
<v Speaker 2>I'm prioritizing a guy like him, and I think he's

0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:35.560
<v Speaker 2>going to have a big bounce back at that position

0:20:35.600 --> 0:20:38.960
<v Speaker 2>where he just didn't. You can't have fifteen homers full

0:20:39.000 --> 0:20:41.399
<v Speaker 2>time starting as a first baseman. I don't care what

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:43.280
<v Speaker 2>other numbers you put up. Unless you put up one

0:20:43.320 --> 0:20:45.240
<v Speaker 2>hundred and twenty runs and one hundred and twenty RBI,

0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:48.399
<v Speaker 2>that won't work. And this is a great opportunity for

0:20:48.480 --> 0:20:50.560
<v Speaker 2>him to bounce back. And I've also talked about how

0:20:50.640 --> 0:20:52.640
<v Speaker 2>I kind of want him over a Vine pas Quentino

0:20:52.760 --> 0:20:54.720
<v Speaker 2>right now, So Jose Brey, that's my guy.

0:20:54.800 --> 0:20:56.159
<v Speaker 1>I would agree with that. I want him over a

0:20:56.200 --> 0:20:58.840
<v Speaker 1>pass Quentino too. The track record is just way longer

0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:01.320
<v Speaker 1>for Jose Brewing you mentioned the lineup is great too,

0:21:01.320 --> 0:21:04.439
<v Speaker 1>Although well concerned about Alvarez with that hand thing. Hopefully

0:21:04.480 --> 0:21:06.280
<v Speaker 1>it's not a handmapone or something like that. I'm just

0:21:06.359 --> 0:21:08.680
<v Speaker 1>kind of holding my breath on the hand issue he's

0:21:08.720 --> 0:21:10.679
<v Speaker 1>been dealing with in the last day or so. So

0:21:11.040 --> 0:21:13.240
<v Speaker 1>hopefully everything will be fine, and hopefully everything is fine

0:21:13.240 --> 0:21:15.560
<v Speaker 1>in your drafts too. But if you're looking about your drafts,

0:21:16.080 --> 0:21:18.200
<v Speaker 1>don't forget we could be there with you. The Draft

0:21:18.200 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 1>Assistant is the ultimate tool for dominating your Fantasy Baseball draft.

0:21:21.800 --> 0:21:24.080
<v Speaker 1>So we have the most powerful set of tools here

0:21:24.480 --> 0:21:27.560
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0:21:27.680 --> 0:21:30.439
<v Speaker 1>expert advice. You can make cheat sheets up with Welsh myself,

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:32.639
<v Speaker 1>a combination of us or a combination of all of

0:21:32.720 --> 0:21:36.000
<v Speaker 1>your favorite rankers of Fantasy Pros, and we have that

0:21:36.040 --> 0:21:38.240
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0:21:38.240 --> 0:21:40.200
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0:21:40.560 --> 0:21:43.080
<v Speaker 1>draft Wizards. So the Draft Assistant, like I said, if

0:21:43.080 --> 0:21:46.000
<v Speaker 1>you're doing multiple drafts, it's fantastic. It's like having us

0:21:46.000 --> 0:21:48.399
<v Speaker 1>in the draft with you. The insights. You've seen it

0:21:48.440 --> 0:21:50.720
<v Speaker 1>whenever we're doing the drafts here live on the show.

0:21:51.240 --> 0:21:53.000
<v Speaker 1>You see the insights, you see what's going on, and

0:21:53.080 --> 0:21:55.320
<v Speaker 1>we talk about them and you know when you reach

0:21:55.440 --> 0:21:58.160
<v Speaker 1>when you get a steel player when other guys were

0:21:58.200 --> 0:22:01.640
<v Speaker 1>drafting after you or gals draft, you have certain positions

0:22:01.680 --> 0:22:04.159
<v Speaker 1>locked up and you shouldn't be chasing them. That's the

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:05.680
<v Speaker 1>stuff you need when you only have a minute to

0:22:05.680 --> 0:22:08.760
<v Speaker 1>make the decision. So once again, check it out fancypros

0:22:08.800 --> 0:22:10.800
<v Speaker 1>dot Com Slash Premium and then of course check out

0:22:10.880 --> 0:22:13.560
<v Speaker 1>the Draft Wizard Fancypros dot Com Slash Draft Wizard or

0:22:13.640 --> 0:22:15.439
<v Speaker 1>just download the app. The app is easy. Go do

0:22:15.520 --> 0:22:18.719
<v Speaker 1>the app, all right. Next guy on my list pivoting

0:22:18.800 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 1>two guys second base Slash Outfield it's Katel Marte. Now

0:22:23.000 --> 0:22:25.400
<v Speaker 1>last year to forty batting average, things kind of really

0:22:25.400 --> 0:22:27.840
<v Speaker 1>fell apart. But I also think this team around him

0:22:28.000 --> 0:22:29.800
<v Speaker 1>was just not very good last year. I think when

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:32.360
<v Speaker 1>you're looking this year, you're seeing some signs of life

0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:34.440
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to the d Backs a little bit.

0:22:34.520 --> 0:22:37.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm a you know, Welsh has really been the guy

0:22:37.800 --> 0:22:39.920
<v Speaker 1>pushing for Corbyn Carroll and I am one hundred percent

0:22:40.040 --> 0:22:42.280
<v Speaker 1>on board with him. I am very aggressive. I got

0:22:42.280 --> 0:22:44.600
<v Speaker 1>a whole TV segment on Sunday on Sports Grid lined

0:22:44.680 --> 0:22:46.919
<v Speaker 1>up about him because I really think he's going to

0:22:46.920 --> 0:22:49.560
<v Speaker 1>be a huge draft value. This year, and I'm looking

0:22:49.560 --> 0:22:51.040
<v Speaker 1>at Marte and I'm looking at this team. I think

0:22:51.040 --> 0:22:52.200
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be a little bit better. And I

0:22:52.280 --> 0:22:55.800
<v Speaker 1>think if you look at the historic Kateel Marte batting average,

0:22:56.240 --> 0:22:58.200
<v Speaker 1>two forty is not where he's going to be. That's

0:22:58.200 --> 0:23:00.480
<v Speaker 1>going to come back up. Even if he just gets

0:23:00.520 --> 0:23:03.840
<v Speaker 1>back to the fifteen to sixteen home run range, that's fine.

0:23:03.960 --> 0:23:05.919
<v Speaker 1>But if the team is better around him, the counting

0:23:05.920 --> 0:23:08.960
<v Speaker 1>stats get better, the RBI total, the run totals, all

0:23:09.000 --> 0:23:12.080
<v Speaker 1>that is better when the offense improves around him. Forget

0:23:12.160 --> 0:23:14.919
<v Speaker 1>them twenty nineteen incredible, Oh my god, thirty two home

0:23:15.000 --> 0:23:18.159
<v Speaker 1>run campaign, forget that. Stop chasing that. But if you're

0:23:18.200 --> 0:23:19.879
<v Speaker 1>looking at a player right around the two hundred and

0:23:19.880 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 1>ADP mark with multiple eligibility at a position that frankly

0:23:23.600 --> 0:23:26.000
<v Speaker 1>is kind of rough. I mean, he's going after Jonathan India,

0:23:26.080 --> 0:23:28.040
<v Speaker 1>and India has never had a season quite like Marte.

0:23:28.080 --> 0:23:29.760
<v Speaker 1>He's going after Brennan Drury, he was coming off a

0:23:29.760 --> 0:23:33.240
<v Speaker 1>one year wonder season. You know, he's going after Jeff McNeil,

0:23:33.280 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>who has never come close to the power that Katel

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:39.080
<v Speaker 1>Marte has shown in a full season. So I'm not

0:23:39.160 --> 0:23:41.360
<v Speaker 1>chasing the high point of Marte. But I definitely think

0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:43.400
<v Speaker 1>there's a bounce back in him, and I think it's

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:46.480
<v Speaker 1>also a tuned to the Diamondbacks starting to make some

0:23:46.520 --> 0:23:48.080
<v Speaker 1>improvements around him. What do you think?

0:23:48.440 --> 0:23:50.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I agree. Actually, it was at Diamondbacks camp two

0:23:50.480 --> 0:23:53.679
<v Speaker 2>days ago and I got to see Kittel. Actually freaked

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:55.600
<v Speaker 2>me out. Kultell hit a ball off of his foot

0:23:55.800 --> 0:23:58.239
<v Speaker 2>and limped off and sat in the dugout and then

0:23:58.240 --> 0:23:59.880
<v Speaker 2>shook it off and got back out there. One thing

0:23:59.880 --> 0:24:04.840
<v Speaker 2>that was super noticeable was he has thinned out. He

0:24:05.000 --> 0:24:09.080
<v Speaker 2>looked He's looked very big in years past. I'm just speculating,

0:24:09.240 --> 0:24:10.680
<v Speaker 2>and maybe I hadn't seen him in a long time.

0:24:10.800 --> 0:24:14.359
<v Speaker 2>He looked noticeably thinner, maybe by around ten pounds. And

0:24:14.400 --> 0:24:17.520
<v Speaker 2>something I wonder was had he built up a lot

0:24:17.520 --> 0:24:18.960
<v Speaker 2>of bulk because he was trying to be more of

0:24:18.960 --> 0:24:21.919
<v Speaker 2>a power hitter. I kind of think that's gone. I

0:24:21.920 --> 0:24:24.040
<v Speaker 2>think he might have scrapped that because, like I said,

0:24:24.119 --> 0:24:27.320
<v Speaker 2>it is noticeably thinner in person, and I feel like

0:24:27.400 --> 0:24:29.159
<v Speaker 2>that is going to be back to maybe more of

0:24:29.160 --> 0:24:32.840
<v Speaker 2>a contact approach, which is what he needs. He has

0:24:32.960 --> 0:24:36.240
<v Speaker 2>to stop that guy swings through his shoes when he

0:24:36.359 --> 0:24:39.080
<v Speaker 2>is just trying to make good contact. He'll run into

0:24:39.119 --> 0:24:41.320
<v Speaker 2>some homers, but we'll take all day long if we

0:24:41.320 --> 0:24:43.240
<v Speaker 2>can get back to three hundred hitter Ktel with only

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:45.800
<v Speaker 2>fifteen homers, because the run and RBI totals are there,

0:24:45.800 --> 0:24:49.320
<v Speaker 2>and you said it best having better players around to

0:24:49.359 --> 0:24:53.080
<v Speaker 2>put not only like in better scoring opportunities for runs

0:24:53.080 --> 0:24:55.680
<v Speaker 2>in RBI, but also put pressure on the other team

0:24:56.000 --> 0:24:58.520
<v Speaker 2>to maybe have to approach Katel a little bit different.

0:24:58.560 --> 0:25:00.720
<v Speaker 2>So I'm very much with this. I try not to

0:25:00.760 --> 0:25:03.120
<v Speaker 2>be a homer and be like ooh all the Diamondbacks,

0:25:03.240 --> 0:25:06.400
<v Speaker 2>but like if I'm buying back on guys like I'm

0:25:06.440 --> 0:25:08.840
<v Speaker 2>buying hard on Corbyn Carrol, and I really do like

0:25:08.880 --> 0:25:11.760
<v Speaker 2>the idea of just the dirt cheap ka tell Marte

0:25:11.840 --> 0:25:13.520
<v Speaker 2>right now, this is one that I would have picked,

0:25:13.560 --> 0:25:15.640
<v Speaker 2>and it is. I was just encouraged by him kind

0:25:15.640 --> 0:25:18.240
<v Speaker 2>of physically changing a little bit because I'm assuming and

0:25:18.240 --> 0:25:20.399
<v Speaker 2>I'm projecting a little bit. I saw a tiny bit

0:25:20.440 --> 0:25:23.000
<v Speaker 2>of it in his batting practice. I'm assuming that body

0:25:23.080 --> 0:25:25.359
<v Speaker 2>change is maybe going to be also coming with a

0:25:25.400 --> 0:25:28.200
<v Speaker 2>stylistic change which hopefully is not trying to hit.

0:25:28.520 --> 0:25:31.000
<v Speaker 1>Get back to contact, get back to driving the baseball

0:25:31.040 --> 0:25:33.400
<v Speaker 1>good things happen. Then now the next guy on your list.

0:25:33.480 --> 0:25:36.080
<v Speaker 1>Four out of year five are four of my favorite

0:25:36.119 --> 0:25:38.600
<v Speaker 1>guys this year. But this next one, this is the

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:41.080
<v Speaker 1>one ryany convincing because I am not there when it

0:25:41.080 --> 0:25:43.000
<v Speaker 1>comes to Max Moncy. So go ahead and make the

0:25:43.040 --> 0:25:45.920
<v Speaker 1>case because last year was rough, and I'm just a

0:25:45.920 --> 0:25:48.240
<v Speaker 1>little concerned that maybe we've seen the best of him,

0:25:48.760 --> 0:25:50.960
<v Speaker 1>because he is a player that sort of crept up

0:25:50.960 --> 0:25:52.960
<v Speaker 1>and came out of nowhere. And when those guys sort

0:25:53.000 --> 0:25:56.000
<v Speaker 1>of fall off a map, I get a little kind

0:25:56.000 --> 0:25:57.840
<v Speaker 1>of wishy washy when it comes to their value of

0:25:57.880 --> 0:26:00.360
<v Speaker 1>the previous year. Year.

0:26:00.680 --> 0:26:03.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I can understand that, and I shy away probably

0:26:03.560 --> 0:26:07.560
<v Speaker 2>more than anything from like these these like really low content,

0:26:07.640 --> 0:26:09.560
<v Speaker 2>like even Kyle Schwarber kind of bothers me a little bit,

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:10.440
<v Speaker 2>like really low.

0:26:10.280 --> 0:26:13.600
<v Speaker 1>Batting allarge guys and not chasing KYLEE. Schwarber's twenty twenty two.

0:26:13.960 --> 0:26:16.520
<v Speaker 2>There's a weird thing that goes on with Maximunths. You've

0:26:16.560 --> 0:26:19.000
<v Speaker 2>noticed where like he has an on off year, it's

0:26:19.040 --> 0:26:21.879
<v Speaker 2>almost it's almost clockwork. But if you look over the

0:26:21.960 --> 0:26:25.280
<v Speaker 2>last five years, three of those he's hit essentially two

0:26:25.440 --> 0:26:28.840
<v Speaker 2>fifty or better. The home run totals have been out there.

0:26:28.880 --> 0:26:31.560
<v Speaker 2>The ISO sticks. He's he's struck out a little bit

0:26:31.560 --> 0:26:35.120
<v Speaker 2>more this year, but that's not necessarily his norm. Baseball

0:26:35.119 --> 0:26:39.080
<v Speaker 2>Savant page is pretty red outside of XBA. The discouraging

0:26:39.119 --> 0:26:42.159
<v Speaker 2>thing was he didn't have like a expected batting average

0:26:42.160 --> 0:26:44.920
<v Speaker 2>that improved, you know, it was it was barely improved.

0:26:44.960 --> 0:26:47.080
<v Speaker 2>It was like actually in the bottom five percent of

0:26:47.080 --> 0:26:49.439
<v Speaker 2>the league. But his batting average was so stinky. It

0:26:49.560 --> 0:26:52.720
<v Speaker 2>was a little bit better. His walk percentage though near

0:26:52.760 --> 0:26:56.199
<v Speaker 2>the top of the league. I think, based on what

0:26:56.200 --> 0:26:59.160
<v Speaker 2>we've seen in the past, he kind of bounces back

0:26:59.200 --> 0:27:02.479
<v Speaker 2>off of batting average. It was also the third lowest

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:05.520
<v Speaker 2>babbot of his career. Guy doesn't have a highabbat at all.

0:27:05.560 --> 0:27:07.200
<v Speaker 2>It's usually around like two fifty. I think it's a

0:27:07.200 --> 0:27:10.200
<v Speaker 2>crew two fifty six. It was two twenty seven. That's

0:27:10.200 --> 0:27:14.560
<v Speaker 2>not necessarily sustainable. I also believe the approach of the

0:27:14.600 --> 0:27:16.679
<v Speaker 2>Dodgers might be a little bit different this year. A

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:18.639
<v Speaker 2>lot of guys trying to get on base. You got

0:27:18.720 --> 0:27:21.159
<v Speaker 2>Migil Vargas, and I think I don't want to call

0:27:21.200 --> 0:27:23.359
<v Speaker 2>it manufacturing runs because you still got Freddy Freeman and

0:27:24.600 --> 0:27:27.480
<v Speaker 2>Mookie Betts. So that doesn't necessarily change, but Maxi Munsey

0:27:27.520 --> 0:27:30.360
<v Speaker 2>has shown this before. The Babbitt was a tiny bit

0:27:30.400 --> 0:27:33.200
<v Speaker 2>too low to believe. There's tons and tons of hard

0:27:33.280 --> 0:27:36.720
<v Speaker 2>hit overall in his game, and he technically did improve

0:27:36.760 --> 0:27:39.400
<v Speaker 2>in the second half. First half he hit one sixty four,

0:27:39.800 --> 0:27:43.000
<v Speaker 2>second half he hit two thirty A two thirty. Max

0:27:43.080 --> 0:27:47.800
<v Speaker 2>Monci is worth inside the top one hundred easy because

0:27:47.800 --> 0:27:51.000
<v Speaker 2>he's probably going to push thirty homers, RBI totals are

0:27:51.040 --> 0:27:54.080
<v Speaker 2>going to be better, and he qualifies at a couple positions.

0:27:54.280 --> 0:27:57.080
<v Speaker 2>I think this is an opportunity for Maximuntzy to bounce

0:27:57.080 --> 0:27:59.240
<v Speaker 2>back because he's also done this like kind of time

0:27:59.240 --> 0:28:01.040
<v Speaker 2>in and time out. This is what he does. This

0:28:01.119 --> 0:28:02.879
<v Speaker 2>is this is his other year right now.

0:28:03.119 --> 0:28:05.119
<v Speaker 1>I hope so. But the injury is he had going

0:28:05.160 --> 0:28:07.800
<v Speaker 1>into last year scares me a bit. And I'll tell

0:28:07.840 --> 0:28:11.040
<v Speaker 1>you what, Welsh. I want to take Max Munsey because

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:13.520
<v Speaker 1>if you look at third base, it's rough, like the

0:28:13.520 --> 0:28:16.199
<v Speaker 1>spots where he qualifies, the corner spots where you want him.

0:28:16.200 --> 0:28:17.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean it is rough out there right now, and

0:28:17.840 --> 0:28:19.919
<v Speaker 1>you want to him in one of those spots. But

0:28:20.000 --> 0:28:21.800
<v Speaker 1>I just can't take the leap. I even took Matt

0:28:21.840 --> 0:28:24.120
<v Speaker 1>Chapman over him yesterday, just because I just can't get

0:28:24.119 --> 0:28:26.199
<v Speaker 1>there now. The one guy I shouldn't get there with.

0:28:26.240 --> 0:28:29.200
<v Speaker 1>My last guy on the list is Wander Franco. Wander Franco,

0:28:29.200 --> 0:28:30.840
<v Speaker 1>everybody knows listen to the show. Last year was a

0:28:30.880 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 1>big Wander Franco guy. He was going what like second round,

0:28:33.560 --> 0:28:36.679
<v Speaker 1>late second round last year, you know, early third, somewhere

0:28:36.680 --> 0:28:39.440
<v Speaker 1>in that range. He is just twenty two years old. Guys,

0:28:39.680 --> 0:28:42.200
<v Speaker 1>last year was an injury plague season. It wasn't good.

0:28:42.760 --> 0:28:46.000
<v Speaker 1>Forget it, wrap it up, throw it away, forget it happened.

0:28:46.040 --> 0:28:49.320
<v Speaker 1>Because Wander Franco in his minor league career two hundred

0:28:49.320 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>and twenty four games a three thirty five batting average

0:28:51.840 --> 0:28:53.960
<v Speaker 1>with a four h two OBP and a five thirty

0:28:54.000 --> 0:28:57.080
<v Speaker 1>seven slug nine thirty nine ops. This is an elite

0:28:57.320 --> 0:28:59.760
<v Speaker 1>bat Okay, guess I said elite. When you get guys

0:28:59.800 --> 0:29:02.640
<v Speaker 1>in that three four five slash, that's an elite player.

0:29:02.680 --> 0:29:04.120
<v Speaker 1>There's not a lot of guys that can hit for

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:06.760
<v Speaker 1>a high average with a high on base and also

0:29:06.800 --> 0:29:08.520
<v Speaker 1>give you the power. And I think the power is

0:29:08.560 --> 0:29:10.640
<v Speaker 1>going to come. I keep saying that about Wander Franco.

0:29:11.200 --> 0:29:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Frame Wise, he's a strong guy. The lower half is strong.

0:29:14.120 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 1>Power is going to come. Just like when people told

0:29:16.360 --> 0:29:18.240
<v Speaker 1>me the franciscol Indoor is never gonna hit for power,

0:29:18.240 --> 0:29:20.680
<v Speaker 1>and I said, you're crazy. Let me tell you, this

0:29:20.680 --> 0:29:23.960
<v Speaker 1>guy's gonna hit for power. It's not the greatest ballpark, unfortunately,

0:29:24.120 --> 0:29:27.720
<v Speaker 1>I understand. But also having some health around him, Brandon

0:29:27.760 --> 0:29:30.560
<v Speaker 1>Low being back healthy, that also helps. I like to

0:29:30.560 --> 0:29:32.680
<v Speaker 1>see them surround them with a little bit more. But

0:29:32.760 --> 0:29:34.920
<v Speaker 1>Wander Franco is just too good, too young to give

0:29:35.000 --> 0:29:37.320
<v Speaker 1>up on, and I just absolutely love I mean, he

0:29:37.400 --> 0:29:39.560
<v Speaker 1>is in the eighty sixth spot. He was a top

0:29:39.600 --> 0:29:41.960
<v Speaker 1>twenty five player last year. He is an eighty six

0:29:42.360 --> 0:29:44.000
<v Speaker 1>overall ADP. That's nuts to me.

0:29:44.360 --> 0:29:45.920
<v Speaker 2>I would have picked him. I would have picked him

0:29:45.920 --> 0:29:49.080
<v Speaker 2>probably just my top guy here, with a caveat that, like,

0:29:49.120 --> 0:29:52.160
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if he's going to become Francisco Indoor

0:29:52.200 --> 0:29:52.840
<v Speaker 2>or anything like that.

0:29:53.000 --> 0:29:55.200
<v Speaker 1>But the caveat is, I know he's not the Rodo

0:29:55.360 --> 0:29:58.120
<v Speaker 1>Darling player because he doesn't. He's not a high power,

0:29:58.240 --> 0:30:01.080
<v Speaker 1>high speed combination necessary guy, at least not now in

0:30:01.120 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 1>his career. But if you're in points leagues, I'm telling

0:30:03.880 --> 0:30:06.680
<v Speaker 1>you right now, this guy is just a pure oh yeah,

0:30:07.280 --> 0:30:08.920
<v Speaker 1>just go be aggressive on him.

0:30:09.320 --> 0:30:11.720
<v Speaker 2>But I still think in category leagues he can bounce back.

0:30:11.760 --> 0:30:14.920
<v Speaker 2>I think this is just a prime this is this

0:30:14.960 --> 0:30:17.280
<v Speaker 2>is one of the bet on the skill set guys,

0:30:17.360 --> 0:30:18.400
<v Speaker 2>and the skill set.

0:30:18.240 --> 0:30:20.080
<v Speaker 1>Is so high for Ony two.

0:30:20.400 --> 0:30:22.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well, I mean this is the same thing where

0:30:22.560 --> 0:30:24.720
<v Speaker 2>people call their shots on a twenty one year old

0:30:24.760 --> 0:30:27.000
<v Speaker 2>and being like he's done or he's the greatest player.

0:30:27.680 --> 0:30:31.440
<v Speaker 2>The developmental process is not linear. Wander Franco has not.

0:30:32.040 --> 0:30:33.760
<v Speaker 2>I don't even know if he's really had enough of

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:36.200
<v Speaker 2>a sample size to truly understand who he was. And

0:30:36.320 --> 0:30:38.840
<v Speaker 2>I've kind of come back to what we talked about

0:30:38.840 --> 0:30:42.400
<v Speaker 2>earlier in some episodes, they're like that first month he

0:30:42.600 --> 0:30:44.160
<v Speaker 2>was lining up to be like a twenty five to

0:30:44.160 --> 0:30:47.520
<v Speaker 2>twenty guy, and then the injury took him back. He's

0:30:47.560 --> 0:30:49.240
<v Speaker 2>got some contact issues where he can hit it on

0:30:49.240 --> 0:30:50.800
<v Speaker 2>the ground and hit across his body. He's got the

0:30:50.800 --> 0:30:53.760
<v Speaker 2>windmill kind of swing that I think it stabilizes him.

0:30:53.800 --> 0:30:55.680
<v Speaker 2>But like, I just don't think it's crazy to think

0:30:55.680 --> 0:30:58.440
<v Speaker 2>that he could be twenty fifteen or eighteen, you know,

0:30:58.520 --> 0:31:02.360
<v Speaker 2>eighteen fifteen or eighteen ten, even with a really high

0:31:02.400 --> 0:31:04.880
<v Speaker 2>batting average, really good runs. I don't know about the

0:31:04.960 --> 0:31:07.840
<v Speaker 2>RBIs with the Rays overall, but I don't think he

0:31:07.920 --> 0:31:10.280
<v Speaker 2>bounces back to elite. But I really do think he

0:31:10.360 --> 0:31:14.600
<v Speaker 2>bounces back because he's becoming a major afterthought after being

0:31:14.640 --> 0:31:17.280
<v Speaker 2>one of the most hyped prospects in the game, and

0:31:17.400 --> 0:31:19.240
<v Speaker 2>I really think he's gonna find himself this year.

0:31:19.680 --> 0:31:21.320
<v Speaker 1>All right, well, ssh, give us the last guy on

0:31:21.360 --> 0:31:22.680
<v Speaker 1>your list, and this is the guy that I've been

0:31:22.680 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 1>taking a lot of shares of as well.

0:31:24.120 --> 0:31:25.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we're probably gonna talk about him here in a

0:31:25.600 --> 0:31:27.320
<v Speaker 2>little bit. I was actually surprised when I was looking

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:28.680
<v Speaker 2>at this list. I was like, are we doing all

0:31:28.760 --> 0:31:30.560
<v Speaker 2>hitters because we didn't have a pictures and I thought

0:31:30.560 --> 0:31:31.360
<v Speaker 2>a pitcher came in here.

0:31:31.480 --> 0:31:34.080
<v Speaker 1>That's okay. In my undervalued gems. I got a bunch

0:31:34.120 --> 0:31:35.360
<v Speaker 1>of pictures I made up for loss.

0:31:35.520 --> 0:31:36.880
<v Speaker 2>You do, Yeah, I think you have all pictures.

0:31:36.960 --> 0:31:37.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:31:37.200 --> 0:31:39.280
<v Speaker 2>I went with Lucas Giolito and I'm not going to

0:31:39.360 --> 0:31:41.480
<v Speaker 2>side off like a gazillion things because we've talked about

0:31:41.480 --> 0:31:45.000
<v Speaker 2>it multiple times, but it's it's a lost year for

0:31:45.040 --> 0:31:48.560
<v Speaker 2>me with him injuries. He bulked up crazy last season.

0:31:48.760 --> 0:31:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Did you see the side by side picture? I think

0:31:50.960 --> 0:31:53.960
<v Speaker 1>it was to remember who tweeted it out as the

0:31:54.000 --> 0:31:54.920
<v Speaker 1>guy from the White Sox.

0:31:55.040 --> 0:31:56.640
<v Speaker 2>It was, I know what you're talking about. It's like

0:31:56.680 --> 0:31:59.080
<v Speaker 2>he'd lost forty five pounds. I think it was because

0:31:59.080 --> 0:32:01.280
<v Speaker 2>he had bulked up last year around two eighty, because

0:32:01.320 --> 0:32:03.360
<v Speaker 2>he's a large human being six foot seven.

0:32:03.760 --> 0:32:05.800
<v Speaker 1>To be tweeted.

0:32:06.280 --> 0:32:08.960
<v Speaker 2>And with that weight gain he had last year, the

0:32:09.040 --> 0:32:12.400
<v Speaker 2>positive weight gain, he was pitching inside his body and

0:32:12.440 --> 0:32:14.600
<v Speaker 2>he's moved that off and he lost a whole bunch

0:32:14.600 --> 0:32:16.960
<v Speaker 2>of weight. And he's also went to drive line and

0:32:17.240 --> 0:32:19.200
<v Speaker 2>re kind of developed the way he throws. And I

0:32:19.240 --> 0:32:21.880
<v Speaker 2>think that's enough for me to go back on what

0:32:22.200 --> 0:32:24.880
<v Speaker 2>was I think a perennial, cy young type of guy.

0:32:24.920 --> 0:32:26.760
<v Speaker 2>I'm willing to buy back in on it. So really

0:32:27.200 --> 0:32:30.000
<v Speaker 2>my argument for this is he was so bad last

0:32:30.040 --> 0:32:32.760
<v Speaker 2>year with so many oddities of the weight and the

0:32:32.760 --> 0:32:35.840
<v Speaker 2>way he pitched that he changed in injuries and all

0:32:35.880 --> 0:32:38.120
<v Speaker 2>of that is kind of beside him. I think this

0:32:38.200 --> 0:32:41.280
<v Speaker 2>is a great opportunity to buy back on the historical

0:32:41.400 --> 0:32:44.160
<v Speaker 2>data of Lucas Giolito, who is trending in a great direction.

0:32:44.360 --> 0:32:46.240
<v Speaker 2>And I'm going to do that, and I'm going to

0:32:46.320 --> 0:32:47.800
<v Speaker 2>draft him pretty much wherever I can.

0:32:48.560 --> 0:32:52.560
<v Speaker 1>And on that note, one of my undervalue projected gems

0:32:52.600 --> 0:32:55.040
<v Speaker 1>is Lucas Giolito, So right off the bat, that's one

0:32:55.040 --> 0:32:57.840
<v Speaker 1>of my guys, and that's because I think people have

0:32:57.880 --> 0:33:00.480
<v Speaker 1>been way too harsh on the down year. Look at

0:33:00.480 --> 0:33:03.280
<v Speaker 1>the previous two seasons of this guy. It's it's crazy

0:33:03.320 --> 0:33:05.600
<v Speaker 1>to think that a player could be so good, so

0:33:05.680 --> 0:33:08.160
<v Speaker 1>consistently for two to three years and he has a

0:33:08.200 --> 0:33:10.520
<v Speaker 1>down year where he whatever, maybe he was out of shape,

0:33:10.520 --> 0:33:13.520
<v Speaker 1>maybe he just came in heavier, whatever that is. It

0:33:13.560 --> 0:33:15.640
<v Speaker 1>doesn't matter. I'm not going to live in that bad

0:33:15.680 --> 0:33:19.000
<v Speaker 1>season because you have a situation where he has been

0:33:19.040 --> 0:33:22.760
<v Speaker 1>good before. He's going at pitcher forty six right now.

0:33:22.800 --> 0:33:25.720
<v Speaker 1>That's crazy. If you look back a couple of years ago,

0:33:25.720 --> 0:33:27.480
<v Speaker 1>we're looking at guy striking out two hundred and twenty

0:33:27.480 --> 0:33:29.720
<v Speaker 1>eight guys in the shortened season. In twenty twenty he

0:33:29.720 --> 0:33:31.680
<v Speaker 1>struck got ninety seven guys in seventy two winnings with

0:33:31.720 --> 0:33:33.240
<v Speaker 1>a three to four ERA to three and a half

0:33:33.240 --> 0:33:36.080
<v Speaker 1>ERA in twenty twenty one, struck out two hundred guys.

0:33:36.400 --> 0:33:40.040
<v Speaker 1>Enough is enough, everybody, So Lucas Giolito is definitely one

0:33:40.080 --> 0:33:43.160
<v Speaker 1>of my three pitchers. The other one that I want

0:33:43.160 --> 0:33:45.880
<v Speaker 1>to talk about Code Senga again. I'm looking at the

0:33:45.880 --> 0:33:48.360
<v Speaker 1>projections on him, and I'm looking at the buzz early

0:33:48.400 --> 0:33:51.360
<v Speaker 1>from camp. What is just Do you have it read

0:33:51.440 --> 0:33:53.800
<v Speaker 1>at the Bat right now? I do have it Welsh

0:33:53.840 --> 0:33:56.160
<v Speaker 1>The Bat has him at a four to six two

0:33:56.280 --> 0:34:01.200
<v Speaker 1>ERA over twenty five starts and a one forty strikeout.

0:34:01.400 --> 0:34:03.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't. I think it's going to be way more

0:34:03.360 --> 0:34:05.280
<v Speaker 1>than that. Atees he's got one hundred and fifty eight

0:34:05.320 --> 0:34:08.359
<v Speaker 1>k's over one hundred and forty eight innings. Some other

0:34:08.400 --> 0:34:11.399
<v Speaker 1>ones like Steamer a little bit more aggressive. Steamers got

0:34:11.440 --> 0:34:13.799
<v Speaker 1>him at three seven two ERA, one hundred and fifty

0:34:13.840 --> 0:34:16.880
<v Speaker 1>six innings, one hundred and seventy seven strikeouts. To me,

0:34:17.000 --> 0:34:18.600
<v Speaker 1>I think you're looking at a guy much closer to

0:34:18.640 --> 0:34:21.720
<v Speaker 1>this one eighty threshold and probably closer to this twenty

0:34:21.719 --> 0:34:23.839
<v Speaker 1>seven starts. Kind of, I think they're gonna push him

0:34:23.840 --> 0:34:26.440
<v Speaker 1>because it seems like that's where the Mets are, and

0:34:26.520 --> 0:34:28.719
<v Speaker 1>when you have the age and the rotation the Mets do,

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:32.359
<v Speaker 1>you might not have a choice. Unfortunately, so for better

0:34:32.400 --> 0:34:34.080
<v Speaker 1>or worse, maybe it hurts his era on the back

0:34:34.120 --> 0:34:35.680
<v Speaker 1>end a little bit, but I think at the end

0:34:35.719 --> 0:34:37.560
<v Speaker 1>of the day, you're gonna get more win potential out

0:34:37.560 --> 0:34:40.120
<v Speaker 1>of him. The bullpen's very good. I mean most of

0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:42.279
<v Speaker 1>the projection sites have him for somewhere around ten to

0:34:42.280 --> 0:34:45.600
<v Speaker 1>eleven wins. Welsh, I think, especially if he gets off

0:34:45.600 --> 0:34:47.080
<v Speaker 1>to a hot start, I could see him being one

0:34:47.080 --> 0:34:49.239
<v Speaker 1>of these guys it's like six and one out of

0:34:49.239 --> 0:34:51.799
<v Speaker 1>the gate because he is just so fresh and new

0:34:52.280 --> 0:34:54.320
<v Speaker 1>and the arsenal pitches he has where it's kind of

0:34:54.320 --> 0:34:55.680
<v Speaker 1>like when you Darvish came in the league. I'm not

0:34:55.680 --> 0:34:57.640
<v Speaker 1>saying he's you Darvish, but when you Darvis came in

0:34:57.719 --> 0:34:59.319
<v Speaker 1>the league, he was just people like I can't even

0:34:59.320 --> 0:35:01.000
<v Speaker 1>pick up the ball, no idea, what's going on. It

0:35:01.040 --> 0:35:04.680
<v Speaker 1>took a while to adjust. So Senga Gildo and the

0:35:04.719 --> 0:35:07.239
<v Speaker 1>other guy. For me, Welsh, it's undervalued in projections right

0:35:07.239 --> 0:35:09.799
<v Speaker 1>now is Hunter Brown and the Houston Astros. And it's

0:35:09.840 --> 0:35:12.120
<v Speaker 1>the same reasoning I had last year with Christian Xavier.

0:35:12.280 --> 0:35:13.080
<v Speaker 2>Really like this one.

0:35:13.640 --> 0:35:15.280
<v Speaker 1>I think the dude's just going to get more starts.

0:35:15.360 --> 0:35:17.719
<v Speaker 1>He's just going to get more opportunities. He's already got

0:35:17.760 --> 0:35:20.480
<v Speaker 1>the goods, he just needs the opportunity. And with Lance

0:35:20.520 --> 0:35:23.919
<v Speaker 1>McCullers already dealing with an elbow issue, there's a chance

0:35:23.960 --> 0:35:25.840
<v Speaker 1>not only does he break camp as the starter, but

0:35:25.880 --> 0:35:27.359
<v Speaker 1>even if they go out and they get a veteran.

0:35:27.400 --> 0:35:29.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean last year they got Otteezi and everybody dropped

0:35:29.400 --> 0:35:31.560
<v Speaker 1>a Christian Javier everywhere. Do you remember that? You remember

0:35:31.560 --> 0:35:32.920
<v Speaker 1>what that happened? And we said on the show, go

0:35:32.920 --> 0:35:35.160
<v Speaker 1>pick him up. If he got dropped, go pick up

0:35:35.239 --> 0:35:38.919
<v Speaker 1>Christian Xavier. It doesn't matter. Eventually, the better arms went out,

0:35:39.239 --> 0:35:42.520
<v Speaker 1>Brown qualifies at SP and RP. I think Brown, Gledo,

0:35:42.560 --> 0:35:46.640
<v Speaker 1>and Senga. Right now, the all the projections are not

0:35:47.400 --> 0:35:49.920
<v Speaker 1>savvy enough to I think what the high end for

0:35:50.040 --> 0:35:52.560
<v Speaker 1>these guys are in terms of innings and in terms

0:35:52.640 --> 0:35:56.040
<v Speaker 1>of talent, and I think right now they're they're underperforming

0:35:56.080 --> 0:35:57.840
<v Speaker 1>in ADP because of it. Well, so, who are the

0:35:57.880 --> 0:36:00.240
<v Speaker 1>three guys for you that you're looking at that are

0:36:00.320 --> 0:36:02.640
<v Speaker 1>undervalue when it comes to projections so far this year?

0:36:02.880 --> 0:36:05.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And I think it's actually kind of all of them.

0:36:05.520 --> 0:36:06.920
<v Speaker 2>You can check out if you guys, go over to

0:36:07.000 --> 0:36:09.640
<v Speaker 2>fantasypros dot com. You can check out projections that are

0:36:09.680 --> 0:36:12.040
<v Speaker 2>on the site if you want to peruse all of that.

0:36:12.200 --> 0:36:14.080
<v Speaker 2>And I was kind of going through there and a

0:36:14.160 --> 0:36:17.000
<v Speaker 2>couple stood out to me, and it wasn't even necessarily

0:36:17.960 --> 0:36:20.799
<v Speaker 2>like Fantasy Pros versus let's say the bat X. It

0:36:20.840 --> 0:36:22.640
<v Speaker 2>was just kind of all of them. The first one

0:36:22.719 --> 0:36:25.359
<v Speaker 2>was Christian Walker, who Christian Walker's coming off a thirty

0:36:25.400 --> 0:36:28.160
<v Speaker 2>six home run season, worst babup in baseball in the

0:36:28.160 --> 0:36:30.359
<v Speaker 2>first half, had a phenomenal second half where he hit

0:36:30.440 --> 0:36:32.879
<v Speaker 2>two eighty. So come back to the median line where

0:36:32.880 --> 0:36:37.520
<v Speaker 2>he hits two fifty. And what I don't understand is

0:36:38.000 --> 0:36:40.759
<v Speaker 2>all of the projection sites on the lower home run

0:36:40.800 --> 0:36:45.160
<v Speaker 2>totals significant home run total decreases do not make sense

0:36:45.200 --> 0:36:48.040
<v Speaker 2>to me whatsoever, especially if he's going to be a

0:36:48.080 --> 0:36:51.360
<v Speaker 2>better contact hitter. Fantasy Pros projections got him at twenty

0:36:51.400 --> 0:36:54.440
<v Speaker 2>seven homers. The bat X only at twenty four. If

0:36:54.680 --> 0:36:57.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm telling you right now, if Christian Walker hits two fifty,

0:36:58.480 --> 0:37:01.640
<v Speaker 2>he's hitting thirty plus. This isn't an argument, So I

0:37:01.680 --> 0:37:04.200
<v Speaker 2>don't know what we're doing here. Number two on it,

0:37:04.640 --> 0:37:07.239
<v Speaker 2>the Fantasy Pro's projection stood out to me like a

0:37:07.239 --> 0:37:11.120
<v Speaker 2>sore thumb was Jose Miranda. Jose Miranda was projected at

0:37:11.480 --> 0:37:14.839
<v Speaker 2>eighteen homers on Fantasy Pros. So really, if you're going

0:37:14.880 --> 0:37:17.799
<v Speaker 2>through there. This is a guy that moves through as

0:37:17.800 --> 0:37:20.360
<v Speaker 2>far as projections go too, sixty six batting average with

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:23.240
<v Speaker 2>eighteen homers. If you come over and look at the others,

0:37:23.280 --> 0:37:27.440
<v Speaker 2>the bat x only fifteen homers. What are we talking

0:37:27.480 --> 0:37:29.960
<v Speaker 2>about here? I think this is a twenty home run

0:37:30.000 --> 0:37:32.520
<v Speaker 2>plus guy. I've talked about the amount of contact he

0:37:32.600 --> 0:37:37.000
<v Speaker 2>makes in general. He steals bases as well. No projection system.

0:37:37.239 --> 0:37:40.400
<v Speaker 2>They haven't met one stolen base two. I mean he

0:37:40.440 --> 0:37:42.440
<v Speaker 2>steals a little bit. He's stole in twenty twenty one.

0:37:42.440 --> 0:37:44.359
<v Speaker 2>I think I always make that into a big thing.

0:37:44.560 --> 0:37:46.400
<v Speaker 2>I think he can steal a little bit more. I

0:37:46.480 --> 0:37:48.360
<v Speaker 2>know the power can be there, and none of the

0:37:48.400 --> 0:37:51.319
<v Speaker 2>projection sites have anything on him. And the other one

0:37:51.800 --> 0:37:54.239
<v Speaker 2>was George Kirby. George Kirby was another one of those

0:37:54.280 --> 0:37:57.120
<v Speaker 2>that stood out. Let me see if I can remember this.

0:37:57.560 --> 0:38:02.160
<v Speaker 2>I was looking at Kirby's numbers, and Kirby's numbers, as

0:38:02.160 --> 0:38:06.400
<v Speaker 2>far as projections go on, here were actually relative to

0:38:07.160 --> 0:38:10.399
<v Speaker 2>some guys that were God dang, they were. They were

0:38:10.480 --> 0:38:12.919
<v Speaker 2>a little bit higher because you only had one hundred

0:38:12.920 --> 0:38:14.600
<v Speaker 2>and forty. Now I should have written this down, and

0:38:14.640 --> 0:38:16.160
<v Speaker 2>I didn't write it down. So this is killing me

0:38:16.560 --> 0:38:18.200
<v Speaker 2>because I had a really good one. But George Kirby's

0:38:18.200 --> 0:38:21.600
<v Speaker 2>projected had one hundred and forty seven innings this coming

0:38:21.680 --> 0:38:22.680
<v Speaker 2>season with.

0:38:23.560 --> 0:38:26.440
<v Speaker 1>He's triking numbers last year, that id an injury for

0:38:26.520 --> 0:38:27.520
<v Speaker 1>him to get to that number.

0:38:27.760 --> 0:38:31.440
<v Speaker 2>I don't understand it. With nine wins, nine wins, seven

0:38:31.520 --> 0:38:35.040
<v Speaker 2>losses in Seattle in one hundred and forty seven innings

0:38:35.040 --> 0:38:38.600
<v Speaker 2>here and you know, for perspective, like Tyler Glass now

0:38:39.080 --> 0:38:42.560
<v Speaker 2>is projected for one hundred and thirty three. That's going

0:38:42.640 --> 0:38:43.560
<v Speaker 2>to kill me first of my life.

0:38:43.760 --> 0:38:46.239
<v Speaker 1>Let me tell you how you're either George total On

0:38:46.320 --> 0:38:48.759
<v Speaker 1>Kirby is way too low. It's it's crazy, It's way

0:38:48.800 --> 0:38:50.880
<v Speaker 1>too low. It should not be the case. So Walker,

0:38:50.960 --> 0:38:55.200
<v Speaker 1>Miranda Kirby, Senga Giolito Brown, those are guys right now.

0:38:55.280 --> 0:38:58.040
<v Speaker 1>The projections haven't quite caught up to our expectations for

0:38:58.080 --> 0:39:00.759
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty three. And of course, if you've got more expectations,

0:39:01.200 --> 0:39:04.040
<v Speaker 1>make sure you're with us all the time. Go subscribe

0:39:04.080 --> 0:39:06.960
<v Speaker 1>to our YouTube channel, Fantasy Pros MLB. Drop a comment

0:39:07.040 --> 0:39:09.160
<v Speaker 1>below let us know who some of the guys that

0:39:09.239 --> 0:39:11.680
<v Speaker 1>you are in on this year as the comeback candidates.

0:39:11.719 --> 0:39:14.160
<v Speaker 1>I want to hear from you drop your candidates down

0:39:14.200 --> 0:39:16.680
<v Speaker 1>there in the chat in the YouTube column right now,

0:39:17.080 --> 0:39:19.239
<v Speaker 1>and of course don't forget head over to Fantasypros dot

0:39:19.280 --> 0:39:21.799
<v Speaker 1>com slash Draft Wizard or just download the app, check

0:39:21.840 --> 0:39:24.320
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0:39:24.600 --> 0:39:27.399
<v Speaker 1>at Fantasypros dot com slash Premium. I want to thank

0:39:27.400 --> 0:39:29.680
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0:39:29.719 --> 0:39:32.920
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0:39:32.960 --> 0:39:35.680
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0:39:35.719 --> 0:39:38.880
<v Speaker 1>the best place to play fantasy baseball. And when you do,

0:39:39.040 --> 0:39:42.560
<v Speaker 1>you could win a sign Vladdie Junior Jersey only at

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<v Speaker 1>fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros. That'll do it for us,

0:39:46.360 --> 0:39:48.200
<v Speaker 1>but the story of the game goes on for the Welsh.

0:39:48.239 --> 0:39:50.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time, kids,