1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,640 Speaker 1: Bounce Back Central, let's talk to the pros. Welcome in 2 00:00:04,680 --> 00:00:07,720 Speaker 1: everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy Baseball Podcast. 3 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:10,720 Speaker 1: It is me Joey p Joe Pizzapia, and today we're 4 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 1: gonna take a look at ten bounce back candidates for 5 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:16,160 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty three season. That's right, last year is 6 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 1: not the end all, be all for these guys. We're 7 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: gonna tell you which names you want on your team 8 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 1: to give a second chance, and we're also gonna talk 9 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 1: about some of the projection gems some guys that it 10 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 1: might be a little undervalued when it comes to projections 11 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 1: that we think have a bigger twenty twenty three in 12 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:32,480 Speaker 1: store for them. And to help me do it, of course, 13 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 1: is my partner the Welsh Chris Welsh, following on the 14 00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:37,879 Speaker 1: Twitter machine at is it the Welsh and Welsh? I 15 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: like second chances? How about you? 16 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, third, fourth, whatever, Yeah, give me all the chances 17 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 2: you can get. Yeah. No, in baseball, I'm definitely with it. 18 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 2: Also think, you know, you can look at it a 19 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 2: couple different ways, as we look at sleepers different ways. 20 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 2: You know, the term sleeper can mean a lot of 21 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: different things, even bounce back candidates are not only second chances, 22 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 2: but you know, you're looking at weird opportunities maybe lost 23 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 2: by injury and stuff like that that can necessitate the 24 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 2: bounce back, if you will. So there's a lot of 25 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 2: different ways to look at this, and I am here 26 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 2: for it. It's actually probably my biggest struggle Joe. Like 27 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 2: I'm I'm a sucker for a guy that has performed 28 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:17,320 Speaker 2: really well, especially when they've done it, maybe even like 29 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 2: two seasons, and then just something weird or odd takes 30 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 2: them off the table. I got a hard time quitting them, 31 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 2: whether it's prospects or major leaguers. And there are definitely 32 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:28,679 Speaker 2: quite a few on this list and your list, I 33 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:31,559 Speaker 2: think I pretty much take a little glance a glance 34 00:01:31,600 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 2: at the Joe list here. Yeah, pretty much agree with 35 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 2: almost top ten. There's actually one I don't, But there's 36 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 2: a couple on there that I would have picked had 37 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:42,199 Speaker 2: you not. But Joe got to the sheet first, folks. 38 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 1: Well, the advantage of making the sheet is that you 39 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:46,400 Speaker 1: get to put all your stuff in the sheet first. 40 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 1: But I'll say this, you know, it's always different reasons too. 41 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 1: Sometimes it's injuries, sometimes it's you know, guy, you know 42 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: signs a big contract, puts that onus upon themselves. Sometimes 43 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: it's just circumstances beyond their control, or the team starts 44 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: jettising players around them, they lose line of protection. There's 45 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 1: so many reasons why guys sometimes have down years. I mean, 46 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:08,120 Speaker 1: sometimes it's just personal things. They're actually people, everybody, believe 47 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: it or not. Let's jump into some of these names. 48 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 1: Let's talk about him. Let's start here with my number 49 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: one guy, which is Nick Castilianos. To me, Casianos is 50 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 1: the perfect suitor of what I just mentioned, which is, 51 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 1: you know, first spot in the new city. We've seen 52 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: this happen plenty of times in the past, where I 53 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 1: think when a player like Nick Casiganos, he's got such 54 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 1: a good track record behind him that you're not really 55 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 1: concerned about the kind of player he is. I think 56 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 1: it's just a matter of now that you know, you 57 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: can relax into this setting in Philadelphia. And I'll tell 58 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 1: you why. With Albryce Harper for the first three plus 59 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 1: months of the season, they're gonna need Casianos. They're gonna 60 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 1: need him to really kind of bounce back and be 61 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:47,239 Speaker 1: the guy he was. And if you look at some 62 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:49,639 Speaker 1: of the deeper numbers, they're still pretty good. I know 63 00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 1: last year was a huge disappointment in the power department, 64 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 1: only thirteen home runs. He did steal seven bags, which 65 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 1: is not you know, normally what you get out of him. 66 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:58,920 Speaker 1: But you know, if you go back to the twenty 67 00:02:58,960 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 1: twenty one numbers where thirty four home runs and drove 68 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: in one hundred, I don't necessarily expect that, but I 69 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,359 Speaker 1: think you can get somebody closer to that twenty six 70 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: to one hundred, that twenty seven to ninety kind of 71 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,799 Speaker 1: a player in Nick Castiano's it's a favorable home run ballpark. 72 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 1: I think it's just a matter of first year in 73 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 1: a new place, pressing a lot. He's a very personality wise. 74 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 1: I think Casiana's a little wound up kind of a dude. 75 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 1: I think we've seen that in the past of the 76 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 1: Cincinnati days, so I think it was hard for him 77 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:27,080 Speaker 1: to kind of relax and settle in this year. I 78 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 1: expect him to do that, and like I said, I 79 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 1: think they're going to really need him, and he's looking 80 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:33,679 Speaker 1: right now. I mean, the ECRs won twenty one, the 81 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: ADP is one thirty overall, He's coming at a pretty 82 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: good price. Where outfield is rough and a guy like 83 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: Casiano's going as the thirty third outfielder overall, I think 84 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: you could do a lot worse than. 85 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 2: That Welsh Yeah, you know, and in taking a look 86 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 2: at him too, there's a lot of things that don't 87 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 2: feel crazy off. It was a lot about hard hit. 88 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:54,840 Speaker 2: It was a lot about that. I mean, he was 89 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 2: striking the ball at quite a lower rate as far 90 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 2: as career wise, and usually is. Hard hit percentage was 91 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 2: thirty four point six percent, which was the second lowest 92 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 2: of his career. And my point is like that's an anomaly. 93 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 2: You know, he's been in the forty percent five straight 94 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:12,320 Speaker 2: seasons in there. X slug was actually a little bit 95 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 2: higher than his slug as far as expected goes, and 96 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 2: most everything else kind of in line sat there. You know, 97 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:20,919 Speaker 2: launch angle, barrel percentage is a little bit lower, but 98 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 2: you talk about pressing, that's kind of it. He's going 99 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:25,720 Speaker 2: to be really really counted on this year, is going 100 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 2: to be locked into that team a little bit more. 101 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 2: You got Trey Turner who might be hitting at the 102 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 2: top of the lineup, which is probably going to also 103 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 2: create some problems as far as defenses go, and maybe 104 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 2: more RBI opportunities. I really like the bounce back on 105 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 2: Castianis because he feels like I like, he gets lost 106 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:41,640 Speaker 2: in the shuffle of outfielders, Like you don't think about him, 107 00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 2: you don't look, and then all of a sudden, you're 108 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 2: like one hundred and fifteen and you're like, all right, 109 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 2: I need a third outfielder or second outfielder, and you're like, oh, 110 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 2: Castianos is still there. He's a good buyback, all right. 111 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 1: So who is the first guy you want to talk about? 112 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 1: And the bounce back candidates for twenty three. 113 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 2: So the bounce back really has to do with the injury. 114 00:04:58,200 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 2: When I was thinking about this, like I said, I thought, 115 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 2: you actually encapsulated on the majority of these really good 116 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 2: bounce back guys that struggled maybe out of weird performance things. 117 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 2: This is one that this player was lining up to 118 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:13,359 Speaker 2: be what I think would have been one of the 119 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 2: bigger statistical seasons, and the time taken away has kind 120 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 2: of pushed him back at his position. And it's jazz chisseum. 121 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 2: And I know that might feel weird. You like bounce back, Well, 122 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:25,839 Speaker 2: he's not. Imagine had he played the season, the guy 123 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 2: was lining up to be a thirty twenty player, and 124 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 2: what a thirty twenty players do They go in the 125 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:33,279 Speaker 2: first round. Well, right, Jazz is not going in the 126 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:35,600 Speaker 2: first round, and he's not going in the second or third, 127 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 2: and he's going off as about the fourth second baseman 128 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:42,279 Speaker 2: if you will across the board. And you know, Jazz 129 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 2: was really he's always been like this big, crazy poll hitter. 130 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 2: He was really starting to establish himself. Walk percentage went 131 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 2: up by two percent, strikeout percentage went down, batting average 132 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 2: was kind of like stabilizing if he could be a 133 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 2: two to fifty guy. Projections still really like him, and 134 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 2: the batex has him as almost that twenty thirty guy 135 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 2: to anyone Homer's twenty nine stolen bases. So this is 136 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:05,480 Speaker 2: a little bit of a different situation where it's not 137 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 2: necessarily about like one off year of performance, but that 138 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 2: off time miss. Plus he's moving positions, which I think 139 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 2: just has people weirded out about him going to center field. 140 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 2: I think Jazz is prime for a bounce back off 141 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 2: of the injury and it's going to put up some 142 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:21,600 Speaker 2: big stats. And like I said, if he's a twenty 143 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 2: thirty guy that is first round, like that's just what 144 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:26,839 Speaker 2: it did, and let's tell you guys, that's first round talent. 145 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 2: That's why I'm so high on Jazz. 146 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 1: Yeah. Look, I think you drafted him yesterday, didn't you. 147 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:32,159 Speaker 1: Do you have Chishem on your team? 148 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 2: Yeah? I think so. I mean I try you. I 149 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 2: think you did it. 150 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:37,359 Speaker 1: I want to say you did. If you missed that, 151 00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 1: go check it out. Justin Mason was around yesterday for 152 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 1: our first live stream draft. You can see it on 153 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 1: the YouTube channel. And by the way, if you are 154 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 1: watching us on YouTube, don't forget to drop a comment below, 155 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:49,720 Speaker 1: because if you do, you have a chance to get 156 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: upgraded for free to our premium Fantasy Gros product. If 157 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:54,359 Speaker 1: you don't want to wait, you can go to Fancybros 158 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 1: dot com slash Premium and start playing smarter, not harder, 159 00:06:57,480 --> 00:06:59,599 Speaker 1: and of course you get access to the custom mock drafts, 160 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: cap tools, the analysis, everything at a much higher level, 161 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:05,679 Speaker 1: plus all of our draft tools that are in there 162 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 1: and our season long management tools as well. It's just phenomenal. 163 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 1: But again, make sure you drop the comment in the 164 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 1: chat if you want to be get a chance to 165 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:17,920 Speaker 1: get a free upgrade too. We're gonna pick people out 166 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: of there, so be a subscriber and go drop a 167 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:22,480 Speaker 1: comment in the chat about that, and Welsh looking at 168 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 1: the next guy on my list, it's Eddie Rosario of 169 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 1: the Atlanta Braves. Now, Rosario is going pretty late. He 170 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: is like in the nineties in the outfield range, and 171 00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:32,560 Speaker 1: I understand, you know, he'll probably play mostly against right 172 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: handed pitching, but in those deeper leagues, we're really looking 173 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: for some help. If the vision is right, I'm not 174 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 1: chasing the thirty two to one oh nine season from 175 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. I'm not doing that when it comes to 176 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:45,120 Speaker 1: Eddi Rosario. But what I am gonna do with Eddie 177 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 1: Rosario and say to myself, all right, is this guy 178 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 1: healthy enough to give me one hundred and thirty games 179 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:52,640 Speaker 1: or somewhere in that range, Because if he does, and 180 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 1: if you look at some of those years that he 181 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: posted with the Twins, he had a twenty five home 182 00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 1: run guy. And I think we're all searching for some 183 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:00,640 Speaker 1: late power and Eddie Rosario could be one of these 184 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:03,119 Speaker 1: guys that I think that if you look at spring training, 185 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:04,960 Speaker 1: it doesn't mean a whole lot for a lot of people, 186 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,440 Speaker 1: but for guys like Eddie Rosario, it does. You want 187 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 1: to see that he's healthy. You want to see that 188 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 1: he's seeing the ball well, but you also want to 189 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 1: see him have some early success because I think he does. 190 00:08:14,520 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 1: There's a really good omen for the twenty twenty three season, 191 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: and he's basically a free player. 192 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:21,360 Speaker 2: Welsh, Yeah, Okay, he is free. So this is the 193 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 2: one that I don't like. I'm not with of your 194 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 2: list or the other four. I buy three of them. 195 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 2: I'm very, very staunching at Castianos. Is one actually your 196 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 2: last two? Like one hundred percent. When I knew the 197 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:32,800 Speaker 2: topic I was going to put on here and you'd 198 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 2: already got to them. This is the one that I'm 199 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 2: just not with, though he's free, And I try to 200 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 2: make this case a whole lot, because I feel like 201 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:42,200 Speaker 2: sometimes in fantasy baseball, we all just get stuck in 202 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 2: this circle where it's like everybody's got to talk about 203 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 2: the furthest down players, and there's a problem with everybody 204 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 2: and dah dah da da da, And then people will 205 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 2: pick on a guy that's like two sixty and they're like, well, 206 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 2: this guy is really going to be a bus, and 207 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 2: it's like it's hard to be a bus at that level. 208 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna acknowledge that that Eddy wasor is free, 209 00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 2: which is nice. But the problem is, yeah, he's absolutely free. 210 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:03,320 Speaker 2: The problem is strikeout rate went way up, contact rate 211 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 2: way down. He looks like he's in a platoon right 212 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 2: now with Marcello Zoon. I know Zunu can play DH, 213 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 2: but they also want Travis Darnault, something they kind of 214 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:14,120 Speaker 2: promised when they brought in Sean Murphy. I just don't 215 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 2: know if the playing time is consistent, and I'm worried 216 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 2: about a player like this being able to have the 217 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 2: opportunity to get hot, and I don't think that's there 218 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 2: for him. But he's free, so the bounce back is 219 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 2: really guess what I want to. 220 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 1: Remind you remember a couple of years ago when Mitch 221 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:33,680 Speaker 1: Hanneger was free. He was a free player with the power. 222 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 1: He had that huge power spike season. I'm not saying 223 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:38,120 Speaker 1: he's gonna do that, but I think the Braves really 224 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:40,000 Speaker 1: need some more help in the middle of that lineup 225 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 1: right now, and I think he could be that kind 226 00:09:41,720 --> 00:09:43,800 Speaker 1: of guy if he gets off to a good start 227 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 1: in the spring. Like I said, spring is very important 228 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:48,000 Speaker 1: for his rio. I wanted to prove that the vision 229 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:50,280 Speaker 1: problems are correct, and I wanted to prove that he's healthy. 230 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 1: And look I brought it up. He's not gonna play 231 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 1: every single day. The fact they have the DH of 232 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:58,440 Speaker 1: the National League now helps his case to being, you know, 233 00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 1: getting more at bats than you realize. 234 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 2: But to your point, and my breaking news is it's 235 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 2: not hard to bounce back off of five homers in 236 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 2: three stolen bases in eighty games. It's actually pretty easy 237 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:12,000 Speaker 2: for him. Guy had thirty two homers just a couple 238 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 2: of years ago. Though he has not had more than 239 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 2: fourteen homers since twenty twenty, it's still a pretty easy 240 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 2: bounce back for a free player. Not my favorite of 241 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 2: your picks here, but I really don't understand the logic. 242 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 1: That's fine, twenty twenty, it's only fifty seven games to 243 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 1: be played because of COVID. So thirteen homers of fifty 244 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:31,959 Speaker 1: seven games. That ain't so bad, baby, that's you're right, 245 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 1: that's a pretty good extrapolation. Nation. All right, let's get 246 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 1: to your number two. Who is the one guy I 247 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 1: should have put on my list but I didn't. 248 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I was actually surprised about this because you're stealing 249 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:43,719 Speaker 2: all the good names here. This is one that really 250 00:10:43,800 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 2: kind of qualifies more on the list of what you 251 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 2: put together. There's only just so many that you can have. 252 00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 2: It's Ilo, Jim and az Aloe, who has only played 253 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:53,640 Speaker 2: over one hundred games once, that was his rookie year. 254 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:56,560 Speaker 2: That's been a big problem in the short sample sizes. 255 00:10:56,600 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 2: He's always putting up big stats. He's had double digit 256 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:02,560 Speaker 2: homers three straight years, where two of them he played 257 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,640 Speaker 2: fifty five games apiece. Health is always a big issue. 258 00:11:05,800 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 2: I saw him at camp about a five days ago 259 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 2: or so. Looked a little bit skinnier, like maybe a 260 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:14,959 Speaker 2: little bit of weight loss, which is probably a good thing. 261 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 2: Strikeout percentage was down this past year. It's really about 262 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 2: health because last year he still had a career high 263 00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 2: average exit velocity. He was up in the top ten 264 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:27,880 Speaker 2: percent of max EV. He had a x slug which 265 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 2: was over five hundred, so that's still maintaining in a 266 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 2: three sixty five x WOE but with a three seventy one. 267 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 2: But all that stuff is just telling you with a 268 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:37,120 Speaker 2: fifty four percent hard hit rate, he makes a lot 269 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:39,680 Speaker 2: of contact and he's gonna barrel up the ball a 270 00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 2: bunch and he's got great rob Howard Guy hit two 271 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:44,320 Speaker 2: ninety five last year, and two of his four seasons 272 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 2: he has hit two ninety five or better. And I 273 00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 2: think we could all see a situation where Eloy Jimenez 274 00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 2: can get going. We just all know that the team 275 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 2: really needs to make a commitment to keeping him at DH, 276 00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:58,160 Speaker 2: and I don't know if they are going to be 277 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:00,560 Speaker 2: fully committed to that. Plus the other that's a little 278 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:02,600 Speaker 2: bit worrisome with them is they're just all their guys 279 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 2: are injured. Like even if they were like, okay, guys, 280 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 2: they sit around a table, they're like, we're gonna do this. 281 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 2: We are going to get Eloy at DH. Robert, Ben 282 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 2: and Tendee and then co Los, we're gonna put you 283 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 2: in the outfield. Robert's not the pillar of health. And 284 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:19,600 Speaker 2: I don't know if you necessarily say that about Ben 285 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 2: and Tendee as well, that they might be put into 286 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 2: situations where they feel they need to get him out there. 287 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 2: If we can get him to DH and we can 288 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:28,920 Speaker 2: keep him healthy, Eloy Jimenez will get back. Projections over 289 00:12:28,920 --> 00:12:32,679 Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty games vary from twenty five essentially 290 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 2: to thirty home runs. I think he's going to put 291 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:36,319 Speaker 2: up thirty homers this year, if he plays one hundred 292 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:38,959 Speaker 2: and twenty five games, make a ton of contact, and 293 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 2: those running RBI totals to be great. He's a good, good, good, 294 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 2: five category player. He just comes with some risk and 295 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 2: that's why we can get a bounce back because he's teetered. 296 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:50,920 Speaker 2: Joe teetered. And by the way, did you know this 297 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:52,800 Speaker 2: is a fascinating fact. I had no idea. Do you 298 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:55,400 Speaker 2: know Elo Jimenez has zero career steals. I had no 299 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 2: idea about that. He has never stolen a base in 300 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:02,200 Speaker 2: his career. He is becoming I think, the outfield version 301 00:13:02,240 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 2: of Carlos Korea, where it's just like he never actually 302 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:07,480 Speaker 2: lives up to the potential that we're putting on him. 303 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:09,400 Speaker 1: And it makes me sad. I don't want to put 304 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 1: bad on him yet, but you're you're might not be off. Look, 305 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 1: I think him is going to play more games than 306 00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 1: that this year. I think the White Socks arena need 307 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 1: him to to justify their investment in him as well. 308 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 1: I mean, let's he's one of these guys that they 309 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,199 Speaker 1: made their early investment in along with Robert, and I 310 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:27,600 Speaker 1: think when you do that, you guys are looking at 311 00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 1: these guys and saying, Hey, you know, Jose Brady's not 312 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 1: here anymore. You guys have to carry this offense and 313 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 1: be the guy. So, whether it be a rotation in 314 00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:35,880 Speaker 1: the outfielders, you're saying, you don't want to get these 315 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 1: guys in the outfield too much, But an attendee's a 316 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:41,319 Speaker 1: much better defender obviously co loss as well. So look, 317 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,320 Speaker 1: you're one hundred percent right. DH is where he should be, 318 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 1: and if he just has a healthy enough season to 319 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 1: even get to one hundred and forty something games, that 320 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 1: would be I think very eye opening, and I think 321 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 1: he comes at a grid enough value to do that. 322 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:56,080 Speaker 1: Let's take a quick break in the action to tell 323 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:59,240 Speaker 1: you about fan Tracks. 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Sign 345 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 1: up for free today and be entered to win an 346 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:14,800 Speaker 1: official signed Vladimir Guerrero Junior Jersey by simply going to 347 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 1: fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros and signing up today. 348 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: That's fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros for your chance 349 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:25,840 Speaker 1: to win that official signed Vladimir Guerrero Junior Jersey. Fan 350 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 1: Tracks the home of fantasy sports. And now back to 351 00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 1: the action. Next on my list is Jesse Winker and 352 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: that's right, Jesse Winker season last year. 353 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 2: Today I saw him. 354 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 1: It was pretty awful. Did you say hello to inform me? 355 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:41,280 Speaker 2: I said, for you, I said hey, Joe says hello, 356 00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 2: and he was like, man, thank you so much, Joe. 357 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:44,800 Speaker 1: And you know, I'm so glad he likes me. Now, 358 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 1: last year I didn't like him, so he's probably pissed 359 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 1: off of me. Still. It was just the ADP was 360 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 1: way too high. And the reason why you know, he's 361 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 1: a career You know, if you look at his career 362 00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:58,520 Speaker 1: batting average against left handed pitching, okay, and not even 363 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 1: like the breakout ye because a breakout, he was still 364 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 1: bad against lefties okay, he was just monumentally good against 365 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:06,320 Speaker 1: right handed pitching. He's still a two to five career 366 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 1: hitter against left handed pitching for his career with a 367 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 1: six to sixty one. Ohps, he's terrible. He is practically 368 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:14,520 Speaker 1: a platoon player, but he is coming in a discount 369 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 1: this year. He is on the good side here, being 370 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:18,800 Speaker 1: the left handed bat where he's going to face a 371 00:16:18,800 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: lot more right handed pitching. He's going to be out 372 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:23,040 Speaker 1: there in good spots, and because he's in a favorable 373 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:25,640 Speaker 1: home run ballpark, I think this is a player that 374 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 1: you can look for some sort of moderate bounce back. 375 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 1: I have zero expectations for him to get to the 376 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 1: guy who you know, hit three zero five with those 377 00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:36,280 Speaker 1: kind of splits in your career is not something you're 378 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: likely going to do. But can you get to that 379 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 1: two to eighty mark. Can you give me twenty home 380 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 1: runs or even eighteen home runs? I think there will 381 00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 1: be a pretty good situation there for Jesse Winker. I 382 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 1: like the Brewers this year. I have money on them 383 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:50,320 Speaker 1: already to win the Division. I think the Jesse Winker 384 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 1: this year is a much better let's invest in find 385 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 1: out player because last year you were paying for what 386 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,760 Speaker 1: you got, which was an all star caliber player going 387 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:01,520 Speaker 1: into twenty twenty two, and I just did not think 388 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,040 Speaker 1: he was that. So to me, it's just now all 389 00:17:04,080 --> 00:17:07,439 Speaker 1: about the guy is at the right price point and 390 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 1: at two thirty one. Overall, it's a decent investment once again, 391 00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 1: not gonna cost me much to be wrong. 392 00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:16,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, he said this is like a totally weird anecdotal thing, 393 00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:21,040 Speaker 2: but seemed in really good spirits. Today, actually couldn't find him, 394 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,600 Speaker 2: so all the other players at Brewer's camp and was 395 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 2: focused on William Contreras and Willia Damas and Rowdy Talez. 396 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 2: I got a little bit of video of and then 397 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 2: Winker just popped out. And I've never and I was 398 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:35,639 Speaker 2: around him with the Mariners last year, and brooding would 399 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:38,520 Speaker 2: be a description I would give to you his mentality. 400 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,480 Speaker 1: It's tough, you know, player spends his whole life with 401 00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 1: an organization and yet trade. I think sometimes guys take 402 00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:45,479 Speaker 1: it personally with a chip on their shoulder, and some 403 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:48,639 Speaker 1: guys maybe powder you don't have issues with it, And 404 00:17:48,800 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: I'll go there are issues. 405 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,239 Speaker 2: With the Mariners, the Mariners in general that this has 406 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 2: been off discussed where I think, you know, our friend 407 00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:56,760 Speaker 2: in Osaris had talked about it, that he talked to 408 00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 2: Winker and like there was a very close knit group 409 00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 2: with the Mariner's, a lot of guys that came up together, 410 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:05,560 Speaker 2: and Winker was a little bit on the outside looking in. Yeah, exactly, 411 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:08,119 Speaker 2: and then he comes over here. He was in great 412 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:10,960 Speaker 2: spirits today working with I believe it's Pat Murphy, former 413 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:14,120 Speaker 2: ASU baseball coach that was out here and the happiest 414 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:16,359 Speaker 2: I've seen him. Not that that necessarily means anything, but 415 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:18,639 Speaker 2: what I would say is a comfortability level is something 416 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:20,159 Speaker 2: that you really can't consider. 417 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 1: This with their tam is sneaky. They're sneaky. I don't 418 00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 1: even think they're sneak. They're stacked. It's all about the 419 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 1: pitching staff health. If they can get that pitching healthy, 420 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:31,280 Speaker 1: they're in really good spot. All right, let's go to 421 00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:33,280 Speaker 1: the next on your list for a bounce back, candidate Welsh. 422 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 2: We got Well, if you guys, get on your internet, 423 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,639 Speaker 2: your phone and click on over to Amazon and you 424 00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:43,200 Speaker 2: typed in the Fantasy Black Book twenty twenty three by 425 00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:45,840 Speaker 2: Joe Buzapia, you could pick that up and you would 426 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:49,760 Speaker 2: know that I wrote quite a bit of infield profiles, 427 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:52,320 Speaker 2: all of them first base, second. So I'm gonna read 428 00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:54,160 Speaker 2: you a couple of things that I had put about 429 00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:57,280 Speaker 2: Jose Bray, because I think the obvious thing here is 430 00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:02,439 Speaker 2: you're going into what is essentially hitting environment with incredible 431 00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,880 Speaker 2: players around you. Jose Brio coming off fifteen homers, eighty 432 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 2: five runs, seventy five RBIs not good. Those are not 433 00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:12,440 Speaker 2: good first base stats whatsoever. In the Fantasy Black Book, 434 00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:14,240 Speaker 2: which I had wrote about him, and this is a 435 00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:16,119 Speaker 2: lot of like kind of anecdotal stuff for you to 436 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 2: kind of understand the player that he was. Last year, 437 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 2: io hit dropped from three hundred and twenty twenty down 438 00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:25,600 Speaker 2: to one forty one. That's a dramatic drop, almost not believable. 439 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:29,440 Speaker 2: That power decrease was also highlighted by a career low 440 00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:31,479 Speaker 2: launch angle and the first time he had a home 441 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 2: run a flyball ratio that was under ten percent, it 442 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:38,919 Speaker 2: was nine point six. What's interesting, though, is he registered 443 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 2: as a top ten percentile in exit velocity and x 444 00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:46,760 Speaker 2: LUG based on oh I'm sorry. He'd also finished in 445 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,560 Speaker 2: the top five percentile and XBA x woe, but in 446 00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 2: hard hit percentage all of those at the position. A fun, 447 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 2: fun little thing was based on expected home runs in 448 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 2: different ballparks. A radio would have hit twenty homers with 449 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 2: eight different teams compared to his fifteen, and if he 450 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 2: was a Cincinnati ready, who would have went twenty eight. 451 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 2: So coming back to it, it's just a better hitter 452 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:11,280 Speaker 2: friendly environment for a contact hitter that's gonna be hitting around. 453 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,840 Speaker 2: Tucker Alvarez al Tuve. I think the homers are going 454 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:16,800 Speaker 2: to tick back up. I think projections kind of agree 455 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 2: with that. I think the batting average is going to 456 00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 2: be up there. I think the RBI opportunities are going 457 00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:22,760 Speaker 2: to be phenomenal. I think we're getting back to him 458 00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:25,680 Speaker 2: being a three and a half to maybe high four 459 00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 2: category player, and he was being way under sold early on. 460 00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:31,240 Speaker 2: He's coming back up. I just took him in tout. 461 00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:33,640 Speaker 2: I'm prioritizing a guy like him, and I think he's 462 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 2: going to have a big bounce back at that position 463 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,960 Speaker 2: where he just didn't. You can't have fifteen homers full 464 00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,399 Speaker 2: time starting as a first baseman. I don't care what 465 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 2: other numbers you put up. Unless you put up one 466 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:45,240 Speaker 2: hundred and twenty runs and one hundred and twenty RBI, 467 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:48,399 Speaker 2: that won't work. And this is a great opportunity for 468 00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:50,560 Speaker 2: him to bounce back. And I've also talked about how 469 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:52,640 Speaker 2: I kind of want him over a Vine pas Quentino 470 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:54,720 Speaker 2: right now, So Jose Brey, that's my guy. 471 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:56,159 Speaker 1: I would agree with that. I want him over a 472 00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,840 Speaker 1: pass Quentino too. The track record is just way longer 473 00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:01,320 Speaker 1: for Jose Brewing you mentioned the lineup is great too, 474 00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:04,439 Speaker 1: Although well concerned about Alvarez with that hand thing. Hopefully 475 00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:06,280 Speaker 1: it's not a handmapone or something like that. I'm just 476 00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:08,680 Speaker 1: kind of holding my breath on the hand issue he's 477 00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:10,679 Speaker 1: been dealing with in the last day or so. So 478 00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 1: hopefully everything will be fine, and hopefully everything is fine 479 00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,560 Speaker 1: in your drafts too. But if you're looking about your drafts, 480 00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:18,200 Speaker 1: don't forget we could be there with you. The Draft 481 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 1: Assistant is the ultimate tool for dominating your Fantasy Baseball draft. 482 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 1: So we have the most powerful set of tools here 483 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,560 Speaker 1: for your league's draft, and it gives you real time recommendations, 484 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:30,439 Speaker 1: expert advice. You can make cheat sheets up with Welsh myself, 485 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:32,639 Speaker 1: a combination of us or a combination of all of 486 00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:36,000 Speaker 1: your favorite rankers of Fantasy Pros, and we have that 487 00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 1: available for our MVP and Hall of Fame subscribers and 488 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:40,200 Speaker 1: they can try it now at Fancypros dot com slash 489 00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:43,080 Speaker 1: draft Wizards. So the Draft Assistant, like I said, if 490 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:46,000 Speaker 1: you're doing multiple drafts, it's fantastic. It's like having us 491 00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,399 Speaker 1: in the draft with you. The insights. You've seen it 492 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:50,720 Speaker 1: whenever we're doing the drafts here live on the show. 493 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,000 Speaker 1: You see the insights, you see what's going on, and 494 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 1: we talk about them and you know when you reach 495 00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 1: when you get a steel player when other guys were 496 00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,640 Speaker 1: drafting after you or gals draft, you have certain positions 497 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,159 Speaker 1: locked up and you shouldn't be chasing them. That's the 498 00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:05,680 Speaker 1: stuff you need when you only have a minute to 499 00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:08,760 Speaker 1: make the decision. So once again, check it out fancypros 500 00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:10,800 Speaker 1: dot Com Slash Premium and then of course check out 501 00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:13,560 Speaker 1: the Draft Wizard Fancypros dot Com Slash Draft Wizard or 502 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:15,439 Speaker 1: just download the app. The app is easy. Go do 503 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:18,719 Speaker 1: the app, all right. Next guy on my list pivoting 504 00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 1: two guys second base Slash Outfield it's Katel Marte. Now 505 00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:25,400 Speaker 1: last year to forty batting average, things kind of really 506 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:27,840 Speaker 1: fell apart. But I also think this team around him 507 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:29,800 Speaker 1: was just not very good last year. I think when 508 00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,360 Speaker 1: you're looking this year, you're seeing some signs of life 509 00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:34,440 Speaker 1: when it comes to the d Backs a little bit. 510 00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 1: I'm a you know, Welsh has really been the guy 511 00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:39,920 Speaker 1: pushing for Corbyn Carroll and I am one hundred percent 512 00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:42,280 Speaker 1: on board with him. I am very aggressive. I got 513 00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:44,600 Speaker 1: a whole TV segment on Sunday on Sports Grid lined 514 00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:46,919 Speaker 1: up about him because I really think he's going to 515 00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,560 Speaker 1: be a huge draft value. This year, and I'm looking 516 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:51,040 Speaker 1: at Marte and I'm looking at this team. I think 517 00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:52,200 Speaker 1: it's going to be a little bit better. And I 518 00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 1: think if you look at the historic Kateel Marte batting average, 519 00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:58,200 Speaker 1: two forty is not where he's going to be. That's 520 00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: going to come back up. Even if he just gets 521 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 1: back to the fifteen to sixteen home run range, that's fine. 522 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:05,919 Speaker 1: But if the team is better around him, the counting 523 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 1: stats get better, the RBI total, the run totals, all 524 00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:12,080 Speaker 1: that is better when the offense improves around him. Forget 525 00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,919 Speaker 1: them twenty nineteen incredible, Oh my god, thirty two home 526 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:18,159 Speaker 1: run campaign, forget that. Stop chasing that. But if you're 527 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:19,879 Speaker 1: looking at a player right around the two hundred and 528 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 1: ADP mark with multiple eligibility at a position that frankly 529 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,000 Speaker 1: is kind of rough. I mean, he's going after Jonathan India, 530 00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,040 Speaker 1: and India has never had a season quite like Marte. 531 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 1: He's going after Brennan Drury, he was coming off a 532 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:33,240 Speaker 1: one year wonder season. You know, he's going after Jeff McNeil, 533 00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:36,320 Speaker 1: who has never come close to the power that Katel 534 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:39,080 Speaker 1: Marte has shown in a full season. So I'm not 535 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:41,360 Speaker 1: chasing the high point of Marte. But I definitely think 536 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:43,400 Speaker 1: there's a bounce back in him, and I think it's 537 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,480 Speaker 1: also a tuned to the Diamondbacks starting to make some 538 00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:48,080 Speaker 1: improvements around him. What do you think? 539 00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:50,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree. Actually, it was at Diamondbacks camp two 540 00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:53,679 Speaker 2: days ago and I got to see Kittel. Actually freaked 541 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 2: me out. Kultell hit a ball off of his foot 542 00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:58,239 Speaker 2: and limped off and sat in the dugout and then 543 00:23:58,240 --> 00:23:59,880 Speaker 2: shook it off and got back out there. One thing 544 00:23:59,880 --> 00:24:04,840 Speaker 2: that was super noticeable was he has thinned out. He 545 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 2: looked He's looked very big in years past. I'm just speculating, 546 00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:10,680 Speaker 2: and maybe I hadn't seen him in a long time. 547 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:14,359 Speaker 2: He looked noticeably thinner, maybe by around ten pounds. And 548 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:17,520 Speaker 2: something I wonder was had he built up a lot 549 00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:18,960 Speaker 2: of bulk because he was trying to be more of 550 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,919 Speaker 2: a power hitter. I kind of think that's gone. I 551 00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,040 Speaker 2: think he might have scrapped that because, like I said, 552 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:27,320 Speaker 2: it is noticeably thinner in person, and I feel like 553 00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:29,159 Speaker 2: that is going to be back to maybe more of 554 00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:32,840 Speaker 2: a contact approach, which is what he needs. He has 555 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:36,240 Speaker 2: to stop that guy swings through his shoes when he 556 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:39,080 Speaker 2: is just trying to make good contact. He'll run into 557 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,320 Speaker 2: some homers, but we'll take all day long if we 558 00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:43,240 Speaker 2: can get back to three hundred hitter Ktel with only 559 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:45,800 Speaker 2: fifteen homers, because the run and RBI totals are there, 560 00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 2: and you said it best having better players around to 561 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:53,080 Speaker 2: put not only like in better scoring opportunities for runs 562 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:55,680 Speaker 2: in RBI, but also put pressure on the other team 563 00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,520 Speaker 2: to maybe have to approach Katel a little bit different. 564 00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 2: So I'm very much with this. I try not to 565 00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:03,120 Speaker 2: be a homer and be like ooh all the Diamondbacks, 566 00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:06,400 Speaker 2: but like if I'm buying back on guys like I'm 567 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:08,840 Speaker 2: buying hard on Corbyn Carrol, and I really do like 568 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:11,760 Speaker 2: the idea of just the dirt cheap ka tell Marte 569 00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 2: right now, this is one that I would have picked, 570 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:15,640 Speaker 2: and it is. I was just encouraged by him kind 571 00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:18,240 Speaker 2: of physically changing a little bit because I'm assuming and 572 00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:20,399 Speaker 2: I'm projecting a little bit. I saw a tiny bit 573 00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:23,000 Speaker 2: of it in his batting practice. I'm assuming that body 574 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:25,359 Speaker 2: change is maybe going to be also coming with a 575 00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,200 Speaker 2: stylistic change which hopefully is not trying to hit. 576 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,000 Speaker 1: Get back to contact, get back to driving the baseball 577 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,400 Speaker 1: good things happen. Then now the next guy on your list. 578 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 1: Four out of year five are four of my favorite 579 00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 1: guys this year. But this next one, this is the 580 00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 1: one ryany convincing because I am not there when it 581 00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,000 Speaker 1: comes to Max Moncy. So go ahead and make the 582 00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:45,920 Speaker 1: case because last year was rough, and I'm just a 583 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 1: little concerned that maybe we've seen the best of him, 584 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:50,960 Speaker 1: because he is a player that sort of crept up 585 00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 1: and came out of nowhere. And when those guys sort 586 00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,000 Speaker 1: of fall off a map, I get a little kind 587 00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:57,840 Speaker 1: of wishy washy when it comes to their value of 588 00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:00,360 Speaker 1: the previous year. Year. 589 00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, I can understand that, and I shy away probably 590 00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 2: more than anything from like these these like really low content, 591 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 2: like even Kyle Schwarber kind of bothers me a little bit, 592 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:10,440 Speaker 2: like really low. 593 00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:13,600 Speaker 1: Batting allarge guys and not chasing KYLEE. Schwarber's twenty twenty two. 594 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 2: There's a weird thing that goes on with Maximunths. You've 595 00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:19,000 Speaker 2: noticed where like he has an on off year, it's 596 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:21,879 Speaker 2: almost it's almost clockwork. But if you look over the 597 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:25,280 Speaker 2: last five years, three of those he's hit essentially two 598 00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 2: fifty or better. The home run totals have been out there. 599 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,560 Speaker 2: The ISO sticks. He's he's struck out a little bit 600 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:35,120 Speaker 2: more this year, but that's not necessarily his norm. Baseball 601 00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 2: Savant page is pretty red outside of XBA. The discouraging 602 00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:42,159 Speaker 2: thing was he didn't have like a expected batting average 603 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 2: that improved, you know, it was it was barely improved. 604 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,080 Speaker 2: It was like actually in the bottom five percent of 605 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:49,439 Speaker 2: the league. But his batting average was so stinky. It 606 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 2: was a little bit better. His walk percentage though near 607 00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:56,199 Speaker 2: the top of the league. I think, based on what 608 00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:59,160 Speaker 2: we've seen in the past, he kind of bounces back 609 00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:02,479 Speaker 2: off of batting average. It was also the third lowest 610 00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 2: babbot of his career. Guy doesn't have a highabbat at all. 611 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:07,200 Speaker 2: It's usually around like two fifty. I think it's a 612 00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:10,200 Speaker 2: crew two fifty six. It was two twenty seven. That's 613 00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 2: not necessarily sustainable. I also believe the approach of the 614 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:16,679 Speaker 2: Dodgers might be a little bit different this year. A 615 00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:18,639 Speaker 2: lot of guys trying to get on base. You got 616 00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:21,159 Speaker 2: Migil Vargas, and I think I don't want to call 617 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,359 Speaker 2: it manufacturing runs because you still got Freddy Freeman and 618 00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:27,480 Speaker 2: Mookie Betts. So that doesn't necessarily change, but Maxi Munsey 619 00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:30,360 Speaker 2: has shown this before. The Babbitt was a tiny bit 620 00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:33,200 Speaker 2: too low to believe. There's tons and tons of hard 621 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,720 Speaker 2: hit overall in his game, and he technically did improve 622 00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:39,400 Speaker 2: in the second half. First half he hit one sixty four, 623 00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:43,000 Speaker 2: second half he hit two thirty A two thirty. Max 624 00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 2: Monci is worth inside the top one hundred easy because 625 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 2: he's probably going to push thirty homers, RBI totals are 626 00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:54,080 Speaker 2: going to be better, and he qualifies at a couple positions. 627 00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:57,080 Speaker 2: I think this is an opportunity for Maximuntzy to bounce 628 00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:59,240 Speaker 2: back because he's also done this like kind of time 629 00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:01,040 Speaker 2: in and time out. This is what he does. This 630 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:02,879 Speaker 2: is this is his other year right now. 631 00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,119 Speaker 1: I hope so. But the injury is he had going 632 00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:07,800 Speaker 1: into last year scares me a bit. And I'll tell 633 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:11,040 Speaker 1: you what, Welsh. I want to take Max Munsey because 634 00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,520 Speaker 1: if you look at third base, it's rough, like the 635 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:16,199 Speaker 1: spots where he qualifies, the corner spots where you want him. 636 00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:17,840 Speaker 1: I mean it is rough out there right now, and 637 00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:19,919 Speaker 1: you want to him in one of those spots. But 638 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 1: I just can't take the leap. I even took Matt 639 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,120 Speaker 1: Chapman over him yesterday, just because I just can't get 640 00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:26,199 Speaker 1: there now. The one guy I shouldn't get there with. 641 00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:29,200 Speaker 1: My last guy on the list is Wander Franco. Wander Franco, 642 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:30,840 Speaker 1: everybody knows listen to the show. Last year was a 643 00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,480 Speaker 1: big Wander Franco guy. He was going what like second round, 644 00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:36,679 Speaker 1: late second round last year, you know, early third, somewhere 645 00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:39,440 Speaker 1: in that range. He is just twenty two years old. Guys, 646 00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:42,200 Speaker 1: last year was an injury plague season. It wasn't good. 647 00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:46,000 Speaker 1: Forget it, wrap it up, throw it away, forget it happened. 648 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 1: Because Wander Franco in his minor league career two hundred 649 00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 1: and twenty four games a three thirty five batting average 650 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 1: with a four h two OBP and a five thirty 651 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 1: seven slug nine thirty nine ops. This is an elite 652 00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:59,760 Speaker 1: bat Okay, guess I said elite. When you get guys 653 00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:02,640 Speaker 1: in that three four five slash, that's an elite player. 654 00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:04,120 Speaker 1: There's not a lot of guys that can hit for 655 00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:06,760 Speaker 1: a high average with a high on base and also 656 00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 1: give you the power. And I think the power is 657 00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 1: going to come. I keep saying that about Wander Franco. 658 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 1: Frame Wise, he's a strong guy. The lower half is strong. 659 00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:16,360 Speaker 1: Power is going to come. Just like when people told 660 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 1: me the franciscol Indoor is never gonna hit for power, 661 00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,680 Speaker 1: and I said, you're crazy. Let me tell you, this 662 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:23,960 Speaker 1: guy's gonna hit for power. It's not the greatest ballpark, unfortunately, 663 00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:27,720 Speaker 1: I understand. But also having some health around him, Brandon 664 00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,560 Speaker 1: Low being back healthy, that also helps. I like to 665 00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:32,680 Speaker 1: see them surround them with a little bit more. But 666 00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 1: Wander Franco is just too good, too young to give 667 00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,320 Speaker 1: up on, and I just absolutely love I mean, he 668 00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:39,560 Speaker 1: is in the eighty sixth spot. He was a top 669 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:41,960 Speaker 1: twenty five player last year. He is an eighty six 670 00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:44,000 Speaker 1: overall ADP. That's nuts to me. 671 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 2: I would have picked him. I would have picked him 672 00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:49,080 Speaker 2: probably just my top guy here, with a caveat that, like, 673 00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:52,160 Speaker 2: I don't know if he's going to become Francisco Indoor 674 00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 2: or anything like that. 675 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:55,200 Speaker 1: But the caveat is, I know he's not the Rodo 676 00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:58,120 Speaker 1: Darling player because he doesn't. He's not a high power, 677 00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:01,080 Speaker 1: high speed combination necessary guy, at least not now in 678 00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,840 Speaker 1: his career. But if you're in points leagues, I'm telling 679 00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:06,680 Speaker 1: you right now, this guy is just a pure oh yeah, 680 00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:08,920 Speaker 1: just go be aggressive on him. 681 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:11,720 Speaker 2: But I still think in category leagues he can bounce back. 682 00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,920 Speaker 2: I think this is just a prime this is this 683 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,280 Speaker 2: is one of the bet on the skill set guys, 684 00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:18,400 Speaker 2: and the skill set. 685 00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:20,080 Speaker 1: Is so high for Ony two. 686 00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:22,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I mean this is the same thing where 687 00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:24,720 Speaker 2: people call their shots on a twenty one year old 688 00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:27,000 Speaker 2: and being like he's done or he's the greatest player. 689 00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:31,440 Speaker 2: The developmental process is not linear. Wander Franco has not. 690 00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 2: I don't even know if he's really had enough of 691 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,200 Speaker 2: a sample size to truly understand who he was. And 692 00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:38,840 Speaker 2: I've kind of come back to what we talked about 693 00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:42,400 Speaker 2: earlier in some episodes, they're like that first month he 694 00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:44,160 Speaker 2: was lining up to be like a twenty five to 695 00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 2: twenty guy, and then the injury took him back. He's 696 00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:49,240 Speaker 2: got some contact issues where he can hit it on 697 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:50,800 Speaker 2: the ground and hit across his body. He's got the 698 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,760 Speaker 2: windmill kind of swing that I think it stabilizes him. 699 00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:55,680 Speaker 2: But like, I just don't think it's crazy to think 700 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,440 Speaker 2: that he could be twenty fifteen or eighteen, you know, 701 00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:02,360 Speaker 2: eighteen fifteen or eighteen ten, even with a really high 702 00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:04,880 Speaker 2: batting average, really good runs. I don't know about the 703 00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 2: RBIs with the Rays overall, but I don't think he 704 00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:10,280 Speaker 2: bounces back to elite. But I really do think he 705 00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:14,600 Speaker 2: bounces back because he's becoming a major afterthought after being 706 00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:17,280 Speaker 2: one of the most hyped prospects in the game, and 707 00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:19,240 Speaker 2: I really think he's gonna find himself this year. 708 00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 1: All right, well, ssh, give us the last guy on 709 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 1: your list, and this is the guy that I've been 710 00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 1: taking a lot of shares of as well. 711 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:25,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, we're probably gonna talk about him here in a 712 00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:27,320 Speaker 2: little bit. I was actually surprised when I was looking 713 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:28,680 Speaker 2: at this list. I was like, are we doing all 714 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:30,560 Speaker 2: hitters because we didn't have a pictures and I thought 715 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:31,360 Speaker 2: a pitcher came in here. 716 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,080 Speaker 1: That's okay. In my undervalued gems. I got a bunch 717 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 1: of pictures I made up for loss. 718 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 2: You do, Yeah, I think you have all pictures. 719 00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 1: Yeah. 720 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 2: I went with Lucas Giolito and I'm not going to 721 00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:41,480 Speaker 2: side off like a gazillion things because we've talked about 722 00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:45,000 Speaker 2: it multiple times, but it's it's a lost year for 723 00:31:45,040 --> 00:31:48,560 Speaker 2: me with him injuries. He bulked up crazy last season. 724 00:31:48,760 --> 00:31:50,920 Speaker 1: Did you see the side by side picture? I think 725 00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,960 Speaker 1: it was to remember who tweeted it out as the 726 00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 1: guy from the White Sox. 727 00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:56,640 Speaker 2: It was, I know what you're talking about. It's like 728 00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:59,080 Speaker 2: he'd lost forty five pounds. I think it was because 729 00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:01,280 Speaker 2: he had bulked up last year around two eighty, because 730 00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:03,360 Speaker 2: he's a large human being six foot seven. 731 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 1: To be tweeted. 732 00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:08,960 Speaker 2: And with that weight gain he had last year, the 733 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:12,400 Speaker 2: positive weight gain, he was pitching inside his body and 734 00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:14,600 Speaker 2: he's moved that off and he lost a whole bunch 735 00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:16,960 Speaker 2: of weight. And he's also went to drive line and 736 00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:19,200 Speaker 2: re kind of developed the way he throws. And I 737 00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:21,880 Speaker 2: think that's enough for me to go back on what 738 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,880 Speaker 2: was I think a perennial, cy young type of guy. 739 00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:26,760 Speaker 2: I'm willing to buy back in on it. So really 740 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:30,000 Speaker 2: my argument for this is he was so bad last 741 00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:32,760 Speaker 2: year with so many oddities of the weight and the 742 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 2: way he pitched that he changed in injuries and all 743 00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:38,120 Speaker 2: of that is kind of beside him. I think this 744 00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:41,280 Speaker 2: is a great opportunity to buy back on the historical 745 00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:44,160 Speaker 2: data of Lucas Giolito, who is trending in a great direction. 746 00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:46,240 Speaker 2: And I'm going to do that, and I'm going to 747 00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:47,800 Speaker 2: draft him pretty much wherever I can. 748 00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 1: And on that note, one of my undervalue projected gems 749 00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 1: is Lucas Giolito, So right off the bat, that's one 750 00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:57,840 Speaker 1: of my guys, and that's because I think people have 751 00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,480 Speaker 1: been way too harsh on the down year. Look at 752 00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,280 Speaker 1: the previous two seasons of this guy. It's it's crazy 753 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:05,600 Speaker 1: to think that a player could be so good, so 754 00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 1: consistently for two to three years and he has a 755 00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:10,520 Speaker 1: down year where he whatever, maybe he was out of shape, 756 00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:13,520 Speaker 1: maybe he just came in heavier, whatever that is. It 757 00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:15,640 Speaker 1: doesn't matter. I'm not going to live in that bad 758 00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:19,000 Speaker 1: season because you have a situation where he has been 759 00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:22,760 Speaker 1: good before. He's going at pitcher forty six right now. 760 00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,720 Speaker 1: That's crazy. If you look back a couple of years ago, 761 00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:27,480 Speaker 1: we're looking at guy striking out two hundred and twenty 762 00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:29,720 Speaker 1: eight guys in the shortened season. In twenty twenty he 763 00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:31,680 Speaker 1: struck got ninety seven guys in seventy two winnings with 764 00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:33,240 Speaker 1: a three to four ERA to three and a half 765 00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:36,080 Speaker 1: ERA in twenty twenty one, struck out two hundred guys. 766 00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:40,040 Speaker 1: Enough is enough, everybody, So Lucas Giolito is definitely one 767 00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:43,160 Speaker 1: of my three pitchers. The other one that I want 768 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:45,880 Speaker 1: to talk about Code Senga again. I'm looking at the 769 00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:48,360 Speaker 1: projections on him, and I'm looking at the buzz early 770 00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:51,360 Speaker 1: from camp. What is just Do you have it read 771 00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:53,800 Speaker 1: at the Bat right now? I do have it Welsh 772 00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,160 Speaker 1: The Bat has him at a four to six two 773 00:33:56,280 --> 00:34:01,200 Speaker 1: ERA over twenty five starts and a one forty strikeout. 774 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:03,320 Speaker 1: I don't. I think it's going to be way more 775 00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:05,280 Speaker 1: than that. Atees he's got one hundred and fifty eight 776 00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:08,359 Speaker 1: k's over one hundred and forty eight innings. Some other 777 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,399 Speaker 1: ones like Steamer a little bit more aggressive. Steamers got 778 00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:13,799 Speaker 1: him at three seven two ERA, one hundred and fifty 779 00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:16,880 Speaker 1: six innings, one hundred and seventy seven strikeouts. To me, 780 00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:18,600 Speaker 1: I think you're looking at a guy much closer to 781 00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:21,720 Speaker 1: this one eighty threshold and probably closer to this twenty 782 00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:23,839 Speaker 1: seven starts. Kind of, I think they're gonna push him 783 00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:26,440 Speaker 1: because it seems like that's where the Mets are, and 784 00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:28,719 Speaker 1: when you have the age and the rotation the Mets do, 785 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:32,359 Speaker 1: you might not have a choice. Unfortunately, so for better 786 00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:34,080 Speaker 1: or worse, maybe it hurts his era on the back 787 00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 1: end a little bit, but I think at the end 788 00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:37,560 Speaker 1: of the day, you're gonna get more win potential out 789 00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,120 Speaker 1: of him. The bullpen's very good. I mean most of 790 00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:42,279 Speaker 1: the projection sites have him for somewhere around ten to 791 00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:45,600 Speaker 1: eleven wins. Welsh, I think, especially if he gets off 792 00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:47,080 Speaker 1: to a hot start, I could see him being one 793 00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:49,239 Speaker 1: of these guys it's like six and one out of 794 00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:51,799 Speaker 1: the gate because he is just so fresh and new 795 00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:54,320 Speaker 1: and the arsenal pitches he has where it's kind of 796 00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:55,680 Speaker 1: like when you Darvish came in the league. I'm not 797 00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:57,640 Speaker 1: saying he's you Darvish, but when you Darvis came in 798 00:34:57,719 --> 00:34:59,319 Speaker 1: the league, he was just people like I can't even 799 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,000 Speaker 1: pick up the ball, no idea, what's going on. It 800 00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:04,680 Speaker 1: took a while to adjust. So Senga Gildo and the 801 00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,239 Speaker 1: other guy. For me, Welsh, it's undervalued in projections right 802 00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:09,799 Speaker 1: now is Hunter Brown and the Houston Astros. And it's 803 00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,120 Speaker 1: the same reasoning I had last year with Christian Xavier. 804 00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:13,080 Speaker 2: Really like this one. 805 00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:15,280 Speaker 1: I think the dude's just going to get more starts. 806 00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:17,719 Speaker 1: He's just going to get more opportunities. He's already got 807 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,480 Speaker 1: the goods, he just needs the opportunity. And with Lance 808 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,919 Speaker 1: McCullers already dealing with an elbow issue, there's a chance 809 00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:25,840 Speaker 1: not only does he break camp as the starter, but 810 00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:27,359 Speaker 1: even if they go out and they get a veteran. 811 00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:29,400 Speaker 1: I mean last year they got Otteezi and everybody dropped 812 00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:31,560 Speaker 1: a Christian Javier everywhere. Do you remember that? You remember 813 00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:32,920 Speaker 1: what that happened? And we said on the show, go 814 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:35,160 Speaker 1: pick him up. If he got dropped, go pick up 815 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:38,919 Speaker 1: Christian Xavier. It doesn't matter. Eventually, the better arms went out, 816 00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:42,520 Speaker 1: Brown qualifies at SP and RP. I think Brown, Gledo, 817 00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:46,640 Speaker 1: and Senga. Right now, the all the projections are not 818 00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:49,920 Speaker 1: savvy enough to I think what the high end for 819 00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:52,560 Speaker 1: these guys are in terms of innings and in terms 820 00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:56,040 Speaker 1: of talent, and I think right now they're they're underperforming 821 00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:57,840 Speaker 1: in ADP because of it. Well, so, who are the 822 00:35:57,880 --> 00:36:00,240 Speaker 1: three guys for you that you're looking at that are 823 00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:02,640 Speaker 1: undervalue when it comes to projections so far this year? 824 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think it's actually kind of all of them. 825 00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:06,920 Speaker 2: You can check out if you guys, go over to 826 00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:09,640 Speaker 2: fantasypros dot com. You can check out projections that are 827 00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:12,040 Speaker 2: on the site if you want to peruse all of that. 828 00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:14,080 Speaker 2: And I was kind of going through there and a 829 00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:17,000 Speaker 2: couple stood out to me, and it wasn't even necessarily 830 00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:20,799 Speaker 2: like Fantasy Pros versus let's say the bat X. It 831 00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:22,640 Speaker 2: was just kind of all of them. The first one 832 00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,359 Speaker 2: was Christian Walker, who Christian Walker's coming off a thirty 833 00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,160 Speaker 2: six home run season, worst babup in baseball in the 834 00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:30,359 Speaker 2: first half, had a phenomenal second half where he hit 835 00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:32,879 Speaker 2: two eighty. So come back to the median line where 836 00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:37,520 Speaker 2: he hits two fifty. And what I don't understand is 837 00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,759 Speaker 2: all of the projection sites on the lower home run 838 00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:45,160 Speaker 2: totals significant home run total decreases do not make sense 839 00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:48,040 Speaker 2: to me whatsoever, especially if he's going to be a 840 00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:51,360 Speaker 2: better contact hitter. Fantasy Pros projections got him at twenty 841 00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:54,440 Speaker 2: seven homers. The bat X only at twenty four. If 842 00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,920 Speaker 2: I'm telling you right now, if Christian Walker hits two fifty, 843 00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:01,640 Speaker 2: he's hitting thirty plus. This isn't an argument, So I 844 00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:04,200 Speaker 2: don't know what we're doing here. Number two on it, 845 00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:07,239 Speaker 2: the Fantasy Pro's projection stood out to me like a 846 00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:11,120 Speaker 2: sore thumb was Jose Miranda. Jose Miranda was projected at 847 00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:14,839 Speaker 2: eighteen homers on Fantasy Pros. So really, if you're going 848 00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:17,799 Speaker 2: through there. This is a guy that moves through as 849 00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,360 Speaker 2: far as projections go too, sixty six batting average with 850 00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:23,240 Speaker 2: eighteen homers. If you come over and look at the others, 851 00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:27,440 Speaker 2: the bat x only fifteen homers. What are we talking 852 00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:29,960 Speaker 2: about here? I think this is a twenty home run 853 00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:32,520 Speaker 2: plus guy. I've talked about the amount of contact he 854 00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:37,000 Speaker 2: makes in general. He steals bases as well. No projection system. 855 00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:40,400 Speaker 2: They haven't met one stolen base two. I mean he 856 00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,440 Speaker 2: steals a little bit. He's stole in twenty twenty one. 857 00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:44,359 Speaker 2: I think I always make that into a big thing. 858 00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:46,400 Speaker 2: I think he can steal a little bit more. I 859 00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:48,360 Speaker 2: know the power can be there, and none of the 860 00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:51,319 Speaker 2: projection sites have anything on him. And the other one 861 00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:54,239 Speaker 2: was George Kirby. George Kirby was another one of those 862 00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:57,120 Speaker 2: that stood out. Let me see if I can remember this. 863 00:37:57,560 --> 00:38:02,160 Speaker 2: I was looking at Kirby's numbers, and Kirby's numbers, as 864 00:38:02,160 --> 00:38:06,400 Speaker 2: far as projections go on, here were actually relative to 865 00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:10,399 Speaker 2: some guys that were God dang, they were. They were 866 00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:12,919 Speaker 2: a little bit higher because you only had one hundred 867 00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:14,600 Speaker 2: and forty. Now I should have written this down, and 868 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:16,160 Speaker 2: I didn't write it down. So this is killing me 869 00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:18,200 Speaker 2: because I had a really good one. But George Kirby's 870 00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:21,600 Speaker 2: projected had one hundred and forty seven innings this coming 871 00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 2: season with. 872 00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:26,440 Speaker 1: He's triking numbers last year, that id an injury for 873 00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:27,520 Speaker 1: him to get to that number. 874 00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:31,440 Speaker 2: I don't understand it. With nine wins, nine wins, seven 875 00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:35,040 Speaker 2: losses in Seattle in one hundred and forty seven innings 876 00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 2: here and you know, for perspective, like Tyler Glass now 877 00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:42,560 Speaker 2: is projected for one hundred and thirty three. That's going 878 00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:43,560 Speaker 2: to kill me first of my life. 879 00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:46,239 Speaker 1: Let me tell you how you're either George total On 880 00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,759 Speaker 1: Kirby is way too low. It's it's crazy, It's way 881 00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:50,880 Speaker 1: too low. It should not be the case. So Walker, 882 00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:55,200 Speaker 1: Miranda Kirby, Senga Giolito Brown, those are guys right now. 883 00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:58,040 Speaker 1: The projections haven't quite caught up to our expectations for 884 00:38:58,080 --> 00:39:00,759 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. And of course, if you've got more expectations, 885 00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:04,040 Speaker 1: make sure you're with us all the time. Go subscribe 886 00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:06,960 Speaker 1: to our YouTube channel, Fantasy Pros MLB. Drop a comment 887 00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:09,160 Speaker 1: below let us know who some of the guys that 888 00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:11,680 Speaker 1: you are in on this year as the comeback candidates. 889 00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:14,160 Speaker 1: I want to hear from you drop your candidates down 890 00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:16,680 Speaker 1: there in the chat in the YouTube column right now, 891 00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:19,239 Speaker 1: and of course don't forget head over to Fantasypros dot 892 00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:21,799 Speaker 1: com slash Draft Wizard or just download the app, check 893 00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:24,320 Speaker 1: out the Draft Assistant with Sinc. And go premium today 894 00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:27,399 Speaker 1: at Fantasypros dot com slash Premium. I want to thank 895 00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:29,680 Speaker 1: the sponsor of today's show, and that's Fantracks. Head over 896 00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,920 Speaker 1: to fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros today, start a 897 00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:35,680 Speaker 1: new league or move your old leagues over to fan Tracks, 898 00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:38,880 Speaker 1: the best place to play fantasy baseball. And when you do, 899 00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:42,560 Speaker 1: you could win a sign Vladdie Junior Jersey only at 900 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:46,359 Speaker 1: fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros. That'll do it for us, 901 00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:48,200 Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for the Welsh. 902 00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:50,840 Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time, kids,