WEBVTT - Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Week 10 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.719 Check it on man, No down, Man, good day. I 0:00:12.800 --> 0:00:15.160 want to check the game right here at Vison as 0:00:15.200 --> 0:00:17.120 the man said, right here at Serious Sextep Channel two 0:00:17.200 --> 0:00:21.440 or four, Visa dot Com, Visa in game plus. Good 0:00:21.440 --> 0:00:24.480 morning to you. It's Gil Alexander. Jason Khan is here. Jason. 0:00:24.480 --> 0:00:26.639 How was your weekend? It was pretty good, girl. How 0:00:26.680 --> 0:00:31.640 about yours? I survived, It's all I care about. That's true. Literally, 0:00:31.680 --> 0:00:34.279 you did survive all I care about. In the end, 0:00:34.479 --> 0:00:37.080 it's I've said it before, I'll say it again. The 0:00:37.200 --> 0:00:41.400 brain just keeps coming back to Survivor three D ten entries. 0:00:42.240 --> 0:00:45.599 Pardon me, still alive in circuits Survivor. It was the 0:00:45.640 --> 0:00:49.320 most compelling game of the weekend. We'll get to it. 0:00:49.360 --> 0:00:52.920 I had Pittsburgh. We know how that went. But listen, 0:00:52.960 --> 0:00:55.000 if you're still alive and you haven't had a close 0:00:55.040 --> 0:00:58.760 call or two by this point, um, you are the outlier, 0:00:59.000 --> 0:01:01.840 not the person that is the close call or two. 0:01:02.280 --> 0:01:04.640 But we'll get into all that because we could talk 0:01:04.680 --> 0:01:08.840 about that for segments on end um. Because it's all 0:01:08.959 --> 0:01:12.600 it's all headed towards Thanksgiving. Everybody's just sort of hanging 0:01:12.640 --> 0:01:16.760 around untill the Thanksgiving implosion that will inevitably occur, and 0:01:16.760 --> 0:01:18.760 you've gotta be fine with that once Thanksgiving comes around 0:01:18.760 --> 0:01:21.680 in circa. But we're here to talk not only week 0:01:22.080 --> 0:01:25.600 ten in the National Football leagu Wow, week ten moving forward, 0:01:25.600 --> 0:01:27.920 but week nine yesterday. If you're just landing on this 0:01:27.920 --> 0:01:29.679 show for the first time. On Mondays, what we do 0:01:29.800 --> 0:01:32.600 is something called Guessing Lines, tribute to the old Stardust 0:01:32.640 --> 0:01:35.520 radio show of the same name with Roxy Roxborough. Uh 0:01:35.560 --> 0:01:38.720 and of course the star of the show, the person 0:01:38.760 --> 0:01:42.360 who runs so adeptly the South Point Hotel Casino sports book, 0:01:42.520 --> 0:01:46.880 My mish book, Chrissie Andrews. Good morning, Chris, Hello Gilly, 0:01:46.920 --> 0:01:54.600 how are you surve Who did you have? Uh? Well, 0:01:54.640 --> 0:01:57.720 I'm in with a couple of guys and I warned 0:01:57.760 --> 0:01:59.240 them at the beginning of the weekend. I think I 0:01:59.360 --> 0:02:01.720 even said it on you did you don't could blow it? 0:02:02.360 --> 0:02:04.400 I said, no, one could blow a game like there's 0:02:04.440 --> 0:02:07.840 supposed to win, like the Pittsburgh Steels. But we have 0:02:08.520 --> 0:02:10.600 weeks to have four entries a lot. We started to 0:02:10.639 --> 0:02:14.880 hear its five h I got we got Pittsburgh on one, 0:02:14.960 --> 0:02:19.840 Kansas City on another, and I got the Patriots somebody 0:02:20.000 --> 0:02:21.960 on two of them. So I don't know now is 0:02:21.960 --> 0:02:25.600 this circle or is this your own survivor pool? Is 0:02:26.919 --> 0:02:29.760 you have four left? Look at you? I I was. 0:02:30.120 --> 0:02:32.480 I heard your voice in my head the whole time 0:02:32.480 --> 0:02:34.800 that game was going on yesterday, because you did You 0:02:34.840 --> 0:02:37.160 did say it on guessing lines. You're like, well, no 0:02:37.240 --> 0:02:42.800 one can blow a game like this. I'm like, oh, 0:02:42.880 --> 0:02:46.960 how first of yeah, before anything else, how are you 0:02:47.080 --> 0:02:49.160 feeling now? A week of For those who missed it 0:02:49.160 --> 0:02:50.840 two weeks ago? Chris, he couldn't be here because he 0:02:50.880 --> 0:02:55.880 tested positive for COVID, was experiencing the ramifications of that 0:02:56.560 --> 0:02:58.560 last week, you felt good enough to come back on? 0:02:58.760 --> 0:03:02.639 Are you further a long in your recovery? Oh? Yeah, 0:03:02.760 --> 0:03:07.360 I you know, I have tested negative. However, I'm still 0:03:07.560 --> 0:03:12.800 under quarantine because now my wife tested positive, so I 0:03:12.880 --> 0:03:16.280 have to wait for her. And you know, she's asymptomatic, 0:03:17.480 --> 0:03:20.399 so you would never know she had it. But it 0:03:20.480 --> 0:03:22.560 was just part of the procedure, you know, with me, 0:03:23.680 --> 0:03:25.720 and I was pretty sure when I got tested that 0:03:25.720 --> 0:03:28.040 I was through with it at that point. That she 0:03:28.120 --> 0:03:30.560 had to get tested, Like I said, it's just the procedure, 0:03:31.400 --> 0:03:33.959 and she came up positive. We were shocked at both 0:03:34.000 --> 0:03:37.120 of us, but you know, if she gets the test again, 0:03:37.240 --> 0:03:41.720 I think Thursday or Friday, and you know, pretty sure 0:03:41.760 --> 0:03:44.520 she'll be negative. But you know, you never know. This 0:03:44.760 --> 0:03:47.640 disease is just crazy. You know. I talked about my 0:03:47.720 --> 0:03:50.680 one friend and not like some guy I heard of, 0:03:50.760 --> 0:03:54.400 like my cousin's brother as a guy who works with 0:03:54.440 --> 0:03:56.920 his sister. No, it was a good friend of mine 0:03:57.120 --> 0:04:00.520 got it and died the same day. And that and 0:04:00.560 --> 0:04:03.880 then other guys just sail right through. It's just unbelievable. 0:04:04.000 --> 0:04:05.680 You know, I don't know, like I said, five years 0:04:05.680 --> 0:04:07.200 from now that I'm sure they'll know a lot more 0:04:07.200 --> 0:04:10.080 about it than they do now. Yeah, we we just 0:04:10.800 --> 0:04:12.960 we And by the way, just coming over because we 0:04:13.000 --> 0:04:16.800 have multiple screens in here in studio nine Dodgers, not 0:04:17.240 --> 0:04:20.520 nine Los Angeles Dodgers. Now they say test positive for 0:04:20.560 --> 0:04:26.279 the coronavirus. So that's from this weekend, you know, more 0:04:26.320 --> 0:04:29.320 than a week after the actual final of the World Series. 0:04:29.320 --> 0:04:31.400 So the conclusion of the World Series. So yeah, we 0:04:31.440 --> 0:04:34.479 don't we know far less than we do know, is 0:04:34.520 --> 0:04:37.680 the headline to it all, for sure. But I'm glad 0:04:37.720 --> 0:04:40.640 your wife is feeling well, and uh, hopefully she'll get 0:04:40.640 --> 0:04:42.560 that she'll get through it without incident. How did how 0:04:42.560 --> 0:04:46.240 did you do as a book this past weekend? Yeah, 0:04:46.240 --> 0:04:47.720 we did good. It was a good week for us, 0:04:47.800 --> 0:04:51.279 Saturday and Sunday both. Saturday was a little shaky and 0:04:51.600 --> 0:04:54.279 I got the results from Saturday night. How did we 0:04:54.320 --> 0:04:57.320 win this much? Because it didn't seem like we were 0:04:57.360 --> 0:05:00.520 doing some good during the day, but you know, just 0:05:00.600 --> 0:05:02.320 a grind to kind of work that in our favorite 0:05:02.320 --> 0:05:04.600 we didn't knock them dead. We didn't not knock them 0:05:04.640 --> 0:05:07.160 dead at all. Uh. And then yesterday it was kind 0:05:07.160 --> 0:05:11.200 of the same thing. Momma pretty good. Um. But once again, 0:05:11.240 --> 0:05:13.440 as I was watching the scorers roll in, I wasn't 0:05:13.520 --> 0:05:15.919 sure how good we were doing. But uh, you know, 0:05:15.960 --> 0:05:17.479 we picked up a little bit at the end, so 0:05:17.520 --> 0:05:19.800 it was it was a very good day, all right, 0:05:20.320 --> 0:05:23.320 Skill Alexander, It's Chris Andrews. This is guessing lines on 0:05:23.320 --> 0:05:24.960 a numbers game at Vista in the sports betting that 0:05:24.960 --> 0:05:27.120 works Serious x M channel two oh four. Visa had 0:05:27.160 --> 0:05:29.400 not come. The Visa have food, boastling and game plus. 0:05:29.839 --> 0:05:32.880 Let's get it going. Um, of course we'll talk about 0:05:32.880 --> 0:05:35.880 this past week. We'll talk about again the premise of 0:05:35.920 --> 0:05:38.159 this show. I'm in a cocoon for me yesterday, and 0:05:38.200 --> 0:05:40.520 that is the truth. I don't know what the lines are. 0:05:40.600 --> 0:05:43.680 I I guess what the line I believe will be. 0:05:44.400 --> 0:05:46.599 Chrissy will tell me what he posts after the show. 0:05:46.839 --> 0:05:51.080 And within that exercise, we look to extract value. Thursday night, Sarah, 0:05:51.120 --> 0:05:56.279 what do we got the Colts at the Titans? Good game? 0:05:56.640 --> 0:06:01.239 Cults of the Titans um division game? Yeah? On paper 0:06:01.560 --> 0:06:03.880 I say that because after what happened last night between 0:06:03.920 --> 0:06:07.240 the Saints of the Bucks. So on paper we'll get 0:06:07.279 --> 0:06:09.560 to that. Uh, looks to be a good game. So 0:06:09.600 --> 0:06:11.840 this is for the a f C South lead. This 0:06:11.960 --> 0:06:16.200 is now, if I remember scheduling, this is the first 0:06:16.279 --> 0:06:19.000 of two games between these two teams in a three 0:06:19.040 --> 0:06:23.840 week span. So, um, this is big because right now 0:06:23.839 --> 0:06:27.440 Tennessee is six and two Indianapolis five and three. Tennessee 0:06:27.480 --> 0:06:30.320 six and two by virtue of their win over the 0:06:30.320 --> 0:06:34.000 Bears yesterday to seventeen in a game that was not 0:06:34.120 --> 0:06:36.600 nearly as close as that score suggests. They do cover 0:06:36.720 --> 0:06:40.960 in the end um Tannehill ten of twenty one for 0:06:41.080 --> 0:06:44.440 one fifty eight two touchdowns. No Pixie was sacked three times, 0:06:44.520 --> 0:06:46.320 Derrick Henry. I mean the Bears did their thing on 0:06:46.360 --> 0:06:48.800 Derrick Henry just twenty one carries for sixty eight yards. 0:06:49.400 --> 0:06:51.560 A J. Brown was Tannehills number one target four for 0:06:51.600 --> 0:06:53.560 one on one in a touchdown. But the Titans beat 0:06:53.600 --> 0:06:56.560 the Bears yesterday with only two hundred and twenty eight 0:06:56.680 --> 0:06:59.600 total yards of offense. They ran fifty five place to 0:06:59.680 --> 0:07:03.560 Chicago seventy five, but they held Chicago to two of 0:07:03.760 --> 0:07:07.480 fifteen on third down. Chicago was three or four on 0:07:07.560 --> 0:07:09.720 fourth down. I should I should note, but two of 0:07:09.800 --> 0:07:12.520 fifteen on third down. Uh, the key, you know, there's 0:07:12.520 --> 0:07:16.760 so much of this yesterday. The turnover number. Uh, if 0:07:16.760 --> 0:07:19.360 there's ever a stat that we can look backwards on it, 0:07:19.480 --> 0:07:21.840 we were just given a stat and the one stat 0:07:21.880 --> 0:07:25.480 that we could immediately assume wins or losses with typically 0:07:25.600 --> 0:07:28.560 is the turnover column. And they were plus two in turnovers, 0:07:28.960 --> 0:07:31.480 one of which for Tennessee was a scoop of a 0:07:31.560 --> 0:07:34.520 David Montgomery fumble for a touchdown by Desmond King sixty 0:07:34.560 --> 0:07:37.320 three yards. That made it sixteen to nothing with one 0:07:37.440 --> 0:07:40.120 with excuse me, with four thirty five left in the 0:07:40.160 --> 0:07:41.920 third quarter. That was the big play of the game. 0:07:42.160 --> 0:07:45.239 So Tennessee gets it done there after, Folks weren't feeling 0:07:45.280 --> 0:07:50.840 too good about him last week. Indianapolis loses to Baltimore. Um, 0:07:51.000 --> 0:07:53.160 this is the game I liked the most coming into 0:07:53.200 --> 0:07:57.080 the weekend, along with Washington, which we'll get to. Baltimore wins. Uh, 0:07:57.120 --> 0:08:01.239 they beat Indianapolis twenty four to ten. Chrissie, but Indianapolis 0:08:01.320 --> 0:08:06.320 gets They get one total yard of offense from halftime 0:08:06.440 --> 0:08:10.200 till just over the eleven minute mark in the fourth quarter. Uh, 0:08:10.240 --> 0:08:12.160 there was a and and and within that. And this 0:08:12.200 --> 0:08:14.760 has been a numbers game staple here for years now. 0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:18.080 There was a key fourth and one for the Colts. 0:08:18.200 --> 0:08:20.360 You know where I'm going with this. They were down 0:08:20.440 --> 0:08:23.120 twenty one to ten with five thirty four left in 0:08:23.160 --> 0:08:26.200 the game at the Baltimore sixteen yard line, and they 0:08:26.200 --> 0:08:29.480 decided they're going for it. Now again, you're down eleven 0:08:29.520 --> 0:08:31.920 with five thirty four left, it's fourth and one. But 0:08:32.080 --> 0:08:35.880 who's your quarterback? It's Philip Rivers. And what do we 0:08:35.920 --> 0:08:38.559 say here all the time? Whoever has Philip Rivers in 0:08:38.600 --> 0:08:42.160 a sneak situation? Is that a competitive disadvantage because he 0:08:42.200 --> 0:08:45.920 does not sneake. It's like it's a Pruder film to 0:08:46.040 --> 0:08:48.720 find a Philip Rivers sneak in his career, So what 0:08:48.880 --> 0:08:52.160 happens an incomplete past that absolutely had no chance of 0:08:52.280 --> 0:08:55.320 ever being completed, and instead of kicking a field goal, 0:08:55.320 --> 0:08:57.520 instead of you know, having the sneak option on fourth 0:08:57.559 --> 0:09:00.600 and one, zero points that was their biggest threat in 0:09:00.600 --> 0:09:03.120 the second half. Rivers finishes twenty five or forty three 0:09:03.120 --> 0:09:06.120 for two, twenty seven, no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked. Uh, 0:09:06.160 --> 0:09:09.560 he was not sacked. But they were two of twelve 0:09:09.640 --> 0:09:12.240 themselves on third down. Where the Colts in this game 0:09:12.520 --> 0:09:15.440 two of four on fourth down. Um, I know we 0:09:15.480 --> 0:09:18.520 don't do a lot of these lazy threes anymore, but 0:09:18.559 --> 0:09:24.760 shouldn't this be Tennessee minus three? Well, one guy wanted 0:09:24.800 --> 0:09:29.160 to make a T shirt, and uh, I think this 0:09:29.320 --> 0:09:31.800 would be the first one to qualify. I like your 0:09:31.880 --> 0:09:35.599 number better. Someone didn't want to put that in the 0:09:35.679 --> 0:09:40.160 vicent store. Yeah, well, you know, I came up with 0:09:40.200 --> 0:09:42.120 one that they still quite a few elm from what 0:09:42.160 --> 0:09:48.440 I hear, that's never under until it's over. So, gilly, 0:09:48.520 --> 0:09:50.800 I see this one A little bit of two some 0:09:50.960 --> 0:09:54.760 two and a half, mostly two and a half. I'm 0:09:54.760 --> 0:09:56.840 gonna open a two and a half. And by the way, 0:09:56.840 --> 0:09:59.520 for guys, just tuning in having hurt. I mean, I 0:09:59.559 --> 0:10:03.600 don't give anything for home team, home field advantage. My 0:10:03.760 --> 0:10:07.839 power Raidings come to Tennessee one and a half. But 0:10:08.000 --> 0:10:09.560 as I look at it, and I always say the 0:10:09.559 --> 0:10:12.840 power Raidings just a place to start, I really think 0:10:12.920 --> 0:10:14.600 this needs to be at least two and a half. 0:10:14.640 --> 0:10:17.240 Probably at three is even better. I'm gonna open two 0:10:17.240 --> 0:10:19.040 and a half just because they do see some sues 0:10:19.080 --> 0:10:22.360 out there. But you know, Gil in a in a cocoon, 0:10:22.400 --> 0:10:24.320 when I do kind of like your number better, I 0:10:24.400 --> 0:10:27.160 just think, Uh, Tanys have been a little up and 0:10:27.240 --> 0:10:30.000 down this year, no question about it, and I expected 0:10:30.000 --> 0:10:31.719 a little better things than early in the year. It 0:10:31.720 --> 0:10:33.679 looked like we were gonna get them. It's been a 0:10:33.679 --> 0:10:36.880 little inconsistent some somewhere along the line. I'm wonder if 0:10:36.880 --> 0:10:39.280 they maybe figured out Dana a little bit. They might have, 0:10:40.320 --> 0:10:43.679 but I don't. I don't like rivers um. I really 0:10:43.720 --> 0:10:46.920 like this Colt's roster, the fifty three man roster, but 0:10:46.960 --> 0:10:48.920 the more I look at it, I'm not sure they 0:10:48.960 --> 0:10:51.320 have any real game breakers. And t Y Hilton, by 0:10:51.320 --> 0:10:54.200 the way, without us day too, but T, I don't 0:10:54.240 --> 0:10:57.040 see any real offensive game breakers for this team, and 0:10:57.040 --> 0:10:59.960 I think that might hurt them because I think Philip Rivers. 0:11:00.120 --> 0:11:02.240 I've never been a big Rivers guy, but I think 0:11:02.320 --> 0:11:04.880 he I think he needs a lot of help and 0:11:04.880 --> 0:11:08.080 and I don't see anything that's really given it to 0:11:08.160 --> 0:11:10.320 him offensively. So I'm gonna open to an half. Is 0:11:10.800 --> 0:11:13.480 t y h t hy? Hilton really hasn't done much 0:11:13.520 --> 0:11:16.079 this year two and a half? You said this year 0:11:17.679 --> 0:11:21.000 that existent this year before before he even got hurt. 0:11:21.040 --> 0:11:23.280 He was one of my fantasy players and he was 0:11:23.320 --> 0:11:27.600 the biggest bust. It's amazing going from from solid threat 0:11:27.679 --> 0:11:30.400 to nothing with the change to Philiper literally nothing. All right, 0:11:30.440 --> 0:11:33.160 two and a half you said, Christie, Yeah, I'm gonna 0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:35.439 open two and a half. Okay, I should probably I 0:11:35.480 --> 0:11:37.680 probably should have waited to the Baltimore game to to 0:11:37.800 --> 0:11:39.240 bring this up. But then think of the last thing 0:11:39.240 --> 0:11:43.800 about this, the Colts playing the Ravens. I wonder if 0:11:43.840 --> 0:11:46.880 that's just more you know, it's what we tend to 0:11:46.880 --> 0:11:49.840 read in with recency into what we've just seen. But 0:11:50.000 --> 0:11:51.720 we've said it before with the Ravens, and when you 0:11:51.720 --> 0:11:54.160 play the Ravens now, there's been great teams in NFL 0:11:54.240 --> 0:11:56.760 history that you can say this about I get it, 0:11:57.040 --> 0:11:59.120 But do you ever remember, I'll sort of drive this 0:11:59.160 --> 0:12:01.320 home again about the Avens. Do you ever remember a 0:12:01.320 --> 0:12:04.680 team that's not necessarily you know, one of the all 0:12:04.720 --> 0:12:09.440 time great teams that is so different when they're behind 0:12:09.600 --> 0:12:12.280 and when they're ahead, when they're ahead, and when they 0:12:12.360 --> 0:12:15.000 figure out a way to matriculate the ball down the field, 0:12:15.240 --> 0:12:18.520 and and you can't get them off the field, they're 0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:21.640 they're impossible to beat, it seems like. And this was 0:12:21.679 --> 0:12:23.839 one of those situations where it was just like the 0:12:23.920 --> 0:12:27.200 Ravens were going to They had their their foot on 0:12:27.240 --> 0:12:29.520 the Colt's neck in the second half, and they're like, 0:12:29.840 --> 0:12:32.600 you can't stop us. We're gonna hold the ball forever, 0:12:32.640 --> 0:12:34.720 and this is gonna be the most frustrating thing you've 0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:37.439 ever experienced in your life. They're so interesting that it's 0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:40.079 like the Uh, it's like a chess player who has 0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:42.200 you on your heels from the very beginning of your 0:12:42.280 --> 0:12:44.840 chess match and there's nothing you can do about it 0:12:44.920 --> 0:12:47.360 the whole match through, like you can never get back 0:12:47.360 --> 0:12:50.640 in a positive situation. That's how it felt. Uh, if 0:12:50.679 --> 0:12:52.640 you were the cult yesterday. So two and a half 0:12:52.679 --> 0:12:56.199 is what it is. Three is what I guess that's 0:12:56.200 --> 0:12:58.240 a Thursday night game, which again looks great on paper. 0:12:58.720 --> 0:13:03.000 Let's do a Sunday morning game. First game out of 0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:07.040 the blocks, the Bengals and at the Steelers. Do we 0:13:07.080 --> 0:13:09.600 have another one of these eight games early? Three late 0:13:09.640 --> 0:13:13.079 situations here, Jason? No, Actually, there's a there's a lot 0:13:13.120 --> 0:13:17.560 of late games just coming in. No, no, go ahead. 0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:19.920 Oh yeah, because of the Masters, right, so they tilted 0:13:19.960 --> 0:13:23.600 it later. Oh that's good. There's just five early games, 0:13:24.480 --> 0:13:28.080 five early, five early games and six late in two 0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:31.880 three four, five, six late games and then yeah the 0:13:31.920 --> 0:13:34.800 prime time. Wow. Okay, so because of darkness they're going 0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:37.240 to play that. The Masters might be over by about 0:13:37.320 --> 0:13:42.199 twelve noon Pacific, three pm Eastern. So that makes sense. 0:13:42.240 --> 0:13:44.559 So more games in the afternoon is what you're saying. 0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:48.360 Literally more awesome. Alright? Uh you said it was the 0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:54.720 Pittsburgh game, Chrissy, Bengals at the Steelers, Bengals at Pittsburgh. Okay, 0:13:54.840 --> 0:13:57.600 Bengals coming off of by Bengals to five and one, 0:13:58.360 --> 0:14:02.160 Pittsburgh eight and oh eight, notes the first eight no 0:14:02.280 --> 0:14:06.720 starting franchise history. They get by the Cowboys, and I 0:14:06.800 --> 0:14:11.160 do mean get by nine, don't those of us who 0:14:11.200 --> 0:14:14.920 had them and survive or no, um wow. So big 0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:18.439 Ben forty two for three oh six, three touchdowns, no picks. 0:14:18.480 --> 0:14:21.400 He wasn't sacked, but he did get hurt and had 0:14:21.440 --> 0:14:23.520 to leave early in the first half. Did come back 0:14:23.560 --> 0:14:26.520 to play in the second halves only missed uh you know, 0:14:26.600 --> 0:14:29.440 a minute and a half or so in the fourth quarter. 0:14:29.520 --> 0:14:32.120 Big Ben eleven of sixteen for one forty four and 0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:36.200 two touchdowns. Pittsburgh was plus two in turnovers. Those ended 0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:39.120 up being huge. They only ended up with forty six 0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:42.480 rushing yards a week after getting just forty eight against Baltimore. 0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:46.560 But Pittsburgh had two missed extra points from Chris Boswell, 0:14:47.520 --> 0:14:49.720 who did hit a I believe it was a fifty 0:14:49.800 --> 0:14:52.480 nine yard or after a false start saved him from 0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:54.520 another miss at the end of the first half. But 0:14:54.560 --> 0:14:57.600 they Pittsburgh got twenty four points the opposite of the 0:14:57.600 --> 0:15:00.000 old fashioned way. It wasn't three touchdowns, three extra points 0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:03.000 at the field goal. It was two touchdowns of missed 0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:06.440 extra points, another touchdown with a miss two point conversion, 0:15:06.520 --> 0:15:08.240 and then a field goal. That's how they got to 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:10.840 twenty four uh and at the end of the game, 0:15:11.000 --> 0:15:13.880 fourth and one at the Dallas fifteen with forty three 0:15:13.880 --> 0:15:16.120 seconds left. This is after Pittsburgh had taken the lead. 0:15:16.400 --> 0:15:19.880 All they needed is a yard James Conner four yard loss. 0:15:20.520 --> 0:15:23.400 They also had a fourth and one earlier. We're Big Ben. 0:15:24.040 --> 0:15:27.040 This is before his injury did not sneak So again 0:15:27.120 --> 0:15:29.040 getting back to the Philip Rivers thing, the Big Ben 0:15:29.120 --> 0:15:32.960 thing is your nickname is literally Big Ben. Can't you 0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:36.080 just fall over and get a yard? It's in your nickname. 0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:38.800 You know, we talked about Riverboat Ron wanting to gamble 0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:41.840 because his nicknames riverboad. Your name is Big Ben. Just 0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:44.120 fall over and this and this, Christie, you know this 0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:46.840 better than anybody. This is for Mike Tomlin, a guy 0:15:46.880 --> 0:15:49.120 who used to randomly go for two when they would 0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:54.280 go up six to nothing. So it's the the inconsistency 0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:56.640 of this stuff drives me crazy. It's like, oh, now 0:15:56.680 --> 0:15:59.200 we're never doing that again. Now we're just going to 0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:02.120 hand off and pray. So Dallas ends up with the 0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:05.280 ball with thirty eight seconds left at their own nineteen 0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:09.280 seven plays later, the great Garrett Gilbert has them third 0:16:09.320 --> 0:16:12.280 and four at the Pittsburgh twenty three four seconds left 0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:16.640 in the game. Gilbert to Lamb broken up by Fitzpatrick 0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:22.080 and Pittsburgh escapes. Oh god, I'm exhausted again. That game 0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:25.120 took so much out of me. Chris. Anyway, what's this game? 0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:31.600 Cincinnati and Pittsburgh? Is that? But she's forgot Pittsburgh. I 0:16:31.640 --> 0:16:33.960 don't know. I respect Cincinnati and I think the market 0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:37.600 probably does to um. They play a lot of close games, 0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:39.880 I'll say it, but the line will probably be Pittsburgh 0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:46.720 minus seven and a half and you're a little light. 0:16:46.960 --> 0:16:51.160 It's it's almost all nine. I do see one seven, 0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:55.520 I see one eight, but mostly nine. It opened a 0:16:55.560 --> 0:16:59.320 little higher like nine and a half, but it's come down. 0:17:00.560 --> 0:17:02.960 And you know, the Bengals and I talked about them 0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:05.520 earlier in the year, I thought that if the coach 0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:07.520 doesn't blow it, because I don't like him at all, 0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:10.000 but a lot of their roster I kind of like, 0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:12.040 and it seems like some of the guys did bail. 0:17:12.160 --> 0:17:15.360 But you know, Burrow, I think is really good. And 0:17:15.520 --> 0:17:17.080 this is gonna be the kind of team that's gonna 0:17:17.119 --> 0:17:18.639 cover a lot of numbers. They're gonna win a lot 0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:21.439 of games. No, They're gonna cover some big numbers, and 0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:23.080 I think this is one of them, right here where 0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:26.560 they're really primed. Once again. My power ratings come to 0:17:26.680 --> 0:17:30.440 nine and a half. But I like the lower number. 0:17:30.480 --> 0:17:32.600 I think nine is good. I wouldn't want to go 0:17:32.640 --> 0:17:35.080 as low as you did, but I wouldn't I don't 0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:38.000 see a ten coming in this game. Personally, I think 0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:40.919 nine is pretty good place to start. Cincinnati's six and 0:17:40.960 --> 0:17:43.720 two against the spread so far this year, so Joe 0:17:43.760 --> 0:17:47.200 has been covering a lot of numbers. Joe Burrow. Let's 0:17:47.200 --> 0:17:49.800 imagine these teams like that that you bring up, Joe Burr. 0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:51.760 Imagine these teams like I don't have to imagine it 0:17:51.760 --> 0:17:54.199 because I grew up at Washington Football team fan. But 0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:56.439 if you had Dwayne Haskins, or if you're the Giants 0:17:56.440 --> 0:17:59.760 and you have Daniel Jones, and you look around the league, right, 0:18:00.160 --> 0:18:03.720 and all of these great young quarterbacks Joe Burrow and 0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:08.000 Josh exciting Joe falling on their face. Yeah, let me mean, 0:18:08.040 --> 0:18:10.719 let me just list him. Joe Burrow, Josh Allen, Twa, 0:18:11.440 --> 0:18:16.000 Kyler Murray, Um, Justin Herbert. There's five off the top 0:18:16.040 --> 0:18:18.560 of my head, right, I'm sure I'm forgetting Lamar Jackson. 0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:21.040 These are all guys have been drafted in the last 0:18:21.480 --> 0:18:25.360 three drafts. Uh, those are six right there, So you're 0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:27.840 one short of a quarter of the league. I didn't 0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:30.280 mention Baker Mayfield because I think he's probably a tear 0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:33.199 below those guys. But that would be a quarter of 0:18:33.200 --> 0:18:35.879 the league. And you've got Dwayne Haskins and Daniel Jones 0:18:36.640 --> 0:18:41.920 or Sam Donald or Mitchell. I mean, well, but think 0:18:41.960 --> 0:18:44.159 about that. That's the difference, right, Like, that's the difference 0:18:44.200 --> 0:18:58.840 between hope and despondency. Anyway, Jake Lewton yesterday one game, Yeah, yeah, 0:18:59.840 --> 0:19:02.439 get me started. But Christie, I did. I was hearing 0:19:02.440 --> 0:19:04.920 your voice in my head that entire Pittsburgh game because 0:19:04.920 --> 0:19:07.920 you did selling lines. You're like, this would be the game. 0:19:07.960 --> 0:19:13.639 I'm like, oh, for god's sakes, don't be right about this. Yeah, 0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:15.960 people texting me call me about different things that said, 0:19:15.920 --> 0:19:18.320 would you guys just leave me alone? I just Steelers, 0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:21.919 but win this game. Please let me alone. That's right. 0:19:21.920 --> 0:19:24.119 I don't care if they cover. Just win, all right. 0:19:24.160 --> 0:19:25.960 Let's stick up. Let's stick in one here in two 0:19:25.960 --> 0:19:30.479 minutes here before the break. You're Washington football team the 0:19:30.480 --> 0:19:33.280 Detroit Lion. There's not many lines on this. I'll tell 0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:37.520 you right now. I'm imagining because of Stafford, but you know, 0:19:37.680 --> 0:19:39.840 or you know it could be because of we don't 0:19:39.840 --> 0:19:42.960 know what Washington. Well, that's really a story. So we 0:19:43.000 --> 0:19:44.720 do have a couple of numbers. Yeah, we'll do it 0:19:44.720 --> 0:19:47.600 real quick. Detroit gets blasted by Minnesota thirty four to twenty. 0:19:47.640 --> 0:19:49.760 Matt Stafford does end up playing, but he does end 0:19:49.840 --> 0:19:54.200 up leaving the game. Minnesota was super dominant. Washington had 0:19:54.240 --> 0:19:57.560 a chance to beat the Giants. But Alex Smith in 0:19:57.720 --> 0:20:02.200 replacement of Kyle Allen just my opinion is he shouldn't 0:20:02.240 --> 0:20:04.399 be out on the football field. And I'm just talking 0:20:04.400 --> 0:20:07.560 about his leg, but certainly some of the decisions of 0:20:07.600 --> 0:20:09.680 some of the throws he made late in this game 0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:14.120 also lend to yeah, maybe just maybe just enjoy your 0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:16.840 millions and your family and not risk injury anymore. I 0:20:16.880 --> 0:20:19.399 think they have to go to Dwayne Haskins here. I 0:20:19.440 --> 0:20:21.280 really do, like, I don't know what the point of 0:20:21.280 --> 0:20:24.560 playing Alex By the way, and terrible injury for Kyle Allen. 0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:27.960 The Washington football team. Between Joe Thisman, Alex Smith, and 0:20:28.000 --> 0:20:31.200 Kyle Allen, I don't know what they've done to the universe, 0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:35.200 but those are three horrific quarterback injuries for that one franchise. 0:20:35.359 --> 0:20:36.760 But I think you have to go to dayne Haskin's. 0:20:36.840 --> 0:20:40.399 Usually there's no line whatsoever. Here. Now I see a 0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:43.440 couple of numbers. I see, Um, there's two numbers out there, 0:20:43.480 --> 0:20:45.080 but I'd like to hear yours first. I would say 0:20:45.080 --> 0:20:51.760 Detroit minus six. If it's Haskins, well, you're you're a 0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:54.360 little high. I see it's three and a half before 0:20:56.080 --> 0:20:59.119 my power ring has come a lot lower. Um, you know, 0:20:59.400 --> 0:21:02.800 they just something wrong with this Lions team. You know 0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:05.440 we're talking about quarterbacks. How about Stafford got stuck on 0:21:05.560 --> 0:21:08.760 Detroit all these years. I'm an opening right now. I 0:21:08.760 --> 0:21:10.480 want to see at I want to see a little 0:21:10.480 --> 0:21:12.840 bit more. So I'm not gonna open it just yet. 0:21:13.200 --> 0:21:17.640 Washington minus five and turnovers yesterday and they lose by 0:21:17.840 --> 0:21:22.399 three to the Giants. Good lord, the NFCS. That was 0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:25.040