1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:11,559 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up 2 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: straight Fire, fam, It's me Jason McIntyre. Straight Fire for Friday, 3 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 1: July twenty nine. It is the final weekday in the 4 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 1: month of July. You know what August means, vacations and football, 5 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: That's what it means, and also fantasy football drafts as well. 6 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 1: And at the beginning of school. I don't know if 7 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: any other parents are out there, but uh, who's ready 8 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: for their kids to go back to school? Huh? Kids 9 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 1: staying up way too late, having too much fun. They 10 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 1: need to get back in the classroom. Obviously, my kids 11 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 1: do not want to hear that they are having a 12 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:47,199 Speaker 1: lot of fun. And I will start today's podcast with 13 00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 1: big news. Besides our guest, who's Warren Sharp obviously one 14 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:54,440 Speaker 1: of the better guys who talks gambling out there. We 15 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: had him on last year to promote his NFL preview, 16 00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 1: which is over five pages. Last week Football Outsiders. This 17 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: week we're in Sharp. We're giving you all the places 18 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 1: where I get my information that I used to gamble 19 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: and hopefully win a lot of money this season. Last 20 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: season was good, two seasons ago was really good. COVID 21 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,960 Speaker 1: year maybe it was weird. Um, but I hope you 22 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:17,399 Speaker 1: can glean a lot of gambling centric stuff for the 23 00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: upcoming season with Warren Sharp. I hope you can glean 24 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 1: some nuggets and um, obviously we'll do the full on 25 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: preview later in the month of August. But um, you know, 26 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 1: as preseason wears on and injuries happen and all that. 27 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 1: But to start today's podcast, I was all primed to 28 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: talk about Zion and the and the fat clause in 29 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 1: his contract. You know, I was really loved that story. 30 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: And then the Kyler Murray news happens and you're like, 31 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: oh my gosh, they really are afraid of Kyler Murray. 32 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 1: The Arizona Cardinals made a smart move, and we talked 33 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,919 Speaker 1: about earlier in the week. They added an independent study 34 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 1: a k a. The homework clause in his contract where 35 00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: he had to spend four hours a week on his 36 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:05,919 Speaker 1: tablet watching film, breaking down plays, watching the opponent, etcetera. 37 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 1: Whatever the coaches sent him. Word on the street is 38 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:11,959 Speaker 1: he spent no time last season on his iPad. He 39 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 1: would leave the facility with it, never turn it on, 40 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 1: never opened, none, none of that. Once he left the facility, 41 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 1: it was Kyler Murray time, whether it's the girl to 42 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 1: jump off, the video games, whatever he does, it was 43 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray time. That's not ideal. You know, you're making 44 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: a big money. You want to be successful in the NFL, 45 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:34,360 Speaker 1: you gotta work. I don't know anybody in who just 46 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 1: does their work at the office. It comes home and 47 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 1: it's not working. In addition to that, you've always got 48 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: to be I mean, you're pretty much always on the 49 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: clock with your phone in your pocket, and you you 50 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 1: obviously have to draw some lines. But if you're an 51 00:02:46,040 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 1: NFL quarterback, I mean, the story is out there, a 52 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 1: legendary about Tom Brady just living at the facility. I'm 53 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 1: sure you guys heard these. Zach Wilson story recently that 54 00:02:56,120 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 1: he called Aaron Rodgers. Apparently their friends somehow, and Zack 55 00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 1: Wilson had called Aaron Rodgers and he was talking, you know, Zach, 56 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,239 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, you know, Aaron, I'm here at the facility 57 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: and I'm looking at this tape and I keep seeing 58 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: and Aaron Rodgers that cuts him off, and he's like, dude, 59 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,079 Speaker 1: it's Friday night. What are you doing in the facility. 60 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 1: Go and enjoy your life. You can't be a slave 61 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 1: to work and like Aaron Rodgers is keen on that 62 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 1: life work balance. But Zach Wilson clearly wants to be 63 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 1: that guy, which you kind of love if you're a 64 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 1: Jets fan. I'm not making the story up. It was 65 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 1: out there. Rappaport had it last week. Um, and that's 66 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 1: just not what Kyler Murray is. You. The stories out 67 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: there are are not great about Kyler Murray. Last guy 68 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 1: to arrive first, got to leave. Not really a team dude, 69 00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: not really like an alpha. You know. The great story 70 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: that UH people always talked about is at the combine 71 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 1: you can kind of see who the alpha quarterback is 72 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:55,400 Speaker 1: because all the quarterbacks hang out and who's like the leader. 73 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:59,040 Speaker 1: He usually doesn't say a lot because he doesn't have to, 74 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 1: and and he just is a big guy, pretty cool. Um. 75 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: Just knows how to get along with everybody, knows how 76 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 1: to navigate relationship, knows how to read a room. And 77 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: that guy is your alpha, and that's the quarterback that 78 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: you want leading the locker room. Kyler Murray, as we 79 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,800 Speaker 1: talked about, is just a great talent who really has 80 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 1: never had to step up and lead because he just 81 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 1: would beat everyone because he was just so good in 82 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 1: high school and in college when you get to the NFL, 83 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 1: and good luck beating Aaron Donald and you got a 84 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: face at forty Niners front twice a season, and you know, 85 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray did make the playoffs. They you know, they 86 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 1: got dump truck by the Rams, who eventually won the 87 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. But this is just not what you want 88 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: to hear. That. Now the Arizona Cardinals are backtracking and 89 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 1: they have removed the homework aspect of his contract, and 90 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:52,159 Speaker 1: they're blaming the backlash. According to a statement to Cardinals 91 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: put out Thursday, uh Rappaport had the story. After seeing 92 00:04:56,160 --> 00:05:00,600 Speaker 1: the distraction it created, we remove the addendum from contract. 93 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 1: It was clearly perceived in ways that were never intended. 94 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 1: Our confidence in Kyler Murray is as high as it's 95 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 1: ever been, and nothing damn demonstrates our belief in his 96 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 1: ability to lead the team more than the commitment reflected 97 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:18,320 Speaker 1: in this contract. That is absolutely bonkers that they would 98 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 1: backtrack and they're like afraid of Kyler Murray and the backlash. 99 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 1: You know what doing this does, It ramps up the 100 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:28,159 Speaker 1: backlash and keeps the story in the headlines. You guys 101 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: know how this works, right in the media, everything is 102 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:34,600 Speaker 1: a massive brush fire. Oh my gosh, def con to 103 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray as a homework clause. And you know what, 104 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:41,480 Speaker 1: it's a big story for a day and maybe two, 105 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 1: and it's the dog days of July. Well, guess what 106 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 1: could have happen on day three? I don't know, the 107 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 1: zion fat clause in his contract comes out. Maybe there'll 108 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 1: be more NBA trade rumors about Kevin Durant. Draymond Green 109 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 1: will probably react to something, Maybe Deshaun Watson's case will 110 00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:59,479 Speaker 1: be settled. Maybe Lamar Jackson will have some movement on 111 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 1: his contract. Something else always happens to kick you out 112 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 1: of the headlines. The Cardinals are so afraid of merely 113 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 1: two days of negative president. It wasn't negative toward the 114 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:13,280 Speaker 1: Cardinals or Murray was negative toward both of them. Right, 115 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 1: you give a guy a hundred thirty million dollars and 116 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:17,600 Speaker 1: then tell him, oh, by the way, you've got to 117 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 1: study four hours a week. It feels a little asked 118 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 1: backwards if you ask me, But it's just all around, 119 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 1: just a whole rendous job. Now, every time Carlor Murray 120 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 1: takes the field, has he done the homework? When Kyla 121 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:34,040 Speaker 1: Murray shows up, and as an awful game, and if 122 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 1: he gets benched, it's gonna look terrible and reflects so 123 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:40,920 Speaker 1: poorly because that's all anybody's gonna talk about. Well, he 124 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:42,480 Speaker 1: would have to do the homework, but who cares. You 125 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: got the hundred thirty million and it's just one of 126 00:06:44,800 --> 00:06:50,440 Speaker 1: those deals. Arizona could not have bungled this worse. I mean, 127 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 1: I know that the press conference on Wednesday was kind 128 00:06:53,640 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 1: of bad and uh. Murray after training camp on Thursday, 129 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:02,839 Speaker 1: spoke for a while and said he wanted to explain 130 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:05,839 Speaker 1: himself and thought it was disrespectful that they were criticizing 131 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:08,240 Speaker 1: his worth work, ethic and saying it's almost a joke. 132 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 1: And he watches film by himself that's given. Listen, the 133 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 1: Cardinals issued him an iPad. I can tell you every 134 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 1: video my kids have watched. My my daughter's obsessed with 135 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 1: Stranger things and watching all these videos. My son, you know, 136 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: he plays games on his iPad. I know what they're doing. 137 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 1: The team knows what Kyler Murray's doing. And the answer 138 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 1: is nothing because he's not watching any of the stuff 139 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 1: they gave him. He's not opening it. They know, so 140 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 1: for him to sit there and defend it It's just 141 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 1: this is just an all around embarrassment, and I'm telling 142 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 1: you right now there is I thought the biggest pressure 143 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:45,440 Speaker 1: on anybody this year was gonna be Lamar Jackson because 144 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 1: he doesn't have a deal. And I thought number two 145 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: might be DeShawn Watson whenever the suspension ends. I think 146 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray maybe number one after this absolute fiasco of 147 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 1: a contract situation. All right, without further ado, let's get 148 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: to our guest, NFL analyst Warren Sharp. Jason likes to 149 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 1: think he knows everything when it comes to sports. I 150 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 1: know what sports dance want, but for everything he doesn't, 151 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:16,880 Speaker 1: he knows a guy who does. Let's just say I 152 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:20,720 Speaker 1: know a guy who knows a guy who knows another guy. 153 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: All right, let's welcome into straight fire a guy you 154 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 1: know very well, big time sports gambler NFL, one of 155 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 1: the leading NFL voices. Just from a breakdown perspective. He's 156 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 1: got an incredible two thousand twenty two football preview that's 157 00:08:35,320 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 1: must read. Uh you could download the pdf. Warren Sharp, Warren, 158 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 1: how are you man? I am doing great. Football is 159 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 1: back right now. We got the training camps opening up. 160 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 1: The first preseason game is just a week away, so 161 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 1: it's a it's a great time to be a fan 162 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:52,880 Speaker 1: of the NFL. Yeah. I gotta say, I'm not on TikTok, 163 00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 1: but my wife is, and when random stuff goes through TikTok, 164 00:08:57,640 --> 00:08:59,720 Speaker 1: she'll just send it over to me. And she sent 165 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 1: me one of your videos. She's like, you should do 166 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 1: something like this. It's you wearing like a Hawaiian shirt 167 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:08,240 Speaker 1: talking about NFL with like shades and your mustache. And 168 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:10,720 Speaker 1: I was like, this guy, weren't you'd be pretty savvy. 169 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 1: You're on TikTok. Huh, Yeah, well my guy said I 170 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: needed to be on there. I don't know anything about 171 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: it either. I just hoarded the video. I send it 172 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 1: to like this kid. He put some music in the 173 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 1: background or something, throws some words on it, puts it 174 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 1: on TikTok, sends me a copy of it, and I 175 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: can post that on Twitter so that everybody on Twitter 176 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 1: can see, because that's really my my my primary destination. 177 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 1: But yeah, after I finished writing this book, I always 178 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:38,679 Speaker 1: go on vacation and just try to decompress a little bit, 179 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 1: and then I come back and do a lot of 180 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 1: media hits promoting the book, talking about the season and Uh. 181 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 1: I was like, why don't I just record some of 182 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:48,319 Speaker 1: these things while I'm on vacation, and uh, it was 183 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:50,280 Speaker 1: a blast. I really enjoyed doing it. I might, I 184 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 1: might continue even though I'm back home now. Yeah, once 185 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:55,000 Speaker 1: you get to a certain level, warrant, it's tough to 186 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 1: be like, all right, I gotta post this on Twitter 187 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: and Facebook and Instagram and now TikTok and oh, by 188 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 1: the way, you gotta do radio, and you gotta do 189 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 1: TV and podcast. Like at what point do you break 190 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 1: a down film board? I mean, it just gets exhausting, right, 191 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 1: exactly exactly. So that's why I let them run the 192 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 1: other accounts. I think they might have an Instagram or TikTok. 193 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:15,320 Speaker 1: They definitely have a TikTok. I don't know about the Instagram. 194 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:18,480 Speaker 1: I think they're working on that. I'm just Twitter and 195 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:22,960 Speaker 1: see what I do. Jason is I I try to overwork, 196 00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 1: like I try to outwork everybody during the early part 197 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: of the year so that when when my book comes out, 198 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:33,120 Speaker 1: I have researched every angle of every single team. I 199 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 1: understand why they didn't fulfill their dreams last year, because 200 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:39,640 Speaker 1: only one team does and thirty one don't. So why 201 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 1: did these thirty one teams not get to where they 202 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:48,559 Speaker 1: wanted to be? What changed this offseason? Coaches, players, uh, strategies, philosophies, 203 00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:50,719 Speaker 1: and then what do I think they're going to do 204 00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:53,839 Speaker 1: this year? And I'm trying to uncover things that not 205 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:56,440 Speaker 1: as many other people out there are aware of for 206 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: each of these teams, because that's how you find value 207 00:10:58,280 --> 00:10:59,920 Speaker 1: in the NFL when you're trying to bet on it 208 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 1: or play fantasy football. And I write that down I 209 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 1: shared in the book, and then I can kind of 210 00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:07,319 Speaker 1: dial it back. So this really, over the next month 211 00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:11,199 Speaker 1: is the most relaxed I get, UM, other than maybe 212 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:14,200 Speaker 1: February after the Super Bowl, I I really decompressed. But 213 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 1: this next month is all about chatting it up, enjoying um, 214 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 1: the last little bit of summer, watching a lot of football, 215 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 1: watching the training camps, reading a lot about what the 216 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 1: coaches are saying and all the beat reporters are writing about. 217 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:28,960 Speaker 1: But it's a much different level of stress and pressure 218 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 1: than it is when I'm writing this book and doing 219 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:34,400 Speaker 1: all the research. And then of course once the season 220 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 1: starts and I really like get buried in my little 221 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 1: laboratory down here. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports 222 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:43,360 Speaker 1: talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows 223 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,600 Speaker 1: at Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the I 224 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:49,679 Speaker 1: Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live. 225 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:54,480 Speaker 1: So last February, the Rams trade for Matt Stafford, I 226 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:56,959 Speaker 1: wrote a piece for Fox Sports saying, I like the 227 00:11:57,040 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 1: Rams to get to the Super Bowl and win it. 228 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet them at plus thir teen hundred, and 229 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:03,960 Speaker 1: it was probably my best hit of the NFL season. 230 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 1: I'm trying to look warrant and see if there's a 231 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 1: team this summer that leveled up enough that they will 232 00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:13,439 Speaker 1: put themselves in position. I don't really want to take 233 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 1: anyone from the a f C because it's loaded, and 234 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:18,080 Speaker 1: I know everybody like the Bills. I just have this 235 00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:22,720 Speaker 1: weird feeling that the Chargers are just so stacked. Um 236 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 1: do you like? Do you like the Chargers as a 237 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 1: shot to not only get to the playoffs, but get 238 00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl. I think the Chargers front office 239 00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:34,760 Speaker 1: has done an impeccable job of plugging the holes. Like 240 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:36,680 Speaker 1: you're in a ship and there's a few holes and 241 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 1: you need to fill them, and and they've been so 242 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:42,560 Speaker 1: fortunate They've done the right strategy with a quarterback on 243 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:45,200 Speaker 1: a rookie deal, like Justin Herbert is of, we need 244 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:47,560 Speaker 1: to help along the d line. We need extra dB 245 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 1: Let's get two extra dvs. Let's get a slot guy 246 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 1: in here, Bryce Callahan, Let's get J. C. Jackson in here. 247 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:54,160 Speaker 1: Let's get a couple of guys just to help our 248 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 1: run defense that was worse than the NFL. Let's get 249 00:12:56,760 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 1: another offensive lineman like they are plugging all these holes 250 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:03,720 Speaker 1: for their problem areas, and they have, in my opinion, 251 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:09,320 Speaker 1: the most, if not top three, most talented roster from 252 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:13,320 Speaker 1: front to back offensive defense in the NFL. They also 253 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 1: have one of the most elite quarterbacks in the NFL 254 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:20,199 Speaker 1: who is on a rookie deal, and that is all 255 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:22,720 Speaker 1: the advantage that you really need to really give yourself 256 00:13:22,720 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 1: such a massive head start. The only two things that 257 00:13:25,520 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 1: could derail this team from making the a f C 258 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 1: Championship Game in my opinion, injuries, which this team is 259 00:13:31,440 --> 00:13:33,679 Speaker 1: just snake bit. I don't know what's going on with them, 260 00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:36,280 Speaker 1: but if they can figure out how not can injured 261 00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:38,200 Speaker 1: this camp and during their early part of the season, 262 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 1: that is going to go a long way for their success. 263 00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 1: And number two, it's just coaching and I don't mean 264 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 1: with their head coach, because I know he's super aggressive, 265 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 1: and I know he's sometimes uses analytics and sometimes he 266 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: uses gut. That's all fine. I'm not talking about that. 267 00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:54,680 Speaker 1: I don't care about the fourth down decisions. I know 268 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:56,880 Speaker 1: that they're going to go for it more than most teams, 269 00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 1: and that's a good thing in my opinion, but not 270 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,800 Speaker 1: what I'm discussing. What I'm discussing is there offensive coordinator 271 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 1: Joe Lombardi. Joe Lombardi was absolutely terrible when he went 272 00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:09,000 Speaker 1: to coach the Detroit Lions. Do you know that he 273 00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 1: had Matthew Stafford, out of forty four quarterbacks that year, 274 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 1: have the lowest depth of target on early down passes 275 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 1: with the Detroit Lions before the whole coaching staff was fired. 276 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:25,200 Speaker 1: Forty four out of forty four quarterbacks. This is Matthew 277 00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:27,680 Speaker 1: Stafford and his big arm. Then he goes back to 278 00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 1: rejoin the Saints. Is on the Saints coaching staff and 279 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:34,080 Speaker 1: he's working with Drew Brees right before he leaves. Drew 280 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:36,280 Speaker 1: Brees is forty one years old, has one of the 281 00:14:36,320 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 1: lowest target depths of any player in the NFL because 282 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:40,800 Speaker 1: he has no warm strength he's got no warm at 283 00:14:40,800 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 1: that point. Now he goes to the Chargers and last season, 284 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:49,000 Speaker 1: out of forty two qualifying quarterbacks, Justin Herbert ranked number 285 00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 1: thirty six in early down depth target of depth. There's 286 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 1: no reason why stud like Justin Herbert should be throwing 287 00:14:56,520 --> 00:14:59,400 Speaker 1: and dinking and dunking the football on these early downs 288 00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 1: like he was doing last season. And my concern is 289 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:06,320 Speaker 1: that this isn't something that Joe Lombardi is gonna realize, Oh, 290 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:08,600 Speaker 1: I need to fix this, because that's what he's done. 291 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:10,800 Speaker 1: He did it with Stafford, he did it with Drew Brees. 292 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 1: Like that's my concern. Justin Herbert is a special talent. 293 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 1: He is a freak talent. You need an offensive coordinator 294 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:20,760 Speaker 1: who wants to roll them out into the center ring 295 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:23,640 Speaker 1: of a freak show and say, come see the main 296 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 1: attraction here. This is the freak quarterback. He's gonna fling 297 00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: the ball everywhere on the football field. Um, So I 298 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 1: hope that they increase his depth of target. This season. 299 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 1: If they do that, I agree with you. I mean, 300 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: this is a team that could get out of a 301 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: very difficult a f C West gets into the dance 302 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 1: of the postseason, and I mean, I don't know about 303 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 1: their home field advantage necessarily, but there is a team 304 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 1: that I think could absolutely go all the way. So 305 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 1: I'm just looking up Lombardi. I didn't realize this grandson 306 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 1: of Vince Lombardi. Huh, fifty one years old. It stincts 307 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 1: because a lot of the best young quarterbacks have smart 308 00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 1: young offensive minds coaching him at oc and here the 309 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:01,640 Speaker 1: or just have a fifty one year old. That's that's 310 00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 1: not good that they could be derailed by that. By 311 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: the way side, note I saw that Storm Thornton, the 312 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:09,720 Speaker 1: right tackle. It doesn't even look like he's starting anymore. 313 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 1: He was that bad in Week E. Tina, huh Storm 314 00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 1: Storm Norton, Yes, Storm Norton. Yeah. The the only weak 315 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:18,400 Speaker 1: link of this entire offensive line is that right tackle spot, 316 00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 1: and so um, they're They're really solidified elsewhere on the line. 317 00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 1: Obviously drafted a guy this year, so this is a 318 00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:28,080 Speaker 1: very good, above average O line. I forget what we 319 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: actually ranked them here in the preview book. Let me 320 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:37,520 Speaker 1: scroll up page and tell you. Hold on, we ranked 321 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 1: them as the number six best offensive line in the NFL, 322 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:42,680 Speaker 1: and that really is their only weak link is still 323 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 1: at the right tackle spot. But I mean, if if 324 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 1: that's if that's the uh only weak link that you got, 325 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:50,320 Speaker 1: you're in a pretty in pretty good shape. You just 326 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:52,240 Speaker 1: have to make sure that you're aware of it and 327 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:54,760 Speaker 1: and help out or get rid of the ball before 328 00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,200 Speaker 1: the pressure arrives. All right, So let's go to the 329 00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills. The universal favorites I think everywhere Allen for 330 00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:02,160 Speaker 1: the m v P, the build to win the Super Bowl. 331 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 1: I just wonder on a level of zero to ten, 332 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:09,960 Speaker 1: with ten being like massive concern defcon one, sound the alarm. 333 00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:13,240 Speaker 1: What is your concerned level of losing Dable? I know 334 00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 1: they bring in Doorsey, who's already there, has been there 335 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,280 Speaker 1: for a while, but losing Dable like man he was, 336 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:20,400 Speaker 1: he was lights out? Is there gonna be a problem 337 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:23,440 Speaker 1: with Josh Allen and the offense is here. I would 338 00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,640 Speaker 1: put it out a five, which might be higher than 339 00:17:26,680 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 1: some people have and it might be lower than other people. Um, 340 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:33,040 Speaker 1: but Daba was special, no doubt about it. I think 341 00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:37,480 Speaker 1: Ken Dorsey can be decent. Too. Close to day ball, obviously, 342 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 1: there's a couple of things that you have to realize, 343 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:42,320 Speaker 1: like when you're calling the plays. Um, it's one thing 344 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:44,919 Speaker 1: to design an offense, it's another thing to design a 345 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:46,919 Speaker 1: game plan, and it's another thing to know what to 346 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:48,560 Speaker 1: call when you need to in the middle of a 347 00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:50,439 Speaker 1: game or what adjustment that you have to make. And 348 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 1: so we'll see where Dorsey is on that last aspect 349 00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 1: of it. But from like designing the offense and designing 350 00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 1: the game plans um he was with this team. He 351 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 1: knows what Josh Allen likes. He saw what Brian Daball did, 352 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:03,960 Speaker 1: so I don't really think he would struggle in those areas. 353 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 1: It would surprise me. Here is the one thing, though, Jason, 354 00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 1: that nobody else is really talking about that I think 355 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 1: is important and come factor into this team. Last year, 356 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 1: there were two games where the head coach, Sean McDermott 357 00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:22,399 Speaker 1: came out publicly in his postgame presser and really was 358 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:26,280 Speaker 1: upset with Brian day Ball publicly. He was after the 359 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 1: loss to the Indianapolis Colts and after the loss in 360 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 1: that win game to the New England Patriots, and he 361 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:34,080 Speaker 1: was talking about how our old lines not physical enough, 362 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:36,359 Speaker 1: how we can't generate enough on the ground with the 363 00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:40,640 Speaker 1: running game, how he was frustrated about that and if 364 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:44,280 Speaker 1: that's coming out after the game publicly, like talking negatively 365 00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:46,919 Speaker 1: about who's calling your place. I can only imagine what 366 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 1: was going on behind the scenes there for a longer 367 00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 1: period of that season, and this team was one of 368 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:56,040 Speaker 1: the worst in the NFL running the football on first down, 369 00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:59,120 Speaker 1: and so Brian day Ball was doing it a little 370 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:00,760 Speaker 1: bit more in twenty went he one than he did 371 00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:04,520 Speaker 1: in because McDermott wanted him to. But still he reached 372 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 1: a point where he's like, these plays aren't successful. We 373 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:08,399 Speaker 1: need to throw the ball more. And that's kind of 374 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:12,600 Speaker 1: where this issue arose. Now we've got Dorsey in there, 375 00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:16,960 Speaker 1: and my my, my loan concern again it's somewhat minor, 376 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 1: but my loan concern here you're gonna pick nits on 377 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 1: one of the best teams in the league, is that 378 00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:25,919 Speaker 1: he doesn't have Dorsey does not have the you know, 379 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 1: the tenure. He doesn't have the experience level to argue 380 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 1: with the head coach. He's gonna more so do what 381 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:37,639 Speaker 1: the coach tells him to do. So if Sean McDermott 382 00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:39,600 Speaker 1: comes out and says, I want to run the running 383 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 1: backs a little bit more, Dorsey may not be able 384 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,359 Speaker 1: to stand up and fight against him, and may acquiesce 385 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 1: to that. Now, they did improve their O line a 386 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,359 Speaker 1: little bit, and they brought in a new aligned coach, 387 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:50,760 Speaker 1: and they drafted a running back, so maybe they are 388 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:52,879 Speaker 1: able to run the ball a little bit more efficiently. 389 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:56,200 Speaker 1: That being said, there is no way that a slightly 390 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:59,119 Speaker 1: more efficient run game is better than Josh Allen throwing 391 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:02,359 Speaker 1: the football to the receivers. And so I still think 392 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:05,199 Speaker 1: that that moves the offense back a tiny bit. And 393 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,840 Speaker 1: then Sean mcdermurtn also came out this offseason and said 394 00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:11,119 Speaker 1: that he does not want Josh Allen to run the 395 00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 1: football nearly as much. Obviously, they gave Josh Allen a 396 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,240 Speaker 1: ton of money last year, and so they want to 397 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 1: try to protect Josh Allen. Moore. Well, the biggest skeleton 398 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,520 Speaker 1: key to unlock anything. The best play in the NFL 399 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:24,919 Speaker 1: is when your quarterback drops back for a past and 400 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 1: then scrambles with the football because he sees an open 401 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:30,080 Speaker 1: run line. This is where Josh Allen is averaging ten 402 00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:33,119 Speaker 1: yards per carry when there's an open run line and 403 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:35,640 Speaker 1: he takes it. So if they're now getting into hang 404 00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:38,199 Speaker 1: in the pocket more and throw the football, uh and 405 00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:40,400 Speaker 1: not take these opportunities to run the ball and there's 406 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 1: less designed runs for him. You know, I don't see 407 00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:45,080 Speaker 1: how that helps the offense either. So there's a couple 408 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 1: of minor things with the new coordinator being there and 409 00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,679 Speaker 1: some of the influence that Sean McDermott might now have 410 00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,480 Speaker 1: over that offense that Brian Daba was able to kind 411 00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:57,400 Speaker 1: of push down and and quiet. But that's my real 412 00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:01,120 Speaker 1: only concern with Ken Dorsey. Yeah, like the in fighting aspect. 413 00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:03,040 Speaker 1: Let's go to a team, a bet on team that 414 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:04,880 Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna be on a lot this year, 415 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:08,000 Speaker 1: at least early, is the Minnesota Vikings, and it basically 416 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:11,600 Speaker 1: all has to do with the coaching change Zimmer. It 417 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 1: was just a quarterback killer, like he just did not 418 00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,920 Speaker 1: want to throw the ball last year. Incomes O'Connell, and 419 00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 1: maybe I'm reading too much into you know, the Bengals 420 00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 1: with Taylor being a mcveighuy and O'Connell being a mcveighuy. 421 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:26,199 Speaker 1: I just see this offense putting up big, big points. 422 00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:28,720 Speaker 1: I really like it. Healthy. What do you think Vikings 423 00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 1: sleeper to win the division and I don't know, get 424 00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:33,679 Speaker 1: to the super Bowl. I definitely agree. Well, so if 425 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,879 Speaker 1: you're gonna take long shots, those. I think the NFC 426 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,240 Speaker 1: is where you take those long shots. Uh, And I 427 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:42,440 Speaker 1: do like the Vikings as one of those teams for that. UM. 428 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:44,960 Speaker 1: I like them over their win total. I've already bet 429 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:48,160 Speaker 1: that bet them to make the playoffs as well. UM. 430 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,080 Speaker 1: I think that they have it. This is one of 431 00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:53,000 Speaker 1: their best years and best shots to derail the Packers. 432 00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 1: The Packers may take a step back, but still this 433 00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:57,600 Speaker 1: is a very well coached team and has won thirteen games, 434 00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 1: the only team in the NFL history with the first 435 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,600 Speaker 1: year head coach who goes and wins thirteen games for 436 00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 1: three straight years his first three years coaching the team. 437 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:08,280 Speaker 1: So it's gonna be difficult for Minnesota to like derail 438 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,760 Speaker 1: the Packers for the division, but I think that the 439 00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:13,840 Speaker 1: playoffs is definitely in their future. Completely agree with your 440 00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:17,040 Speaker 1: logic and your reasoning on that this new coaching staff. 441 00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 1: Forget the fighting between Zimmer and Zimmer actually saying that 442 00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:24,399 Speaker 1: he does not like Kirk Cousins like, which is a 443 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 1: problem to begin with. The guy doesn't you give your 444 00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:29,360 Speaker 1: quarterback all his money and now you actually don't like him. 445 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:32,520 Speaker 1: That's a problem. But beyond that, it's the play calling, 446 00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,320 Speaker 1: It's the strategy. Uh, we're going to see a lot 447 00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 1: more passing the football on early downs. I just posted 448 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:41,400 Speaker 1: a nugget on Twitter the other day that Kirk Cousins 449 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:45,480 Speaker 1: was the number three most efficient passer when trailing games 450 00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:48,879 Speaker 1: in the second half. Um, but they never wanted to 451 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,679 Speaker 1: start the games passing the football. They always wanted to 452 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:55,200 Speaker 1: run and play defense. Mike Zimmer, being the defensive minded guy, 453 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:59,119 Speaker 1: he wanted that. He believed this is ridiculous, this is 454 00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,440 Speaker 1: the data has shown that this is a bad argument. 455 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:06,239 Speaker 1: But he believed that running the football and slowing the 456 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:09,000 Speaker 1: game down is a way to keep his defense fresher 457 00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:11,639 Speaker 1: and healthier and made them look better. And so he 458 00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,080 Speaker 1: wanted his defense to look good, and so that's why 459 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 1: he was trying to find ways to keep his defense 460 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:19,040 Speaker 1: off the field. The way, the way to make your 461 00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 1: defense look good is to have your offense get a 462 00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:23,760 Speaker 1: lead for a lot of points so that in the 463 00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 1: second half, all you guys are doing is playing up eleven, 464 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:30,439 Speaker 1: up thirteen and pinning your ears back and recording sacks 465 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:33,400 Speaker 1: and throwing, you know, getting interceptions off of desperate quarterbacks. 466 00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 1: When you know that that offense has to throw the 467 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:38,199 Speaker 1: football into your defense and so that's the way to 468 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:40,720 Speaker 1: make your defense look great. That's why the Patriots defense 469 00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 1: often looks really good is because you know they're up 470 00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:45,960 Speaker 1: in games and the opposing team the second half isode 471 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:49,119 Speaker 1: desperate with mediocre to bad quarterback player that they're chucking 472 00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,639 Speaker 1: the ball into the Patriots defense and they're recording all 473 00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,240 Speaker 1: these takeaway same thing where the Dallas Cowboys getting a 474 00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:57,040 Speaker 1: lot of interceptions last year. So you know, I don't 475 00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:00,680 Speaker 1: know if I love the Vikings defense. I think that 476 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,159 Speaker 1: that's their only only weak link. But I think his 477 00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 1: offense is more than talented enough in their philosophy is 478 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 1: going to be much better and much more effective at 479 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 1: than winning games. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports 480 00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,639 Speaker 1: talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows 481 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:17,919 Speaker 1: at Fox sports Radio dot com and within the I 482 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 1: Heart Radio app. Search f s R to listen live 483 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:23,639 Speaker 1: from a team, I'm gonna be betting onto a team 484 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,199 Speaker 1: I think I'll be looking to fade. Uh. There are 485 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:29,720 Speaker 1: two of them, and they're popular. The Cowboys obviously a 486 00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:31,879 Speaker 1: ton of new starters. First two games out of the 487 00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 1: gate are tough. I don't like the receivers after Ceedee 488 00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,120 Speaker 1: Lamb and then the Patriots who I think. I think 489 00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:40,119 Speaker 1: that McDaniel's loss is huge, and the schedule out of 490 00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,399 Speaker 1: the gate through the first four on the road, I 491 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 1: think mac Jones overachieved. Any agreement on the Cowboys or 492 00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:50,520 Speaker 1: PATRIOTSS fade teams, Cowboys definitely. Um, the Cowboys generated thirty 493 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 1: they were plus thirty four and I think they have 494 00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:56,399 Speaker 1: thirty four takeoys last season, which led the NFL. They 495 00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,760 Speaker 1: haven't done that in thirty four years. Um. The the 496 00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:03,159 Speaker 1: p A that Dallas generated on these takeaways was the 497 00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:05,720 Speaker 1: most in the NFL in over a decade. This was 498 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:09,480 Speaker 1: a team that was thriving off of all these takeaways 499 00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:13,200 Speaker 1: and it's very unlikely that that's gonna be carried over 500 00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:15,920 Speaker 1: from year to year. And for that reason, I think 501 00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:20,160 Speaker 1: that they're upside with all these takeaways regresses some and 502 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,119 Speaker 1: their overall team like they still want to be built 503 00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:26,760 Speaker 1: around Ezekiel Elliott. It lost a bunch of uh strength 504 00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:28,960 Speaker 1: at the wide receiver position. Jerry Jones like, who cares 505 00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,680 Speaker 1: about Amari Cooper? Ceedee Lambs the guy? Well, Ceedee Lamb 506 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:33,880 Speaker 1: is great, but the defense has played you a little 507 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,400 Speaker 1: bit differently last season. Now you don't have Michael Gallup 508 00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 1: and you know, I know they just signed a speedy 509 00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 1: guy from one of those expansion leagues, But I just 510 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:45,920 Speaker 1: worry about this offense a little bit. They're coaching and 511 00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:49,080 Speaker 1: the defense's ability to get these takeaways. So I I 512 00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:51,440 Speaker 1: do think they're gonna be good this year. They're gonna 513 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,200 Speaker 1: have a high floor, but I'm worried about the meeting 514 00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 1: their ceiling. I liked them under their win total. And 515 00:25:56,840 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 1: then with the New England Patriots. The crazy statistic about 516 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:04,480 Speaker 1: the Patriots is that on their drives, if they don't 517 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:07,160 Speaker 1: take a sack on they score points, which is by 518 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,400 Speaker 1: far the number one best in the NFL. Last year, 519 00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 1: Mac Jones, if he was protected well enough and this 520 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,960 Speaker 1: team wasn't taking sacks, they were scoring points at a 521 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:17,560 Speaker 1: really good clip last year. The problem was when they 522 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:21,919 Speaker 1: took sacks, they were down at scoring rate even with 523 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 1: one sack on a drive. And they just lost two 524 00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:28,920 Speaker 1: starting guards. Uh this offseason. They they lost him one 525 00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:31,360 Speaker 1: in for agency when they traded down to Tampa Bay. 526 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,359 Speaker 1: And you ask, well, why did they lose these guards 527 00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 1: if they're trying to build a winner, Because they signed 528 00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:40,359 Speaker 1: a bunch of people last seasons agency, and every single 529 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:44,119 Speaker 1: one of these guys Johnny Smith, Hunter, Henry um Uh 530 00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 1: the wide receiver there, every single one. Their cap hitting 531 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:50,760 Speaker 1: now is over double what it was last year, and 532 00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:52,840 Speaker 1: so they didn't have enough tap space to keep some 533 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 1: of their offensive linemen. So I do have concerns there. 534 00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:57,000 Speaker 1: And the other thing that I think will regrets for 535 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,919 Speaker 1: the Patriots a little bit is their defense, primarily because 536 00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:04,760 Speaker 1: on yards to go on average for opposing offenses last year, 537 00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:07,920 Speaker 1: they were right in league average range, but the Patriots 538 00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,840 Speaker 1: still ranked fifth best on third downs, and that those 539 00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:14,399 Speaker 1: numbers are typically very closely correlated. And thus if the 540 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,439 Speaker 1: defense is slightly weaker without J. C. Jackson, and I 541 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,760 Speaker 1: don't think it's stronger this season against some better quarterbacks 542 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:23,880 Speaker 1: that they're likely to face. I think opposing offenses are 543 00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:27,040 Speaker 1: going to have a better time on early downs and 544 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 1: then a better time on third downs than the Patriots 545 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,360 Speaker 1: were dealing with last year. So it sounds like you're 546 00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:34,479 Speaker 1: not that keen on the Patriots at this point. I 547 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:38,000 Speaker 1: haven't faded him yet, and I do like mac Jones 548 00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:41,639 Speaker 1: more than I think the market like. I think. I 549 00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:47,119 Speaker 1: think Mac Jones does have the ability to raise the 550 00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:49,439 Speaker 1: level of this offense, and I think some of his 551 00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:53,240 Speaker 1: statistics last year, or because they were putting him in 552 00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 1: in difficult situations. But here's where I don't know how 553 00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 1: much that improves this year, Jason. And that's because you 554 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:04,119 Speaker 1: need eat some Josh McDaniels wasn't great last season. In 555 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:05,959 Speaker 1: my opinion. He didn't know how to how to use 556 00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:09,080 Speaker 1: Johnny Smith. Uh. There were some other issues that with 557 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:10,840 Speaker 1: this offense. I think they ran the ball a little 558 00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 1: bit too much. They put mac Jones into difficult situations 559 00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:15,640 Speaker 1: on third down. But I just don't know that they're 560 00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:17,679 Speaker 1: in a better spot this year from a play calling 561 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 1: perspective than they were last season. I mean you I 562 00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,280 Speaker 1: looked and wrote a lot about this in the Patriots chapter. 563 00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:26,399 Speaker 1: There were certain things that if you tweaked with the 564 00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:30,359 Speaker 1: offense that like they were glaring splits between you know, 565 00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,960 Speaker 1: shotgun versus under center, or early down passing versus third 566 00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:36,920 Speaker 1: down passing. We're passing under pressure versus not. And if 567 00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:40,080 Speaker 1: you tweaked a few things with the offense to optimize it, 568 00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:41,960 Speaker 1: and we're on top of these things during the year, 569 00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 1: you would have noticed this and you could have improved 570 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:47,560 Speaker 1: the offense by making these changes. I'm worried that like 571 00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:50,520 Speaker 1: Joe Judge is not going to be able to notice 572 00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:53,600 Speaker 1: and identify these things, and Matt Patricia isn't going to 573 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,120 Speaker 1: be able to call the right place to execute this 574 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,360 Speaker 1: offense as well as even Josh McDaniels was doing. So 575 00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:02,400 Speaker 1: that my main concern about this offense is the is 576 00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:05,920 Speaker 1: the play calling itself? But I think mac Jones um 577 00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:09,000 Speaker 1: is a little bit better than people think. Huh all right, Um, 578 00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:11,320 Speaker 1: looking quickly a week one and I got a fun 579 00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:14,160 Speaker 1: question after that, But looking at week one, it's a 580 00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:18,280 Speaker 1: little granular. But I just don't understand how the Washington 581 00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:20,960 Speaker 1: commanders are four point favorites over Jacksonville. And I know 582 00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:23,760 Speaker 1: week one is still six weeks away, but Warren, when 583 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:27,440 Speaker 1: some of these lines come out, like how is Carson 584 00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,960 Speaker 1: Wentz favored by four over anybody? Or is the market 585 00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: that down on Jacksonville? I think I love Jacksonville last year. 586 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,880 Speaker 1: I obviously misread the Urban Meyer stuff, but there's a 587 00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 1: lot of talent, they spend a lot of money. Um, 588 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,560 Speaker 1: teams have spend money in free agency the last like 589 00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:44,880 Speaker 1: five years have actually done kind of well. Um, I 590 00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:47,160 Speaker 1: think Jacksonville has gotta be a bet there. I'm gonna 591 00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 1: be looking at Trevor Lawrence this year to bet on maybe. 592 00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:54,160 Speaker 1: I definitely agree with you. I think that Trevor Lawrence 593 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,120 Speaker 1: is going to surprise a lot of people this year. 594 00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:59,760 Speaker 1: He's actually not very bad on first downs at all. 595 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:02,280 Speaker 1: The album was the team wasn't throwing enough on first down. 596 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:06,320 Speaker 1: Doug Peterson comes from Kansas City and then Philadelphia. Kansas 597 00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:08,320 Speaker 1: City one of the most past heavy teams in the NFL. 598 00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:11,280 Speaker 1: Philadelphia two out of his last three years they were 599 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,680 Speaker 1: one of the top ten teams in early down pass rate. 600 00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:16,040 Speaker 1: I think that this team does shift a little bit 601 00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 1: more and play to Trevor Lawrence's strengths more offensively. Um 602 00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 1: they also have a big shift, Jason. Last year they 603 00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,680 Speaker 1: played the third most difficult schedule of opposing defenses and 604 00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:28,600 Speaker 1: Trevor went up against the seventh most difficult schedule of 605 00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:32,600 Speaker 1: opposing past defenses. This year, they played the number two 606 00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:37,480 Speaker 1: easiest schedule of defenses overall and of past defenses. I 607 00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 1: think Doug Peterson, there's no bigger shift. I I don't 608 00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:44,280 Speaker 1: think that the Jags are gonna win more games than 609 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:46,680 Speaker 1: some of the other teams that got first year head coaches, 610 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,320 Speaker 1: like the Vikings, but I think the difference between the 611 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: prior coach and the current coach is most stark in Jacksonville. 612 00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:56,640 Speaker 1: And I don't disagree with you at all that taking 613 00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,720 Speaker 1: the four points their week one is a smart move. Um, 614 00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:02,240 Speaker 1: it's real quick. Just for the listeners who aren't sure 615 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 1: when you say the second easiest schedule this year against 616 00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 1: opposing defense, is what analytic are you using to rate 617 00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:13,280 Speaker 1: the defense? Is it? D v O A is it? 618 00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:16,800 Speaker 1: I mean, there's a ton of defensive stats. Which one 619 00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:18,920 Speaker 1: do you prefer? Just so the audience can know to 620 00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,040 Speaker 1: look at it as well. But for for strength of 621 00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:24,840 Speaker 1: schedule stuff, I like to lean into d v O A. Okay, yeah, 622 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:27,240 Speaker 1: I know other people kind of look at wind totals, 623 00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:30,760 Speaker 1: but that doesn't break down offensive if we're correct. So 624 00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:33,680 Speaker 1: I started looking at wind totals to look at strength 625 00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:37,200 Speaker 1: of schedule. Like six years ago, when everybody was looking 626 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:39,520 Speaker 1: at strength the schedule for the upcoming year based on 627 00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:43,560 Speaker 1: the prior years of those teams, which is total garbage. 628 00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:46,720 Speaker 1: I started pioneering a little bit. Look at the wind 629 00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:49,600 Speaker 1: totals for this year. It's more predictive. But when you're 630 00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:53,520 Speaker 1: talking about offense defense or pass offensive past defense, you know, 631 00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:56,200 Speaker 1: you can take a good place to start is take 632 00:31:56,320 --> 00:32:00,760 Speaker 1: last year's final results, understand that past defense is going 633 00:32:00,800 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 1: to be more. Uh, past defense is going to carry 634 00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 1: over a little bit better than run defense, and then 635 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:08,600 Speaker 1: tweak them a little bit based upon how you know 636 00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:11,719 Speaker 1: what the team changed in the off season. Um, all right, 637 00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:15,480 Speaker 1: So I obviously you got written about in the New Yorker. Congratulations, 638 00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:17,320 Speaker 1: that was awesome. But I do want to ask, like, 639 00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:20,840 Speaker 1: gambling is so popular now Warren, that there are some 640 00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:24,960 Speaker 1: local guys and they'll just ban you if you're winning. 641 00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:26,920 Speaker 1: They just will not take your bets. And I do 642 00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,440 Speaker 1: know some friends, you know, I have some groups, and 643 00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:32,840 Speaker 1: you know we can't get down as much as we 644 00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:35,720 Speaker 1: used to because if you have some success, you know, 645 00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:38,000 Speaker 1: your local guys just gonna stop taking your bets. What 646 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:39,880 Speaker 1: do you recommend, as I know you talked to a 647 00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:41,360 Speaker 1: lot of guys, You're welcome with a lot of people. 648 00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:43,920 Speaker 1: What do you recommend, Like do you recommend like hey, 649 00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,320 Speaker 1: if you got to go out of state, uh, like 650 00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:48,880 Speaker 1: give give the people some advice for getting down more 651 00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:52,640 Speaker 1: money when they find the biggest edges. Well that's that's 652 00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:55,840 Speaker 1: a great question right there. Um, here's the thing. I 653 00:32:56,120 --> 00:33:00,440 Speaker 1: see a lot of people on Twitter that uh try 654 00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:04,760 Speaker 1: to hit for like a tennis match or a w 655 00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:08,240 Speaker 1: NBA game or some other thing that like is clearly 656 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:11,520 Speaker 1: mispriced on a prop and they start smashing it for 657 00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:13,920 Speaker 1: the limit. And that's a great way to get a 658 00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,200 Speaker 1: book completely piste off at you and then want to 659 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,440 Speaker 1: limit you very quickly in the future. And what I 660 00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:22,480 Speaker 1: have found in others that I work with this like 661 00:33:23,160 --> 00:33:25,440 Speaker 1: some of those tiny things that Okay, sure you'll win, 662 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:27,920 Speaker 1: like you know, a couple hundred bucks on or something 663 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 1: like that, big picture, long range is not worth it. 664 00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:34,200 Speaker 1: You want your account to be able to get down 665 00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:38,640 Speaker 1: thousands of dollars, you know, with ease in the NFL, 666 00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 1: because we dominate the in the NFL. You don't care 667 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,280 Speaker 1: about like a couple hundred bucks here there in some 668 00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:46,040 Speaker 1: of these other things. Now, if you don't care about 669 00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:49,000 Speaker 1: your account, then that's a little bit different. But it's 670 00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:52,320 Speaker 1: also of course it's it's about networks, it's about people 671 00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,520 Speaker 1: that you know, it's about working together UM so that 672 00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:58,880 Speaker 1: you can have the biggest opportunities to get down enough 673 00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:02,080 Speaker 1: volume on UM you know, the things that have the 674 00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:06,480 Speaker 1: most edge, but a big limits, right, So that's what 675 00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:09,319 Speaker 1: we tend to focus on on. There is definitely like 676 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:12,200 Speaker 1: groups and people that you're working with to try to 677 00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:15,279 Speaker 1: help navigate those waters a little bit. Um. But the 678 00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,080 Speaker 1: key is, you know the the other fun thing is 679 00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:21,600 Speaker 1: if you have people that are pretty bad and they 680 00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:25,000 Speaker 1: lose money, and then you can kind of we've in 681 00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:28,960 Speaker 1: some of your action through their accounts like that. That's 682 00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:31,279 Speaker 1: another good way because they have big limits and they're 683 00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:34,239 Speaker 1: not on the sports books radar um. That's another good 684 00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:37,319 Speaker 1: way to uh keeap that that is diabolical. I kind 685 00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:40,319 Speaker 1: of love that. But after the New Yorker piece came out, 686 00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:42,879 Speaker 1: do you have more people reaching out to you high 687 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:46,000 Speaker 1: level gamblers I'm talking some of these whales out there 688 00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:48,680 Speaker 1: in Vegas? Do you have more people reaching out saying, hey, Warren, 689 00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:52,520 Speaker 1: how do we work together? Not really, because the football 690 00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:55,080 Speaker 1: seats like everybody is so focused on the football season. 691 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:57,200 Speaker 1: Really that's the big season and we have we aren't 692 00:34:57,239 --> 00:35:00,880 Speaker 1: there yet, um, so like the football is season. The 693 00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:02,799 Speaker 1: difference between me and a lot of other bettors out 694 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:06,319 Speaker 1: there or uh handicappers out there who sells stuff is 695 00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:10,040 Speaker 1: that I focus on football only, so like I'm giving 696 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:13,359 Speaker 1: up income that I could be making uh, you know, 697 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,239 Speaker 1: six other months out of the season. And during those 698 00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:19,400 Speaker 1: six months, I'm working on writing this book. I'm getting 699 00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:22,440 Speaker 1: edges on researching the teams so I know what to 700 00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:25,000 Speaker 1: expect for this upcoming season, so that we're gonna have 701 00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,840 Speaker 1: a great time betting futures and make a bunch of 702 00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:29,879 Speaker 1: money on that, you know. And I feel like we're 703 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:32,000 Speaker 1: in really really good position, and then we're gonna be 704 00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,440 Speaker 1: in great shape the first month of the football season, 705 00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:37,360 Speaker 1: at which point there's a lot of adjustments and adaptations 706 00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,400 Speaker 1: that you have to make based upon certain things. But 707 00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:42,319 Speaker 1: we're gonna be entering it more intelligently than this than 708 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:44,160 Speaker 1: the sports books are, which have been working on so 709 00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:47,160 Speaker 1: many other sports as well. So um that that's my 710 00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:51,319 Speaker 1: main focus. And it's it's like in August that some 711 00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:54,120 Speaker 1: of these guys start to get involved in really serious 712 00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:57,319 Speaker 1: about Okay, I've I've staffed up, I've built up some 713 00:35:57,360 --> 00:35:59,680 Speaker 1: of my accounts now with money, Like, let's start thinking 714 00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:01,920 Speaker 1: about the NFL. Let's do that's a little bit late, 715 00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:03,960 Speaker 1: all right, We'll close out with this one. M v 716 00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:06,160 Speaker 1: P is always a tough one. I hate tying up 717 00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:08,520 Speaker 1: Bunny for like five or six months. But I just 718 00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:11,240 Speaker 1: I'm totally buying into the Russell Wilson hype in Denver. 719 00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:13,640 Speaker 1: I know it's the a f C. It's the toughest division, 720 00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:16,960 Speaker 1: probably dumb. I can't get behind the Josh Allen. The 721 00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:19,759 Speaker 1: numbers too low, but Josh Allen's probably gonna win the 722 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:21,000 Speaker 1: m v P, right or what do you? Or do 723 00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:25,160 Speaker 1: you like Russell Wilson? See? I actually don't focus a 724 00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:27,759 Speaker 1: lot on the m v P market itself. I I 725 00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:30,279 Speaker 1: typically don't find that there's a lot of edges in 726 00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:33,200 Speaker 1: those in the favorites, right, Like there's a handful of 727 00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:36,359 Speaker 1: guys and a few things go different one for for 728 00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,120 Speaker 1: the other, and all of a sudden, you know, it 729 00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,680 Speaker 1: shifts to somebody else Where. I've focused more so is 730 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:45,800 Speaker 1: on some of the longer shot m v P opportunities 731 00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:50,000 Speaker 1: in the marketplace and trying to paint like narratives in 732 00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:52,560 Speaker 1: my mind as too. Okay, I kind of like the 733 00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:55,120 Speaker 1: forty or I kind of like the Jaguars. If the 734 00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:58,560 Speaker 1: Jaguars were going to be a good team, what would 735 00:36:58,600 --> 00:37:00,560 Speaker 1: have to go right for them, X, Y, and Z. 736 00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,400 Speaker 1: And there are opportunities to bet on those things together 737 00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:06,360 Speaker 1: for very small amounts of money that have longer odds 738 00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:08,640 Speaker 1: to win. And then if you're if you happen to 739 00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:10,400 Speaker 1: be right about the Jags or you're happy to be 740 00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:13,520 Speaker 1: about forty or one of these other teams. You've got 741 00:37:13,520 --> 00:37:16,080 Speaker 1: a lot of different ways that you've invested in some 742 00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:19,680 Speaker 1: long shots for those teams, and even if you're wrong 743 00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:22,720 Speaker 1: on all three or four that you're that you've decided 744 00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:25,320 Speaker 1: to take their you're not really out that much because 745 00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,120 Speaker 1: you put so little down to win so much that 746 00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:30,400 Speaker 1: it's not that big of a loss overall for you. 747 00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:33,480 Speaker 1: That's the way that on some of those like the 748 00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:36,080 Speaker 1: m v P type odds that I look at on 749 00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:38,600 Speaker 1: some of those long shots. Got it, Warren? Are you 750 00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:41,960 Speaker 1: doing any of the contest the season long UH Circle 751 00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:44,000 Speaker 1: or super contests? Are you doing any of those? Or No? 752 00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:47,560 Speaker 1: I did UH years ago. I was doing the super 753 00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:52,480 Speaker 1: contest and I've since stopped doing the contest Uh. They're 754 00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:54,879 Speaker 1: the ones that I would get involved in. Would be 755 00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:59,560 Speaker 1: like the circle that has the opportunity where they're guaranteeing 756 00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,560 Speaker 1: and so there's an overlay, right Like that's the ones 757 00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:05,120 Speaker 1: that you almost have to enter if there's enough of 758 00:38:05,160 --> 00:38:07,880 Speaker 1: an overlay because it's so plus c V to do it. 759 00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:10,919 Speaker 1: But some of these other ones, Um, the bottom line 760 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,640 Speaker 1: is they're so popular now and there's so many people 761 00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:15,760 Speaker 1: doing it that, but there's not enough of an overlay. 762 00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:17,960 Speaker 1: I mean, all you gotta do. You could be a 763 00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:20,719 Speaker 1: really plus CV better, right, like you could be a 764 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:24,839 Speaker 1: fifty seven fifty eight six better. Overall, you're not even 765 00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,560 Speaker 1: gonna come close to winning it. You have to have 766 00:38:27,680 --> 00:38:30,920 Speaker 1: one of those like super lucky seasons where everything's just 767 00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:33,200 Speaker 1: bouncing your way for you to win that. And if 768 00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:35,759 Speaker 1: there's not a great overlay, then it's you know, it's 769 00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,280 Speaker 1: then it's not worth the time and effort and money 770 00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:40,680 Speaker 1: to get it. And might really agree, but I'm entering 771 00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:43,200 Speaker 1: again this year. I think the payout is five million 772 00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,479 Speaker 1: five point three million for one of them, um, which 773 00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,000 Speaker 1: isn't bad. But again, like you said, somebody gets hot 774 00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:50,600 Speaker 1: hit and then you know, what does this guy do 775 00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:52,520 Speaker 1: for a job, like as a dog walker or something 776 00:38:52,520 --> 00:38:54,680 Speaker 1: you know, just doesn't really know about the NFL anyway, 777 00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:58,759 Speaker 1: Warren Sharp, great preview as always, love your stuff and 778 00:38:58,920 --> 00:39:01,319 Speaker 1: I'm sure you've got a lot of continued success in 779 00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:05,239 Speaker 1: your NFL future. War Hey, thanks Jason, love talking to you, 780 00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:06,160 Speaker 1: talking again soon