1 00:00:08,360 --> 00:00:10,680 Speaker 1: What is Up? Mets fans, Welcome back to another episode 2 00:00:10,720 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: of the Mets Up Podcast. Little Player preview action stroking 3 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: that podcast algorithm, as we're gonna be saying for every episode. 4 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: I don't know. Me using the word stroking also feels inappropriate, 5 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:23,079 Speaker 1: but in a way that I like. So Pete Alonzo episode, 6 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 1: you guys know he's good, you know he's great. Got 7 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 1: a lot to talk about with him, mostly on the 8 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: contract side. And James, you've done a little bit of 9 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: deep diving into some first base comparisons as to what 10 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 1: a Peter Alonzo contract could look like. What do you 11 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:35,919 Speaker 1: got for us? 12 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:37,440 Speaker 2: I mean, it's just kind of that the vibe right 13 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:39,600 Speaker 2: now around Pete. The contract stuff has been brutal. You 14 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 2: guys heard to talk about it with Tim Healey last week. 15 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 2: It's kind of like every beat report or every baseball 16 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 2: report that recovers the Mets has almost chained to this question. Pete, Wait, 17 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 2: you think about your contract zooming extension before the season 18 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 2: and way things gonna look like next year? It's so oh, 19 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 2: I want to be a Met forever. I think I'm 20 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 2: gonna be ready to go, but I have some unpredictable 21 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 2: but I definitely want to stay as a met answer. 22 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 1: That's it. 23 00:00:57,280 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 2: That's all we can think about. That's all we know 24 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 2: you guys want to hear about. That's where every head 25 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 2: is at. So again, we just wanted to really get 26 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 2: through all this free agency stuff and then talk about 27 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 2: who Pete's going to be in twenty twenty four, cause 28 00:01:07,240 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 2: I think we're gonna see amazing version of plans in 29 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 2: twenty twenty four. Between being injured for most of twenty 30 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:14,839 Speaker 2: twenty three while still hitting forty six home runs, everything 31 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 2: he's done in his career at this point tells you 32 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 2: to believe that he's still going to continue to be 33 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 2: a really good hitter, and she thinking there's going to 34 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 2: be a hunger between this down year last year, being 35 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 2: in the contract year, like it's all going to come together. 36 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 2: And like we talked about last week too, like I've 37 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 2: been hearing all offseason spring training so far, seems like 38 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:32,559 Speaker 2: a very relaxed vibe right now in Mets camp. People 39 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,919 Speaker 2: seem happy to be there. People seem loose. Content not content. 40 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 2: Content is a bad word. Never content athletes, They've never content, 41 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 2: never can not content, never content, but just seems loose. 42 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 2: People seem happy to be themselves. I think that's going 43 00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 2: to be very important this season. 44 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 1: Pete is great, He's going to be great, like we said, 45 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 1: We'll talk about that a little bit later, but let's 46 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: talk about what this actual contract could look like because 47 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 1: he's hitting free agency and Pete wants to get paid 48 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 1: big money. We've heard him talking Scott Borstalk like he 49 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 1: wants to be paid like the best first basement in 50 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: Major League Baseball. We talked about this when we started 51 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 1: doing episodes again this offseason in January, about the trade 52 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: side more so. But now let's talk about the resign side, 53 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:08,920 Speaker 1: because I think there is a legitimate possibility that the 54 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 1: Mets bring him back. I think they would be the 55 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 1: favorites right now when he hits the free agent market 56 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: to re signed Pete Alonzo. But where do you pay him, 57 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:19,560 Speaker 1: because like the first baseman market is weird because you 58 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: have Freddy Freeman who got paid a lot of money, 59 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 1: but it was over a shorter period of time. Matt 60 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: Olsen got that big contract. Is he better than Matt Olson? 61 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 1: And then when you look at the first baseman before him, 62 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 1: they're definitely like way better. But also baseball was more 63 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 1: stupid then, so I don't know how you can really 64 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: determine what Pete deserves to actually get paid. 65 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 2: No, a lot more stupid. And again, Pete's not even 66 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:39,959 Speaker 2: just saying he wants to be paid like one of 67 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 2: the highest first basement in baseball. I think Boris said 68 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 2: a quote like, it's not even relative to first base, 69 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 2: it's just players in baseball. And that's just like it's 70 00:02:46,040 --> 00:02:48,640 Speaker 2: just it's just not really reality. For one Pete, and 71 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 2: two just for first basement in general. You mentioned Freddie 72 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 2: Freeman and Paul Goldschmian. They've like paced the market kind 73 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:55,639 Speaker 2: of historically. Now for first basement they're making twenty seven 74 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 2: to twenty six million dollars annually, respectively, with Freeman making 75 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 2: a million more. Those are the avs for any first 76 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,680 Speaker 2: basement the history of baseball. Freeman has an extra year 77 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:05,640 Speaker 2: six year deal overs five year dear for gold Smith, 78 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 2: and those total values are six for one sixty two 79 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 2: and five for one thirty each. We signed early in 80 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:11,799 Speaker 2: the thirties, thirty one thirty two years old for each guy, 81 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 2: and both of those guys a little different or very 82 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 2: much I think legitimately Hall of famers, yeay, each I 83 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 2: don't think Freeman has an MVP, but I think he 84 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 2: has multiple top three, top four finishes. He does COVID 85 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 2: MVP COVID okay, so fake MVP. And then Golshman has 86 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 2: a real MVP they actually got after the contract was signed, 87 00:03:26,760 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 2: but he was in the mix for multiple MVPs always. 88 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 2: He's just those two the best players this generation, and 89 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:33,080 Speaker 2: they're awesome. Then you have Matt Olson, who we've talked about. 90 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 2: Also compared to Pete, he has more years than those guys. 91 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 2: He signed a younger twenty eight years old, but for 92 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 2: less money annually, only twenty one million dollars annual value 93 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 2: eight for one sixty eight contract, and he just had 94 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 2: like a fifty one to thirty year where he was 95 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 2: one of the most valuable players on baseball. Just the 96 00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 2: other guy in his team had won the best seasons 97 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 2: the history of sport, so it didn't really look as obvious. 98 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 2: And then besides those guys, there was only one other 99 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 2: first baseman the entire league that's on more than a 100 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 2: three year contract. It's Jake Cronenworth, and one that's a 101 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 2: horrible contract. He can play out positions and he was 102 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 2: mostly playing other positions when he signed that deal. They 103 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 2: just have acquired better defensive players, more in middle infielder, 104 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:08,400 Speaker 2: so just push him to first base. So you only 105 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 2: have four guys in all of Major League baseball I'm 106 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:12,640 Speaker 2: more than a three year contract at first base. And 107 00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 2: now you have Pete Loonza, who by all measures is 108 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 2: an amazing hitter, amazing power hitter, one of the best 109 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 2: in the whole league. But he wants to get paid 110 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:20,760 Speaker 2: more than all of them. It's hard for me to 111 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 2: rationalize that from this perspective. 112 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is where Scott Boris makes this complicated for us, 113 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 1: because Scott Borris is definitely in Pete's head of like, 114 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:31,360 Speaker 1: you're gonna get paid like the biggest first base, like 115 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 1: the best first baseman to ever play, You're gonna get 116 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:37,039 Speaker 1: the highest AAV ever. And as much as I love Pete, 117 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 1: this is the only time I'm ever gonna like be 118 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 1: a little bit negative on this and a little bit 119 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 1: negative on Pete Is in terms of the money. He's 120 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 1: just simply not better than Freddie Freeman. He's simply not 121 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:49,040 Speaker 1: better than Matt Olsen right now. So I don't know 122 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:51,919 Speaker 1: how he can justify truly or how a team can 123 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 1: truly justify paying him twenty seven to twenty eight, twenty nine, 124 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 1: or even thirty million dollars a year, it just doesn't 125 00:04:57,120 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 1: really make sense. Now. I don't think Pete's game is 126 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:01,840 Speaker 1: gonna slow down anytime soon. I think he's always going 127 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:04,600 Speaker 1: to be hitting thirty five, forty five, close to fifty 128 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 1: home runs every single season. Doesn't feel like something that's 129 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 1: gonna change for him any time soon. He's not old 130 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:12,280 Speaker 1: by any means, but the idea of paying all that 131 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:15,120 Speaker 1: money to a first baseman is going to be tough 132 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 1: because as much as we love Pete, relative value to 133 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: other players on the field, first base just doesn't bring 134 00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:22,600 Speaker 1: in that much. Again, unless you are Freddie Freeman, and 135 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 1: unfortunately he's. 136 00:05:23,800 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 2: Not totally but it's also like he's not. He's way 137 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 2: above the next year first baseman to have these deals 138 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 2: like Anthony Rizzo is a thirty five year old don 139 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 2: a two years but like he's not even close. Jose A. 140 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 2: Bray is on a really bad three year contract that 141 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:36,840 Speaker 2: he looks totally dead on year one, even though he 142 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:37,600 Speaker 2: did get a little hot. 143 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: The end of the year. 144 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,040 Speaker 2: It's just for people in really deep fantasy baseball league. 145 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:42,279 Speaker 2: He's a sneaky guy. Then you have Muncy, Josh Bell, 146 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:44,720 Speaker 2: Hoskins on pretty cheap two year deals. Like Pete is 147 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:47,160 Speaker 2: obviously much better than all those guys, but he's also 148 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 2: definitely a tier below the Olsen and the Freeman. So 149 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 2: it's a weird market context for Pete, especially when he 150 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 2: has these crazy counting stats that you can't deny. And 151 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 2: then Pete's like home runs RBIs, like who's better than me? 152 00:05:57,720 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 2: And in terms of those two things, really nobody's better 153 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 2: than people, but nobody has more home runs and peelans 154 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 2: as he came to the league, almost nobody has more 155 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 2: RBIs and like both of those, like he's kind of 156 00:06:05,360 --> 00:06:06,840 Speaker 2: a way ahead of the pack of the home runs thing, 157 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 2: he's not even close. But then you have to get 158 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 2: back to Boris because that's where this negotiation goes. And 159 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 2: we're seeing the way he's handling his clients this offseason, 160 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 2: and it looks like brutal. Like I'm I'm nervous about 161 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 2: the Pete situation in general, but I think I'm still 162 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 2: probably in my head, like seventy thirty he's back as 163 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 2: a met seventy percent he comes back, thirty percent he leaves, 164 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:28,280 Speaker 2: And that's just pure gut feeling. There's nothing behind that 165 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 2: a all. We know nothing, no inside information. We know 166 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 2: less than nothing these days. 167 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, we knew nothing before, we know nothing now. 168 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 2: And then I found out some stuff from the legend 169 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 2: Joel Sherman, an article about plans. There you go hitting 170 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 2: free agency at the same time Boris at the time 171 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 2: of this. So this is we're recording this on March first, 172 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 2: so he could he could sign a bigger deal in 173 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:50,599 Speaker 2: next few days because he has all these guys still 174 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 2: in the free agent market. But Boris negotiated twenty six 175 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 2: contracts as an agent worth more than one hundred and 176 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 2: twenty five million dollars in total. Those twenty six contracts, 177 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 2: only three of them were contract extent. Do you do 178 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 2: you know who those guys could have been? 179 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 1: No, I'm not ready for that. I have no clue. 180 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 2: I wasn't prepared for that question. Well, usually usually a 181 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 2: decent trivia. So I guess Sporkle Mark is dead. You're 182 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 2: doing real content again. But three total extensions. Two of 183 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 2: them were Joseel. 184 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 1: Tuofe Oh wow, okay, I didn't even know Joseel Tuov 185 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 1: it was a Boris guy, and nook Up and the 186 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:20,280 Speaker 1: other one was Steven Strassberg, who signed an extension then 187 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: went to free agency. 188 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 2: Still so weird things. So twenty three out of twenty 189 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:25,240 Speaker 2: six guys went to free agency, and three of recent 190 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 2: memory that come to mind who were the only kind 191 00:07:26,960 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 2: of ones who were on big money teams. Because usually 192 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:31,160 Speaker 2: the borest thing is he takes your small market guy 193 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 2: and he moves into a big market team. That's kind 194 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 2: of the recipe success. But then you have Aaron Judge, 195 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 2: Aaron Nola, Weird, two Errandscificly and Brandon Nimo in the 196 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 2: last two off seasons, and all of those guys went 197 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:43,320 Speaker 2: to free agency with their big market teams and signed 198 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 2: relatively quickly without extensions, just because they knew where they 199 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 2: wanted to go. There were moments of being afraid, especially 200 00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:50,880 Speaker 2: for fans of those teams, but all those guys went 201 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:53,320 Speaker 2: back and I think pretty fair top of the market, 202 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 2: but still pretty fair market value for what they do 203 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 2: and what they got. And none of those guys, similar 204 00:07:58,280 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 2: with the Pete ever wanted to leave. Pete talks about 205 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 2: not wanting to go anywhere. And then the other guy 206 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 2: who was in that lump was a Rod that was 207 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 2: mess here when he opted out that first Yankee contract. 208 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 2: You know it's still happened. He came back to the A. Yeah, 209 00:08:08,880 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 2: it didn't matter. The Boris guys when they do leave, 210 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,840 Speaker 2: it's generally small to big market. Where big market to 211 00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 2: big market, it's I think that there's it's being stroked 212 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 2: right now because Boris knows how to play the game, 213 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 2: and he knows that Mets fans it's free resource for 214 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 2: him to just incite public terror, and it's a terror. 215 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 2: I don't want to lose the homegrown player. I don't 216 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 2: want loose Pilonzo. I love pi Alonzo. But it's just 217 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 2: like I think right now, it's just a lot of 218 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 2: things being He used the episode the wordy, this episode 219 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 2: stroked that really don't have. 220 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 1: To be Yeah, totally. I mean, I think there's not 221 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:37,720 Speaker 1: a Met fan in the world that wants to lose 222 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: Peede Alonzo. We've we've seen how good he's been since 223 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen, since he came up, Like you said, prolific 224 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:45,560 Speaker 1: power hitter, best in baseball in terms of hitting home runs, 225 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 1: RBIs whatever it is. I kind of like that Aaron 226 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:50,599 Speaker 1: Nola comp even though it's pitcher verse hitter. But I 227 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 1: feel like that's where Pete kind of lands in terms 228 00:08:53,040 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: of like the first base thing like you mentioned, where 229 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 1: we all know that Aaron Nola is a fantastic pitcher. 230 00:08:57,559 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 1: We've seen him pitch, we've seen the numbers. He's great, 231 00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 1: But you know he is not Garrett Cole, he's not 232 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 1: Corbyn byrds. He's not in that same tier maybe even 233 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:07,880 Speaker 1: a Zach Wheeler tier now, But that's kind of where 234 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 1: Pete lands. So I do like that you brought up 235 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: the guys that are all in big markets that they 236 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 1: came back, because I think that will maybe give METS 237 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:16,320 Speaker 1: fans a little bit of a little bit of a breather. 238 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:18,320 Speaker 1: And at the end of the day, like you said, 239 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 1: Pete has made it clear that he wants to stay here. 240 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 1: I don't think that's like even just him like posturing 241 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: of like I'm gonna say this because I'm on the team. 242 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: I think if he was really trying to like not 243 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 1: be back, I think it would be a little bit 244 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 1: more obvious than it's been shown so far. I don't 245 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:33,560 Speaker 1: think he's a genius like that. I don't think he'd 246 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 1: be playing his cards that well. So I don't know 247 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 1: it's it's it's gonna be super weird. I think, as 248 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:40,920 Speaker 1: we heard on the last episode, Tim Healy said, it's 249 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:43,599 Speaker 1: not happening. He's going to free agency. So hopefully the 250 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:45,839 Speaker 1: conversation just stops and we can get back to actually 251 00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: just playing baseball with Pete, because that's gonna be the 252 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: biggest thing, is how he actually plays on the field, 253 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 1: and if he has an MVP type season, then maybe 254 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:55,120 Speaker 1: he can get that Freddy Freeman money if he really 255 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 1: wants it play good and he has the ability. 256 00:09:57,040 --> 00:09:59,319 Speaker 2: To do that. And also I just want to go 257 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:02,080 Speaker 2: back and look at mega first base contracts also before 258 00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:03,559 Speaker 2: we actually talk about what we think Pete's going to 259 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:06,599 Speaker 2: do this year, because it's really bad. And this was 260 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 2: something that used to be super normal in baseball about 261 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 2: ten fifteen years ago, like our teenage childhood years, like 262 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,480 Speaker 2: that was the golden age of the lunky power hitting 263 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,959 Speaker 2: first basement. That was the time Mickey Pool holes Vada 264 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 2: was coming up. Prince Fielder was a legend. Like we 265 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:22,480 Speaker 2: have these guys and I have the seven largest first 266 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 2: basement contracts ever listed here besides for Freddie Freeman, Matt Olson, 267 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 2: and Paul Goldschmid, and it is such a who's who 268 00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:33,080 Speaker 2: of awful contracts. It's not even funny. These are horrifying 269 00:10:33,160 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 2: names to go through. Basically every single one of these 270 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 2: wind up being really bad for a long period of time. 271 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:39,960 Speaker 2: The biggest one ever and this is deserved because he's 272 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 2: an all time great, but it was Miguel Cabrera eight 273 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 2: years for two hundred and forty eight million dollars, probably 274 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 2: the best right handed hitter we're ever going to see 275 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:48,880 Speaker 2: in our lives. I would say, I think you don't 276 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 2: think that's uberpool Holes. I think I might give Mickey 277 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 2: a tiny bit more. It's just I don't know pool Holes. 278 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 1: I'm going Pools or a rod. 279 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 2: Honestly, I guess I don't, but I don't know. There's 280 00:10:59,360 --> 00:10:59,679 Speaker 2: a lot of that. 281 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:01,400 Speaker 1: One of them. He's one of them for sure. 282 00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 2: Though there was some always bad things, like the fact 283 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:05,079 Speaker 2: that like the things that make you could do where 284 00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:06,800 Speaker 2: I was just like, damn, I love watching this guy hit. 285 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:08,319 Speaker 2: Maybe it's because he wasn't lying about his age, you 286 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,199 Speaker 2: know what I mean, Like he was he was actually 287 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 2: maybe he was lying a little bit actually when he 288 00:11:11,640 --> 00:11:13,839 Speaker 2: was nineteen twenty two. Yeah, but Pools came up with 289 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 2: twenty six years old, so like he's only the prime 290 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 2: I can't give him that much credit. But Mickey signed 291 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:18,959 Speaker 2: an eight year two hundred forty eight million when he 292 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 2: was litwer thirty years old. First three years the deal 293 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 2: were really good, and then from age thirty four on 294 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 2: Miguel cabre In total was worth negative three war. Yeah, 295 00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:29,719 Speaker 2: for the next like six years of that contract, it 296 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 2: became old really quickly. Yes, And that was the last 297 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 2: two hundred million dollar contract ever given to a fairs basement. 298 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 2: And I really am not sure if that trend is 299 00:11:37,559 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 2: going to change at pie Alonzo, because then a little 300 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 2: bit after that you had a Before that, you had 301 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:42,840 Speaker 2: Albert pooh Hole signs ten year, two hundred forty million 302 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:44,959 Speaker 2: dollar contract with the Angels. And I think that's the 303 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 2: one that's a little scary than me, because growing up 304 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:49,559 Speaker 2: I never could have imagined Albert Poole's playing a game 305 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 2: outside of Saint Louis. But the Angels were just just 306 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:54,680 Speaker 2: stupid enough and just rich enough to make this happen 307 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:58,679 Speaker 2: the way they wanted. Small market, big market theoretically. Theoretically yes, 308 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 2: small where it's almost like medium small, medium baggots. I 309 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:03,160 Speaker 2: think those two are most in kind of the same range, 310 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:05,719 Speaker 2: even though the Cardinals game the CBA every single year 311 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:07,600 Speaker 2: and to say that to themselves that they're a small 312 00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:09,840 Speaker 2: market so they get more money and more draft picks. 313 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 2: But that's a whole nother issue for a different day. 314 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 2: But the first year at the Angels Pools was worth 315 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:16,160 Speaker 2: three WAR and this is that four reasons fangrass for this. 316 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:18,560 Speaker 2: The highest end any other season was two point seven 317 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 2: WAR and a ten year contract. Those were the only 318 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 2: two seasons he was worth more than two WAR. Really bad, 319 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:27,040 Speaker 2: and that became like a laughably bad contract very quickly. 320 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 2: Then you have Ryan Howard. He was worth over a 321 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:32,559 Speaker 2: five year, one hundred and twenty five million dollar contract, 322 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 2: two war in total over five years, only one hundred 323 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:38,200 Speaker 2: and twelve home runs, only one eleven WRC plus over 324 00:12:38,280 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 2: five year contract. When he signed it, he was the 325 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 2: most feared power hit the in baseball. He tricked everybody 326 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:43,840 Speaker 2: in the world to think he was the best player 327 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:46,199 Speaker 2: in the Phillies team besides for rapt fuck Chase Udley. 328 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:48,719 Speaker 2: And he signed a contract and was worth nothing after it. 329 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 2: Right after that you had Chris Davis worst contract and 330 00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:54,719 Speaker 2: major League cast seven six one either one. I'm not 331 00:12:54,760 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 2: comparing Pete to Chris Davis. I'm just telling you guys, 332 00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 2: first basement mega contracts over the last fifteen years and 333 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:00,959 Speaker 2: what they looked like at the end. And then he 334 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 2: had Vado, who Vado was so worth them with this money. 335 00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:05,040 Speaker 2: The Reds gave him ten years for two hundred twenty 336 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 2: five million, but the last four years that were so bad, 337 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:09,599 Speaker 2: and that situation where a Reds team didn't have a 338 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:13,360 Speaker 2: lot of payroll flexibility Panjoi Volo two hundred twenty two 339 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:15,959 Speaker 2: point five million dollars a year hamstrung them from some 340 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 2: good teams. The Reds from twenty nineteen twenty twenty one, 341 00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:20,560 Speaker 2: they could have been a real powerhouse, but they were 342 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 2: paying this guy who wasn't good twenty two point five 343 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:24,480 Speaker 2: million dollars a year that represented like a fifth of 344 00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 2: their payroll. So kind of screwed them. And he got 345 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:28,800 Speaker 2: got like Prince Fielder who sadly his careers cut short 346 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:30,960 Speaker 2: by injury, but right after he signed his nine year, 347 00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 2: two hundred and fourteen million dollar contract, who was with 348 00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 2: the Rangers, right, Uh yeah, Rangers, Rangers, Tigers, Rangers. Yeah 349 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 2: that wrequreers cut short. But oh my god, was that 350 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 2: deal awful? Like they got off the hook because he 351 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 2: had to retire early, and then the last one was 352 00:13:44,800 --> 00:13:46,480 Speaker 2: to share at eight for one to eighty with the Yankees. 353 00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:48,439 Speaker 2: He retired at thirty six years old, and he was 354 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:51,800 Speaker 2: this incredible athlete, cat like fielder, good high batting averages, 355 00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:55,079 Speaker 2: quick trip down memory lane. The big first base contracts 356 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:57,480 Speaker 2: are really could be really really bad, and they never 357 00:13:57,600 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 2: ever happened anymore because of how bad they weren't last 358 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:02,439 Speaker 2: era of baseball. So whatever Pete and Boris think they're 359 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:05,559 Speaker 2: going to get like a ten for two fifty, it's 360 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,679 Speaker 2: almost inconceivable that he gets that contract. So I think 361 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:12,319 Speaker 2: that they're that should almost here to comfort Mets fans 362 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 2: that I don't think anybody's gonna come out of left 363 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:16,960 Speaker 2: field to blow p Alonzo out of the water. Again, 364 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:19,920 Speaker 2: maybe it's just the Angels. Maybe the Angels are still 365 00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 2: rocking off. Yeah, Like, if someone does it, you can 366 00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 2: almost be rest assured that they're not going to be 367 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 2: a very good franchise. So it's like not like if, 368 00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:29,800 Speaker 2: like God forbid, if Pete does play another game for 369 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 2: another team, He's not killing you forever. It's just gonna 370 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 2: be a situation where Pete's just hitting forty five home 371 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:37,360 Speaker 2: runs in a desolate franchise and winning sixty seven seven 372 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 2: games a year, which is okay. 373 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 1: Just wouldn't you wouldn't expect any of the teams that 374 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:44,360 Speaker 1: spend a lot of money to be aggressive after a 375 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:47,000 Speaker 1: first basement, especially when there will be one Soto on 376 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 1: the market as well next offseason. 377 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:51,080 Speaker 2: Totally. And the other caveat to that is just whether 378 00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 2: it's less years of higher aavy, whether or not someone 379 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 2: wants to give Pete to three for one hundred, which 380 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:56,320 Speaker 2: I would give. 381 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 1: Him that I'd be I'm totally cool with that, Like 382 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:00,480 Speaker 1: front load the shit out of the you want a 383 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:03,600 Speaker 1: shorter deal and more money deal. The thing that would 384 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 1: ever scare you about Pete Alonzo, like you said, with 385 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 1: all these first basemen, and it's it's obvious with every 386 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 1: single one, and to be fair, the guys that we 387 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 1: mentioned with like Goldschmith, Freeman, Olsen if we haven't seen 388 00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: it with Olsen yet, but with free Min and Goldschman, 389 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:16,120 Speaker 1: I've seen it. But those have been a little bit 390 00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:19,440 Speaker 1: more athletic first baseman than the guys we had just mentioned, 391 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 1: which all have probably a little bit similar athleticism and 392 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: statue to Pete Alonzo rather than the Freddie Freeman Paul 393 00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 1: Goldschman type. So get older. That's where it gets concerning. 394 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: But if if Pete wants a thirty million, if he 395 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 1: wants to break the aa V record for first baseman, sure, 396 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:35,880 Speaker 1: short term deal, fine by me. It's just if you 397 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 1: want to do that and also get ten years, I 398 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 1: don't know how that happens. 399 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 2: No, It's almost like if Pete wants to get the 400 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:42,880 Speaker 2: seven seven year contract, he kind of has to settle 401 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:44,800 Speaker 2: in around the Olson range, like it has to be 402 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:47,320 Speaker 2: maybe max twenty two to twenty three million dollars and 403 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:49,520 Speaker 2: winds up being a seven for like one fifty five. 404 00:15:49,760 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 2: So you can beat the Alson. We'll give you beating Alson, 405 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 2: but you're gonna come in behind behind Freeman, right around Goldschman. 406 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 2: If we want to organize that. That kind of feels 407 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 2: like to me where this probably is going in the end. 408 00:15:58,000 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 2: Or if you want to break the record, if you 409 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 2: want to have this, plaquay, I'm the highest paid first 410 00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:04,360 Speaker 2: basement ever. You have a one two, three four year 411 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 2: deal with multiple opt outs where you're making something like 412 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 2: twenty eight twenty nine, thirty million dollars, similar to the 413 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:12,160 Speaker 2: contract that Cody Bellinger just signed Scott Bori's client earlier 414 00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 2: this week, where it's like I guess last week when 415 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 2: you guys listened to this, where it's like stat in 416 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:17,920 Speaker 2: big market, that's what I'm saying. I sayd the big 417 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 2: market state with the team that signed him last year. 418 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 2: But I'm making the money I wanted to make, but 419 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:22,480 Speaker 2: it's not the years I want to make it. So 420 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to give myself another chance to go 421 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 2: out there and try and get more years. Where it's 422 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:28,600 Speaker 2: just this big contract thing is over. Like conceptually, this 423 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 2: is just not happen anymore. If this was ten years ago, 424 00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:33,480 Speaker 2: Pete would be getting ten for two fifteen. Pete would 425 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:35,480 Speaker 2: be blowing it out of the water because we just 426 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 2: didn't really have the numbers. We weren't really aware of 427 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 2: like value of Pete. I think that is another part 428 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:41,160 Speaker 2: that comes into this, which a lot of Mess fans 429 00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 2: are like, fuck off, he's fucking incredible, Like I know, 430 00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 2: Pete's amazing, but in terms of just like what with 431 00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:48,840 Speaker 2: value he's bringing the baseball team. This comes from first basement. 432 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:50,320 Speaker 2: I think we're gonna talk a lot about war right now, 433 00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,280 Speaker 2: And I think this is where a static war is 434 00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 2: tremendously flawed. We're never going to capture the true value 435 00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 2: of a player like Pete Alonzo, who's going to hit 436 00:16:57,560 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 2: forty the fifty home runs, driving one hundred and twenty 437 00:16:59,800 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 2: runs and just be a complete total anchor in the 438 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:04,520 Speaker 2: middle of a lineup, because Major League Baseball teams need power, 439 00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:07,120 Speaker 2: especially relative to the Mets team context like, I don't 440 00:17:07,200 --> 00:17:09,120 Speaker 2: know where this power is coming from, and I don't 441 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:10,440 Speaker 2: know where they're gonna get it next if it's not 442 00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 2: Pee Alonso. So that's also a major point of leverage 443 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 2: for Boris and Pete. But since twenty twenty one, Pete 444 00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:19,240 Speaker 2: Alonzo was worth about ten war on Fangrafts and about 445 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 2: twelve war on Baseball Reference, and that big difference is 446 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:25,200 Speaker 2: mostly from defensive value because Baseball Reference uses DRS and 447 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:29,840 Speaker 2: Fangrass started using OAA after quit UZR a few years ago. 448 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 2: So Fangraf says that Pete is one of the worst 449 00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,000 Speaker 2: defensive players in baseball. Baseball Reference says he's a little 450 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,600 Speaker 2: bit worse than average. Truthfully, I don't really care about 451 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:38,360 Speaker 2: either of those because he plays first base defense, which 452 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:41,320 Speaker 2: at first base defense is important in general in terms 453 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 2: of every single position player in a baseball field. I 454 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:46,479 Speaker 2: think it's probably basically the least important. Man He's got 455 00:17:46,520 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 2: great he's got great scoops too. 456 00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:50,119 Speaker 1: Like, at the end of the day, I think the 457 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 1: problem with Pete defensively because we've i mean we've watched 458 00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:55,639 Speaker 1: hundreds of games of him now and like, his range 459 00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:57,560 Speaker 1: not great, but again, don't give a shit he's playing 460 00:17:57,600 --> 00:17:59,760 Speaker 1: first base. The problem is like when he makes like 461 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 1: those boneheaded plays when he's trying to do too much, 462 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:04,119 Speaker 1: and I feel like that's what really hurts him in 463 00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:06,399 Speaker 1: these defensive stats, is there are just some plays that 464 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:07,920 Speaker 1: he makes and you're like, oh, that was one of 465 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:10,080 Speaker 1: the worst baseball players I've ever seen at first base 466 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:13,160 Speaker 1: in my lifetime. But like, relatively speaking, you don't watch 467 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:14,880 Speaker 1: Peter a Loans at first base and you're like, oh shit, 468 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 1: it's hit to him, Like what are we gonna do? 469 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,200 Speaker 1: Like what's going on? And again, those scoops are, like 470 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: I think, incredibly important and I don't think it's something 471 00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:23,439 Speaker 1: that is tracked on these defensive stats. 472 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:25,800 Speaker 2: I think the scoops are also incredibly important for first 473 00:18:25,840 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 2: basement because the first basement's defensive bat value. Like you said, 474 00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 2: it's not gonna be I feel like taken importantly in 475 00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:32,840 Speaker 2: the team context of like how much ground you're covering 476 00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 2: a first is how much the other guys in the 477 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 2: infield trust you where I don't. I'm not squeezing the 478 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 2: ball tacks. I think I have to make a perfect 479 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:39,160 Speaker 2: throat because I don't make a perfect throw. I don't 480 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:40,960 Speaker 2: trust you to catch up. I think the infield trust Pete. 481 00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:43,160 Speaker 2: I think it's just a fun Pete diving in the hole, 482 00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 2: sometimes a little too often kicking a ball off the 483 00:18:44,840 --> 00:18:46,159 Speaker 2: heel of his glove, which is just like, that's just 484 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,159 Speaker 2: part of the Pete's game. That's okay. But so I 485 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,080 Speaker 2: will skew a little bit more towards like the b 486 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:51,879 Speaker 2: war for p Alonzo than the f Forks. I just 487 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:54,320 Speaker 2: don't think that he should have that much negative defensive value. 488 00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 2: But Fangrats is a lot better at stacking multiple years 489 00:18:57,520 --> 00:18:59,480 Speaker 2: of war with a leaderboard bet in Baseball Reference, so 490 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 2: these stats are to come from there and based on 491 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 2: since twenty twenty one, based on Fangrass f woar, he's 492 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:06,359 Speaker 2: basically a top fifty player in the league and it's 493 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:09,680 Speaker 2: in between Max Munsey and Randy Rose arena and just 494 00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,440 Speaker 2: two spots ahead of Jeff McNeil, which I think is 495 00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:14,040 Speaker 2: kind of finding the stack guy. I think I like 496 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:16,120 Speaker 2: Dase right next to Monthsy as a lot younger. But again, 497 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:18,560 Speaker 2: this is where War kind of fails to capture value 498 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:21,160 Speaker 2: because in terms of WRC plus no PS plus, he's 499 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:22,920 Speaker 2: basically a top twenty five ish player in the league 500 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:25,200 Speaker 2: since twenty twenty one, and if you bring back twenty nineteen, 501 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:27,840 Speaker 2: he's a top ten, top twenty, top seventeen, top sixteen 502 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:29,359 Speaker 2: kind of guy because he has that major fifty home 503 00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:31,800 Speaker 2: run season. So I think that that's where Pete comfortably 504 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 2: is one of like the twenty ish best players in 505 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:35,840 Speaker 2: the league, of twentyish most valuable players in the league. 506 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:37,920 Speaker 2: War will never say that because the first basement, but 507 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:39,639 Speaker 2: it's just like if you look at the game to 508 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 2: game production, it's it's clear that he is one of 509 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:42,560 Speaker 2: those guys. 510 00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:45,040 Speaker 1: Well, there's just not many ways that you can fill 511 00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 1: in forty five home runs one hundred and twenty RBIs 512 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 1: with like a one point thirty one to thirty five 513 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 1: WRC plus every year, Like that's just not something you 514 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:54,879 Speaker 1: can be like, oh, that's an easy fix. Here's what 515 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:58,200 Speaker 1: we do to get now that production back. And that's 516 00:19:58,280 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 1: like like what you said, where the flaw is because 517 00:19:59,840 --> 00:20:02,239 Speaker 1: off defensively speaking, that's why you have him, that's why 518 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:03,600 Speaker 1: you pay him, that's why you want him. And he 519 00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:06,480 Speaker 1: is absolutely elite at the plate. There's no doubt about that. No. 520 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:08,160 Speaker 2: And those stats of Mark just said, those are actually 521 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,359 Speaker 2: Pee Lons' one hundred and sixty two career game average, 522 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 2: forty five homers, one hundred and twenty RBIs, ninety five 523 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,280 Speaker 2: runts scored, one hundred thirty six oh ps plus. I 524 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:16,960 Speaker 2: don't know anyone else in the league who could really 525 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,280 Speaker 2: do that. Like Freeman and Goldshmi, they're amazing, but they're 526 00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 2: just not going to get to those home runs. Like 527 00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 2: for Freddy Freeman's free he's gonna. 528 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:23,760 Speaker 1: Hit three years, He's discussed, he's gonna he has like 529 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:25,440 Speaker 1: a one to eighty WRC plus every yright. 530 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,920 Speaker 2: Now it's insane. But like the forty five runs is 531 00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:30,200 Speaker 2: like that changes games, Like Peter Loons Wo hits a 532 00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:31,399 Speaker 2: home run, like you have a really good chance to 533 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,240 Speaker 2: win the game that day. And that's just kind of 534 00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:34,920 Speaker 2: how this Mets offense has been built for the last 535 00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 2: few years, so it's hard to conceive it being built 536 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:38,520 Speaker 2: without that. And those hundred six two game averages are 537 00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 2: also coming off a year for Pete where he was 538 00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 2: terrible the worst hit A bad year by far, Yeah, 539 00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:45,240 Speaker 2: a bad year. Forty six home runs, twenty percent bat 540 00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:47,240 Speaker 2: than league average is still in an awful year, and 541 00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:48,800 Speaker 2: that was with the two seventeen average. He got a 542 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:50,240 Speaker 2: little fly ball happy. I think it looked like it 543 00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 2: seemed like his wrist was hurting him the whole year 544 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:55,399 Speaker 2: after that that bullshit play in Atlanta. But it's just 545 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:57,600 Speaker 2: like there's so much pulling in the direction of like, 546 00:20:57,680 --> 00:20:59,720 Speaker 2: this guy is worth money, but I just don't think 547 00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,240 Speaker 2: he's the money that they're going to start that and 548 00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:03,920 Speaker 2: then it just depends on the game of Chicken. It's 549 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:07,199 Speaker 2: gonna happen next off season between Steve Cohen, Scott Boris 550 00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:09,240 Speaker 2: and the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. 551 00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 1: I love that it's just like the only team that's 552 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:14,720 Speaker 1: gonna beat the met to get Peter, It's gonna be 553 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:17,120 Speaker 1: the Angels because this is like this does have Angels 554 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 1: written all over. They're like, oh, here's our big first 555 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,080 Speaker 1: baseman to get we gotta try this one more time. 556 00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:25,119 Speaker 2: Is that this that we compare with Mike Trout and 557 00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 2: now we're back where we need to be. And then 558 00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,320 Speaker 2: the other part of that, there is like an emotional 559 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:31,119 Speaker 2: element to this shit, like just like there hasn't been 560 00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,199 Speaker 2: a homegrown player like Pete, Like I kind of want 561 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,840 Speaker 2: to say, like since David Wright, and like David Wright 562 00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:38,200 Speaker 2: is is a superstar, Like I don't know, like this 563 00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:40,400 Speaker 2: this podcast would love to ever have either of those 564 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,000 Speaker 2: guys on there, Like it'd be nice. And I feel like, 565 00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 2: you know, I'll tell you we get probably a bunch 566 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 2: of views on that for sure, definitely a ton of views. 567 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 2: I mean we just I mean we do episodes every week. 568 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:48,680 Speaker 2: We get like at least two thousand views. So I 569 00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:50,399 Speaker 2: think we'd probably at least be at that level if 570 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:52,800 Speaker 2: we've got guys like that on but one. So it 571 00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:54,240 Speaker 2: was gonna be free asient at the same time, like 572 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 2: that is gonna be the negotiation next off season for 573 00:21:57,200 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 2: the Mets for Boris. Everybody's gonna be trying to get 574 00:21:59,880 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 2: one and so And I think that's gonna might work 575 00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:04,639 Speaker 2: against Pee Alonzo or it could work as a benefit 576 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:06,159 Speaker 2: to the Mets if they don't think so though serious 577 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:08,680 Speaker 2: you could kind of circumvent the market. You can attack 578 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:10,360 Speaker 2: the Pete thing. Will everybody's still looking at so though, 579 00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:11,720 Speaker 2: like that could be a thing. That's kind of how 580 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,240 Speaker 2: the Phillies got I think I Nola back so quickly 581 00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:16,680 Speaker 2: this offseason. Everybody was staring at Yamamodo and they're like, 582 00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:18,120 Speaker 2: just come back, just come back, just come back. Here's 583 00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:19,520 Speaker 2: the money you want, Just come back. Please. I don't 584 00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:21,399 Speaker 2: want to deal with this. It's still November. Don't make 585 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:23,000 Speaker 2: us sweat. We know you don't want to sweat. Just 586 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 2: please come home. And that was it. Then you can 587 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,200 Speaker 2: attack the rest of your off season knowing that you 588 00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:27,920 Speaker 2: have these other pieces in place that you want to 589 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,200 Speaker 2: have in place. There's another weird part about it, too, 590 00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:33,200 Speaker 2: is that Vladimir Riro Junior is a free agent next year, 591 00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:36,880 Speaker 2: the year after Pete, and in terms of war, those 592 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 2: two are remarkably similar, since they literally remarkably so. 593 00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:42,760 Speaker 1: How is that? How is that possible? Because Vladd's had 594 00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:44,840 Speaker 1: some like stinky years in there for sure. 595 00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:47,520 Speaker 2: Pete in terms of war, usually has stinky years just 596 00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:49,199 Speaker 2: because he never does anyth The Flad had the one 597 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:50,840 Speaker 2: elite season and a lot of the kind of half 598 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 2: maidling stinky years, but he's coming in the free agency, 599 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,120 Speaker 2: can be like five years younger than Pee Alonzo. Yeah, 600 00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:58,800 Speaker 2: I'm worried about the secret flat extension that might happen 601 00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:00,680 Speaker 2: the next couple of weeks. Lu Jays have had a 602 00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:04,560 Speaker 2: Lackaday's goal off season. Lackaday's goal. They missed Otani embarrassingly. 603 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 2: They filled in the rest of their roster with not 604 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,920 Speaker 2: that much like Keenare fileffa who else. I think Santiago 605 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,480 Speaker 2: Westpinal is gonna be trying out their opening day your 606 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:13,479 Speaker 2: boy Justin Turner, Yeah, Justin Turner. They like they've been 607 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 2: just a who's who of getting middling guys this offseason, 608 00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,240 Speaker 2: Like they need to kind of any better. They need 609 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:19,760 Speaker 2: a jolt to their fan base. And I think that 610 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:22,240 Speaker 2: Vladzi Gay would be more open to an extension. I 611 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:24,879 Speaker 2: could see that happening and whatever money that happens, if 612 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:27,679 Speaker 2: it happens, totally figment of imagination. That could be an 613 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:29,719 Speaker 2: anchor in the Peat deal, similar to how the Fernando 614 00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 2: Tatis junior contract out of nowhere fucked the Mets in 615 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:34,959 Speaker 2: negotiation for Francius Colndor and basically had to pay him 616 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:36,480 Speaker 2: like an actually like fifty mil, just because so he 617 00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:38,480 Speaker 2: could make I think it was one hundred thousand dollars 618 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,280 Speaker 2: more in Fernando Tatis, which is definitely not an accent accident. 619 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:43,520 Speaker 2: Go on CoP's contract, going spow tracks. Look at when 620 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,080 Speaker 2: those deals were signed, look at the difference in money, 621 00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:46,399 Speaker 2: and you tell me if they any can do it 622 00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:48,800 Speaker 2: one another. And then there's just again this fear to 623 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 2: lose A beloves homegrown player. I don't want plans will 624 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,080 Speaker 2: ever play for another team. Maybe when he's thirty seven, 625 00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:54,879 Speaker 2: then maybe I either can't care less, but you can 626 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 2: go to the Oakland A's like I'm telling you in 627 00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:59,480 Speaker 2: p Alonso's prime, I don't want to play anywhere else. 628 00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:01,320 Speaker 2: And I really still don't think it's going to happen. 629 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:04,360 Speaker 2: But I'm not, like I can't be one hundred percent sure. 630 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,159 Speaker 1: Best way for Pete to get paid this offseason just 631 00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,280 Speaker 1: just play well again. Have have that twenty nineteen season. 632 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 1: Let's get a repeat, hit fifty home runs, driving one 633 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,159 Speaker 1: to twenty, be an MVP candidate and we don't have 634 00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:16,720 Speaker 1: to worry about this. We'd be like, oh shit, okay, 635 00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:18,280 Speaker 1: pay him the money, give him the money. I don't 636 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,040 Speaker 1: care at the end of the day. Also, like it's 637 00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,200 Speaker 1: not our money, So like this is more of a 638 00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:26,119 Speaker 1: conversation of what the Mets philosophically are probably thinking, especially 639 00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:28,720 Speaker 1: because we know David Stearn's smart guy, knows how an 640 00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:33,439 Speaker 1: organization should be built. It's it's tough sometimes to commit 641 00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 1: all that money to a first baseman. But if Mark 642 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:37,800 Speaker 1: and James are in charge of Steve Cohen's money, I'm 643 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:39,560 Speaker 1: gonna sign Pede Alonzo every single day. 644 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 2: I'd love that. I Mean, there was a period of 645 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:43,560 Speaker 2: time where we were technically in charge of some of 646 00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 2: Steve Cohen's money, but yeah we got a little bit. Yeah, 647 00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:47,160 Speaker 2: if it was like a higher sum of it, I'd 648 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:49,120 Speaker 2: be like, yeah, yeah, market James, get one free agent, 649 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:53,720 Speaker 2: pick a year Jan Soto, but then Peter Alonzo, but 650 00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:55,320 Speaker 2: get that is that part of the two then, like 651 00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 2: if you had to take one, who you're taking because. 652 00:24:56,840 --> 00:25:00,440 Speaker 1: We had to say that want soda? Yeah, I think choice, 653 00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:01,320 Speaker 1: it's the only choice. 654 00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:03,000 Speaker 2: Make him play first place. 655 00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:05,480 Speaker 1: I don't care he would you rather get hit by 656 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 1: a car? Shot with a gun, Like, I don't know, 657 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,800 Speaker 1: I really get hit by a car. It's a better 658 00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,160 Speaker 1: options depends up. 659 00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:14,360 Speaker 2: The car is where are we getting shot. I'd rather 660 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,159 Speaker 2: get shot in the leg than i'd get hit by 661 00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,520 Speaker 2: a car full speed. I think that's easy, that's fair, 662 00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:20,399 Speaker 2: I guess, depends on what speed the car is going at. 663 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,760 Speaker 2: That's a lot more variable to the gun car nowog. 664 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:23,399 Speaker 2: I think we're gonna have to. 665 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:25,320 Speaker 1: Work through or we'll get through that one. But at 666 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:27,880 Speaker 1: the end of the day, Alonzo's fucking good. We want 667 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 1: him on the Mets and we know he's gonna be good. 668 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:31,880 Speaker 1: There's not really a conversation to have about the stats 669 00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,760 Speaker 1: the player preview episode. It's about Pilzzo free agency. That's 670 00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 1: really what it is, all right. 671 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 2: But we got ended that end of twenty five minutes. 672 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:40,800 Speaker 2: Yeah done, that's it. Bye bye, guys, to see you 673 00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:41,160 Speaker 2: next time. 674 00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:03,040 Speaker 1: And then the