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Speaker 1: It's time the stage a La Records bringing in there,

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Speaker 1: we will sue you.

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Speaker 2: Tomorrow's the Garner Welcome to hang.

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Speaker 3: Out Part two. Win Totals are leans over under Jack

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Speaker 3: R M. Peter Just Baseball Show. Today is Tuesday, March

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Speaker 3: twenty eighth, Happy Show Day, Happy MLB. The Show. This

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Speaker 3: is when it's available for everybody.

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Speaker 4: Right, I had no idea first, I'm hearing of it, Armhead,

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Speaker 4: you do you have any idea?

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Speaker 2: Games?

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Speaker 5: Now you get like the pre pre access, like they

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Speaker 5: come out before they ever say they're's supposed to come out.

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Speaker 5: I think I've already seen people playing it. But I

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Speaker 5: guess this is like when the normal people can get

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Speaker 5: it like us.

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Speaker 3: I have a question. I have a question, are you

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Speaker 3: good at video games?

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Speaker 2: Jack?

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Speaker 4: Because I'm terrible at video games and I know arm

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Speaker 4: is good at video games. I grew up, I always

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Speaker 4: got super mad because all my friends would want to play,

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Speaker 4: and I'd be the runt of the litter. Like you

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Speaker 4: play Modern Warfare two and I'm getting killed. We'll even

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Speaker 4: play I will be the show and I'll get destroyed,

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Speaker 4: even though it's my sport. Like I've always been just

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Speaker 4: uncoordinated when it comes to pushing the right buttons.

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Speaker 3: So I make things as easy as possible for me.

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Speaker 3: So like you know how a lot of people do

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Speaker 3: the pitching meter, I do the pulse thing, where like

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Speaker 3: when the circles the smallest, you just hit the button

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Speaker 3: and you go. I am a bit.

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Speaker 4: Remember when Robert Flores came on the Just Baseball Show

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Speaker 4: and taught us how to do it. I tried, I'm

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Speaker 4: not athletic enough to do it.

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Speaker 5: I shouldn't do it hard when told me that like

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Speaker 5: the claw strategy or whatever that whatever the hell that

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Speaker 5: that was, that was brutal. By the way, you mentioned

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Speaker 5: Modern Warfare two, I think I have fifty days played

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Speaker 5: on Modern Warfare two, like five zero days playing between

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Speaker 5: like PS three, I'd like multiple accounts, and then the

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Speaker 5: Xbox three sixty that game.

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Speaker 4: I know.

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Speaker 5: I think I could sketch you every map with my

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Speaker 5: eyes closed.

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Speaker 4: But like shocking, it's shocking that you're a nerd.

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Speaker 5: Shock, that's my nerd. That's my nerd plug MW two

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Speaker 5: like that, Like if you know how they have like

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Speaker 5: the subcategories you could do like trivia, you pick your

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Speaker 5: niche category. I think i'd pick Modern Warfare two. I

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Speaker 5: could tell you like every good.

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Speaker 3: On nineteen WRC plus like, I feel like that's two.

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Speaker 3: That's arm.

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Speaker 4: Don't you think Jackson's doing coloring books instead of playing

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Speaker 4: video games when he was a kid.

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Speaker 5: He simulates. Dude builds a team, and then he sims

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Speaker 5: the season.

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Speaker 3: That's what we show. We've talked about this via text,

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Speaker 3: but I guess it's out in the air now. Happy

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Speaker 3: show Day, guys, Happy Chaz Jism Day to all the

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Speaker 3: cover play people. What I do is I will hop

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Speaker 3: on like a franchise mode, and it doesn't matter what sport.

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Speaker 3: I'll get two K to do this, and I will

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Speaker 3: do a fantasy draft. I'll see how many picks I

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Speaker 3: need to swap for Lowry Marketing to run my four

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Speaker 3: or I see what kind of prospects I have to

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Speaker 3: move for Tyler Glasstown to be in my rotation. And

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Speaker 3: I don't really play games. I just kind of sim it,

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Speaker 3: and then when I get bored of that team, I

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Speaker 3: just stop in Fantasy draft the next one. So I

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Speaker 3: live my GM pipe dreams through video games. It's actually

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Speaker 3: by perfect thing.

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Speaker 4: I don't actually have to play the game, but my

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Speaker 4: favorite part of the game would be building the team.

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Speaker 3: So I'm with you.

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Speaker 5: That's what I prefer to do, basically, like legitimately turn

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Speaker 5: on the PS four to do fangraft zips like that's great,

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Speaker 5: that sounds great.

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Speaker 4: But should we talk about the NL west wind totals?

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Speaker 3: I think it's Tom. I guess yeah, so I've got

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Speaker 3: them all again courtesy of our folks at ben MGM,

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Speaker 3: who have made Peter's background. By the way, is this

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Speaker 3: the first time that we're seeing this background?

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Speaker 4: First time we're seeing it? It will be heavily used

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Speaker 4: for or the Not Gambling Advice Betting Live show, and

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Speaker 4: I think it's important we put the Twitch user name

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Speaker 4: in there. It's gonna be a great show. Arm's gonna

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Speaker 4: be on it, Colby's gonna be on it.

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Speaker 3: It is going to be my.

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Speaker 4: Picks against everybody else's with a chance to win World

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Speaker 4: Series tickets. It's gonna be a great competition between a

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Speaker 4: lot of the best cappers on Twitter talking baseball, as

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Speaker 4: well as a host place for our podcast where we're

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Speaker 4: gonna be bringing in players. We're moving up in the

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Speaker 4: world step by step and it's exciting and the background

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Speaker 4: looks great, looks like I'm broadcasting at Wrigley Field.

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Speaker 3: Right now. Yes, although it's kind of like springtime Wrigley,

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Speaker 3: like April May before the IVY fully fills in, because.

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Speaker 4: Exactly it's April May. We're seasonal right now?

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Speaker 3: Okay, now follow up? Are you going to add IVY

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Speaker 3: in June when it's all the way grown in on

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Speaker 3: the outfield? If you make fun of me enough, I

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Speaker 3: might shit? Do you want to group bulliam arm?

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Speaker 5: Do we want more IVY?

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Speaker 3: I think I want more IVY?

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Speaker 5: Well see, I'll decide based on what your guys answer is.

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Speaker 5: The Giants over underwin total?

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Speaker 3: Perfect? All right, let's start in the least again all

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Speaker 3: these totals or courtesy of our friends at bet MGM,

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Speaker 3: we're betting with the key of sports books. Let's start

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Speaker 3: with Atlanta ninety five and a half. Is the Braves

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Speaker 3: projected win total? Before I get your clear cut over

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Speaker 3: or under arum? Does Kyle Wright's absence for the first

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Speaker 3: couple times for the rotation alter your thinking on this? Yes?

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Speaker 3: Or no? Yeah? It does?

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Speaker 5: You know we've glowed and we just talked about him

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Speaker 5: on the call up of Jared Schuster and Dylan Dodd.

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Speaker 5: I like them both a lot, but I like the

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Speaker 5: one thing that I think we often forget, and fans

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Speaker 5: often forget, is the difference between an established big leaguer

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Speaker 5: and a prospect. We were debating whether it's going to

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Speaker 5: be Shuster or DoD. Now it's Shuster and Dodd, right,

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Speaker 5: So you have two rookies debuting in a rotation that

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Speaker 5: definitely is a bit concerning. But you hope that they

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Speaker 5: only have to go a few times through the rotation

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Speaker 5: to do it. But that definitely definitely changes.

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Speaker 3: Things for me a little bit. Another question for you arem.

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Speaker 4: I don't know if we've completely dove into the von

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Speaker 4: Grissom getting sent down what that means for the Braves

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Speaker 4: long term. They send him down and ultimately Orlando Arci

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Speaker 4: is gonna end up being playing shortstop for them. Who

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Speaker 4: can pick it a little bit? I know he did

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Speaker 4: at second base, but shortstop is a little bit different

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Speaker 4: than second base, and he's a fine hitter. But I

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Speaker 4: think we all are in agreement that he doesn't have

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Speaker 4: the upside of von Grissom. Do you think I know

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Speaker 4: Grayson just got sent down too. I think you're a

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Speaker 4: little bit more upset about that one. But this has

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Speaker 4: to be one of the assignments that you're most upset about.

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Speaker 3: I know, I am.

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Speaker 5: I was shocked. I was absolutely shocked, especially when when

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Speaker 5: they send down both him and Shoemake and we see,

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Speaker 5: you know, Arcia get the look there. I just I

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Speaker 5: feel like Vaughn either had to be banged up. I

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Speaker 5: know he was dealing with a little bit of like

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Speaker 5: a Hernie issue. That that was one report, but I

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Speaker 5: was shocked because Ron Washington, who's the defensive guru, came

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Speaker 5: out and said he felt pretty good about how he

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Speaker 5: looked defensively, but for whatever reason, they want to see

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Speaker 5: him do it in triple A a little bit more.

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Speaker 5: And that one really surprised me because I feel like,

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Speaker 5: like you said, the upside of Grissom versus Rcia is

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Speaker 5: not even close. But I guess they want someone that

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Speaker 5: can't hurt them at shortstop, and I guess if a

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Speaker 5: rookie is struggling, they could hurt them. I think Arcia

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Speaker 5: will hold his own. But that was a surprise to

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Speaker 5: me in a lot of ways.

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Speaker 3: And I guess is the one. This is like the

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Speaker 3: one time that I won't lean into the Audrianza bit

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Speaker 3: because I think he's a superstar, but having him as

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Speaker 3: like the backup plan is not great for a team

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Speaker 3: that wants to win the World Series. Rcia is the

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Speaker 3: starter is not great. That's pretty cut and dry. But

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Speaker 3: you know, you look at Okay, where's plan B. Both

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Speaker 3: Plan B and C are in Gwinnett, like that's really tough.

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Speaker 3: So if Arcia goes down in a pinch, it's ed

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Speaker 3: A Audrianza that's starting at shortstop for the Atlanta Braves.

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Speaker 3: I love him. I love him as a bench, utility,

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Speaker 3: quadruple A guy. I don't love Audrianza as the backup

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Speaker 3: shortstop of the team that is rejected to win the

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Speaker 3: National League East.

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Speaker 4: But at the same time, don't you think that if

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Speaker 4: he if Arcia were to go down, that they would

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Speaker 4: call up von Grissom. I'm I assume they're just getting

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Speaker 4: him more every day reps because they don't believe he's

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Speaker 4: quite ready yet. But let's say Arcia goes down in

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Speaker 4: the first couple of weeks, I assume it's gonna be

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Speaker 4: von Grissom making that start.

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Speaker 3: It won't be Audreyanza. Yeah, I'm just worried about like

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Speaker 3: the off day, you know what I mean, Because Andre

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Speaker 3: or Arcia is going to need a day off in

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Speaker 3: the first week or two, right, Dan? What about Dan?

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Speaker 3: I mean Dan Spy didn't need days off because he

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Speaker 3: was actually a star like Arcia may hit two thirty.

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Speaker 3: I was more making the joke because he's not on

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Speaker 3: the team. Anyay, Oh, okay, fair, Yeah, sorry, that over

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Speaker 3: my head, all right? Ninety five and a half over

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Speaker 3: or under? And why Peter, I'm gonna go with the over.

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Speaker 4: They did win one hundred and one games last year,

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Speaker 4: and that was without Ozzy Alby's for most of the year.

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Speaker 4: That was with Ronald Occuna Junior basically playing on one leg.

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Speaker 4: I expect Matt Old to settle down after a relatively

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Speaker 4: down year for his standards thirty four home runs last year,

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Speaker 4: five off of thirty nine the year before with Oakland.

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Speaker 4: I think he gets back to that thirty nine to

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Speaker 4: forty home run mark. I think Austin Riley makes a

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Speaker 4: run for MVP this year, and while there are concerns

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Speaker 4: with Kyle Wright through the first couple of times, he's

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Speaker 4: going to have what twenty to twenty five starts this

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Speaker 4: season if he stays healthy. I think Morton actually does

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Speaker 4: better than he does last year. I know he's older,

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Speaker 4: but he's always been a guy who's kind of, you know,

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Speaker 4: gotten ahead of father time a little bit, and he

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Speaker 4: was basically throwing off a broken leg which he sustained

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Speaker 4: during the twenty twenty one playoffs. The bullpen is otherworldly

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Speaker 4: elite from top to bottom. There's like six or seven

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Speaker 4: guys I would rely on to close out ballgames, not

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Speaker 4: just be a good reliever, but could actually close games.

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Speaker 4: I think this team is the class of the National

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Speaker 4: League East, and I think they are a ninety five

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Speaker 4: to ninety six win team. So it's a slight over,

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Speaker 4: but I think they win the division and I think

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Speaker 4: they go slightly over.

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Speaker 5: If if they were playing the same amount of games

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Speaker 5: within the division, I would probably take the under just

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Speaker 5: because I think this division got even better, but based on,

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Speaker 5: you know the fact that you kind of get around

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Speaker 5: the league a little bit more. Now I hate that

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Speaker 5: Kyle writes hurt. It definitely is impactful. But when you

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Speaker 5: have the amount of depth that the Braves have rotationally,

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Speaker 5: I think that really helps you stay afloat in a

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Speaker 5: one sixty two. It's helping them stay afloat right away.

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Speaker 5: But I think when you have that kind of depth

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Speaker 5: rotation wise, you know, that'll help you get through the

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Speaker 5: whole season and kind of continue to really be impervious

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Speaker 5: to the losing streak and continue to turn out quality

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Speaker 5: starts and then the bullpen, as Peter mentioned, like well

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Speaker 5: shorten shortened ball games. I'd like to see a better

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Speaker 5: situation than their left field slash DH situation. But Rosario

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Speaker 5: has looked more like Rosario this spring, and I think

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Speaker 5: that would be huge for them, and then we'll see

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Speaker 5: what they can get from. Even Darnaut could maybe plug

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Speaker 5: in DH role. I'm going to go over. Because the

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Speaker 5: division games are cut this year, I think that they'll

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Speaker 5: be able to really well it right back around one

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Speaker 5: hundred win mark. And especially adding Sean Murphy, well, I

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Speaker 5: think it's going to solidify himself as one of the

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Speaker 5: better catchers in this game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so clean sweep of the over. And Sean Murphy

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Speaker 3: is the guy that iid right like, I isolate and

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Speaker 3: say this is where they got a lot better. And Darnault,

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Speaker 3: we know how good of a hitting catcher he is.

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Speaker 3: It's not that good of a defensive catcher. William Contreras,

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Speaker 3: he had a breakout last year, but now you're getting

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Speaker 3: a guy that can realistically be solidly in the top

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Speaker 3: five catchers in the game by the end of this year,

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Speaker 3: and many would argue is already in the top five

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Speaker 3: this year. So I think that Murphy as the on

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Speaker 3: field captain. If you're not going to have that guy

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Speaker 3: short in Dansby, you've got to have that guy behind

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Speaker 3: the plate, and I think that it's great to have

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Speaker 3: Sean Murphy there. Also think of full year of Michael

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Speaker 3: Harris is unbelievably awesome, and that bullpen's really good, which

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Speaker 3: is what takes me to the Mets without Diaz. This

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Speaker 3: bullpen's not very good. Quintana had that rib procedure done.

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Speaker 3: That opens the spot for David Peterson, who might honestly

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Speaker 3: be an upgrade. And then you've got that front three

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Speaker 3: of Verlander, Scherzer and code Is Sanga, which seems really good. Nimo,

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Speaker 3: thankfully that wasn't a serious knee injury. He's back, just

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Speaker 3: a little scared. He will be in the lineup on

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Speaker 3: opening Day. I also like the addition of Omar Narvayaz

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Speaker 3: instead of McCann and Nido, but I'm worried about the

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Speaker 3: bottom end of this Mets roster, especially with no Baty,

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Speaker 3: no Vientos on opening Day. I'm gonna go under the

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Speaker 3: set ninety two and a half from bet MGM.

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Speaker 4: I leaned slightly over. I got them winning ninety three

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Speaker 4: games next year. I think one of the more underrated

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Speaker 4: units on the Mets is their defense. They are incredible defensively,

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Speaker 4: and I think that's only gonna help them with the

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Speaker 4: shift being banned. Guys like Francisco Lindor and Jeff McNeil

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Speaker 4: up the middle doesn't get much better. Pete Alonzo is better,

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Speaker 4: has gotten better at first base defense, Martee in a corner,

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Speaker 4: Brandon Neimo in center, and then you have guys like

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Speaker 4: Omar Nervaaz behind the plate. They're going to be so

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Speaker 4: good defensively. I think that's gonna save them some runs.

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Speaker 4: The one area of concern in Jack you touch on

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Speaker 4: it is the bullpen, because that was already the weakest

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Speaker 4: link of this team, and it got exponentially weaker when

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Speaker 4: you lose the best closer in Major League Baseball. I

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Speaker 4: think they're gonna have trouble, you know, closing out games

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Speaker 4: with David Robertson Adam mo Otavino. Like we've seen Ottavino

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Speaker 4: do great in eighth inning, but there's a difference between

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Speaker 4: closing out a ballgame and throwing the eighth robertson the

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Speaker 4: same way. I think they can be solid. They need

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Speaker 4: some guys in that bullpen to step up. Maybe a

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Speaker 4: guy like Drew Smith does that. Overall, I have a

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Speaker 4: slight lean towards the under. I think this team wins

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Speaker 4: ninety three games because they're gonna hit and they're gonna

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Speaker 4: play a lot of great defense. You have a slight

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Speaker 4: lead towards the over. Did I say under, Yeah, I

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Speaker 4: meant over slightly.

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Speaker 5: The Freudian slip. Peter's got the under crazy now I

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Speaker 5: pretty much would echo everything Peter said. You know, Diaz,

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Speaker 5: I don't know if there's a team that. Of course,

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Speaker 5: it's important when it's the best closer in baseball. I'm

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Speaker 5: one of the most dominant closers we've seen, maybe since

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Speaker 5: Mariano or or Craig Kimberle through a couple of years.

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Speaker 5: But it feels like that that the Edwin Diaz lost

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Speaker 5: to this team just just hurts a little bit more

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Speaker 5: than some of the other teams maybe losing their closer.

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Speaker 5: I still feel like they could go out and make

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Speaker 5: a move at some point. I don't think they need

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Speaker 5: to do it at the beginning of the season, but

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Speaker 5: you know, I think if the bullpen's really an issue,

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Speaker 5: like seeing Mark Fiantos, they can go get a really

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Speaker 5: good reliever for Mark Fiantos, And that's a guy that's

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Speaker 5: that's pretty blocked right now. Especially with Batty winning in

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Speaker 5: the wings. I love the options that they have knocking

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Speaker 5: on the door Offensively, I agree with you, Jack, I

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Speaker 5: don't like the the back half of that lineup, But

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Speaker 5: when you have a Francisco Alvarez who's waiting in the wings,

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Speaker 5: who even if he doesn't hit for average and you

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Speaker 5: call him up, that guy will back into twenty bombs

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Speaker 5: if you give him enough at bats. Brett Batty, I

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Speaker 5: think is ready. That's the one guy that I really

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Speaker 5: think should be on this opening day roster. That's another option.

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Speaker 5: And then you know, I don't hate Tommy fam on

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Speaker 5: the bench like I think that's a really solide bench

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Speaker 5: bat for them too. And I'm a big Luigi arm

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Speaker 5: My fan, not as much as our our guy Ryan Finkelstein,

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Speaker 5: but I do like Luigi Army a lot. So I

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Speaker 5: think the thing that puts them over the top for

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Speaker 5: me is having code I Sanga as that three starter

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Speaker 5: because I think he's going to be one of the

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Speaker 5: better three starters in baseball. So I'm gonna go over.

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Speaker 5: The bullpen could do them in and I can't wait

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Speaker 5: to just see Mets fans losing their shit about the

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Speaker 5: bullpen at some points. But I think that it's going

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Speaker 5: to be able to hold up just enough, and I

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Speaker 5: think they have their the ability to go get somebody

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Speaker 5: if they really need to. But I'm going to go.

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Speaker 3: Over with the Mets.

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Speaker 4: I have one question for the both of you. I

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Speaker 4: was looking into code is Sega and there's no doubt

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Speaker 4: about the stuff. I was watching more video like this

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Speaker 4: guy straight up disgusting. But one thing that I did

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Speaker 4: notice that I think Mets fans would want to know

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Speaker 4: as well is the amount of innings that he's thrown

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Speaker 4: in the MPB. He's only gone over one hundred and

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Speaker 4: eighty once, and that was back in twenty nineteen. If

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Speaker 4: you average out a lot of his seasons to date,

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Speaker 4: it's around one hundred and forty four innings per season.

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Speaker 4: I'm curious if you guys think that he can withstand

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Speaker 4: a one hundred and sixty one hundred and seventy innings

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Speaker 4: season in the major leagues with a different ball in

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Speaker 4: his first season. That's just what I noticed from looking

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Speaker 4: at code sagas Baseball Reference that he hasn't been really

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Speaker 4: a huge innings eater in Japan. I don't doubt the stuff.

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Speaker 4: I don't doubt when he comes out opening day and

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Speaker 4: looks great. Obviously not opening day because it's Max Schurzer,

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Speaker 4: but his first time around, he's going to look great.

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Speaker 4: I was just thinking, because I'm looking at Rookie of

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Speaker 4: the Year bets too, and I'm like, is he gonna

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Speaker 4: throw enough innings to win this? Because a guy like

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Speaker 4: Spencer Strider threw one hundred and thirty one innings and

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Speaker 4: looked like the best pitcher live, but Michael Harris won

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Speaker 4: the Rookie of the Year. That's that was where my

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Speaker 4: thoughts were. I was just curious, you guys opinion arm

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Speaker 4: you first.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, that's a tough one because I don't think anyone's

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Speaker 5: really talked about that too much. Where you're looking at

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Speaker 5: a guy that you know has not really gone through

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Speaker 5: the rigor of a one sixty two game season, and

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Speaker 5: also like it's important for him to eat innings because

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Speaker 5: we don't know how how available shuz Are and Verlander

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Speaker 5: are going to be through the one sixty two right

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Speaker 5: obviously through the thirty starts, whatever you want to say,

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Speaker 5: for them to be on the mount and Carrasco too,

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Speaker 5: So I think that's a fair question. But I think

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Speaker 5: having David Peterson there, you know, also, whenever you get

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Speaker 5: King Tana back, it feels like Kingtana is going to

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Speaker 5: return just in the nick of time, maybe as some

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Speaker 5: of these guys starts to fatigue in the dog days,

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Speaker 5: and that kind of hedges some of the concern for me.

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Speaker 5: I think that they could probably skip a guy in

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Speaker 5: the rotation every once in a while. They might treat

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Speaker 5: it like the dh roll, where they might just rotate

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Speaker 5: a gap in the rotation for each of Schurzer, Verlander

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Speaker 5: and Sanga. I have trust in Buck, you know, show

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Speaker 5: Walter being able to kind of manage this. I think

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Speaker 5: it's a unique situation. I think it's a great point, Peter,

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Speaker 5: but I feel like with Kintana, assuming he comes back,

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Speaker 5: they should be able to manage it.

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Speaker 4: I was more looking at like Rookie of the Year

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Speaker 4: stuff to see if he'll accumulated enough if he throws

385
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Speaker 4: one give sixty, like that's that should be another That's

386
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Speaker 4: what I was even saying, like he hasn't done that

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Speaker 4: in the past couple of years. Is he going to

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Speaker 4: do that in his first season in Major League baseball?

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Speaker 3: That was my concern. Yeah, yeah, And I guess my

390
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Speaker 3: answer is I don't know, right because because we haven't

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Speaker 3: seen it, Like I've got no idea. But if he

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Speaker 3: went one fifty over there, I think he can go

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Speaker 3: one fifty over here. And the thing is, like one

394
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Speaker 3: fifties kind of a full year for major league pitchers now,

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Speaker 3: we see very few guys get over one seventy five now,

396
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Speaker 3: and two or three get over two hundred on a

397
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Speaker 3: yearly basis. So I'm not too worried if he goes

398
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Speaker 3: like one hundred and fifty five one hundred and sixty innings,

399
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Speaker 3: and even if he's at you know, the number that

400
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Speaker 3: he's been at the last couple of years, one forty,

401
00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:46,359
Speaker 3: I think that's because they are being safe. And I

402
00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:49,240
Speaker 3: don't think it's like, yeah, I don't think you have

403
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Speaker 3: to be safe with Verlander and Schurzer, But like those

404
00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:54,320
Speaker 3: guys know when their knees sing when it rains, you

405
00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:57,399
Speaker 3: know what I mean, so they're gonna be very honest

406
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Speaker 3: with Buck show Walter when it's like, hey, I need

407
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Speaker 3: a skip this time through the rotation. And then you

408
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Speaker 3: go to Tyler McGill or you give Eliezer Hernandez a

409
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Speaker 3: spot start, and I know that name just made arm shiver.

410
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:11,360
Speaker 5: I'll be fading that game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Like that's fine, it's the Mets. You can fade

412
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Speaker 3: one game if Eliezer needs to make a spot start

413
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Speaker 3: in order to get one hundred percent of Verlander or

414
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,800
Speaker 3: Scherzer or Sanga. There you go. That's the only question

415
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Speaker 3: I want to answer. All right, So you two went over.

416
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Speaker 3: I went under ninety two and a half, Philly eighty

417
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:32,480
Speaker 3: eight and a half. I go under because Derek Hall

418
00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 3: looks like the opening day First Basement, and you got

419
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Speaker 3: Bryce Harper out for a couple of months, you got

420
00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:41,080
Speaker 3: Painter dealing with this partially torn ucl that he's going

421
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Speaker 3: to try and throw through. I'm really worried about what's happened,

422
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Speaker 3: and I think I would go over this number on

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Speaker 3: February twenty fifth, But on March twenty seventh, as we record,

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Speaker 3: I'm going under. This team is fragile and they're showing

425
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Speaker 3: their fragility right now in spring training. I'm with you.

426
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Speaker 4: I'm a slight under though I have this team winning

427
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:03,119
Speaker 4: eighty eight games, so eighty eight and a half, I'll

428
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Speaker 4: take a slide under, but I'm not very confident in it.

429
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Speaker 4: I think this team is better defensively than they were.

430
00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:14,479
Speaker 4: I think they, you know, with a full roster, can

431
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Speaker 4: be as good offensively when you add in a guy

432
00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:19,879
Speaker 4: like Trey Turner. Of course, losing Reese Hoskins for the

433
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:22,480
Speaker 4: season is terrible. Bryce Harper is probably gonna come back

434
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:25,080
Speaker 4: in June, and I am slightly worried about the rotation.

435
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,960
Speaker 4: I'm not worried about Wheeler or Nola, but Ranger Swarz

436
00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 4: is dealing with an injury. You know, Andrew Paynter is

437
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 4: dealing with an injury, and they're gonna have to make

438
00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:34,560
Speaker 4: some spot starts with guys that I'm not very confident in.

439
00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:37,600
Speaker 4: And when Tywan Walker is your third starter all year,

440
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:42,440
Speaker 4: if Ranger Swarrez isn't fully healthy, that's worriesome. I do

441
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:45,160
Speaker 4: like the bullpen. I think it's solid, and I think

442
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:48,040
Speaker 4: this is one of those teams that squeak into the playoffs.

443
00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:50,440
Speaker 4: Maybe they're the last wild Card, but then they could

444
00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:53,280
Speaker 4: easily go on a run again because them and the Padres,

445
00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,560
Speaker 4: who we'll talk about later, are so set up for

446
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,080
Speaker 4: the playoffs while a lot of other teams are better

447
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:01,240
Speaker 4: set up for the regular season. While they improve slightly

448
00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:04,120
Speaker 4: on defense, it's still not a good defensive team, which

449
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,879
Speaker 4: is only going to get more exposed with the shifting band.

450
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:09,439
Speaker 4: But overall this is a solid team. I got them

451
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 4: in eighty eight wins, but I'm a lean slightly.

452
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:15,359
Speaker 5: Under Yeah, So the one thing that sticks out to

453
00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 5: me is the rotation is maybe one injury away from catastrophe.

454
00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:22,560
Speaker 5: You know, if one of Noah or Wheeler. I know

455
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 5: Noah has been incredibly durable and as has Wheeler over

456
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 5: the last last couple of years. But if one of

457
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:32,359
Speaker 5: those guys goes down, Jesus, this rotation like a liability.

458
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 5: And then you look at the and again, I'm not

459
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:36,480
Speaker 5: saying that the Phillies are a bad team. They are

460
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:39,600
Speaker 5: a very solid team. But as we're looking over underwin totals,

461
00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:41,400
Speaker 5: I'm trying to kind of like see what the doomsday

462
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,280
Speaker 5: scenario is here looking at the lineup. You know, I

463
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:46,719
Speaker 5: love the addition of trade Turner, how can't you love

464
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 5: the addition of Trade Turner. Derek Hall is interesting, right,

465
00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,000
Speaker 5: Like he's got power, he also struck out thirty two

466
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:53,880
Speaker 5: percent of the time. Like, we'll see how he holds down.

467
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 5: I can promise you he's not Race Hoskins. There's enough

468
00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:59,680
Speaker 5: guys in this lineup where it's like I could see

469
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 5: them not excelling offensively and that's probably not a good thing, right,

470
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:05,359
Speaker 5: Like we'll see how they are at first base with

471
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:07,680
Speaker 5: Derek Hall, We'll see how they are at third base

472
00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 5: with Alec Bohm, Like, I know he's shown flashes, but

473
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 5: you'll get the numbers overall. They wanted that great who's

474
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,880
Speaker 5: playing left to start the season? Like is it gonna

475
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:18,360
Speaker 5: be Josh Harrison? Like, I don't know what they're gonna

476
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:20,639
Speaker 5: do there. There's a legit scenario where Brandon marsh is

477
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 5: underwhelming offensively though I like him, we have to see

478
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 5: and then what's Nick Castiano's gonna do this year? Is

479
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 5: he gonna bounce back? I don't know. I like the

480
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 5: bullpen too, but ultimately I'm gonna go slight under. But

481
00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:35,159
Speaker 5: you know, they could get Bryce Harper back and he

482
00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:38,200
Speaker 5: could literally carry them on his back again. But I

483
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,400
Speaker 5: think slight under and they're gonna be around the wild

484
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:42,119
Speaker 5: card all year and that's all they need. That's the

485
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 5: thing too, is I think they kind of know that

486
00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:46,040
Speaker 5: they're probably gonna be a wild card team and could

487
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,159
Speaker 5: probably do the same exact thing they did last year.

488
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 4: Just to give the Glassholf full approach, because I do

489
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,879
Speaker 4: see a path of the Phillies being very good and

490
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,320
Speaker 4: being a shinty plus win team. Because let's say Alec

491
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 4: Bohm takes that next step, next step up and looks

492
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:00,399
Speaker 4: like the guy that we all thought he could be,

493
00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:04,200
Speaker 4: Bryson Stott takes that leap, Trey Turner continues to be

494
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,679
Speaker 4: a stud and kind of leans into his L two

495
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,280
Speaker 4: ve era where he leans into that power which we

496
00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 4: saw in the World Baseball Classic. We've seen that in

497
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 4: spring training so far. Derek Hall might even be better

498
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:16,719
Speaker 4: defensively than a guy like Grease Hoskins, and he might

499
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,200
Speaker 4: strike out more. But let's say it's twenty to twenty

500
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 4: five home runs, I don't think we'd be totally shocked.

501
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:24,400
Speaker 4: Then you have Schwarber, you have Marsh and you have Costianos.

502
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:27,360
Speaker 4: Who Costianos, let's say he bounces back a little bit offensively,

503
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 4: and let's say Brandon Marsh at least maintains what he

504
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 4: did on the Phillies, which was solid. And then you

505
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 4: have the best catcher in baseball and jt Ryl Muto.

506
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,399
Speaker 4: And when these guys come back healthy, which should be

507
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:40,800
Speaker 4: at least relatively soon in the rotation, especially with Rangers Suarez,

508
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 4: there is a path here to a very very good team.

509
00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:46,920
Speaker 4: But I think there are too many question marks to

510
00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:49,320
Speaker 4: sit here on March twenty seven and say yes, all

511
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 4: of that will happen. So I sort of lean to

512
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,639
Speaker 4: what arm was saying in my prediction that some of

513
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 4: those things fall short and they end up winning eighty

514
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 4: seven to eighty eight games.

515
00:23:58,440 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 3: Right.

516
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:01,160
Speaker 5: One thing, real quick, to Jack's point, if you asked

517
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 5: me this three weeks ago, and there's no forearm strain

518
00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:06,720
Speaker 5: for Ranger Suarez and Rayce Hoskins is healthy, I'm going over.

519
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:09,199
Speaker 5: And that's really the difference for me right now. It's

520
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:10,720
Speaker 5: a couple of games, and that's that's it.

521
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, the fact that the pendulum can swing this much

522
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,960
Speaker 3: like we're talking about that outcome, and that outcome.

523
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 4: Right from really important players. They're really important players that

524
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:21,040
Speaker 4: are injured.

525
00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:24,000
Speaker 3: It's not incredibly Yeah, And like Bryce Harper, I know

526
00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,440
Speaker 3: he was playing with a torn uco, But how's he

527
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,200
Speaker 3: gonna do when he misses three months? You know what

528
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 3: I mean, He's gonna be sick. Yeah, of course, of

529
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,399
Speaker 3: course Bryce Harper is gonna be great, But like what

530
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,080
Speaker 3: if he's not in a thousand ops?

531
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:36,680
Speaker 2: You know what I mean?

532
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:38,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, the fact that I have to ask all these

533
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 3: questions about all these guys makes me shoot under eighty

534
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 3: eight and a half. Still love this team though, Still

535
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 3: like when we say under, when we say under, that

536
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 3: doesn't mean oh, yeah, they're winning seventy one games. No,

537
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:54,320
Speaker 3: I have them under because I have been winning eighty eight.

538
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:55,920
Speaker 3: So like, if it was eighty seven and a half,

539
00:24:55,960 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 3: I go over. It's that close, right, Miami tventy six

540
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 3: and a half arm the floor is yours?

541
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 5: What was it, seventy seven and a half?

542
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:11,400
Speaker 3: Seventy six, ninety four and a half and a half.

543
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:16,400
Speaker 5: This team is hard, man, Like, this team is really difficult.

544
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 5: It's just kind of setting the stage. I think this

545
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:23,920
Speaker 5: could be the worst defensive team in baseball the way

546
00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:25,639
Speaker 5: I've kind of summed it up, with the way that

547
00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:31,520
Speaker 5: they're kind of allocating things defensively, their best defensive second

548
00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:35,480
Speaker 5: basement is at shortstop, their second best defensive second basement

549
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 5: isn't center, their third best defensive second basement is at third,

550
00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 5: and their fourth best second baseman defensively is at second,

551
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 5: So that in itself is concerning Jazz. I don't know

552
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 5: how he's gonna play in center. Jacob Stallings was majorly

553
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 5: disappointing behind the dish last year. The lineup will be

554
00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,439
Speaker 5: better because I love Luis Rayas. I think that's exactly

555
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,480
Speaker 5: what they need. But can that guy change in offense?

556
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:06,119
Speaker 5: Probably not obviously. Al Garcia I think might be the

557
00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:07,679
Speaker 5: worst hitter in Major League baseball.

558
00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:08,119
Speaker 1: Uh.

559
00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:10,639
Speaker 5: He went two for thirty five to finish out the

560
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,680
Speaker 5: spring with fifteen strikeouts. But everyone wants to talk about

561
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:15,600
Speaker 5: how he lost twenty pounds. That doesn't help you.

562
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:21,480
Speaker 3: He worked on his diet, Yeah, but relations between Is there.

563
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:24,639
Speaker 5: A correlation between sugar sugary foods and chasing breaking balls?

564
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:24,800
Speaker 3: Bro?

565
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:26,399
Speaker 5: Like, I just don't understand that.

566
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:27,840
Speaker 3: That sounds like the next dive?

567
00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:30,400
Speaker 5: Like, yeah, that might be the next dive.

568
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:31,639
Speaker 3: I like Huey Guriel.

569
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 5: I actually do think that helps a lot. And I

570
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 5: think Garrett Cooper, you know, just getting him off his

571
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:38,400
Speaker 5: feet at any point possible is great. There's just too

572
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,440
Speaker 5: much volatility there. And then I look at the rotation.

573
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 5: I love Sandy, but a Sandy gonna match what he

574
00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 5: did last year like pretty hard to do. Was Zardo's awesome,

575
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,680
Speaker 5: but he and Edward Cabrera have injury issues. Trevor Rodgers

576
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:51,680
Speaker 5: gave up a home run to Jesus Sanchez today that

577
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:54,400
Speaker 5: went like four to eighty. Rodgers has been Jack going Hyde.

578
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 5: I think we'll be all right, but you know, we'll

579
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:57,880
Speaker 5: see what they get there. And then Johnny Quato's already

580
00:26:57,880 --> 00:26:59,399
Speaker 5: a little banged up, so we'll see how he is.

581
00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:02,360
Speaker 5: Then the bullpen is a mystery. So all that to say,

582
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 5: I'm going under this team. To me, you bet the

583
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,600
Speaker 5: under on the Marlins. You're usually in good shape, and

584
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 5: I think that's the cases here. But there is a

585
00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:14,440
Speaker 5: scenario where this team, and I said this when I

586
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 5: did my Marlins preview, the one thing that this team

587
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:20,400
Speaker 5: has going for itself in terms of the Grant scheme

588
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 5: of the Marlins is that there is an outside chance

589
00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 5: that they can win eighty games. And I've not been

590
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 5: able to say that about a Marlins team in a

591
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:29,879
Speaker 5: long time. But this whole rotation, if it stays healthy

592
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 5: and pitches to its potential, could could really carry it

593
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 5: to an eighty one season, assuming that some of the

594
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,720
Speaker 5: guys like sol Air, you know, bounce back. And remember

595
00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:40,520
Speaker 5: Gees Chill missed one hundred games last year and was

596
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 5: an All Star, so that helps as well too. But again,

597
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:45,760
Speaker 5: it's gone up a lot, and Peter can speak to

598
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 5: like the line movement. If it was seventy two and

599
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,119
Speaker 5: a half, I'm probably taking me over, which is what

600
00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:52,520
Speaker 5: it opened at. But I think they win seventy four

601
00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:53,399
Speaker 5: to seventy five games.

602
00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:56,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, there's a lot of hope in Miami, and there's

603
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:58,399
Speaker 4: a lot of hope outside of Miami.

604
00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:00,680
Speaker 5: Because I say I don't think it's in Miami. I'd

605
00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:03,000
Speaker 5: say there's hope outside of Miami and in the betting skate.

606
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:05,679
Speaker 4: It is interesting because you know, when I'm doing all

607
00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 4: of these different wind totals, you know, I talked about

608
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 4: it on Not Gambling Advice to the podcast, and there's

609
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,640
Speaker 4: plenty of articles written on Just Baseball dot com about

610
00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:16,440
Speaker 4: all these different wind totals, and the Marlins have one

611
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:19,719
Speaker 4: of the biggest jumps from the opener to where they

612
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 4: currently sit at right now, and they currently hold one

613
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 4: of the highest handles, and the handle is the definition

614
00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 4: of the total sum amount of money on a team.

615
00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:32,159
Speaker 4: They're one of the most popular over bets of the

616
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:36,159
Speaker 4: bucks and it's reflected from a line jump from seventy

617
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,120
Speaker 4: two and a half to seventy six and a half.

618
00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 4: Now that we understand the betting angle that it's very

619
00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 4: popular over when not a lot of times those hit,

620
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:45,040
Speaker 4: you have to lean the under. But at the same time,

621
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:46,800
Speaker 4: arm I would have taken the over at seventy two

622
00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:49,080
Speaker 4: and a half. I have this team winning seventy five games.

623
00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 4: I can see the hope right Like there's a lot

624
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:57,880
Speaker 4: of guys on offense who you expect to do better,

625
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 4: Like I expect Jorge Soler to have a better year.

626
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 4: I expect avisl Garcia do have a better year. I'm

627
00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 4: excited for Brian de la Cruz to be on this

628
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 4: team opening day. Whether he is or not, I'm not even.

629
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 3: Sure he will.

630
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 4: He would goold and he should be because I think

631
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 4: he could actually be the answer in center field, not defensively,

632
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 4: but at least offensively. I think he can hit Luisa Rise.

633
00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 4: I think is a great hitter, and people forget he's

634
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 4: twenty five years old. He showed the power in the WBC,

635
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 4: and it seems like a place that he could thrive

636
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 4: with a huge ballpark and just spring balls in the gaps.

637
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 4: Maybe more singles are dropping for a guy like him.

638
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:35,360
Speaker 4: Jas Chisholm's staying healthy all year. I'm worried about that.

639
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 4: But the overarching point is they aren't a team that's

640
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 4: gonna benefit from the rule changes the shift. They need

641
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:46,880
Speaker 4: a better defense, and they might be the worst defensive

642
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 4: team in Major League Baseball. They won sixty eight games,

643
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:54,640
Speaker 4: with Sandy winning the cy Young unanimously like I just

644
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 4: don't see a eight game jump for this team because

645
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:02,640
Speaker 4: the bull is arguably worse than it was last year

646
00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 4: and it was one of baseball's worst bullpens. I do

647
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,360
Speaker 4: think they improved. I think the offense will be better.

648
00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:12,600
Speaker 4: I think some of the pitchers, like Haycu's Zzardo Edward

649
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:14,920
Speaker 4: Cabrera holding up for at least seventy five percent of

650
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:17,600
Speaker 4: the season is huge, and they've hedged it with depth

651
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 4: in the rotation with Jake Eater coming up. Brax and

652
00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:22,200
Speaker 4: Garrett I still do like, and then the possibility of

653
00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 4: Yuri Prez. I have the team winning seventy five games.

654
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 4: So if you gave me a seventy two and a half,

655
00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 4: I go over this current line at seventy six and

656
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 4: a half.

657
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 3: Give me the under. I could wax poetic about how

658
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:35,680
Speaker 3: I think Lozardo is gonna be healthy for the entire year,

659
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 3: and I think Luis Arise is awesome. But listen, Dusty

660
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 3: May is America's sweetheart, the head coach of the Florida

661
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:48,560
Speaker 3: Atlantic Owls in bocare its own. Miami basketball just went

662
00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 3: to their first Final four in program history. There's something,

663
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:55,520
Speaker 3: there's something in the water in South Florida right now. Wow,

664
00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 3: I'm all the way fucking in. Wow over.

665
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:04,640
Speaker 4: Atlantic University making it to the final fourth. About the

666
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 4: sun and the ocean and soflow.

667
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:07,400
Speaker 3: Right now, I'm in.

668
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:10,600
Speaker 5: I will say, I do want to give one last drop,

669
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 5: one last positivity thing. The rotation of Sandy with I

670
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 5: think Wizardo's gonna shove this year. Edward was insane against

671
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 5: the Cardinals, Like legit Cardinals lineup and then Trevor. If

672
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 5: Trevor's your four. This rotation could be one of the

673
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:25,840
Speaker 5: most exciting young rotations in baseball. So there's a scenario

674
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 5: where you know, I eat Crow on that one. But again,

675
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 5: like I'll stand on the other side of the aisle

676
00:31:31,080 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 5: when I'm making predictions when it comes to the Marlins.

677
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:39,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, Washington, So your immediate thought is fart noises.

678
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:43,200
Speaker 3: The Washington Nationals fifty nine and a half, the same

679
00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 3: total as Oakland. This team I think has more watchability

680
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 3: than the Oakland A's by a lot, by a lot. C.

681
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 3: J Abrams Key, Bert Ruiz, Joey Manesis of WBC fame.

682
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 3: They're giving Damer Candelario another shot, They're giving Dom Smith

683
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 3: another shot. Luis Garcia doesn't walk, so you know you're

684
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:09,120
Speaker 3: gonna go and see swings Man and then you got Yeah,

685
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:13,520
Speaker 3: Patrick Corbin is the opening day starter, barf. But Josiah Gray,

686
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 3: can he be worse? I'm not sure. Mackenzie Gore maybe

687
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:19,960
Speaker 3: for a full year he's healthy. That's kind of exciting.

688
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 3: Fifty nine and a half is an incredibly low number.

689
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 3: And if I took the over on Oakland because the

690
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:28,600
Speaker 3: number was so low, I have to take the over

691
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 3: on Washington because that number is so low.

692
00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:34,720
Speaker 4: I have been going back and forth on this total

693
00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:36,840
Speaker 4: because I think maybe in my podcast or on a

694
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:39,000
Speaker 4: ride up, I said, over and the more I look

695
00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 4: at this roster, I actually think they'll finish with the

696
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 4: worst record in Major League Baseball. Damn, the pitching is atrocious, guys, Yeah,

697
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 4: they got Strasburg. The pitching is atrocious. Like, they have

698
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:54,440
Speaker 4: some of the worst pitchers in baseball, all on the

699
00:32:54,640 --> 00:33:00,480
Speaker 4: same team. It's Corbin, it's Josiah Gray. It's like you

700
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,520
Speaker 4: hold Mackenzie Gore like that's a nice name to say,

701
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:06,600
Speaker 4: But how much of an impact is he truly going

702
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:08,720
Speaker 4: to make this year? I look at the lineup. There

703
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:13,880
Speaker 4: are some fun players. I like Keeber Luiz, I like CJ. Abrams,

704
00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,640
Speaker 4: but Abrams hasn't shown that potential as a prospect that

705
00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 4: we all shown anything he would, he hasn't shown much.

706
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 4: Ruiz I expect to be better this year. I like

707
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,959
Speaker 4: Joey Manesis, but like, there's a reason, Hi Merk Candelario

708
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 4: is now on the Nationals. There's a reason that, you know,

709
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 4: a better team didn't.

710
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 3: Pick up a guy like that. Maybe it was his decision.

711
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 4: He wanted more playing time and that was an area

712
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 4: where he could But I don't know.

713
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 3: But I'm not.

714
00:33:40,520 --> 00:33:43,200
Speaker 4: Excited about the Bullpen. I'm not excited about the rotation.

715
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:45,720
Speaker 4: I'm actually going to go under on the Nationals. I

716
00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 4: think they finish with fifty six wins this year.

717
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 5: Doesn't this team kind of remind you Jack when you

718
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:55,320
Speaker 5: forget to resign your impending free agents and you simulate

719
00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:57,400
Speaker 5: the offseason and then you're like, oh shit, where did

720
00:33:57,440 --> 00:33:57,880
Speaker 5: my team go?

721
00:33:58,160 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 3: Well, we just went over that.

722
00:33:59,320 --> 00:34:00,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's all I do, and I go oh fuck

723
00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:03,960
Speaker 5: o fuck a fuck j Yeah, well, is gonna be

724
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 5: one of the good Like it's like, oh shit, I

725
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:09,560
Speaker 5: got Dom Smith, Candelario, I got a thirty four year

726
00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:13,760
Speaker 5: old Corey Dickerson. Here's the thing. I like these bums

727
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:20,680
Speaker 5: better than Oakland's bumps, I think. Okay, my argument will

728
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 5: be that I think Manesta's is actually, like, might be

729
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:26,120
Speaker 5: one of the best players between the two teams. Offensively,

730
00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:29,960
Speaker 5: He's good. Corey Dickerson like, he still hits, man Like,

731
00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:32,920
Speaker 5: he can still hit a little bit. I think Abrams

732
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:37,399
Speaker 5: will get better. He's twenty two Williams at this point, right, Yeah,

733
00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:42,840
Speaker 5: he was sneaky Okay last year. Mackenzie Gore is solid.

734
00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:47,399
Speaker 5: Pat Corbyn can't be worse. Jose Ia A. Gray might

735
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:51,240
Speaker 5: be worse. I don't know. Hunter Harvey is actually nasty.

736
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 5: I think he's gonna be closing games for them, and

737
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:56,759
Speaker 5: then Jacob Lou. Look out for Jaco Lou. They're gonna

738
00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:58,759
Speaker 5: plug that dude into the outfield and he's gonna be

739
00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,520
Speaker 5: a guy. They also have Still Garrett, who performed last year.

740
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:06,760
Speaker 5: I think they've got enough options to like salvage sixty wins.

741
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 5: I'm taking the over, and I think CJ. Abrams kind

742
00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 5: of breaks out a little bit this year, which really

743
00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 5: helps for them.

744
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:17,399
Speaker 3: Let's go, all right, NL CenTra. Peter's just shaking his head.

745
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:20,759
Speaker 3: You guys are crazy like Stone Garrett performed like.

746
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 2: We got it.

747
00:35:21,480 --> 00:35:24,680
Speaker 3: Like they're all like Stone Garrett. Maybe the difference between

748
00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:26,719
Speaker 3: fifty nine and sixty one wins, you know what I'm saying,

749
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 3: could be Yeah, all right, Saint Louis is at eighty

750
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:35,520
Speaker 3: nine and a half a reference Milwaukee's at eighty five

751
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:38,279
Speaker 3: and a half. So there is no team in the

752
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:42,279
Speaker 3: NL Central that is at ninety. That feels like a

753
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:44,200
Speaker 3: low total. But then you look at the starting rotation

754
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:46,520
Speaker 3: and you're like, oh, this might be a high total,

755
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 3: and you.

756
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 4: Look at the fact that they won't be able to

757
00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:52,080
Speaker 4: play the Reds and the Pirates, and you know, the

758
00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 4: Cubs aren't a bad team, but they're a below average team.

759
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 4: Like yeah, like they're gonna have to play this Central

760
00:35:58,000 --> 00:35:59,840
Speaker 4: especially in the National League, is going to have some

761
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:03,759
Speaker 4: troubles with this change. But at the same time, the

762
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:05,880
Speaker 4: Cardinals are a team that I think is gonna greatly

763
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:06,760
Speaker 4: benefit from.

764
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 3: The rule changes.

765
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:09,719
Speaker 4: Talking about the team on defense, I think they are

766
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:11,960
Speaker 4: the best defensive team in Major League Baseball. They're a

767
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:14,680
Speaker 4: team that Rex havoc on the base pass. They're gonna

768
00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:16,640
Speaker 4: steal a ton of bases. They're gonna have one of

769
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,440
Speaker 4: the best lineups in baseball combined with one of the

770
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:23,040
Speaker 4: best defensive lineups in baseball. But Adam Wainwright is going

771
00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 4: opening day thrown in the mid to high eighties. Miles

772
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:27,440
Speaker 4: Michaelis looks good. They give him an extension.

773
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:28,360
Speaker 3: I don't I.

774
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:32,959
Speaker 4: Feel good about him, but I feel good about j Mott,

775
00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 4: Like I feel good about Jordan Montgomery having like a

776
00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 4: three eight era.

777
00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:39,120
Speaker 3: Larity suck nuts his last time out.

778
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:41,719
Speaker 4: Which is nuts because he's the guy who I just like,

779
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,640
Speaker 4: keep holding out hope for keep doing it, keep doing it,

780
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:47,360
Speaker 4: and like the leash is running thin with Jack Flaherty

781
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,359
Speaker 4: of me continuing to believe in the talent that he has.

782
00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,080
Speaker 4: I really am hoping for a good season, but my

783
00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:55,399
Speaker 4: baseball brain is saying, don't rely on him at all.

784
00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:57,840
Speaker 4: And you can't really rely on Steven Mattz. He hasn't

785
00:36:57,840 --> 00:36:59,680
Speaker 4: given you a fully healthy season, and I don't know

786
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:00,680
Speaker 4: how long it.

787
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 5: Has been fantastic this spring though, for what that's worth.

788
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 4: I know it's worth something. But let's see you throw

789
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:09,680
Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty innings this year. I have no

790
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 4: doubts that Steven Mattz, when he throws five innings and

791
00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:14,719
Speaker 4: is healthy, is a good pitcher. I have my doubts

792
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 4: on staying healthy over the full season, So I think

793
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:19,840
Speaker 4: the rotation is a big issue, and I think the

794
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:22,600
Speaker 4: bullpen is good.

795
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 3: Not great.

796
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:27,000
Speaker 4: I thought it was interesting that they optioned Hennis's Cabrera.

797
00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:30,239
Speaker 4: I'm going under I think this is an eighty eight

798
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 4: or eighty nine win team. I don't think anyone in

799
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 4: the National League Central wins ninety games this year. I

800
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:37,319
Speaker 4: still think they win the division, but I think it's

801
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:38,880
Speaker 4: going to be rather close, and I don't see them

802
00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:40,000
Speaker 4: winning ninety games this year.

803
00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:42,479
Speaker 3: This is tough.

804
00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 5: I am worried about this team, like in terms of

805
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 5: and not worried about the Cardinals, but just worried about

806
00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 5: them in relation to dominating the central right Like I

807
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:55,839
Speaker 5: think the Brewers could hang around with them, and if

808
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:57,800
Speaker 5: the value is right on a bed, I would consider it.

809
00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:00,800
Speaker 5: But I still think the Cardinals are going to like

810
00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:03,080
Speaker 5: just back their way in ninety one wins. With the

811
00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:05,480
Speaker 5: way that this team can hit, with the way that

812
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:07,600
Speaker 5: with the depth that they have, with the way that

813
00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:10,120
Speaker 5: they're gonna be able to mix and match lineups to

814
00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 5: put guys in it like to me, they remind me

815
00:38:13,080 --> 00:38:15,480
Speaker 5: of they don't have the pitching, but like lineup wise,

816
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:17,440
Speaker 5: they remind me of like a better version of that

817
00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:20,520
Speaker 5: Insane Giants team where they were just able to put

818
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:23,640
Speaker 5: guys in positions for success on the favorable side of

819
00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:28,040
Speaker 5: a platoon, just keep guys fresh, rotate, and just basically

820
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:31,000
Speaker 5: always put their best foot forward. Lineup wise, I really

821
00:38:31,160 --> 00:38:33,399
Speaker 5: like the addition to Wilson Contraras, which because I think

822
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,320
Speaker 5: their catching position was the worst in baseball with YACHTI

823
00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:38,360
Speaker 5: last year, I think that's gonna be a big difference.

824
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 5: The pitching is a big question, but if they can

825
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:43,239
Speaker 5: get anything from Matt's and I still think they make

826
00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:45,759
Speaker 5: a trade. They've got so much depth. I think they

827
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:47,280
Speaker 5: could go finally get somebody.

828
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:49,480
Speaker 4: We keep saying that they don't fucking do it.

829
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:52,440
Speaker 5: They got it if they I think if they're tracking

830
00:38:52,520 --> 00:38:55,279
Speaker 5: towards eighty five wins or eighty four wins, then they

831
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:58,480
Speaker 5: do it. So I'm gonna bet on John Mosey Lock.

832
00:38:58,520 --> 00:38:59,160
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go over.

833
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 3: It's tough because they need the outsource talent to help

834
00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:07,920
Speaker 3: them in the starting pitching department, like Grisefo will on

835
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:09,600
Speaker 3: start the year in triple You think.

836
00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 5: I'm gonna say it actually real quick. I think Matthew

837
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:14,680
Speaker 5: Libertore might actually be okay this year.

838
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 3: Wow?

839
00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:17,120
Speaker 5: Why starting to throw a sinker?

840
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:18,240
Speaker 3: Okay?

841
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:23,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, his fudgeoned, his will play, sinker will play.

842
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:26,560
Speaker 3: Okay, Well, you just changed my entire outlook on life.

843
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,600
Speaker 3: If Libby's thrown a sinker, there's no way he did

844
00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:32,200
Speaker 3: that over Saint louis Is at one hundred and ten

845
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 3: win team. If thrown a sinker, no man. I mean,

846
00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:40,479
Speaker 3: if Libby can fill a spot, that's excellent. I feel

847
00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:43,879
Speaker 3: better about Grisepo filling a spot if he starts well

848
00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 3: in triple but that's another guy that has yet to

849
00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:48,920
Speaker 3: throw a major league ining, you know what I mean.

850
00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 3: So like, I don't understand why Yepez is still on

851
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 3: the roster if he's gonna be a Memphis Redbird, you

852
00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:56,960
Speaker 3: know what I mean, Like, get him out, let him

853
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:59,839
Speaker 3: go be a major leaguer elsewhere, and go trade him.

854
00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:03,400
Speaker 3: We're a good starting pitcher, So that's my qualm. They

855
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:06,719
Speaker 3: have so much depth, and there's this glaring hole and

856
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 3: they've done nothing about it, which is why my mind

857
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:13,200
Speaker 3: goes to under But now that Arum just you know,

858
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:14,800
Speaker 3: almost guided me to a revelation.

859
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:17,800
Speaker 5: I go over they're trading for They'll trade for a

860
00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:18,479
Speaker 5: pitcher in June.

861
00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:21,480
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, do you promise?

862
00:40:22,080 --> 00:40:22,600
Speaker 5: I promise.

863
00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:24,040
Speaker 3: Oh yeah.

864
00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:26,040
Speaker 4: And I just want to be clear too. I still

865
00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:28,200
Speaker 4: like the Cardinals. I still think they're going to win

866
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:28,680
Speaker 4: the division.

867
00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:31,279
Speaker 3: No, Bro, you said they were a win team.

868
00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 4: I think they were nine win team. You just said

869
00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:37,000
Speaker 4: they were asked the fans of Saint Louis are some

870
00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:38,000
Speaker 4: of the best in baseball.

871
00:40:38,040 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 3: I want them to know that. While you might hear

872
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:42,960
Speaker 3: jacket Arm chirping in that, I think there was sixty

873
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:46,719
Speaker 3: win the fans in Saint Louis. I love the fans

874
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:47,120
Speaker 3: and side.

875
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:50,120
Speaker 5: I just got a text from Peter Stop. I don't

876
00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:51,680
Speaker 5: actually mute them.

877
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:53,040
Speaker 4: I don't know if you could do it on your

878
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:55,920
Speaker 4: radio if you're listening to the cart them.

879
00:40:56,000 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 3: I don't know that they're saying or next Milwaukee eighty

880
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:06,560
Speaker 3: five and a half. I immediately think over.

881
00:41:06,920 --> 00:41:11,800
Speaker 4: Sneakye okay, so I can I start first?

882
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:12,840
Speaker 5: No?

883
00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:15,200
Speaker 4: Sorry, I had to jump in because this is the

884
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:17,399
Speaker 4: most interesting team in Major League Baseball. I think from

885
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:22,000
Speaker 4: a wind total perspective, everything in my gambling brain wants

886
00:41:22,040 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 4: me to take the over because this is seems like

887
00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:28,320
Speaker 4: an inflated line. This seems pretty big, and I really

888
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 4: like the rotation. Like when you want to bet on

889
00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:32,320
Speaker 4: an over win total, you better believe in the rotation.

890
00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:35,400
Speaker 4: And when you have Brandon Woodruff, Corbin Burns and Freddy Peralta,

891
00:41:35,520 --> 00:41:37,600
Speaker 4: like that is going to get you far. And when

892
00:41:37,640 --> 00:41:40,080
Speaker 4: you have Devin Williams closing games, he's as good as

893
00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:42,200
Speaker 4: anybody in Major League baseball. I like some of the

894
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:43,960
Speaker 4: bats in the lineup. I like some of the rookies

895
00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:46,279
Speaker 4: that are gonna come up. I actually this line moved

896
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:48,080
Speaker 4: from eighty three and a half to eighty five and

897
00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 4: a half. I had them as an eighty five win team.

898
00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 3: So at the opener, I like the over.

899
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:55,359
Speaker 4: But now it's like, if I think they win eighty

900
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:57,279
Speaker 4: five games and are eighty five and a half, I'm

901
00:41:57,320 --> 00:42:00,200
Speaker 4: gonna go under. But I actually think the smart bet,

902
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:02,799
Speaker 4: if you want to gamble, is to take the Brewers over,

903
00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:05,800
Speaker 4: and to take the Brewers to win the division. My

904
00:42:06,040 --> 00:42:09,680
Speaker 4: one worry with the Brewers is if they are not

905
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 4: playing well, they will sell. Corbyn Burns has already uttered

906
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:18,000
Speaker 4: that he's very unhappy here. You know, he's gonna be

907
00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:19,799
Speaker 4: a free agent soon. Brandon Woodruff is a free agent

908
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 4: after twenty twenty four. They could do an incredible fire sale,

909
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:27,960
Speaker 4: get a boatload of prospects, and just reset. I could

910
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:31,799
Speaker 4: totally see that. So that's WI ling the under here.

911
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:34,880
Speaker 4: But I do like this team orrow, I do.

912
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 3: I like it.

913
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:39,040
Speaker 5: I mean Bryce touring, I hear you though, like that

914
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:41,440
Speaker 5: this is a team that will blow it up if

915
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 5: they if they struggle, but at that point they'd be

916
00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 5: tracking for the under anyways, So I'll just tip my

917
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:51,359
Speaker 5: cap and take the l there. What really puts them

918
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:54,719
Speaker 5: over the top for me is. I feel like this

919
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:57,960
Speaker 5: offense has a lot more potential than it's had in

920
00:42:58,040 --> 00:43:01,480
Speaker 5: the past, even the lower level, Like the replacements that

921
00:43:01,520 --> 00:43:04,040
Speaker 5: they've they've put in there, I think will benefit so

922
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:05,960
Speaker 5: much from the environment that they're in now, like a

923
00:43:06,080 --> 00:43:09,480
Speaker 5: Jesse Winker, Like what better opportunity to bounce back A

924
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:12,479
Speaker 5: William Contreras who would have had seven more home runs

925
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:16,279
Speaker 5: last year playing in in you know, American Family Field

926
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:20,560
Speaker 5: and fam you know and FAM. I love Bryce Torrang

927
00:43:20,680 --> 00:43:21,960
Speaker 5: with all my heart, and I think he's gonna be

928
00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:23,799
Speaker 5: one of the best nine hitters in baseball this year.

929
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:26,680
Speaker 5: He's gonna set the table beautifully. And then we talked

930
00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:30,160
Speaker 5: about the rotation. I I really do believe in this rotation.

931
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:32,239
Speaker 5: I don't think it's possible not to believe in it.

932
00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:34,640
Speaker 5: I understand the concerns with the bullpen, but when you

933
00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 5: have one of the best closers in baseball with Devin Williams,

934
00:43:37,200 --> 00:43:39,839
Speaker 5: that always helps. And they've got a lot of guys

935
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:41,320
Speaker 5: that could come up and help, like a lot of

936
00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:43,759
Speaker 5: prospects knocking on the door in triple A, which I

937
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,319
Speaker 5: also think is important as well. I'm gonna go over.

938
00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:49,400
Speaker 5: I actually think that this is a one of the

939
00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:52,399
Speaker 5: more underrated teams in baseball, and I think that they're

940
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:53,920
Speaker 5: they're going to surprise a lot of people.

941
00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:54,680
Speaker 3: I like it.

942
00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:56,160
Speaker 4: Arm how many games do you think they're gonna win?

943
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 3: I think eighty eight eighty eight? Fuck yeah.

944
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:02,360
Speaker 5: I really like the defense too. I think up the

945
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:06,560
Speaker 5: middle with terreng and having a Domis there is really solid.

946
00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:09,680
Speaker 5: I think Arias at third base is great. I just

947
00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 5: I really like this team overall. I think it's really balanced.

948
00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:15,319
Speaker 5: Garrett Mitchell will be out of there. They'll put south

949
00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:18,000
Speaker 5: Freelick in there pretty soon, and I think that's another option.

950
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:19,880
Speaker 5: And if he's not out of there, that means he's

951
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 5: playing well. So you know, They've got just so many options.

952
00:44:22,680 --> 00:44:24,640
Speaker 5: And then I'm still I'm not giving up on BA.

953
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:26,319
Speaker 5: I think Brian Anderson is going to be a nice

954
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:27,560
Speaker 5: little piece for them. I really do.

955
00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:30,880
Speaker 3: Can I say that I really like this catching tandem

956
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:36,240
Speaker 3: with William Contreras and Caratini switch hitter Victor Carrotini. Yeah, okay,

957
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:37,440
Speaker 3: thank you for allowing me.

958
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:38,880
Speaker 4: To say that, But I'm not going to allow you

959
00:44:38,920 --> 00:44:40,800
Speaker 4: to say that. There's no way you like Victor Krottini.

960
00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:43,520
Speaker 3: I like him as a backup catcher. I think that

961
00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:46,920
Speaker 3: Carottini is a good option as a backup catcher. Also,

962
00:44:47,719 --> 00:44:50,719
Speaker 3: the first base tandem of Rowdy Talez and the newly

963
00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:53,880
Speaker 3: signed Luke Void to a major league deal, the vibe

964
00:44:53,960 --> 00:44:57,880
Speaker 3: check with Flying Colors. Yeah, so I'm a fan of that.

965
00:44:58,040 --> 00:45:01,680
Speaker 3: But like serious baseball front I mean, Arm and I

966
00:45:01,760 --> 00:45:03,759
Speaker 3: have talked about Terrang a lot on the call up.

967
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:06,440
Speaker 3: I love Teraran when I saw him in Nashville. I

968
00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:10,120
Speaker 3: think Terrang is gonna be a great second basement for them. Yeah,

969
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:13,320
Speaker 3: Garrett Mitchell, I love Arms. Point there, right, It's like,

970
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:16,880
Speaker 3: if Garrett Mitchell's still in the lineup on May fifteenth,

971
00:45:16,960 --> 00:45:19,839
Speaker 3: it's because he's playing well. If he's not, then it's

972
00:45:19,920 --> 00:45:24,360
Speaker 3: Freelick Weimer could force himself up there as well. I

973
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:29,760
Speaker 3: just think there's enough offense here to supple or compliment

974
00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:33,160
Speaker 3: the great starting rotation, so I go over. I also

975
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:36,160
Speaker 3: think this is like an eighty six eighty seven win

976
00:45:36,280 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 3: team cool.

977
00:45:37,600 --> 00:45:40,480
Speaker 4: So we're all just the difference of like Arms at

978
00:45:40,520 --> 00:45:42,239
Speaker 4: eighty eight, I'm at eighty five, so that means I'm

979
00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:43,680
Speaker 4: on the under, he's on the over. But we're all

980
00:45:43,760 --> 00:45:47,160
Speaker 4: pretty you know, square and thinking. The Brewers are going

981
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:49,759
Speaker 4: to be a good team this year unless they blow

982
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:50,000
Speaker 4: it up.

983
00:45:50,200 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 3: For sure, for sure, all right, Cubs seventy seven and

984
00:45:54,080 --> 00:45:59,320
Speaker 3: a half by bet MGM. I like the under. I

985
00:45:59,520 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 3: think I think that this team has a lot of

986
00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:04,520
Speaker 3: on paper sex appeal. I think that people are really

987
00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:08,360
Speaker 3: excited by the idea of Cody Bellinger and Trey Mancini,

988
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:10,680
Speaker 3: who I do think will bounce back. We've talked about that.

989
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,879
Speaker 3: I'm just worried that like Bellinger is gonna suck again

990
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:20,920
Speaker 3: and this rotation may suck. Although I feel good about Wesnsky,

991
00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:26,279
Speaker 3: I don't know the bullpen lacks any appeal whatsoever. There

992
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:29,600
Speaker 3: are just a lot of areas of the Chicago Cubs

993
00:46:29,680 --> 00:46:32,240
Speaker 3: roster where I'm like, Okay, you are not a finished product,

994
00:46:32,640 --> 00:46:34,439
Speaker 3: and I don't see that as a five hundred team.

995
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:36,640
Speaker 3: I see this is like a seventy three to seventy

996
00:46:36,719 --> 00:46:37,359
Speaker 3: five win team.

997
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:39,839
Speaker 4: I totally agree with you. I'm going with the under two.

998
00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:42,080
Speaker 4: I think this line is just a little bit too inflated.

999
00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:44,960
Speaker 4: It's another one of the most popular over bets on books.

1000
00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:47,520
Speaker 4: It's funny with the Cubs, and why I think they're

1001
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:49,120
Speaker 4: going in the right direction is that, like a lot

1002
00:46:49,160 --> 00:46:51,800
Speaker 4: of their young pieces, right. I love Hayden wesn Netsky,

1003
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:54,359
Speaker 4: I love Javier Asad. You know, I love a lot

1004
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:56,880
Speaker 4: of some of the guys on offense too. It's just

1005
00:46:57,000 --> 00:46:59,759
Speaker 4: these old veterans that are going to be playing a

1006
00:47:00,120 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 4: hunt for them. Like I don't think Cody Bellinger is

1007
00:47:02,280 --> 00:47:04,799
Speaker 4: going to bounce back. I don't like the first base

1008
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:07,080
Speaker 4: tandam I much rather nervous up there. And that's why

1009
00:47:07,080 --> 00:47:08,880
Speaker 4: I think the Cubs are on the right track to

1010
00:47:09,000 --> 00:47:11,520
Speaker 4: competing in twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five if

1011
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:13,560
Speaker 4: they get some big time free agents. I think they

1012
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:17,000
Speaker 4: plugged holes with guys that they could find this year

1013
00:47:17,080 --> 00:47:20,120
Speaker 4: to remain competitive. I just don't see it as the year.

1014
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:22,880
Speaker 4: I think their bullpen is slightly below average, I think

1015
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:24,879
Speaker 4: their rotation is slightly below average, and I think their

1016
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:27,240
Speaker 4: offensive defense is slightly below average.

1017
00:47:27,480 --> 00:47:28,400
Speaker 3: So what do you get with that?

1018
00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:30,640
Speaker 4: I think it's around seventy five wins. I think them

1019
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:33,000
Speaker 4: and the Marlins finished with the same amount of wins,

1020
00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:35,240
Speaker 4: So I'm going under with the Chicago Cubs.

1021
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 5: Who do you fear in this lineup? Who do you

1022
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:41,160
Speaker 5: not want to pitch to in this lineup?

1023
00:47:41,719 --> 00:47:46,520
Speaker 3: Tucker Barnhardt like dance by legitimate.

1024
00:47:46,160 --> 00:47:50,120
Speaker 5: Question, dance by Swanson is the guy that you don't

1025
00:47:50,160 --> 00:47:50,680
Speaker 5: want up.

1026
00:47:50,640 --> 00:47:54,440
Speaker 3: With the big one hundred this spring? Like one hundred?

1027
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think the correct answer is Ian Halp personally,

1028
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:03,759
Speaker 5: but that still is like, Okay, I'm not fearing Anne Hap.

1029
00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:06,400
Speaker 5: I think the Cubs are heading in a great direction

1030
00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:09,839
Speaker 5: to Peter's point, and the system is good, the plan

1031
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:13,359
Speaker 5: is clear, but it's not happening this year, and I'm

1032
00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:15,640
Speaker 5: not I know that we're not even betting like the

1033
00:48:15,719 --> 00:48:18,840
Speaker 5: playoffs happening. I just think this team is gonna stink. Also,

1034
00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:22,399
Speaker 5: if they're smart, which they are, I like what they're

1035
00:48:22,440 --> 00:48:25,879
Speaker 5: doing overall. If Tucker Barnhart's having a decent year, you're

1036
00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 5: trading that dude prospects.

1037
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:29,360
Speaker 3: You might trade Bellinger.

1038
00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, if Bellinger's playing, he's gone. If Mancini's performing, see ya,

1039
00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:38,200
Speaker 5: and Osmer won't perform, So you know, like that, That's

1040
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:39,680
Speaker 5: kind of where I'm at on that. And then the

1041
00:48:39,800 --> 00:48:43,560
Speaker 5: rotation like man Steele like doesn't look like he's fully

1042
00:48:43,640 --> 00:48:45,400
Speaker 5: himself right now. We'll see how he you know, how

1043
00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:47,480
Speaker 5: he continues to work through that. He said he felt

1044
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:50,319
Speaker 5: like he was throwing underwater. I don't like Smiley as

1045
00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:53,960
Speaker 5: an option. Tyne's fine and Stroman's fine. But like the

1046
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:55,920
Speaker 5: one area that I think is underrated is the bullpen.

1047
00:48:56,560 --> 00:48:58,400
Speaker 5: I do like the options they have there. I think

1048
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:00,600
Speaker 5: there's some guys that could surprise esecially if if they

1049
00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:04,680
Speaker 5: get anything out of Merriwether. Brendon Hughes was good last year. Yeah,

1050
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:07,759
Speaker 5: but still I'm going over pretty pretty easily.

1051
00:49:07,800 --> 00:49:09,960
Speaker 4: I think they went seventy three seven you mean under

1052
00:49:10,040 --> 00:49:14,759
Speaker 4: wait under under Rodian slip Fordiance Frodian slip so over

1053
00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:16,280
Speaker 4: all right under.

1054
00:49:17,760 --> 00:49:20,920
Speaker 3: So real quick before we move off of the Cubs.

1055
00:49:21,600 --> 00:49:25,120
Speaker 3: Odds Shark and like Peter, you probably know about know

1056
00:49:25,239 --> 00:49:28,000
Speaker 3: more about Odds Shark than I do. But they put

1057
00:49:28,040 --> 00:49:31,600
Speaker 3: out like best landing spots for Shohotani and the Cubs

1058
00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:32,799
Speaker 3: were like third on that list.

1059
00:49:33,200 --> 00:49:36,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, don't pay attention to them with the Odds Shark. No,

1060
00:49:36,640 --> 00:49:38,880
Speaker 4: I mean I sometimes I think they throw odds in

1061
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:40,520
Speaker 4: a hat and then just like show you the hat

1062
00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:42,960
Speaker 4: and say yeah. I mean, like the numbers were really

1063
00:49:43,040 --> 00:49:44,520
Speaker 4: weird because you can't I don't even know if you

1064
00:49:44,600 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 4: can find those odds on books. I think they literally

1065
00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:47,120
Speaker 4: made them up.

1066
00:49:47,200 --> 00:49:49,960
Speaker 3: We're just probably maybe these are the odds, and that's

1067
00:49:49,960 --> 00:49:52,839
Speaker 3: probably that's probably where I saw like presidential election odds

1068
00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:55,879
Speaker 3: in twenty twenty. No, you can bet on those, you can.

1069
00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:59,160
Speaker 5: Yes, cool twenty sixteen.

1070
00:50:00,080 --> 00:50:04,719
Speaker 3: You did yet host in twenty But I saw Otanian

1071
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:07,280
Speaker 3: Cubs in the same tweet and I got really excited

1072
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:09,600
Speaker 3: because like, they're gonna have a lot of space. That

1073
00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:12,560
Speaker 3: would be sick, It would be awesome. I don't think

1074
00:50:12,600 --> 00:50:14,759
Speaker 3: it's gonna happen, but that would be really cool. And

1075
00:50:14,840 --> 00:50:16,800
Speaker 3: I think that's one of the ones that not on

1076
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:19,480
Speaker 3: the West Coast makes a lot of sense. So all right,

1077
00:50:19,640 --> 00:50:24,200
Speaker 3: Cincinnati sixty five and a half. They're projected win total.

1078
00:50:25,600 --> 00:50:28,960
Speaker 3: We love that front three in the rotation, Lodolo, Green, Ashcraft,

1079
00:50:29,840 --> 00:50:34,960
Speaker 3: We like Steer, We like Benson indeed getting healthy again,

1080
00:50:35,960 --> 00:50:39,319
Speaker 3: we like him. Sixty five and a half.

1081
00:50:41,120 --> 00:50:42,880
Speaker 4: Do you want me to go first? Because I'm pretty

1082
00:50:42,880 --> 00:50:43,759
Speaker 4: confident one side.

1083
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:45,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not confident, you go.

1084
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:47,600
Speaker 4: I'm pretty confident. In the over, I think this team

1085
00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:50,480
Speaker 4: is going to approach seventy wins this year. When you

1086
00:50:50,600 --> 00:50:52,560
Speaker 4: have a front three of Hunter Green, Niclodola, and Graham

1087
00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:54,359
Speaker 4: Ashcraft that's going to play against any team in Major

1088
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:55,000
Speaker 4: League Baseball.

1089
00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:56,760
Speaker 3: It really is. I like the bullpen.

1090
00:50:57,360 --> 00:50:59,080
Speaker 4: I mean when I say like, I like it in

1091
00:50:59,200 --> 00:51:01,080
Speaker 4: relation to a lot of the teams that are in

1092
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:05,560
Speaker 4: this type of bucket, the sixty ish wins projected, you know,

1093
00:51:05,680 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 4: sixty to sixty nine. I like their bullpen better because

1094
00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:10,880
Speaker 4: I think Alexisdias is going to become one of the

1095
00:51:10,920 --> 00:51:13,239
Speaker 4: best closers in the National League. I really think very

1096
00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:17,000
Speaker 4: highly of him. I like India and Tyler Stevenson. If

1097
00:51:17,080 --> 00:51:19,600
Speaker 4: they play full seasons, I think they're both solid. I

1098
00:51:19,719 --> 00:51:22,719
Speaker 4: like Spencer Steeer, I like some of the you know,

1099
00:51:22,880 --> 00:51:27,920
Speaker 4: corresponding pieces. I think this team is better than last year.

1100
00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:29,600
Speaker 4: I think last year there were sixty two and one

1101
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:33,560
Speaker 4: hundred full seasons from those studs at the top. I

1102
00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:36,080
Speaker 4: like this team a lot. I think they'll win sixty

1103
00:51:36,080 --> 00:51:40,520
Speaker 4: eight or sixty nine games. Jack, you want to go, sure,

1104
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 4: I feel really good about the front three. But then

1105
00:51:45,040 --> 00:51:47,799
Speaker 4: I see Connor Roverton and Luis Sasa starting games as

1106
00:51:47,840 --> 00:51:51,920
Speaker 4: the four and five, and that is absolutely brutal.

1107
00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:55,279
Speaker 3: I have no idea what they're going to do. I

1108
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:57,960
Speaker 3: don't know, maybe like seven through nine in the lineup,

1109
00:51:58,160 --> 00:51:59,880
Speaker 3: is the bench gonna be good at all. I'm not

1110
00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:03,399
Speaker 3: that sure. Sixty five and a half is a really

1111
00:52:03,440 --> 00:52:06,240
Speaker 3: hard number because I think that this is a sixty

1112
00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:09,600
Speaker 3: five to sixty six win team, and I need to

1113
00:52:09,840 --> 00:52:12,719
Speaker 3: find wins elsewhere for some teams I think, you know

1114
00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:15,120
Speaker 3: what I mean, Like, I'm trying to make the math

1115
00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:18,480
Speaker 3: work in my head where it's okay. I may think

1116
00:52:18,560 --> 00:52:20,200
Speaker 3: that the Reds are going to go over, but then

1117
00:52:20,239 --> 00:52:22,239
Speaker 3: I also may think that Pittsburgh is gonna go over.

1118
00:52:22,320 --> 00:52:24,839
Speaker 3: And I've got four teams in the Central going over

1119
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 3: their projected win total. Does that make any sense?

1120
00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:30,080
Speaker 4: Yes, But here's how I look at it in my mind,

1121
00:52:30,239 --> 00:52:31,800
Speaker 4: just from like a betting perspective.

1122
00:52:31,880 --> 00:52:33,480
Speaker 5: I was thinking of the same thing, by the way, too,

1123
00:52:33,560 --> 00:52:34,520
Speaker 5: So I'm excited to hear this.

1124
00:52:35,120 --> 00:52:38,040
Speaker 4: If it's Hunter Green versus Adam Wainwright in a game

1125
00:52:38,120 --> 00:52:41,520
Speaker 4: in Cincinnati, do you think the Cardinals are huge favorites

1126
00:52:41,560 --> 00:52:46,719
Speaker 4: in that game. No, Let's say it's Hunter Green versus

1127
00:52:46,719 --> 00:52:50,239
Speaker 4: Marcus Stroman. Let's say it's Hunter Green versus Like. You

1128
00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:52,520
Speaker 4: might be leaning the Reds at least from the starting pitching,

1129
00:52:52,560 --> 00:52:55,040
Speaker 4: which is I think the most important facet to winning

1130
00:52:55,080 --> 00:52:57,800
Speaker 4: ball games is like, do you have the better starting pitcher,

1131
00:52:57,880 --> 00:53:01,480
Speaker 4: then you're more than likely to win that game. I

1132
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:04,120
Speaker 4: think they win a lot of these games where against

1133
00:53:04,200 --> 00:53:06,480
Speaker 4: teams who have, you know, their third starter on the mount.

1134
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:07,960
Speaker 4: And then you have Graham Ashcraft, like he's a guy

1135
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:10,239
Speaker 4: who can win a lot of games. I just think

1136
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:13,560
Speaker 4: looking at the standard of a sixty five and a

1137
00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:16,320
Speaker 4: half win team, I just think it's too low. I

1138
00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:19,080
Speaker 4: see this team winning a lot of games that you

1139
00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:23,319
Speaker 4: might not expect because Lodolo I expect him to be great.

1140
00:53:23,320 --> 00:53:25,239
Speaker 4: I expect Hunter Green to be great. I expect Graham

1141
00:53:25,280 --> 00:53:27,680
Speaker 4: Ashcraft to really improve. And then they have arms in

1142
00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:30,400
Speaker 4: the farm system who they can bring up to spell

1143
00:53:30,520 --> 00:53:33,560
Speaker 4: those Connor Overton starts in those Luis Cessa starts and

1144
00:53:33,640 --> 00:53:35,960
Speaker 4: maybe move one of them to the bullpen, making it better.

1145
00:53:36,040 --> 00:53:38,360
Speaker 4: And I like the offensive upside, and they play in

1146
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:41,160
Speaker 4: a good stadium for offense. Like, I just think this

1147
00:53:41,360 --> 00:53:43,520
Speaker 4: is a better team than sixty five and a half.

1148
00:53:44,120 --> 00:53:46,279
Speaker 4: Can you tell me if that math makes any sense? Like,

1149
00:53:46,600 --> 00:53:48,360
Speaker 4: does it make any sense to have four teams go

1150
00:53:48,520 --> 00:53:52,800
Speaker 4: over in the same division, not in the central I

1151
00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:55,799
Speaker 4: mean I have the first three going under and then

1152
00:53:55,840 --> 00:53:57,040
Speaker 4: the Reds is my only over.

1153
00:53:57,000 --> 00:54:00,440
Speaker 5: So far, But I think you're speaking in general, right,

1154
00:54:00,520 --> 00:54:03,200
Speaker 5: Like I'm speaking in general, like because that may yes,

1155
00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:07,080
Speaker 5: because of the team's not playing as much in the

1156
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 5: indivision anymore.

1157
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:08,600
Speaker 6: Yeah.

1158
00:54:09,200 --> 00:54:11,920
Speaker 5: So, but then I think to make it like scaled,

1159
00:54:12,000 --> 00:54:14,400
Speaker 5: you'd have to have more unders than the other divisions,

1160
00:54:14,640 --> 00:54:16,719
Speaker 5: right like or or just kind of like you go

1161
00:54:16,840 --> 00:54:19,120
Speaker 5: by your gut and even if it doesn't technically like

1162
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:22,920
Speaker 5: even out with the fifteen overs and fifteen unders. Uh,

1163
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:25,000
Speaker 5: at the end of the day, you're just kind of

1164
00:54:25,040 --> 00:54:25,920
Speaker 5: going with your gun.

1165
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:28,879
Speaker 4: Even if it doesn't totally even like news flash, we're

1166
00:54:28,920 --> 00:54:30,120
Speaker 4: not going thirty for thirty.

1167
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:32,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, correct, Which is which is why you got to

1168
00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:35,319
Speaker 5: kind of just approach it holistically, because I was thinking

1169
00:54:35,520 --> 00:54:36,160
Speaker 5: of the same.

1170
00:54:36,040 --> 00:54:41,319
Speaker 3: Thing Jack, Yeah, I guess I go slightly over then,

1171
00:54:41,480 --> 00:54:44,759
Speaker 3: like I think there is sixty six sixty seven win team,

1172
00:54:44,920 --> 00:54:47,319
Speaker 3: So I'll say over there you go. This is hard

1173
00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:47,719
Speaker 3: to make.

1174
00:54:48,239 --> 00:54:52,080
Speaker 5: It's hard for me because I'm very nervous about India

1175
00:54:52,120 --> 00:54:54,560
Speaker 5: and Stevenson saying, hellofeen if those guys are banged up,

1176
00:54:54,600 --> 00:54:55,439
Speaker 5: this lineup.

1177
00:54:55,160 --> 00:54:58,040
Speaker 3: Is really bad, brutal, really bad.

1178
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:02,080
Speaker 5: I see, So what might put them over the top

1179
00:55:02,120 --> 00:55:03,680
Speaker 5: for me? I think what will ultimately is gonna push

1180
00:55:03,719 --> 00:55:06,239
Speaker 5: me towards the over is. I think Graham Ashcraft is

1181
00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:08,800
Speaker 5: gonna all this year. I've watched a few of the

1182
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:13,279
Speaker 5: spring training starts which he looks fantastic. He changed the

1183
00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:16,840
Speaker 5: breaking ball. It's harder, it's more of a sweeper, and

1184
00:55:17,000 --> 00:55:19,040
Speaker 5: it's just the rest of the arsenal's playing off of it.

1185
00:55:19,120 --> 00:55:21,759
Speaker 5: His command has been spectacular. I think he's gonna be

1186
00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:25,640
Speaker 5: like a Legit Legit three over to Incessu's a disaster,

1187
00:55:25,840 --> 00:55:28,400
Speaker 5: and I think Justin Dunn's gonna be hurt for the year,

1188
00:55:28,520 --> 00:55:30,920
Speaker 5: like for most of the year. Luca Weaver's got a

1189
00:55:30,960 --> 00:55:33,440
Speaker 5: forum thing. We'll see if he comes back. They got

1190
00:55:33,520 --> 00:55:35,680
Speaker 5: to piece it together there, but they've got guys like

1191
00:55:35,760 --> 00:55:38,160
Speaker 5: Christian and Karnassi on strand who could come up and

1192
00:55:38,360 --> 00:55:40,800
Speaker 5: hit for them. We'll see what they get from Joey Vado,

1193
00:55:40,840 --> 00:55:42,920
Speaker 5: who's gonna start the year on the IL. I think

1194
00:55:42,960 --> 00:55:46,440
Speaker 5: Will Myers helps a little bit, and then Freedo and

1195
00:55:46,520 --> 00:55:49,920
Speaker 5: Fraley are fine. I love the Benson addition. They won

1196
00:55:50,000 --> 00:55:52,279
Speaker 5: sixty two last year. To Peter's point, they're a better team.

1197
00:55:52,719 --> 00:55:55,440
Speaker 5: I think they find a way to get to get

1198
00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:57,600
Speaker 5: over there. So I think I got the slide over here.

1199
00:55:58,239 --> 00:56:01,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, if they won sixty two last year and Ashcraft,

1200
00:56:01,560 --> 00:56:04,000
Speaker 3: who he thought was good, had an ERA near five,

1201
00:56:04,760 --> 00:56:07,560
Speaker 3: I feel good about him improving and him maybe being

1202
00:56:07,600 --> 00:56:09,040
Speaker 3: a five game swing on his own.

1203
00:56:09,920 --> 00:56:12,080
Speaker 5: And Wadolo started a little slow too, and then really

1204
00:56:12,160 --> 00:56:15,000
Speaker 5: really hit a stride. Yeah, so Green, same with Green.

1205
00:56:15,360 --> 00:56:19,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, Pittsburgh sixty seven and a half. I'm

1206
00:56:19,880 --> 00:56:21,920
Speaker 3: not gonna say that this is an easy over, but

1207
00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:25,600
Speaker 3: I'm convinced in the over here because I think if

1208
00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:29,759
Speaker 3: Vince Velasquez doesn't work, if Brubaker doesn't work, they have

1209
00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:32,200
Speaker 3: ample guys that they can go to in the minor

1210
00:56:32,239 --> 00:56:34,240
Speaker 3: leagues on the mound. And I think that this lineup

1211
00:56:34,360 --> 00:56:38,760
Speaker 3: is not I don't think this lineup is that terrible

1212
00:56:39,000 --> 00:56:39,799
Speaker 3: fail fair.

1213
00:56:41,160 --> 00:56:44,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think this lineup may be arguably worse than

1214
00:56:44,360 --> 00:56:47,680
Speaker 4: the Reds, and I think that their rotation is definitely

1215
00:56:47,719 --> 00:56:51,320
Speaker 4: worse than the Reds. I like Royancy Catrez, I like

1216
00:56:51,480 --> 00:56:55,200
Speaker 4: Louis Ortiz, but after that it gets really, really bare.

1217
00:56:56,160 --> 00:56:59,360
Speaker 4: I'm not really a fan of this bullpen. I have

1218
00:56:59,520 --> 00:57:02,000
Speaker 4: them finished last in this division. I got the Reds

1219
00:57:02,040 --> 00:57:04,759
Speaker 4: winning sixty eight and I got the Pirates winning sixty six,

1220
00:57:05,680 --> 00:57:08,880
Speaker 4: So I'd go over under excuse me, at this current total,

1221
00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:11,319
Speaker 4: because I look at both teams and I go back

1222
00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:13,080
Speaker 4: to back and I say, who would win in a

1223
00:57:13,160 --> 00:57:15,160
Speaker 4: seven game series? And I think the Reds would And

1224
00:57:15,200 --> 00:57:17,880
Speaker 4: I think that kind of carries over and they'll never

1225
00:57:17,920 --> 00:57:20,560
Speaker 4: face each other in a seven game series, but if

1226
00:57:20,600 --> 00:57:24,000
Speaker 4: it were to happen, I just like the Reds team better.

1227
00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:26,160
Speaker 4: And it starts with starting pitching, and I think they

1228
00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:27,640
Speaker 4: kind of blow him out of the water in there.

1229
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:30,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, I look at a team here that could have

1230
00:57:30,480 --> 00:57:33,280
Speaker 5: five guys in the projected opening day lineup with a

1231
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:38,360
Speaker 5: sub one hundred WRC plus Andrew McCutcheon, Carlos Santana, gim Anchoy,

1232
00:57:38,800 --> 00:57:42,720
Speaker 5: Jack Sowinski, Austin Hedges, all those guys, and actually don't

1233
00:57:42,720 --> 00:57:45,760
Speaker 5: hate Sewensky. I think I think I would honestly maybe

1234
00:57:45,800 --> 00:57:47,680
Speaker 5: pick him to have a better flord than all of

1235
00:57:47,720 --> 00:57:51,080
Speaker 5: the aforementioned guys. I think Brian Hayes is gonna have

1236
00:57:51,120 --> 00:57:53,200
Speaker 5: a nice year. I think Brian Reynolds will kind of

1237
00:57:53,240 --> 00:57:54,640
Speaker 5: bounce back a little bit.

1238
00:57:54,720 --> 00:57:55,560
Speaker 3: It could be gone too.

1239
00:57:56,360 --> 00:57:58,080
Speaker 5: He could be gone, and then we'll see what you

1240
00:57:58,120 --> 00:57:59,960
Speaker 5: get from O'Neal Cruz, who's one of the most vault

1241
00:58:00,040 --> 00:58:02,960
Speaker 5: little players in baseball. Jiwan Bay helps me feel a

1242
00:58:03,040 --> 00:58:05,200
Speaker 5: little bit better about, you know, like some of the

1243
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:08,800
Speaker 5: questions because he is a great bench option. Rodolfo Castro

1244
00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:11,080
Speaker 5: looked really good last year. I think he's a good option.

1245
00:58:11,800 --> 00:58:14,080
Speaker 5: But the rotation, it's it's a lot of young guys.

1246
00:58:14,560 --> 00:58:18,400
Speaker 5: And that's assuming they don't start Velasquez for twenty to

1247
00:58:18,480 --> 00:58:21,280
Speaker 5: twenty five starts. That that that Rich Hill, who they're

1248
00:58:21,360 --> 00:58:23,840
Speaker 5: going to let start the entire first half of the

1249
00:58:23,880 --> 00:58:25,760
Speaker 5: season so that they can trade him. They don't want

1250
00:58:25,760 --> 00:58:27,520
Speaker 5: to trade both of those guys. Both of those guys

1251
00:58:27,560 --> 00:58:30,080
Speaker 5: are going to make fifteen starts, ten to fifteen starts.

1252
00:58:30,240 --> 00:58:33,280
Speaker 5: And then Mitch Keller, I can't hear about the tread

1253
00:58:33,360 --> 00:58:34,680
Speaker 5: videos anymore, man, I can't do it.

1254
00:58:34,760 --> 00:58:37,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, with the tread videos are them? Yeah, they are sick.

1255
00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:40,120
Speaker 3: He's throwing one hundred and fifteen miles an hour, so cool.

1256
00:58:40,480 --> 00:58:42,720
Speaker 5: And then and then the bullpen like they ran David

1257
00:58:42,800 --> 00:58:46,800
Speaker 5: Bennar in the ground, and then everybody else stinks besides

1258
00:58:46,880 --> 00:58:52,160
Speaker 5: Gerry Dela Santos king, I'm gonna go under. I think

1259
00:58:52,320 --> 00:58:55,560
Speaker 5: I know this seems a popular over bet. I think

1260
00:58:55,640 --> 00:58:58,680
Speaker 5: this could be the worst offense in baseball. If if

1261
00:58:58,840 --> 00:59:01,480
Speaker 5: things kind of don't go the way they they that

1262
00:59:01,640 --> 00:59:03,440
Speaker 5: people hope with, keep Bryan and O'Neill.

1263
00:59:03,560 --> 00:59:06,440
Speaker 4: Especially another one where I might have gone over at

1264
00:59:06,480 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 4: the original line at sixty four and a half, but

1265
00:59:08,320 --> 00:59:10,200
Speaker 4: it's been steamed up all the way to sixty seven

1266
00:59:10,200 --> 00:59:10,480
Speaker 4: and a half.

1267
00:59:10,520 --> 00:59:12,000
Speaker 3: It's just too many. It's too many.

1268
00:59:12,440 --> 00:59:14,280
Speaker 4: I think I would definitely think sixty six.

1269
00:59:14,680 --> 00:59:16,840
Speaker 3: I definitely would have gone over sixty four and a half.

1270
00:59:17,000 --> 00:59:20,280
Speaker 3: I'm a tentative over at sixty seven and a half. Yeah,

1271
00:59:20,320 --> 00:59:22,040
Speaker 3: you think there were sixty eight win team, which.

1272
00:59:21,920 --> 00:59:22,480
Speaker 2: Is really fun.

1273
00:59:22,960 --> 00:59:27,920
Speaker 5: Tyler Heineman and Austin Hedges brutal, Carlo Santana and G

1274
00:59:28,120 --> 00:59:29,160
Speaker 5: man Choi brutal.

1275
00:59:29,640 --> 00:59:34,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, less brutal, that's brutal. It's not good. Santana walks,

1276
00:59:35,080 --> 00:59:37,680
Speaker 3: he does walk. Gbad Choi when he faces Garrett Cole

1277
00:59:37,720 --> 00:59:40,680
Speaker 3: in that in that areas where it be exclusively faced

1278
00:59:40,720 --> 00:59:44,200
Speaker 3: Garrett and man Choi has an awesome MLB zen commercial

1279
00:59:44,240 --> 00:59:46,200
Speaker 3: where he's like going into the splits and picking the

1280
00:59:46,240 --> 00:59:49,840
Speaker 3: ball out of the dirt. It's hot. That's cool, Yeah, nice,

1281
00:59:50,160 --> 00:59:53,720
Speaker 3: all right, And I'm winning sixty eight games NL West

1282
00:59:54,240 --> 00:59:57,000
Speaker 3: the Dodgers. Ninety six and a half is their projected

1283
00:59:57,040 --> 01:00:00,520
Speaker 3: wind total feels a lot lower than recent Dodge years.

1284
01:00:01,760 --> 01:00:04,920
Speaker 3: They are dealing with guys that have left in free agency.

1285
01:00:05,040 --> 01:00:07,200
Speaker 3: They are dealing with guys that are on the mend

1286
01:00:07,400 --> 01:00:11,800
Speaker 3: right now. This is a tough one for me at

1287
01:00:11,880 --> 01:00:13,720
Speaker 3: ninety six and a half. And I know that. You

1288
01:00:13,800 --> 01:00:15,040
Speaker 3: know a lot of people would say, oh, come on,

1289
01:00:15,120 --> 01:00:16,760
Speaker 3: it's the Dodgers. You've got to go over like they're

1290
01:00:16,760 --> 01:00:19,200
Speaker 3: on a hundred win team. Again, I said in December

1291
01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:21,000
Speaker 3: or January that I don't think this team is an

1292
01:00:21,000 --> 01:00:24,120
Speaker 3: one hundred win team. So now I have to decide.

1293
01:00:24,160 --> 01:00:25,760
Speaker 3: Are they a ninety eight win team? Are they a

1294
01:00:25,880 --> 01:00:28,120
Speaker 3: ninety six win team? Are they a ninety five win team?

1295
01:00:30,720 --> 01:00:32,520
Speaker 3: Give me some more time. Who wants to go first?

1296
01:00:33,040 --> 01:00:33,600
Speaker 3: I'll go first.

1297
01:00:33,760 --> 01:00:35,760
Speaker 4: I think they win ninety eight games. I would take

1298
01:00:35,800 --> 01:00:37,800
Speaker 4: the over. I still think this team is very good

1299
01:00:38,400 --> 01:00:40,600
Speaker 4: because Max Munsey was not good in the first half.

1300
01:00:40,640 --> 01:00:42,880
Speaker 4: I mean he was recovering from that torn aca or

1301
01:00:43,000 --> 01:00:46,760
Speaker 4: excuse me, torn ucl in his elbow, and he just

1302
01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:48,840
Speaker 4: started off really slow, but then turned it on in

1303
01:00:48,920 --> 01:00:52,560
Speaker 4: the second half. You still have Freddie fucking Freeman. You

1304
01:00:52,720 --> 01:00:57,240
Speaker 4: still have Mookie Betts, you still have Will Smith. You

1305
01:00:57,360 --> 01:00:59,360
Speaker 4: look at the rotation, you're like, oh, there are some

1306
01:00:59,560 --> 01:01:02,560
Speaker 4: question But at the same time, look what the Dodgers

1307
01:01:02,600 --> 01:01:04,240
Speaker 4: did to Tyler Anderson. Look at what they did to

1308
01:01:04,280 --> 01:01:06,280
Speaker 4: Andrew Heaney. Can we imagine what they're gonna do to

1309
01:01:06,360 --> 01:01:08,880
Speaker 4: know with Cindegard. You look at Julio Arias at the top,

1310
01:01:08,960 --> 01:01:10,760
Speaker 4: You look at Clayton Kershaw at the top, You look

1311
01:01:10,760 --> 01:01:13,040
Speaker 4: at Dustin May, and you know, if any of those

1312
01:01:13,080 --> 01:01:15,560
Speaker 4: guys get injured, you know, there's still Tony Gonsol in there.

1313
01:01:15,680 --> 01:01:18,320
Speaker 4: There's Bobby Miller coming up, There's Gavin Stone coming up.

1314
01:01:18,720 --> 01:01:21,360
Speaker 4: They have an exciting young rookie and Miguel Vargas, who's

1315
01:01:21,360 --> 01:01:23,280
Speaker 4: one of the favorites to win National League Rookie of

1316
01:01:23,280 --> 01:01:27,240
Speaker 4: the Year. They still have a good team, and they

1317
01:01:27,560 --> 01:01:30,160
Speaker 4: just win games in the regular season when you don't

1318
01:01:30,200 --> 01:01:32,240
Speaker 4: expect them to. I mean, we have expected them to,

1319
01:01:32,680 --> 01:01:34,120
Speaker 4: but now I feel like this is gonna be another

1320
01:01:34,120 --> 01:01:38,320
Speaker 4: one of those years where the vast majority of baseball

1321
01:01:38,320 --> 01:01:39,960
Speaker 4: fans are down on them because they don't see one

1322
01:01:40,000 --> 01:01:42,720
Speaker 4: hundred and eleven win team like they're used to. But

1323
01:01:42,800 --> 01:01:45,160
Speaker 4: I still think this team is close to one hundred wins.

1324
01:01:45,440 --> 01:01:46,400
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go over.

1325
01:01:48,280 --> 01:01:48,440
Speaker 3: Jack.

1326
01:01:48,480 --> 01:01:51,520
Speaker 5: You need more time, a little bit more time, you go,

1327
01:01:52,880 --> 01:01:55,440
Speaker 5: so I'll kind of walk you through my thought process here.

1328
01:01:57,080 --> 01:02:00,480
Speaker 5: I think the lineup's still really solid. Then is a

1329
01:02:00,520 --> 01:02:04,280
Speaker 5: big X factor here because basically Chris Taylor could slot

1330
01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:08,160
Speaker 5: in for any of these guys, Miguel Rojas, Miguel Vargas,

1331
01:02:08,280 --> 01:02:10,760
Speaker 5: David Peralta, even Trace Thompson, Like, if any of those

1332
01:02:10,800 --> 01:02:14,360
Speaker 5: guys struggle, that's your insurance policy. But your insurance policy

1333
01:02:14,680 --> 01:02:17,680
Speaker 5: just came off the worst year of his career. I

1334
01:02:17,800 --> 01:02:20,760
Speaker 5: think he can bounce back, but that is that is concerning.

1335
01:02:21,360 --> 01:02:23,520
Speaker 5: I do like James Outman. I think that helps. We'll

1336
01:02:23,520 --> 01:02:26,560
Speaker 5: see what they get from Hayward. But I don't know

1337
01:02:26,600 --> 01:02:28,960
Speaker 5: how I feel about the rotation. Ryan Pepiot as a

1338
01:02:29,000 --> 01:02:32,360
Speaker 5: starter is is iffy. I don't know if I'm totally

1339
01:02:32,440 --> 01:02:36,080
Speaker 5: in on Noah Cinderguard, like just having this this magic,

1340
01:02:36,320 --> 01:02:39,760
Speaker 5: you know, revelation as so many pitchers have with the Dodgers.

1341
01:02:39,800 --> 01:02:41,680
Speaker 5: I feel like most of those guys that have come

1342
01:02:41,720 --> 01:02:43,920
Speaker 5: over have had better stuff at this point than what

1343
01:02:44,040 --> 01:02:46,520
Speaker 5: Cinderguard has. And then we'll see what they get from Kershaw.

1344
01:02:46,600 --> 01:02:48,320
Speaker 5: But you know, the guy just seems to be good

1345
01:02:48,360 --> 01:02:51,240
Speaker 5: for one twenty innings or maybe even less. We'll see

1346
01:02:51,240 --> 01:02:54,720
Speaker 5: how he does this year. I'm gonna go under. I

1347
01:02:54,840 --> 01:02:56,400
Speaker 5: know that a lot of people might be on that under.

1348
01:02:56,600 --> 01:03:00,320
Speaker 5: I just especially with Rojas playing every day, it's shortstop.

1349
01:03:01,480 --> 01:03:04,000
Speaker 5: I don't love Miguel Rojas at this stage of his career.

1350
01:03:04,040 --> 01:03:05,320
Speaker 5: I mean, you can pick it a little bit, but

1351
01:03:05,360 --> 01:03:07,880
Speaker 5: they're not gonna get a ton of production from that position.

1352
01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:10,080
Speaker 5: And this is already a spot where you look at

1353
01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:13,600
Speaker 5: corner outfield. Not as good offensively. I think Trey Thompson

1354
01:03:13,760 --> 01:03:16,640
Speaker 5: Trace Thompson caught wetning in a bottle last year. I

1355
01:03:16,760 --> 01:03:20,360
Speaker 5: don't think he's gonna be as good this year. We'll see,

1356
01:03:20,480 --> 01:03:21,439
Speaker 5: but I'm gonna go under.

1357
01:03:22,920 --> 01:03:24,920
Speaker 4: I just don't think you make money doubting the Daughters

1358
01:03:24,960 --> 01:03:25,840
Speaker 4: in the regular season.

1359
01:03:25,960 --> 01:03:27,360
Speaker 3: And maybe this is a different year.

1360
01:03:27,640 --> 01:03:31,200
Speaker 4: And the only thing I would say to the maybe

1361
01:03:31,280 --> 01:03:34,160
Speaker 4: some guys had better stuff than Noahs Cinderguard when they

1362
01:03:34,200 --> 01:03:37,040
Speaker 4: came over, Like I don't think Tyler Anderson did, like

1363
01:03:37,120 --> 01:03:38,800
Speaker 4: he was almost on his way out. It felt like

1364
01:03:38,840 --> 01:03:41,920
Speaker 4: when he was with Pittsburgh. And I still think Noahs

1365
01:03:41,920 --> 01:03:45,320
Speaker 4: Sinderguard has something in him. And I'm not saying a

1366
01:03:45,400 --> 01:03:48,520
Speaker 4: magical season like Tyler Anderson had what at two five seven,

1367
01:03:48,760 --> 01:03:52,360
Speaker 4: I'm not predicting that, But I think I can look

1368
01:03:52,360 --> 01:03:55,479
Speaker 4: at Noa's sinderguard and say I could figure three five

1369
01:03:55,760 --> 01:03:58,160
Speaker 4: a three six era for him, and if he throws

1370
01:03:58,200 --> 01:03:59,840
Speaker 4: one hundred and thirty to one hundred and forty innings

1371
01:03:59,880 --> 01:04:02,120
Speaker 4: with the rest of that rotation and with that depth,

1372
01:04:02,480 --> 01:04:05,960
Speaker 4: and with the second best bullpen and all of baseball

1373
01:04:06,040 --> 01:04:08,280
Speaker 4: to come in after him to lock down games late,

1374
01:04:08,680 --> 01:04:10,640
Speaker 4: I don't think they have to score as many runs

1375
01:04:10,760 --> 01:04:13,440
Speaker 4: to still be competitive. I just don't see such a

1376
01:04:13,520 --> 01:04:16,200
Speaker 4: massive drop off because they're gonna find guys like they

1377
01:04:16,320 --> 01:04:19,080
Speaker 4: found a James outman, and they just find these guys

1378
01:04:19,160 --> 01:04:22,000
Speaker 4: to slot in and they always just end up playing well.

1379
01:04:22,320 --> 01:04:25,120
Speaker 4: It just almost feels like I understand, Yeah, they're not.

1380
01:04:25,120 --> 01:04:26,080
Speaker 3: Gonna win the World Series.

1381
01:04:26,080 --> 01:04:27,400
Speaker 4: If you've been on them to not win, I think

1382
01:04:27,480 --> 01:04:29,080
Speaker 4: that's a good bet, maybe not even to make far

1383
01:04:29,080 --> 01:04:31,440
Speaker 4: in the playoffs. But the Dodters are just a regular

1384
01:04:31,720 --> 01:04:34,480
Speaker 4: season juggernaut. They do it year in and year out.

1385
01:04:34,840 --> 01:04:37,000
Speaker 4: I just don't think you make money fading the Dodgers

1386
01:04:37,080 --> 01:04:38,640
Speaker 4: in the regular season in particular.

1387
01:04:39,520 --> 01:04:41,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, they win ninety three games, you know you win,

1388
01:04:42,800 --> 01:04:45,080
Speaker 5: And I think if if you know, if it was

1389
01:04:45,120 --> 01:04:47,160
Speaker 5: that easy, right, it'd be an ATM machine. Play bet

1390
01:04:47,280 --> 01:04:49,360
Speaker 5: bet Dodgers over every year and its.

1391
01:04:49,360 --> 01:04:55,880
Speaker 4: Billionairess last year. Sorry, I think the last four or

1392
01:04:55,880 --> 01:04:56,960
Speaker 4: five years they've hit there.

1393
01:04:56,840 --> 01:04:59,480
Speaker 5: Over sounds like Vegas needs to adjust.

1394
01:05:00,400 --> 01:05:02,360
Speaker 4: And it's funny they still put him at ninety six

1395
01:05:02,360 --> 01:05:03,840
Speaker 4: and a half when last year they were ninety seven

1396
01:05:03,840 --> 01:05:04,320
Speaker 4: and a half with.

1397
01:05:04,400 --> 01:05:05,040
Speaker 3: A better roster.

1398
01:05:07,080 --> 01:05:14,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, I just David Peerolt to Miguel Rojas, Trace Thompson. Yeah,

1399
01:05:14,520 --> 01:05:17,560
Speaker 5: I feel like ninety two in ninety one, ninety two,

1400
01:05:17,800 --> 01:05:18,760
Speaker 5: which is a great season.

1401
01:05:19,360 --> 01:05:21,120
Speaker 3: It is a great season, but it's not a Dodger

1402
01:05:21,240 --> 01:05:25,800
Speaker 3: great season. My worry is like pitching, right because obviously

1403
01:05:25,840 --> 01:05:28,240
Speaker 3: with Buehler out, you got to figure it out elsewhere.

1404
01:05:28,560 --> 01:05:32,160
Speaker 3: I feel good about Arius, I feel good about Dustin May,

1405
01:05:32,240 --> 01:05:33,880
Speaker 3: but he's coming off of TJ. Is he going to

1406
01:05:33,920 --> 01:05:36,240
Speaker 3: throw the entire year? Kershaw is so touch and go

1407
01:05:36,440 --> 01:05:37,920
Speaker 3: the last couple of years. Is he going to throw

1408
01:05:37,960 --> 01:05:40,680
Speaker 3: the entire year? So I think I'm gonna side with

1409
01:05:40,880 --> 01:05:44,560
Speaker 3: Peter based on his point on Miller and Stone.

1410
01:05:44,200 --> 01:05:48,040
Speaker 6: And go over because I think also Gonsolin, Gonsoln Yeah,

1411
01:05:48,160 --> 01:05:51,120
Speaker 6: but like I think the depth, I think six and

1412
01:05:51,320 --> 01:05:54,000
Speaker 6: seven could almost be better than four and five in

1413
01:05:54,120 --> 01:05:55,160
Speaker 6: Sindergarten Pepio.

1414
01:05:55,240 --> 01:05:57,440
Speaker 3: I think that Miller and Stone could be better. So,

1415
01:05:58,120 --> 01:06:01,720
Speaker 3: say somebody goes down, which like fortunately I am expecting

1416
01:06:01,840 --> 01:06:04,960
Speaker 3: from this group of guys because they are so finicky,

1417
01:06:05,600 --> 01:06:08,120
Speaker 3: I think that you can immediately plug in Gavin Stone

1418
01:06:08,400 --> 01:06:10,120
Speaker 3: and it's not like you're going to get a high twos,

1419
01:06:10,520 --> 01:06:12,840
Speaker 3: but you may get a sub four era, which is

1420
01:06:12,920 --> 01:06:17,320
Speaker 3: really cool. Miller, I know, is dealing with a little something. Yeah,

1421
01:06:17,480 --> 01:06:20,200
Speaker 3: So even if he's back and ready to go at

1422
01:06:20,240 --> 01:06:22,720
Speaker 3: the All Star break and they need him in August,

1423
01:06:22,840 --> 01:06:25,080
Speaker 3: I feel decent about that. It's not like they're worried

1424
01:06:25,120 --> 01:06:28,080
Speaker 3: about his clock anymore because he spent the entirety last

1425
01:06:28,120 --> 01:06:31,120
Speaker 3: year in triple So I think I will go over

1426
01:06:31,280 --> 01:06:33,320
Speaker 3: because I trust their backup plans.

1427
01:06:33,760 --> 01:06:36,120
Speaker 4: But some of their plan as worry me a little bit,

1428
01:06:36,800 --> 01:06:39,560
Speaker 4: and that's understandable. I just here's the way I look

1429
01:06:39,600 --> 01:06:43,160
Speaker 4: at it. Can I get five innings too earned from

1430
01:06:43,240 --> 01:06:45,800
Speaker 4: most of these starters because they're not really going to

1431
01:06:45,840 --> 01:06:48,400
Speaker 4: give up anything in the bullpen, and even their injuries

1432
01:06:48,520 --> 01:06:51,080
Speaker 4: to the bullpen are as good as some other team's

1433
01:06:51,640 --> 01:06:54,640
Speaker 4: entire bullpens who will come back this year and they're

1434
01:06:54,680 --> 01:06:56,680
Speaker 4: not going to score eight runs like they normally do,

1435
01:06:56,760 --> 01:06:58,960
Speaker 4: but how about five, Like I think that's very likely.

1436
01:06:59,160 --> 01:07:00,920
Speaker 4: I think they win a lot of low scoring games

1437
01:07:00,960 --> 01:07:04,400
Speaker 4: with this bullpen, you know, coming in and shutting the door.

1438
01:07:04,520 --> 01:07:07,720
Speaker 4: And I think the world of this bullpen, and I

1439
01:07:07,800 --> 01:07:10,960
Speaker 4: think that's enough in the regular season to you know,

1440
01:07:11,200 --> 01:07:14,600
Speaker 4: overtake some teams with not even close to the amount

1441
01:07:14,600 --> 01:07:16,680
Speaker 4: of depth, like we're about to talk about the Padres.

1442
01:07:16,720 --> 01:07:20,040
Speaker 4: They're almost a complete opposite right superstars out at the top,

1443
01:07:20,080 --> 01:07:22,920
Speaker 4: but the depth is really concerning with injuries to their bullpen.

1444
01:07:23,400 --> 01:07:25,120
Speaker 4: I just think the Dodgers win this division again. And

1445
01:07:25,160 --> 01:07:27,160
Speaker 4: I think in a year where people are doubting, the

1446
01:07:27,200 --> 01:07:29,440
Speaker 4: Dodgers almost puts a chip on their shoulder and they

1447
01:07:29,520 --> 01:07:31,480
Speaker 4: come out and just dominate once again. I just think

1448
01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:34,800
Speaker 4: when you're looking at a regular season, if you can

1449
01:07:34,880 --> 01:07:37,840
Speaker 4: find a win total that's the safest, it's the Dodgers.

1450
01:07:37,920 --> 01:07:39,520
Speaker 4: And I know they don't have the team that they

1451
01:07:39,640 --> 01:07:40,760
Speaker 4: used to have, but the team they used to have

1452
01:07:40,880 --> 01:07:43,840
Speaker 4: won one hundred and eleven games. They need ninety seven

1453
01:07:44,000 --> 01:07:46,200
Speaker 4: and I think that's still within reach.

1454
01:07:46,360 --> 01:07:47,240
Speaker 3: I'm sticking.

1455
01:07:47,320 --> 01:07:50,840
Speaker 5: Remember they also so they swap Trey Turner for Miguel Rojas,

1456
01:07:51,080 --> 01:07:52,640
Speaker 5: no doubt, no doubt.

1457
01:07:54,560 --> 01:07:57,760
Speaker 3: Did the Padres clear ninety three and a half? Peter Ooh,

1458
01:07:58,440 --> 01:07:59,000
Speaker 3: I don't think so.

1459
01:07:59,360 --> 01:08:00,880
Speaker 4: I think there are no y one to ninety two

1460
01:08:00,880 --> 01:08:03,760
Speaker 4: win team. I think they're kind of similar to the Phillies,

1461
01:08:04,080 --> 01:08:05,840
Speaker 4: where you do not want to face this team in

1462
01:08:05,840 --> 01:08:07,640
Speaker 4: the playoffs when you have you Darvish, Blake Snell and

1463
01:08:07,720 --> 01:08:10,440
Speaker 4: Joe Musgrove. But we've already seen a couple of nagging

1464
01:08:10,520 --> 01:08:13,080
Speaker 4: things happen to those three, and then you look at

1465
01:08:13,080 --> 01:08:14,880
Speaker 4: the back half of the rotation. I'm just not a

1466
01:08:14,920 --> 01:08:17,160
Speaker 4: big fan of Michael Waka. I'm glad they got him,

1467
01:08:17,200 --> 01:08:19,040
Speaker 4: but at the same time, I don't have a lot

1468
01:08:19,080 --> 01:08:20,720
Speaker 4: of faith in him over one hundred and sixty two

1469
01:08:20,720 --> 01:08:23,880
Speaker 4: game schedule. I think Nick Martinez could be fine the rotation,

1470
01:08:24,000 --> 01:08:26,479
Speaker 4: but you take him out and there's already injuries in

1471
01:08:26,600 --> 01:08:30,200
Speaker 4: that Padres pen I don't really like there six through

1472
01:08:30,360 --> 01:08:32,479
Speaker 4: nine in the lineup, but I do think that they're

1473
01:08:32,479 --> 01:08:36,000
Speaker 4: gonna play pretty solid defense. The top guys are gonna

1474
01:08:36,160 --> 01:08:38,760
Speaker 4: mash I expect big years from one Soto. I think

1475
01:08:38,800 --> 01:08:41,280
Speaker 4: wan Sota could win the MVP. I think they're gonna

1476
01:08:41,280 --> 01:08:43,240
Speaker 4: be a very good team. I think they finish in second.

1477
01:08:43,560 --> 01:08:45,080
Speaker 4: But at ninety three and a half, I have them

1478
01:08:45,120 --> 01:08:47,280
Speaker 4: winning ninety two. So I'm gonna go under.

1479
01:08:47,160 --> 01:08:51,720
Speaker 3: With the Padres Jeah, I think ninety wins, so I

1480
01:08:51,840 --> 01:08:54,320
Speaker 3: go under as well. I think that, yes, the NL

1481
01:08:54,400 --> 01:08:56,439
Speaker 3: West has two ninety win teams, but I think that

1482
01:08:56,920 --> 01:08:59,439
Speaker 3: we're looking at the Dodgers at ninety seven and the

1483
01:08:59,479 --> 01:09:03,640
Speaker 3: Padres at ninety. I love the lineup obviously. If I

1484
01:09:04,240 --> 01:09:06,559
Speaker 3: if I looked at you with a straight face and said, yeah,

1485
01:09:06,600 --> 01:09:09,040
Speaker 3: I'm not sure about this lineup, I mean, you could

1486
01:09:09,160 --> 01:09:10,960
Speaker 3: just tell me that I don't know ball because this

1487
01:09:11,120 --> 01:09:15,840
Speaker 3: lineup is so stupidly awesome. Man, and anybody that looks

1488
01:09:15,880 --> 01:09:18,040
Speaker 3: at that lineup card should know that they're going to

1489
01:09:18,080 --> 01:09:21,320
Speaker 3: tune into a fucking show that night. The problem for

1490
01:09:21,479 --> 01:09:25,800
Speaker 3: me is once you get past Muskrove and darbish like

1491
01:09:26,000 --> 01:09:28,200
Speaker 3: Snell and Musgrove is obviously going to start the year

1492
01:09:28,240 --> 01:09:31,840
Speaker 3: on the il, it seems so Snell is so hit

1493
01:09:31,960 --> 01:09:33,920
Speaker 3: or miss at points, like there are starts where he

1494
01:09:34,000 --> 01:09:36,000
Speaker 3: goes out there and can't throw a strike and he's

1495
01:09:36,080 --> 01:09:37,360
Speaker 3: out in the middle of the second inning.

1496
01:09:37,439 --> 01:09:39,360
Speaker 4: Him and you, darbish are so similar. It's like when

1497
01:09:39,360 --> 01:09:42,600
Speaker 4: they're on and uh Snell's landing his slider and his

1498
01:09:42,720 --> 01:09:45,040
Speaker 4: curveball for strikes, it looks like the best lefty.

1499
01:09:44,840 --> 01:09:47,439
Speaker 3: And base no hitter type shit, would you darbish? Is

1500
01:09:47,479 --> 01:09:49,000
Speaker 3: the same thing? Like I was talking with arm in

1501
01:09:49,040 --> 01:09:49,240
Speaker 3: the car.

1502
01:09:49,360 --> 01:09:52,920
Speaker 4: We were ubering over to the Lone Depot Park and

1503
01:09:52,960 --> 01:09:55,679
Speaker 4: we're just talking about the Padres rotation, which is hilarious

1504
01:09:55,720 --> 01:09:57,640
Speaker 4: that are, but I just like, would we even ever

1505
01:09:57,760 --> 01:09:59,479
Speaker 4: off time where we could just sit it with some AirPods?

1506
01:09:59,479 --> 01:10:02,559
Speaker 4: We're still talking about the poets rotation, You, darvish could

1507
01:10:02,560 --> 01:10:04,040
Speaker 4: look like the best picture on planet Earth or the

1508
01:10:04,120 --> 01:10:06,320
Speaker 4: literal worst picture on planet Earth. So could Blake Stell

1509
01:10:06,360 --> 01:10:08,960
Speaker 4: and Joe Muscove is that glue, but he is starting

1510
01:10:09,000 --> 01:10:12,880
Speaker 4: the season on the al There's just it's like they're

1511
01:10:13,000 --> 01:10:15,320
Speaker 4: so star studded and that can get you buying in.

1512
01:10:15,520 --> 01:10:17,439
Speaker 4: And then it's like, look at Team USA, they lost

1513
01:10:17,479 --> 01:10:19,400
Speaker 4: the Team Japan. It's baseball. Any team could win on

1514
01:10:19,439 --> 01:10:22,320
Speaker 4: any given day. And if Fernando Tatis Junior doesn't come

1515
01:10:22,360 --> 01:10:24,479
Speaker 4: back and hits the ground running, you might have problems.

1516
01:10:24,560 --> 01:10:26,880
Speaker 4: Let's say Machado has a slightly worse year, which is

1517
01:10:27,520 --> 01:10:30,960
Speaker 4: entirely possible. Xander Bogart's the power is diminishing a little bit.

1518
01:10:31,000 --> 01:10:33,080
Speaker 4: I still think he's gonna hit, but with no shift,

1519
01:10:33,120 --> 01:10:35,839
Speaker 4: how is he gonna play at shortstop? There are some questions,

1520
01:10:36,479 --> 01:10:38,920
Speaker 4: but they're gonna be one of the most entertaining teams

1521
01:10:38,960 --> 01:10:41,200
Speaker 4: in baseball. I still think they're a ninety plus win team.

1522
01:10:41,240 --> 01:10:43,479
Speaker 4: But that's why I'm at I think.

1523
01:10:43,400 --> 01:10:47,240
Speaker 3: They're a Formula one car, and Formula one cars go

1524
01:10:47,400 --> 01:10:51,280
Speaker 3: as fast as humanly possible, and they are as beautiful

1525
01:10:51,320 --> 01:10:54,840
Speaker 3: to watch drive as humanly possible. But when they hit

1526
01:10:54,880 --> 01:10:57,360
Speaker 3: a pebble, the car made breakdown, you know what I mean. Like,

1527
01:10:57,520 --> 01:11:00,200
Speaker 3: I think that they are that type of team where

1528
01:11:00,320 --> 01:11:04,439
Speaker 3: things the good is gonna look fucking hot. It's gonna

1529
01:11:04,479 --> 01:11:05,479
Speaker 3: look so good.

1530
01:11:05,720 --> 01:11:07,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're gonna go on stretches where they win like

1531
01:11:07,640 --> 01:11:09,479
Speaker 4: ten to eleven in a row, and you're gonna think yourself,

1532
01:11:09,760 --> 01:11:11,200
Speaker 4: Holy Moldy.

1533
01:11:10,920 --> 01:11:13,960
Speaker 3: This team is amazing. But then the bad may suck.

1534
01:11:14,280 --> 01:11:15,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, they could lose ten in a row and you'll

1535
01:11:15,760 --> 01:11:17,840
Speaker 4: be like, we thought the Padres were a good team. Like,

1536
01:11:18,000 --> 01:11:20,799
Speaker 4: there's just so much variance, but it could be awesome

1537
01:11:20,960 --> 01:11:24,639
Speaker 4: or dreadful or solid. I have no idea really tough

1538
01:11:24,680 --> 01:11:25,320
Speaker 4: team to look at.

1539
01:11:25,560 --> 01:11:28,559
Speaker 3: I'd rather drive my Volkswagen Jetta than a sports car

1540
01:11:28,680 --> 01:11:32,040
Speaker 3: for reliability purposes. Yeah, that's just.

1541
01:11:33,600 --> 01:11:39,040
Speaker 5: Why I Robert Suarez his injury actually really matters here.

1542
01:11:39,040 --> 01:11:41,559
Speaker 5: We're talking about like relievers and like how much Edwin

1543
01:11:41,600 --> 01:11:44,800
Speaker 5: Diaz mattered to the mad I think Robert Swirez's injury

1544
01:11:44,840 --> 01:11:49,080
Speaker 5: is very important here to this Padres team. Man, this

1545
01:11:49,240 --> 01:11:51,439
Speaker 5: is a very very tough one. What I don't like

1546
01:11:51,479 --> 01:11:54,760
Speaker 5: about the rotation, it's this team as zero prospects who

1547
01:11:54,760 --> 01:11:56,680
Speaker 5: are gonna probably come up and be able to to

1548
01:11:57,000 --> 01:11:59,920
Speaker 5: plug and play if needed. Like, there's not a lot

1549
01:12:00,000 --> 01:12:01,920
Speaker 5: out of alternative options.

1550
01:12:02,479 --> 01:12:02,599
Speaker 3: Uh.

1551
01:12:02,960 --> 01:12:04,880
Speaker 5: Cole Hamils, is he gonna come in and make an

1552
01:12:04,880 --> 01:12:08,439
Speaker 5: impact to Yo Tehran? I just I just don't see

1553
01:12:08,640 --> 01:12:12,160
Speaker 5: if somebody goes down. We have number one regression candidate

1554
01:12:12,240 --> 01:12:15,479
Speaker 5: and Michael Waka. Uh you know, we talk about the

1555
01:12:15,680 --> 01:12:17,599
Speaker 5: the you know, risk of some of these other guys.

1556
01:12:17,720 --> 01:12:19,840
Speaker 5: It's definitely true. What makes me want to go over

1557
01:12:20,000 --> 01:12:22,040
Speaker 5: is that I think Tatis is gonna go nuclear this year.

1558
01:12:22,080 --> 01:12:22,720
Speaker 3: I really do.

1559
01:12:23,320 --> 01:12:26,519
Speaker 5: But with that same notion, like, I just don't think

1560
01:12:26,560 --> 01:12:28,840
Speaker 5: it's enough with some of the pitching questions. I'm gonna

1561
01:12:28,880 --> 01:12:30,920
Speaker 5: go slide under. But I think they win ninety games.

1562
01:12:32,760 --> 01:12:38,599
Speaker 3: Yay, so we all have under huh San Francisco eighty

1563
01:12:38,640 --> 01:12:42,760
Speaker 3: and a half. I fly under this. This roster's not good.

1564
01:12:43,560 --> 01:12:45,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're not gonna hit. They're not gonna hit at all.

1565
01:12:46,080 --> 01:12:48,000
Speaker 4: Like you look at their roster at top to bottom,

1566
01:12:48,040 --> 01:12:51,720
Speaker 4: and the most intimidating presence in their lineup it's Jock Peterson, right,

1567
01:12:52,840 --> 01:12:57,560
Speaker 4: maybe Mitch Haniger, Michael Confordo who didn't even play last year. Like,

1568
01:12:58,160 --> 01:12:59,960
Speaker 4: who are the bats in the lineup that are gonna

1569
01:13:00,040 --> 01:13:01,479
Speaker 4: drive in runs in a pitcher's park.

1570
01:13:02,600 --> 01:13:04,320
Speaker 3: It's it's not good.

1571
01:13:04,400 --> 01:13:06,559
Speaker 4: And it's not like the defense is that great either.

1572
01:13:06,720 --> 01:13:08,720
Speaker 4: And they're a team that is one of the most

1573
01:13:08,760 --> 01:13:12,400
Speaker 4: shift dependent teams. I look at the numbers they utilize

1574
01:13:12,439 --> 01:13:15,519
Speaker 4: the shift, I think second most in Major League Baseball.

1575
01:13:15,800 --> 01:13:18,360
Speaker 4: And they are a team filled with older guys, and

1576
01:13:18,520 --> 01:13:21,880
Speaker 4: I don't expect the defense to carry over the pitching.

1577
01:13:21,960 --> 01:13:24,760
Speaker 4: I do like, which is why I do kind of

1578
01:13:24,880 --> 01:13:27,800
Speaker 4: think this is a seventy nine to eighty win team.

1579
01:13:27,840 --> 01:13:30,080
Speaker 4: I go under two, but it's slight because I think

1580
01:13:30,120 --> 01:13:31,800
Speaker 4: the pitching can win them some ball games, because I

1581
01:13:31,840 --> 01:13:36,120
Speaker 4: do like the bullpen. Two, It's just they're the way

1582
01:13:36,240 --> 01:13:39,280
Speaker 4: they win is three to two, and like that's not

1583
01:13:39,400 --> 01:13:42,920
Speaker 4: going to happen that often. I personally think this might

1584
01:13:43,000 --> 01:13:46,120
Speaker 4: be the most boring team in baseball. And that doesn't

1585
01:13:46,120 --> 01:13:49,080
Speaker 4: mean bad, that just means like, I mean, what do

1586
01:13:49,240 --> 01:13:51,280
Speaker 4: I have to go watch John Breby and the sixth

1587
01:13:51,360 --> 01:13:53,800
Speaker 4: inning for the twelft day in a row. Like, the

1588
01:13:53,880 --> 01:13:55,800
Speaker 4: only reason I'm turning on this TV is to watch

1589
01:13:55,840 --> 01:13:57,720
Speaker 4: Camillo Daval and Logan Web.

1590
01:13:57,800 --> 01:13:58,080
Speaker 3: That's it.

1591
01:13:58,479 --> 01:14:01,679
Speaker 4: Like I like stripling, I Manaia, I like Alex Cobbin

1592
01:14:01,800 --> 01:14:03,920
Speaker 4: bounce back, and I like Alex Wood. They have a

1593
01:14:04,040 --> 01:14:07,400
Speaker 4: good rotation, but there's no names that you're turning on

1594
01:14:07,479 --> 01:14:10,040
Speaker 4: the TV for. I got them winning eighty games. I'm

1595
01:14:10,120 --> 01:14:12,400
Speaker 4: going under the eighty and a half. I'm not flying

1596
01:14:12,479 --> 01:14:15,120
Speaker 4: under though. I think they're middle of the pack and

1597
01:14:15,280 --> 01:14:18,240
Speaker 4: boring and that the Giants of the win games they shouldn't.

1598
01:14:18,280 --> 01:14:19,160
Speaker 3: But I'm going under.

1599
01:14:20,360 --> 01:14:25,040
Speaker 5: I'll keep it short. I'm going under. I don't like

1600
01:14:25,160 --> 01:14:29,120
Speaker 5: Joey Bart. I don't think he's an everyday catcher. I

1601
01:14:29,200 --> 01:14:31,360
Speaker 5: think they're gonna realize David r isn't it you know?

1602
01:14:31,680 --> 01:14:33,640
Speaker 5: And and eventually call up Casey Schmidt, which is when

1603
01:14:33,680 --> 01:14:38,280
Speaker 5: I will watch. But for now, there's too many questions

1604
01:14:38,360 --> 01:14:40,400
Speaker 5: in the lineup of this team. It's just two weak

1605
01:14:41,160 --> 01:14:43,640
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go under. I think they went seventy eight games.

1606
01:14:43,960 --> 01:14:45,840
Speaker 3: Clean sweep on the under for the last two I

1607
01:14:45,920 --> 01:14:47,760
Speaker 3: think this is probably gonna be a clean sweep of

1608
01:14:47,800 --> 01:14:50,680
Speaker 3: the over seventy five and a half wins for Arizona.

1609
01:14:51,280 --> 01:14:54,439
Speaker 3: I'll keep my answer very short and sweet. This lineup's

1610
01:14:54,479 --> 01:14:58,400
Speaker 3: really fun. The pitching rotation is really fun. The bullpen

1611
01:14:58,479 --> 01:15:00,680
Speaker 3: may suck, but I don't care. I think they win

1612
01:15:00,800 --> 01:15:01,320
Speaker 3: eighty games.

1613
01:15:01,840 --> 01:15:04,719
Speaker 4: Fucking love this team put two units on over seventy

1614
01:15:04,720 --> 01:15:07,760
Speaker 4: four and a half. This is next year's Orioles and

1615
01:15:07,960 --> 01:15:09,439
Speaker 4: arm I want to have a thought exercise with you

1616
01:15:09,520 --> 01:15:11,280
Speaker 4: because I know we're so pro diamonbacks and me and

1617
01:15:11,320 --> 01:15:14,080
Speaker 4: you can just geek all over this team because you

1618
01:15:14,160 --> 01:15:16,599
Speaker 4: know we've been talking what about for three months? How

1619
01:15:16,640 --> 01:15:17,960
Speaker 4: we want to be on the over as soon as

1620
01:15:18,000 --> 01:15:21,519
Speaker 4: it gets released. Gabriel Moreno and Corbyn Carroll Vers, Gunner,

1621
01:15:21,520 --> 01:15:23,080
Speaker 4: Henderson and Adlie Rutschman.

1622
01:15:25,439 --> 01:15:29,360
Speaker 5: Gunner, Henderson and Adlie Rushman. But it's close, right, It's

1623
01:15:29,400 --> 01:15:31,719
Speaker 5: it's pretty because Adlie is just too at.

1624
01:15:31,680 --> 01:15:34,280
Speaker 4: Least too much, and they've also, you know, had more

1625
01:15:34,439 --> 01:15:37,160
Speaker 4: service time in Major League Baseball wall. But I think

1626
01:15:37,240 --> 01:15:40,000
Speaker 4: it's relatively close. The only reason that I bring it

1627
01:15:40,120 --> 01:15:43,760
Speaker 4: up is best prospect comparing it to an eighty three

1628
01:15:43,800 --> 01:15:45,760
Speaker 4: win Orioles team, and you look at seventy four to

1629
01:15:45,800 --> 01:15:47,400
Speaker 4: seventy five and a half and you think they could

1630
01:15:47,400 --> 01:15:49,200
Speaker 4: be an eighty win team. I think they finished third

1631
01:15:49,240 --> 01:15:52,519
Speaker 4: in this division. I look at a rotation, and yes,

1632
01:15:52,720 --> 01:15:55,560
Speaker 4: you don't want Madison Bumgarner's starting games, but I'm not

1633
01:15:55,640 --> 01:15:57,680
Speaker 4: sure how long that's going to last when you have

1634
01:15:57,800 --> 01:16:00,479
Speaker 4: Zach Allen in the rotation, who's a potential sign winner.

1635
01:16:00,680 --> 01:16:03,200
Speaker 4: Meryl Kelly threw two hundred innings at three three seven.

1636
01:16:03,479 --> 01:16:05,200
Speaker 4: You got to respect the hell out of Meryl Kelly.

1637
01:16:05,200 --> 01:16:08,519
Speaker 4: He even pitched relatively well against the Japan lineup, who

1638
01:16:08,560 --> 01:16:10,640
Speaker 4: has been crushing right hand and pitching. I thought, I

1639
01:16:10,720 --> 01:16:12,439
Speaker 4: thought he did his job, and that's what he does.

1640
01:16:12,479 --> 01:16:14,840
Speaker 4: He just goes to work with his lunch box with

1641
01:16:14,920 --> 01:16:18,479
Speaker 4: his peanut butter and jelly cruss on. Because that dude's

1642
01:16:18,800 --> 01:16:20,479
Speaker 4: you know, a rough rough Rider.

1643
01:16:21,280 --> 01:16:23,400
Speaker 3: Do you think natural peanut butter? Do you think like

1644
01:16:23,479 --> 01:16:24,599
Speaker 3: jiffy shit? Oh?

1645
01:16:24,680 --> 01:16:26,599
Speaker 4: I think just the crunchy type that you get off

1646
01:16:26,680 --> 01:16:28,760
Speaker 4: the farm, Like it's straight up peanut butter.

1647
01:16:28,840 --> 01:16:29,800
Speaker 3: And I love him for that.

1648
01:16:30,760 --> 01:16:33,719
Speaker 4: But Ryan Nelson's gonna be in the rotation. Zach Davies

1649
01:16:34,320 --> 01:16:36,400
Speaker 4: gets a lot of shit for being terrible because like

1650
01:16:36,479 --> 01:16:39,240
Speaker 4: his peripheral shape, say he should retire, But he's one

1651
01:16:39,280 --> 01:16:42,439
Speaker 4: of those guys who just he gets off contact and

1652
01:16:42,560 --> 01:16:44,400
Speaker 4: he's a career four to one, four ear a guy.

1653
01:16:44,439 --> 01:16:46,400
Speaker 4: The past few seasons have been dreadful, but I think

1654
01:16:46,479 --> 01:16:48,599
Speaker 4: he's around a four to three. But it won't matter

1655
01:16:48,680 --> 01:16:51,639
Speaker 4: because Brandon Fott's gonna come up. Maybe Drey Jamison makes

1656
01:16:51,680 --> 01:16:53,680
Speaker 4: that debut in the rotation, even though he's most likely

1657
01:16:53,760 --> 01:16:56,240
Speaker 4: going to be in the bullpen, which makes the bullpen better.

1658
01:16:56,520 --> 01:16:59,120
Speaker 4: You go around the diamond. I like Josh ROAs at third.

1659
01:16:59,160 --> 01:17:01,720
Speaker 4: I like Ketel Martin second, I like Christian Walker, I

1660
01:17:01,840 --> 01:17:04,160
Speaker 4: love Gabriel Moreno, I love the outfield like there's a

1661
01:17:04,280 --> 01:17:06,559
Speaker 4: lot of things to be excited about. I'm going way

1662
01:17:06,600 --> 01:17:08,320
Speaker 4: over seventy four and a half, seventy five and a half,

1663
01:17:08,360 --> 01:17:10,560
Speaker 4: don't care. I take this team up to eighty and

1664
01:17:10,640 --> 01:17:12,320
Speaker 4: a half. I think they're an eighty win team or them.

1665
01:17:12,640 --> 01:17:15,759
Speaker 5: I think they win eighty to have Brandon Fott knocking

1666
01:17:15,800 --> 01:17:18,320
Speaker 5: on the door. He's pretty much big, big ready.

1667
01:17:18,360 --> 01:17:20,400
Speaker 4: And I think, how much worse is Brandon fought than

1668
01:17:20,400 --> 01:17:21,200
Speaker 4: Grayson Rodriguez.

1669
01:17:22,160 --> 01:17:24,599
Speaker 3: Not that much. That's awesome.

1670
01:17:24,920 --> 01:17:27,600
Speaker 5: Brandon Fott pitched on the Moon in the PCL and

1671
01:17:28,040 --> 01:17:30,840
Speaker 5: got outs man like he has in minor league in strikeouts,

1672
01:17:31,160 --> 01:17:35,679
Speaker 5: great command, multiple pitches for strike like. He's prime candidate

1673
01:17:35,840 --> 01:17:38,840
Speaker 5: to just make the transition pretty smoothly and be a

1674
01:17:38,880 --> 01:17:41,080
Speaker 5: three to five guy. I think in the era department,

1675
01:17:41,400 --> 01:17:44,639
Speaker 5: I love Evan Longoria as depth to here. This team

1676
01:17:44,800 --> 01:17:47,240
Speaker 5: just top to bottom is just much much better. Even

1677
01:17:47,240 --> 01:17:49,040
Speaker 5: having a Kyle Lewis off the bench, like I like

1678
01:17:49,120 --> 01:17:53,080
Speaker 5: this bench, Corbyn's gonna make an impact like big time.

1679
01:17:53,160 --> 01:17:54,680
Speaker 5: He might as well have just added an All star

1680
01:17:54,840 --> 01:17:57,800
Speaker 5: for a full season. I like this entire ball club,

1681
01:17:57,880 --> 01:17:59,360
Speaker 5: I really do. And I think they had some of

1682
01:17:59,439 --> 01:18:02,080
Speaker 5: the vall utility with guys where you know what you're

1683
01:18:02,120 --> 01:18:04,760
Speaker 5: getting with the Lordus Gariel Junior with with a Josh

1684
01:18:04,880 --> 01:18:07,120
Speaker 5: Rojas like I think those guys you know what you're

1685
01:18:07,160 --> 01:18:09,840
Speaker 5: gonna get there. The bullpen's not that bad. Like I

1686
01:18:10,280 --> 01:18:13,280
Speaker 5: loved the Andrew Schaffin pick up, Miguel Cashro's fine Joe

1687
01:18:13,320 --> 01:18:16,559
Speaker 5: Man supply was spectacular last year, and Dre Jamison slider

1688
01:18:16,760 --> 01:18:20,360
Speaker 5: is plus like that pitch alone will allow him to

1689
01:18:20,479 --> 01:18:22,640
Speaker 5: shut down the seventh thing if they want him to

1690
01:18:22,640 --> 01:18:24,519
Speaker 5: do that. But he can also plug in and spots start,

1691
01:18:24,560 --> 01:18:26,800
Speaker 5: so he gives you some rotational depth. And then we'll

1692
01:18:26,800 --> 01:18:28,840
Speaker 5: see when they get Mark Millanson back what he can do.

1693
01:18:29,439 --> 01:18:31,600
Speaker 5: This is the one of the easiest overs for me.

1694
01:18:31,680 --> 01:18:32,120
Speaker 6: Of the year.

1695
01:18:33,600 --> 01:18:37,519
Speaker 3: Unfortunately, very easy under on Colorado, last one best one

1696
01:18:37,720 --> 01:18:40,040
Speaker 3: under sixty five and al are you over? You over

1697
01:18:40,080 --> 01:18:43,880
Speaker 3: in the backs? Yeah? I said that first. Sorry, listen,

1698
01:18:45,760 --> 01:18:48,559
Speaker 3: I was too excited. I was too excited about the docks.

1699
01:18:48,800 --> 01:18:52,280
Speaker 3: That's fair, all right, Colorado, I am going under sixty

1700
01:18:52,400 --> 01:18:56,800
Speaker 3: five and a half. They may have five guys with

1701
01:18:56,880 --> 01:18:59,479
Speaker 3: an ERA over five in the starting rotation. They may

1702
01:18:59,560 --> 01:19:03,040
Speaker 3: not have a five ERA here. While I do love

1703
01:19:03,200 --> 01:19:07,679
Speaker 3: Chris Bryant and Jerrickson, Profar and Ryan McMahon, everything else,

1704
01:19:08,040 --> 01:19:10,960
Speaker 3: and and Tovar obviously, everything else just kind of stinks.

1705
01:19:11,600 --> 01:19:14,080
Speaker 3: This team may suck out loud, But damn am I

1706
01:19:14,160 --> 01:19:16,600
Speaker 3: gonna be a fan. I fucking hate this team and

1707
01:19:16,640 --> 01:19:19,320
Speaker 3: they're probably gonna go over. I'm going over.

1708
01:19:20,120 --> 01:19:23,320
Speaker 4: They are a team that no matter what they have

1709
01:19:23,560 --> 01:19:27,400
Speaker 4: on the roster, they win sixty six to sixty eight games.

1710
01:19:28,080 --> 01:19:28,200
Speaker 1: Uh.

1711
01:19:28,439 --> 01:19:30,320
Speaker 3: They are a win total that open.

1712
01:19:30,160 --> 01:19:31,680
Speaker 4: At sixty eight and a half and has moved down

1713
01:19:31,720 --> 01:19:33,680
Speaker 4: to sixty five and a half. It's too much of

1714
01:19:33,720 --> 01:19:37,000
Speaker 4: an adjustment. I have them winning sixty six games. I'm

1715
01:19:37,080 --> 01:19:39,800
Speaker 4: gonna hate it. I don't want to watch them at all.

1716
01:19:40,280 --> 01:19:42,800
Speaker 4: It's gonna be terrible pitching. I would never bet on

1717
01:19:42,880 --> 01:19:45,040
Speaker 4: the over with this team. But we know we're gonna

1718
01:19:45,040 --> 01:19:46,320
Speaker 4: look at the end of the season and be like, oh,

1719
01:19:46,400 --> 01:19:49,040
Speaker 4: remember all the Rockies won sixty seven games, And it's

1720
01:19:49,160 --> 01:19:53,120
Speaker 4: like how because they just like weirdly beat the Dodgers

1721
01:19:53,200 --> 01:19:55,800
Speaker 4: sometimes in coors, Like it just doesn't make any sense.

1722
01:19:56,120 --> 01:19:59,640
Speaker 4: They win games they shouldn't, Josey.

1723
01:19:59,520 --> 01:20:00,840
Speaker 5: Where they ten over at home?

1724
01:20:01,439 --> 01:20:04,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, like they're they're always like ten over at hell?

1725
01:20:04,400 --> 01:20:07,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, like they'll they'll win sixty seven games.

1726
01:20:07,240 --> 01:20:11,080
Speaker 5: I actually feel good about this over, Like, okay, pretty

1727
01:20:11,120 --> 01:20:14,200
Speaker 5: good about it. You have a full season of Chris Bryant,

1728
01:20:14,240 --> 01:20:17,800
Speaker 5: presumably who I think is gonna mash out there. He

1729
01:20:18,000 --> 01:20:21,360
Speaker 5: was mashing before he got hurt. You add Jerkson Profar

1730
01:20:21,520 --> 01:20:23,720
Speaker 5: to the full there, like, that's a better player than

1731
01:20:23,760 --> 01:20:28,439
Speaker 5: they have mostly Ezekiel Tovar for a full season. That's

1732
01:20:28,479 --> 01:20:32,439
Speaker 5: a better player than Brendan Rodgers. Mike Mustakas is gonna

1733
01:20:32,479 --> 01:20:36,680
Speaker 5: go nuts? Not actually, but I don't hate Mike Mustakas

1734
01:20:36,720 --> 01:20:41,679
Speaker 5: as a bench option. Here's the thing. The Rockies won't

1735
01:20:41,720 --> 01:20:42,840
Speaker 5: trade at the deadline.

1736
01:20:43,240 --> 01:20:45,280
Speaker 3: They don't do it. They're fucking weird.

1737
01:20:45,680 --> 01:20:48,160
Speaker 5: They're bizarre. It's what like, they don't do it.

1738
01:20:48,360 --> 01:20:52,720
Speaker 4: They it doesn't make sense they'd be buyers at the

1739
01:20:52,760 --> 01:20:56,040
Speaker 4: dead they'll be buyers, like they'll do something bizarre.

1740
01:20:56,560 --> 01:20:58,240
Speaker 5: Is this team worse than last year?

1741
01:20:59,800 --> 01:21:00,479
Speaker 3: No, it's better.

1742
01:21:01,080 --> 01:21:04,600
Speaker 5: It's better. They play the Dodgers last, they play the

1743
01:21:04,680 --> 01:21:08,680
Speaker 5: Padres last. Like, I really think they're gonna find a

1744
01:21:08,720 --> 01:21:11,360
Speaker 5: way to win more ball games. They add Brad Hand

1745
01:21:11,400 --> 01:21:14,680
Speaker 5: to the bullpen. They get connor Ce Bold, how about him?

1746
01:21:15,040 --> 01:21:18,960
Speaker 5: That's a guy. Daniel Bard gets the Mega deal and

1747
01:21:19,040 --> 01:21:23,439
Speaker 5: then kills Josel Tuve Like, I still like jokes aside.

1748
01:21:23,800 --> 01:21:27,639
Speaker 5: I think they find the way. I think Tovar really

1749
01:21:27,760 --> 01:21:29,280
Speaker 5: is going to be a big difference maker for them.

1750
01:21:29,320 --> 01:21:31,519
Speaker 5: It shorts up both defensively, and I think he's gonna

1751
01:21:31,520 --> 01:21:33,720
Speaker 5: pvide a little bit offensively and keep getting better. But

1752
01:21:33,800 --> 01:21:36,160
Speaker 5: it's really about Chris Bryant and Profar for me that

1753
01:21:36,280 --> 01:21:38,120
Speaker 5: I think can kind of put them over the top.

1754
01:21:38,320 --> 01:21:41,360
Speaker 5: Away from course too. They're gonna find a way to

1755
01:21:41,960 --> 01:21:44,240
Speaker 5: just fuck around and win sixty nine games or something

1756
01:21:44,320 --> 01:21:44,479
Speaker 5: like that.

1757
01:21:46,520 --> 01:21:49,639
Speaker 3: Okay, this was an absolute mammoth. This was part two

1758
01:21:49,680 --> 01:21:52,479
Speaker 3: of the win totals, maybe the mammoth of all mammoth

1759
01:21:52,520 --> 01:21:55,880
Speaker 3: episodes tomorrow or individual Award prediction episode. And then after

1760
01:21:56,000 --> 01:21:59,880
Speaker 3: that it's an Opening Day preview. Guys ready to roll.

1761
01:22:00,400 --> 01:22:02,880
Speaker 4: In the meantime, go get yourself some Just Baseball merch.

1762
01:22:02,960 --> 01:22:05,679
Speaker 4: It's the best way to support this podcast. Arms rock

1763
01:22:05,720 --> 01:22:09,360
Speaker 4: in the athletic tea. I'm rocking my own Just Baseball shirt.

1764
01:22:09,439 --> 01:22:12,759
Speaker 4: Jack's probably got one under his sweatshirt. There, get yourself

1765
01:22:12,800 --> 01:22:15,400
Speaker 4: some Just Baseball merch again. The link is in the

1766
01:22:15,400 --> 01:22:18,920
Speaker 4: episode description. Tons of podcasts here on the Just Baseball network.

1767
01:22:19,640 --> 01:22:22,160
Speaker 4: Might I recommend the Just Fantasy Show Getting You Ready

1768
01:22:22,280 --> 01:22:25,240
Speaker 4: for Opening Day? Getting you ready for those fantasy lineups.

1769
01:22:25,439 --> 01:22:27,960
Speaker 4: I'm also putting out more episodes on Not Gambling Advice

1770
01:22:28,760 --> 01:22:31,840
Speaker 4: more betting focused. If you're interested in following along all year,

1771
01:22:31,880 --> 01:22:33,960
Speaker 4: you can find the Not Gambling Advice podcast within the

1772
01:22:34,000 --> 01:22:38,639
Speaker 4: link tree. And Armajack just recorded a full prospect preview

1773
01:22:38,760 --> 01:22:41,759
Speaker 4: of guys getting called up what you should expect. Definitely

1774
01:22:41,800 --> 01:22:43,960
Speaker 4: go check out that call Up episode. There are so

1775
01:22:44,120 --> 01:22:46,320
Speaker 4: many podcasts here on the Just Baseball network that you

1776
01:22:46,439 --> 01:22:49,320
Speaker 4: got to check out. It's gonna be a really exciting year.

1777
01:22:49,360 --> 01:22:51,000
Speaker 4: We're glad that you're with us, and if you've been

1778
01:22:51,040 --> 01:22:53,040
Speaker 4: having fun in the off season, we'd greatly appreciate a

1779
01:22:53,160 --> 01:22:56,080
Speaker 4: five star review, whether that be on Spotify or on

1780
01:22:56,320 --> 01:22:57,360
Speaker 4: Apple Podcasts.

1781
01:22:58,000 --> 01:23:07,800
Speaker 3: And with that thanks at a