WEBVTT - Tax Plan Likely to Spur More M&A: Evercore's Schlosstein

0:00:05.800 --> 0:00:08.720
<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm pim Fox.

0:00:08.760 --> 0:00:11.520
<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Bramowitz. Each day we

0:00:11.640 --> 0:00:15.120
<v Speaker 1>bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for

0:00:15.200 --> 0:00:17.840
<v Speaker 1>you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store

0:00:17.960 --> 0:00:20.720
<v Speaker 1>or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m L

0:00:20.840 --> 0:00:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. Him.

0:00:35.240 --> 0:00:39.080
<v Speaker 1>I am so excited about our upcoming guest, Ralph Schlastein,

0:00:39.159 --> 0:00:43.320
<v Speaker 1>President and chief executive officer of ever Core, because he

0:00:43.360 --> 0:00:47.400
<v Speaker 1>has such broad perspective on everything that's going on right

0:00:47.400 --> 0:00:50.080
<v Speaker 1>now with respect to tax changes and how it affects

0:00:50.440 --> 0:00:54.840
<v Speaker 1>CEOs and their companies. He joins us now. Ever Court

0:00:55.040 --> 0:00:58.400
<v Speaker 1>was the number one boutique investment bank in mergers and

0:00:58.440 --> 0:01:02.160
<v Speaker 1>acquisitions last year. Ralph also Mr schlast and it was

0:01:02.200 --> 0:01:07.080
<v Speaker 1>also the co founder of black Rock. Thank you so

0:01:07.200 --> 0:01:10.800
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us. I wanted to start with getting

0:01:11.000 --> 0:01:14.040
<v Speaker 1>your sense of what the tax bill that is about

0:01:14.080 --> 0:01:17.840
<v Speaker 1>to be passed by the Congress, what effect it will

0:01:17.880 --> 0:01:22.480
<v Speaker 1>have on mergers and acquisitions activity. Well, I think as

0:01:22.520 --> 0:01:25.559
<v Speaker 1>a general matter, there are a number of effects. First

0:01:25.600 --> 0:01:30.800
<v Speaker 1>of all, the passage of the bill itself h takes

0:01:30.800 --> 0:01:38.759
<v Speaker 1>away a major uncertainty about UH taxation and organizations of businesses,

0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:45.600
<v Speaker 1>so things, you know, transactions that made strategic sense, but

0:01:45.760 --> 0:01:51.160
<v Speaker 1>we're held up by uh, you know, deep uncertainty about

0:01:51.200 --> 0:01:56.120
<v Speaker 1>how the world in eighteen would look versus UH. That

0:01:56.240 --> 0:02:00.800
<v Speaker 1>issue has been resolved, and uncertainty as always the enemy

0:02:00.880 --> 0:02:05.560
<v Speaker 1>of M and A activity. UH. The second thing that

0:02:05.600 --> 0:02:11.520
<v Speaker 1>will happen is UH, with the repatriation of you know,

0:02:11.560 --> 0:02:15.160
<v Speaker 1>two plus trillion dollars of cash that's held off shore

0:02:15.280 --> 0:02:19.280
<v Speaker 1>right now by US companies. UH, some amount of that

0:02:19.440 --> 0:02:25.400
<v Speaker 1>unquestionably will go into uh you know, strategic investments UH,

0:02:25.560 --> 0:02:28.679
<v Speaker 1>you know, which you know will be done through M

0:02:28.760 --> 0:02:35.280
<v Speaker 1>and A activity. The third thing that also I believe

0:02:35.320 --> 0:02:41.440
<v Speaker 1>will happen is uh, you know, the strategic repositioning of

0:02:41.600 --> 0:02:47.520
<v Speaker 1>business portfolios at large and particularly diversified companies. So in

0:02:47.639 --> 0:02:52.320
<v Speaker 1>the seventeen world, UH, if a company wanted to sell

0:02:52.320 --> 0:02:55.720
<v Speaker 1>a division that they had a very low tax basis in,

0:02:56.400 --> 0:03:00.560
<v Speaker 1>they had, you know, uh to pay thirty five percent

0:03:01.440 --> 0:03:04.960
<v Speaker 1>of the proceeds plus whatever the state tax was. UH.

0:03:05.000 --> 0:03:09.840
<v Speaker 1>And you know, the hurdle for disposing of businesses, particularly

0:03:09.880 --> 0:03:14.680
<v Speaker 1>low basis businesses, UH is you know a lot lower

0:03:14.720 --> 0:03:17.920
<v Speaker 1>today and then finally the effect on uh you know,

0:03:17.960 --> 0:03:20.560
<v Speaker 1>the general M and A environment. M and A thrives

0:03:21.160 --> 0:03:27.200
<v Speaker 1>when we have uh strong equity evaluations, readily available credit,

0:03:28.080 --> 0:03:30.920
<v Speaker 1>uh you know, good visibility as to the direction of

0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:36.280
<v Speaker 1>the economy. UH and CEO confidence and uh you know,

0:03:36.400 --> 0:03:41.720
<v Speaker 1>the first uh three have been present, and I think

0:03:41.720 --> 0:03:48.720
<v Speaker 1>this bill reinforces CEO confidence and makes you know, it's

0:03:49.160 --> 0:03:53.800
<v Speaker 1>somewhat more probable that M and A activity will continue.

0:03:54.080 --> 0:03:56.560
<v Speaker 1>Mr Slawson, could next year be a record year for

0:03:56.680 --> 0:04:00.760
<v Speaker 1>M and A. Uh you know, it's it's possible to

0:04:00.880 --> 0:04:05.000
<v Speaker 1>predict uh, you know, the level of activity you know,

0:04:05.160 --> 0:04:09.440
<v Speaker 1>in the next quarter, much less the next year. Uh.

0:04:09.440 --> 0:04:13.640
<v Speaker 1>He's certainly true that all of the conditions are in place,

0:04:14.480 --> 0:04:18.279
<v Speaker 1>uh for a very strong year in M and A activity,

0:04:18.800 --> 0:04:25.040
<v Speaker 1>but was an extremely strong year four point two trillion

0:04:25.080 --> 0:04:29.000
<v Speaker 1>dollars of announced transactions last year was about three point

0:04:29.040 --> 0:04:33.320
<v Speaker 1>five This year. It looks to be tracking around that. Uh. So,

0:04:34.200 --> 0:04:37.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, do I think it could possibly uh be

0:04:37.920 --> 0:04:41.920
<v Speaker 1>positive versus the last two years? I would say yes, Uh,

0:04:42.040 --> 0:04:43.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, is it going to go back to the

0:04:43.760 --> 0:04:47.880
<v Speaker 1>level of uh you know, I'm not smart enough to

0:04:47.920 --> 0:04:52.159
<v Speaker 1>really know that. Dan Donovan, who is a Republican congressman

0:04:52.520 --> 0:04:56.479
<v Speaker 1>serving uh Staten Island and Brooklyn some areas of Brooklyn,

0:04:56.560 --> 0:04:59.760
<v Speaker 1>said that he's worried about quote mobility of taxpayers in

0:04:59.800 --> 0:05:03.119
<v Speaker 1>the hop income brackets. He says losing even a small

0:05:03.160 --> 0:05:06.839
<v Speaker 1>percentage of those households will decimate the state and city

0:05:06.920 --> 0:05:11.600
<v Speaker 1>tax base. Do you agree with him? I think the

0:05:11.800 --> 0:05:16.159
<v Speaker 1>biggest risk to New York City and New York State

0:05:17.400 --> 0:05:21.359
<v Speaker 1>is precisely that, uh, you know, I honestly don't believe

0:05:22.240 --> 0:05:26.320
<v Speaker 1>uh that you know, this bill will have that much

0:05:26.360 --> 0:05:30.480
<v Speaker 1>of an effect on uh New York being the financial

0:05:31.640 --> 0:05:35.240
<v Speaker 1>capital of the world. Uh. The only competitor to us,

0:05:35.560 --> 0:05:40.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, of real concentration is London, and they have

0:05:40.560 --> 0:05:43.720
<v Speaker 1>a heck of a lot more uncertainty than we do.

0:05:44.000 --> 0:05:50.359
<v Speaker 1>And you know, financial businesses will aggregate and agglomerate in

0:05:51.080 --> 0:05:54.560
<v Speaker 1>places where there are other financial businesses and where they

0:05:54.560 --> 0:05:59.719
<v Speaker 1>can attract uh, you know, super talented young people, and

0:06:00.200 --> 0:06:04.200
<v Speaker 1>the most talented young people are you know, opting with

0:06:04.320 --> 0:06:07.839
<v Speaker 1>their feet to be in the places like New York

0:06:07.880 --> 0:06:12.359
<v Speaker 1>City and this bill because they tend to be you know,

0:06:12.560 --> 0:06:16.560
<v Speaker 1>entry level workers who aren't affected by the size of

0:06:16.600 --> 0:06:19.480
<v Speaker 1>the state and local deduction or the mortgage interest deduction.

0:06:20.320 --> 0:06:23.039
<v Speaker 1>Uh you know, they you know, they will continue to

0:06:23.120 --> 0:06:26.640
<v Speaker 1>come in in in droves, I believe to New York City.

0:06:26.680 --> 0:06:29.800
<v Speaker 1>What I do worry about, uh is people who are

0:06:29.839 --> 0:06:36.200
<v Speaker 1>not uh attached by employment, uh you know, to the city.

0:06:36.279 --> 0:06:40.880
<v Speaker 1>So those who are well off uh and you know,

0:06:41.000 --> 0:06:47.039
<v Speaker 1>have significant net worths and incomes, but are uh you

0:06:47.080 --> 0:06:52.200
<v Speaker 1>know long no longer working full time or retired. And

0:06:52.480 --> 0:06:56.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, for those people, uh, this is a quite

0:06:56.400 --> 0:07:02.479
<v Speaker 1>substantial tax increase and uh you know, they have complete

0:07:02.480 --> 0:07:06.360
<v Speaker 1>discretion as to where they live. And you know, I

0:07:06.760 --> 0:07:10.760
<v Speaker 1>think somewhere on the order of the tax receipts of

0:07:11.840 --> 0:07:14.040
<v Speaker 1>New York State and New York City come from one

0:07:15.080 --> 0:07:20.360
<v Speaker 1>of the population, which is overwhelmingly concentrated in New York

0:07:20.400 --> 0:07:25.160
<v Speaker 1>and the surrounding uh suburbs. So uh, you know, it

0:07:25.280 --> 0:07:29.160
<v Speaker 1>remains to be seen the effect that this will have

0:07:29.480 --> 0:07:33.360
<v Speaker 1>on you know, what is already a you know, somewhat

0:07:33.360 --> 0:07:38.320
<v Speaker 1>of a movement of you know, people who have you know,

0:07:38.480 --> 0:07:42.120
<v Speaker 1>real discretion as to where they live, uh, you know,

0:07:42.240 --> 0:07:46.480
<v Speaker 1>away from high tech states to lower no tech states.

0:07:47.600 --> 0:07:51.119
<v Speaker 1>Thank you very much for being with us. Ralph slow Stein,

0:08:07.720 --> 0:08:09.400
<v Speaker 1>all right, I want to bring in Shira every Day,

0:08:09.680 --> 0:08:13.559
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Gadfly columnist. When it comes to technology and the

0:08:13.600 --> 0:08:17.240
<v Speaker 1>topic today happens to be Uber, and they lost, didn't they?

0:08:17.240 --> 0:08:20.320
<v Speaker 1>They lost their fight in the European Union. Tell us

0:08:20.360 --> 0:08:23.119
<v Speaker 1>what this loss means for Uber and what it means

0:08:23.120 --> 0:08:26.280
<v Speaker 1>for the taxi and transport companies that have been fighting

0:08:26.440 --> 0:08:29.520
<v Speaker 1>this up start. So there's a there was a case

0:08:29.720 --> 0:08:33.200
<v Speaker 1>pending before the European Court of Justice and the legal

0:08:33.280 --> 0:08:37.440
<v Speaker 1>question was basically is Uber a digital company, a tech

0:08:37.440 --> 0:08:41.800
<v Speaker 1>company or is it a transportation company? And the court

0:08:41.880 --> 0:08:45.480
<v Speaker 1>ruled that that Uber is basically a transportation company and

0:08:45.800 --> 0:08:49.959
<v Speaker 1>it's a matter of law. Practically speaking, not much is

0:08:50.000 --> 0:08:52.480
<v Speaker 1>going to change for Uber. So the way that Uber

0:08:52.600 --> 0:08:57.400
<v Speaker 1>operates in most countries in Europe already complies with the

0:08:57.440 --> 0:09:00.079
<v Speaker 1>idea that they are a transportation company, which means that

0:09:00.120 --> 0:09:03.840
<v Speaker 1>their drivers need to be licensed UM in a way

0:09:03.880 --> 0:09:07.800
<v Speaker 1>that similar to how taxi drivers are licensed. So practically speaking,

0:09:08.120 --> 0:09:11.000
<v Speaker 1>not much changes. The interesting thing for me is kind

0:09:11.000 --> 0:09:15.600
<v Speaker 1>of thinking beyond today's court ruling, UH two broader questions

0:09:15.640 --> 0:09:20.120
<v Speaker 1>about Uber, which is one um will this have implications

0:09:20.160 --> 0:09:25.560
<v Speaker 1>for the idea that Uber drivers are not employees, which

0:09:25.640 --> 0:09:29.000
<v Speaker 1>is another legal matter that's pending in a separate court

0:09:29.040 --> 0:09:32.760
<v Speaker 1>case in Europe. And two, does this mean that local

0:09:32.800 --> 0:09:36.480
<v Speaker 1>transportation regulators will feel more empowered to kind of metal

0:09:36.920 --> 0:09:41.760
<v Speaker 1>in Uber Uber's business in every conceivable country, which, to

0:09:41.800 --> 0:09:43.960
<v Speaker 1>be honest, they've been doing everything they can to do

0:09:44.000 --> 0:09:46.520
<v Speaker 1>that because the Uber drivers are paid a lot less

0:09:46.520 --> 0:09:49.600
<v Speaker 1>than they make, they charge much lower rates, and they

0:09:49.640 --> 0:09:53.240
<v Speaker 1>have gained a lot of market share very quickly. I'm

0:09:53.280 --> 0:09:56.480
<v Speaker 1>just wondering how much cross border influence does this have.

0:09:56.520 --> 0:09:58.880
<v Speaker 1>In other words, are US regulators looking at to what

0:09:59.120 --> 0:10:02.040
<v Speaker 1>the European Union is doing and thinking of doing something similar.

0:10:02.760 --> 0:10:05.760
<v Speaker 1>That's a good question. I I doubt it, at least

0:10:05.800 --> 0:10:08.840
<v Speaker 1>in the US, because you know, the US does not

0:10:09.000 --> 0:10:13.520
<v Speaker 1>really have this kind of the national transportation regulator regulation

0:10:13.559 --> 0:10:16.840
<v Speaker 1>that's much more on a city by city basis. So

0:10:17.559 --> 0:10:20.360
<v Speaker 1>while this ruling in Europe maybe it will empower some

0:10:20.920 --> 0:10:24.360
<v Speaker 1>local transportation regulators in you know, New York or Seattle,

0:10:24.520 --> 0:10:27.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't know that it will have kind of broad

0:10:27.160 --> 0:10:30.560
<v Speaker 1>national implications in the US. So we'll see. I mean,

0:10:30.679 --> 0:10:33.560
<v Speaker 1>it's it's fair to say that in every market in

0:10:33.600 --> 0:10:39.679
<v Speaker 1>which Uber operates, it is already under intense um regulatory scrutiny.

0:10:39.880 --> 0:10:43.280
<v Speaker 1>So it's hard to imagine that it will get any worse.

0:10:44.559 --> 0:10:48.280
<v Speaker 1>They've got a new chief operating officer, Barty Hartford. Right

0:10:48.320 --> 0:10:53.000
<v Speaker 1>here is the former chief executive officer of Orbits, that's right.

0:10:53.040 --> 0:10:57.040
<v Speaker 1>And notably, the new number two at Uber used to

0:10:57.080 --> 0:11:03.400
<v Speaker 1>work with Uber's new CEO who came from Expedia. So um,

0:11:03.920 --> 0:11:06.120
<v Speaker 1>the two presumably know each other and like each other,

0:11:06.120 --> 0:11:08.600
<v Speaker 1>otherwise they wouldn't agree to work together. And look, this

0:11:08.640 --> 0:11:12.559
<v Speaker 1>is an important higher because Uper Uber's leadership bench has

0:11:12.600 --> 0:11:15.760
<v Speaker 1>been decimated over the last year. So they lost their

0:11:15.840 --> 0:11:19.320
<v Speaker 1>previous number two chief executive in March who left under

0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:26.439
<v Speaker 1>unamicable conditions. Um, they lost chief legal officers now been replaced.

0:11:26.480 --> 0:11:29.520
<v Speaker 1>They're looking for a new board chairman. They lost the

0:11:29.520 --> 0:11:31.760
<v Speaker 1>one and a half billion dollars in the third quarter

0:11:31.800 --> 0:11:34.839
<v Speaker 1>of the year. Yes, they have financial losses as well

0:11:34.880 --> 0:11:37.600
<v Speaker 1>as leadership losses. So it's it's clearly been important to

0:11:37.640 --> 0:11:41.679
<v Speaker 1>the new CEO at Uber to restock the leadership bench

0:11:41.880 --> 0:11:45.080
<v Speaker 1>and preferably restock the leadership bench with people he knows

0:11:45.160 --> 0:11:49.000
<v Speaker 1>or trusts well. Talking about trust, Uber has had some

0:11:49.120 --> 0:11:54.360
<v Speaker 1>issues on that front as certainly with regulators and lawmakers,

0:11:54.679 --> 0:11:58.520
<v Speaker 1>and part of Uber's reputation has been that they do

0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:01.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of, I don't know, test the edges a little bit.

0:12:01.280 --> 0:12:04.800
<v Speaker 1>And how much does the new leadership try to demonstrate

0:12:04.840 --> 0:12:08.120
<v Speaker 1>that it's turning a page with a cultural shift. Look,

0:12:08.120 --> 0:12:11.240
<v Speaker 1>I think that has been Job one for Uber's new

0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:15.320
<v Speaker 1>CEO is basically to change Uber's reputation. He said something,

0:12:15.880 --> 0:12:19.960
<v Speaker 1>Uber got this unfavorable ruling in London that may, at

0:12:20.040 --> 0:12:24.640
<v Speaker 1>least in the future, prohibit Uber from operating in London,

0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:28.160
<v Speaker 1>which is one of the company's largest markets. And the

0:12:28.320 --> 0:12:30.880
<v Speaker 1>Uber CEO basically said, look, this is a sign that

0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:34.760
<v Speaker 1>there is a high cost to a bad reputation. And

0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:38.000
<v Speaker 1>that's what Uber has in almost every market in which

0:12:38.000 --> 0:12:42.160
<v Speaker 1>it operates, at least with regulators and and including with

0:12:42.280 --> 0:12:46.640
<v Speaker 1>drivers too in many cases. And the new CEO's job

0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:51.280
<v Speaker 1>is to basically repair those relationships with regulators, with drivers,

0:12:51.520 --> 0:12:54.920
<v Speaker 1>with customers in some cases, with with you know, writers.

0:12:55.160 --> 0:12:58.559
<v Speaker 1>Sure just quickly Harvard coming in, He's going to oversee

0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:03.720
<v Speaker 1>the regional general managers along with the gentleman who heads

0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:06.640
<v Speaker 1>the food delivery business at Uber. Are they going to

0:13:06.800 --> 0:13:09.440
<v Speaker 1>change the way the companies actually run? Are they going

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:12.160
<v Speaker 1>to keep the stream structure? I mean, I think it

0:13:12.200 --> 0:13:14.480
<v Speaker 1>remains to be seen that it was interesting that when

0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:17.400
<v Speaker 1>Uber's CEO came in, initially didn't think he needed a

0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:19.840
<v Speaker 1>number two, and then once probably he saw how much

0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:22.160
<v Speaker 1>repair work he was going to have to do with regulators,

0:13:22.240 --> 0:13:26.160
<v Speaker 1>changed his mind and lift. Meanwhile, I was gaining share,

0:13:26.240 --> 0:13:29.079
<v Speaker 1>so let me still see with that right. Shara Ovid,

0:13:29.320 --> 0:13:32.920
<v Speaker 1>technology columnist with Bloomberg gad Fly, thank you so much

0:13:33.400 --> 0:13:36.559
<v Speaker 1>for joining us. She joins us here in our eleven

0:13:36.640 --> 0:13:57.400
<v Speaker 1>three oh studios. It's important to get some perspective on

0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:00.600
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin and get a sense of just how many accounts

0:14:00.600 --> 0:14:03.400
<v Speaker 1>are involved, just how much real money, and just how

0:14:03.480 --> 0:14:08.240
<v Speaker 1>much more institutional interest we have seen as the futures

0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:11.400
<v Speaker 1>contracts start trading. Here to join us and give us

0:14:11.400 --> 0:14:13.560
<v Speaker 1>that insight is Bobby Show, who is head of trading

0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:19.160
<v Speaker 1>at Cumberland in Chicago. Cumberland is DRW Holdings Digital Currency

0:14:19.280 --> 0:14:22.560
<v Speaker 1>unit is one of the world's largest bitcoin trading desks

0:14:22.640 --> 0:14:26.920
<v Speaker 1>and liquidity providers in cryptocurrencies. Bobby, thank you so much

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:30.680
<v Speaker 1>for joining us. I want to start with just how

0:14:30.760 --> 0:14:33.960
<v Speaker 1>much more money are you seeing come into this market?

0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:36.760
<v Speaker 1>Are you seeing a lot of new accounts being created,

0:14:37.040 --> 0:14:41.840
<v Speaker 1>an institution starting to come in thanks for having me um. So, yeah,

0:14:41.880 --> 0:14:44.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean, well, we've kind of experienced over the last

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:47.240
<v Speaker 1>let's call it twelve to sixteen months, really a shift

0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:50.040
<v Speaker 1>of the profile of the counterparty that we face here

0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:52.360
<v Speaker 1>at Cumberland. So, as you mentioned, Cumberland is one of

0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:55.640
<v Speaker 1>the largest institutional size liquidity providers in the space. So

0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:59.080
<v Speaker 1>we make markets for uh an array of different folks

0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:02.400
<v Speaker 1>in the industry. We're looking to get exposure to different cryptocurrencies.

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>Um you know, heavily dominated in bitcoin and ethereum. So

0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 1>what we've seen when we started the business in was

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:14.960
<v Speaker 1>we were catering to many folks who were very specific

0:15:15.000 --> 0:15:18.480
<v Speaker 1>to the crypto space, payment processors, minors and and other

0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:22.440
<v Speaker 1>individuals that were early adopters. Well, that shifted dramatically again

0:15:22.440 --> 0:15:24.480
<v Speaker 1>in the last year or a year and a half,

0:15:24.760 --> 0:15:28.240
<v Speaker 1>where you saw a number of cryptocurrency funds starting to

0:15:28.280 --> 0:15:31.920
<v Speaker 1>pop up, a number of other institutional investors coming into

0:15:32.000 --> 0:15:34.520
<v Speaker 1>the market. And really what that signals to me is

0:15:34.560 --> 0:15:36.000
<v Speaker 1>that there was a lot of money and still is

0:15:36.040 --> 0:15:38.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of money sitting on the sidelines waiting to

0:15:38.720 --> 0:15:41.840
<v Speaker 1>get exposure to this asset class. Right, So this class

0:15:41.880 --> 0:15:45.640
<v Speaker 1>currently is sits around six billion dollars and that's obviously

0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:49.080
<v Speaker 1>grown tremendously over the last few years. Bubby, when you

0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:53.200
<v Speaker 1>talk about the hedge funds or funds that are specifically

0:15:53.240 --> 0:15:56.800
<v Speaker 1>focused on cryptocurrencies, that triggered my interest because I saw

0:15:56.840 --> 0:16:00.280
<v Speaker 1>that hedge Hedge Fund Research put out an end X

0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 1>of cryptocurrency hedge fund returns, and I'm trying to get

0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:04.800
<v Speaker 1>a sense. Do you have a sense of the a

0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:10.200
<v Speaker 1>U M under cryptocurrency specific funds? You know, Uh, what

0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:14.040
<v Speaker 1>we've seen is the number of cryptocurrency funds has continued

0:16:14.080 --> 0:16:17.200
<v Speaker 1>to increase month over month. So to give you some perspective,

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 1>right in August that number was right around eighty cryptocurrency funds.

0:16:21.000 --> 0:16:23.640
<v Speaker 1>This is globally um that number probably sits somewhere around

0:16:23.640 --> 0:16:25.840
<v Speaker 1>a hundred and fifty. And we don't see that number

0:16:25.880 --> 0:16:30.239
<v Speaker 1>stopping um or slowing down anytime soon. Mainly because of this,

0:16:30.240 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 1>this ability to access the market continues to be limited,

0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:36.200
<v Speaker 1>and so what people are doing if if they are

0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:38.800
<v Speaker 1>looking to get access into these market is they're looking

0:16:38.840 --> 0:16:41.840
<v Speaker 1>to actually invest in kind of traditional um fund structures

0:16:41.880 --> 0:16:44.960
<v Speaker 1>or vehicles like those that that we mentioned, crypto funds

0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:47.360
<v Speaker 1>or hedge funds. Bobby, can you just tell us a

0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:50.440
<v Speaker 1>little bit about Cumberland, how many people are working on this,

0:16:50.720 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 1>and maybe just tell us where you got the original

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:57.160
<v Speaker 1>inventory of bitcoin. Sure so, so Cumberland, as you mentioned,

0:16:57.160 --> 0:16:59.720
<v Speaker 1>we're one of the largest liquidity providers in the world,

0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:02.640
<v Speaker 1>um in terms of just our team and our desk,

0:17:02.680 --> 0:17:06.240
<v Speaker 1>so we are global. Um. So, Cumberland's headquarters is here

0:17:06.240 --> 0:17:08.480
<v Speaker 1>in Chicago, we have an office in London and we

0:17:08.480 --> 0:17:11.399
<v Speaker 1>actually just opened up Singapore a few weeks ago, and

0:17:11.440 --> 0:17:13.760
<v Speaker 1>so that allows us to kind of service our counterparties

0:17:13.760 --> 0:17:17.840
<v Speaker 1>on the basis we are looking to open up in

0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:23.399
<v Speaker 1>the near term um. And so basically, uh, we're we're

0:17:23.440 --> 0:17:26.160
<v Speaker 1>great in the fifteen now, mainly just because the expansion

0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:28.200
<v Speaker 1>and we see that number only growing over the next

0:17:28.240 --> 0:17:31.760
<v Speaker 1>few months. UM. And so in terms of I guess

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:35.840
<v Speaker 1>inventory and things like that, when we had gotten started

0:17:35.880 --> 0:17:39.880
<v Speaker 1>in the idea really came about in twenty twelve, give

0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:42.399
<v Speaker 1>or take, when obviously through the walls of d r

0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:44.840
<v Speaker 1>W and some of the folks here just trying to

0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:48.920
<v Speaker 1>conceptualize what bitcoin is, how bitcoin is going to change

0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:50.959
<v Speaker 1>the world, and and fundamentally, how we're gonna look at

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:53.240
<v Speaker 1>this thing in the future. But hang on, I understand

0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:57.040
<v Speaker 1>that you actually, or at least Cumberland bought a lot

0:17:57.080 --> 0:18:00.679
<v Speaker 1>of the bitcoins from ross Albrick. That's the founder of

0:18:00.840 --> 0:18:03.720
<v Speaker 1>Silk Road who's now serving a life sentence right for

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:08.520
<v Speaker 1>narcotics trafficking. You bought seventy thousand bitcoins that were auctioned

0:18:08.560 --> 0:18:11.959
<v Speaker 1>by US and overseas authorities. Is that correct? So we

0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:15.040
<v Speaker 1>had bought seventy thousand bitcoins from the U. S. Marshal's

0:18:15.080 --> 0:18:19.399
<v Speaker 1>office at auction. Okay, that's correct, yes, And do you

0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:23.400
<v Speaker 1>still have those seventy thousand bitcoins or what what form

0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 1>did they currently take? So we still manage a large

0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:30.360
<v Speaker 1>portfolio of cryptocurrencies, and that really allows us to do

0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:33.879
<v Speaker 1>what one of our main kind of responsibility here is

0:18:33.960 --> 0:18:36.960
<v Speaker 1>and and services that we provide is providing over the

0:18:37.000 --> 0:18:39.960
<v Speaker 1>counter trading for large institutional sized positions. So when someone

0:18:40.000 --> 0:18:42.240
<v Speaker 1>comes in and says, hey, I'd like to buy fifty

0:18:42.280 --> 0:18:45.000
<v Speaker 1>million dollars a bitcoin, well, we have a portfolio that

0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:47.080
<v Speaker 1>we managed to be able to supply that from our

0:18:47.080 --> 0:18:50.440
<v Speaker 1>own inventory and so, um, we still manage a large

0:18:50.480 --> 0:18:54.280
<v Speaker 1>portfolio of cryptocurrencies and and that obviously helps to support

0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:57.520
<v Speaker 1>our business in making markets over the counter. Bobby how

0:18:57.520 --> 0:19:01.280
<v Speaker 1>do you hedge against any downs it swings in your portfolio.

0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:05.480
<v Speaker 1>So that's obviously something that is UM super important to

0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:08.280
<v Speaker 1>us because as much as trading UH that we do

0:19:08.400 --> 0:19:11.320
<v Speaker 1>during the day, from my perspective, we really take a

0:19:11.400 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 1>lens of risk management. That's kind of the first thing

0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:16.000
<v Speaker 1>that we look at um and so if we try

0:19:16.040 --> 0:19:17.800
<v Speaker 1>to be aware of everything that's kind of happening in

0:19:17.840 --> 0:19:21.440
<v Speaker 1>the market, Obviously it's very difficult to do so, mainly

0:19:21.520 --> 0:19:24.720
<v Speaker 1>because this is a product that's traded seven around the

0:19:24.720 --> 0:19:28.000
<v Speaker 1>world and can be accessed by a number of different

0:19:28.000 --> 0:19:31.479
<v Speaker 1>types of folks in the market. And so with the

0:19:31.520 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 1>advent of futures out there in the market, that kind

0:19:34.240 --> 0:19:36.320
<v Speaker 1>of helps in terms of being able to hedge exposure.

0:19:36.600 --> 0:19:39.399
<v Speaker 1>Although we'll kind of see what how much traction games

0:19:39.680 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 1>in the futures market, but we are just trying to

0:19:41.600 --> 0:19:44.000
<v Speaker 1>prepare and be aware of kind of everything that's out there.

0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Thanks very much for joining us. Bobby Chow is head

0:19:46.920 --> 0:19:50.159
<v Speaker 1>of trading for Cumberland and that's d r W holding

0:19:50.480 --> 0:19:54.719
<v Speaker 1>digital currency unit. He's a joining us from Chicago and

0:19:55.040 --> 0:19:56.920
<v Speaker 1>much appreciated for giving us a little bit of a

0:19:56.960 --> 0:20:02.399
<v Speaker 1>window into the world of trading bitcoin. And other cryptocurrencies.

0:20:16.680 --> 0:20:19.520
<v Speaker 1>It almost sounds like a joke or a story. The

0:20:19.640 --> 0:20:23.760
<v Speaker 1>couple that went on a vacation, stayed in a particular location,

0:20:23.920 --> 0:20:26.760
<v Speaker 1>liked it so much they decided to stay there permanently.

0:20:27.200 --> 0:20:31.560
<v Speaker 1>Man Deep Singers are technology industry analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence

0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:34.440
<v Speaker 1>and he's here to tell us about Airbnb launching their

0:20:34.480 --> 0:20:38.760
<v Speaker 1>own apartment complexes. Man Deep tell us the story of Airbnb,

0:20:39.359 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 1>I guess leveraging their brand and their expertise into a

0:20:42.760 --> 0:20:46.480
<v Speaker 1>new market. Sure, so when you think about you know,

0:20:46.600 --> 0:20:50.840
<v Speaker 1>online travel or online logistics, it's really about scale and

0:20:50.920 --> 0:20:54.119
<v Speaker 1>network effects. These are the two most important things that

0:20:54.359 --> 0:20:57.000
<v Speaker 1>any company that operates in this space has to have,

0:20:57.800 --> 0:21:02.119
<v Speaker 1>and airbnbi had the first more vantage in vacation rentals.

0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:05.040
<v Speaker 1>That space is getting crowded now with price sign and

0:21:05.160 --> 0:21:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Expedia also expanding inventory. So what Airbnb is trying to

0:21:09.560 --> 0:21:13.840
<v Speaker 1>do is essentially kind of grow their scale by getting

0:21:13.840 --> 0:21:16.720
<v Speaker 1>into this new segment of you know, owning their apartments

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:21.480
<v Speaker 1>and really they're trying to offer you know, uh accommodations

0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:24.320
<v Speaker 1>for business travelers. So that's a new segment they want

0:21:24.320 --> 0:21:27.680
<v Speaker 1>to cater to. So we're talking about this in part

0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:31.280
<v Speaker 1>because Brookfields, the big developer, just agreed to invest as

0:21:31.359 --> 0:21:34.280
<v Speaker 1>much as two hundred million dollars in a joint venture

0:21:34.480 --> 0:21:39.320
<v Speaker 1>with Needo. It's a multi family development partner of airbnbs,

0:21:39.840 --> 0:21:43.400
<v Speaker 1>and this would go toward building a few apartment complexes

0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:47.440
<v Speaker 1>I believe in Florida. Right. Uh, that would allow residents

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:51.840
<v Speaker 1>and owners to rent out their properties through the Airbnb

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:56.200
<v Speaker 1>website for up to half the year. Is that correct?

0:21:56.280 --> 0:21:58.080
<v Speaker 1>Is this a first time type of thing or is

0:21:58.080 --> 0:22:01.439
<v Speaker 1>there a model for this? So Airbnb is really the

0:22:01.480 --> 0:22:04.159
<v Speaker 1>disruptor in this space, and they have helped, you know,

0:22:04.359 --> 0:22:07.280
<v Speaker 1>for people to share their homes and you know kind

0:22:07.280 --> 0:22:13.359
<v Speaker 1>of uh basically draw like inventory where it wasn't available before,

0:22:13.480 --> 0:22:16.040
<v Speaker 1>especially in urban cities or even for that matter, you

0:22:16.080 --> 0:22:19.359
<v Speaker 1>know in holiday locations. And and the way they're able

0:22:19.440 --> 0:22:24.560
<v Speaker 1>to do it is provided technology platform that's Airbnb strength. Well,

0:22:24.560 --> 0:22:28.240
<v Speaker 1>but what's the advantage to somebody who's buying one of

0:22:28.320 --> 0:22:31.200
<v Speaker 1>these homes? I mean, what what would what would it takes?

0:22:31.240 --> 0:22:33.280
<v Speaker 1>It's up to a half a year, so it's not

0:22:33.400 --> 0:22:36.800
<v Speaker 1>more than that. So is this for basically snowbirds that

0:22:37.200 --> 0:22:39.240
<v Speaker 1>want to make some income on the property while they're

0:22:39.280 --> 0:22:42.120
<v Speaker 1>not there? Exactly? Yeah, and and a lot of these

0:22:42.160 --> 0:22:47.440
<v Speaker 1>times these properties were vekend. So by allowing these owners

0:22:47.520 --> 0:22:50.960
<v Speaker 1>to actually you know, put their properties on Airbnb's platform,

0:22:51.080 --> 0:22:55.240
<v Speaker 1>it's free income and Airbnb knows how to manage these properties,

0:22:55.280 --> 0:22:58.880
<v Speaker 1>so it's a win win for both of them, you know, man, Deep,

0:22:58.920 --> 0:23:00.639
<v Speaker 1>I want to go back to something you said earlier,

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:03.040
<v Speaker 1>which is the business traveler and how this might be

0:23:03.200 --> 0:23:06.000
<v Speaker 1>a real game changer when it comes to business travel.

0:23:06.160 --> 0:23:08.840
<v Speaker 1>Rather than checking into a hotel where you're overcharged for

0:23:08.880 --> 0:23:13.160
<v Speaker 1>everything from the coffee to the use of the business

0:23:13.160 --> 0:23:15.800
<v Speaker 1>center if there is one, and paying for WiFi if

0:23:15.840 --> 0:23:19.800
<v Speaker 1>you have to. They're going to architecturally design these new

0:23:19.880 --> 0:23:24.280
<v Speaker 1>properties in order to cater specifically to these kinds of

0:23:24.600 --> 0:23:27.800
<v Speaker 1>potential customers, isn't that right? Correct? And and they want

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:31.560
<v Speaker 1>to move up markets so till now their core customer

0:23:31.600 --> 0:23:35.639
<v Speaker 1>base airbnbs core customer base for price conscious customers who

0:23:35.680 --> 0:23:38.760
<v Speaker 1>are looking for the cheapest price on you know, urban

0:23:38.840 --> 0:23:41.960
<v Speaker 1>dwellings and and really looking for a price that was

0:23:42.040 --> 0:23:45.359
<v Speaker 1>cheaper than a hotel. Now, I think the fact that

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:47.880
<v Speaker 1>they have scaled, they the fact that they have created

0:23:47.920 --> 0:23:50.919
<v Speaker 1>a brand name, they want to cater to all the

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:54.119
<v Speaker 1>segments and they want to have you know, separate uh,

0:23:54.160 --> 0:23:58.479
<v Speaker 1>you know entities which serve these segments. So business travel

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:01.119
<v Speaker 1>is a big market it in itself, and are just

0:24:01.119 --> 0:24:03.760
<v Speaker 1>going to add that they don't necessarily then have all

0:24:03.800 --> 0:24:07.320
<v Speaker 1>of that inventory that they have to rent out all

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 1>the time, just as a hotel group would, because that's

0:24:11.119 --> 0:24:14.760
<v Speaker 1>stagnant inventory unless you know, you occupy it. Yeah, So

0:24:14.800 --> 0:24:18.040
<v Speaker 1>the benefit of Airbnb is they are so good with

0:24:18.160 --> 0:24:21.359
<v Speaker 1>crunching data that's available on their platform, and that's really

0:24:21.400 --> 0:24:24.480
<v Speaker 1>their advantage that they're able to, you know, assess the

0:24:24.520 --> 0:24:28.399
<v Speaker 1>supply demand equation much better than a hotel or you know,

0:24:29.320 --> 0:24:32.480
<v Speaker 1>some of the smaller hotels will be able to do themselves,

0:24:32.480 --> 0:24:35.320
<v Speaker 1>so they really have a good stock of what the

0:24:35.359 --> 0:24:38.920
<v Speaker 1>current supply demand dynamics are. You know. I'm struck by

0:24:38.960 --> 0:24:41.280
<v Speaker 1>the fact that Uber right now, which will talk about

0:24:41.400 --> 0:24:45.840
<v Speaker 1>later in the show, is facing some increased regulatory pressure

0:24:46.280 --> 0:24:49.840
<v Speaker 1>in Europe in part because they are designating them a

0:24:49.960 --> 0:24:54.639
<v Speaker 1>taxi company, not necessarily a gig company. The way they

0:24:54.640 --> 0:24:56.800
<v Speaker 1>attach company, the way that they sort of build themselves

0:24:56.800 --> 0:24:59.520
<v Speaker 1>to investors. I wonder at what point this type of

0:24:59.560 --> 0:25:02.800
<v Speaker 1>thing it's Airbnb and they start getting treated more like

0:25:02.800 --> 0:25:07.760
<v Speaker 1>a hotel company than a tech upstart. I mean, that's

0:25:08.440 --> 0:25:10.280
<v Speaker 1>very much of a risk. And when I look at

0:25:10.320 --> 0:25:14.119
<v Speaker 1>all the new sharing economy companies like Uber, like Airbnb,

0:25:14.920 --> 0:25:18.680
<v Speaker 1>they started off as a technology platform, they picked an

0:25:18.720 --> 0:25:22.119
<v Speaker 1>area to focus on, and they really you know, leverage

0:25:22.200 --> 0:25:25.639
<v Speaker 1>technology to mass scale. There is a risk that there's

0:25:25.680 --> 0:25:28.560
<v Speaker 1>a cost side of the equation that obviously could get

0:25:28.560 --> 0:25:32.880
<v Speaker 1>affected once you become regulated. So once you know, Uber

0:25:32.960 --> 0:25:37.000
<v Speaker 1>gets regulated or n B Airbnb gets regulated, it's gonna

0:25:37.400 --> 0:25:40.399
<v Speaker 1>have an impact on the cost side, and that's always

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 1>a risk. But having this investment from Brookfield, that's got

0:25:43.640 --> 0:25:46.399
<v Speaker 1>to be a stamp of approval, or at least that

0:25:47.080 --> 0:25:51.200
<v Speaker 1>conditional stamp of approval. Absolutely, and no one is doubting

0:25:51.240 --> 0:25:54.199
<v Speaker 1>that Airbnb is a viable business. It's there for the

0:25:54.280 --> 0:25:57.119
<v Speaker 1>long term just because they have the scale, they have

0:25:57.240 --> 0:26:00.159
<v Speaker 1>the network effects, and in this business that's what matter.

0:26:00.359 --> 0:26:03.119
<v Speaker 1>So it's not going over anytime soon. It's just that

0:26:03.200 --> 0:26:06.000
<v Speaker 1>the margin dynamics may change depending on whether they are

0:26:06.080 --> 0:26:09.080
<v Speaker 1>regulated entity or not. Thank you so much for joining us.

0:26:09.160 --> 0:26:12.320
<v Speaker 1>Definitely something that we will watch to see who wants

0:26:12.359 --> 0:26:14.600
<v Speaker 1>to buy these, how often they rent them out, and

0:26:14.760 --> 0:26:18.520
<v Speaker 1>what is airpnths regulatory fate Man Deep saying thank you

0:26:18.560 --> 0:26:22.479
<v Speaker 1>so much, tech industry analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, joining us

0:26:22.480 --> 0:26:28.439
<v Speaker 1>here in our eleven three studios. Thanks for listening to

0:26:28.440 --> 0:26:31.320
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe and

0:26:31.400 --> 0:26:35.400
<v Speaker 1>listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast

0:26:35.400 --> 0:26:38.880
<v Speaker 1>platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at

0:26:39.040 --> 0:26:42.440
<v Speaker 1>pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one

0:26:42.640 --> 0:26:45.320
<v Speaker 1>before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide on

0:26:45.400 --> 0:26:46.240
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio