1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast named vest Vetting Podcast or radio 2 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the 3 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan. 4 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 5 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 3: Throwing out job spect. We're sitting up to cash touch. 6 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 3: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they 7 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 3: go to wind. That's incredible, big bank, small banks. I 8 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 3: like to make money. 9 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 2: All right, this is the ultimate kabine. 10 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:41,479 Speaker 3: You want to pull, and we are honderway. It is 11 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 3: Shwney Tom. 12 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 4: Welcome to another episode of the award winning Action Network podcast. 13 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:49,959 Speaker 4: I am your host, Chris Raybond, and I'm joined by 14 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 4: the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, my guy Stucky, and 15 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 4: we are back this week to preview the NFC. 16 00:00:57,800 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 3: If you missed last. 17 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 4: Week's episode, we went through each team in the AFC. 18 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 4: We drafted our six favorite win total bets, so be 19 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 4: sure to check that out on the Action Network podcast channel. 20 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,759 Speaker 4: And before we get into it, just a reminder also 21 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 4: to download the award winning free Action Network app for 22 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 4: real time odds, box scores and the capability to track 23 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 4: every bet that you make, as well as follow experts 24 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 4: like stuck an eye and laugh at us when we 25 00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 4: lose money. And also one thing I wanted to remind 26 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 4: you guys about that we talked about last week is 27 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:38,039 Speaker 4: that you can win a Free Action Network hat by 28 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 4: leaving us a five star review on iTunes or Apple 29 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 4: Podcasts along with your suggestion of what the new team 30 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 4: name should be for the Washington franchise. And we're aware 31 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 4: that many people, non iPhone people don't have access to 32 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 4: iTunes or Apple podcasts. 33 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 3: But do love the show and we want to win 34 00:01:57,840 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 3: some merch. You are still eligible. 35 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:03,120 Speaker 4: Just all our bad Beats hotline instead at five seven 36 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 4: five six five five zero six six four. Again that 37 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 4: is five seven five six five five zero six sixty four. 38 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 4: Tell us you're entering the contest, tell us what you 39 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 4: think the Washington franchisees team name should be. Do it 40 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 4: in sixty seconds or less, and you can win a 41 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 4: Free Action Network hat. We will have more NFL betting 42 00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 4: episodes all off season long, and then our weekly episode 43 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 4: during the season where we both hit sixty percent plus 44 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 4: of our bets last year, so should be some good stuff. Also, 45 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 4: Peter Jennings Jason Soble with the PGA Tour every Tuesday 46 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 4: on the podcast channel, and Matthew Friedmanshaw on Corner and 47 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 4: I do our NFL Fantasy Flex episodes every week. 48 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 3: Leading up to draft. 49 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:51,799 Speaker 4: We already have some fire out including AFC and NFC 50 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 4: projection episodes and a mustlessen quarterback episode of featuring Evan Silva. 51 00:02:57,840 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 3: Check it out. 52 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,359 Speaker 4: But to the main event, it may not be a Sunday, 53 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 4: but we're gonna do our six pack, which is where 54 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:07,519 Speaker 4: we each draft our three favorite bets. We're gonna do 55 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 4: it for NFC win totals. 56 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 3: So let's get into it. 57 00:03:12,120 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 1: There's stayper action, Let's crack open the Sunday six. 58 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 3: Pack, all right? 59 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 4: Stuck, So I'm gonna go number one here with our 60 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 4: NFC win totals again for everyone out there. What we 61 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:32,799 Speaker 4: do is we take turns drafting our favorite win total bets. 62 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 2: It's gonna be an under party. But before we get 63 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 2: into everything, you know, the thing that everyone's worrying about 64 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 2: thinking about is are you know, are these sports gonna happen? 65 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 2: So obviously it's an NFL podcast. There was some like 66 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 2: rumblings the last couple of days that made me a 67 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 2: little bit more nervous about the NFL, But it looks 68 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 2: like some positive news with the NFL and NFL Players 69 00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 2: Association today and it looks like there's gonna be no 70 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:56,839 Speaker 2: preseason games. Any updated thoughts and or you know where 71 00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 2: you stand for pessimism optimism With the season. 72 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 4: I put the odds around ninety percent of a season happening. 73 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 4: I still put it close to that now, just because 74 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 4: I think we have the date of players reporting, and 75 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 4: that's July twenty eighth, So that's something I think was 76 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 4: very important. There can't be football if guys aren't going 77 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:18,840 Speaker 4: to get back on the field and practice at all. 78 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 4: The fact that there's going to be no preseason games 79 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 4: and that the NFL is willing to put that on 80 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 4: the table means things are starting to ramp up in terms. 81 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 3: Of, Okay, we'll give you the players what you want. 82 00:04:29,960 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 4: Let's just get this season started, and let's get it 83 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 4: started on time. You have about a ninety percent plus 84 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:38,280 Speaker 4: chance that the season starts, that the season goes according 85 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 4: to plan. The reason I leave that ten percent up 86 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 4: in the air is just because, as this year has 87 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:45,719 Speaker 4: taught us, unforeseen things do occur and do happen. 88 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:48,599 Speaker 2: How about you, Yeah, I complete agree with everything you said, 89 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 2: and I think the testing protocols agreeing to that is 90 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 2: a huge step. And no preseason. I know it's a 91 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 2: lot of fans, some really sharp fantasy people are upset 92 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 2: about no preseason. I am not one of those very 93 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:02,359 Speaker 2: sharp fans. People don't care about missing preseason. It's all 94 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 2: about how that's going to impact the season. But I 95 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:07,839 Speaker 2: don't really bet preseason, so if we have to sacrifice 96 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 2: the preseason, I'm fine with it. 97 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:15,280 Speaker 4: You're missing out, dude, yo, betting the preseason wells every 98 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:17,479 Speaker 4: year it's the Ravens. I was about to say, like, 99 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 4: you're missing out on betting pretty much an automatic cover 100 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 4: for here Baltimore Ravens. 101 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 3: It's something like. 102 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:25,560 Speaker 4: Two out of every three games I believe it is 103 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 4: under Harball that they cover in the preseason. 104 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 2: I'm willing to sacrifice that, It's all I'm saying. And 105 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:32,840 Speaker 2: let's move on to the NFC. What do you got 106 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 2: for your first pick? 107 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:34,720 Speaker 3: I'm going with the Falcons. 108 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 4: Me and my guy Matthew Friedman, who do the show 109 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 4: on Serious XM Saturday and Sundays, and obviously the Fantasy Pod. 110 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 4: We kind of have a philosophy that we go by 111 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:48,279 Speaker 4: and it's went in doubt be against Dan Quinn, do 112 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:49,280 Speaker 4: you have any. 113 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 5: Idea how disrespectful that is. 114 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 3: It's a good way to start off this NFC podcast. 115 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 4: The Atlanta Falcons. First of all, their win total seven 116 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 4: and a half. It's slightly juiced up to the under 117 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:03,920 Speaker 4: at minus one twenty one at DraftKings Sportsbook, and I'm 118 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,200 Speaker 4: still willing to take that because, first of all, the 119 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:08,720 Speaker 4: Falcons have gone seven to nine in the last two seasons. 120 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,280 Speaker 4: When I look up and down this roster, I don't 121 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 4: see a team that's gotten better. I think one of 122 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,800 Speaker 4: the things coming into the draft that was widely thought 123 00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 4: about the Falcons was that they needed to trade up 124 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 4: into that top five or top eight to get a 125 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:26,600 Speaker 4: top tier defensive difference maker early on. 126 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:28,160 Speaker 3: I don't think they quite did that. 127 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 4: You know, in staying put, they probably honestly should have 128 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:34,040 Speaker 4: took ceulamb given you know who was on the board 129 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 4: at the time. But nevertheless, the Falcons I don't think 130 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 4: got better in the offseason. I think that they're six 131 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 4: and two post by saving of dan Quinn's job. 132 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 3: Was mostly a fluke. 133 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:48,560 Speaker 4: They did have an impressive win against the New Orleans 134 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:51,159 Speaker 4: Saints that will hand them that twenty six to nine, 135 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:54,040 Speaker 4: but they want a trap game for the forty nine 136 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:58,040 Speaker 4: ers on a lucky last minute play where you know, 137 00:06:58,520 --> 00:06:59,600 Speaker 4: I think I forget if. 138 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 3: Both of us on. 139 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:02,680 Speaker 4: I know I was on the Falcons in that game 140 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 4: as huge underdogs. If you listen to the podcast, hopefully 141 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 4: you got on that. But that was when you could 142 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:10,680 Speaker 4: see coming from a mile away. They beat the quitting 143 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 4: Jacksonville Jaguars, and they trample Carolina by twenty plus points twice, 144 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 4: and then they got a Jameis Winston overtime gift pick six. 145 00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 4: So none of those wins really stand up except New 146 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 4: Orleans in my opinion. So I don't think that that's 147 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 4: necessarily a sign of things to come. I think sometimes 148 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 4: we can tend to connect two things that are not 149 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 4: necessarily related. So the Falcons started off really poorly, then 150 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:40,280 Speaker 4: they go six and two post buy. They did make 151 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 4: some kind of coaching adjustments, there was a bye week. 152 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:46,200 Speaker 4: People may think, Okay, they got it turned around, this 153 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 4: team is going to improve, But I think there seven 154 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 4: to nine records over the last couple of years. 155 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 3: Speak for themselves. 156 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:55,240 Speaker 4: And I think the fact that you now have a 157 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 4: much better Tampa Bay team with Tom Brady, who's highly 158 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 4: on whine to give you a win with a pick 159 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:05,679 Speaker 4: six throws about a third as many interceptions as James Winston. 160 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 4: I don't see it for the Falcons to get to 161 00:08:08,880 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 4: eight and eight this year yet again. I think they're 162 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:12,680 Speaker 4: gonna have their third straight losing season. 163 00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't disagree with you. I personally make it 164 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:20,160 Speaker 2: seven point three, So not enough value for me to 165 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 2: play the under, but I would lean that side. You know, 166 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:25,160 Speaker 2: you mentioned the defensive improvement in the second half of 167 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 2: the year. That's when the play calling duty shifted, so 168 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 2: maybe there's something there, but I just don't. There's questions 169 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 2: all over this defense. To me, I have questions with 170 00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:36,959 Speaker 2: them getting pressure, with them in the secondary, I mean 171 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:39,880 Speaker 2: just all over on the defense, and you know, on offense, 172 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:42,640 Speaker 2: there's some questions on the offensive line, specifically the right side. 173 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 2: I mean Todd Gurley, I mean, come on, just yeah, 174 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 2: I think there's way more questions than answers with this 175 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 2: team in a tougher division. So yeah, I think it's 176 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 2: under or nothing because I agree with you. I think 177 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:01,199 Speaker 2: that this defense, this is a team overall didn't improve 178 00:09:01,240 --> 00:09:01,960 Speaker 2: from last year. 179 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:05,160 Speaker 4: You pointed out that they did kind of improve after 180 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 4: some some things are shifted around play calling wise, but 181 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:09,679 Speaker 4: whatever it was with that defense, it took him half 182 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,440 Speaker 4: a year to figure it out. Now there's no offseason, 183 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:16,079 Speaker 4: so there's new players. They're relying on some younger guys. 184 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:18,240 Speaker 4: It could take another half season to figure out or 185 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:19,439 Speaker 4: more with no off season. 186 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:21,199 Speaker 3: So that's kind of where I am with them. 187 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:24,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, you're losing Beasley, Clayborn truefon on three of your 188 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 2: most important defensive players last year, So yeah, I agree 189 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:30,760 Speaker 2: with you there. For my first pick, I am going 190 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:36,560 Speaker 2: with the Philadelphia Eagles under nine and a half. You know, 191 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:39,160 Speaker 2: speaking of teams that didn't get better, I don't see it. 192 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 2: With the Eagles. It really hurts is the injury at 193 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:45,880 Speaker 2: right guard one of the best. Brooks is one of 194 00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 2: the best guards in the NFL. And their offensive line 195 00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:51,320 Speaker 2: has been a strength for years now. I know that 196 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:54,679 Speaker 2: Peters comes back and he's gonna slide into guard, you presume, 197 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 2: and maybe he can stay healthy. I don't know if 198 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:00,960 Speaker 2: if Peters is able to stay healthy anymore, but just 199 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:03,560 Speaker 2: the offensive line in general, their swing tackle position, which 200 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 2: has been so important, gone A lot of questions there. 201 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 2: The Lions, I guess they've paid Bye Tip fifty million, 202 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:11,600 Speaker 2: but the offensive line I don't think is as strong. 203 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 2: I still have questions about the receiving corps. Deshaun Jackson's 204 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 2: getting up there at age. He's had injuries. Obviously he 205 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 2: needs to be on the field to stretch the offense. 206 00:10:18,800 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 2: We saw what the offense looked like without him, but 207 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 2: Alshon Jeffery looks done. So I have questions about the offense, 208 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:29,599 Speaker 2: and then specifically the defense. I know that the defensive 209 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 2: line has a lot of talent. They have three of 210 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 2: the top five four to three defensive tackles salary wise 211 00:10:35,679 --> 00:10:38,200 Speaker 2: on their roster, so I mean, you better be good, 212 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 2: and they are good against the run, but the defensive 213 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,560 Speaker 2: ends they're not as deep as they've been. I have 214 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 2: questions about the linebacker. What is going on at linebacker 215 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 2: with Eagles. I know they don't value the position, and 216 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 2: I know fifty percent of the time last year Schwartz 217 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 2: he's one or zero linebackers. And for those that haven't 218 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 2: been watching NFL right, last year, the NFL teams used 219 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:03,080 Speaker 2: six d backs more than four d backs. That shows 220 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 2: you the way the league is moving sixty backs about 221 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:08,320 Speaker 2: twenty one percent of the time, four d backs about 222 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:12,319 Speaker 2: eighteen percent of the time Nickel about sixty percent of 223 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:16,160 Speaker 2: the time. So linebackers are a position that is just 224 00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 2: not as valuable as it once was. Right, you really 225 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 2: want these versatile safety slash corners or you know, a 226 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 2: hybrid linebacker that can cover against these passing offenses. But 227 00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 2: I think the Eagles have taken it to the extreme. 228 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:30,560 Speaker 2: You know, here here's a game. Go go to your 229 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 2: neighbor of Joe Schmoe NFL fan or even a Sharper 230 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 2: f and say, who are the Eagles linebackers. It's like 231 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:38,880 Speaker 2: Nathan Jerry. I think it's going to be calling their 232 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 2: plays as a safety in college at Jatavis Brown, a 233 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:45,560 Speaker 2: failed Chargers linebacker, and their linebacker is awful. Keep going 234 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:47,559 Speaker 2: up the middle of the defense. You lose Jenkins, just 235 00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 2: a leader right against the run, brought all the entangles 236 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 2: of defense. They're going to replace him with Jalen Mills. 237 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:55,839 Speaker 2: Like the safety position is a mess now. Where they 238 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 2: think that they're going to address a lot of the 239 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:00,679 Speaker 2: issues from last year is that corner. But I think 240 00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 2: Slay is done well. PFF had them way. I think 241 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:06,200 Speaker 2: ninety corners and once corners. You'll hear me talk about 242 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:08,320 Speaker 2: this lot in the Podcets hit like thirty. It's kind 243 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:10,720 Speaker 2: of like a center field or defense in baseball. They 244 00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 2: fall off a cliff. It is just really hard to 245 00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:16,280 Speaker 2: still be what Sleigh wants to be. A'll follow you 246 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 2: shadow man corner, so I think he's falling off a cliff. 247 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 2: Don't love that signing you have. Roby Coleman has been 248 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,520 Speaker 2: good in the slot. Your other cornerback of Maddox is 249 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 2: basically like another slot, So I don't love the corner group. 250 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 2: Don't love the linebackers. Don't love the safeties. There's only 251 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:34,000 Speaker 2: so much your d lineman can do. So questions on offense, 252 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:36,360 Speaker 2: questions on defense. I know that they play at the 253 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 2: Giants and Skins for total times, but I don't see 254 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:40,920 Speaker 2: it nine and a half. I make it closer to 255 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 2: eight and a half. So give me the Eagles under. 256 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:43,920 Speaker 3: Yeah. 257 00:12:43,960 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 4: I think that when you see these wind totals getting 258 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:51,120 Speaker 4: up above really eight and a half, you have to 259 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:53,560 Speaker 4: be even more alert for unders than you usually are, 260 00:12:53,640 --> 00:12:57,199 Speaker 4: because to say a team is going to win ten games, 261 00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 4: which is what you would be saying by betting the over, 262 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:02,320 Speaker 4: that has to be a really, really good team. And well, 263 00:13:02,360 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 4: I think the Eagles are above average. I think that 264 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 4: this wind total is inflated, and it's based on some 265 00:13:09,120 --> 00:13:12,880 Speaker 4: of those flashy signings in the offseason or acquisitions. I 266 00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 4: should say, name we Darius Slay, who you're right ranked 267 00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:19,800 Speaker 4: eighty five of one hundred and fifteen qualified corners according 268 00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 4: to Pro Football Focuses grades. He graded out with just 269 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 4: a fifty six point four grade and just didn't look great, 270 00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:32,400 Speaker 4: And you're completely right, he could be on the downside 271 00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 4: of his career. The Lions were, you know, obviously didn't 272 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:38,840 Speaker 4: value him too highly, and not that they are a 273 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,280 Speaker 4: great defense that can afford to lose guys like that, 274 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:44,680 Speaker 4: But Matt Patricia is a defensive minded coach. You know, 275 00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 4: guy came from the Patriots and should have at least 276 00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 4: some understanding about what a guy like that's value is. 277 00:13:51,520 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 4: And you know, he wasn't a priority for them, and 278 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 4: Roby Coleman might be their best cornerback in the flot. 279 00:13:59,280 --> 00:14:01,560 Speaker 4: But I agree because what's going to happen, I think 280 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 4: is Jim Schwartz. He's aggressive, They got Darius Sway, and 281 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,199 Speaker 4: whether Slay has fallen off or not, Jim Schwartz is 282 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:10,719 Speaker 4: gonna put him on an island. And so that could 283 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 4: be problematic knowing your strengths and weaknesses. I think that's 284 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:16,640 Speaker 4: one of the downfalls that tends to sink NFL teams. 285 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:18,400 Speaker 4: And again, this is a team that they may figure 286 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 4: it out by week eight or nine, but it could 287 00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 4: be too eight. And yeah, I think that the Giants 288 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:25,760 Speaker 4: got a little bit better. I don't think the Redskins 289 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 4: got better. We'll talk about that in a second. But overall, 290 00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 4: I think this is an eight to nine when team 291 00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 4: they went nine to seven last year, I think that's 292 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 4: about right. Would not bet the the over on them either, 293 00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 4: So yeah, I'm with you. I think the under is 294 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 4: the is the only way to go. And yeah, let's 295 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:42,880 Speaker 4: get right into too my second pick, because it is 296 00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:45,800 Speaker 4: going to be the Washington Redskins and I'm going under 297 00:14:46,360 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 4: and they're at whatever five, they're under five, but it's 298 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:52,400 Speaker 4: you're getting some good juice here plus one to eighteen 299 00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 4: at Draftings Sportsbook. I'll take it if you look at 300 00:14:55,120 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 4: the Washington Redskins, or I should say the Washington franchise formerly. 301 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:02,440 Speaker 2: The Washington TVDS. 302 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:07,560 Speaker 4: Yeah right, the Washington TVDS, the franchise formerly known as 303 00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 4: Thou which shall not be named. They are just headed 304 00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 4: for a disaster in my opinion, because first of all, 305 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 4: you have a team that went three and thirteen last year. 306 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:22,400 Speaker 4: Now by point differential aka their Pythagoran win total, they 307 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 4: actually played better than that. So usually you look for 308 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 4: those teams to improve. But guess what, their Pythagoran win 309 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 4: total was three point eight, So they can improve up 310 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 4: to that level of a four win team, and you 311 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 4: still win this bet. And you look at their schedule 312 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:38,600 Speaker 4: and it's hard to come to eat five wins because 313 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:42,800 Speaker 4: you have Cincinnati and Carolina those two games you say 314 00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:46,240 Speaker 4: those are pretty much must wins. And then you say, okay, 315 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 4: well they played the Giants twice. 316 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 3: They lost to the Giants twice. 317 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 4: Last year by a combined score of sixty five to 318 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 4: thirty eight. They have two of the worst quarterbacks in 319 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:57,880 Speaker 4: the league, and stuck. I know, you know, I'm sure. However, 320 00:15:57,920 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 4: you kind of come to your power ratings. Some variation 321 00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 4: of quarterback efficiency is factored in, and one metric that 322 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:08,160 Speaker 4: I like to use is adjusted net yards per pass attempt. 323 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 4: It's essentially yards per attempt that you know, the traditional 324 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 4: yards per attempt, adjusted for sack yardage, adjusted for touchdowns, 325 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:20,119 Speaker 4: and adjusted for interceptions and Kyle Allen and Dwayne Haskins, 326 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 4: who one of those two guys is going to be 327 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 4: starting pretty much all the Redskins games this year. Those 328 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 4: two are the two worst qualifiers in the entire National 329 00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 4: Football League in that metric, and so you have the 330 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:34,520 Speaker 4: two least efficient quarterbacks in the league. You have a 331 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 4: schedule that doesn't have many games that you can circle 332 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 4: and say this team is definitely gonna win. It's more 333 00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:42,400 Speaker 4: like this team has to win this just to get 334 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 4: over the win total. And they have some, you know, 335 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 4: tough games. I mean, they play the AFC Norse. So 336 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:50,239 Speaker 4: you got to play Baltimore, you have to play Pittsburgh 337 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 4: in Pittsburgh. 338 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:54,040 Speaker 3: You have to play Cleveland in Cleveland. 339 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 4: That's that's not easy. You have to win that game 340 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:59,080 Speaker 4: against Cincinnati. You pretty much have to win a game 341 00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 4: against Detroit that's in Detroit, and you have to beat 342 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 4: probably a team like the Cardinals, but that's in Arizona. 343 00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:09,159 Speaker 4: So when I look up and down the schedule, besides that, 344 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:11,879 Speaker 4: you know you have Dallas, you have San Francisco, Seattle, 345 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:15,000 Speaker 4: the Eagles a couple of times, you know at the Rams. 346 00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 4: I don't know how this team gets to even five 347 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 4: wins with the weath efficient quarterbacks in the NFL, with 348 00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 4: turmoil amid the franchise. They don't even have a name, 349 00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:25,320 Speaker 4: they have no identity that they have a. 350 00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:25,880 Speaker 3: New head coach. 351 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 4: Ron Rivera has been pretty successful throughout his career, but 352 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,159 Speaker 4: he couldn't do it with the Panthers last year, a 353 00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:36,320 Speaker 4: team with a similar lack of talent. And so I'm 354 00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:39,040 Speaker 4: betting the Redskins to get to go under five wins 355 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:40,760 Speaker 4: at the plus money Jews. 356 00:17:41,880 --> 00:17:44,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't disagree with you, by the way, that 357 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 2: there's not there has been a back to back winner 358 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:50,239 Speaker 2: in the NFC some fifteen years, which I thought was 359 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:52,440 Speaker 2: pretty crazy. And the one thing I will say about 360 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:54,160 Speaker 2: the Eagles, I're the only team that didn't have coaching 361 00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 2: changes in the entire division. You know, they had some 362 00:17:57,040 --> 00:17:59,959 Speaker 2: offensive coach chacups, but as far as coordinators and head coaches, 363 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 2: a lot of turnover in the NFC East. The Redskins again, 364 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,399 Speaker 2: new OC, new DC, new head coach. They're gonna go 365 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,439 Speaker 2: to a new scheme on defensive four to three front. 366 00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:10,920 Speaker 2: That's the best thing I could say about the Redskins. 367 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 2: Their four man front could be scary. There's a ton 368 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:18,199 Speaker 2: of talent. I mean you have Payne Allen, Carrigan and 369 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 2: now Chase Young. But then you know Ronovera signing Thomas Davis. 370 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 2: Thomas Davis is what fifty four years old to play 371 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 2: will linebacker. You have John Bostick. I mean I have 372 00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 2: questions with their secondary. And then on the offensive side, 373 00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:36,240 Speaker 2: what you really hope is that Dwayne Haskins because you 374 00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:39,080 Speaker 2: hope it's not Kyle Allen takes an enormous leap in 375 00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 2: you know this year. What's gonna hurt that lack of 376 00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:45,960 Speaker 2: offseason prep. No, this is like a quarterback that struggled 377 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 2: coming into like his second maybe third year. That's really 378 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:52,119 Speaker 2: when you went the preseason when you want a full 379 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:55,480 Speaker 2: off season for your offense, right, Like Dwayne Haskins could 380 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:59,920 Speaker 2: really benefit from a non COVID summer. So that's gonna 381 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:03,480 Speaker 2: hurt them. The weapons outside of McLaren, I don't see them. 382 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:07,280 Speaker 2: They're not weapons. So yeah, I mean, yeah you would. 383 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 2: What are they gonna hope like my man Gandy Golden 384 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:14,119 Speaker 2: from Liberty has to come in and be a stud, 385 00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:16,840 Speaker 2: so you know, the left side of the offensive line, 386 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 2: major questions. So yeah, I have they just missed the 387 00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:22,680 Speaker 2: cut for me, like, if we went four, I probably 388 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 2: would have taken the Redstons. I've I'm their winter till 389 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:25,719 Speaker 2: it was five and a half. I make at four 390 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 2: point nine, so I completely agree with you. I think 391 00:19:28,600 --> 00:19:30,840 Speaker 2: Trustway is back at punter. I used to say that 392 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 2: was the good thing about the Redskins all last year. 393 00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 2: They're punting. That's never good when you're just saying that 394 00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:37,760 Speaker 2: the punting is good, but the punting should be good again. Though, 395 00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 2: I can't disagree with you there. 396 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:41,000 Speaker 4: I think you summed it up when you first started 397 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,120 Speaker 4: talking about their defense and you said they have pain. 398 00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 3: That's pretty much what they have. They have pain, like 399 00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,600 Speaker 3: literal pain. That's about it. 400 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:50,960 Speaker 4: For the Redskins. Let me stop calling them the Redskins. 401 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:52,520 Speaker 4: We're gonna get out of the house. Like first we 402 00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:54,399 Speaker 4: got the Chargers and we eat the LA and the 403 00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 4: San Diego thing. Now we gotta remember now Vegas. Yeah, 404 00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:00,440 Speaker 4: it's like there's too much. Come on, Washington, get a 405 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,360 Speaker 4: new team name. Do it quick because I'm gonna keep 406 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 4: messing up here. But let's keep it going. Stuck who 407 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:05,359 Speaker 4: you got for year? 408 00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,280 Speaker 2: Second? All right? For my second pick, we said this 409 00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 2: is an under party. We've had three unders so far. 410 00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:13,160 Speaker 2: So I'm going with my fourth under here, and I'm 411 00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:18,359 Speaker 2: going with the aforementioned Carolina Panthers under five and a half. 412 00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 2: I project this right at four and a half. New 413 00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 2: head coach, new scheme. I mean this is this is 414 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 2: a defense that was just so bad this year. They're 415 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:29,439 Speaker 2: moving back to a four to three. So basically what 416 00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:31,920 Speaker 2: happened last year is they moved to a three to four, 417 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 2: which did help with their pass rush. They were top 418 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:37,119 Speaker 2: five adjusted Sakert, so they were able to get pressure. 419 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:38,600 Speaker 2: That's one of the reasons they wanted to move to 420 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 2: three four, But the linebackers were lost. They had nothing 421 00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 2: at the middle. You could just run at will against 422 00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:47,159 Speaker 2: the Panthers. So they're moving back to a four to three, 423 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:50,160 Speaker 2: which I think could help a little bit against the run. 424 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 2: You know you're gonna have Haywan short back. You drafted 425 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 2: Derek Brown. I still don't love the edge. I don't 426 00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:59,160 Speaker 2: love their secondary, but everything is different. You have Matt 427 00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 2: Ruhle coming in here. You're gonna have a completely new 428 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:05,440 Speaker 2: scheme on defense, and on the offensive side of the ball. 429 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:07,399 Speaker 2: You're bringing in a new quarterback. These are all the 430 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,960 Speaker 2: things I'm looking to fade this year with COVID, lack 431 00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:14,000 Speaker 2: of prep, lack of preseason games, new head coach, new 432 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:17,960 Speaker 2: coaching staff, new quarterback, new defensive scheme. All of this 433 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:20,679 Speaker 2: is what the Panthers are having to deal with. So 434 00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:24,520 Speaker 2: there's not much I really like about this team. And 435 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,280 Speaker 2: you know, it's a quarterback driven leave. If you believe 436 00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:30,359 Speaker 2: in Teddy Bridgewater, you know, as a starting quarterback that 437 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:34,480 Speaker 2: can make up for a lot of deficiencies in many 438 00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 2: areas throughout the team, then maybe you like the Panthers. 439 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 2: I personally don't. Teddy Bridgewater is a very good backup 440 00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,280 Speaker 2: in my opinion. Now, look the guy at all he 441 00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:47,040 Speaker 2: does is cover, but he doesn't make mistakes. He's not 442 00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:49,919 Speaker 2: gonna go down the field a lot. I mean, just 443 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,240 Speaker 2: look at his average target length. But he's not gonna 444 00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 2: lose you games. But he's also not going to really 445 00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:57,240 Speaker 2: win you games. And that's what I think the Panthers 446 00:21:57,280 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 2: would need with this roster this year. So you know, 447 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,359 Speaker 2: I just don't see it. I mean there's questions on 448 00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:06,119 Speaker 2: the offensive line as well. Is a transition year for Carolina. 449 00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:08,919 Speaker 2: You get Joe Brady in coming in trying to rework 450 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:10,720 Speaker 2: this offense. I just don't think Teddy Bridgewater is the 451 00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:13,720 Speaker 2: quarterback for it. Rework the defense, new head coach, new 452 00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:15,879 Speaker 2: culture change. So I think there's gonna be a lot 453 00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:18,640 Speaker 2: of growing pains. Maybe they start to figure stuff out 454 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,639 Speaker 2: at the end of the year, but I'll keep hammering 455 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:23,080 Speaker 2: this point home. Teams that I believe are going to 456 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 2: struggle early on are going to struggle longer into the 457 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,439 Speaker 2: season than normal. Right, So a lot of times with 458 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 2: a preseason, with normal preparation, you might still struggle early 459 00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 2: in the year, but you've been working out some of 460 00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 2: the kinks in preseason and during the season. Well, now 461 00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:43,920 Speaker 2: you're going to have those struggles. That communication, defensive scheme changes, 462 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,440 Speaker 2: all those issues are going to last longer into the year. 463 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:50,680 Speaker 2: So there's not much I like about this Panthers team 464 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,439 Speaker 2: transition year. I think that the coaching could be a 465 00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 2: positive in the long run. We'll see hard to evaluate 466 00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,480 Speaker 2: the transition from college to the NFL. But give me 467 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 2: the under on the Panthers. 468 00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 4: If I'm a listener out there, I would be paying 469 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:06,120 Speaker 4: I would be paying attention to their weekly point spreads 470 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 4: because this is a bad team. This is a team 471 00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 4: that you know as stuggy, you point out probably is 472 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,920 Speaker 4: gonna win four to five games and not many more. 473 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 3: However, on a week to week. 474 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:20,920 Speaker 4: Basis, because they are one of the weaker teams in 475 00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,960 Speaker 4: the league, I think their point spreads are gonna have 476 00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:24,720 Speaker 4: some value. 477 00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:26,320 Speaker 3: And as you mentioned, Teddy. 478 00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:30,159 Speaker 4: Bridgewater, holy does his cover now. Granted, the situations have 479 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,679 Speaker 4: been different in Minnesota and then in New Orleans, but 480 00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:35,760 Speaker 4: for his career, Teddy Bridgewater is twenty eight and seven 481 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:37,480 Speaker 4: against the spread as a starter. 482 00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:40,159 Speaker 3: That is absurd. That is ridiculous. 483 00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:44,080 Speaker 4: That that means that not only do we are we 484 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,919 Speaker 4: probably going to underestimate the Panthers just because they're a 485 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 4: terrible team and the lines tend to get inflated when 486 00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,520 Speaker 4: you have those kind of teams, but Teddy Bridgewater has 487 00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:55,440 Speaker 4: consistently been underestimated. So I think there will be value 488 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,240 Speaker 4: from week to week betting on the Panthers to cover. 489 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:01,560 Speaker 4: But yeah, ultimately, I don't think going to win many games. 490 00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 4: I just think they will. I think they'll be a 491 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 4: profitable bet. I think we'll be sitting here during the 492 00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:10,639 Speaker 4: season talking about the Panthers a lot on our Sunday 493 00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:11,200 Speaker 4: six packs. 494 00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:13,480 Speaker 2: Yep. I agree. One other things I'll bring up is 495 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:15,560 Speaker 2: This is hard to project, but it could only work 496 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,159 Speaker 2: in your favor for unders just like it. You know, 497 00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:21,919 Speaker 2: injuries to quarterbacks can this year, in particular with the 498 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 2: expanded playoff, right, you're gonna have an additional team to 499 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,440 Speaker 2: get in the playoff, a seventh team, maybe a seven 500 00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:29,960 Speaker 2: and nine team, more likely eight and eight, nine and seven. 501 00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:32,959 Speaker 2: But what that means to me is potentially you have 502 00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:35,880 Speaker 2: more teams still alive at the end of the year, 503 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 2: which means that a team teams at the bottom of 504 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:42,280 Speaker 2: the barrel might not get to pick up as many 505 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 2: cheap wins as normal. You're gonna have a lot more 506 00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:47,439 Speaker 2: teams still thinking that all right, we're mathematically alive. That 507 00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:49,040 Speaker 2: could hurt the teams at the bottom of the barrel. 508 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 2: Just wanted to throw that out there. Where are you 509 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:51,080 Speaker 2: going for your third pick? 510 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,920 Speaker 4: For my third pick, I am going to Detroit and 511 00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,640 Speaker 4: I am going to bet on the Lions to win 512 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 4: fewer than six and a half games. I think they 513 00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:06,440 Speaker 4: are yet again a six ish underwin team. I think 514 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,159 Speaker 4: they're one of the poorer teams in the league. And 515 00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:11,760 Speaker 4: a lot of people will say, okay, last year they 516 00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,199 Speaker 4: were solid with Matthew Stafford. But if you look at 517 00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:17,480 Speaker 4: matt Patricia in his two years, he's nine to fourteen 518 00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:21,040 Speaker 4: and one with Stafford as the starter, that's still at 519 00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:24,199 Speaker 4: three to ninety six win percentage. That still equates to 520 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,760 Speaker 4: about six point three wins, so closer to six than 521 00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 4: to seven. So I'm not feeling Detroit this year. I 522 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:35,280 Speaker 4: think this is another team. And one of the trends 523 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:38,359 Speaker 4: I like for unders is, you know, beyond kind of 524 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:40,359 Speaker 4: going looking at the top and taking the teams with 525 00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 4: the double digit win totals and just betting under. But 526 00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 4: another trend I like is I think the teams tend 527 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 4: to get that tend to get inflated are the ones 528 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:55,400 Speaker 4: with solid quarterbacks and bad defenses. Because as football fans analysts, 529 00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:58,320 Speaker 4: we tend to think about offense first, and we look 530 00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:00,880 Speaker 4: at a team with Matt Ryan and or a team 531 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:02,840 Speaker 4: with Matthew Stafford and Detroit and we say they can 532 00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:06,400 Speaker 4: only be so bad. But in reality, I think Detroit 533 00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 4: this is another defense that just doesn't have quite enough 534 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,040 Speaker 4: long term. I think getting Jeffrey Okuda, you know, in 535 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:15,760 Speaker 4: the top five at cornerback out of Ohio State, was 536 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,280 Speaker 4: a positive and will probably be an upgrade on Darius 537 00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:20,960 Speaker 4: Slay sooner than Laiter because Slay was starting to fall off, 538 00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:24,679 Speaker 4: but still not an ideal situation to have a defense 539 00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:29,920 Speaker 4: that is not extremely talented and that has some young 540 00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:31,040 Speaker 4: pieces that they're going. 541 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:31,720 Speaker 3: To have to rely on. 542 00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,760 Speaker 4: And another thing I want to point out, just more generally, 543 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,399 Speaker 4: is that a lot of people, especially in fantasy, but 544 00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 4: I think more generally just in terms of NFL analysis, 545 00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:43,240 Speaker 4: are saying, hey, the lack of all season is going to. 546 00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:44,280 Speaker 3: Hurt the offenses. 547 00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,920 Speaker 4: But I actually think it's gonna hurt the defenses even 548 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:50,200 Speaker 4: more because the one thing about offense is you still 549 00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:52,359 Speaker 4: have an advantage in the fact that you're an offense. 550 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:53,359 Speaker 3: You're on the offensive. 551 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,159 Speaker 4: Defenses have to react and there are going to be 552 00:26:56,200 --> 00:27:00,159 Speaker 4: certain players that you just can't defend, whether they a 553 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:01,920 Speaker 4: lot of practice time or not. Like guys that are 554 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 4: just fast, you're not going to be able to defend. 555 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,120 Speaker 4: You can have simple concepts on offense that an unprepared 556 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:10,199 Speaker 4: defense is not going to be ready for. A defense 557 00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:11,639 Speaker 4: with a lack of talent is not going to be 558 00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,880 Speaker 4: ready for, and so kind of the same. The the 559 00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:19,400 Speaker 4: theme with Atlanta and Detroit, two of the weaker defenses 560 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,679 Speaker 4: in the entire league. I don't think that their quarterback 561 00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:25,080 Speaker 4: play is going to be able to make up for it, 562 00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 4: and Detroit with Matt Patricia hasn't figured it out yet. 563 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:31,560 Speaker 4: Even with Stafford in the lineup, I don't think DeAndre 564 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:35,359 Speaker 4: Swift is going to necessarily help the bottom line for 565 00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:37,800 Speaker 4: Detroit in terms of you know, a running back is 566 00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:40,960 Speaker 4: not one of the things that usually impacts a team's 567 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:45,120 Speaker 4: chances of winning or losing a great deal, you know. So, Detroit, 568 00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,520 Speaker 4: by the way, has been the worst team in the 569 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:50,080 Speaker 4: league over the last since Barry Sanders retired, and pretty 570 00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:54,239 Speaker 4: much every rushing metric imaginable. And you know why if 571 00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:57,399 Speaker 4: you look at what Detroit's defense has been pretty much 572 00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,959 Speaker 4: every year since Barry Sanders retired, they've always had one. 573 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,160 Speaker 3: The worst defense is saved for a year here or there. 574 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,560 Speaker 3: So I think the defense is still going to be 575 00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:05,160 Speaker 3: a problem. 576 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:07,359 Speaker 4: And I think this is a six win team in 577 00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:09,880 Speaker 4: a division where you have three teams that I think 578 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 4: are in a whole different tier than Detroit. 579 00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:15,240 Speaker 3: You have Minnesota, Green Bay, and Chicago. I think those 580 00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:16,400 Speaker 3: teams are duking it out. 581 00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:19,359 Speaker 4: None of those teams are exceptional, but they're all solid 582 00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:22,480 Speaker 4: teams that have better defenses. 583 00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:25,400 Speaker 3: Than Detroit, and you know, at least. 584 00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:28,239 Speaker 4: On offense, can can compete with Detroit if they're not 585 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,480 Speaker 4: better on offense as well. So I think it's a 586 00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:33,800 Speaker 4: situation where Detroit can possibly go as bad as one 587 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,440 Speaker 4: in five or zero to six in the division and 588 00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 4: just don't see them as as clear favorites in many 589 00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:42,120 Speaker 4: games outside of that either. 590 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:45,040 Speaker 2: By the way, this is your therapeic. I'm shocked that 591 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 2: you didn't have the Cardinals over. 592 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:50,600 Speaker 3: I don't do over. I hardly ever do. That's fair. 593 00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's an interesting question with what is 594 00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:56,120 Speaker 2: the lack of preseason, lack of preparation, who is it 595 00:28:56,160 --> 00:28:58,360 Speaker 2: going to favor? You know, I tend to agree with you 596 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:01,920 Speaker 2: with receivers in that you can still work on your 597 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:05,880 Speaker 2: timing with a quarterback in without preseason games, right, you 598 00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,280 Speaker 2: get your route tree down, you get your time, you 599 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:10,800 Speaker 2: know your play calling where it could hurt. And I 600 00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:12,959 Speaker 2: talked with this a lot as rookie quarterbacks and just 601 00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 2: not being able to read different NFL defenses right, just 602 00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:19,320 Speaker 2: the speed isn't there, Like, that's what preseason helps with 603 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:24,320 Speaker 2: rookie quarterback. Also, offensive line chemistry, continuity, That's where I 604 00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 2: think it really if you have a lot of new 605 00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:29,560 Speaker 2: starters on an offensive line and a rookie quarterback, that's 606 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:31,120 Speaker 2: where I think the lack of prep parts. I agree 607 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:32,600 Speaker 2: with you. I think that people are just assuming that 608 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,640 Speaker 2: it only hurts the offense. It's definitely way more nuanced 609 00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:36,040 Speaker 2: than that. 610 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:37,920 Speaker 3: So it's like, what happens. 611 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,760 Speaker 4: Let's say, how does that lack of preparation manifest for 612 00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:43,160 Speaker 4: a quarterback or o line. It's probably a sack or 613 00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:45,600 Speaker 4: a ten yard penalty, right, something like that. You play 614 00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 4: another down, how does the lack of preparation manifest itself 615 00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 4: on defense? A coverage bust? What does that lead to 616 00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:55,600 Speaker 4: a seventy five yard touchdown? So there's just more downside 617 00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 4: with lack of preparation on defense, you know, acknowledging the 618 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 4: fact that both sides are gonna hurt. 619 00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:04,560 Speaker 3: They're just less of a margin for error. And even 620 00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:05,160 Speaker 3: the tackling. 621 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,360 Speaker 4: I think the tackling on defense, you know, you're not 622 00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:09,200 Speaker 4: in there, you're not in pads all summer. 623 00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:10,680 Speaker 3: Now you had to go out and hit people. 624 00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:13,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's gonna it's gonna be a struggle, and I 625 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:14,680 Speaker 4: just think people aren't acknowledging that. 626 00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:16,840 Speaker 2: But but yeah, yeah, the one thing I will say 627 00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:19,960 Speaker 2: is if you have a newer quarterback and they struggle early, 628 00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:22,400 Speaker 2: what happens is you start to lose your confidence, you 629 00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:24,400 Speaker 2: second guess yourself. That's what you really want to look 630 00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:27,040 Speaker 2: out for as well. That's where I want to really 631 00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:28,920 Speaker 2: watch for, because it's not as much I know my 632 00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:31,800 Speaker 2: receiver is gonna go here or here based on the safety. 633 00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,280 Speaker 2: But if you're not reading that all right, this guy's 634 00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:36,800 Speaker 2: dropping back in his zone. This is more man and 635 00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:39,840 Speaker 2: that you start seeing ghosts, then that's where it's trouble. 636 00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 2: But yeah, I completely agree with you, am Sam Darnold. 637 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:45,680 Speaker 3: Anyway, it's I was thinking the same thing. I was like, Yeah, 638 00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:47,960 Speaker 3: still Darnold is not getting better this year. 639 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, if you missed the first episode of Jets Under, 640 00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:55,120 Speaker 2: you know the argument for the lines and you'll hear 641 00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:58,440 Speaker 2: this a lot is they were oh and eight without Stafford, 642 00:30:58,440 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 2: and they were three four and one with them, and 643 00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:01,560 Speaker 2: they could have been like six and two. They lost 644 00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:03,640 Speaker 2: the flute game of the Chiefs flute game to the Packers. 645 00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:06,160 Speaker 2: But I don't see this team. I think this team 646 00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:09,200 Speaker 2: could potentially be better on defense in the future, but 647 00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:11,360 Speaker 2: I don't think overall they got better still questions about 648 00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:13,560 Speaker 2: the right side of the offensive line of I tie signing. 649 00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:17,600 Speaker 2: I don't get it. But you know, the defensive line, 650 00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,800 Speaker 2: they still don't get pressure. They lose what snacks Harrison 651 00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:25,440 Speaker 2: A'shawn Robinson, linebackers a lot to be desired and we'll 652 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,440 Speaker 2: find out. You know, it's this is they signed a 653 00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:29,800 Speaker 2: lot of Patriots in the offseason. I mean, they're gonna play. 654 00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:32,160 Speaker 2: They're gonna be a man heavy team under Patricia. You know, 655 00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,280 Speaker 2: if Trufont and Akuda can come in and just be 656 00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 2: lockdown man corners or defense could be a lot better. 657 00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:39,360 Speaker 2: I don't know if that's gonna happen right away with Akuda, 658 00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 2: and I don't see the consistency yet with Trufont. So yeah, 659 00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:45,240 Speaker 2: the one thing and I make the seven point oh, 660 00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:47,600 Speaker 2: which is where it is. So I don't see any 661 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:50,280 Speaker 2: value either way, which which the tough part about for 662 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:52,720 Speaker 2: me is I don't know who I believe in in 663 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:55,520 Speaker 2: this division. It's like if any one of these teams 664 00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,200 Speaker 2: locks out at four and two or five and one 665 00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:01,640 Speaker 2: in the division, would it shock me? No. So that's 666 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:03,880 Speaker 2: that's what's would keep me off the lines. But I 667 00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,360 Speaker 2: can't disagree with you ever going with an under. All right, 668 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:08,440 Speaker 2: So from my third and final pick, I am going 669 00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 2: with the Los Angele Are they still the Los Angeles Rams? 670 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 2: Or's a Saint Louis? Is it Vegas? Is it Washington? 671 00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:16,000 Speaker 3: Noone's gonna have fans this year, so that doesn't really matter. 672 00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:18,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'll say, I don't know if the 673 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:21,760 Speaker 2: Rams had fans anyway. So but look, I'm taking the 674 00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:27,160 Speaker 2: Rams under. I have this number, so it's under eight 675 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 2: and a half. I make the seven point six. If 676 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:32,600 Speaker 2: you listen to the podcast last year, I mean you 677 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:35,800 Speaker 2: know that I hate golf. I mean the one good 678 00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:38,680 Speaker 2: thing is maybe golf there's no fans, so Sean McVay 679 00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 2: just tells him exactly what to do every play the 680 00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:42,920 Speaker 2: entire season. That helps him. I didn't even think of that, 681 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,800 Speaker 2: but maybe. But I hate their offensive line. They're this 682 00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:48,240 Speaker 2: team is so cash strapped too, and that's because of 683 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,000 Speaker 2: like the golf sign. I mean, you knew that McVeigh 684 00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:54,200 Speaker 2: was just telling him how to what to do, like 685 00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:56,640 Speaker 2: I could have came in a mid quarterback, and I 686 00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:58,800 Speaker 2: mean they just ruined their team because of this. You know, 687 00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:02,520 Speaker 2: three new Corton, a lot of changes across the board, 688 00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:05,800 Speaker 2: not great in this season. Hate the offensive line with 689 00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:08,000 Speaker 2: all of my heart. I mean the offensive line is 690 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 2: just dreadful. They bring everyone back, but I mean Whitworth 691 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,680 Speaker 2: is fifty years old. He's fallen off of the cliff. 692 00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:15,160 Speaker 2: I don't know what happened. I haven't seen on the 693 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:19,560 Speaker 2: right side. Interior offensive line is a disaster. Why is 694 00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:22,440 Speaker 2: this so important because you have Jared Goff as your quarterback? 695 00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 2: You don't have you know, offensive line is obviously important, 696 00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:28,160 Speaker 2: but it's less important when you have and that's why 697 00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:30,000 Speaker 2: you have to look at sack numbers with a grain 698 00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:34,400 Speaker 2: of salt. But when you have pressure numbers Lamar Jackson, 699 00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:38,160 Speaker 2: Kyler Murray, Deshaun Watson, you can compensate for some weaknesses 700 00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 2: in the offensive line. Garrett Goff is, you know, statuesque, 701 00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:43,680 Speaker 2: and it takes him so long to get rid of 702 00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:45,360 Speaker 2: the ball. And if you just look at his numbers 703 00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:47,800 Speaker 2: when he's under pressure, they are hard. The offensive line 704 00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:49,960 Speaker 2: didn't approve. I mean last year their their past block 705 00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:53,280 Speaker 2: win rate went from seventy five percent to fifty six percent. 706 00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:56,960 Speaker 2: Last year. Defense they lose what they their two best 707 00:33:56,960 --> 00:33:59,320 Speaker 2: sack players. They're leading tackle the last two years. They're 708 00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:02,400 Speaker 2: basically replaced. Seeing their five ho's heavily used players last year, 709 00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,360 Speaker 2: I shouldn't say best. They have that man in the 710 00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:07,360 Speaker 2: middle in Aaron Donald, but you know Littleton, Roby, Coleman, 711 00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,799 Speaker 2: Clay Matthews, foul Or Weddle, So they're all gone. New 712 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:14,759 Speaker 2: defensive coordinator in heavy, heavy defensive back guy. So you're 713 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,360 Speaker 2: gonna see a lot of three safety looks. I don't 714 00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:20,439 Speaker 2: necessarily buy their safeties. You're gonna maybe move Troy Hill 715 00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:23,640 Speaker 2: to slot. I don't necessarily see that working out, So 716 00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:26,720 Speaker 2: questions all of us. Dude's obviously, if Aaron Donald Brockers 717 00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:30,160 Speaker 2: came back, that's great, but where else on the defense 718 00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:33,600 Speaker 2: will be? Okay? I was the tenth best across the 719 00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:36,120 Speaker 2: NFL last year. I still think it's now gonna be 720 00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:38,640 Speaker 2: like a middle of the pack with Aaron Donald still 721 00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:41,719 Speaker 2: probably dominating. But hate golf, hate the offensive line, tons 722 00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:45,160 Speaker 2: of coaching changes, and uh, the schedule isn't easy. But 723 00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:47,960 Speaker 2: I just there's a lot that's going to go wrong 724 00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:49,640 Speaker 2: with this team, and it all starts with golf and 725 00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:50,680 Speaker 2: the contract to golf. 726 00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:54,279 Speaker 4: Wade Phillips has gone too right from defensive course, Yeah, 727 00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:57,719 Speaker 4: that's right for me, that's big for me at wayde Phillips. 728 00:34:57,760 --> 00:35:01,120 Speaker 4: You know, if you've read my breakdowns week to week 729 00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:04,319 Speaker 4: in our Action Network betting guys, anytime we're talking about 730 00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:06,879 Speaker 4: the Rams, I almost always bring up Wade Phillips because 731 00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:09,759 Speaker 4: I think he really is one of the best defensive 732 00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:11,200 Speaker 4: coordinators in the league. 733 00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:13,520 Speaker 3: So he moves on. It scares me. 734 00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:15,560 Speaker 4: I think of all the bets who chose, I think 735 00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:18,000 Speaker 4: this one scares me or really is the only one 736 00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:20,600 Speaker 4: that scares me, because I think the Rams had a 737 00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:25,480 Speaker 4: pretty bad season last year. They couldn't figure out San Francisco, 738 00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:28,480 Speaker 4: which to exactly your point, they couldn't handle pressure, but 739 00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:30,960 Speaker 4: they still went nine and seven, and they're thirty three 740 00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:34,120 Speaker 4: and fifteen, and Sean mcvays three years as head coach, 741 00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,160 Speaker 4: they've never won fewer than nine games. So teams like 742 00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:39,719 Speaker 4: that it just kind of scares me. It's kind of 743 00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:42,360 Speaker 4: like Seattle where every year their win total hover is 744 00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:45,120 Speaker 4: usually like eight and a half, nine, you know whatever, 745 00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,960 Speaker 4: And it's like, this team never wins fewer than nine games. 746 00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:52,480 Speaker 4: With Russell Wilson, realistically, you project the Rams for about 747 00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:54,839 Speaker 4: eightish wins because and would you say that you had 748 00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:58,000 Speaker 4: him at seven point six. That's realistically from the numbers. 749 00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:00,720 Speaker 4: They're in a tough division. I think Arizona got better. 750 00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:05,080 Speaker 4: San Francisco is still good, Seattle is good just because 751 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:07,279 Speaker 4: of Russell Wilson will always be I think, on the 752 00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:10,239 Speaker 4: plus side in terms of you know how you're rating them. 753 00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:13,320 Speaker 4: But it does scare me a little to bet against 754 00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:15,960 Speaker 4: a team that has won nine or more games and 755 00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:18,399 Speaker 4: every year with their head coach. I think the plan 756 00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:21,880 Speaker 4: seems to be to just mitigate this lack of offensive 757 00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:26,680 Speaker 4: line with entirely focused passing game on the short and 758 00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:29,520 Speaker 4: intermediate areas. I think that's why you saw Higbee go 759 00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:32,279 Speaker 4: crazy over the last five weeks and Brandon Cooks got 760 00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,960 Speaker 4: phased out, even like it wasn't just injuries, Brandon Cooks 761 00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:36,640 Speaker 4: was pretty much phased out of that offense. 762 00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:37,640 Speaker 3: I think that's because you. 763 00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:39,239 Speaker 2: Also didn't have any time to get it to them. 764 00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:40,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what I mean. They can't get the ball 765 00:36:40,600 --> 00:36:41,080 Speaker 3: down field. 766 00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,680 Speaker 4: So Van Jefferson that that pick because I think that 767 00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,560 Speaker 4: the fact that they went with two skill players in 768 00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:48,680 Speaker 4: the second round was. 769 00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:50,680 Speaker 3: A head scratcher to me and a lot of people. 770 00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:53,960 Speaker 4: And the more I thought about it, the Van Jefferson 771 00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:56,120 Speaker 4: pick the wide receiver out of Florida. That pick is 772 00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:58,439 Speaker 4: probably a little more indicative a spot where they could 773 00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:01,160 Speaker 4: have gone O line or to address the O line, 774 00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:03,920 Speaker 4: and they go with a wide receiver. They already have 775 00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:07,160 Speaker 4: Josh Reynolds, but Jefferson is a great route runner guy 776 00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:11,279 Speaker 4: in a short to intermediate area. That combined with Higbee's emergence, 777 00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:15,280 Speaker 4: and in kind of drafting cam Akers, Gurley was terrible 778 00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:17,799 Speaker 4: in the pass game last year, I think Acres will 779 00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:19,880 Speaker 4: be better. It just tells me that they're going to 780 00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:22,320 Speaker 4: try to mitigate the O line with a super quick, 781 00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:25,520 Speaker 4: hitting passing attack. We know they could do it with 782 00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:28,279 Speaker 4: Cup and Woods. It will remain to be seen if 783 00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:30,640 Speaker 4: it can be effective for the entire season. It remains 784 00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:33,120 Speaker 4: to be seen if they can. You know it could 785 00:37:33,120 --> 00:37:35,520 Speaker 4: be effective against San Francisco, But I think that's going 786 00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:37,359 Speaker 4: to decide it. If they can't, if they go oher 787 00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:39,960 Speaker 4: and too against San Francisco again, if they can't figure 788 00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:42,120 Speaker 4: out how to beat the Niners, it's gonna be tough 789 00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:44,560 Speaker 4: for them to get to nine wins because the division 790 00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:45,200 Speaker 4: is pretty good. 791 00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,839 Speaker 2: But yeah, but the one the one thing I'll say 792 00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:51,400 Speaker 2: about Cooks though, is that he was getting phased out 793 00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:53,520 Speaker 2: of the offense because they enough time. But how much 794 00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:55,319 Speaker 2: and I maybe I want to go back and look 795 00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:57,879 Speaker 2: at look at some some of the RAMS games last 796 00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:01,319 Speaker 2: year for this, how much was he still having an 797 00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:05,239 Speaker 2: impact on the defense out of just respect? Right? So 798 00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:09,319 Speaker 2: without that threat, is it does it become a lot 799 00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:11,759 Speaker 2: easier for a defense to say, fuck it, I don't 800 00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:14,680 Speaker 2: worry about anyone beating me deep and now you have 801 00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,839 Speaker 2: defenses that know basically what you're gonna do. So how 802 00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:20,440 Speaker 2: much there's just that threat or presence on the field 803 00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:23,440 Speaker 2: and not them not having that this year unless my 804 00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:25,640 Speaker 2: man Greg Dortch, I think they signed Greg Dortch comes 805 00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:26,920 Speaker 2: in and whow's the. 806 00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:31,560 Speaker 1: NFL the most electrifying player in college football? 807 00:38:31,760 --> 00:38:35,400 Speaker 2: Guess who Greg Torch? Understand? Greg Dortch is the big 808 00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:35,960 Speaker 2: play guy. 809 00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:38,080 Speaker 3: Dors beats the putter down the middle. 810 00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:42,839 Speaker 5: It's Dorch and he's done touchdown the magition that has 811 00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:44,360 Speaker 5: done it again, the Breg. 812 00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:51,759 Speaker 3: Dorch just something else. Don't forget about Greg Dorch. Oh good? 813 00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:55,800 Speaker 2: How much does that impact their offense is one of 814 00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:56,640 Speaker 2: the questions that I would have. 815 00:38:56,920 --> 00:38:57,600 Speaker 3: Well, I think so. 816 00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,759 Speaker 4: I think it used to have an impact like that's 817 00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:01,399 Speaker 4: because they had the same kind of player in there 818 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:04,719 Speaker 4: before this, Sammy Watkins. They've always had that kind of guy, 819 00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:07,279 Speaker 4: and it's a specific role in Sean mcvray's system where 820 00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:10,120 Speaker 4: you're isolated and yeah, your job is to draw coverage. 821 00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:12,520 Speaker 4: But what ended up happening was exactly what you kind 822 00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:16,360 Speaker 4: of said. Teams stopped respecting that, and Goff still couldn't 823 00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:18,680 Speaker 4: get the ball to Cooks even in like single coverage 824 00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:21,799 Speaker 4: because he didn't have enough time. So it seems like 825 00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:25,360 Speaker 4: Sean McVay pivoted to you know what, this kind of 826 00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:28,640 Speaker 4: style of offense with using that that deep threat to 827 00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,560 Speaker 4: keep the defense honest isn't working for us. We need 828 00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:34,800 Speaker 4: just another guy that GoF can actually throw to, because 829 00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,760 Speaker 4: essentially what happened was Brandon Cooks was like Andre Patton, 830 00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:39,880 Speaker 4: you know at points, you know, the guy in the 831 00:39:39,960 --> 00:39:42,560 Speaker 4: Charges that Philip Rivers never threw to last year. Like, hey, 832 00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:45,000 Speaker 4: that's what That's what Brandon Cooks ended up being for 833 00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:48,080 Speaker 4: large portions of games. And I think ultimately they just 834 00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:51,759 Speaker 4: needed as many targets for GoF to to throw to 835 00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:54,439 Speaker 4: as possible. So now it's like, okay, we have five 836 00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:57,080 Speaker 4: options on every play to get to get the ball 837 00:39:57,080 --> 00:39:59,920 Speaker 4: out too, And that's that's what they're kind of prioritizing 838 00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:02,360 Speaker 4: over the line, which is kind of a head scratcher, 839 00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:06,160 Speaker 4: But that's what I saw with, you know, kind of 840 00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:09,080 Speaker 4: the the the offense weight last year with the emergence 841 00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:12,000 Speaker 4: of Higbee and then the drafting of Jefferson. Because if 842 00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:16,000 Speaker 4: I think Van Jefferson, how much is is he gonna 843 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:19,560 Speaker 4: be in terms of sheer talent different from Josh Reynolds. 844 00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:22,279 Speaker 4: Probably not much, but he's a different type of guy, 845 00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:24,480 Speaker 4: a guy, a pro ready guy who's a route runner. 846 00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:26,759 Speaker 4: Why would you draft him in a second round when 847 00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:28,839 Speaker 4: you already have a Josh Reynolds and if you weren't 848 00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:31,800 Speaker 4: kind of changing up the style in philosophy, that's just 849 00:40:31,880 --> 00:40:33,960 Speaker 4: kind of my my take on on the situation. 850 00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:36,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe the Rams benefit the most from no crowd. 851 00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:39,200 Speaker 2: With Nickveigh talking to Yeah, that's a great. 852 00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:42,960 Speaker 4: Point, like but yeah, because I remember that in granted 853 00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:46,560 Speaker 4: they won this game flucally, but that game always comes 854 00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:48,920 Speaker 4: to mind in in New Orleans. I think it was 855 00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:51,640 Speaker 4: where GoF was just like head on his helmet, couldn't 856 00:40:51,640 --> 00:40:52,360 Speaker 4: hear anything. 857 00:40:52,600 --> 00:40:55,520 Speaker 3: He relies on that with Sean mcvah, who knows. 858 00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:58,680 Speaker 4: Maybe maybe all these Zoom meetings actually are helping golf too, 859 00:40:58,680 --> 00:41:00,880 Speaker 4: because that's that's what he needs. He seems like a 860 00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:02,719 Speaker 4: guy who gets rattled once he goes out on the 861 00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:03,680 Speaker 4: field and has to put this. 862 00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:04,600 Speaker 3: So maybe just. 863 00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:07,920 Speaker 4: Taking a lot in calm, relaxed off season, no defensive 864 00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,040 Speaker 4: players taunting him every time he makes a bad throw 865 00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:12,520 Speaker 4: on his own team, maybe maybe it helps him. 866 00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:13,160 Speaker 3: But yeah, I don't know. 867 00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:15,879 Speaker 4: I had an MVP ticket on GOSP last year. Oh 868 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:20,680 Speaker 4: man A was that a waste of money? So yeah, 869 00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:24,120 Speaker 4: that's that. That was a good discussion there. That was 870 00:41:24,160 --> 00:41:27,799 Speaker 4: our Sunday six pack. Just to recap, I have the 871 00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:31,239 Speaker 4: Atlanta Falcons under seven and a half, the Redskins under five, 872 00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:33,600 Speaker 4: and the Detroit Lions under six and a half. Stuck 873 00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:36,920 Speaker 4: went with the Philadelphia Eagles under nine and a half, 874 00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:39,960 Speaker 4: the Carolina Panthers under five and a half, and the 875 00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:43,759 Speaker 4: Rams under eight and a half. And that is going 876 00:41:43,800 --> 00:41:47,480 Speaker 4: to do it for our Sunday six pack. And now 877 00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:52,279 Speaker 4: it's time for our weekly coaches pep talk, and this 878 00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:54,960 Speaker 4: one comes to us from John Goodman from the nineteen 879 00:41:55,040 --> 00:42:00,160 Speaker 4: eighty four film Revenge of the Nerds and Sean mcmayd 880 00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:02,120 Speaker 4: of a nerdy guy in a good way, in a 881 00:42:02,120 --> 00:42:05,960 Speaker 4: good way. So we're gonna dedicate this one to Sean 882 00:42:06,040 --> 00:42:09,840 Speaker 4: McVay and the Rams. If Sean McVay gets his revenge, 883 00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:12,080 Speaker 4: then maybe Stucky's bet doesn't hit. 884 00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:14,040 Speaker 3: But if he doesn't, look out. 885 00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:17,360 Speaker 5: When you were a baby in your crib, your father 886 00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:18,200 Speaker 5: looked down at you. 887 00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:22,080 Speaker 2: He had but one home. Someday my son will grow 888 00:42:22,120 --> 00:42:22,680 Speaker 2: to be a man. 889 00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:26,040 Speaker 4: Well look at you now, you. 890 00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:31,120 Speaker 5: Just got your asses whipped by a bunch of goddamn nerds. 891 00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:33,600 Speaker 3: Nerds. 892 00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:37,080 Speaker 5: Well, if I was you, I'd do something about it. 893 00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:41,640 Speaker 5: I would get up and redeem myself in the eyes 894 00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:46,080 Speaker 5: of my father, my maker, and my coach. For let's 895 00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:48,600 Speaker 5: get those nerds nod. 896 00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:50,960 Speaker 3: Well, we wait for it. 897 00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,120 Speaker 4: All right, there was our coaches pep talk, and now 898 00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:58,120 Speaker 4: we're gonna get into our mailbag segment. We're also gonna 899 00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:00,960 Speaker 4: talk about some of the teams that we didn't mention 900 00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:02,840 Speaker 4: in any other segment after that and the best of 901 00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:05,759 Speaker 4: the rest. But before we continue asking you guys, are 902 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:09,040 Speaker 4: we loved listeners to again head to Apple Podcasts and 903 00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:11,680 Speaker 4: give us a positive review, give us a five star rating, 904 00:43:12,040 --> 00:43:14,600 Speaker 4: and let us know what you think the Washington franchise 905 00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:17,560 Speaker 4: should be renamed, and you can win a. 906 00:43:17,680 --> 00:43:19,480 Speaker 3: Free Action Network hat. 907 00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:24,120 Speaker 4: And if you are not an Apple or iPhone user, 908 00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:25,640 Speaker 4: I should say, you are. 909 00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:27,279 Speaker 3: Still eligible to win. 910 00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:29,680 Speaker 4: All you have to do is call our bat be 911 00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:32,279 Speaker 4: top line five seven five six' five five six to 912 00:43:32,320 --> 00:43:35,280 Speaker 4: six four and tell us that you're entering the. Contest 913 00:43:35,520 --> 00:43:38,480 Speaker 4: tell us what you think The washington franchise should be. 914 00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:41,239 Speaker 3: Renamed do it in sixty seconds or Last please no longer. 915 00:43:41,280 --> 00:43:44,600 Speaker 4: Voicemails it's not that kind of, thing but you will 916 00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:47,760 Speaker 4: be eligible to win The Action network. 917 00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:49,239 Speaker 3: Hat so holler at. 918 00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:54,120 Speaker 4: Us let's get into our mailbag. Segment AND i want 919 00:43:54,160 --> 00:43:55,400 Speaker 4: to start this one. OFF i know a lot of 920 00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:58,360 Speaker 4: people have been asking you a couple of questions. Stuck 921 00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:00,160 Speaker 4: the first ONE i want to talk about all the 922 00:44:00,160 --> 00:44:01,520 Speaker 4: top is just to kind of get it out of the, 923 00:44:01,560 --> 00:44:04,600 Speaker 4: way because some people might be wondering when you have 924 00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:07,480 Speaker 4: a win total and you're betting win, totals and there's 925 00:44:07,520 --> 00:44:09,680 Speaker 4: different juice at, times so maybe there's a minus one 926 00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:12,200 Speaker 4: twenty or a plus one ten instead of the standard 927 00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:16,280 Speaker 4: minus one ten. Juice how do you calculate how much 928 00:44:16,560 --> 00:44:20,880 Speaker 4: juice a half a win is. Worth for, example how 929 00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:24,759 Speaker 4: do you differentiate, between, say and over seven point five 930 00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:28,600 Speaker 4: wins at minus one forty versus an over eight wins 931 00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:29,680 Speaker 4: at plus one. 932 00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:32,560 Speaker 2: Hundred, yeah it's a great, question and a lot of 933 00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:35,279 Speaker 2: people some people have differing points of view on. THIS 934 00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:37,920 Speaker 2: i was going to go into a whole ramble about 935 00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,960 Speaker 2: and about the, math But i'll keep it. SIMPLE a 936 00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:44,600 Speaker 2: good rule of thumb for me at least others some 937 00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:47,360 Speaker 2: say will be. More is about fifty cents is what 938 00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:50,120 Speaker 2: a half of wind is? Worth so over seven and 939 00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:53,560 Speaker 2: a half minus one forty or over eight plus one. Hundred, 940 00:44:53,960 --> 00:44:57,279 Speaker 2: well in that, CASE i would prefer to lay one 941 00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:00,799 Speaker 2: forty at seven and a half because BECAUSE i think 942 00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:05,080 Speaker 2: that a half of win is worth more than the forty. Six, 943 00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:09,480 Speaker 2: now if it's thirty, cents definitely do it forty. CENTS 944 00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:12,120 Speaker 2: i would personally do it fifty. Cents you might want 945 00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:14,520 Speaker 2: to choose the lower juice because you're locking up your. 946 00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:16,680 Speaker 2: Money you have to consider that as, well so the 947 00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:18,680 Speaker 2: amount you have to put. Out but generally, speak it's 948 00:45:18,680 --> 00:45:20,600 Speaker 2: about fifty. Cents the other thing seven and a half and. 949 00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:22,680 Speaker 2: Eight Now i'm going over seven a. HALF i think 950 00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:24,480 Speaker 2: the number has, value and NOW i win it eight 951 00:45:24,560 --> 00:45:27,680 Speaker 2: instead of. Push so those are some of the, Considerations 952 00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:31,480 Speaker 2: but about fifty cents in general is HOW i think 953 00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:32,680 Speaker 2: about what a win is worth in THE. 954 00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:35,279 Speaker 4: Nfl think about it the same way if you ever 955 00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:37,640 Speaker 4: bet a player prop or anything like. That it's like 956 00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:41,120 Speaker 4: bet the easier number in general to get over In. 957 00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:44,000 Speaker 4: West the juice is just absolutely ridiculous to you, because, 958 00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,840 Speaker 4: like like you, said if you're talking about the difference 959 00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,080 Speaker 4: between over seven and a half and over eight is 960 00:45:49,360 --> 00:45:50,319 Speaker 4: it's not just some. 961 00:45:50,480 --> 00:45:52,960 Speaker 3: Juice and you know what's the fifty. 962 00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:55,759 Speaker 4: Cents it's, like now you're talking ABOUT i can win 963 00:45:55,840 --> 00:45:57,799 Speaker 4: at eight VERSUS i have TO i can win it, 964 00:45:57,960 --> 00:45:59,719 Speaker 4: NINE i have To now the team needs to win it. 965 00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:02,680 Speaker 4: Nine you, know that's a whole nother win that they 966 00:46:02,719 --> 00:46:05,640 Speaker 4: have to you, know pull. Off so what's the easier 967 00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:07,600 Speaker 4: way for my bet to. Hit it's gonna be that 968 00:46:07,680 --> 00:46:09,520 Speaker 4: seven and a, half even if it is juiced. Up 969 00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:11,520 Speaker 4: and that's the. Thing the books are trying to juice 970 00:46:11,560 --> 00:46:14,760 Speaker 4: these things up to dissuade you from betting the. NUMBER 971 00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:17,439 Speaker 4: a lot of times you're still usually better off taking 972 00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:19,840 Speaker 4: the juice again unless it gets you, know beyond like 973 00:46:19,840 --> 00:46:22,480 Speaker 4: a fifty cent. Difference as you, said as you mentioned 974 00:46:23,400 --> 00:46:26,040 Speaker 4: another question stuff THAT i know you've been wanting to 975 00:46:26,040 --> 00:46:26,560 Speaker 4: talk about a. 976 00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:29,040 Speaker 3: Lot what is going to be the effect of home. 977 00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:33,520 Speaker 4: Field advantage quantitatively in terms of the numbers or you, 978 00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:37,640 Speaker 4: know if there are no fans or limited fans in the. 979 00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:40,600 Speaker 2: Stands, yeah this is the million dollar question in the. 980 00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:44,360 Speaker 2: Offseason generally, speaking home field aveagles is again not equal 981 00:46:44,600 --> 00:46:48,040 Speaker 2: for all. Teams but, historically if you look in the, 982 00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:50,960 Speaker 2: nineties the early two thousands across the border is worth 983 00:46:50,960 --> 00:46:54,400 Speaker 2: about three. Points, well since then it's trending down to 984 00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:57,200 Speaker 2: about two and a. Half WHAT i think has changed 985 00:46:57,600 --> 00:47:01,520 Speaker 2: is teams are now smarter about. Traveling just like you 986 00:47:01,640 --> 00:47:04,680 Speaker 2: used to be able to just blindly fade teams coming 987 00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:07,160 Speaker 2: from like The west coast to The east, coast not 988 00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:10,120 Speaker 2: really a thing. Anymore of the markets obviously also price that, 989 00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:12,720 Speaker 2: in but teams are just becoming a lot smarter about. 990 00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:17,440 Speaker 2: Travel the travel accommodations are, Better SO i think that 991 00:47:17,480 --> 00:47:20,560 Speaker 2: that's part of. It it's it's going down across the. 992 00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:22,359 Speaker 2: Board even last. YEAR i, mean if you look at 993 00:47:22,360 --> 00:47:24,359 Speaker 2: home teams we talked with this all, YEAR i, mean 994 00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:26,399 Speaker 2: they were horrible against the. Spread they only won about 995 00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:29,239 Speaker 2: like fifty one percent of the games, overall but over 996 00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:31,200 Speaker 2: the last three four years it's like fifty four. Percent 997 00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:34,080 Speaker 2: historically it was like fifty eight, percent so it's definitely going. 998 00:47:34,160 --> 00:47:36,839 Speaker 2: Down so it's if you assume around two and a half, 999 00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:39,440 Speaker 2: points WHAT i think this year you have you have 1000 00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:42,640 Speaker 2: to figure out this, year, right there's still, travel there's 1001 00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:47,280 Speaker 2: still familiarity with your with your settings and your. Routine 1002 00:47:47,680 --> 00:47:49,279 Speaker 2: there's still going to be a home field. Advtage but 1003 00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:51,920 Speaker 2: how much was the crowd? Worth it's a really good. 1004 00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:54,160 Speaker 2: Question It so one of the arguments is it's harder 1005 00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:57,720 Speaker 2: to run the ball if you are a road. Team 1006 00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:00,400 Speaker 2: offensive line can't hear the snap, count they don't get 1007 00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:02,400 Speaker 2: off the ball as. Much if you look at the 1008 00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:06,359 Speaker 2: stats LIKE, epa it's, true but if you look at 1009 00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:09,879 Speaker 2: false start, stats it's not. True so there's a lot 1010 00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:12,239 Speaker 2: of mystery there and how much it's actually. Worth you 1011 00:48:12,320 --> 00:48:15,200 Speaker 2: also have the ref, bias, right it's only natural for 1012 00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:17,799 Speaker 2: a ref and it's gonna be maybe one big call 1013 00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,360 Speaker 2: a game that could be a field goal, here a 1014 00:48:20,400 --> 00:48:23,279 Speaker 2: field goal, there lead to a scoring drive. Take it's 1015 00:48:23,320 --> 00:48:26,880 Speaker 2: just natural for a ref to CALL pi for the 1016 00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:29,640 Speaker 2: home team's way swallow their. Whistle the crowd is booing 1017 00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:32,520 Speaker 2: because you've called a, hold maybe you don't call the hold. 1018 00:48:32,560 --> 00:48:34,920 Speaker 2: Again refs are also getting. Better this is one of 1019 00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:37,360 Speaker 2: the reasons home field is decreasing because of there's also a. 1020 00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:39,840 Speaker 2: Replay THE nfl is trying to hold refs more. Accountable 1021 00:48:39,840 --> 00:48:41,200 Speaker 2: that's one of the REASONS i don't feel starting to 1022 00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:44,200 Speaker 2: diminish as. Well SO i personally think it's like one 1023 00:48:44,200 --> 00:48:46,160 Speaker 2: and a half across the. Board some a lot will 1024 00:48:46,160 --> 00:48:47,640 Speaker 2: say one point seventy five is what it's gonna be 1025 00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:49,480 Speaker 2: worth this, Year but then you have to throw in 1026 00:48:49,560 --> 00:48:52,040 Speaker 2: how difficult is it going to be to travel with 1027 00:48:52,120 --> 00:48:55,560 Speaker 2: all these, restrictions what you're worried about with. Testing that's 1028 00:48:55,640 --> 00:48:57,759 Speaker 2: so maybe it's not as drastic of a drop off 1029 00:48:57,760 --> 00:49:00,560 Speaker 2: AS i originally. Thought there's you, know there's alvious weather 1030 00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:03,640 Speaker 2: too that's gonna play a. Role there's altitude In, denver 1031 00:49:03,719 --> 00:49:06,560 Speaker 2: so there's still these one. Offs but you, know playing 1032 00:49:06,560 --> 00:49:09,640 Speaker 2: In Kansas city Or, Baltimore seattle that fans is gonna 1033 00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:12,400 Speaker 2: be a lot easier for an opposing, team especially if 1034 00:49:12,400 --> 00:49:15,080 Speaker 2: You're Jared. Goff SO i have it around one and 1035 00:49:15,080 --> 00:49:18,000 Speaker 2: a half points as a baseline with it being a 1036 00:49:18,000 --> 00:49:19,640 Speaker 2: one point, Drop but there's a lot to consider in 1037 00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:21,120 Speaker 2: a lot we're gonna learn in the first couple of. 1038 00:49:21,120 --> 00:49:23,279 Speaker 4: Weeks do you think the books are gonna kind of 1039 00:49:23,320 --> 00:49:25,839 Speaker 4: institute that that similar, Number, like do you think they're 1040 00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:27,879 Speaker 4: gonna go to like two or you think they're gonna 1041 00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:30,560 Speaker 4: keep it standard until we get more. 1042 00:49:30,640 --> 00:49:33,200 Speaker 2: Data, YEAH i think that they're gonna be around, two 1043 00:49:33,360 --> 00:49:35,399 Speaker 2: is from What i've seen. Now when lines first came, 1044 00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:38,839 Speaker 2: OUT i tweeted, out look hit the The dolphins over. 1045 00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:41,799 Speaker 2: Seven there was a couple other, games The cardinal's over, 1046 00:49:41,880 --> 00:49:45,200 Speaker 2: ten The browns over, ten these games that were over key. 1047 00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:47,279 Speaker 2: Numbers that's where it's really gonna. Matter because if it's 1048 00:49:47,280 --> 00:49:49,480 Speaker 2: the difference between nine and, nine and you, know eight 1049 00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:51,120 Speaker 2: and a half and nine and a, half whether you 1050 00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:53,879 Speaker 2: have home field right or, wrong you, know it does still, 1051 00:49:53,920 --> 00:49:55,560 Speaker 2: matter but it doesn't matter as much it's the difference 1052 00:49:55,560 --> 00:49:56,759 Speaker 2: between ene and a half and ten of. That so 1053 00:49:56,800 --> 00:49:59,719 Speaker 2: around the key, numbers having home field advantage, right that's 1054 00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:01,840 Speaker 2: what it's going to really. Matter, WELL i think the biggest, 1055 00:50:01,840 --> 00:50:03,640 Speaker 2: Implication SO i think the books might be a little 1056 00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:06,919 Speaker 2: high on home field early, on but it's the market 1057 00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:08,680 Speaker 2: is corrected itself a little bit and. 1058 00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:12,680 Speaker 4: Stuff they're a partway of division winners for THE. Nfc 1059 00:50:13,360 --> 00:50:16,480 Speaker 4: i'd go With seattle plus two to twenty five their 1060 00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:19,799 Speaker 4: win totals nine and a. Half In Tampa bay at 1061 00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:23,600 Speaker 4: plus one, sixty that would be a seven hundred and 1062 00:50:23,640 --> 00:50:26,520 Speaker 4: forty five dollars payout on one hundred dollar, Bet so 1063 00:50:26,600 --> 00:50:29,120 Speaker 4: you win eight forty five if that parway. Hits and 1064 00:50:29,160 --> 00:50:32,600 Speaker 4: the REASON i Like seattle combined With Tampa bay IS 1065 00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:35,200 Speaker 4: i Think San francisco got a little bit. Worse seattle's 1066 00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:39,920 Speaker 4: always in the conversation With Russell, wilson and In Tampa, 1067 00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:43,040 Speaker 4: bay you now have a team with a quarterback that 1068 00:50:43,080 --> 00:50:45,360 Speaker 4: can compete With Drew brees And Tom, brady and you 1069 00:50:45,440 --> 00:50:47,719 Speaker 4: have a defense that was top five And. Dvoa both 1070 00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:49,759 Speaker 4: of these teams have win totals of nine and a. 1071 00:50:49,840 --> 00:50:53,600 Speaker 4: Half so The vegas models are still projecting, them and 1072 00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:55,439 Speaker 4: as AM, i as you, know some of the better 1073 00:50:55,480 --> 00:50:58,440 Speaker 4: teams in the league certainly capable of winning their. 1074 00:50:58,440 --> 00:51:02,600 Speaker 3: Division so that be the par way THAT i would go. 1075 00:51:02,680 --> 00:51:05,800 Speaker 4: With if you really want to kind of get, crazy 1076 00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:07,600 Speaker 4: you want to throw in a third team or you 1077 00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:09,400 Speaker 4: want to replace Either seattle Or Tampa. 1078 00:51:09,400 --> 00:51:10,440 Speaker 3: Bay maybe you're not feeling. 1079 00:51:10,440 --> 00:51:14,000 Speaker 4: It think About chicago at plus four to twenty five 1080 00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:18,640 Speaker 4: because stuck you hit it. Earlier THIS Nfc, north there's 1081 00:51:18,680 --> 00:51:22,279 Speaker 4: not really a standout. Anymore The packers went thirteen and 1082 00:51:22,320 --> 00:51:24,440 Speaker 4: three last, year but as we both, know they were 1083 00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:24,880 Speaker 4: a little bit. 1084 00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:27,680 Speaker 3: LUCKY i believe Their pythagora and win total was nine 1085 00:51:27,680 --> 00:51:29,600 Speaker 3: and a half or something like, that so they grossly. 1086 00:51:29,640 --> 00:51:32,719 Speaker 4: Overachieved may have gotten worse in the, offseason at least 1087 00:51:32,719 --> 00:51:35,719 Speaker 4: for the current for not for the, future but maybe 1088 00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:35,920 Speaker 4: for the. 1089 00:51:35,960 --> 00:51:38,600 Speaker 3: Current minnesota probably got worse. 1090 00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:42,120 Speaker 4: Losing their offensive, coordinator Losing Stefan, diggs and losing some 1091 00:51:42,200 --> 00:51:46,640 Speaker 4: key pieces in the. Secondary So chicago twenty to twelve 1092 00:51:46,719 --> 00:51:49,160 Speaker 4: Under Matt, naggi even with the disaster they had last 1093 00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:51,319 Speaker 4: year eight and, eight at least now they got two 1094 00:51:51,400 --> 00:51:54,000 Speaker 4: quarterbacks that they can kind of go back and forth 1095 00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:56,839 Speaker 4: if if one is messing. Up so if you want 1096 00:51:56,840 --> 00:51:58,880 Speaker 4: to get, crazy throw In chicago at plus four twenty, 1097 00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:01,200 Speaker 4: five and all of a, sudden you're talking about over 1098 00:52:01,239 --> 00:52:04,120 Speaker 4: a grand payout on a one hundred dollar. 1099 00:52:04,200 --> 00:52:06,960 Speaker 2: Bet bears so many voices in the ear whoever's going 1100 00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:10,640 Speaker 2: to be quarterback another offensive, coordinator new quarterbacks, coach new 1101 00:52:10,680 --> 00:52:12,879 Speaker 2: passing game, Coordinator naggie calling the. PLAY i, mean it's 1102 00:52:12,880 --> 00:52:14,919 Speaker 2: just a. Mess and the, defense they've lost so many 1103 00:52:14,920 --> 00:52:17,160 Speaker 2: good defensive backs over the last couple of. Years that 1104 00:52:17,239 --> 00:52:19,440 Speaker 2: has to catch up to. Them packers nine to one 1105 00:52:19,480 --> 00:52:21,440 Speaker 2: in one possession games last. Year we know how well they. 1106 00:52:21,520 --> 00:52:23,719 Speaker 2: RAN i don't know if they can stop the. Run, 1107 00:52:24,280 --> 00:52:26,479 Speaker 2: still The packers are going to Be they Have Aaron 1108 00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:29,520 Speaker 2: rodgers still around at eight to nine win. Team if 1109 00:52:29,520 --> 00:52:31,319 Speaker 2: they get, lucky they'll win a little. More if they, 1110 00:52:31,320 --> 00:52:34,320 Speaker 2: don't they'll win a little bit. Less The seahawks the 1111 00:52:34,480 --> 00:52:37,439 Speaker 2: enigma of THE. Nfl what were? They ten and two 1112 00:52:37,480 --> 00:52:40,440 Speaker 2: in one possession, games two and zero in? Overtime offensive 1113 00:52:40,480 --> 00:52:43,680 Speaker 2: line is a. Mess what's going on with Dunbar quarner 1114 00:52:43,719 --> 00:52:46,719 Speaker 2: and his criminal. CASES i don't. Know the defense has many, 1115 00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:49,520 Speaker 2: questions but It's Russell wilson and he's just gonna find 1116 00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:52,120 Speaker 2: a way to win one possession. Game SO i don't. 1117 00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:54,000 Speaker 2: Know they're. Hard it's a hard team to. Read they're 1118 00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:55,200 Speaker 2: going to run the ball in the first. Half then 1119 00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:57,719 Speaker 2: they're going to try to win twenty, three twenty seven 1120 00:52:57,719 --> 00:52:59,319 Speaker 2: to twenty three in the fourth quarter With wilson and 1121 00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:02,560 Speaker 2: he does it a. Lot forty Nine, ers very complete. 1122 00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:04,640 Speaker 2: Team you, know some questions With Deebo sam will come 1123 00:53:04,640 --> 00:53:07,120 Speaker 2: back from injury because at receiver doesn't matter who's running 1124 00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:09,640 Speaker 2: the ball. There offensive line of tons of injuries last, 1125 00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:13,840 Speaker 2: year they're pretty much all. Back defense is all. Intact 1126 00:53:13,920 --> 00:53:16,160 Speaker 2: maybe In TIER d lines of, question but this team 1127 00:53:16,160 --> 00:53:18,600 Speaker 2: should be really good again them in The Saints, stints 1128 00:53:18,680 --> 00:53:22,239 Speaker 2: great offensive, Line Ken Jorris jenkson's fill out THAT cp 1129 00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:24,360 Speaker 2: two row for a whole. Year that's a question That 1130 00:53:24,480 --> 00:53:27,160 Speaker 2: but other than, that forty Nine ers And saints very 1131 00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:29,200 Speaker 2: you can be confident without injury that they're going to 1132 00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:32,480 Speaker 2: make the. Playoffs, Vikings, look how do you Replace diggs 1133 00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:35,560 Speaker 2: through their corner new? Cornerbacks is it an upgrade from 1134 00:53:35,600 --> 00:53:37,880 Speaker 2: the corners who were kind of falling off a. CLIFF 1135 00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:40,560 Speaker 2: a lot of questions With, minnesota just like the ENTIRE 1136 00:53:41,080 --> 00:53:43,600 Speaker 2: Nfc north and then The BUCKS i haven't mentioned. Yet, 1137 00:53:43,600 --> 00:53:45,360 Speaker 2: look a lot of upside with The. Bucks Can brady 1138 00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:48,120 Speaker 2: stay healthy in the first year of that? Offense and 1139 00:53:48,160 --> 00:53:50,000 Speaker 2: what is this decline going to look? Like but tons 1140 00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:53,280 Speaker 2: of talentent, receiver some consistency at offensive, line that defense 1141 00:53:53,320 --> 00:53:55,719 Speaker 2: went from like thirty second to top five unit last. 1142 00:53:55,800 --> 00:53:58,799 Speaker 2: YEAR a lot of upside with The bucks really intriguing, 1143 00:53:58,840 --> 00:54:01,600 Speaker 2: team intriguing, division all. 1144 00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:03,719 Speaker 4: Right SO i got a couple more teams THAT i 1145 00:54:03,719 --> 00:54:05,799 Speaker 4: want to hit and just ask your quick thoughts on 1146 00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:07,799 Speaker 4: in terms of their win, totals teams that we didn't 1147 00:54:07,840 --> 00:54:10,160 Speaker 4: really touch on in any other. Segment so let's get 1148 00:54:10,160 --> 00:54:13,440 Speaker 4: into the best of the. Rest let's start with The 1149 00:54:13,480 --> 00:54:17,440 Speaker 4: New York. Giants their win total is. Six Daniel jones 1150 00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:18,520 Speaker 4: starting the year at. 1151 00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:27,799 Speaker 1: Quarterback let's hear it For Danny, dimes the. 1152 00:54:27,920 --> 00:54:32,560 Speaker 3: King at quarterback for the first time in a long. 1153 00:54:32,640 --> 00:54:36,319 Speaker 4: Time Over Euli, madding who is of course, retired any 1154 00:54:36,360 --> 00:54:37,880 Speaker 4: thoughts on which way to? 1155 00:54:37,880 --> 00:54:40,920 Speaker 3: Ween with the total at six for The giants win. 1156 00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:43,719 Speaker 2: Total, SIX i make it five point, six so lean. 1157 00:54:43,840 --> 00:54:47,239 Speaker 2: Under the biggest question for me is the offensive. LINE i, 1158 00:54:47,239 --> 00:54:49,360 Speaker 2: mean The Nate soldier contract is just so. Bad but 1159 00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:51,600 Speaker 2: who the hell is their? CENTER i don't, know at 1160 00:54:51,640 --> 00:54:54,120 Speaker 2: a fourth round guard out Of, oregon Maybe Spencer. Pulley 1161 00:54:54,320 --> 00:54:57,000 Speaker 2: it's a huge. Issue you have a rookie tackle that 1162 00:54:57,040 --> 00:55:00,000 Speaker 2: needs to come in and dominate the defense that maybe 1163 00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:03,000 Speaker 2: their corners they Got Bradbury, baker you can improved at 1164 00:55:03,000 --> 00:55:05,200 Speaker 2: the end of last, year but just lots of questions 1165 00:55:05,200 --> 00:55:08,280 Speaker 2: on the defense outside the defensive. Line new coaching, Staff 1166 00:55:08,560 --> 00:55:12,600 Speaker 2: so it's tough to see The giants really going over 1167 00:55:12,680 --> 00:55:15,759 Speaker 2: six five division games and six weeks weeks five through. 1168 00:55:15,760 --> 00:55:18,000 Speaker 2: Ten that's what's really gonna make or break their. Season 1169 00:55:18,560 --> 00:55:19,840 Speaker 2: i'd lean under a pass for. 1170 00:55:19,920 --> 00:55:22,160 Speaker 3: Me, yeah they might be a team you bet the over. 1171 00:55:22,280 --> 00:55:25,040 Speaker 4: ON i think the offense will be, better but the 1172 00:55:25,080 --> 00:55:26,480 Speaker 4: defense to me was just as. 1173 00:55:26,520 --> 00:55:28,640 Speaker 3: Bad how about The Dallas. COWBOYS a lot of hype 1174 00:55:28,640 --> 00:55:29,280 Speaker 3: around The Dallas. 1175 00:55:29,280 --> 00:55:33,520 Speaker 4: Cowboys none of us decided to choose their win total 1176 00:55:33,680 --> 00:55:35,440 Speaker 4: either way over or under for nine and a. 1177 00:55:35,520 --> 00:55:37,920 Speaker 3: Half thoughts on that number For. 1178 00:55:38,000 --> 00:55:44,120 Speaker 2: Dallas, YEAH i make this, personally the win totals. TEN 1179 00:55:44,200 --> 00:55:47,520 Speaker 2: i make it a tad over. Ten, Obviously i'm lower 1180 00:55:47,560 --> 00:55:50,120 Speaker 2: on The eagles than the, market and that was one 1181 00:55:50,160 --> 00:55:51,640 Speaker 2: of my win totals and they play them, twice so 1182 00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:55,560 Speaker 2: obviously that. Helps you. Know the big question here is 1183 00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:59,239 Speaker 2: new defensive, coordinator new head, coach coaching. Changes how is 1184 00:55:59,239 --> 00:56:02,000 Speaker 2: that going to play out. CENTER i think one of 1185 00:56:02,000 --> 00:56:03,799 Speaker 2: the big things in THE, nfl one of the big 1186 00:56:03,840 --> 00:56:06,160 Speaker 2: trends you're going to see is elite pressure up the 1187 00:56:06,160 --> 00:56:09,319 Speaker 2: middle to disrupt, offenses and if you don't have a good, 1188 00:56:09,320 --> 00:56:12,480 Speaker 2: center it's really hard to compensate for. That so who's 1189 00:56:12,520 --> 00:56:15,000 Speaker 2: going to come in and Replace Travis? Frederick, otherwise the 1190 00:56:15,000 --> 00:56:18,040 Speaker 2: offensive line looks. Solid they OBVIOUSLY i HAD Cd. Lamb 1191 00:56:18,080 --> 00:56:21,520 Speaker 2: the offense could be. Electric center's my biggest. Question. DEFENSE 1192 00:56:21,800 --> 00:56:23,480 Speaker 2: i Hope Mike nolan doesn't go to a three four. 1193 00:56:23,520 --> 00:56:25,680 Speaker 2: Front he's a three to four. Guy he's ruined defenses 1194 00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:27,800 Speaker 2: before going to four to. Three excuse me going three to, 1195 00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:29,440 Speaker 2: four but this is a four to three. Defense this 1196 00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:31,400 Speaker 2: is what they, have a four man. Front it all 1197 00:56:31,400 --> 00:56:33,520 Speaker 2: comes down to the, cornerbacks, right Can digs come in 1198 00:56:33,560 --> 00:56:37,520 Speaker 2: and be a quarterback? One they're really, Young their quarterbacks 1199 00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:39,360 Speaker 2: are really. Young so that's WHAT i really want to. 1200 00:56:39,360 --> 00:56:42,800 Speaker 2: Watch ceiling is high if center works, out and cornerback 1201 00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:46,360 Speaker 2: just such an important, position And Mike nolan doesn't ruin the. 1202 00:56:46,400 --> 00:56:48,520 Speaker 2: Defense but it's right around ten for. 1203 00:56:48,600 --> 00:56:49,400 Speaker 3: Me, yeah and you. 1204 00:56:49,360 --> 00:56:51,400 Speaker 4: Could get it at nine and a half at draftings, 1205 00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:53,920 Speaker 4: Sportsbooks so definitely shop around for the best. Line that's 1206 00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:56,480 Speaker 4: SOMETHING i should have mentioned off the. Top it's advisable 1207 00:56:56,480 --> 00:56:59,319 Speaker 4: to have accounts in at least two sports, books. 1208 00:56:59,080 --> 00:56:59,600 Speaker 3: You, know stuck an. 1209 00:56:59,600 --> 00:57:02,080 Speaker 4: Eye we have a, bunch but at least two just 1210 00:57:02,080 --> 00:57:05,160 Speaker 4: so you can get get the best line at. Times 1211 00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:07,480 Speaker 4: there will be some differences. There but let's close it 1212 00:57:07,520 --> 00:57:11,520 Speaker 4: out with The Arizona. Cardinals seven to be the number 1213 00:57:11,520 --> 00:57:14,200 Speaker 4: looks about. Right you, KNOW i do want to be 1214 00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:16,200 Speaker 4: on the positive side Of Kyler. 1215 00:57:15,920 --> 00:57:16,959 Speaker 3: Murray and The Kyler murray. 1216 00:57:17,040 --> 00:57:20,760 Speaker 4: Hype AND i Think hopkins. HELPS i Think Isaiah simmons 1217 00:57:20,800 --> 00:57:23,520 Speaker 4: helps at least long. Term they need to cover tight ends. 1218 00:57:23,520 --> 00:57:26,040 Speaker 4: Better that was a huge weakness of their. Defense but 1219 00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:29,360 Speaker 4: this is just a tough. Division it's hard to Beat seattle, 1220 00:57:29,840 --> 00:57:32,880 Speaker 4: once much less. Twice it's hard to beat The. Diner 1221 00:57:32,920 --> 00:57:35,000 Speaker 4: it's gonna be hard to beat The niners, once much less. 1222 00:57:35,000 --> 00:57:38,600 Speaker 4: Twice and even The. Rams you, know The rams our 1223 00:57:38,600 --> 00:57:40,960 Speaker 4: a team that took advantage Of arizona with that with. 1224 00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:41,360 Speaker 3: Those tight end. 1225 00:57:41,440 --> 00:57:44,440 Speaker 4: Weaknesses so just a tough division for. Me SO i 1226 00:57:44,600 --> 00:57:47,360 Speaker 4: probably stay away from. This but any thought stuff. 1227 00:57:48,040 --> 00:57:51,760 Speaker 2: The, CARDINALS i make projection the win total. Seven IF 1228 00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:53,920 Speaker 2: i make like seven to, two seven to. Three the 1229 00:57:54,040 --> 00:57:56,600 Speaker 2: defense needs to get a lot, better especially up the. 1230 00:57:56,600 --> 00:57:59,880 Speaker 2: Middle you, know offensive, line you bring a lot back 1231 00:58:00,000 --> 00:58:01,880 Speaker 2: they're going to play four wide receivers a, Ton they're 1232 00:58:01,880 --> 00:58:03,560 Speaker 2: going to be effective running the ball out of. There 1233 00:58:03,760 --> 00:58:07,080 Speaker 2: Kyler murray should take another step. Forward it's a seven 1234 00:58:07,120 --> 00:58:08,840 Speaker 2: and nine eight and eight team to, me but with 1235 00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:12,000 Speaker 2: upside With Kyler. MURRAY i don't see any value either. 1236 00:58:12,040 --> 00:58:13,720 Speaker 2: Way but it's an intriguing team for. Sure if you 1237 00:58:13,720 --> 00:58:15,200 Speaker 2: want to look at a, team you, know an eight 1238 00:58:15,240 --> 00:58:16,880 Speaker 2: and eight team that gets in the, playoffs look for 1239 00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:19,080 Speaker 2: a future a seven to nine to nine and seven 1240 00:58:19,160 --> 00:58:21,720 Speaker 2: with a quarterback which you need to win The Super bowl. 1241 00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:24,480 Speaker 2: Capable The cardinals might be your you, know Your browns 1242 00:58:24,560 --> 00:58:26,160 Speaker 2: Or broncos at THE. Nfc, YEAH i. 1243 00:58:26,160 --> 00:58:28,280 Speaker 4: Would say this because you're kind of alluding to. It 1244 00:58:28,840 --> 00:58:30,600 Speaker 4: this is the TEAM i wouldn't get the win. TOTAL 1245 00:58:30,720 --> 00:58:33,640 Speaker 4: i think, seven which you can get at drafting. Sportsbook 1246 00:58:33,640 --> 00:58:35,400 Speaker 4: you're seeing seven and a half at some spot. STUCK 1247 00:58:35,720 --> 00:58:38,480 Speaker 4: i would say that's right about right about spot. On 1248 00:58:38,880 --> 00:58:42,200 Speaker 4: but there's no fourth place team in terms of the 1249 00:58:42,240 --> 00:58:44,360 Speaker 4: odds to win the division THAT i think is more 1250 00:58:44,600 --> 00:58:47,880 Speaker 4: likely to actually win the. Division then the car knows 1251 00:58:47,920 --> 00:58:50,920 Speaker 4: you can get them at plus seven point fifty to 1252 00:58:51,080 --> 00:58:54,360 Speaker 4: win THE Nfc, north which is you, know last place 1253 00:58:54,480 --> 00:58:56,440 Speaker 4: among those four teams because it's a tough, division but 1254 00:58:56,760 --> 00:58:57,760 Speaker 4: certainly not out of the. 1255 00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:00,600 Speaker 3: Question if The rams were. 1256 00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:02,960 Speaker 4: As you, know you kind of, Expect, stucky The niners 1257 00:59:03,040 --> 00:59:06,600 Speaker 4: regress AS i, expect And seattle kind of hovers right around, 1258 00:59:06,640 --> 00:59:09,160 Speaker 4: that you, know just above average nine win. Team Maybe 1259 00:59:09,160 --> 00:59:10,960 Speaker 4: arizona wins nine as well and they have a tie 1260 00:59:11,000 --> 00:59:14,000 Speaker 4: breaker or. Something who, knows BUT i would bet The 1261 00:59:14,080 --> 00:59:17,960 Speaker 4: Arizona cardinals with upside. Bets look at them to make 1262 00:59:17,960 --> 00:59:21,200 Speaker 4: the playoffs plus two to fifty five At DraftKings. Sportsbooks 1263 00:59:21,680 --> 00:59:26,080 Speaker 4: that is an intriguing bet for. Reasons stucky waid out 1264 00:59:26,120 --> 00:59:28,800 Speaker 4: and Even Kyra murray to WIN mvp twenty eight to. 1265 00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:30,600 Speaker 3: ONE i usually say. 1266 00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:32,760 Speaker 4: With, QUARTERBACKS i like to start getting into, that you, 1267 00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:35,400 Speaker 4: know thirty two to one or, better because usually it's 1268 00:59:35,400 --> 00:59:37,120 Speaker 4: always a. Quarterback so IF i can get you, know 1269 00:59:37,280 --> 00:59:39,800 Speaker 4: essentially even odds for one of the quarterbacks in the 1270 00:59:39,840 --> 00:59:41,880 Speaker 4: league to, WIN i look at. It so twenty eight 1271 00:59:41,920 --> 00:59:44,520 Speaker 4: to one for one of THE i would say most 1272 00:59:44,640 --> 00:59:47,840 Speaker 4: likely quarterbacks in the league to win that, award it's 1273 00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:50,720 Speaker 4: still pretty good. Value so that's HOW i would bet 1274 00:59:51,080 --> 00:59:53,640 Speaker 4: The cardinals look for those upside. Bets that was a 1275 00:59:53,680 --> 00:59:57,080 Speaker 4: great point, stuck but we are going to wrap it up. 1276 00:59:57,120 --> 01:00:00,800 Speaker 4: HERE i hope you enjoyed THIS nfc pre you. Episode, 1277 01:00:01,120 --> 01:00:04,560 Speaker 4: again THE afc episode was released last. Week you can 1278 01:00:04,680 --> 01:00:07,320 Speaker 4: check it out on The Action network podcast. Channel you 1279 01:00:07,320 --> 01:00:11,120 Speaker 4: can Follow stucky AND i both in The Action network 1280 01:00:11,160 --> 01:00:15,280 Speaker 4: app and On twitter at the Handles stucky to And Chris. 1281 01:00:15,480 --> 01:00:18,880 Speaker 4: Raybond and if you don't have the award winning Free 1282 01:00:18,920 --> 01:00:22,000 Speaker 4: Action network, app be sure to download it because you 1283 01:00:22,040 --> 01:00:24,560 Speaker 4: can get all of our picks for all sports as 1284 01:00:24,600 --> 01:00:26,960 Speaker 4: well as track your own, bets get live odds and, 1285 01:00:27,000 --> 01:00:31,400 Speaker 4: scores and in game win. Probabilities don't forget to listen 1286 01:00:31,480 --> 01:00:35,640 Speaker 4: and download this podcast From spotify and go leave us 1287 01:00:35,680 --> 01:00:39,160 Speaker 4: a rate and review On Apple podcast for a chance 1288 01:00:39,160 --> 01:00:39,959 Speaker 4: to win a free. 1289 01:00:40,000 --> 01:00:42,160 Speaker 3: Hat and, again you can also call. 1290 01:00:42,280 --> 01:00:45,720 Speaker 4: The badbeat hotline five seven five six five six to six. 1291 01:00:45,760 --> 01:00:48,640 Speaker 4: Floor if you don't have An apple device and still 1292 01:00:48,640 --> 01:00:51,800 Speaker 4: want to enter into the, contest just tell us what 1293 01:00:51,840 --> 01:00:54,680 Speaker 4: you think The washington franchise should be. 1294 01:00:54,720 --> 01:00:57,640 Speaker 3: Renamed until next, week let's get this sh. 1295 01:00:57,720 --> 01:01:14,960 Speaker 2: Money we're finished talking