1 00:00:04,000 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: He's the Drive with Dale Lolly and Matt Williamson, Home 2 00:00:09,000 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: of the Black and Gold Steelers Nation Radio. We are 3 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:20,160 Speaker 1: back um Dale Lilly here with Matt Williamson. It's time 4 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:22,599 Speaker 1: to take a look, as we do every Friday, at 5 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: all the games around the league that are going to 6 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: take place. And we will start with the one o'clock games. 7 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: And well, the first game up is the Browns, the 8 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: five and four Browns at the five and four Patriots, 9 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: New England favored by two and a half. The over 10 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 1: under in that game is forty five. I'm under yeah. 11 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: I mean we tease this last segment. I expect the 12 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: Patriots defense is rounding into shape and the Browns have 13 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: a great running game. And with all respected Johnson, who 14 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 1: was impressive a couple of weeks ago or whatever, ain't 15 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: Nick Chubb and ain't gonna bust long runs against you? 16 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: And I have real questions. Can Mayfield win a drop 17 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: back pass game, you know, without a lot of help 18 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 1: from play action and boots, I mean drop back foot 19 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,480 Speaker 1: in the ground, deliver it to receivers who are a 20 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: little suspect with or without. Oh, b J, you know 21 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: he's got a foot issue. He's to the shoulder issue. Right. Um, 22 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 1: they spread the ball around really well, like Cooper will 23 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: have three catches and the Joko of two and Landry 24 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: O four, but none of them got None of those 25 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 1: guys are special, you know what I mean, They're all okay. 26 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: And then as you said, the Patriots offense is kind 27 00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:40,960 Speaker 1: of the same and that they're not dynamic, they don't 28 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,680 Speaker 1: have a lot of weapons. I think it's a grinded 29 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:46,399 Speaker 1: out type of game, and those flavor of games, I'll 30 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 1: always pick the Patriots. You know, one of these teams 31 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: is going to make a big play on special teams 32 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: or you know, manage the clock a little better. And 33 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 1: that's don't knock on Stefan Sciamna lean towards Belichick. I'll 34 00:01:57,480 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 1: say this, the Patriots have turned the ball over four 35 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 1: teen times this year. A lot of them fumbles. Jones 36 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 1: is throwing some interceptions, um, which is kind of spread 37 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:08,959 Speaker 1: since he doesn't really throw the ball down the field 38 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:14,960 Speaker 1: all that much. But but fourteen turnovers overall. Um, New 39 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:18,960 Speaker 1: England has played man coverage fifty seven percent of the 40 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 1: time this year, so those down for them, yeah, but 41 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 1: still it's a heavy number compared to league. Like when 42 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:27,600 Speaker 1: the Steelers were giving up some passes early in that 43 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 1: game against Cleveland. Those were zone type. They were dropping 44 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 1: into zones. They were loading up to stop the run 45 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: and playing you know, soft zones behind it. And you know, 46 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: Mayfield was throwing the ball to the tight ends and 47 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:44,359 Speaker 1: getting some getting some plays down the field, which is fine, 48 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:46,519 Speaker 1: but then you get down into the red zone when 49 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 1: things tighten up, and they've struggled all season despite having 50 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 1: a great running games. Yeah, so I think these are 51 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: similar type of teams. You know, I think the Browns 52 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 1: are getting better. I probably would pick them to win 53 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 1: the division right now, you know, I mean I don't 54 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: feel super strong about it, but I don't think this 55 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: is a great matchup. And uh, the Patriots O line 56 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 1: is healthier now. You know, the Myles Garrett presents problems, 57 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 1: and the Browns Ded's a lot out presents problems too. 58 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 1: But the Browns want to play with six defensive backs 59 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: on the field. Belich actually gonna keep them in heavy person, Noel, 60 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: I bet. Yeah, they have two tight ends. And you know, 61 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,239 Speaker 1: over the past five games, the Patriots have averaged to 62 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: hunt in thirty seven point four rushing yeards per game. 63 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 1: But they've got running back issues. Yeah, it's Stevenson and 64 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 1: Harris are both questionable, and we talked about this a 65 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 1: lot with fantasy. If it's not those two, I don't 66 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 1: want anybody. Yeah, I mean they're not it's a step 67 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 1: down there. But Harris, I mean they're a run team 68 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: and Mac Jones manages a game and as I just 69 00:03:57,800 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 1: think it's gonna be close. I see that more of 70 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: us as a pick um game. The night, New England 71 00:04:04,000 --> 00:04:06,120 Speaker 1: by two and a half. Oh, I'm surprised their favored. 72 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: I might take points. I would take the points. Yeah, 73 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: I think that should Yeah, it's in New England, right, 74 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 1: it's in New England. But I would I mean, Cleveland's 75 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 1: more talented team, even without Chubb. Oh, without question, without question. Um, 76 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 1: I think New England is a game. Though I don't 77 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:21,919 Speaker 1: feel super strong about it, but I think it's I 78 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:26,800 Speaker 1: feel super strong about the under this one is it? 79 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 1: It makes no sense. Saints five and three at Titans 80 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: seven and two, Tennessee favored according to this by three. 81 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 1: I saw two and a half last night. Alvin Kahmar 82 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 1: is not playing. May that may adjust a line a little. 83 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:47,279 Speaker 1: I would think I love the Saints. What do the 84 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: Saints have offensively to hang their hat on zero nothing. 85 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 1: It's Trevor Simeon. Simeon. They could line both Trevor Simeon 86 00:04:55,040 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 1: and so up in the backfield with twelve guys on 87 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 1: the fun and I would still take the Tennessee Tits 88 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 1: win this game. Yeah, Um, no one paid attention to it. 89 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 1: But Simeon led some drives late in that game and 90 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: didn't play badly. But he's he's Trevor Say, we know 91 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 1: who he is. You know, I mean obviously has a 92 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: much higher Uh. It gets the advantage of the quarterback position, 93 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: without question. I really like the Saints D but it 94 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 1: struggled lately. Lattimore has been all of a sudden starting 95 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 1: to get beat. You know their past offense, A lot 96 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 1: of corners do. But he's unbelievably streaky. Looks like Julio 97 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: is gonna play. Julios played against those guys a million times. 98 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,919 Speaker 1: You know, I think Tennessee scores points. I don't understand 99 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: this game. I think they wouldn't buy more than a touchdown. 100 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 1: I agree, I think it's gonna be. Uh. Their d 101 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: line is nasty right now. Um overrun that was forty four, 102 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 1: So but just kind low. I guess, yeah, a lot 103 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: of low ones this week. Yeah. Uh, Buccaneers six and 104 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:08,600 Speaker 1: two at Washington two and six, Washington coming off the byway, 105 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 1: both teams off by Yeah, that's true. Uh, Tampa Bay 106 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:14,039 Speaker 1: favored by nine and a half in the over under 107 00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:18,719 Speaker 1: is fifty one. But no Godwin that one. Antonio Brown, 108 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 1: I saw Godwin's questionable. Brown's out. Gronk Well, Bruce arians 109 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:25,920 Speaker 1: Arians says he hopes that Godwin can be I don't 110 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: think he practiced again today. Okay, I knew I saw 111 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:31,480 Speaker 1: something quick to you know, just like an hour ago, 112 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:34,560 Speaker 1: and I know they Gronk and Brown are out. They're 113 00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 1: out Godwin's I don't think. Yeah, I think it's a 114 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 1: run game for them. I think Washington can keep it close. 115 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:46,279 Speaker 1: I mean, Washington runs the ball reasonably well despite Gibson 116 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:50,160 Speaker 1: not putting up great points. Tampa it's really really hard 117 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 1: to run against. And I don't trust I mean, Heineke first. 118 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 1: Brady Enough said, Um, I think Washington can keep it close. 119 00:06:57,279 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: So because I don't know that Tampa is gonna score 120 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:01,960 Speaker 1: a million against him, you know something they don't have 121 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 1: their guys. Yeah, um, I give you the little thing. 122 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 1: Ben Roethlisberger last week, past this past Tom Brady for 123 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 1: the most sacks all time. Um, their neck and neck. 124 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:19,520 Speaker 1: Now Roethlisberger's one sacked one. Brady has been sacked twelve 125 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: times this year in his eight games. Roethlisberger has now 126 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 1: been sacked uh sixteen times in his eight games. This 127 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 1: might end up going neck and neck all the way 128 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: down the stretch here. It absolutely could. It's a really 129 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 1: interesting one to me, and I don't have it in 130 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: front of me. It was on that stat pack thing 131 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 1: I did this week. But it's amazing how many more 132 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: games Brady's played than Ben. To me, that's the really 133 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 1: interesting thing if they're basically the same number of sacks, 134 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: well over five hundred by the way, Yeah, I think 135 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: it's five thirty four. Could you imagine he sacked five 136 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 1: hundred and sometimes, you know, like I wonder why Ben's 137 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 1: not walking around like he used to, like he had 138 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 1: sacked five hundred thirty four times or something in his life. 139 00:07:57,280 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 1: That doesn't it doesn't include all the times he's you know, 140 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: he used a run right every times got hit? Yeah right, 141 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: I mean, unbelievable. Um, but just think about that as 142 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:11,640 Speaker 1: a human being getting sacked by those people five standing stationary, 143 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: right guy to run into you and back. Then he's 144 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 1: old enough that they didn't protect quarterbacks like they do now. 145 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 1: Their head shots. There's the shots, you know, Uh, Bills 146 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 1: five and three at Jets six or two and six, 147 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:30,960 Speaker 1: Buffalo favored by twelve the over under forty seven and 148 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 1: a half. That's a big number, is a big number. 149 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: Mike White's gonna start. Bills are struggling. They don't run 150 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 1: the ball, well, they don't want to run the ball, 151 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 1: but they've also showed a uh the ability to blow 152 00:08:42,880 --> 00:08:45,320 Speaker 1: out some bad teams despite this past week's long and 153 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 1: this is this is the division game, that's a common 154 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 1: opponent that they know. They just got embarrassed last week. 155 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: They destroy them. I think they just smoke them. Yeah, 156 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 1: and don't know the Jets move the ball. Well, I'm 157 00:08:57,120 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 1: looking here at the picks for the NFL Nation writers. 158 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 1: The Bills writer picks Bills twenty seven, Jets thirteen. Uh, 159 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: the Jets writer picks Bills one, Jets twenty. Oh wow, 160 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:15,319 Speaker 1: come on, come on, this Mike White stuff is It's wonderful. 161 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 1: I mean, he's now going to be Chase Daniel for 162 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 1: his life. I mean he's he's played about four quarters. 163 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 1: Actually right right, let's not. Let's not, you know, say 164 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:27,840 Speaker 1: he's he's going to be the next Tom Brady here exactly. 165 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: It probably won't work. That they'll come after him. They'll 166 00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:33,560 Speaker 1: make life very tough one him. The Bills do have 167 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 1: the number one defense in the NFL. Yes, and I 168 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 1: bet it is after this week. Uh, Falcons four and 169 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:44,520 Speaker 1: four at Cowboys six and two, Dallas favored by nine 170 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:48,199 Speaker 1: and a half, the over under fifty five. I think 171 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:51,080 Speaker 1: this is another bounce back game. What would this spreadbee 172 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:53,320 Speaker 1: had Dallas not lost less week? It's funny I said 173 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:57,439 Speaker 1: that on my podcast yesterday. I said, let's pretend this 174 00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:00,440 Speaker 1: game was played two weeks ago, not even a months ago. 175 00:10:00,840 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 1: I bet their fourteen point favorites. Yeah, and I think 176 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 1: that's closer to what they both these teams really are. Yeah. 177 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:10,679 Speaker 1: I think you know, the Falcon is good for them. 178 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: They're they've gotten the four. They're doing some good things. 179 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 1: Not a lot of talent there. Their lines bad, their 180 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 1: defense is bad. I appreciate how Ryan and Pitts and 181 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:22,079 Speaker 1: Patterson and the new head coach are all doing, all 182 00:10:22,120 --> 00:10:24,439 Speaker 1: have improved. You're getting a lot out of not much, 183 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 1: but Dallas has way more talent and Doak is not 184 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:30,440 Speaker 1: going to play like that again. The Cowboys seven and 185 00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 1: one against the spread this season. Last week was five 186 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:37,079 Speaker 1: and oh in conference games. That's the thing that people, 187 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 1: You know, it's the nonconference games. Teams you don't see 188 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:43,600 Speaker 1: a lot. Yeah, you know, you gotta again a short 189 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:47,840 Speaker 1: week to prepare for a non conference opponent. Like it's 190 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: funny were I forget who's playing Denver this week? I 191 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 1: know we'll get to the Gameladelphia. That's one to me? 192 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:57,199 Speaker 1: Like how many Eagles have ever played in Denver? Right, 193 00:10:57,320 --> 00:11:00,599 Speaker 1: you know, like one to know what I mean? And 194 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 1: the other team that's gonna be a challenge for them, 195 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:04,840 Speaker 1: Like I like that. I don't think Denver is good, 196 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:07,360 Speaker 1: but I'm gonna pick Denver in Okay. Yeah, although Denver's 197 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:12,439 Speaker 1: missing three offensive either offensive, which that's a problem. Um. 198 00:11:12,679 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 1: Jaguars two and six at Colts four and five Indianapolis 199 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:21,240 Speaker 1: favored by ten and a half, the over under forty 200 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: seven and a half. I don't know what to make 201 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:25,080 Speaker 1: of the line. I mean, I think the Colts win. 202 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:28,439 Speaker 1: I think the Colts run on them unlike Buffalo. I mean, 203 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 1: I think it's a big Jonathan Taylor game. Jaguar is 204 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 1: only allowing three point eight yards of carrying. They're not 205 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:36,839 Speaker 1: outside their defense. Isn't horrible? Yeah, I mean, I just 206 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,080 Speaker 1: don't think they'll have to deviate from the run game, 207 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 1: which shortens the game and probably makes it a lower 208 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:45,560 Speaker 1: scoring one. Wentz makes one bad decision and you lose 209 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 1: that bed if you if you took the Colts. I'm 210 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 1: not a believe that the Jags have turned the corner, 211 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:55,560 Speaker 1: but I think they keep it close. Yeah, neither one 212 00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 1: of the NFL Nation writers agree with you. Well, actually 213 00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:04,560 Speaker 1: actually the h the Jaguars writers picking Colts seventeen, Jaguars fourteen, um, 214 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:07,880 Speaker 1: the Cults writers picking thirty one the seventeen. I think 215 00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 1: I would take the points in that game, but that's 216 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:15,800 Speaker 1: not my favorite bet of the week. I don't know 217 00:12:15,840 --> 00:12:19,560 Speaker 1: that Jonathan Taylor is gonna run like he has been running. Um, 218 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 1: and you can count on Carson Wentz to maybe have 219 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 1: a oops moments. He screws one thing up and the 220 00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:30,280 Speaker 1: Colts are not running away with that game. Yeah, we 221 00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 1: know the Lions and Steelers. Steelers are favored by nine. 222 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 1: He over under forty two and a half picks at 223 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:39,319 Speaker 1: the end of the show, Bikings three and five at 224 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 1: Chargers five and three kind of an elimination game. I 225 00:12:45,760 --> 00:12:49,600 Speaker 1: and Dalvin Cook goes bonkers. But I don't like favored 226 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 1: by three, the over unders fifty three. Yeah, I saw that. 227 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 1: I don't like the other things going on in Minnesota. 228 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,839 Speaker 1: I think Dalvin Cooke has a huge game. When we parted, 229 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:01,560 Speaker 1: dfs lineup around. Just don't even try to stop the run. No, 230 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:04,760 Speaker 1: he's going to gouge them. But I also think Herbert 231 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 1: is really really good. He tear, he'll tear up The'll 232 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 1: tear that group up. Hunt No, Daniel Hunter. I like 233 00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 1: the Chargers in that game. Kirk Cousins is not thrown 234 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:17,079 Speaker 1: an interception in seven straight road games. Good for him. 235 00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 1: That's a pretty impressive streak. Yeah. Um, that is the 236 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 1: longest since Tom Brady went eight without one. Okay, we 237 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:29,760 Speaker 1: never guess that that was. He was when his first 238 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:31,960 Speaker 1: couple of years as a starter. People forget this about 239 00:13:32,040 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 1: him because everyone thinks he's so conservative. He was at 240 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 1: a ridiculous interception pace, like historically bad. He's really reeled 241 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:41,800 Speaker 1: it in. I mean he's and he's not, like he 242 00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:44,440 Speaker 1: doesn't take chances, but they're passing games a little hit 243 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:46,720 Speaker 1: and miss right now too. Would you take the points 244 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 1: in that game? Though? He's three? The Vikings and the 245 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,079 Speaker 1: king of the close game? They are they are? That 246 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 1: might be one you're looking for a teaser. Vikings plus 247 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 1: nine would be Uh, they probably won't get blown out. Yeah. 248 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,079 Speaker 1: I picked the Chargers my as the points. They've played 249 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 1: seven one score games this year. Wow, Yeah, that's who 250 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 1: they are. They don't win many of them, but seven. 251 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 1: The Panthers four and five, Cardinals eight and one. It 252 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 1: looks like Kyler Murray will be back. Uh. The Arizona 253 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:19,920 Speaker 1: favored by ten and a half, the over Hunters forty four, 254 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 1: all these all these like double digit games have low 255 00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:25,400 Speaker 1: over hunders. Yeah, which makes me want to take the points. Yea, 256 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 1: Panthers DS respectable. I mean I would take the points. Um. 257 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:33,400 Speaker 1: The Cam Newton thing doesn't change anything, but I do 258 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 1: think whether it's you may assume it's Walker if he 259 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 1: can just not stink, you know, you've got a fully 260 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,720 Speaker 1: healthy McCaffrey. Now, who's gonna get a bigger workload? He 261 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 1: died last week. I bet d J. Moore's production goes 262 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 1: up a little. The Panthers. Oh line really worries me 263 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:52,640 Speaker 1: in this match with Chandler Jones and those guys. But 264 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 1: I think the defense is fast and keeps things. Son 265 00:14:56,360 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: Reddick revenge game about that. Um, Cardinals aren't real healthy 266 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:04,720 Speaker 1: though they are not. Kyler plays. He's not gonna run, 267 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 1: He's not gonna run. Both writers picking blowouts eight seventeen really, 268 00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: and I'll take the points. I don't know that the 269 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 1: Cardinals get that high in this game. I don't either. Yeah, 270 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 1: I think it'll be more connor than they're used to run. 271 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:23,120 Speaker 1: There's only forty four. Do these guys know better than 272 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: Vegas that they could think the Cardinals gonna score thirty 273 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 1: two and thirty eight points, almost get to the almost 274 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 1: get themselves. Yeah, I'm not sure I see that. I 275 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:35,000 Speaker 1: think Aline's good. This is a sneaky good game. Now. 276 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:40,200 Speaker 1: Seahawks three and five at Packers seven and two should 277 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:43,080 Speaker 1: get Wilson versus Rogers. Should get Wilson versus Rogers. Yeah, 278 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:45,760 Speaker 1: Seahawks are kind of desperate. Sam base favored by three 279 00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 1: and a half. Yeah, the over runners forty nine and 280 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 1: a half. Um. I don't think people realize how well 281 00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:54,440 Speaker 1: Wilson was playing pre injury too, like as well as 282 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 1: any quarterback in the league. And I'm sure he'll have 283 00:15:56,880 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 1: his best foot forward for this one, and I would 284 00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 1: expect some big plays the metcalf and lock it. I'm 285 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 1: taking Rogers at home, though. I bet he's embarrassed. I 286 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:10,520 Speaker 1: bet you get elite Rogers play after these last couple 287 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 1: of weeks of being in the news. And you know, 288 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,160 Speaker 1: he seems like the type of guy that when you 289 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:18,920 Speaker 1: challenge him, you get the best version of him, you 290 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 1: know what I mean. With Wilson on the field this year, 291 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,080 Speaker 1: the Seahawks are averaging six point five yards per play. 292 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 1: It's a big number, a big number number. Without him, 293 00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 1: it was four point seven yards of play. It's pretty massive. 294 00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 1: Usually league averages five issues it's almost two yards of play. 295 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:36,640 Speaker 1: That huge. Yeah. He's great, Yeah, play as well as 296 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:39,680 Speaker 1: he ever has. Um, it should be. It should be 297 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 1: an interesting one. Both writers picking a close game within 298 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 1: the number. Well, I think US fans or that hook 299 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:49,400 Speaker 1: is interesting. The three and a half and a half, Yeah, 300 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:52,360 Speaker 1: that is interesting. I'm gonna lay the points, but three 301 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:54,080 Speaker 1: and I wish it was two and a half, you 302 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 1: know what I mean. Um, But US fans we get 303 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 1: Wilson Verse Rodgers. That's a heck a lot better than 304 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:04,040 Speaker 1: Geneo Verse. Love Eagles three and six at Broncos five 305 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 1: and four. Denver favored by two and a half. The 306 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 1: over under forty five and a half. Yeah, I kind 307 00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:11,120 Speaker 1: of teased this earlier. I feel pretty strong about Denver, 308 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:14,200 Speaker 1: and I don't even think they're good. I'm not impressed 309 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:18,320 Speaker 1: with Philly's coaching staff or coordinators or scheme. And I 310 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:22,640 Speaker 1: know the Denver Diaz injuries. The Denver A line has injuries, 311 00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:26,960 Speaker 1: but I'll trust Munch and Fangio. Defense still figures out 312 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 1: ways to Yeah, I mean, I know they're short on corners, 313 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 1: but what is Jalen Hurtz going to come out in 314 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 1: four receivers? You know? Be right? It's in some cornerbacks 315 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:40,520 Speaker 1: against Yeah, I mean, Philly's never really played in in Denver. 316 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 1: I mean that's a tough place to play. I think 317 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:46,639 Speaker 1: it's a big Javonte Williams Gordon game, and I like 318 00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:49,920 Speaker 1: Denver in that one. The writer's pick The Eagles writer 319 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 1: picks Eagles twenty to nineteen. The Broncos writer picks Broncos seventeen. 320 00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 1: I'm more I don't know if anyone. I'll get to 321 00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:01,920 Speaker 1: twenty six. But yeah, they cover big game in the 322 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: a f C West Sunday Night game, Chiefs five and 323 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:11,800 Speaker 1: four at Raiders five and three, Kansas City favored by 324 00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:14,440 Speaker 1: two and a half. The over under his fifty two. 325 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 1: Remember that the Raiders beat the Chiefs last year. Yeah, right, right, 326 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:20,440 Speaker 1: when the Chiefs are playing way better than that. Yeah. Absolutely. 327 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:24,480 Speaker 1: This is as good a week as any against a 328 00:18:24,520 --> 00:18:29,480 Speaker 1: common opponent plays a very basic cover three for the 329 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,600 Speaker 1: Chiefs that look like the Chiefs Again. I say that 330 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:34,719 Speaker 1: every Friday, and I'm done with that noise. I mean, 331 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,640 Speaker 1: they're just not playing well and I'm not putting pass 332 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,040 Speaker 1: rushers that are going to give the Chiefs problem. Without question. 333 00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:41,920 Speaker 1: There's a little staff where the Raiders are allowing the 334 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:44,920 Speaker 1: second fewest yards per passe attempt in the league, six 335 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:48,119 Speaker 1: point six point three yards Perpasit they rushed the passer 336 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:52,200 Speaker 1: and they get it out quick. Yeah, right, right right, Um, 337 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:55,720 Speaker 1: I'm just taking the points in this game. That was 338 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:57,960 Speaker 1: my logic when I looked at it was I don't 339 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 1: know who's better. Um, it's in Vegas, right yeah, and 340 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 1: it's gonna be loud Sunday night game. I think I mean, 341 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,440 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a looped up black hole and I'll 342 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 1: just take the points at home. Yeah, is it really 343 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 1: the black hole? Though? I don't. I don't think it's 344 00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:12,560 Speaker 1: still You can't be the black hole. You don't get 345 00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:15,680 Speaker 1: to move the name of the stadium. The black hole 346 00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:18,240 Speaker 1: is in Oakland. It's still there. Whether it's still there, 347 00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:20,720 Speaker 1: you know, it's like we're Buffy the Vampire Slayer was, 348 00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 1: you know, had the hell mouth was at. I thought 349 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: it's gonna be an interesting environment. I have a feeling, 350 00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:31,200 Speaker 1: and not an easy one, but that pop culture. I 351 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 1: didn't see this show or movie or whatever, so I 352 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 1: didn't know what the heck you're talking about and started 353 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 1: talking football. Sorry. Uh? And then finally have you gotten 354 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:44,439 Speaker 1: that one loser? That one's in trouble in that division? 355 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 1: I don't think either one who has been playing well, 356 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,680 Speaker 1: let's all right, kind of like the bed against both. Yeah, 357 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 1: I feel that way, Like I don't know what to 358 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,639 Speaker 1: think of the entire AFC West right now. That's I 359 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: was gonna say. I mean to like, a month ago, 360 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:58,480 Speaker 1: we're talking about the AFC West might be the best 361 00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:01,760 Speaker 1: division in football. Who well, they've done is loose since 362 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 1: except for Denver, who's the worst team of the division. 363 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,280 Speaker 1: They have a nice, big win. Who would you pick 364 00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:10,399 Speaker 1: to win that division right now? Chargers? Me too. But 365 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:12,879 Speaker 1: I don't feel strong I don't feel strongly about it. 366 00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:16,560 Speaker 1: I don't I don't feel that that the Broncos can 367 00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:18,760 Speaker 1: do it. I don't think that the Raiders can do it. 368 00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 1: I'm pretty certain the Broncos are the worst team, but 369 00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:24,159 Speaker 1: they're not in a bad spot and the schedule is 370 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:28,200 Speaker 1: not daunting for them. No, it's not the final game 371 00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 1: of the weekend. Rams seven and two at forty Niners 372 00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:34,200 Speaker 1: three and five. The Rams favored by four. That the 373 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:38,160 Speaker 1: over under forty nine. UM. The Rams got embarrassed last 374 00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:42,160 Speaker 1: week at home. The forty Niners got embarrassed at home. 375 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 1: Fortys and not one a home game in over a years, 376 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 1: been a really bad place. I think they're I think 377 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 1: they they get trounced in this. I don't think this 378 00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 1: is close at all. And then people start talking about 379 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan might be the time might be up. Outside 380 00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:00,719 Speaker 1: of that one super Bowl season where he took them 381 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:02,600 Speaker 1: to a super Bowl, they've been a losing team every 382 00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:06,080 Speaker 1: other year. Here's a scene He's like Jeff Fisher, it's true. 383 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,120 Speaker 1: I mean he's a great offensive mind. I think he's 384 00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:12,439 Speaker 1: a dismal GM and he is the GM there Um. 385 00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 1: He keeps bringing in his own guys Sinew and Mac 386 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,360 Speaker 1: and all these dudes to make up for his mistakes 387 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:22,240 Speaker 1: in the draft, and they developed players worse than any 388 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:24,960 Speaker 1: team in the league, which worries me about Lance. They're 389 00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:29,480 Speaker 1: not even playing him. Um here, here's a dismal number 390 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,920 Speaker 1: for Niners fans. Remember Mike Singletary. How bad a coach 391 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 1: he was there? Yes, better winning percentage as the Niners 392 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:41,119 Speaker 1: head coach than Kyle Jadhan. Yeah. Yeah, that makes my teeth. 393 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:45,359 Speaker 1: It's it's not good. And they can't blame injuries this year. No, 394 00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 1: And if you do want to blame injuries, don't sign 395 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 1: Jason Varette and expect him to play seventeen games when 396 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 1: when he showed you six years in a row that 397 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:56,639 Speaker 1: he can't do it. They have like five guys like that. 398 00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:58,880 Speaker 1: It's like, I feel bad for your bad luck. Don't 399 00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:01,159 Speaker 1: get me wrong, but you keep signing these guys that 400 00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 1: never finished the season anyway, you know what you think's 401 00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 1: gonna happen. I agree, Yeah, I think the Rams just 402 00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,920 Speaker 1: beat him up. O'Dell plays or not, I don't care. 403 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,639 Speaker 1: I think von Miller does. I bet Aaron Donald goes 404 00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: insane and Jimmy G stinks he's gonna be beat up. Yes, 405 00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:22,040 Speaker 1: so I think that's what happens there. That would imagine, 406 00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 1: assuming they lose, it has to be lands time now. Yeah, 407 00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:27,840 Speaker 1: I think he'll be three and six. It's I think 408 00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 1: it's Jimmy's last stand. Yeah, Jimmy's last stand. Jimmy G 409 00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:38,920 Speaker 1: a starter somewhere next year. I actually thought about that 410 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:41,040 Speaker 1: on the way here, which really weird. You brought that up. 411 00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:43,159 Speaker 1: And I think about Jimmy G a lot. I do 412 00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:47,840 Speaker 1: usually when I'm alone late at night. We should do this, 413 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 1: maybe like next week or during the bye. We should 414 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:53,639 Speaker 1: have done this is predict to the thirty two starting 415 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:57,480 Speaker 1: quarterbacks will be. I bet he's a no. I'm thinking 416 00:22:57,520 --> 00:23:00,159 Speaker 1: to know as we're right, Like, I don't think Donald is? 417 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:05,560 Speaker 1: I know Donald Donald? You know is Cam could he? 418 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,439 Speaker 1: And if he finishes a year strong, he has more 419 00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:11,159 Speaker 1: of a chance than than darn right right right? Like 420 00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:12,800 Speaker 1: I bet Robisky is a better chance to be a 421 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 1: starter than Jimmy. Mary Oda might have a better chance, 422 00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,760 Speaker 1: right right, at least he's you know, the burden, the burden, 423 00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:21,320 Speaker 1: the bush or whatever. You know. Yeah, I did think 424 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:24,240 Speaker 1: it's very interesting. But we're gonna take a break. We'll 425 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,560 Speaker 1: get back with the final segment. We'll make our picks, 426 00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,639 Speaker 1: we'll pick our fantasy lineup for DFS. We'll do all 427 00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:33,639 Speaker 1: that right after this Black and Gold footballs here right, 428 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:37,600 Speaker 1: you're listening to S n R