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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast. I am the hottest

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Speaker 1: better in the world, no joke, the hottest better in

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Speaker 1: the world, having the greatest season in the history of betting.

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Speaker 1: Uh that anyone has publicly talked about. I don't even

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Speaker 1: know what to say. And if you aren't following me

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Speaker 1: in two, are following two fifty six or bust in

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Speaker 1: the Action Network Gap You can download it for free.

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Speaker 1: Follow me you will see everything that I'm talking about.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about this a lot during the show today.

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Speaker 1: I can guarantee it, because I cannot stop thinking about it.

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Speaker 1: Later on in the show, Simon Hunter is coming on.

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Speaker 1: He's a professional better and he's been helping me and

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Speaker 1: Darren Ravel all season long make our five picks for

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Speaker 1: the Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest, in which we're trying

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Speaker 1: to win one point five million dollars. And I have

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Speaker 1: not been paying attention to that. But Simon sillily, sillily

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Speaker 1: texting me this weekend and said, listen, if we finished

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Speaker 1: three and two for the rest of the year, Uh,

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Speaker 1: we're going to finish in the money. And I said

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Speaker 1: to him, do not tell me that I haven't checked

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Speaker 1: all year one game, one pick at a time. That's

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Speaker 1: how I live. Um, But now I know this in

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Speaker 1: the back of my head, and it's gonna screw with me.

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Speaker 1: We were four and one last week in the Super Contest.

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Speaker 1: It's like, seriously, I am gold right now. I am

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Speaker 1: not afraid to say it. I am not mush. You

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Speaker 1: cannot stop me. Bob Scucci, bookmaker for the or Leans

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Speaker 1: and all the boy gaming books around the world. He

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Speaker 1: is the bookmaker of the world. He's joining us right now. Dude,

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Speaker 1: I am honored to be on the show with the

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Speaker 1: hottest better in the history of sports betting. You know

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Speaker 1: you joke, you mock. I know you understand. You're on

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Speaker 1: fire Man. Seriously, Seriously, here's the thing. I was six

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Speaker 1: and ten the week before, and there was a point

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Speaker 1: on Sunday when I was looking at these games. I'm

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Speaker 1: watching Red Zone, and you know they they flash like

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Speaker 1: the scoreboard for red Zone at the end of the

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Speaker 1: first quarter when a lot of the games have reached

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Speaker 1: the end of the first quarter. I forgot how many

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Speaker 1: games they were. They're probably I don't know, probably nine

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Speaker 1: or ten games early yesterday, maybe nine games on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: I mean, and I looked and I think I was

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Speaker 1: losing every game, and I'm like, oh, it's going to

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Speaker 1: be such an ugly day. And then I turned it around,

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Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, I looked on like the

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Speaker 1: games that I was really gonna lose, I had a

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Speaker 1: chance to push. I had a chance to push. The

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Speaker 1: Bucks game, I had, like even the Browns Bengals that

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Speaker 1: I was under forty one in the final it I

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Speaker 1: had a chance, you know it sixteen and then there

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Speaker 1: was just some flukiness, but like I had a shot, yep, yep,

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Speaker 1: And uh that's how they go. And that's why it's

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Speaker 1: important to get that number you talking about, you know,

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Speaker 1: the difference of taking three or two and a half

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Speaker 1: and then game falls three. It makes all the difference,

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Speaker 1: makes all the difference in the world. Do you think

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Speaker 1: do you believe in most Do you believe in jinks?

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Speaker 1: Do you believe in karma? Do you think I'm screwing

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Speaker 1: it up by talking about it today? It's funny. I

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Speaker 1: don't really believe in it. But I mean, I I

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Speaker 1: wear the same pair of socks on the Super Bowl Sundays.

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Speaker 1: I've got my favorite pairs, But yet I don't believe

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Speaker 1: in it. Isn't that funny? There's a I love The

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Speaker 1: West Wing, the show The West Wing. It's one of

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Speaker 1: my favorite shows of all time, and I've watched probably

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Speaker 1: every episode seven or eight times, just running through on

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Speaker 1: a Netflix. And my older son, who's sixteen, for Father's Day,

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Speaker 1: one of the gifts he gave me was he would

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Speaker 1: watch five episodes The West Wing with me, and I

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Speaker 1: knew if I got him for five, i'd get him

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Speaker 1: for all of them. So of course we're cycling through

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Speaker 1: and he's loving it, and um, there's a scene in

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Speaker 1: one of the episodes where Jed Bartlett, who was played

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Speaker 1: by Martin Sheen as the President, UM, is supposed to

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Speaker 1: do a photo op with a guy who has shaken

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Speaker 1: hands with every president since Herbert Hoover. And it just

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Speaker 1: so happens that the president got in some news about

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Speaker 1: a big company going belly up and it was going

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Speaker 1: to have a massive impact on the stock market, and

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Speaker 1: the market was always cratering. It was down like four

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Speaker 1: or five points, and uh, the next day he needed

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Speaker 1: it to open big, so like it didn't create her

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Speaker 1: into a further recession for the economy. And this guy

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Speaker 1: who shook Hoobert Hoover's hand, shook his hand, um, the

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Speaker 1: day before the Great Depression began. And so right before

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Speaker 1: the president is about to shake his hand, that's when

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Speaker 1: he says he met Herbert Hoover was like before the

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Speaker 1: depression began. So the president is about to shake his hand,

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Speaker 1: and then he stops and he goes into the corner

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Speaker 1: with his aid, uh named Charlie Young in the show,

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Speaker 1: and um, he says to him, I can't believe I'm

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Speaker 1: doing this, but this guy was Hoover's good luck charm

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Speaker 1: and I need the stock market to do what I

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Speaker 1: needed to do tomorrow. And then out loud, he's like,

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Speaker 1: I can't even believe I'm saying this out loud. Of

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Speaker 1: course I'm going to shake his hand, and Charlie goes,

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Speaker 1: I can't believe you're considering shaking his hand at all,

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Speaker 1: Like this is crazy. Put it off till tomorrow. It's funny,

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Speaker 1: that's exactly it. You kind of believe in it, but

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Speaker 1: you don't believe in it, but you kind of like

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Speaker 1: what do you got to lose? You know what, I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to believe in it, Like say it loud,

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Speaker 1: say it proud. I'm fucking twelve, two and two this

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Speaker 1: past week. I'm one eight, seven and two on the year,

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Speaker 1: picking every game that's fifties. That's nearly That's about as

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Speaker 1: good as you can get. I guess you can have

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Speaker 1: phenomenal seasons, but that's I mean, that's really about as

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Speaker 1: good as you can hope for. I've got forty eight

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Speaker 1: games left. Forty eight games left, and I'm thirty thirty

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Speaker 1: one games above five. Wow, that's fantastic. I And what

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Speaker 1: do you need? You need to win of those? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. You do the math, you're a bookmaker. You

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Speaker 1: need to win those. I need to win twenty eight

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Speaker 1: games to finish at No, to finish at because you're

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Speaker 1: a fifty eight percent now right, so so to continue

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Speaker 1: that needed? All right, I'm writing that down. Hold on,

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Speaker 1: I gotta get the microphone out of the way so

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Speaker 1: I can make a note of that I need to

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Speaker 1: win more games. I'm just gonna quickly write that down.

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Speaker 1: All right. That is insane. That seems doable to me. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: given the streak. I'm on, Ye, what is that? That's

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Speaker 1: that's a week, that's nine ten, it's it's a it's

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Speaker 1: a nine nine ten combination. That's rough. Say it like that,

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Speaker 1: and it's rough. I'm going nine and seven, nine and

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Speaker 1: seven and then ten and six to any year I

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Speaker 1: just took. I gotta move the Seahawks game. Not to

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Speaker 1: interrupt this, I'm going from five and a half to

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Speaker 1: six on the Seahawks nine change. All right, you know what,

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Speaker 1: Let's just get to it. Let's stop talking about me

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Speaker 1: and my brilliance. I mean, by the way, I should

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Speaker 1: give some I've said this whole thing. I haven't given

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Speaker 1: any credit to my buddy Matt from her in, who

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Speaker 1: I entered into this with. And the truth is like

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Speaker 1: I'll pick half the games, he picks half the games.

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Speaker 1: And um, we just happened to both be on fire

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Speaker 1: right now. Wow? Yeah, unbelievable. Ye, speaking of on fire,

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Speaker 1: let's get to it. Scooch we both want scoocher let

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Speaker 1: last week, so that'll be interesting. Um, we've got an

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Speaker 1: on fire Baltimore Ravens team that is fifteen and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites right now. Fifteen and a half point favorites?

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Speaker 1: Are you kidding me? They are a juggernaut. We just

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Speaker 1: we just went to fourteen and a half. So we

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Speaker 1: did take a couple of a couple of big bets

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Speaker 1: on plus fifteen and a half. FI teams are dead numbers,

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Speaker 1: so there's really no difference between fourteen and a half

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Speaker 1: and fifteen and a half. Um. But yeah, we're like

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Speaker 1: looking at this number saying, I mean, they're they're betting Ravens,

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Speaker 1: and Ravens are covering every week, and you know, at

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Speaker 1: what point on a on a high profile game, the

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Speaker 1: Thursday night game, we know everybody that walks into the

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Speaker 1: sports book is just going to take the Ravens. So

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Speaker 1: I might as well just make them as high as possible. Wow,

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Speaker 1: how do I not take the Jets in that spot?

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Speaker 1: I have absolutely have to, absolutely have to. I mean

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Speaker 1: it goes on, goes with every kind of sports betting rules.

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Speaker 1: You know that the double digit underdogs and the I

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Speaker 1: mean and the Jets, I mean, you look at their

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Speaker 1: last three or four games, and uh, they're not playing bad.

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Speaker 1: You know, you can take the throw throw the one

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Speaker 1: game out that uh uh that they stuck it up.

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Speaker 1: But I mean they're they're they're playing competitive. So to

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Speaker 1: be getting fourteen and to have points, all they gotta

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Speaker 1: do is keep it close. You're not asking them to

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Speaker 1: win the game. No, not at all um and the

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Speaker 1: rush defense is really good and that's something the Ravens

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Speaker 1: do well. So like it's strength on strength there. Yep,

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Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Yep. We just gotta, you know,

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Speaker 1: make sure checking on the weather on this one. But

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Speaker 1: I mean, if it is kind of bad weather, it

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Speaker 1: actually plays into the Jets favor a little bit. So

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Speaker 1: what is the weather in this game? Do we know yet?

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Speaker 1: It's a little little early on this one. Uh. I

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Speaker 1: mean the wind is the thing that you gotta watch

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Speaker 1: and that's really not people. We are not going to

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Speaker 1: know that until closer to game time. No wind right now.

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Speaker 1: The only wind I'm looking uh sports insights dot Action

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Speaker 1: network dot com. It's a weather tool. Anyone can sign

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Speaker 1: up to get it. Miami Dolphins at New York Giants

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Speaker 1: going to have fifteen mile pro wins this weekend. But

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Speaker 1: I don't have anything on the Ravens and the Jets. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: a little early, remindered everyone. Everything I'm doing, everything is

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Speaker 1: available in the free Action Network gap. Every piece of

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Speaker 1: data I talk about, um in terms of uh, betting

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Speaker 1: percentages on tickets, Uh, who's betting on what? All that

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Speaker 1: kind of stuff. Action Network app. Also you can follow

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Speaker 1: toft or bust get all my picks. You might want

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Speaker 1: to start to fade me. Um, it's free money fading

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Speaker 1: me right now, joke. But I've talked about it so

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Speaker 1: much that you might want to do that, right. What

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Speaker 1: do you think? Do you think people should fade me? Uh?

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Speaker 1: I don't know part right here? I mean I against you.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't either, my friend step from the don't step

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Speaker 1: in front of that train. No, I'm going to bet

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Speaker 1: on the Jets this weekend. I'm just waiting. I need

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Speaker 1: that number to move a little bit more. Tampa Bay

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Speaker 1: visiting Detroit. You have this game off the board right

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Speaker 1: now because we don't know who's playing quarterback, right, I

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Speaker 1: mean we we had it up and down and it

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Speaker 1: was anywhere from Tampa Bay minus three and a half

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Speaker 1: to Tampa Bay four. So, I mean Winston played the

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Speaker 1: Jameis Winston played most of that game last week with

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Speaker 1: that some injury. Uh. As usual, he has a really

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Speaker 1: good good moments and had some really bad moments. So

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Speaker 1: but we're just going to keep an eye and see,

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Speaker 1: uh see if he's playing this weekend. So we're just

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Speaker 1: being on the safe side, keeping it all for now.

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Speaker 1: I really liked this next game, and by the way,

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Speaker 1: I want people to recognize you and I have talked

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Speaker 1: about this, but last week we spent so much time

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Speaker 1: both on and by the way, don't forget Scooch and

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Speaker 1: I do our Action Network Countdown to Kickoff show every

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Speaker 1: Sunday noon to one, and we got bets flying. We

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Speaker 1: got bets for five thousand, ten thousand, fifty thousand dollars

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Speaker 1: coming in in a real time. Scooch is moving the

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Speaker 1: number as we break down every game. Uh and last

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Speaker 1: week we were saying Jets Dolphins is going to be

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Speaker 1: the most interesting game on the board, and it was

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Speaker 1: like it was a fascinating game. As a better I

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Speaker 1: feel the same way about this Eagles visiting the Redskins game.

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Speaker 1: Redskins four and a half point favorites. Although you have

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Speaker 1: it off the board right now, I don't know why

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Speaker 1: Eagles Eagles favorite, you have another one. We were just

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Speaker 1: going back and forth to put it on the board,

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Speaker 1: off the board, just making sure we're getting all the

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Speaker 1: latest information with uh al shot Jeffrey and a couple

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Speaker 1: of couple of other guys on the Eagle side. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they're pretty banged up, and UH, we just want to

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Speaker 1: make sure that that we have all the latest information

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Speaker 1: so it's not a new sual like on a Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning following a team that played on Monday night first,

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Speaker 1: and just be a little bit more careful before keeping

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Speaker 1: it up on the board. So we did put it

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Speaker 1: up though at four, got a little Eagles money before

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Speaker 1: we took it back down off the board. So uh,

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Speaker 1: now I see most places have it up at four

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Speaker 1: and a half. So I think the sharp guys will

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Speaker 1: see a little bit of value with Washington, especially if

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Speaker 1: they were able to draw anything from the Monday night

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Speaker 1: game with the Giants, and uh, the Eagles were able

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Speaker 1: to come back in that one, but the first half

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Speaker 1: certainly looked like almost anybody could kind of do well

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Speaker 1: against the Eagles. So I guess the Redskins that plus

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Speaker 1: four and a half, especially if you look at their

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Speaker 1: last performance against green Bay as as as huge underdogs

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Speaker 1: and they got down to that four team nothing deficit,

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Speaker 1: but they held green Bay after that and made that

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Speaker 1: game pretty competitive. So here they are again with a

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Speaker 1: team that's not as good as green Bay getting four

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Speaker 1: and a half points at home. I think I see

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Speaker 1: the value there, but nevertheless, I'm sure, we're gonna get

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Speaker 1: a lot of public money on the Eagles. Do you

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Speaker 1: think that line is going to move up before it

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Speaker 1: moves down? Uh? I think it'll stay a four and

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Speaker 1: to have most of the week and then uh, I

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Speaker 1: think closer to game time it'll probably move down. No,

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Speaker 1: I don't think it'll go up. Just try. We're saying

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Speaker 1: about of the action on Philadelphia, but it's all it's

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Speaker 1: all just kind of recreational bettors in the general public.

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Speaker 1: So I don't see them really driving it up too much. Uh.

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Speaker 1: Mitch Rubinsky and the Chicago Bears, the red hot Chicago

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Speaker 1: Bears and the brilliant Mitch Drubisky visiting Green Bay where

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Speaker 1: they are four and a half point underdogs right now.

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Speaker 1: This is a hard game to cap for me. I really,

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Speaker 1: I kind of have no read on it. The Packers

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Speaker 1: have really underwhelmed for a month. Uh, and the Bears

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Speaker 1: beat up on the lines team beat up in a

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Speaker 1: Cowboys team in bad shape. I don't know who to

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Speaker 1: believe they are right now? Yeah, now exactly. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Chicago's finally win in a couple of games, but you

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Speaker 1: know they're against kind of left instellar teams and the Packers,

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Speaker 1: Like we were just talking about them with the struggling

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Speaker 1: against the Redskins after getting out to a four team

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Speaker 1: nothing lead. That's kind of been their m O all years.

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Speaker 1: They get out to the early lead and then something

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Speaker 1: happens to them, and then their offense just stalls in

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Speaker 1: the in the second half, and they're, like I said,

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Speaker 1: they're tenant three, They're not really an impressive ten in three,

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Speaker 1: if that makes sense. So here they are laying four

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Speaker 1: and a half. We actually opened this game five and

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Speaker 1: some of the early bets from the professional handicappers around Chicago,

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Speaker 1: so we're actually a little heavy on Chicago, and the

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Speaker 1: public really hasn't weighed in as much yet. I'm sure

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Speaker 1: they're going to be coming in on Green Bay, but

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Speaker 1: so far the sharp guys around Chicago. So if I Chicago,

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Speaker 1: I might want to jump in now at four and

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Speaker 1: a half. If I like Green Bay, I might want

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Speaker 1: to wait. Yeah, I'm actually I actually see this game

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Speaker 1: going down to four, and then it might happen even

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Speaker 1: even earlier before the weekend because there's just there's not

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Speaker 1: enough public sentiment on the Packers to kind of keep

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Speaker 1: the line, uh, you know, as high as we want

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Speaker 1: to make it and Uh, and the sharp guys have

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Speaker 1: already tipped their head which way they're going this next game? Scooch, Yeah,

294
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Speaker 1: do you know what we're doing right now? What we're

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Speaker 1: on this Cincinnattie and the New England Patriots. Look, Patriots

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Speaker 1: at nine and a half, looking really bad, two weeks

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Speaker 1: in a row, fighting with each other, videotaping the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: Things are so bad they're videotaping the Bengals sideline. And

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Speaker 1: you've got a Bengals team that for two weeks in

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Speaker 1: a row has covered, albeit against bad teams. Um, can

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Speaker 1: I trust the Patriots in their history or the history

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Speaker 1: of teams that are nine ten point underdogs, which is

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Speaker 1: a very specific metric, as well as teams that are

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Speaker 1: big home underdogs, as well as teams that are getting

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Speaker 1: less than the action as a home underdog. Like it's

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Speaker 1: tilting towards Cincinnati here, absolutely, I mean Cincinnati at home

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Speaker 1: getting almost ten points, are getting we're at nine and

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Speaker 1: a half right now. We actually opened the game ten,

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Speaker 1: took a couple of big bets on Cincinnati, Uh drove

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Speaker 1: it to nine and a half. But I mean, look,

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Speaker 1: it's hard to bet against the Patriots and we've said

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Speaker 1: it all a year, but if there's a time to

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Speaker 1: do it, it would be now. And I often say,

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Speaker 1: you know, you can't read too much out of just

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Speaker 1: one game, like if this team has a bad performance

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Speaker 1: and they fall flat. But you're talking about the last

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Speaker 1: five weeks. The Patriots have three losses, and this is

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Speaker 1: the Patriot team that when they haven't lost at home

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Speaker 1: in years, and you know, and here they are. They're

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Speaker 1: not only losing, they're losing at home. They're not looking good.

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Speaker 1: And now you're asking to cover double digits on the road.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I know it's against the worst team in

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Speaker 1: the league, but now here's a Cincinnati team that if

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Speaker 1: they are playing, uh, if you pick a point in

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Speaker 1: the season where they're playing their best, we could argue

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Speaker 1: it is now. They had a couple of games in

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Speaker 1: a row, even though last week it was kind of

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Speaker 1: right around the number depending on what you got with

329
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Speaker 1: the Browns. That line fluctuated between seven and nine throughout

330
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Speaker 1: the week. So but but absolutely it's this is way

331
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Speaker 1: more value on the Bengals than there is on New England.

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Speaker 1: It's just always hard to bet against New England. Well, look,

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Speaker 1: you've got the like The polarity couldn't be more exaggerated

334
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Speaker 1: because it's the one team that defies every rule as

335
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Speaker 1: a favorite and the one team that defies every rule

336
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Speaker 1: as an underdog, right, like, yeah, this is a matchup

337
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Speaker 1: made in heaven here, yeah, or a matchup made in

338
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Speaker 1: hell and then and then you got to think, I

339
00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,639
Speaker 1: mean the Patriots kind of the Bills next week, which

340
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Speaker 1: is kind of for the division. So a lot of

341
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Speaker 1: interesting kind of scenarios with this game. Jesus, why is

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Speaker 1: um moving on? Why is Houston Tennessee getting so much

343
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Speaker 1: attention right now? This is the most bad game we

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Speaker 1: have on the board and our Action Network app with

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Speaker 1: the most most tickets. Well, I mean talking about the division,

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Speaker 1: I mean this game. This game is for the Pantheon

347
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Speaker 1: Cup title, That's what I mean. So the Titans have

348
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Speaker 1: drawn Here's why there's so much interest in the game.

349
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Speaker 1: The Titans have drawn more action from the Sharp guys

350
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Speaker 1: in the last three or four weeks than almost any

351
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Speaker 1: other team on the board. They have been on them

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Speaker 1: every week, So they're seeing the effectiveness of this offense.

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Speaker 1: They're they're seeing um, you know, they're throwing out the

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Speaker 1: first half of the year. Uh, and then at the

355
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Speaker 1: same time, you have a Texans team that wins big

356
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Speaker 1: games like beating the Patriots and then comes back and

357
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Speaker 1: then lays an egg the following the week, plays super

358
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Speaker 1: well against teams like the Saints, and then loses to

359
00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:20,400
Speaker 1: you know, teams like the Colts, And so, I mean,

360
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Speaker 1: this team is kind of interesting to watch because the inconsistency.

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Speaker 1: So now here you have the two best teams in

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Speaker 1: the division supposedly, and uh no surprise that they're only

363
00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:36,239
Speaker 1: separated by the three point home field advantage, which is

364
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Speaker 1: kind of most games that you see in that division.

365
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Speaker 1: Just make the home team three points and you've got

366
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Speaker 1: your line. Um, But we're actually seeing a little bit

367
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Speaker 1: more sharp money coming in on the Texans, but not

368
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Speaker 1: much so we went to minus three even money on

369
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Speaker 1: Tennessee and uh uh, the public is slightly on the Titans,

370
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,399
Speaker 1: but the sharp guys are slightly on the Texans. So

371
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Speaker 1: you might have to go to two and a half here,

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Speaker 1: if anything, that's the direction we're going. I mean, and

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Speaker 1: any figures like that said, when I've said it before,

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Speaker 1: when you have like two really good teams a competitive

375
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Speaker 1: matchup and they're only separated by the field goal, the

376
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Speaker 1: general tendency is to go ahead and take the points, right,

377
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Speaker 1: but if that line drops the two and a half,

378
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:26,399
Speaker 1: the tendency is to lay the points. Like, yeah, the

379
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 1: difference of a half point when you're talking about, um,

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Speaker 1: the margin of three, that key number. At two and

381
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Speaker 1: a half, you've bet the Titans and at three to

382
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Speaker 1: take a shop with the Texans. Like you said, how

383
00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:40,560
Speaker 1: you got lucky with the Buccaneers. I mean so many

384
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Speaker 1: games full three. Uh, there's just that tremendous value with

385
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Speaker 1: that half point. All right, Seattle's going on the road

386
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Speaker 1: getting truly beat up, losing Rashad Penny Uh, playing a

387
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:54,520
Speaker 1: really dreadful Carolina Panthers team that is just lost, like

388
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:58,320
Speaker 1: they don't know what they're doing. Um, you got the

389
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,879
Speaker 1: Panthers is a six and a half point ug That

390
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:05,920
Speaker 1: feels like a dangerous underdog to me. Dangerous. Actually, those

391
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:11,120
Speaker 1: are some dangerous cats. We're at six. We were at

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Speaker 1: five and a half before the show started. This was

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Speaker 1: the one at the top of the show that we

394
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Speaker 1: actually took a couple of big bets from sharp guys

395
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Speaker 1: on Seattle and we went to six just a matter

396
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Speaker 1: of minutes ago. So the money is all on Seattle.

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Speaker 1: A matter of fact, it's like Seattle money, and it's

398
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Speaker 1: both from sharp guys and uh the general public. So

399
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,800
Speaker 1: if the Panthers are a dangerous dog, I really hope

400
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,800
Speaker 1: you're right, and I hope that winning percentage that you

401
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,840
Speaker 1: had carries over into this game. If you like the Panthers,

402
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 1: because that's who we're gonna need. What do you think

403
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:47,520
Speaker 1: of this game? What would you take in this what

404
00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,639
Speaker 1: side would you take the Well? I I like the

405
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 1: Seahawks as well. I mean, the Panthers are done for

406
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Speaker 1: the season, and I really liked uh last week. The

407
00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons was was my scooch ulemtic and one of

408
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,119
Speaker 1: our shows. I know we do two of them, but

409
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Speaker 1: I really liked Atlanta last week. I think Seattle is

410
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 1: just every bit as good and the dangerous is as

411
00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: uh as the Falcons were last week. And then Seahawks

412
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Speaker 1: coming off of that loss, I think they're going to

413
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Speaker 1: come into this game and and and looking to put

414
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Speaker 1: a thumping on Carolina. Why do you not have the

415
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Speaker 1: Kids City Chiefs hosting the Denver Broncos on the board

416
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Speaker 1: right now? We were Mahomes has got that injury. Now

417
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,160
Speaker 1: he's listed we actually had the game up. We opened

418
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:44,680
Speaker 1: the game up at eleven and a half, and uh,

419
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Speaker 1: the first bet we took was ten thousand dollar bettert

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Speaker 1: plus eleven and a half. When we went to eleven,

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Speaker 1: then they took the eleven. Uh. And then it came

422
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Speaker 1: out that that Mahomes was was questionable. Uh there. I

423
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,840
Speaker 1: mean they've since upgraded him to probable now. But it's

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Speaker 1: just I mean, obviously it's just such a key piece

425
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Speaker 1: of that offense. And we've talked about it before how

426
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Speaker 1: much we've liked Denver as a covering team all year,

427
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Speaker 1: and we don't want to be too high on the

428
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 1: favorites against Denver, and Denver has been really good to

429
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,240
Speaker 1: to us this year. Um, I don't want to put

430
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 1: ourselves in a position where we're taking too much on Denver.

431
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 1: A't such a big note. What am I going to do?

432
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:29,040
Speaker 1: Because if it comes out that Mahomes is not going

433
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:32,080
Speaker 1: to start in this one, then this line drops down

434
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:35,399
Speaker 1: to you know, like seven and a half. It's almost

435
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:37,639
Speaker 1: like if you want to bet it, if you like Denver,

436
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 1: you want to bet it now. Absolutely, I mean, either

437
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 1: the way, even if my Homes starts, I still think

438
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:46,720
Speaker 1: that there's a little value there. We were just trying

439
00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:49,040
Speaker 1: to you know this, between the Chiefs and the and

440
00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 1: the Ravens, those are the two teams right now that

441
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:55,120
Speaker 1: are drawing the absolute most parley money and the most

442
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 1: tickets and most teaser bets and money lines and everything else.

443
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:01,320
Speaker 1: So we just tried to be as high as possible. Um,

444
00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,520
Speaker 1: but I don't want to be high with an injured quarterback.

445
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,639
Speaker 1: You know, that's just a little too much uh too

446
00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:12,480
Speaker 1: much value on on Denver. I'm in a pool, uh

447
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:17,119
Speaker 1: where each of the contestants put in a fair amount

448
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 1: of money. Let's call it two thousand dollars. There's four

449
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,879
Speaker 1: of us, and um, we each choose eight teams to

450
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl, and the person who wins, the

451
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 1: person whose team wins, wins the pot. And I had

452
00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:34,640
Speaker 1: the number two pick. I really wanted to take the

453
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 1: the Patriots, number one overall, someone got to them. I

454
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,680
Speaker 1: chose the Chiefs and number two overall. I'm feeling much

455
00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:46,000
Speaker 1: better about my choice than the Patriots right now. Yeah,

456
00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 1: I'll say, alright, this next game is so much fun,

457
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:53,119
Speaker 1: especially if we think Eli Manning is playing Miami is

458
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,159
Speaker 1: visiting the New York Giants. Ryan Fitzpatrick against Eli Manning.

459
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 1: Oh my god, if there's ever been a game that

460
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:02,119
Speaker 1: will make you feel sick to your stomach the entire

461
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,359
Speaker 1: time that you're betting at every single time one of

462
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,359
Speaker 1: these quarterbacks has the ball in his hand, it could

463
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:11,360
Speaker 1: be a touchdown or a pick six that like, those

464
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:15,119
Speaker 1: are the results, and you've got the Giants is three

465
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites right now. Yeah, this is

466
00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 1: a tough one and it looks like nobody knows what

467
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:23,840
Speaker 1: to do with it. When you have to, uh, two

468
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:26,880
Speaker 1: teams like like the Giants and the Dolphins, it's hard

469
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 1: to have a lot of confidence in either of them.

470
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: Although the Dolphins have just been kind of a covering

471
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:36,840
Speaker 1: machine the last five or six weeks um as much,

472
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,600
Speaker 1: you know, as much as they've been losing, and you know,

473
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:41,880
Speaker 1: as bad as that that the team is, they're always

474
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:44,520
Speaker 1: competitive and because of that first half of the year

475
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 1: when they're their power rankings just sunk to such a

476
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,920
Speaker 1: such an all time low. Uh, you've got a lot

477
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:54,280
Speaker 1: of value on them in the next four or five games. So, uh,

478
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:57,399
Speaker 1: it's tough not to not to take the Dolphins with points,

479
00:26:57,520 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 1: especially you know, three and a half. We just talked

480
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:01,920
Speaker 1: about that key number three. I think there's a lot

481
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:04,560
Speaker 1: of value in that hook here, so I would leave

482
00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:08,440
Speaker 1: Dolphins in this one. All right, Listen, I lost to

483
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:11,120
Speaker 1: no I'm sorry. I a'most skip the game. The most

484
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:16,400
Speaker 1: exciting game the Sunday night game Buffalo visiting Pittsburgh. Josh

485
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:19,240
Speaker 1: Allen and Duck Hodges. I think you got a duck

486
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 1: and dodge in this game, because who knows where the

487
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 1: balls are gonna fly? Um, what's interesting to me that

488
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:29,359
Speaker 1: the Steelers are two and a half way favorites. You

489
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 1: probably played the Steelers just because short home favorite, right,

490
00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:35,040
Speaker 1: a law of averages? But the total is this the

491
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,199
Speaker 1: lowest total of the year. Counterpower is one of the

492
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:38,800
Speaker 1: guys who works in the social team here at the

493
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:42,160
Speaker 1: Action Network. We're talking about this game earlier today, and

494
00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 1: because that's what we do at the Action Network, we

495
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 1: just talked about betting and he brought up that he

496
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,960
Speaker 1: thought this might be the lowest total of the year. Yeah.

497
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 1: I don't remember anyone going down to thirty six and

498
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:55,480
Speaker 1: a half. There was one bad weather game that was

499
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,240
Speaker 1: right around thirty seven, but this is probably the lowest

500
00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:01,879
Speaker 1: that we started out, and Buffalo has gone under I

501
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 1: think more than any other teams. So uh, it makes

502
00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 1: sense that, uh, you know, we keep dropping the dropping

503
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 1: the totals on on the Bills games. Uh, you know,

504
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:15,520
Speaker 1: the great defense and keep the games close. They're going

505
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:17,280
Speaker 1: up against one of the hottest teams. I mean, the

506
00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:21,160
Speaker 1: Steelers just quietly have just been winning games and uh

507
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 1: you know, they're they're talking about Tomlins being coach of

508
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,159
Speaker 1: the Year and one of the best coaching jobs he's

509
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 1: ever done with this team. So um, and it looks

510
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 1: like the wise guys are believing that because they're they're

511
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 1: betting the Steelers as well. The public, though, is on

512
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 1: the Bills, And this is kind of another case when

513
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,080
Speaker 1: I was talking about two good teams going up against

514
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 1: each other, and the tendency is to just take the points,

515
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 1: although there's not a whole lot of value in two

516
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:51,840
Speaker 1: and a half much rather take three points. But there's more.

517
00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 1: There's almost double the amount of tickets from general public

518
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 1: on the Bills than there is the Steelers. But there

519
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 1: is those big bets from the professionals. Uh, and they're

520
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 1: definitely on the Steelers in this one. Pros are on

521
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 1: the Steelers. Yeah. I think I would be too. You

522
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:15,400
Speaker 1: know why? Why? Why is that one of the two

523
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,680
Speaker 1: games I didn't win last weekend was Jacksonville, and you

524
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:20,280
Speaker 1: and I had a long conversation about the late move

525
00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 1: was on the Chargers. All the Wise guys were coming

526
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 1: into the Chargers. I didn't get it, and then I

527
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:30,000
Speaker 1: got it, because boy, was this team just terrible. Yeah,

528
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 1: it's a really strong move. I've often said when it's

529
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 1: a there's a game on the board that nobody else

530
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 1: really pays attention to, that nobody likes. But then you

531
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 1: see the professional betters coming in just hand over fifth

532
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 1: on that game, they usually see something that's not in

533
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 1: the line. It's not swede in any way by any

534
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:53,680
Speaker 1: public bias or public money. It's just strictly a lot

535
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 1: of sharp guys with an opinion, and that play has

536
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 1: been pretty strong, especially when it comes in about twenty

537
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 1: minutes before gametime, which kind of is what the Chargers

538
00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 1: move was last week. Um. And the one thing though

539
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:10,040
Speaker 1: that the Wise guys were off on last week is

540
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:12,280
Speaker 1: they also bet the Raiders last week. There was another

541
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:15,560
Speaker 1: late move in one of the rare instances where they

542
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 1: were off on. So far, it looks like everybody's on

543
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,720
Speaker 1: the Raiders in this game. Both Sharp Guys and the public,

544
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 1: we have almost nothing on the Jaguars, both in parlays

545
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,040
Speaker 1: or straight bets. It's just all one way. In this one.

546
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 1: We opened six, we're at six and a half, probably

547
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:36,240
Speaker 1: going to see a seven in this game. So if

548
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:38,760
Speaker 1: you if you are going to let the Raiders in

549
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 1: this one, might as well grab that six and a half. Now.

550
00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 1: I don't want to bet this game. It's a tough one,

551
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 1: really is. There's too many points for a Raiders team

552
00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:51,680
Speaker 1: to lay, so you're asking them to win by more

553
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,840
Speaker 1: than a touchdown. Uh, And there's absolutely no reason to

554
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:58,920
Speaker 1: bet Jacksonville right now. And actually I think I mentioned

555
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 1: this last week as well. Jacksonville is one of those

556
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:04,560
Speaker 1: teams that the Sharp guys have been betting against. Three

557
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:07,000
Speaker 1: of the last four weeks they've been against them. So

558
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,800
Speaker 1: they they're betting the Titans every week, they're betting the

559
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,720
Speaker 1: Buccaneers every week when Jameis Winston is healthy, and they're

560
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 1: betting against Jacksonville. Oh, the Pantheon Cup teams, that's where

561
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,160
Speaker 1: they're making their money. By the way, that says everything

562
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 1: about our theory. All the teams from the Southeast that

563
00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 1: nobody's paying attention to that. Nobody bets on that's where

564
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:36,240
Speaker 1: they're finding the value. Yeah, exactly, Cleveland visiting Arizona, a

565
00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:38,080
Speaker 1: team that used to be getting a lot of value.

566
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:41,120
Speaker 1: I was on the Steelers this past week. I kind

567
00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 1: of I feel like I've you know, Cliff Kingsbury was

568
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:46,520
Speaker 1: a novelty the first seven weeks of the year, ten

569
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:49,640
Speaker 1: weeks of the year, and I think he's been exposed

570
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:51,959
Speaker 1: a little bit in the last four or five weeks.

571
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 1: So I've been off of Arizona, including this past weekend.

572
00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:00,400
Speaker 1: But two and a half points at home against Eveland.

573
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:03,800
Speaker 1: Freddie Kitchens like, that's a different scenario. One of the

574
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 1: wise guys doing. They're staying away from this one. We

575
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:09,760
Speaker 1: have almost nothing on this game. This might be this

576
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:12,560
Speaker 1: might be the corner TV game. I think there's probably

577
00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:14,960
Speaker 1: going to be more interest in the Dolphins Giants than

578
00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:19,280
Speaker 1: the Browns Cardinals. I think kind of, Uh you mentioned

579
00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:22,720
Speaker 1: about the kind of fascination with this Cardinals team early

580
00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:25,080
Speaker 1: on in the year. I think the public got burned

581
00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:27,240
Speaker 1: on of too many times. I mean even, I mean

582
00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 1: they were competitive even last week, had a really good

583
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,760
Speaker 1: shot to uh, to cover against Pittsburgh. I mean the

584
00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:36,560
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh had that kickoff return for a touchdown that had

585
00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 1: a couple of a couple of other key moments and

586
00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:42,120
Speaker 1: that could have put the Cardinals in that game. Uh so,

587
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:44,440
Speaker 1: so they should be competitive in this one. But there's

588
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 1: nothing in the point spread that gives really either side

589
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 1: an edge. I mean you're just basically picking the team

590
00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 1: to win the game. The points spread isn't really coming

591
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 1: into effect. And honestly, both teams have been kind of

592
00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:57,840
Speaker 1: under performing. So Cleveland's playing a little bit better lately,

593
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:04,680
Speaker 1: but not by much. Yeah, San Francisco is an eleven

594
00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:11,200
Speaker 1: point favorite against the Atlanta Falcons. Uh so, we tried

595
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,200
Speaker 1: to make this one as high as we could know

596
00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 1: and that the general public is going to be all

597
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:20,120
Speaker 1: over San Francisco. Even in San Francisco's losses, they've looked good,

598
00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 1: which is, you know, the sign of a great team

599
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 1: that uh you know, there's no disgrace in losing by

600
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:28,040
Speaker 1: three to the Ravens and by getting edged out by

601
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:31,719
Speaker 1: Seattle and a close game and uh you know so

602
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:35,600
Speaker 1: and coming off of that that win that game wild

603
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 1: game against New Orleans last week where I think that

604
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:43,720
Speaker 1: was the first time their defense was actually uh exposed

605
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 1: a little bit. This This forty Niners defense is one

606
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 1: of the best in the NFL. Kind of getting lit up.

607
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:53,760
Speaker 1: I think this is the Falcons defense has been playing

608
00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:57,840
Speaker 1: the best that they've played all year. So I actually

609
00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 1: have been kind of liking the Falcon since the last

610
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:04,120
Speaker 1: few weeks. Um, And I know we we didn't like

611
00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 1: them early on, but I like them lately. And I

612
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:09,280
Speaker 1: think that this there's gonna be a lot of value

613
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:13,000
Speaker 1: when it's eleven points, even against a great team like

614
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,799
Speaker 1: like Seattle. I don't disagree, but I like how you

615
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:22,960
Speaker 1: said it almost sheepishly. What that I like the Falcon

616
00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 1: sheepest sheepestly, a little embarrassed to say it in front

617
00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:31,160
Speaker 1: of me. Yeah, because well we know how we we

618
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:34,440
Speaker 1: felt about the Falcons over the last couple of years.

619
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 1: But uh, they had been looking at you. You look

620
00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:40,920
Speaker 1: at the two games they played against the Saints, and

621
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 1: one of them they just rolled the Saints, and then

622
00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:45,759
Speaker 1: the other one on Thanksgiving Day where they ended up

623
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,239
Speaker 1: not covering, but again they were right in it and

624
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:50,160
Speaker 1: could have covered. At the end of the game came

625
00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:53,800
Speaker 1: down to one of the last plays, winning by twenty

626
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:56,800
Speaker 1: last week or their offense was putting up points. Just

627
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 1: got to make sure that the receivers are all healthy

628
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:01,759
Speaker 1: and and that's what we're kind of keeping an eye

629
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:04,400
Speaker 1: on that. But that that might be a question if

630
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:07,160
Speaker 1: you see the line move later in the week. Uh,

631
00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:11,480
Speaker 1: just making sure all of Atlanta's weapons are healthy. But

632
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:12,960
Speaker 1: but I think there's just a lot of value in

633
00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:17,359
Speaker 1: those double digits there the resurgent Rams against the fading Cowboys.

634
00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:20,919
Speaker 1: This give has been bouncing around pick minus one? Where

635
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 1: are you at? What are people doing? We're at the

636
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:30,640
Speaker 1: Cowboys minus one? But everything sharp, guys, public, everybody's on

637
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:35,719
Speaker 1: the Rams. Um we I really liked the Rams last week,

638
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 1: and you and I talked about a great spot against

639
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 1: Seattle and the Rams are seemed to be getting their

640
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:45,799
Speaker 1: footing back from that great season they had last year.

641
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:49,480
Speaker 1: But it seems like every time you start believing in

642
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:52,680
Speaker 1: the Rams, they let you down. So but but the

643
00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:55,279
Speaker 1: public seeing that game last week, the Rams are kind

644
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:57,600
Speaker 1: of right back in their mind. And the public has

645
00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 1: gotten burned by the Cowboys. Uh, you know since Thanksgivings

646
00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 1: and there there there's no interest in uh in betting

647
00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:07,720
Speaker 1: the Cowboys again. So just right now, We've got about

648
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:12,920
Speaker 1: eight of the bets are on the rams. Of the

649
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:16,280
Speaker 1: money is on the rams. We have absolutely no support

650
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 1: for the for the Cowboys in this one, and I

651
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:24,920
Speaker 1: kind of believe it myself. So I might move this line. Yeah,

652
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:27,239
Speaker 1: I think I'm going to move it. We talked to

653
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:32,800
Speaker 1: you into it right now. Line change, yep, you did. Hey, listen,

654
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:35,560
Speaker 1: I feel like Minnesota visiting the Chargers if the Chargers

655
00:36:35,600 --> 00:36:40,080
Speaker 1: don't blow up the Jaguars this past weekend. Uh, this

656
00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 1: line is much bigger. What was the look aheadline on

657
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 1: Minnesota at the Chargers three and a half to four,

658
00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:49,560
Speaker 1: So now it's two and a half, So the big,

659
00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:53,120
Speaker 1: big difference. That's only one point, but that's a huge difference.

660
00:36:54,200 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 1: That screams take the Minnesota Vikings. Um, it really does

661
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:01,880
Speaker 1: because of the value there and the half a point.

662
00:37:02,080 --> 00:37:05,759
Speaker 1: And I know the Chargers can really step up and

663
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:08,960
Speaker 1: win a game like but you can't can't look at

664
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:13,279
Speaker 1: the teams like Jacksonville as as being you know, impressive victories. Uh,

665
00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,359
Speaker 1: Minnesota is a good team and you know, I know

666
00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:19,560
Speaker 1: they struggled a little bit last week. I think a

667
00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:22,920
Speaker 1: lot of people as has double digit favorites. Uh, they

668
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:25,040
Speaker 1: end up covering that game by a half a point

669
00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:29,120
Speaker 1: depending on what line you got. They went by thirteen. Uh.

670
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 1: A lot of people felt that they should have kind

671
00:37:31,640 --> 00:37:34,320
Speaker 1: of more easily won that game by a larger margin.

672
00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:39,319
Speaker 1: But this is this is a short road favorite that

673
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:43,440
Speaker 1: I would definitely take. I have no competence in the Chargers, none,

674
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:46,480
Speaker 1: and the Vikings have just looked really good. Like they

675
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:49,600
Speaker 1: look competent. They don't look like a team that's inconsistent

676
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 1: right now. Yeah, all right, Jacoby Practi's on the road

677
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:59,000
Speaker 1: at the Saints. Taken the Colt to the Dome. Saints

678
00:37:59,040 --> 00:38:01,520
Speaker 1: are nine point favorite Monday Night, Drew Brees with a

679
00:38:01,640 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 1: chance to break the all time uh touchdown passing record

680
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:10,319
Speaker 1: in prime time. Nine point favorites, though, that is a

681
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:14,080
Speaker 1: big number. It is and uh, but when we're looking

682
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:16,319
Speaker 1: at kind of the cycles of the team and how

683
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:19,080
Speaker 1: they have both peaks and valleys, I wouldn't say that

684
00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 1: the Colts are playing their their best right now. They

685
00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:24,520
Speaker 1: kind of had their kind of peak moment probably in

686
00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 1: the middle of the season when they were upsetting some

687
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 1: teams straight up as as kind of six point underdogs. Uh. Now,

688
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:35,560
Speaker 1: I think, uh, the public is definitely going to be

689
00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:37,759
Speaker 1: on the Saints and this one probably at about a

690
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 1: seventy seventy rate, even at even at minus nine. Uh,

691
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:43,960
Speaker 1: not a whole lot of confidence in this Colts team.

692
00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:46,440
Speaker 1: And even the sharp guys have jumped off them about

693
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:49,000
Speaker 1: three weeks ago. There was a time when they were

694
00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:51,640
Speaker 1: on the Colts every week, but as we're about three

695
00:38:51,680 --> 00:38:54,120
Speaker 1: weeks ago, they jumped off of this team. So they're

696
00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:56,800
Speaker 1: not playing their best. That's why the nine point favorite,

697
00:38:56,920 --> 00:38:59,040
Speaker 1: it's just a tough number. I mean for for a

698
00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:02,560
Speaker 1: sharp guy to late nine. I don't see the sharp

699
00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:06,960
Speaker 1: guys Wayne and on this one unless you get to ten. Scooch,

700
00:39:07,480 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 1: I guess what it's time to dot. That's right, brother,

701
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:21,600
Speaker 1: we were both winners last week. Yeah, but I'm twelve,

702
00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 1: two and two and hitting at a clip on the

703
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:27,759
Speaker 1: year betting every game in the NFL, and you have

704
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 1: excuses like thinking how much more money we could have

705
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:31,839
Speaker 1: made if I wasn't as good a bookmaker as I am.

706
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:37,240
Speaker 1: So I feel like I feel like I should go first,

707
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:42,319
Speaker 1: Go first, Which craptastic team am I going to bet on?

708
00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:46,160
Speaker 1: Because that's what you gotta do, you gotta bet bad teams.

709
00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 1: I am gonna go with the Los Angeles Rams. You know,

710
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 1: I love them myself. I'm just I know how teams

711
00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:01,920
Speaker 1: kind of like to look ahead a little bit. You know,

712
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 1: the Rams got the forty niners last week next week,

713
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:07,400
Speaker 1: so that's the only thing that kind of scares me

714
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:10,440
Speaker 1: off of this one. But but I like it. I

715
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:13,319
Speaker 1: was tossed between the Falcons and Rams myself. So since

716
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:14,840
Speaker 1: you already went with the Rams, I'm going to go

717
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 1: with the Falcons. I was tossed between the Falcons and

718
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:22,200
Speaker 1: the Redskins. Oh okay, yeah, the Redskins. You mentioned that earlier.

719
00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:23,960
Speaker 1: I like them too. I like to you know what,

720
00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:25,440
Speaker 1: I want to change my pick. I'm gonna go to

721
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:30,600
Speaker 1: the Redskins. Okay, alright, I'm going to the Redskins. Going

722
00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:34,560
Speaker 1: to the Redskins. You can't beat me. I am golden,

723
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:41,759
Speaker 1: don't fade, gold gold doesn't fade. Oh did you make

724
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:45,399
Speaker 1: that up T shirt? Right there? We got some merch.

725
00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:50,319
Speaker 1: That's a momanism. Momanism Boom, Bob Scucci. Everyone can listen

726
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:52,640
Speaker 1: to us on Sundays New to one Radio, dot com

727
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 1: radio dot com app, streaming on at Action Network HQ

728
00:40:56,280 --> 00:40:59,680
Speaker 1: on Twitter. I will talk to you on Sunday, Brother. Alright,

729
00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:03,840
Speaker 1: sound good, thanks man. We are back with professional better

730
00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:08,279
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, who is carrying us through the Westgate Las

731
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:12,319
Speaker 1: Vegas Super Contest season. We're picking five games every week

732
00:41:12,640 --> 00:41:16,160
Speaker 1: trying to win one point five million dollars. Normally, Darren

733
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,240
Speaker 1: Ravella's in the studio with me or on the phone

734
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:21,279
Speaker 1: because he is my nemesis and our anchor in this

735
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:26,839
Speaker 1: particular exercise. Darren's traveling last week with Darren, Simon and

736
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:28,920
Speaker 1: I somehow were able to get ourselves to a place

737
00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:33,440
Speaker 1: where we went four and one, and Simon has texted

738
00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 1: me to let me know that we are very close

739
00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:38,160
Speaker 1: to finishing in the money in this thing. We need

740
00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:41,880
Speaker 1: three winning weeks and some other things to fall our

741
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:45,920
Speaker 1: way to get a chance to win some serious doe. Simon,

742
00:41:46,239 --> 00:41:54,480
Speaker 1: my brother, my rainmaker. And now a word from a

743
00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 1: wise guy with Simon Hunter, Dude, what is going on?

744
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:02,680
Speaker 1: That was a great um. It was one of those

745
00:42:02,680 --> 00:42:04,960
Speaker 1: moneys you wake up. We won. We killed him the

746
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,839
Speaker 1: super Contests. We won four and one, and a lot

747
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:09,600
Speaker 1: of my bets hit. I know a lot of your

748
00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:11,640
Speaker 1: bets hit, a lot of Darren's bets it and you're

749
00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:14,320
Speaker 1: just like man, so every Monday could just be this good.

750
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:18,080
Speaker 1: We just made every right decision and got every bounce. Yeah.

751
00:42:18,239 --> 00:42:21,840
Speaker 1: I mean I've had a couple um like with with

752
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:25,839
Speaker 1: people really like betting these primetime games. Um so for

753
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,680
Speaker 1: people that I give out plays to, like clients, the

754
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:31,759
Speaker 1: biggest thing is these prime time games. That's what these

755
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:34,800
Speaker 1: these Joe schmos like. So in a week where you

756
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:37,520
Speaker 1: go three now on prime time, that's that's how you

757
00:42:37,560 --> 00:42:39,000
Speaker 1: know you're having a really good week because those are

758
00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:41,680
Speaker 1: really the hardest prime time games to pick. So we

759
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:46,000
Speaker 1: we had a great week. We had an amazing week.

760
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:48,800
Speaker 1: It was it was such a good week that Darren

761
00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:51,319
Speaker 1: was skipping around a bar by himself. Honest to god,

762
00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:53,760
Speaker 1: you saw that video when jumping into a pilot pillows

763
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 1: in the corner of the bar. What bar has Everyone

764
00:42:56,120 --> 00:42:57,960
Speaker 1: has to go to Darravel's Twitter feed to understand what

765
00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:01,080
Speaker 1: we're talking about. But in his regular are weekly Points

766
00:43:01,080 --> 00:43:04,680
Speaker 1: Bet week, his Points Bet promotion where you can fade vel.

767
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:07,600
Speaker 1: He had Darren, he had Eli manning under two hundred

768
00:43:07,680 --> 00:43:09,960
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half yards and somehow Eli had

769
00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:12,000
Speaker 1: a hundred and eighty in the first half and over

770
00:43:12,040 --> 00:43:15,320
Speaker 1: the next two quarters plus overtime, could not get another

771
00:43:15,360 --> 00:43:20,160
Speaker 1: seventy yards, so Darren won his bet, and UM was

772
00:43:20,200 --> 00:43:23,239
Speaker 1: bouncing around the bar last night that some reason had

773
00:43:23,520 --> 00:43:26,880
Speaker 1: pillows in it. I was very impressed on how good

774
00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:29,239
Speaker 1: of a skipper Darren was. I'm not gonna lie deep

775
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:34,319
Speaker 1: down he might be coordinated athletes. Alright, well, let's talk

776
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: about Darren for a second, because he's gonna be very upset.

777
00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:38,960
Speaker 1: He's not on, but he is adamant that I that

778
00:43:39,080 --> 00:43:42,120
Speaker 1: I share his picks before we dismissed them. Are you ready?

779
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:51,760
Speaker 1: I'm ready? Seattle minus six? Uh, chalk very chalky. But

780
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:53,960
Speaker 1: it could be a smart play in the sense that

781
00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:57,520
Speaker 1: maybe the Panthers have completely given up and the Seahawks

782
00:43:57,600 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 1: need need this game, and what they do really well

783
00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:02,520
Speaker 1: is running. Is I mean, if you look getting the

784
00:44:02,600 --> 00:44:05,280
Speaker 1: numbers of Panthers are one of the worst teams against

785
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:08,200
Speaker 1: the run. So that's not a terrible play with the Seahawks.

786
00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:10,480
Speaker 1: But we can keep going through New England minus nine

787
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:17,080
Speaker 1: and a half against the Bengals. Uh. I get what

788
00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:20,040
Speaker 1: he's thinking of the Patriots. It's like, what are the

789
00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:22,960
Speaker 1: odds the Patriots don't cover four games in a row?

790
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:30,320
Speaker 1: But that's too high that long. I mean, Andy Doulton's terrible,

791
00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 1: but that's that's a high line nine and a half.

792
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 1: So that's really saying that the defense is gonna be

793
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:37,200
Speaker 1: fans them here, because if you watch that game last week,

794
00:44:37,880 --> 00:44:40,200
Speaker 1: and they had a lot of things go right with

795
00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:42,879
Speaker 1: I know everyone's playing about the referees, but they had

796
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:46,360
Speaker 1: so many things. They did trick plays they're scoring off of,

797
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:49,480
Speaker 1: they had turnovers, they had block puns, black kicks. I mean,

798
00:44:50,360 --> 00:44:52,920
Speaker 1: the Patriots always been those kind of games and they didn't.

799
00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:55,319
Speaker 1: So this Patriots teams kind of scare me where this

800
00:44:55,400 --> 00:44:58,640
Speaker 1: isn't This isn't our Dad's Patriots. These guys aren't the

801
00:44:58,880 --> 00:45:02,800
Speaker 1: team they used to be. Not even close. Eagles minus

802
00:45:02,840 --> 00:45:05,239
Speaker 1: four and a half against the Redskins. Hate this game,

803
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:08,480
Speaker 1: Yeah I would. I actually really like the Redskins too.

804
00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:15,520
Speaker 1: The Eagles are down to practice squad receivers and in

805
00:45:15,560 --> 00:45:18,560
Speaker 1: the NFL that that's a huge difference when once just

806
00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:21,280
Speaker 1: has to keep force feeding tight ends where every defense

807
00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:23,560
Speaker 1: knows that. So I think that's a bad that's a

808
00:45:23,600 --> 00:45:25,560
Speaker 1: bad side to be on the Eagles. Not this week.

809
00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:27,759
Speaker 1: I think not only that, I think you and I

810
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:30,760
Speaker 1: both just unanimously decided we're going to be on the Redskins.

811
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:34,960
Speaker 1: I'm cool with that. Okay, Arizona plus two and a

812
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:37,480
Speaker 1: half hate it. I'm done with Cliff Klingsburg. I think

813
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:41,719
Speaker 1: the value is out of this team. And it was horrible.

814
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:44,879
Speaker 1: We we We had the Cardinals last weekend. They get

815
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:47,279
Speaker 1: they give up that point, return to right the right there.

816
00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:50,200
Speaker 1: We just took a touchdown off the board and then

817
00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:53,640
Speaker 1: Murray started a close gaming through three interceptions. I can't

818
00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:56,439
Speaker 1: back I can't out back the Cardinals again. I feel

819
00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:58,719
Speaker 1: like this team, we we rung as much as we

820
00:45:58,719 --> 00:46:02,279
Speaker 1: could out of this team. I'll season on. Yeah, we

821
00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:04,759
Speaker 1: were I think the I think the books out on Calmrath.

822
00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:09,960
Speaker 1: Are we too late? The Rams our pick or plus

823
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:15,239
Speaker 1: one against the Cowboys, And it's funny, I got that.

824
00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:17,400
Speaker 1: I mean, as most most people that are waiting for

825
00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:20,080
Speaker 1: those numbers be hung, they probably got the Rams plus three.

826
00:46:20,520 --> 00:46:25,360
Speaker 1: So that that's crazy that Vegas already moved this four points.

827
00:46:25,640 --> 00:46:28,120
Speaker 1: I mean that that's huge money then coming in on

828
00:46:28,160 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 1: the Rams. So I like what he's thinking of here

829
00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:34,280
Speaker 1: where the Rams. It's all these people who play trends.

830
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:36,320
Speaker 1: The Cowboys haven't been the team of the winning recording.

831
00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:40,440
Speaker 1: The Rams have a winning record, but um, we might

832
00:46:40,480 --> 00:46:42,240
Speaker 1: not be getting any good value here on the Rams.

833
00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:46,160
Speaker 1: I think we're getting terrible value on the Rams. We

834
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:50,480
Speaker 1: might be, but I see the Rams winning this game

835
00:46:50,520 --> 00:46:53,360
Speaker 1: there as much as the Cowboys are playing for, the

836
00:46:53,480 --> 00:46:55,239
Speaker 1: Rams are playing for more. Because the Cowboys still know

837
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:57,680
Speaker 1: they can lose this game, it doesn't matter. They just

838
00:46:57,680 --> 00:47:00,520
Speaker 1: have to beat the Eagles. All right. Well, then let's

839
00:47:00,520 --> 00:47:03,239
Speaker 1: get to some games. Those are Darren's. We're putting a

840
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:06,840
Speaker 1: question Mare next to the Rams, ignoring the others. I

841
00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:12,440
Speaker 1: don't hate Seattle. I'll put Seattle on our maybe list. Um,

842
00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:15,600
Speaker 1: and we're definitely taking the Redskins. So we got one

843
00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:19,760
Speaker 1: game in. Well, we probably promised them one, so we'll

844
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:22,640
Speaker 1: figure out which one that is. Jesus great, it's gonna

845
00:47:22,640 --> 00:47:27,680
Speaker 1: be the Rams of the Seahawks. Yeah, okay, uh, here's

846
00:47:27,680 --> 00:47:36,439
Speaker 1: what I'm thinking. You're ready. Um, I like Denver at

847
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:41,920
Speaker 1: plus eleven or plus ten. Yeah, if that if that

848
00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:45,719
Speaker 1: number stays above time and a half. Um, it's not

849
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:48,960
Speaker 1: so much that we're really believe in it. I mean,

850
00:47:49,000 --> 00:47:53,560
Speaker 1: I do think the QB is look good for the Broncos, um,

851
00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:55,279
Speaker 1: but this is more of us just playing a number

852
00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:57,440
Speaker 1: here where the chiefs this is. This was inflated to

853
00:47:57,440 --> 00:48:00,239
Speaker 1: start with, So I do think as long as says

854
00:48:00,239 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 1: a book ten, I take that le broncos, I like,

855
00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:07,160
Speaker 1: what do you have that rated at? I actually have

856
00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:10,200
Speaker 1: that at ten, so it came down a little bit.

857
00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:13,359
Speaker 1: I just think it's hard to It's hard to make

858
00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 1: a number on this game because I don't know what's

859
00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:19,920
Speaker 1: going on with Mahome's hand. Like they scored three points

860
00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:21,959
Speaker 1: in the second half against the Patriots, and that wasn't

861
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:24,440
Speaker 1: all just because I know Patriots defense is incredible and

862
00:48:24,480 --> 00:48:26,640
Speaker 1: adjustments and everything like that, but that was more than

863
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:28,680
Speaker 1: just protecting my homescott. I think something's going on with

864
00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:30,480
Speaker 1: that hand. So I like that number a lot. So

865
00:48:30,520 --> 00:48:34,400
Speaker 1: it's possible he could like if you didn't even play,

866
00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:36,480
Speaker 1: then you're getting huge value if we get this line

867
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,799
Speaker 1: at ten a half or ten tomorrow night, right, And

868
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:41,799
Speaker 1: that's it's so great with West like the West Gates supercuts,

869
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:44,200
Speaker 1: they hang these lines early, they stay stay as this,

870
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:46,000
Speaker 1: so you can get really good value with that. I

871
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:49,080
Speaker 1: think I like Pittsburgh minus two and a half. I

872
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:53,960
Speaker 1: love that one too. I think it's funny where they

873
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:56,120
Speaker 1: they shouldn't have won that. I mean, they played that

874
00:48:56,520 --> 00:48:59,240
Speaker 1: last week against the Cardinals, but this team has played

875
00:48:59,320 --> 00:49:02,920
Speaker 1: very well at home, especially their defense, and watching Alan

876
00:49:02,960 --> 00:49:06,479
Speaker 1: that week, I think that Baltimore the way they're playing

877
00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:08,239
Speaker 1: and was really smart where they are containing where you

878
00:49:08,239 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 1: couldn't get out because he's really good outside the pocket.

879
00:49:11,160 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 1: And if you look at the Steelers line with Watt

880
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:16,239
Speaker 1: and a couple other linebackers, they're really fast. So I

881
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:18,080
Speaker 1: like this matchup a lot for the Steelers. I'm on

882
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:21,440
Speaker 1: that side to what do you haven't rated appen? I

883
00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:24,080
Speaker 1: got the Steelers the minus three, so a lot of

884
00:49:24,120 --> 00:49:26,000
Speaker 1: books right now I'm seeing one one and a half,

885
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,719
Speaker 1: so we're getting good value there. Definitely getting value, all right.

886
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:30,759
Speaker 1: We talked about the Rams the other game that I like.

887
00:49:32,160 --> 00:49:36,640
Speaker 1: I do like Minnesota minus two and a half. I

888
00:49:36,760 --> 00:49:41,440
Speaker 1: do too in the sense that it's the Chargers. I

889
00:49:41,440 --> 00:49:45,200
Speaker 1: mean that the Jaguars there really are that. They were

890
00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:46,680
Speaker 1: one of the worst teams I've seen this year. Like

891
00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:48,680
Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks they have completely fallen apart

892
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:51,400
Speaker 1: and given up, and the Chargers exploded on that was

893
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:54,080
Speaker 1: a lot of We know the Charges are a good team,

894
00:49:54,080 --> 00:49:57,240
Speaker 1: but I think in this matchup. Everything really does favor

895
00:49:57,280 --> 00:50:00,160
Speaker 1: the Vike teams. I mean they they're probably of a

896
00:50:00,200 --> 00:50:02,600
Speaker 1: home crowd here at Charger Stadium, So I like that.

897
00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:07,000
Speaker 1: Vikings number two, what did you rate it at? Not

898
00:50:07,160 --> 00:50:12,080
Speaker 1: getting crazy good value? Vikings minus three and a half? Dude,

899
00:50:12,080 --> 00:50:13,920
Speaker 1: you're over a key number at one point, like that

900
00:50:13,960 --> 00:50:15,840
Speaker 1: was the look aheadline. The look aheadline was three and

901
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 1: a half or four. So I feel like you're getting

902
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:22,719
Speaker 1: great value there, great value. You're getting great value. Uh.

903
00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:25,200
Speaker 1: It's making me nervous though, that it's coming down, because

904
00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:27,920
Speaker 1: that means my brother and the Sharps, they they were

905
00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:29,759
Speaker 1: they were the ones taking the Chargers, so they're the

906
00:50:29,760 --> 00:50:31,600
Speaker 1: ones that are bended down. Dude, I don't think so.

907
00:50:31,680 --> 00:50:33,520
Speaker 1: I think this game reopened at two and a half.

908
00:50:33,640 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 1: I think I don't think Uh yeah, I don't think

909
00:50:36,080 --> 00:50:38,080
Speaker 1: people were betting it. I think it's just that's where

910
00:50:38,880 --> 00:50:41,240
Speaker 1: that's how it reopened after the Chargers beat up the

911
00:50:41,320 --> 00:50:47,600
Speaker 1: Jacks last week. Wow, it's actually really surprising here are

912
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:50,520
Speaker 1: here are six games go ahead? What do you want

913
00:50:50,520 --> 00:50:54,719
Speaker 1: to say? I would say if we really liked I mean,

914
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:58,359
Speaker 1: with these big dogs, a team that I like, that's

915
00:50:58,400 --> 00:51:01,440
Speaker 1: just a short favorite that. I know it's probably not

916
00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:04,759
Speaker 1: the greatest spot just because I've been winning so much

917
00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:06,799
Speaker 1: on the Titans and we haven't really been playing them.

918
00:51:07,920 --> 00:51:11,080
Speaker 1: I do think it is another another spot where it's

919
00:51:11,080 --> 00:51:14,120
Speaker 1: a divisional game and they're at home, So this is

920
00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:18,040
Speaker 1: kind of game where you can back to Titans. But

921
00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:20,600
Speaker 1: I know you're probably gonna say that they're not getting

922
00:51:20,600 --> 00:51:22,680
Speaker 1: an value because it's already to minus three, so you're

923
00:51:22,680 --> 00:51:24,759
Speaker 1: probably right, you probably lost that value. I think we

924
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:26,520
Speaker 1: totally lost it. I think we only play it if

925
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 1: it gets back to two and a half. Yeah, I'm

926
00:51:29,200 --> 00:51:30,799
Speaker 1: just look at that and I'm seeing it's update. It's

927
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:32,560
Speaker 1: minus three, so that's probably what they're gonna put in

928
00:51:32,560 --> 00:51:35,680
Speaker 1: the contest. So yeah, we can pass on the Titans. Alright.

929
00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:38,840
Speaker 1: So here's the games we got. We're definitely on the Redskins.

930
00:51:39,760 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 1: We have to choose one from Darren Rams or Seattle.

931
00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:49,680
Speaker 1: I personally, I'll feel I'll feel better about just doing

932
00:51:49,920 --> 00:51:52,920
Speaker 1: Seattle because I think I think that they gave up.

933
00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:54,319
Speaker 1: But we'll see what Darren wants to do when we

934
00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:59,880
Speaker 1: talk to him. I think he prefers Seattle. Okay, so

935
00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:03,560
Speaker 1: then we have Redskins in Seattle. So we have three

936
00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:07,680
Speaker 1: and four to choose from Denver plus ten and a half,

937
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:11,719
Speaker 1: Steelers minus two and a half, Minnesota minus two and

938
00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:17,560
Speaker 1: a half, Titans minus three. Let's let's do the tines off.

939
00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:21,280
Speaker 1: Let's suck in the Steelers. That's that's probably my favorite

940
00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:25,239
Speaker 1: sharp sharp line we have. Okay, and then we can

941
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:27,319
Speaker 1: do the chalk with the Vikings, because that's that's just

942
00:52:27,640 --> 00:52:29,360
Speaker 1: that's a good number with them. As long as the

943
00:52:29,400 --> 00:52:31,560
Speaker 1: stays under three. I'll take that, I agree. So then

944
00:52:31,600 --> 00:52:33,560
Speaker 1: we got Denver plus ten and a half or Timber

945
00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:37,600
Speaker 1: plus ten. Yeah, yeah, definitely definitely keep Denver and we'll

946
00:52:37,640 --> 00:52:39,880
Speaker 1: monitor that, see what's going on the homes, because that

947
00:52:40,000 --> 00:52:42,560
Speaker 1: that's a really good number. All right, So here's what

948
00:52:42,560 --> 00:52:45,720
Speaker 1: we got, Redskins plus four and a half, Seattle minus six,

949
00:52:46,280 --> 00:52:49,520
Speaker 1: Denver plus ten, ten and a half, Steelers minus two

950
00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:53,920
Speaker 1: and a half, Minnesota minus two and a half. Well, alright, buddy,

951
00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:56,760
Speaker 1: let's let's stay hot, keep it rolling. Simon Hunter, wise

952
00:52:56,760 --> 00:52:59,120
Speaker 1: guy who was getting us in the money. You're the best.

953
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:02,400
Speaker 1: Talk to you next week. You're good man. All right.

954
00:53:02,480 --> 00:53:05,879
Speaker 1: This has been the favorites from the Action Network. I

955
00:53:05,880 --> 00:53:09,040
Speaker 1: am Chad Melman. Join us again next week as we

956
00:53:09,080 --> 00:53:11,839
Speaker 1: continue to chase one point five million dollars and I

957
00:53:12,080 --> 00:53:19,719
Speaker 1: continue to chase picking winners to bust. In the Action

958
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:23,080
Speaker 1: Network app, you can rate, review, subscribe from Apple Podcast,

959
00:53:23,200 --> 00:53:26,279
Speaker 1: Download from Apple Podcast, download from radio dot Com, search

960
00:53:26,320 --> 00:53:30,640
Speaker 1: the Favorites, or wherever you get your podcast. Until next time,

961
00:53:31,320 --> 00:53:31,799
Speaker 1: I Love you,