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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Or radio show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association

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Speaker 2: and the number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 3: All right, here we go running the corn.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds remaining, they just go show under the basket.

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Speaker 1: Under the basket.

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Speaker 4: It's not a seven second the words, it's.

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Speaker 5: The cruit for the wind.

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Speaker 1: God make a miracle.

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Speaker 5: I's up the water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 3: From the championship. Shut it off at college basketball.

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Speaker 1: It's not the size on the dog in the fight,

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Speaker 1: it's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 5: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 5: This is the College Basketball Betting Preview episode UNO. I'm

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Speaker 5: stucky with me as always as Colin Wilson, and it's

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Speaker 5: college basketball podcast season, so Mike Randall is joining us

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Speaker 5: as well. Start with you, Colin. You're ready to get

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Speaker 5: into some hoops.

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Speaker 1: I'm ready to talk about Alabama at a buying price.

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Speaker 1: Like I think Alabama basketball is great. It's affordable, something

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Speaker 1: that we never have with Alabama football.

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Speaker 6: There was never a good buying price. It was all

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Speaker 6: you know.

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Speaker 1: We always knew that we're going to be the best

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Speaker 1: and win the national championship, but at least Alabama basketball

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Speaker 1: we can get a little piece of that at some point.

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Speaker 5: And I'm gonna tell you what if I had a

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Speaker 5: barometer up here to say whether you were give an

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Speaker 5: effort or not, it was about fifty percent.

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Speaker 3: Why did you push yourself? We will get into futures

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Speaker 3: later in the show.

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Speaker 5: We also have a weekly collaboration with the guys from

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Speaker 5: three Man. Weave a weekly Friday six packs, so we'll

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Speaker 5: each give our favorite bets, we'll track them for Friday night.

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Speaker 5: In addition to a greatfl weekend, we have four Top

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Speaker 5: twenty five college basketball matchups and a full Saturday slate.

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Speaker 5: We'll mention any other spots that catch our I Before

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Speaker 5: we get to all that, I do have to introduce

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Speaker 5: our college basketball podcast co hosts, mister Mike Randall, Welcome back.

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Speaker 3: What's going on?

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Speaker 4: Brother gentlemen? I am the curly of this three Stooges affair.

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Speaker 4: Duke is bad, Kentucky is bad, and I got a

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Speaker 4: Florida state bet right So two twenty twenty one is

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Speaker 4: already off to a good start here.

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Speaker 5: Look, college basketball has been my best betting sport for like,

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Speaker 5: if you go back since the beginning of time when

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Speaker 5: I started betting, so part of me hates the uncertainty

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Speaker 5: this year, like all everything is, we have to figure

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Speaker 5: out what is home court advantage worth without fans. Right,

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Speaker 5: I'll get into some of this stuff in a second.

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Speaker 5: But what does all this COVID uncertainty mean? Teams playing

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Speaker 5: back to back games against the same opponent on back

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Speaker 5: to back days in the Horizon Big WESCA to say MAC,

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Speaker 5: Big West, Big Sky, Mountain West, although they have a

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Speaker 5: two day break Summit and Sun Belt like those are

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Speaker 5: ten or eleven conference where you getting these back to

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Speaker 5: back you played components back to back. What does it

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Speaker 5: mean for these teams that go on three week breaks

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Speaker 5: and then come back. There's conditioning, there's been conditioning issues.

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Speaker 5: You have these teams like your blue bloods Randall that

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Speaker 5: you mentioned, Kentucky Duke, these teams, I mean, Michigan State

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Speaker 5: looks awful too. But these teams never stink. But I

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Speaker 5: think that you know, they usually reload and they have freshmen,

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Speaker 5: and they started late. These are teams that usually come

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Speaker 5: on and like I think this just truncated weird season

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Speaker 5: is really negative negatively impacted those teams the most. What

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Speaker 5: are some of the things that you've seen, rand I'll

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Speaker 5: start with you just from your eye if you want

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Speaker 5: to get into trends or just something that just from

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Speaker 5: the eye test that you've seen about this college basketball

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Speaker 5: season so far.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's it's going to rely more on

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Speaker 4: nuance for betting. Some of the streaks just keep on going, right,

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Speaker 4: Oregon can't win at Colorado, That just keeps on going.

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Speaker 4: But then some streaks get broken. Teams end up going

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Speaker 4: to Utah and now they end up winning where they

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Speaker 4: normally did not. So I think what's making it hard

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Speaker 4: is that things that usually happen are not happening, and

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Speaker 4: so you can't rely on Okay, Kentucky got rolling. Here

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Speaker 4: comes Alabama. They're favored by one. No, Alabama's still good.

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Speaker 4: Alabama's still good if they lose Herb Jones Alabama. Alabama

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Speaker 4: is still good when Brunner goes out with a knee injury.

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Speaker 4: So there's been a lot more uncertainty. And the other

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Speaker 4: thing I noticed, guys is teams always make a run

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Speaker 4: in the second half, but you are seeing polar opposites

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Speaker 4: in the first and second half. I can't remember a

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Speaker 4: year where you know, hoffs. Just playing Northeastern, They're rolling

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Speaker 4: them at home, up eighteen, second half, they get blown out.

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Speaker 4: It just seems like the runs happen a lot more

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Speaker 4: often in these games.

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Speaker 3: Look.

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Speaker 5: Yes, so it's not my normal year and I have

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Speaker 5: to change things up. But I am not complaining. Number one,

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Speaker 5: it's interesting to me to try to figure this stuff out,

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Speaker 5: and you guys can We're gonna build a futures portfolio together.

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Speaker 5: We're gonna go to together throughout this college basketball season.

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Speaker 5: And just like college football, we did the same thing

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Speaker 5: Colin and I and hopefully by the end, you know,

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Speaker 5: we'll have our ups and downs. We can absolutely just

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Speaker 5: crush march as you start to figure this out. But

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Speaker 5: I am not complaining because I just want college basketball here,

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Speaker 5: and I refuse.

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Speaker 3: I don't. I mean, I don't.

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Speaker 5: I can't refuse because it's not up to me. But

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Speaker 5: I cannot go. I don't know what I would do

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Speaker 5: in a world where I'd have to go two marches

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Speaker 5: in a row an NCAA tournament.

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Speaker 3: Ah, it makes feel Oh, God makes me sick thinking

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Speaker 3: about it.

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Speaker 6: Colin.

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Speaker 3: To get your thoughts on the season so far.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think home court advantage. I just want to

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Speaker 1: elaborate on. I mean places like Grand Canyon. People talk

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Speaker 1: about Bud Walton Arena with Arkansas, but the fans only

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Speaker 1: go up into one section. When you look at Duke

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Speaker 1: or Grand Canyon, it's where the student section laps all

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Speaker 1: the way around the court. And those are huge advantages

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Speaker 1: when you can influence referees and getting the calls to

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Speaker 1: go your way. But we're looking at some programs where

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Speaker 1: home court just doesn't matter, like and the Big Ten,

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Speaker 1: winning on the road is a really big deal. But

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Speaker 1: here we got Illinois losing the Maryland, you know last night,

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Speaker 1: Missisippi State, Texas, A and M. There's just usually home

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Speaker 1: court and conference play is something you don't want to fade,

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Speaker 1: especially with teams that are solved. But I mean, you know,

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Speaker 1: it's just examples in the Big Ten where it matters

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Speaker 1: the most, it hasn't mattered that much. And I mean

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Speaker 1: I've been inside a bud wall And arena and it's quiet.

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Speaker 1: I haven't had a quiet razorback game since I came

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Speaker 1: out of the womb. And we were hitting the Final

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Speaker 1: four with delf and Ronnie Brewers Senor and in Sydney Moncrief,

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Speaker 1: home court advantages. There's no such thing this year, and

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Speaker 1: that's really hard to experience because this was the one

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Speaker 1: sport that we handicapped and bet on where it was

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Speaker 1: the most important.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, no doubt.

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Speaker 5: By the way, cash your bets if you bet under

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Speaker 5: ten minutes for Colin to bring up Bud Walton Arena,

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Speaker 5: but he actually brought up the Havocs in Grand Canyon first.

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Speaker 3: That would have been a very big underdog if you

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Speaker 3: bet that. Yeah. I mean home court advantage, that's what

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Speaker 3: I'm fearful for.

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Speaker 5: I love and live to find home dogs in college

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Speaker 5: basketball and great spots.

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Speaker 3: Home conference dogs have been getting crushed.

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Speaker 5: I mean they're eighty eight one point fourteen and three

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Speaker 5: still small sample size, forty three point six percent through yesterday.

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Speaker 5: So it's something I'm going to continue to minor home

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Speaker 5: teams overall winning fifty six point six percent of the games,

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Speaker 5: down from sixty percent.

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Speaker 3: Every team sucks in order to gauge.

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Speaker 5: Really what home court meet is worth. I mean, it

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Speaker 5: differs for teams. There's altitude, there's some travel, there's so

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Speaker 5: many different factors. But you have to really look at

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Speaker 5: conference games and home conference teams. They're two hundred and

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Speaker 5: sixty one, two hundred and seventy two and twelve against

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Speaker 5: the spread and home conference money lines, they're hitting about

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Speaker 5: fifty seven point five percent. Just down a little bit.

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Speaker 5: If you look at home teams favored you know, under

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Speaker 5: ten points or underdogs of ten or fewer points. So

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Speaker 5: basically any single digit underdog or favorite, they're winning fifty

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Speaker 5: four point five percent of the time. Historically, that's like

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Speaker 5: fifty six point five So you know, I've reduced home

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Speaker 5: court on average. It was three points in aggregate for

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Speaker 5: college basketball historically. Now that could be up to close

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Speaker 5: to four and a half five points for a Colorado

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Speaker 5: with altitude, down to a you know, one and a

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Speaker 5: half points for a Navy or a Canecious. But the

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Speaker 5: average was about three points now without a crowd, is

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Speaker 5: it impacting you know, the momentum? If you believe in

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Speaker 5: that the officials being biased with foul calls, those are

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Speaker 5: things that are right. Maybe they're not going to be

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Speaker 5: influenced now. They will impact the teams with the highest

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Speaker 5: home court advantage the most. That will also impact these

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Speaker 5: home dogs between like one and ten points that are

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Speaker 5: thriving off the crowd, that get a couple extra calls.

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Speaker 3: That's my hypothesis at least. The other thing that keep

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Speaker 3: in mind is tempo is up.

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Speaker 5: So far, overs are hitting about fifty four fifty five

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Speaker 5: percent against the spreading conference games. Is that related to

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Speaker 5: no fans communication is better? Something will have to monitor

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Speaker 5: where the same size we're working with its still low.

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Speaker 1: You're making that statement as MIT CRONA and UCLA, one

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Speaker 1: of the slowest teams in the nation, might approach one

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Speaker 1: hundred to night against WAZU so.

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Speaker 4: Oh seven Colin seven to ten from three point range

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Speaker 4: in the first half. I love Kyle Smith, but that's

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Speaker 4: gonna knock down Washington State's defense every time.

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Speaker 3: And what's crazy is last night sat in the zone too.

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Speaker 1: Do you think Texas Tech would be slow paced? But

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Speaker 1: last night they'rehitting fifty from three pointers. I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: an interesting season.

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Speaker 5: Yep, no doubt. We will update all of these things

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Speaker 5: throughout the season. You know, I'm I'm really trying to

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Speaker 5: figure out these back to backs and you play them

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Speaker 5: on a Friday and then you play them again on

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Speaker 5: a Saturday. So far, if they lost the previous game,

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Speaker 5: it's you know, fifty two and fifty six and three

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Speaker 5: against the spreader. If you didn't cover the previous game,

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Speaker 5: the next game, you're only cup. We're still covering only

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Speaker 5: forty six percent of the game, So the team that

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Speaker 5: covers the first game has a small edge. Again, one

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Speaker 5: hundred games sample size. If you remove the Mountain West

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Speaker 5: in Big Sky, which is a two day break, the

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Speaker 5: teams that lost that didn't cover the first day game

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Speaker 5: are forty three and forty against the spread of the

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Speaker 5: second game. So nothing here yet. The one thing that

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Speaker 5: I do think matters is if you play a team

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Speaker 5: with a really unique scheme and then you get to

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Speaker 5: see it that first day, and then obviously you can adjust.

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Speaker 5: You're more comfortable playing gains the second day, or if

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Speaker 5: you don't have a big if you don't have a

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Speaker 5: if you have a very short bench, you don't have

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Speaker 5: a lot of depth. That might hurt you playing on

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Speaker 5: the second day, especially with conditioning being an issue early

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Speaker 5: on in the year with shortened preseasons. But nothing really

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Speaker 5: there yet. Something I'm monitoring.

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Speaker 3: You've made your point. It would be I.

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Speaker 5: Think seemly if the Honorable Gentleman speedily brought his speech

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Speaker 5: to a conclusion.

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Speaker 3: Before we get into some futures talk.

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Speaker 5: Ran on anything else. You want to just touch on

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Speaker 5: them about this early season, Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Just to build on that. I want to build on

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Speaker 4: the fact that teams play back to back. One of

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Speaker 4: the craziest things I saw was Army. Army ends up

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Speaker 4: playing Colgate away, they get absolutely destroyed by forty four points.

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Speaker 4: Then they come back and win in the next game

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Speaker 4: by two. Then they go to holy Cross, they destroy

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Speaker 4: holy Cross by twenty five, and then they come back

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Speaker 4: and lose by nine. So you're right, not only is

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Speaker 4: it changing with the styles, but there are certain situations

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Speaker 4: where teams see at the second time and again that

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Speaker 4: second Army holy Cross game, holy Cross was getting buried

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Speaker 4: in the first half, So there can be some really

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Speaker 4: wild swings. Not just win by five, lose by five.

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Speaker 4: I'm talking win by twenty five, lose by double digits.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna add on to that, and it's gonna lead

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Speaker 1: straight into the futures talk. I mean, one of the

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Speaker 1: futures I have on the Action app is Western Kentucky

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Speaker 1: one hundred and one and two. Of their losses at

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Speaker 1: conference play came on the second game they lost to Charlotte.

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Speaker 1: The day after they beat them, they lost to Louisiana

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Speaker 1: Tech the day after they beat them. So, I mean

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Speaker 1: it's the second Getting to see somebody for a second

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Speaker 1: time in say a twenty eight hour period is really

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Speaker 1: advantageous to the team that just lost.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, Boise State beat San Jose State. This might be

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Speaker 5: the funniest one. One hundred and six to fifty four,

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Speaker 5: and Santose State is so bad the next day they'd

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Speaker 5: want they beat or two days later they beat Sennose

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Speaker 5: State by one. I'm trying to figure out if there's

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Speaker 5: a lot of noise and what's to it, because I

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Speaker 5: think that there could be an edge there, so a

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Speaker 5: lot more to come there. All right, let's get into

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Speaker 5: some futures talk. We are going to do something different

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Speaker 5: this year on the podcast where we're gonna build a

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Speaker 5: future's portfolio leading up to March.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna have one game each week. Here's the thing

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Speaker 3: about the future.

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Speaker 4: Every time you look at it, the changes because you

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Speaker 4: looked at it.

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Speaker 5: The way that it works is I'm gonna start. I'm

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Speaker 5: gonna bring three teams. Each person's gonna do this. That

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Speaker 5: con will do it next week, the rent will do

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Speaker 5: it the following week. Each person will bring three teams

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Speaker 5: to debate that. They say, look, I'll be okay, three

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Speaker 5: candidates to invest from a future's perspective. One person gets

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Speaker 5: to knock off one of them, the other person gets

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Speaker 5: to knock off another, and whichever one is left, that's

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Speaker 5: the one we add to our future's portfolio. But before

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Speaker 5: we get to that, we'll close with that. Let's just

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Speaker 5: go around the horn and kind of sum up just

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Speaker 5: your favorite futures that you have already.

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Speaker 3: Anything interesting you want to note.

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Speaker 5: I think, Colin, you want to talk about Drew Timmy,

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Speaker 5: which we can debate a little bit, because I think

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Speaker 5: that's really interesting. I think you are going to need

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Speaker 5: some help there, but we'll see.

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Speaker 1: So what do you got, Well, I mean the whole

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Speaker 1: Drew Timmy by was because of the price point and

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Speaker 1: because at some point I thought I'd be able to

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Speaker 1: buy out with Luca Garza. Obviously Luca Garza, you know

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Speaker 1: what is it again? Yeah, So for everybody, DraftKings was

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Speaker 1: offering a three hundred to one on Drew Timmy for

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Speaker 1: National Player of the Year, the Wooden Award, and that

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Speaker 1: was a last minute you know, grab go on the

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Speaker 1: day before. And so for me it was this is

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Speaker 1: the best player who should not have to share minutes

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Speaker 1: on what is probably going to be the best team

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Speaker 1: in the nation. And at three hundred to one, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to roll.

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Speaker 6: The dice with this.

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Speaker 1: I knew that Luca Garza was out there, but the

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Speaker 1: odds on him were never greater than say, three to

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Speaker 1: one to win the you know, to win the Wooden Award,

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Speaker 1: and I knew.

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Speaker 6: That that would always be the problem.

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Speaker 1: I'm not wishing the guards that gets hurt, but things

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Speaker 1: do happen, and especially with COVID and what we've seen

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Speaker 1: with college football, we know that it's a mixed bag

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Speaker 1: of what's going.

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Speaker 6: To happen during the season.

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Speaker 1: Now Gars is often running like we expected, dominating basketball

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Speaker 1: for Iowa, especially on the offensive side of the ball.

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Speaker 1: So I don't know really how to hedge out the

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Speaker 1: timmy three hundred to one. I think his team they

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Speaker 1: have nobody in conference to stop them whatsoever. I think

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Speaker 1: the closer we get in February and March, I've got

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Speaker 1: to start looking for prices on Garza. And we're gonna

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Speaker 1: talk about Illinois. I know from a future's perspective, they

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Speaker 1: got a player there. I gotta worry about winning Player

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Speaker 1: of the Year.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I think your biggest issue is I

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Speaker 5: mean it's not just Timmy on that. I mean, Suggs

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Speaker 5: is amazing, and that good Zaga team. I have them

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Speaker 5: power to number one. That offense is unbelievable. They score

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Speaker 5: within like a second. It's crazy how good that offense is.

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Speaker 5: But the problem is is Gonzaga is gonna go disappear

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Speaker 5: for two months. They're gonna go just destroy teams. No

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Speaker 5: one's gonna care. Meanwhile, Garza, you even have this kid Dickinson,

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Speaker 5: who we're gonna start talking about in Michigan, who's just

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Speaker 5: putting up ridiculous numbers.

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Speaker 3: But then you have to soon move. You have a

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Speaker 3: bunch of these guys in the Big.

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Speaker 5: Ten, which is absolutely loaded, that are gonna be going

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Speaker 5: at each other on national TV for the next two

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Speaker 5: months in close games, high profile games.

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Speaker 3: That's your biggest problem.

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Speaker 5: Randal thoughts on Player of the Year and gonzagatas in general,

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Speaker 5: they're a rocket ship.

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Speaker 4: Gonzaga's incredible. The biggest shaker to me was when they

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Speaker 4: ended up playing Iowa at the neutral I think they

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Speaker 4: played at that Pentagon place. They had two weeks off,

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Speaker 4: they couldn't practice fully because they were off for COVID.

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Speaker 4: I actually ended up taking Iowa because I'm like, look,

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Speaker 4: I love Gonzaga.

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Speaker 3: They're better.

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Speaker 4: I always play defense, fine, but two weeks off, you're

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Speaker 4: gonna come and beat Iowa. They didn't just beat them,

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Speaker 4: they pounded them. Suggs is amazing. I think he's the

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Speaker 4: number one pick in the draft. I have a head

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Speaker 4: of Cunningham. Timmy is getting lost in the shuffle column.

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Speaker 4: That's a great bet. I mean, he's Patrussef the next

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Speaker 4: guy up. They have a great coach, they have depth.

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Speaker 4: Few is not even covering the big spreads. He's lost

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Speaker 4: a lot of those big spreads because he's playing all

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Speaker 4: his players to keep them healthy and keep everybody involved.

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Speaker 4: Gonzaga is absolutely amazing. I mean they're just at a

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Speaker 4: different level. I'm curious to see what happens with Baylor

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Speaker 4: here coming up this weekend, because Gonzaga is still number one.

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Speaker 4: I think Baylor has some flaws. I don't see any

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Speaker 4: with Gonzaga.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I bought Baylor is my number two. And then

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Speaker 5: I do think that there's a drop off to figure

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Speaker 5: out who's threat.

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Speaker 3: It might be Michigan. The way that they're playing we'll

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Speaker 3: talk about Michigan.

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Speaker 5: It could be Tennessee because there's a number of teams,

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Speaker 5: but I think it's clearly Gonzaga one, and then Baylor.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean even Gonzaga. They they'll take out

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Speaker 5: Timmy and go with this like death small ball. I mean,

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Speaker 5: oh gosh. I mean with Nebard and Kisperd never misses

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Speaker 5: a three. It's it's a crazy good offense. But Colin,

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Speaker 5: back to futures, your team from a team perspective, what

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Speaker 5: do you got and what's worth sharing?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so on the action app I put him in

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Speaker 1: back in October. I hope everybody was able to catch

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Speaker 1: a piece of these. You know, I had Western Kentucky

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Speaker 1: hundred to one, just figuring they're the best in their conference.

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Speaker 1: They should get the bid through their tournament. Houston eighty

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Speaker 1: to one with Kelvin Sampson there, I thought that that was,

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Speaker 1: you know, gonna be their ninth right now in Ken Palm,

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Speaker 1: you know, Quinton Grimes has been one of the best

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Speaker 1: players in the entire Division one. I think he's tenth

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Speaker 1: in Ken Palm's rankings. And then there's UCLA that I

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Speaker 1: took at eighty to one. I just thought it was

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Speaker 1: a team that was coasted, that was on the rise

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Speaker 1: last year, and we never got to see what the

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Speaker 1: end result was for Mick Cronin's team. Right now, they're

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Speaker 1: twenty eighth and Ken Palm, they're nine to two. They

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Speaker 1: had opening loss of San Diego State. They didn't look

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Speaker 1: prepared at all, losing by fifteen, and they've only lost

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Speaker 1: Ohio State since then, and they're just one of the

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Speaker 1: best defensive rebounding teams in the nation.

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Speaker 6: And then Dan Hurley's Yukon. I got him at one

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Speaker 6: hundred to one.

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Speaker 1: I thought that that was not an accurate price for

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Speaker 1: you know, the rebound that Yukon is having as a program.

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Speaker 1: Seven to one right now, twenty fourth and Ken Palm.

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Speaker 1: And then finally the team that I had a ticket

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Speaker 1: on last year, and the team I was pissed off

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Speaker 1: the most about that the season got canceled.

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Speaker 6: Creighton.

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Speaker 1: I went back to the well sixty to one. They

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Speaker 1: were doing much better than I actually thought they would.

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Speaker 1: They lost by one to Kansas. I mean, there's no

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Speaker 1: hurt in that. They're ten and two on the season.

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Speaker 1: They lost to Marquette at home. You know, they just

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Speaker 1: went ice cold the last ten minutes against Marquette. So

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Speaker 1: I mean, if your two losses are you know, last

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Speaker 1: ten minutes Marquette and one to Kansas, I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to fault that. But I mean, these guys top twenty

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Speaker 1: five and three point distribution and top twenty five and

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Speaker 1: three point shooting when they are hot, they are untouchable.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: The one I want to build on is Creighton. I

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Speaker 4: got Creighton for Big East title. I got them at

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Speaker 4: five to one. I'm still riding it. The thing I

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Speaker 4: like about them is they got that key win at

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Speaker 4: Connecticut despite boat Night going absolutely bananas. Thank you for

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Speaker 4: the three and overtime with the buzzer to kill the cover.

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Speaker 4: But they Villanova. I look for futures and conferences with

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Speaker 4: teams that are they have a favorite, an absolute favorite,

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Speaker 4: and then I go, can the tier below make a run?

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Speaker 4: People love Nova? It was Nova, That's what everyone's talking about.

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Speaker 4: They're now on basis.

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Speaker 3: Pillanova opt out, like, well, I forgot that they're a team.

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Speaker 4: No, they're right exactly. They're still on COVID. And so

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Speaker 4: now you have Creighton, who's won at Saint John's, at Connecticut,

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Speaker 4: at Providence. Those are big wins. They don't have Villanova

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Speaker 4: till till much later. So I like Creighton in the

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Speaker 4: Big East. The one I'm looking at at Illinois six

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Speaker 4: to one in the Big Ten. And listen, I know

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Speaker 4: that Michigan has run away. We can talk about them

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Speaker 4: in a little bit. We talk about the Minnesota game,

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Speaker 4: but Illinois has balanced, they have the coaching. Desumu's got

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Speaker 4: to a different level. Coburn stays out of foul trouble.

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Speaker 4: They can get a little flaky. It's a bad loss

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Speaker 4: at home to Maryland, but I still think they have

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Speaker 4: the pieces and the coach to make a run. And

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Speaker 4: the championship future that I had at the beginning of

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Speaker 4: the year for fifteen to one is Tennessee. Now. Look,

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Speaker 4: I know their offense struggles and they can go for

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Speaker 4: a real long time, but I loved the fact that

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Speaker 4: Tennessee has the length at the time to guard Kentucky

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Speaker 4: and to match up with them. At this point, the

439
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:29,960
Speaker 4: defense is there. They go on the road, they lock

440
00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:31,960
Speaker 4: you down, but they have to find a way to score.

441
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,440
Speaker 4: That's where they're vulnerable. So I'm still on the Tennessee

442
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 4: bandwagon because defense will travel. They just have to find

443
00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:37,920
Speaker 4: a way to score better.

444
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 1: I was fighting you two off of the volunteers. Last year,

445
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:42,960
Speaker 1: I could faded that team every chance I got there.

446
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:45,159
Speaker 1: Hot this year they look I mean, Tennessee is a

447
00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:46,840
Speaker 1: team that I love to bet against, but this year

448
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:47,840
Speaker 1: they've been proving me wrong.

449
00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:51,919
Speaker 5: Yeah, that defense, I mean, it's if they could just

450
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:54,800
Speaker 5: find ways to score, if they can get to the line.

451
00:19:55,680 --> 00:20:00,480
Speaker 5: But that defense is absolutely devastating on the pro just

452
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:01,639
Speaker 5: across the board.

453
00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:03,399
Speaker 4: Eve Pond's is going to be an NBA player. He's

454
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:04,879
Speaker 4: going to find away on a roster. I know he

455
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:07,040
Speaker 4: struggles to score, but he has length, he can defend,

456
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,040
Speaker 4: and he learns to do He can guard point guards

457
00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:10,080
Speaker 4: and centers.

458
00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:12,840
Speaker 5: Absolutely all right, So time for my futures. I'll give

459
00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,920
Speaker 5: you my three candidates. Two of these I already played

460
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:17,520
Speaker 5: in one of them. I guess this is kind of

461
00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:19,720
Speaker 5: breaking news. I played today and I played them before

462
00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:21,880
Speaker 5: their game today. I guess I'll start there. I can't

463
00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,360
Speaker 5: belout doing this, but I played some Colorado. The best

464
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 5: number I could find out there was like one hundred

465
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 5: and twenty five to one and some one hundred to one.

466
00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 5: I didn't think i'd be interested in this team at

467
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,480
Speaker 5: the losing bay from last year and how important he

468
00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:36,160
Speaker 5: was to their defense, and they kind of just fell

469
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:39,159
Speaker 5: off the face of the earth. People remember before the

470
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:41,040
Speaker 5: last few weeks of the season last year, like this

471
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:42,879
Speaker 5: team was up and coming and everyone was like, oh,

472
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:46,199
Speaker 5: it's a sleeper. I have them in my top twenty.

473
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:49,560
Speaker 5: Now they really fit the profile. They're rated a top

474
00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 5: twenty five offensive end defensive efficiency. You have just an

475
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:57,480
Speaker 5: absolute floor general in McKinley Wright, who I love. I

476
00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 5: love his mid range game. And look, Baddy is there.

477
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,200
Speaker 5: You have Schwartz who can get red hot. Dallas Walton,

478
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 5: he'll be back soon, the seven footer. They added Jeiah

479
00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:11,679
Speaker 5: Horn from Tulsa who is doing a lot of the

480
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,920
Speaker 5: things that they did last year. And they got this

481
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:19,560
Speaker 5: freshman Jabari Walker or I've been really impressed with. It's

482
00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:22,400
Speaker 5: a team that and look, here's another thing on top

483
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:23,040
Speaker 5: of all of this.

484
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 3: I know it's a Pac twelve team.

485
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:26,920
Speaker 5: I just think the Brice is way too high for

486
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:30,720
Speaker 5: a team that's in my top twenty power ratings right now.

487
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:34,520
Speaker 5: They're number one. They could potentially set the NCAI record

488
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 5: for free throw shooting. They're number one in the nation

489
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:39,440
Speaker 5: right now, like over eighty four percent from the line.

490
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:42,919
Speaker 5: This team is money at the line, so they're you know,

491
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:46,320
Speaker 5: in close games. That's that's gonna matter. Big fan of

492
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:49,439
Speaker 5: tab Boyle, I like this team is still as a

493
00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,400
Speaker 5: defensive identity. They did lose a couple of games where

494
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 5: they just went ice cold. You know, they lost to UCLA, Arizona,

495
00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 5: they hung with Tennessee. They just couldn't make an outside shot.

496
00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,159
Speaker 5: But when they're making or outside that's it's not that much.

497
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 5: They're you know, they're they're making their shooting I think

498
00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 5: thirty seven percent. So maybe there's some shooting regression coming overall.

499
00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 5: But I just like what I see from this team today.

500
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,200
Speaker 5: They got down ten or early to Cal and then

501
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:17,520
Speaker 5: absolutely boat race them. I know Cal stinks, but uh,

502
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:20,600
Speaker 5: I like where this team's head. You mentioned this red.

503
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 5: This is a team that could not win at Utah.

504
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:25,800
Speaker 5: Nightmares at Utah, and they gotta win at Utah. So

505
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 5: there's little signs that I'm seeing. I don't think this

506
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 5: team's gonna win it all, but could they make a

507
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 5: run this year? Sure, and then you get a hedgeable piece.

508
00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 5: So that's number one. The second is when I played preseason,

509
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 5: you could still find one hundred to one out there

510
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 5: on Saint Louis My Billies is the offense. There is

511
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:48,480
Speaker 5: the question it's gonna come down to guys like Gibson Jimmerson.

512
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 5: Can he shoot the three? Shooting over forty percent. He

513
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:55,560
Speaker 5: got hurt last year. You know, Perkins is playing unbelievably

514
00:22:55,600 --> 00:22:57,640
Speaker 5: well on the offensive side of the ball. And then

515
00:22:57,680 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 5: you know this team is gonna defend, and you know

516
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 5: they're gonna rebound. I mean, Jordan Goodwin is a guard.

517
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:04,640
Speaker 5: He's gonna get like you can get like twenty rebounds

518
00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:08,120
Speaker 5: a game. Hassan French in the middle is just a bruiser.

519
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:09,960
Speaker 5: This is a team you just don't want to play.

520
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 5: They're going to just just bully you. And it's a

521
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:19,400
Speaker 5: very experienced team. They haven't played in a month, by

522
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 5: the way, so I just forget a little bit about

523
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 5: this team.

524
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:24,240
Speaker 3: The biggest thing with that is free throw shooting.

525
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 5: There's some other They're shooting seventy three percent from the

526
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:30,280
Speaker 5: line top one hundred. The key there is, you know,

527
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,920
Speaker 5: French is his whole career, he's been so bad from

528
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 5: the line him He's only shot seven free throws this year,

529
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:39,320
Speaker 5: as well as Gore as well as Goodwin. Goodwin which

530
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:43,479
Speaker 5: I don't understand. He's a guard. He's been fifty percent

531
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:46,480
Speaker 5: fifty percent. This year he's over seventy percent. That's huge

532
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:48,439
Speaker 5: because the ball is in his hands at the end

533
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:51,800
Speaker 5: of games. And then my last one is those are

534
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:53,600
Speaker 5: two kinds of long shots that you want to try

535
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:56,159
Speaker 5: and maybe hedge if they get far and in the

536
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 5: crazy COVID year, who knows. But my last one is,

537
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 5: if we want to start with a foundational piece, it's Illinois.

538
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:05,200
Speaker 5: You could find it nineteen to twenty to one still

539
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:08,639
Speaker 5: out there. I think anything over fifteen to one. I like,

540
00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 5: this is probably my favorite team in the country. When

541
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,920
Speaker 5: when Cobt's not in foul trouble, he can dominate a game.

542
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 5: Now he's still vulnerable and pick and roll defense, which

543
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:21,560
Speaker 5: is a concern, not a concern against Ohio State this weekend,

544
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:24,000
Speaker 5: which we'll talk about, but you know, do soon.

545
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:27,480
Speaker 3: These are two pros. These are your foundational pieces.

546
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:33,959
Speaker 5: Still the experienced, very experienced team with a lot of continuity,

547
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 5: but the keys are the freshmen that they added. I'm

548
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:40,879
Speaker 5: a huge Adam Miller fan. This Corbella looks like a player,

549
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 5: and you know, Adam Miller shooting is kind of the

550
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,479
Speaker 5: missing piece, and of Trent Frasier, he's making threes.

551
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:49,480
Speaker 3: It just opens up this entire offense.

552
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,399
Speaker 5: But I think this Miller and Corbelo, they're going to

553
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,399
Speaker 5: go through this big ten gauntlet of a season and

554
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,600
Speaker 5: they're going to be I think just ready to roll

555
00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 5: come March. Its experience is really going to pay all

556
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:02,400
Speaker 5: for them, and they played well ready to start. So

557
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 5: those are my three. Illinois twenty to one, Saint Louis

558
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 5: one hundred to one, and Colorado one hundred and twenty

559
00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 5: five to one.

560
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 3: Colin, you start knock off one, all right.

561
00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:15,480
Speaker 1: So I'll tell you the two that I like, and

562
00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 1: that is Colorado and Saint Louis. Why Colorado number one

563
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:21,200
Speaker 1: in the nation and free throw shooting percentage, they are

564
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 1: decent at rebounding, you know, they're top, They're fifty first

565
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,719
Speaker 1: and defensive rebounding eighty fourth and offensive rebounding. And then

566
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,159
Speaker 1: I'm keeping Saint Louis because I love you Know what

567
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 1: I want in my postseason play is good guard play,

568
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 1: free throw percentage, shooting, and I need some rebound. I

569
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 1: need you to sweep the glass. I mean, shooting comes

570
00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:40,640
Speaker 1: and goes. With some teams. I'm keeping Saint Louis, they're

571
00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:43,640
Speaker 1: ninth on the offensive boards. And then to go back

572
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:45,879
Speaker 1: to Colorado, I mean they're twenty eighth in all of

573
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,280
Speaker 1: D one and experience and they go six deep. When

574
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 1: I look over this Illinois team, I'm throwing it off.

575
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 1: I know that they've got the star power, but two

576
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,880
Speaker 1: things really bother me, and one is their turnover percentage

577
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 1: on defense. They're one of the worst in the nation.

578
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:01,200
Speaker 1: They cannot take the ball away from you. Three hundred

579
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:04,440
Speaker 1: and twenty second turnover percentage on defense. You know, they

580
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,680
Speaker 1: have lost a game at home. Where you look at Colorado,

581
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:08,439
Speaker 1: there three games they loss were on the road. The

582
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,160
Speaker 1: one game Saint Louis's loss was on the road. Illinois,

583
00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:13,200
Speaker 1: you know, did just lose a home game. They've lost

584
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 1: on neutral site to Baylor. No hurt in that, but

585
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:18,000
Speaker 1: it's the price point. And at twenty to one, I'm

586
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:21,119
Speaker 1: looking at a schedule. We're about to face top twenty

587
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:25,159
Speaker 1: Ohio state number three Iowa. We got Michigan, we got Indiana, Wisconsin.

588
00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 1: There's no break in this team on the schedule until

589
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:33,240
Speaker 1: February twelfth. On February twelfth, you have Northwestern Minnesota, Nebraska.

590
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,159
Speaker 1: That's your bypoint because they'll take more losses and that

591
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,399
Speaker 1: will increase the price. Right now, so I'm going to

592
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,880
Speaker 1: throw Illinois off of the boat because I think at

593
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 1: price point, you're gonna get it better down the line

594
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,840
Speaker 1: specifically penciled in on February twelfth.

595
00:26:47,040 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 3: That's fair enough.

596
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:52,160
Speaker 5: There's not as much volatility with the Illinois price. I mean,

597
00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 5: how much higher can it go? Whereas if Saint Louis

598
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 5: goes on a big run or Colorado, and Colorado is

599
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 5: a pretty easy schedule coming up and they go on

600
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:03,439
Speaker 5: a big run here, that price could come down. Randall,

601
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:06,439
Speaker 5: you make the decision who you're knocking off, Saint Louis

602
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:08,320
Speaker 5: or Colorado.

603
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:11,359
Speaker 4: Let's start with the one I like. I love Saint Louis.

604
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:14,040
Speaker 4: I love the beginning of the year. You pointed out stuck.

605
00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 4: They're shooting forty one percent from three point range. This

606
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 4: is a team that was down at like thirty thirty

607
00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 4: one percent. Their calling card was defense, slop it up

608
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,480
Speaker 4: and we have to try to pray to make some shots.

609
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,280
Speaker 4: That's not the case this year. They're shooting seventy three

610
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:30,879
Speaker 4: percent from the free thrown line. That's insane. This is

611
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:32,480
Speaker 4: a team that was able to win when they're shooting

612
00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,040
Speaker 4: fifty percent. I remember last year when they ended up

613
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 4: playing Dayton. That game went to overtime at home. I

614
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:39,720
Speaker 4: mean Dayton was a dominant team. They were like a

615
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:43,240
Speaker 4: one seed, and they battled them even with their offensive limitations.

616
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 4: I love the buzzer lost as a buzzer. Yeah it

617
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:47,479
Speaker 4: was a three or whatever it was at the buzzer.

618
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 4: I love the price. I love the timing. They're on

619
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,919
Speaker 4: a COVID break. People are forgetting about them. They're not

620
00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:56,080
Speaker 4: scheduled to come back till January twentieth against UMass, who

621
00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:58,560
Speaker 4: I do not like. They're gonna get hot again, and

622
00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:01,199
Speaker 4: that price is going to so I think that's a

623
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,439
Speaker 4: great one. I love what Travis Ford is doing. I

624
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 4: believe in him more than Boyle. So I'm gonna go

625
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:09,280
Speaker 4: with them and listen to Colorado. It's the man behind

626
00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:11,000
Speaker 4: the mask. If you sit there and look at the

627
00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:13,919
Speaker 4: numbers with Colorado, it makes a lot of sense. Eighty

628
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 4: four percent, great point guard and McKinley right, they're playing tough,

629
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:20,480
Speaker 4: they're rebounding. I guess I was just burned last year,

630
00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 4: and I was really shocked because they were a strong

631
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 4: team last year. They end the year five straight losses,

632
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:31,760
Speaker 4: not four five Ucla California away, Come on, Stanford and Utah. Okay,

633
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 4: maybe they ended with three road games, so they'll do

634
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 4: something in the Pac twelve tournament smoked by Washington State.

635
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:40,480
Speaker 4: So it's just to me. I gotta see it to

636
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 4: believe it. I liked him stuck at this time last year,

637
00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 4: and I'll tell you when it turned. It turned for

638
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:48,320
Speaker 4: me on the UCLA game away on January thirtieth. I

639
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,720
Speaker 4: remember watching that game and said that was an odd loss,

640
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 4: and then after that, I'm off. I understand it. I

641
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 4: love McKinley wright everything. The free throw shooting, you're right,

642
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 4: is historic. But if I have to pick one, because

643
00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 4: Saint Louis right now is still under the radar and

644
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:04,160
Speaker 4: they're doing the things that historically the last few years

645
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 4: they haven't been able to do. And of course they're

646
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 4: not a power conference team, so people forget about them.

647
00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:09,640
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go.

648
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:10,880
Speaker 4: With Saint Louis.

649
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 3: The Billies love it.

650
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 7: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want

651
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:17,000
Speaker 7: to make sure you know about the locked On podcast network.

652
00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 7: Locked On has a daily podcast on your favorite team.

653
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:22,320
Speaker 3: Welcome to you lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

654
00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:23,280
Speaker 3: down of the Dallas marriage.

655
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:26,120
Speaker 1: We came everybody, so the Locked On Lakers podcast Let's Go.

656
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:29,320
Speaker 7: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

657
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 7: know your team better than anyone and give you the

658
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 7: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

659
00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:38,920
Speaker 7: locked on your favorite team subscribe to your locked on podcast.

660
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:46,160
Speaker 5: All right, So that is our futures talk for the week.

661
00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:48,600
Speaker 5: Let's get into our weekend six pack with a three

662
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 5: man Weave.

663
00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 3: Crew, six guys, six picks. It's a college hoop's a

664
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 3: weekend six pack sager to get it right.

665
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 5: So we are now joined by the newest contributors to

666
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,960
Speaker 5: the Action Network family, Ky McEwan, Jim Root, and Matt Cox,

667
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:16,440
Speaker 5: better known as the Three Man Weave. These are our

668
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:18,920
Speaker 5: three college hoops junkies like ourselves, and they'll be joining

669
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:21,720
Speaker 5: us every Friday this season to help us build our

670
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:25,520
Speaker 5: weekend six pack six picks for the Friday night college hoopslate.

671
00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 5: You can catch them on Twitter at three mw Underscore CBB.

672
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 5: Welcome and thanks for joining us.

673
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 8: Oh happy to be here with Thrilled. We've been Action

674
00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:39,320
Speaker 8: users and followers for quite a long time, but we're

675
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:41,800
Speaker 8: excited to be here with college hoops fanatics.

676
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 3: Ki.

677
00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 4: We've been together for about five.

678
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 9: Years, correct, Jim, five years and five wonderful years of

679
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:50,880
Speaker 9: writing previews with you guys talking hoops. I say writing

680
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:54,600
Speaker 9: previews everyone out there, because we preview every single team

681
00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 9: in the country during the off season. We have all

682
00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 9: three hundred and fifty plus previews on our web site,

683
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 9: a thousand words. I don't know cal State Bakersfield, any

684
00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:07,000
Speaker 9: team you want, we got it three dashman dashweb dot com. Matt.

685
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 3: We have fun, don't we.

686
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:10,640
Speaker 2: We have way too much fun. I can't believe it's

687
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 2: been five years. While I'm getting a little nostalgic right

688
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 2: now and I just might start tearing up here. But yeah,

689
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 2: I think a lot of folks out there know us

690
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:19,840
Speaker 2: because we know all these random teams inspired by Jordan Majeski.

691
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 2: I think we've made it our niche to dive into

692
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,000
Speaker 2: these mid majors. We cover the whole landscape soup to nuts.

693
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 2: And I think some of our gambling followers probably know

694
00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:29,720
Speaker 2: us best for betting way too much on Long Beach State.

695
00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 6: But that's all we got.

696
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 3: Two of you guys are Mizoo guys like our producer

697
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:34,360
Speaker 3: Matt Mitchell.

698
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:37,600
Speaker 8: Right, absolutely, I am a Maszoo grad. This is Jim Kai,

699
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:40,680
Speaker 8: also a Zoo grad. We met there playing pick up basketball.

700
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,320
Speaker 8: We were both accounting students, and then we sort of

701
00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 8: ditched the accounting world. Kai still got a toe in that,

702
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:49,840
Speaker 8: but bonded over basketball. Kay, you and Matt grew up together,

703
00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:50,600
Speaker 8: though we did.

704
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 9: Matt and I are both from Saint Louis, Missouri born

705
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 9: and raised. Matthew decided to take his talents to Indiana

706
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,480
Speaker 9: become a Hoosier for some odd reason. I went to

707
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,320
Speaker 9: mi iz I'm a true son, But Matthew, Indiana is

708
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 9: not really your favorite team in basketball, is it. You're

709
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 9: more of an evil empire Duke guy.

710
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,000
Speaker 2: Kai just with college basketball, and my heart is big

711
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:12,040
Speaker 2: enough to love two teams, right, So it's allowed me

712
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:14,760
Speaker 2: to love Duke and IU. It's probably the worst thing

713
00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 2: about me, but yes, I was too big for Mazoo.

714
00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:20,400
Speaker 2: Had to take my talents to Indiana, the epicde of

715
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 2: the heartland of college basketball, and so I think that

716
00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 2: just fueled my college basketball love and fantom and that's

717
00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 2: part of the reason why we have such a strong

718
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:28,960
Speaker 2: bond amongst the three of us. Obviously, Me and Kai

719
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 2: go way back for too long. Honestly, way too long.

720
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 5: Duke and Indiana gross Missouri, I can get behind Ricky Paulding, Nation, Kai, Jim,

721
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:40,000
Speaker 5: and Matt. We're happy to have you. Ki will start

722
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 5: with you. Let's look at the Friday slate and build

723
00:32:42,280 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 5: this weekend six pack.

724
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:48,440
Speaker 9: Let's go with Little Rock the Trojans in a Sunbelt

725
00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 9: matchup with Texas State. Little Rock opening up at minus

726
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 9: five and a half. If it's a little higher, no

727
00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:56,680
Speaker 9: big deal, guys, take it up to seven points. Texas

728
00:32:56,720 --> 00:33:00,160
Speaker 9: State has largely been awful this season, despite the fact

729
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:03,760
Speaker 9: they are a top twenty team inexperience and they're thirty

730
00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 9: eighth in the country in continuity. Clearly, Danny Casper leaving

731
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 9: the program mattered. He is their former coach. They did

732
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 9: have a twelve point win against Louisiana, which was impressive.

733
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:16,080
Speaker 9: They do it with defense. However, Little Rock guys should

734
00:33:16,080 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 9: be the class of the conference this season. Marquise Nol

735
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 9: Daryl Walker. Darrel Walker is the coach of Little Rock.

736
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,680
Speaker 9: They've had some locker room issues, some chemistry issues.

737
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:26,960
Speaker 3: I'm not worried about that.

738
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:29,840
Speaker 9: In this game, Little Rocks to totally outclass Texas State.

739
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 9: The one thing to worry about is Texas State forcing turnovers.

740
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 9: They are fifteenth in the country inforcing turnovers, Little Rock

741
00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:39,720
Speaker 9: two hundred ninety six in turnover rate. That's concerning. However,

742
00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,280
Speaker 9: I think Little Rock's paint dominance on the other end

743
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:44,200
Speaker 9: of the floor and their ability to get to the

744
00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 9: foul line has them set up to cover this one.

745
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,360
Speaker 9: Little Rock minus five and a half up to seven guys.

746
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:53,280
Speaker 3: The turnovers do scare me there. As you alluded to.

747
00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 5: Texas State forces them a ton, and Rock will give

748
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:58,240
Speaker 5: you the ball. I'm still trying to get a feel

749
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:01,880
Speaker 5: for this Little Rock team, but we'll ride with it.

750
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 5: Of the first pick of the weekend six pack Gym,

751
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:06,080
Speaker 5: you're up next.

752
00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 8: I am looking at Charlotte. They are open right now

753
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:12,280
Speaker 8: as a home dog to UAB plus one and a half.

754
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 8: First thing, let's get it out of the way. They lost

755
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:15,120
Speaker 8: to a D.

756
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:16,280
Speaker 3: Two team last weekend.

757
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 8: That is bad, but they were up eighteen in that game,

758
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 8: and their starting center didn't play the second half because

759
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 8: he got popped in the nose, and they just figured

760
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:26,960
Speaker 8: it wasn't worth the risk, so I'm throwing that game out.

761
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:29,319
Speaker 8: They played with Western Kentucky for two games before that.

762
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:32,720
Speaker 8: It's fine. This matchup is great for them, playing UAB,

763
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:36,719
Speaker 8: a team that thrives on pressuring opponents. However, Charlotte's got

764
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 8: two point guards, a dual point guard system. They take

765
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 8: care of the ball. They're coached by a Tony Bennett

766
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:44,359
Speaker 8: Diciple and Ron Sanchez. They know what they're doing. They

767
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:47,200
Speaker 8: will be in okay shape against that pressure. Plus the

768
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:49,600
Speaker 8: number one guy in the country and steel rate, Kwan

769
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,320
Speaker 8: Jackson for UAB is out for this game. He's working

770
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:55,240
Speaker 8: with a knee injury, so without him that pressure becomes

771
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 8: a lot less scary, a lot less frightening for Charlotte

772
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:00,800
Speaker 8: to deal with. Then the they're end of the court.

773
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 8: Charlotte's a pack line team. They're going to box it

774
00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:06,120
Speaker 8: in the same way the Virginia does. And UAB can't shoot.

775
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:07,960
Speaker 8: They are near the bottom of the country in three

776
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:10,799
Speaker 8: point a tenth rate, very low two forty fifth and

777
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:13,799
Speaker 8: three point percentage as well, only two guys really even

778
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:16,239
Speaker 8: take the shots. So this sets up very well for

779
00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:19,399
Speaker 8: Charlotte on both ends. Ignore that D two loss, take

780
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 8: them as a home dog. Plus one and a half.

781
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:23,320
Speaker 8: I'd even take it if it flips to a favorite

782
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:26,480
Speaker 8: minus one. I love the forty nine ers here back

783
00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:27,560
Speaker 8: to U Stucky.

784
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:29,880
Speaker 3: More on that game in just a second for me.

785
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:33,120
Speaker 3: But Jim goes with Charlotte, which I do agree with.

786
00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:37,720
Speaker 5: Matt Cox, you're up next, give us pick number three.

787
00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:40,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with the short home favorite here.

788
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:42,879
Speaker 2: I'm taking USA, and no, I don't mean the US

789
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,880
Speaker 2: of A. I mean the University of South Alabama. The

790
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:49,400
Speaker 2: Jaguars under Richie Riley have been a transfer safe haven

791
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:52,040
Speaker 2: the last couple of years. This year they struggled though.

792
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:54,320
Speaker 2: They've been on the struggle bus because they've had some injuries.

793
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:57,520
Speaker 2: Guys like Tyreek Locour Sammy Orio have missed a few

794
00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:00,399
Speaker 2: games here and there. They have a short bench. They've

795
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,080
Speaker 2: started off one in three in conference. That's both outright

796
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 2: and against the spread. However, this is a juicy spot

797
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:09,680
Speaker 2: and a great matchup. And here's why the spot sets

798
00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:12,120
Speaker 2: up perfectly. Because this is the first leg of these

799
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:14,240
Speaker 2: back to backs that we've seen all across the country

800
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:17,000
Speaker 2: this year. South Alabama has played well in both of

801
00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 2: the opening legs of these back to back series. You

802
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:22,239
Speaker 2: saw them get up big against Georgia's Southern they blew

803
00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:24,600
Speaker 2: that lead. You saw them get up early as well

804
00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:27,640
Speaker 2: in the first series. I just think that in the

805
00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:29,560
Speaker 2: first leg of these back to backs, we have these

806
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 2: shorter bench teams like South Alabama, a very talented team.

807
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:34,719
Speaker 2: This is the spot where they're going to give their

808
00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:37,880
Speaker 2: best effort after blowing a massive lead last weekend. I

809
00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:40,560
Speaker 2: think you get an angry, a very motivated, a locked

810
00:36:40,600 --> 00:36:44,319
Speaker 2: in team against Appalachian State, who's coming off two of

811
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,880
Speaker 2: their own miracle comebacks. They pulled two rabbits out of

812
00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:49,160
Speaker 2: their hats last weekend, and I think you're getting a

813
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:50,200
Speaker 2: perfect spot here and.

814
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:52,879
Speaker 3: Good value with a healthy Jaguars team.

815
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:56,640
Speaker 5: Love it excited to work with the guys from three

816
00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 5: man weave this season.

817
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 3: I will say that I.

818
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 5: Do agree with South Alabama from a spot perspective if

819
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:06,759
Speaker 5: they do end up winning this game. Something to keep

820
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:09,720
Speaker 5: in mind is if you might get some line value

821
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:14,040
Speaker 5: with app State on the second game of the back

822
00:37:14,080 --> 00:37:14,479
Speaker 5: to back.

823
00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:15,600
Speaker 3: Why am I.

824
00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:18,799
Speaker 5: Saying that, Well, some depth issues with South Alabama, but

825
00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:21,960
Speaker 5: they play a unique defensive scheme. They play a unique zone,

826
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:25,399
Speaker 5: so seeing that zone on the first night, you get

827
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 5: to see it the second night. And if you're taking

828
00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:30,560
Speaker 5: notes out there, your zone teams in college basketball, your

829
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:34,400
Speaker 5: unique teams that run zone, you know over seventy percent

830
00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:40,920
Speaker 5: of the time. Syracuse obviously, Oakland, Hofstra, Mary Mack. They're

831
00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:42,759
Speaker 5: right up there with Syracuse and was like ninety eight

832
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:44,399
Speaker 5: nine out but they did just run nothing but zone.

833
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:50,680
Speaker 5: Washington Syracuse to Disciple, Eastern Michigan, Syracuse Disciple, Air Force,

834
00:37:50,840 --> 00:37:57,719
Speaker 5: South Alabama, Tulane, Northern Kentucky, Bighamton, Brian uses it a bunch.

835
00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 5: So those are you're kind of your zone teams. I'm

836
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:02,839
Speaker 5: going to agree with one. My pick, So the fourth

837
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:06,440
Speaker 5: pick of the weekend six pack is actually Charlotte plus

838
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:08,840
Speaker 5: one and a half. I think it's a great spot.

839
00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 5: Charlotte did lose last week two. I'm trying to remember

840
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:15,399
Speaker 5: this truck. I think Belmont Abbey they're a really really

841
00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:17,960
Speaker 5: good D two team, but they shouldn't have lost that game.

842
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:20,480
Speaker 5: But yeah, I think it's a great spot for all

843
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 5: the reasons that Jim mentioned from a matchup perspective as well.

844
00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 5: And keep in mind that UAB is running like they're

845
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:29,960
Speaker 5: running like gods. On three point defense, teams are shooting

846
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 5: like twenty three twenty four percent against them, which is

847
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:35,759
Speaker 5: one of the five lowest rates in the country, so

848
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 5: you should see some regression there. So I'm going with

849
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:43,040
Speaker 5: Charlotte for the fourth pick of the weekend six pack.

850
00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:45,680
Speaker 5: I'll kick it to you Randall for your pick on

851
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:47,359
Speaker 5: the Friday night six back.

852
00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:47,879
Speaker 3: What do you got?

853
00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:49,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I love Charlotte ten four and one at home

854
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 4: against the spread. Ron Sanchez great coach, of course, I'm

855
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 4: going with Saint Bonaventure over Dukine. Ducine head coach Keith

856
00:38:57,200 --> 00:39:00,000
Speaker 4: Darmbro He's that X and O guy, really good, solid,

857
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:01,920
Speaker 4: but he's a little to get off my lawn for

858
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,560
Speaker 4: I think some of the players. So they've had a

859
00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 4: series of issues on the team sincere carry their point

860
00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:11,400
Speaker 4: guard floor general. He announced earlier this week he's transferring

861
00:39:11,480 --> 00:39:14,279
Speaker 4: along with fellow junior Lamar Norman, who was already in

862
00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 4: the portal Macy A. Austin has been out dealing with

863
00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:20,759
Speaker 4: personal issues. So they are decimated. They're in disarray. They

864
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,319
Speaker 4: played hard at Dayton, who's also missing some players, but

865
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 4: they didn't cover. They eventually lost at nine. Now they

866
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:28,480
Speaker 4: have to go up to Saint Bonaventure. Bonavencher is one

867
00:39:28,520 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 4: of the favorites in the A ten. They had COVID

868
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:32,960
Speaker 4: issues earlier in the year, so no one is really

869
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:36,080
Speaker 4: on them yet. But they are a very very strong team.

870
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:38,959
Speaker 4: They won at Richmond, they beat Hofstra, and they lost

871
00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:41,040
Speaker 4: to Ducane at home, so they have revenge on their mind.

872
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:43,759
Speaker 4: Ducine only sixty three percent from the free throw line

873
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 4: fifty six percent in conference play, and that's with Carrie

874
00:39:46,680 --> 00:39:50,160
Speaker 4: and Norman. Their offense is not good. Bonnie's are great

875
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:52,840
Speaker 4: on the boards. They defend the three point line really well,

876
00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:55,399
Speaker 4: especially at home. And I'm gonna call it, guys, the

877
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:59,120
Speaker 4: Osuni rule. Their big center when he's been healthy and on.

878
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:00,760
Speaker 3: The court des elite.

879
00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:03,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, twenty three and six past two years when he

880
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:06,640
Speaker 4: played twenty two and four when he doesn't foul out.

881
00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:08,640
Speaker 4: So if it just stays on the court, they're twenty

882
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:11,240
Speaker 4: two and four as a team, eleven nine two blocks

883
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:13,840
Speaker 4: per game. Love their guards at the Bonnie's jarn Holmes

884
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:17,160
Speaker 4: sixteen points, fifty seven percent from three point range and

885
00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:19,960
Speaker 4: he's attempted more than like five or six. Kyle lofton

886
00:40:20,080 --> 00:40:23,279
Speaker 4: thirteen four and five, Dominic Welsh ten points, seven point

887
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 4: seven rebounds for Welsh as a guard I'm gonna grab

888
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:27,759
Speaker 4: it as soon as it comes out, because I think

889
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:30,239
Speaker 4: it's gonna go north. Ken Palm has it around ten.

890
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:32,520
Speaker 4: Let's say it opens at eight. I'll take the Bonnie's

891
00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:33,279
Speaker 4: double digit win.

892
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:33,879
Speaker 3: Yeah.

893
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:36,120
Speaker 5: With that, I mean that their perimeter defense has been

894
00:40:36,160 --> 00:40:38,560
Speaker 5: excellent and when they have o soon in the middle

895
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:43,000
Speaker 5: to defend the rim, that defense is extremely scary.

896
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:45,200
Speaker 3: Colin, where are you going final picks?

897
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:47,160
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go off the beaten pass here. I'm gonna

898
00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 1: take Robert Morris on the road against u C. As

899
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:53,720
Speaker 1: we're recording right now, it's Illinois Chicago minus three. I know, stuff,

900
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 1: this is a game that you make. Illinois Chicago should

901
00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:57,880
Speaker 1: only be favored by one to one and a half.

902
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:02,359
Speaker 1: Robert Morris is eleventh and three point shooting percentage their

903
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:05,239
Speaker 1: top fifty, and plenty of other categories where you know

904
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:07,520
Speaker 1: UIC has had some problems with defense. I know U

905
00:41:07,600 --> 00:41:10,279
Speaker 1: S has come back after a COVID break, but still

906
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:12,240
Speaker 1: they're if you look in some of their advanced numbers

907
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:15,160
Speaker 1: like offensive rebounding two hundred and eighty six, free throw

908
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:18,279
Speaker 1: percentage two hundred and forty six, steal percentage two or forty.

909
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:20,120
Speaker 6: I mean they're terrible, and they're terrible.

910
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:22,799
Speaker 1: A lot of the basic fundamental things is where Robert

911
00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:24,920
Speaker 1: Morris is a good shooting team and that translates on

912
00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:26,960
Speaker 1: the road with what we've seen so far this year.

913
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:28,520
Speaker 6: So I'll go with Robert Morrison Friday Night.

914
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 3: Fair enough.

915
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:32,799
Speaker 5: Yeah, I make that minus one point seven, so don't

916
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:34,959
Speaker 5: disagree with you. And for what it's worth, these teams

917
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:37,279
Speaker 5: that are coming off again small sample sizedler, but these

918
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:40,319
Speaker 5: teams coming off three week breaks or more, you could

919
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:42,080
Speaker 5: argue that there's conditioning issues.

920
00:41:43,120 --> 00:41:46,080
Speaker 3: I mean, they're ten and eighteen against the spread twenty

921
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:47,200
Speaker 3: eight games. Who cares?

922
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:50,120
Speaker 5: But again, just things that we're monitoring. They had not

923
00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:52,840
Speaker 5: been successful so far. All right, let's move on to

924
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:56,560
Speaker 5: Saturday's card and talk about the four top twenty five

925
00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:58,400
Speaker 5: matchups before we get out of here.

926
00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:01,320
Speaker 3: So many games, so little time.

927
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:03,920
Speaker 2: Let's look at the Saturday slate.

928
00:42:04,440 --> 00:42:09,399
Speaker 3: We will start with Ohio State at Illinois.

929
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 5: I'm gonna have to go through the matchup series I'll

930
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:14,040
Speaker 5: talk about and adjust it, but I expect Illinois to

931
00:42:14,040 --> 00:42:18,200
Speaker 5: be about a five six point favorite. Ohio State has

932
00:42:18,239 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 5: had a lot of injuries. They've had Justine Stewing their

933
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:23,160
Speaker 5: last game against Northwestian. He was playing like a point

934
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:26,560
Speaker 5: forward because CJ. Walker is out and then you had

935
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:29,040
Speaker 5: so toast a Bucknell transfer.

936
00:42:29,120 --> 00:42:29,719
Speaker 3: He's hurt.

937
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 5: I don't think he's gonna play this weekend, but maybe

938
00:42:31,680 --> 00:42:33,759
Speaker 5: he can, you know. And as a result, they have

939
00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 5: this kid, this freshman that was reclassified, Michie Johnson, just

940
00:42:38,640 --> 00:42:40,960
Speaker 5: started practicing like a week or two ago. He's now playing.

941
00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:45,680
Speaker 5: It's a scrappy team. They run great sets on offense

942
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:49,799
Speaker 5: with Holtman, but look, they lost a lot from last year.

943
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 5: They're dealing with a lot this year. I still think

944
00:42:52,560 --> 00:42:56,040
Speaker 5: they are extremely vulnerable on the interior. Now they will

945
00:42:56,080 --> 00:43:00,279
Speaker 5: battle Liddell, will battle with Kyle Young, but I just

946
00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:04,279
Speaker 5: don't see how they they stopped Coburn. And look, if

947
00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:06,600
Speaker 5: you go back to Ohio State when they played Minnesota.

948
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:12,239
Speaker 5: Minnesota has a seven footer, Liam Robbins, who went for

949
00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:15,800
Speaker 5: twenty seven points and on twelve and when twelve to

950
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:18,200
Speaker 5: seventeenth from the line, just ripped them up inside. I

951
00:43:18,200 --> 00:43:20,240
Speaker 5: think Coburn, as long as he doesn't get in foul trouble,

952
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 5: can do the same thing the pack line Ohio State defense.

953
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:28,000
Speaker 5: Illinois has shooters all over and look Ohio State's not

954
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:28,840
Speaker 5: going to run a ton.

955
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:29,520
Speaker 3: Of pick and roll.

956
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,280
Speaker 5: They don't do it well to kind of expose Coburn's

957
00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:34,279
Speaker 5: weakness on the defensive end. I think this is a

958
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:38,120
Speaker 5: good spot to get Illinois. Randall would say, you in

959
00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 5: this matchup or just talk about either one of these teams.

960
00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:44,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, second, Ohio State. They are gritty, they play tough,

961
00:43:44,600 --> 00:43:47,840
Speaker 4: but let's look at their road games. They played away Purdue,

962
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:51,080
Speaker 4: empty arena loss. That game did not cover. Purdue was

963
00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:55,200
Speaker 4: not playing well at that time. Then they go away Northwestern.

964
00:43:55,520 --> 00:43:57,879
Speaker 4: They were favored in that game. They were coming off

965
00:43:57,920 --> 00:44:01,400
Speaker 4: the Rutgers win at home, which case they beat Rutgers,

966
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:05,280
Speaker 4: but Rutgers had injuries across the board and lost players

967
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:07,280
Speaker 4: in the middle of the game. They were getting destroyed

968
00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:09,000
Speaker 4: by Rutgers at home, but they pulled that one out.

969
00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:11,040
Speaker 4: They go to Northwestern, they lose. They come home to

970
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:14,560
Speaker 4: Nebraska next, and you nailed the Minnesota game. Minnesota is

971
00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:18,000
Speaker 4: tough at home, they got blown out by seventeen. They

972
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:20,480
Speaker 4: went away to Rutgers, who's struggling a little bit. The

973
00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,839
Speaker 4: Northwestern game, Northwestern hung around. I am with you. I

974
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:26,719
Speaker 4: like Illinois, they're gonna need this win. The lost to

975
00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 4: Maryland stings, they're gonna be angry about that. Coburn inside

976
00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:34,719
Speaker 4: makes everything go. Illinois still shooting forty one percent from

977
00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:37,359
Speaker 4: three point range? What does that even mean? So I'm

978
00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:39,759
Speaker 4: with you. I like an Illinois bounce back. Ohio State.

979
00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:42,120
Speaker 4: They're gritty, they're tough, but in the end, they just

980
00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 4: don't have it together yet. So I'm not backing them

981
00:44:44,600 --> 00:44:46,759
Speaker 4: on the road here, and given ILLINOI two tough games,

982
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:48,240
Speaker 4: I think Illinois wins and covers.

983
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:51,640
Speaker 5: Yeah it's fair you worre a bit about shooting aggression,

984
00:44:51,640 --> 00:44:53,279
Speaker 5: but if you could shoot threes and you have a

985
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:55,080
Speaker 5: guy like Cobra, and that's how you beat this Ohio

986
00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:58,759
Speaker 5: State defense. Ohio State also doesn't turn you over, and

987
00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 5: they don't really have a true defensive point guard right now.

988
00:45:01,160 --> 00:45:03,920
Speaker 5: So and if you don't turn over Illinois, that offense

989
00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:06,080
Speaker 5: is so efficient right now and they have shooters. So

990
00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:08,600
Speaker 5: I think this is a good setting up as are a

991
00:45:08,640 --> 00:45:11,280
Speaker 5: good spot for Illinois. Ohio State will be an interesting

992
00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 5: team come late in the year and then although spots

993
00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:16,719
Speaker 5: will be interesting during the year, but they're dealing with

994
00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:19,359
Speaker 5: so many injuries in turnable when they get Walker back

995
00:45:19,680 --> 00:45:21,279
Speaker 5: you know, you have Seth Towns, who is kind of

996
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:24,359
Speaker 5: getting it, you know, integrated and assimilated into the into

997
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:26,359
Speaker 5: the lineup. You're going to get a lot of these

998
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:28,640
Speaker 5: guys back. You have Michi Johnson, this freshman who's just

999
00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:31,880
Speaker 5: reclassified playing. They're getting a lot of guys with a

1000
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 5: lot of different experience. They're pretty deep. So it's a

1001
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:36,800
Speaker 5: team that could have value later in the season. You

1002
00:45:36,840 --> 00:45:38,279
Speaker 5: got anything here, con No.

1003
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:39,280
Speaker 6: I agree with you.

1004
00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:41,520
Speaker 1: You know, the one weakness that Illinois has on offenses

1005
00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:43,560
Speaker 1: that you can take the ball away. There's steal percentage

1006
00:45:43,600 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 1: of two under block, you know, percentage on offense one

1007
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,200
Speaker 1: hundred and ninety ninth. But that's just something Ohio State

1008
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:51,399
Speaker 1: can't expose. Being three and twenty fourth defensively and taking

1009
00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:54,440
Speaker 1: the ball away. So I expect, you know, Illinois, you've

1010
00:45:54,440 --> 00:45:56,520
Speaker 1: had the game in hand against Maryland, should be pissed off.

1011
00:45:56,560 --> 00:45:58,439
Speaker 1: Like Randall said, get the job done here.

1012
00:45:59,040 --> 00:46:04,200
Speaker 5: Moving on to Baylor Texas Tech, Big twelve blockbuster. I

1013
00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 5: make this line around Baylor minus five. This will be

1014
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:11,200
Speaker 5: at Texas Tech. This is a really fascinating matchup for

1015
00:46:11,239 --> 00:46:14,400
Speaker 5: a number of different reasons. But do we have to

1016
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:18,799
Speaker 5: start giving more more credit to mister Scott Drew. That

1017
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:21,600
Speaker 5: is one of the questions that we should talk about

1018
00:46:21,600 --> 00:46:23,279
Speaker 5: because he was kind of the butt of jokes for

1019
00:46:23,320 --> 00:46:24,960
Speaker 5: a while, even though he brought his teams lead dates.

1020
00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:27,160
Speaker 5: But he would make some dumb end of game situations.

1021
00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:29,799
Speaker 5: But he's done a tremendous job with this team. And

1022
00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:32,680
Speaker 5: one of the things he's done is Baylor and zone

1023
00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:35,160
Speaker 5: used to be synonymous, right, Baylor in their zone. They

1024
00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 5: don't run zone anymore. They're they're running Texas Tech's no

1025
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:42,480
Speaker 5: middle defense, and they might be doing it.

1026
00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:43,799
Speaker 3: A little bit better.

1027
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:46,000
Speaker 5: And what I mean by no middle is if you

1028
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:49,520
Speaker 5: watch Texas Tech and now Baylor's, they force everything to

1029
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:51,799
Speaker 5: the sidelines. They force you to left, and they have

1030
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:54,000
Speaker 5: early help and they just have They just don't let you

1031
00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:56,680
Speaker 5: get into the middle of the court. And I mean

1032
00:46:56,760 --> 00:46:59,600
Speaker 5: Baylor just chases all over the way that you have

1033
00:46:59,640 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 5: to beat you just have to You have to have

1034
00:47:02,560 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 5: really good ball movee and a lot of shooters all over,

1035
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 5: which Baylor does more so than Texas Tech. I think,

1036
00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:13,160
Speaker 5: I mean, everyone on Baylor shoots like forty percent from three,

1037
00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:15,600
Speaker 5: so I think they're more equipped to beat this no

1038
00:47:15,719 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 5: middal defense. It's interesting that the boath teams run it

1039
00:47:17,640 --> 00:47:20,440
Speaker 5: and they both get the practice against it. Texas Tech.

1040
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:22,440
Speaker 5: I'm still trying to figure out they got a huge

1041
00:47:22,440 --> 00:47:25,200
Speaker 5: win in a game they had no businesses winning against Texas.

1042
00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 5: Mac McClung makes that three at the buzzer and they

1043
00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:31,000
Speaker 5: beat Texas. It felt like they were behind eight to

1044
00:47:31,000 --> 00:47:34,520
Speaker 5: ten the whole game. I don't think there's gonna be

1045
00:47:34,520 --> 00:47:37,280
Speaker 5: an emotional letdown here, but I actually think Baylor matches

1046
00:47:37,360 --> 00:47:40,279
Speaker 5: up decently from an EXUS and O's perspective. But a

1047
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:42,800
Speaker 5: really fascinating game ran all start with you what do

1048
00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:43,319
Speaker 5: you see here?

1049
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:45,840
Speaker 4: I just don't think Texas Tech has enough offense in

1050
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:48,080
Speaker 4: this game. That was a nice comeback against Texas, but

1051
00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:50,480
Speaker 4: Texas got a little tight and blew that lead. Baylor

1052
00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:52,600
Speaker 4: is going to be able to execute in the half court,

1053
00:47:52,760 --> 00:47:54,680
Speaker 4: and like you said, they have players that can score

1054
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,600
Speaker 4: in a variety of ways. Butler can shoot it, Tea

1055
00:47:57,719 --> 00:48:00,239
Speaker 4: can shoot it, Mitchell can shoot it. Flagglers now he

1056
00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:02,120
Speaker 4: was gone for a little bit with the COVID issue.

1057
00:48:02,120 --> 00:48:04,120
Speaker 4: Now he's back. They're going to pound the boards. They're

1058
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 4: going to battle with Texas Tech. So I just don't

1059
00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:08,919
Speaker 4: think that the Red Raiders have enough offense. I think

1060
00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:10,839
Speaker 4: coming off of Texas is going to be a very

1061
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:12,520
Speaker 4: difficult spot for them.

1062
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:12,880
Speaker 3: To get up.

1063
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:16,200
Speaker 4: Yet again, I like Baylor here. They're shooting well, they're

1064
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:18,399
Speaker 4: rebounding well, and they lock you down on the two

1065
00:48:18,480 --> 00:48:21,200
Speaker 4: point area. So McClung's going to have to have another

1066
00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:22,919
Speaker 4: big game. I don't know if that's going to happen

1067
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:23,520
Speaker 4: against Baylor.

1068
00:48:23,560 --> 00:48:25,319
Speaker 3: I like the Bears call him anything here.

1069
00:48:25,520 --> 00:48:27,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think we're gonna get a discount

1070
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:29,200
Speaker 1: on Baylor because Texas Tech was able to pull it

1071
00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:31,600
Speaker 1: out against Texas. But there's a couple things in key

1072
00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:33,560
Speaker 1: areas that I think Baylor's going to reign supreme the

1073
00:48:33,719 --> 00:48:36,000
Speaker 1: third of the nation, three point shooting forty two point

1074
00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:39,960
Speaker 1: eight percent, Texas Tech's perimeter defense outside the top one hundred.

1075
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:42,000
Speaker 1: And then if you look at Baylor's defense, they're fifth

1076
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:45,080
Speaker 1: in the nation, and steel percentage Texas Tech's offense outside

1077
00:48:45,120 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 1: the top one hundred. So there's two key areas there,

1078
00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:50,279
Speaker 1: especially in guard play. I think Baylor is going to

1079
00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:52,560
Speaker 1: get a discounted price because of what happened against Texas.

1080
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:54,200
Speaker 6: So, yeah, Bears all the way. It's a sweep here.

1081
00:48:54,400 --> 00:48:59,719
Speaker 5: Completely agree there. Let's move on to Virginia. At Clemston.

1082
00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:03,120
Speaker 5: I make Clemson I think around a two to three

1083
00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:05,800
Speaker 5: point favorites where I'm expecting the line to come out.

1084
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:10,440
Speaker 5: Clemson's defense, we talk about Baylors defense. Clemson's defense number

1085
00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:13,360
Speaker 5: one in the country. I'm an adjusted adjust a deficiency

1086
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:14,400
Speaker 5: perspective on Kempum.

1087
00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:15,480
Speaker 3: Their defense has been.

1088
00:49:15,480 --> 00:49:20,160
Speaker 5: Elite and if they can get any offense, this Clemson

1089
00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:22,480
Speaker 5: team could be scary because they're I mean just Dayer

1090
00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:27,640
Speaker 5: defense is absolutely locking down teams from start to finish.

1091
00:49:28,000 --> 00:49:30,000
Speaker 5: There's a lot I liked about this Clemson team. They

1092
00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:32,280
Speaker 5: were winning any money early on. I love them here Simms.

1093
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 5: I think the Nick Honor just does so much for

1094
00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 5: this offense. The transfer from Fordham. He gives them a

1095
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:42,239
Speaker 5: ball handle or turnovers were such an issue for them.

1096
00:49:42,560 --> 00:49:45,560
Speaker 5: It allows you know, dolls to play more off the ball.

1097
00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:47,840
Speaker 5: And there's a lot to like about this team. The

1098
00:49:47,960 --> 00:49:51,400
Speaker 5: offense is still inefficient in a lot of different ways.

1099
00:49:52,160 --> 00:49:55,440
Speaker 5: What they really rely on for offense getting out in transition,

1100
00:49:56,160 --> 00:49:59,920
Speaker 5: offensive putbacks. What are two things you can't do against Virginia.

1101
00:50:00,080 --> 00:50:02,319
Speaker 5: Virginia doesn't let you get out in transition. I think

1102
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:04,759
Speaker 5: there around eight nine percent. They're one of the top

1103
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:07,480
Speaker 5: five teams in the nation and limiting transition opportunities, and

1104
00:50:07,520 --> 00:50:09,680
Speaker 5: they play their pack line. They don't give up many

1105
00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:12,360
Speaker 5: opportunities on the offensive class. But on the other side,

1106
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:15,840
Speaker 5: I don't think this Virginia offense is going to do

1107
00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:17,560
Speaker 5: much of anything against Clemson's defense.

1108
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:19,280
Speaker 3: Clemson's defense is that good.

1109
00:50:19,400 --> 00:50:22,799
Speaker 5: I think this is an absolute and it's scary because

1110
00:50:22,840 --> 00:50:25,080
Speaker 5: tempo's up and you're seeing these teams that are slower

1111
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:27,479
Speaker 5: getting higher score againts. I think this is a rock fight.

1112
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:29,960
Speaker 5: I think can we get one hundred and twenty so

1113
00:50:30,000 --> 00:50:32,319
Speaker 5: I can bet under I think that this could be

1114
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:35,960
Speaker 5: first of fifty wins. Randall any thoughts here.

1115
00:50:36,239 --> 00:50:40,000
Speaker 4: I'm done fading Clemson. I'm gonna get on board with Clemson.

1116
00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:43,280
Speaker 4: In that game against North Carolina State, they absolutely should

1117
00:50:43,280 --> 00:50:45,640
Speaker 4: have lost. They were outplayed the entire time. Maybe they're

1118
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:48,080
Speaker 4: looking ahead of Virginia. I don't know. Sims was in

1119
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:51,600
Speaker 4: foul trouble, you hit, you'd said it. Honor makes big shots,

1120
00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:54,160
Speaker 4: big three pointers at the end of game. I am

1121
00:50:54,160 --> 00:50:56,840
Speaker 4: buying in on their defense. I also think Virginia struggled

1122
00:50:56,840 --> 00:51:00,360
Speaker 4: a little bit. I would say inside Jay has not

1123
00:51:00,440 --> 00:51:03,239
Speaker 4: been great. He's had some ball handling trouble, travels, weird

1124
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:06,160
Speaker 4: things like that. While the TENSI has not been shooting

1125
00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:07,840
Speaker 4: the ball as well as they thought he was going to.

1126
00:51:07,920 --> 00:51:09,440
Speaker 4: He was a guy who was supposed to be like

1127
00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:12,640
Speaker 4: forty three forty four percent. He has struggled. Key Hey,

1128
00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:16,040
Speaker 4: Clark can only do so much. They have good players.

1129
00:51:16,080 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 4: I understand that with Beakman and Morcel I get that

1130
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:21,560
Speaker 4: on the on the edge. I think Clemson's ready for

1131
00:51:21,600 --> 00:51:23,640
Speaker 4: this game. I don't think Virginia's going on the road

1132
00:51:23,640 --> 00:51:26,520
Speaker 4: and winning. The way that you beat Virginia is you

1133
00:51:26,560 --> 00:51:28,880
Speaker 4: don't do the opposite tempo. We learned that, right, You

1134
00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:31,360
Speaker 4: play them the way they play and you do it better.

1135
00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:34,200
Speaker 4: Clemson's going to do that. They're going to rebound. Sim

1136
00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:37,280
Speaker 4: should have a bounce back game. I'm not fading Clemson anymore.

1137
00:51:37,680 --> 00:51:38,520
Speaker 6: Co Yeah.

1138
00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:40,600
Speaker 1: I mean, for me, there's three hundred and fifty seven

1139
00:51:40,680 --> 00:51:43,239
Speaker 1: D one teams and Virginia's three hundred and fifty seven

1140
00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:46,640
Speaker 1: in tempo, which means they're in dead last. Yeah, rockfight

1141
00:51:46,719 --> 00:51:48,359
Speaker 1: is the way to say it. Clemsons two hundred ninety

1142
00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:51,160
Speaker 1: six then tempo. I think there's a chance to play

1143
00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:54,680
Speaker 1: an over here, and that sounds crazy, but the oddsmakers,

1144
00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:57,200
Speaker 1: the odds makers are aware of this temple. They are

1145
00:51:57,200 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 1: aware of how how slow this is going to be.

1146
00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:01,839
Speaker 1: So a number that kem Pom says should be around

1147
00:52:01,920 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 1: one fourteen may come out one tennis one on nine ish,

1148
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:07,439
Speaker 1: and then you get that public steam all driving that down.

1149
00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:09,520
Speaker 1: But if you look inside, you know some of the numbers, is.

1150
00:52:09,440 --> 00:52:12,279
Speaker 5: That what kempom makes it one hundred and fourteen, Yeah,

1151
00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:12,880
Speaker 5: but if.

1152
00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:15,040
Speaker 3: You company made it one hundred and twenty, and if.

1153
00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:16,239
Speaker 1: You look at but if you look at some of

1154
00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:18,560
Speaker 1: the numbers in here, I mean Virginia's ninth in the

1155
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:21,160
Speaker 1: nation and free throw shooting percentage they're going to make theirs.

1156
00:52:21,360 --> 00:52:23,440
Speaker 1: Clemson's not that bad if you look at them shooting

1157
00:52:23,640 --> 00:52:26,480
Speaker 1: three points. Uh, you know, Virginia's perimeter defense is two

1158
00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:29,359
Speaker 1: hundred and fourteen. So I mean Clemson may be able

1159
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:30,839
Speaker 1: to get some balls up to go through the hoop.

1160
00:52:30,880 --> 00:52:33,080
Speaker 1: I think this is kind of a wait and let

1161
00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:35,600
Speaker 1: the market push that number down because of the tempo,

1162
00:52:36,120 --> 00:52:37,680
Speaker 1: and then if you can get something around the one

1163
00:52:37,680 --> 00:52:40,520
Speaker 1: tennis to one twelve ish range, I would take an

1164
00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:40,920
Speaker 1: over here.

1165
00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:43,000
Speaker 6: I mean they're going to hit their free throws.

1166
00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:46,279
Speaker 1: You don't need that many shots to get over, you know,

1167
00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:49,160
Speaker 1: to get fifty apiece here, So you know, I'm going

1168
00:52:49,200 --> 00:52:50,960
Speaker 1: to be watching the number float and then maybe within

1169
00:52:51,040 --> 00:52:52,239
Speaker 1: an hour, probably taken over.

1170
00:52:53,160 --> 00:52:55,359
Speaker 5: We finally might have some disagreement. I think this is

1171
00:52:56,000 --> 00:52:59,600
Speaker 5: I could not play an over in this game. I mean,

1172
00:52:59,600 --> 00:53:03,880
Speaker 5: I think number is like one hundred and eight. H

1173
00:53:04,200 --> 00:53:07,239
Speaker 5: have the double check. But all right, and then our

1174
00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:11,400
Speaker 5: final game of our final ranked matchup on Saturday, Michigan

1175
00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:13,040
Speaker 5: at Minnesota.

1176
00:53:13,960 --> 00:53:18,200
Speaker 3: I make this around four four, four and a half.

1177
00:53:18,280 --> 00:53:21,799
Speaker 5: Now in a normal year, I am itching itching to

1178
00:53:21,840 --> 00:53:22,640
Speaker 5: bet Minnesota.

1179
00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:25,160
Speaker 3: Here everyone is talking about Michigan right who.

1180
00:53:25,680 --> 00:53:28,080
Speaker 5: Michigan is probably gonna be at the top of the

1181
00:53:28,600 --> 00:53:32,239
Speaker 5: market right here, and they're playing a Minnesota team that

1182
00:53:32,320 --> 00:53:39,440
Speaker 5: they just absolutely steamrolled, I mean destroyed. Let's see, they

1183
00:53:39,560 --> 00:53:42,880
Speaker 5: played January sixth, so about a week ago, and they

1184
00:53:42,920 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 5: won eighty two to fifty seven. And now you're getting

1185
00:53:46,680 --> 00:53:50,239
Speaker 5: Minnesota at home off of two straight losses. Michigan just

1186
00:53:50,600 --> 00:53:54,520
Speaker 5: was up by what sixty on Wisconsin. People are saying,

1187
00:53:54,520 --> 00:53:56,120
Speaker 5: are they as good as Bell? Are they as good

1188
00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:56,720
Speaker 5: as Zagon?

1189
00:53:56,760 --> 00:53:56,880
Speaker 2: Now?

1190
00:53:56,920 --> 00:53:57,960
Speaker 3: So if you're gonna sell high.

1191
00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:02,080
Speaker 5: It's here, but again it's like there's no fans, so

1192
00:54:02,520 --> 00:54:05,160
Speaker 5: it's not the same. And I don't know necessarily know

1193
00:54:05,200 --> 00:54:08,279
Speaker 5: if they match up that well. Minnesota runs a lot

1194
00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:11,280
Speaker 5: of pick and roll with Marcus Carr, who's great. Michigan

1195
00:54:11,320 --> 00:54:15,600
Speaker 5: defends the pick and roll so well with Wagner and company,

1196
00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:21,360
Speaker 5: and this kid Hunter Dickinson, I mean, can anyone stop him?

1197
00:54:22,320 --> 00:54:27,759
Speaker 5: Seven foot one freshman who went up against Minnesota seven

1198
00:54:27,760 --> 00:54:30,040
Speaker 5: foot or Liam Robinson we mentioned earlier when they played,

1199
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:33,800
Speaker 5: he went bonkers. He had twenty eight points, twelve of

1200
00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:37,080
Speaker 5: fifteen from the floor. Minnesota couldn't do anything to stop him.

1201
00:54:37,360 --> 00:54:39,600
Speaker 5: And this is one of the things that Juwan Howard

1202
00:54:39,680 --> 00:54:41,839
Speaker 5: is doing much more of that b line did his

1203
00:54:41,880 --> 00:54:44,319
Speaker 5: post ups and they are going through the post and

1204
00:54:44,360 --> 00:54:48,919
Speaker 5: they are getting great looks. Minnesota is running bad from three.

1205
00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:51,200
Speaker 5: I mean, is Calsher ever going to make a three again?

1206
00:54:51,239 --> 00:54:54,399
Speaker 5: So maybe you see some positive regression there. But from

1207
00:54:54,440 --> 00:54:56,680
Speaker 5: an x's and o's perspective, I don't know if it's

1208
00:54:56,719 --> 00:55:00,040
Speaker 5: the best matchup from Minnesota, which is one of the

1209
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:03,319
Speaker 5: reasons maybe why they got blown out by twenty five

1210
00:55:03,800 --> 00:55:06,160
Speaker 5: last time they played. But from a spot perspective, from

1211
00:55:06,160 --> 00:55:09,200
Speaker 5: a market perspective, selling I this is the spot. How

1212
00:55:09,239 --> 00:55:10,920
Speaker 5: high of a number are we going to get?

1213
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:13,880
Speaker 3: Well? See Randolph throw it to you? Are you a

1214
00:55:14,200 --> 00:55:15,680
Speaker 3: what do you see here? And are you a.

1215
00:55:15,560 --> 00:55:19,719
Speaker 5: Believer in this Michigan team is a potential Final four

1216
00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:23,040
Speaker 5: candidate and maybe even national title winner.

1217
00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:26,160
Speaker 4: No, I'm a believer, but I'm not a believer in

1218
00:55:26,200 --> 00:55:29,200
Speaker 4: this spot. Give make that number for me. Please vegas

1219
00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:31,839
Speaker 4: like five five and a half because I found that

1220
00:55:32,120 --> 00:55:35,200
Speaker 4: home dogs over the past three years who are getting

1221
00:55:35,239 --> 00:55:37,439
Speaker 4: five to five and a half around there are close

1222
00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:40,000
Speaker 4: to sixty percent. That's an odd number for a home

1223
00:55:40,040 --> 00:55:42,359
Speaker 4: dog team. I know there's no fans there, but let's

1224
00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:44,800
Speaker 4: look what Minnesota has done at home. They played a

1225
00:55:44,840 --> 00:55:47,319
Speaker 4: tough Saint Louis team who's going to battle. They beat

1226
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:49,960
Speaker 4: them by eight. They played Iowa with Garza. I know

1227
00:55:50,040 --> 00:55:53,600
Speaker 4: Dickinson's incredible and he's incredible, but they played Luca Garza.

1228
00:55:53,680 --> 00:55:55,480
Speaker 4: They won that game in over time by seven. That's

1229
00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:58,239
Speaker 4: probably last time they were shooting well too. Michigan State

1230
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:01,200
Speaker 4: at home, I know they're down, but still twenty five

1231
00:56:01,280 --> 00:56:04,919
Speaker 4: points at home. Ohio State at home seventeen points. They're

1232
00:56:04,960 --> 00:56:07,560
Speaker 4: a different team on the road than they are away.

1233
00:56:07,800 --> 00:56:10,280
Speaker 4: They ended up playing Iowa a second time on there.

1234
00:56:10,160 --> 00:56:11,879
Speaker 3: Also beat Saint Louis before all that too.

1235
00:56:11,880 --> 00:56:14,080
Speaker 4: It huh yeah, absolutely beat Saint Louis. And then they've

1236
00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:17,080
Speaker 4: played Iowa a second time and they ended up battling

1237
00:56:17,120 --> 00:56:20,359
Speaker 4: them and they still didn't get blown out the second time.

1238
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:22,959
Speaker 4: I think they're better at home. I think Michigan's gonna

1239
00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:25,600
Speaker 4: regress a little bit. Their turnover percentage in conference games,

1240
00:56:25,600 --> 00:56:29,040
Speaker 4: Michigan offensive turnovers has been a little high. Listen, they

1241
00:56:29,120 --> 00:56:32,839
Speaker 4: are absolutely on fire. After that last game. People are

1242
00:56:32,840 --> 00:56:35,640
Speaker 4: gonna come in and they blew out Wisconsin. They're gonna

1243
00:56:35,680 --> 00:56:39,440
Speaker 4: hammer Michigan. I'm gonna take Minnesota here. I love Michigan,

1244
00:56:39,560 --> 00:56:41,879
Speaker 4: love the Wolverines. I just think at some point they're

1245
00:56:41,880 --> 00:56:44,399
Speaker 4: gonna regress. And Minnesota has been great at home. They

1246
00:56:44,400 --> 00:56:46,800
Speaker 4: have Marcus Carr, he can get hot, and I expect

1247
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:49,399
Speaker 4: Robbins to play Dickinson a little bit better. I'll take

1248
00:56:49,400 --> 00:56:50,240
Speaker 4: the Golden Gophers.

1249
00:56:50,360 --> 00:56:52,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna sweep this in. I won five and a

1250
00:56:52,880 --> 00:56:54,359
Speaker 1: half from Vegas. Also, if we can get it, I'm

1251
00:56:54,360 --> 00:56:56,239
Speaker 1: gonna be on Minnesota. And the key staff for me

1252
00:56:56,360 --> 00:56:58,440
Speaker 1: is that Minnesota doesn't turn the ball over their top

1253
00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:01,239
Speaker 1: ten in the nation and offense of league and steel percentage,

1254
00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:03,680
Speaker 1: and Michigan does not take the ball away from you

1255
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:06,919
Speaker 1: to three hundred and nineteenth in defensive steel percentage, And

1256
00:57:07,120 --> 00:57:08,759
Speaker 1: you know that tells me that Minnesota is going to

1257
00:57:08,800 --> 00:57:10,960
Speaker 1: make every possession count. And if you look at the

1258
00:57:10,960 --> 00:57:13,840
Speaker 1: point distribution for Minnesota, I mean, it's great that Michigan's

1259
00:57:13,880 --> 00:57:16,080
Speaker 1: defense is number one of the nation against two point shot,

1260
00:57:16,520 --> 00:57:19,480
Speaker 1: but that's not where Minnesota shoots. Minnesota is outside the

1261
00:57:19,520 --> 00:57:23,080
Speaker 1: top three hundred and point distribution from two pointers. They

1262
00:57:23,200 --> 00:57:25,520
Speaker 1: like to shoot some threes, but more importantly, they get

1263
00:57:25,560 --> 00:57:27,880
Speaker 1: all their points from free throws. So if Minnesota's going

1264
00:57:27,920 --> 00:57:29,560
Speaker 1: to get to the line at home, if you give

1265
00:57:29,560 --> 00:57:31,600
Speaker 1: me five and a half as a dog, I think

1266
00:57:31,600 --> 00:57:34,280
Speaker 1: it's just a bad mismatch for Michigan Minnesota. And like

1267
00:57:34,320 --> 00:57:36,520
Speaker 1: we said, the market's just going to be all over

1268
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:37,720
Speaker 1: Michigan the way they've been playing.

1269
00:57:37,720 --> 00:57:39,640
Speaker 6: I would happily take Minnesota five and a half.

1270
00:57:39,960 --> 00:57:40,720
Speaker 3: All Right, There you have it.

1271
00:57:40,720 --> 00:57:43,120
Speaker 5: Those are your four top twenty five matchups. Before we

1272
00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:44,760
Speaker 5: get out of here, we'll just go around the horn

1273
00:57:45,240 --> 00:57:46,880
Speaker 5: and just pick out a couple spots or something you

1274
00:57:46,880 --> 00:57:48,800
Speaker 5: want to mention for Saturday. Before we do that, we

1275
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:50,800
Speaker 5: have to get Collins thoughts that you can go into

1276
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:54,680
Speaker 5: the rest of your Saturday. Thoughts on Arkansas basketball. Are

1277
00:57:54,720 --> 00:57:57,000
Speaker 5: they going to bounce back at that after that embarrassing

1278
00:57:57,000 --> 00:57:58,320
Speaker 5: performance against LSU?

1279
00:57:58,520 --> 00:58:01,920
Speaker 3: And what are your thoughts on the Hogs in general?

1280
00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:04,360
Speaker 5: A lot of potential there and if they're fully healthy,

1281
00:58:05,080 --> 00:58:07,760
Speaker 5: what are your thoughts on this Saturday and going forward?

1282
00:58:08,240 --> 00:58:12,840
Speaker 2: Whoo pig Suey Colin's talking Razorback basketball.

1283
00:58:13,200 --> 00:58:15,200
Speaker 1: Well, it's been a nice surprise with the Razorbacks because

1284
00:58:15,200 --> 00:58:17,800
Speaker 1: they lost a lot between Isaiah Joe. It's a completely

1285
00:58:17,800 --> 00:58:20,200
Speaker 1: brand new team for Muscleman. But Muscleman's all about bringing

1286
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:22,280
Speaker 1: energy to the table and you saw that when they

1287
00:58:22,280 --> 00:58:26,160
Speaker 1: were down by thirty after like ten minutes against LSU

1288
00:58:26,680 --> 00:58:28,400
Speaker 1: on the road. And so they've lost three of their

1289
00:58:28,480 --> 00:58:30,320
Speaker 1: last four, but they still came back and made it

1290
00:58:30,360 --> 00:58:33,680
Speaker 1: a respectable loss against LSU, losing by sixteen after being

1291
00:58:33,720 --> 00:58:35,680
Speaker 1: down so much. And I think that they're in this

1292
00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:39,000
Speaker 1: spot here against Alabama. These two teams, Alabama and Arkansas

1293
00:58:39,320 --> 00:58:42,960
Speaker 1: both top twenty in tempo and if you look at

1294
00:58:43,040 --> 00:58:46,120
Speaker 1: you know, shooting percentages, and defense. Arkansas may have a

1295
00:58:46,240 --> 00:58:48,880
Speaker 1: chance perimeter defense. I know that they're down Justin Smith.

1296
00:58:49,560 --> 00:58:51,760
Speaker 1: Injury came four games ago and it's just been a

1297
00:58:51,760 --> 00:58:53,720
Speaker 1: different story for them. They've had to rotate what they're

1298
00:58:53,720 --> 00:58:57,480
Speaker 1: doing in practice with Jad Totay and Moses Moody. But

1299
00:58:57,960 --> 00:59:00,400
Speaker 1: you know, for me, the defense is kind of waned

1300
00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:02,480
Speaker 1: off without Justin Smith. But the scoring is up there

1301
00:59:02,480 --> 00:59:04,920
Speaker 1: to nine to nine points on Georgia. Let us you

1302
00:59:04,960 --> 00:59:07,600
Speaker 1: just scored ninety two on them. Even Tennessee, a team

1303
00:59:07,640 --> 00:59:10,000
Speaker 1: that is super slow outside the top three hundred and tempo,

1304
00:59:10,240 --> 00:59:12,919
Speaker 1: that game was seventy nine to seventy four. So I think,

1305
00:59:12,960 --> 00:59:16,080
Speaker 1: you know, anything over one sixty two ish one sixty

1306
00:59:16,120 --> 00:59:19,600
Speaker 1: three with Alabama is deservant of an over. I like Arkansas.

1307
00:59:19,640 --> 00:59:21,480
Speaker 1: If you give me five points with them, I think

1308
00:59:21,480 --> 00:59:23,680
Speaker 1: they're going to turn it around. That shooting percentage they

1309
00:59:23,720 --> 00:59:25,520
Speaker 1: you know, they can turn that around. After what happened

1310
00:59:25,520 --> 00:59:28,120
Speaker 1: at LSU, They're going to be motivated and they're gonna

1311
00:59:28,120 --> 00:59:28,520
Speaker 1: get healthier.

1312
00:59:28,520 --> 00:59:31,680
Speaker 6: They only dress nine going down to LSU.

1313
00:59:31,800 --> 00:59:33,440
Speaker 1: They should get a couple of the you know, the

1314
00:59:33,520 --> 00:59:35,880
Speaker 1: role players back and we're gonna wait to see what

1315
00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:38,440
Speaker 1: Justin Smith does with that lower body injury, that ankle

1316
00:59:38,440 --> 00:59:41,040
Speaker 1: injury that he's got. So I like Arkansas to cover

1317
00:59:41,080 --> 00:59:42,400
Speaker 1: if you get it at five. And I definitely like

1318
00:59:42,440 --> 00:59:44,640
Speaker 1: the over two of the fastest teams, the two fastest

1319
00:59:44,640 --> 00:59:46,320
Speaker 1: teams playing each other on Saturday.

1320
00:59:47,040 --> 00:59:49,040
Speaker 3: Rador, what do you got, Circleder want to mention for Saturday?

1321
00:59:49,560 --> 00:59:52,400
Speaker 4: You know I've come around guys on this Oklahoma team.

1322
00:59:52,800 --> 00:59:55,360
Speaker 4: I think they're actually pretty good. Lon Krueger has really

1323
00:59:55,400 --> 00:59:58,480
Speaker 4: impressed me. They ended up playing Baylor. They lost by fifteen,

1324
00:59:58,520 --> 01:00:01,520
Speaker 4: but they hung in that game for while. And Brady

1325
01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:03,680
Speaker 4: Mannick has been in and out. He's been struggling, hasn't

1326
01:00:03,720 --> 01:00:06,120
Speaker 4: been playing well, but they've still been really, really tough.

1327
01:00:06,520 --> 01:00:08,800
Speaker 4: They went to Kansas lost by four, and then they

1328
01:00:08,840 --> 01:00:12,720
Speaker 4: destroyed TCU. I love what they do. And Umojah Gibson

1329
01:00:12,760 --> 01:00:16,280
Speaker 4: who came over from North Texas to transfer. He is flammable.

1330
01:00:16,320 --> 01:00:19,560
Speaker 4: He can get scalding hot and make a huge difference here.

1331
01:00:19,680 --> 01:00:22,959
Speaker 4: They're gonna play Oklahoma State. Everybody loves Oklahoma State now

1332
01:00:23,040 --> 01:00:25,160
Speaker 4: because of course they're coming off the win on Kansas.

1333
01:00:25,480 --> 01:00:28,520
Speaker 4: Oklahoma ends up going there. I think they're gonna be

1334
01:00:28,640 --> 01:00:31,560
Speaker 4: very competitive in a rivalry game. I love what Krueger's doing.

1335
01:00:31,840 --> 01:00:35,240
Speaker 4: This team plays smart. If we get anything for Mannick

1336
01:00:35,280 --> 01:00:38,000
Speaker 4: and he plays, I think they're very dangerous. Think they're undervalued.

1337
01:00:38,080 --> 01:00:40,560
Speaker 4: People are gonna love Oklahoma State as a Kate Cunningham.

1338
01:00:40,760 --> 01:00:43,720
Speaker 4: I like the Sooners here as the underdog, small underdog

1339
01:00:44,000 --> 01:00:44,840
Speaker 4: against their rival.

1340
01:00:45,840 --> 01:00:48,400
Speaker 3: Don't disagree there. One I'll mention is Akron.

1341
01:00:49,160 --> 01:00:52,000
Speaker 5: It's scary, but if it's probably the spot of the

1342
01:00:52,040 --> 01:00:55,480
Speaker 5: day in my opinion. Look, this Toledo team has been

1343
01:00:55,520 --> 01:00:59,640
Speaker 5: a covering machine and there's a lot to like about Toledo.

1344
01:01:00,640 --> 01:01:02,880
Speaker 6: I love match, I love match.

1345
01:01:03,800 --> 01:01:05,880
Speaker 3: Trust me, I really like this team.

1346
01:01:05,960 --> 01:01:09,960
Speaker 5: I mean Maryon Jackson amazing guard and he had shooters,

1347
01:01:10,000 --> 01:01:13,560
Speaker 5: his penetration kickouts. They have shooters all over, but they're

1348
01:01:13,600 --> 01:01:15,960
Speaker 5: not They can't keep this up. I mean everyone. I

1349
01:01:15,960 --> 01:01:18,920
Speaker 5: mean Spencer Litlson. I know he's a great shooter. He's shooting.

1350
01:01:19,240 --> 01:01:21,200
Speaker 5: He's forty eight of one hundred and two from three

1351
01:01:21,240 --> 01:01:23,520
Speaker 5: on the year. Every one of their team is shooting

1352
01:01:23,520 --> 01:01:25,800
Speaker 5: like forty five to fifty percent. They've been I mean

1353
01:01:25,800 --> 01:01:28,120
Speaker 5: they're shooting over forty I think close to forty one percent.

1354
01:01:28,160 --> 01:01:31,240
Speaker 5: In conference from three they have won I think eight

1355
01:01:31,240 --> 01:01:35,600
Speaker 5: in a row. Overall, this team is really good, but

1356
01:01:35,920 --> 01:01:38,680
Speaker 5: you might give them a little inflated here going up

1357
01:01:38,720 --> 01:01:41,880
Speaker 5: against an ackron team who has a great point guard

1358
01:01:41,880 --> 01:01:44,800
Speaker 5: of their own in Lauren Christian Jackson, and they are

1359
01:01:44,840 --> 01:01:49,160
Speaker 5: coming off two bad losses, two bad road losses. They

1360
01:01:49,240 --> 01:01:51,720
Speaker 5: lost aad Eastern Michigan by twelve, and then they lost

1361
01:01:51,720 --> 01:01:52,760
Speaker 5: to Northern.

1362
01:01:52,400 --> 01:01:56,760
Speaker 3: Illinois, who's just dreadful. That was on Tuesday.

1363
01:01:56,760 --> 01:01:58,480
Speaker 5: You should get their best effort or you might get

1364
01:01:58,480 --> 01:02:01,760
Speaker 5: an inflated line and you should have some shooting regression

1365
01:02:01,880 --> 01:02:05,240
Speaker 5: coming for Toledo. All right, that'll do it for us.

1366
01:02:05,520 --> 01:02:07,440
Speaker 5: Shout out to the three man Weave guys. Thanks to

1367
01:02:07,480 --> 01:02:10,800
Speaker 5: Mike Randall, thanks to Colin Wilson. We covered a lot.

1368
01:02:10,880 --> 01:02:13,120
Speaker 5: We will cover a lot more. We will continue to

1369
01:02:13,120 --> 01:02:15,680
Speaker 5: build our futures portfolio. Make sure you check out the

1370
01:02:15,720 --> 01:02:19,400
Speaker 5: Action NETWORKAP at actionework dot com for more content and

1371
01:02:19,520 --> 01:02:24,400
Speaker 5: for our picks. All weekend. Let's have a weekend and

1372
01:02:25,680 --> 01:02:28,000
Speaker 5: I'm excited to go on this journey with everyone listening.

1373
01:02:28,360 --> 01:02:31,440
Speaker 5: Make sure you subscribe on subscribe, subscribe again, Tell a friend,

1374
01:02:31,480 --> 01:02:32,120
Speaker 5: tell an enemy.

1375
01:02:32,600 --> 01:02:35,480
Speaker 3: We will catch you all next week. Cheers, peace out.

1376
01:02:36,160 --> 01:02:44,240
Speaker 3: Later we're finished talking