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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perretz.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, And we finally got here. I

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Speaker 2: was wondering when this day would arrive. Didn't know when,

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Speaker 2: but I knew it was coming. And well, some of

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Speaker 2: you will be happy about what I'm about to say,

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Speaker 2: some of you will not, But it happened. We got

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Speaker 2: the over three all on NBA player props. Quentin Grime

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Speaker 2: scored like a thousand points. He scored over what forty

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Speaker 2: six forty seven? So, yeah, that was wrong. Vusevich did

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Speaker 2: not get over fifty and a half points. I think

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Speaker 2: he had ten, right, and then Bain goes over his

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Speaker 2: points and his assists number. So it's an zero to

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Speaker 2: three mark down one point eight units. That gives me

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Speaker 2: a chance to pause. Now, we've been betting NBA player

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Speaker 2: props every day for a really long time. I don't

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Speaker 2: know a month and a half. It's been a while, rightfully,

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Speaker 2: so the record right like thirty eight and sixteen something

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Speaker 2: along those lines speaks for itself. But that gives us

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Speaker 2: a chance to press the pause button a little bit

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Speaker 2: here as we're in kind of a wonky period with

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Speaker 2: the NBA and frankly, we're going to be betting so

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Speaker 2: heavily with the NCAA tournament that this is where we're

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Speaker 2: going to focus our dollars. Not saying it's going to

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Speaker 2: be great, given how my college basketball betting has gone,

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Speaker 2: but it's going to be fun. So let's hope that

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Speaker 2: we have a really good week. Let's hope that we

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Speaker 2: make up for the one point eight units we lost yesterday,

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Speaker 2: and reminder that tonight at five point thirty Eastern time,

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Speaker 2: Terrell Furman and myself will be breaking down both Tuesday

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Speaker 2: and Wednesday games for the play in dayton I have

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Speaker 2: one play for the play in game here tonight because

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Speaker 2: I'm a little bit concerned that the number might drop

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Speaker 2: and i want I want the full value here for

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Speaker 2: this play, and then I'll give you another play later

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Speaker 2: on today tonight with Terrell Furman on our live stream

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Speaker 2: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel, and I'll give you

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Speaker 2: at least one play for Wednesday as well, So we

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Speaker 2: will do that coming up tonight at five point thirty

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Speaker 2: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Hope to see you

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Speaker 2: all over there as we'll break down other picks, plays

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Speaker 2: and thoughts as we head towards Thursday and Friday. I

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Speaker 2: gave you three plays on yesterday's podcast for Thursday and Friday.

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Speaker 2: If you miss that, go back and watch yesterday's Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice podcast and you guys will get those three plays

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Speaker 2: coming up here for Thursday and Friday of the first

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Speaker 2: round of the NCAA Tournament. I have a quasi future

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Speaker 2: bet on a strategic play that I'm going to tell

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Speaker 2: you about, and I have a hockey parlay. I hit

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Speaker 2: it yesterday. I'm gonna come back with it again here today.

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Speaker 2: I had Tampa and Toronto moneyline parlay that hit yesterday

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Speaker 2: got I bet another two leg money parlay for the NHL.

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Speaker 2: It's kind of how I'm going to approach the rest

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Speaker 2: of the year, betting against bad hockey teams for the

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Speaker 2: rest of the way with two leg moneyline parlays. So

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Speaker 2: we'll do that coming up at first and foremost. We've

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Speaker 2: hit the eighteenth of March. That means it's time to

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Speaker 2: tell you who won the Allen iverson jersey that was

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Speaker 2: won by Alex Guerrero nine to six to seven. Congratulations

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Speaker 2: Alex Guerrero. Please get in touch with our customer servants

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Speaker 2: agents at mailbag at Fantasypros dot com with your mailing

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Speaker 2: address and proof of your subscription to the Betting Pros

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Speaker 2: YouTube channel, and we will get the signed Alan Iverson

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Speaker 2: jersey sent out to you. Again, the winner is Alex Guerrero. Congratulations.

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Speaker 2: Really cool stuff for you to pick that up. I

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Speaker 2: hope you frame it. I hope you hang it somewhere cool.

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Speaker 2: Send me a picture of it so we can see it,

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Speaker 2: because everyone's really jealous that you're the one that won

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Speaker 2: this thing. However, we're not done with giveaways. We have

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Speaker 2: another one, this being a Gary Peyton signed jersey. It

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Speaker 2: is the same in terms of how to win this thing.

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Speaker 2: Pristineauction dot Com is giving you a chance to win

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Speaker 2: a throwback Seattle SuperSonics autographed jersey by Gary Peyton, the Glove.

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Speaker 1: All you have to do is be a Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: You two subscriber. Do it now.

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Speaker 2: Subscribe now and drop a comment any Daily Juice video.

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Speaker 2: It'll work any of them. That's it, and we will

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Speaker 2: be announcing a winner right here coming up on April.

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Speaker 2: The first won't be a joke. Then April the first,

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Speaker 2: so make sure you have those notifications turned on so

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Speaker 2: you know when new videos are up so you can

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Speaker 2: claim this prize. A autographed Gary Peyton Sonics jersey is available,

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Speaker 2: so that's pretty cool.

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Speaker 1: So the AI jersey.

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Speaker 2: Goes and now we've got a Gary Payton jersey. You

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Speaker 2: guys can compete for. Somebody called this a scam. I

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Speaker 2: tell you what I mean, Like, what are you doing.

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Speaker 2: This is not a scam. This is legitimate. We're pulling

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Speaker 2: one name or we're giving a winner, like hopefully that

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Speaker 2: winner Alex Guerrero. Send me a picture when you when

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Speaker 2: you get the AI jersey, send me a picture. I'll

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Speaker 2: put it on the screen so people understand that this

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Speaker 2: is not a joke. It's not fake, it's real. You

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Speaker 2: can't say I always enter it, I never win. Uh.

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Speaker 2: There's thousands of people in this thing, you know that, right,

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Speaker 2: Like it's a free contest that all you do is

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Speaker 2: hit subscribe to the YouTube channel in a comment, you

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Speaker 2: just say hi, Matt, that's it.

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Speaker 1: Like it's not hard to enter this thing.

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Speaker 2: So, uh yeah, we have a lot of people, a

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Speaker 2: lot of entries to get through for all of this April,

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Speaker 2: the first for the Gary Payton jersey to be given away.

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Speaker 2: of hours here with the daily Juice. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: get to a play tonight, San Diego State against North Carolina.

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Speaker 2: The entire world is pissed off at North Carolina, and

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Speaker 2: rightfully so. How did they get in over Indiana? How

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Speaker 2: did they get over get in over West Virginia? How

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Speaker 2: do they get in over Boise State? How do they

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Speaker 2: get in over a multitude of teams that are comparing

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Speaker 2: the resume in that one quad one win that Carolina had,

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Speaker 2: and how people were thinking this is just horrible.

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Speaker 1: Look.

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Speaker 2: San Diego plays a very frustrating style. If you look

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Speaker 2: back on the games that I would compare it to

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Speaker 2: the UCLA game. Okay, in terms of pace and defensive acumen.

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Speaker 2: Carolina won that game seventy six to seventy four on

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Speaker 2: a neutral court back on the twenty first of December.

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Speaker 2: I think we're going to see a pretty similar thing.

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Speaker 2: And that was in New York. Okay, this is in Dayton, Ohio.

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Speaker 2: But this is where I think you'll see a grinded

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Speaker 2: out type of style here. For Brian Dutcher's team. San

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Speaker 2: Diego State is not a slouch. They beat Houston this year, Okay,

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Speaker 2: so there's a chance they beat North Carolina. So because

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Speaker 2: of that, I'm a little I'm actually afraid of it.

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Speaker 2: San Diego State. I watched them play Creighton. They killed

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Speaker 2: the Jays here in Las Vegas. It wasn't pretty. Jay's

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Speaker 2: played horribly. San Diego State though, they are thirteenth ineffective

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Speaker 2: sorry defensive efficiency, they are sixth in effective field goal percentage. Defensively,

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Speaker 2: they are nineteenth and three point defense, they are eighth

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Speaker 2: in two point defense. They're number one in block percentage

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Speaker 2: in the country. So all these things amount to can

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Speaker 2: the offense work enough for North Carolina to knock out

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Speaker 2: knockout San Diego State maybe, but five points.

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Speaker 1: This is too many points. I don't get this number.

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Speaker 2: KEMPOM is not always accurate when it comes to neutral

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Speaker 2: court games, but they have it as a two point win.

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Speaker 2: North Carolina had travel problems. They got in really late yesterday.

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Speaker 2: Playing issues caused them to arrive two and a half

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Speaker 2: hours behind schedule, missed the press conference, missed their scheduled

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Speaker 2: walkthrough and practice. Look, Carolina very well might win this game,

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Speaker 2: and Hubert Davis verywell might go on a run. They may,

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Speaker 2: and I think it is set up nicely for Carolina

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Speaker 2: to go on a run here if they can get

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Speaker 2: past San Diego State. But to me, the whole buildings

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Speaker 2: BEGINNNA be cheering against North Carolina to a lot of

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Speaker 2: people who are really upset with Carolina. Any hoop heads

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Speaker 2: in the building that know ones that know anything are

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Speaker 2: gonna say, you know what, Carolina doesn't belong a lot

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Speaker 2: of pressure on that. San Diego State's a really tough opponent.

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Speaker 2: I think the tor Hills could win. But I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: take the five points and look to bet in game,

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Speaker 2: see if I can get five points on Carolina at

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Speaker 2: some point, and if I do, middle it ten point middle.

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Speaker 2: I think this is a two or three point game

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Speaker 2: one way or the other. I don't think this is

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Speaker 2: a blowout. I think this is a tight game, one

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Speaker 2: or two possessions at the end. Carolina's offense might be

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Speaker 2: the difference, but I'm far more comfortable riding with defense

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Speaker 2: in saying I'm taking the dog in defense at plus

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Speaker 2: five San Diego State plus five for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Okay, bet number two.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk about a different way of playing Colorado State

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Speaker 2: in Memphis. Memphis might be down not one, but two

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Speaker 2: point guards for this game. Colorado State is the twelve

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Speaker 2: seed and they opened up as the favorite against Memphis.

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Speaker 2: Now that it was funny, I love going and reading

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Speaker 2: different publications. The Memphis Commercial Appeal picked Memphis to win

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Speaker 2: this game. But so far, they're the only ones that

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Speaker 2: I can see, including the odds makers who have put

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Speaker 2: CSU as the favorite. They are red hot. Their last

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Speaker 2: loss came on February the eleventh. They went through the

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Speaker 2: Mountain West Conference tournament. They beat Nevada sixty seven to

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Speaker 2: fifty nine. They beat Utah State eighty three seventy two,

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Speaker 2: and they beat Boise State in the title game sixty

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Speaker 2: nine to fifty six. This is a one point win.

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Speaker 2: According to kempom over Memphis, the number is two and

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Speaker 2: a half open three. It's two and a half. But

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Speaker 2: Nico Medved is a really good coach who was having

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Speaker 2: his name thrown around as potentially getting a bigger opportunity

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Speaker 2: that might happen. Most coaches in the Mountain West Conference

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Speaker 2: really well could do that. But I have a shot

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Speaker 2: to go ahead and do that. But to be want

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Speaker 2: to lay minus one forty five money line, I don't do.

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Speaker 2: I want to lay minays two and a half. Not really,

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Speaker 2: Here's how I want to play this. So CSU is

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Speaker 2: four to one to make the Sweet sixteen. So not

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Speaker 2: win one game, but win two games. The next game

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Speaker 2: is going to be against the winner of Grand Canyon

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Speaker 2: or Maryland. So Maryland is coached by Kevin Willard, the

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Speaker 2: same coach who couldn't stop the ball when everybody in

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Speaker 2: the building knew what was gonna happen with Donaldson from

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Speaker 2: Michigan when they were down by two points and he

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Speaker 2: had to go to the link to the court in

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Speaker 2: five seconds. Kevin Willard couldn't come up with a defensive

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Speaker 2: game plan to stop that. Now I think Maryland's gonna

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Speaker 2: beat Grand Canyon. What will the number be? If it's

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Speaker 2: Maryland against Colorado State. It's not going to be ten, five,

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Speaker 2: four three.

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Speaker 1: What's the number?

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Speaker 2: So the theory I'm going to go with is this,

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Speaker 2: I have a four to one ticket on CSU.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to.

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Speaker 2: Assume that Maryland will be a two or a three

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Speaker 2: point favorite, meaning we're gonna be able to bet them

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Speaker 2: on the money line at minus one forty five minus

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Speaker 2: one fifty. Some are in that range and have both

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Speaker 2: sides to guarantee profit. You can let it right if

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Speaker 2: you want, or you can just go ahead and have

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Speaker 2: it be a one unit play that we hedge off

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Speaker 2: of it knowing that if CSU makes the Sweet sixteen,

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Speaker 2: it's a four to one return. So for one unit,

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Speaker 2: I'm taking Colorado State, one of the hottest teams in

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Speaker 2: college basketball, to beat Memphis, who could be down two

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Speaker 2: point guards here and against CSU. That is really really

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Speaker 2: bad news.

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Speaker 1: Why.

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Speaker 2: Defensively, Colorado State's pretty good. Okay, They're a team that's

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Speaker 2: fiftieth inefficiency defensively, sixty eighth in effective field goal percentage.

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Speaker 2: They are thirteenth in free throw percentage. Defense seems miss

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Speaker 2: freeze for the miss free throws, Memphis is two hundred

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Speaker 2: and fiftieth in missing free throws seventy point two percent.

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Speaker 2: That's not good. On the flip side, CSU's offense has

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Speaker 2: been really, really good. This is a team that has

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Speaker 2: a great job of twenty third in efficiency, forty third

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Speaker 2: in effective field goal percentage fifty second, and three point

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Speaker 2: shooting twenty eighth and two point percentage. But maybe the

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Speaker 2: biggest key to this whole game, Memphis, much like Michigan

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Speaker 2: in their game against UC San Diego that we talked

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Speaker 2: about last night, three hundred and six turnover percentage for Memphis,

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Speaker 2: and they're down two point guards. They're down two point

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Speaker 2: guards and they already turn the ball over a ton. Now,

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Speaker 2: the CSU defense is not outstanding, turning you over just

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Speaker 2: two hundred and two, But if you're throwing the ball away,

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Speaker 2: it doesn't matter what the defense is doing. You can't

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Speaker 2: get the ball over half court, you can't protect the basketball.

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Speaker 2: You're in deep trouble. Three to zero six turnover percentage

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Speaker 2: CSU money line.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna.

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Speaker 2: Instead take the four to one on CSU to make

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Speaker 2: the sweet sixteen, to win two games and play off

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Speaker 2: of it's four to one return on CSU. Finally, let's

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Speaker 2: go to the Ducks and the Stars.

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Speaker 1: Did you know the Ducks.

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Speaker 2: Are two to zero against the Stars this year, four

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Speaker 2: to two win on the road at Dallas, two to

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Speaker 2: one win at home. The Dallas Stars are forty two

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Speaker 2: to twenty one and three, and they haven't beaten the

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Speaker 2: twenty nine, thirty one and seven Ducks yet.

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Speaker 1: Huh.

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Speaker 2: It happens tonight at home Dallas twenty four to seven

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Speaker 2: and one.

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Speaker 1: Straight up.

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Speaker 2: Dallas wins, but the price is expensive. It's three sixty

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Speaker 2: on the money line at certain books. I can't do that.

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Speaker 2: That's too expensive. So I need a dance partner. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go and look around and say, Okay, I like

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Speaker 2: Dallas to win, but who can I pair them up

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Speaker 2: with to drop this down and not make this a

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Speaker 2: really ridiculously expensive bet. The Edmonton Oilers are at home

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Speaker 2: home up against the Utah Hockey Club. Oilers won the

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Speaker 2: first game four to three at Utah, it at Edmonton

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Speaker 2: four to one back on New Year's Eve. The Oilers

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Speaker 2: are looking at you know, they're thirty nine, twenty nine

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Speaker 2: and four. They're number two in the West right now,

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Speaker 2: but they're twenty eleven and two at home. Utah hasn't

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Speaker 2: been horrible on the road. They're seventeen thirteen and four

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Speaker 2: on the road, but they're zero into this year against Edmonton.

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Speaker 2: Edmonton's at home money line. Edmonton win against Vancouver last

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Speaker 2: time out for Utah, they beat They lost to Seattle

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Speaker 2: four to two in the first game of this road trip.

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Speaker 2: Oilers are home after a pretty successful road trip. They

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Speaker 2: went two and two. Lost the first two games against

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Speaker 2: Buffalo in New Jersey, but they beat the Islanders and

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Speaker 2: beat the Rangers in their last game.

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Speaker 1: Straight up.

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Speaker 2: Edmonton now here having an opportunity to get back home.

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Speaker 1: I think they protect the home.

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Speaker 2: Oilers win moneyline two leg moneyline parlay. As I said,

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Speaker 2: I hit it last night with Toronto and Tampa. We're

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Speaker 2: going Oilers and the Stars here tonight for plus one

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Speaker 2: h one basically even money for one unit. Okay, so

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Speaker 2: plays officially for today tonight in dayton in the play

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Speaker 2: in San Diego State plus five for one point one

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Speaker 2: units Colorado State to make the Sweet sixteen at four

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Speaker 2: to one plus four hundred Stars.

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Speaker 1: Oilers moneyline parlay at plus.

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Speaker 2: One oh one for one unit There will be more

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Speaker 2: plays for tonight in the play in and on Wednesday's

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Speaker 2: games for the play in on the live stream happening

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Speaker 2: at five thirty Eastern Time with Terrell Ferman Junior and

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Speaker 2: myself on the Betting Pros YouTube channel, min's Matt Paroult.

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Speaker 1: Hope to see all in the live stream later on tonight.

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Speaker 2: Wherever you guys get your podcasts, audio or video, it

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Speaker 2: is the Daily Juice