1 00:00:00,680 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: Hi, I'm Molly John Fast and this is Fast Politics, 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: where we discussed the top political headlines with some of 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:13,039 Speaker 1: today's best minds, and Republican Congressman Thomas Matsy says the 4 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: Epstein conspiracy is going to hurt Republicans in the midterms. 5 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: We have such a great show for you today. The 6 00:00:19,040 --> 00:00:22,640 Speaker 1: Lincoln Projects owner Rick Wilson joins us to discuss Trump's 7 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: Justice Department, talking to Gallaine Maxwell. Then we'll talk to 8 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: Center on Budget Brendan Duke about how tariffs are affecting 9 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 1: our economy. But first the news. 10 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 2: Somali Howard Lutnick and mister Trump. 11 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 3: They say that the tariffs start on August first, no extensions, 12 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 3: and they have a deal with Europe for fifteen percent. 13 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 2: Do you believe them? 14 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: There's a really good article in The New Yorker this 15 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: week from Antonia Hitchins where she interviews Howard Lutnik and 16 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 1: he sends like a very sort of TMU Trump. He 17 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 1: lacks the sort of intelligence and cohesive narrative that a 18 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:08,319 Speaker 1: Trump does. So if that doesn't fill you with good feeling, 19 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 1: I don't know what it is. So again, the tension 20 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: here about the tariffs is two things. One, they're terrible 21 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 1: and they're gonna mess up our economy. Though in this 22 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 1: interview with Brendan Duke, which you should listen to because 23 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 1: it's really interesting, he actually says that they are actually 24 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: providing a lot of money for the United States right now. 25 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 1: They won't always because they will depress the spending that 26 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 1: people do, the domestic spending, which will end up putting 27 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: us into a sort of recessionary posture at the very least. 28 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:45,880 Speaker 1: So financial markets have basically sort of decided that Trump 29 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: is going to taco at all points chicken out, and 30 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 1: so they are not freaking out the way that they 31 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 1: might if they really thought it was going to happen. 32 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 1: So Letnick is out there saying no extensions, no more 33 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: grace periods. August first, the aras are set. They will 34 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 1: go into place. Now, remember they were going to be 35 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: in June first, they were going to be mid July. 36 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,959 Speaker 1: They were ninety deals in ninety days. They were paused. 37 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: There was that week where he kept saying We're going 38 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 1: to do tariffs, and then the market kept going down, down, down, 39 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 1: and he wouldn't do anything. But then when the bond 40 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 1: market started freaking out. It was then that he decided 41 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: to do it. But what's really important about this tariff 42 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 1: story is this line here at the Yale Budget Lab 43 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 1: estimates the blended tariff rate on all imports, factoring in 44 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 1: those letters and subsequent deals, and again who even knows, 45 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: will be just over twenty percent. That's the highest since 46 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 1: nineteen eleven. You'll remember nineteen eleven as a year when 47 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 1: global trade was humongous. So again, in nineteen eleven, a 48 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: lot more things were made in America. So now it 49 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 1: is more than one hundred years later, we live in 50 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: this global economy and everything you're going to buy that 51 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 1: is not made in America, which is most things, will 52 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:03,639 Speaker 1: go up twenty percent. So either the consumers will pay 53 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 1: the tariffs right and everything will get twenty percent more expensive, 54 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 1: or the companies will pay the tariffs and companies will 55 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:13,520 Speaker 1: make twenty percent less money, which I think they'll have 56 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 1: to eat twenty percent of the cost of the things 57 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 1: they're selling, which seems like a lot. Or the countries 58 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:24,080 Speaker 1: that manufacture will make their things twenty percent cheaper. The 59 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,240 Speaker 1: most likely scenario seems like consumer. It will be the 60 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 1: cost will be passed on to the consumer to some extent, 61 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: so it's worth remembering that like the consumer, it will 62 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: basically be instead of a corporate tax, that my tax 63 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: of corporation, you're taxing the consumer. So you are taxing 64 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 1: the people who have the least, and it will be 65 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 1: like a sort of blanket sales tax the way that 66 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: you'll remember like Forbes had there's this very rich guy 67 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 1: who ran for president and the idea that they would 68 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 1: be like this sales tax and they wouldn't be an 69 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 1: income tax and sales tax. But the sales tax punishes 70 00:03:57,000 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: the people have the least. So between this and the 71 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 1: regressive taxation in the BBB, you are really seeing an 72 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 1: administration target the least wealthy. 73 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, Hilariously, while you were saying that I got a 74 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 3: nice newsort China US to extend tariff pause by another 75 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 3: ninety days. 76 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 1: We shouldn't. We shouldn't laugh, because we should be happy, 77 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:25,040 Speaker 1: because that is it's better for consumers and for people 78 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:29,159 Speaker 1: who have lass to have that punted. So, but yes, 79 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 1: this is a complete disaster. Talk to us about what 80 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 1: else Trump is hiding. 81 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:38,480 Speaker 3: Ess So apparently the retrofitting for the Due Air Force 82 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:41,400 Speaker 3: wood is going to cost nearly a billion dollars. 83 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 1: What I'm shocked I am just shocked because I was 84 00:04:46,120 --> 00:04:47,839 Speaker 1: told this was going to save money. 85 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 3: I was told Elon and Trump, We're going to get 86 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 3: into office and find all this waste and abuse and 87 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 3: get rid of it. 88 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 1: Yeah. I was told there was fraud, waste and abuse. 89 00:04:57,560 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 1: But it sounds like much of the fraud and much 90 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:03,279 Speaker 1: of the abuse is coming from inside the White House 91 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:04,119 Speaker 1: and also the wist. 92 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 2: Yeah. I really like here though. 93 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 3: The best line is we believe the actual retrofit of 94 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 3: the aircraft could probably cost a round four hundred million dollars. 95 00:05:12,360 --> 00:05:14,839 Speaker 2: That barely makes this any better, urge. 96 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 1: I know. Well. And the reason that Katar was stuck 97 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:20,719 Speaker 1: with this plane. They've had this plane for a while 98 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 1: and they were trying to sell it and they couldn't 99 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 1: get anyone interested in it. What's interesting about this this 100 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:28,279 Speaker 1: story actually, and I was reading about it, is that 101 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:33,719 Speaker 1: they originally was meant to stay in the Air Force. 102 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 1: They're negotiating a final agreement for this plane and according 103 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 1: to communications, all right, it will be a donation to 104 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:45,479 Speaker 1: the Department of Defense that which will be responsible for 105 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 1: the maintenance. Okay, so basically it hasn't been approved yet, 106 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 1: but the final agreement is the US Air Force will 107 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: begin renovating the plane for Air Force one. And my 108 00:05:56,800 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 1: favorite part of this is that it says nothing in 109 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:05,480 Speaker 1: this shall be interpreted as an offer, a promise, or 110 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:09,279 Speaker 1: acceptance of any form of bribery under influencer coro practices. 111 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:12,039 Speaker 1: So it's not going to be accepted as that, which 112 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:16,039 Speaker 1: means that it won't be obviously. So Jack Reid, who's 113 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 1: a Democrat from Rhode Island who sits on this committee 114 00:06:19,760 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 1: on the Senate Appropriations, asked him in June how long 115 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:27,279 Speaker 1: it would take to renovate the jet, and Heggsas said 116 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:31,599 Speaker 1: such information was not for public consumption. So then Haiggs 117 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 1: has said he couldn't say how much refurbishing the play 118 00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:38,799 Speaker 1: would cost, angering the normally restraight read. Okay, why can't 119 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 1: it be revealed in this setting? Reid said, this is 120 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 1: the Appropriation's Committee of the United States Senate. We appropriate 121 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: the money. You will be spent after it's authorized by 122 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: my committee. Hegsas said there were several reasons for spending 123 00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 1: the money on the product, to ensure the safety and 124 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: security of the President of the United States. I think 125 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 1: it's pretty amazing. I mean, heigs seth is really is 126 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 1: pretty incompetent. It's just an incredible story all around, very stupid. 127 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:05,280 Speaker 3: Speaking of stupid, as we know, Elon Musk is threatening 128 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 3: to put third party candidates on the ballot, and the 129 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:10,760 Speaker 3: way these Democratic strategists are weighing it, this can be 130 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 3: really good news for Democrats. 131 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 1: Yeah. I'm old enough to remember when Elon must said 132 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 1: he was going to build a hyper loop that was 133 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 1: going to get us to Washington, DC in seven minutes. 134 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 1: By the way, it turns out he just kept saying 135 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: that to keep people from investing money in the trains. 136 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 3: Right. Well, you know, he had the Boring company and 137 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 3: all that, so it was a good net net of 138 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 3: his ecosystem, which is one of the things that he 139 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 3: seemed to have good business documen for us having an 140 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 3: ecosystem of similar technologies. 141 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 1: But he mostly just built tunnels for the cars to 142 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:43,680 Speaker 1: drive through. 143 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the Boring company, right. 144 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: So they weren't ever going to build hyper loops. They 145 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:53,000 Speaker 1: were just going to build holes. Ahle Right, okay, just checking. 146 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 2: Don't forget sell flame throwers. 147 00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: Yes, everybody loves the flame thrower. So anyway, good luck 148 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:02,920 Speaker 1: on you have. All he could just do is just 149 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:05,800 Speaker 1: give money to all the things he's fucked up since 150 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 1: he started doge. But I don't think that's going to happen. 151 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 3: Okay, So this is some depressing reporting from the Bulwark. 152 00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 3: The worst ice agents we're probably going to get her 153 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 3: probably coming in now. They're about to hire ten thousand 154 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 3: new agents and they're going to be woefully unqualified. 155 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 1: It looks like, yeah, I'm shocked. I am shocked to 156 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: hear this, by the way, Like it's all money they 157 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 1: could go to like mental heals and food for hungry 158 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: children and schools, any number of other things. But at 159 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: least it's not windmills. 160 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 3: Well, speaking of that, did you watch Trump's crazy press 161 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 3: conference today? 162 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 1: Now? Did you watch it? 163 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:51,160 Speaker 3: I watched a highlight cut of it, which was pretty disturbing. 164 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:53,880 Speaker 3: One of the more telling parts of it was when 165 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:55,560 Speaker 3: a reporter said, can I ask why you're in a 166 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 3: bad mood? 167 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:57,440 Speaker 2: Was it a bad morning of golf? 168 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 1: And he replied, no, the golf was beautiful. I don't 169 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 1: know what was beautiful about the golf. Playing golf was beautiful. 170 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't want to be a stickler here, 171 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:11,240 Speaker 1: but none of these sentences are English. While playing his 172 00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 1: round of golf at Turnberry his private course, which he 173 00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 1: is using the presidency to highlight, and supposedly there's some 174 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 1: theory that maybe he was cheating. Some of the videos 175 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: showed that there might have been some cheating. He is 176 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 1: known for his cheating. Trump caught sight of windmills that 177 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:31,720 Speaker 1: he has long hated, having fought a long battle against 178 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 1: their installation, because you'll remember that Trump is very anti 179 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 1: any kind of clean energy, and then he went on 180 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 1: a long anti windmill rand. Trump two point zero makes 181 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:47,199 Speaker 1: Trump one point zero look like Lincoln, That is all. 182 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:57,200 Speaker 1: Rick Wilson is the founder of Lincoln Project. In the 183 00:09:57,240 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: host of The Enemy's List, Welcome to you, ass Politics, 184 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:04,839 Speaker 1: Ely John Fast Rick Wilson. 185 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 4: What's going on? 186 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 5: Max? 187 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: I did three hours of live television on MSNBC, and 188 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:16,640 Speaker 1: I'm back next weekend on the weekend primetime. If any 189 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:21,839 Speaker 1: show still has table, if you still have cable, you 190 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:27,440 Speaker 1: should watch me on it. Hello, friend, nothing's happened this week. 191 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 5: No, it's been a very boring, quiet weekend. And you 192 00:10:30,920 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 5: know nothing, nothing at all is going on with the 193 00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 5: President of the United States telling his deputy Attorney general 194 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 5: to pardon a woman who ran the largest child trafficking 195 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 5: sex pedophile rapering in modern history. Other than that, it's 196 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 5: pretty couiet. 197 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 1: So let's talk about Tom Planche meeting with Gillay and Maxwell, 198 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 1: because I think here's what I want to talk about. 199 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:57,000 Speaker 1: So I actually talked to when I was doing this 200 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 1: MSNBC show last night, the weekend primetime that you can 201 00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 1: watch this weekend. When I was doing it, we were 202 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 1: talking to this woman who has been a DA and 203 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:11,080 Speaker 1: she was saying, I said, is Todd Blanche alone with Glaine? 204 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 1: And she said, absolutely not. She said, there's somebody there 205 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 1: taking notes, There's somebody else. So the question is, so 206 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:21,480 Speaker 1: he's not alone, So even if he's with his people, 207 00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 1: he still cannot say things like the boss knows you 208 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:30,640 Speaker 1: didn't see anything, right, So we hope. 209 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 5: Now what we don't know. And I think it would 210 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:36,320 Speaker 5: leak if Blanche said everybody else, I need the room 211 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 5: just me. 212 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:38,600 Speaker 1: And right right for sure? 213 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 5: For sure, I think I think that would leak. I 214 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:44,240 Speaker 5: do think though, we've got to keep on our eye 215 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 5: on the fact that Jelaane's attorney and Todd Blanche are friends. 216 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:50,719 Speaker 5: They have a friendship, a relationship, however you want to 217 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:54,040 Speaker 5: call it. They've been on podcasts together all this other stuff. 218 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 5: There is a link between these two guys. So I 219 00:11:56,760 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 5: think we need to keep you know that. That is 220 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 5: how the I think the communication would happen. Todd would 221 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 5: say to him, Hey, buddy. 222 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 1: You know right, so that but the but here's the 223 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:12,760 Speaker 1: thing about this. You've opened a conspiracy theory, right, You've 224 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:15,840 Speaker 1: opened the door to a huge conspiracy theory. The people 225 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 1: all his people want is information. So you're going to 226 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 1: do what You're gonna have Glaine testify it was. 227 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 5: Well, she's gonna I think that the fix that they're 228 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 5: working up is she's gonna say, oh, of course it 229 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 5: was George Soros and Bill Clinton and Bill Gates and 230 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 5: and Hillary Clinton and John Podessa. She's gonna she will. 231 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:39,679 Speaker 5: This is a woman who is not raised to live 232 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:40,560 Speaker 5: in prison. 233 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 1: Right, no question you who would be in prison? 234 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 5: I think she's right up here. 235 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 1: Jesse has turned on his camera give us a look 236 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 1: which is like a look of horror. 237 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 5: That's the that's the Jesse, what the hell look? 238 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: Listen to me. I'm happy to if I if it's 239 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 1: my time to go to prison, I will. I will 240 00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 1: go to prison and not like it. 241 00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:09,319 Speaker 5: But but will you shenk a bitch? 242 00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 1: I cannot, I can't, I cannot comment. But so here's so, 243 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 1: here's a question. So as someone who occupies the Earth's 244 00:13:21,800 --> 00:13:23,640 Speaker 1: one still is one of the very few people who 245 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:26,719 Speaker 1: still live on the actual Earth where things make some 246 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 1: sense assemblance of sense. Her coming out and being like 247 00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:33,560 Speaker 1: I've gotten a pardon everyone, that strikes me as not. 248 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 1: I just don't understand how that will get rid of 249 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 1: conspiracy theories. 250 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:41,440 Speaker 5: Won't that it actually will, it actually will make it worse. 251 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 5: And I have a theory of the case mine. I'm 252 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 5: curious what you think about this. I think there's a 253 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 5: part of Trump he says, okay, if Juleanne comes out 254 00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:50,640 Speaker 5: and says, oh it was Bill Clinton. Oh is this 255 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 5: democrat that democrat, this Democrat that democrat. I think Trump 256 00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 5: thinks that will be enough for his people. I don't 257 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:02,400 Speaker 5: think that's the case anymore. I don't think I don't 258 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 5: think they're going to buy it and say, oh, well 259 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 5: it's all better now. Good thing we released a woman 260 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,640 Speaker 5: who ran a pedophile ring for prison. I don't think 261 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:12,640 Speaker 5: he has that much latitude with them anymore. 262 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 1: So that's the question. And also Trump doesn't want this 263 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:24,000 Speaker 1: to keep going, so doing more like I think the 264 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:27,960 Speaker 1: grand jury testimony idea was that what would happen is 265 00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: he would say, let's release the grand jury testimony, and 266 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:36,600 Speaker 1: everyone knew it wouldn't be released, so they'd be like, oh, 267 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:38,920 Speaker 1: we tried to get the grand jury testimony released, but 268 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 1: we couldn't get a release. But I'm not convinced that that. 269 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 1: Even that just extended the news cycle. 270 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 5: He has made every wrong move on this Molly whatever 271 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:51,240 Speaker 5: mojo Trump has had for ten years. That left all 272 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 5: of us going, ah shit, he changed the news cycle again. 273 00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:58,280 Speaker 5: It's not working now. And even though he's had to 274 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:01,560 Speaker 5: run away to Scotland for the weekend to try to 275 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 5: avoid it, he's still getting hit in Scotland on it. 276 00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 5: He's still taking damage. He can't stop the the he 277 00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 5: can't stop the drip, drip drip, even if he puts 278 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 5: Julane in front of the camera and she said, oh no, Donald. 279 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:17,400 Speaker 5: Donald barely knew Jeffrey. He went to one party and 280 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 5: left early. 281 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 1: Right, the people will believe flight logs, you have the 282 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: does that if you have the flight logs, how does 283 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 1: that work? So Jeffrey never knew him except for these 284 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 1: flight logs, right. 285 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 5: And they were they barely they ran into each other 286 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 5: in New York occasionally. But here's the thing. First off, 287 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:41,320 Speaker 5: I think even our terrified media, right once this breaks, 288 00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 5: will chase her down like a wild animal. The answer 289 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 5: to this story will not just be I have no 290 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 5: further comment, right, you will never have a day of 291 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 5: peace no matter what. I also think, and I heard 292 00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 5: over the weekend that one major outlet is looking at 293 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 5: going back and doing stuff on the victims finally, which 294 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:02,960 Speaker 5: I think. 295 00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: There are more than two hundred victims. 296 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, which I think that right. I think the numbers 297 00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:09,840 Speaker 5: around two hundred. And I think if they do that, 298 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,200 Speaker 5: that also extends the story because you know what Donald 299 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 5: Trump will do. Oh, I barely knew her. She was 300 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 5: a crazy slut or whatever is going to be. It's 301 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 5: gonna be eging Carol only worse. 302 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: But even you know, just when Lawrence read the testimony 303 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 1: of these girls who were groomed at fourteen and dismissed 304 00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 1: at eighteen because they were too old, it was pretty 305 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 1: jarring to hear that. I mean, I think of myself 306 00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 1: as pretty cynical, and I was like, whoa, you know. 307 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:42,720 Speaker 5: That that was a That was a hell of a 308 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:46,120 Speaker 5: piece too, by the way, Yeah, yeah, but it is it, 309 00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 5: I mean, and that is really all the sort of haha, 310 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 5: we got you Maga flipping c aside. They really are 311 00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 5: having to ask themselves a question right now, and it 312 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,440 Speaker 5: is am I okay as a MAGA supporter, As a 313 00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 5: Trump supporter, Am I okay with Donald Trump to protect 314 00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:08,000 Speaker 5: his political position freeing a woman who sexually abused and 315 00:17:08,040 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 5: who groomed and provided underage girls for rape because that's 316 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:18,320 Speaker 5: what it was to Jeffrey Epstein and whoever else is 317 00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:20,919 Speaker 5: on the list with the I mean, I think a 318 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 5: lot of them are having a I mean, I don't 319 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:24,919 Speaker 5: know if it's their first moral quandary, but it is 320 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:26,960 Speaker 5: a moral quandary for a lot of them where they are, 321 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 5: and the more prominent ones I think are also processing 322 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:31,720 Speaker 5: this like there's going to be a post Trump era. 323 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 5: Am I going to die on the hill of defending 324 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:40,720 Speaker 5: Donald Trump's friend Gawaine Maxwell? Right, it's a real he is, apparently, 325 00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 5: But well. 326 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 1: Greg Kelly has a complicated relationship with being accused of things. 327 00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 1: As you and I both know, it does not stop 328 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:56,520 Speaker 1: me that Greg Kelly might in fact have some problems, 329 00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:57,080 Speaker 1: you know. 330 00:17:58,040 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, to put it. 331 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 1: Understanding why sexual abuse is bad to yes, to put 332 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:09,640 Speaker 1: it very mildly. I wonder if we could talk about 333 00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 1: kind of what the calculus here is for Trump world. 334 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 1: We have scandals coming from different parts. It feels like 335 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:26,160 Speaker 1: a leaky boat. So we have HEGXET scandals, right, we 336 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:29,680 Speaker 1: have more stuff leaking about the signal chat. We have 337 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,440 Speaker 1: some We definitely. 338 00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:33,680 Speaker 5: See the polygraph scandal. 339 00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:37,200 Speaker 1: Right, So there's a polygraph scandal where he's polygraphing people 340 00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:40,399 Speaker 1: for leaking to the press. There's this other scandal where 341 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 1: he is sending classified information on signal. There's so he's 342 00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:48,919 Speaker 1: he's moving people around. He hired someone from DOGE, he 343 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 1: fired them. He you know, there's a lot of like really. 344 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:58,159 Speaker 5: I think if the Epstein story had not broken, Hexas 345 00:18:58,200 --> 00:18:58,920 Speaker 5: would be gone. 346 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:00,439 Speaker 1: Yeah. 347 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:04,160 Speaker 5: I know. I know that that Trump still has a 348 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,360 Speaker 5: warm spot in his heart for Pete Hexith because he's 349 00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:10,679 Speaker 5: good on TV. But I I think the handful of 350 00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:15,359 Speaker 5: semi quasi dimmy Himmy responsible adults in the White House 351 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 5: recognize this guy is a disaster. And I was told 352 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:24,680 Speaker 5: by a foreign diplomatic person about a month ago that 353 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:28,480 Speaker 5: he is not welcome. They don't want to talk to him. Yeah, 354 00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:34,160 Speaker 5: I mean, he's unprofessional, he's dangerous, and he's weird. Now 355 00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:37,600 Speaker 5: I think the d O Jays scandal is is I 356 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:42,160 Speaker 5: think we are days, not weeks from Bongo leaving, either 357 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,440 Speaker 5: being thrown off or fired or leaving on his own 358 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:46,359 Speaker 5: two feet. 359 00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:49,000 Speaker 1: And the reason that you say that, I think is 360 00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 1: because of the post last night where Bo said I 361 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:53,160 Speaker 1: have seen things. 362 00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:53,679 Speaker 5: This is. 363 00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:59,119 Speaker 1: Something right, and so that means if he's seen things 364 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:02,639 Speaker 1: that scarred his that means that he is saying that 365 00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: the admin is not showing the Maga crowd everything they 366 00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 1: want to see that's right, and that means that eventually 367 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,680 Speaker 1: somebody is going to have to go, because either Trump 368 00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:21,160 Speaker 1: gets rid of Bongino or Bongino gets rid of Bondy. 369 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,480 Speaker 5: I have heard that Pam Bondi has cashed all her 370 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 5: chips in with all of her various patrons. Brian Boward, 371 00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:32,359 Speaker 5: very influential lobbyist in Trump universe, has been apparently like, 372 00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:35,359 Speaker 5: I will die on this hill, sir. She must not 373 00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:38,360 Speaker 5: be thrown out. It would be the worst thing for us. YadA, YadA, YadA. 374 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:40,840 Speaker 5: But I think she's in trouble though I think I 375 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,840 Speaker 5: think she's in trouble. But the basic the base is 376 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:45,880 Speaker 5: never going to give up on her. They're never gonna 377 00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:46,640 Speaker 5: stop dating her. 378 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:50,520 Speaker 1: But if you have a choice between Bongino Bondi, is 379 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:55,360 Speaker 1: it just does anything Trump wants? Bongino does not. He's 380 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,679 Speaker 1: a wild barn, right, So if you have a choice 381 00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:01,959 Speaker 1: between Bongino and Bondio, he's really tight with the guitar. 382 00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:04,800 Speaker 1: Is Bonnie would be the play in my mind? 383 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:09,120 Speaker 5: Yeah? Yeah, yep. But the problem I think that they're 384 00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:14,280 Speaker 5: having about firing Bongino is they understand that Dan Bongino 385 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:19,399 Speaker 5: has a notoriously poor impulse control over his temper and 386 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 5: his tongue right, right, and while he's trying to play 387 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,359 Speaker 5: the role of I am now a federal official at 388 00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 5: a senior level in the FBI, Yeah, they also remember 389 00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:37,359 Speaker 5: he's a lunatic, batshit crazy short fuse podcast bro. Yeah, 390 00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:39,919 Speaker 5: And so he's going to be out there I think 391 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:43,960 Speaker 5: as something that worries them. They're probably worried that if 392 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 5: they fire him, and it's not like Dan has to 393 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:49,760 Speaker 5: spend more time with his family, it'll be that he 394 00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:53,360 Speaker 5: could pop and say some crazy shit. And again, going 395 00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:55,879 Speaker 5: back to what we talked about last week, this whole 396 00:21:56,359 --> 00:22:00,359 Speaker 5: pedophile thing in their heads, this belief that it's the 397 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,640 Speaker 5: Rosetta Stone breaking the Democrats there, the Democrats are all 398 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,840 Speaker 5: eating children, blah blah blah, all that crap. Yeah, I 399 00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:08,320 Speaker 5: think Bongino believes that shit. 400 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:09,680 Speaker 1: You still think he does. 401 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:12,000 Speaker 5: I still think he does. I think he believes it still, 402 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:16,320 Speaker 5: and he knows there's a critical mass of Maga types 403 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 5: out there who either if they don't fully believe it, 404 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:24,400 Speaker 5: they believe it enough that it's causing them great anxiety 405 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:29,040 Speaker 5: now because of the cognitive dissonance of Trump's defense of 406 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:32,679 Speaker 5: Maxwell and the Trump's cover up of this, of this story. 407 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: And that's the ten percent. That's ten percent of Trump's 408 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:41,200 Speaker 1: base that from Brizio says is qan on adjacent. 409 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:46,120 Speaker 5: Yes, and they those people have a there's a big 410 00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:50,360 Speaker 5: disadvantage for the Republican Party broadly with those people. They 411 00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:54,080 Speaker 5: were low propensity voters before Trump, right, They've been high 412 00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 5: for pensity voters since Trump. And if they if their 413 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:03,880 Speaker 5: relationship with Trump is broken somehow, I think they've become 414 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,920 Speaker 5: low propensity voters again, and they just throw their hands 415 00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:08,760 Speaker 5: up and say, screw it, I'm not going to do this. 416 00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 5: They all lie to me. The elites even got to Trump. 417 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,600 Speaker 5: But you know, Elon Musk has got a new party 418 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 5: for him, and they could they could absolutely help the 419 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,520 Speaker 5: pedophiles in the America Party with Elon Musk. 420 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:21,359 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm sure the America Party is going to do 421 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,560 Speaker 1: great because Elon is really just killed it with everything 422 00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:26,359 Speaker 1: he's done since Tesla. 423 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:27,640 Speaker 5: It's going to be fantastic. 424 00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:31,359 Speaker 1: He go when he Veer's non rocket The stuff he 425 00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:34,919 Speaker 1: does is just beyond like you stick to the rockets. 426 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 5: Build the fucking rockets. Just build the Falcon rockets. They 427 00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 5: do great. Don't try anything complicated or with too many 428 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 5: moving parts. 429 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:47,280 Speaker 1: Right exactly. So Commers is out the Senate, it's still in. 430 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 1: I think they're going out soon for the August recess. 431 00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:55,040 Speaker 1: We'll come back and we will have elections in New 432 00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:57,480 Speaker 1: Jersey and the state you are in right now? What 433 00:23:57,600 --> 00:23:58,440 Speaker 1: state are you in right now? 434 00:23:58,480 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 5: Great state of Virginia. 435 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:02,800 Speaker 1: Can tell us tell us what's happening in the Commonwealth. 436 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:06,439 Speaker 5: Well, look there, the governor's race statewides and the and 437 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 5: the legislative races in Virginia and New Jersey happened in 438 00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 5: the off year, the off cycle. So this year we 439 00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,560 Speaker 5: have potential to get into Virginia and start to roll 440 00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:19,240 Speaker 5: some real numbers up in the legislative side. We also 441 00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:23,400 Speaker 5: have a really consequential governor governor's race because Abigail span 442 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,399 Speaker 5: Murder is right now blowing the doors off this race, 443 00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 5: raising money, running a perfect campaign against the woman Republican. 444 00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:35,120 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, because she's one of my favorites. 445 00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:38,320 Speaker 5: There's an African American woman named Winsome Seers, right, and 446 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 5: Winsome Seers is one of these people. 447 00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:44,880 Speaker 1: For whom guns loves Jesus, for. 448 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:47,120 Speaker 5: Whom, yes, for whom the Lord speaks to her very 449 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 5: directly and has told her that Donald Trump is the way, 450 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,040 Speaker 5: the hope, the light, and the faith. And that is 451 00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,160 Speaker 5: really burned her campaign. She tried to get a little 452 00:24:55,240 --> 00:25:00,240 Speaker 5: less Trump adjacent, and her own people devoured her for 453 00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:04,479 Speaker 5: the Vaga movement just tore her apart. And right now 454 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,200 Speaker 5: they're kind of stuck with her because she's Chris los 455 00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:13,920 Speaker 5: Avita's client, and los Avita is apparently in a raging 456 00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:16,560 Speaker 5: fury all day every day. They can't find anything to 457 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,520 Speaker 5: get a hold of it. Spamberger on in terms of 458 00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:26,240 Speaker 5: oppo or policy stuff, Spamberger is not taking the bait there. 459 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:29,840 Speaker 5: I mean, they're the Republican parties thing now is oh, 460 00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:33,119 Speaker 5: what about trans athletes? And Spamberger is like, what about 461 00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 5: cost of living? 462 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:36,480 Speaker 1: Can I ask you a question? Because I want to 463 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:40,399 Speaker 1: talk about this. So Megan Calay, in her infinite wisdom, 464 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:46,840 Speaker 1: had on, it's very angry, she's very angry. She had on, Uh, 465 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 1: this guy Ram Emmanuel, perhaps you've heard of him, And 466 00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:54,399 Speaker 1: she said Rom. She said, Rom, can can can a 467 00:25:54,400 --> 00:26:00,960 Speaker 1: man become a woman? And Rom said no. No. If 468 00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,160 Speaker 1: I had been asked that, you know what, I would 469 00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:07,280 Speaker 1: have said, what It's none of my fucking business. 470 00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:09,200 Speaker 5: Right, I don't. I don't care. And by the way, 471 00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:12,080 Speaker 5: how's your homeowners insurance? How's your how's your health? 472 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:16,000 Speaker 1: But it's also like, why do you care what other. 473 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:19,800 Speaker 5: People do with them? So actually, I've come up with 474 00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:21,600 Speaker 5: a new, a new line on this. I was with 475 00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:24,160 Speaker 5: a group of Democrats yesterday and give them a little 476 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:28,560 Speaker 5: bit of communications advice. And a candidate said to me, 477 00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:31,920 Speaker 5: our person said to me, an advisor, not a candidate 478 00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 5: said to me, Okay, so what happens when they hit 479 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:38,560 Speaker 5: my my my client with trans bathrooms all that shit? 480 00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:40,720 Speaker 5: I said, listen, you just looked them straight in the eye, 481 00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:44,040 Speaker 5: and you say, you seem really interested in trans people. 482 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 5: I don't want to see your browser history. I don't 483 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 5: care what you're interested in that. You're obsessed with that, 484 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 5: that's weird to me. But I'm obsessed with with lowering 485 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,119 Speaker 5: the cost of living, making sure people can afford housing 486 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,639 Speaker 5: and healthcare and get jobs. But if you want to 487 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:01,440 Speaker 5: keep talking about that stuff, I'm sure there are websites 488 00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:03,399 Speaker 5: about trans people that would that you can spend a 489 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:04,040 Speaker 5: lot of time on. 490 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:08,119 Speaker 1: I mean, it just seems like, why, it's other people's bodies. 491 00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:10,600 Speaker 1: It's other people's if you're gay, if you're straight, if 492 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:12,160 Speaker 1: you're this, or you're that, I don't care. It has 493 00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:14,000 Speaker 1: nothing to do with me what other people do in 494 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:14,840 Speaker 1: their bedrooms. 495 00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,440 Speaker 5: The idea of the trans thing as the culture war 496 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:21,800 Speaker 5: issue of our time. The Republicans one in part using 497 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:26,200 Speaker 5: that issue to motivate African American, Hispanic and young white 498 00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:29,040 Speaker 5: men away from the Democrats, because that is an issue 499 00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:32,119 Speaker 5: they care about in some weird, sort of visceral level. 500 00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:36,159 Speaker 5: But the problem with the issue for the Republicans is 501 00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,639 Speaker 5: they are now playing what I call the one note flute. 502 00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,480 Speaker 5: After a while, nobody's like, everybody's like, Okay, yeah, I 503 00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:46,679 Speaker 5: get you're obsessed with trans people. Whatever your problem is, 504 00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:50,600 Speaker 5: that's your problem. I'm obsessed with you know, You've got 505 00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:53,000 Speaker 5: to bridge out of this because they really would like 506 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:56,600 Speaker 5: to do. You know, the Democrats are all trans Antifa 507 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,359 Speaker 5: or whatever the crazy shit of the day is. 508 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 1: Rick Wilson, Mollie John Fast Will you come home? 509 00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:04,639 Speaker 5: You know I will. 510 00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:11,879 Speaker 1: Brendan Duke is a senior director for Federal Budget Policy 511 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:17,440 Speaker 1: at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Welcome too, 512 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:18,520 Speaker 1: Fast Politics. 513 00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 4: Brendan, thanks for having me on Mollett. 514 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,200 Speaker 1: You've worked in budget, you work at a think tank 515 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,320 Speaker 1: on budget. Right now, I want you first. We just 516 00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,160 Speaker 1: before we started talking, we were talking about this idea 517 00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:32,960 Speaker 1: what Trump two point zero would the BBB looks like? 518 00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:37,119 Speaker 1: So talk us through what this bill is going to 519 00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 1: actually look like for the deficit, for the sort of 520 00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:43,000 Speaker 1: financial health of the country at this moment. 521 00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 4: Right. So, the talking points from the White House is 522 00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:50,080 Speaker 4: this is great for working class families and it reduces 523 00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:54,240 Speaker 4: the deficit. But the Congressional Budget Office, the official scorekeeper 524 00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 4: that people non partisan, nonpartisan, it's run by a former 525 00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:01,280 Speaker 4: Bush appointee to the ANNAW and they say the bill 526 00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 4: ads three point four trillion dollars to the deficit over 527 00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:07,960 Speaker 4: the next ten years. And that doesn't even account for 528 00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 4: all the accounting games they've done to hide the cost, 529 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:13,200 Speaker 4: which I could talk about. The second thing here is 530 00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 4: that it is a massive tax cut for the highest 531 00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:19,200 Speaker 4: income Americans. For millionaires, it's something like an eighty thousand 532 00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:22,760 Speaker 4: dollars tax kite for them on average, whereas low and 533 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:26,000 Speaker 4: middle income people barely get anything. And then on top 534 00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:29,520 Speaker 4: of that, they're paying for these tasks that's partially by 535 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 4: cutting healthcare and by cutting programs that help people buy groceries. 536 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,200 Speaker 4: And we know that doesn't go to millionaires. We know 537 00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:38,520 Speaker 4: that goes to you know, working class folks trying to 538 00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:38,840 Speaker 4: get by. 539 00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:41,080 Speaker 1: So if you're a trumper, you're going to say, but 540 00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 1: that's not true because there's no tax on tips, there's 541 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:48,200 Speaker 1: no tax on overtime. Explain to us how that is 542 00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:49,640 Speaker 1: actually not true. 543 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:52,160 Speaker 4: Right, Well, so, like the key thing is is they 544 00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:55,080 Speaker 4: love talking about that stuff, but like new attacks on 545 00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:59,320 Speaker 4: tips costs like seventy billion dollars, the tax that's for 546 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:04,000 Speaker 4: people making over half million dollars are one point three 547 00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:07,440 Speaker 4: trillion dollars, which I can't even do the math on 548 00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:09,520 Speaker 4: the number of zeros of how much larger that is. 549 00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:12,080 Speaker 4: So like in all their talking points, that's all they're 550 00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,880 Speaker 4: talking about, right, is no tax on tips, no tax 551 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,959 Speaker 4: on overtime, et cetera. But it is a minuscule fraction 552 00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:20,480 Speaker 4: of the bill where you can basically just forget about it. 553 00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:22,240 Speaker 4: So I think that's like kind of a shield by 554 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:26,520 Speaker 4: which they're using to defend these large task cuts. And 555 00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:29,400 Speaker 4: then on top of that, I just think that you know, fundamentally, 556 00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:30,840 Speaker 4: at the end of the day, something like no tax 557 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,520 Speaker 4: on tips, less than five percent of low wage workers 558 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:37,240 Speaker 4: work into professions at least out janitors, least out security guards, 559 00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:39,040 Speaker 4: lease out all of those guys. They don't get a 560 00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:41,800 Speaker 4: dollar from that. And then many of these low you know, 561 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,640 Speaker 4: low wage workers you get it, don't even pay income taxes. 562 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 4: So their tax bill goes from zero dollars to zero dollars. 563 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 4: So you know, again, you know, it's just like trying 564 00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,800 Speaker 4: to distract us from the fact that like basically a 565 00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:58,720 Speaker 4: centerpiece of this bill is increasing the amount somebody can 566 00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:03,560 Speaker 4: inherit tax free from fifteen million dollars to thirty million dollars. 567 00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:05,000 Speaker 4: Like that's kind of more at the heart of the 568 00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:07,320 Speaker 4: bill and is actually much larger than things like no 569 00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 4: tax on tips. 570 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,240 Speaker 1: For okay, so no tax on tips is also small, 571 00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:13,520 Speaker 1: but it also isn't it like a lot of people 572 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:16,640 Speaker 1: who pay a lot of people don't actually pay taxes 573 00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 1: on tips, right. 574 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 4: Well, so first of all, there's likely a compliance issue 575 00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,040 Speaker 4: where you know, a lot of that money doesn't get 576 00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,400 Speaker 4: reports virus. Now a lot of a lot that's more 577 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:28,280 Speaker 4: compliant now that people pay everything with credit cards, right, 578 00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:31,240 Speaker 4: So that does go to the irs, So that's a 579 00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 4: big part of it. But one third of tipped workers 580 00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,080 Speaker 4: just don't make enough money to pay income taxes, right. 581 00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:41,520 Speaker 4: So again it's moving from paying zero dollars in taxes 582 00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:44,480 Speaker 4: to paying zero dollars in taxes right, right, So they're 583 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,680 Speaker 4: not paying anything on that. 584 00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:51,040 Speaker 1: Okay, So talk us through why the deficit is actually 585 00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:54,400 Speaker 1: weirdly not growing at this moment, despite the fact that 586 00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:56,360 Speaker 1: they're about to grow the deficit by a lot. 587 00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:58,560 Speaker 4: Right when you look at this bill, it costs three 588 00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:02,959 Speaker 4: point four trillion dollars over time years, but they're actually 589 00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:06,080 Speaker 4: holding back a lot of that explosion in the deficit 590 00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:10,440 Speaker 4: by charging more for imported shoes and coffee, right, So 591 00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,920 Speaker 4: they've done these massive increases in tariffs that are actually 592 00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,960 Speaker 4: going up supposedly, you know, starting next week, and they've 593 00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:20,760 Speaker 4: done these massive increases that are going into the treasury, 594 00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:23,320 Speaker 4: and the Trump administration is now citing that as a 595 00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,240 Speaker 4: reason why the bill is physically responsible. And it's just 596 00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:29,120 Speaker 4: a reshuffling of the tax burden right where we're cutting 597 00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:32,720 Speaker 4: the estate tax, making it easier for really wealthy business 598 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,680 Speaker 4: owners to not pay taxes, right on the one hand, 599 00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 4: But on the other hand, people you know, buying shoes, 600 00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:43,440 Speaker 4: buying coffee, you know, all those sorts of things, they're 601 00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:45,280 Speaker 4: going to pay more at the cash register as or 602 00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:47,920 Speaker 4: results of that. So it just makes our you know, 603 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:50,120 Speaker 4: tax system just much more aggressive. 604 00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:50,760 Speaker 5: Right. 605 00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:55,600 Speaker 1: So part of why young people are having buyers remorse, 606 00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:59,680 Speaker 1: and I'm talking about people eighteen to thirty five, is 607 00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 1: because they are used to a progressive Obama style tax 608 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:06,239 Speaker 1: system and all of a sudden they're back in like 609 00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 1: nineteen eighty one Reagan, right. 610 00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,200 Speaker 4: Right, I mean, I think Trump has done this kind 611 00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,680 Speaker 4: of trick where he talks about things like, oh, maybe 612 00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:16,960 Speaker 4: we'll tax carried interest. Right, So for privacuity executives, first, 613 00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:18,160 Speaker 4: that didn't happen. 614 00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:23,960 Speaker 1: It wouldn't happen. You kidding me, carrying you interest, you 615 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:25,400 Speaker 1: just go on. 616 00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,959 Speaker 4: But he just talked, and it's just amazing how those 617 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 4: tweets get all the attention, right that he floats these 618 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:34,520 Speaker 4: ideas and then they never actually happen. But then what 619 00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:37,520 Speaker 4: does happen are the giant tax cuts for those people, 620 00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,480 Speaker 4: and then on top of that again making it so 621 00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:46,960 Speaker 4: people buying imported bengos and strawberries and tomatoes pay more. 622 00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:49,760 Speaker 1: So the third quarter had negative. 623 00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:51,800 Speaker 4: Growth, so the first quarter of the year. So for 624 00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:54,480 Speaker 4: physical stuff we have a different quarter, but for like GDP, 625 00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 4: we use the normal quarters where January is the first quarter. Yeah, 626 00:33:58,240 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 4: that had negative growth. 627 00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:02,960 Speaker 1: Okay, that was the last most recent quarter had negative growth, 628 00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 1: like point five. 629 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:07,960 Speaker 4: I think it's about negative one is where it currently stands. 630 00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:11,759 Speaker 4: And then we're i think next week getting the GDP 631 00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:14,440 Speaker 4: report for the second quarter, you know, which you know 632 00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,800 Speaker 4: concluded you know, about a month ago, so we're gonna 633 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:18,919 Speaker 4: get that and I think, you know, people think it'll 634 00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:21,600 Speaker 4: be positive, but a lot of that is just making 635 00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 4: up for the negativity of the first quarter, right right, 636 00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:27,279 Speaker 4: and so net you know, will have something like one 637 00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:30,160 Speaker 4: percent GDP growth, which is you know, not that great. 638 00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:32,160 Speaker 4: It's supposed to be about two percent. It's just like 639 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,600 Speaker 4: supposed to be kind of the normal amount. And Trump 640 00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 4: is talking about three percent, while one percent is lower 641 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:37,880 Speaker 4: than three percent. 642 00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:43,560 Speaker 1: If for some reason that comes out as negative growth 643 00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 1: will be in reception by. 644 00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:46,160 Speaker 4: A lot of technical definitions. 645 00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:48,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, but you think it will still be positive. 646 00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:50,959 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think most people think, you know, most people 647 00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:54,080 Speaker 4: think it'll be something like two percent, which sounds good 648 00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:56,239 Speaker 4: and normal, except for the fact that we already went 649 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 4: down in the first so it needs to be higher 650 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,919 Speaker 4: to make up for that, you know, for being bad 651 00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:02,640 Speaker 4: in the first quarter. 652 00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:06,840 Speaker 1: Right, all right, so we have this regressive taxation, we 653 00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:10,160 Speaker 1: have these tariffs, which I guess are going to hit soon. 654 00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:13,000 Speaker 1: It just would love you to explain, like he's so 655 00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:15,319 Speaker 1: back and forth. We don't know what's the deal, what's 656 00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:18,560 Speaker 1: not a deal. If he puts them in place, they 657 00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:22,240 Speaker 1: are going to radically reshape the way we buy things. 658 00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:25,520 Speaker 4: Right, Yeah, So, I mean it's kind of crazy because 659 00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:27,399 Speaker 4: a lot of people are saying, oh, he's backed off 660 00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:30,120 Speaker 4: of the tariffs, but you know, his backing off of 661 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:32,680 Speaker 4: the tariffs was about like a ten percent tariff for 662 00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:36,680 Speaker 4: everywhere but China and thirty percent for China. But now 663 00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:41,160 Speaker 4: we're talking about like fifteen to twenty percent for all 664 00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:44,759 Speaker 4: of these major trading partners like Japan, right, So we 665 00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,640 Speaker 4: have ratcheted it up. You know, there's a rumor that 666 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,680 Speaker 4: you may land at something like fifteen percent, So they 667 00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:54,120 Speaker 4: have just ratcheted that up. And you know, right now, 668 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:56,279 Speaker 4: you know, there's three groups that could pay the terriffs, right, 669 00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:59,960 Speaker 4: which is foreigners they can lower their prices, the company 670 00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:02,839 Speaker 4: that actually you know, pay the US government for it, 671 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,839 Speaker 4: could you know, just take lower profits. And third they 672 00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:08,560 Speaker 4: can pass it on to consumers. So step one we've 673 00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:11,960 Speaker 4: seen has not been happening. Import prices have not been following, 674 00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:16,080 Speaker 4: which means some form of Americans are paying the terriffs, right. 675 00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:20,319 Speaker 4: And then as of right now, most of it has 676 00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:23,840 Speaker 4: been companies you know that have just been reporting lower profits. 677 00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:27,200 Speaker 4: So GM said, you know, reported lower profits because they're 678 00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 4: just paying it out. You know, Nike is reporting lower profits. 679 00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:33,200 Speaker 4: They said they're going to do quote unquote surgical price 680 00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:36,160 Speaker 4: increases later in the year. But I think a lot 681 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,360 Speaker 4: of these companies have been holding off on passing it 682 00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,160 Speaker 4: on to consumers because there's a lot of uncertainly about 683 00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:45,080 Speaker 4: what the terrorists are if they are legal, and you know, 684 00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:46,880 Speaker 4: those sorts of things. But for example, a lot of 685 00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:50,040 Speaker 4: people expect on cars that when they roll out the 686 00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:52,759 Speaker 4: twenty twenty six models, all of a sudden, they'll be, 687 00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,719 Speaker 4: you know, several thousand dollars more expensive. They're not going 688 00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,400 Speaker 4: to say it's the tariffs, but yeah, that'll be why. 689 00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:01,759 Speaker 1: And I think it's important to realize, like with Amazon, 690 00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:05,600 Speaker 1: Bezos had wanted to do a tariff calculator and Trump 691 00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:08,320 Speaker 1: was like, no way. And a lot of these places 692 00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:10,800 Speaker 1: have wanted to, like have said they were going to 693 00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:13,360 Speaker 1: make things more expensive because of tariffs, and Trump was 694 00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:18,560 Speaker 1: mad at them and then promised retribution. So the idea 695 00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:23,279 Speaker 1: here is that somehow companies will keep having less profits 696 00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:26,279 Speaker 1: so that Trump doesn't get mad at them. Right, I mean, 697 00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:27,960 Speaker 1: that's really what's happening here. 698 00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:30,800 Speaker 4: I think that's like temporary, and they're going to figure 699 00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:32,759 Speaker 4: out a way to do that because the laws of 700 00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:35,319 Speaker 4: gravity when it comes to you know, shareholder profits are 701 00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,920 Speaker 4: going to hold eventually. Right, So again they're gonna like 702 00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:40,720 Speaker 4: with car companies, I think what they'll say is, oh, 703 00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:43,120 Speaker 4: we have a new stands system, and somehow that drives 704 00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:45,640 Speaker 4: up the price of the car by seven thousand dollars. 705 00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:47,520 Speaker 4: It's probably not the sound system that caused that. It's 706 00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:50,160 Speaker 4: probably the terrorifs. But you know they're going to say that. 707 00:37:50,200 --> 00:37:51,360 Speaker 4: So I think there's going to be a lot of 708 00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:54,800 Speaker 4: marketing in terms of, you know, trying to avoid that subject. 709 00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:58,520 Speaker 4: Shareholders are not going to be cool with getting less profits, right. 710 00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:03,239 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think it's interesting in this moment because 711 00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:08,960 Speaker 1: eventually people will put it together that tariffs are making 712 00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:12,040 Speaker 1: things more expensive. And one of the sort of legacies 713 00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:15,399 Speaker 1: of trade wars when we've seen them historically, is that 714 00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:19,000 Speaker 1: it's very hard to get people to bring prices down, right, 715 00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:21,719 Speaker 1: Like that really good example of the dryer tariffs where 716 00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:25,319 Speaker 1: they teariff dryers, washing machines became more expensive. It's like, 717 00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,839 Speaker 1: I just I wonder, so you tear if you tear 718 00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:30,960 Speaker 1: off all these things, Like, I feel like there's a 719 00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:34,440 Speaker 1: likely scenario where Trump tariffs a bunch of stuff. Everyone 720 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:38,920 Speaker 1: freaks out, right, people stop buying things, fruit starts rotting 721 00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:43,439 Speaker 1: in the stores. He goes, okay, you know taco, right. 722 00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:46,880 Speaker 1: Trump always chickens out, and then he can't get the 723 00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:50,400 Speaker 1: prices down because that's not how any of this works. 724 00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:54,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean totally, and he'll get frustrated about it, right, 725 00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:57,040 Speaker 4: And I mean I think that's why he's you know, pressure, 726 00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:00,359 Speaker 4: and I think, you know, all this frustration. Now he's 727 00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:04,399 Speaker 4: blaming the Federal Reserve or not cutting rates because they're 728 00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:07,640 Speaker 4: scared of the inflation from these terrorists. And now he's 729 00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:10,120 Speaker 4: talking about you know, he's been talking about firing the 730 00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:14,759 Speaker 4: FED chair and basically pulling like an Argentina where the 731 00:39:15,360 --> 00:39:17,359 Speaker 4: you know, the interest rate is what he decides it 732 00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:20,000 Speaker 4: to be, which you know history tells us causes inflation. 733 00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:22,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not going to be good. I want you 734 00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:27,000 Speaker 1: to talk about the bond markets because like there's a 735 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:30,240 Speaker 1: lot of anxiety that Trump is going to do stuff 736 00:39:30,239 --> 00:39:33,240 Speaker 1: to the country this time that you can't be undone 737 00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:36,640 Speaker 1: with the democratic administration. And I think that is why 738 00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:40,880 Speaker 1: there's so much skittishness in our debt, in the owning 739 00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:43,560 Speaker 1: of our debt, which is the bond markets. So I 740 00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:45,880 Speaker 1: wonder if you could talk to us about sort of 741 00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:50,160 Speaker 1: what's happening there and its anxieties and what you see 742 00:39:50,280 --> 00:39:50,960 Speaker 1: going on there. 743 00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:54,080 Speaker 4: Yeah. So I mean, just first of all, without with 744 00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:57,080 Speaker 4: some of the trumpy stuff, without the trumpiest stuff, it's 745 00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:59,600 Speaker 4: just you know, we passed the three point four trillion 746 00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:03,120 Speaker 4: dollar paid. You know, are making very little effort to 747 00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:06,040 Speaker 4: bring down our deficits right where the tariffs are mostly 748 00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:08,680 Speaker 4: kind of keeping you know, high deficits in place. But 749 00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:11,480 Speaker 4: you know, we're still we still have a lot of debt, right, 750 00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:14,279 Speaker 4: and that's just because you know, again he's refusing to 751 00:40:14,640 --> 00:40:15,840 Speaker 4: raise taxes on rich people. 752 00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 5: Right. 753 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:18,360 Speaker 4: So that's like the first baseline is that there's just 754 00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:21,400 Speaker 4: a ton of debt and it's not clear. You know, 755 00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,239 Speaker 4: it's like supply and demand. The supply of treasuries on 756 00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:26,920 Speaker 4: the market is just a ton, right, which produces you know, 757 00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:29,600 Speaker 4: people's interest in buy our debt. So that's the first part. 758 00:40:29,640 --> 00:40:31,960 Speaker 4: And then the second part is he's looking at this 759 00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:34,360 Speaker 4: and interest rates are high, and he's like, oh, my 760 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:37,320 Speaker 4: interest costs are high. And you know, you could imagine 761 00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:39,479 Speaker 4: if you have credit card debt and you're paying a lot, 762 00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:42,359 Speaker 4: you know, each month to the credit card company, while 763 00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:44,879 Speaker 4: you know, he's thinking, well, maybe I could just set 764 00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:48,000 Speaker 4: the rate lower and that'll be great, Which would be 765 00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:50,080 Speaker 4: nice if you could do that with your credit card company, 766 00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:53,239 Speaker 4: And in some sense maybe kind of try to do that, 767 00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:55,800 Speaker 4: I guess with the federal reserve. Except the problem is 768 00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:58,040 Speaker 4: these are markets, right, and so markets are going to 769 00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:01,080 Speaker 4: expect are going to expect high inflation, which drives up 770 00:41:01,080 --> 00:41:03,919 Speaker 4: interest rates on its own right, and then on top 771 00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:07,520 Speaker 4: of that, undermining central bank independence. We know that's how 772 00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:10,520 Speaker 4: you get higher inflation. That countries that have an independent 773 00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:15,160 Speaker 4: central bank just have lower inflation but better growth and 774 00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:19,120 Speaker 4: lower interest rates, because it's credible when you turn the 775 00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:22,680 Speaker 4: central bank into Argentina, that's not the case. Setting. Now, 776 00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:25,279 Speaker 4: there are some challenges here where it's not clear as 777 00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:27,160 Speaker 4: the legal authority to fire the FED chair. And then 778 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:29,719 Speaker 4: on top of that, even when he appoints one, it's 779 00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:32,080 Speaker 4: a committee that sets the interest rate. So that's going 780 00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:34,919 Speaker 4: to lead to a whole other thing where he's going 781 00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:38,080 Speaker 4: to you know, he may appoint somebody who you know 782 00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:41,280 Speaker 4: is kind of his his lackey, right, kind of basically 783 00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:43,759 Speaker 4: tries to act like a Benia Republic central bank chair, 784 00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:48,040 Speaker 4: but the rest of the FED, ah, right, and then 785 00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:51,080 Speaker 4: you can imagine the tweets that will flow from there, and. 786 00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:53,840 Speaker 1: He may not be able to get that person congressional approval. 787 00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:56,040 Speaker 1: It's hard for me to imagine that everyone's going to 788 00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:56,719 Speaker 1: sign up for this. 789 00:41:57,400 --> 00:41:59,279 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, it's a choice facing him. Now, there 790 00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:02,520 Speaker 4: are some you know, credible people that have been floated 791 00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:05,480 Speaker 4: who would like lower interest rates, like Chris Waller at 792 00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:08,080 Speaker 4: the FED, who's a very well respected person. If he 793 00:42:08,160 --> 00:42:10,799 Speaker 4: named that person, he would probably get Democratic votes. But 794 00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:14,640 Speaker 4: if he appointed somebody like Kevin Hassett, who is just 795 00:42:15,080 --> 00:42:18,719 Speaker 4: a lackey for him, and that looks really bad. And 796 00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:20,600 Speaker 4: you know, I think it becomes a key question of 797 00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:24,200 Speaker 4: where is Trump's political capital essentially ten months from now, 798 00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:27,319 Speaker 4: And you know, I mean, we will see he's doing 799 00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:29,520 Speaker 4: a great job of spending it. So you know, it 800 00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:32,920 Speaker 4: just depends on where you know, Senate Republicans look both 801 00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:35,799 Speaker 4: the pick and what's going on with Senate Republicans at 802 00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:36,400 Speaker 4: that point. 803 00:42:36,600 --> 00:42:42,160 Speaker 1: I want you to explain, just for two seconds, it 804 00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:45,040 Speaker 1: seems as if and again I don't want to be hopeful, 805 00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:48,279 Speaker 1: because I think it keeps backfiring on me to have 806 00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:51,640 Speaker 1: any kind of hope. But it does strike me that 807 00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:56,799 Speaker 1: the fact that both Republican and Democratic senators seem like 808 00:42:56,880 --> 00:43:03,440 Speaker 1: they cannot trust russ Font when it comes to recisions, 809 00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:06,920 Speaker 1: when it comes to spending, when it comes to empowerment. 810 00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:09,760 Speaker 1: The only people you can ever get to vote against 811 00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:14,480 Speaker 1: this administration no matter what they pretend they believe. Are 812 00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:20,040 Speaker 1: Mitch Susan, Lisa Murkowski, and Tom Tillis. So that's it. 813 00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:23,239 Speaker 1: And they never vote all together because then they could 814 00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:26,400 Speaker 1: stop legislation and since they don't want to ever do that. 815 00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:29,200 Speaker 1: But I mean, it does seem like those people are 816 00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:34,040 Speaker 1: the ones if you could have anyone possibly vote against 817 00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:34,560 Speaker 1: any of those. 818 00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:37,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's a really interesting thing. I like to joke 819 00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:39,960 Speaker 4: that there's you know, three parties in the Senate of 820 00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:43,759 Speaker 4: their Democrats, Republicans and members of the Appropriations Committee. And 821 00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,440 Speaker 4: you know, three of those you mentioned, McConnell, Murkowski, and 822 00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:50,759 Speaker 4: Collins are all senior members of the Appropriations Committee, right, 823 00:43:51,160 --> 00:43:54,160 Speaker 4: And normally the way we found the government is a 824 00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:58,920 Speaker 4: bipartisan deal sixty votes in the Senate, which means you need, 825 00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:02,920 Speaker 4: you know, bipartisan support to do it right, and all 826 00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:05,680 Speaker 4: three of these members are veterans of that process, right, 827 00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:08,600 Speaker 4: And just I think generally, you know, the appropriations committees 828 00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:11,440 Speaker 4: as a whole, you know, know, that's how it works, 829 00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:14,520 Speaker 4: and they value that. And what you know Vought has 830 00:44:14,560 --> 00:44:18,560 Speaker 4: been doing is being basically undermining those bipartison deals and 831 00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:23,120 Speaker 4: frankly undermining the authority of those Republican appropriations members, right, 832 00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:26,799 Speaker 4: So when they impound funds legally don't spend money that 833 00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:31,080 Speaker 4: Congress hold them to spend. That's directly undermining the Appropriation's committee. 834 00:44:31,160 --> 00:44:34,480 Speaker 4: And when they do this recisions thing, that first undermines 835 00:44:34,480 --> 00:44:37,160 Speaker 4: the Proparation's committee again because those did not come from 836 00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:41,400 Speaker 4: the committee. And then second completely undermines the bipartisan process. 837 00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:44,360 Speaker 4: And they know that that is going to cause, you know, 838 00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:46,760 Speaker 4: the future of the way we do appropriations to break 839 00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:50,000 Speaker 4: down because there will be no trust because essentially what 840 00:44:50,040 --> 00:44:52,400 Speaker 4: they plan on doing here is take sixty votes to 841 00:44:52,440 --> 00:44:56,240 Speaker 4: pass an appropriation spill, but fifty votes to do a recision. 842 00:44:56,560 --> 00:44:59,640 Speaker 4: And you can obviously see those incentives where you have 843 00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:02,080 Speaker 4: a bi partisan deal and then directly undermine it via 844 00:45:02,200 --> 00:45:05,240 Speaker 4: partisan vote, which is what happened with that recisions package. 845 00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,239 Speaker 4: I think the one thing that gives me hope is 846 00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:10,960 Speaker 4: they barely passed that recisions package, and that was like 847 00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:14,680 Speaker 4: the most like Republican friendly we're going to defund USAID 848 00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:18,839 Speaker 4: and PBS version, right, and like they barely got that 849 00:45:19,120 --> 00:45:22,000 Speaker 4: to the finish line. When it comes to like core 850 00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:24,799 Speaker 4: domestic programs, I think that is going to make that 851 00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:27,359 Speaker 4: a you know, like a tougher road. 852 00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:30,279 Speaker 1: But Russavot doesn't give a shit, like he'll just not 853 00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:31,280 Speaker 1: give the money. 854 00:45:31,560 --> 00:45:34,719 Speaker 4: Right, it's blatantly illegal. And yeah, I mean, I mean 855 00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:38,120 Speaker 4: a big problem is Congress's tools are the law, and 856 00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:42,120 Speaker 4: it's very hard to pass laws even with Republican support 857 00:45:42,520 --> 00:45:45,040 Speaker 4: that prevents somebody from breaking the law. Right, that's just 858 00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:48,440 Speaker 4: a core challenge there. But I mean, I think that 859 00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:50,600 Speaker 4: you know, we will see. I mean, I think that 860 00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:53,640 Speaker 4: you know, there can be pressure, right, I mean, Russbott 861 00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:56,920 Speaker 4: is not Donald Trump, and he can convince Donald Trump 862 00:45:56,920 --> 00:45:59,640 Speaker 4: to do stupid stuff. And Donald Trump has no problem 863 00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:02,800 Speaker 4: blame other people for that, right, So you know, maybe 864 00:46:02,840 --> 00:46:04,480 Speaker 4: that you know, Chris pressure there. 865 00:46:04,520 --> 00:46:07,399 Speaker 1: That this was thank you, thank you, thank you, thank 866 00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:08,360 Speaker 1: you for joining. 867 00:46:08,200 --> 00:46:09,799 Speaker 4: Us, thanks for having us. 868 00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:12,840 Speaker 2: No moment. 869 00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:17,120 Speaker 1: Rick Wilson, Well, John Fast. 870 00:46:17,120 --> 00:46:19,680 Speaker 5: The fucker Reaward of the Week the month the year 871 00:46:19,760 --> 00:46:22,160 Speaker 5: has to go to Todd Blanche for flying on a 872 00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:24,160 Speaker 5: DOJ private jet to Tallahassee, Florida. 873 00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:26,280 Speaker 1: US. One does as one does. 874 00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:29,799 Speaker 5: Obviously I'll be flying back on my private jet, which 875 00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:34,160 Speaker 5: is of course Delta Airlines. But the visit to Tallahassee 876 00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:38,640 Speaker 5: was the most obvious and corrupt bribe attempt I've ever seen, 877 00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:41,800 Speaker 5: and the idea that he would go down there suddenly 878 00:46:41,920 --> 00:46:44,080 Speaker 5: at this at this late date, the case. 879 00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:45,120 Speaker 1: Is four years. 880 00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:48,080 Speaker 5: Four years, she's been in prison and brings a fucking 881 00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:51,120 Speaker 5: gift basket. Okay, she came back to the to the 882 00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:54,399 Speaker 5: goddamn prison with some kind of basket. And I think 883 00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:57,120 Speaker 5: this matter will go down in DOJ's history. Is one 884 00:46:57,120 --> 00:46:59,680 Speaker 5: of the most shameful days in the history of DJ 885 00:47:00,160 --> 00:47:03,920 Speaker 5: because it is absolute overt corruption in an attempt by 886 00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:06,440 Speaker 5: Donald Trump's personal lawyer who now just happens to get 887 00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:09,640 Speaker 5: a paycheck from the government to suborn her perjury and 888 00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:12,760 Speaker 5: her lies so he can protect himself from the Epstein files. 889 00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:14,399 Speaker 5: It is really disappointing. 890 00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:16,720 Speaker 1: It ain't over yet, baby, No. 891 00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:18,640 Speaker 5: It is not more to come, folks. 892 00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:23,879 Speaker 1: That's it for this episode of Fast Politics. Tune in 893 00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:29,600 Speaker 1: every Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday to hear the best 894 00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:34,000 Speaker 1: minds and politics make sense of all this chaos. If 895 00:47:34,040 --> 00:47:37,080 Speaker 1: you enjoy this podcast, please send it to a friend 896 00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:40,760 Speaker 1: and keep the conversation going. Thanks for listening.