1 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:15,159 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how warre you? 2 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:18,600 Speaker 2: Welcome into a Monday morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. 3 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 2: My name is Matt Perrelt. How are you guys? Thank 4 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:23,159 Speaker 2: you for watching and listening to this podcast each and 5 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 2: every morning. You guys can follow me across all socials 6 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 2: at Sports Talk. 7 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 1: Matt is my handle. We've had a lot of fun 8 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: over there. 9 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 2: If you're a Chief fan, sorry, I've been enjoying myself 10 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 2: at your expense. It's fun. You guys, are you know, 11 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,280 Speaker 2: all riled up because your quarterback is a cry baby 12 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:44,279 Speaker 2: and he's whining and he's upset because the referee is 13 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 2: called a penalty. That was a penalty so agregious, so 14 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 2: that the referee said, well, I wouldn't have called it 15 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 2: if I couldn't. He was so far off side I 16 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 2: couldn't see the ball. Tony wasn't just like a little offside. 17 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 2: He was offsides. Mahomes, the whole Chiefs brass, all of 18 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 2: them embarrassed the holy heck out of themselves. Imagine winning 19 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 2: a football game and having the guy come over that 20 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 2: you just beat instead of saying good game, and he 21 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 2: starts whining about I can't believe it. 22 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: What a call? What a bleeping so sorry. 23 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 2: If you followed me on socials, you know I've been 24 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 2: having some fun tonight with the Chiefs. I'm enjoying myself. 25 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 2: They've lost three out of four. It's it's a fun time. 26 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 2: Unless you're a Chief fan, then it's no fun. Then 27 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 2: you're blaming Taylor Swift for showing up and now the 28 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 2: team losing back to back games with her there. They 29 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 2: didn't lose back to back games with her there, like 30 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,960 Speaker 2: what the previous three years? You know she's there, So 31 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 2: it's it's Taylor's faults. It's all too good, it's all 32 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 2: too fun. This podcast is being brought to you by 33 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 2: Oma Steaks dot com. Omaha Steaks dot com. You guys 34 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 2: go there half off sale going on across the entire 35 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 2: site to when you go to check out, use the 36 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 2: code Juice. You will save thirty dollars. Many of you 37 00:01:57,360 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 2: guys have been showing me your receipts for Omas Steaks 38 00:01:59,800 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 2: dot Com. You're taking advantage of the gift idea I 39 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 2: chucked out to brothers, in laws, bosses. It's a great 40 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 2: way of you know, saying Merry Christmas, Happy Hanuka, happy 41 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:14,239 Speaker 2: holidays to whomever. By going ahead and using that code 42 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 2: juice at checkout at olmosstakes dot com. Minimum purchase may 43 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 2: be required promo code juice at checkout. Okay, so really 44 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:25,920 Speaker 2: a flat day yesterday. We get the Browns, right, we 45 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 2: get my teaser, right, Bill's Bill's money lined. If you 46 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 2: jumped on that, I told you about that builth money line. 47 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 2: I was harping on that for a week. Beating the 48 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 2: Chiefs outright. But took seven and a half just because 49 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 2: so it was like, Okay, I'm going to take the 50 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 2: seven and a half, but I like to think the 51 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:40,639 Speaker 2: Bills win the game, So bet the Bill's money line 52 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 2: sprinkle there, but also take the seven and a half 53 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 2: just in case we were good either way. You know, 54 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 2: with that game, if you've gone into overtime, we would 55 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 2: have been good. The wong teaser missed because of the 56 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,440 Speaker 2: Colts getting their doors blown off at the Bengals. The 57 00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:55,359 Speaker 2: Bears did what the Bears were supposed to do. The 58 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 2: Bears won, Colts did not, so we missed that. We 59 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 2: almost got the over for the Lions and the Bears. 60 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 2: That was man alive, I mean, just embarrassing. Missed kicks, 61 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 2: awful offense. I'm not sure who is sinking faster right now. 62 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 2: The Lions are the Chiefs. It's remarkable, but they both are. 63 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:19,399 Speaker 2: I mean, they both probably win their division. But it's 64 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:22,640 Speaker 2: not like a foregone conclusion right now because the Packers 65 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:25,960 Speaker 2: and the Broncos are like, hey, did you guys forget 66 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 2: about us? Because we're kind of still here. Chiefs have 67 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 2: a one game lead over the Broncos. Packers play tonight. 68 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 2: We'll talk about that game here in just one second. 69 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:37,920 Speaker 2: But really kind of a bummer there. So two and 70 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 2: two on the official plays, we lost one of the teasers, 71 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 2: so it's down point three there. We went three and 72 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 2: one on the player props Ceedee Lamb did not come in, 73 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:49,560 Speaker 2: but the other three did hit, including a plus money 74 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 2: hit on DJ Moore over five and a half receptions 75 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 2: at plus one oh five, so that kind of softened 76 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: the blow. 77 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 1: A little bit there. 78 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 2: So we kind of wound up like, I don't know, 79 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 2: maybe down like point one, barely anything. 80 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 1: It was really was a flat Sunday, so kind of 81 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 1: a crap week. 82 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 2: Obviously I haven't added up everything, but it was one 83 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 2: hundred percent of losing week, and I think that means 84 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 2: back to back losing weeks to start right. We had 85 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 2: a losing week in the first week and a losing 86 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 2: week in the second week. So not a great November 87 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 2: going right now here. 88 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 1: From the daily juice. But you know, these are the 89 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:20,840 Speaker 1: ups and downs. 90 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 2: We had a good September and good October, both winning 91 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 2: months in both those months. We're not gonna have a 92 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:28,039 Speaker 2: winning month every month is not gonna happen. Okay, this 93 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 2: was bound to happen. I was bound to cool off. 94 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:34,919 Speaker 2: But the good news is I hit a ton of 95 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:39,279 Speaker 2: bets yesterday and I feel really good about the week. 96 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:41,159 Speaker 1: I feel good about how I'm seeing the board. 97 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 2: I feel good about the way that I'm approaching things 98 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 2: because you know, we got the Bills money line right. 99 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:48,440 Speaker 2: Like we talked about team told Dallas Cowboys over. We 100 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:51,679 Speaker 2: got that Kings and the Rangers under, got that Vegas 101 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 2: gold Knights under in the first period, got that the 102 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:57,159 Speaker 2: other teaser I talked about the Broncos in the Saints. 103 00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:01,320 Speaker 2: That teaser came home that hit, So you know, it 104 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 2: was a Yesterday was a good day. Yesterday was a 105 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 2: really really solid day for me. I wound up up 106 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 2: about five units personally yesterday with all the bets I hit. 107 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:10,160 Speaker 1: So I feel good about going into the week, even 108 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 1: though it was a. 109 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:12,840 Speaker 2: Slightly flatter a flat day on the pro for the 110 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:16,080 Speaker 2: official plays for US, I feel good about the other stuff. 111 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:18,160 Speaker 2: So let's get into it. We got two games tonight 112 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 2: from Monday Night football. Look, if you want to go 113 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 2: ahead and tease these games together, you can. If you 114 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 2: want to, Okay, you can take the Packers down to 115 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 2: a pick and then on the other side, you can 116 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:31,520 Speaker 2: turn around and you can then take the Dolphins from 117 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 2: fourteen down to eight if you want. 118 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm not gonna do. 119 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:38,840 Speaker 2: That here because I got I feel like I was 120 00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 2: very lucky to win that bet with the Bills, and 121 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:43,880 Speaker 2: like there was a block in the back that didn't 122 00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 2: get called in that game that like everyone saw, including me, 123 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 2: and I was like, you got to call that. 124 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 1: You're going to call that. You're not gonna call that. 125 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:54,479 Speaker 2: Okay, game over Ravens win, which is good, got the 126 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:58,239 Speaker 2: teaser home for us, But I feel like I should 127 00:05:58,240 --> 00:05:59,720 Speaker 2: stay away from teasers tonight, So I'm not going to 128 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,599 Speaker 2: tease game. And normally this would be something I would 129 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:04,799 Speaker 2: do tonight, I'm just going to go with straight bets 130 00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 2: or straight no individual bets. Let's start with the Packers 131 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:12,479 Speaker 2: and their game against the Giants. All Right, the Giants 132 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:15,640 Speaker 2: are off of a bye. They won two games going 133 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 2: into the bye. Everyone thinks that Tommy DeVito is going 134 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 2: to come in here and play well, and that this 135 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 2: team's going to be in this football game. 136 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: I actually really disagree. 137 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 2: Like I know people in contests who have used the 138 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 2: Giants at plus six and a half, and they think 139 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 2: the Giants coming off of a bye, that they're going 140 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 2: to be good. And I can't get myself to believe it, 141 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 2: Like I just can't bring myself to go. Okay, look 142 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 2: at the numbers. The Giants have the thirty first rush 143 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:56,279 Speaker 2: defense opposing guards per rush at four point eight. They 144 00:06:56,320 --> 00:07:01,279 Speaker 2: have the twenty fourth worst defense with giving up rushing 145 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:05,799 Speaker 2: attempts and the twenty ninth worst rushing yards per game 146 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 2: given up. They give up one point five rushing touchdowns 147 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 2: per game, that is thirty first in the NFL. You 148 00:07:12,440 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 2: can run all over the Giants, but it doesn't get 149 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 2: much better in the passing attack either. The Giants give 150 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 2: up six point seven yards per pass play that's twenty 151 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 2: third in the NFL. They give up two hundred and 152 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 2: twenty eight a third in points the two twenty eight 153 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 2: point three yards per game through the air. That's twenty 154 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 2: first in the NFL. I mean overall, they give up 155 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 2: twenty four points per game. That's twenty sixth in the NFL. 156 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:43,000 Speaker 2: And Jordan Love has been playing is tailoff. Their offense 157 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 2: has been really good. Green Bays offense, I mean, the 158 00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 2: Giant offense is horrible, second to last in the league. 159 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:52,679 Speaker 2: Thirteen points per game. Green Bays offense a defense is good. 160 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 2: Twenty point three points per game is eleventh best. I mean, 161 00:07:56,320 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 2: four point one yards per play awful, second worst. Five 162 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:02,120 Speaker 2: point two yards for playly given up for green Bay. 163 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 2: Green Bay's defense should go to work here. Okay, I 164 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 2: think this game could very well go under thirty six 165 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 2: and a half because I don't think the Giants score. 166 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 1: Now. 167 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 2: If the Giants play really well defensively, that's where you're like, Matt, 168 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 2: look at their numbers and what they've done in the past. 169 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 2: Look come and look look at their totals. You know 170 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 2: this team is zero to five, five and oh to 171 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 2: the under at home this year. But it's not because 172 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:32,319 Speaker 2: of their offense. It's because of who they've played. I mean, 173 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 2: let's go back and let's go from just October one 174 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 2: on at home against Washington fourteen to seven. Game goes 175 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 2: under by sixteen points against the Jets thirteen to ten 176 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 2: a loss. Game goes under by eleven and a half 177 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 2: points against New England ten to seven, goes under by 178 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 2: nineteen points Washington, the Jets, and the Patriots. Offensively, green 179 00:08:56,520 --> 00:08:59,559 Speaker 2: Bay right now is way better, way better than those 180 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 2: three teams games. I mean, I know they went on 181 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 2: the road to the Bills and only gave up fourteen 182 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 2: points in that game went under. They went on the 183 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 2: road to the Dolphins, gave up thirty one points, but 184 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:12,720 Speaker 2: they only scored sixteen, so that game went under. I 185 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:14,960 Speaker 2: know they got shut out against Dallas, but they give 186 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 2: up forty points against Dallas they were shut out at 187 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:19,679 Speaker 2: home again. Or they give up three points against Seattle 188 00:09:19,760 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 2: twenty four to three, but that was with Gino on 189 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:25,080 Speaker 2: the road they won thirty one to twenty eight. 190 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 1: They give up twenty eight points. 191 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 2: That was when the Cardinals were really bad, and that 192 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 2: was before they got their quarterback back with Kyler Murray. Look, 193 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:34,560 Speaker 2: I just think Green Bay is going to score twenty 194 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 2: four points tonight. Okay, I'm not going to really overthink 195 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 2: this I think Green Bay has done really well offensively. 196 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:45,280 Speaker 2: They've scored twenty seven, twenty nine, twenty three, nineteen and 197 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:49,199 Speaker 2: twenty over their last five games. They're three and two 198 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:53,679 Speaker 2: to the over over those last five games. But given 199 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 2: the way Jordan Love has been playing, where these receivers 200 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 2: have been playing, they're throwing the ball and I mean 201 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:01,680 Speaker 2: it's it's been impressive to watch over the last couple 202 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 2: of weeks in terms of just percentage, completion percentage, and 203 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 2: his just being comfortable in the pocket. It's been wild 204 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 2: to watch. I'm gonna lay the six points. There's money 205 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 2: coming in the Giants. I'm gonna go against the line 206 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:18,679 Speaker 2: move here. I'm gonna lay the six green Bay minus 207 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:22,319 Speaker 2: six one point one units down on the Giants on 208 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:25,559 Speaker 2: Monday Night. Now, the other bet you could make if 209 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 2: you want, is the team total, which is twenty and 210 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 2: a half for the Packers. 211 00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:32,839 Speaker 1: I think they score twenty one points or twenty four points. 212 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 2: Really, I think they're scoring three touchdowns in the field 213 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:40,079 Speaker 2: goal tonight against the Giants. Giants corners aren't good. Their 214 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:43,600 Speaker 2: pass rush is okay. Jordan loves mobile, Jordan loves receivers. 215 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna have a big game. Look, I 216 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 2: don't understand it. This feels like a headfake, Like the 217 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 2: Pros are dropping this number down to come in and 218 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 2: bury on Green Bay on Monday. They're gonna unload on 219 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 2: the Packers. I don't care that the Giants are off 220 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 2: of a bye. It's the Giants. All of this like 221 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 2: im to Vito stuff. I feel like it's actually like 222 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 2: a detriment. Right now, Tommy de Vido's hanging out at 223 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 2: bars in New York and people are taking pictures and photographs. 224 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:11,119 Speaker 1: Of the guy. It's Tommy DeVito. It's a quarterback a Syracuse. 225 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 1: What are we doing? 226 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:15,560 Speaker 2: Green Bay minus six? Give me the Packers minus six 227 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:17,560 Speaker 2: for one point one units if you want extra, I 228 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 2: have bet the team total over twenty and a half 229 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 2: as well. Okay, Dolphins against the Titans, this is a 230 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 2: really hard game. Totals forty six. You know Tennessee's bad, 231 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:32,000 Speaker 2: like they're they're bad. We know they're really bad. They're 232 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:34,560 Speaker 2: one in six ats on the road. But the number 233 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 2: is fourteen fourteen totals forty six. This is where I 234 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 2: think going to alternative numbers and DraftKings. 235 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: Let you do this. 236 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:49,200 Speaker 2: Team totals come into play so Miami's eight and four ATS, 237 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:52,960 Speaker 2: they're four and one at home. ATS, they're scoring a 238 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 2: ton of points. This offense is going to go to work. 239 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's actually pretty scary here. The Titans 240 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:06,040 Speaker 2: pass defense is so bad. It's twenty seventh in opposing 241 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 2: yards per pass play, twenty second in yards per game 242 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 2: given up. They get thrown on a ton. Now, it's 243 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 2: really hard to run on these guys. Okay, so I 244 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:18,200 Speaker 2: don't recommend a lot of the running props here for 245 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 2: the Dolphins, although they do run the ball a lot, 246 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 2: a chain and having most dirtain company but four fourth 247 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 2: and opposing rushing yards per game and fourteenth only one 248 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 2: hundred and six yards per game given up on the 249 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 2: ground for this Titans defense. 250 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:31,960 Speaker 1: Okay, so they're hard to. 251 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 2: Run on, but they do give up twenty one point 252 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 2: three points per game. Miami's got the second best offense 253 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:38,840 Speaker 2: in football with thirty two points per game, and they 254 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 2: can throw and run on anyone in everyone number one 255 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:46,080 Speaker 2: rush offense yards per rush they go a buck forty 256 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 2: three per game, that's second best. They pass for two 257 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:52,440 Speaker 2: hundred and eighty five point one yards that's number one 258 00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 2: in the NFL. Seventy percent completion is number one in 259 00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:58,559 Speaker 2: the NFL. Eight point four yards per pass play is 260 00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 2: number two in the NFL, and they're at home. DraftKings 261 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 2: has the team total for the Dolphins. You can move 262 00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:08,920 Speaker 2: it to twenty nine and a half. It's minus one 263 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 2: twenty five. But if you don't have it, it's thirty 264 00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 2: and a half. Thirty is the key number in this game. 265 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 2: But the Dolphins average thirty two points. Okay, So you 266 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 2: might go like, can the Titans keep them under their average? 267 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:25,600 Speaker 1: I don't know. I really don't know. 268 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 2: Again, they're six and one to the under on the 269 00:13:28,440 --> 00:13:33,079 Speaker 2: road the Titans. Okay, but it's not because of the Titans' defense. 270 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:36,559 Speaker 2: It's because of the Titans offense that they've gone under 271 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:38,920 Speaker 2: on the road. Give up thirty four points in their 272 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:41,839 Speaker 2: last game on the road to Jacksonville. All right, I 273 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 2: think if Jacksonville can score thirty four points on this team, 274 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 2: the Dolphins can put up thirty one or more. Tampa 275 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 2: put up twenty points on this defense. The Steelers put 276 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:54,560 Speaker 2: up twenty points. The Steelers put up twenty points on 277 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:58,800 Speaker 2: this defense on the road. Indianapolis put up twenty three points. 278 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,719 Speaker 2: Since Cleveland put up twenty seven points. I was with 279 00:14:03,280 --> 00:14:06,040 Speaker 2: and obviously with their starting quarterback in Deshaun Watson then, 280 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:09,760 Speaker 2: but I just I don't like this Titans team. I'm 281 00:14:09,760 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 2: not laying fourteen points, but I'm gonna take the Miami 282 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:16,160 Speaker 2: Dolphins team total over twenty nine and a half. Team 283 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 2: total for the Dolphins, I think thirty and a half 284 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:20,200 Speaker 2: is okay as well. I'll lay the extra juice. I'll 285 00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:22,680 Speaker 2: lay the mines one twenty five to get under thirty, 286 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 2: but Dolphins team total over twenty nine and a half 287 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 2: for one point two five units. And again something I 288 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:34,520 Speaker 2: have bet if you want extra Tua over to eighty 289 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 2: six and a half passing yardage again, like I told you, 290 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 2: they average to eighty five, they're gonna go over. I 291 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 2: think he goes over to eighty six. You can talk about. 292 00:14:43,440 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 2: I mean, the props for Hill are stupid. It's one 293 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:48,760 Speaker 2: hundred and six and a half his yardage props, but 294 00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 2: Wattle's only sixty six. I don't mind Jalen Waddle over his, 295 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 2: but just take the quarterback in Tua. 296 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:55,560 Speaker 1: As long as he. 297 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 2: Says healthy and in the game, I think he'll be 298 00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:58,760 Speaker 2: able to put up more of this number. I think 299 00:14:58,760 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 2: this is a three hundred yard passing game for Tua. 300 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 2: I expect big plays all over the place here from Miami. 301 00:15:04,640 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 2: I don't mind laying fourteen points. I'm just not really 302 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 2: interested in doing that again. I would tease it down, 303 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 2: but I'm not gonna do that tonight. I'm just gonna 304 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:13,800 Speaker 2: go ahead. Take Dolphins team total over twenty nine and 305 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 2: a half for one point twenty five units. And finally 306 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 2: one game in the NBA to jump in on here 307 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 2: in the Pacers are on the road at Detroit, number 308 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 2: six and a half, opened eight. It's coming down again. 309 00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 2: This is the second time I'm gonna go I'm gonna 310 00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 2: bet against a line move here because Detroit is atrocious. 311 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 2: They are three seven and one ats. This is the 312 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:43,640 Speaker 2: worst basketball team, arguably in history. Okay, you have to 313 00:15:43,640 --> 00:15:46,240 Speaker 2: go back all the way to the twenty eighth of 314 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 2: October to find a win for the Detroit Pistons. 315 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 1: They are absolutely awful. 316 00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 2: Indiana beat these guys by twenty three points at home now, 317 00:15:56,560 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 2: but the one time that they played at home, they 318 00:15:59,520 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 2: ran them stright right off the court. I think the 319 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 2: same thing's gonna happen. Why, well, the Pacers are coming 320 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:07,160 Speaker 2: off the loss to the Lakers in the end game 321 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 2: in the N Season Tournament final, where they fought hard, 322 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 2: they played really hard, and I felt like they took 323 00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 2: a big step forward. I felt like that's a team 324 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 2: that you're like, Okay, let's see what you guys can 325 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 2: look at. Let's see what you guys can do, because 326 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:28,080 Speaker 2: now I think they believe in themselves. And Aaron Nasmith's 327 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 2: a game time decision. Okay, so Aniesmith's brother, hopefully he 328 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 2: winds up playing. But really, as long as Halliburton's in 329 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 2: the game, I think we're good. And again, the Pistons 330 00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 2: are one in ten on the road this year, Sorr 331 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:42,680 Speaker 2: I went to a home rather on the year, Pistons 332 00:16:42,680 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 2: are five and three on the road, number is six 333 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 2: and a half. You might go, like, Matt, that's a 334 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 2: little bit heavy for a team. It's only twelve and 335 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 2: nine ats and five and four on the road. But again, 336 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 2: I liked what I saw out of the growth in 337 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:58,640 Speaker 2: the N Season Tournament. And this is their first time 338 00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 2: to get there, not bad taste out of their mouths 339 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 2: against an awful team in Detroit, who can't score, who 340 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:06,520 Speaker 2: can't you know, can't do anything, and this will be 341 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 2: like if you lose to the to the Pistons, or 342 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:10,360 Speaker 2: you don't blow the Pistons out in your first game 343 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:13,200 Speaker 2: after the Ncason Tournament. Not that it diminishes what you got, 344 00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:15,200 Speaker 2: what you did in Vegas, but you want to keep 345 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:17,120 Speaker 2: that momentum going. You want to be like, hey, look 346 00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:19,359 Speaker 2: at we proved something. We're one of the best teams 347 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 2: in the Eastern Conference. Let's keep it going. Let's roll here. 348 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 2: We beat Milwaukee by nine, we beat Boston by ten. 349 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:29,840 Speaker 2: We were dogs to Miami, we beat them. We lost 350 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 2: to the Lakers by fourteen. We didn't cover, but that 351 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,520 Speaker 2: was just you know, bad matchup and Lebron and everything else. 352 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:38,879 Speaker 2: Indiana is much better than Detroit. I don't get the 353 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:40,760 Speaker 2: line move. I'm going to lay six and a half 354 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 2: Indiana minus six and a half up against the Detroit 355 00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:45,160 Speaker 2: Pistons on the road. 356 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:47,160 Speaker 1: Here for one point one units. 357 00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:49,960 Speaker 2: All right, there are some other games in the NBA. 358 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:54,280 Speaker 2: It's a big NBA slate here for today, very small 359 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:58,200 Speaker 2: college basketball slate. There's nothing there in a small NHL 360 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:01,359 Speaker 2: slate as well, not a lot there. Denver in Atlanta 361 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,880 Speaker 2: is an interesting game just because Denver is exhausted. I mean, 362 00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:07,439 Speaker 2: the Nuggets just have not looked like themselves at all. 363 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:09,760 Speaker 2: And they're favored on the road at Atlanta, which is 364 00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 2: a little bit weird. They've lost three games in a row. 365 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:15,080 Speaker 2: They lost to the Rockets, they lost to the Clippers, 366 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 2: they lost to the Kings. 367 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 1: With the Hawks have lost four or five. 368 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 2: And you know, they're three and six at home, but 369 00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 2: Denver's five and eight on the road. 370 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 1: So I don't know. 371 00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 2: I mean, maybe a game you want to bet in game, 372 00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 2: but pre flop, I look at the Hawks on that 373 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 2: side of going like, how are the Hawks dogs at 374 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:34,679 Speaker 2: home to the Nuggets. I know it's the Hawks, but 375 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:38,639 Speaker 2: it's Yeah, you have San Antonio and Houston battling tonight, 376 00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 2: which is a game which is pretty interesting that Clippers 377 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:43,879 Speaker 2: in Portland. I would lean towards the under for Clippers 378 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:46,480 Speaker 2: in Portland just because the Clippers have been just one 379 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:48,760 Speaker 2: of the best under teams in all of basketball. Let 380 00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:50,679 Speaker 2: me let me see if I can pull that stat up, 381 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:56,960 Speaker 2: because to give you an up to date let me see, yeah, 382 00:18:57,520 --> 00:19:06,239 Speaker 2: up to date Portland at home unders tot Ummm. Yeah, oh, 383 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 2: Clippers are fourteen to six and one to the under 384 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:13,239 Speaker 2: overall this season. And I think if you look at 385 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:15,080 Speaker 2: them tonight up against Portland, I think you going to 386 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 2: see a very favorable matchup to the under. 387 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:20,400 Speaker 1: In this one. Uh real quick, let me just pull 388 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:21,640 Speaker 1: that up to see the numbers here. 389 00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:24,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, they are eight one and one to the under 390 00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:27,480 Speaker 2: when they are at home and seven and six to 391 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 2: the under for Portland on the road. Total this game 392 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:33,480 Speaker 2: is two twenty, so you want some extra there. I'll 393 00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:35,560 Speaker 2: probably be on the under late night game on the 394 00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:38,200 Speaker 2: West Coast seven thirty Pacific time, ten thirty Eastern. Click 395 00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:41,359 Speaker 2: looking for some late night action Clippers Portland under, but 396 00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:45,800 Speaker 2: officially Packers minus six one point one units Dolphins team 397 00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,359 Speaker 2: total over twenty nine and a half for minus one 398 00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 2: twenty five. Pacers minus six and a half at minus 399 00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:53,719 Speaker 2: won ten three bets on a Monday. Let's start off 400 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:55,199 Speaker 2: the week on a good week. I gave you some 401 00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:57,280 Speaker 2: extra plays you guys can have as well. You can 402 00:19:57,320 --> 00:19:59,080 Speaker 2: do what you want with those. Let's hopefully have a 403 00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 2: good start, good Monday, get off to a good start 404 00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:03,600 Speaker 2: here and have a good winning week this week to 405 00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 2: kind of snap this little two week losing streak that 406 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:06,199 Speaker 2: we are on. 407 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:06,720 Speaker 1: Minus. 408 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,119 Speaker 2: Matt Paroltz following me on socials at Sports Talk Matt 409 00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 2: every morning the Dili Juice Podcast I was being brought 410 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 2: to you by Omaha Steaks dot com