WEBVTT - Chuck’s Commentary - Both Parties Point Fingers… And Fix Nothing + Top 5 GOP Races That Could Signal Trouble For Trump

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<v Speaker 1>This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you

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<v Speaker 1>rates may vary. Hello Aaron, Welcome to another episode of

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<v Speaker 1>the Chuck Podcast. Let me give you a quick rundown

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<v Speaker 1>of what we have for today's episode. Look, I've got

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<v Speaker 1>a little more fallout from the events on Saturday, and

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<v Speaker 1>frankly a laments, I'm not gonna lie to Yeah, this

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<v Speaker 1>is you know, I know we're all shocked that our

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<v Speaker 1>leaders aren't meeting the moment, but our leaders aren't meeting

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<v Speaker 1>the moment. Let's not take our eye off the ball

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<v Speaker 1>of Iran. We have just hit essentially a new high

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<v Speaker 1>and gas prices since the start of this war. We're

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<v Speaker 1>now at a high on gas prices that we had

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<v Speaker 1>to deal with at the start of the Ukraine Russian War.

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<v Speaker 1>The problem here is that there doesn't seem to be

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<v Speaker 1>a near term solution on the horizon. Then we have

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<v Speaker 1>a bunch of political updates. We have a new house

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<v Speaker 1>map in Florida. It's a fascinating new map. My quick

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<v Speaker 1>headline is this is a great map for Republicans in

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<v Speaker 1>a presidential year. This is a shaky map for Republicans

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<v Speaker 1>in a midterm year, particularly a midterm year where they

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<v Speaker 1>could where they're the party in power. I will dig

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<v Speaker 1>into that a few Senate race developments. Obviously, it's Wednesday,

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<v Speaker 1>so it's Top five day, and I've got a fun

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<v Speaker 1>little take on a top five list today. The top

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<v Speaker 1>five races that are that are the most dangerous for

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump to cement lame duck status right. The test

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<v Speaker 1>of his political strength inside the Republican Party is these

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<v Speaker 1>are five Republican primaries that will tell us how lame

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<v Speaker 1>the duck in the Oval office is these days. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>So I think you're going to enjoy that, and plus

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to take some questions. But let me begin

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<v Speaker 1>with a lament. And I know this isn't a shock

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<v Speaker 1>or a surprise, but it is still striking to me

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<v Speaker 1>over the last couple of days that, you know, to

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<v Speaker 1>see what didn't happen after last Saturday night's events, we

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<v Speaker 1>had a man show up at the White House, correspondent

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<v Speaker 1>Centner armed had written a manifesto anti Trump's screed. He

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<v Speaker 1>was stopped at a security checkpoint and the response from

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<v Speaker 1>the White House has essentially been, well, we should tighten

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<v Speaker 1>security and build my ballroom. And it's the Democrats and

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<v Speaker 1>the l fault. And that tells you something, because there

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<v Speaker 1>was a time in this country not that long ago,

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<v Speaker 1>when something like this would happen, a president in particular

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<v Speaker 1>would treat it very differently. There would have been an attempt,

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<v Speaker 1>at least in an attempt to study the country to

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<v Speaker 1>lower the temperature, like what George W. Bush did after

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<v Speaker 1>nine to eleven, ex making it crystal clear that the

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<v Speaker 1>United States was not at war with Islam. Right, there

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<v Speaker 1>was an important he had to say it, and it

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<v Speaker 1>took an American president to say it. There isn't there

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<v Speaker 1>was nobody else that could say it that would have

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<v Speaker 1>any sort of meaning beyond the President of the United

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<v Speaker 1>States in that moment. Presidents are in charge of the

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<v Speaker 1>thermostat of the political temperature of the country period, and

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<v Speaker 1>he chose to turn down the thermostat. Saw what was building,

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<v Speaker 1>feared what was building, and he turned down that thermostat.

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<v Speaker 1>But we haven't really had that moment, right they even

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<v Speaker 1>had the moment where this president said, this isn't who

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<v Speaker 1>we are, this is not acceptable. Maybe it's time to

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<v Speaker 1>take a breath here. I know we've all allowed political

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<v Speaker 1>rhetoric to get out of hand, right, and yet that's

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<v Speaker 1>not the instinct right now, is it? And that's the problem.

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<v Speaker 1>So instead of relitigating how we got here, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's part of the problem, everybody feels pretty confident

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<v Speaker 1>that they're right and the other side is wrong. I

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<v Speaker 1>have felt it. I wrote sort of a similar thing

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<v Speaker 1>on in my column this week for Newsphere and substat

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<v Speaker 1>that essentially argued that look, we're here, and you know, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>there's no doubt that Donald Trump's arrival in twenty fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>accelerated this moment, But that doesn't excuse the behavior now

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<v Speaker 1>on the laugh to just say, well, Donald Trump started

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<v Speaker 1>at your reptce you so that's not good either. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's why you know, we can re litigate. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>there's definitely nobody can deny how this began. But everybody's

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<v Speaker 1>in charge of their own behavior here. And I still

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<v Speaker 1>believe ultimately it takes a president, and we may have

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<v Speaker 1>a president who is not interested in turning the temperature down.

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<v Speaker 1>But here's the simplest way I can explain it. Because

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<v Speaker 1>we've produced a new kind of political environment that's quite scary.

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<v Speaker 1>For years, we treated certain rhetoric as performance. And I

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<v Speaker 1>know we're going to go through this again, and some

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<v Speaker 1>of you may roll your eyes, Oh we've been through

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<v Speaker 1>here before. Yeah we have, and apparently we haven't learned

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<v Speaker 1>the lesson, so we've got to keep going here, right,

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<v Speaker 1>But we treated the rhetoric that's campaign stuff, and there

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<v Speaker 1>was you know, you know, I think frankly I have

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<v Speaker 1>a higher tolerance than most right because I'm used to

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<v Speaker 1>heated campaign rhetoric. It's crowd stuff. It's right out of

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<v Speaker 1>the WWE and that's what Trump thinks, that he's doing

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<v Speaker 1>it for entertainment purposes, things like that he doesn't really

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<v Speaker 1>mean it, and I believe that I don't think he

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<v Speaker 1>really meant it. But that's me that doesn't mean what

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<v Speaker 1>other people. And then there are people that act in

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<v Speaker 1>his name that did mean it. Right. But when this

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<v Speaker 1>has start to when this is when this starts happening

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<v Speaker 1>at scale over time, it stops being performance and it

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<v Speaker 1>gets turned into a permission slope and then after a

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<v Speaker 1>while becomes something bigger, becomes the environment itself. We can

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<v Speaker 1>trace that shift pretty quickly. Right. We know Donald Trump

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<v Speaker 1>didn't invent anger in politics, but he absolutely changed what

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<v Speaker 1>was acceptable to say out loud, punching protesters, carrying them

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<v Speaker 1>out on stretchers, personalizing everything, turning all personal opponents into enemies.

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<v Speaker 1>Many of us felt it personally. And you know, with

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<v Speaker 1>fellow Republicans who are not MAGA members, many of them

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<v Speaker 1>don't speak out for fear. Out of fear. Trust me,

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<v Speaker 1>I've had every single mainstream reporter has had this conversation

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<v Speaker 1>with an elected Republican, every single one in Washington. We

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<v Speaker 1>all have an off the record, and I have multiple

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<v Speaker 1>off the record conversations with elected Republicans, essentially saying I

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<v Speaker 1>don't call it out because you have no idea what

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<v Speaker 1>his people do to me or due to my family,

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<v Speaker 1>or the threats that are made. Right, it is there

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<v Speaker 1>is a coercion that has taken place here, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>why it's sometimes frustrating to watch this. Right, some people

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<v Speaker 1>only want to look back the last four years and say, boy,

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<v Speaker 1>look what the Democrats have done. And there's some truth

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<v Speaker 1>to that. Right, the democratic rhetoric has gotten harsher, the

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<v Speaker 1>violence that being prone to violence does seem in the

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<v Speaker 1>last couple of years coming more from the left than

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<v Speaker 1>the right. But you're sticking your head in the sand

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<v Speaker 1>if you don't realize we're living, if you don't pull

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<v Speaker 1>back the camera more and realize, oh, how did we

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<v Speaker 1>get here? This is how we got here? Right, And

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<v Speaker 1>the fact is, anybody that's been doing this for a

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<v Speaker 1>decade knows this is how we got here. Now you

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<v Speaker 1>can choose to put your partisan blinders on and say

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<v Speaker 1>it's their faults. Look at how nasty and awful the

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<v Speaker 1>left is. Look at how nasty and awful Donald Trump is.

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<v Speaker 1>The fact is both things can be true at the

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<v Speaker 1>same time. You know, and that's something. And this isn't

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<v Speaker 1>both siding everything. This is, you know, two wrongs don't

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<v Speaker 1>make a right. Our politics is fucked up because of

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<v Speaker 1>too many people believing that two wrongs make a right

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<v Speaker 1>and this sort of idea that you fight fire with fire,

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<v Speaker 1>and whether it's on things as sort of arcane as

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<v Speaker 1>drawing congressional district lines to the rhetoric that is used

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<v Speaker 1>to describe a political opponent that you don't agree with.

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<v Speaker 1>But the bottom line is the line has been moved

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<v Speaker 1>and we have created the conditions for more of this

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<v Speaker 1>not blessed. Now, we spent years talking about January sixth

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<v Speaker 1>in that matters, But here's the thing. I think we've

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<v Speaker 1>missed that in the end of something that was actually

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<v Speaker 1>the beginning of something, especially after he pardoned everybody in

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<v Speaker 1>January sixth. So the real question now is what happens

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<v Speaker 1>after that kind of permission has been established and what

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<v Speaker 1>is it going to take to create a safer sense

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<v Speaker 1>of normal in our political discourse. Because here's what we've

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<v Speaker 1>learned right now, the permission slip of January six has

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<v Speaker 1>not has not stayed contained. It has spread, and it

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<v Speaker 1>didn't spread ideologically, it's not on one side of the aisle.

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<v Speaker 1>It has spread culturally, and you can see it big

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<v Speaker 1>and small. You see it in moments that would have

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<v Speaker 1>been unthinkable before. Sitting precedent reacting to the death of

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<v Speaker 1>a former FBI director, Robert Muller, by saying, good, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>glad he's dead. You know that moment, The fact that

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<v Speaker 1>he couldn't even fake it until the man was buried.

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<v Speaker 1>In that moment, he couldn't think about people that loved

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<v Speaker 1>that man, who were children and grand children and nieces

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<v Speaker 1>and nephews and spouses. That was the President of the

0:11:06.480 --> 0:11:10.720
<v Speaker 1>United States's reaction. And then we're surprised when people who

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<v Speaker 1>don't like this president decide, you know, they're going to

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<v Speaker 1>fight fire with fire. It should be an earthquake in

0:11:18.240 --> 0:11:24.800
<v Speaker 1>American politics, and it's barely a tremor. So why does

0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:27.600
<v Speaker 1>that moment matter? Not because it's shocking, but because it's

0:11:27.640 --> 0:11:31.599
<v Speaker 1>not shocking. Nobody's batted an eye at it. It just

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<v Speaker 1>simply got absorbed, filed away, added to the pile of

0:11:35.720 --> 0:11:41.720
<v Speaker 1>incendiary rhetoric that we've now decided is normal. And that

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<v Speaker 1>was the tell. That was the normalization. And once you

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<v Speaker 1>get there, this is how it works. It doesn't take

0:11:49.080 --> 0:11:51.480
<v Speaker 1>a movement, and it doesn't take coordination. It just takes

0:11:51.640 --> 0:11:56.800
<v Speaker 1>one broken person who may have their own problems, and

0:11:56.840 --> 0:12:00.360
<v Speaker 1>who may decide maybe they our own sociopathic tendon and

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<v Speaker 1>their own narcissism. They think somehow they can solve a problem,

0:12:04.320 --> 0:12:09.480
<v Speaker 1>or they can be a hero. One unstable, angry person

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<v Speaker 1>who looks around, seize the tone, seize the language, thinks

0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:17.920
<v Speaker 1>that this is now more acceptable than ever, or that

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<v Speaker 1>it's the only thing left in the arsenal to do,

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<v Speaker 1>and then they decide to act within it, within that environment.

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<v Speaker 1>That's it. That's the mechanism. Now let's layer something else

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<v Speaker 1>on the top of all this. The last decade has

0:12:36.920 --> 0:12:39.680
<v Speaker 1>made a lot of people feel like they've lost control.

0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:45.400
<v Speaker 1>These technological changes are fast. Our cultural changes are super fast, right, economically, culturally, socially,

0:12:46.240 --> 0:12:50.480
<v Speaker 1>it feels we've all we feel less stable in all

0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:53.640
<v Speaker 1>parts of our lives today. And then we have an

0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:58.800
<v Speaker 1>information ecosystem that is exploitive, reinforces one idea over and over.

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<v Speaker 1>Someone else is responsible for the situation, point the finger.

0:13:03.520 --> 0:13:06.040
<v Speaker 1>Don't look in the mirror. There's no such thing as

0:13:06.080 --> 0:13:10.480
<v Speaker 1>personal responsibility anymore, no self reflection. Right, you see it.

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<v Speaker 1>Politicians refuse to take to take stock in their own behavior,

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<v Speaker 1>they just point a finger. Political parties won't take stock

0:13:20.200 --> 0:13:22.680
<v Speaker 1>in their own behavior. They point fingers or exploit for

0:13:22.720 --> 0:13:26.840
<v Speaker 1>political gain. Quote the system, right, And this is what

0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:29.440
<v Speaker 1>the system looks like. And once you've believed that, the

0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 1>distance between blame and justification gets a lot smaller. And

0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:37.680
<v Speaker 1>here's the part. A lot of people are going to

0:13:37.720 --> 0:13:43.520
<v Speaker 1>miss or ignore the guy on Saturday Night, right, and

0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:47.680
<v Speaker 1>the left has to deal with this. And this wasn't caught,

0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:51.120
<v Speaker 1>This wasn't somebody acting on Trump's behalf. His grievances ran

0:13:51.320 --> 0:13:55.200
<v Speaker 1>in the other direction. But he chose to believe this

0:13:55.400 --> 0:14:02.880
<v Speaker 1>was the way out. He'd lost faith in the political system.

0:14:03.000 --> 0:14:05.640
<v Speaker 1>It's not a contradiction. It's a confirmation that we have.

0:14:05.800 --> 0:14:10.760
<v Speaker 1>The environment has changed. American politics is now brutal, it's

0:14:10.800 --> 0:14:16.360
<v Speaker 1>now violent, and this cold civil war is warming up.

0:14:20.280 --> 0:14:26.320
<v Speaker 1>We should not want this environment to set in. It

0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 1>takes and there's only one president at a time. And

0:14:32.440 --> 0:14:37.800
<v Speaker 1>now we've learned this doesn't stay directional. It gets adapted,

0:14:37.840 --> 0:14:45.200
<v Speaker 1>it gets mirrored, and it gets thrown back. And you know,

0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:49.080
<v Speaker 1>I've been disappointed in watching the reactions from the left,

0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 1>which has been frankly similar to the reactions on the right,

0:14:52.960 --> 0:14:55.080
<v Speaker 1>just coming up with the evidence of why it is

0:14:55.120 --> 0:14:59.200
<v Speaker 1>all Donald Trump's fault, and there's a strong case that

0:14:59.320 --> 0:15:03.240
<v Speaker 1>he created the conditions for this moment. But it doesn't

0:15:03.280 --> 0:15:07.680
<v Speaker 1>justify the behavior, and it doesn't justify amping up your rhetoric,

0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:11.080
<v Speaker 1>and it doesn't justify any of the behavior we'd fight. No,

0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.520
<v Speaker 1>all you're doing is accelerating your tape. It's a race

0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:18.080
<v Speaker 1>to the bottom, and you're trying to win. Nobody wins

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:23.800
<v Speaker 1>a race to the bottom. Yeah, you can comfort yourself

0:15:23.800 --> 0:15:27.640
<v Speaker 1>by saying Trump's reaping what he sewed, but it doesn't

0:15:27.680 --> 0:15:31.640
<v Speaker 1>solve the problem. You and I aren't any safer with

0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:34.520
<v Speaker 1>that attitude. The question is what are you doing to

0:15:34.800 --> 0:15:41.080
<v Speaker 1>change this. I'm sorry that most people don't think Michelle

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:45.200
<v Speaker 1>Obama was right. I don't even know if Michelle Obama

0:15:45.280 --> 0:15:50.320
<v Speaker 1>believes she was right that when a political opponent goes low,

0:15:50.360 --> 0:16:03.960
<v Speaker 1>you go high. Because the minute you start rationalizing your violence,

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:09.360
<v Speaker 1>well they started it even rhetorically, you've crossed the same line.

0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:13.720
<v Speaker 1>You're no longer arguing about politics, you're justifying outcomes different side,

0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:18.440
<v Speaker 1>same logic, and that's what this environment is produced. That's why,

0:16:18.480 --> 0:16:20.640
<v Speaker 1>unfortunately we don't have a president that can deal with

0:16:20.640 --> 0:16:22.800
<v Speaker 1>this moment and take it head on, because it would

0:16:22.840 --> 0:16:26.800
<v Speaker 1>take self reflection. He doesn't have it. It would take

0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:32.440
<v Speaker 1>an admission that he was a big contributor to what's

0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:37.560
<v Speaker 1>to this broken environment that we're living in but I

0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 1>don't like. But at the same time, those on the

0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:45.360
<v Speaker 1>left should take no comfort that he started. It doesn't

0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:51.760
<v Speaker 1>justify the actions or the behavior. So what would leadership

0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:56.680
<v Speaker 1>Would a good leadership moment look like right now? Well,

0:16:56.680 --> 0:17:00.400
<v Speaker 1>it certainly would sound different. You'd hear a president ignotging

0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:04.439
<v Speaker 1>the moment, not spin it, not as sign blame, just

0:17:04.440 --> 0:17:10.000
<v Speaker 1>simply acknowledging it. You'd hear something like, we've all contributed

0:17:10.040 --> 0:17:12.880
<v Speaker 1>to this town here, we need to say it back,

0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:14.399
<v Speaker 1>we need to lower it, and I need to do

0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 1>a better job myself. I do you know some of

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:22.200
<v Speaker 1>you are probably laughing if Trump would ever admit anything.

0:17:24.600 --> 0:17:26.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm just telling you what it would look like if

0:17:26.680 --> 0:17:29.720
<v Speaker 1>we were modeling this moment correctly, you'd at least see

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:33.120
<v Speaker 1>an effort, a small one, to create space to try

0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:37.720
<v Speaker 1>to interrupt this cycle. That's what leadership in this moment

0:17:37.720 --> 0:17:46.440
<v Speaker 1>would look like. That's not what we have. And now

0:17:46.440 --> 0:17:49.840
<v Speaker 1>we have leadership in the in the on the Democratic

0:17:49.920 --> 0:17:59.320
<v Speaker 1>side who's like, screwm, let's go. We don't have the

0:17:59.359 --> 0:18:01.800
<v Speaker 1>president we needed right now to get through this moment,

0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:04.360
<v Speaker 1>and we're not going to get what we need from

0:18:04.359 --> 0:18:07.199
<v Speaker 1>this White House. So instead, what we're going to get

0:18:07.280 --> 0:18:10.480
<v Speaker 1>is finger pointing, one sided explanations and political framing of

0:18:10.480 --> 0:18:13.560
<v Speaker 1>this moment. There'll be no acknowledgment of how we got here,

0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:15.280
<v Speaker 1>and without that, there's no way to actually deal with

0:18:15.320 --> 0:18:17.480
<v Speaker 1>this moment. So we're going to end up moving on,

0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 1>not because we should, but because we can't get out

0:18:23.040 --> 0:18:26.520
<v Speaker 1>of it right. We don't have the people at the table.

0:18:26.880 --> 0:18:29.240
<v Speaker 1>The voters are going to have to give us new

0:18:29.320 --> 0:18:33.400
<v Speaker 1>leaders to see if they can get the country unstuck here.

0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:40.880
<v Speaker 1>And look, we might hear a lot about security, more barriers,

0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:44.399
<v Speaker 1>more distance. Boy, is that that's not the issue. And

0:18:44.480 --> 0:18:49.320
<v Speaker 1>if anything, ratcheting up security only makes this worse. You

0:18:49.359 --> 0:18:53.200
<v Speaker 1>want to create more barriers between the elected officials, the powerful,

0:18:53.280 --> 0:18:55.439
<v Speaker 1>and the actual rank and file people. That's not a

0:18:55.440 --> 0:18:59.760
<v Speaker 1>free society anymore. Security is not the problem. Fact, security

0:18:59.800 --> 0:19:05.440
<v Speaker 1>work here. Can't secure your way out of a culture.

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:09.240
<v Speaker 1>This is not about just going into a bunker or

0:19:09.280 --> 0:19:12.960
<v Speaker 1>finding a ballroom on grounds that are impossible to get

0:19:13.000 --> 0:19:27.919
<v Speaker 1>on unless you've given biometric issues. So right now we

0:19:28.119 --> 0:19:33.119
<v Speaker 1>don't have the leadership that's interested in reversing this. We

0:19:33.240 --> 0:19:40.159
<v Speaker 1>are escalating. We believe that you can't show weakness, and

0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:44.159
<v Speaker 1>because there's this fear of ever showing weakness politically, we

0:19:44.240 --> 0:19:51.400
<v Speaker 1>now default to confrontation. And the problem is that confrontation

0:19:52.560 --> 0:19:55.760
<v Speaker 1>is only going to make us less safe. We're less stable.

0:19:58.040 --> 0:20:01.440
<v Speaker 1>So it's a lament. I'm not going to be labor

0:20:01.480 --> 0:20:05.720
<v Speaker 1>this anymore. I am going to do my best to

0:20:05.720 --> 0:20:09.120
<v Speaker 1>continue to highlight why we have You know, we've this

0:20:09.160 --> 0:20:13.240
<v Speaker 1>is a this is a collective failure of American leadership.

0:20:13.800 --> 0:20:23.879
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump's on top, but he's not alone. Get to

0:20:23.920 --> 0:20:29.440
<v Speaker 1>the ballot box and realize that character matters, that morality matters,

0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:37.680
<v Speaker 1>that temperament matters. Policy goals matter too, But how do

0:20:37.760 --> 0:20:39.280
<v Speaker 1>you want to achieve those goals? How do you plan

0:20:39.320 --> 0:20:44.920
<v Speaker 1>to achieve those goals? Persuasion or coercion. It's a big difference.

0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:49.160
<v Speaker 1>One is something you do in a democracy, the other

0:20:50.280 --> 0:20:56.879
<v Speaker 1>is something you do in an authoritarian regime. It's the

0:20:56.920 --> 0:20:58.600
<v Speaker 1>decision we have to be and we have to make

0:20:59.400 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 1>speaking of boring fuel on this fire. As I was

0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:11.359
<v Speaker 1>putting this monologue together, we got news that at federal

0:21:11.359 --> 0:21:16.320
<v Speaker 1>grand jury North Carolina, somebody went shopping for a grand

0:21:16.400 --> 0:21:19.880
<v Speaker 1>jury and dieted former FBI director Jim Comey. The Justice

0:21:19.880 --> 0:21:24.200
<v Speaker 1>Departments to attempt to criminally charge the former FBI director

0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:28.639
<v Speaker 1>that President Trump fired. The charges are not immediately clear,

0:21:30.040 --> 0:21:33.959
<v Speaker 1>but apparently the case stems from a photograph that James

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:38.440
<v Speaker 1>Comy posted online last year showing seashells on a beach

0:21:38.520 --> 0:21:42.920
<v Speaker 1>that were arranged to write out the numbers eighty six

0:21:43.800 --> 0:21:48.680
<v Speaker 1>and forty seven, with forty seven supposedly being representative of

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:52.399
<v Speaker 1>the president in eighty six meaning banning or removing someone

0:21:53.359 --> 0:21:58.240
<v Speaker 1>or slang for killing someone. So you can see exactly

0:21:58.280 --> 0:22:01.360
<v Speaker 1>what the Trump administration is up to. They are taking

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:05.119
<v Speaker 1>they are trying to weaponize this moment to prove that

0:22:05.280 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 1>all of this is on the backs of Trump critics

0:22:08.200 --> 0:22:11.960
<v Speaker 1>and that somehow they have clean hands and they have

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:16.320
<v Speaker 1>nothing to do with amping up this rhetoric. The amount

0:22:16.560 --> 0:22:21.000
<v Speaker 1>of exploitive ways. The president has ordered his government to

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:24.520
<v Speaker 1>harass the Komi family, including his daughter who had a

0:22:24.640 --> 0:22:27.879
<v Speaker 1>job in the federal government, and she's now in the

0:22:27.880 --> 0:22:34.520
<v Speaker 1>middle of a lawsuit about her firing. Look, I'm not

0:22:34.520 --> 0:22:37.160
<v Speaker 1>going to sit here and justify Komy doing what he did.

0:22:37.160 --> 0:22:40.040
<v Speaker 1>It was stupid, and I think a lot of Komy's

0:22:40.040 --> 0:22:45.080
<v Speaker 1>actions while he was FBI director were just horrendous. He

0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:48.680
<v Speaker 1>had the disease of eye alone can fix it disease, right,

0:22:53.000 --> 0:23:01.439
<v Speaker 1>But the first Amendments, the first Amendment, And unless this

0:23:01.600 --> 0:23:05.359
<v Speaker 1>government can prove that this is connected to anything and

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:08.800
<v Speaker 1>it actually was an instigated actually somehow somebody took it

0:23:08.840 --> 0:23:10.880
<v Speaker 1>as an order, I don't know where this case is going,

0:23:10.920 --> 0:23:13.760
<v Speaker 1>if this has anything remotely to do with that, with

0:23:13.840 --> 0:23:16.280
<v Speaker 1>that social media post, but that is pouring fuel on

0:23:16.320 --> 0:23:19.840
<v Speaker 1>this fire. That is not an administration interesting in turning

0:23:19.920 --> 0:23:23.280
<v Speaker 1>down the temperature. And this is my fear. If Democrats

0:23:23.320 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 1>get into office and win a majority in the House,

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:30.680
<v Speaker 1>in the Senate and immediately go for impeachment, we are

0:23:30.720 --> 0:23:32.640
<v Speaker 1>just going to be in a cycle and a race

0:23:32.720 --> 0:23:39.000
<v Speaker 1>to the bottom. I know the elected officials I'm looking for.

0:23:39.720 --> 0:23:43.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking for people that are going to turn the page,

0:23:44.000 --> 0:23:48.840
<v Speaker 1>that want to restore honesty and credibility and trust into government,

0:23:52.320 --> 0:23:55.920
<v Speaker 1>and they show a little bit of humility and character

0:23:56.080 --> 0:24:00.000
<v Speaker 1>and morality while in office. That might be too much

0:24:00.080 --> 0:24:05.000
<v Speaker 1>much to ask for in our politicians, huh. But if

0:24:05.000 --> 0:24:07.760
<v Speaker 1>this is what we ask for in our friends, if

0:24:07.840 --> 0:24:09.920
<v Speaker 1>this is what we ask for and how we raise

0:24:09.920 --> 0:24:12.600
<v Speaker 1>our kids, and you know what it should be what

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:16.240
<v Speaker 1>we ask for, and what kind of representatives that we

0:24:16.280 --> 0:24:23.400
<v Speaker 1>have in this country. Character is destiny. It's a cliche

0:24:23.480 --> 0:24:28.000
<v Speaker 1>for a reason, because it's amazing how often it turns

0:24:28.000 --> 0:24:31.679
<v Speaker 1>out to be true. By the way, one final point,

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:42.119
<v Speaker 1>then Jimmy Kimmel's stuff. Jimmy Kimmel should apologize. Do I

0:24:42.160 --> 0:24:44.560
<v Speaker 1>think the government should be going after him like this?

0:24:44.640 --> 0:24:48.720
<v Speaker 1>Of course not. He's got First Amendment rights. But the

0:24:48.840 --> 0:24:52.159
<v Speaker 1>joke in hindsight after the events on Saturday, looks terrible.

0:24:53.480 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 1>So say it, admit it. It's okay. You can say

0:25:02.320 --> 0:25:08.919
<v Speaker 1>I was not intended for what it got interpreted as,

0:25:09.520 --> 0:25:11.680
<v Speaker 1>which means you've got to write a better punchline, or

0:25:11.720 --> 0:25:15.840
<v Speaker 1>you got to write a better joke. I'm not sitting

0:25:15.880 --> 0:25:21.200
<v Speaker 1>here defending the behavior of this government or the president

0:25:21.320 --> 0:25:25.240
<v Speaker 1>in targeting Kimmel. But see, this is sort of the problem, right,

0:25:25.680 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 1>Everything is about you got to pick a side or

0:25:27.560 --> 0:25:30.200
<v Speaker 1>you're on. Jimmy Kimmel's side, or you're not on his side.

0:25:30.800 --> 0:25:32.919
<v Speaker 1>I'm on Jimmy Kimmel's side. I'm on the side of

0:25:32.920 --> 0:25:37.399
<v Speaker 1>free speech. But if I said that and then that

0:25:37.440 --> 0:25:42.160
<v Speaker 1>event happened and somebody got mad, I'd have apologized because

0:25:42.160 --> 0:25:45.080
<v Speaker 1>I'd have felt like shit because it wasn't what he

0:25:45.240 --> 0:25:47.879
<v Speaker 1>I do believe it was not what he intended, but

0:25:47.920 --> 0:25:52.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm not here to explain him. I just think that again,

0:25:52.920 --> 0:25:54.520
<v Speaker 1>it goes back to are you going to be a

0:25:54.560 --> 0:25:57.800
<v Speaker 1>de escalator or do you want to be an accelerant

0:25:57.840 --> 0:26:04.439
<v Speaker 1>in this moment. It's pretty simple decision people have to make.

0:26:09.119 --> 0:26:11.399
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<v Speaker 1>A few other things. I really want to highlight an

0:28:03.480 --> 0:28:09.760
<v Speaker 1>interview I did for Newsphere with a long time intelligence

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:14.280
<v Speaker 1>analyst from in US government, Beth Sanner. She's now out

0:28:14.280 --> 0:28:16.639
<v Speaker 1>of government, but one of her last jobs was being

0:28:17.440 --> 0:28:21.800
<v Speaker 1>basically the only effective daily briefer to the president in

0:28:21.840 --> 0:28:24.320
<v Speaker 1>the first term. To President Trump, she built a rapport

0:28:25.480 --> 0:28:29.080
<v Speaker 1>with him where he at least started to accept some intelligence.

0:28:30.520 --> 0:28:34.879
<v Speaker 1>I urge you to watch the interview in whole. I

0:28:34.920 --> 0:28:36.879
<v Speaker 1>hope some of you have subscribed a newsphere. I'm just

0:28:36.920 --> 0:28:40.000
<v Speaker 1>telling you it's really it's a high end news product

0:28:40.680 --> 0:28:44.680
<v Speaker 1>and if you really really want not just reporting, but

0:28:44.920 --> 0:28:49.080
<v Speaker 1>really smart analysis, looking around the corner type of stuff,

0:28:49.680 --> 0:28:51.600
<v Speaker 1>new Sphere is the place for you. But I want

0:28:51.640 --> 0:28:53.880
<v Speaker 1>to share a little bit because look, we're in the

0:28:53.920 --> 0:28:56.880
<v Speaker 1>middle of ran We just hit a new high end

0:28:56.880 --> 0:29:00.479
<v Speaker 1>gas price. This is not getting resolved tomorrow. And the

0:29:00.520 --> 0:29:03.440
<v Speaker 1>impact on our economy, I mean it is. You know,

0:29:03.680 --> 0:29:06.520
<v Speaker 1>there's been this sort of like stick the markets have

0:29:06.520 --> 0:29:08.760
<v Speaker 1>been sticking their head in the sand. Very hopeful almost

0:29:08.800 --> 0:29:15.280
<v Speaker 1>like on some sort of AI high if you will, right.

0:29:18.560 --> 0:29:20.160
<v Speaker 1>But I can tell you the way consumers are going

0:29:20.200 --> 0:29:22.120
<v Speaker 1>to feel. Consumers are going to hate this economy, and

0:29:22.120 --> 0:29:26.240
<v Speaker 1>they already hate this economy. But I just want to

0:29:26.280 --> 0:29:28.680
<v Speaker 1>sum up a few things. My conversation with Best Sayer,

0:29:28.800 --> 0:29:31.840
<v Speaker 1>I would call was very sobering, and she kept returning

0:29:31.840 --> 0:29:34.240
<v Speaker 1>to one basic point in our thirty minute sit down

0:29:34.240 --> 0:29:36.120
<v Speaker 1>that the US may be measuring this war one way,

0:29:36.160 --> 0:29:40.640
<v Speaker 1>bomb damage, destroyed ships, degraded assets, but Iran is measuring

0:29:40.880 --> 0:29:44.760
<v Speaker 1>it another way. Entirely, as Saner put it, Iran's measuring

0:29:44.800 --> 0:29:48.640
<v Speaker 1>stick is regime survival. Something I've been emphasizing here that

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:53.000
<v Speaker 1>the problem we have is what does our victory look like?

0:29:53.040 --> 0:29:54.719
<v Speaker 1>And what does their victory look like? And right now

0:29:54.720 --> 0:30:00.840
<v Speaker 1>their victory simply surviving gives them leverage, and that means

0:30:00.920 --> 0:30:03.640
<v Speaker 1>we may be winning tactically while still moving farther away

0:30:03.720 --> 0:30:07.120
<v Speaker 1>from what was supposed to be a strategic solution. So

0:30:07.200 --> 0:30:10.240
<v Speaker 1>her argument is that we've fallen into a very familiar

0:30:10.240 --> 0:30:16.440
<v Speaker 1>American pattern assuming military superiority can solve a political problem.

0:30:17.200 --> 0:30:21.360
<v Speaker 1>She compared it to Vietnam to Iraq to Afghanistan. Moments

0:30:21.360 --> 0:30:25.880
<v Speaker 1>when we misunderstood the culture, the leadership, the decision making,

0:30:26.000 --> 0:30:30.600
<v Speaker 1>and the resilience of the adversary. I mean, how many

0:30:30.680 --> 0:30:33.520
<v Speaker 1>times do we have to wash rents and repeat? Apparently

0:30:33.640 --> 0:30:35.959
<v Speaker 1>we had to do it again. And one of her

0:30:35.960 --> 0:30:38.640
<v Speaker 1>sharpest lines in this interview was, we're fighting the Iranians

0:30:38.720 --> 0:30:43.000
<v Speaker 1>in time, right, that's the warning. We're focused on what

0:30:43.040 --> 0:30:45.680
<v Speaker 1>we can destroy and they're focused on what they can survive.

0:30:47.360 --> 0:30:50.600
<v Speaker 1>And that brings us to the Strait of hormones. Sander said,

0:30:50.640 --> 0:30:53.000
<v Speaker 1>the strait is now the immediate crisis, not because the

0:30:53.080 --> 0:30:55.760
<v Speaker 1>nuclear she has gone away, but because this is the

0:30:55.760 --> 0:30:58.000
<v Speaker 1>thing that can blow up the global economy right now.

0:30:58.920 --> 0:31:00.920
<v Speaker 1>I love this line she gave me. She said, the

0:31:00.960 --> 0:31:04.720
<v Speaker 1>strait is an emergency, which is the alligator closest to

0:31:04.760 --> 0:31:09.080
<v Speaker 1>the boat. Yes, and our nuclear armed iron is bad.

0:31:09.840 --> 0:31:13.040
<v Speaker 1>You know what's the worst thing right now? And a

0:31:13.160 --> 0:31:17.600
<v Speaker 1>runne in control of the Strait of hormones. It's the

0:31:17.640 --> 0:31:20.360
<v Speaker 1>alligator closest to the boat. You can't get to the

0:31:20.400 --> 0:31:24.840
<v Speaker 1>other one until you deal with this one. That's the frame.

0:31:25.440 --> 0:31:28.200
<v Speaker 1>The nuclear program is still the long term strategic threat,

0:31:28.600 --> 0:31:30.680
<v Speaker 1>but the Strait is the crisis sitting in front of us.

0:31:30.680 --> 0:31:33.600
<v Speaker 1>Shipping insurance, energy prices, allies, China, Russia, all of it,

0:31:34.960 --> 0:31:38.280
<v Speaker 1>all of it choked off at this choke point. And

0:31:38.360 --> 0:31:41.080
<v Speaker 1>Sander's broader critique is that we are not sequencing our

0:31:41.200 --> 0:31:44.960
<v Speaker 1>power very well. We actually sequenced our power really well

0:31:44.960 --> 0:31:50.200
<v Speaker 1>in Venezuela. She used Venezuela as a net positive comparison. Right,

0:31:50.240 --> 0:31:54.200
<v Speaker 1>we had diplomacy, we had information, military, force, economics. These

0:31:54.240 --> 0:31:56.160
<v Speaker 1>are all the tools that she outlined that are supposed

0:31:56.160 --> 0:31:58.440
<v Speaker 1>to work together, but you need to do them in

0:31:58.440 --> 0:32:01.640
<v Speaker 1>a certain order. And instead she's arguing we're relying too

0:32:01.640 --> 0:32:04.680
<v Speaker 1>heavily on the military hammer and then wondering why the

0:32:04.680 --> 0:32:08.560
<v Speaker 1>diplomatic door is harder to reopen. And she made this

0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:16.240
<v Speaker 1>chilling observation, the Iranians understand us better than we understand that.

0:32:16.240 --> 0:32:20.720
<v Speaker 1>That does seem like a scary proposition. They see the threats,

0:32:20.840 --> 0:32:25.760
<v Speaker 1>they see the pauses, right, they're paying attention. They see

0:32:25.800 --> 0:32:28.080
<v Speaker 1>the extensions of the ceasefire, and every time we threaten

0:32:28.160 --> 0:32:30.560
<v Speaker 1>something and don't do it, they read that as proof

0:32:30.560 --> 0:32:34.880
<v Speaker 1>that they're winning. The bottom line from Santa is this,

0:32:36.480 --> 0:32:39.960
<v Speaker 1>you can have overwhelming military success and still not have

0:32:40.000 --> 0:32:42.760
<v Speaker 1>an endgame, or she put it, you can have overwhelming

0:32:42.800 --> 0:32:46.800
<v Speaker 1>conventional military success and still be no closer to a solution.

0:32:47.880 --> 0:32:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Iran that we have in front of

0:32:50.560 --> 0:32:53.920
<v Speaker 1>us right now, that's the warning. This doesn't end with

0:32:53.960 --> 0:32:56.520
<v Speaker 1>a bomb damage assessment. It's going to end with diplomacy.

0:32:57.160 --> 0:32:59.520
<v Speaker 1>And right now, the question is not just whether Iran

0:32:59.560 --> 0:33:02.600
<v Speaker 1>comes back to the table. It's whether we know who

0:33:02.680 --> 0:33:06.640
<v Speaker 1>exactly we're supposed to be negotiating with and whether we

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:12.120
<v Speaker 1>know how to get to an endgame. All right, let

0:33:12.160 --> 0:33:14.280
<v Speaker 1>me get through a few political questions that I know

0:33:14.280 --> 0:33:18.120
<v Speaker 1>you guys are interested in. Let's start with the Florida

0:33:18.160 --> 0:33:23.800
<v Speaker 1>remap here, and it is, like I said at the top,

0:33:23.960 --> 0:33:31.400
<v Speaker 1>this is a map that if you're Republicans, you would

0:33:31.600 --> 0:33:34.000
<v Speaker 1>have loved to run on in twenty four and you

0:33:34.080 --> 0:33:36.320
<v Speaker 1>may like to run on it in twenty eight, especially

0:33:36.320 --> 0:33:40.800
<v Speaker 1>if Marco Rubio's on the ticket. Right, it basically dilutes

0:33:40.800 --> 0:33:46.680
<v Speaker 1>some Republican some big Republican congressional districts in central Florida,

0:33:46.720 --> 0:33:51.640
<v Speaker 1>both near Tampa Bay and near Orlando, and makes them

0:33:51.880 --> 0:33:56.000
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more competitive. Ditto in South Florida. And

0:33:56.040 --> 0:33:59.400
<v Speaker 1>that all makes sense in a presidential year. The problem

0:33:59.440 --> 0:34:03.280
<v Speaker 1>with this map for Republicans it's made. It has now

0:34:03.320 --> 0:34:07.520
<v Speaker 1>put more seats in play for Republicans. It now means

0:34:07.520 --> 0:34:12.520
<v Speaker 1>they have to spend more money than ever. Yes, they

0:34:12.520 --> 0:34:15.480
<v Speaker 1>can claim Democrats have to spend a bunch of money

0:34:15.880 --> 0:34:20.560
<v Speaker 1>because the Democratic seats they have to fight for, and

0:34:20.600 --> 0:34:22.120
<v Speaker 1>then they have to see if they can win a

0:34:22.120 --> 0:34:27.920
<v Speaker 1>couple of others. So let me give you a few

0:34:27.920 --> 0:34:30.960
<v Speaker 1>little highlights for those of you that are familiar. Basically,

0:34:31.040 --> 0:34:33.040
<v Speaker 1>it didn't make any changes in the northern part of

0:34:33.040 --> 0:34:35.320
<v Speaker 1>the state. It really is sort of Tampa Bay, Orlando,

0:34:35.400 --> 0:34:39.759
<v Speaker 1>and the Miami mostly the Miami for Lauderdale market, a

0:34:39.800 --> 0:34:42.160
<v Speaker 1>little bit of Palm Beach. So let's start with Jared

0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Moscowitz w Washerman Sultz. This is Districts twenty three and

0:34:45.120 --> 0:34:49.479
<v Speaker 1>twenty five. This is parts of so Moscow. It's basically used.

0:34:49.760 --> 0:34:53.719
<v Speaker 1>It's been the congressman for Parkland, right, and so it's

0:34:53.800 --> 0:34:55.400
<v Speaker 1>both I think, a little bit of Palm Beach and

0:34:55.400 --> 0:34:57.239
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of Broad County and w Washerman Souls,

0:34:57.280 --> 0:35:00.320
<v Speaker 1>who used to be almost all exclusively browd County gotten

0:35:00.320 --> 0:35:06.720
<v Speaker 1>more Miami. So there's less now of a Broward County

0:35:06.719 --> 0:35:09.799
<v Speaker 1>base in District twenty three, which was Moscowitz, and that

0:35:09.840 --> 0:35:13.440
<v Speaker 1>puts them in danger. Meanwhile, you've got w Washerman. Soultz's

0:35:13.480 --> 0:35:16.759
<v Speaker 1>twenty fifth district now essentially is a coastal seat and

0:35:16.800 --> 0:35:23.000
<v Speaker 1>now is Delray Beach to Miami Beach, so it's both

0:35:23.360 --> 0:35:31.600
<v Speaker 1>heavily Latino and really wealthy. You know, she's if she

0:35:31.800 --> 0:35:34.239
<v Speaker 1>were not pro Israel, I'd say she'd have a hard

0:35:34.239 --> 0:35:37.120
<v Speaker 1>time holding that seat. But she can hold the seat.

0:35:37.239 --> 0:35:38.920
<v Speaker 1>It may be a swing district now, and she's not

0:35:39.000 --> 0:35:42.480
<v Speaker 1>running swing districts very often, and that's something that might

0:35:42.520 --> 0:35:45.000
<v Speaker 1>be different, you know, to me. You know there's certain

0:35:45.040 --> 0:35:47.080
<v Speaker 1>members of Congress. When you're always in a swing district,

0:35:47.120 --> 0:35:50.680
<v Speaker 1>you're sort of you have muscle memory for it. You develop.

0:35:50.719 --> 0:35:53.440
<v Speaker 1>It's like anything when you have one workout routine, if

0:35:53.480 --> 0:35:55.279
<v Speaker 1>you do the same thing over and over again, That's

0:35:55.280 --> 0:35:58.879
<v Speaker 1>what I do. Unfortunately, I don't diversify my workouts. I'm

0:35:59.200 --> 0:36:02.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, I I sort of I'm really good at

0:36:02.080 --> 0:36:07.920
<v Speaker 1>handling treadmill running. I'm really bad at handling anything else. So,

0:36:08.440 --> 0:36:11.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think what's new for w Washerman Childs

0:36:11.160 --> 0:36:14.040
<v Speaker 1>is going to be being in a swing district mindset.

0:36:14.040 --> 0:36:19.040
<v Speaker 1>But she's kind of I've noticed she has lowered her

0:36:19.880 --> 0:36:26.160
<v Speaker 1>national profile a bit and gone more, I think frankly

0:36:26.239 --> 0:36:29.479
<v Speaker 1>in response to I mean, her district has been getting

0:36:29.520 --> 0:36:32.919
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more competitive over time. Meanwhile, the twenty

0:36:32.920 --> 0:36:36.480
<v Speaker 1>second district, this is lowis Frankle. This was mostly Palm Beach. Well,

0:36:36.680 --> 0:36:41.839
<v Speaker 1>it now is shifting parlisan balances across both Palm Beach

0:36:41.880 --> 0:36:45.560
<v Speaker 1>and Broward in central Florida. The ninth district, this is

0:36:45.640 --> 0:36:51.200
<v Speaker 1>Darren Soto. This one gets dramatically. This one essentially gets erased.

0:36:51.920 --> 0:36:54.719
<v Speaker 1>It's moved from a majority Latino seat to a plurality

0:36:54.760 --> 0:36:57.200
<v Speaker 1>white one, and if you just look at the data,

0:36:57.280 --> 0:37:00.120
<v Speaker 1>goes from a plus three point five Harris district to

0:37:00.160 --> 0:37:06.279
<v Speaker 1>a plus eighteen Trump district. Meanwhile, Kathy Castors seat in

0:37:06.360 --> 0:37:10.080
<v Speaker 1>Tampa Bay fourteenth district, it's been we've drawn to be

0:37:10.160 --> 0:37:12.160
<v Speaker 1>much more competitive, and it shifts to a narrow plus

0:37:12.160 --> 0:37:15.200
<v Speaker 1>three Republican edge. The point is that Castor has been targeted,

0:37:15.320 --> 0:37:20.239
<v Speaker 1>but this is not an automatic loss here. Meanwhile, there's

0:37:20.280 --> 0:37:24.399
<v Speaker 1>been some huge fallout. Right, So Daniel Webster, longtime member

0:37:24.440 --> 0:37:27.400
<v Speaker 1>of Congress in Florida, he'd been one of the louder

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:31.160
<v Speaker 1>voices saying don't do this. He walked, He's like, I'm

0:37:31.160 --> 0:37:34.160
<v Speaker 1>not defending this new seat. Here's what happened to his seat.

0:37:34.160 --> 0:37:38.880
<v Speaker 1>The seat is no a R plus twenty fortress. The

0:37:38.920 --> 0:37:43.600
<v Speaker 1>new lines moved parts. He had the villages in his district,

0:37:43.640 --> 0:37:45.680
<v Speaker 1>so it took the deep red villages and put them

0:37:45.680 --> 0:37:51.359
<v Speaker 1>into some adjacent districts. And it's just turned what was

0:37:51.440 --> 0:37:56.359
<v Speaker 1>a very Republican district into essentially a lean R. And

0:37:56.400 --> 0:37:59.719
<v Speaker 1>I think they just assumed Daniel Webster, who's been everybody, yes,

0:37:59.760 --> 0:38:03.200
<v Speaker 1>he could hold it, but he doesn't want to hold it.

0:38:04.440 --> 0:38:07.759
<v Speaker 1>And as an open seat in a midterm year, this

0:38:07.840 --> 0:38:12.560
<v Speaker 1>is the first district created that could start to get

0:38:12.640 --> 0:38:17.000
<v Speaker 1>us into dummy Mandar territory. And then to make Castor work,

0:38:17.440 --> 0:38:22.000
<v Speaker 1>they had to pull Republican voters from neighboring thirteen and

0:38:22.200 --> 0:38:27.480
<v Speaker 1>fifteen districts. Well, the thirteenth is represented by Anna Paulina Luna,

0:38:27.600 --> 0:38:31.640
<v Speaker 1>who was already in a fairly competitive district as it is,

0:38:34.040 --> 0:38:37.400
<v Speaker 1>and she is somebody who's always been seen as a

0:38:37.480 --> 0:38:40.839
<v Speaker 1>little bit too conservative for the district she's represented. Well,

0:38:40.840 --> 0:38:43.000
<v Speaker 1>now what is it now? She's even more you know,

0:38:43.239 --> 0:38:44.960
<v Speaker 1>so she might not be the right person to hold

0:38:45.000 --> 0:38:49.359
<v Speaker 1>that for the Republicans. So that seat arguably now has

0:38:49.400 --> 0:38:52.319
<v Speaker 1>become more vulnerable. And then in South Florida, in order

0:38:52.400 --> 0:38:55.200
<v Speaker 1>to do this, this sort of cracking and packing of

0:38:55.239 --> 0:38:57.680
<v Speaker 1>they did that they to spread out the Broward County

0:38:57.760 --> 0:39:00.440
<v Speaker 1>voters a little bit so that they didn't all get consolidated.

0:39:02.600 --> 0:39:08.120
<v Speaker 1>They had to move some reliably Republican voters into these

0:39:08.120 --> 0:39:12.479
<v Speaker 1>more competitive districts. What it is left is it's left

0:39:12.480 --> 0:39:15.920
<v Speaker 1>both Mario Diaz Billard and Carlos Smenez with more diverse

0:39:15.960 --> 0:39:19.400
<v Speaker 1>and less predictable red electorates in Dade County. And it

0:39:19.440 --> 0:39:21.879
<v Speaker 1>wasn't that long ago that both of those districts had

0:39:21.960 --> 0:39:26.320
<v Speaker 1>plenty of Democratic voters. Miami, Dade County is a swing county.

0:39:26.440 --> 0:39:30.080
<v Speaker 1>It's still a swing county. Yes, a lot of Republican

0:39:30.080 --> 0:39:33.440
<v Speaker 1>money has moved to Miami, a lot of major private

0:39:33.440 --> 0:39:35.720
<v Speaker 1>equity firms have moved to my All of that is true.

0:39:36.560 --> 0:39:39.200
<v Speaker 1>But all the people they bring are they're bringing, They're

0:39:39.239 --> 0:39:42.280
<v Speaker 1>not necessarily bringing Republican voters. And it is not clear

0:39:42.360 --> 0:39:44.440
<v Speaker 1>that the Latino vote is going to be as republican

0:39:44.480 --> 0:39:46.759
<v Speaker 1>in twenty six as it was in twenty four. And

0:39:46.760 --> 0:39:49.520
<v Speaker 1>if it is not, then suddenly these two districts are

0:39:49.520 --> 0:39:54.440
<v Speaker 1>in play. And Maria Salazar was already in play, although

0:39:54.480 --> 0:40:00.360
<v Speaker 1>that got configured a bit too so bottom line, I

0:40:00.400 --> 0:40:06.600
<v Speaker 1>know I went through it individually. Bottom line, this will

0:40:06.640 --> 0:40:10.840
<v Speaker 1>be a good map for Republicans in twenty eight, but

0:40:10.960 --> 0:40:14.880
<v Speaker 1>they may this basically may not pick up four probably

0:40:15.000 --> 0:40:17.759
<v Speaker 1>is maybe it picks up one or two, could be

0:40:17.800 --> 0:40:24.960
<v Speaker 1>break even. But it has done this, It's made Florida.

0:40:25.080 --> 0:40:28.000
<v Speaker 1>It's actually this is what it did is that Florida

0:40:28.080 --> 0:40:30.000
<v Speaker 1>was not going to be home to many swing districts,

0:40:30.080 --> 0:40:32.480
<v Speaker 1>and now it is. Now there's going to be more

0:40:32.480 --> 0:40:35.959
<v Speaker 1>money spent. Right, Virginia created a situation where there's much

0:40:36.080 --> 0:40:39.719
<v Speaker 1>fewer swing districts, much less money will be pouring in

0:40:39.760 --> 0:40:44.200
<v Speaker 1>from either party. This new Florida map actually increases the

0:40:44.280 --> 0:40:48.160
<v Speaker 1>need for campaign spending. You'll see there's a bit more competition.

0:40:49.640 --> 0:40:51.960
<v Speaker 1>And then we've already seen that both the governor's race

0:40:52.000 --> 0:40:54.600
<v Speaker 1>and the Senate race aren't cakewalks for the Republicans. So

0:40:59.000 --> 0:41:03.000
<v Speaker 1>it's Florida battle around state again. I'm not quite ready

0:41:03.000 --> 0:41:07.080
<v Speaker 1>to go that far, but it is more competitive and

0:41:07.239 --> 0:41:09.399
<v Speaker 1>might have as many house seats in play, certainly more

0:41:09.440 --> 0:41:15.000
<v Speaker 1>house seats in play, or maybe as many a house

0:41:15.000 --> 0:41:17.840
<v Speaker 1>season play as a state larger than it than Texas.

0:41:20.600 --> 0:41:24.640
<v Speaker 1>A few other nuggets just to share with you. One

0:41:24.880 --> 0:41:30.919
<v Speaker 1>interesting new Democratic poll out of Texas that shows tall

0:41:31.040 --> 0:41:35.279
<v Speaker 1>Rico within a high single digit lead over Paxton and

0:41:35.360 --> 0:41:38.719
<v Speaker 1>a low single digit lead over Cornyn. That's not surprising,

0:41:38.760 --> 0:41:40.480
<v Speaker 1>I think. What's surprising that there is still a lead

0:41:40.480 --> 0:41:42.800
<v Speaker 1>over corn I think the real question is if Cornyn

0:41:42.840 --> 0:41:46.480
<v Speaker 1>wins this runoff, is this still a competitive race? Now?

0:41:46.520 --> 0:41:48.440
<v Speaker 1>The problem that Taller Rico's going to have is that

0:41:48.480 --> 0:41:51.960
<v Speaker 1>I think if Cornyan wins a runoff, they'll be less national.

0:41:51.960 --> 0:41:55.080
<v Speaker 1>There'll be less money coming from the Senate packs because

0:41:55.120 --> 0:41:56.960
<v Speaker 1>there'll be a belief that it you know, and we

0:41:57.040 --> 0:41:59.680
<v Speaker 1>know John Thune's going to be more willing to spend

0:41:59.719 --> 0:42:01.239
<v Speaker 1>more money than ever. Now, Look, do I think no

0:42:01.239 --> 0:42:03.680
<v Speaker 1>matter who the Republican nominees, there's going to be a

0:42:03.719 --> 0:42:06.959
<v Speaker 1>ton of money poured into Texas. I do. But there'll

0:42:07.000 --> 0:42:10.200
<v Speaker 1>be more if it's Corny than if it's Paxton. So

0:42:10.280 --> 0:42:12.360
<v Speaker 1>that's a note there. And I still you know, you

0:42:12.440 --> 0:42:14.319
<v Speaker 1>still see all the and I'm going to get to

0:42:14.360 --> 0:42:17.239
<v Speaker 1>this in my top five list, but you're still going

0:42:17.320 --> 0:42:23.880
<v Speaker 1>to see You're still going to see Paxton still seems

0:42:23.920 --> 0:42:27.640
<v Speaker 1>to have an advantage of the runoff Susan Collins deciding

0:42:27.680 --> 0:42:30.440
<v Speaker 1>to go negative on grand platter before the primary. If

0:42:30.480 --> 0:42:32.440
<v Speaker 1>you're jan and Mills, this is exactly what you were

0:42:32.440 --> 0:42:36.120
<v Speaker 1>hoping for. But it might But there's another way to

0:42:36.120 --> 0:42:38.440
<v Speaker 1>look at this. The fact that the Colins superPAC has

0:42:38.440 --> 0:42:42.400
<v Speaker 1>decided to engage Platiner now rather than after the primary

0:42:43.440 --> 0:42:46.439
<v Speaker 1>sort of gets there was this growing conventional wisdom that

0:42:46.760 --> 0:42:51.160
<v Speaker 1>if Collins could choose, she'd rather face Platiner than Mills. Well,

0:42:51.200 --> 0:42:54.160
<v Speaker 1>guess what, the super pac has decided. No, no, no,

0:42:54.160 --> 0:42:56.799
<v Speaker 1>no no, they want to kill Platiner. Now they want

0:42:56.800 --> 0:42:59.520
<v Speaker 1>to face Mills. And you know what, I think the

0:42:59.560 --> 0:43:03.720
<v Speaker 1>Collins people are right, And I think we've been watching

0:43:03.719 --> 0:43:07.040
<v Speaker 1>this race together. You've probably seen me evolve on this

0:43:07.080 --> 0:43:09.400
<v Speaker 1>a little bit. Myself. I was a little skeptical, and

0:43:09.480 --> 0:43:11.640
<v Speaker 1>now I see the strength of Platiner, don't get me wrong.

0:43:14.280 --> 0:43:16.680
<v Speaker 1>And so it's interesting now you see the Colins super

0:43:16.680 --> 0:43:22.160
<v Speaker 1>pack essentially deciding, oh no, we much rather face Janet Mills. Look,

0:43:22.239 --> 0:43:25.480
<v Speaker 1>she's just not a good candidate. Doesn't mean she might

0:43:25.480 --> 0:43:27.520
<v Speaker 1>not make a great senator. She's just not a good candidate,

0:43:27.560 --> 0:43:31.359
<v Speaker 1>whether a primary candidate or general Electric candidate. It's been

0:43:31.400 --> 0:43:33.680
<v Speaker 1>exposed in the primary by Platner, who's a very good

0:43:33.719 --> 0:43:36.759
<v Speaker 1>political athlete, and now the Collins people see it in

0:43:36.800 --> 0:43:40.520
<v Speaker 1>their numbers. Right. This just reinforces what we've all been

0:43:40.560 --> 0:43:44.840
<v Speaker 1>seeing in these public polls. Platner's a strong is in

0:43:44.880 --> 0:43:47.040
<v Speaker 1>a strong position at the moment to win this SENENCEE.

0:43:48.000 --> 0:43:50.880
<v Speaker 1>Collins would much prefer to face an opponent who also

0:43:50.960 --> 0:44:00.000
<v Speaker 1>is an incumbent politician. Pretty logical to me. This episode

0:44:00.080 --> 0:44:02.040
<v Speaker 1>to the Chuck Podcast is brought to you by Soul.

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<v Speaker 1>And yes, I too, am a customer.

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<v Speaker 2>Top Fie topp.

0:45:40.400 --> 0:45:42.600
<v Speaker 1>And this is a fun one today, which it's the

0:45:42.640 --> 0:45:48.880
<v Speaker 1>top five races that are essentially that are going to

0:45:49.000 --> 0:45:54.200
<v Speaker 1>decide win. Lame duck status kicks in for Donald Trump, Right,

0:45:54.280 --> 0:45:57.520
<v Speaker 1>every second term president becomes a lame duck at some point.

0:45:57.960 --> 0:46:00.640
<v Speaker 1>I've condentned it. It's very possible Trump's are lame duck.

0:46:00.640 --> 0:46:03.239
<v Speaker 1>We just haven't fully realized it yet. Sometimes you have

0:46:03.280 --> 0:46:05.719
<v Speaker 1>to go back, you have to go forwards, and then

0:46:05.760 --> 0:46:07.520
<v Speaker 1>you'll go, oh, it turns out that he was a

0:46:07.600 --> 0:46:10.560
<v Speaker 1>lame duck starting, you know, with the with the you know,

0:46:10.560 --> 0:46:13.080
<v Speaker 1>it could could have begun all the way on tariff day, right.

0:46:13.120 --> 0:46:15.000
<v Speaker 1>It was like with Joe Biden, you know, in the

0:46:15.040 --> 0:46:17.560
<v Speaker 1>moment of the Afghanistan withdrawal, it you didn't realize, oh,

0:46:17.600 --> 0:46:19.719
<v Speaker 1>that's the beginning of the end of his presidency. Then

0:46:19.760 --> 0:46:22.319
<v Speaker 1>the farther away we got from it, and the less

0:46:22.360 --> 0:46:25.439
<v Speaker 1>unless he recovered from that moment, the more you're like, oh, hey,

0:46:25.440 --> 0:46:26.920
<v Speaker 1>that turned out to be the beginning of the end

0:46:26.920 --> 0:46:30.000
<v Speaker 1>of his presidency. Right. In some ways, that's when it began, right,

0:46:30.400 --> 0:46:32.440
<v Speaker 1>And it is one of those things you sometimes it

0:46:32.520 --> 0:46:37.000
<v Speaker 1>takes takes a beat to look back. But I definitely

0:46:37.040 --> 0:46:40.400
<v Speaker 1>think in this midterm cycle, especially with the way that

0:46:40.520 --> 0:46:43.640
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump has tried to exert a grip on the

0:46:43.680 --> 0:46:47.080
<v Speaker 1>Republican Party, right, he is he took over he you know,

0:46:47.080 --> 0:46:49.319
<v Speaker 1>at first it was a hijacking, and now he's done

0:46:49.360 --> 0:46:55.240
<v Speaker 1>a purge, and this is his party. His endorsements usually

0:46:55.360 --> 0:46:59.719
<v Speaker 1>lead to victories. And that's what I'm framing my top

0:46:59.760 --> 0:47:03.120
<v Speaker 1>five list around, which is the top five primaries where

0:47:03.120 --> 0:47:08.840
<v Speaker 1>Trump is most vulnerable to seeing his choice lose and

0:47:09.239 --> 0:47:14.040
<v Speaker 1>essentially which would then trigger the narrative that perhaps his

0:47:14.160 --> 0:47:16.440
<v Speaker 1>grip on the party itself is loosening. And we know

0:47:16.560 --> 0:47:21.200
<v Speaker 1>that that has all sorts of contagion effects, right, And

0:47:21.239 --> 0:47:23.959
<v Speaker 1>there's no doubt you can probably guess what the Number

0:47:23.960 --> 0:47:25.839
<v Speaker 1>one race is going to be. But all of this

0:47:25.920 --> 0:47:28.880
<v Speaker 1>begins in the next couple of weeks. Okay, four of

0:47:28.880 --> 0:47:32.520
<v Speaker 1>my five primary races are all in the month of May,

0:47:33.360 --> 0:47:35.040
<v Speaker 1>So we're going to find out in the month of

0:47:35.040 --> 0:47:38.280
<v Speaker 1>May whether Trump's grip on the party is as strong

0:47:38.760 --> 0:47:42.600
<v Speaker 1>as it has been over the last few cycles. So

0:47:44.280 --> 0:47:47.560
<v Speaker 1>my top five races that will be to me are

0:47:47.600 --> 0:47:52.040
<v Speaker 1>a measurement of his strength in the party and will

0:47:52.040 --> 0:47:57.440
<v Speaker 1>be a essentially success. Right, Well, then the critics quiet

0:47:57.480 --> 0:48:02.239
<v Speaker 1>down and his grip on the party titans failure and

0:48:02.320 --> 0:48:07.279
<v Speaker 1>the grip starts to loosen. How many multiple failures and

0:48:07.360 --> 0:48:10.239
<v Speaker 1>the whole thing could collapse. So Number five on my

0:48:10.280 --> 0:48:12.520
<v Speaker 1>list is actually not a primary. It's the only non

0:48:12.520 --> 0:48:14.280
<v Speaker 1>primary I put on the list in his North Carolina

0:48:14.280 --> 0:48:20.879
<v Speaker 1>Senate because Michael Wattley essentially got handed the nomination, right,

0:48:20.960 --> 0:48:24.840
<v Speaker 1>he was the de facto candidate after Laura Trump decided

0:48:24.880 --> 0:48:27.400
<v Speaker 1>she didn't want to be a senator. But this was

0:48:27.520 --> 0:48:31.520
<v Speaker 1>essentially Trump blessed. This was Trump's rn C chair, so

0:48:32.160 --> 0:48:34.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, he walked. So this is somebody that Trump

0:48:34.520 --> 0:48:40.799
<v Speaker 1>has groomed to be a party leader, essentially shifting him

0:48:40.840 --> 0:48:44.360
<v Speaker 1>to the top spot at the RNC and now shifting

0:48:44.440 --> 0:48:48.360
<v Speaker 1>him into the nomination slot for the open US senency

0:48:48.480 --> 0:48:51.160
<v Speaker 1>to replace Tom Tillis. And oh, by the way, he

0:48:51.239 --> 0:48:55.360
<v Speaker 1>essentially chased Tom Tillis out of the party. Don't believe me.

0:48:55.400 --> 0:48:57.600
<v Speaker 1>Just look at Tom Tillis's behavior right now in the Senate.

0:48:58.840 --> 0:49:02.600
<v Speaker 1>He ain't doing Trump's bidding. Look, losing to Roy Cooper

0:49:02.719 --> 0:49:05.320
<v Speaker 1>is not a sign that Donald Trump has lost his fastball.

0:49:05.680 --> 0:49:07.880
<v Speaker 1>Okay that I'm not going to sit there. But if

0:49:07.880 --> 0:49:11.640
<v Speaker 1>Michael Wattley loses by double digits, then this is proof

0:49:11.680 --> 0:49:16.759
<v Speaker 1>that Trump really just absolutely made a gigantic mistake. Right,

0:49:16.960 --> 0:49:19.800
<v Speaker 1>probably should have let if he didn't really have confidence

0:49:19.840 --> 0:49:23.440
<v Speaker 1>in Watleys as a statewide candidate. Well, let a primary happen.

0:49:23.920 --> 0:49:26.200
<v Speaker 1>In some ways, a competitive primary might have given new

0:49:26.280 --> 0:49:28.520
<v Speaker 1>name id to somebody that's a rising up, might have

0:49:28.600 --> 0:49:31.000
<v Speaker 1>been a member of Congress. But that is not how

0:49:31.000 --> 0:49:33.840
<v Speaker 1>they wanted to handle things. So I do view this raise,

0:49:34.680 --> 0:49:37.480
<v Speaker 1>and for me, the marker is double digits versus single digits.

0:49:37.480 --> 0:49:41.440
<v Speaker 1>A double digit Roy Cooper victory really is an indictment

0:49:41.520 --> 0:49:46.120
<v Speaker 1>on Trump's political acumen, right, and will be will cause

0:49:46.160 --> 0:49:48.200
<v Speaker 1>all sorts because this is a former R and C chair.

0:49:48.239 --> 0:49:54.719
<v Speaker 1>We'll cause all sorts of handwringing and blind quotes and

0:49:54.800 --> 0:49:56.880
<v Speaker 1>all of this stuff saying, you know, this was crazy.

0:49:56.920 --> 0:50:00.319
<v Speaker 1>What was he even made the nominee? This is all Trump? Right,

0:50:00.719 --> 0:50:03.800
<v Speaker 1>So he is just large ownership of the North Carolina

0:50:03.840 --> 0:50:06.120
<v Speaker 1>Center race, more so than Maine, more so than really

0:50:06.120 --> 0:50:11.719
<v Speaker 1>any other competitive Senate race. Right, this is his creation. Right,

0:50:11.880 --> 0:50:14.600
<v Speaker 1>He bullied that till us out of the party. He

0:50:14.719 --> 0:50:19.040
<v Speaker 1>put his person in there. He cleared the primary field, right,

0:50:19.120 --> 0:50:21.759
<v Speaker 1>so there is no senate race he in some ways

0:50:21.800 --> 0:50:24.000
<v Speaker 1>owns more than this one. So that's number five of them.

0:50:24.040 --> 0:50:27.120
<v Speaker 1>List number four. It's another center race, Louisiana Senate. Now

0:50:27.120 --> 0:50:29.520
<v Speaker 1>we've got the primary on the sixteenth of May, and

0:50:29.520 --> 0:50:31.759
<v Speaker 1>then there's likely to be a runoff because we've got

0:50:31.760 --> 0:50:34.440
<v Speaker 1>a three way competitive race here, and with of course

0:50:35.040 --> 0:50:38.920
<v Speaker 1>Bill Cassidy, the incumbent, Julia let Loowe congresswoman, and then

0:50:39.160 --> 0:50:41.279
<v Speaker 1>John Fleming, who's been in this race before. So it's

0:50:41.280 --> 0:50:44.200
<v Speaker 1>a three way race. They've all got reasonable money and

0:50:44.239 --> 0:50:46.719
<v Speaker 1>there's going to be two that make it through. If

0:50:46.760 --> 0:50:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Cassidy's one of the two, you know, Cassidy is a

0:50:52.040 --> 0:50:56.920
<v Speaker 1>puncher's chance in this thing. Now, Look, they've rigged the

0:50:56.960 --> 0:50:59.440
<v Speaker 1>rules in Louisiana to try to punish Cassidy. Right, this

0:50:59.480 --> 0:51:02.000
<v Speaker 1>is the first they're ever doing a partisan primary that

0:51:02.440 --> 0:51:04.800
<v Speaker 1>Louisiana needs to be an all party primary, one ballot,

0:51:04.840 --> 0:51:08.560
<v Speaker 1>and then there was sort of a runoff situation. Frankly,

0:51:09.239 --> 0:51:11.759
<v Speaker 1>it's actually a model that I wish more states would

0:51:11.760 --> 0:51:13.480
<v Speaker 1>have adopted. And so it's a shame to see this

0:51:13.800 --> 0:51:15.080
<v Speaker 1>go the other way. But we know why it went

0:51:15.120 --> 0:51:18.400
<v Speaker 1>the other way. Cassidy voted to convict Donald Trump after

0:51:18.440 --> 0:51:23.480
<v Speaker 1>the second impeachment, and this they knew that in the

0:51:23.560 --> 0:51:26.439
<v Speaker 1>old system Cassidy would survive. How do we know this, Well,

0:51:26.640 --> 0:51:31.080
<v Speaker 1>there's still two impeachers in the House, Dan Newhouse in

0:51:31.239 --> 0:51:34.239
<v Speaker 1>Washington State and David Valadio. And what do they both

0:51:34.280 --> 0:51:36.759
<v Speaker 1>have in common? They are in all party primaries. They

0:51:36.760 --> 0:51:38.960
<v Speaker 1>did not have a partisan primary that they had to

0:51:38.960 --> 0:51:41.040
<v Speaker 1>get through. Anybody that had to get through a partisan

0:51:41.080 --> 0:51:47.759
<v Speaker 1>primary lost. So look, I am I certainly think Cassidy's

0:51:47.800 --> 0:51:50.120
<v Speaker 1>the underdog here. I think he'll get into the runoff.

0:51:50.200 --> 0:51:55.000
<v Speaker 1>I assume he loses, But what a repudiation to Trump.

0:51:55.120 --> 0:52:00.080
<v Speaker 1>If he doesn't. It's a big win for Trump. If

0:52:00.080 --> 0:52:04.839
<v Speaker 1>Cassidy doesn't even make the runoff, it's a small win

0:52:04.880 --> 0:52:06.680
<v Speaker 1>for Trump. If he knocks him off in the runoff,

0:52:08.040 --> 0:52:14.080
<v Speaker 1>it's a humiliation. If Cassidy wins renomination Texas Senate. This

0:52:14.160 --> 0:52:18.560
<v Speaker 1>is number three on the list. Look, even though Trump

0:52:18.640 --> 0:52:22.280
<v Speaker 1>is supposedly not endorsed, it's pretty clear Paxton's maga Cornin

0:52:22.400 --> 0:52:28.240
<v Speaker 1>is not right. So Trump is. You know. My guess

0:52:28.320 --> 0:52:30.759
<v Speaker 1>is if he the fact that he hasn't endorsed now

0:52:30.800 --> 0:52:33.640
<v Speaker 1>means he's probably not going to because he's afraid. I

0:52:33.640 --> 0:52:37.080
<v Speaker 1>think of this one because it's not clear. I don't know,

0:52:37.280 --> 0:52:39.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't think he has the standing with

0:52:39.160 --> 0:52:42.000
<v Speaker 1>the party anymore that endorsing corn would put automatically put

0:52:42.040 --> 0:52:45.200
<v Speaker 1>him over the top. Put it this way, he's afraid

0:52:45.200 --> 0:52:47.600
<v Speaker 1>to find out. And the lack of him not wanting

0:52:47.600 --> 0:52:50.440
<v Speaker 1>to get involved in this race says more about his

0:52:50.560 --> 0:52:56.680
<v Speaker 1>own fear of exposing himself. Right, does the Emperor have

0:52:56.760 --> 0:53:04.400
<v Speaker 1>clothes on or not moment than anything else. So you know,

0:53:04.480 --> 0:53:06.560
<v Speaker 1>he'll take credit for a corn and win if corn

0:53:06.680 --> 0:53:08.080
<v Speaker 1>somehow gets out of this runoff. By the way, this

0:53:08.160 --> 0:53:10.600
<v Speaker 1>runoffs May twenty six, end of the month, right after

0:53:10.680 --> 0:53:13.520
<v Speaker 1>Memorial Day, so likely to be low turnout, usually not

0:53:13.560 --> 0:53:15.960
<v Speaker 1>a good sign for the for the for the more

0:53:16.640 --> 0:53:19.720
<v Speaker 1>center right candidate or center left candidate, you know, always

0:53:19.800 --> 0:53:23.680
<v Speaker 1>usually an advantage for the base. But this is one

0:53:23.719 --> 0:53:28.480
<v Speaker 1>that I think, you know, Cornyn surviving this is a

0:53:28.480 --> 0:53:32.560
<v Speaker 1>repudiation of Mega and that in it indirectly is a

0:53:32.560 --> 0:53:36.839
<v Speaker 1>repudiation of Trump or a loosening of the grip. Next sudden,

0:53:36.920 --> 0:53:38.600
<v Speaker 1>this is Georgia governor, and this is going to be

0:53:38.600 --> 0:53:41.480
<v Speaker 1>an interesting test. So Trump's already endorsed in Georgia governor.

0:53:41.520 --> 0:53:44.440
<v Speaker 1>He endorsed the lieutenant governor Burt Jones, and he's endorsed

0:53:44.520 --> 0:53:46.560
<v Speaker 1>him from the beginning. And Burt Jones has been somebody

0:53:46.560 --> 0:53:48.640
<v Speaker 1>that has flirted with some of these conspiracies. He's been

0:53:48.680 --> 0:53:50.759
<v Speaker 1>on the mega train from the beginning, very much like

0:53:50.800 --> 0:53:55.600
<v Speaker 1>Paxton in Texas. Well. A new candidate jump in this race,

0:53:55.719 --> 0:53:59.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of a former healthcare executive named Rick Jackson, got

0:53:59.560 --> 0:54:03.000
<v Speaker 1>a terrific personal story that really I think resonates with people.

0:54:03.040 --> 0:54:07.520
<v Speaker 1>He's essentially a foster kid that built his own life

0:54:07.560 --> 0:54:10.640
<v Speaker 1>after that and he's been incredibly charitable with Foster organization.

0:54:10.840 --> 0:54:15.400
<v Speaker 1>So he's just he's got a he doesn't have the

0:54:15.640 --> 0:54:19.960
<v Speaker 1>usual political narrative for a biography. I think it's quite syllable,

0:54:20.000 --> 0:54:21.640
<v Speaker 1>and I think him is you know, you know, if

0:54:21.680 --> 0:54:23.600
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna ask me, I think Rick Jackson's the favorite

0:54:23.600 --> 0:54:28.160
<v Speaker 1>to be the next governor, let alone the primary winner. Now.

0:54:28.239 --> 0:54:30.239
<v Speaker 1>Rick Jackson, in some ways he's been He jumped in

0:54:30.280 --> 0:54:32.560
<v Speaker 1>this race, and he proclaimed himself, you know, very much

0:54:32.600 --> 0:54:36.239
<v Speaker 1>a Trump Republican, basically trying to trying to trying to

0:54:37.040 --> 0:54:41.960
<v Speaker 1>triangulate a little bit and sort of either forced Trump

0:54:42.000 --> 0:54:44.120
<v Speaker 1>to duel endorse like he's done in the past when

0:54:44.120 --> 0:54:48.279
<v Speaker 1>he sees somebody playing up to him, or in some

0:54:48.320 --> 0:54:51.840
<v Speaker 1>ways dare Trump to back up his endorsement. And I

0:54:51.880 --> 0:54:55.040
<v Speaker 1>think that's you know, if Trump doesn't come to Burt

0:54:55.120 --> 0:54:59.520
<v Speaker 1>Jones's aid here because Rick Jackson is self funding, well,

0:54:59.560 --> 0:55:01.920
<v Speaker 1>what's Trump raised all this money for? Right? Is he

0:55:02.080 --> 0:55:06.239
<v Speaker 1>going to use his money to show to defend those

0:55:06.280 --> 0:55:09.120
<v Speaker 1>that stood with him and that you know got in

0:55:09.200 --> 0:55:13.000
<v Speaker 1>early or not. And if he doesn't come in and

0:55:13.040 --> 0:55:16.560
<v Speaker 1>help Jones here, if this Maga super pac, I really

0:55:16.600 --> 0:55:20.440
<v Speaker 1>think it does send this broader message and it's a

0:55:20.480 --> 0:55:25.080
<v Speaker 1>bad look for the Trump movement that hey, it's a

0:55:25.080 --> 0:55:27.960
<v Speaker 1>one way loyalty street and he's going to he will

0:55:28.040 --> 0:55:30.040
<v Speaker 1>run away from you if you look like you're weak

0:55:30.120 --> 0:55:34.600
<v Speaker 1>or losing, even if it's not on you. And you know,

0:55:34.680 --> 0:55:37.120
<v Speaker 1>the idea that he is not a reliable ally I

0:55:37.160 --> 0:55:39.560
<v Speaker 1>know is going to shock people. But you know, if

0:55:39.560 --> 0:55:41.680
<v Speaker 1>Burt Jones wants to know what this feels like, he

0:55:41.719 --> 0:55:45.560
<v Speaker 1>can go ask Lensky what it feels like. Right. And

0:55:45.600 --> 0:55:48.880
<v Speaker 1>the number one on the list that to me probably

0:55:48.920 --> 0:55:50.920
<v Speaker 1>matters more than any of the other races on this

0:55:50.960 --> 0:55:54.800
<v Speaker 1>list is the May nineteenth primary in Kentucky's fourth congressional

0:55:54.800 --> 0:56:00.479
<v Speaker 1>district and Thomas Massey. A Thomas Massey victory I think

0:56:00.600 --> 0:56:07.000
<v Speaker 1>cements the narrative that Trump's Elaine Duck his his his

0:56:07.080 --> 0:56:09.560
<v Speaker 1>control of the party is loosening and there's no going

0:56:09.600 --> 0:56:12.879
<v Speaker 1>back from it. Like it becomes just it it is.

0:56:13.239 --> 0:56:17.839
<v Speaker 1>It is probably this single most powerful narrative reaction of

0:56:17.880 --> 0:56:19.839
<v Speaker 1>anything on this top five lists. That's why it's number

0:56:19.880 --> 0:56:21.919
<v Speaker 1>one for me on this list. I think this has

0:56:21.960 --> 0:56:25.520
<v Speaker 1>the you know, he has repeatedly gone after Massey. This

0:56:25.600 --> 0:56:27.319
<v Speaker 1>is one of the few races he's put his money

0:56:27.320 --> 0:56:30.839
<v Speaker 1>where his mouth is. Massy has done his thing and

0:56:30.880 --> 0:56:34.840
<v Speaker 1>he's gone back and he's certainly not been shy about

0:56:34.840 --> 0:56:41.960
<v Speaker 1>trying to fight fire with fire back on him. You know,

0:56:42.400 --> 0:56:46.279
<v Speaker 1>past is if past is any guide here, Massy's going

0:56:46.360 --> 0:56:51.400
<v Speaker 1>to lose. But there is risk if Massy wins this,

0:56:51.520 --> 0:56:54.960
<v Speaker 1>and he's pretty connected to this district and Kentucky Republicans

0:56:55.440 --> 0:56:58.759
<v Speaker 1>tell you talk about a group of Republicans that just

0:56:59.360 --> 0:57:03.040
<v Speaker 1>aren't cooked cutter right, and there's none of them you

0:57:03.040 --> 0:57:05.839
<v Speaker 1>can point to and say, well, they're you know, look

0:57:05.880 --> 0:57:08.560
<v Speaker 1>at the Senate race, right there's it's easier to make

0:57:08.600 --> 0:57:12.319
<v Speaker 1>the case that they're non Maga than Maga. There is

0:57:12.360 --> 0:57:16.120
<v Speaker 1>this own sort of independent streak that they have. McConnell

0:57:16.200 --> 0:57:18.880
<v Speaker 1>is no Maga Republican for different reasons than Ran Paul

0:57:19.400 --> 0:57:22.320
<v Speaker 1>is no maga Republican for different reasons, and Thomas Massey

0:57:22.360 --> 0:57:24.480
<v Speaker 1>and then you could keep money. You got the Secretary

0:57:24.480 --> 0:57:26.760
<v Speaker 1>of State Michael Adams is a different type of Republican,

0:57:26.800 --> 0:57:29.920
<v Speaker 1>but so is Daniel Cameron, and so is Andy Barr.

0:57:29.960 --> 0:57:33.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's just been you know, in some ways,

0:57:33.240 --> 0:57:36.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to be culturally surprised if Massey loses because

0:57:36.440 --> 0:57:39.400
<v Speaker 1>it's not in the culture of Kentucky politics. And at

0:57:39.440 --> 0:57:43.680
<v Speaker 1>the same time, right history shows that when Trump really

0:57:43.720 --> 0:57:46.240
<v Speaker 1>wants to weigh in on something and throws actual money

0:57:46.240 --> 0:57:50.520
<v Speaker 1>behind that weight, he can have some success. But if

0:57:50.560 --> 0:57:53.000
<v Speaker 1>you're trying to keep track, when does lame duck status

0:57:53.040 --> 0:57:56.640
<v Speaker 1>officially begin for Donald Trump? Thomas massey victory on May

0:57:56.720 --> 0:58:04.240
<v Speaker 1>nineteen would cement the narrative is that he's fully in

0:58:04.360 --> 0:58:16.280
<v Speaker 1>the lame duck status. Ask Chuck, all right, let's do

0:58:16.320 --> 0:58:19.439
<v Speaker 1>a little last Chuck here. First question comes from Doug

0:58:19.520 --> 0:58:26.560
<v Speaker 1>and Shaker Heights, a wonderful community in Cleveland, and he

0:58:26.560 --> 0:58:28.800
<v Speaker 1>goes new listener here, really appreciate the measured analysis on

0:58:28.840 --> 0:58:30.760
<v Speaker 1>the show. I'm wondering if Ohio Democrats made it a

0:58:30.840 --> 0:58:34.000
<v Speaker 1>strategic mistake by backing Shared Brown again, given concerns about

0:58:34.000 --> 0:58:37.160
<v Speaker 1>his age, branding and his association with the national party leadership.

0:58:37.360 --> 0:58:39.680
<v Speaker 1>Would nominating younger, newer candidates be a better way for

0:58:39.760 --> 0:58:43.200
<v Speaker 1>Democrats to rebuild their image and compete more effectively in

0:58:43.240 --> 0:58:45.360
<v Speaker 1>states like Ohio. Curious to hear you take thank you,

0:58:45.480 --> 0:58:49.960
<v Speaker 1>Doug and chicker heights. So I think, big picture, your instinct.

0:58:50.000 --> 0:58:51.840
<v Speaker 1>I could see where you're thinking, and I kind of

0:58:51.960 --> 0:58:54.760
<v Speaker 1>tend to agree with it. And I'll be honest, I

0:58:54.840 --> 0:58:57.640
<v Speaker 1>was surprised that Brown got into this race because do

0:58:57.680 --> 0:58:59.720
<v Speaker 1>you realize and I bet I don't know if you do.

0:59:00.000 --> 0:59:02.840
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if many Ohioans realize this. This is

0:59:02.880 --> 0:59:07.200
<v Speaker 1>technically not the time for this seat to come up,

0:59:07.200 --> 0:59:10.280
<v Speaker 1>but this is a special election to fill out the

0:59:10.520 --> 0:59:15.000
<v Speaker 1>JD Vance's term that began in the twenty twenty two cycle, right,

0:59:15.560 --> 0:59:18.640
<v Speaker 1>and John Houstad was the appointed successor. He was the

0:59:18.680 --> 0:59:21.600
<v Speaker 1>lieutenant governor before that, the Secretary of State, sort of

0:59:21.680 --> 0:59:24.760
<v Speaker 1>really sort of a more of an Ohio Republican and

0:59:24.840 --> 0:59:27.640
<v Speaker 1>anything on the mega side of things. But this was

0:59:27.680 --> 0:59:33.040
<v Speaker 1>DeWine's appointment and it's only for two years, and your

0:59:33.200 --> 0:59:38.160
<v Speaker 1>reward for winning this massive, expensive Senate race in twenty

0:59:38.160 --> 0:59:40.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty six is you got to run again in twenty

0:59:40.520 --> 0:59:43.800
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight. And I just couldn't believe that Shared Brown

0:59:43.880 --> 0:59:47.240
<v Speaker 1>was going to sign up after running in twenty twenty four.

0:59:47.600 --> 0:59:49.680
<v Speaker 1>We know he already did this running in twenty twenty

0:59:49.720 --> 0:59:52.520
<v Speaker 1>six and then running in twenty twenty eight. Is he

0:59:52.720 --> 0:59:57.720
<v Speaker 1>really going to have run three straight Senate races? If

0:59:57.720 --> 1:00:01.040
<v Speaker 1>he wins, does he not run for reelection? And then

1:00:01.080 --> 1:00:02.800
<v Speaker 1>if he doesn't run for reelection, who the hell are

1:00:02.800 --> 1:00:05.360
<v Speaker 1>Democrats going to find that con somehow hold a seat

1:00:05.360 --> 1:00:08.480
<v Speaker 1>when it apparently is going to be proof that only

1:00:09.280 --> 1:00:12.240
<v Speaker 1>only only a Shared Brown can hold the seat. So yeah,

1:00:12.240 --> 1:00:14.360
<v Speaker 1>it was a head scratcher to me on a number

1:00:14.360 --> 1:00:17.880
<v Speaker 1>of levels. And I expect that Shared Brown I knew

1:00:17.880 --> 1:00:20.520
<v Speaker 1>he wasn't done running like he just certain people his

1:00:20.560 --> 1:00:24.560
<v Speaker 1>motor was still going right. The one office he never

1:00:24.640 --> 1:00:26.360
<v Speaker 1>ran for was governor. He's run for a lot of

1:00:26.400 --> 1:00:28.360
<v Speaker 1>state wide offices. I think it was secretary state at

1:00:28.360 --> 1:00:30.480
<v Speaker 1>one time. I think he ran for another state white office.

1:00:30.840 --> 1:00:32.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, he and Mike de Wine have you know,

1:00:33.320 --> 1:00:35.040
<v Speaker 1>and the one you know he could have and there

1:00:35.040 --> 1:00:37.920
<v Speaker 1>would have been some sort of poetic irony, you know,

1:00:38.000 --> 1:00:41.040
<v Speaker 1>following Mike the Wine because the one office, Mike the

1:00:41.120 --> 1:00:44.760
<v Speaker 1>Wine always that he had eluded him before finally winning

1:00:44.760 --> 1:00:52.040
<v Speaker 1>and in uh back in twenty eighteen was governor. So

1:00:53.560 --> 1:00:55.360
<v Speaker 1>I figured Shared Brown would run for governor because it's

1:00:55.360 --> 1:00:57.280
<v Speaker 1>a four year term. Number one, I think it was

1:00:57.320 --> 1:00:59.600
<v Speaker 1>an open seat. It was winnable. I think Ramaswami has

1:00:59.640 --> 1:01:05.000
<v Speaker 1>proven to each week a very week Republican nominee and

1:01:05.040 --> 1:01:07.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe Amy Acton who's going to be the likely Democratic

1:01:07.840 --> 1:01:09.920
<v Speaker 1>nominee for governor switches over to the center race, now,

1:01:09.920 --> 1:01:14.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't you know. And and my concern about Shared

1:01:14.720 --> 1:01:19.560
<v Speaker 1>Brown as the nominee is that Houston. You know, normally

1:01:19.560 --> 1:01:22.800
<v Speaker 1>what makes a midterm year advantageous for the out party

1:01:22.880 --> 1:01:27.160
<v Speaker 1>is you get to run against incumbents and I guess

1:01:27.160 --> 1:01:28.960
<v Speaker 1>Shared Brown could run against Trump, and he's going to

1:01:29.080 --> 1:01:32.440
<v Speaker 1>run against Republicans. But it's it's hard not for voters

1:01:32.440 --> 1:01:35.080
<v Speaker 1>to see him as anything but part of the establishment,

1:01:35.160 --> 1:01:37.680
<v Speaker 1>just the Democratic establishment. So all your choices, do you

1:01:37.720 --> 1:01:40.600
<v Speaker 1>want the Republican establishment or do you want the Democratic establishment?

1:01:41.040 --> 1:01:44.680
<v Speaker 1>That said, I don't know if there's a stronger Democrat

1:01:45.840 --> 1:01:47.720
<v Speaker 1>that anybody that you could have found other than Chuck

1:01:47.720 --> 1:01:50.840
<v Speaker 1>Schumer for the center race. I think governor's races are

1:01:50.880 --> 1:01:53.400
<v Speaker 1>still winnable in Ohio. I don't know if center races are,

1:01:53.560 --> 1:01:55.720
<v Speaker 1>but maybe Shared Brown's the one Democrat that can win.

1:01:56.240 --> 1:02:00.240
<v Speaker 1>Maybe Tim Ryan could have you know, maybe there's somebody

1:02:00.320 --> 1:02:02.880
<v Speaker 1>new or younger. Maybe there's a Tallerrico out there. I've

1:02:02.880 --> 1:02:04.800
<v Speaker 1>always say, you know, you know it is. I do

1:02:04.880 --> 1:02:06.600
<v Speaker 1>believe Ohio is a light red state, not a dark

1:02:06.640 --> 1:02:09.560
<v Speaker 1>red state. So the right type of Democrat can still

1:02:09.560 --> 1:02:12.720
<v Speaker 1>went out there. You know, maybe maybe Greg Landsman from

1:02:12.760 --> 1:02:21.080
<v Speaker 1>the Cincinnati area. Right, So let's just say I've I've

1:02:21.640 --> 1:02:26.120
<v Speaker 1>gone at this one hundred ways from Sunday, I think

1:02:26.120 --> 1:02:29.480
<v Speaker 1>from sixty thousand feet. I agree with your take on

1:02:29.560 --> 1:02:33.200
<v Speaker 1>this that this is, but there's also an argument to

1:02:33.240 --> 1:02:35.720
<v Speaker 1>be made who else could have done it in this

1:02:35.960 --> 1:02:39.600
<v Speaker 1>environment for the cost of this race, And when you

1:02:39.600 --> 1:02:42.880
<v Speaker 1>look at the larger map that the Democrats were facing,

1:02:43.800 --> 1:02:47.040
<v Speaker 1>this was you know, a tried and true and proven

1:02:47.120 --> 1:02:51.560
<v Speaker 1>voke get her in Ohio. Right, But there's a lot

1:02:51.560 --> 1:02:53.960
<v Speaker 1>of and I've given you all the reasons why I'm

1:02:54.080 --> 1:02:57.680
<v Speaker 1>surprised he said yes, and that to me is to

1:02:57.760 --> 1:03:01.280
<v Speaker 1>me still the biggest surprise because of by saying yes,

1:03:01.360 --> 1:03:04.880
<v Speaker 1>I think you've inadvertently signed that if you win, you've

1:03:04.920 --> 1:03:08.000
<v Speaker 1>signed up for one more ride on twenty eight and

1:03:08.120 --> 1:03:10.040
<v Speaker 1>my god, I know he used to be a House

1:03:10.080 --> 1:03:13.600
<v Speaker 1>member and you're used. But senators usually don't like to

1:03:13.600 --> 1:03:16.480
<v Speaker 1>have to run every two years, and if he wins,

1:03:16.680 --> 1:03:20.720
<v Speaker 1>his reward is to run again, literally in two years.

1:03:23.000 --> 1:03:25.640
<v Speaker 1>Dean from a Long Island rights with Donald Trump paying

1:03:25.640 --> 1:03:28.440
<v Speaker 1>off wind companies to abandon offshore win project, I way

1:03:28.480 --> 1:03:32.520
<v Speaker 1>thank you for writing this. Sin. I have a piece

1:03:32.560 --> 1:03:34.200
<v Speaker 1>of my monologue that I put together that was going

1:03:34.240 --> 1:03:36.560
<v Speaker 1>to be on this, and then I just there's so

1:03:36.560 --> 1:03:38.160
<v Speaker 1>many other things that piled on top of it. So

1:03:38.200 --> 1:03:40.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm so glad this is a question. So thank you, Dean.

1:03:41.240 --> 1:03:43.560
<v Speaker 1>But let me bears repeating with Donald Trump paying off

1:03:43.560 --> 1:03:45.760
<v Speaker 1>win companies to abandon offshore win products, so you know,

1:03:46.200 --> 1:03:48.800
<v Speaker 1>if that would be considered interference with contracts, could be

1:03:48.920 --> 1:03:50.840
<v Speaker 1>allowing the States to sue the administration and keep the

1:03:50.840 --> 1:03:53.720
<v Speaker 1>companies involved. Thanks Dean from Long Island. Look, I think

1:03:53.720 --> 1:03:56.160
<v Speaker 1>it's an interesting way to go. I think there could

1:03:56.200 --> 1:03:59.440
<v Speaker 1>be lots of lawsuits on this, But I just this

1:03:59.520 --> 1:04:05.040
<v Speaker 1>whole thing, you know, again, it goes back to sort

1:04:05.080 --> 1:04:07.680
<v Speaker 1>of what's wrong with our politics? In general, not everything

1:04:07.720 --> 1:04:12.600
<v Speaker 1>is either or. Some things are ants, okay, and we

1:04:12.640 --> 1:04:17.640
<v Speaker 1>need energy badly. Why are we ruling out parts of energy? Right?

1:04:18.200 --> 1:04:21.640
<v Speaker 1>I think you know, weaning yourself off of any energy

1:04:21.680 --> 1:04:23.760
<v Speaker 1>is a bad idea at the moment. All of the above,

1:04:24.840 --> 1:04:27.560
<v Speaker 1>but it's really foolish not to be thinking about alternative

1:04:27.640 --> 1:04:32.000
<v Speaker 1>energy sources at a time when literally wars get started

1:04:32.160 --> 1:04:38.360
<v Speaker 1>over access to energy. So this is just stupidity. This

1:04:38.440 --> 1:04:42.760
<v Speaker 1>is bad policy, This is bad for the country long term,

1:04:43.280 --> 1:04:47.320
<v Speaker 1>all because of a fetish about climate change. I mean

1:04:47.480 --> 1:04:50.000
<v Speaker 1>this is literally like, well, I don't want to I

1:04:50.040 --> 1:04:52.000
<v Speaker 1>don't want to do these wind farms because somehow it'll

1:04:52.000 --> 1:04:53.800
<v Speaker 1>make us think we believe in climate change, and we

1:04:53.800 --> 1:04:55.800
<v Speaker 1>would need to prove that renewables don't work. Why do

1:04:55.880 --> 1:04:57.520
<v Speaker 1>we want to prove that renewables don't work. All we're

1:04:57.560 --> 1:05:02.120
<v Speaker 1>doing is handing more more power to China. Right. The

1:05:03.120 --> 1:05:07.160
<v Speaker 1>war of choice against Iran has absolutely scared a whole

1:05:07.160 --> 1:05:09.280
<v Speaker 1>bunch of smaller and middle sized countries who don't have

1:05:09.360 --> 1:05:13.040
<v Speaker 1>their own energy access, who rely on buying oil from

1:05:13.080 --> 1:05:15.360
<v Speaker 1>the Strait from the Gulf. And it comes to the

1:05:15.360 --> 1:05:17.360
<v Speaker 1>Strait of hormones, it go, man. We got to find

1:05:17.400 --> 1:05:20.480
<v Speaker 1>alternative sources. And it isn't all just finding alternative sources

1:05:20.560 --> 1:05:24.640
<v Speaker 1>for oil and gas. There's going to be a surge

1:05:24.640 --> 1:05:27.400
<v Speaker 1>in interest in renewables. And guess what country they're going

1:05:27.480 --> 1:05:30.080
<v Speaker 1>to go to for the supplies to tap into solar

1:05:30.120 --> 1:05:31.840
<v Speaker 1>and to tap into win. It ain't going to be

1:05:31.880 --> 1:05:36.480
<v Speaker 1>the United States because this administration is gutting the entire industry.

1:05:37.560 --> 1:05:43.000
<v Speaker 1>It's again, this is self inflicted. There's no part of

1:05:43.040 --> 1:05:47.320
<v Speaker 1>this that makes any sense. And the amount of people

1:05:47.320 --> 1:05:53.040
<v Speaker 1>that don't say this is nonsense. This is not about

1:05:53.200 --> 1:06:01.200
<v Speaker 1>climate change. This is about preparation. Buy the freaking insurance policy. Sorry.

1:06:01.240 --> 1:06:04.440
<v Speaker 1>I find the war against climate change to be just

1:06:04.480 --> 1:06:10.439
<v Speaker 1>so asinine because at this point, who cares whether it's

1:06:10.480 --> 1:06:13.919
<v Speaker 1>man made or not. The climate's changing. We have more

1:06:13.960 --> 1:06:18.080
<v Speaker 1>wildfires happening, we have stronger hurricanes, we have coastal erosion.

1:06:19.360 --> 1:06:23.200
<v Speaker 1>Why does it matter how it started? We should all

1:06:23.240 --> 1:06:25.800
<v Speaker 1>be trying to mitigate it and all be trying to

1:06:25.880 --> 1:06:28.880
<v Speaker 1>and there's no interest. Literally, this ideology on the right

1:06:29.200 --> 1:06:31.800
<v Speaker 1>is to pretend it doesn't exist, that it's made up.

1:06:32.680 --> 1:06:35.080
<v Speaker 1>It's not made up. You want to disagree in the

1:06:35.080 --> 1:06:39.600
<v Speaker 1>origin story, fine, but the results not made up. This

1:06:39.680 --> 1:06:42.560
<v Speaker 1>is the world we're dealing with, the climate has changed.

1:06:42.680 --> 1:06:45.240
<v Speaker 1>You want to fight over whether it was a hidden

1:06:45.320 --> 1:06:54.280
<v Speaker 1>hand above or an actual person or an industry or entity. Sorry,

1:06:54.360 --> 1:06:56.160
<v Speaker 1>I know I get a little ranty about this. I

1:06:56.480 --> 1:06:58.720
<v Speaker 1>just find this one of the dumber things where we do.

1:07:00.480 --> 1:07:03.520
<v Speaker 1>I just you know, why wouldn't we want the insurance policy?

1:07:04.080 --> 1:07:06.400
<v Speaker 1>Next question comes from Pete. What do you make of

1:07:06.400 --> 1:07:08.800
<v Speaker 1>the what if scenario where Trump bought the Buffalo Bills

1:07:08.800 --> 1:07:11.360
<v Speaker 1>in twenty fourteen? Could owning an NFL team have kept

1:07:11.440 --> 1:07:13.440
<v Speaker 1>him from unning for president in twenty sixteen? And so

1:07:13.840 --> 1:07:15.680
<v Speaker 1>how differently do you think that election in the broader

1:07:15.720 --> 1:07:19.840
<v Speaker 1>political landscape since might have played out? Pete, That's a

1:07:19.840 --> 1:07:23.640
<v Speaker 1>good one. It is a what if. You know, when

1:07:23.680 --> 1:07:26.360
<v Speaker 1>I did my original what if on twenty sixteen, I

1:07:26.400 --> 1:07:29.920
<v Speaker 1>think I was riffing with Jonathan Martin. I worry this

1:07:29.960 --> 1:07:33.040
<v Speaker 1>is in the old NBC feed their own They didn't

1:07:33.040 --> 1:07:35.760
<v Speaker 1>get to own the name, but they owned my intellectual

1:07:37.280 --> 1:07:40.880
<v Speaker 1>property there. But we went through all these various scenarios

1:07:40.960 --> 1:07:42.840
<v Speaker 1>on that. Do I think if he were the owner

1:07:42.840 --> 1:07:44.640
<v Speaker 1>of the Buffalo Bills he wouldn't have run for president? Yes?

1:07:44.680 --> 1:07:50.600
<v Speaker 1>I do, And I think the NFL would be something.

1:07:51.120 --> 1:07:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Put it that way, and you'd have, you know, the

1:07:55.560 --> 1:07:59.760
<v Speaker 1>war between Jerry Jones, Bob Kraft and Donald Trump, those

1:07:59.800 --> 1:08:04.920
<v Speaker 1>three egos fighting each other for supremacy among owners. Right, like, man,

1:08:05.400 --> 1:08:08.920
<v Speaker 1>let's let's let's get that. Forget the TV series running

1:08:08.920 --> 1:08:13.080
<v Speaker 1>point about, you know, loosely about the Genie bus lakers.

1:08:13.560 --> 1:08:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's do that, right, Craft Jones and Trump NFL owners, right,

1:08:18.200 --> 1:08:22.839
<v Speaker 1>you know, the New Housewives of the NFL, but starring

1:08:22.920 --> 1:08:26.400
<v Speaker 1>Jerry Jones, Donald Trump and there. So what would happen

1:08:26.400 --> 1:08:31.160
<v Speaker 1>in twenty sixteen? I will tell you so if Trump

1:08:31.200 --> 1:08:37.599
<v Speaker 1>never runs, there's sort of two what ifs that I've

1:08:37.680 --> 1:08:43.120
<v Speaker 1>entertained on this, and they I have to talk about

1:08:43.120 --> 1:08:47.800
<v Speaker 1>them sequentially because when this, if there's no bridge Gate,

1:08:48.720 --> 1:08:55.960
<v Speaker 1>Chris Christie's the nominee in sixteen. Chris Christie's personality fit

1:08:56.040 --> 1:08:59.720
<v Speaker 1>the moment, right, because Donald Trump proved that this is

1:08:59.720 --> 1:09:02.760
<v Speaker 1>what kind of the country was looking for. It fit

1:09:02.800 --> 1:09:04.320
<v Speaker 1>the moment. But he'd have been a lot easily. He

1:09:04.320 --> 1:09:08.679
<v Speaker 1>probably wins big, not small Christy versus Clinton. Christy probably

1:09:08.680 --> 1:09:10.439
<v Speaker 1>gets fifty one to fifty two, fifty three percent of

1:09:10.439 --> 1:09:15.840
<v Speaker 1>the vote, and Christy would have been challenged from the

1:09:15.960 --> 1:09:18.800
<v Speaker 1>right by you know, by the Ted cruises of the world,

1:09:18.840 --> 1:09:21.280
<v Speaker 1>would have been hit hard on judges, on abortion, on

1:09:21.280 --> 1:09:23.680
<v Speaker 1>some of these cultural issues that I think wouldn't have

1:09:23.680 --> 1:09:26.120
<v Speaker 1>mattered because Christy was just a better debater and he

1:09:26.160 --> 1:09:29.240
<v Speaker 1>would have been, you know, without Donald Trump involved, Christy

1:09:29.280 --> 1:09:31.960
<v Speaker 1>would have been the star of that show. All right,

1:09:32.000 --> 1:09:35.559
<v Speaker 1>that that's one scenario. But Bridge Gaye did happen, and

1:09:35.600 --> 1:09:38.200
<v Speaker 1>it and it was a different It was a you know,

1:09:38.240 --> 1:09:40.120
<v Speaker 1>it's funny. It was sort of like a wounded version

1:09:40.160 --> 1:09:43.160
<v Speaker 1>of Chris Christy in that primary, and we didn't get

1:09:43.160 --> 1:09:45.760
<v Speaker 1>the best version of him it would have been, because

1:09:45.760 --> 1:09:47.640
<v Speaker 1>I do think if Christy's in that race, Trump's just

1:09:47.680 --> 1:09:50.720
<v Speaker 1>an endorser of Christy. He never jumps in because he

1:09:50.720 --> 1:09:54.040
<v Speaker 1>doesn't think he can be Christy. So that's sort of

1:09:54.080 --> 1:09:56.759
<v Speaker 1>where one my head. That's one of my what if scenarios.

1:09:56.800 --> 1:09:58.680
<v Speaker 1>The second one if on this is so let's say

1:09:58.680 --> 1:10:02.000
<v Speaker 1>Bridgegate happened, and so what you essentially have is is

1:10:03.479 --> 1:10:05.160
<v Speaker 1>I think Rand Paul would have been a much bigger

1:10:05.200 --> 1:10:10.000
<v Speaker 1>factor because Paul had the non traditional Republicans that were

1:10:10.040 --> 1:10:13.240
<v Speaker 1>interested in something new. Now, the minute Trump got in,

1:10:13.720 --> 1:10:16.519
<v Speaker 1>it was like a vacuum cleaner on Paul's support. Right,

1:10:16.840 --> 1:10:20.160
<v Speaker 1>the first chunk that he took, first, lunch money he

1:10:20.200 --> 1:10:22.599
<v Speaker 1>took was not Jeb Bush's lunch money. It was actually

1:10:24.200 --> 1:10:29.920
<v Speaker 1>Rand Paul's lunch money. And so I think without Trump,

1:10:29.960 --> 1:10:34.040
<v Speaker 1>Paul's a much bigger player and Rand Paul. You know,

1:10:34.080 --> 1:10:37.240
<v Speaker 1>there's a scenario where Rand Paul's nominee and Paul versus

1:10:37.240 --> 1:10:40.719
<v Speaker 1>Clinton is very similar to Trump versus Clinton, except probably

1:10:40.760 --> 1:10:45.920
<v Speaker 1>a little less personal. And I think given what we

1:10:45.960 --> 1:10:50.760
<v Speaker 1>saw with the with the vote and the desperation that

1:10:50.800 --> 1:10:53.520
<v Speaker 1>there was among you know, there's sort of the obstinates

1:10:53.520 --> 1:10:56.080
<v Speaker 1>that there was into electing Hillary Clinton. Right. There definitely

1:10:56.160 --> 1:10:59.960
<v Speaker 1>was a strong anti Clinton chunk of voters that just

1:11:00.240 --> 1:11:04.000
<v Speaker 1>we're put a low ceiling on her ability to gain votes.

1:11:04.240 --> 1:11:08.360
<v Speaker 1>So I think Paul, so Christy Paul, and then probably

1:11:08.360 --> 1:11:11.320
<v Speaker 1>Ted Cruz. That's probably the order of likely nominee with

1:11:11.320 --> 1:11:15.040
<v Speaker 1>no Donald Trump and no bridge Gate. I think Christy

1:11:15.160 --> 1:11:19.479
<v Speaker 1>with Bridgegate, I probably think the nominee is still Paul

1:11:20.000 --> 1:11:24.600
<v Speaker 1>or Cruise. Like I don't think Rubio. I think we

1:11:24.680 --> 1:11:30.080
<v Speaker 1>found out that Rubio was trying to straddle too much there.

1:11:30.200 --> 1:11:36.880
<v Speaker 1>Now maybe Rubio looks like a better candidate, but you

1:11:36.960 --> 1:11:39.439
<v Speaker 1>know it's pot You know you could, you could if

1:11:39.439 --> 1:11:41.240
<v Speaker 1>you want to argue with me that maybe Rubio gets

1:11:41.240 --> 1:11:43.240
<v Speaker 1>in there. Now, Rubio and Nominee probably wins by a

1:11:43.240 --> 1:11:46.639
<v Speaker 1>bigger margin over Clinton too than Trump. I do think

1:11:46.640 --> 1:11:49.400
<v Speaker 1>both Rubio and Christy would have been stronger candidates than Trump.

1:11:49.439 --> 1:11:51.880
<v Speaker 1>I think both CRUs and Paul would have been kind

1:11:51.920 --> 1:11:55.960
<v Speaker 1>of the exact, very similar races where we're some sort

1:11:56.000 --> 1:12:00.599
<v Speaker 1>of split decision. Well that was fun, Pete, all right.

1:12:00.760 --> 1:12:08.519
<v Speaker 1>Next question comes from Ben s from Tona Wanda, New York.

1:12:09.520 --> 1:12:11.680
<v Speaker 1>One of my favorite undergrad courses I took at the

1:12:11.760 --> 1:12:14.479
<v Speaker 1>University of Rochester was titled the Mythology of the Founders.

1:12:14.479 --> 1:12:18.679
<v Speaker 1>I remember writing my final paper on Congressman Raoul Labrador

1:12:18.720 --> 1:12:20.799
<v Speaker 1>on behalf of the Tea Party advocating for the repeal

1:12:20.800 --> 1:12:23.559
<v Speaker 1>of the seventeenth Amendment because it deviated too far from

1:12:23.560 --> 1:12:26.679
<v Speaker 1>the Founding Father's intentions. For better or worse, Many Americans

1:12:26.760 --> 1:12:29.920
<v Speaker 1>mythologize our Founding documents and their authors, and I wanted

1:12:29.920 --> 1:12:31.560
<v Speaker 1>to know how you might navigate that with some of

1:12:31.560 --> 1:12:34.120
<v Speaker 1>the proposed constitutional membents you have discussed on the podcast

1:12:34.320 --> 1:12:37.720
<v Speaker 1>Go sabers ps. Did you have a favorite course from

1:12:37.720 --> 1:12:43.080
<v Speaker 1>your college days. I did. I had all. I would say,

1:12:44.160 --> 1:12:46.760
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna you know, it's gonna be a bit dorking out.

1:12:47.240 --> 1:12:49.960
<v Speaker 1>I loved all my history classes. It didn't matter which is,

1:12:50.280 --> 1:12:51.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, I had a general one, I had an

1:12:51.720 --> 1:12:54.679
<v Speaker 1>at least history that I took. Two different mid least

1:12:54.760 --> 1:12:58.920
<v Speaker 1>history courses I took, but I always say this the

1:12:58.960 --> 1:13:02.280
<v Speaker 1>two courses I used the most in life in my

1:13:02.360 --> 1:13:06.080
<v Speaker 1>professional life after I took an elective on the federal budget,

1:13:06.439 --> 1:13:08.720
<v Speaker 1>which is the type of the type of course that

1:13:08.800 --> 1:13:11.360
<v Speaker 1>only a GW is going to offer. Right, you're in DC,

1:13:11.960 --> 1:13:13.559
<v Speaker 1>and it was taught by somebody that worked at OMB

1:13:14.080 --> 1:13:18.879
<v Speaker 1>and I just it was you know, it is certainly

1:13:18.880 --> 1:13:21.439
<v Speaker 1>benefited me in my ability just simply learning how to

1:13:21.520 --> 1:13:24.280
<v Speaker 1>read a federal budget right when you see how you

1:13:24.560 --> 1:13:26.200
<v Speaker 1>look at it and things like that, and how it's

1:13:26.240 --> 1:13:28.479
<v Speaker 1>done and how the math works. Right, the math isn't

1:13:29.560 --> 1:13:32.719
<v Speaker 1>the rules of math for federal budgets don't necessarily follow

1:13:32.760 --> 1:13:36.600
<v Speaker 1>the general rules of math. That was That was a

1:13:36.600 --> 1:13:43.360
<v Speaker 1>big one for me as well. But as for your so,

1:13:44.479 --> 1:13:47.760
<v Speaker 1>I believe in founders intent, right, but that doesn't mean

1:13:47.760 --> 1:13:51.200
<v Speaker 1>you don't modernize with founders intent. The seventeenth Amendment is

1:13:51.240 --> 1:13:55.240
<v Speaker 1>an interesting debate. You know, in my class how Washington

1:13:55.320 --> 1:13:59.200
<v Speaker 1>works that I briefly talked about here that I teach

1:14:00.000 --> 1:14:02.599
<v Speaker 1>part time at USC four for the visiting students that

1:14:02.800 --> 1:14:07.280
<v Speaker 1>have internships in DC. We just did our final They

1:14:07.320 --> 1:14:09.760
<v Speaker 1>just did their final prison. They just did their oral

1:14:09.760 --> 1:14:12.040
<v Speaker 1>presentations on what their final paper is going to be on,

1:14:13.800 --> 1:14:16.400
<v Speaker 1>and one of them is for and the whole is

1:14:16.680 --> 1:14:18.760
<v Speaker 1>what's what's a you know, how would you try to

1:14:18.800 --> 1:14:21.320
<v Speaker 1>make Washington work better? What's run reform you would do

1:14:21.360 --> 1:14:27.360
<v Speaker 1>to make Washington work better? And there's one gentleman who

1:14:27.439 --> 1:14:30.880
<v Speaker 1>picked repealing the seventeenth Amendment and about how you know

1:14:30.920 --> 1:14:34.439
<v Speaker 1>it would and one of the benefits that he believed

1:14:34.439 --> 1:14:37.040
<v Speaker 1>brought to it was that it would actually make state

1:14:37.120 --> 1:14:42.160
<v Speaker 1>legislative elections more important. More people would look into that more,

1:14:43.040 --> 1:14:45.800
<v Speaker 1>more senators would be more representative of their states, rather

1:14:45.840 --> 1:14:51.720
<v Speaker 1>than an ideology. So it's an interesting argument on the

1:14:51.800 --> 1:15:01.160
<v Speaker 1>seventeenth On the seventeenth Amendment, we know what the intent,

1:15:01.200 --> 1:15:03.799
<v Speaker 1>but the intent of the electoral College was to actually

1:15:03.880 --> 1:15:05.800
<v Speaker 1>be a bit of a vetting mechanism in case the

1:15:05.800 --> 1:15:09.679
<v Speaker 1>public went too far off out of the mainstream. And

1:15:09.720 --> 1:15:14.080
<v Speaker 1>we've let the states essentially create what are likely unconstitutional

1:15:14.680 --> 1:15:18.519
<v Speaker 1>faithless elector laws on that. But we've never tested the

1:15:18.520 --> 1:15:24.439
<v Speaker 1>faithless elector issue in court per se. But right now

1:15:24.439 --> 1:15:26.720
<v Speaker 1>states just bound electors, and so they've kind of made

1:15:26.720 --> 1:15:29.880
<v Speaker 1>the electoral college no longer a vetting issue. So I

1:15:29.920 --> 1:15:32.719
<v Speaker 1>think I am a believer in Founder's intent, which means

1:15:32.760 --> 1:15:38.320
<v Speaker 1>to me, if my amendment couldn't easily be defended by

1:15:38.360 --> 1:15:43.200
<v Speaker 1>something already written in the federalist papers, then I might

1:15:43.840 --> 1:15:46.840
<v Speaker 1>be willing no longer to defend that addition to the

1:15:46.840 --> 1:15:50.040
<v Speaker 1>Constitution and said, just why don't you just codify this? Look,

1:15:50.040 --> 1:15:53.559
<v Speaker 1>there's certain ideas that should just simply be codified into

1:15:53.600 --> 1:15:56.080
<v Speaker 1>law by Congress. Like I don't think there should be

1:15:56.080 --> 1:15:59.759
<v Speaker 1>a constitutional amendment for reproductive rights. I think that's something

1:15:59.800 --> 1:16:04.720
<v Speaker 1>that should just simply be codified into law, why you know,

1:16:04.920 --> 1:16:07.880
<v Speaker 1>And it's sort of a fear of doing it that

1:16:08.000 --> 1:16:09.600
<v Speaker 1>now makes you think, well, I guess you got to

1:16:09.640 --> 1:16:11.840
<v Speaker 1>do it as a constitutional amendment. And it's perhaps if

1:16:11.880 --> 1:16:15.120
<v Speaker 1>you make a better argument about equal protection, that the

1:16:15.160 --> 1:16:20.120
<v Speaker 1>equal protection argument on reproductive rights trumps the original back

1:16:20.160 --> 1:16:24.320
<v Speaker 1>and forth on Row and Dobbs anyway, But set that aside,

1:16:24.920 --> 1:16:27.960
<v Speaker 1>but I'm sort of it. I take your point here. Like, so,

1:16:28.040 --> 1:16:31.639
<v Speaker 1>for instance, I think the nullification of a presidential pardon,

1:16:31.880 --> 1:16:37.080
<v Speaker 1>the way it is framed, this constitutional amendment actually fits

1:16:37.120 --> 1:16:39.960
<v Speaker 1>the vision of the Founders, right. It uses the same

1:16:40.040 --> 1:16:42.960
<v Speaker 1>logic of a supermajority that a that overwriting a veto

1:16:42.960 --> 1:16:48.160
<v Speaker 1>would use. It doesn't you know. It's still respects the

1:16:48.200 --> 1:16:51.360
<v Speaker 1>idea that a president does have this power. It just

1:16:51.439 --> 1:16:56.400
<v Speaker 1>offers a nullification by Congress if it's if Congress deems

1:16:56.439 --> 1:16:59.080
<v Speaker 1>it so. So I could argue that that, you know,

1:16:59.320 --> 1:17:02.840
<v Speaker 1>But I think that where I generally agree with you

1:17:04.200 --> 1:17:08.559
<v Speaker 1>is that proposed constitutional amendments that there should already be

1:17:08.640 --> 1:17:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Federalist papers written that already would defend the concept even

1:17:12.439 --> 1:17:15.479
<v Speaker 1>if the amendment hadn't been proposed back then. And I

1:17:15.520 --> 1:17:17.880
<v Speaker 1>could argue in some of these proposed amendments, whether it's

1:17:17.920 --> 1:17:27.320
<v Speaker 1>on whether it's on money campaign money, I think they're

1:17:27.520 --> 1:17:30.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, whether it's on the election of judges, right,

1:17:30.240 --> 1:17:34.280
<v Speaker 1>there's there's certainly the Founders have made their made their

1:17:35.280 --> 1:17:39.200
<v Speaker 1>They've told us what they meant based on the Federalist papers.

1:17:39.560 --> 1:17:41.720
<v Speaker 1>So I'd sort of think that should be the guidepost.

1:17:43.120 --> 1:17:46.680
<v Speaker 1>All right, last question, it comes from fred A. Hey.

1:17:46.680 --> 1:17:48.840
<v Speaker 1>I been thinking about Thomas Jefferson's quote that the tree

1:17:48.840 --> 1:17:50.840
<v Speaker 1>of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with

1:17:50.840 --> 1:17:53.200
<v Speaker 1>the blood of patriots and tyrants, and now it's often

1:17:53.280 --> 1:17:55.519
<v Speaker 1>used to justify a more extreme interpretation of the Second

1:17:55.560 --> 1:17:58.679
<v Speaker 1>Amendment parts of the country. That idea still resonates deeply,

1:17:59.000 --> 1:18:00.760
<v Speaker 1>but I wonder if it's something we should be moving

1:18:00.800 --> 1:18:02.880
<v Speaker 1>beyond as a modern democracy. How do you interpret that

1:18:02.920 --> 1:18:06.360
<v Speaker 1>quote in today's political context? Best regards freda A. Look,

1:18:06.439 --> 1:18:11.439
<v Speaker 1>I think that that you know, we didn't there wasn't

1:18:11.439 --> 1:18:16.680
<v Speaker 1>many democracies in free societies that even existed when Jefferson

1:18:16.720 --> 1:18:22.360
<v Speaker 1>said that quote, and there were a lot more authoritarian

1:18:22.400 --> 1:18:24.679
<v Speaker 1>regimes we called the monarchies, but they were just that

1:18:25.120 --> 1:18:27.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, you know my attitude on this, I think

1:18:27.200 --> 1:18:30.960
<v Speaker 1>the monarchies are just a just a way to beautify

1:18:31.000 --> 1:18:38.599
<v Speaker 1>the term dictator. And I do think that we, you know,

1:18:38.840 --> 1:18:40.720
<v Speaker 1>one of the things, and the sort of fits hand

1:18:40.760 --> 1:18:43.519
<v Speaker 1>in glove with the last question. Actually, one of the

1:18:43.520 --> 1:18:47.720
<v Speaker 1>things that we failed to do is understand, you know,

1:18:47.760 --> 1:18:49.960
<v Speaker 1>what moment were they living in at the time. And

1:18:50.200 --> 1:18:52.519
<v Speaker 1>that's why I would emphasize this what moment was he

1:18:52.640 --> 1:18:54.880
<v Speaker 1>living in at the time, Right, he was living in

1:18:55.000 --> 1:18:57.759
<v Speaker 1>a moment where there was some where you had revolution

1:18:57.920 --> 1:19:00.240
<v Speaker 1>brewing in France, and he certainly had been in a

1:18:59.800 --> 1:19:02.439
<v Speaker 1>back are there he knew that there was, right, we

1:19:02.520 --> 1:19:04.320
<v Speaker 1>had it brewing in the and it already happened in

1:19:04.360 --> 1:19:11.040
<v Speaker 1>the United States, So there was definitely we definitely had

1:19:11.240 --> 1:19:15.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, you could you could feel it. I find

1:19:15.960 --> 1:19:19.200
<v Speaker 1>it hard to believe that he thinks this would apply

1:19:20.000 --> 1:19:24.160
<v Speaker 1>to our democracy. That instead it applies if democracy. You

1:19:24.200 --> 1:19:27.800
<v Speaker 1>know that, you know, every once in a while, you've

1:19:27.800 --> 1:19:31.800
<v Speaker 1>got to fight for democracy. I think that's what it is.

1:19:36.600 --> 1:19:42.679
<v Speaker 1>But there's no doubt that quote gets gets weaponized by

1:19:42.720 --> 1:19:49.120
<v Speaker 1>those who rationalize or justify behavior. That is that a

1:19:49.200 --> 1:19:55.120
<v Speaker 1>mature democracy shouldn't be dealing with right, that with a

1:19:55.160 --> 1:19:59.800
<v Speaker 1>steadier instead of leaders. But we're not in a stable place,

1:19:59.880 --> 1:20:10.040
<v Speaker 1>right And so what I think that quote really means

1:20:10.120 --> 1:20:13.360
<v Speaker 1>is that you got to fight for democracy and freedom

1:20:13.400 --> 1:20:16.200
<v Speaker 1>every once in a while. Because notice it says the

1:20:16.200 --> 1:20:22.000
<v Speaker 1>blood of patriots and tyrants. Right. So, now, where what

1:20:22.120 --> 1:20:25.360
<v Speaker 1>may be subjective is one person's patriot is another person's tyrant.

1:20:26.720 --> 1:20:28.840
<v Speaker 1>It's like I've always said, one person's patriot is another

1:20:28.880 --> 1:20:37.320
<v Speaker 1>person's terrorist, right, The British monarchy thought the American those

1:20:37.360 --> 1:20:42.160
<v Speaker 1>that were revolting were terrorists. We call them patriots.

1:20:44.840 --> 1:20:49.960
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, I sort of think that.

1:20:49.960 --> 1:20:52.400
<v Speaker 1>Jefferson is responding to the moment he was living in,

1:20:53.280 --> 1:20:58.080
<v Speaker 1>and then it didn't apply to a mature, modern, two

1:20:58.160 --> 1:21:01.360
<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty year old democracy that were supposedly celebrating

1:21:01.360 --> 1:21:06.200
<v Speaker 1>this year. All right, love the Q and A. You

1:21:06.240 --> 1:21:08.360
<v Speaker 1>guys got made up pop off on the environment. I've

1:21:08.360 --> 1:21:09.960
<v Speaker 1>been waiting to find a way to pop off on that,

1:21:10.040 --> 1:21:12.519
<v Speaker 1>and I think even my producer might split that out.

1:21:12.560 --> 1:21:14.920
<v Speaker 1>You might see that part of the Q and A

1:21:15.640 --> 1:21:18.519
<v Speaker 1>separated out. We rarely rarely do that with the ass

1:21:18.560 --> 1:21:21.760
<v Speaker 1>Chuck segment, but to say you touched a nerve as

1:21:21.760 --> 1:21:24.360
<v Speaker 1>an understatement on that. So with that, I'll see you

1:21:24.360 --> 1:21:25.000
<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours