1
00:00:01,160 --> 00:00:05,400
Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

2
00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:09,440
Speaker 1: The ties have turned to the postseason. Coaches are arriving

3
00:00:09,520 --> 00:00:12,399
Speaker 1: in their new host playoff teams are preparing for their

4
00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:15,800
Speaker 1: upcoming matchups, while others are getting ready to go bowling.

5
00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,200
Speaker 1: Baby Wolf, of course, take an early look at those

6
00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:21,239
Speaker 1: CFP Round one games and make our official picks and

7
00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:24,400
Speaker 1: predictions for the first wave of bowl games. I'm your host,

8
00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:27,320
Speaker 1: Seth Wilcock, coming off with rather disappointing two and three

9
00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:30,760
Speaker 1: championship weekend, and I'm joined by a man who is

10
00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:33,040
Speaker 1: ready to put his best foot forward after once calling

11
00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:36,360
Speaker 1: two G five teams in the playoff quote fan of fiction,

12
00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:38,960
Speaker 1: he's got big time Boggin Boggs. How are you as

13
00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,599
Speaker 1: mid December and the postseason are upon us.

14
00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:45,520
Speaker 2: I mean, I was surprised that it happened, but I mean, look,

15
00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,400
Speaker 2: it's just the way that it goes, right, So you're

16
00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:50,800
Speaker 2: absolutely correct. I was mistaken, and in my mind I

17
00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:55,360
Speaker 2: had just put the ACC champion in there, and I

18
00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,560
Speaker 2: also thought it was fan fiction because I thought, oh, well,

19
00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:01,440
Speaker 2: no way, Duke's gonna win this game. Virginia is gonna win,

20
00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:05,600
Speaker 2: and they choked. I had a bad conference championship week

21
00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:07,680
Speaker 2: after like a good you know, two to three weeks

22
00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,680
Speaker 2: leading up to it. But we're gonna get better in

23
00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,440
Speaker 2: bowlseason here, and I like these balls now. And by

24
00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,400
Speaker 2: the way, some of these massive mismatches make for easy

25
00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:19,319
Speaker 2: picks here, So yeah, I agree.

26
00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,200
Speaker 1: And I think it was a big missed opportunity for

27
00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:23,880
Speaker 1: me because I've been spewing on this how jam you

28
00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:25,679
Speaker 1: could get to the playoffs. They were sitting out there

29
00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:27,679
Speaker 1: ten to one for a few weeks now and I

30
00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:28,520
Speaker 1: didn't get on them.

31
00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:30,800
Speaker 3: So shame on me. I gotta keep my head on swivel.

32
00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,400
Speaker 2: Don't let me bully you next time. Yeah, go with you, guy,

33
00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:35,360
Speaker 2: don't let me bully you.

34
00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:38,440
Speaker 1: So well, we'll see today if you can bully me

35
00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,360
Speaker 1: in or away from any lines. Today's program does look

36
00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:44,479
Speaker 1: like this, bogs. We're gonna recap all the conference championship

37
00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:47,960
Speaker 1: risers and followers, plus we'll give you an early handicap

38
00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:51,520
Speaker 1: for the first round college football playoff matchups. Will then

39
00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:54,600
Speaker 1: take you to our official picks and predictions for the

40
00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:58,120
Speaker 1: Army Navy game and that first set of bowl games

41
00:01:58,160 --> 00:01:59,600
Speaker 1: happening over the next week or so.

42
00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,040
Speaker 3: As all we shout to everyone who's coming up.

43
00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:04,320
Speaker 1: With us still on the benk Pros YouTube channel or

44
00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,240
Speaker 1: the audio feed the easiest freeways for us. Please give

45
00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:10,000
Speaker 1: this video a thumbs up if you enjoy this type content. Also,

46
00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:12,800
Speaker 1: if you're new, make sure you're subscribing to the channel

47
00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:15,560
Speaker 1: so you don't miss a moment of college football betting

48
00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,200
Speaker 1: and NFL betting coverage the rest of the way. Also,

49
00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,359
Speaker 1: if you want a chance to score this signed AJ

50
00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:25,280
Speaker 1: Brown Philadelphia Eagles mini helmet for free courtesy of our

51
00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:28,079
Speaker 1: friends over at Pristineauction dot com, all you need to

52
00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,120
Speaker 1: do is head to Betting Pros dot com slash contest,

53
00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,600
Speaker 1: complete the form neither a go ahead and download the

54
00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,200
Speaker 1: free Betting Pros app today be leave review for the

55
00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:38,480
Speaker 1: Betting Pros podcast see subscribe to our social media channels.

56
00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:40,679
Speaker 1: We are at Betting Pros on x and TikTok and

57
00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:43,920
Speaker 1: at Betting Pros NFL on the Instagram. And of course,

58
00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,560
Speaker 1: the more actions you complete, the more entries you're gonna receive,

59
00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,240
Speaker 1: and we will announce a winner right here on the program.

60
00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:51,080
Speaker 1: So make sure you ring the bell so you can

61
00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:52,519
Speaker 1: be a learn we have new shows up and to

62
00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:53,360
Speaker 1: claim your prize.

63
00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:54,840
Speaker 3: If you are that lucky winner.

64
00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:58,160
Speaker 1: Now let's go ahead and go talk about what went

65
00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:02,040
Speaker 1: down with the conference titles on the line over the weekend. First,

66
00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:06,160
Speaker 1: we saw Kennisas State survive Jacksonville State nineteen fifteen in

67
00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:10,320
Speaker 1: the CUSA Championship game Number twenty five James Madison. They

68
00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:13,640
Speaker 1: beat Troy thirty one to fourteen for the Sun Belt

69
00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:16,639
Speaker 1: Championship title. However, they did not cover in that one.

70
00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:19,720
Speaker 1: Number twenty two Lane. They beat number twenty four North

71
00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:23,280
Speaker 1: Texas thirty four to twenty one for the American Boise

72
00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:26,880
Speaker 1: State gets the best of un LV again thirty eight

73
00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:30,200
Speaker 1: twenty one for the Mountain West Championship. And then Western

74
00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:34,120
Speaker 1: Michigan they mowed down Miami, Ohio twenty three to thirteen

75
00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:37,640
Speaker 1: at Ford Field in the MAC Championship game. Number four

76
00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:40,480
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. They complete the season sweep of number eleven

77
00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:43,560
Speaker 1: BYU thirty four to seven for the Big twelve title.

78
00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:48,080
Speaker 1: Number three Georgia they absolutely whacked number nine Alabama twenty

79
00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:50,960
Speaker 1: eight to seven in the SEC Championship. And then Duke

80
00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:54,760
Speaker 1: cosim Kaos winning twenty seven to twenty over number seventeen

81
00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:56,880
Speaker 1: Virginia and the ACC Championship.

82
00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:59,080
Speaker 3: That game got really tight and fun at the end.

83
00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:02,000
Speaker 1: And then number two Indiana they have remained perfect, had

84
00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:04,480
Speaker 1: an injury scare on the first drive, first play for

85
00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,960
Speaker 1: Nando Mendoza. He comes back in leads them thirteen to

86
00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:10,800
Speaker 1: ten over number one Ohio State in the Big Ten

87
00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,280
Speaker 1: championship game. Bogs betting risers and followers from the action

88
00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:15,559
Speaker 1: and he surprises.

89
00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:18,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, there were a lot of surprises. I was surprised

90
00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:23,240
Speaker 2: Ohio State didn't beat Indiana. That was pretty shocking, I felt,

91
00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:26,680
Speaker 2: you know. And it was a great game and the

92
00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:31,400
Speaker 2: yardage was close. Ohio States offenses couldn't move the ball

93
00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,280
Speaker 2: against Indiana. Really, it was three hundred and twenty two yards,

94
00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:37,719
Speaker 2: four of twelve on third downs, only seventeen first downs

95
00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:40,839
Speaker 2: saying through a pick. It was just it was a

96
00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:43,719
Speaker 2: low scoring gross It felt like an outdoor game that

97
00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,600
Speaker 2: was indoors, right. That's kind of how I felt about

98
00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:49,480
Speaker 2: that one. Not surprised at Georgia beat Bam. I just

99
00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:52,039
Speaker 2: think the level of football that those two squads have

100
00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:54,440
Speaker 2: been playing, that was the way that was going to go.

101
00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:57,480
Speaker 2: I was shocked Duke beat Virginia. Now you have all

102
00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,960
Speaker 2: the incentive to go and ruin someone else's season. I

103
00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,760
Speaker 2: could not believe Virginia choked that game. That was a

104
00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:05,880
Speaker 2: tough one. We got exactly what we thought out of

105
00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:08,320
Speaker 2: Texas Tech and BYU. I don't think either one of

106
00:05:08,400 --> 00:05:10,200
Speaker 2: us really had a thought that BYU was going to

107
00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:12,680
Speaker 2: be in that game. And Texas Tech is clearly a

108
00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,440
Speaker 2: top four team. So can their offense hold up in

109
00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:18,160
Speaker 2: the tournament? That's going to be the question. I was

110
00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:21,719
Speaker 2: surprised that I got some of these G five games correct.

111
00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:24,440
Speaker 2: I was surprised that I got Kennessaw State because you

112
00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:26,200
Speaker 2: were on Jacksonville State, and as soon as you said

113
00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:28,760
Speaker 2: Jacksonville State, I went, ugh, maybe I should have gone

114
00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:30,840
Speaker 2: with Jacksonville State because you know these schools a little

115
00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:33,080
Speaker 2: bit better. But I whipped on North Texas. We both did,

116
00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:35,400
Speaker 2: like Jake rets laugh, was just awesome.

117
00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:37,200
Speaker 1: They had one foot out the door. I think hen

118
00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:39,680
Speaker 1: is still water. Honestly, North Texas, you're right to show up.

119
00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:43,760
Speaker 2: You're right. And then I was shocked at UNLV again.

120
00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,120
Speaker 2: This un l V versus Boise State feels like Texas

121
00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:48,440
Speaker 2: against Georgia to me right now, like they just have

122
00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,400
Speaker 2: their number. They can't get past that.

123
00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:53,120
Speaker 3: The Mountain West Championship game, man.

124
00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:57,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I know, and that is uh again, they do

125
00:05:57,200 --> 00:06:00,919
Speaker 2: it again. And then to see Jmu beat down Troy

126
00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:03,880
Speaker 2: and not cover was upsetting but not surprising, right, Like

127
00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:06,080
Speaker 2: Troy showed up a little bit, but it's still four

128
00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:08,480
Speaker 2: hundred and eleven yards to one hundred and seventy seven.

129
00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:09,960
Speaker 3: It was got there at the end, they were on

130
00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:11,240
Speaker 3: the twelve yard line.

131
00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:14,120
Speaker 1: We also had Troy have all their timeouts, and I

132
00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:15,800
Speaker 1: was thinking they were going to try to use them,

133
00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:17,400
Speaker 1: so jam you would have to try to get in

134
00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:19,360
Speaker 1: the end zone more time. And then they just you know,

135
00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:22,480
Speaker 1: they called mercy role pretty much, stop calling the timeouts. Jami,

136
00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:24,560
Speaker 1: you just kneeled it away. But we're about ten yards

137
00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:27,200
Speaker 1: away from covering, So I was excited to at least

138
00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,320
Speaker 1: be you know, within play that last tackle.

139
00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:31,760
Speaker 2: You text me actually after that last tackle on the

140
00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,680
Speaker 2: sideline because if he wiggles out of that tackle, he's

141
00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:38,279
Speaker 2: in yep. So we were of course watching that with

142
00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:42,159
Speaker 2: baited breath for us. But it's a game of inches,

143
00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:46,320
Speaker 2: even embedding. So good weekend, not for the result, but

144
00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:51,080
Speaker 2: I also kind of think they got this playoff somewhat correct, right,

145
00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:53,560
Speaker 2: So it's it's not the twelve best teams, but it

146
00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:55,520
Speaker 2: never was going to be the twelve best teams, right,

147
00:06:55,760 --> 00:06:58,400
Speaker 2: you were going to have that automatic bid anyway. And

148
00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:02,320
Speaker 2: since the ACC kicked each other around this entire season

149
00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:05,160
Speaker 2: and no one really rose to the cream of the crop, right,

150
00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:09,000
Speaker 2: it wasn't surprising to see Duke win this game in

151
00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:10,760
Speaker 2: a conference it's so close, So.

152
00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:13,640
Speaker 1: Play stupid games with your tie breakers, win stupid prizes.

153
00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:16,040
Speaker 2: That's how I They gotta fix that one hundred percent,

154
00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:20,640
Speaker 2: and they'll fix that in this offseason for sure. I also,

155
00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:24,680
Speaker 2: you know, I don't understand this bowing out of bowl game,

156
00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:26,920
Speaker 2: cry baby nonsense conference.

157
00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:30,680
Speaker 3: If you want to start, quit crying.

158
00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:32,880
Speaker 2: And also, you know, I saw and I know a

159
00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,560
Speaker 2: lot of people don't like Emmanuelacho. I understand that Texas

160
00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:40,240
Speaker 2: guy I like, but him and Sam both played at Texas,

161
00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:45,360
Speaker 2: loved theos. But he was right in what he said recently.

162
00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:49,480
Speaker 2: He said, Look, it's not just the football team, it's cheer,

163
00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,640
Speaker 2: it's color guard, it's banned, it's all the parents for

164
00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:55,320
Speaker 2: the seniors didn't know that that was the last game

165
00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:58,320
Speaker 2: that their kids were gonna play. So I just think

166
00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,600
Speaker 2: this is a really bad move by Notre Dame. I

167
00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:04,000
Speaker 2: think it's a cry baby move and I really don't

168
00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:07,360
Speaker 2: like it, Like with Chris Climb and retiring with Matt

169
00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:11,040
Speaker 2: Campbell leaving in the process. I don't like those either,

170
00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:14,239
Speaker 2: I'll say that, but they're more understandable. And those teams

171
00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:16,640
Speaker 2: are still getting fined a hefty amount. I have no

172
00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:19,040
Speaker 2: idea if Notre Dame.

173
00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:20,400
Speaker 3: Is, I don't think there's anything to find them.

174
00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:20,760
Speaker 1: I don't.

175
00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:24,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, they have no conference, right, so they got you know,

176
00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:26,080
Speaker 2: because those schools got fined by the Big Twelve. So

177
00:08:26,520 --> 00:08:29,000
Speaker 2: and I also I tell you what else happened this

178
00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:31,320
Speaker 2: week is the Big Twelve is going to adopt the

179
00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:34,920
Speaker 2: ACC replay review, which I love. I think every single

180
00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:37,199
Speaker 2: place should do that. Yeah, the NFL should do it,

181
00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:41,120
Speaker 2: every single conference should do it. It's just more transparency, specifically

182
00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:43,199
Speaker 2: in this land of cambling. I think is very smart.

183
00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:45,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, a ton of head coaching movement over the past

184
00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:46,240
Speaker 3: couple of weeks as well.

185
00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:49,400
Speaker 2: We just gott Moore right before we started.

186
00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:52,160
Speaker 3: It is a lot of things going down.

187
00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:56,040
Speaker 1: And before we get out of the conference championship game recap,

188
00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:58,360
Speaker 1: I just want to say, like shout to our friends

189
00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:01,120
Speaker 1: over at Western Michigan man Maction for life.

190
00:09:01,160 --> 00:09:01,439
Speaker 3: That was.

191
00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:04,040
Speaker 1: That was like the least sweaty game of the week

192
00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,880
Speaker 1: for US, so I really appreciate them coming through for US.

193
00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:09,640
Speaker 1: So maction Man had a really good season betting on

194
00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,000
Speaker 1: the MAC, probably better than any other conference, so I

195
00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:14,760
Speaker 1: can appreciate that, especially after getting to off to kind

196
00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:16,880
Speaker 1: of a bad start there, laying a ton of points

197
00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,360
Speaker 1: with Buffalo against I think it was Kent State in

198
00:09:19,400 --> 00:09:23,240
Speaker 1: like week two and that backside, So yeah, really really

199
00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:25,199
Speaker 1: fun week. You and I should have probably also bet

200
00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,880
Speaker 1: that under that we are leaning towards in the IU

201
00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,040
Speaker 1: Ohio State game. I know we talked about that and

202
00:09:30,160 --> 00:09:32,120
Speaker 1: neither one of us went to that, so I think

203
00:09:32,200 --> 00:09:34,559
Speaker 1: just something to look back on those defenses. I think

204
00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:36,680
Speaker 1: do outweigh the offense is just a little bit but

205
00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:38,760
Speaker 1: love this time in the sport.

206
00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:39,240
Speaker 3: Man so fun.

207
00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:40,280
Speaker 2: Who's gonna win the Heisman?

208
00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:42,920
Speaker 3: Oh it's Mendoz after that Hunt, I think so too.

209
00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:45,720
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean I have a Jeremiah Love eighty to

210
00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:47,000
Speaker 1: one ticket from preseason.

211
00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:47,679
Speaker 3: I would love for.

212
00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:51,040
Speaker 1: Him to cash, but it's not happening. So uh, let's

213
00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:51,640
Speaker 1: go Fernando.

214
00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:53,679
Speaker 3: I like that kid's moxy. I like to cut of

215
00:09:53,760 --> 00:09:54,360
Speaker 3: his jim and.

216
00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:56,800
Speaker 2: I saw a scattering report for him, and it was pros,

217
00:09:56,840 --> 00:10:00,200
Speaker 2: it was everything, and then CON's he's a dork. I

218
00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:03,200
Speaker 2: was like, that was a I mean, it's pretty accurate.

219
00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:05,200
Speaker 2: So good kid, good quarterback.

220
00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:08,680
Speaker 1: So now with the bracket set, though, Bucks, let's go

221
00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:11,040
Speaker 1: ahead and get into the early picks and line movement

222
00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:14,600
Speaker 1: predictions for the CFP first round matchups. We're gonna start

223
00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:17,400
Speaker 1: in Norman, where the books are scattered all around on

224
00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:21,120
Speaker 1: this one for a Friday, December nineteenth matchup, listing the

225
00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:24,199
Speaker 1: number nine Alabama Crimson Tide anywhere from one and a

226
00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:27,200
Speaker 1: half point favorites to one and a half point underdogs

227
00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:29,240
Speaker 1: against the eighth ranked Oklahoma Sooners.

228
00:10:29,480 --> 00:10:30,600
Speaker 3: Bama, they come off an.

229
00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:33,840
Speaker 1: SEC championship game against Uga where they were really never

230
00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:36,800
Speaker 1: in it, losing twenty eight to seven. That drops them

231
00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,560
Speaker 1: to ten and three ats and straight up. One of

232
00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:42,559
Speaker 1: those losses did come to the Sooners on November fifteenth,

233
00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:45,480
Speaker 1: losing twenty three to twenty one. Ty Simpson, he has

234
00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:49,240
Speaker 1: fallen off quite a lot inefficiency as of late man

235
00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:51,360
Speaker 1: and the running back room. They continue to struggle a

236
00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:54,200
Speaker 1: little bit. Jam Miller. He has banged up Ryan Williams.

237
00:10:54,200 --> 00:10:55,839
Speaker 1: I talked about it last week. This guy's kind of

238
00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:59,360
Speaker 1: a ghost right now. And we also have them rolling

239
00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,760
Speaker 1: in with a top twenty three passing offense and a

240
00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:06,280
Speaker 1: top twelve scoring and total defense. Oh you Meanwhile, they

241
00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:09,000
Speaker 1: were off this past weekend, but in rivalry week they

242
00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:12,240
Speaker 1: barely got by LSU. I know you were probably hoping

243
00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:14,240
Speaker 1: that they would lose that one. Maybe put Texas into

244
00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:16,360
Speaker 1: the dance? Did that drop them to seven to five

245
00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:19,199
Speaker 1: ats ten to three? Straight up and getting after the

246
00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:22,120
Speaker 1: quarterback at a nation high clip converting one hundred percent

247
00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:24,920
Speaker 1: of their red zone possessions into scores has carried this

248
00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:28,720
Speaker 1: team really throughout the season, especially as John Mattier continues

249
00:11:28,760 --> 00:11:31,240
Speaker 1: to turn the ball over at three interceptions against the

250
00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:32,520
Speaker 1: Tigers a few weeks ago.

251
00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:36,480
Speaker 3: So bogs. Both these teams are obviously pretty flawed right

252
00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:37,600
Speaker 3: coming into the postseason.

253
00:11:37,679 --> 00:11:39,920
Speaker 1: But regardless, one of them will have a date with

254
00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:42,280
Speaker 1: Number one Indiana in the quarterfinals.

255
00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,000
Speaker 3: Any early lead on who that may be.

256
00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:46,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Alabama in this game. And

257
00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:49,320
Speaker 2: I know this is a tough road game in Norman.

258
00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:52,240
Speaker 2: That place is going to be rocking. It's going to

259
00:11:52,280 --> 00:11:55,760
Speaker 2: be a lot of fun to see football there in December.

260
00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:58,880
Speaker 2: Going to be a blast but you know, I know

261
00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:01,840
Speaker 2: they lost the last match up to Oklahoma, and you know,

262
00:12:02,040 --> 00:12:04,640
Speaker 2: but they did put a four hundred and six yards

263
00:12:04,679 --> 00:12:07,679
Speaker 2: in that game. They held Oklahoma at two hundred and twelve.

264
00:12:07,840 --> 00:12:09,760
Speaker 2: They possessed the ball for thirty four to twenty eight

265
00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:14,439
Speaker 2: to twenty five thirty two. OHU had six punts five penalties.

266
00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:16,960
Speaker 2: That was four punts and two penalties for Bama in

267
00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:20,040
Speaker 2: this game. Oh you was three for thirteen on third downs.

268
00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:22,760
Speaker 2: They only had twelve first downs the entire game. Bama

269
00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:26,320
Speaker 2: had the three turnovers. That is what changed the fates

270
00:12:26,360 --> 00:12:28,720
Speaker 2: of that game because the box score, you look at

271
00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:31,920
Speaker 2: a team that dominated yardage and time of possession. That

272
00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:36,280
Speaker 2: was Bama by a lot, Right, So I feel like

273
00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:38,960
Speaker 2: Bama is going to play a much more efficient game

274
00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:41,120
Speaker 2: this second time around. It's what we see. A lot

275
00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:43,679
Speaker 2: of mistakes are made. Obviously, it's hard to beat the

276
00:12:43,720 --> 00:12:46,960
Speaker 2: same team twice. Ask Virginia. They'll tell you sure. But

277
00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:50,160
Speaker 2: you know this happens all the time in college sports

278
00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:52,640
Speaker 2: when a team has to meet in the conference championship.

279
00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:54,800
Speaker 2: We just saw with Alabama and Georgia, right, Bama won

280
00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:58,680
Speaker 2: that first matchup. Georgia adjusted and won, So I don't

281
00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:00,920
Speaker 2: think that Bama is playing their best foot ball. I

282
00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:03,280
Speaker 2: understand that, which makes this game a little bit closer

283
00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,520
Speaker 2: than I like. Yeah, Oklahoma is a very scary defense.

284
00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:09,200
Speaker 2: They can get those turnovers as well, but I think

285
00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:11,760
Speaker 2: you have extra time to prep here, you have time

286
00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:14,120
Speaker 2: to cut down on those mistakes. I feel like Bama

287
00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:15,920
Speaker 2: is the better team, and I do think they'll advance.

288
00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:18,320
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna take Bama just on the money line

289
00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:20,960
Speaker 2: right now. If I can get them plus points, then okay,

290
00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:23,600
Speaker 2: but I don't think it matters, So give me Bama

291
00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:24,400
Speaker 2: in the money line.

292
00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:26,560
Speaker 1: Do you think if you want Bama you should be

293
00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:29,559
Speaker 1: taking now though, because they are out there as underdogs

294
00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:32,079
Speaker 1: or favorites really anyway you want to go with this one?

295
00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:34,400
Speaker 1: Obviously you would take the underdog at a point and

296
00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:36,480
Speaker 1: a half if you want them. So do you think

297
00:13:36,520 --> 00:13:39,559
Speaker 1: we no longer see Bama underdog tickets at some point

298
00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:40,120
Speaker 1: next week?

299
00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:43,760
Speaker 2: Uh? Yeah, I think the betting is going to go

300
00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:47,240
Speaker 2: towards Alabama, But right now I don't know that we

301
00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:50,400
Speaker 2: have Yeah, we don't have enough ticket info yet to

302
00:13:50,520 --> 00:13:52,800
Speaker 2: tell us which way this is going, but the fact

303
00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:55,200
Speaker 2: that it's you know, now, the Sooners are plus one

304
00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:56,880
Speaker 2: and a half when they start out is one and

305
00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:59,480
Speaker 2: a half point favorites in most books. I think that

306
00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:01,520
Speaker 2: is the way it's going. So I do think if

307
00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:04,200
Speaker 2: you want Bama plus points, take it where you ever

308
00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,000
Speaker 2: you can get it now, because a week from now

309
00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:07,080
Speaker 2: it's not gonna be available.

310
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:09,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, this might be a game I have to like

311
00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:11,400
Speaker 1: tease the under or something and boost that up and

312
00:14:11,440 --> 00:14:13,640
Speaker 1: put it with something else because we are gonna have

313
00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:18,680
Speaker 1: an end game live first half betting coverage show here

314
00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:21,080
Speaker 1: on the ben pros YouTube channel and on the Fantasy

315
00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:22,640
Speaker 1: Pro Twitch channel, So I'm gonna have to have a

316
00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:25,200
Speaker 1: play in this game going into it, Bogs, I'm just

317
00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:27,520
Speaker 1: not sure exactly what way I want to go. I'm

318
00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:29,640
Speaker 1: actually like a little scared. I definitely don't think I

319
00:14:29,680 --> 00:14:31,240
Speaker 1: can be on the Bama side, just with what I've

320
00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:33,520
Speaker 1: seen from them over the past several weeks. I mean,

321
00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:37,640
Speaker 1: Oklahoma hasn't necessarily inspired me either, but their defense is

322
00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:39,840
Speaker 1: certainly still there, and I feel like Bama's offense kind

323
00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:41,600
Speaker 1: of starting to leak a little bit of oil. So

324
00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:43,840
Speaker 1: I think I might try to tease this up as

325
00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:45,960
Speaker 1: much as I can see if this total continues to

326
00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,800
Speaker 1: go up, which I think it could be if people

327
00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:51,000
Speaker 1: are gonna continue to bet it, So that's kind of

328
00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:53,480
Speaker 1: probably be the way I'm gonna approach this one. But

329
00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:55,200
Speaker 1: you know, we'll have another show next week with our

330
00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:57,800
Speaker 1: official picks and predictions, and then again BOXX really looking

331
00:14:57,800 --> 00:14:59,960
Speaker 1: forward to that live stream on Friday night for this one.

332
00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:00,840
Speaker 2: It's gonna be fun.

333
00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:01,000
Speaker 3: Man.

334
00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:02,960
Speaker 2: Those live streams are always fun. I did one with

335
00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:06,520
Speaker 2: Joe last year. I do one every Thursday on ITL,

336
00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,720
Speaker 2: so it's streaming and talking football during the game is

337
00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:10,200
Speaker 2: a lot of fun.

338
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:11,240
Speaker 3: Man, can't beat a baby.

339
00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:12,960
Speaker 1: Only thing that will make that a little bit better

340
00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:15,320
Speaker 1: is beer, right, talking with.

341
00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:16,400
Speaker 3: Your friends and beer.

342
00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:18,600
Speaker 1: Those are the three things that I look forward to

343
00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:21,120
Speaker 1: just about every single weekend. Let's go ahead, though, Let's

344
00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:24,200
Speaker 1: move to Saturday at noon where the tenth ranked Miami

345
00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:27,240
Speaker 1: Hurricanes they roll into College Station to face off with

346
00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:29,640
Speaker 1: the seventh rank Texas A and at Maggie's as three

347
00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:32,640
Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs. Miami they can think BYU

348
00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:34,920
Speaker 1: for getting blown out in the Big twelve championship game

349
00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,520
Speaker 1: that moved them next to Notre Dame, where the head

350
00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:40,200
Speaker 1: to head came into play. They then jumped over the

351
00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:42,280
Speaker 1: Irish to get into the dance. They're ten and two

352
00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:45,800
Speaker 1: straight up and ATS. Their outright losses came to Louisville

353
00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:48,080
Speaker 1: and at SMU earlier in the season.

354
00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:51,000
Speaker 3: Their quarterback Carson Back. This guy's been super hit or

355
00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:53,600
Speaker 3: miss really his whole career that continued for the U.

356
00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:57,160
Speaker 1: He leads the acc and completion percentage, but also in

357
00:15:57,160 --> 00:16:01,200
Speaker 1: interceptions as well. He does, however, have acc Rookie of

358
00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,280
Speaker 1: the Year Malachai Tony as disposal and this kid has

359
00:16:04,320 --> 00:16:06,600
Speaker 1: been a superstar.

360
00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:09,120
Speaker 3: Man Ruben Bain and also Key Mesador.

361
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:12,000
Speaker 1: These guys have become one of the best fronts in

362
00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:16,000
Speaker 1: the country, putting the U seventh in rushing defense sixteenth

363
00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,960
Speaker 1: in total defense as well A and M. They took

364
00:16:19,040 --> 00:16:22,120
Speaker 1: their only outright loss of the season last time out

365
00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:25,200
Speaker 1: against Texas, falling to eleven and one straight up five

366
00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:28,360
Speaker 1: and seven ATS. Their quarterback Marcel Reid, who he was

367
00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:31,160
Speaker 1: on a podcast this week saying, hey, if someone throws

368
00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:32,640
Speaker 1: more money at me, and I have talked to my

369
00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:35,280
Speaker 1: parents about what I want to do. But anyway, he

370
00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:39,000
Speaker 1: leads the sec in yards per completion and that's thanks

371
00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:41,640
Speaker 1: in part due to the stud wide receivers. Casey concepts

372
00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:45,200
Speaker 1: Giano transferred in and Mario Craver as well. Their twentieth

373
00:16:45,280 --> 00:16:48,160
Speaker 1: in total offense, nineteenth in total defense, but they can't

374
00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,960
Speaker 1: struggle with being undisciplined in the penalties and turnover department.

375
00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:56,000
Speaker 3: So Boggs, this is another spot where neither team is perfect.

376
00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:58,240
Speaker 1: But I think they have a ton of playmakers on

377
00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:01,640
Speaker 1: both sides of the ball. So what's your early read

378
00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:03,640
Speaker 1: and what's your thought on the potential line movement we

379
00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:04,280
Speaker 1: might see.

380
00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:07,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, this one is It's the It's the only other

381
00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:10,680
Speaker 2: first round game that has a tough pick, right. I

382
00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:12,919
Speaker 2: think the other two are extremely easy. We won't have

383
00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:16,520
Speaker 2: to go super deep into those games, but in this game,

384
00:17:17,160 --> 00:17:20,360
Speaker 2: this one is tough. Miami is six in scoring defense.

385
00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:22,359
Speaker 2: We saw Marcel Reid look a little rough in his

386
00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:25,240
Speaker 2: last game against Texas with happy feed he's sailing a

387
00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:26,840
Speaker 2: little bit of throws. So I think I'm gonna be

388
00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:29,720
Speaker 2: on the Miami side here. Bain and Mesdor are going

389
00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:32,960
Speaker 2: to challenge the Aggie's offensive line. But left tackle Trey

390
00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:37,359
Speaker 2: Zoon he's been the best blocking offensive tackle in the

391
00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:40,960
Speaker 2: nation according to PFF grades, and he's only allowed one

392
00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:44,480
Speaker 2: sack all year and has had zero penalties, so he's

393
00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:46,600
Speaker 2: gonna be tough to get around no matter who is

394
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:48,600
Speaker 2: over there. But however, the rest of the old line

395
00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:51,080
Speaker 2: has only allowed two sacks, but they've been penalized a

396
00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:53,160
Speaker 2: ton and they've allowed a lot of pressure. Right, So

397
00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:55,720
Speaker 2: the rest of the line is not as good as Zoom,

398
00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:57,960
Speaker 2: but the line is pretty strong. I think this should

399
00:17:57,960 --> 00:17:59,480
Speaker 2: be a tight one. I feel like Miami is a

400
00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:02,600
Speaker 2: better team in as long as I'm going to get

401
00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:04,959
Speaker 2: the hook on the three and a half, I'm going

402
00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:08,320
Speaker 2: to take Miami here. I'm going to be on the canes.

403
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 2: Beck can lose this game. As you mentioned, he's been very,

404
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,520
Speaker 2: very hit or miss in his career, and he definitely

405
00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:15,399
Speaker 2: can lose this game. But he's been in big time

406
00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:18,720
Speaker 2: spots before they've come through. They've had extra time to

407
00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:22,680
Speaker 2: prepare for this game. Maybe it's just wishful thinking because

408
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,639
Speaker 2: of course I picked against Oklahoma and I'm picking against

409
00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:28,639
Speaker 2: ANM here. I understand that everyone needs to take that

410
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:31,320
Speaker 2: with a grain of shirt when it's the Texas fan

411
00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:34,520
Speaker 2: picking against A and M and Oklahoma here. But I

412
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:37,159
Speaker 2: just I feel like A and M was exposed against

413
00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:40,480
Speaker 2: Texas and Miami should have never been a question to

414
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:44,440
Speaker 2: get in. But again, like I said last week, don't

415
00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:46,800
Speaker 2: lose SMU, then you don't want to be a question

416
00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:50,080
Speaker 2: and don't lose SMU and fix the weird tiebreaker stuff

417
00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:53,399
Speaker 2: in your conference right. So I wouldn't have minded if

418
00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:55,960
Speaker 2: Miami did not make it right and they have put

419
00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:57,960
Speaker 2: Notre Dame and would have made any difference to me.

420
00:18:58,000 --> 00:18:59,560
Speaker 2: I bet Miami would have showed up for their game,

421
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:01,359
Speaker 2: by the way, But the fact that the games have

422
00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:04,680
Speaker 2: been in playoff mode probably since that SMU game, and

423
00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:06,600
Speaker 2: I heard Jdpickl talk about that. I think that was

424
00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:11,440
Speaker 2: a great point that the playoff mindset that they've had

425
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:14,640
Speaker 2: since that SMU game, I think just helps them on

426
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:18,360
Speaker 2: get stepping into the playoffs here. They've had that mindset

427
00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,360
Speaker 2: for a while. Now AM hasn't had that right. They

428
00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,320
Speaker 2: had the hey, look we're cruising, we're undefeated. All we

429
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,159
Speaker 2: got to do is beat Texas to get the SEC

430
00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:28,240
Speaker 2: title game, and that blew up in their face. So

431
00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:31,240
Speaker 2: I think this one might two and m is favorite

432
00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:33,400
Speaker 2: because they're at home, which gives us the points. I'm

433
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:34,720
Speaker 2: taking those points at three and a half.

434
00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:37,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I will probably end up being on

435
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:41,359
Speaker 1: Miami in this one because like initial first look when

436
00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:44,000
Speaker 1: the lines were dropped Bogs, I was like, all right,

437
00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,320
Speaker 1: like I trust the SEC over the ACC. But then

438
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 1: you think, like, mine doesn't really play like an ACC

439
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:50,600
Speaker 1: team this year, right, They're kind of like an SEC

440
00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:54,040
Speaker 1: like team with that defensive front. Their offensive line isn't

441
00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:56,399
Speaker 1: half bad either, And like if I could bet player

442
00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:57,879
Speaker 1: props Malachai.

443
00:19:57,560 --> 00:19:59,000
Speaker 3: TONI, I think it's gonna have a huge game because

444
00:19:59,000 --> 00:19:59,560
Speaker 3: I don't think A and.

445
00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:01,640
Speaker 2: M zero drops this here. Yeah, I not one.

446
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:04,239
Speaker 1: I just don't think that A and M secondary can

447
00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:07,399
Speaker 1: keep up with him, right, He is explosive and like

448
00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:09,520
Speaker 1: at the same time too, Like you kind of pointed

449
00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:11,880
Speaker 1: it out, like Miami they have a guy in Carson Beck.

450
00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:15,239
Speaker 1: While he's not the best in big spots, he's at

451
00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:17,200
Speaker 1: least been in big spots before. And how many times

452
00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 1: have we seen a team take a late season loss

453
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:24,400
Speaker 1: heading into a conference championship game or into a playoff

454
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:26,280
Speaker 1: like this and then they just drop a second one

455
00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:27,320
Speaker 1: in their seasons done? Right?

456
00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:30,040
Speaker 3: So I think I think Miami's playing with house money, right.

457
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:31,480
Speaker 3: They're not even supposed to be here.

458
00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:34,159
Speaker 2: Right, right, They're not supposed to be here today, and

459
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:38,120
Speaker 2: by the way, that line for Miami against Cashus Howell

460
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,159
Speaker 2: and you know, we've talked talked about this A and M.

461
00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:43,640
Speaker 2: Number one team in the country in sacks per game,

462
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,840
Speaker 2: you know, or I don't know if they finished there. Yes,

463
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:49,760
Speaker 2: they did three point four two so per game, so

464
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 2: number one. But this is the second highest graded blocking

465
00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 2: offensive line in the country for Miami. So I think

466
00:20:56,200 --> 00:21:00,359
Speaker 2: they have issues putting pressure on Beck. I think the

467
00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:02,240
Speaker 2: right side of the line is the problem for A

468
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 2: and M. We saw that against Texas. I think those

469
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:08,159
Speaker 2: are the those are the weak points that I find

470
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,439
Speaker 2: for A and M. To knock them. They're a very

471
00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 2: good team, they're at home. They could easily win this game.

472
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:16,200
Speaker 2: If Carson Beck makes those massive mistakes that we've seen

473
00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:19,680
Speaker 2: him make, then they will lose this game. But he

474
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,320
Speaker 2: is a veteran, he's been in the spot before, he's

475
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:24,840
Speaker 2: gone through it, He's had a million starts. I expect

476
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:25,680
Speaker 2: him to have a good game.

477
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:27,440
Speaker 3: Here is three and a half the best number we're

478
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:29,080
Speaker 3: going to get. You think on Miami.

479
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:30,919
Speaker 2: Absolutely, I think if you want to get that, you

480
00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:32,479
Speaker 2: need to get it pretty soon. I think it's going

481
00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 2: to go the way of Miami because I don't. I

482
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:36,879
Speaker 2: gotta be honest, I don't think I've heard many people

483
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 2: picking A and M in the public.

484
00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:40,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, so good point.

485
00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:43,199
Speaker 2: I think this line is going to flip towards the

486
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 2: Canes and you're gonna lose that hook pretty quick. Here.

487
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,480
Speaker 1: I saw one young lad on YouTube this past week.

488
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 1: He actually simmed the college football playoff and Miami was

489
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:51,960
Speaker 1: the winner.

490
00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:55,640
Speaker 3: So hey, wow, yeah the whole yet the whole winner, So.

491
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:57,800
Speaker 2: I think they get drummed down in the next round.

492
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:03,640
Speaker 1: Folks, make sure you're downloading the free Betting Pros app

493
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 1: today so you can track these bets and get line

494
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:09,520
Speaker 1: alert straight to your mobile device. With Sportsbook Sink, you

495
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,439
Speaker 1: can automatically track your bets across all major books in

496
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,920
Speaker 1: just one simple spot. Easily monitor your bet performance by

497
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 1: sport and bet type, including game picks, props, and of

498
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:22,359
Speaker 1: course parlays, as well create custom betting systems to find

499
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 1: winning trends and profitable opportunities. Get a seven day free

500
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:29,320
Speaker 1: trial of Betting Pros Premium by downloading the app at

501
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,439
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash apps and using the code juice

502
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:37,679
Speaker 1: that's j UICEE promo code Juice, activating your trial on

503
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 1: the upgrade screen. It'll be a Saturday afternoon to remember.

504
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 1: In Oxford. As the number six Ole Miss Rebels, they

505
00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:49,800
Speaker 1: host their first college Football Playoff game as seventeen to

506
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 1: seventeen and a half point favorites over the eleventh seed

507
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,880
Speaker 1: two lane Green Wave Lane Kiffen. He has allowed four

508
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 1: assistant coaches to return to Oxford to join new coach

509
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 1: Pete god Holding in preparation for this game. This comes

510
00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,880
Speaker 1: after a very dominating egg Bull performance to get them

511
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:07,720
Speaker 1: to eleven and one straight up seven.

512
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 3: To five ats the ReBs.

513
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,320
Speaker 1: They roll out a top three passing offense, led of

514
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,000
Speaker 1: course by Tran Dad cham Bliss.

515
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:15,360
Speaker 3: Their backfield, they got Kawan.

516
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:18,960
Speaker 1: Lacyne, who leads the SEC in touchdowns, rush attempts, and

517
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:20,719
Speaker 1: plays from scrimmage.

518
00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:21,480
Speaker 3: The Green Wave.

519
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:23,720
Speaker 1: They come into the CFB with the news that they'll

520
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:27,719
Speaker 1: promote oc Will Hall two head coach, following John Sumral's

521
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:31,120
Speaker 1: departure to Florida. The transition has not phased them, of course,

522
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 1: some are still going to be with them for this

523
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,720
Speaker 1: game as well. As They shut down North Texas's top

524
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:38,520
Speaker 1: ranked offense last week, holding them to just twenty one points,

525
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 1: winning the American American Conference Championship by thirteen two lane.

526
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 1: They are now eleven and two straight up six six

527
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:48,119
Speaker 1: and one ats. And their quarterback, Jake Retzlov he is

528
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 1: their dude all man. He's leading the team in rushing,

529
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 1: also has thrown for over twenty eight hundred yards this season. Boggs,

530
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:57,600
Speaker 1: I thought the difference in the AAC Championship for North

531
00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:59,600
Speaker 1: Texas would be two lanes, one hundred and twenty third

532
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 1: passing defense, and they've also allowed one hundred and twenty

533
00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:06,879
Speaker 1: first a most ten yard plus plays. It wasn't I

534
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 1: think it might work here though.

535
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 3: Do you think it does?

536
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 2: I think ole Miss rolls right over to lane. We've

537
00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:15,399
Speaker 2: already seen this matchup this year, right, this was forty

538
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 2: five to ten before. So the yardage in this game

539
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,680
Speaker 2: five hundred and forty eight yards for ole Miss. They

540
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:25,480
Speaker 2: had two hundred and forty one on the ground, three

541
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:27,360
Speaker 2: hundred and seven through the air. They held to lane

542
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:30,400
Speaker 2: to two hundred and eighty two yards, and they punted

543
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:34,439
Speaker 2: once the entire game. They had twenty three first downs,

544
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:36,879
Speaker 2: seven to eleven on third downs. I mean, it was

545
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 2: just extremely efficient for ole Miss. Do I think it's

546
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:42,199
Speaker 2: gonna be that efficient? Do I think they're gonna win

547
00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:45,000
Speaker 2: by thirty five. No, but I do think they're gonna

548
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 2: win by three touchdowns in this game. I just think

549
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:50,080
Speaker 2: the talent is a little bit too overwhelming. We talked

550
00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:52,640
Speaker 2: about how the first two games are tough to pick.

551
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 2: I don't think these next two really are. I think

552
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 2: everything's on the line here. You know, maybe Ole Miss

553
00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:01,640
Speaker 2: with the coaching issues, and you know, some players probably

554
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:03,840
Speaker 2: have one foot out the door. Maybe two lane makes

555
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:07,000
Speaker 2: this closer because of that, I don't think so. I

556
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 2: think this is still gonna be a beat down. And

557
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:10,720
Speaker 2: I think the next round is where you see Old

558
00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:14,439
Speaker 2: Miss maybe get taken advantage of in those in that space. So,

559
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:17,960
Speaker 2: but here I think they roll right over to lane.

560
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:19,440
Speaker 2: I don't think this game is gonna be very close.

561
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, this might actually be the second half of my teaser.

562
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:24,359
Speaker 1: I might take this down to thirteen and a half points,

563
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:27,080
Speaker 1: just because I do worry that I'm not sure exactly

564
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:30,399
Speaker 1: if the offense will look as good without lane. Behind

565
00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 1: that said, and drawing up the scheme for the week.

566
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:36,440
Speaker 1: But at the same time, like when they did face

567
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,520
Speaker 1: two lane earlier in the season, Bogs like that was

568
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:40,720
Speaker 1: when in Trinidad's first started. It might have actually been

569
00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:43,440
Speaker 1: his first startup the season when they won forty five

570
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 1: to ten. So I'm with you on ole Miss. It's

571
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:47,920
Speaker 1: just gonna be a matter of what number do I take.

572
00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 1: Do you think that this number continues to expand throughout

573
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:51,440
Speaker 1: the week?

574
00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:56,439
Speaker 2: Probably that I don't think. I think it's not the

575
00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 2: top number it's gonna be is twenty and a half,

576
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 2: I believe, So I think that that's the highest it

577
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 2: could go.

578
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 3: Okay.

579
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:05,200
Speaker 2: I don't think many people are gonna take over three scores,

580
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:07,119
Speaker 2: so twenty one and a half, so I think it

581
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,719
Speaker 2: sticks below that, and I'm fine at anything under that.

582
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 2: We're showing value at like right around twenty okay, So

583
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,639
Speaker 2: I think that's probably a better number to get it

584
00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:18,520
Speaker 2: at nineteen and a half, but I'm fine with anything

585
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:19,720
Speaker 2: less than three touchdowns.

586
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 1: The final first round game kicks off from Eugene on Saturday,

587
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:27,879
Speaker 1: December twentieth at seven thirty pm Eastern Time with the

588
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 1: fifth seeded Oregon Ducks. They're hosting the twelve seed James

589
00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:33,960
Speaker 1: Madison Dukes as twenty one and a half to twenty

590
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 1: three and a half point favorites. Jam you, they got

591
00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:39,360
Speaker 1: here with an eleven and one straight up and eight

592
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 1: and five ATS record, they have become the fifth highest

593
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 1: rank conference champion. That's what pushed them in coming out

594
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:49,160
Speaker 1: of the Sunbelt undefeated in conference play. Head coach Bob

595
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 1: Chesney he is right now, really I think I will

596
00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:55,879
Speaker 1: say struggling, but definitely a challenge for him to juggle

597
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:59,159
Speaker 1: both starting his new job at UCLA and preparing for

598
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:01,680
Speaker 1: this game. Of course, we know Billy Napier, the former

599
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:04,120
Speaker 1: Florida Gators head coach. He is ready to take over

600
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,640
Speaker 1: after the Duke's playoff run. Jam Us running back Wayne Night,

601
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,840
Speaker 1: This guy los sensational last week almost got us that

602
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,359
Speaker 1: cover single hand. Lee He is now tenth in the

603
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 1: country and rushing yards after popping off for a two

604
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 1: hundred against Troy. Dual threat quarterback Alonzo Barnett the third

605
00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:22,440
Speaker 1: he remains under center, leading this team to the tenth

606
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 1: rank scoring offense, largely predicated on that run game. They

607
00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 1: also have the second ranked total defense, but that is

608
00:27:29,240 --> 00:27:31,160
Speaker 1: a bit weighted because of their one hundred ninth ranked

609
00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:33,800
Speaker 1: strength to schedule, so keep that in mind. Oregon their

610
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:36,399
Speaker 1: only loss this season was to number one Indiana all

611
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,560
Speaker 1: the way back in October, so that doesn't look as bad.

612
00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:41,480
Speaker 1: They're also eight and four ATS this season. Their ninth

613
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 1: rank scoring offense is led by quarterback Dante More, their

614
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,880
Speaker 1: tight end Kenyan Zadik, and running back no Winnington. Their

615
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,880
Speaker 1: top four total defense is also littered with a ton

616
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:52,560
Speaker 1: of talent at all three levels.

617
00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:53,200
Speaker 3: Bogs.

618
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:55,560
Speaker 1: I really wanted to see Jim you make some noise

619
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 1: in the CFP, but here we are in Eugene, tough

620
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 1: environment to play. I'm just not sure there's a way

621
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,720
Speaker 1: to get invested other than hoping this line.

622
00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:06,679
Speaker 3: Continues to grow and grow and grow.

623
00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:08,480
Speaker 1: And I can get it at the biggest number I can.

624
00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 1: Maybe we'll use a boost for that as well. That's

625
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 1: gonna be my strategy is to sit and wait, see

626
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 1: if this can get any bigger, and then hop on

627
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:16,520
Speaker 1: Jmu at the very last second.

628
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 3: What about you?

629
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:21,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm not taking Jamie in this game.

630
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 2: I think come on, I well, I think you said

631
00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:26,280
Speaker 2: it right. Like a coach with one foot out the

632
00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:29,840
Speaker 2: door is never a good thing. It's specifically when you

633
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:34,080
Speaker 2: have a mismatch of this magnitude. And to me, we

634
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:39,200
Speaker 2: did see jam you play one before school. That was Louisville.

635
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 2: They got crushed twenty eighth to fourteen.

636
00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:42,760
Speaker 3: The lost Washington State two. I don't know if you

637
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 3: consider them P four or not anymore.

638
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 2: But yeah, yeah, but they should have lost that game.

639
00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:49,360
Speaker 2: They won because they had to pick six in that game.

640
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 2: But they beat Washington State. But that the difference between

641
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 2: Washington State and Oregon is an ocean. It's an abyss, right,

642
00:28:56,800 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 2: Like it's so huge. So I just don't see how

643
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 2: they're in this game. That's really the thing. And look,

644
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:06,560
Speaker 2: they didn't do bad defensively against Louisville. They held Louisville

645
00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 2: to two hundred and sixty four yards. They sacked they

646
00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 2: sacked Miller Moss six times. This was a strong defensive

647
00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:15,400
Speaker 2: performance for them. They're not gonna have that against Oregon.

648
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 2: They're not gonna have that anywhere close to that against Oregon.

649
00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:20,560
Speaker 2: So this is I don't like how big the line is.

650
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:24,320
Speaker 2: We are showing value towards JAMU in this line, which

651
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 2: makes me not love it. But this is a game

652
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:29,200
Speaker 2: where I'm probably gonna have some player props. I don't

653
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 2: think I'm gonna have. I may I may go JMU

654
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 2: team total under. Once we get to see what.

655
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,320
Speaker 1: The toll and a half right now is what I've seen,

656
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 1: so I would actually be inclined to go over.

657
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 2: Maybe on that, what's the Oregon's team total.

658
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 3: I couldn't tell you.

659
00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 1: On that, whatever would be the total minus thirteen and

660
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:48,440
Speaker 1: a half, So I'm guessing you're probably looking mid thirties.

661
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:50,280
Speaker 3: Probably thirty three and a half is probably what you're.

662
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 2: Gonna find if it's anything under thirty five auto take,

663
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 2: and I think I might take that up to like

664
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:59,360
Speaker 2: forty one and a half for Oregon, so I'll be

665
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 2: on their team total over. I think they're gonna put

666
00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:03,239
Speaker 2: the boots to them. The only thing that scares me

667
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 2: is this is a massive line, and if you're crushing

668
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:10,400
Speaker 2: them in the first half, do you just play it

669
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,480
Speaker 2: safe and run, run, run, run, run in the first

670
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 2: half and then punt a lot and let them climb

671
00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 2: back in right, So the line is too big for

672
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 2: me to love it, But I cannot take James Madison.

673
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 2: So even if this goes up to like I guess,

674
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,920
Speaker 2: the number would have to get up to like twenty

675
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:29,760
Speaker 2: four and a half for me to even consider James Madison.

676
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 2: So and I don't think it's gonna get there. I

677
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 2: think it gets up to twenty two or twenty three

678
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 2: and a half. I don't think it goes up to

679
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 2: twenty four and a half. So I'll probably stay away

680
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:39,440
Speaker 2: from this game for the most part. But we'll have

681
00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 2: more for this on next week.

682
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:43,400
Speaker 1: Yes is that twenty three and a half right now?

683
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:45,280
Speaker 1: At our friends from hard rock bet.

684
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 2: So it is twenty one and a half yesterday, all right,

685
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,200
Speaker 2: So maybe maybe there will be wiggle room to get

686
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,960
Speaker 2: on JAMU, but I I still won't do it. I

687
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 2: don't think we'll see.

688
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 1: Listen, I have not been to the beautiful city of

689
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:01,320
Speaker 1: Eugene yet. I've been down there to JFU at time

690
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 1: or two. I've driven through there. It's a good little spot.

691
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 1: They got a nice little town there. I think they're

692
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 1: gonna be buzzing. I think you're gonna see some of

693
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 1: the more well off.

694
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:10,600
Speaker 2: Are they all gonna go to Eugene? I don't know

695
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 2: all the way across the country, by the way, I

696
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 2: don't know.

697
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 3: Maybe a time is that game?

698
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 2: Is that an afternoon seven Eastern time? My friend dude,

699
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 2: just the history of the East Coast going to the

700
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 2: West Coast. We just saw it with the Eagles against

701
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:27,160
Speaker 2: the Chargers on Monday Night football. Your your body clock

702
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 2: is off on Lake games there as well. This all

703
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 2: adds up for bad things for James Madison. So I'm

704
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 2: just I'm gonna be off of James Madison. I don't

705
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:36,640
Speaker 2: know if I want to take Oregon with that many

706
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,200
Speaker 2: points on the line, but I just don't like this game.

707
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 1: Okay, Well, I'm gonna have some way to get invested

708
00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 1: back my boy PFT and the entire Duke's Nation up there, Bogs.

709
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:48,320
Speaker 1: I'll have that official play for you next week though,

710
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 1: when I figure out how to get.

711
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:52,160
Speaker 3: Invested with them. Let's keep it moving though.

712
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:56,680
Speaker 1: We're gonna now jump into the upcoming bowl games, and

713
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 1: we are shifting from the college football rankings back to

714
00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 1: the eighth rankings just so when I throw out some numbers,

715
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 1: you guys know where that's coming from. And we're actually

716
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:06,760
Speaker 1: gonna start with the Army Navy game, which kicks off

717
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,800
Speaker 1: this Saturday from M and T and Bank Stadium in Baltimore.

718
00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:13,520
Speaker 1: This is at three pm Eastern time. With the number

719
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:17,240
Speaker 1: twenty two Navy midshipmen. They're laying between six and six

720
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:19,720
Speaker 1: and a half points on the six and five Army

721
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 1: Black Knights. This is traditionally a very low scoring game. Navy,

722
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 1: of course, they won last year thirty one to thirteen

723
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:29,520
Speaker 1: the Midshipman They finished third in the American at seven

724
00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 1: to one in Conference play ninety two overall four and

725
00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 1: seven ATS, and they did lose out on the conference

726
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:39,240
Speaker 1: championship game due to tie breakers. They're the top ranked

727
00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:42,120
Speaker 1: rushing offense in the country. They are also bottom eight

728
00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:44,959
Speaker 1: and pace converting third down to the twelfth highest clips,

729
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 1: so very hard to get them off the field.

730
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 3: They do have questionable though, they're.

731
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:51,960
Speaker 1: Starting right guard, their tight end and their cornerback Army. Meanwhile,

732
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 1: they were four and four in AAC play five and

733
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 1: six ats. They also possess a top five rushing offense

734
00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 1: a bottom five pace on offense as well. But they

735
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:04,280
Speaker 1: are one of the top teams in the country at

736
00:33:04,320 --> 00:33:08,080
Speaker 1: controlling the clock in time possession and limiting penalties as well.

737
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:10,640
Speaker 1: Very disciplined group, but you know, would you expect anything

738
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:12,800
Speaker 1: else from a Service academy Army.

739
00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:14,400
Speaker 3: Their right guard is banged up.

740
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 1: BP projections right now we have Navy by five and

741
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 1: a half, so Boggs, you know me, I love watching

742
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:21,320
Speaker 1: the Service academies.

743
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 3: Unfortunately, though I.

744
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:24,640
Speaker 1: Was owing three when I got invested with them this year,

745
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:27,000
Speaker 1: so I'm out on this one.

746
00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:28,000
Speaker 3: I will watch it.

747
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:30,200
Speaker 1: I will have a good time with it, but I'm

748
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:31,360
Speaker 1: just gonna sit on the sidelines.

749
00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:31,920
Speaker 3: Do you have a play?

750
00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:34,719
Speaker 2: I like the over in this game. I think this

751
00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 2: is set too low at thirty eight and a half.

752
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:39,800
Speaker 2: Maybe has a little more on offense. You know, Blake

753
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:42,600
Speaker 2: Horvath was impossible for Army to stop last season. I

754
00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 2: think that's gonna happen again Horvat. I think Navy can

755
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:49,920
Speaker 2: definitely score, so it's just Army scoring in this game. Obviously,

756
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 2: Like you mentioned, they both played a slow pace, eat

757
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 2: up a lot of clock, they run, they chew it.

758
00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:57,760
Speaker 2: It's first versus fifth rushing offense here right like, so

759
00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:00,840
Speaker 2: we know this is going to be a lower scoring game,

760
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 2: but it went over last year and all we got

761
00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 2: to do is get to forty points here and we're over.

762
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 2: So we're showing value there on our VP system, and

763
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 2: I like I like the over because I know Navy's

764
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:16,520
Speaker 2: gonna score. I think they put up twenty four to

765
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:20,439
Speaker 2: thirty somewhere in that range. So it's just getting more

766
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 2: than a touchdown from Army. And Navy's pretty good, but

767
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 2: they're tackling has been miserable. Oh yeah, I think it's

768
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:30,680
Speaker 2: been real bad. I think the grade one hundred and

769
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,440
Speaker 2: twenty fourth. We know that Army is also not getting

770
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,960
Speaker 2: penalized there first in the country, only getting one penalty

771
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 2: a game.

772
00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:38,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's crazy.

773
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:42,080
Speaker 2: I like the discipline that we have from Army, and

774
00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:44,920
Speaker 2: I like the fact that Navy is a little undisciplined

775
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 2: in their tackling. So it's just getting ten points from Army.

776
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:51,960
Speaker 2: I think Navy does the rest. So I'm gonna go

777
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:53,040
Speaker 2: with the over in this game.

778
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:55,399
Speaker 1: My heart tells me I should go there as well,

779
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 1: especially because I watched so closely that Navy Air Force

780
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 1: game earlier this season and Navy just could not stop them, right,

781
00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:05,759
Speaker 1: Navy could not stop them air Force. They throw the

782
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:07,879
Speaker 1: ball a little bit more than Army does, though, and

783
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:10,359
Speaker 1: they're tackling, as you mentioned, was just atrocious in that

784
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 1: specific game. So for me, like, I want to go

785
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:15,080
Speaker 1: with the over, but the pace, the pace of play

786
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:16,880
Speaker 1: is what scares me. Bogs and I was also on

787
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 1: the Army temple over a couple of weeks ago, maybe

788
00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:20,880
Speaker 1: a month or so.

789
00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 2: At this point, does it make you feel only better

790
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:25,720
Speaker 2: than Navy was eight and three to the over this year.

791
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:27,919
Speaker 3: Well as Army, though they I think they would probably

792
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:31,560
Speaker 3: a born seven. Yeah, no it doesn't. It doesn't no

793
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:32,120
Speaker 3: play for me.

794
00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:34,279
Speaker 2: But we expect Navy to pace this game, don't we,

795
00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:36,240
Speaker 2: and their five and a half point favorites.

796
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:36,600
Speaker 3: I would take.

797
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:38,480
Speaker 1: I think I think I would take a Navy team

798
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,120
Speaker 1: total before I would take the just over on on

799
00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:41,439
Speaker 1: the game.

800
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:42,640
Speaker 3: If that makes sense, that's fair.

801
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:46,399
Speaker 1: So yeah, let's go ahead, though, Bogs and move over

802
00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:49,919
Speaker 1: capital one because the Coca Cola Bowl season kicks off

803
00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:53,960
Speaker 1: on Saturday night, a PM Eastern Time from Sofi Stadium

804
00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:56,719
Speaker 1: with the LA Bowl the nine to four Mountain West

805
00:35:56,800 --> 00:36:00,719
Speaker 1: Championship Boise State Broncos. They're catching between nine and nine

806
00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:04,600
Speaker 1: and a half points against the eight and four Washington Huskies. Boise,

807
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:08,120
Speaker 1: they just won their third straight conference title over UNLV.

808
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 3: They won thirty eight twenty one with quarterback Maddix Maxon

809
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:12,560
Speaker 3: back under center.

810
00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 1: He looked great, and their potential opt outs include safety

811
00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:19,480
Speaker 1: tyd Benefield, their left tackle Cage Casey as well be

812
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:23,160
Speaker 1: declaring for the NFL Draft. Washington, they really sputtered it

813
00:36:23,200 --> 00:36:25,200
Speaker 1: at the end of the season. They lost to Wisconsin

814
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 1: back in early November and then to Oregon twenty six

815
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:31,960
Speaker 1: fourteen last time out. They potentially have opting out running

816
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,840
Speaker 1: back Jona Coleman, wide receiver Denzel Boston, and cornerback to

817
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:37,799
Speaker 1: Cardio Davis. However, Jetfish did come out and say that

818
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:40,840
Speaker 1: he expects everyone to play aside from some of those.

819
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:42,840
Speaker 3: Long term injuries. That includes Davis.

820
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 1: So they should be getting back their starting safety and

821
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,000
Speaker 1: their center who missed that Oregon game.

822
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 3: BP projections.

823
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:51,920
Speaker 1: Right now, we have you dubbed by nearly eleven and

824
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:54,840
Speaker 1: a half points. I would, personally, I think like to

825
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:57,880
Speaker 1: take Boise State if Coleman and Boston are out of

826
00:36:57,920 --> 00:36:59,799
Speaker 1: this one. But if they're not, I think I'm just

827
00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:01,600
Speaker 1: a gonna be boring another stay away from me.

828
00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:02,560
Speaker 3: What about you, Scotti?

829
00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:05,400
Speaker 2: I mean, dude, this is the exact same thought process

830
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:09,040
Speaker 2: I had. I started writing up this game thinking, no

831
00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:13,080
Speaker 2: way DENZELP. Boston plays, no way? Yeah, yeah, And then

832
00:37:13,160 --> 00:37:15,799
Speaker 2: Jed Fish says we expect everyone to play, and I

833
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:19,240
Speaker 2: guess his wife was at an award ceremony with Joanah

834
00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:22,360
Speaker 2: Coleman recently while he was on a scouting trip or

835
00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:24,839
Speaker 2: a recruiting trip or something. I don't know, but like

836
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:27,680
Speaker 2: so they're they're connected, right, Like he I feel like

837
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:30,120
Speaker 2: he knows his players very very well. So it seems

838
00:37:30,120 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 2: like they're gonna show up obviously. You know, maybe maybe

839
00:37:33,560 --> 00:37:35,560
Speaker 2: something happens, but we would have heard about it by now.

840
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:38,080
Speaker 2: They're all gonna play. I'm gonna take Washington in this game.

841
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 2: I think I'm with you. I would have wanted to

842
00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 2: take Boise stand yeah, but with Washington playing, I mean,

843
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:46,320
Speaker 2: and just they match up really well here. Like Washington

844
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 2: is not in the upper echelona the Big Ten this

845
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 2: year obviously, but they're still in the USC, Michigan, Illinois

846
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:55,400
Speaker 2: area of this conference that tier, I.

847
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:58,080
Speaker 3: Would say, but me right in there with Illinois, yeah.

848
00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 2: Call on bottom of that tier. Still that's still way

849
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 2: better than Boise State in my opinion. So they haven't

850
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:04,800
Speaker 2: run the ball very well this season, but Boise State's

851
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:07,319
Speaker 2: run defense is awful. I think they're gonna have They're

852
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:09,560
Speaker 2: gonna have success doing that. And the red zone scoring

853
00:38:09,600 --> 00:38:12,280
Speaker 2: for Boise State has also been one of their worst

854
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:14,680
Speaker 2: like statistical things this year. They're one hundred and twenty

855
00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 2: fourth allowing red zone scoring. So Boise also blitz is

856
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:20,799
Speaker 2: like crazy, and Demon Williams has a fifty five point

857
00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:25,600
Speaker 2: three completion percentage against the Blitz or against win pressured.

858
00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:29,360
Speaker 2: That's thirteen out of one hundred and forty nine quarterbacks

859
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:31,840
Speaker 2: ranked with one hundred and fifty drop back Interesting, so

860
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:35,000
Speaker 2: they match up well. They can run the ball and

861
00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:37,759
Speaker 2: will be better at running the ball against Boise State.

862
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:40,160
Speaker 2: I think that's gonna give their offense more balance, the

863
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:42,640
Speaker 2: balance that they want against a team like Boise State.

864
00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:44,520
Speaker 2: And I think they win this one by two touchdowns.

865
00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:46,560
Speaker 2: So give me the Huskies and I'll lay the points here.

866
00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:50,400
Speaker 1: Okay, We've got a couple of conference runner ups squaring

867
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 1: off in the Salute to Veterans Bowl from Montgomery, Alabama,

868
00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 1: kicking off on Tuesday, December sixteenth, at nine pm Eastern time.

869
00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:00,200
Speaker 1: The eight and five Troy Trojans are three and a

870
00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:02,640
Speaker 1: half to four point favorites over the eight and five

871
00:39:02,719 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 1: Jacksonville State game Cocks. Troy, they just lost to jam

872
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 1: U thirty one to fourteen in the Sun Belt Championship game,

873
00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:12,359
Speaker 1: but they did cover, bringing them to nine to four ats.

874
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:16,040
Speaker 1: They did lose quarterback Goose Crowder late in that game.

875
00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:19,720
Speaker 1: He was seen on crutches afterwards, and they're starting running

876
00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:20,680
Speaker 1: back Trey Meadows.

877
00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:21,760
Speaker 3: He has hit the portal.

878
00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:24,960
Speaker 1: Jack State there clawed their way back into the lead

879
00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:29,120
Speaker 1: of the CUSA Conference championship game after being down two

880
00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:31,640
Speaker 1: scores late in the fourth quarter, looked all but over,

881
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:33,640
Speaker 1: and then they just gave it right back to Kansas

882
00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:38,239
Speaker 1: State to lose. That pushed them to six and seven ATS,

883
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:40,840
Speaker 1: and they could still be without their left guard Adrian

884
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:44,799
Speaker 1: Gumm and their cornerback Tyron Taylor. The BB projections right now,

885
00:39:44,840 --> 00:39:46,680
Speaker 1: we have this closer two and a half points.

886
00:39:46,680 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 3: So I'm once.

887
00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:51,320
Speaker 1: Again tempted to get invest with jack State, specifically because

888
00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:53,680
Speaker 1: they have a top five ranked rushing offense.

889
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:57,040
Speaker 3: Troy is one hundred twelve against the run. But Boggs,

890
00:39:57,080 --> 00:39:57,799
Speaker 3: they've burned me.

891
00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:00,200
Speaker 1: A few times here as of late, and you out

892
00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:02,600
Speaker 1: of Kansas State ticket to the window last week, so

893
00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 1: well continue to fade the game, Cocks.

894
00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,600
Speaker 2: No, I'm rolling with Jacksonville State here. I think your

895
00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 2: first assessment is absolutely correct. Right. They have that strong

896
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:15,400
Speaker 2: rushing game against a weak rushing defense, and specifically, with

897
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:18,880
Speaker 2: Goose Crowder probably not playing in this game, there's a

898
00:40:18,920 --> 00:40:21,880
Speaker 2: potential that he's been mentioned in the portal as well,

899
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:24,279
Speaker 2: so he may be portaling it. We'll see great name.

900
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:24,799
Speaker 2: By the way.

901
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:28,120
Speaker 1: Also apparently they sat on that broadcast and hope you

902
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:31,359
Speaker 1: caught it. But he was a big top Gun fan

903
00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:32,279
Speaker 1: growing up, so.

904
00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:35,759
Speaker 2: He oh yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah yeah yeah. I

905
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 2: mean great name for him, absolutely, but I don't think

906
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:39,960
Speaker 2: we see him in this game. And this is what

907
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:42,680
Speaker 2: we were worried about for Troy against James Madison, right,

908
00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 2: I kept referencing, Hey, look, they just gave up three

909
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,239
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty one rushing yard to ODU. Well, they

910
00:40:48,239 --> 00:40:51,239
Speaker 2: gave up three hundred and eighteen to James Madison, so

911
00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,200
Speaker 2: two hundred and seventeen of Memphis in that loss. Arkie

912
00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:58,000
Speaker 2: beat them up on defense, only allowing them to have

913
00:40:58,040 --> 00:41:01,080
Speaker 2: one hundred and eighty seven yards. So Jackville State isn't perfect,

914
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:03,880
Speaker 2: but this is the best matchup the roster strength from

915
00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:06,040
Speaker 2: my guys that see if you winning edge ninety four

916
00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 2: verus ninety five here. So it's tight, but we have

917
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:13,640
Speaker 2: opt outs, transfer portal and injuries for Troy. For Jacksonville State,

918
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:16,640
Speaker 2: their guys are coming back. You know, Troy can still

919
00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:19,640
Speaker 2: be in this one because Tucker Killcrease, he started seven

920
00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 2: games for Troy this year. They were five and two

921
00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:23,960
Speaker 2: in that stretch. But I also love that this game

922
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 2: is in Alabama for both these Alabama teams. It's I

923
00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 2: think it's an hour away from Troy and two hours

924
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:32,719
Speaker 2: away from Jacksonville, so it should be represented there. But

925
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:35,319
Speaker 2: give me Jacksonville State to run this ball right down

926
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:37,440
Speaker 2: Troy's throat. I don't know why we're catching points here.

927
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:40,680
Speaker 2: I don't understand why Troy is favored, so we're getting

928
00:41:40,680 --> 00:41:42,520
Speaker 2: points for Jacksonville State. I don't think that lasts, So

929
00:41:42,560 --> 00:41:44,200
Speaker 2: go ahead and get it as soon as you can.

930
00:41:44,600 --> 00:41:45,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, you may.

931
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:47,959
Speaker 1: Maybe you talked me into because I my heart wants

932
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:50,319
Speaker 1: to go with Cooking Kreole one more time. But it's

933
00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 1: just been so heartbreaking the way they've lost these games

934
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,560
Speaker 1: as of late. So all right, let's keep it moving

935
00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:58,719
Speaker 1: here to Orlando, which will once again host the Cureble

936
00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:02,160
Speaker 1: with the nine three Old Dominion Monarchs. They're catching five

937
00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:04,240
Speaker 1: and a half to six and a half points against

938
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:07,000
Speaker 1: the nine to three South Florida Bulls ODU.

939
00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:08,520
Speaker 3: They had a really strong season.

940
00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:11,360
Speaker 1: They finished second in the Sunbelt East Division and it

941
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:12,120
Speaker 1: really should have been.

942
00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:13,680
Speaker 3: In the conference finals if.

943
00:42:13,520 --> 00:42:16,520
Speaker 1: It wasn't for those dang divisions, and they were seven

944
00:42:16,520 --> 00:42:19,080
Speaker 1: to five ats and actually blew out Troy, who we

945
00:42:19,160 --> 00:42:22,479
Speaker 1: just talked about thirty three zero in mid November. They

946
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:25,840
Speaker 1: were led by twenty twenty five Sunbelt Offensive Player of

947
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:29,000
Speaker 1: the Year quarterback Colton Joseph, who was second in the

948
00:42:29,040 --> 00:42:32,000
Speaker 1: conference in passing touchdowns with twenty one, fourth in rushing

949
00:42:32,040 --> 00:42:34,120
Speaker 1: yards with over one thousand. So this guy was really

950
00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:36,839
Speaker 1: their whole offense and he'll be out of this one right.

951
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:40,719
Speaker 1: So this leaves a freshman Quinn Henikel under center, who

952
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:42,880
Speaker 1: rushed for two hundred yards in his one start in

953
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. Also questionable is their cornerback bostros A

954
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 1: Lionstrow And what started as the Cinderella season with a

955
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 1: couple upset wins over Boise State ended on a rather

956
00:42:54,640 --> 00:42:55,880
Speaker 1: disappointing note.

957
00:42:55,640 --> 00:42:56,840
Speaker 3: For South Florida.

958
00:42:56,920 --> 00:43:00,440
Speaker 1: They dropped AAC games to Memphis and Navy down stretch

959
00:43:00,480 --> 00:43:04,040
Speaker 1: head coach Al Golash. He is also heading towards Auburn,

960
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:08,040
Speaker 1: taking his offensive coordinator and some key members of that

961
00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:10,680
Speaker 1: staff with him. They're already on the road, so they

962
00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:12,160
Speaker 1: are gone and they will not be a part of

963
00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:15,919
Speaker 1: the Bowl prep. It's unknown whether quarterback Byron Brown will

964
00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:18,520
Speaker 1: be up for this. When he led the country until

965
00:43:18,640 --> 00:43:22,399
Speaker 1: touchdowns forty two, he did say, though, while he's still

966
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:25,600
Speaker 1: mulling over whether he's going to transfer or potentially enter

967
00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 1: the NFL Draft, that we quote have one more game

968
00:43:29,040 --> 00:43:33,200
Speaker 1: following USF's regular season finale. They could also be without

969
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: their cornerback James Chanall and their defensive end Denard Flowers,

970
00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:37,400
Speaker 1: who are injured.

971
00:43:37,480 --> 00:43:40,800
Speaker 3: BP projections, we set this line at over seven and

972
00:43:40,840 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 3: a half points. Bugs. This is another spot where I

973
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:46,520
Speaker 3: have a bit of a mixed feel. Specifically with the.

974
00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:49,240
Speaker 1: Opt outs, I think I am leaning towards the under.

975
00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:53,480
Speaker 1: Though no Joseph, no USF offensive staff. I think that

976
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 1: puts both these teams at a disadvantage on the offensive

977
00:43:57,200 --> 00:43:59,360
Speaker 1: side despite them playing at a very fast paced What

978
00:43:59,400 --> 00:44:00,960
Speaker 1: about you, NA, I like.

979
00:44:00,920 --> 00:44:04,879
Speaker 2: The over here because it's Byron Brown, man like, as

980
00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:07,719
Speaker 2: long as he's playing, I like the over for the game.

981
00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:09,880
Speaker 2: I like the over for USF as well, because I

982
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:12,239
Speaker 2: think if he plays in this game, he's gonna want

983
00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:14,279
Speaker 2: to let it rip right, Like, You're not going there

984
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:16,120
Speaker 2: to run the ball a million times, You're not gonna

985
00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:17,759
Speaker 2: come and play this game to run the ball a

986
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:20,520
Speaker 2: million times. Now, this is a big if. This is

987
00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:22,440
Speaker 2: a massive if, right because it goes to is already

988
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:25,160
Speaker 2: out the door. So we know ODU is not gonna

989
00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 2: score their traditional amount of points. I think that USF

990
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 2: can get most of this if Byron Brown is playing

991
00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:35,959
Speaker 2: in this game. So that's why you know both both

992
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:38,720
Speaker 2: teams are average on defense. Od you played a week schedule,

993
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:41,440
Speaker 2: USF was seven and five to the over. USF is

994
00:44:41,520 --> 00:44:44,960
Speaker 2: number one in pace, ODU is twenty eight. So even

995
00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:47,280
Speaker 2: with a backup quarterback with a little bit of extra

996
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:50,040
Speaker 2: time to prepare here, maybe that's gonna be good because

997
00:44:50,040 --> 00:44:54,239
Speaker 2: they do pace quickly as well. ODU is strong on

998
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:58,120
Speaker 2: defense statistically and in grade, but they have played one

999
00:44:58,160 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 2: of the weakest offensive schedules.

1000
00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:00,200
Speaker 1: Man.

1001
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:04,120
Speaker 2: They faced Virginia Tech, who's one hundred and fourteenth in scoring, Liberty,

1002
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:07,080
Speaker 2: who's eighty first, COLSTU, who's one hundred and third. App

1003
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:09,440
Speaker 2: State is eighty fourth, ULM is one hundred and thirtieth.

1004
00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:11,960
Speaker 2: Georgia State is one hundred and nineteenth. That's fifty percent

1005
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:16,000
Speaker 2: of their schedule, right there, is against eight teams in

1006
00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:20,640
Speaker 2: the eighties or lower in scoring. So just awful schedule

1007
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:22,960
Speaker 2: when you really break it down, when they did face

1008
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:26,399
Speaker 2: decent offenses, the Indiana game was the only one, and

1009
00:45:26,560 --> 00:45:28,719
Speaker 2: by the way, they turned them all over twice in

1010
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:31,000
Speaker 2: the red zone in that game, so they probably should

1011
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:34,160
Speaker 2: have had closer to forty than the twenty seven that

1012
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:37,200
Speaker 2: they had. But we saw them just get rocked sixty

1013
00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:40,359
Speaker 2: three to twenty seven against JAMU forty eight. They gave

1014
00:45:40,400 --> 00:45:43,839
Speaker 2: it to Marshall as well, So USF is going to win.

1015
00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 2: I think they're going to score a lot of points,

1016
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:49,680
Speaker 2: so I think I would lay the six for USF

1017
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:53,160
Speaker 2: with no issue at all. I like the over as well.

1018
00:45:53,280 --> 00:45:56,040
Speaker 2: If you were concerned about O do you doing their end?

1019
00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 2: I would say the team total for USF is fine.

1020
00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:02,760
Speaker 2: Again all if Byron Brown is playing, which right now

1021
00:46:03,239 --> 00:46:06,120
Speaker 2: it seems like he is playing, so we'll roll with it.

1022
00:46:06,640 --> 00:46:09,520
Speaker 2: If he opts out, I just take the under for

1023
00:46:09,560 --> 00:46:14,600
Speaker 2: the game, like Seth said initially, so massive. It's a

1024
00:46:14,640 --> 00:46:16,880
Speaker 2: massive swing. But Byron Brown, like you said, led the

1025
00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:19,359
Speaker 2: country in touchdowns this year, so I believe in him.

1026
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:21,279
Speaker 2: If he's gonna end up playing in this game, I

1027
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:21,759
Speaker 2: think we're.

1028
00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:22,960
Speaker 3: Gonna have a grudge match on this one.

1029
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:25,839
Speaker 1: I think either with him, I mean without him, I

1030
00:46:25,880 --> 00:46:28,480
Speaker 1: love the under. I still like it a lot, though,

1031
00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:30,960
Speaker 1: even if he's in this game, because none of Odu's

1032
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:33,960
Speaker 1: past five games have gone over this fifty five and

1033
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:37,279
Speaker 1: a half point total. Also, only four of eleven of

1034
00:46:37,320 --> 00:46:39,800
Speaker 1: their games have hit this mark this season as well.

1035
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:42,200
Speaker 3: They have the twentieth best scoring defense.

1036
00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:44,680
Speaker 1: Again, some of that is predicated on who they've played,

1037
00:46:45,200 --> 00:46:47,279
Speaker 1: but they also get after the quarterback man at a

1038
00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:50,800
Speaker 1: top eleven clip, and that's something that may trouble USF,

1039
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 1: a program that took the thirty first most sacks per

1040
00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:56,799
Speaker 1: game this season. ODU is also terrible at scoring in

1041
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:58,799
Speaker 1: the red zone one hundred and nineteenth in red zone

1042
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:02,799
Speaker 1: scoring percent. Will also likely get worse without Joseph. I

1043
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:05,399
Speaker 1: will probably also, you know, throw out a ticket for

1044
00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:09,000
Speaker 1: South Florida just to cover this line if South Florida's

1045
00:47:09,000 --> 00:47:09,759
Speaker 1: gonna be with Brown.

1046
00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:11,680
Speaker 3: But yeah, I just love the under. I think it's

1047
00:47:11,680 --> 00:47:14,440
Speaker 3: my favorite play of the week. So that that's oh wow, okay, yeah,

1048
00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 3: I'm very very high on it.

1049
00:47:15,640 --> 00:47:18,920
Speaker 1: I think, dude, oh to you, they're not bad on defense.

1050
00:47:18,960 --> 00:47:20,920
Speaker 1: The only time they really got you know, the doors

1051
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:23,840
Speaker 1: kicked off them. We're against JMU who you know, that's everyone.

1052
00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:26,960
Speaker 2: I think the sacks that they give up at USP,

1053
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:28,799
Speaker 2: Byron Brown makes up for him, right, And I think

1054
00:47:28,840 --> 00:47:32,200
Speaker 2: those are obviously those are his his time to throw,

1055
00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:34,319
Speaker 2: right like that, that's really what it is. And they're

1056
00:47:34,360 --> 00:47:38,000
Speaker 2: first in pace like it all really does depend on him, right.

1057
00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:40,759
Speaker 2: They're top twenty four and ten plus yard plays, so

1058
00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:43,960
Speaker 2: it is oh to you there're seventeenth in UH plays

1059
00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:46,640
Speaker 2: over ten yards, So like, I think there's explosive plays

1060
00:47:46,640 --> 00:47:49,640
Speaker 2: available for both these squads. And I just really like

1061
00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:51,799
Speaker 2: Byron Brown if he's gonna roll in this game, I

1062
00:47:51,800 --> 00:47:53,920
Speaker 2: think he wants to put up as many points as

1063
00:47:53,920 --> 00:47:54,160
Speaker 2: he can.

1064
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:55,799
Speaker 1: Does he play the whole game though? Or does he

1065
00:47:55,840 --> 00:47:57,640
Speaker 1: pull a cam Ward like that's the other thing.

1066
00:47:57,719 --> 00:47:59,360
Speaker 2: Well, if he doesn't play the whole game is probably

1067
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:00,279
Speaker 2: because they've already before.

1068
00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:03,799
Speaker 1: Okay, fair enough, let's head south to the site of

1069
00:48:03,840 --> 00:48:08,399
Speaker 1: the Senior Bolmobile Alabama for the sixty eight Ventures Bowl,

1070
00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:11,560
Speaker 1: where things get underway on Wednesday, December seventeenth at eight

1071
00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:15,319
Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern time. This is one between the six

1072
00:48:15,360 --> 00:48:18,840
Speaker 1: and six Louisiana Rag Occasions, favored by two and a

1073
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,360
Speaker 1: half to three and a half points over the Delaware

1074
00:48:21,400 --> 00:48:24,120
Speaker 1: fight in Blue Hens. The Cajuns, they finished in the

1075
00:48:24,120 --> 00:48:26,840
Speaker 1: middle of the pack in the Sun Belt West and

1076
00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:29,920
Speaker 1: were six and six ats this season. They were very

1077
00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:33,600
Speaker 1: much relying on their quarterback Lunch win Field and their

1078
00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:37,000
Speaker 1: running back tandem of Elijah Davis and z Island Perry. The

1079
00:48:37,040 --> 00:48:40,400
Speaker 1: only player missing for them could be their center Cooper Forum,

1080
00:48:40,520 --> 00:48:43,799
Speaker 1: who missed their finale game the Blue Hens. Meanwhile, they

1081
00:48:44,000 --> 00:48:47,440
Speaker 1: just joined Conference USA from the FCS level. Pretty strong

1082
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:49,879
Speaker 1: season overall to get to a bowl game. They were

1083
00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:53,640
Speaker 1: just four to seven and one ats tho their quarterback

1084
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:58,920
Speaker 1: Nick Minnesooni. He led the conference in passing attempts and yards.

1085
00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:02,240
Speaker 1: They also have questionable running back Joe Silver, who played

1086
00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:06,560
Speaker 1: just twenty three snaps in their regular season finale BP projections.

1087
00:49:06,600 --> 00:49:09,239
Speaker 1: We have Louisiana by nearly four points. Is that the

1088
00:49:09,280 --> 00:49:11,040
Speaker 1: side you're on, Scott Boggin.

1089
00:49:11,400 --> 00:49:13,560
Speaker 2: Yes, I am, and I was kind of surprised by

1090
00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:16,960
Speaker 2: it when I looked at it, because Delaware statistically seems,

1091
00:49:17,080 --> 00:49:21,600
Speaker 2: you know, obviously much better on offense. Yes, Louisiana isn't

1092
00:49:21,640 --> 00:49:23,840
Speaker 2: great on defense either, Like they're just okay, I was

1093
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:26,759
Speaker 2: kind of surprised that they won six games. But this

1094
00:49:26,960 --> 00:49:31,279
Speaker 2: is again massive travel for Delaware versus Louisiana go all

1095
00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:34,239
Speaker 2: the way to Alabama, so you know, you think about that,

1096
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:36,320
Speaker 2: and also think about the fact that five of delaware

1097
00:49:36,440 --> 00:49:39,399
Speaker 2: six losses were on the road this year. They love

1098
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:42,800
Speaker 2: playing at home. They haven't been as good on the road,

1099
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:46,160
Speaker 2: so you know, I think the over is in play

1100
00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:48,440
Speaker 2: as well because both these defenses have been soft. But

1101
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 2: of course we just we have to have for Louisiana

1102
00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:52,399
Speaker 2: to win this game, we have to have our boy

1103
00:49:52,520 --> 00:49:55,160
Speaker 2: Lunch out there. Lunch Winfield has to be playing. But

1104
00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:58,359
Speaker 2: Delaware playing at home is the name of the game.

1105
00:49:58,880 --> 00:50:01,480
Speaker 2: As the FIU game on September twenty was their only

1106
00:50:01,600 --> 00:50:03,840
Speaker 2: road win of the season, all the way back in September.

1107
00:50:04,080 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 2: There are other road losses Colorado, Jacksonville State, Liberty, Sam

1108
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:12,479
Speaker 2: Houston State is an embarrassing loss to have, even on

1109
00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:17,400
Speaker 2: the road. Obviously, Wake Forest was a loss that wasn't

1110
00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:20,799
Speaker 2: surprising there. But it's the Cajuns For me in this game,

1111
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:23,799
Speaker 2: I don't have a massive amount of confidence. I haven't

1112
00:50:23,800 --> 00:50:26,759
Speaker 2: got to watch a ton of Delaware or Louisiana this year.

1113
00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:28,919
Speaker 2: I watched a little bit of Delaware against wake Forest

1114
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:31,760
Speaker 2: because I had their team total under Wake Forest defense.

1115
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:36,680
Speaker 2: It's just nasty. But I gotta go with the Cajuns here.

1116
00:50:36,719 --> 00:50:38,960
Speaker 2: It's just less travel. I think they'll have a bigger crowd,

1117
00:50:39,000 --> 00:50:41,719
Speaker 2: and Delaware has not been good on the road this year.

1118
00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 1: I'm actually going to be on the over of this one.

1119
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:45,880
Speaker 1: Bogs fifty seven and a half points.

1120
00:50:46,160 --> 00:50:48,600
Speaker 3: Delaware. They had that sixth to rank passing offense.

1121
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:51,000
Speaker 1: I think that will actually carve up the Cajuns eighty

1122
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:54,040
Speaker 1: seventh rank passing defense and Louisiana they're really good at

1123
00:50:54,080 --> 00:50:56,160
Speaker 1: running the ball right twenty ninth right now in the

1124
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,680
Speaker 1: country at their clip for rushing, and I think that

1125
00:50:59,680 --> 00:51:01,719
Speaker 1: should be enough to get through the hens eighty ninth

1126
00:51:01,760 --> 00:51:05,560
Speaker 1: raked rushing defense that is considerably worse on the road,

1127
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:08,200
Speaker 1: and five out of the seven last game for the

1128
00:51:08,200 --> 00:51:10,799
Speaker 1: Hens went over this total. They're also six five and

1129
00:51:10,880 --> 00:51:13,879
Speaker 1: one to the over and seven of the last nine

1130
00:51:13,960 --> 00:51:16,360
Speaker 1: Cagun games also went over this total. They're eight and

1131
00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:19,480
Speaker 1: four to the over on the season, So I really.

1132
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:22,239
Speaker 2: Like the over Delaware twenty six in pace as well,

1133
00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:23,840
Speaker 2: nice fast pace for them.

1134
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:25,960
Speaker 1: Yes, so I think like that's really I just think

1135
00:51:26,200 --> 00:51:29,399
Speaker 1: the offenses can line up very nicely and attack both

1136
00:51:29,440 --> 00:51:31,360
Speaker 1: these as you mentioned, soft defenses.

1137
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:33,640
Speaker 3: So that's gonna be my play and let's hope for points.

1138
00:51:34,080 --> 00:51:35,840
Speaker 2: Fingers cross, let's go ahead.

1139
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,839
Speaker 1: We'll round it out with the Xbox Bowl kicking off

1140
00:51:39,239 --> 00:51:42,520
Speaker 1: at nine pm Eastern time in Frisco, Texas the seven

1141
00:51:42,560 --> 00:51:45,480
Speaker 1: and five Missouri State Bears. They are laying between one

1142
00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:47,200
Speaker 1: and a half and two and a half points against

1143
00:51:47,200 --> 00:51:50,360
Speaker 1: the six and five Arkansas State red Wolves. The Bears

1144
00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:53,560
Speaker 1: also made the jump from FCS to Conference USA and

1145
00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:56,239
Speaker 1: they fared pretty well at five and three in conference play,

1146
00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 1: also seven and five ATS on the season. They have

1147
00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:02,440
Speaker 1: the twenty second ranked passing offense. They are led by

1148
00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:05,480
Speaker 1: senior quarterback Jacob Clark. This guy's been with them for

1149
00:52:05,520 --> 00:52:09,880
Speaker 1: his entire career. He also led the Conference USA and

1150
00:52:10,520 --> 00:52:13,120
Speaker 1: passing touchdowns with twenty four of them. They're starting defensive

1151
00:52:13,120 --> 00:52:15,799
Speaker 1: tack with Ryan Williams. He is questionable after missing the

1152
00:52:15,840 --> 00:52:18,359
Speaker 1: past two contests. That could be a big loss for them.

1153
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:21,439
Speaker 1: Arkansas State, meanwhile, they're middle of the road coming from

1154
00:52:21,440 --> 00:52:24,680
Speaker 1: the Sunbelt Conference. They are eight and four ATS on

1155
00:52:24,760 --> 00:52:28,759
Speaker 1: the back of their junior quarterback Jalen Rayner, who also

1156
00:52:28,840 --> 00:52:32,440
Speaker 1: led the Conference of passing tempts, yards and interceptions as well.

1157
00:52:32,760 --> 00:52:36,360
Speaker 1: They have a questionable they're stud left guard Tristan Smith,

1158
00:52:36,840 --> 00:52:39,600
Speaker 1: who's been out since Week eleven, causing them to drop

1159
00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:42,840
Speaker 1: three their last four against the spread BP projections.

1160
00:52:42,920 --> 00:52:45,360
Speaker 3: Right now, we have the Bears by over a point.

1161
00:52:45,560 --> 00:52:47,279
Speaker 3: That's where I'm heading. What about you?

1162
00:52:47,960 --> 00:52:50,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm on Missouri State here, and this one is

1163
00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:53,360
Speaker 2: going to be extremely tight, I feel like. But I

1164
00:52:53,440 --> 00:52:56,400
Speaker 2: do feel like your boy Jacob Clark is the difference

1165
00:52:56,800 --> 00:52:59,640
Speaker 2: maker in this game, and they really just need to

1166
00:52:59,640 --> 00:53:02,920
Speaker 2: hold give him enough time to hit those explosive plays

1167
00:53:02,920 --> 00:53:06,160
Speaker 2: thirty second and ten plus yard plays this season, and

1168
00:53:06,200 --> 00:53:07,960
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna win this one. The Bears have

1169
00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:11,360
Speaker 2: five players or twenty five catches or in four hundred

1170
00:53:11,480 --> 00:53:13,880
Speaker 2: or more yards, but no one over five hundred and

1171
00:53:13,880 --> 00:53:16,880
Speaker 2: fifty yards. So obviously they spread it around, They find

1172
00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:19,640
Speaker 2: the weakness and hit it. That's what they do. So

1173
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:22,759
Speaker 2: they're gonna spread you out, they're gonna pace you as well.

1174
00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:26,440
Speaker 2: So I really like this offense. I do think. You know,

1175
00:53:26,600 --> 00:53:29,120
Speaker 2: Arkansas State is a very good passing offense behind quarterback

1176
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:32,320
Speaker 2: Jalen Rainer, but they've struggled to put up points, ninetieth

1177
00:53:32,360 --> 00:53:35,239
Speaker 2: in scoring and in red zone scoring percentage. So I

1178
00:53:35,280 --> 00:53:38,239
Speaker 2: do think if Arkansas State wins this game, we're gonna

1179
00:53:38,239 --> 00:53:41,720
Speaker 2: be hearing about the pressure that DeMarcus Hendrix, Ethan Hasslar,

1180
00:53:41,760 --> 00:53:45,360
Speaker 2: Coda Siegler. We're putting against Jacob Clark, but they grade

1181
00:53:45,640 --> 00:53:49,200
Speaker 2: very well in pass blocking this season. Right that it

1182
00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:53,680
Speaker 2: was thirtieth this season? You said, was it the Missouri

1183
00:53:53,719 --> 00:53:56,279
Speaker 2: State guard or was it the Arkansas State guard that's

1184
00:53:56,320 --> 00:53:57,200
Speaker 2: down as.

1185
00:53:57,120 --> 00:54:00,319
Speaker 1: The Arkansas State left guard Tristan Smith, And apparently from

1186
00:54:00,360 --> 00:54:02,640
Speaker 1: all things I'm hearing this guy could be an NFL

1187
00:54:02,680 --> 00:54:03,440
Speaker 1: caliber player.

1188
00:54:04,040 --> 00:54:06,640
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, so not on the Missouri State side though,

1189
00:54:06,640 --> 00:54:08,280
Speaker 2: I just wanted to make sure to make that clear.

1190
00:54:08,560 --> 00:54:12,520
Speaker 2: So that Missouri State offensive line is healthy. I think

1191
00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:16,400
Speaker 2: they're gonna hold up. Not my favorite confidence, I'll be honest.

1192
00:54:16,440 --> 00:54:18,640
Speaker 2: I don't think I saw Missouri State play more than

1193
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:21,680
Speaker 2: like ten plays this year. Maybe I saw one game

1194
00:54:21,960 --> 00:54:25,760
Speaker 2: with Archie, but not a lot of these guys this season.

1195
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:29,239
Speaker 2: But I do think, based on what we've seen so far,

1196
00:54:29,600 --> 00:54:31,879
Speaker 2: Missouri State is probably going to pull this game out.

1197
00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:32,359
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1198
00:54:32,640 --> 00:54:35,239
Speaker 1: I actually, for whatever reason, I don't know if it's

1199
00:54:35,280 --> 00:54:38,120
Speaker 1: just the TV contract, I think CUSA. They have a

1200
00:54:38,160 --> 00:54:42,000
Speaker 1: deal with CBS Sports Network, so I had a lot

1201
00:54:42,040 --> 00:54:45,880
Speaker 1: of CUSA games on the TV this season, and Missouri

1202
00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:47,680
Speaker 1: State was actually when I got to watch a decent

1203
00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:50,120
Speaker 1: amount of So I'm on the money line here. They

1204
00:54:50,120 --> 00:54:53,399
Speaker 1: gave Kennesaw State, hell, they gave Western Kentucky a tough

1205
00:54:53,440 --> 00:54:56,560
Speaker 1: out as well, and they also a good offense CFIU

1206
00:54:56,680 --> 00:54:59,640
Speaker 1: man like. And then also they beat Marshall on the road.

1207
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:03,480
Speaker 1: That's the only Sun Belt team they faced, So I

1208
00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:05,839
Speaker 1: think they're in a good position here. Arkansas State they

1209
00:55:05,880 --> 00:55:09,399
Speaker 1: actually lost to every non conference opponent they faced at

1210
00:55:09,440 --> 00:55:12,360
Speaker 1: the FBS level this year, that includes one from the

1211
00:55:12,360 --> 00:55:16,160
Speaker 1: Sun Belt. So for me, I think I'm gonna have

1212
00:55:16,239 --> 00:55:19,919
Speaker 1: to go with them. And like, also, the Bears better

1213
00:55:19,960 --> 00:55:23,240
Speaker 1: in pretty much like every major statistical category we're weighing

1214
00:55:23,280 --> 00:55:27,000
Speaker 1: in this as well, especially in that turnover margin. Arkansas

1215
00:55:27,040 --> 00:55:29,640
Speaker 1: State they have really struggled there. Also, Like, I just

1216
00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:32,000
Speaker 1: love this Missouri State team. I love the heart they've

1217
00:55:32,040 --> 00:55:34,920
Speaker 1: shown coming up. Seems like they've really bonded and Clark

1218
00:55:35,000 --> 00:55:36,560
Speaker 1: is at the heart of it. They talk on every

1219
00:55:36,560 --> 00:55:39,560
Speaker 1: single broadcast how much this guy means the program. He

1220
00:55:39,640 --> 00:55:42,359
Speaker 1: might be the future head coach. He might be at

1221
00:55:42,440 --> 00:55:45,120
Speaker 1: least on the staff in the future. So I just

1222
00:55:45,160 --> 00:55:48,279
Speaker 1: also believe it. In the Conference, USA teams a lot

1223
00:55:48,320 --> 00:55:50,839
Speaker 1: more than the Sunbelt aside from JMU, so I think

1224
00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:51,839
Speaker 1: they're gonna prove it here.

1225
00:55:52,160 --> 00:55:53,720
Speaker 3: I'm really excited about the Bears.

1226
00:55:54,200 --> 00:55:57,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's go and Boggs before we get out of here.

1227
00:55:57,120 --> 00:55:59,160
Speaker 1: It is time for the hard rock best bets of

1228
00:55:59,280 --> 00:56:01,560
Speaker 1: the week. And what do you have for us, my friend?

1229
00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:04,680
Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the points with Washington. All those guys

1230
00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:06,399
Speaker 2: are gonna be playing. I think they're just a much

1231
00:56:06,440 --> 00:56:09,359
Speaker 2: better team than Boise stayed. Overall, I think I think

1232
00:56:09,400 --> 00:56:12,640
Speaker 2: there are some P four schools the Boise State could

1233
00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:15,319
Speaker 2: jump up and get. I don't think Washington is one

1234
00:56:15,320 --> 00:56:18,120
Speaker 2: of them. So going to an NFL stadium and so far,

1235
00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:22,239
Speaker 2: if everyone's playing for the Huskies, give me the Husky

1236
00:56:22,320 --> 00:56:23,280
Speaker 2: is gonna lay the points.

1237
00:56:23,520 --> 00:56:25,319
Speaker 1: I'm going against you with that one, and I want

1238
00:56:25,320 --> 00:56:27,919
Speaker 1: to fight you with Old Dominion versus South Florida under

1239
00:56:27,960 --> 00:56:30,240
Speaker 1: fifty five and a half minus one oh five.

1240
00:56:30,120 --> 00:56:31,800
Speaker 3: Four the curable. Oh do you?

1241
00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:35,279
Speaker 1: They lost almost that entire offensive per formance. I think

1242
00:56:35,320 --> 00:56:37,359
Speaker 1: Colton Joseph he meant so much this team.

1243
00:56:37,440 --> 00:56:38,160
Speaker 2: He was great.

1244
00:56:38,640 --> 00:56:40,520
Speaker 1: I think they're also one of the better G five

1245
00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:44,040
Speaker 1: teams on defense. And I think USFS offensive staff being gone,

1246
00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:45,680
Speaker 1: I think that's really gonna hurt them, take some the

1247
00:56:45,760 --> 00:56:49,600
Speaker 1: wins out of their sales. So plus, like, who knows

1248
00:56:49,640 --> 00:56:51,840
Speaker 1: if Brown plays that whole game, I said, maybe he

1249
00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:53,320
Speaker 1: pulls the camboard.

1250
00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:55,840
Speaker 2: So it's caveat for me. Like Byron Brown has to

1251
00:56:55,840 --> 00:56:58,200
Speaker 2: play to be on that over, and if he does play,

1252
00:56:58,239 --> 00:56:59,920
Speaker 2: I think they put up most of the total them,

1253
00:57:00,080 --> 00:57:01,040
Speaker 2: so we'll see.

1254
00:57:01,080 --> 00:57:02,080
Speaker 3: Okay, Well, there you have it.

1255
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:05,919
Speaker 1: Washington and the over in the curable As are hard

1256
00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:08,360
Speaker 1: Rock Best Bets, and of course today's show is brought

1257
00:57:08,360 --> 00:57:11,239
Speaker 1: to you by our presenting sponsor over there at hard

1258
00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:13,960
Speaker 1: Rock Bet and Big News. Hard Rock Bet is now

1259
00:57:14,040 --> 00:57:16,400
Speaker 1: live in Michigan, so no worries. I know it is

1260
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:18,040
Speaker 1: kind of an up and down season. I know you

1261
00:57:18,120 --> 00:57:20,680
Speaker 1: might just lost your head, coach, but hey, the holidays

1262
00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 1: are here. The sports schedule is packed tighter than Santa's

1263
00:57:23,840 --> 00:57:27,960
Speaker 1: gift bag. Week fifteen of the NFL season, Bowl games,

1264
00:57:28,160 --> 00:57:32,240
Speaker 1: NBA college hoops hockey, the whole sports slay is loaded,

1265
00:57:32,640 --> 00:57:34,680
Speaker 1: and on hard Rock Bet you can, of of course

1266
00:57:35,120 --> 00:57:38,040
Speaker 1: get in on the action. There's always something unwrapped, always

1267
00:57:38,080 --> 00:57:40,440
Speaker 1: something to bet on. New customers, you can sign up

1268
00:57:40,560 --> 00:57:43,440
Speaker 1: and bet five dollars on any game this week. If

1269
00:57:43,440 --> 00:57:45,560
Speaker 1: it wins, you'll find one hundred and fifty dollars in

1270
00:57:45,640 --> 00:57:48,400
Speaker 1: bonus bets on top of your winnings, stuffed in your

1271
00:57:48,440 --> 00:57:52,240
Speaker 1: stocking this Christmas. Now, that's what I call holiday magic, folks.

1272
00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:54,000
Speaker 1: And if you're not sure where to place your first

1273
00:57:54,000 --> 00:57:56,840
Speaker 1: bet yet, no worries. Hard Rock Bet just launched a

1274
00:57:57,000 --> 00:58:00,320
Speaker 1: brand new for you page. It's really really cool. They've

1275
00:58:00,360 --> 00:58:03,040
Speaker 1: made it so easy to find your favorite teams, players,

1276
00:58:03,040 --> 00:58:05,000
Speaker 1: and leagues all in one simple spot.

1277
00:58:05,160 --> 00:58:06,920
Speaker 3: The hard Rock Bet sportsbook app.

1278
00:58:06,720 --> 00:58:09,000
Speaker 1: Is the only legal sportsbook for an ever year in

1279
00:58:09,040 --> 00:58:11,880
Speaker 1: the Great State of Florida. Maybe snowbirding it, maybe heading

1280
00:58:11,920 --> 00:58:13,880
Speaker 1: down the Cure Bowl or one of these other Bowl

1281
00:58:13,880 --> 00:58:17,120
Speaker 1: games we got down there. It's also live in Arizona, Ohio,

1282
00:58:17,240 --> 00:58:21,640
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, Colorado, and Michigan.

1283
00:58:21,880 --> 00:58:23,439
Speaker 3: Coming to more states very soon.

1284
00:58:23,480 --> 00:58:26,880
Speaker 1: Plus, hard Rock Bet also offers new promos daily, so

1285
00:58:26,960 --> 00:58:29,120
Speaker 1: whenever you're listening, just fire up the app and check

1286
00:58:29,160 --> 00:58:31,640
Speaker 1: out what they've got going on. Download the hard Rock

1287
00:58:31,680 --> 00:58:34,320
Speaker 1: bet app now and make your first deposit.

1288
00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:36,280
Speaker 4: Payble and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by

1289
00:58:36,280 --> 00:58:38,400
Speaker 4: the Seminal Tribe of Florida and Florida offered by the

1290
00:58:38,400 --> 00:58:39,080
Speaker 4: Seminal Hard.

1291
00:58:38,960 --> 00:58:40,640
Speaker 3: Rock Digital LLC in other states.

1292
00:58:40,760 --> 00:58:45,880
Speaker 4: Must be twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan,

1293
00:58:45,880 --> 00:58:49,080
Speaker 4: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply.

1294
00:58:49,120 --> 00:58:51,400
Speaker 4: Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight three to

1295
00:58:51,440 --> 00:58:54,000
Speaker 4: three play wise in Indiana. If you are someone you

1296
00:58:54,000 --> 00:58:56,040
Speaker 4: know as a gambling problem wants help, called one eight

1297
00:58:56,120 --> 00:58:58,720
Speaker 4: hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called one hundred

1298
00:58:58,720 --> 00:59:03,640
Speaker 4: gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

1299
00:59:03,800 --> 00:59:05,400
Speaker 1: All right, and that's going to do for us on

1300
00:59:05,440 --> 00:59:08,680
Speaker 1: this episode of the Betting Pros College Football Show. We

1301
00:59:08,720 --> 00:59:10,840
Speaker 1: will be back next week with our official picks and

1302
00:59:10,960 --> 00:59:14,600
Speaker 1: predictions for the first round CFP matchups and the next

1303
00:59:14,640 --> 00:59:17,080
Speaker 1: wave of bowl games. Will also be live with you

1304
00:59:17,160 --> 00:59:19,960
Speaker 1: on the BP YouTube channel and the Fantasy Pros Twitch

1305
00:59:20,000 --> 00:59:23,439
Speaker 1: account for the first half of the Oklahoma Alabama game.

1306
00:59:23,480 --> 00:59:26,400
Speaker 1: Next Friday night, seven forty five pm Eastern Time for

1307
00:59:26,480 --> 00:59:28,520
Speaker 1: an in game betting experience, so.

1308
00:59:28,560 --> 00:59:30,320
Speaker 3: Make sure you mark your calendars for that.

1309
00:59:30,680 --> 00:59:33,040
Speaker 1: Let us know down the comms below your favorite picks

1310
00:59:33,080 --> 00:59:35,320
Speaker 1: for any of the games we handicapp today, and while

1311
00:59:35,320 --> 00:59:37,120
Speaker 1: you're here, to make sure you're smashing that like button

1312
00:59:37,240 --> 00:59:40,120
Speaker 1: subscribing to the channel if you're new. Also be sure

1313
00:59:40,240 --> 00:59:43,280
Speaker 1: down that free Betting Pros app sink your sportsbooks today,

1314
00:59:43,320 --> 00:59:44,680
Speaker 1: start adding smarter.

1315
00:59:44,680 --> 00:59:45,280
Speaker 3: Not harder.

1316
00:59:45,280 --> 00:59:47,320
Speaker 1: For Scott Bogman, I've said with well, Cock, take care

1317
00:59:47,360 --> 00:59:48,560
Speaker 1: of y'all.

1318
00:59:48,600 --> 00:59:50,720
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

1319
00:59:51,000 --> 00:59:53,360
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

1320
00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:56,320
Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

1321
00:59:56,400 --> 00:59:59,400
Speaker 1: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

1322
00:59:59,440 --> 01:00:03,240
Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

1323
01:00:03,280 --> 01:00:06,280
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros