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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action all.

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Speaker 3: Right. Here we all from throwing out spect we're sitting

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Speaker 3: up to cash.

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Speaker 2: All we see most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 2: they go to win. That's incredible, big bank small. I

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Speaker 2: like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 3: This is the ultimate combining and you want to pull.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway.

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Speaker 3: What's up? Everyone?

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by Bett MGM.

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Speaker 4: I am your host Chris Raybaon of the Action Network,

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Speaker 4: and today we've got our NFL Player projections episode for

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Speaker 4: week number twelve. On the show, we'll run through our

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Speaker 4: top fivety skill position, discuss some players we're high and

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Speaker 4: low on this week, and of course throw out some

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Speaker 4: player props for each position as well. Hit breg out

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Speaker 4: with me one of the top fantasy football rankers in

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Speaker 4: the game, the odds maker, Sean Kerner, Sean, what's going on?

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Speaker 3: What's up? Had a really good week. I hit an

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Speaker 3: amazing prop. I think I got lucky on this one,

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Speaker 3: but it was Ty chandler longest run over ten and

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Speaker 3: a half yards, and I catched on that that fake punt. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: a thirty one yard run. I'll take it though, but yeah,

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Speaker 3: I had a really good week, how about you.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I got back on the right track.

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Speaker 4: That that that fake punt helped me too, because I

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Speaker 4: had vikings. I think it's two to two and a

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Speaker 4: half or something like that. I think it was two

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Speaker 4: and a half. So yeah, man, nice. But we got

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Speaker 4: to get into the positions for each I mean four

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Speaker 4: week twelve and we'll start with quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: So you got in your top five.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so I got Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 3: Dak Prescott, and Josh Allen. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I think that's the same I Hurtsmahome, Jackson, Prescott, Allen. Yeah, same,

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Speaker 4: same top five. Was good to see Josh Allen get

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Speaker 4: get get right a little bit. But that that Philly

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Speaker 4: Philly case game was rough for quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I guess her.

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Speaker 4: It's got the rushing touchdowns, but there wasn't much passing

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Speaker 4: yardage to go.

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Speaker 2: Around and then that drop.

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Speaker 4: But hopefully those guys get back on track this week.

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Speaker 4: Who you high on?

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Speaker 3: I'm high on Trevor Lawrence, who opens the weekend semi

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Speaker 3: top ten against the Texans. And you know, he's had

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Speaker 3: an up and down season and he's been pretty disappointing

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Speaker 3: for the people who drafted him. I think he was

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Speaker 3: what QB eight and ADP entering the season, but last week,

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Speaker 3: you know, he was the top scoring quarterback thanks to

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Speaker 3: two touchdown passes to cal Ridley and he ran two

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Speaker 3: scores himself. And I think, you know, this matchup against

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Speaker 3: the Texans is a good one. You know, they ranked

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Speaker 3: twenty first in DdO against the pass, but uh and

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Speaker 3: they've allowed an average of two hundred and ninety passing

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Speaker 3: yards a game since Week five. But more importantly, I mean,

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Speaker 3: just Caes Stroud on the offense just keeps lighting it up,

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Speaker 3: so other teams kind of have to keep up by

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Speaker 3: throwing the ball. So that's one of the reasons why

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Speaker 3: I like Lawrence. And it was good to see him

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Speaker 3: bounce back last week after that brutal game against the Niners.

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Speaker 3: So he's just inside my top ten this week, opening

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Speaker 3: as my QB ten.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm high on Lawrence as well. I think that

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Speaker 4: matchup is one of the better ones for fantasy production.

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Speaker 4: You know, we've got a close matchup indoors too, defenses

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Speaker 4: that are not great against the pass, so I think

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Speaker 4: that could be a back and forth affair there, But yeah,

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Speaker 4: I was surprised how high Lawrence. He's my QB eight,

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Speaker 4: so yeah, I was surprised how how he was.

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Speaker 2: To open the week. I'm high on Dobbs, Josh Dobbs.

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Speaker 4: Again, he isn't inside my top twelve this week going

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Speaker 4: up against the Cargo Bears. And really it's just a

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Speaker 4: mixture of his scrambling ability and the fact that you know,

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Speaker 4: going up against this Bears defense, it's not a great

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Speaker 4: pass defense. Their average against the run below average against

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Speaker 4: the pass. In Minnesota, you know, they go a little

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Speaker 4: faster than than Dogs was going out there in Arizona too,

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Speaker 4: so you got a few more plays than you usually

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Speaker 4: get from him. So I have him as my QB

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Speaker 4: eleven to start three so nice.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yet again, Yeah, I mean he's over a Stroud

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Speaker 3: and Tua. Maybe that's a problem, but I don't know.

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Speaker 3: I kind of like it. He's been the QB three

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Speaker 3: ever since he joined Minnesota, so I mean he's playing well,

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Speaker 3: Like yeahid for him, it's just the rushing upside is

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Speaker 3: just massive and he's been tapping into that. I can't

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Speaker 3: wait to see how this offense looks once Justin Jefferson

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Speaker 3: returns which it sounds like. Unfortunately it's going to be

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Speaker 3: week fourteen after their bye, but he'll be even better

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Speaker 3: once he gets JJ back.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's really that's really when things are

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Speaker 4: going to take off. But I mean even just what

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Speaker 4: he's been doing now, he's been solid, getting those rushing touchdowns,

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Speaker 4: giving you some rushing yardage, some passing yardage, and definitely

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Speaker 4: a step up I think from what he was doing

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Speaker 4: in Arizona.

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Speaker 2: But who are you low on?

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Speaker 3: I'm all on Justin Herbert against the Ravens. He opens

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Speaker 3: up as my QB fourteen, and last week he actually

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Speaker 3: ended up having a really solid game. He finishes a

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Speaker 3: QB three, mainly thanks to his seventy three rushing yards.

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Speaker 3: We can't really rely on that most weeks with Herbert,

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Speaker 3: but man, his wide receivers definitely let him down, including

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Speaker 3: Keenan Allen, who dropped a wide open touchdown. I think

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Speaker 3: the sun was in his eyes. I think that was

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Speaker 3: an issue for a lot of players in that game.

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Speaker 3: But Quintin Johnson also dropped a wide open play that

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Speaker 3: might have gone for forty plus maybe even a touchdown.

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Speaker 3: I had Justin Herbert under two hundred and sixty one

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Speaker 3: passing yards and at the time of that incompletion he

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Speaker 3: had two hundred and sixty. So thank you Quenton Johnson

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Speaker 3: for dropping that. But just you know, with Mike Williams,

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Speaker 3: Josh Palmer on the IR and now you know Gerald

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Speaker 3: Everett and Jalen Geiton are even out, you know, the

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Speaker 3: injuries has just made it really tough for Herbert. It's

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Speaker 3: really hard to just rely on Keenan Allen all the time.

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Speaker 3: But this week, you know, he has a brutal matchup

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Speaker 3: against the Ravens that again have a lot of the

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Speaker 3: fewest Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. So it's

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Speaker 3: just a tough spot for Herbert. This has nothing to

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Speaker 3: do with Herbert, it's just a matchup and his wide

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Speaker 3: receivers letting him down. So yeah, he's my QB fourteen

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Speaker 3: to open the week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm low on Herbert as well.

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Speaker 4: He's he's my QB twelve, so I guess he's kind

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Speaker 4: of like right there on that fringe. But yeah, I

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Speaker 4: think he's a guy that you know, ideally you would

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Speaker 4: go somewhere else instead of starting him this week, even

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Speaker 4: though he's got that name value.

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Speaker 2: I'm low on Sam Howell.

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Speaker 4: This week going up against the Dallas Cowboys. I mean this,

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Speaker 4: first of all, this guy, I don't know what's going

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Speaker 4: on with him against the Giants, but it's not even

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Speaker 4: about that. About this Dallas defense is one of the

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Speaker 4: best pass defenses in the league. They're allowing the second

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Speaker 4: fewest net passing yards, just one hundred and fifty seven

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Speaker 4: per game and just one hundred and seventy eight regular

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Speaker 4: passing yards per game. So that's you know, for a

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Speaker 4: guy like Sam Howell, who is not always going to

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Speaker 4: put up the touchdowns, especially in a matchup where they're

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Speaker 4: eleven point underdogs. I think it is with a pretty

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Speaker 4: low and plied total, you're kind of banking on yardage

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Speaker 4: with him. But this Dallas team it's tough to get

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Speaker 4: yardage against. And you know, Dallas can play a lot

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Speaker 4: of man coverage, just like that Giant team that give

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Speaker 4: him a lot of trouble, except Dallas does it a

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Speaker 4: lot better and gets a lot more pressure. And that's

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Speaker 4: Sam Howe's other issue is taken sack. So I don't

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Speaker 4: think it's going to be a great uh Sam Howe

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Speaker 4: a week yet again because just it's this pressure, pressure defense,

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Speaker 4: top top two defense It's just not what you want

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Speaker 4: to be investing in. How even though he's got that,

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Speaker 4: you know, he usually puts up a ton of passing

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Speaker 4: yards that I think he has to weigh off him

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Speaker 4: in this division matchup.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you called that Commanders Giants game just being weird.

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Speaker 3: Oh man, you know I had I had Barkley under

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Speaker 3: eighteen and a half rush attempts, and if you told

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Speaker 3: me he was going to be the highest scoring running

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Speaker 3: back of the week and they would have a commanding

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Speaker 3: lead the entire game, I would have just thought, you

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Speaker 3: know that that prop is toast. And I remember I

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Speaker 3: set what was my line for Tommy DeVito, like one

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Speaker 3: hundred and twenty yards passing or something or something like that. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 3: and with a leading game script. I mean, he looked

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Speaker 3: like Tom Brady threw for almost three hundred yards. Just

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Speaker 3: truly bizarre. But I guess you call it just you can't.

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Speaker 3: It's impossible to project those Giants Commanders matchups. Just weird

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Speaker 3: things happen.

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Speaker 4: Oh, I mean, it's it's pretty easier to project Giants

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Speaker 4: win and we're having for the Commanders.

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Speaker 2: That's really the issues.

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Speaker 4: It's like, you know, one Sam Howell looks great. Every

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Speaker 4: other week he's throwing you know, three touchdowns and three

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Speaker 4: hundred yards and this and that, and then complay to

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Speaker 4: giants and it looks ugly, but I mean, I think

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Speaker 4: the Cowboys can kind of replicate that, so.

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Speaker 2: I would stay away. I have them outside my top fifteen.

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Speaker 2: Uh let's see.

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Speaker 4: Oh yeah, so my turn to set up quarterback proph.

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Speaker 2: I went to an A and you went I think

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Speaker 2: one and one.

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Speaker 4: So if you were yeah.

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Speaker 3: I got shut out or something.

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Speaker 2: Nah, I got. I got the right side of the

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Speaker 2: metcalf locket and then I got the one.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and then I forget which one you didn't hit,

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Speaker 4: but uh yeah, you had yeah one, I too, I

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Speaker 4: had two. Let's see what I'm going to do here, quarterback.

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Speaker 4: Let's go Tua because Tua is the QB eleven consensus

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Speaker 4: this week, so you know, people that have been kind

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Speaker 4: of starting them all year. Now you're going up against

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Speaker 4: the Jets, so let's go rank like you did that

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Speaker 4: one time.

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Speaker 3: I like that. All right.

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Speaker 2: I'm just setting this off the top of my head, though, so.

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Speaker 3: I don't know I'm trying to I haven't run that

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Speaker 3: same yet, but I'll try to think of what it

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Speaker 3: could be all.

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Speaker 4: Right, So he's the QB eleven consensus. Let's let's go.

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Speaker 4: Let's go, uh eleven and a half. We'll just get

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Speaker 4: take his rank, take his rank, Okay, we go hit,

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Speaker 4: we go over or under or better or worse than QB.

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Speaker 2: Yeah eleven.

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Speaker 3: Oh no, I know exactly what you mean by that. So,

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Speaker 3: like last week, if I'm looking at last week, my

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Speaker 3: QB eleven was like Jared Goff, he had about a

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Speaker 3: fifty percent chance of finishing inside the top eleven. But

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Speaker 3: that's because Burrow had already stunk it up and Lamar

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Speaker 3: had a pretty good game. Oh there's Yeah, every team

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Speaker 3: is playing this week, so it's gonna be a little

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Speaker 3: bit tougher.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's gonna be a little bit tougher for the

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Speaker 3: number eleven QB to finish in the top eleven. So

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Speaker 3: I'll go over like he's gonna finish outside of the

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Speaker 3: top eleven.

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Speaker 2: So that so.

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Speaker 4: Would you would you recommend people like what would you

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Speaker 4: recommend people do if they have exactly well yeah, no.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, no's he's definitely like he should be ranked inside

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Speaker 3: the top eleven, but just with variants like his sweet

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Speaker 3: spot of like where he'll actually finish is like thirteen fourteen,

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Speaker 3: if that makes sense. Yeah, like yeah, yeah, like you know,

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Speaker 3: it's gonna be a ten percent chance he finishes in

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Speaker 3: that exact slot. But just with QB, you know, there's

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Speaker 3: a lot of variants of some scrub ranked out of

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Speaker 3: the top twenty, can you know, throw for two touchdowns

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Speaker 3: and sneak in there. So that's that's what I mean

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Speaker 3: by that. But if you have him, you're starting him.

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Speaker 3: He's certainly a low end QB one, despite you know,

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Speaker 3: the tougher matchup against the Jets. But based on your prop,

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna have to go outside of the top eleven.

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Speaker 2: That makes sense.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, it's it's it's a it's a tough week

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Speaker 4: for some of these you know, Herbert Tua.

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Speaker 2: Not used to seeing these guys. Yeah, outside the top ten.

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Speaker 3: Where do you have justin fields? That's when I was curious.

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Speaker 4: I have him seven, So he's up there. He's up

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Speaker 4: there for the same Yeah, yeah, yeah, I mean he

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Speaker 4: had like I think it was forty six rushing yards

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Speaker 4: in the first matchup against Minnesota and he only played

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Speaker 4: thirty five snaps, so he was just running all over

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Speaker 4: the place in that in that matchup, so he should

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Speaker 4: be good for that. All right, let's go to a

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Speaker 4: running back who we got in it for week number twelve.

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Speaker 3: Let me see, I got Kristi McCaffrey, Jonathan Taylor, Alvin Kamara,

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Speaker 3: Travis ETN and Austin Eckler.

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Speaker 2: Yep, same one to stuff.

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Speaker 4: I got CMC Taylor ETN third, Kamara fourth, and then

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Speaker 4: Echoa fifth.

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Speaker 2: Who high on.

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Speaker 3: I'm high on Derrick Henry. You know he's my rby

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Speaker 3: sixth ope in the week and on him, what well

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Speaker 3: is that like? Really high?

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Speaker 2: I know it's he still in the teams for me.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I great matchup, but wow, that was that's

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Speaker 4: a pretty big jump.

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Speaker 3: I got some spicy rinks to open the week. And yeah,

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Speaker 3: you know I was long on him last week just

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Speaker 3: because there was a tough matchup and you know, a

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Speaker 3: potential negative game script. So sure enough, you know he

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Speaker 3: put up a dud. But you know, much better matchup

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Speaker 3: this week against Panthers that ranked dead last and DVO

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Speaker 3: against the run, and the Titans are three and a

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Speaker 3: half point favorite. So I think that's just Henry perfect

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Speaker 3: bounce back spot. I think the Titans only ran like

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Speaker 3: thirty eight plays last week or something just insanely low,

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Speaker 3: So we have to kind of throw it last week's game.

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Speaker 3: This is a completely different spot. They're going to obviously

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Speaker 3: run a lot more than thirty eight plays this week,

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Speaker 3: So yeah, he opens the week is my RB six.

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Speaker 3: Maybe we get one more patented Derrick Henry game this

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Speaker 3: season and this could be it. So I am super

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Speaker 3: high on him this week. And then the other guy

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Speaker 3: is obviously Zach Charboney. You know I mentioned on convinced

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Speaker 3: me he's been one of the better backups in the league.

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Speaker 3: But Walker, you know, Keith Walker had done nothing wrong

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Speaker 3: to like Warrant losing too much work to scharbon Ay.

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Speaker 3: But with Walker potentially missing some time here, Charbone is

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Speaker 3: gonna push you know, low end RB one value. He

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Speaker 3: completely took over the backfield once Walker went down last week.

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Speaker 3: You know, I could see DJ Dallas and maybe Kenny

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Speaker 3: McIntosh eat into his receiving work a bit, you know,

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Speaker 3: spell him to give him a breather. But this reminds

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Speaker 3: me of you know, in the past few seasons, when

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Speaker 3: Dalvin Cook or like Zeke Elliot would miss time like

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Speaker 3: I would, I think you would too, like have Alexander

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Speaker 3: Madison Tony Pollard ranked even higher than where the starter

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Speaker 3: would be, just because the backups aren't commanding as much

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Speaker 3: touches as they would. So that's kind of what's going

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Speaker 3: on here. You know, sharbon is gonna dominate the workload.

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Speaker 3: And you know, even though it's a tough matchup against

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Speaker 3: the Niners, I still have him as a low end

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Speaker 3: RB one, So I have him as the RB eleven

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Speaker 3: open the week. You know, he did disappoint a bit

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Speaker 3: with his expanded role last week, but I think he'll

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Speaker 3: he'll get best of both worlds here with some really

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Speaker 3: good volume and then he's gonna flash those skills he's

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Speaker 3: been shown all season. So love sharbonay this week. If

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Speaker 3: you know Walker does in fact this.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it looks like Walker is gonna miss You think

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Speaker 4: Sharbony gets like the third like the hurry up well

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Speaker 4: that you think they use DJ Dallas at all in

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Speaker 4: that Like past game, Rogu Arbonny was taken.

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Speaker 2: A lot of the pass naps from Walker.

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Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, And I think like it was up until

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Speaker 3: a couple of weeks ago, DJ Dallas was kind of

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Speaker 3: still the third down back and two minute offense. But

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Speaker 3: then Sharbone had picked all that work up I want

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Speaker 3: to say last week or like the past two games,

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Speaker 3: and then last week he was kind of doing it all.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I could see DJ Dallas if if he's

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Speaker 3: going to take anything, it would be you know, some

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Speaker 3: of the passing work. But either way, I think Sharbony

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Speaker 3: is going to be running over a sixty percent routes

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Speaker 3: run rate, if I had to guess, somewhere in that range.

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Speaker 3: So he's going to be getting most of the carries,

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Speaker 3: most of the early downwork, and still most of the

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Speaker 3: receiving downwork. So yeah, I still think Dallas will mix

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Speaker 3: in on sort of the passing downs, but that's you know,

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Speaker 3: that's almost every running back has some guy you know

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Speaker 3: taking some snaps. So yeah, I still think Sharbone is

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Speaker 3: going to be even more of a work course back

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Speaker 3: than Walker was.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, last week, Scharboney so Walker went out and he

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Speaker 4: only had played on seven percent of the pass nap.

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Speaker 4: Sharbone played on eighty six percent, and then Dallas played.

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Speaker 2: On twelve percent.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, looks like and then you know they run

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Speaker 4: a round about eighty percent of those snaps, So yeah,

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Speaker 4: you're looking at our route participation rate sixty five seventy

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Speaker 4: percent range.

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Speaker 2: So yep, time for a breakout game from Sharbonnay, yep.

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Speaker 4: I mean if the games, if you know, because if

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Speaker 4: the Seahawks will just get disgusted, that.

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Speaker 3: Is, yeah, well you can keep off dangerous.

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Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, yeah, I'm high on or Shot White.

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Speaker 4: This week seems like every week now, I mean I

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Speaker 4: feel like he's getting slept on. But he's inside my

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Speaker 4: top ten this week going up against the Coats. You know,

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Speaker 4: he's just been doing it in the running game and

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Speaker 4: the passing game, and the Colts are allowing the fourth

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Speaker 4: most fantasy points per game to oppose and running backs.

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Speaker 4: So this is another great match for White and the

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Speaker 4: fact that he was able to produce in a you know,

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Speaker 4: negative game script against the forty nine ers, he still

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Speaker 4: got a rushing touchdown in that game. You know, Edmonds

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Speaker 4: is mixing about twenty percent of the time, but White

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Speaker 4: seems to be getting all the high leverage carries, goal

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Speaker 4: line pass down work. So not too many backs that

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Speaker 4: are producing at the level White is right now. So

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Speaker 4: great great second season for him after really he was unimpressive.

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Speaker 4: I think, you know, much of that rookie year, but

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Speaker 4: a lot of that probably had to do with the

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Speaker 4: offensive line, which is a little bit better this year.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, I have Rashad White as my RB number

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Speaker 4: nine to open a week.

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Speaker 3: Nice. Yeah, he's definitely a low end RB one now.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, I think a lot of the inefficiency on

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Speaker 3: the early down work just is on the offensive line.

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Speaker 3: It's not like any of the backup running backs have

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Speaker 3: been able to do much better. So he has really

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Speaker 3: become just a true work course back, especially you know

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Speaker 3: in the passing game. That's where he gets most of

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Speaker 3: his value. But yeah, he's definitely like a low end

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Speaker 3: RB one now. Who you long low on Josh Jacobs

371
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Speaker 3: against the Chiefs. He's my RB seventeen to open the week.

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Speaker 3: I just think he gets a huge downgrade and a

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Speaker 3: potential trailing game script. You know, he had been banking

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Speaker 3: on just a ton of volume in the run game

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Speaker 3: during the Raiders two game win streak. You know, he

376
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Speaker 3: just hasn't really been nearly as efficient as last year.

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Speaker 3: I mean, he was one of the best running backs

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Speaker 3: in the league last year, but he's been way less

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Speaker 3: involved as a pass catcher. With Aidan O'Connell under center,

380
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Speaker 3: he's only been running a route, you know, on fifty

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Speaker 3: to fifty five percent of O'Connell's dropbacks, and O'Connell hasn't

382
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 3: been checking it down much to him either. Jacobs only

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Speaker 3: has three catches over the last three games. And I've

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Speaker 3: said O'Connell's like shades of Jamis Winston. You know, he's

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Speaker 3: just gonna be chucking it up downfield. He's not gonna

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Speaker 3: be dumping it off Josh Jacobs. So he had O'Connell

387
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Speaker 3: had a ten point three average intended air yards last week,

388
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Speaker 3: fourth highest, and he threw three picks. So he's, you know,

389
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Speaker 3: a yellow ball kind of guy. Not a great spot

390
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:03,160
Speaker 3: for Jacobs, even if you know they get down big.

391
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Speaker 3: I just don't expect him to get too many checkdowns.

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Speaker 3: So this is just a really bad spot for Jacobs.

393
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Speaker 3: So he's more of a mid range RB two. You know,

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Speaker 3: he's still gonna get a huge workload, but he has

395
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Speaker 3: a much lower floor. With the Raiders being nearly you know,

396
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Speaker 3: ten point underdogs here.

397
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Speaker 2: Yeah, and they've been.

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Speaker 4: Playing some lower scoring games, the Chiefs and the Raiders too,

399
00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 4: so yeah, it might not be you know, sometimes Chiefs Raiders,

400
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:28,040
Speaker 4: they they can get up there in the score, but

401
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:30,280
Speaker 4: not the way these two teams have been playing this year.

402
00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:36,119
Speaker 4: I am low on James Cook. So he last week

403
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:40,200
Speaker 4: was pretty productive, you know, had seventeen carries over seventy yards.

404
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,160
Speaker 4: You know, did some nice things in the past game,

405
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Speaker 4: but his underlying usage was concerning. In the first game,

406
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:52,919
Speaker 4: you know, without Ken Dorsey as the OC, he seated

407
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:56,240
Speaker 4: up the hurry up work to Ty Johnson, and you know,

408
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,240
Speaker 4: Ty Johnson was mixing in, you know, just throughout the game,

409
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,399
Speaker 4: which we really haven't seen before. So in a game

410
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:05,680
Speaker 4: where Buffalo is not in control and they don't run

411
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Speaker 4: as many plays, I think Cook's numbers are going to

412
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Speaker 4: suffer because you know, his percentage of the designed backfield

413
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Speaker 4: carries was down to just fifty fifty five percent, which

414
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Speaker 4: was you know, for the season, he's around sixty percent.

415
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 4: But you know, up until a couple of games ago,

416
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:30,159
Speaker 4: he was hovering, you know, in the mid seventies for

417
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:33,719
Speaker 4: you know, the weeks eight seven through nine, and then

418
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 4: we ten it was the fumbles he got benched. So

419
00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:38,920
Speaker 4: he had fifty five percent, but that that was understandable,

420
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:42,760
Speaker 4: but then last week fifty five percent again. And even

421
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Speaker 4: more concerning I think for him is that his route

422
00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:50,480
Speaker 4: participation rate was down to thirty seven percent last week,

423
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Speaker 4: which is uh, you know that in the year, just

424
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:56,959
Speaker 4: the game before, whereas thirty three percent that's pretty much

425
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Speaker 4: as well as he's gone this season. But TD Johnson

426
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 4: was up to seven teen percent. Murray stayed at his

427
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,719
Speaker 4: usual you know, thirty percent. But it just seems like

428
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:09,199
Speaker 4: they're looking to, you know, mix somebody else in with

429
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Speaker 4: Cook and Johnson. He is more of a kind of

430
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Speaker 4: a pass down guy. So you know, Cook was always

431
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Speaker 4: saving his you know, he didn't get many carries in

432
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Speaker 4: a game. He won't always because Buffalo not always super

433
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Speaker 4: run heavy, though I'm sure they'll try to run a

434
00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:26,880
Speaker 4: little more now. But you know, it's concerning that he's

435
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:30,560
Speaker 4: losing passing down work as well as carries a carry

436
00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:33,920
Speaker 4: share because going up against Philly, they're the best run

437
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 4: defense in the league. You're not really gonna get much

438
00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:38,199
Speaker 4: on the ground. You gotta figure so you have to

439
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 4: do it through the air. So I have him as

440
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 4: my RB thirty three to start the week, and he's in.

441
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,640
Speaker 4: He's still is about twenty eight in consensus, So yeah,

442
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:51,400
Speaker 4: I think Cook is more of like a flex, kind

443
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,720
Speaker 4: of fringe fringe starter this week.

444
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, Ty Johnson mixing in making this sort

445
00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:59,200
Speaker 3: of a through committee was not ideal. And they still

446
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,159
Speaker 3: have Leonard Fournette on the practice squad, so if they

447
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:04,120
Speaker 3: call him up, he might eat into his early down

448
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 3: work goal line work, So long term it's not good

449
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 3: news for James Cook.

450
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:14,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's uh sell if you can. I would sell

451
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:23,000
Speaker 2: before he plays Philly. Honestly, all right, let's what do

452
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 2: you I'm seeing all right? Time for a prop?

453
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 3: What you got? You know? Damn well? Where I'm going

454
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:35,160
Speaker 3: with this, Zach Sharvina, Let's go total rushing and receiving

455
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:38,199
Speaker 3: yards against the Niners. I'll have to make sure I

456
00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:40,680
Speaker 3: set this way too high too. I'm gonna set it

457
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:42,479
Speaker 3: at eighty two and a half yards.

458
00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 4: Let's see, it would be funny for Walker plays. I

459
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:47,359
Speaker 4: just take the under and.

460
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:51,919
Speaker 3: Well, you know, the the stipulation is Kenneth Walker is

461
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 3: not playing in this game. He has to be inactive

462
00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 3: for this to be uh A watch guy, I'm just joking.

463
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:01,679
Speaker 4: See, yeah, I have him a little bit under that,

464
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:02,919
Speaker 4: so I'm gonna go under. I have him in the

465
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 4: high seventies in this one. I mean, I do think

466
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:10,360
Speaker 4: he'll do He'll get catches, but I think there's a

467
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 4: bit of variance or volatility, I should say with the

468
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 4: rushing yardage projection because Seattle's struggled against San Francisco. They

469
00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 4: lost all three matchups last year, didn't really put up

470
00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:25,360
Speaker 4: many points, so you could get into a negative game

471
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:29,040
Speaker 4: script and you know, it's then it's kind of all

472
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:33,040
Speaker 4: bets are off, so I'll go under. But I know he's, uh,

473
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 4: that's your boy, and it is his it is his,

474
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:37,400
Speaker 4: it is his town.

475
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:41,120
Speaker 3: It's time and Gino's fine, right. I know they did

476
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:43,439
Speaker 3: some test, but he should be good to go.

477
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:44,360
Speaker 1: I don't know.

478
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,160
Speaker 4: I mean it sounds like it, but they haven't confirmed it.

479
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 4: And it's I mean, it's it's a little it's a

480
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:53,400
Speaker 4: little sketch. Like first of all, he like left the game.

481
00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:55,840
Speaker 4: He came back in the game, he makes one throw

482
00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 4: and then runs the ball because there wasn't like he

483
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 4: couldn't hear the I'd said, like what if you just

484
00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:04,200
Speaker 4: couldn't throw again? And that's why he ran, you know, like,

485
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 4: I don't know, it's a little shaky. And then Pete

486
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:11,400
Speaker 4: Carroll's like, well, I think he should be good to go,

487
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:14,760
Speaker 4: but he hasn't said anything definitive, so he's not going

488
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:16,160
Speaker 4: to practice till Wednesday.

489
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:21,119
Speaker 2: We're recording this on Tuesday, so definitely monitoring that.

490
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:24,440
Speaker 4: Yep, I'm definitely monitoring that because it seems like you

491
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 4: could get some shenanigans. But if Drew lock Stars, I

492
00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,679
Speaker 4: think you go even, you go run heavy then in

493
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:30,359
Speaker 4: that In that.

494
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 2: Case, yeah, as long as you can, as long.

495
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:34,560
Speaker 3: As you can, as long as you can.

496
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:39,160
Speaker 4: Exactly Howaday season right around the corner and it's about

497
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,520
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498
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499
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517
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Speaker 4: Make unforgettable first impressions with Caldera Lab. All right, sean

518
00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:52,720
Speaker 4: wide receiver? Who got your top five for Week twelve?

519
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:58,040
Speaker 3: I got Tyreek Hill, Alman, ross Saint Brown, Ceedee, lamb

520
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:00,320
Speaker 3: aj Brown and uh Keenan Allen.

521
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 4: I got yeah, Tyreek, Ceedee, wamb A j Brown, Keaton Allen.

522
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 4: I'm on Rossie Brown. So same time I have a

523
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 4: little different order. Well, you know, who are you high on?

524
00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 3: I'm high on Dj Moore. He opens the week as

525
00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:21,359
Speaker 3: my wide receiver twelve, and I kind of alluded to

526
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:23,680
Speaker 3: this a couple of weeks ago, but he just gets

527
00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:28,000
Speaker 3: a massive boost with Justin Fields back under center and

528
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,520
Speaker 3: whatever Tyson beage in center center. He gets a downgrade,

529
00:27:30,560 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 3: of course, but sure enough with Justin Field's return. Last week,

530
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:37,879
Speaker 3: Moore went off for seven catches, ninety six yards and

531
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 3: a touchdown. So that's four straight games of fields under

532
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:43,960
Speaker 3: center where he's gone for over one hundred yards and

533
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 3: or a touchdown. Yeah. So he's just back in business

534
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:51,880
Speaker 3: with fields under center and opens week as a low

535
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 3: end wide receiver one for me.

536
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's my wideceever thirteen. I like him as well.

537
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 4: I think fields definitely does you know, just throwing downfield more,

538
00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:06,680
Speaker 4: I think could really helps DJ. I am high on

539
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 4: I mean rinse and repeat Tank Dell again. Well, every

540
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 4: week I feel like this guy's rank too low. He

541
00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 4: is my wide receiver nine. This week he's a wide

542
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 4: receiver twenty one in consensus going up against Jacksonville, and

543
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,399
Speaker 4: in points per game, he's a wide receiver twelve and

544
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 4: half PPR, the wide receiver fifteen in PPR. But that

545
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 4: includes you know, a couple of games where he got

546
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,360
Speaker 4: hurt and in that first game of the year where

547
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:36,160
Speaker 4: he only played less than fifty percent of the snaps.

548
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 4: But he's been in there, you know, eighty to ninety

549
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:43,520
Speaker 4: five percent of the time every week. These days, Jacksonville

550
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,959
Speaker 4: runs zone coverage at a top five rate. They're one

551
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 4: of the zone heaviest defenses in the league. Tank Dell's

552
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:52,760
Speaker 4: averaging two point nine yards per route against zone. That

553
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 4: is six best out of ninety four qualified wide receivers,

554
00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 4: and it's about a little over a half yard more

555
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 4: than the average is against man, which is still great

556
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 4: at two point three. But last three games, thirty five targets,

557
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,720
Speaker 4: twenty catches, three hundred and nineteen yards and four touchdowns.

558
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 4: He's had ten or more targets six or more receptions

559
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:16,160
Speaker 4: in each of the last three and in the first

560
00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 4: meeting against Jacksonville five catches for a buck forty five

561
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:23,600
Speaker 4: in a touch on seven targets. So this guy has

562
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 4: just been balling and like he's he's part of the

563
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 4: reasons c J. Stroud is playing so well too, because

564
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 4: as great great as Stroud is, some of the you

565
00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 4: know routes that Dell runs and you know, gives Stroud

566
00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:39,560
Speaker 4: a place to go with the ball and like third

567
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:41,080
Speaker 4: and longs or you know at that end of that

568
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 4: two minute drive to beat Tampa Bay like that, those

569
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 4: are some special routes that he's running and getting open with.

570
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:51,160
Speaker 4: So Tank Dell each and every week you got like

571
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:53,240
Speaker 4: this guy, I don't want to not like it's not

572
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:55,880
Speaker 4: Tyreek Hill, but it kind of reminds me of like

573
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,080
Speaker 4: that type of situation where he just kind of like

574
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 4: a you know, middle round draft pick, came out of

575
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 4: nowhere and just each and every week putting up numbers.

576
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:04,320
Speaker 2: He passes the eye test.

577
00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 4: We just got to get used to having him as

578
00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 4: a as a wide receiver one these days. So yeah,

579
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:14,800
Speaker 4: Tank Dell and then also another rookie to Mario Douglas.

580
00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:18,720
Speaker 4: He is inside my top forty, just outside the top

581
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 4: fifty in consensus, but he's averaging five catches fifty five

582
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 4: yards per game over his last four games, and the

583
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 4: Giants run man coverage at a top five rate, and

584
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:32,360
Speaker 4: Douglas leads the Patriots in receiving yardage against man coverage,

585
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 4: and that's interesting because he wasn't even a full time

586
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:38,160
Speaker 4: player for much of the year until this last month.

587
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:42,120
Speaker 4: He's also leading them in yards per route against man

588
00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 4: at one point nine. And the Giants allowing the second

589
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 4: most slot Fantasy points to opposing wide receivers and the

590
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:55,240
Speaker 4: third most targets to the slot, third most receptions, third

591
00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:58,560
Speaker 4: most yards as well, and Douglas plays about oh fifty

592
00:30:58,640 --> 00:31:02,479
Speaker 4: sixty percent of his of his time in the slot.

593
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:05,960
Speaker 2: So like Douglass, this week as well.

594
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 3: How would your projection change, if at all, if it's

595
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:11,680
Speaker 3: Mac Jones or Bailey Zappi.

596
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,600
Speaker 4: It really doesn't at this point. I mean it's just

597
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:20,040
Speaker 4: low passing yardage for both. You know, It's that there's

598
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 4: not really not really changing much of anything. I mean

599
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,880
Speaker 4: maybe Mac, maybe Bailey Zappi throws fewer picks. That doesn't

600
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 4: really change anything for the receivers. So right now, what

601
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 4: about you? Does it change anything for you?

602
00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 3: No, it doesn't change anything. Just worth worth matching just

603
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,720
Speaker 3: in case there is a QB change that, Yeah, are

604
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 3: our ranks and projections probably won't change much.

605
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:41,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have.

606
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 4: Actually have Zappi projected for like whatever, Like I have

607
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 4: Mac Jones projected for his actual snap rate like with

608
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 4: with the benchings, and then I have zappih projected for

609
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 4: the rest of those snaps.

610
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 2: So I actually have some Zappi in there already. But

611
00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 2: who alone, Just I.

612
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:04,640
Speaker 3: Want to just mention two receivers that will take a

613
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 3: hit from recent quarterback changes. In the first is Garrett Wilson.

614
00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:12,160
Speaker 3: You know, he's my wide receiver twenty four. And you

615
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:15,280
Speaker 3: know Zach Wilson's getting benched for Tim Boyle. Not that

616
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson deserves to be a starting quarterback right now.

617
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:20,960
Speaker 3: But he had been playing a bit better of late

618
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 3: and had really good chemistry with Garrett Wilson. You know,

619
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:28,440
Speaker 3: Wilson had four straight games of eighty or more yards,

620
00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:32,320
Speaker 3: you know, with Garrett with Zach under center, and Tim

621
00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 3: Boyle's awful. I mean, he's not an upgrade over Zach Wilson.

622
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,680
Speaker 3: Maybe he's a lateral move, but I'm not sure this

623
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:42,200
Speaker 3: will help Wilson in any way. You know, Boyle might

624
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 3: want to check down the running backs or tight ends more.

625
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:48,040
Speaker 3: It just could shake up, you know, the target distribution

626
00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:50,520
Speaker 3: a bit. I just don't see this helping Wilson. So

627
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:54,200
Speaker 3: Wilson only got two passes for nine yards last week

628
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 3: among all the you know, quarterback turmoil. So he opens

629
00:32:57,760 --> 00:32:59,959
Speaker 3: a week you know as a low end wide receiver two.

630
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 3: This is not a great situation for Wilson that the

631
00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 3: whole season hasn't been after Aaron Rodgers went down. But

632
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:09,600
Speaker 3: this is just another blow to Wilson's value in my opinion.

633
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 3: And the other is Jamar Chase. You know, he's my

634
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 3: wide receiver twenty two, which is just crazy to say,

635
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 3: but he gets you know, a massive drop off with

636
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:22,200
Speaker 3: Joe Burrow having his season ending injury. You know, Jake

637
00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:26,719
Speaker 3: Browning is a below average backup, and he's also going

638
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 3: to be more willing to lean on his legs. He

639
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:31,520
Speaker 3: had you know, four rushdowns for forty yards. He's a

640
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:35,720
Speaker 3: bit more of a scrambler than Burrows obviously. So this

641
00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:39,360
Speaker 3: is also going to be a close, low scoring, disgusting

642
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:42,400
Speaker 3: game against the Steelers where the Bengals can lean on

643
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,320
Speaker 3: the run game more, have a conservative game plan. They

644
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:47,880
Speaker 3: also might get t Higgins back, so that's gonna ding

645
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:51,200
Speaker 3: you know, Chase his target share. Now, They're still going

646
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 3: to dial up plenty of targets for Chase, and he's

647
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 3: you know, more than talented to overcome the situation. But

648
00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 3: having said all that, he still opens a week just

649
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:01,040
Speaker 3: outside my top twenty.

650
00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm a little higher on Chase. I'm I think

651
00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 2: I'm lower than Wilson.

652
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,840
Speaker 4: On Wilson, I'm at twenty eight for Wilson, but I'm

653
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:11,359
Speaker 4: at fourteen for Chase. I just you know, I feel

654
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,840
Speaker 4: like they'll find ways to scheme him the ball like

655
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:16,839
Speaker 4: it's Jamar Chase, you know, Like though, I think he's

656
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:18,600
Speaker 4: the guy that at least. I mean, I'm not saying

657
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:21,440
Speaker 4: he'll be super efficient or anything like that, but I'll

658
00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 4: see I can see a way the kind of feeding him,

659
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 4: you know, designing things for him to get to get

660
00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:29,319
Speaker 4: the ball in his hands, probably give him a couple

661
00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:32,760
Speaker 4: of rush attempts and things like that. So yeah, yeah,

662
00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:36,200
Speaker 4: I'm I'm a little higher, but at point taking Yeah,

663
00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:38,359
Speaker 4: it's it's it's I mean, it's just a rough week.

664
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:42,880
Speaker 4: You know, all these all these backup quarterbacks getting inserted

665
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,920
Speaker 4: and I mean cheese, and then you have like like

666
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,239
Speaker 4: what I think it's three or four games below a

667
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 4: total of thirty five or thirty Giant game, there's the

668
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 4: the Bronco Brown game is like thirty five and a

669
00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:58,399
Speaker 4: half for the total, and then it's that Steelers game

670
00:34:58,400 --> 00:34:58,880
Speaker 4: you mentioned.

671
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:00,480
Speaker 2: I mean there, it's ugly.

672
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 4: The Titans game is I think thirty six or something

673
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 4: like that.

674
00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:08,200
Speaker 3: It's yeah, man, and Cup is hurt. You know, just

675
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 3: these Tier one wide receivers have just taken a beating

676
00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:12,840
Speaker 3: this week.

677
00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, and but for the prop I know where I

678
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:20,080
Speaker 4: want to go because this is a really interesting projection.

679
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 4: So Michael Thomas is gonna miss it. Looks like he's

680
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 4: gonna miss at least this week. Looks like he's gonna

681
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:32,000
Speaker 4: miss more time than that. So does Rashid Shaheed become

682
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:36,279
Speaker 4: the number two or does he continue in his same role?

683
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 4: And either way, I mean that should free up some

684
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,560
Speaker 4: targets for him because Michael Thomas was catching like five

685
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:46,680
Speaker 4: balls a game. So let's go to Rashid Shaheed receiving

686
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,280
Speaker 4: yards forty five and a half.

687
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:53,880
Speaker 3: Oooh, that's about where I have it. Uh, he just

688
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:56,160
Speaker 3: has a wide range of outcomes, so it's gonna be

689
00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:59,919
Speaker 3: eighty or twenty. I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go with over.

690
00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:03,360
Speaker 3: I think that's a good line. I think at Perry

691
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:06,520
Speaker 3: is definitely like taking over the complete Michael Thomas role,

692
00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:09,680
Speaker 3: but he's going to command fewer targets. And we all

693
00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:12,680
Speaker 3: know that Derek Carr loves Shaheed, so I think they

694
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:15,680
Speaker 3: will connect for like at least one deep ball here

695
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:18,680
Speaker 3: to just get over it. So I would have said

696
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:21,000
Speaker 3: it right around here, but I'll a lean over here

697
00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:21,399
Speaker 3: for sure.

698
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,200
Speaker 4: As a reminder, the Action Network podcast is presented by

699
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 4: bet MGM used bonus code Action when signing up to

700
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:32,120
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701
00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:41,520
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702
00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:46,960
Speaker 4: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

703
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:50,040
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704
00:36:50,040 --> 00:36:53,560
Speaker 4: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler.

705
00:36:54,200 --> 00:36:57,920
Speaker 2: Let's go to tight end. We got in the top five.

706
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:04,040
Speaker 3: I got Travis Kelce, TJ. Hockinson, George Kittle, trade McBride,

707
00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:05,240
Speaker 3: and Dalton kincaid.

708
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 2: Yep, I got Kelsey, I got Kittle. Actually number two.

709
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:15,440
Speaker 4: Well deserves Kelsey, Kittle, Hockinson, trade McBride, and yeah, Dalton

710
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 4: kN kid who you hire on?

711
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:22,600
Speaker 3: I'm going George Kittle. Uh. There's nothing, you know, groundbreaking here,

712
00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 3: but I've been probably a bit too low on him recently,

713
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:29,160
Speaker 3: and he's been the tight end two on the season.

714
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:33,240
Speaker 3: You know, he had those two just complete duds earlier

715
00:37:33,280 --> 00:37:35,160
Speaker 3: in the season, but he's been amazing in all the

716
00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:38,120
Speaker 3: other games. So with Mark Andrews, you know out for

717
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 3: potentially the rest of the season, you know, Kittle's gonna

718
00:37:41,600 --> 00:37:43,720
Speaker 3: be a top three tight end. The rest of the season.

719
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 3: We can't fault the tight end just for having a

720
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 3: couple of bad games. They're all going to have bad

721
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:50,800
Speaker 3: games at some point, I guess for maybe Travis Kelcey,

722
00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:54,640
Speaker 3: but you know, he's just with all the weapons and

723
00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:57,319
Speaker 3: the forty news passing game, he's gonna have sort of

724
00:37:57,320 --> 00:37:59,960
Speaker 3: a wirrange your outcomes. But he's been such a stuff

725
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:02,480
Speaker 3: that I finally come around. I think I've been a

726
00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:05,719
Speaker 3: little bit too rough on him recently. So yeah, I've

727
00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:09,160
Speaker 3: you know, made some adjustments and he's inside my top three,

728
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,239
Speaker 3: although you have him in your top two, so you're

729
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:13,200
Speaker 3: technically a little bit higher on him. Movie.

730
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:15,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I think the big thing is it

731
00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:19,920
Speaker 4: used to be this was a low volume pass attack,

732
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:23,800
Speaker 4: but perty's been so efficient that he's averaging close to

733
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 4: two hundred and seventy passing yards per game, and you know,

734
00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:29,040
Speaker 4: if you go over the recent games, I think it's

735
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 4: even more than that. So it's not like before where

736
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:35,200
Speaker 4: you know, they were just like okay, Purty, he's just

737
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 4: kind of feeling them out. They're only wetting them throw

738
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:38,840
Speaker 4: a twenty five times a game, and he was he

739
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:42,439
Speaker 4: had to have this ridiculous efficiency to support, you know.

740
00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:44,439
Speaker 2: More than like one guy at a time.

741
00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:48,759
Speaker 4: But now as we've seen, you know, Geebo, Kittle and

742
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:52,319
Speaker 4: you can go and McCaffrey can all go off now

743
00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 4: in the same week. You know, it's so this the

744
00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:58,680
Speaker 4: San Francisco offense has come a long way, I think,

745
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:01,600
Speaker 4: and you know, Brought, you're really establishing himself as a

746
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,799
Speaker 4: guy who's not just a system quarterback, or if he

747
00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:10,120
Speaker 4: is a system quarterback, he's the greatest system quarterback ever because.

748
00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:12,040
Speaker 2: He's you know, he's got this offense putting up numbers.

749
00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:15,359
Speaker 4: So yeah, that's why Kittle's there for me, because yeah,

750
00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 4: his target chair does take a hit with everyone healthy,

751
00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:22,400
Speaker 4: but he's still I believe it's still around. You know,

752
00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:25,759
Speaker 4: the explosiveness is still there. So he's averaging like three

753
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:28,520
Speaker 4: and a half catches with everyone healthy, but for like,

754
00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:32,480
Speaker 4: you know, sixty sixty something yards because he's just been

755
00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:34,880
Speaker 4: so explosive getting a lot. They're setting them up for

756
00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:36,840
Speaker 4: a lot of yards after the catch, and he can't

757
00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:39,480
Speaker 4: really pay too much attention to him as an opposing

758
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 4: defense because you got to worry about Ayuk, you gotta

759
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 4: worry at Samuel and then Kittle's the tight end so

760
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:47,000
Speaker 4: he's gonna, you know, be blocking a lot, so just

761
00:39:47,080 --> 00:39:49,839
Speaker 4: kind of by default, he's the guy that can can

762
00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:53,440
Speaker 4: get these explosive plays when everyone else is is covered.

763
00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:58,520
Speaker 4: So yeah, I think Kittle's gonna continue to produce. That

764
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 4: was That was the same guy I was high on,

765
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:02,200
Speaker 4: and I'm pretty much in line with everything else, so

766
00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:05,960
Speaker 4: we could jump right to the guys are low on

767
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:08,359
Speaker 4: and it's also the same guy, so take it away.

768
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:13,239
Speaker 3: Oh really? Oh no, yeah, yeah, it's Pat Friarmouth. He's

769
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:15,280
Speaker 3: my tight end twenty four. And you know, he returned

770
00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:18,840
Speaker 3: from the ir last week, and you know he he

771
00:40:18,920 --> 00:40:22,600
Speaker 3: caught one pass for seven yards. Obviously an awful game

772
00:40:22,680 --> 00:40:25,920
Speaker 3: for him, but that wasn't a spot where we should

773
00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 3: have been playing him anyway. It was against the Browns.

774
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:31,480
Speaker 3: We weren't sure on his workload, but the underlying usage

775
00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:35,279
Speaker 3: was very concerning. He only ran around on thirty nine

776
00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:38,640
Speaker 3: percent of pickets dropbacks only saw a target on eight

777
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,760
Speaker 3: percent of those routes. And this isn't a passing offense.

778
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:44,600
Speaker 3: I'm you know, rushing to invest in, especially this time year.

779
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 3: So he might not return to low end tight end

780
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:51,400
Speaker 3: one value this season, but you know he's certainly worth monitoring.

781
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:56,319
Speaker 3: But with guys like you know, McBride, kincaid, even like

782
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:58,880
Speaker 3: Taysom Hill emerging as you know every week, tight End

783
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:02,000
Speaker 3: Ones firemouth guy that's kind of off my rid or anyway,

784
00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:04,719
Speaker 3: And after last week that hasn't changed. If anything, he

785
00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:07,680
Speaker 3: moved down a bit. So Pat Fiarmouth is someone I'm

786
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:08,800
Speaker 3: very low on this week.

787
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:13,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, same here, And it's tough because with Pittsburgh there's

788
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:17,160
Speaker 4: gonna be weeks where they don't even support one Fantasy

789
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:21,359
Speaker 4: viable pass catcher. And you know, anyway you slice it,

790
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 4: Friar Muth is behind Deontay Johnson and George Pickens. So

791
00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:30,080
Speaker 4: now that his route participation rate is a little bit

792
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:34,319
Speaker 4: lower than it was last year, and even you know,

793
00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:36,399
Speaker 4: the second half of the year his rookie year as well,

794
00:41:37,080 --> 00:41:40,040
Speaker 4: it's just really tough to rely on him. Like he'll

795
00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:43,319
Speaker 4: have probably one, one or two random big games in there,

796
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:46,399
Speaker 4: but it's it's a DFS like Darthrow at this point,

797
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:49,080
Speaker 4: there's no real way you're gonna be able to predict

798
00:41:49,120 --> 00:41:51,800
Speaker 4: it on a week two week basis in Fantasy.

799
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:54,200
Speaker 2: I mean, his game logs are something crazy.

800
00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:58,160
Speaker 4: This year he has he appeared in five games, right,

801
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:03,400
Speaker 4: in four of those games he's had seven or fewer.

802
00:42:05,640 --> 00:42:10,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, like one tweet, Bro, it's.

803
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:12,719
Speaker 4: I mean, Matt Canner was fired, so hey maybe maybe

804
00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 4: maybe they do change. But it's like it's like the

805
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:19,000
Speaker 4: targets too. It's like four targets three yards in his

806
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 4: first game, one target two yards in a second game.

807
00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:23,920
Speaker 4: Then he had okay, four targets for forty one and

808
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:26,560
Speaker 4: the touchdown his only good game. Then four targets seven

809
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:29,320
Speaker 4: yards and then one target seven yards last game. Like

810
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:31,080
Speaker 4: that is I don't I don't remember the last time

811
00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:36,760
Speaker 4: I've seen like a legit starting tight end do that poorly.

812
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:38,000
Speaker 4: And I know he was kind of in and out

813
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:40,400
Speaker 4: of some games, but man, I mean that that's just

814
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:41,640
Speaker 4: can you Pickett?

815
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:42,680
Speaker 2: You gotta do better, bro.

816
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:47,480
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, well, I mean if they keep giving Jalen

817
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:49,319
Speaker 3: Warn the ball, that's going to really limit the past

818
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:50,880
Speaker 3: game too, because he's gonna just take it to the

819
00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 3: house every time. I just found no, I know that

820
00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:58,560
Speaker 3: I just found out now. I didn't realize that.

821
00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:01,560
Speaker 2: Oh nice and nice.

822
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:02,880
Speaker 3: It's about yeah time.

823
00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, there that was. That's that's the big news this morning.

824
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:09,600
Speaker 4: But I was just gonna say, I'm pretty sure We

825
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:12,719
Speaker 4: had some good calls on that pod because I remember

826
00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:15,919
Speaker 4: we were talking about Jaylen Warren last week, and even

827
00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:19,480
Speaker 4: against that tough Cleveland defense, he managed to come through.

828
00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:22,600
Speaker 2: But where are you going for the tight end prop?

829
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Isaiah Likely. Let's talk about him.

830
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:31,600
Speaker 3: So he's facing the Chargers, he's replacing Mark Andrews. I'm

831
00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:35,320
Speaker 3: gonna go with thirty five and a half receiving yards under.

832
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 3: I have it, I have this average right at thirty five.

833
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 4: His media would be like in the little like thirty

834
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:44,680
Speaker 4: thirty one ish thirty two for me at least right now.

835
00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:47,000
Speaker 4: And you know, so I'm being a little bit more

836
00:43:47,040 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 4: conservative with him just because you know, you saw Lamar

837
00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:54,200
Speaker 4: Jackson target start targeting his wide receivers a lot more

838
00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:57,120
Speaker 4: when Mark Andrews went out, and I think in years

839
00:43:57,120 --> 00:44:00,080
Speaker 4: past this was a very tight end centric offense. They

840
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:02,239
Speaker 4: didn't really have any other wide receivers to speak of

841
00:44:02,560 --> 00:44:05,920
Speaker 4: that they could kind of target heavily. But now I

842
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:07,959
Speaker 4: don't really think Likely he's going to get the same.

843
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:09,920
Speaker 2: I think he's going to get the snaps as a

844
00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:11,680
Speaker 2: one for one replacement.

845
00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:14,600
Speaker 4: But I don't necessarily think he gets you know, anything,

846
00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:18,080
Speaker 4: close to the same target share. So I'm trying to

847
00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:21,319
Speaker 4: be careful not to just like, you know, blow him

848
00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:23,120
Speaker 4: up and put him in like, you know, tight end

849
00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:24,840
Speaker 4: eight or something like that, because I do think we

850
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:26,719
Speaker 4: should be a little bit more conservative because he got

851
00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:29,279
Speaker 4: za flowers there, Odell Beckham starting to come into his

852
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:31,919
Speaker 4: own agal art, you know, makes a play here and there.

853
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:36,799
Speaker 4: Bateman is, you know, finally be healthy. So what about

854
00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:38,319
Speaker 4: what do you think of likely this week?

855
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:41,160
Speaker 3: No, I think that's fair. I think, yeah, maybe in hindsight,

856
00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:44,200
Speaker 3: his median should be just a tad lower. He's the

857
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:46,680
Speaker 3: kind of guy that probably has a wider range of outcomes.

858
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 3: Just give him the situation. So yeah, like his media

859
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:52,920
Speaker 3: maybe a little bit lower. But you know, if a

860
00:44:52,960 --> 00:44:56,480
Speaker 3: book is offering fifty plus yards at three to one,

861
00:44:56,760 --> 00:45:00,279
Speaker 3: maybe consider that because he has a high ceiling. So yeah,

862
00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:03,160
Speaker 3: I agree, and he's my tight end eleven. I think

863
00:45:04,719 --> 00:45:06,520
Speaker 3: was there a game this year that he filled in

864
00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:09,040
Speaker 3: for Andrews. No, But last year whenever he filled in

865
00:45:09,080 --> 00:45:12,480
Speaker 3: for Andrews, I think he did pretty good. But I

866
00:45:12,560 --> 00:45:14,399
Speaker 3: think he did really good. But like you said, they

867
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:17,759
Speaker 3: you know, they have Bateman healthy, Odell Beckham's playing really

868
00:45:17,760 --> 00:45:20,959
Speaker 3: good right now, So there's more options in the wide

869
00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:24,640
Speaker 3: receiver game. Oh and you know Flowers obviously, so yeah,

870
00:45:24,840 --> 00:45:28,239
Speaker 3: there's probably just more options outside of him. So he

871
00:45:28,280 --> 00:45:30,560
Speaker 3: has a wide range. Hut comes. I think he's definitely

872
00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:32,359
Speaker 3: worth a flyer as a low end tight end one.

873
00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:34,799
Speaker 3: But yeah, maybe for his player prop, his medium is

874
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:37,360
Speaker 3: just a bit lower, so I think his prop should

875
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:39,520
Speaker 3: probably be in the low thirties. I'm guessing it'll be

876
00:45:39,600 --> 00:45:41,320
Speaker 3: like thirty two and a half if I had to guess.

877
00:45:41,680 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, his so his target rate per route is ten

878
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 4: point three percent this year, which is very low. Mark

879
00:45:49,680 --> 00:45:52,680
Speaker 4: Andrews is twenty one point six, So it's like half

880
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:55,839
Speaker 4: less than half of Andrews. So that's that's just kind

881
00:45:55,840 --> 00:45:57,160
Speaker 4: of I'm a little bit But yeah, I agree. I

882
00:45:57,200 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 4: think he has a high ceiling, and especially if you're

883
00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:02,000
Speaker 4: an under dog in your matchup, you know, I think

884
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:06,239
Speaker 4: you definitely have nothing to lose by starting him, but

885
00:46:06,640 --> 00:46:09,640
Speaker 4: you know, he's I still wouldn't start him over you know,

886
00:46:09,719 --> 00:46:11,040
Speaker 4: like a Jake Ferguson or.

887
00:46:11,040 --> 00:46:12,719
Speaker 2: You know, guys like that in that that.

888
00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:16,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, in that top ten, more established. I wonder, yeah,

889
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:19,200
Speaker 3: that target rate, I wonder how many of those routes.

890
00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:24,319
Speaker 3: Mark Andrews is also on the field. A good question. Yeah,

891
00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:27,400
Speaker 3: we we should probably look into that because they do

892
00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:30,600
Speaker 3: run too tight ends. That's quite a bit. But I'd

893
00:46:30,640 --> 00:46:33,239
Speaker 3: be curious what his target rate is when Andrews was

894
00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:34,840
Speaker 3: off the field and he was in on like eleven

895
00:46:34,880 --> 00:46:37,440
Speaker 3: personnel or something. That might be a bit more telling,

896
00:46:38,040 --> 00:46:39,960
Speaker 3: because if both are on the field, obviously you're gonna

897
00:46:40,000 --> 00:46:42,880
Speaker 3: still want to target Andrews. But yeah, we'll have to

898
00:46:42,920 --> 00:46:44,400
Speaker 3: find those splits somewhere.

899
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:47,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think, yeah, I mean, I think obviously it

900
00:46:47,120 --> 00:46:49,480
Speaker 4: will go up a bit, but you know, not as much.

901
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:51,319
Speaker 4: It doesn't have as much room for growth as it

902
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:53,680
Speaker 4: as it did, what you know, last year and all

903
00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:57,600
Speaker 4: the year sure, well the years prior. All Right, that

904
00:46:57,960 --> 00:46:59,840
Speaker 4: is going to do it for our Week twelve NFL

905
00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:03,480
Speaker 4: Player Projections episode of the Action Network Podcast presented by

906
00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:08,080
Speaker 4: bet MDM, the King of Sportsbooks. For more fantasy content

907
00:47:08,120 --> 00:47:09,600
Speaker 4: from Shawn and I, be sure to check out our

908
00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:12,919
Speaker 4: full fantasy preview episode out of a later today over

909
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:14,160
Speaker 4: on the Fantasy.

910
00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:14,920
Speaker 2: Flex podcast channel.

911
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:17,480
Speaker 4: If you're into betting, Stuck and I will have our

912
00:47:17,520 --> 00:47:21,320
Speaker 4: weekly betting episode on the Action Network podcast right here.

913
00:47:22,080 --> 00:47:25,560
Speaker 4: That'll be out early this week, so on Wednesday, and

914
00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:31,080
Speaker 4: also be sure to check out the Action Network discord

915
00:47:31,200 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 4: server if you want to chat. I know Sean is

916
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:36,719
Speaker 4: very active up in the air, so check the link

917
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:40,640
Speaker 4: in the episode description for more information on that. Action

918
00:47:40,680 --> 00:47:43,040
Speaker 4: Network dot com for all of our NFL fantasy and

919
00:47:43,120 --> 00:47:48,320
Speaker 4: betting content, Fantasylabs dot com for our DFS tools and models.

920
00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:50,600
Speaker 4: Sewn is on at the Underscore od's maker. I'm at

921
00:47:50,640 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 4: Chris Raybond. We're at those same handles on the free

922
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:59,160
Speaker 4: award winning Action Network app. Happy Thanksgiving to everyone.

923
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:03,160
Speaker 3: Let's give the money again. I have the Thanksgiving We

924
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Speaker 3: got it a decond right.

925
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927
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928
00:48:30,560 --> 00:48:34,200
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929
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