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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey P joe pis Apia

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Speaker 1: and this is bp NFL. It's week eleven. It's best

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Speaker 1: bets time, and the Undertaker is here with me, Andrew Erickson,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna give you some of my picks this

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Speaker 1: week too, and we are going to try to hit

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Speaker 1: as many as we can. That's the whole purpose. That's

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Speaker 1: why we're here. And if you're here, subscribe to the channel.

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Speaker 1: You're watching, you're hanging out with us, You're listening to us.

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Speaker 1: Wherever you get your podcasts, subscribe to the YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: We love having you here. You can drop your comments

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Speaker 1: below at anytime too. We love to hear from everybody.

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Speaker 1: What picks you're on this week. What's your best bet

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Speaker 1: of the week, Drop it in the comments. I love

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Speaker 1: to hear from you and Andrew Erickson. We got Thursday

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Speaker 1: night football with our Patriots playing the Jets, but we've

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Speaker 1: also got a big game coming up here between the

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Speaker 1: Buccaneers and the Buffalo Bills. And I know we talked

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Speaker 1: about this game on the Early Line Show and that

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Speaker 1: number was six and we said let's lock in that

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Speaker 1: six and that number has moved, but I have not

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Speaker 1: moved off of it, and I don't think you have either.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about bucks Bills and your approach here

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Speaker 1: to Baker Mayfield after a loss on the road as

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Speaker 1: an underdog.

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Speaker 2: It's the ultimate betting trifecta. I don't know how often

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Speaker 2: we're going to get this exact outcome for betting on

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Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield, but this is the perfect setup. I'll just

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Speaker 2: lay out some of the numbers. Series of the Buccaneers

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Speaker 2: cover the spread each of their last seven games following

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Speaker 2: a loss, thirteen to four against the spread after a

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Speaker 2: loss since twenty twenty three, eleven of the last twelve

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Speaker 2: games I've covered after a loss. So they lost last week,

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Speaker 2: that's great for us bet on the Buccaneers underdogs on

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Speaker 2: the road. They've won three of the last four games

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Speaker 2: as road underdogs. So not only are they a lock

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Speaker 2: to cover the five and a half or six point spread,

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Speaker 2: whatever number you get it, they're a live bet to

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Speaker 2: win this game potentially too. So again, I don't hate

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Speaker 2: little sprinkle on the underdog here on the money line,

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Speaker 2: but I don't either walking in the Buccaneers with the

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Speaker 2: points seventeen six against the spread on the road since

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty three. It's the second best mark in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield, this is just his spot when they're being

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Speaker 2: counted out, when they're underdogs, and I think he's gonna

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Speaker 2: kind of thrive in this type of game environment, Bill's Mafia,

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Speaker 2: loud stadium. I love the spot for making Mayfield the Buccaneers.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, nothing has changed since our early look ahead

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Speaker 2: lines bet on the box.

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Speaker 1: The only thing that's changed the line and move from

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Speaker 1: six to five and a half. So if you watch

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Speaker 1: the early line show, he subscribed to the show, you

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Speaker 1: got it at six. Yeah, this is my first bet

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Speaker 1: here of the week. And I am in lockstep with Andrew.

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Speaker 1: And the great thing about myself and Andrew and we're

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Speaker 1: together is Andrew's gonna give all of you the stats, and

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Speaker 1: he's gonna give you all the data, and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: give you all the fields and all the football acumen

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Speaker 1: here of things. And the truth is, injuries of Buffalo

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Speaker 1: Bill's defense have left them thin. Let's be honest. It

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Speaker 1: showed up all season long, all season longest show up

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Speaker 1: showed up against the Patriots. We know that, but it's

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Speaker 1: also showed up against the Dolphins more than once. Now,

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Speaker 1: it showed up here, and I think that Josh Allen

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Speaker 1: is in a very difficult spot because he doesn't have

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Speaker 1: that go to weapon. James Cook is that guy right

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Speaker 1: that you know, when you get him involved and you

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Speaker 1: get him the football, they win games. But when the

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Speaker 1: struggle or you fall back in the game script, and

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Speaker 1: you could easily do that in the game with Tampa

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Speaker 1: and they get away from that wrong game, bad things happen.

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Speaker 1: So you end up pivoting to the Josh Allen who

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Speaker 1: tries too hard, the Josh Allen who goes out there

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Speaker 1: and makes mistakes because he's trying to make every play

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Speaker 1: a highlight reel. And that's dangerous too because that leads

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Speaker 1: to turnovers. So I agree with you. I think the

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Speaker 1: money line is absolutely in play, but I think the

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Speaker 1: safer bet, the smarter bet, the best bet. It's just

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Speaker 1: take them five and a half. Because Baker Mayfield's already

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Speaker 1: talking trash and the press conferences of if you've seen

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Speaker 1: them already talking about how it's too high to look

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Speaker 1: at Josh Allen and talk to him face to face,

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Speaker 1: and he says he's gonna have to wear gloves because

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Speaker 1: it's cold and things like that. And Josh Allen has little,

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Speaker 1: tiny hands like Baker Mayfield is already throwing the shade.

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Speaker 1: It's clear that these guys are friends and having fun

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Speaker 1: with each other. But that's what you love about Baker.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't care. He gives zero f's right. He is

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Speaker 1: going to go in there. They lost last week, You

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Speaker 1: shake it off. That's what good leaders do, and I

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Speaker 1: think he will lead them to at least a cover

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Speaker 1: here in this game in Buffalo, and possibly an outright

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Speaker 1: win as well. All right, let's get to the second

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Speaker 1: bet of the week here. For me, this is a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a leap of faith here. But I

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Speaker 1: know the Carolina Panthers beat the crap out of the

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Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons already once this season. I don't think that

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Speaker 1: happens twice. I think Atlanta is fighting for their season.

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Speaker 1: They are three and a half year at home favorites,

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Speaker 1: and I do think that they cover. Carolina offensively is

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Speaker 1: still struggle. Buss Rico Daldill had a couple of good

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Speaker 1: games there, but once again they become a team that

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Speaker 1: doesn't seem to want to throw the football tenor Roa

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Speaker 1: McMillan is in a tough spot. You know, he's only

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Speaker 1: got two touchdowns this year, and they came against the

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Speaker 1: Cowboys in the same game. That's it. So he hasn't

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Speaker 1: made an impact in the red zone, hasn't made an

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Speaker 1: impact outside a one game against the Cowboys, and everybody

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Speaker 1: scores against the Cowboys. So for my second pick, I'm

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Speaker 1: taking the Atlanta Falcons to bounce back and hopefully learn

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Speaker 1: from some mistakes of just keep feeding the Dejon Robinson

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Speaker 1: the football and good things will eventually happen. This one

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Speaker 1: is at home. I think they took it personally last time.

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Speaker 1: This is also the Atlanta Falcons fighting for relevance. You

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Speaker 1: have a losing record, You cannot lose this game in

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Speaker 1: division to the Panthers. This is pretty much your season now.

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Speaker 1: The Panthers, you know, at five hundred also not a

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Speaker 1: great spot. But I think the pressures on the Falcons

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Speaker 1: and I think the Falcons will respond. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go with the Falcons here with the minus three and

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Speaker 1: a half, I know, I get it, it's a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a leap of faith, but I'm gonna take it.

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Speaker 1: Ericson who are taking a leap of faith on with

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Speaker 1: your second pick for this week.

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Speaker 2: I don't think mine is a leap of faith at all.

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna bet against the Washington Commanders, who I

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Speaker 2: think are more cooked than the Thanksgiving turkeys we're gonna

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Speaker 2: be eating in a couple of weeks. Commanders, what do

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Speaker 2: they have left on defense? This defense is I mean

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Speaker 2: the Bengals, we talked about them being the worst defense,

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys being the worst defense, and the Commanders are like, hoh,

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Speaker 2: my beer, we might be the worst defense in the

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Speaker 2: NFL because they got nobody left. Their secondary has been

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Speaker 2: hit by so many injuries. Deron Payne is not even

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Speaker 2: gonna play this game because he got suspended because he

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Speaker 2: punched them on Ross Saint Brown last week. They're just

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Speaker 2: crumbling without Jayden Daniels as the starting quarterback. So yes,

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Speaker 2: this game is in a neutral sight. But what I

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Speaker 2: like about what I've seen from the Miami Dolphins is

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Speaker 2: they haven't totally quit on the season. Their offense is

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Speaker 2: able to play at a high level when they have

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Speaker 2: match they can take advantage of, like here against the Commanders.

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Speaker 2: This is nothing new with Mike McDaniel as head coach

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Speaker 2: of this team. They beat up on bad teams. They've

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Speaker 2: done this throughout the entire tenure of Mike McDaniel being

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Speaker 2: the head coach. And it's usually in good weather. Before

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Speaker 2: the calendar turns to November and it's really cold and

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Speaker 2: they have to play on the road in like places

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Speaker 2: like Buffalo or Pittsburgh, that's when they usually struggle. That's

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Speaker 2: not the case. They're going to Madrid. It's gonna be

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Speaker 2: a great time in Spain. It's actually the first time

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Speaker 2: that Dan quinn has actually been a head coach for

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Speaker 2: an international game. So I think that's another edge for

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Speaker 2: the Miami Dolphins. And I like the Dolphins as favorites

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Speaker 2: fourteen nine against a spread as a favorite since twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty three, that's sixty one percent. And although this isn't

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Speaker 2: technically a road game, I still kind of look at

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Speaker 2: it as a road game. Five and one against a

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Speaker 2: spread as a road favorite, which is eighty three percent,

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Speaker 2: which is one of the highest marks in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: So the books are usually on it when it comes

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Speaker 2: to Miami being favored, and I don't think that two

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Speaker 2: and a half points is nearly enough for how bad

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Speaker 2: this commander's team has been one and three against the

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Speaker 2: spread with Mariota as the starting quarterbacks. So I think

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Speaker 2: Miami and their defense that's looked better over the last

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Speaker 2: three weeks. They've allowed just seventeen points game. So I

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Speaker 2: don't think it's just like the same season long Miami

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Speaker 2: Dolphins deep. I mean, they smell blood in the water, right,

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Speaker 2: and they can take advantage of an underman Washington commander's unit.

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Speaker 2: So you want to start your Sunday out with a

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Speaker 2: win better than the Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's amazing when you fire somebody, right, all of

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Speaker 1: a sudden, that starts to ripple effect a little bit

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Speaker 1: through the rest of the organization where people start worrying

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Speaker 1: about their jobs next year and who comes in. So

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Speaker 1: you got to put some good tape together because you

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Speaker 1: might not be in Miami, so you want to make

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Speaker 1: sure somebody wants you in twenty twenty six or maybe

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Speaker 1: the incoming coaches. Now, you know, I like the way

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Speaker 1: this player played down the stretch. Again, nothing like a

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Speaker 1: good firing to get everybody going. And yeah, everything that's

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Speaker 1: gone wrong for the commanders has speak of things going

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Speaker 1: wrong in firings. I present to you, ladies and gentlemen,

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Speaker 1: the New York Football Giants. There's nothing I love more

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Speaker 1: for my third pick than the dead coach bounce. You

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Speaker 1: know it. Every single year, Andrew, I go for it.

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Speaker 1: And sometimes every now and then the spot is just

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Speaker 1: so bad ye can't do it. A lot of the

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Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans like it, just can't go there. But this one,

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Speaker 1: I think you can. Jameis Winston is going to give

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Speaker 1: you energy. He's gonna give you vibes, he's gonna give

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Speaker 1: you positivity. He's gonna give you a deep football that

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Speaker 1: can actually be caught sometimes by the other team, but

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Speaker 1: mostly by Wandell Robinson. I hope that's what I'm looking

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Speaker 1: for in this game. This game is at home. They're

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Speaker 1: in a situation where I feel like the Green Bay

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Speaker 1: Packer offense right now is broken. And I talked about

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Speaker 1: this a little bit on Monday's program with You, Andrew,

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Speaker 1: and at that time that line was eight and a

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Speaker 1: half and I said, I like it. I want to

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Speaker 1: lock it in eight and a half. Well, guess what,

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Speaker 1: it seems like the Sharps were on it along with me.

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Speaker 1: And now that line has moved to seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Guess what I'm still on the Giants here plus seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, I still like it. I still think

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Speaker 1: that Winston, whether it be just showing up there and

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Speaker 1: getting off to a good start or just potentially in

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Speaker 1: garbage time being Jamis Winston slinging the football around, that

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Speaker 1: they can catch up to whatever the Packers are putting together,

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Speaker 1: because guess what, the Packers aren't putting a lot together.

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Speaker 1: The decision making about Lafleur's not been good. The wide

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Speaker 1: receiver corp continues to be lackluster, and Jordan Love looks

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Speaker 1: like a guy since Tucker Craft got hurt that he

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Speaker 1: looks like he lost his puppy. And I think that

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Speaker 1: is a bad situation here for a team going on

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Speaker 1: the road coming off a loss already. So give me

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Speaker 1: the Giants to cover. You've got feelings about this game too,

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Speaker 1: I want to talk about him. Talk about your take

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Speaker 1: for Giants Green Bay here in this contest.

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Speaker 2: I do agree with you that I think that if

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Speaker 2: I am picking a side, the Giants has definitely the

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Speaker 2: side I want to be on, because no bet is

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Speaker 2: dead when you have Jameis Winston as the quarterback that

225
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Speaker 2: you bet on, right, it can be they can be

226
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Speaker 2: down by twelve points in the fourth quarter doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: You still.

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Speaker 2: Still live to potentially cover. So that's the side. So

229
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Speaker 2: I'm co signing on the side there. But my actual

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Speaker 2: best bet is actually just betting the game total over.

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Speaker 2: Talked about this on some of the Fantasy Pro shows

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Speaker 2: that Jameis Winston is the tide that lifts all boats.

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Speaker 2: That's on the Giant side offensively, that's on the Packers

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Speaker 2: side offensively, because he just creates game environments where you

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Speaker 2: just see shooting bonanzas, shoot out bonanzas, and if you

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Speaker 2: look at the six full starts last year, those games

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Speaker 2: were four and two towards the over. That's what we got.

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Speaker 2: More often. It wasn't really Jamie Swinson covering all these games,

239
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Speaker 2: Oh he's in against the spread wizard. It was, Oh,

240
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Speaker 2: he's just gonna create a ton of points, because I

241
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Speaker 2: the only reason I'm hesitate with just taking them with

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Speaker 2: the points is, I mean, he throws two picks sixes,

243
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Speaker 2: like that's not going to help them cover the seven

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Speaker 2: and a half points, like that's gonna hurt them significantly,

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Speaker 2: But that helps create total points to go over a

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Speaker 2: pretty low number at forty three and a half. I

247
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Speaker 2: think we're getting some value on the Packers offense. Yes,

248
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Speaker 2: they have not looked great the last couple of weeks.

249
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Speaker 2: They've also faced the Eagles defense on a primetime spot,

250
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Speaker 2: which is one of the best defenses in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: It just made a trade for Jalen Philips. So off

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Speaker 2: a bye week, it was a tough spot. Like I

253
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Speaker 2: don't know, I know that we talked about liking the

254
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Speaker 2: Eagles a lot. Playing at home against the Green Bay Packers.

255
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Speaker 2: We were taking the Eagles on the money line, like

256
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Speaker 2: we didn't like the Packers last week. But the New

257
00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:52,920
Speaker 2: York Giants defense is so bad they can't stop anybody.

258
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Speaker 2: It looked like they were gonna take care of business

259
00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:57,719
Speaker 2: beat the Bears. Kala Williams didn't have anything left. And

260
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Speaker 2: then you look up and then Kilwillims scores like three touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: And they personnel. That's the weirdest part is it's not

262
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Speaker 1: like they don't have some personnel that you would say, though,

263
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Speaker 1: that's some good talent. The yeah, I mean, Abdul Carter

264
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Speaker 1: was the consensus guy, right, like that was the big

265
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Speaker 1: impact defensive player. You look back at the Burns acquisition,

266
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Speaker 1: all the things that the Giants have done over the

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Speaker 1: last two years to fortify that defense something you don't have, dudes.

268
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Speaker 1: So it's a matter of coaching, it's a matter of scheme,

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Speaker 1: it's a matter of preparation.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. So I like Mike Kafka coming in as the

271
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Speaker 2: former OC to be the injur head coach to help

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Speaker 2: the offense. I think that he is a sharp offensive mind.

273
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Speaker 2: But I don't think that this defense is going to

274
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Speaker 2: get fixed, and I think that the Green Meat Packers

275
00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:36,720
Speaker 2: can use this as a Hey, we need to bounce

276
00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:39,120
Speaker 2: back here offensively, and we can do that against a

277
00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:42,040
Speaker 2: really bad Giants defense. For the Giants last five games

278
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Speaker 2: have gone over the point total because in addition just

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Speaker 2: playing poorly, they've also had a lot of injuries are

280
00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:48,760
Speaker 2: the defense side of the ball, especially in their secondary.

281
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Speaker 2: So we know that both defenses, I think are weaker

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Speaker 2: in their secondary. Again, you have guys upfront that can

283
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Speaker 2: rush the passer. But if those quarterbacks have time and

284
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Speaker 2: are willing to push the ball down and field, which

285
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Speaker 2: we've seen both of these quarterbacks do. The Packers have

286
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Speaker 2: had one of the highest expulsive play rates this season. Obviously,

287
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Speaker 2: losing Tour Kraft hurts, but Romeo Dobbs is practicing in

288
00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:08,680
Speaker 2: full I should get Matthew goldenback, so he's another element

289
00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:10,520
Speaker 2: that you can throw in for a home run play.

290
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Speaker 2: I think forty three and a half points that's just

291
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Speaker 2: way too low for a game that Javis Switzton is

292
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Speaker 2: starting in here, not wrong, So I like you over.

293
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Speaker 2: I think priority number one for the Giants this offseason.

294
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Speaker 2: Get a corner, Get somebody who can shut somebody down,

295
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Speaker 2: you know. I think that's when they go in the draft.

296
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Speaker 2: We'll see, maybe they go offensive line. We'll see what

297
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Speaker 2: the new head coach wants.

298
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Speaker 1: All right. Before we get to the rest of our picks,

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Speaker 1: we've got also upset special, We've got Joey P's Parlay

300
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Speaker 1: of the Week. We had a lot of stuff going

301
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Speaker 1: on here. I want to look at the leader board

302
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Speaker 1: from last week because I was on my bye week

303
00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:39,839
Speaker 1: last week, but I am back. And Andrew Erkson was

304
00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:41,960
Speaker 1: three and two last week, which brings him to twenty

305
00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:44,160
Speaker 1: one or nineteen on the season, ahead of five hundred.

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Speaker 1: That's where we want to be. And of course, if

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Speaker 1: you want more help from Andrew, Matt Perrault, all of

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Speaker 1: our cast of characters here on our discord, you can

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00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,000
Speaker 1: go there and join for free at betting pros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash chat, so you can get in there, talk

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Speaker 1: to other handicappers, talk to other people there who can

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Speaker 1: give you some insights and picks. And it doesn't matter

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Speaker 1: what the sport is too. We've got everything going on

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Speaker 1: the Betting pro So again bettingpros dot com slash chat.

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Speaker 1: That is our discourse. So join today for free. All right.

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Speaker 1: Next up for me Ah the Cleveland Browns. The Cleveland

317
00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:15,360
Speaker 1: Browns team total. We're taking the under fifteen and a

318
00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:17,839
Speaker 1: half against Baltimore. I think Baltimore is starting to feel itself,

319
00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:20,840
Speaker 1: and Baltimore also has gotten two things right. They've gotten

320
00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:22,959
Speaker 1: healthy on defense and they've gotten better on defense too.

321
00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:25,319
Speaker 1: We talked about some improvements and some other teams have made.

322
00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:27,480
Speaker 1: Baltimore I think is starting to tighten the screws a

323
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Speaker 1: little bit and remember who they are. It's amazing when

324
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Speaker 1: you lose your franchise quarterback for a few games, how

325
00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:34,920
Speaker 1: everything falls apart. But there were some issues before Lamar

326
00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:37,800
Speaker 1: got hurt already. You saw them in that Detroit Lions

327
00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:40,960
Speaker 1: game right earlier in the season. I think the Ravens

328
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Speaker 1: see the Steelers ahead of them, and they're not intimidated.

329
00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:48,920
Speaker 1: I think they see the returning potential of Joe Burrow

330
00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:51,000
Speaker 1: in a couple of weeks and they need a stack

331
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Speaker 1: some w's before we get to that game on Thanksgiving.

332
00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,120
Speaker 1: So to me, this is a crucial game here for

333
00:13:57,160 --> 00:13:59,720
Speaker 1: the Baltimore Ravens. This is a must again every game

334
00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:01,600
Speaker 1: for the must win to get back in this thing.

335
00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:03,960
Speaker 1: And they are on the precipice of getting hot. And

336
00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,839
Speaker 1: maybe this is what the Ravens needed. The Ravens are

337
00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:09,679
Speaker 1: so used to being at the top of the mountain. Maybe,

338
00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:13,520
Speaker 1: just maybe, Andrew, they've needed something to knock them down

339
00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:15,480
Speaker 1: a little bit and start to chase and remember what

340
00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:17,920
Speaker 1: that's like. And I think that's healthy for this team.

341
00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:19,720
Speaker 1: And I think for the first time, maybe being the

342
00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:22,560
Speaker 1: team that backdoors their way into the playoffs or even

343
00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:24,680
Speaker 1: to the division and has to go on the road

344
00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:26,720
Speaker 1: and a little togetherness win a football game is actually

345
00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:30,040
Speaker 1: a good thing for the Ravens. But the bad news

346
00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:32,320
Speaker 1: is here for the Cleveland Browns. Is not only the

347
00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:35,160
Speaker 1: defense coming together, but Dylan Gabriel is not the answer.

348
00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:37,200
Speaker 1: He's just not gonna be the answer here. They're gonna

349
00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:39,640
Speaker 1: struggle offensively to move the football. I like that fifteen

350
00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:41,760
Speaker 1: and a half. I know sometimes these games in division

351
00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:44,600
Speaker 1: get a little, you know, a little tight here, But again,

352
00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:46,640
Speaker 1: are they gonna put two touchdowns on the board. I

353
00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:48,560
Speaker 1: have a hard time believe in that. So I'm gonna

354
00:14:48,760 --> 00:14:51,960
Speaker 1: say under here for the team total for the Cleveland Browns. Erickson,

355
00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:54,760
Speaker 1: where are you going for your fourth selection here? You know,

356
00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:57,000
Speaker 1: I'm waiting for the undertaker to take some unders here,

357
00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:58,080
Speaker 1: That's what I'm really waiting for.

358
00:14:58,760 --> 00:15:01,120
Speaker 2: Well, I did take someone last week and I got

359
00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:03,720
Speaker 2: absolutely annihilated with the underside.

360
00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:06,160
Speaker 1: You can't get off brand though, Aaron Jill.

361
00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:09,240
Speaker 2: Why That's why I have one under play this week,

362
00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:12,120
Speaker 2: and it's my favorite one. It's Chiefs and Broncos going

363
00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,120
Speaker 2: under forty four and a half points. Now, we all

364
00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:17,240
Speaker 2: know how good Andy Reid is off the bye week

365
00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:20,200
Speaker 2: twenty two and four straight up after regular season bye

366
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:22,560
Speaker 2: week nine to three with the Chiefs six them on

367
00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:25,120
Speaker 2: with Patrick Mahomes. But when you look at his record

368
00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:28,680
Speaker 2: against the spread, it's closer than fifty percent. So although

369
00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:30,960
Speaker 2: this helps in the okay, the Chiefs are probably gonna

370
00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:33,400
Speaker 2: win this game being favored by three and a half points,

371
00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:35,440
Speaker 2: like It's still a tricky line there where they win

372
00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:37,800
Speaker 2: by field goal you don't cover and the Broncos end

373
00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:40,680
Speaker 2: up covering the bets. So I wanted to avoid the sides,

374
00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:42,680
Speaker 2: even though I do think the Chiefs win a close

375
00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:45,320
Speaker 2: game because both of these teams have played heavily towards

376
00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:47,920
Speaker 2: the under the season, Denver seventy three towards the under

377
00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:51,200
Speaker 2: k C six and three towards the under. Bo Nicks

378
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,520
Speaker 2: is he has the fifth worst drop back success rate

379
00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:57,320
Speaker 2: this season. I can't think of a more overrated team

380
00:15:57,480 --> 00:15:59,160
Speaker 2: than I've seen with the Denver Broncos this year. At

381
00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:02,440
Speaker 2: eight and two. Their offense is still not clicking at

382
00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:04,240
Speaker 2: a high level in my opinion, and you can see

383
00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:06,760
Speaker 2: it out in the stats like he's bottom five success rate,

384
00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:09,440
Speaker 2: like with guys like Cam war justin fields players that

385
00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:12,400
Speaker 2: were not associating with winning teams in any way, shape

386
00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:14,360
Speaker 2: or form. The defense has done a lot of things,

387
00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:16,760
Speaker 2: and obviously bo Nicks has showed up in the fourth quarter.

388
00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:19,800
Speaker 2: So I still think though that this game is going

389
00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:22,120
Speaker 2: to probably be a little bit tighter and lower scoring.

390
00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:24,000
Speaker 2: You look at the last four matchups between the Chiefs

391
00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:28,120
Speaker 2: and Broncos for straight unders, every single time and a

392
00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:31,160
Speaker 2: better trend when you're looking at the betting, is Andy

393
00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:33,640
Speaker 2: Reid off a bye week is actually playing towards the

394
00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:37,320
Speaker 2: under three and nine towards the under since twenty eighteen

395
00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:39,520
Speaker 2: after a bye week, So we're always talking about, oh

396
00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:41,240
Speaker 2: Andy Reid, so good off the bye week. But yeah,

397
00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:45,040
Speaker 2: also the defense comes out and pitches shutouts. Spagnola, I

398
00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:47,120
Speaker 2: think it's going to make life really tough for bo Nicks,

399
00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:49,920
Speaker 2: who's already kind of been struggling this year as offensively

400
00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:52,000
Speaker 2: hasn't really taken that next step that I think maybe

401
00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:53,720
Speaker 2: some of us thought that he would. So I think

402
00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:55,640
Speaker 2: this game playing in Denver, and Denver has a really

403
00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:57,400
Speaker 2: good defense too, so I think they can give Mahomes

404
00:16:57,400 --> 00:16:59,520
Speaker 2: some problems. I don't think that we see this as

405
00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:02,040
Speaker 2: a shootout, if anything. I think it's maybe twenties in

406
00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:03,880
Speaker 2: and in the teens. So I like the under here

407
00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:04,760
Speaker 2: at forty four and a half.

408
00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,600
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to our fifth and final pick

409
00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:11,119
Speaker 1: before we get to some fun here. Titans team total

410
00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:14,360
Speaker 1: under fifteen and a half is where I'm going here

411
00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:18,080
Speaker 1: with the Houston Texans coming into town. Look, we all

412
00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:22,320
Speaker 1: know the limitations of the Titans here at this stage. Now, granted,

413
00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:25,040
Speaker 1: there are some limitations without CJ. Stroud, most likely this

414
00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:27,119
Speaker 1: week too. As of recording this, we are still waiting

415
00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:28,480
Speaker 1: on it. But I think we all know Stroud's not

416
00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:31,520
Speaker 1: playing this week. But they put up points last week,

417
00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:33,320
Speaker 1: and the one thing about that defense is they've been

418
00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:36,960
Speaker 1: limiting points all year long and to much better offenses

419
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:41,080
Speaker 1: than the Tennessee Titans. So defense travels. It's gonna be

420
00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,240
Speaker 1: a good situation for them. They've given up about I

421
00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:47,040
Speaker 1: think the average is around fifteen points per game, and

422
00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,920
Speaker 1: that's against the rest of the NFL. The Titans are

423
00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:52,520
Speaker 1: below average offense, so I do believe they're going to

424
00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:55,560
Speaker 1: have a struggle bust time here trying to move the

425
00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:57,639
Speaker 1: football against the Houston Texans. I think this is a

426
00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:01,159
Speaker 1: very easy way to just go ahead and target this

427
00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:03,040
Speaker 1: game and just look for the team total. Again, I've

428
00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 1: done it with the Cleveland Browns, but I gotta be honest,

429
00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:07,480
Speaker 1: I like this one even more the way Houston's defense

430
00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:09,199
Speaker 1: has played. I think this is I want to say

431
00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:10,480
Speaker 1: in the lock of the week, because it's not my

432
00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:12,040
Speaker 1: lock of the week. We're going to do those in

433
00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:14,399
Speaker 1: just a second. But Andrew Erickson, You've got some feelings

434
00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:16,639
Speaker 1: about the Dallas Cowboys in the Las Vegas Raiders. The

435
00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:18,920
Speaker 1: Cowboys also coming off of buye, so what's your take

436
00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:19,520
Speaker 1: on that game.

437
00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:22,440
Speaker 2: Dallas is seven to three against the spread since twenty

438
00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,720
Speaker 2: twenty three, playing with rest advantage, so I feel really

439
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:29,240
Speaker 2: good about Dallas Cowboys defense in this spot. I think

440
00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:31,320
Speaker 2: that they're going to play significantly better. I talked about

441
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:33,360
Speaker 2: it on the Early look Ahead show that I think

442
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:36,480
Speaker 2: that after the passing of marshaw neland you're going to

443
00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:40,160
Speaker 2: see this Dallas Cowboys defense play at the highest level

444
00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:41,760
Speaker 2: to play it at all season. And it's not just

445
00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:45,080
Speaker 2: because they're playing inspired football after loss of a teammate,

446
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,879
Speaker 2: but they're getting Quinn Williams. They just traded for one

447
00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:49,840
Speaker 2: of the best defensive tackles in the NFL that can

448
00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,600
Speaker 2: help slow down Ashton Genty in this Raiders run game,

449
00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,320
Speaker 2: which really hasn't taken off in any way, shape or form.

450
00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:58,359
Speaker 2: The Raiders are also down multiple offensive linemen after the

451
00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:01,400
Speaker 2: lost them against the Denver Broncos. Gino Smith barely finished

452
00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:03,920
Speaker 2: that game if he picked up by his offensive line

453
00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:06,879
Speaker 2: because it took so many hits and despite Dallas' defense

454
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 2: being pretty bad basically the majority of the season. The

455
00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:11,880
Speaker 2: one thing they've been able to do is generate pass

456
00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:14,440
Speaker 2: rush tenth in pressure rate this season. So I think

457
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:17,160
Speaker 2: they're going to get after Gino Smith. They have revamped

458
00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:19,959
Speaker 2: defensive players. They're getting two guys back from injured reserve

459
00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 2: Chevon Ravel, a rookie cornback that they drafted. He's going

460
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:25,359
Speaker 2: to make his debut linebacker to Merrion Overshawn. He's going

461
00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,040
Speaker 2: to play in this game. So I think this look,

462
00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:29,920
Speaker 2: I think it's totally too high unless Dallas is gonna

463
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:31,840
Speaker 2: put a forty. Like, I think this game is going

464
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:33,480
Speaker 2: to go under fifteen half points. I think the Dallas

465
00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:36,159
Speaker 2: defense is going to make Gino Smith look like a

466
00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:40,160
Speaker 2: shell and Raiders. They've lost seventeen to last eighteen games

467
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,040
Speaker 2: with underdogs, seven straight as home underdogs. There's no home

468
00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:46,679
Speaker 2: field advantage in Las Vegas. I love the Dallas Cowboys here,

469
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:48,680
Speaker 2: and I would be laying six and a half points

470
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:48,960
Speaker 2: with that.

471
00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:51,040
Speaker 1: Well, the Cowboys are averaging well over thirty points a

472
00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 1: game at home, but under thirty points on the road,

473
00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:55,400
Speaker 1: So to that point as well, you know, I mean,

474
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:57,920
Speaker 1: I'm so confident that they'll put up somewhere on twenty

475
00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:01,200
Speaker 1: seven to twenty eight against the last Vegas Raiders. That look,

476
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:03,320
Speaker 1: I just we differ a little on this. I just

477
00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 1: don't think you can fix things like that. Maybe they'll

478
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:07,720
Speaker 1: play inspired, maybe with the Chris and turnovers, but I

479
00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:10,040
Speaker 1: still think they're just gonna, you know, give up points

480
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:14,080
Speaker 1: even to Gino Smith and the Raiders. But we shall see.

481
00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,000
Speaker 1: That's one's gonna play itself out. Ladies and gentlemen, it

482
00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:20,359
Speaker 1: is time for our hard Rock Bet picks of the week.

483
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 1: Hard Rock Bet is a sponsor of our shows here

484
00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:24,960
Speaker 1: on Betting Pro. Subscribe to the channel and download the

485
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Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet sportsbook app because that's the place where

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Speaker 1: everything that's going on there in hard rock Bet. And again,

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Speaker 1: if you bet five bucks, you get one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty and bonus bets when that first bet hits, plus

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Speaker 1: your payout. So that's a pretty good deal. So these

491
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 1: are the things that we're betting on hard Rock Bet

492
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,720
Speaker 1: this week. My favorite bet of the week, I've already

493
00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 1: said it. I laid it out on the show. Give

494
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:51,359
Speaker 1: Me Baker Mayfield, as Andrew said, the trifecta after a

495
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:55,000
Speaker 1: loss on the road as an underdog. Yes, please against

496
00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,800
Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills too. The Buffalo Bills have been bad.

497
00:20:58,080 --> 00:20:59,479
Speaker 1: I mean, let's just play what it is like. They

498
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,240
Speaker 1: have been incing, assistant, defensively, having all kinds of issues.

499
00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:04,320
Speaker 1: I think Baker can keep this one close. So give

500
00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:07,359
Speaker 1: me the bucks there right now. Plus six. That's what

501
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:08,879
Speaker 1: I'm seeing here, the best line I can find a

502
00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 1: betting pros. But I think that's gonna go a weigh

503
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,399
Speaker 1: five and a half. You might not see any sixes

504
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:14,480
Speaker 1: pretty soon, so lock that in as soon as you can.

505
00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 1: On hard rock bet Andrew Erickson, what is your best

506
00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:18,560
Speaker 1: bet of the week.

507
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys minus three and a half. I think that

508
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:25,120
Speaker 2: they take care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders.

509
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:27,920
Speaker 2: Banged up on the offensive line, Dallas is getting some

510
00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:31,159
Speaker 2: pieces back on the defensive side. Quinn Williams making his

511
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys debut after being traded from the New York Jets.

512
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 2: Dallas seven and three against the spread since twenty twenty three,

513
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:39,960
Speaker 2: playing with rest advantage, and the Raiders have lost seven

514
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 2: straight as home underdogs, So I like Big D in

515
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:44,360
Speaker 2: this spot.

516
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:45,840
Speaker 1: All right, So there you have it everybody, and you

517
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:47,440
Speaker 1: get tuned into the Parlay Show to see when we

518
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 1: put those two things together what you might be able

519
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:52,080
Speaker 1: to get. So make sure you subscribe to the YouTube

520
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:55,639
Speaker 1: channel here over on Betting Pros and again place your

521
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:57,800
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523
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Speaker 1: And again this is that time too. We've got college

524
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:05,640
Speaker 1: hoops going on, we got NBA going on, We've got

525
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,600
Speaker 1: hockey going on. Everything's happening, oh yeah, in this little

526
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 1: thing called the NFL is also happening in college football

527
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 1: still go on. College football playoffs just a few months

528
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:16,400
Speaker 1: away too. Lots of exciting things. This is the best

529
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 1: time to start betting on all of them at hard

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00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,439
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Speaker 1: and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about

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Speaker 1: gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight Admit It

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Speaker 1: nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois,

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00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:48,640
Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, next up

541
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:51,359
Speaker 1: here is the Upset special of the week. And I

542
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:52,960
Speaker 1: think you know, no one should be surprised as a

543
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 1: theme developing in the show. I don't think this is

544
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,119
Speaker 1: a hot take. I think Tampa's just a better all

545
00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:59,479
Speaker 1: around football team than the Buffalo Bills. I do. I

546
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,080
Speaker 1: just think that are right now. I think they've got

547
00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:04,359
Speaker 1: more weapons offensively, write more explosiveness with the wide receivers,

548
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 1: with Eggbuka and Tesz Johnson. I think they'll figure it

549
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:09,920
Speaker 1: out at running back still. And on top of that,

550
00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:13,160
Speaker 1: I think that defense got a little embarrassed at home,

551
00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:14,919
Speaker 1: and the defense against the run has been very good.

552
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 1: Vida Van and company are very good against the run.

553
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,199
Speaker 1: So Travon Henderson put a hurting on him, right, Travon

554
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:22,159
Speaker 1: Henderson kind of embarrassed him and put some tape on

555
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 1: him and The one thing I've learned about these guys

556
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:25,760
Speaker 1: who are really good at what they do, they don't

557
00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:27,840
Speaker 1: like when that happens. They're gonna come back with a vengeance.

558
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:30,160
Speaker 1: And the problem is if you can slow down James Cook,

559
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:32,360
Speaker 1: I don't know what happens here again. You get try

560
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 1: hard Josh Allen, and that sometimes leads to bad things.

561
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:38,400
Speaker 1: So give me the upset on the money line. It's

562
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,120
Speaker 1: my favorite upset pick of the week. I almost went

563
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:42,160
Speaker 1: with the Giants, but I didn't. Instead, plus two thirty

564
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:44,680
Speaker 1: five money line against Buffalo Bills. Give me the Bucks

565
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 1: this week, Andrew, you think it's gonna work a wide.

566
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:48,399
Speaker 2: I think it's live to the fourth quarter.

567
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:50,840
Speaker 1: I think it's live too. And if Buffalo gets up

568
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:52,600
Speaker 1: early on him, I think it's gonna be even better

569
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:54,600
Speaker 1: number than two thirty five. So watch that in game

570
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:55,400
Speaker 1: live again.

571
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,560
Speaker 2: I get this why this is the upset special the

572
00:23:57,600 --> 00:23:59,119
Speaker 2: week because we've been all about the Bucks. But I

573
00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:02,119
Speaker 2: am surprised that we didn't go Seahawks here because I

574
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 2: know that they're another really intriguing underdog this week.

575
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:09,200
Speaker 1: They are they are, believe me, they were in the mix. Look,

576
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:10,440
Speaker 1: I've been saying it all year I've been saying it

577
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:12,680
Speaker 1: since August. Right, the win total for the Seahawks I

578
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:14,480
Speaker 1: think was eight and a half. I was like, what

579
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,879
Speaker 1: are they doing. They're not giving the Seahawks enough respect,

580
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 1: and they're giving Sam Donald too much disrespect. I know

581
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:21,680
Speaker 1: it kind of fell part of the end last year.

582
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 2: I was very much on the disrespect side of Sam Donald.

583
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:25,320
Speaker 1: And that's fair.

584
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 2: My Seahawks offseason takes are absolutely terrible.

585
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 1: It fell off at the end last year. But let's

586
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:33,919
Speaker 1: not forget the first fourteen weeks of the season. They

587
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 1: were so good for Sam Donald. But they were I mean,

588
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 1: the Vikings looked like world beaters for a long time there.

589
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about this Harlay of the week.

590
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 1: Here for me, I'm going to take some of these

591
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:45,640
Speaker 1: favorite things that I've got. One of my favorite things

592
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:49,199
Speaker 1: this week was the Tennessee Titans total points under fifteen

593
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 1: and a half at minus one thirteen the Tampa Bay

594
00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:53,320
Speaker 1: Buccaneers again, you get plus five and a half in

595
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:56,639
Speaker 1: some markets, six anothers. Give me the Bucks with the points,

596
00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 1: give me the under team total for the Titans, and

597
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 1: of course dead coach Bounce, no Brian Dable, good feelings,

598
00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 1: Jamis Winston Kafka with something to Peru. Give me the

599
00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: Giants plus seven here, you put them together, you get

600
00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:11,480
Speaker 1: plus six oh five. That's a huge number. Andrew Erickson

601
00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:13,680
Speaker 1: and I don't think it's absurd. You want to pick

602
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:15,680
Speaker 1: this one apart and he holes in this one this.

603
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 2: Week, Davis Mills, Man, if he turns the ball over,

604
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:21,399
Speaker 2: that could set up for short fields for.

605
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 1: The tight Like I feel like it could.

606
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 2: Honestly, that's like as weird as it sounds, just because.

607
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:27,680
Speaker 1: That's the one that scares you the most.

608
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 2: It's a division game on the road, and it's a

609
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:34,360
Speaker 2: backup quarterback starting right like, that's like, those are like things.

610
00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 2: I look as like that's red flag potentially, but you

611
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 2: are more like than the Texans defense.

612
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:40,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I'm doing. I'm bet on the Texans

613
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:41,880
Speaker 1: defense to figure it out.

614
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:43,320
Speaker 2: Your angle, I think is the right approach.

615
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:45,200
Speaker 1: I think the Titans settle for a lot of threes,

616
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:46,879
Speaker 1: even if they do turn the ball over hid in

617
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,879
Speaker 1: their own territory. So those are our favorite bets. Those

618
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:51,879
Speaker 1: are the upsets. That's the best bets for week eleven.

619
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 1: What's your favorite bet for week eleven? Drop your comments below,

620
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 1: Subscribe to the channel and of course like this video.

621
00:25:57,080 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, But the story of the

622
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,639
Speaker 1: game goes on for Andrew ericson I'm Joey p. We'll

623
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the

624
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 1: Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show, the best

625
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:10,159
Speaker 1: freeway to support us is by leaving a positive review

626
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:13,439
Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on x and

627
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Speaker 1: TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.

628
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Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com

629
00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:21,359
Speaker 1: slash Betting Pros