WEBVTT - Remote Work and Senate Practices

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Opinion podcast. Catch us Saturdays

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<v Speaker 1>at one and seven pm Eastern on Bloomberg dot Com,

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<v Speaker 1>the iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg Business App, or listen

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<v Speaker 1>on demand wherever you get your podcasts.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome to Bloomberg Opinion. I'm Amy Morris. This week we

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<v Speaker 2>look at working from home for working moms. It looked

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<v Speaker 2>like a new way for working mothers to strike a

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<v Speaker 2>balance between a career and family, but now it may

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<v Speaker 2>be turning into a dead end, and one senator has

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<v Speaker 2>placed a whole non military promotions. We're going to look

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<v Speaker 2>at what this means for the Senate as a whole,

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<v Speaker 2>and we'll discuss the incredible shrinking office not just that

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<v Speaker 2>more people want to work from home, but office space

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<v Speaker 2>itself is dropping, a trend that actually started before the pandemic.

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<v Speaker 2>But we begin with the big disconnect of twenty twenty three,

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<v Speaker 2>at least where the economy is concerned, because many predicted

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<v Speaker 2>that the big economic story for this year would be

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<v Speaker 2>a recession. President Biden's top economic advisor, the Director of

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<v Speaker 2>the National Economic Council, Isle Brainerd, is a former vice

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<v Speaker 2>chair of the Federal Reserve. In last month, she discussed

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<v Speaker 2>the risk of recession in the near term.

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<v Speaker 3>We are seeing strong ongoing growth with inflation coming down.

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<v Speaker 3>We're seeing unemployment staying below four percent twenty months in

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<v Speaker 3>a row now with inflation coming down, and so those

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<v Speaker 3>data which have been sustained now for a relatively long

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<v Speaker 3>period of time, suggests that there's ongoing resilience there.

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<v Speaker 2>So we haven't seen a recession. There is no expectation

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<v Speaker 2>of a recession, and the resilience of the economy has

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<v Speaker 2>economists and analysts believing that if there is a recession,

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<v Speaker 2>the recovery will be swift. So the story, the disconnect

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<v Speaker 2>is between the consumer sentiment and consumer behavior. Let's bring

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<v Speaker 2>in Betsy Stevenson, a Bloomberg opinion columnist and an associate

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<v Speaker 2>professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan.

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<v Speaker 2>She was also on the President's Council of Economic Advisors

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<v Speaker 2>and was the chief economist at the Department of Labor.

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<v Speaker 2>Tell us what is going on? What is this disconnect?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, you know, when a lot of people hear this,

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<v Speaker 4>they're like, of course, people are mad. Prices are high,

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<v Speaker 4>They're higher than they were in twenty nineteen, and they

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<v Speaker 4>don't like that, And the fact that prices are high

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<v Speaker 4>and that makes people mad is not the puzzle. It's

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<v Speaker 4>that they are spending more than they were spending in

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<v Speaker 4>twenty nineteen, and not just more as in you know,

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<v Speaker 4>they have to spend more to make up for inflation,

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<v Speaker 4>but they're buying even more stuff. They're you know, treating

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<v Speaker 4>themselves a consumption spending adjusted for inflation is very very high.

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<v Speaker 4>So they're spending as if they think it's good economic times.

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<v Speaker 4>But then when we ask them, how do you feel

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<v Speaker 4>about the economy, they are in the dumps, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>as low in this period as they were in some

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<v Speaker 4>parts of the two thousand and eight recession.

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<v Speaker 2>Be more of a reflection of a political affiliation. If

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<v Speaker 2>you're complaining about the economy and at the same time

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<v Speaker 2>you're spending more money than you've ever spent before, not

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<v Speaker 2>because of inflation, but because you want more stuff.

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<v Speaker 4>So economists tend to believe in what we call revealed preference.

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<v Speaker 4>So this is where this disconnect is very puzzling to economists,

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<v Speaker 4>because you're telling me you think things are bad, but

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<v Speaker 4>you're spending as if you think things are good. So

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<v Speaker 4>which is it? Is it? What you're saying out loud

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<v Speaker 4>or is it your behavior. One of the things that

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<v Speaker 4>could explain that kind of difference would be if actually

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<v Speaker 4>you think the economy's fine, that's why you're spending like

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<v Speaker 4>it's fine, but you're telling people who ask you what

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<v Speaker 4>you're telling the pollsters that you hate the economy because

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<v Speaker 4>you're a Republican and the Democrats in power, and that

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<v Speaker 4>you know, makes you hate the economy no matter what's happening.

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<v Speaker 4>And in fact, there's recent research that's come out that

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<v Speaker 4>shows that that can explain about forty percent of the disconnect.

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<v Speaker 4>So we do have a partisan veil that affects our perceptions. Luckily,

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<v Speaker 4>that partisan veil doesn't affect our behavior.

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<v Speaker 2>So we have seen disconnect like this before. That's an

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<v Speaker 2>historical perspective that would go along with this.

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<v Speaker 4>Such a good question. You just ask, what we see

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<v Speaker 4>is not as big of a disconnect as we're seeing

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<v Speaker 4>right now. That's why it can only explain about forty

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<v Speaker 4>percent of the disconnect. But what we do typically see

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<v Speaker 4>is if I ask you how the economy is doing,

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<v Speaker 4>and then I look at your your spending on average,

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<v Speaker 4>those things have been pretty well lined up. But if

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<v Speaker 4>I then also had asked you, you know, what party

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<v Speaker 4>do you identify with. What you'll see is that the

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<v Speaker 4>Republicans are more optimistic about the economy when there's a

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<v Speaker 4>Republican in power, you know, even when the economy is

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<v Speaker 4>doing sort of poorly, and that Democrats would be less

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<v Speaker 4>optimistic about it, and the reverse would be true if

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<v Speaker 4>a Democrat was in power. So, you know, we don't

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<v Speaker 4>see is the kind of disconnect we're seeing right now

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<v Speaker 4>on average, but we do see that there is somewhat

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<v Speaker 4>of a disconnect. And so some people have argued that

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<v Speaker 4>it's the increase in partisanship that has caused this big disconnect.

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<v Speaker 2>And we are talking with Bloomberg columnist Betsy Stevenson about

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<v Speaker 2>the big disconnect between consumer sentiment and consumer behavior. The

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<v Speaker 2>money illusion, which you mentioned in your column. What is that?

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<v Speaker 2>How does that apply here?

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<v Speaker 4>You know, when you get a raise, everybody wants to

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<v Speaker 4>think that that raise is because of your hard work,

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<v Speaker 4>and so you want your income to go up. You

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<v Speaker 4>want to get that raise, but you don't want the

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<v Speaker 4>prices to go up. Now, sometimes we get a raised

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<v Speaker 4>because of our hard work, but a lot of the

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<v Speaker 4>times we get a raised just because of inflation, and

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<v Speaker 4>inflation is when all prices in the economy are going

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<v Speaker 4>up on average, and that usually includes the prices of workers.

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<v Speaker 4>So that that's one of the reasons why we can

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<v Speaker 4>never reverse inflation. And that's something I think people really hate.

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<v Speaker 4>But if we wanted to take all prices in the economy,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, down twenty percent on average, we'd all have

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<v Speaker 4>to take a twenty percent pay cut to do it,

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<v Speaker 4>as well as as cutting the prices of the things

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<v Speaker 4>we paid for, because it get you know, it's that

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<v Speaker 4>idea that you know, if I walk into a grocery

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<v Speaker 4>store and I hand over one hundred dollars for my groceries,

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<v Speaker 4>well that's one hundred dollars of revenue for the grocery store,

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<v Speaker 4>and the grocery store uses that money to pay its workers.

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<v Speaker 4>So think about a mom and pop store. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>they're they're paying themselves and they're paying for their they're

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<v Speaker 4>paying their suppliers. So if you're paying more, somebody's getting more.

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<v Speaker 4>Is it the supplier, is it the mom and pop?

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<v Speaker 4>What money illusion is the fact that we focus on

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<v Speaker 4>what are called nominal prices, that's the sticker price for

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<v Speaker 4>some things, and we tend to try to think about

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<v Speaker 4>real prices, meaning adjusted for inflation for other things. And

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<v Speaker 4>that means that we can we can be angry about

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<v Speaker 4>the prices while not being angry about what that has

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<v Speaker 4>meant for. Say, are our house prices right? And I

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<v Speaker 4>have yet to hear somebody in this economy say inflation

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<v Speaker 4>is out of control, my stock portfolio is up too much,

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<v Speaker 4>my house price is up too much. It's this ridiculous inflation.

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<v Speaker 4>That stuff needs to come down. My house price better

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<v Speaker 4>fall twenty percent. Right. Nobody's saying that. People who want

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<v Speaker 4>to buy a house who aren't in the market are

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<v Speaker 4>saying that, but not the people who who own a house.

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<v Speaker 4>So we tend to focus on the way inflation harms us,

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<v Speaker 4>and then we try to ignore the way it benefits us.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm wondering how long this disconnect can last, or does

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<v Speaker 2>it matter how long it lasts. Is it something that's sustainable?

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<v Speaker 2>Is it something that folks will eventually grow out of,

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<v Speaker 2>the pendulum will swing.

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<v Speaker 4>Even that's such a good question. I think there's a

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<v Speaker 4>there are two distinct things, which is how long does

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<v Speaker 4>it keep distorting people's behavior? And I think people would eventually,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, get used to too higher prices. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>I think my grandparents probably never stopped complaining about the

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<v Speaker 4>fact that, you know, they used to only have to

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<v Speaker 4>pay five cents for a coke. But I think that

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<v Speaker 4>they probably were buying as you know, they were making

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<v Speaker 4>buying decisions about coke at the in the late you know,

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<v Speaker 4>and at the end of their life, as if they

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<v Speaker 4>didn't have money illusion, But they certainly were still complaining

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<v Speaker 4>about it. So you know that money illusion can affect

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<v Speaker 4>our perception that things have gotten worse, I think, for

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<v Speaker 4>a long time. And it probably depends a lot on

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<v Speaker 4>sort of how old you are when these things happen

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<v Speaker 4>and whether to be To be clear, inflation hurts some

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<v Speaker 4>people while it benefits others. It tends to be very redistributed, redistributative,

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<v Speaker 4>and if we look in our economy over the last

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<v Speaker 4>couple of years, the people who change jobs got huge

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<v Speaker 4>wage increases, So those were some of the people who

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<v Speaker 4>who won, but not everybody wanted to or could change jobs,

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<v Speaker 4>and the people who stayed in their jobs ended up

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<v Speaker 4>really losing out. Their wages didn't keep up with inflation.

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<v Speaker 4>If you look at union members, their wages weren't keeping

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<v Speaker 4>up with inflation. That's why we've seen so many big

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<v Speaker 4>union battles like the UAW. Their wages had eroded really

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<v Speaker 4>substantially due to inflation because they didn't have a cost

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<v Speaker 4>of living adjustment in their contract. So people who are

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<v Speaker 4>hurt by inflation may feel angry about it, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>for the rest of their lives. The question will be

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<v Speaker 4>really around when people sort of adjust to the new

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<v Speaker 4>price level and go about making decisions without giving a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of thought to the fact that prices are higher

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<v Speaker 4>today than they were ten years ago.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you, Betsy. Betsy Stevenson is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist

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<v Speaker 2>and an associate professor of public policy and economics at

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<v Speaker 2>the University of Michigan. Coming up, we look at how

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<v Speaker 2>working from home has shifted from a new path for

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<v Speaker 2>working moms to possibly a dead end. You're listening to

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Opinion.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Opinion podcast. Catch us Saturdays

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<v Speaker 1>at one and seven pm Eastern on Bloomberg dot Com,

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<v Speaker 1>the iHeartRadio app, and the Bloomberg Business app, or listen

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<v Speaker 1>on demand wherever you get your podcasts.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Opinion. I'm Amy Morris, and you

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<v Speaker 2>might have thought that remote work or work from home

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<v Speaker 2>would make things easier for working mothers, but more often

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<v Speaker 2>we're finding more workplaces retreating from remote work options and

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<v Speaker 2>now a push of course to get more people back

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<v Speaker 2>in the office. Let's talk about what this all means

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<v Speaker 2>with Beth coo At, a Bloomberg opinion columnist covering corporate America. Beth,

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<v Speaker 2>are there more flexibilities now for working moms?

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<v Speaker 5>So this is a really interesting question because I think

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<v Speaker 5>we did see during the pandemic a lot of companies

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<v Speaker 5>started to offer more flexibility and remote work for everybody,

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<v Speaker 5>and that was a great, a huge perk, a huge

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<v Speaker 5>boon working moms all of a sudden could kind of

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<v Speaker 5>juggle their lives in a way that was a lot easier.

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<v Speaker 5>But I think the issue here is the way working

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<v Speaker 5>from home is perceived. So the perk might still be there,

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<v Speaker 5>but it's the perception I think that is really the issue.

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<v Speaker 2>The perception being that if you're working from home, you're

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<v Speaker 2>not really working exactly exactly.

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<v Speaker 5>So I think what everybody was working from home, it

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<v Speaker 5>was like, great, this, we can do this, this is fine.

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<v Speaker 5>Every It was kind of kind of leveled the playing field.

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<v Speaker 5>Now that companies have started to call people back to

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<v Speaker 5>the office, people who have sort of continued to take

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<v Speaker 5>advantage of working from home, are you know, outraging called

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<v Speaker 5>lazy by big corporate America CEOs. You know that they're

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<v Speaker 5>not working as hard, that they can't really be leaders.

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<v Speaker 5>So so even though the option for them still might

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<v Speaker 5>be there, it doesn't do them a whole lot of good.

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<v Speaker 5>If this is kind of the stereotype that's continuing to

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<v Speaker 5>be perpetuated, is.

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<v Speaker 2>That the only stereotype that you might be encountering as

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<v Speaker 2>a working mom, specifically obviously working from home. There's that

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<v Speaker 2>stereotype that's always kind of been there. If you're working

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<v Speaker 2>from home or remote working, you're not in the office,

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<v Speaker 2>the manager doesn't have eyes on you, so there's some

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<v Speaker 2>question about your productivity. Is it worse if you are

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<v Speaker 2>a working mother?

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<v Speaker 5>I well, it's sort of a double edged story for

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<v Speaker 5>working moms, which is often the case.

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<v Speaker 6>Right.

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<v Speaker 5>So on the one hand, if you're at the office

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<v Speaker 5>too much, people are like, well, where I wind you

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<v Speaker 5>with your children? Like, I think that is actually a

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<v Speaker 5>question that people ask, and you know, are they good?

0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 6>How can they possibly be a good mom? If they're

0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:40.480
<v Speaker 6>here all the time.

0:13:40.559 --> 0:13:42.880
<v Speaker 5>And then on the flip side is if you're not there,

0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:44.680
<v Speaker 5>if you are trying to juggle and make it work

0:13:44.720 --> 0:13:47.760
<v Speaker 5>and work flexible hours, then the question is are you dedicated?

0:13:47.920 --> 0:13:51.200
<v Speaker 5>You know so, I think it's a really fine line

0:13:51.280 --> 0:13:52.800
<v Speaker 5>for a lot of women.

0:13:53.240 --> 0:13:56.520
<v Speaker 2>Didn't We learn during the pandemic that working from home

0:13:56.800 --> 0:13:59.640
<v Speaker 2>does work. A lot of places were able to transition

0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:00.599
<v Speaker 2>quite seamlessly.

0:14:01.200 --> 0:14:02.200
<v Speaker 6>One would have thought that.

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:05.120
<v Speaker 5>You know, we saw record profits, but a lot of

0:14:05.120 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 5>companies during the pandemic. It seems though, that this really

0:14:08.760 --> 0:14:13.440
<v Speaker 5>was a perk that companies offered in a tight labor market,

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:16.880
<v Speaker 5>right we saw you know, employment, unemployment was record low.

0:14:16.920 --> 0:14:19.520
<v Speaker 5>We just it was such a hot job market. And

0:14:19.600 --> 0:14:21.960
<v Speaker 5>now that things have pulled back a little, it seems

0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:24.480
<v Speaker 5>that this was really not some big structural change, that

0:14:24.560 --> 0:14:27.120
<v Speaker 5>it really was kind of a tool that companies used

0:14:27.160 --> 0:14:30.440
<v Speaker 5>to lure workers, and a lot of them have walked

0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:30.720
<v Speaker 5>it back.

0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:34.480
<v Speaker 2>Is this also a generational thing? As younger workers are

0:14:34.520 --> 0:14:39.680
<v Speaker 2>coming up through the corporate workplace and they become managers,

0:14:40.200 --> 0:14:42.800
<v Speaker 2>will they fall into that trap of believing that people

0:14:42.800 --> 0:14:45.720
<v Speaker 2>who are working from home aren't really or will that

0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:48.200
<v Speaker 2>be where we start to see more working from home

0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:51.800
<v Speaker 2>actually come to fruition and help those working moms.

0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:54.520
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I do think there is a generational shift here, right.

0:14:54.560 --> 0:14:57.280
<v Speaker 5>A lot of the people who are at the top

0:14:57.480 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 5>kind of grew up this way, coming into the office.

0:14:59.680 --> 0:15:02.320
<v Speaker 5>This is how they learned to do their jobs, and

0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 5>it's hard for them to see another way. So I

0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:07.920
<v Speaker 5>do think that a shift in leadership as a next

0:15:07.960 --> 0:15:09.560
<v Speaker 5>generation rises could really help this.

0:15:10.040 --> 0:15:12.680
<v Speaker 6>You know, one thing I didn't notice.

0:15:12.440 --> 0:15:15.520
<v Speaker 5>Is that a lot of women are kind of cutting

0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:18.520
<v Speaker 5>their own paths right rather, they're leaving those jobs. They're

0:15:18.560 --> 0:15:21.080
<v Speaker 5>saying this isn't for me, and they're starting their own companies.

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:24.800
<v Speaker 5>They're they're becoming independent contractors. And you know, in the

0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 5>companies that these women start, maybe there's.

0:15:27.240 --> 0:15:27.960
<v Speaker 6>An answer there too.

0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:30.880
<v Speaker 5>Maybe they will kind of, you know, implement some of

0:15:30.920 --> 0:15:33.920
<v Speaker 5>these policies that we know really do help women.

0:15:34.760 --> 0:15:37.520
<v Speaker 2>And we are talking with Bloomberg Opinion columnist Beth Kelat

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:40.200
<v Speaker 2>about the push to return to the office and what

0:15:40.240 --> 0:15:44.360
<v Speaker 2>that means for working moms. Let's get a historical perspective here, Beth,

0:15:44.440 --> 0:15:46.800
<v Speaker 2>How is this different than it has always been for

0:15:46.880 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 2>working moms?

0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:50.120
<v Speaker 5>So I think, you know, it's always been the juggle, right,

0:15:50.160 --> 0:15:52.960
<v Speaker 5>it's always but there was no flexibility, so you had

0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 5>to you had to be at the office nine to

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:58.800
<v Speaker 5>five and you kind of had to be available for

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:00.640
<v Speaker 5>twenty four to seven. And this is I should be clear,

0:16:00.680 --> 0:16:03.360
<v Speaker 5>this isn't for women really climbing the corporate ladder, right,

0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:08.240
<v Speaker 5>And a lot of women then chose, you know, either

0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:10.440
<v Speaker 5>you opted out, it was too hard, you couldn't make

0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 5>it work, or you know, you just kind of slugged

0:16:15.400 --> 0:16:16.760
<v Speaker 5>it out you thought through it.

0:16:16.800 --> 0:16:20.400
<v Speaker 6>And I think, you know, we know, even even in.

0:16:20.360 --> 0:16:24.800
<v Speaker 5>Households where both both you know, husband and wife are

0:16:25.000 --> 0:16:29.600
<v Speaker 5>really but you know, partners are both working and in

0:16:29.720 --> 0:16:33.680
<v Speaker 5>really competitive fields, very demanding fields, it's still women who

0:16:33.800 --> 0:16:36.880
<v Speaker 5>end up doing more of the household work.

0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:40.040
<v Speaker 6>So I think that hasn't changed.

0:16:40.080 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 5>We've seen that men have definitely taken on more household work,

0:16:42.440 --> 0:16:46.200
<v Speaker 5>but still women are doing more the majority of it or.

0:16:46.200 --> 0:16:46.640
<v Speaker 6>More of it.

0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:51.160
<v Speaker 5>So you know, I think here we people thought working

0:16:51.160 --> 0:16:55.400
<v Speaker 5>from home maybe could be a solution, and it really

0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:58.240
<v Speaker 5>has helped. Like we we know, this research shows us

0:16:58.280 --> 0:17:01.440
<v Speaker 5>that when women can choose how and when they do

0:17:01.480 --> 0:17:05.560
<v Speaker 5>their jobs, that is a huge tool in closing the

0:17:05.880 --> 0:17:06.440
<v Speaker 5>gender cap.

0:17:07.280 --> 0:17:11.040
<v Speaker 2>When companies are able to accommodate working moms. How does

0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:12.240
<v Speaker 2>that help them?

0:17:12.680 --> 0:17:15.280
<v Speaker 5>Well, First of all, turnover is a huge issue. Right,

0:17:15.359 --> 0:17:18.480
<v Speaker 5>If you can retain your employees, that's a big deal,

0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:22.639
<v Speaker 5>and I think it it also. I mean, just because

0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:25.040
<v Speaker 5>someone who's working from home doesn't mean they aren't as

0:17:25.080 --> 0:17:28.720
<v Speaker 5>dedicated and or working as hard as anybody else. So,

0:17:29.119 --> 0:17:32.240
<v Speaker 5>you know, I do think being able to keep these

0:17:32.320 --> 0:17:38.320
<v Speaker 5>incredibly hard working women in the workforce is.

0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:39.960
<v Speaker 6>A boon for everybody.

0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:42.640
<v Speaker 5>And figuring out a way to do it that works

0:17:42.680 --> 0:17:45.200
<v Speaker 5>for them, I think that also does go a long

0:17:45.240 --> 0:17:48.439
<v Speaker 5>way in terms of retaining employees. Right, It creates a

0:17:48.480 --> 0:17:50.520
<v Speaker 5>lot of loyalty if you can be flexible.

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:53.200
<v Speaker 2>What are some of the other responses that you have

0:17:53.320 --> 0:17:56.320
<v Speaker 2>seen from working moms? How are they handling this? How

0:17:56.320 --> 0:17:57.080
<v Speaker 2>do they manage?

0:17:57.400 --> 0:17:57.640
<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

0:17:57.640 --> 0:17:59.200
<v Speaker 5>So I do think this is this is a big

0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:02.080
<v Speaker 5>thing where before I think a lot of women might

0:18:02.119 --> 0:18:06.080
<v Speaker 5>opt out, Right, we did see that. I think that's

0:18:06.119 --> 0:18:09.720
<v Speaker 5>not really what's happening. Rather than be opting out or

0:18:10.240 --> 0:18:13.440
<v Speaker 5>giving up or being mommy tracked or whatever you want

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:17.000
<v Speaker 5>to call it, I do think that they're sort of saying, okay, fine,

0:18:17.080 --> 0:18:19.879
<v Speaker 5>if this, if you're not willing to redefine what the

0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:21.959
<v Speaker 5>ideal worker looks like. Then I'm going to make up

0:18:21.960 --> 0:18:25.879
<v Speaker 5>my own rules that fall outside the bounds of corporate America.

0:18:26.040 --> 0:18:29.920
<v Speaker 6>So they are starting their own companies, they're becoming independent contractors.

0:18:31.280 --> 0:18:34.600
<v Speaker 5>We've seen women who are become very senior say I

0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:36.439
<v Speaker 5>don't want the time jump, right, this isn't for me.

0:18:37.320 --> 0:18:40.920
<v Speaker 5>And I think, again, that's not necessarily a bad thing.

0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:42.920
<v Speaker 5>They're going to go on and start their own companies

0:18:44.160 --> 0:18:47.520
<v Speaker 5>and that's going to let them make up the rules

0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:48.760
<v Speaker 5>that really work for them.

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:52.040
<v Speaker 2>Do you find more women are also disappointed because they

0:18:52.119 --> 0:18:54.640
<v Speaker 2>thought that this was going to be a path forward

0:18:54.680 --> 0:18:58.479
<v Speaker 2>so they can balance their careers and their families, and

0:18:58.520 --> 0:19:00.400
<v Speaker 2>now it looks like it's just being taken in a way.

0:19:00.480 --> 0:19:03.200
<v Speaker 2>It's very hard to give a benefit or to provide

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:05.360
<v Speaker 2>a flexibility and then remove it.

0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:07.800
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, and I would say this is not just for

0:19:08.560 --> 0:19:09.280
<v Speaker 6>working moms either.

0:19:09.320 --> 0:19:11.280
<v Speaker 5>I think a lot of people feel like they were

0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:14.199
<v Speaker 5>I don't know that the companies have really kind of

0:19:14.960 --> 0:19:16.879
<v Speaker 5>turn the tables on them in the sense that this

0:19:17.080 --> 0:19:20.520
<v Speaker 5>was something that they were being told worked and kind

0:19:20.520 --> 0:19:22.640
<v Speaker 5>of plan their lives around it, and then it was

0:19:22.760 --> 0:19:25.879
<v Speaker 5>something that was withdrawn. So I don't think that's actually

0:19:26.000 --> 0:19:29.879
<v Speaker 5>just for working parents. I think that's a huge issue

0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:32.760
<v Speaker 5>for everybody that they kind of got used to working.

0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:35.040
<v Speaker 6>This way, they did it well, and now.

0:19:36.280 --> 0:19:39.679
<v Speaker 5>I think there is some some resentment that this is

0:19:39.680 --> 0:19:41.919
<v Speaker 5>something that's no longer an option for them.

0:19:42.280 --> 0:19:44.040
<v Speaker 2>Any chance it's going to come back. I know you

0:19:44.040 --> 0:19:45.320
<v Speaker 2>don't have a crystal ball, but.

0:19:47.040 --> 0:19:49.639
<v Speaker 5>I do think to your point, I do think there

0:19:49.680 --> 0:19:52.600
<v Speaker 5>will be a generational shift at some point. No, and again,

0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:54.760
<v Speaker 5>I don't think this is like never in the office, right.

0:19:54.760 --> 0:19:56.840
<v Speaker 5>I think this is in the office when it makes sense,

0:19:57.440 --> 0:19:58.520
<v Speaker 5>not just to tick a box.

0:19:58.600 --> 0:19:58.800
<v Speaker 7>Right.

0:19:58.880 --> 0:20:04.400
<v Speaker 5>So I think there there's nuance here, and I'm hopeful

0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:08.080
<v Speaker 5>that as we see a new generation to take over

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:12.119
<v Speaker 5>these roles, these top roles in corporate America, maybe they

0:20:12.119 --> 0:20:12.800
<v Speaker 5>can figure it out.

0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:16.800
<v Speaker 2>Bethco It is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering corporate America

0:20:16.840 --> 0:20:20.800
<v Speaker 2>and coming up how one senator's block on military promotions

0:20:21.080 --> 0:20:23.800
<v Speaker 2>may put a stain on the entire Senate. Don't forget

0:20:23.840 --> 0:20:26.719
<v Speaker 2>We're available as a podcast on Apple, Spotify or your

0:20:26.760 --> 0:20:44.320
<v Speaker 2>favorite podcast platform. This is Bloomberg Opinion. This is Bloomberg Opinion.

0:20:44.520 --> 0:20:48.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm Abe Morris Republican Senator Tommy Tubberville has a block

0:20:48.640 --> 0:20:52.320
<v Speaker 2>on military promotions for eight months, in counting a protest

0:20:52.400 --> 0:20:55.560
<v Speaker 2>move on his part, pushing back against the Pentagon's policy

0:20:55.760 --> 0:20:59.800
<v Speaker 2>of paying travel expenses for military members seeking abortions. Even

0:20:59.840 --> 0:21:02.640
<v Speaker 2>as members of his own party are criticizing him for this,

0:21:03.080 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 2>Senator Tubberville says he won't budge.

0:21:05.560 --> 0:21:08.760
<v Speaker 8>I'm still dug in, you know, I'm you know, I

0:21:08.880 --> 0:21:14.359
<v Speaker 8>ran on as a pro life candidate. My state's pro life.

0:21:14.520 --> 0:21:17.439
<v Speaker 2>But while responsibility for this falls on the senator and

0:21:17.600 --> 0:21:21.040
<v Speaker 2>other Republicans, what about Democrats. Let's bring in Bloomberg opinion

0:21:21.080 --> 0:21:25.800
<v Speaker 2>columnist Jonathan Bernstein, who covers politics, and Jonathan as always

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:28.199
<v Speaker 2>thank you for your time. What does this do to

0:21:28.240 --> 0:21:28.800
<v Speaker 2>the Senate?

0:21:30.200 --> 0:21:32.640
<v Speaker 8>Well, you know the problem with the Senate is that

0:21:32.720 --> 0:21:38.879
<v Speaker 8>it has run for years on informal norms and procedures.

0:21:39.920 --> 0:21:44.359
<v Speaker 8>There are rules, but the rules depend on senators sort

0:21:44.359 --> 0:21:47.600
<v Speaker 8>of agreeing to do certain things that they don't have

0:21:47.640 --> 0:21:49.880
<v Speaker 8>to do. And what's happened is that that's falling apart

0:21:49.920 --> 0:21:53.200
<v Speaker 8>over the years. And so that you know the way

0:21:53.240 --> 0:21:57.680
<v Speaker 8>that military promotions generally are done is that they come

0:21:57.720 --> 0:22:03.040
<v Speaker 8>to this Senate has to confirm them for a general

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:05.440
<v Speaker 8>to become a you know, one star general to become

0:22:05.480 --> 0:22:08.520
<v Speaker 8>a two star general. And what happens is they all

0:22:08.560 --> 0:22:12.840
<v Speaker 8>come over from the President and the Senate processes them

0:22:12.840 --> 0:22:15.680
<v Speaker 8>through committee, and then one day the Majority leader says,

0:22:15.840 --> 0:22:17.919
<v Speaker 8>or the chair of the committee says, you know, I

0:22:17.960 --> 0:22:25.680
<v Speaker 8>want sent to confirm the following eight items. And they

0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:29.639
<v Speaker 8>do twenty forty sixty of them at a time. It

0:22:29.680 --> 0:22:34.320
<v Speaker 8>takes two seconds. They're done. But if somebody objects and

0:22:34.720 --> 0:22:37.880
<v Speaker 8>forces them to do each one individually, they each take

0:22:38.080 --> 0:22:40.760
<v Speaker 8>hours of Senate floor a time. And there's no rule

0:22:40.800 --> 0:22:43.520
<v Speaker 8>that says you can't do it. It's within the Senate rules

0:22:43.520 --> 0:22:46.480
<v Speaker 8>to do what Taburvill is saying. But the Senate basically

0:22:46.520 --> 0:22:51.440
<v Speaker 8>can't work if everybody does it, you know, takes full

0:22:51.480 --> 0:22:53.919
<v Speaker 8>advantage of what they can do under the Senate rules.

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:58.359
<v Speaker 8>And because of that, it means that the Senate doesn't

0:22:58.440 --> 0:23:01.880
<v Speaker 8>work the way that should for each individual senator.

0:23:03.480 --> 0:23:07.959
<v Speaker 2>Do appearances matter in a situation like this? Would this

0:23:08.040 --> 0:23:11.399
<v Speaker 2>move the needle on election day? Does it send a

0:23:11.400 --> 0:23:16.000
<v Speaker 2>message to foreign countries? How do appearances play out here?

0:23:17.280 --> 0:23:19.560
<v Speaker 8>You know, I doubt if it makes much of a

0:23:19.600 --> 0:23:22.480
<v Speaker 8>difference for elections it does. You know, The thing is

0:23:23.400 --> 0:23:28.080
<v Speaker 8>it may not actually affect voters. However, politicians are paranoid.

0:23:28.160 --> 0:23:30.320
<v Speaker 8>The only question is what are they paranoid about? And

0:23:31.040 --> 0:23:34.160
<v Speaker 8>no politician likes to be in a situation where they're

0:23:34.200 --> 0:23:38.320
<v Speaker 8>not supporting the troops. So, you know what, it actually

0:23:38.400 --> 0:23:43.760
<v Speaker 8>cause somebody to vote against a Republican senator against a

0:23:43.800 --> 0:23:48.800
<v Speaker 8>senator because this is probably not would a senator feel

0:23:48.840 --> 0:23:52.959
<v Speaker 8>that they were in danger? Very possibly? Yes, So in

0:23:53.000 --> 0:23:58.199
<v Speaker 8>that sense it certainly could matter. I don't know. In

0:23:58.320 --> 0:24:02.920
<v Speaker 8>terms of foreign affairs, I would say that, you know,

0:24:02.920 --> 0:24:08.200
<v Speaker 8>the United States has enough trouble with convincing our allies

0:24:08.240 --> 0:24:13.919
<v Speaker 8>that were a serious country after four years of Trump

0:24:13.960 --> 0:24:16.439
<v Speaker 8>before this, and the possibility of Trump coming back that

0:24:16.600 --> 0:24:19.480
<v Speaker 8>anything that sort of adds to hey, wait, we can't

0:24:20.440 --> 0:24:24.520
<v Speaker 8>pass our appropriations bills, we are threatening a government default.

0:24:24.720 --> 0:24:29.160
<v Speaker 8>We can't promote military officers certainly can't help.

0:24:30.400 --> 0:24:32.720
<v Speaker 2>There are also those who say that this doesn't matter

0:24:32.760 --> 0:24:36.240
<v Speaker 2>at all. Military convention just fine without all of these promotions.

0:24:37.200 --> 0:24:40.840
<v Speaker 2>Your point is the bigger picture of how the Senate operates.

0:24:42.200 --> 0:24:46.879
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, you know, the Senate is not a simple majority

0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:51.959
<v Speaker 8>party rules institution. The way that the House is Senate

0:24:52.520 --> 0:24:57.280
<v Speaker 8>has evolved to protect individual senators. They call them the

0:24:57.359 --> 0:25:02.320
<v Speaker 8>rights of individual Senators, but that that it protects individual

0:25:02.359 --> 0:25:05.080
<v Speaker 8>states interests as well or the interests of people who

0:25:05.160 --> 0:25:08.280
<v Speaker 8>live in particular states, so that you know, if something's

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:12.040
<v Speaker 8>it's a huge country, right, it's three hundred and thirty

0:25:12.160 --> 0:25:17.240
<v Speaker 8>some million people, and it's hard to represent the small

0:25:17.359 --> 0:25:20.440
<v Speaker 8>interests within that. And one of the advantages of the

0:25:20.480 --> 0:25:24.960
<v Speaker 8>Senate and having individual senators have so much influence is

0:25:25.000 --> 0:25:28.000
<v Speaker 8>that they can, you know, if the Department of Transportation

0:25:28.480 --> 0:25:32.440
<v Speaker 8>passes a rule, or if there's some the majority party

0:25:32.520 --> 0:25:35.440
<v Speaker 8>has a piece of legislation that would have an adverse

0:25:35.480 --> 0:25:38.720
<v Speaker 8>effect on maybe something that happens in a corner of

0:25:38.800 --> 0:25:42.080
<v Speaker 8>Arkansas or a corner of Alasco or a corner of Montana.

0:25:42.720 --> 0:25:47.440
<v Speaker 8>Their senators can stand up and say, I object, let's

0:25:47.480 --> 0:25:51.520
<v Speaker 8>work it out. And something that they have sort of

0:25:51.640 --> 0:25:54.879
<v Speaker 8>that their constituents have an intense interest in, they have

0:25:54.960 --> 0:25:58.320
<v Speaker 8>a champion there who has the ability to stop everything

0:25:58.359 --> 0:26:02.320
<v Speaker 8>and say, let's take into account the weird effect that

0:26:02.440 --> 0:26:05.399
<v Speaker 8>this good rule overall is going to have on my state.

0:26:06.320 --> 0:26:09.439
<v Speaker 8>And there's a lot of advantage to that. It's not

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:12.760
<v Speaker 8>worth you know, the malaportionment in the Senate, but there's

0:26:12.800 --> 0:26:15.080
<v Speaker 8>still a good advantage of that. You can't do that

0:26:15.119 --> 0:26:17.400
<v Speaker 8>in the House. If one member of the House, because

0:26:17.400 --> 0:26:20.919
<v Speaker 8>it's a four hundred and thirty five member body, objects,

0:26:21.400 --> 0:26:23.560
<v Speaker 8>they can't. There's nothing in the rules to allow them

0:26:23.600 --> 0:26:29.560
<v Speaker 8>to do that. If senators use that power to shut

0:26:29.600 --> 0:26:32.320
<v Speaker 8>down something that they have no chance of bargaining for.

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:36.480
<v Speaker 8>Tuberville's trying to get an abortion rule changed that he's

0:26:36.480 --> 0:26:38.800
<v Speaker 8>in the minority on, and it's not a minority because

0:26:39.240 --> 0:26:42.199
<v Speaker 8>he has something in particular people in Alabama. You know

0:26:42.280 --> 0:26:45.520
<v Speaker 8>this effects Alabama particularly. This is something that's a national debate,

0:26:46.680 --> 0:26:49.960
<v Speaker 8>and you know, the majority of the Senate supports the policy,

0:26:50.400 --> 0:26:53.800
<v Speaker 8>the president elected by the whole country supports the policy.

0:26:54.119 --> 0:26:56.639
<v Speaker 8>And Tabarilla says, no, I'm going to use my power,

0:26:56.680 --> 0:27:01.040
<v Speaker 8>which is really there. The justification for the power is

0:27:01.080 --> 0:27:03.840
<v Speaker 8>to do something to protect particular interests. I'm going to

0:27:03.920 --> 0:27:07.159
<v Speaker 8>use it so the minority will rule over majority, and

0:27:08.359 --> 0:27:11.880
<v Speaker 8>it can't work that way. So if they insist on this,

0:27:12.200 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 8>then the next step is for the majority of the

0:27:14.280 --> 0:27:16.000
<v Speaker 8>center say well, we're going to change the rules, We're

0:27:16.000 --> 0:27:17.720
<v Speaker 8>going to change procedures. We're not going to allow this

0:27:17.800 --> 0:27:20.640
<v Speaker 8>to happen, which would take away the ability of senators

0:27:20.640 --> 0:27:24.440
<v Speaker 8>to use this for a positive what I think a

0:27:24.520 --> 0:27:26.679
<v Speaker 8>lot of people would say would be a positive center.

0:27:27.680 --> 0:27:30.640
<v Speaker 2>And we are talking with Bloomberg opinion columnist Jonathan Bernstein

0:27:30.680 --> 0:27:33.840
<v Speaker 2>about the risky nature of Senator Tommy Tubberville's hold on

0:27:33.920 --> 0:27:37.359
<v Speaker 2>military promotions and its impact on how the Senate operates.

0:27:37.840 --> 0:27:40.720
<v Speaker 2>And you were just explaining about the domino effect that

0:27:40.800 --> 0:27:45.200
<v Speaker 2>this has as they try to move forward on other issues,

0:27:45.520 --> 0:27:48.639
<v Speaker 2>It tangles everything up. Why can't Republicans just do something

0:27:48.640 --> 0:27:50.280
<v Speaker 2>about this one issue.

0:27:50.600 --> 0:27:53.560
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, the problem is that and Tuberville is the one

0:27:53.600 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 8>who's done this, He has a couple allies might leave Utah.

0:27:56.480 --> 0:27:58.720
<v Speaker 8>But for the most part, most Republicans think this is

0:27:58.720 --> 0:28:01.879
<v Speaker 8>a bad idea. Is that while he's doing it with

0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:06.040
<v Speaker 8>military promotions, the rest of the party is doing the

0:28:06.080 --> 0:28:10.000
<v Speaker 8>exact same thing on everything else other than military promotions.

0:28:10.040 --> 0:28:15.440
<v Speaker 8>Because there are hundreds of executive branch nominations and quite

0:28:15.520 --> 0:28:21.399
<v Speaker 8>a lot of judicial nominations which also go through pretty quickly,

0:28:21.520 --> 0:28:29.639
<v Speaker 8>usually district court nominations, judges, non cabinet, non controversial executive branch,

0:28:30.520 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 8>though those also go through usually by unions consent or

0:28:33.480 --> 0:28:37.239
<v Speaker 8>on a voice vote very quickly, no problem. But the

0:28:37.240 --> 0:28:40.760
<v Speaker 8>Republican Party is holding them up and forcing the Senate

0:28:40.800 --> 0:28:43.720
<v Speaker 8>to spend a lot of time on each one. Not

0:28:43.840 --> 0:28:46.600
<v Speaker 8>because they object to the particular nominations, although they do

0:28:46.640 --> 0:28:49.560
<v Speaker 8>in some cases, which in my view is fine they

0:28:49.600 --> 0:28:53.160
<v Speaker 8>should oppose those things, but on a lot of things

0:28:53.160 --> 0:28:57.400
<v Speaker 8>which eventually go through by one hundred to zero vote

0:28:57.480 --> 0:29:00.360
<v Speaker 8>or ninety to ten vote, they're forcing the Senate take

0:29:00.440 --> 0:29:03.000
<v Speaker 8>a lot of time for each one, basically just to

0:29:03.040 --> 0:29:07.360
<v Speaker 8>throw a wrench into how the government operates. And the

0:29:07.480 --> 0:29:11.400
<v Speaker 8>problem for Republicans is if they accept the principle that

0:29:11.720 --> 0:29:18.719
<v Speaker 8>people shouldn't do these blanket filibusters, then there's they perceive

0:29:18.800 --> 0:29:21.280
<v Speaker 8>a slippery slope to the Democrats then saying well, okay,

0:29:21.400 --> 0:29:25.520
<v Speaker 8>we're going to change procedures to get the military nomination

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:28.640
<v Speaker 8>promotion through. Let's change the procedures to get all of

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:32.960
<v Speaker 8>our judges through and the executive branch things through quickly

0:29:33.160 --> 0:29:36.200
<v Speaker 8>without using a lot of and that when Republicans lose

0:29:36.360 --> 0:29:40.280
<v Speaker 8>that way of using the rules, which they shouldn't be

0:29:40.320 --> 0:29:42.240
<v Speaker 8>doing in the first place in my field, so you know,

0:29:42.360 --> 0:29:45.800
<v Speaker 8>fifty six fifty seven, fifty eight senators from a party

0:29:45.800 --> 0:29:47.720
<v Speaker 8>that also has the presidency and majority of the House.

0:29:48.040 --> 0:29:49.720
<v Speaker 8>We're going to get rid of the filbuster and it's

0:29:49.720 --> 0:29:53.360
<v Speaker 8>going to wind up looking governing about the way the

0:29:53.360 --> 0:29:54.800
<v Speaker 8>House does. And you know, if you look over at

0:29:54.840 --> 0:29:58.120
<v Speaker 8>the House these days, that's not exactly a promising idea.

0:29:58.600 --> 0:30:00.440
<v Speaker 2>All right, Jonathan, we're going to leave it. Thank you

0:30:00.480 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 2>for your time. You're listening to Bloomberg Opinion. I'm Amy Morris.

0:30:04.240 --> 0:30:08.160
<v Speaker 2>In the decade before the pandemic, the before times, the

0:30:08.200 --> 0:30:10.720
<v Speaker 2>amount of office space per worker in the US was

0:30:10.800 --> 0:30:14.560
<v Speaker 2>already shrinking steadily. So fast forward to today, twenty twenty three,

0:30:14.600 --> 0:30:17.760
<v Speaker 2>offices are still standing empty all across the country, and

0:30:17.840 --> 0:30:21.080
<v Speaker 2>it looks like office space may actually still be shrinking.

0:30:21.400 --> 0:30:25.120
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Opinion columnist Justin Fox covers business and economics, and

0:30:25.160 --> 0:30:27.239
<v Speaker 2>he joins us now to explain what is going on,

0:30:27.920 --> 0:30:31.200
<v Speaker 2>what is driving the shrinking office space at least before

0:30:31.240 --> 0:30:33.520
<v Speaker 2>the pandemic and then after two different things.

0:30:33.760 --> 0:30:36.160
<v Speaker 7>Before the pandemic, a lot of it was just this

0:30:36.240 --> 0:30:38.880
<v Speaker 7>sort of mismatch between where the job growth was and

0:30:38.920 --> 0:30:41.840
<v Speaker 7>where the office space was. Now, though some of those

0:30:41.840 --> 0:30:45.160
<v Speaker 7>same places, like the San Francisco area, have a ton

0:30:45.240 --> 0:30:47.520
<v Speaker 7>of empty office space in New York as a fair

0:30:47.520 --> 0:30:50.720
<v Speaker 7>amount too. And yet, you know, it's a little hard

0:30:50.720 --> 0:30:53.080
<v Speaker 7>to tell because most of the measures we have of

0:30:53.080 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 7>office space per worker just based on sort of macro

0:30:56.320 --> 0:30:59.040
<v Speaker 7>measures of how many people work in the sectors that

0:30:59.080 --> 0:31:01.800
<v Speaker 7>are kind of the office, and when you compare that

0:31:01.920 --> 0:31:04.000
<v Speaker 7>to how many of those people are working from home

0:31:04.040 --> 0:31:06.560
<v Speaker 7>most of the time, it may be that you know,

0:31:06.800 --> 0:31:10.360
<v Speaker 7>per hour that you're in the office, there's more space,

0:31:10.440 --> 0:31:13.920
<v Speaker 7>but it also means, like on Wednesday, everybody's even more

0:31:13.960 --> 0:31:17.240
<v Speaker 7>crammed together than ever. So it's this fascinating phenomenon that

0:31:17.360 --> 0:31:21.480
<v Speaker 7>there's a bunch of empty space available out there and

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:24.600
<v Speaker 7>lots of companies saying, oh, we want to lure people

0:31:24.640 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 7>back into the office, But there doesn't seem to be

0:31:27.520 --> 0:31:29.680
<v Speaker 7>much interest so far, at least in trying to lure

0:31:29.720 --> 0:31:32.760
<v Speaker 7>people back into the office by saying, welcome to this

0:31:32.920 --> 0:31:35.320
<v Speaker 7>luxurious new space where you have an office where you

0:31:35.360 --> 0:31:36.880
<v Speaker 7>can close the door or whatever.

0:31:37.480 --> 0:31:40.440
<v Speaker 2>And so, even though employers want more workers in the

0:31:40.480 --> 0:31:44.800
<v Speaker 2>office in this post pandemic era, the square footage space

0:31:44.880 --> 0:31:46.280
<v Speaker 2>is going to wind up being smaller.

0:31:46.320 --> 0:31:48.240
<v Speaker 7>It's a little hard to measure, but yes, that seems

0:31:48.240 --> 0:31:50.400
<v Speaker 7>to be the trend. Like I got this chart that's

0:31:50.400 --> 0:31:53.360
<v Speaker 7>in my article from Costar and talking to guy at Costar,

0:31:53.760 --> 0:31:56.640
<v Speaker 7>you know, basically saying that all new leases that are

0:31:56.640 --> 0:32:00.480
<v Speaker 7>being brought in, companies are taking about twenty percent space

0:32:00.520 --> 0:32:02.920
<v Speaker 7>than they had before. And again in some cases there

0:32:02.920 --> 0:32:05.480
<v Speaker 7>are twenty percent fewer workers coming in. But at the

0:32:05.480 --> 0:32:08.000
<v Speaker 7>same time there if these companies are trying to push

0:32:08.200 --> 0:32:11.120
<v Speaker 7>more people to come in, it's interesting that they're taking

0:32:11.320 --> 0:32:13.600
<v Speaker 7>smaller space. I mean, one of the things that's happening

0:32:13.760 --> 0:32:16.840
<v Speaker 7>is there's this belief that wow, if we have really

0:32:17.000 --> 0:32:21.520
<v Speaker 7>snazzy office space in the newest, shiniest building, that more

0:32:21.560 --> 0:32:23.920
<v Speaker 7>people will come in. It's not that they're paying a

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:26.360
<v Speaker 7>lot less money for their office space. It's this sort

0:32:26.360 --> 0:32:28.640
<v Speaker 7>of weird thing going on in the market right now

0:32:28.680 --> 0:32:31.120
<v Speaker 7>where companies are paying top dollar to be in a

0:32:31.360 --> 0:32:35.480
<v Speaker 7>certain buildings, especially here in Midtown Manhattan, and then just

0:32:35.520 --> 0:32:39.480
<v Speaker 7>totally ignoring others. And I think that's it's just calculation.

0:32:39.560 --> 0:32:41.840
<v Speaker 7>They're like, well, maybe if we're in the nicest building,

0:32:41.880 --> 0:32:45.440
<v Speaker 7>that'll be good and it'll impress our customers and whatever else.

0:32:45.760 --> 0:32:47.360
<v Speaker 2>I like, how you put it, it's a weird thing

0:32:47.440 --> 0:32:50.520
<v Speaker 2>going on in the market right now, and there is

0:32:50.600 --> 0:32:52.880
<v Speaker 2>this trend that it's going to continue at least for

0:32:52.920 --> 0:32:55.400
<v Speaker 2>a while. I'm just wondering if this is how it's

0:32:55.400 --> 0:32:55.840
<v Speaker 2>going to be.

0:32:56.360 --> 0:32:59.520
<v Speaker 7>I talked to somebody from Leaseman, which is a company

0:32:59.520 --> 0:33:02.920
<v Speaker 7>that basically just surveys workers, ask them a whole bunch

0:33:03.000 --> 0:33:06.080
<v Speaker 7>of questions about their work experience and how they get

0:33:06.120 --> 0:33:10.160
<v Speaker 7>things done, and then calculates a couple of indexes based

0:33:10.160 --> 0:33:13.360
<v Speaker 7>on that. And then companies, you know, workplaces that have

0:33:13.440 --> 0:33:15.880
<v Speaker 7>high indexes can put a sticker on the door basically

0:33:15.920 --> 0:33:19.360
<v Speaker 7>and say we're a leastman plus workplace. And they I

0:33:19.400 --> 0:33:21.360
<v Speaker 7>had seen that they had done stuff in the past,

0:33:21.880 --> 0:33:26.080
<v Speaker 7>you know, because everybody complains about open plan offices, and

0:33:26.120 --> 0:33:28.959
<v Speaker 7>they just found if you looked at their ratings and

0:33:29.000 --> 0:33:32.480
<v Speaker 7>whether it's open plan or private offices, there's just no

0:33:32.560 --> 0:33:35.600
<v Speaker 7>correlation at all. It's like some people really like their

0:33:35.640 --> 0:33:39.000
<v Speaker 7>experiences in open plan, some people really hate their experiences

0:33:39.040 --> 0:33:41.000
<v Speaker 7>in mostly private offices. And it's the same way with

0:33:41.080 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 7>office space. It seems there's just no pattern at all

0:33:45.320 --> 0:33:48.840
<v Speaker 7>in how much office space you get versus how happy

0:33:48.880 --> 0:33:51.480
<v Speaker 7>you are with work and how productive you are. And

0:33:51.640 --> 0:33:53.160
<v Speaker 7>you know, and there are other there been, you know,

0:33:53.240 --> 0:33:56.680
<v Speaker 7>experiments done about whether being too crammed together makes it

0:33:56.800 --> 0:33:59.600
<v Speaker 7>harder to concentrate, and so there's some evidence that it

0:33:59.600 --> 0:34:02.280
<v Speaker 7>can get problematic. But I think for the perspective of

0:34:02.360 --> 0:34:04.480
<v Speaker 7>companies who are trying to figure out, oh, what's the

0:34:04.480 --> 0:34:08.120
<v Speaker 7>best situation, there's not any really clear signal telling them

0:34:08.360 --> 0:34:11.040
<v Speaker 7>to stop shrinking office space. And I think there are

0:34:11.040 --> 0:34:14.200
<v Speaker 7>other Like in Asia particularly, people already make do with

0:34:14.320 --> 0:34:17.359
<v Speaker 7>left space per worker than we're accustomed to in most

0:34:17.360 --> 0:34:17.960
<v Speaker 7>of the US.

0:34:18.239 --> 0:34:21.120
<v Speaker 2>Justin Box is a Bloomberg opinion columnist who covers business

0:34:21.120 --> 0:34:23.800
<v Speaker 2>and economics, and that does it for this week's Bloomberg Opinion.

0:34:23.960 --> 0:34:26.279
<v Speaker 2>We're produced by Eric Mullow, and you can find all

0:34:26.320 --> 0:34:29.200
<v Speaker 2>of these columns on the Bloomberg Terminal. We're available as

0:34:29.200 --> 0:34:33.040
<v Speaker 2>a podcast on Apple, Spotify or your favorite podcast platform.

0:34:33.320 --> 0:34:36.440
<v Speaker 2>Stay with us. Today's top stories and global business headlines

0:34:36.480 --> 0:34:39.520
<v Speaker 2>are just ahead. I'm Amy Morris, and this is Bloomberg