1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:16,599 Speaker 2: Single best Idea. What an eventful Friday. We've got a 3 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: lovely surprise for you on the back of our two 4 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 2: conversations this morning. Let's get right to it next week. 5 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 2: Tech Earning's into the end of the month. I think 6 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 2: twenty nine Microsoft, thirty Apple in video the end of February, 7 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:33,279 Speaker 2: and there's really only one voice you want to listen to, 8 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 2: who when everything's said and done, quarter after quarter has 9 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 2: been dead. On yesterday or the day before, Daniel Ives 10 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 2: of Webbush put out a blistering tweet saying the gloom 11 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:50,879 Speaker 2: crew on Apple has it wrong. Here's Dan Eyes of 12 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 2: Webbush on the Apple decline. 13 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 3: Oh, I think it's a table bounder because it's my view. 14 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 3: You talk about Apple being light in the quarter, but 15 00:01:00,560 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 3: they're going to announce an Apple Intelligence partner in the 16 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 3: next few months, and then you ultimately are gonna have 17 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 3: twenty five percent of the world population when they access AI, 18 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 3: it's going to go through an Apple device. 19 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:15,399 Speaker 4: So my view is just it's one that's how so 20 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 4: many have missed the last two and a half trillion, 21 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 4: and mark App and Apple they focus and the Bears 22 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,240 Speaker 4: coming out they own the narrative. They scare white knuckles 23 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 4: and then Cook and Cooper Tino come through and you're like, 24 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 4: and that look and that that continues to be the 25 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 4: mantra here. This is a name you own. You don't 26 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 4: sell Apple, you. 27 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 2: Own it, Dan and I have Sarah. Of course, what 28 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 2: we do in surveillances give you different opinions. Craig Moffatt, 29 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:43,559 Speaker 2: Maffitt Nathanson on about a week ago, not so much 30 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 2: negative on Apple, just saying the lift will be delayed 31 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 2: or extended out with a much more cautious view of 32 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 2: that from Greg Moffatt. And there Dan ives. Every week 33 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 2: there's always a research piece that comes out of the screen. 34 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 2: It just lets you know PDFs in the old days 35 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 2: we all got in printed. Forget about that. The PDF 36 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 2: comes right out of the computer screen. That happened with 37 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: Deutsche Bank and there George Sarahvellos in London, he wrote 38 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 2: a brilliant University of Cambridge economics piece and tariffs George 39 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 2: Saravellos of Deutsche Bank and the Trump tariffs to come. 40 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 5: What matters to me is what impacts the market, and 41 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:27,920 Speaker 5: if you look at the price action this week in 42 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 5: the market, what was interesting and in something we had 43 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:33,640 Speaker 5: warned about the previous week, the market was expecting an 44 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 5: immediate tariff announcement. 45 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 6: You could see it. 46 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 5: In the risk premium that was priced in to the 47 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 5: volatility space. 48 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 7: You could see the inflation break evens. 49 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 6: And therefore, when tariffs were not announced on the first 50 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 6: day of President Trump's new administration, you have seen the 51 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:53,360 Speaker 6: market squeeze in terms of the doll loongs. 52 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:58,079 Speaker 7: Now we're entering next week with almost the opposite dynamic. 53 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 7: The market has completely taken out the risk premium of 54 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 7: potentially media tariffs, especially in regard to Canada, and that would. 55 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 3: Be a big shock. 56 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:09,079 Speaker 2: Georg Serravelle is there on the back and forth the 57 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 2: whiplash of this tariff debate. Of course we'll have that. 58 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,800 Speaker 2: Joe Matthew and Kaylee Lyones really leading our debate on 59 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:18,079 Speaker 2: that with balance of power. One of the great joys 60 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,079 Speaker 2: we have at Surveillance. We make a joke he's a 61 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 2: surveillance meteorologist, but we're honored that across all of Bloomberg 62 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:29,520 Speaker 2: he is our national weather guy. Rob Carolyn has been brilliant. 63 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 2: This Friday, we couldn't get mister Carolyn, so we went 64 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 2: to our meteorologist in Houston, Texas, Victoria Fernandez. Let's listen. 65 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: So we went and measured. 66 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 2: We got four inches. Woh God, should we get Carolyn. 67 00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 2: I can handle one hundred and five degree heat with humidity. 68 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: I can't handle snow and twenty degree weather. It's just 69 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 2: not what we're made for here. One of the highlights 70 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 2: of the week from Houston, Texas, Victoria Fernandez the crossmark 71 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 2: and of course we talked with her asset allocation. She's 72 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 2: got some cautious view on the market. But I'll tell 73 00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 2: you she said, you still got to participate. I did 74 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 2: not hear from her go to cash. She had to 75 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 2: leave us early and get out. And she's got the 76 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:19,479 Speaker 2: John Deere. It's not battery power, it's a gas powered 77 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 2: snowblower to take care of that three or four inches 78 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 2: of snow buttressed up against the patio door. Without question, 79 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:32,000 Speaker 2: the wow of the week was Jeffrey Cleveland out in 80 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 2: Los Angeles with Peyton and Regal. His vector of the 81 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 2: ten year yield out there somewhere is a stunning three 82 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:46,359 Speaker 2: point six zero percent. That was a wow statistic. Next week, 83 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:49,719 Speaker 2: Ian Lingoln will join us in BEMO Capital Markets, moving 84 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 2: to that fed meeting across the nation, Apple car Play, 85 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 2: Android Auto. Nice to hear from you on Sirius XM. 86 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 2: Thank you so much for your attention on Serious ex 87 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:04,159 Speaker 2: Sam on YouTube and on YouTube podcasts. This is single 88 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 2: best idea