1 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: Is the Drive with Dale Lolly and Matt Williamson of 2 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 1: the Black and Goal Steelers Nation Radio. We are back 3 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: and so is my voice. Uh so much appreciated. Thank 4 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: you voice. As we do every Friday, Matt, Let's go 5 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 1: around the league here, look at all this week's game. Yeah, 6 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: let's go pay a little special attention to those games 7 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:33,880 Speaker 1: between the Jets and the in the Miami Dolphins. Last 8 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 1: night's game interesting one in uh in Tennessee. Josh Dobbs 9 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 1: gets a spot. I tweeted this out, Josh Dobbs. They 10 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 1: led the Titans on a touchdown drive early in the 11 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 1: third quarter for their thirteen points to put thirteen points 12 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 1: on the way. I think that made it like seventeen 13 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 1: thirteen at the time. And I said, Josh Dobbs is 14 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: now in three quarters led to the Tennessee Titans without 15 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry to as many points as the Shawn Watson 16 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: hasn't any game with the Browns. And immediately people are 17 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 1: you judge, that's not that's it's a joke, folks. It's 18 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 1: a joke, I think, but it's true. I mean it's 19 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: a fact, it's a fact. I think it was Dobb's 20 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: first career touchdown, his first career start, his first career touchdow. 21 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 1: He looked good. I didn't watch much of it. By 22 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 1: all accounts, he looked very much like he belonged. And 23 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:27,040 Speaker 1: we were talking off the air, like I think he 24 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 1: got a start him against Jackson to Yeah, and I 25 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 1: would mix in Willis with some specialty stuff here and there. 26 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:35,679 Speaker 1: But you're all in for one game. You anything that 27 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 1: you got in the you know it's been sitting around. 28 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: They're gonna throw out there in that game. That's gonna 29 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 1: That's why it's gonna be a fun one. Does Dallas, 30 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 1: where are you? They sure seems like play down the 31 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: bad teams, play up the good teams type. And I 32 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 1: think that starts like ownership and big d And I 33 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: texted you at one point at the end towards the 34 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: end of the first half and back through his second interception, 35 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: has been throwing at two interceptions and a fumble in 36 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:01,559 Speaker 1: the first half of the game interceptions, which is tied 37 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 1: for the league lead. And and he's missed three games. Yeah, 38 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: like that's not good. No, I mean they didn't have Pollard, 39 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 1: and I guess Lamb and Schultz were good, but Zequels 40 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,640 Speaker 1: kind of shot at me too, you know. Yeah. They 41 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 1: also lost their center, Tyler Bias. Yeah, they looked like 42 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:20,880 Speaker 1: a high ankle spring. He could be out for an 43 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:23,919 Speaker 1: extended period. Yeah. Looking at this week's game, you got 44 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: the six and nine Panthers at the seven and eight Buccaneers. 45 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: This game is basically for the the NFC South lit close, right, 46 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:35,119 Speaker 1: I mean this is close to playoff games you're gonna 47 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:37,919 Speaker 1: get absolutely. Tampa Bay is favored by three, the over 48 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:39,960 Speaker 1: under forty and a half. I'm kind of surprised they 49 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 1: didn't make this one the Sunday night games. Yeah. Yeah, 50 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 1: because it doesn't matter what happens the rest of the 51 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:45,800 Speaker 1: day for this one to have the same It may 52 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 1: have been protected, though, I think more Steeler fans out 53 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 1: there than Panther and Bucks fans are in more ras. 54 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 1: There were some That's why the Steelers ended up in 55 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:57,079 Speaker 1: in that night slot. The networks protected some games that 56 00:02:57,440 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 1: I know. The New England game was protected. Got Um. 57 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 1: This will may have been as well by Fox. Campa 58 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:06,639 Speaker 1: does stop the run reasonably well. Um, But I think 59 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 1: Caroline is just playing much better and I think the 60 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 1: panther D could be the star of the show. The 61 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 1: burns Is and those type of guys. I'll definitely take 62 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: the points. I think Carolina wins the magic for them, 63 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: I don't want to The magic number is twenty. The 64 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 1: Buccaneers are o and seven this season when allowing twenty 65 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: or more points and seven and one when they don't. 66 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 1: They're also by far the worst team this year against 67 00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 1: the spread. As you would imagine, people keep that goody 68 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 1: they sink, they stink. Looking here at ESPN, Eric Moody 69 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: picking the Buccaneers twenty to sixteen, Seth Walter picking the 70 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: or the Panthers six getting that magic number twenty, just 71 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 1: get the twenties. I don't know if either team gets 72 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 1: to twenty, but I'll take the points. Uh. The game 73 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: that we mentioned earlier, the eight and seven Dolphins are 74 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: at the Evan and eight Patriots in New England. Favored 75 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 1: by three, the over under is forty one and a half. 76 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 1: A big key here to me is New England's all 77 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 1: their joneses are hurt at corner, and that's a terrible 78 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 1: team to be at a corner. I mean, I like 79 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: the Patriot defense a lot, especially since the weather is 80 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 1: not if it last week, and sure you'd rather have 81 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 1: two of the Bridgewater is capable. I think Miami's D 82 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: shuts down a brutal offense. I'm gonna take Miami in 83 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: this game. Teddy Bridgewater, who will start to scape hasn't 84 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 1: want to start since December twelve, so it's been over 85 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:44,200 Speaker 1: a year. He started games since then. Um, it's gonna 86 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:46,279 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not a big Bridgewater fan at all. 87 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:49,799 Speaker 1: Belichick is gonna throw something at him. Oh yeah, because 88 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 1: he's never faced a Belichick team before. Surprisingly enough, Yeah, 89 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 1: he's been on a legal long time. I don't think 90 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 1: Miami will run. No, I don't think so. I don't 91 00:04:58,040 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 1: trust their run game at all. Are they gonna be 92 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 1: able to to to block up some of these deep balls? 93 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 1: And will Teddy throw them? That's the other question question 94 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 1: we stand in their verse blitz and when you guys 95 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 1: get his one on ones, I don't know. I just like, 96 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:13,279 Speaker 1: I just keep coming back to this corner thing. But 97 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:16,520 Speaker 1: I think this is another low scoring, tight game. Moody 98 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 1: picking the Dolphins twenty seven twenty four. I have no 99 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 1: idea how the Patriots get twenty four points. New England 100 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 1: has to play a certain way to Walter picking the 101 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 1: Dolphins seventeen, and I could see all those things break 102 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:31,919 Speaker 1: some Steeler fans hard there. Yeah, I mean I'm not 103 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: rooting for it, but I think Miami is a better team. Yeah. 104 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: Miami has seven and six against the spread this season 105 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: and games that tourist starts and oh and two against 106 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: the spreading games which he doesn't. It's like two games, 107 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:46,479 Speaker 1: only two games. Yeah, I'm not gonna go too crazy 108 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 1: on that. Yeah. Uh. You got the Bears at three 109 00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 1: and twelve at the Lions seven and eight, a big 110 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,600 Speaker 1: game in the NFC playoff race. Detroit favored by six, 111 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 1: the over under fifty two. I think the Lions win that. 112 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: I think they blow them out. To be very honest 113 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 1: with you, I get I get Justin Fields. I get 114 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 1: to the Lion stumbled last week in their building. I mean, 115 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 1: I think they put up thirty points and when this 116 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:11,440 Speaker 1: game going away. Yeah, Detroit four and oh in their 117 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 1: last uh four home games against the spread, seven and 118 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:17,800 Speaker 1: one against the spread in his past eight games. I 119 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 1: think the last week was I think they were favored 120 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:21,920 Speaker 1: in Carolina and they lost. Yeah. So yeah, I mean 121 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 1: they lost to a pretty decent Panthers team. I don't 122 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 1: think there's a lot of shame in that Lions. Moody 123 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 1: picking the Lions four, Walter picking the lines thirty one 124 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 1: twenty three, so pretty similar score. Yeah, we'll get to 125 00:06:34,760 --> 00:06:36,520 Speaker 1: the Texans, but if the Bears aren't careful, they may 126 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 1: end up at the first overall pick the Broncos at 127 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 1: four and eleven or at the twelve and three Chiefs 128 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 1: Kansas City favored by twelve and a half the over 129 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,040 Speaker 1: under his forty five. I think they were up twenty 130 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:48,479 Speaker 1: seven nothing or something like that on these guys, and 131 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 1: then the Broncos made a game of it. But I 132 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:53,160 Speaker 1: mentioned that the Bucks were the worst team in the 133 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 1: league against the spread, and I don't know why I 134 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 1: looked at that this morning. I don't even bet that 135 00:06:56,720 --> 00:07:00,160 Speaker 1: much or whatever. But Chiefs are like next. They keep 136 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 1: giving them these big spreads, and they just got that team. 137 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: There's a misconception that they beat everyone by thirty. What 138 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 1: they really don't they play? They score thirty, yeah, but 139 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: they also give up and I'll take the points here. 140 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 1: I mean, Denver's miserable, don't get me wrong, but that 141 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 1: interim coach bump maybe they're respectable and their defense isn't 142 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: gonna be as bad as it was against a Ram. Yeah, 143 00:07:21,600 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 1: you think you would think not. Moody picking the Chiefs 144 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 1: thirty four seven team, Walter picking the Chiefs more in 145 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 1: that neighborhood. I don't think it'd be a close game, 146 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 1: but I mean, I don't think that we can win 147 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 1: it a real stinker. Here the four ten and one 148 00:07:36,360 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: Colts are at the eight six and one Giants. I 149 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: feel very good about the Giants win. Giants are favored 150 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 1: by sixty over un there's only thirty eight and a half. 151 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 1: They starting falls again, I think so. I mean, the 152 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 1: Giants pass defense is junk, but who cares, you know, 153 00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:56,120 Speaker 1: they'll just I think their offenses starting to come around. 154 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 1: The Colts of little seems like the Colts and Cardinals 155 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:01,880 Speaker 1: would be really hard for me to put my money on. 156 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: What do they really? What's their motivation right now? You know? Yeah? Yeah, 157 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 1: I I'm with you, as are both writers here. Moody 158 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: picking the Giants seventeen, Walter picking the Giants now. I mean, 159 00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:20,840 Speaker 1: I don't think John Scoorton, Yeah, you got the six 160 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 1: and nine Saints at the thirteen and two Eagles Philadelphia 161 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 1: favored by sixty over under forty four. We don't know 162 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 1: yet if Jalen Hurts will start. Yeah, I don't know 163 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:32,439 Speaker 1: who's playing and who isn't for Philly, And I'm just 164 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:34,079 Speaker 1: kind of going on a limb here of how I 165 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:36,880 Speaker 1: would handle it Hurts aside. I mean, but I would 166 00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 1: play my dudes mostly for this one. Beat the Saints, 167 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:43,680 Speaker 1: improve your draft positions since you own their first round pick, 168 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:46,200 Speaker 1: and then rest everyone for two weeks, you know, lock 169 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: up this number one seed this week, go all in 170 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 1: and then hey, guys, you guys can have two weeks 171 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: off if you beat the Saints, and I think they 172 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 1: blow their doors off. Yeah. Moody picking the Eagle, Walter 173 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:01,960 Speaker 1: picking the Eagles one. I'm not sure it'll be that close. 174 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 1: Can see even if Minshew starts day he's good. Yeah, 175 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:11,200 Speaker 1: their defense is good enough to uh. The seven and 176 00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:15,679 Speaker 1: eight Jaguars are at the suddenly surging to twelve and 177 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: one Houston Texans. I think they're getting like four points 178 00:09:18,920 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 1: right in Houston. Jacksonville favored by four and a half 179 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:28,599 Speaker 1: the over Undertree. This is you know these division games, Houston, 180 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:31,520 Speaker 1: Houston won the beat them the first time. Yeah, Houston's 181 00:09:31,520 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 1: beat him like four in a row. I think because 182 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:34,400 Speaker 1: they have they have some kind of streak against from 183 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 1: four to the last five or whatever. They've been very 184 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:40,360 Speaker 1: successful against Jacksonville of late um. I know the Jags 185 00:09:40,400 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 1: are playing everyone. They want to keep the momentum, but 186 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:46,280 Speaker 1: this game means nothing to them. Lawrence hasn't practiced in 187 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 1: two weeks with a toe. I would say, hey, Trevor, 188 00:09:49,760 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 1: why don't you don't even dress for this game and 189 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 1: call it plays with me and we'll hang out on 190 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 1: the sideline together and let's go beat the Titans. And 191 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 1: Houston is playing hard jack, They're a problem. Jacksonville has 192 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:07,560 Speaker 1: lost seven straight games outright as a favorite, really, including 193 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:11,200 Speaker 1: all three this season. I mean, I like Houston this one. 194 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: I might even take the money line because halfway through 195 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 1: this game, they may look around and be like, why 196 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:18,400 Speaker 1: are we playing all our guys? You know people are 197 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:20,840 Speaker 1: getting hurt, and you know we're not inning to play 198 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 1: for That's seven straight games is tied for the fourth 199 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 1: longest streak of such in the Super Bowl era. Like 200 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:31,440 Speaker 1: losses have come against Houston like that isn't a small 201 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:34,960 Speaker 1: sample size to me. I think that's very contextually appropriate 202 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 1: because learning how to win when you're expected to win 203 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 1: is hard. Jackson will pick first from the draft for 204 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:42,240 Speaker 1: two years in a run, you know, like they're probably 205 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: covers about three seasons. Yeah, exactly, there's not many of them. 206 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 1: I like Houston that one for sure, which could get 207 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:50,200 Speaker 1: them the second overall pick, not the first overall pick. 208 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 1: Moody picking at Jaguars to nineteen, Walter picking the Jaguars twenty, 209 00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,839 Speaker 1: so he at least has the Texans covering. No, I'll 210 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: take the plus four. The six and nine Browns are 211 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:07,840 Speaker 1: at the seven, seven and one commanders. Washington needs this game. 212 00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:10,839 Speaker 1: This line really shocks me. Is it Washington by two 213 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 1: and a half? I started one this morning over under 214 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:16,959 Speaker 1: and a half. I think Washington beat them bad, run 215 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:18,720 Speaker 1: them right off the field. Yeah, I mean, like the 216 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 1: best strength of the Browns is there O line? Well, 217 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:24,200 Speaker 1: that's gonna neutralized against act the line. Now, hey, DeShawn, 218 00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 1: can you produce any points? Yeah? You haven't yet. And 219 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: not that I'm a Weentz believer, but he's gonna play 220 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:36,319 Speaker 1: like Trabisky, did you know? And this is one of 221 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 1: my last shots. I'm gonna be aggressive and they go 222 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 1: weapons and I don't trust the Browns defense at all. 223 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: Their defense. I mean, I mean the defense was so 224 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 1: much better lately. You know you sited garbage teams in 225 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 1: bad weather. Yeah, they played on hof last week. Yeah, 226 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 1: you're d's gonna be better. The snow Beast came out 227 00:11:57,040 --> 00:11:59,559 Speaker 1: of that right, right, kind of open and living him 228 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 1: for the night. Luke Moody picking the Browns twenty four 229 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:08,920 Speaker 1: to twenty Walder picking the Commandersteen. That sounds more like it. 230 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 1: Commanders have much more motivation to absolutely uh the four 231 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 1: and this is this is the game the Arizona Cardinals 232 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 1: at four and eleven or at the Falcons five and 233 00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:24,440 Speaker 1: ten at Atlanta favored by three and a half, the 234 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 1: over under forty two. I actually feel strong about Atlanta. 235 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:33,559 Speaker 1: I just think Arizona played pretty well by their standards 236 00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 1: last week, standalone Christmas game. Everyone's watching, no one's watching 237 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 1: this cross country road trip. At one o'clock, JJ's hung 238 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:46,040 Speaker 1: don't win one for JJ here. I think JJ is saying, 239 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 1: I'm hanging it up because I hate being I hate 240 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,320 Speaker 1: all of you right now. I just think Atlanta runs 241 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:54,319 Speaker 1: for three yards. I think they will too. Moody picking 242 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:57,880 Speaker 1: the Cardinals eighteen. Is he on drugs this week or 243 00:12:57,920 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 1: something I haven't noticed? As he picked all the goods, 244 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:04,160 Speaker 1: picking all yeah, and then picking the Falcons. McCoy at 245 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 1: least is going to play for them, which is helpful. 246 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 1: But let's score a little bit. But let's not get 247 00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: carried away. The other big game for the Steelers, the 248 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:16,000 Speaker 1: seven and eight Jets are at the seven and eight Seahawks. 249 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 1: This is the line to me that makes absolutely no sense. 250 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,480 Speaker 1: This week. The Jets are favored by a point and 251 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:24,000 Speaker 1: a half. They haven't won a game and over a 252 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 1: month they've got the same record. They're traveling cross country 253 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 1: to play in one of the toughest stadiums in the 254 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 1: league with a young quarterback who's never played in in 255 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:39,720 Speaker 1: that kind of environment, who hasn't thrown a touchdown past 256 00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 1: this season against anybody not named the Bears. Good point, 257 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 1: and this is a Pete Carroll defense At the Jets employed, 258 00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 1: You're like, yeah, it's they're one of the few that 259 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:52,559 Speaker 1: are still running the old school, you know, I think 260 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:54,680 Speaker 1: they might know how to beat it. I'm still taking 261 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,439 Speaker 1: the Jets. I don't feel strong about it, and I 262 00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 1: don't like the line. I don't think Lockett's gonna I 263 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:03,600 Speaker 1: don't think Goodwin. Godwin is gonna play. They're really short 264 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:05,719 Speaker 1: on weapons right now in Seattle. Here's I think it's 265 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 1: be a close game because the Jets d The Jets 266 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:10,920 Speaker 1: are thirty first in rushing offense over the last four games. 267 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 1: They can't run the football in rushing defense over that 268 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 1: same span. I mean, it's gonna be Mike White and 269 00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:22,960 Speaker 1: Wilson and Elijah Moore versus. I don't think there's many 270 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:24,760 Speaker 1: points at all in this game. Yeah, I just maybe 271 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 1: I would take the points, but I'm gonna pick the 272 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 1: Jets a wain in like you know, Moody picking the 273 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:34,080 Speaker 1: Seahawks seven. I don't see that many points. Walter picking 274 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:37,360 Speaker 1: the Jets twenty to sixteen, and I think it's gonna 275 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 1: be a close game. I can't. I don't understand Seattle 276 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 1: getting points at home, though, I'll take the points in 277 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 1: a situation like it. We're two similar teams. That's a 278 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 1: tough I've been I've covered games in Seattle. That place 279 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,400 Speaker 1: is extremely loud. It's a great point, I mean, home 280 00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 1: dog for very similar teams. I think he convinced me 281 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 1: to take the points. I'm gonna pick the Jets to win. 282 00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 1: And we were highlighted this earlier in the week. I 283 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:05,200 Speaker 1: mean White is a twenties guy, know, I mean he 284 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 1: has not gotten over them. You can't run the football 285 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 1: right right, right, and that's what the eleven and four 286 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 1: or forty Niners are at the six and nine Raiders. 287 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 1: San Francisco favored by one and a half. Jared Stidham 288 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 1: will be the sixty one quarterback in the league to 289 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 1: start this year. Maybe it's even sixty two with Dobbs 290 00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 1: he was counter I'll lay the ten. Who's the better 291 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 1: quarterback in this game? It doesn't even matter. I mean 292 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 1: that defense is going to destroy The Raiders, who have 293 00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 1: nothing to play for anymore, are not sending the right 294 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 1: messages to their team. They're much better coached. I can 295 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:54,480 Speaker 1: see a defensive score here or something like that. Josh 296 00:15:54,520 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 1: Jacobs isn't gonna run wild no this one. I mean, 297 00:15:57,280 --> 00:16:01,400 Speaker 1: how how motivated is he to extra tacklers and everything? 298 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 1: At this point? You know you're not even gonna play 299 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:08,000 Speaker 1: our quarterback. Moody picking the forty thirty five seventeen, Walter 300 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 1: picking the twenty seven seventeen. How about this? Though? The 301 00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 1: FPI prediction their Football Power and Next prediction has San 302 00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 1: Francisco only winning by fifty six point two percent of 303 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 1: the time by an average of one point nine points. 304 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 1: Maybe they need to adjust their model. Well, not that 305 00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 1: I know how their model works, but I'll take over 306 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 1: on Bosa two sacks, he's the defensive player of the year. 307 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:40,160 Speaker 1: Gets done now. Yeah, the twelve and three Vikings are 308 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,680 Speaker 1: at the seven and eight packers. This is a big 309 00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 1: one for green Bay. H The spread is green Bay 310 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:50,680 Speaker 1: by three and a half. The has there been a 311 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 1: twelve and three team, a twelve win team in NFL 312 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:57,160 Speaker 1: history who has been an underdog as many times as 313 00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,800 Speaker 1: the Vikings this year? Like with double digit win as 314 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 1: the dog, I'm definitely taking the points. I mean, I 315 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 1: think they're they win close the wose games right, They're 316 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 1: eleven and o and one score games this year it's 317 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:11,119 Speaker 1: going to be a one score game. I think the 318 00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 1: Vikings are have some flaws. You know, Cook isn't running great, 319 00:17:15,080 --> 00:17:18,640 Speaker 1: Their defense has a lot of questions. But it's Green 320 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 1: Bay all of a sudden a great team because they've 321 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 1: beat right right, I don't think so. I mean, what 322 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: are they gonna do with Jefferson Cousins? Is I'll playing 323 00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:28,800 Speaker 1: Rodgers right now? I'll gladly take the point. Somebody asked 324 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:34,800 Speaker 1: me on Twitter yesterday, they've got Cousins and they've got Herbert, 325 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 1: which one? Which one they would start? Which one I 326 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 1: would start? And I said I'd probably go with Cousins. 327 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 1: Certainly more apt for big plays, you know. I mean, 328 00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:46,360 Speaker 1: he's could have been more consistent. He's been the more. 329 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 1: Herbert hasn't thrown a touchdown passed weeks, you know. Yeah, 330 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:51,600 Speaker 1: that's a good call. Be Cousins having a really good 331 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:57,399 Speaker 1: year to say it, but he is um Moody picking 332 00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 1: the Vikings three. It's about Matt Walter picking the Vikings 333 00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 1: Viking money. It would be twelve and oh in one 334 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:10,640 Speaker 1: score games. It's remarkable. That's a record too. I think 335 00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 1: they already started. Director think they already set the record 336 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:16,679 Speaker 1: last week. It's crazy. You got the the five and 337 00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:20,360 Speaker 1: ten rams at those nine and six Chargers, the Chargers 338 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 1: favored by six and a half. The over unders just 339 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 1: forty one in this game. That's the other reason why 340 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,360 Speaker 1: I would go with Cousins. The over under in the 341 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:30,399 Speaker 1: Vikings Packers game. Yeah, that's a full touchdown like l 342 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 1: A vers l A. Does anybody in l A care No, 343 00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 1: not even like a road team to come in like 344 00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 1: to see somebody show up with a split jersey half 345 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:43,240 Speaker 1: Rams half Chargers. You can probably sit where everyone. I 346 00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:46,520 Speaker 1: know the Rams are doing better things, but I'm I'll 347 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 1: take the Chargers. The Chargers have much to play for, No, 348 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:51,800 Speaker 1: they don't. That's the other reason, Like did they pull 349 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:54,800 Speaker 1: Herbert you know three quarters three quarters away through that one. 350 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna be a wild card. They're kind 351 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,240 Speaker 1: of the Ravens probably gonna be. They're definitely there a 352 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:00,920 Speaker 1: wild card. They've already clinch there. If they have been 353 00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:04,959 Speaker 1: more set than the Rams are oh in five this 354 00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:08,640 Speaker 1: season against teams with winning records against the spread oh 355 00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 1: and five. I mean people thought they were good for 356 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:14,240 Speaker 1: a while. It's probably early in the year before everyone 357 00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 1: uh Moody picking the Chargers thirty to twenty one, Walter 358 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:22,359 Speaker 1: picking the Chargers nineteen, assuming they play their dudes. You know, 359 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:26,399 Speaker 1: the Eckler is not watching in the fourth quarter. We 360 00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,440 Speaker 1: already covered the Steelers game, and so we'll move on 361 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:33,000 Speaker 1: to the big Monday night contest. This was they finally 362 00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:37,680 Speaker 1: got one right. The twelve and three Bills are at 363 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 1: the eleven and four Bengals. The Bills favored by one. 364 00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 1: The over under his forty nine and a half. I 365 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:50,960 Speaker 1: thought since he was favored, maybe that's gone back and forth. Uh, 366 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:53,400 Speaker 1: this is a put your feet up and enjoy games 367 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:55,920 Speaker 1: for me, and I don't feel good at all about 368 00:19:55,920 --> 00:20:00,359 Speaker 1: the predictions. I'll take the home team. I think they 369 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:02,120 Speaker 1: have a little more weaponry. I think they're a little 370 00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 1: more well rounded. But I really think this is a 371 00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:09,960 Speaker 1: very even game. I was going to pick the Bengals 372 00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 1: in this game until lay All Collins injury. I don't 373 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 1: love that. That hurts. Um. He's not even a superstar. 374 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:17,360 Speaker 1: But the guys behind them are John. Yeah, they don't 375 00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:19,160 Speaker 1: have anything behind him. They've gotten used to plo. Okay, 376 00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:23,440 Speaker 1: we can he can at least be Yeah. Hubbard's also 377 00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:28,400 Speaker 1: added this game for them. That's a big loss as well. Um, 378 00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:32,160 Speaker 1: I'm I'm taking the Bills. I think Stefon digs fund 379 00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:34,520 Speaker 1: that gets going a little bit slow. Yeah, it's been slow. 380 00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:37,679 Speaker 1: They need somebody else to step up to They certainly do. Uh. 381 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 1: Cincinnati is twelve and one against the spread in his 382 00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:44,159 Speaker 1: past thirteen games, and twelve and three against the spread 383 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:47,400 Speaker 1: this season. I think their best. Yeah, I think they're 384 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:50,439 Speaker 1: best in the league. I don't know if that's I 385 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:54,680 Speaker 1: think people have caught on. Yeah, but I'm gonna pick 386 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:56,280 Speaker 1: the Bengals, but I don't feel strong about it. I 387 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:59,280 Speaker 1: think it's a very even game. Moody picking the Bills 388 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 1: thirty one only eight, Walter picking the Bills thirty five 389 00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:08,920 Speaker 1: to seventeen. I'd be shocked by that. Bengals DS pretty good. Yeah, 390 00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 1: it's well coached. I'd be shocked by that. I mean 391 00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:14,920 Speaker 1: it's capable. They could do that anybody. This could come 392 00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:17,719 Speaker 1: down to. I mean the two quarterbacks should combine total 393 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,920 Speaker 1: rushing and receipt and throwing for seventy eight touchdowns this 394 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,000 Speaker 1: year between the two of them. Wow. I tweeted something 395 00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 1: out about Alan He has a remarkable percentage of the 396 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,680 Speaker 1: Bill's touchdowns, either as a runner or throwing it to somebody. 397 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,440 Speaker 1: It's like it's by far the most of the league. 398 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 1: I mean, it's bonkers. Yeah, I mean these guys, uh, 399 00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:39,680 Speaker 1: you know, this is gonna be a fun game to watch. 400 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:44,720 Speaker 1: Who makes the mistake. I think Buffaloes their overall defensive line, 401 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:46,679 Speaker 1: and I know they don't have Von Miller, and I 402 00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:48,439 Speaker 1: think they're I think it's gonna give them. I think 403 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:54,040 Speaker 1: it's gonna give Cincinnati problem. Burrow handles it really well though. Yeah. 404 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,320 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not trying to be controversy. I think 405 00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:59,160 Speaker 1: Burrows right now the slightly better player of the two, 406 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:04,080 Speaker 1: but they're too the best three in the world, you know. Yeah, 407 00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 1: I'm just super impressed with Borrow. It should be a 408 00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 1: fun game, though, man, absolutely, Yeah, so that is this 409 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:13,280 Speaker 1: week's slate of games should be a fun one to watch. Yeah, Matt, 410 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:15,600 Speaker 1: I hope we're not missing anything on who rests who 411 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:18,000 Speaker 1: and who doesn't care and who does or does a 412 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 1: change throughout the game or you know, Steelers are perfect example. 413 00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 1: I don't think they would influence them. But if somebody 414 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:26,280 Speaker 1: loses and they're not resting anybody, Steelers aren't know, But 415 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:29,160 Speaker 1: like it's could a four o'clock team rest people after 416 00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 1: something happens at one that we don't know? You know, 417 00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:35,320 Speaker 1: you never know what what's in people's minds. Um, but yeah, 418 00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:39,119 Speaker 1: we'll see um. You can subscribe to the Mike Tomlin 419 00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:42,159 Speaker 1: Game Day podcast, Steelers Digest editor Bob Labriola talk to 420 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,400 Speaker 1: was head coach Mike Tomlin about the upcoming game. New 421 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 1: episodes drop every game day. They're available on the Steelers 422 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:51,680 Speaker 1: mobile app. The I Heart Radio app and wherever you 423 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 1: get your He is Matt Williamson. I am Dale Lally. 424 00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 1: When we come back time for the Fantasy Football Focus, 425 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 1: will do our d f ST lineup we hit one 426 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:04,320 Speaker 1: last night, and uh we'll also give our game picks 427 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:08,400 Speaker 1: for Steelers evens. We'll do that right after this time. 428 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 1: The Black and Gold live here four seven. This is 429 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:14,720 Speaker 1: said