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Speaker 1: What is going on? Every Buddy? John Middlecoff three and

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Speaker 1: Out podcast? How are we doing? Hopefully everyone's doing well.

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Speaker 1: I just watched the Thursday night football game. The Bills

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Speaker 1: obliterate the Dolphins. Obviously, the story of the night is

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Speaker 1: Tua getting kot again concussion, and let's face it, the

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Speaker 1: questions are gonna begin. Does he ever play again? How

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Speaker 1: do the Dolphins handle this? My main question, does the

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Speaker 1: NFL get involved, and do they let him play again,

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Speaker 1: because that's at the forefront of everyone's mind. When you

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Speaker 1: see him go down and his arms shoot up in

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Speaker 1: the air like they did two years again, I'll go

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Speaker 1: so devastating night from the Dolphins. I mean, it was

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Speaker 1: an embarrassing night before that play. They were getting shalacked

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Speaker 1: and embarrassed at home, and then Tua goes down and

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Speaker 1: let's just be real, it feels like their season is

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Speaker 1: over and Tom Brady, is that a name that's gonna

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Speaker 1: get thrown? I bet you hear it on some shows tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: So I had a quick take on that, and then

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Speaker 1: on the Bills, who just I don't understand people questioning

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Speaker 1: the Bills, not just in this game, which they've now

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Speaker 1: beat the Dolphins. It was eleven and two, so they're

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Speaker 1: twelve and two in the last fourteen games, but just

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Speaker 1: big picture, like they're just a consistent The Chiefs are

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Speaker 1: in their own tier and they're right there with the Ravens, Like,

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Speaker 1: what the hell's the difference these last five years. Other

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Speaker 1: than that, I do want to dive into just the

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Speaker 1: pressure rankings this weekend. There are some teams that if

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Speaker 1: they lose, turmoil is about to break out. It's obviously

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Speaker 1: Fugazi Friday, so got to hit with a couple of fugazis.

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Speaker 1: Stucky will join us as well. Have a couple bets.

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Speaker 1: I don't like, I love, I Love, and your boys

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Speaker 1: hot just hit this Bills game, so I'm feeling some momentum.

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Speaker 1: Other than that, check out the YouTube channel, subscribe to that.

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Speaker 1: If you listen on Collins Speed, make sure you subscribe

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Speaker 1: to three and Out. And before we talk about some football,

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Speaker 1: lowest prices guaranteed. Okay. Part about tonight with Tua is

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Speaker 1: the story of the game is not the bills killing

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Speaker 1: them is not the final score, is not the ownage

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Speaker 1: that the one franchise has over the other. And I

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Speaker 1: saw Lewis Riddick, who I worked for with the Eagles,

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Speaker 1: had a good tweet and it was a sad night

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Speaker 1: because nobody wants to see a player laying there like that,

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Speaker 1: especially one with a history. Is now, this conversation immediately

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Speaker 1: turns to will he ever play again? And I see

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Speaker 1: a lot of people on social media saying that he

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Speaker 1: should retire, and that's his own decision. I do think

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Speaker 1: that's easy to say. We've seen it before when I

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Speaker 1: was young, Steve Young had it happened to him, but

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Speaker 1: he was older. Tua is twenty six years old, does

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Speaker 1: not turn twenty seven. I looked it up before I

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Speaker 1: walked in here till March, so I can't even begin

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Speaker 1: to say, yeah, he'll just hang him up. But there's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of pressure about putting him back

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Speaker 1: on the field because we saw two years ago the

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Speaker 1: Dolphins screwed up and it was a disaster for them.

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Speaker 1: They were embarrassed, as they should have been, and I

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Speaker 1: think this is going to be out of their control.

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Speaker 1: Roger was at the game. I think this is going

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Speaker 1: to be a decision from the NFL, and I think

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Speaker 1: the NFL is going to force their hand to not

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Speaker 1: allow this guy back on the field, because it's one thing. Listen,

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Speaker 1: we see guys get concussions all the time, and sometimes

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Speaker 1: you can kind of tell, sometimes you can't. Sometimes they're

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Speaker 1: on the sideline, all of a sudden they get checked

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Speaker 1: by the independent neurologist and then they're just gone. And

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Speaker 1: some of them are clear, right, you see the guy

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Speaker 1: wabbling on the ground. Sometimes you don't really notice, and

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Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, he's out with a concussion.

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Speaker 1: Tua's are the most cringe worthy ones I think I've

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Speaker 1: ever seen. Twice. I had to relook up this term.

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Speaker 1: It's called fencing. When his arms are straight up and

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Speaker 1: his fingers are kind of moving and rigid. It makes

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Speaker 1: your kind of heart and stomach drop. And the NFL

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Speaker 1: is not gonna want to see that anymore. And I

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Speaker 1: was texting around, like what are buddies and people in

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Speaker 1: the league where they think is going to happen? They're like,

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Speaker 1: what if you know, could he sign a waiver or whatever.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the NFL likes that visual as they

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Speaker 1: should not, and clearly like I'm not some medical expert here,

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Speaker 1: but tonight of the previous ones that happened in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty two, obviously it was avoidable slide, and I would

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Speaker 1: imagine that clip is going to be shown to every

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Speaker 1: quarterback Friday morning, beside maybe Jared Goff, any guy that

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Speaker 1: could move fifty times tomorrow because those hits are avoidable.

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Speaker 1: You got a slide, and as Herfried said to it

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Speaker 1: can be a reckless runner. And he runs in ironically

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Speaker 1: to DeMar Hamlin, who is one of the most incredible

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Speaker 1: stories ever, almost dies on the field two years later,

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Speaker 1: starting safety for the Bills, who might be one of

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Speaker 1: the best teams in the league. But I'm prepared to

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Speaker 1: never see the guy play again. And I think you

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Speaker 1: saw the faces of Mike McDaniel as the game went on.

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Speaker 1: He was shell shocked. You saw Stephen Ross the head

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Speaker 1: shot of him in the suite. He looked like he

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Speaker 1: was ready to jump off a bridge, and then you

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Speaker 1: saw the shot of the GM who realize they're done.

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Speaker 1: It's over now. I didn't like the Dolphins that much

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Speaker 1: anyway before this happened. I thought they showed their true colors,

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Speaker 1: a team that doesn't have that much toughness. And I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to spend the night Tonight's not the day

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Speaker 1: to be critical of two of the player. But obviously

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Speaker 1: it wasn't going well for him to night at all.

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Speaker 1: And the gap between them and the Bills is as

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Speaker 1: wide as the Grand Canyon, if not wider. But now

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Speaker 1: they have a quarterback. Obviously they just extended him to

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Speaker 1: a very large contract, and the pressure is going to

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Speaker 1: be on to never allow him to play quarterback for

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Speaker 1: them again because it's not safe. And the visuals we

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Speaker 1: have of those injuries doesn't look like much we see

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Speaker 1: anymore in this NFL. That's the type stuff where guys

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Speaker 1: were lying there and you didn't know if they were

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Speaker 1: dead or alive. That happened for a long time over

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Speaker 1: the history of the NFL, and then about ten fifteen

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Speaker 1: years ago when the concussion stuff and the lawsuits and

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Speaker 1: the NFL is pivoted, and they've pivoted hard. And it's

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Speaker 1: why that everyone was so uneasy with what happened a

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Speaker 1: couple of years ago when it felt like they were

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Speaker 1: putting out a concussed player in these games who like

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Speaker 1: it just didn't feel safe. Now a lot of people

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Speaker 1: are gonna push to a like, you gotta retire, You

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Speaker 1: gotta retire. That's his choice. Man, Like, he has a

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Speaker 1: lot of money to attempt to keep playing. Obviously, he

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Speaker 1: gets a percentage of his contract is guaranteed no matter what.

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Speaker 1: But you can make a lot of money if you

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Speaker 1: continue playing. And at his age, I don't think I

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Speaker 1: understand if it's not an easy decision, But I think

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Speaker 1: this decision comes from Park Avenue and they say no Moss,

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Speaker 1: and there's gonna be a lot of pressure from them

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Speaker 1: and Roger about making sure that Tua's not on the

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Speaker 1: field for them anymore. And this is gonna be like

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Speaker 1: when most players get a concussion, they go in the

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Speaker 1: concussion protocol. Obviously, when you play on Thursday, you get

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Speaker 1: a longer runway into your next game. Like, I don't

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna fly the next Thursday. He's clear concussion

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Speaker 1: protocol obviously, the media pressure, the fan pressure, in the

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Speaker 1: league pressure. So I think it's fair to assume that

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Speaker 1: we're not gonna see Tua for a while. Now, does

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Speaker 1: that mean his career's over? Who knows? We've seen crazier.

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Speaker 1: Like I said Tamar Hamlin, I think legally died on

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Speaker 1: the field now. He's starting safety for the Bills, making plays.

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Speaker 1: Almost had a pick in the corner or in the

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Speaker 1: middle of the end zone. I guess it wasn't almost

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Speaker 1: a pick, but hit his hand, made some tackles, had

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Speaker 1: a bunch of tackles last week. Like isn't just a

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Speaker 1: contributing member like he was last year, Like he's a starter.

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Speaker 1: So I never say never, just in life in general,

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Speaker 1: but I do think tonight was a game changing moment

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Speaker 1: with this specific player and the way that it happened again,

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Speaker 1: the same exact visual, which is really hard to describe,

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Speaker 1: but you know when you see it and you just

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Speaker 1: kind of go speechless. It was tough to watch. I

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Speaker 1: do think, you know, the Dolphins season is over, so

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Speaker 1: I don't even know what else to say. I didn't

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Speaker 1: think they were a playoff team at the start of

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Speaker 1: the season. They're very, very fortunate right now to not

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Speaker 1: be zero to two. But Skyler Thompson, who ironically was

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Speaker 1: drafted fifteen spots ahead of rock Party, so it shows you,

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Speaker 1: like most seventh round quarterbacks look pretty shitty, and he

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Speaker 1: looked tonight like this. No pun intended a fish out

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Speaker 1: of water. But the Dolphins are done and the Bills

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Speaker 1: they didn't want to do it. I mean, they wanted

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Speaker 1: to beat them and blow them out, but obviously I

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Speaker 1: didn't want to injure Tua and one conversation, I would

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Speaker 1: imagine that's gonna come up, my guess in the next

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Speaker 1: twenty four hours. Tom Brady to the Dolphins cross my mind.

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Speaker 1: Remember a couple of years ago, a lot of rumors

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Speaker 1: about the Dolphins wanted to get Tom Brady as their quarterback.

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Speaker 1: It was like tampering stuff. When he was in New England.

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Speaker 1: It would be cool, Like I'm not against the story,

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Speaker 1: but at this point in time, he's several years older

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Speaker 1: than even when he retired. It's not like he's making

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Speaker 1: ten million dollars to call games. He's making thirty seven

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Speaker 1: and even though his first game clearly did not go

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Speaker 1: that well, I think at this point in time I

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Speaker 1: would be stunned. But sometimes you'll just be listening to

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Speaker 1: podcasts and you just hear people talk and it kind

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Speaker 1: of makes you think, like, I bet Tom misses it.

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Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, how would he not miss it? I

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Speaker 1: would imagine his arm still works. But from a football standpoint,

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Speaker 1: even if he did have ten percent interest, awful fit.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they have their offensive line is abysmal to

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Speaker 1: start with, and now they got a bunch of injuries.

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Speaker 1: So I think you just look at Miami, no Tua

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Speaker 1: for the foreseeable future, Skyler Thompson, whoever else. Maybe they

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Speaker 1: can sign sniff around the practice squad. And their season

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Speaker 1: is in major trouble. And you saw at the end

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Speaker 1: of the game when they are on offense down thirty

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Speaker 1: one to ten and Hill and Waddle are just chilling

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Speaker 1: on the bench, and even Herdstreet's like, yeah, it's not

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Speaker 1: the best look. And he's right because tonight before the

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Speaker 1: two injury, was a culture night, and Mike McDaniel is

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Speaker 1: beloved by certain people in the media. He's got this

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Speaker 1: quirky little shtick going. He's never won an important game

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Speaker 1: as a head coach. He was getting mollywoped tonight before

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Speaker 1: the TOUA story just overshadowed. I mean he was embarrassing tonight.

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Speaker 1: I regretted not putting more money on the Buffalo Bills

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Speaker 1: about five minutes before kickoff because that game was over

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Speaker 1: and that game was over quick. But the Bills culture,

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Speaker 1: we talk a lot about the Ravens and people think

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Speaker 1: I'm like negative with the I have a ton of

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Speaker 1: respect for them. The only people that they really can't

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Speaker 1: beat in big games, and we saw it last year.

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Speaker 1: It is like, yeah, mahomes do I think they could

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Speaker 1: beat every other team in the playoffs. I think the

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Speaker 1: same thing about the Bills. I would say the Bills

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Speaker 1: right now and the Ravens are mirror images of themselves.

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Speaker 1: They are championship level teams who and cultures most specifically,

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Speaker 1: have defensive minded head coaches, have a physical culture, and

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Speaker 1: have star quarterbacks. Now, I like Josh more than Lamar,

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Speaker 1: and I like the Ravens roster typically more than the Bills, because,

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Speaker 1: for whatever reason, the Bills on defense they just always

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Speaker 1: have so many injuries. But tonight off a short week.

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Speaker 1: They have guys that, let's face it, for every Von

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Speaker 1: Miller they got, they got a couple other guys. I

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Speaker 1: gotta look up like, I don't really know who this

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Speaker 1: player is and they're running arount, their hair on fire,

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Speaker 1: making tackles and their quarterback is awesome. But one game

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Speaker 1: changing player for them that has added a physical element

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Speaker 1: that the Ravens have always been able to do because

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Speaker 1: they always have a good running game is James Cook.

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Speaker 1: And you saw him the night. He looks awesome. You

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Speaker 1: saw him last week, he looks awesome. You saw him

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Speaker 1: last season, he looks awesome. To me. He's kind of

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Speaker 1: changed them because for several years it was like they

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Speaker 1: were so past dependent on Josh and when you play

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Speaker 1: in these frigid temperatures late in the season, you're not

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Speaker 1: just going to be able to throw for three hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty yards. It was always a bugaboo for the Packers.

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Speaker 1: It's like, you might play some January games in Lambeau.

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Speaker 1: We know you've got sweet wide receivers. This was during

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Speaker 1: the Aaron Rodgers era, and then what looks like, you know,

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Speaker 1: if Jordan Love is healthy, what's going to happen? During

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Speaker 1: this you got to have a physical back. What do

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Speaker 1: they do? They went out inside Josh Jacobs, They had

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Speaker 1: Aaron Jones like that guy really really helps in cold,

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Speaker 1: inclement weather games, and that's what James Cook is. So

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Speaker 1: can the Bills beat the Chiefs? Their roster I don't

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Speaker 1: think is good enough, and defensively they're not good enough.

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Speaker 1: But I do think they have a championship level culture

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Speaker 1: and they have a championship like I believe Josh Allen's

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Speaker 1: a championship level quarterback. Does that mean he'll ever win one?

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Speaker 1: Like I believe Charles Barkley was a championship level player,

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Speaker 1: never won one. Everyone that ever played against Dan Marino

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Speaker 1: say he was one of the best players I ever

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Speaker 1: played against. Never won a super Bowl. So I don't

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Speaker 1: know if it's gonna happen. Obviously, they've had opportunities in

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Speaker 1: the past, and their coach got a little tight. But

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Speaker 1: Sean mcdermot's really good at his job. And I thought

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Speaker 1: this at the beginning of the season. I feel strongly

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Speaker 1: more strongly about it tonight. I think they're going to

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Speaker 1: cruise to this division and it would be their fifth

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Speaker 1: straight division. They're having the Patriot ownage thing that the

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Speaker 1: Patriots had for twenty years. The difference is the Patriots

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Speaker 1: were rattling off championships and the Bills, for whatever reason,

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Speaker 1: even going back to the early nineties, haven't proven to

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Speaker 1: win it. But in what world through these We'll see

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Speaker 1: the Jets this weekend? But even let's just see even

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Speaker 1: say they win. Let's say the Jets win by twenty

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Speaker 1: could you assume the Jets of forty year old Aaron Rodgers,

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Speaker 1: all their culture question marks, could beat this Bills team?

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Speaker 1: How could you assume that if they were playing next

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Speaker 1: week in New York or in Buffalo? How could you

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Speaker 1: bet on the Jets? How could you possibly do that?

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Speaker 1: I've been saying this forever about the Bills versus Miami.

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Speaker 1: In what world do we think these are even close

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Speaker 1: to equals? They're not. The Bills are chasing the Chiefs, not.

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Speaker 1: These other teams are just little roadblocks on their way

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Speaker 1: to the playoffs, where they go every single year. So obviously,

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Speaker 1: awful night with Tua. It sucks. Dolphin season ends abruptly

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Speaker 1: on September twelfth. Cool moment for demoor Hamlin for sure,

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Speaker 1: and obviously the Bills. Man, I feel even strong more

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Speaker 1: strongly about them now than I did at the begin

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Speaker 1: ending of the season, just because they got a pretty

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Speaker 1: good thing going. They really do. Joe Brady also has

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Speaker 1: resurrected his career after going to Carolina, getting fired by

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Speaker 1: Matt Ruhle, going to Buffalo as a quarterback coach, and

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Speaker 1: that seamless transition when they fired Dorsey and elevated him.

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Speaker 1: They have looked like a different animal. And maybe it's

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Speaker 1: his ability to utilize James Cook settling Josh down a

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Speaker 1: little bit tonight. But man, the Bills look good. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's dive into a couple other things. The thing is,

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Speaker 1: after this weekend, you're gonna have some own two teams,

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Speaker 1: and some are gonna feel way worse than others, but

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Speaker 1: they're all gonna feel really shitty. And the cool part

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Speaker 1: about football, unlike the other two sports, you know, team

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Speaker 1: sports and baseball and basketball, because of the contract setup,

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Speaker 1: for the most part, there is a very very small

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Speaker 1: personage of players on scholarship, and as we have seen

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Speaker 1: over the years, even the players on quote unquote scholarships

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Speaker 1: because they're contracts are enormous, doesn't hold much weight when

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Speaker 1: you're losing. And the thing in football is and this

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Speaker 1: is cool. So many guys, random guys, right late round

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Speaker 1: draft picks, undrafted free agents, guys who have bounced around

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Speaker 1: on practice squads make the fifty three man roster. And

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Speaker 1: that is an incredible accomplishment to go into Week one

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Speaker 1: on the fifty three man roster. But you do have

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Speaker 1: to keep your spot because in this league, and trust me,

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Speaker 1: for three years in the NFL, well, I guess the

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Speaker 1: two I worked in the office. I printed out the

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Speaker 1: waiver wire every single day and handed that thing out.

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Speaker 1: And as the season goes, obviously when people get injured,

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Speaker 1: you have to make transactions. But people will get waived,

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Speaker 1: people will get benched, and people will get cut because

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Speaker 1: they have been benched constantly throughout the season, and it

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Speaker 1: usually happens obviously could happen after or wins. If remember Belichick,

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Speaker 1: the one duo is late to a meeting. I mean,

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Speaker 1: there are specific instances, but when you play poorly, especially

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Speaker 1: when you're not making a lot of money, your job

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Speaker 1: is always in jeopardy. So just because you make the

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Speaker 1: fifty three man roster, if you make it and you're

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Speaker 1: the starting right tackle, you're the starting middle linebacker, the

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Speaker 1: starting safety or the starting slot, wide receiver, slot corner.

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Speaker 1: You start playing crappy, you not only will get benched,

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Speaker 1: you might get cut and maybe they want you on

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Speaker 1: the practice squad, but your spot on the big roster

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Speaker 1: can go, Sayinara in one game, and definitely over the

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Speaker 1: course of a couple games when that team is losing,

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Speaker 1: because especially this early in the season, you know position

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Speaker 1: coaches or coordinators are not going to get fired yet,

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Speaker 1: but players will be sent home right like you're no

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Speaker 1: longer starting for us, or you're no longer rotating in.

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Speaker 1: We're cutting you to make a spot for another guy,

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Speaker 1: to see if that guy's any better. And that's going

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Speaker 1: to start happy after this week, because when teams lose,

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Speaker 1: changes are made, and I think when you look at

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Speaker 1: the schedule, there are I got a little implosion watch

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Speaker 1: that I'm keeping an eye on. First and foremost, we

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Speaker 1: talked about the scholarship. Daniel Jones makes a lot of money,

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Speaker 1: but can you afford to look awful against the Vikings,

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Speaker 1: get your ass kicked and then play Washington who is

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Speaker 1: not very good, who has a rookie quarterback and keep

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Speaker 1: losing and keep your job now even if they look

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Speaker 1: bad again, and he plays bad. Do I think he'll

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Speaker 1: get benched week three? I would probably bet against it.

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Speaker 1: But the one thing is when there is momentum and

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Speaker 1: people start talking, fans start talking, you can you know

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Speaker 1: the owners thinking it. There's this negative emotional avalanche that

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Speaker 1: starts rolling down the hill and it's clear where everything

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Speaker 1: is headed. And once that starts, the only way to

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Speaker 1: stop it. Like in real life, there's no stopping one

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Speaker 1: of those avalanches. It just either stops on its own

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Speaker 1: or takes everything out. In football, you better win a

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Speaker 1: game and play well because if you don't those they're

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Speaker 1: eventually gonna make a move. And the margin for air

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Speaker 1: with this player, because all the previous negativity couldn't be

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Speaker 1: any higher. So Daniel Jones better play well, and he

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Speaker 1: better play well fast. And if you're Brian day Ball

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Speaker 1: like you, it feels like you're coaching for your job

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Speaker 1: a little bit. So that's gonna be a fascinating thing

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Speaker 1: to watch. I like the Giants this weekend, and I

403
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Speaker 1: feel disgusting doing that, but I'm no dummy. Very possible

404
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Speaker 1: they lose, very possible. Daniel Jones. I don't care whether

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Speaker 1: he's playing Dion Sanders or the worst secondary in the

406
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Speaker 1: league can throw pick sixes at any moment, could be

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Speaker 1: trouble one team. And this is it was evident the

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Speaker 1: other night on Monday Night football and it's like, oh,

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Speaker 1: they're playing one of the best teams. That wasn't the point.

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Speaker 1: It was how little effort it felt like they were

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Speaker 1: land with. It was like, how little adjustments it felt

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Speaker 1: like they have in their back pocket. And I think

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Speaker 1: the thing with the Jets is you look at most

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Speaker 1: of the good teams in the NFL. They've been playing

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Speaker 1: together for a while. So part of just playing football

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Speaker 1: you're gonna have some bad weeks. You actually learn a

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Speaker 1: lot from that as a group, as individual units offense

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Speaker 1: and defense, how hard you get coached that week, the

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Speaker 1: changes you make, and obviously the successes you have as

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Speaker 1: a group. Right, look at the forty nine Ers and

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs that they've been playing together for half a

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Speaker 1: decade or more. The Ravens, the core of their group

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Speaker 1: has been together for a while. The Lions are now

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Speaker 1: going on four plus years. Is this core? And you

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Speaker 1: look at the Jets, You're like, Aaron's played one game

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Speaker 1: in four plays with all these guys. One game in

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Speaker 1: four plays and a lot of question marks with the

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Speaker 1: coaching staff. Doesn't feel like that many people believe in that.

429
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,359
Speaker 1: I think they got implosion written all over them if

430
00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 1: they don't win this week and everyone in their mother's

431
00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:09,360
Speaker 1: picking them. I think the Titans actually played pretty well

432
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:11,520
Speaker 1: last week, beside a block punt and one of the

433
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 1: worst plays you'll ever see from Will Levis, But that

434
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:18,679
Speaker 1: defense is good. That defense looked really, really physical against

435
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:22,560
Speaker 1: the Bears. I mean, they were embarrassing the Bears and

436
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 1: like I said, rookie quarterback, but they still got Roma Dunesday,

437
00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 1: Keenan Allen, DeAndre Swift, Cole Comet, DJ Moore. That was

438
00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:35,480
Speaker 1: an ass kicking. I like the Bears personnel a lot

439
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 1: more than the Jets in the totality of it. Now.

440
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 1: Rogers is clearly better than Caleb Williams as of today.

441
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:45,919
Speaker 1: But I don't think that's an easy game. And then

442
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,919
Speaker 1: they played the Patriots on Thursday night. You talk about

443
00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 1: kind of a powder keg of just this thing get ugly,

444
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 1: and this thing could get ugly fast. Just better win

445
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 1: this week and last, but not least a lot like

446
00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:01,160
Speaker 1: the Daniel Jones thing. This Isshaun Watson has been going

447
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:05,199
Speaker 1: on for longer, and unlike Daniel Jones, there is this

448
00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:11,040
Speaker 1: whole other element of character, lawsuits, sexual assault, that is

449
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:16,639
Speaker 1: just something that just people are disgusted and tired of. Right, So,

450
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 1: when you play well and you're going through shit, it's

451
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:25,399
Speaker 1: pro sports. It's about winning and losing. It's about making money.

452
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:28,640
Speaker 1: No one cares, but you better win if you're gonna

453
00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:30,880
Speaker 1: get no one caring. The media will, but you don't

454
00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:32,679
Speaker 1: have to listen to them when you're winning. When you

455
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 1: start losing, it's really hard to hide. And that's how

456
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 1: the Browns feel like. They don't get to hide behind success.

457
00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 1: They had it last year and DeShawn was nowhere to

458
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:45,159
Speaker 1: be seen because they put them on injury reserve. Flacco

459
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:46,919
Speaker 1: got to seal all the day. And Flacco is a

460
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 1: great story. It's like, oh, great family man off the couch,

461
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 1: taking us kids to school. It was easy to wrap

462
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:57,400
Speaker 1: your arms around. Deshaun Watson that we saw on Sunday

463
00:25:57,680 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 1: against the Cowboys has kind of been the same guy

464
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:04,240
Speaker 1: I've seen throughout his career since he got traded. Blow

465
00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 1: average does not look good, like the twitch is gone

466
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:11,240
Speaker 1: used to be. Like when you watch a lot you

467
00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:13,879
Speaker 1: watch Jayden Daniels. When he makes a move, You're like, damn,

468
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,680
Speaker 1: he's quick, right. You watch Josh Allen when he moves,

469
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 1: You're like, damn, it's a twitchy athlete. You watch DeShawn,

470
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 1: he just looks like men to me. His athleticism feels

471
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:26,440
Speaker 1: like a shell of himself. And obviously the ability to

472
00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:30,159
Speaker 1: play quarterback does not look good. And the playmaking is

473
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:34,919
Speaker 1: completely gone. So I don't see what's gonna change, like

474
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,240
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you're just gonna find it. Not

475
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,480
Speaker 1: saying you can't like throw a touchdown or whatever, but

476
00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:41,280
Speaker 1: I have a hard time just like, oh yeah, Deshaun

477
00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:44,560
Speaker 1: Watson went twenty four to thirty through three touchdowns. It

478
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 1: was one of the best players of the day. I

479
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:49,920
Speaker 1: think those days are way gone and not coming back.

480
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 1: No one likes this guy, beside David Malgeta, who made

481
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:56,840
Speaker 1: a ton of money off him, and then Deshawn's family,

482
00:26:56,840 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 1: who obviously is probably getting some money too, and his lawyers,

483
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,679
Speaker 1: lawyers making a lot of money after Sean. But in

484
00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:07,640
Speaker 1: terms of Cleveland, the fan base, they gotta be out

485
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 1: and I would imagine and they got to be good company. Man.

486
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,959
Speaker 1: The coaching staff can't be high on this player. Now,

487
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:16,879
Speaker 1: do I think he's gonna get benched week three if

488
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:18,639
Speaker 1: he has a bad game Week two? No, I do not,

489
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 1: But I've started to come around this week of like, yeah,

490
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,640
Speaker 1: this probably ain't gonna last long. How it works the

491
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:30,920
Speaker 1: financial ramifications, I don't know, but I have a hard time.

492
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:36,000
Speaker 1: And we've seen recent examples of Carson Wentz. Now he

493
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:40,280
Speaker 1: got traded. Nobody the XFL wouldn't trade for this guy

494
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:44,920
Speaker 1: right now. Right we saw Russell Wilson get cut. It'd

495
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:49,639
Speaker 1: be more financially punitive because of the numbers. Now there

496
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:51,760
Speaker 1: are ways you can split it up over years, but

497
00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:55,359
Speaker 1: it's still pretty complicated. But I think you kind of

498
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 1: feel that hour glass that sand's going and it's going,

499
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,840
Speaker 1: and I don't know how much is left and how

500
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:04,679
Speaker 1: long they'll just let him just be terrible every week.

501
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 1: So to me, that is something to keep an eye on,

502
00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 1: Like this is a story that feels like it's not

503
00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 1: slowing down. A couple things for Fugazi Friday. I got

504
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:16,440
Speaker 1: this DM and it made me laugh because it made

505
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:21,320
Speaker 1: me think of my grandpa. This is from Coleman Fugazi Friday.

506
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 1: I was sitting on a plane waiting to take off

507
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 1: from Phoenix. The dude next to me pulls out a

508
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:30,719
Speaker 1: used Kleenex from his pocket and blows his nose. That

509
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: part is fine. The gross part is that he put

510
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:38,040
Speaker 1: his tissue back in his pocket, used it over and

511
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 1: over again. I just hate when people reuse the same

512
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:43,640
Speaker 1: tissue and put it in their pocket. It's got to

513
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 1: be a fugazi, right. It's not technically a fugazi, but

514
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:52,120
Speaker 1: it made me laugh. My grandpa would he Woodrow middlkoff rip.

515
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,960
Speaker 1: He came from a generation he was born like in

516
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:59,360
Speaker 1: the Great Depression, fought in World War Two, and I

517
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 1: remember being a little kid and just he was not alone.

518
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 1: They would have like that handkerchief that was like something

519
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,360
Speaker 1: you'd put around like people in Western movies that would

520
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:12,040
Speaker 1: rob banks, would roar around their faces, and you have

521
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:15,080
Speaker 1: it in his pocket. Anytime he needed to blow his nose,

522
00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:18,360
Speaker 1: he'd pull that bad boy out and he was not alone.

523
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 1: Like depending on where you lived, there were a lot

524
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 1: of people, especially older people, that use this move. I

525
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:29,480
Speaker 1: don't think I've seen that move happen in fifteen plus years,

526
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:32,560
Speaker 1: but I do believe, and maybe it's just like when

527
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:36,240
Speaker 1: you grew up, these aren't hard times now and these

528
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 1: listen depending on who you are, how much money you're making,

529
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 1: an inflation. I'm not saying they are always easy times

530
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:42,960
Speaker 1: for everybody, but like you grew up in the Great Depression,

531
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 1: you grew up in the forties, the fifties, life was

532
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 1: a little harder, not debatable, not debatable, And I do

533
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 1: wonder if there was like a scarcity element to that.

534
00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 1: So maybe like this guy's dad did that and it

535
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,200
Speaker 1: has been his go to move. It is disgusting. I'm

536
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 1: more of a fan of the snot rocket. Obviously gotta

537
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:05,400
Speaker 1: be outside to pull that move off. But I couldn't

538
00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:08,920
Speaker 1: even imagine blowing my nose and putting it back in

539
00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:12,240
Speaker 1: my pocket, partly because you'd have to do a perfect fold.

540
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:14,320
Speaker 1: Like what if you had a lot of phlegm and

541
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 1: it gets on your shorts or your jeans or whatever.

542
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 1: It's just disgusting. But I do think that historically, for

543
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 1: a lot of people that grew up of a certain generation,

544
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 1: maybe they didn't have clean out like boxes of Kleenex.

545
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 1: Maybe they were expensive. I don't know, but I he

546
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 1: was not alone with that move. There were a lot

547
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 1: of people that used to pull that out of their

548
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:40,080
Speaker 1: back pocket traditional cable versus Internet. I know what you

549
00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:42,320
Speaker 1: have been harping on this for a while, but there

550
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:45,160
Speaker 1: was a pivotal moment that happened over the weekend that

551
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:48,000
Speaker 1: pushed me to make the switch. I'm a Niners fan

552
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 1: living in North Carolina, and therefore the regional game is

553
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:54,160
Speaker 1: always the Panthers. For the opening week of the season,

554
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 1: the television game at one PM was the Panthers and Saints.

555
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:00,200
Speaker 1: No matter how terrible the score got and how how

556
00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 1: awful the play was, they refused to change it to

557
00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:06,800
Speaker 1: a different game. I felt like Malcolm McDowell and Clockwork Orange,

558
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 1: having my eyes force open to watch the horrors of

559
00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:12,760
Speaker 1: Bryce Young in that offense, never again sharing For those

560
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:16,240
Speaker 1: who were like me and choose the comfort over change.

561
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,480
Speaker 1: YouTube TV is where it's at. Now. Here's the thing.

562
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 1: If I didn't have the NFL package on my YouTube TV,

563
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:26,600
Speaker 1: or you didn't and you were living where you live,

564
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,480
Speaker 1: you only get multiple regional games, So you get whatever

565
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:33,520
Speaker 1: your regional game is, and then, depending on how the

566
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,800
Speaker 1: day is set up, another game because that's a Fox game,

567
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 1: a game on CBS. But you don't get unlimited games

568
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 1: unless you pay for it, which is the Sunday package,

569
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:47,840
Speaker 1: which I gladly pay for. But just because you have

570
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 1: YouTube TV, you can still get put in that predicament.

571
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 1: You are at the control of the network changing the game.

572
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 1: I never understand this, and clearly there are rules and

573
00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 1: you know when it comes to networks, but like, you

574
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 1: get to a point and it doesn't happen that often

575
00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,880
Speaker 1: in the NFL, But the Saints game, I stopped paying

576
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:12,240
Speaker 1: attention after like a couple of minutes in the third quarter.

577
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,480
Speaker 1: It was so over and there were other games going

578
00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:18,040
Speaker 1: on in the NFC that you know, people want to

579
00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:22,280
Speaker 1: watch or just that are more interesting. Now. I I

580
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 1: also struggle, like understand if I was running a network.

581
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:28,680
Speaker 1: It's one thing that this was baseball and you play

582
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,240
Speaker 1: one hundreds. You only play seventeen of these, so you

583
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:33,240
Speaker 1: don't get that many bites of the apple to watch

584
00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 1: a team. Now it's not exactly like this is the

585
00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboy. You're talking about the Carolina Panthers. But I

586
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:41,960
Speaker 1: hear you. But just know this, if you get YouTube TV,

587
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 1: you don't just automatically get all the games like you

588
00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 1: have to purchase that, which should be an easy purchase

589
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:52,000
Speaker 1: if you're a football fan. I get a lot of

590
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,440
Speaker 1: this because obviously getting married and you know about six

591
00:32:55,480 --> 00:33:01,920
Speaker 1: months about the fugazi of wedding costs, and I'll go

592
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 1: back to the vet thing, like the vet thing. My

593
00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 1: issue with that is it's like I can't speak to

594
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:11,040
Speaker 1: my dog. So the dogs being sick and she's just battled.

595
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 1: I mean she is, She's a tough little dog. She

596
00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 1: beat the disease. I think feels normal now, but like

597
00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:22,800
Speaker 1: the communications impossible. Even with human health care, at least

598
00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:25,840
Speaker 1: the individual can say like that that's not right, I

599
00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 1: don't feel that, or something's off. You gotta check this.

600
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:32,240
Speaker 1: The dog's helpless. It can only bark and lick, right,

601
00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:34,800
Speaker 1: So the wedding, I get a lot of this, like

602
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:37,960
Speaker 1: how crazy your wedding costs? Well, everything costs her high.

603
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:41,640
Speaker 1: So someone hit me up like what's the cheapest budget

604
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:45,120
Speaker 1: non courthouse, which was my idea but got shot down fast.

605
00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 1: You've ever seen for a wedding that's successfully execute. I

606
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:51,880
Speaker 1: think the thing with other people getting married, unless you're

607
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,480
Speaker 1: really close friends with them or they're a family member,

608
00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 1: it's not like you brag or really promote what you

609
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:03,400
Speaker 1: spent on the wedding. Everyone just kind of knows it's expensive, right,

610
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:06,240
Speaker 1: and depending on how many people you have. Right, We're

611
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:09,560
Speaker 1: trying to do a smaller wedding, and it's still gonna

612
00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,040
Speaker 1: like what's the budget for your own wedding. There's not

613
00:34:12,080 --> 00:34:16,440
Speaker 1: like a specific budget, but I mean had a ballpark.

614
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:20,279
Speaker 1: You know, we're going to Nashville. I don't know. We

615
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:23,439
Speaker 1: hope like fifty grand, probably end up being seventy five.

616
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:26,480
Speaker 1: But again, we're doing a smaller wedding. You know, there

617
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:29,279
Speaker 1: might be sixty people there. Like I said, I would

618
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:30,919
Speaker 1: have been cool with going to the courthouse. I'm about

619
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: to be forty years old. I didn't need it, but

620
00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:35,840
Speaker 1: I do understand the importance of it, not just for

621
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:40,200
Speaker 1: her but for family. So I've not only come around

622
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:44,279
Speaker 1: like I want to do it, but like she's very

623
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:48,479
Speaker 1: hands on with this. The costs are high. I mean

624
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,919
Speaker 1: I'm talking non the venue. I mean, we're getting married

625
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:56,239
Speaker 1: the four seasons, but the actual venue actually wasn't that expensive.

626
00:34:57,080 --> 00:35:00,600
Speaker 1: It really wasn't, especially because maybe it's just Nashville is

627
00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:03,520
Speaker 1: different than like Los Angeles or Scottsdale or New York

628
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:07,720
Speaker 1: or whatever in terms of price. But where they really

629
00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 1: get you is like the flowers I mean the price

630
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:14,480
Speaker 1: of flowers, but like whatever the price was. When you

631
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:16,279
Speaker 1: hear some of these numbers, like if you know someone

632
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:18,840
Speaker 1: like Eyah, we spent sixty grand on a wedding in

633
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:22,120
Speaker 1: twenty sixteen, Well it's not really comparable. It's like, yeah,

634
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:26,640
Speaker 1: I bought this car for forty grand twenty fourteen. Well yeah,

635
00:35:26,640 --> 00:35:30,000
Speaker 1: that car now is seventy nine thousand dollars. So it's

636
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:33,000
Speaker 1: like you can't you do with housing all the time, Like, God,

637
00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:36,000
Speaker 1: you bought that house for four hundred grand. Yeah, well

638
00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:40,080
Speaker 1: it's twenty ten. One of the craziest financial crisis in

639
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 1: the history of the world just happened. So like it's

640
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:48,200
Speaker 1: not apples to apples, so I don't get as angry

641
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,120
Speaker 1: like I do. Like every time I go to Starbucks,

642
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,279
Speaker 1: in our orders just two large cole brews, I get

643
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 1: half an alf she gets a little cold foam sometimes.

644
00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 1: You know, I'd like I make coffee most mornings, but

645
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:01,279
Speaker 1: everyone while just like, you know what, I just want

646
00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:03,040
Speaker 1: a Starbucks cole brew. Get in the car, like six

647
00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:05,680
Speaker 1: or fifteen in the morning, go there. The line's always long,

648
00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 1: and then they hand me the thing and it's like

649
00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 1: sixteen dollars and it's like, listen, you're working. I can't

650
00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:17,160
Speaker 1: tip you. Though if you told me my two co

651
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:20,959
Speaker 1: col brews were I don't know, seven dollars and fifty cents,

652
00:36:20,960 --> 00:36:22,480
Speaker 1: I'd have no problem just giving you a ten and

653
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:24,320
Speaker 1: telling you to keep it. But when you're handing me

654
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,479
Speaker 1: to Cole Bruce for seventeen dollars or whatever it turns

655
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:29,959
Speaker 1: out to be every morning, like I feel zero shame

656
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 1: tipping where like I do get the wedding, like I

657
00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:37,320
Speaker 1: haven't been turned off, but the flowers are kind of crazy,

658
00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 1: But everything else I kind of go, Yeah, it's just

659
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:42,759
Speaker 1: no matter what you do now, you're a new air conditioner,

660
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:45,840
Speaker 1: you need to get your house painted, you need whatever.

661
00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:50,560
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, buying clothes, you name it. Everything

662
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:53,080
Speaker 1: is dramatically more you in a weird way. You just

663
00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:55,960
Speaker 1: kind of be able to come numb to it and

664
00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:58,200
Speaker 1: just try to figure out either a way around it

665
00:36:58,960 --> 00:37:01,799
Speaker 1: or hit up as many people. I would say, the

666
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:05,560
Speaker 1: best part about twenty twenty four is it's never been

667
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:09,320
Speaker 1: easier to like source or crowd source. Right, So it's like, okay,

668
00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 1: you're offering me, let's just pick a number. You're telling

669
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:15,759
Speaker 1: me the flowers are gonna be ten thousand dollars. Just

670
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 1: pick it in the even number. Well, I'm gonna hit

671
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:20,279
Speaker 1: up ten more people and see what i can find.

672
00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:22,600
Speaker 1: And I'll promise you, if you're willing to do the work,

673
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:26,160
Speaker 1: you find someone that will give you the same thing

674
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 1: for six two hundred dollars. So you've always had the

675
00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 1: Yellow Pages or whatever, but it's never been easier with Instagram, DMS, Internet,

676
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 1: like you can find a lot of options. Takes effort

677
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:41,520
Speaker 1: and take some time. But I think, and I've said

678
00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:45,720
Speaker 1: this forever, like the difference of my generation and my parents' generation.

679
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 1: My parents would use the same people for every task,

680
00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 1: no matter what it was, Like they would go to

681
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 1: the same car wash my entire life. They would have

682
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:56,319
Speaker 1: the same people if they needed, you know, wanted to

683
00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:58,960
Speaker 1: remodel something. They would use that same guy for everything

684
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 1: they ever did, whether there's good, there was like very

685
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:04,040
Speaker 1: loyal that you know people older people were just very loyal.

686
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:06,759
Speaker 1: You just used to use I'll usually if you suck

687
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,960
Speaker 1: get a new guy. I went through three landscapers. I'm like,

688
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:11,920
Speaker 1: this guy's kind of fucking me, and you're like, oh,

689
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,400
Speaker 1: this guy's kind of screwing me too. Because you just

690
00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 1: kind of ask around. You're like, God, they're charging you what?

691
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:21,200
Speaker 1: And you just things change quick And I would say

692
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:25,239
Speaker 1: the ease in which you can find different options. Now,

693
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:28,040
Speaker 1: you've always been able to find different options, but it's

694
00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:31,360
Speaker 1: never been easier to contact those options, I would say,

695
00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:34,400
Speaker 1: and just find more options that might not have been

696
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:36,360
Speaker 1: the phone book or whatever, just because of the Internet.

697
00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:39,720
Speaker 1: So that's been using that, not me. I haven't done anything,

698
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:52,920
Speaker 1: to be honest with you, but she has just takes effort. Okay,

699
00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 1: back at it again with my main man, Sucky from

700
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:59,920
Speaker 1: the Action Network Action Network podcast. I was actually watching

701
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:04,040
Speaker 1: last night on YouTube laying in bed. He had some

702
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:08,440
Speaker 1: takes that I'm interested to hear and big bets on

703
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:12,040
Speaker 1: campus the college slate. I got one game. Maybe we

704
00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 1: can hit at the end, but it's not. Sometimes these

705
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 1: early weeks, the first two weeks you get some good matchups.

706
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:22,680
Speaker 1: This week's kind of nah. But the NFL, even the

707
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 1: first couple of weeks on paper doesn't look that great.

708
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:28,839
Speaker 1: But whatever, it's the NFL. I know, Stucky, you have

709
00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:35,080
Speaker 1: some great nuggets in terms of week two, the overreactions,

710
00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:38,080
Speaker 1: the stats on teams to get their ass kicked on

711
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 1: teams that lose because this is always a big swing

712
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:44,880
Speaker 1: week because I hate it when people like don't overreact, Well,

713
00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:46,719
Speaker 1: we only have one game sample size to go out.

714
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:48,160
Speaker 1: What were we supposed to do? Just pretend the game

715
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:51,160
Speaker 1: didn't happen, Like, oh yeah, de Shan Watson might be okay, No,

716
00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 1: he might not be. You know, the Giants and the

717
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:56,640
Speaker 1: Panthers have sucked for a while. But gambling, you gotta

718
00:39:56,680 --> 00:40:00,160
Speaker 1: be careful with that, especially when we're talking points spreads. Uh,

719
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,360
Speaker 1: just week two, the vibes going into week two for

720
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:06,360
Speaker 1: you trends you look forward to.

721
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:12,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, the college slide is not great. I mean

722
00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 3: I every Saturday and Sunday from the start of football

723
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:19,880
Speaker 3: season to the end. I mean I'm either on my

724
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 3: couch or a bar from noon until three in the morning.

725
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:26,560
Speaker 3: But you know, if you're if you're not like me

726
00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:30,000
Speaker 3: and you have a significant other that's been hounding you

727
00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:34,520
Speaker 3: to spend more quality time on a Saturday, this would

728
00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:35,799
Speaker 3: be the one if you had a pick to like,

729
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:39,560
Speaker 3: sneak out and do something and then you know, get

730
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:41,839
Speaker 3: some brownie points to the rest of the season because

731
00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:43,320
Speaker 3: the rest of the Saturday is gonna be good with

732
00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:46,440
Speaker 3: this one. I mean game days, game days in Columbia

733
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:52,680
Speaker 3: for uh, South Carolina LSU. That's that. That tells you

734
00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:55,880
Speaker 3: all you need to know Kentuck Georgia comes to Kentucky.

735
00:40:56,280 --> 00:40:59,719
Speaker 3: I was hoping Kentucky didn't get completely blown out last

736
00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:03,759
Speaker 3: week against South Carolina was embarrassing game. I thought game

737
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,120
Speaker 3: Day was gonna come here. I was potentially gonna go

738
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 3: to the game on Saturday night. Kentucky twenty four point underdogs.

739
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:13,799
Speaker 3: It was ugly. But yeah, not the greatest college football slate.

740
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:16,839
Speaker 3: But when before I get to the NFI, I will say,

741
00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:19,560
Speaker 3: whenever you think that the college football slate though, isn't good,

742
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,440
Speaker 3: then it ends up being chaotic. So who knows. You know,

743
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:25,799
Speaker 3: last week he saw Northern Illinois beat Notre Dame. You

744
00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:27,839
Speaker 3: might have a you'll have a couple of upsets that

745
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:29,439
Speaker 3: no one sees coming this week.

746
00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:32,080
Speaker 1: But yeah, NFL we two. Is that one of the

747
00:41:32,080 --> 00:41:35,760
Speaker 1: biggest underdogs to win in a long time in college Yeah.

748
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 3: I think in like two to three years. I remember

749
00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:47,920
Speaker 3: the biggest that I can remember one year, this was

750
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:51,200
Speaker 3: like ten plus years ago. Stanford beat UFC one year

751
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:53,040
Speaker 3: is like forty point underdogs.

752
00:41:53,080 --> 00:41:53,520
Speaker 1: It was hard.

753
00:41:54,040 --> 00:41:59,000
Speaker 3: First year yeah, the biggest that I can remember the week.

754
00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:01,319
Speaker 3: It was a weird one. And this is like three

755
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:06,280
Speaker 3: or four years ago. UNLV lost to Howard, an FCS

756
00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:10,520
Speaker 3: team in the opener. They were forty five point underdogs,

757
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,880
Speaker 3: but twenty eight and a half. Yeah, it's rare, so

758
00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:18,000
Speaker 3: it'll probably be I mean, touch fotball is a lot weirder.

759
00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 3: Now if all the roster turnover, maybe you get another

760
00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 3: huge one, but it'll probably be the biggest upset of

761
00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:28,640
Speaker 3: the season from a point spread perspective, you know, something

762
00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:30,440
Speaker 3: that happens like once every couple of years. So yeah,

763
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:30,640
Speaker 3: it was.

764
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 1: It wouldn't have been on the level. But there were

765
00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 1: two games I did a little like just one hundred

766
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:39,319
Speaker 1: dollars parlay on all the huge favorites and none of

767
00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 1: them covered. I mean, Alabama usf owns them. But Boise

768
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:47,240
Speaker 1: was almost a twenty point favorite or I mean underdog,

769
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:50,480
Speaker 1: and they easily could have won that game. Justin Houston,

770
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:54,920
Speaker 1: who looked I mean atrocious Week one gave Oklahoma everything

771
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:55,640
Speaker 1: they could handle.

772
00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:57,360
Speaker 3: That was suerly.

773
00:42:57,480 --> 00:42:59,560
Speaker 1: That line was like twenty four or twenty five, so

774
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:02,960
Speaker 1: I mean you they were obviously Notre Dame lost the game,

775
00:43:03,040 --> 00:43:05,560
Speaker 1: but there were other teams holding on for dear life.

776
00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:10,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I argue Boise States should have beat Oregon. Oregon

777
00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:14,319
Speaker 3: had two special teams touchdowns in that game. Without that,

778
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:18,239
Speaker 3: they they should have lost. Gent was amazing. I think

779
00:43:18,239 --> 00:43:21,080
Speaker 3: he's the best back in the country. And I think

780
00:43:21,120 --> 00:43:25,120
Speaker 3: that Houston arguably should have won too. Oklahoma, but they

781
00:43:25,120 --> 00:43:28,439
Speaker 3: got They played TWU Lane this week and they got

782
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 3: Tennessee and that defensive line. But next week and their

783
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:34,240
Speaker 3: offensive line is a mess. I mean, they're down their center,

784
00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:36,800
Speaker 3: they're tackle their backup center. They're playing another kid was

785
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:41,279
Speaker 3: one arm, not literally one arms, but he basically has

786
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:46,080
Speaker 3: one healthy arm. They reset their entire off there. They

787
00:43:46,080 --> 00:43:48,040
Speaker 3: lost all five starters and their offensive line from that year,

788
00:43:48,080 --> 00:43:50,840
Speaker 3: so their offense line is a mess. They've had receivers hurt.

789
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:55,279
Speaker 3: So yeah, but yeah, we could have had a couple

790
00:43:55,360 --> 00:44:00,240
Speaker 3: other ones easily last weekend. But transition to the NFL

791
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:03,440
Speaker 3: Week two. It's one of my favorites every year, and

792
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 3: you know it's sober reaction week, and but you now

793
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:09,760
Speaker 3: that you have to you have to balance. You can't

794
00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:12,919
Speaker 3: just say, oh, all the teams that looked bad, I'm

795
00:44:12,960 --> 00:44:16,360
Speaker 3: just gonna bet them, and then all the teams that

796
00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:18,400
Speaker 3: looked really good, I'm going to fade them. You have

797
00:44:18,440 --> 00:44:21,240
Speaker 3: to balance, and this is true in every sport, especially

798
00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 3: when you're setting power ratings and like setting your own numbers.

799
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:26,400
Speaker 3: You have to balance. Okay, what am I going to

800
00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:29,400
Speaker 3: overreact to? Because you want to you want to be

801
00:44:29,560 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 3: reactive in certain cases. And then what am I not

802
00:44:31,680 --> 00:44:34,000
Speaker 3: because the sample size is so small? So what are

803
00:44:34,040 --> 00:44:37,120
Speaker 3: some extenuating curcumstances? Was it a bad matchup or their injuries?

804
00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:41,200
Speaker 3: You know, I was there a lot of a lot

805
00:44:41,239 --> 00:44:43,239
Speaker 3: of turnover on the roster, where like, okay, it makes

806
00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:45,640
Speaker 3: sense that maybe the quarterback didn't play in the preseason,

807
00:44:45,719 --> 00:44:47,080
Speaker 3: so there was rushed and there was a lot of

808
00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:49,920
Speaker 3: moving pieces and a new staff so maybe, hey, let

809
00:44:50,000 --> 00:44:52,879
Speaker 3: me not overreact too much here. So but and then

810
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:56,680
Speaker 3: it comes down to the number. But big picture, you know,

811
00:44:56,680 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 3: if you look historically underdogs in Week two like fifty

812
00:44:59,640 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 3: five fifty six percent, it's the best dog week of

813
00:45:03,680 --> 00:45:07,839
Speaker 3: any week. If you bet dogs that lost in Week one,

814
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:11,520
Speaker 3: you're looking fifty seven to fifty eight percent, home dogs

815
00:45:11,560 --> 00:45:14,719
Speaker 3: that lost like sixty percent. Those are big numbers in

816
00:45:14,760 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 3: the NFL. So yeah, I look for I like to

817
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:27,840
Speaker 3: look for underdogs that might be undervalued for various reasons.

818
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:31,799
Speaker 3: A perfect example of one where I did overreact, but

819
00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:36,000
Speaker 3: not as much as the market did, because I played

820
00:45:36,000 --> 00:45:41,680
Speaker 3: the Panthers last weekend. Probably the worst bet that I'll

821
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:46,240
Speaker 3: ever make in the NFL. Yeah, well, and but the NFL,

822
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:51,399
Speaker 3: it's in college football, college basketball. There's every weekend, every day,

823
00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:54,600
Speaker 3: like every Saturday. I can turn on a game with him.

824
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:56,919
Speaker 3: In ten minutes, I'm like, oh, I have the wrong

825
00:45:56,960 --> 00:45:59,239
Speaker 3: I have the wrong side here. That really happens in

826
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 3: the NFL with the Voinds spreader, Like it's you know

827
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:04,120
Speaker 3: you're gonna be a back and forth game, it's a turnover,

828
00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:06,560
Speaker 3: it's a play here, play there. You rarely are like,

829
00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:10,279
Speaker 3: oh my god, I have the wrong side. I mean

830
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:14,520
Speaker 3: Bryce Young's first pass was picked off. So and they

831
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:16,800
Speaker 3: look the Panthers looked torendous. They couldn't get any pressure

832
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:19,160
Speaker 3: with the Saints offensive line, so Car tore them apart.

833
00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:21,800
Speaker 3: I think they only had two pressures, and the Saints

834
00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:23,360
Speaker 3: offense line look good. I think they'll just might have

835
00:46:23,400 --> 00:46:26,000
Speaker 3: been a product of the Panthers. We'll see. Big big

836
00:46:26,040 --> 00:46:29,280
Speaker 3: thing that I'm watching for this week is the Saints

837
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:32,040
Speaker 3: offensive line against the Cowboys. The Cowboys team that can

838
00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:34,240
Speaker 3: get pressure from all over, it's a much better defense.

839
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:36,520
Speaker 3: Because if that Saints offensive line looks good in Dallas,

840
00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:40,520
Speaker 3: we have to start taking them much more serious because

841
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:43,399
Speaker 3: their offense, like we talked about last week, I think

842
00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:48,839
Speaker 3: thirty percent more play action, forty percent more pre stat motion,

843
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:51,920
Speaker 3: you have that Shanahan influence. Now it's a much more

844
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:55,800
Speaker 3: serious offensive coordinator. Good things, good modern things for that offense.

845
00:46:56,480 --> 00:46:59,279
Speaker 3: And you know Car's whole career numbers fall off when

846
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:03,359
Speaker 3: he's under pressure, but he's great when he's kept clean.

847
00:47:03,400 --> 00:47:05,680
Speaker 3: So if that offensive line, you know, and they have

848
00:47:05,760 --> 00:47:09,879
Speaker 3: weapons with that new modern offense and more preset motion,

849
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:12,799
Speaker 3: more plaction, very encouraging signs for the Saints. But the

850
00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:17,520
Speaker 3: Panthers were so bad. They did nothing well, there's nothing

851
00:47:17,520 --> 00:47:19,560
Speaker 3: that the offensive line did play a little better, but

852
00:47:19,640 --> 00:47:23,400
Speaker 3: Young just looked so lost and there was no progression.

853
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:25,120
Speaker 3: There was none of the things I thought from the

854
00:47:25,160 --> 00:47:31,160
Speaker 3: offensive staff too with canals. So but I'm gonna bet

855
00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:35,320
Speaker 3: them this week. I'm hoping to get a seven. The reason, well, first,

856
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:38,719
Speaker 3: almost always in the NFL, the biggest overreaction spot and

857
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:44,560
Speaker 3: this isn't just unique to Week two. Whenever our team

858
00:47:44,600 --> 00:47:48,120
Speaker 3: loses by more than thirty five points in the NFL, yeah,

859
00:47:48,440 --> 00:47:51,279
Speaker 3: sixty three percent historically talking about it, sample size about

860
00:47:51,280 --> 00:47:54,680
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty games, covering by about a field

861
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:58,880
Speaker 3: goal per game on average, underdogs sixty thirty and five

862
00:47:59,040 --> 00:48:03,520
Speaker 3: against the spread. Underdogs of more than four coming off

863
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 3: of a loss of thirty five or more points forty eight,

864
00:48:06,680 --> 00:48:10,400
Speaker 3: eighteen and two seventy three percent over the past thirty years.

865
00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:14,640
Speaker 3: So what why am I saying those stats? Well, it's

866
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,879
Speaker 3: for a number of reasons. One in this you're seeing

867
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,000
Speaker 3: this play out now. When a team loses by more

868
00:48:20,040 --> 00:48:23,239
Speaker 3: than thirty five in the NFL, it's not too common. One,

869
00:48:23,320 --> 00:48:24,799
Speaker 3: No one wants to bet that team the next week.

870
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:26,560
Speaker 3: They just looked so bad. Who wants to put their

871
00:48:26,600 --> 00:48:30,160
Speaker 3: money on that team that just lost. So the market

872
00:48:30,320 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 3: is going to react pretty aggressively, and you're not. You

873
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:34,440
Speaker 3: might not have a lot of buyback.

874
00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:36,879
Speaker 1: On the other side, what doesn't happen very often until

875
00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:38,879
Speaker 1: it is pretty jarring to see a number that big.

876
00:48:39,000 --> 00:48:41,680
Speaker 3: Yes, but on the on the flip side, these are

877
00:48:41,760 --> 00:48:46,000
Speaker 3: still professional athletes. Like as bad as the Panthers are

878
00:48:46,160 --> 00:48:48,600
Speaker 3: are the probably going to get that team's Yeah, they

879
00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 3: might be right to ask that, but you're probably gonna

880
00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 3: get their best effort right after getting embarrassed like that,

881
00:48:54,120 --> 00:48:58,160
Speaker 3: They're probably going to have a fully focused, motivated especially

882
00:48:58,160 --> 00:49:00,800
Speaker 3: early on in the season practice. And then it also

883
00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:06,319
Speaker 3: encourages change. So the Panthers will say, whoever, the team

884
00:49:06,360 --> 00:49:09,600
Speaker 3: might be all right, look we got we lost by forty. Well,

885
00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:12,080
Speaker 3: nothing that we did worked. Let's do this right. So

886
00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 3: it introduces some uniqueness to the game plan that the

887
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 3: other team might not be prepared for. You might, you know,

888
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:20,279
Speaker 3: change some things up that didn't work, so you're more

889
00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:24,080
Speaker 3: likely to have success. So I downgraded the Panthers significantly.

890
00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:25,239
Speaker 3: I thought they were going to improve this year. I

891
00:49:25,239 --> 00:49:27,240
Speaker 3: didn't really see it. They lost their best defensive lineman,

892
00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:30,880
Speaker 3: Derek Brown, with the season. That's a big loss. Couldn't

893
00:49:30,880 --> 00:49:34,239
Speaker 3: get any pressure. So but it's you know, a new

894
00:49:34,239 --> 00:49:37,040
Speaker 3: offensive staff and I look, the look ahead line for

895
00:49:37,120 --> 00:49:40,560
Speaker 3: this game was around a pick and now you're talking

896
00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:43,359
Speaker 3: six to seven. That's a massive man, I can get

897
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:46,839
Speaker 3: to like four because the charters didn't really look great.

898
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,640
Speaker 3: They the first half, they had drives of five yards

899
00:49:49,640 --> 00:49:52,520
Speaker 3: and five yards. They got a bunch of turnovers from

900
00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:54,440
Speaker 3: I mean, Minshaw at one point just dropped the ball,

901
00:49:56,040 --> 00:49:58,719
Speaker 3: and you know, Antonio Pierce was making some crazy fourth

902
00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:01,400
Speaker 3: down decisions. The only they had a couple of Dobbins

903
00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:04,040
Speaker 3: broken off runs Like that's basically what the offense said.

904
00:50:04,040 --> 00:50:06,040
Speaker 3: They don't have great receivers. It's a team that wants

905
00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:09,120
Speaker 3: to like run the ball, grind the game down. For

906
00:50:09,280 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 3: the reason this total is thirty nine. So you're looking

907
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:14,840
Speaker 3: at a home dog and you're a touchdown. I just

908
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:19,359
Speaker 3: I just can't get to this number. What what x'es

909
00:50:19,400 --> 00:50:20,200
Speaker 3: and o's can I get you?

910
00:50:20,239 --> 00:50:20,480
Speaker 1: I don't.

911
00:50:20,520 --> 00:50:22,239
Speaker 3: I don't know what can I What can I tell

912
00:50:22,280 --> 00:50:24,520
Speaker 3: you that it's great about the Panthers? I after last week,

913
00:50:24,560 --> 00:50:26,600
Speaker 3: I can't. But I just can't get to this number,

914
00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:28,600
Speaker 3: especially if it gets the seven. So I'm hoping, like

915
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:31,839
Speaker 3: there's just apparently non stop Chargers money and I don't

916
00:50:31,920 --> 00:50:33,840
Speaker 3: I don't think about your average better. Who wants to

917
00:50:33,880 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 3: bet the Panthers after what they saw last week?

918
00:50:36,080 --> 00:50:37,719
Speaker 1: Nobody. It's one of it's one of the best parts

919
00:50:37,719 --> 00:50:39,719
Speaker 1: about gambling. Sometimes you're just like, I just got I

920
00:50:40,000 --> 00:50:42,160
Speaker 1: just this is what I'm playing. I mean, the stats

921
00:50:42,160 --> 00:50:45,480
Speaker 1: aren't on my side, but especially early on in the season. Well,

922
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:48,719
Speaker 1: let let's you brought up the Saints and all these

923
00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:51,279
Speaker 1: lines presented by DraftKings. Obviously they can change over the

924
00:50:51,280 --> 00:50:53,759
Speaker 1: next couple of days, but they were a team you

925
00:50:53,800 --> 00:50:55,800
Speaker 1: and I talked about kind of in the season preview.

926
00:50:56,080 --> 00:50:58,440
Speaker 1: I loved them. I just the value to win the

927
00:50:58,440 --> 00:51:02,160
Speaker 1: division at one, you get him to make the playoffs.

928
00:51:02,239 --> 00:51:06,600
Speaker 1: I think it was like plus one seventy and clearly

929
00:51:06,680 --> 00:51:09,080
Speaker 1: the Panthers are probably a three or four win team

930
00:51:09,120 --> 00:51:12,239
Speaker 1: at best, but doesn't mean they can't cover spreads over

931
00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:14,880
Speaker 1: the year. But the Saints fucking destroyed them. And the

932
00:51:14,920 --> 00:51:17,480
Speaker 1: reason I like them one, I think their defense is

933
00:51:17,520 --> 00:51:20,520
Speaker 1: good and it's gonna be solid. Like you have valid

934
00:51:20,600 --> 00:51:23,480
Speaker 1: question marks when when Derek gets rattled, he's not exactly

935
00:51:23,520 --> 00:51:26,760
Speaker 1: like Andrew Luck sitting in the pocket taking shots, delivering strikes.

936
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:31,840
Speaker 1: But this offense is very quarterback friendly. So you hire Kubiak,

937
00:51:32,239 --> 00:51:35,160
Speaker 1: who I continue to say, might as well they that

938
00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:37,600
Speaker 1: family and now his sons are all you know in

939
00:51:37,640 --> 00:51:40,080
Speaker 1: the NFL. Once for Kyle and now wants the offensive coordinator.

940
00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:43,360
Speaker 1: They might as well just be renamed the Shanahans because

941
00:51:43,640 --> 00:51:47,920
Speaker 1: Gary played for Mike, Kyle worked for Gary. They're all

942
00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 1: the same. They run the same philosophically, the offense that,

943
00:51:52,200 --> 00:51:56,080
Speaker 1: like mcveigh's offense, has changed, right, the Kubiaks is Kyle,

944
00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:58,920
Speaker 1: because Kyle is the Kubiaks. They're all in one and

945
00:51:59,040 --> 00:52:01,560
Speaker 1: this is very quarter back friendly and Derek looked really good.

946
00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:04,000
Speaker 1: The other thing is in that offense, you got to

947
00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:06,239
Speaker 1: run the ball, as we saw what with Kyle over

948
00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:08,319
Speaker 1: the last five years. That's how you get successful, and

949
00:52:08,320 --> 00:52:11,279
Speaker 1: it was made him successful as an offensive coordinator. No

950
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:14,480
Speaker 1: team has more invested into the running back room than

951
00:52:14,520 --> 00:52:17,719
Speaker 1: the Saints. I like him. So now maybe over the

952
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:20,000
Speaker 1: course of the season, I'll be proven wrong. But right now, like,

953
00:52:20,080 --> 00:52:23,120
Speaker 1: I feel pretty good and I'm getting six points, like

954
00:52:23,200 --> 00:52:25,400
Speaker 1: that's that's a lot. Now. Dallas look good too. I

955
00:52:25,440 --> 00:52:28,120
Speaker 1: mean they both kicked ass and obviously Dallas a very

956
00:52:28,200 --> 00:52:32,360
Speaker 1: very public team. But I'm a hammering the six because

957
00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:34,520
Speaker 1: just I liked him to begin with. They look good.

958
00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:36,760
Speaker 1: Dallas good too. What if these are just two playoff teams,

959
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:38,560
Speaker 1: which I thought, I mean, I thought Dallas was gonna

960
00:52:38,560 --> 00:52:40,600
Speaker 1: be good, so I wasn't shocked to see Dallas. My

961
00:52:40,719 --> 00:52:44,400
Speaker 1: problem last week is I I didn't bet individual. I

962
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:47,680
Speaker 1: had a lot of parlays, Like I liked Tampa against Washington.

963
00:52:47,680 --> 00:52:50,120
Speaker 1: I think Washington stinks. I like New Orleans against Carolina.

964
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 1: I think Carolina stinks. I took Dallas money line put

965
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:56,320
Speaker 1: the Jags and Doug Peterson just I mean, what a disaster.

966
00:52:56,760 --> 00:53:02,480
Speaker 1: But sit on my couch with my feet up, thinking

967
00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:04,680
Speaker 1: like today's gonna be a good day. But the Saints

968
00:53:04,719 --> 00:53:07,959
Speaker 1: were a good day, and I I just like that number.

969
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:09,680
Speaker 1: Obviously there's gonna be a lot of hype in this game,

970
00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:14,319
Speaker 1: there always is Dallas's home opener. But I think that's

971
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:16,040
Speaker 1: a lot of points for a team that I think

972
00:53:16,080 --> 00:53:17,799
Speaker 1: when the dust Hittles could be a double digit win

973
00:53:17,920 --> 00:53:21,120
Speaker 1: team and be a division champ. So to me, that's

974
00:53:21,200 --> 00:53:23,200
Speaker 1: that's value. And I'm hammering the Saints there.

975
00:53:24,000 --> 00:53:26,920
Speaker 3: I would, uh, I would wait to see if you

976
00:53:26,920 --> 00:53:28,800
Speaker 3: can get a seven, which you might be able to

977
00:53:28,960 --> 00:53:30,560
Speaker 3: six and a half in some places now.

978
00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:32,200
Speaker 1: But it's it's cut down like it was six and

979
00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:34,440
Speaker 1: a half yesterday. I checked this morning on DraftKings it

980
00:53:34,480 --> 00:53:36,800
Speaker 1: was six. So I wonder if that that half point.

981
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:38,000
Speaker 1: I don't know, You're right, I.

982
00:53:39,120 --> 00:53:42,080
Speaker 3: Would I would watch it. Yeah, you might get a

983
00:53:42,120 --> 00:53:47,879
Speaker 3: seven is because you have Latimore and Honey Badger didn't

984
00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:51,239
Speaker 3: practice and they're they're banged up. They would be big

985
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:55,640
Speaker 3: losses losing a starting safety and and your best.

986
00:53:55,440 --> 00:53:58,280
Speaker 1: Corn Altimore would probably chase around CD. I would imagine

987
00:53:58,360 --> 00:53:59,080
Speaker 1: it was fully healthy.

988
00:53:59,400 --> 00:54:02,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you know Saints play a lot of man

989
00:54:02,680 --> 00:54:06,440
Speaker 3: which you know Dak and Ceedee lamb rip apart historically.

990
00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:08,200
Speaker 3: And if you don't, you don't have your you don't

991
00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:11,359
Speaker 3: have Latimore, you don't have Matthew. I mean that could

992
00:54:11,360 --> 00:54:14,400
Speaker 3: be problematic the offensive line and also dealing with a

993
00:54:14,440 --> 00:54:17,479
Speaker 3: couple of injuries that already had questions. I'm probably staying

994
00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:19,120
Speaker 3: away from this game. I want to see this offensive

995
00:54:19,120 --> 00:54:23,480
Speaker 3: line against the Dallas d the like Dallas in this

996
00:54:23,640 --> 00:54:27,600
Speaker 3: role has still you know under Daks, who's been unbelievable

997
00:54:27,640 --> 00:54:31,120
Speaker 3: as a favorite. I mean, he's just been it didn't

998
00:54:31,160 --> 00:54:33,359
Speaker 3: been dying. I could pull up the numbers here and

999
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:37,799
Speaker 3: the reason for that is, I mean, yeah, he's He's

1000
00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:40,680
Speaker 3: fifty and thirty six against the spread as a favorite,

1001
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:45,440
Speaker 3: twenty seven and thirteen since twenty twenty one. That's the

1002
00:54:45,440 --> 00:54:47,840
Speaker 3: best mark in the NFL, only behind Jared Goff. The

1003
00:54:47,840 --> 00:54:51,560
Speaker 3: lines just somehow cover every week. But the reason for that,

1004
00:54:51,600 --> 00:54:55,160
Speaker 3: it's not just Dak. It's that what the Cowboys against

1005
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:58,400
Speaker 3: teams that are inferior to them. You know, their offense

1006
00:54:58,520 --> 00:55:00,680
Speaker 3: is clicking, and then that's when they're deep can tee

1007
00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:03,480
Speaker 3: off right. They get a lead. They're really good front runners.

1008
00:55:03,920 --> 00:55:06,320
Speaker 3: They get a lead, and then they're that aggressive defense

1009
00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:09,239
Speaker 3: says okay, we know you have to pass now, and

1010
00:55:09,280 --> 00:55:12,960
Speaker 3: then their team off causing turnovers, getting sacks, and then

1011
00:55:13,000 --> 00:55:14,879
Speaker 3: it's kind of just a snowball effect, which is why

1012
00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:16,520
Speaker 3: the Cowboys in recent seasons have been so But.

1013
00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:18,000
Speaker 1: They look like the forty nine ers when they have

1014
00:55:18,040 --> 00:55:19,880
Speaker 1: a lead, they just smother you. The difference is the

1015
00:55:19,960 --> 00:55:22,879
Speaker 1: Niners can come back. They usually kind of fold yeap.

1016
00:55:23,239 --> 00:55:26,120
Speaker 3: So the Saints in that scenario, you know you have

1017
00:55:26,160 --> 00:55:31,120
Speaker 3: some secondary injuries. You know, Dennis Allen is too high,

1018
00:55:31,719 --> 00:55:34,279
Speaker 3: a lot of cover one man, you don't have your

1019
00:55:34,360 --> 00:55:37,000
Speaker 3: secondary pieces. Cowboys get out to a lead in that

1020
00:55:37,080 --> 00:55:39,799
Speaker 3: offensive line, which has questions, you're not going up against

1021
00:55:39,840 --> 00:55:43,399
Speaker 3: the Panthers front, and then cars under pressure and then

1022
00:55:43,440 --> 00:55:46,560
Speaker 3: it kind of just snowballs from there. So that's what

1023
00:55:46,600 --> 00:55:48,839
Speaker 3: I would be concerned about. I'm probably staying away from

1024
00:55:48,880 --> 00:55:51,359
Speaker 3: this game, but I'm going to be watching closely because

1025
00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:55,200
Speaker 3: I really want to see, especially if they're all healthy.

1026
00:55:55,360 --> 00:55:58,560
Speaker 3: I think the blog of their rookie left tackle, I

1027
00:55:58,560 --> 00:56:01,879
Speaker 3: think he's dealing with an injury. So is their their

1028
00:56:01,920 --> 00:56:05,000
Speaker 3: guard Patrick, who I don't think is any good. But

1029
00:56:05,239 --> 00:56:09,319
Speaker 3: you know, especially if like Henning and this rookie and

1030
00:56:09,400 --> 00:56:12,160
Speaker 3: this offensive line doesn't have to look great because you're

1031
00:56:12,160 --> 00:56:16,040
Speaker 3: probably not gonna look great against the Cowboys, but if

1032
00:56:16,040 --> 00:56:19,839
Speaker 3: they could just hold their own, it would be a

1033
00:56:20,000 --> 00:56:23,320
Speaker 3: very good sign for the Saints, and I'll definitely take notice,

1034
00:56:23,320 --> 00:56:25,960
Speaker 3: So I'm probably watching. I would watch that line though,

1035
00:56:26,000 --> 00:56:29,120
Speaker 3: in like the injury news and see if the Cowboys

1036
00:56:29,120 --> 00:56:31,160
Speaker 3: will probably be a public side, see if you can

1037
00:56:31,160 --> 00:56:33,640
Speaker 3: maybe get a seven in that case. I think that

1038
00:56:33,640 --> 00:56:34,759
Speaker 3: that's where I would go as well.

1039
00:56:35,239 --> 00:56:39,960
Speaker 1: Okay, Packers Colts. Obviously, the Packers have a pretty devastating injury.

1040
00:56:40,040 --> 00:56:42,240
Speaker 1: Luckily it's not out for the season. They lose a quarterback.

1041
00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:46,800
Speaker 1: They have invested in quarterbacks over the last couple of years,

1042
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:50,719
Speaker 1: and they cut them both after the preseason, right Penn

1043
00:56:50,760 --> 00:56:54,040
Speaker 1: State kid and the two Lang guy, and they trade

1044
00:56:54,040 --> 00:56:56,160
Speaker 1: for Malik Willis, and I'm gonna use an analogy here.

1045
00:56:56,320 --> 00:56:58,800
Speaker 1: I'm not a day trader. I love the stock market,

1046
00:56:59,239 --> 00:57:02,080
Speaker 1: but I've made a big day trades in my life

1047
00:57:02,120 --> 00:57:05,399
Speaker 1: trying to get like a get rich day and I've

1048
00:57:05,400 --> 00:57:08,279
Speaker 1: been hitting the teeth both times. And it was on Snapchat.

1049
00:57:08,960 --> 00:57:12,120
Speaker 1: And that's classic, like kind of a public just a

1050
00:57:12,160 --> 00:57:16,800
Speaker 1: lot of buzz about that company and it it always underperforms,

1051
00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:19,800
Speaker 1: and whoever shorted that company over the years, on the

1052
00:57:19,880 --> 00:57:22,520
Speaker 1: day that the earnings come out always makes a ton.

1053
00:57:22,920 --> 00:57:25,080
Speaker 1: And I have the logic when you have when you

1054
00:57:25,120 --> 00:57:28,920
Speaker 1: start a backup quarterback who I think sucks and Snapchat

1055
00:57:28,960 --> 00:57:31,440
Speaker 1: clearly just sucks. They never make any money and the

1056
00:57:31,480 --> 00:57:36,240
Speaker 1: stock always goes down on earnings. And Malik Willis, I'm

1057
00:57:36,400 --> 00:57:39,400
Speaker 1: pro guys like Malik Willis in the draft, like I

1058
00:57:39,520 --> 00:57:42,160
Speaker 1: like physical attributes, and you get the right coach, maybe

1059
00:57:42,160 --> 00:57:45,560
Speaker 1: you make them into something. But the majority of those

1060
00:57:45,600 --> 00:57:48,680
Speaker 1: type players don't work right. That's why they're called like projects.

1061
00:57:49,440 --> 00:57:53,640
Speaker 1: And he obviously he had to play a couple of games,

1062
00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:55,520
Speaker 1: I think three games when he was rookie, and he

1063
00:57:55,640 --> 00:57:58,720
Speaker 1: was atrocious. And remember Vrabel, I know you know this,

1064
00:57:58,840 --> 00:58:01,760
Speaker 1: but people listening like begs him for Dobbs who they

1065
00:58:01,800 --> 00:58:07,160
Speaker 1: got off the street and they were immediately better. Obviously

1066
00:58:07,160 --> 00:58:08,960
Speaker 1: Dobbs a better quarterback, but at the time it was

1067
00:58:09,040 --> 00:58:11,280
Speaker 1: kind of crazy because they had just drafted this guy

1068
00:58:11,280 --> 00:58:13,040
Speaker 1: and he was just bad. Then he hasn't really played

1069
00:58:13,040 --> 00:58:14,640
Speaker 1: over the last couple of years, and then they trade

1070
00:58:14,640 --> 00:58:17,880
Speaker 1: for this guy like two weeks ago. I saw headline today,

1071
00:58:17,880 --> 00:58:19,880
Speaker 1: it's like he's going into overdrive to try to learn

1072
00:58:19,880 --> 00:58:22,600
Speaker 1: this offense. So my logic is simply like, I think

1073
00:58:22,640 --> 00:58:25,560
Speaker 1: he has a chance to just he's not an NFL player. Now,

1074
00:58:25,600 --> 00:58:27,680
Speaker 1: maybe I'm proven wrong over the next couple of weeks,

1075
00:58:28,000 --> 00:58:30,920
Speaker 1: but also I think it's fair to say if Malik

1076
00:58:30,960 --> 00:58:33,160
Speaker 1: Willis is just the Malik Willis that we saw in

1077
00:58:33,160 --> 00:58:35,440
Speaker 1: Tennessee and like you can't function, and they get their

1078
00:58:35,440 --> 00:58:37,800
Speaker 1: ask like he won't play next week, like they'll just

1079
00:58:37,840 --> 00:58:40,320
Speaker 1: have to go sign another quarterback or bring those guys back.

1080
00:58:40,800 --> 00:58:44,920
Speaker 1: And I'm just betting on him being not able to function.

1081
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:47,840
Speaker 1: And it's not like this team is the Ravens or

1082
00:58:47,880 --> 00:58:50,680
Speaker 1: the Chiefs or the Niners where it's like, well, hey,

1083
00:58:50,680 --> 00:58:53,919
Speaker 1: this week, we just our defense has to dominate, because

1084
00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:56,360
Speaker 1: I mean, I thought their defense would be better with Halflee,

1085
00:58:56,600 --> 00:58:59,200
Speaker 1: and I get it. They're playing the Eagles with one

1086
00:58:59,280 --> 00:59:03,800
Speaker 1: hundred fifty million dollars invested into skill guys, but they

1087
00:59:03,840 --> 00:59:05,760
Speaker 1: look just like the Packers of old, which is a

1088
00:59:05,800 --> 00:59:08,520
Speaker 1: defense that you can't really trust. Now, this game's in Lambeau,

1089
00:59:09,400 --> 00:59:12,720
Speaker 1: I just under no circumstances, and I get Indy has

1090
00:59:12,840 --> 00:59:15,840
Speaker 1: question marks. Anthony Richardson, I mean, really, it's just too

1091
00:59:15,880 --> 00:59:19,000
Speaker 1: big place. Like it's not like he was nineteen. Yeah,

1092
00:59:19,080 --> 00:59:22,200
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers back there twenty four, twenty eight or something,

1093
00:59:22,640 --> 00:59:25,280
Speaker 1: but he is an explosive player came out of the

1094
00:59:25,280 --> 00:59:28,040
Speaker 1: game healthy. Defense for them is a question mark. But

1095
00:59:28,120 --> 00:59:31,240
Speaker 1: I'm not worried about Malik Willis, so I get this game.

1096
00:59:31,480 --> 00:59:33,600
Speaker 1: I mean, this line would not have looked like this

1097
00:59:33,720 --> 00:59:35,920
Speaker 1: two weeks ago if Jordan Love was in there. I

1098
00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:39,520
Speaker 1: am just one hundred percent shorting Malik Willis, Like there's

1099
00:59:39,520 --> 00:59:41,840
Speaker 1: a chance Sunday ends were like, that's the worst player

1100
00:59:41,880 --> 00:59:44,200
Speaker 1: in the NFL. It's not. I mean, he seems like

1101
00:59:44,240 --> 00:59:46,480
Speaker 1: a nice guy, but I mean he just might not

1102
00:59:46,640 --> 00:59:50,600
Speaker 1: be an NFL player. I actually think it's kind of crazy.

1103
00:59:50,800 --> 00:59:53,880
Speaker 1: Hear me out. Is it nuts that the Packers traded

1104
00:59:53,920 --> 00:59:57,080
Speaker 1: for him and then just immediately made him their backup quarterback, Like,

1105
00:59:57,360 --> 00:59:58,880
Speaker 1: I think that's a pretty bold move.

1106
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:04,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I it's yeah, I mean I guess that. Do

1107
01:00:04,320 --> 01:00:07,280
Speaker 3: you think that just hey, I mean, I'll okay, I'll

1108
01:00:07,280 --> 01:00:08,880
Speaker 3: give you the upside of having him as your backup

1109
01:00:08,960 --> 01:00:11,240
Speaker 3: right now, because yeah, all the data that we have,

1110
01:00:11,280 --> 01:00:13,800
Speaker 3: it's the small sample sizes that he's awful, and I

1111
01:00:14,400 --> 01:00:17,640
Speaker 3: do think that he's awful. So, but I will say historically,

1112
01:00:17,640 --> 01:00:20,200
Speaker 3: if you bet backup quarterbacks underdogs in the first their

1113
01:00:20,200 --> 01:00:24,120
Speaker 3: first start, you're around like fifty seven percent against the spread.

1114
01:00:24,360 --> 01:00:28,160
Speaker 3: Market usually overreacts to the drop off, and there's also

1115
01:00:28,200 --> 01:00:30,960
Speaker 3: like that star effect that you see in the NBA.

1116
01:00:31,120 --> 01:00:33,600
Speaker 3: For one game, it's not really sustainable, but everyone else

1117
01:00:33,680 --> 01:00:37,400
Speaker 3: kind of steps up, elevates their play, you know, and

1118
01:00:37,440 --> 01:00:40,720
Speaker 3: the coaches put in like the new wrinkles, and everyone

1119
01:00:41,040 --> 01:00:44,240
Speaker 3: kind of just elevates for that one game. But this

1120
01:00:44,400 --> 01:00:46,360
Speaker 3: is just too much, so that I had this line

1121
01:00:46,480 --> 01:00:51,560
Speaker 3: of about minus six. Packers was like a six point

1122
01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:55,600
Speaker 3: favorite at home against the Colts. If Jordan loves play play, Yeah,

1123
01:00:55,600 --> 01:00:59,720
Speaker 3: if everyone was healthy and the look head line I'm

1124
01:00:59,760 --> 01:01:01,520
Speaker 3: lower on the Colts in the market look at him

1125
01:01:01,600 --> 01:01:02,400
Speaker 3: was like four and a half.

1126
01:01:02,440 --> 01:01:04,480
Speaker 1: So let's call it five, Like, do you do you

1127
01:01:04,560 --> 01:01:06,440
Speaker 1: v the Colts as a playoff team the way you're

1128
01:01:06,480 --> 01:01:07,840
Speaker 1: not gonna have taken I don't know.

1129
01:01:09,320 --> 01:01:11,640
Speaker 3: So their their defense is bad, which I'll get to

1130
01:01:11,680 --> 01:01:15,120
Speaker 3: in a sec. But the the and Richardson still isn't

1131
01:01:15,200 --> 01:01:18,840
Speaker 3: there as a passer, I don't think. But so let's

1132
01:01:18,880 --> 01:01:20,840
Speaker 3: let's call the line five. But look at five. Well,

1133
01:01:20,840 --> 01:01:24,720
Speaker 3: now we're at plus three. That's an eight point move

1134
01:01:26,040 --> 01:01:31,800
Speaker 3: across key number of three and four. Eight point difference.

1135
01:01:31,960 --> 01:01:42,560
Speaker 3: That's like Andrew Luck to Scott tolzeneh. That's like uh,

1136
01:01:43,000 --> 01:01:46,560
Speaker 3: Aaron Rodgers to Tim Boyle, who was I don't And

1137
01:01:46,600 --> 01:01:48,680
Speaker 3: the Packers always have these days, they have Hall of

1138
01:01:48,680 --> 01:01:52,120
Speaker 3: Fame backups or the worst backups in the NFL. Tim

1139
01:01:52,160 --> 01:01:54,400
Speaker 3: Boyle was the guy who played at Yukon one season.

1140
01:01:54,400 --> 01:01:57,240
Speaker 3: He had one touchdown in thirteen interceptions, and he was

1141
01:01:57,240 --> 01:01:58,880
Speaker 3: the backup to Aaron.

1142
01:01:58,680 --> 01:02:02,920
Speaker 1: Rodgers no touchdown passes in the National Football League three picks.

1143
01:02:03,000 --> 01:02:03,320
Speaker 1: I get it.

1144
01:02:03,720 --> 01:02:06,640
Speaker 3: At least he's playing. He's better than Tim Boyle, He's

1145
01:02:06,680 --> 01:02:09,680
Speaker 3: better than Scott Tolzy. At least he's played. It's not eight.

1146
01:02:09,800 --> 01:02:14,680
Speaker 3: And look and Jordan Love isn't Aaron Rodgers MVP. You

1147
01:02:14,680 --> 01:02:18,480
Speaker 3: know Andrew Luck, Patrick Mahomes, he's not the elite e leityer.

1148
01:02:18,720 --> 01:02:21,720
Speaker 3: The biggest drop you'll ever see from an elite, elite,

1149
01:02:21,760 --> 01:02:24,919
Speaker 3: elite quarterback the best. And then it depends how bad

1150
01:02:24,960 --> 01:02:29,760
Speaker 3: your backup is is you know, seven eight points. But

1151
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:32,600
Speaker 3: Jordan Love isn't there yet. I mean, we still have

1152
01:02:32,600 --> 01:02:34,280
Speaker 3: the greatest ample sizes, only get a hell of it.

1153
01:02:34,320 --> 01:02:36,320
Speaker 3: I think he's a top ten quarterback, but it's not

1154
01:02:36,400 --> 01:02:38,200
Speaker 3: like he's we know that he's We're not saying he's

1155
01:02:38,200 --> 01:02:41,360
Speaker 3: Mahomes yet. So and Malik Willis, I don't think is

1156
01:02:41,400 --> 01:02:43,640
Speaker 3: the worst backup of all time. So I only think

1157
01:02:43,640 --> 01:02:45,880
Speaker 3: it's like a six point drop off, so I can't

1158
01:02:45,880 --> 01:02:49,440
Speaker 3: get to plus three. I'll also this Colt. If you

1159
01:02:49,480 --> 01:02:52,080
Speaker 3: want to put a backup in any situation, it's this one.

1160
01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:54,800
Speaker 3: You have a little couple extra days to prepare. He's

1161
01:02:55,040 --> 01:02:59,200
Speaker 3: prepared for the Colts defense twice a year since he's

1162
01:02:59,200 --> 01:03:02,000
Speaker 3: been in the league, because he in Tennessee and they

1163
01:03:02,000 --> 01:03:04,320
Speaker 3: played each other twice yere in division games. And the

1164
01:03:04,320 --> 01:03:07,720
Speaker 3: Colts defense is so basic, so easy, so static, so outdated.

1165
01:03:07,760 --> 01:03:09,800
Speaker 3: Under Gus Bradley, what they do every year is They

1166
01:03:09,880 --> 01:03:11,720
Speaker 3: run a ton of Cover three, some Cover two and

1167
01:03:11,760 --> 01:03:14,600
Speaker 3: they don't blitz. That's it. And what do they do

1168
01:03:14,680 --> 01:03:17,160
Speaker 3: last week? Cover three, Cover two eighty eighty five percent

1169
01:03:17,160 --> 01:03:19,880
Speaker 3: of the time, no blitzing. So it's not a complex defense.

1170
01:03:20,080 --> 01:03:23,680
Speaker 3: They also lost their top corner in Juju Brents to

1171
01:03:23,720 --> 01:03:27,400
Speaker 3: an injury last week. DeForest Buckner quitd he pay they're

1172
01:03:27,400 --> 01:03:29,960
Speaker 3: starting safety. They all might not play. The defensive line

1173
01:03:30,000 --> 01:03:31,880
Speaker 3: is supposed to be the strength. This secondary is bad

1174
01:03:31,880 --> 01:03:33,960
Speaker 3: and now dop down. It's top corner. You have a

1175
01:03:33,960 --> 01:03:36,120
Speaker 3: ton of weapons, you know, you have a running back,

1176
01:03:36,120 --> 01:03:38,800
Speaker 3: a good offensive line. It's a much better offensive situation

1177
01:03:39,160 --> 01:03:41,680
Speaker 3: that Willis is in than he was in when he

1178
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:45,960
Speaker 3: was in Tennessee, So you know, you good coach. I

1179
01:03:45,960 --> 01:03:47,520
Speaker 3: think they'll come up with a good game plan here.

1180
01:03:47,560 --> 01:03:49,000
Speaker 3: And it's just it's a defense that he's at least

1181
01:03:49,000 --> 01:03:51,160
Speaker 3: familiar with, and it's a bad defense. It's a defense.

1182
01:03:51,200 --> 01:03:55,040
Speaker 3: It's not gonna blitz you, it's not gonna it's it's

1183
01:03:55,040 --> 01:03:56,640
Speaker 3: pretty simple what he has to do here.

1184
01:03:58,040 --> 01:04:00,320
Speaker 1: And they missed the playoffs. Gus Bradley is getting fired

1185
01:04:00,360 --> 01:04:01,160
Speaker 1: written all over him.

1186
01:04:01,360 --> 01:04:03,680
Speaker 3: I don't know how he's not He wasn't Gus Bradley,

1187
01:04:03,680 --> 01:04:06,200
Speaker 3: you can run is you can still run some of

1188
01:04:06,240 --> 01:04:10,040
Speaker 3: his concepts. I mean everyone from that that peak Carroll Tree,

1189
01:04:10,480 --> 01:04:14,400
Speaker 3: which trickled down into like the Sala, They're they've all

1190
01:04:14,440 --> 01:04:20,600
Speaker 3: evolved and you know, even dan Quinn has gone completely different.

1191
01:04:20,720 --> 01:04:23,000
Speaker 3: They've all evolved. They run, the Jets run a ton

1192
01:04:23,040 --> 01:04:26,360
Speaker 3: of quarters and Bradley is still the same defense that

1193
01:04:26,400 --> 01:04:29,080
Speaker 3: the league already has all their Cover three beaters. You

1194
01:04:29,080 --> 01:04:31,720
Speaker 3: can still run it it. Cover three is the biggest

1195
01:04:31,720 --> 01:04:34,160
Speaker 3: base defense. I mean everyone runs everything, but the way

1196
01:04:34,200 --> 01:04:37,880
Speaker 3: that that the Colts run it is very static, outdated

1197
01:04:37,920 --> 01:04:41,440
Speaker 3: Cover three. But you need elite, elite defenders like the

1198
01:04:42,120 --> 01:04:45,000
Speaker 3: What made that work for Seattle is you had guys

1199
01:04:45,000 --> 01:04:50,080
Speaker 3: like Earl Thomas and Richard Sherman and uh Camp Champs.

1200
01:04:50,080 --> 01:04:55,000
Speaker 3: You need elite defenders in space to make play elite. Yeah,

1201
01:04:55,080 --> 01:04:56,960
Speaker 3: the court, and you know the Colts don't have the

1202
01:04:57,720 --> 01:05:01,080
Speaker 3: dont not only of elite defensive backfield, they have one

1203
01:05:01,120 --> 01:05:02,560
Speaker 3: of the worst in the NFL. I don't know why

1204
01:05:02,640 --> 01:05:04,200
Speaker 3: Chris Bauer didn't address it, and I don't know why

1205
01:05:04,240 --> 01:05:08,320
Speaker 3: there they keep sticking with Bradley, But yeah, I just

1206
01:05:08,640 --> 01:05:10,160
Speaker 3: this is too much of a no reaction to me,

1207
01:05:10,200 --> 01:05:11,760
Speaker 3: and you could be right, and Wills could just be

1208
01:05:11,800 --> 01:05:14,560
Speaker 3: a disaster and the Colts spun by fourteen twenty one,

1209
01:05:14,600 --> 01:05:16,600
Speaker 3: and I'd like, okay. There's a lot of variants with

1210
01:05:16,720 --> 01:05:18,760
Speaker 3: Richardson two with like kid, does he hit a couple

1211
01:05:18,800 --> 01:05:21,160
Speaker 3: of deep shots? Does he make a couple of mistakes?

1212
01:05:22,640 --> 01:05:24,800
Speaker 3: But I just can't get the plus three at home,

1213
01:05:24,880 --> 01:05:28,200
Speaker 3: Like it's like a five to six point drop to me.

1214
01:05:28,880 --> 01:05:33,160
Speaker 3: There's also like a one percent chance that Love plays.

1215
01:05:33,800 --> 01:05:36,959
Speaker 3: So and if he's back there, even if he can't move,

1216
01:05:37,840 --> 01:05:39,840
Speaker 3: you know, him just thrown around would obviously be a

1217
01:05:39,920 --> 01:05:42,800
Speaker 3: lot better than willis back there. Laflour left the door,

1218
01:05:42,880 --> 01:05:45,200
Speaker 3: left that opportunity. I don't think he's going to play,

1219
01:05:45,200 --> 01:05:48,880
Speaker 3: but he said there's a there's a chance that he

1220
01:05:48,960 --> 01:05:53,240
Speaker 3: might play. I just think they're playing games. So the

1221
01:05:53,280 --> 01:05:55,040
Speaker 3: Colts have to prepare for him too. But there is

1222
01:05:55,080 --> 01:05:58,720
Speaker 3: at least the chance of that. But this is this

1223
01:05:59,160 --> 01:06:01,680
Speaker 3: is the situation you want in the play defense is

1224
01:06:01,680 --> 01:06:04,760
Speaker 3: similar with a bad defense doesn't blitz at home a couplex,

1225
01:06:04,800 --> 01:06:08,200
Speaker 3: stays prepare. He's already familiar with it, and you have

1226
01:06:08,280 --> 01:06:10,800
Speaker 3: good weapons, good offensive line, good coach around you, expect

1227
01:06:10,840 --> 01:06:13,120
Speaker 3: the Packers d to be better and the Colts are

1228
01:06:13,280 --> 01:06:17,040
Speaker 3: dealing with a lot more injuries on defense that across

1229
01:06:17,080 --> 01:06:20,120
Speaker 3: the defensive line lost top corner and safety. So I

1230
01:06:20,200 --> 01:06:23,040
Speaker 3: took the three, but I can't blame you or anyone

1231
01:06:23,040 --> 01:06:24,400
Speaker 3: else for winning the FADAN.

1232
01:06:24,400 --> 01:06:27,640
Speaker 1: The league willis Okay. This is my favorite I think

1233
01:06:27,680 --> 01:06:31,040
Speaker 1: bet of the weekend, and it's the NFC East Toilet Bowl.

1234
01:06:32,520 --> 01:06:35,040
Speaker 1: I got it. This is some stucky logic here. Giants

1235
01:06:35,040 --> 01:06:37,080
Speaker 1: plus two. I look this morning, I think it was

1236
01:06:37,120 --> 01:06:38,600
Speaker 1: two and a half. Some people have been kind of

1237
01:06:38,880 --> 01:06:41,480
Speaker 1: there's been some money coming in on the Giants. This

1238
01:06:41,600 --> 01:06:44,800
Speaker 1: goes to my Panthers and just my logic coming into

1239
01:06:44,800 --> 01:06:47,080
Speaker 1: the season, I think Washington's going to be drafting in

1240
01:06:47,120 --> 01:06:48,760
Speaker 1: the top five. Now. I don't think the Giants are

1241
01:06:48,800 --> 01:06:51,760
Speaker 1: good either, but they're gonna have their moments they did

1242
01:06:51,920 --> 01:06:55,120
Speaker 1: last season. Like I've seen day ball over the course

1243
01:06:55,160 --> 01:06:57,920
Speaker 1: of a season, like they will just have some upsets.

1244
01:06:57,960 --> 01:07:00,360
Speaker 1: Like to me, they're more likely to win six than

1245
01:07:00,400 --> 01:07:02,680
Speaker 1: they are two or three. And I don't think it's

1246
01:07:02,680 --> 01:07:06,760
Speaker 1: inconceivable that Washington just doesn't win many games at all.

1247
01:07:07,320 --> 01:07:10,320
Speaker 1: And that's not like an indictment on Dan Quinn or

1248
01:07:10,680 --> 01:07:15,680
Speaker 1: Adam Peters. Their roster stinks, and last week against the Giants,

1249
01:07:17,040 --> 01:07:19,960
Speaker 1: you know, Sam Donald might just turn out to be solid.

1250
01:07:20,120 --> 01:07:21,400
Speaker 1: Maybe not what we thought he was going to be

1251
01:07:21,400 --> 01:07:23,520
Speaker 1: the number three overall pick, but like he's kind of

1252
01:07:23,520 --> 01:07:25,480
Speaker 1: resurrected his career. I think it's safe to say he's

1253
01:07:25,520 --> 01:07:27,160
Speaker 1: gonna be in the league for a while as a starter,

1254
01:07:27,360 --> 01:07:29,240
Speaker 1: as a backup. I mean, time will tell this season,

1255
01:07:29,320 --> 01:07:31,760
Speaker 1: but like he's got a positive moment. They also have

1256
01:07:31,880 --> 01:07:34,720
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson who's like a two hundred million dollar wide receiver.

1257
01:07:35,480 --> 01:07:38,360
Speaker 1: And to me, I watched Washington last week, that was

1258
01:07:38,400 --> 01:07:40,640
Speaker 1: one of my favorite bets Tampa to kill him one.

1259
01:07:40,680 --> 01:07:42,960
Speaker 1: I just didn't think like they could score. Obviously, Baker

1260
01:07:43,240 --> 01:07:46,600
Speaker 1: and Mike Evans and Godwin went nuts, but like, I

1261
01:07:46,720 --> 01:07:48,760
Speaker 1: just think that this is a spot now they've invest

1262
01:07:48,880 --> 01:07:52,040
Speaker 1: a lot in their defensive line that I wonder if

1263
01:07:52,040 --> 01:07:53,919
Speaker 1: it's going to be a little bit harder for him

1264
01:07:54,000 --> 01:07:56,040
Speaker 1: just to kind of run wild on him now he's

1265
01:07:56,120 --> 01:07:59,440
Speaker 1: he is a fast runner. But like as a passer

1266
01:08:00,040 --> 01:08:01,880
Speaker 1: saw last week, their passing game, I just don't think

1267
01:08:01,880 --> 01:08:06,520
Speaker 1: it's gonna be good. This is crazy, but I don't

1268
01:08:06,520 --> 01:08:08,800
Speaker 1: know if if it was flipped and Washington was getting

1269
01:08:08,800 --> 01:08:12,320
Speaker 1: two points, I'd probably stay away. But I'm hammering the

1270
01:08:12,360 --> 01:08:16,559
Speaker 1: Giants get getting points right. Divisional games, you talk a

1271
01:08:16,560 --> 01:08:20,160
Speaker 1: lot about these divisional underdog whether they're good teams, are

1272
01:08:20,240 --> 01:08:23,960
Speaker 1: bad teams, these are classic spots, and my main logic is,

1273
01:08:24,000 --> 01:08:26,200
Speaker 1: I just don't think Washington's good. I just think they're

1274
01:08:26,200 --> 01:08:28,800
Speaker 1: gonna have a long fucking season. Now. They got more

1275
01:08:28,840 --> 01:08:32,000
Speaker 1: going for them than the Panthers, because, like, I would

1276
01:08:32,080 --> 01:08:35,759
Speaker 1: much rather have Jade Daniels than Ice Young sitting here today.

1277
01:08:35,840 --> 01:08:38,320
Speaker 1: If I was a GM, if I was a fan, whatever,

1278
01:08:39,040 --> 01:08:41,200
Speaker 1: but I like the Giants in this spot. I like

1279
01:08:41,280 --> 01:08:42,320
Speaker 1: them to just win the game.

1280
01:08:44,000 --> 01:08:46,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, look, who am I to I was

1281
01:08:46,280 --> 01:08:49,400
Speaker 3: gonna say, man, this is it's a horrible, but I

1282
01:08:49,479 --> 01:08:51,120
Speaker 3: just gave my I just the two bets that I

1283
01:08:51,160 --> 01:08:53,080
Speaker 3: just said. I like to have Malik Willis and Bryce

1284
01:08:53,120 --> 01:08:55,759
Speaker 3: Young as the quarterback. So who am I to judge anyone?

1285
01:08:56,000 --> 01:08:59,920
Speaker 3: If I had to, if I had to take this, Yeah,

1286
01:09:00,040 --> 01:09:03,120
Speaker 3: take the Giants for what it's worth. Underdogs in Week

1287
01:09:03,160 --> 01:09:06,599
Speaker 3: two in a matchup of winless teams fifty to twenty

1288
01:09:06,640 --> 01:09:08,920
Speaker 3: five and three against the spread since two thousand and

1289
01:09:08,920 --> 01:09:14,080
Speaker 3: three sixty seven percent. These two teams are so similar,

1290
01:09:14,240 --> 01:09:18,760
Speaker 3: like bad offensive lines, horrible defenses, some town on the

1291
01:09:18,760 --> 01:09:21,120
Speaker 3: defensive line. The Giants have a really good defensive line,

1292
01:09:21,520 --> 01:09:24,800
Speaker 3: you know, the commanders of pain and Allen in the interior,

1293
01:09:26,120 --> 01:09:30,360
Speaker 3: questionable quarterbacks who have mobility, and you got a star

1294
01:09:30,439 --> 01:09:34,160
Speaker 3: receiver on both sides. These these two teams are so similar.

1295
01:09:34,640 --> 01:09:38,000
Speaker 3: So and Washington, it's a divisional game. Home field's already

1296
01:09:38,040 --> 01:09:41,440
Speaker 3: not much and Washington has almost no home field anyway.

1297
01:09:41,760 --> 01:09:46,280
Speaker 3: So yeah, if you're if you're going to take if

1298
01:09:46,280 --> 01:09:48,280
Speaker 3: you're gonna bet this game, and I would agree with you.

1299
01:09:48,640 --> 01:09:52,519
Speaker 3: Just you take the team catching points probably a true

1300
01:09:52,520 --> 01:09:53,519
Speaker 3: coin flip in my opinion.

1301
01:09:54,200 --> 01:09:58,559
Speaker 1: One number that jumped out to me. My first indication was, like, god,

1302
01:09:58,600 --> 01:10:01,559
Speaker 1: that's a lot of points to me, Tampa. One thing

1303
01:10:01,600 --> 01:10:04,160
Speaker 1: is when those two wide receivers are healthy, whether it's

1304
01:10:04,200 --> 01:10:07,880
Speaker 1: Tom or Baker, they're just as good of a one

1305
01:10:07,880 --> 01:10:10,240
Speaker 1: to two combination as there is in the league with

1306
01:10:10,280 --> 01:10:14,240
Speaker 1: Mike Evans and Godwin. So that team can score. And

1307
01:10:14,320 --> 01:10:18,439
Speaker 1: Baker obviously has changed the narrative on his career now

1308
01:10:18,800 --> 01:10:22,280
Speaker 1: playing Washington and playing the Lions is a little different animal.

1309
01:10:22,800 --> 01:10:25,080
Speaker 1: But that number over a touchdown. I looked this morning,

1310
01:10:25,120 --> 01:10:28,080
Speaker 1: seven and a half. I hadn't really thought much about it,

1311
01:10:28,120 --> 01:10:30,960
Speaker 1: but I would have assumed that number would have been

1312
01:10:31,200 --> 01:10:34,160
Speaker 1: closer to five and a half six If it was

1313
01:10:34,200 --> 01:10:36,360
Speaker 1: going to be that high, I guess Tampa's getting no respect.

1314
01:10:36,360 --> 01:10:39,120
Speaker 1: You had mentioned they had some injuries right before we

1315
01:10:39,240 --> 01:10:42,120
Speaker 1: jumped on, but that number scene's pretty high to me

1316
01:10:42,280 --> 01:10:44,400
Speaker 1: after we just saw them go toe to toe in

1317
01:10:44,439 --> 01:10:48,559
Speaker 1: an NFC Divisional game in Tampa. I mean, what's the

1318
01:10:48,600 --> 01:10:51,040
Speaker 1: record the last year in a game? I mean, they

1319
01:10:51,120 --> 01:10:53,880
Speaker 1: they played pretty good, especially the last half of the season,

1320
01:10:53,960 --> 01:10:56,519
Speaker 1: and then like they look pretty solid. The other thing

1321
01:10:56,600 --> 01:11:00,240
Speaker 1: is Todd. You know at one point in time, guy,

1322
01:11:00,320 --> 01:11:02,880
Speaker 1: he's gonna survive long. He is a good defensive coach.

1323
01:11:03,360 --> 01:11:07,560
Speaker 1: Right and Detroit, I like, I'm not trying to overreact

1324
01:11:07,560 --> 01:11:10,559
Speaker 1: that they underperformed whatever. The Rams are good tough opponent.

1325
01:11:10,640 --> 01:11:15,439
Speaker 1: Mcveaghl offseason Stafford was fucking lights out. But the one

1326
01:11:15,439 --> 01:11:18,719
Speaker 1: thing is when you go from like the little engine

1327
01:11:18,760 --> 01:11:21,400
Speaker 1: that could, the team kind of like everyone's taken Detroit.

1328
01:11:22,080 --> 01:11:24,519
Speaker 1: I mean, I would imagine on a weekly basis, they're

1329
01:11:24,520 --> 01:11:27,839
Speaker 1: getting approached in the meetings and practice and game plans

1330
01:11:28,400 --> 01:11:30,760
Speaker 1: no different than you would playing the Ravens Chiefs for

1331
01:11:30,760 --> 01:11:32,840
Speaker 1: forty nine ers right at this point. So it's like

1332
01:11:33,240 --> 01:11:37,439
Speaker 1: you're approaching them like a super Bowl level team. And

1333
01:11:37,479 --> 01:11:39,480
Speaker 1: that number just jumped out to me, stuffy.

1334
01:11:40,400 --> 01:11:44,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, seems a little high, but I you know, I'm

1335
01:11:44,439 --> 01:11:48,280
Speaker 3: close to a touchdown because I had to downgrade the

1336
01:11:48,280 --> 01:11:52,160
Speaker 3: Bucks a bit this week and adjust this projected spread

1337
01:11:52,160 --> 01:11:54,400
Speaker 3: because of their injuries in the secondary. A couple of

1338
01:11:54,479 --> 01:11:56,439
Speaker 3: their corners are hurt, and I have two or three

1339
01:11:56,439 --> 01:12:00,799
Speaker 3: guys they're dealing with injuries there. Anseline Winfield, their best player,

1340
01:12:01,320 --> 01:12:05,639
Speaker 3: all Pro caliber safety is out. That's huge. And going

1341
01:12:05,720 --> 01:12:08,360
Speaker 3: up against this Lion's offense, you know, you're the best

1342
01:12:08,560 --> 01:12:11,639
Speaker 3: offensive line in the NFL. I think last week GoF

1343
01:12:11,640 --> 01:12:14,559
Speaker 3: didn't play in the preseason. You know there was you

1344
01:12:14,600 --> 01:12:16,800
Speaker 3: always see with these quarterbacks in week one that didn't

1345
01:12:16,800 --> 01:12:19,000
Speaker 3: play in preseason, a dip in production. Usually see a

1346
01:12:19,040 --> 01:12:21,439
Speaker 3: jump tick back off in week two. So I expect

1347
01:12:21,880 --> 01:12:24,200
Speaker 3: under Ben Johnson, I think called a pretty poor game

1348
01:12:25,320 --> 01:12:28,120
Speaker 3: and they were all overtime. I expect them to be

1349
01:12:28,560 --> 01:12:33,080
Speaker 3: back on here against Buck's secondary that has a ton

1350
01:12:33,120 --> 01:12:36,880
Speaker 3: of question marks and the Lions offensive line should be

1351
01:12:36,880 --> 01:12:39,120
Speaker 3: able to handle the blitz that you think Bowls is

1352
01:12:39,160 --> 01:12:42,200
Speaker 3: gonna Now maybe Bowles just says, look, I'm gonna sit back,

1353
01:12:43,720 --> 01:12:46,679
Speaker 3: and I'm gonna sit back more and you know, shells

1354
01:12:46,720 --> 01:12:49,160
Speaker 3: with my safeties, not blitz because I know I have injuries,

1355
01:12:49,160 --> 01:12:51,519
Speaker 3: and I know the offensive line I'm going against in

1356
01:12:51,560 --> 01:12:53,320
Speaker 3: the weapons and I'm just going to not prevent the

1357
01:12:53,360 --> 01:12:56,759
Speaker 3: exposive play, try to capitalize on a mistake, get stops

1358
01:12:56,760 --> 01:12:58,439
Speaker 3: in the red zone. That could be an approach there.

1359
01:12:58,720 --> 01:13:00,120
Speaker 1: Jamison Williams banged up.

1360
01:13:00,840 --> 01:13:03,479
Speaker 3: Yeah, which is worth noting. If he can break out

1361
01:13:03,479 --> 01:13:06,840
Speaker 3: this year that offense, that's really what they're missing, is

1362
01:13:06,840 --> 01:13:09,439
Speaker 3: that that second wide receiver to take off. And he

1363
01:13:09,479 --> 01:13:11,519
Speaker 3: looked good last week. But that's what I would be

1364
01:13:11,520 --> 01:13:14,360
Speaker 3: worried about with the Bucks is just those secondary injuries

1365
01:13:14,400 --> 01:13:16,519
Speaker 3: against the lines. Offense, I expect to be much better.

1366
01:13:16,520 --> 01:13:19,599
Speaker 3: But over a touchdown, I don't mind a look at

1367
01:13:19,600 --> 01:13:20,160
Speaker 3: the Bucks.

1368
01:13:20,640 --> 01:13:22,160
Speaker 1: I get you out of here on this, We'll go

1369
01:13:22,240 --> 01:13:24,600
Speaker 1: back to college. It's I think it might be one of,

1370
01:13:24,680 --> 01:13:27,479
Speaker 1: if not the only game with two ranked opponents. I

1371
01:13:27,520 --> 01:13:30,880
Speaker 1: was at the gym on Saturday morning and watching k State.

1372
01:13:30,920 --> 01:13:33,479
Speaker 1: Tulane was on one of the big TV's and I

1373
01:13:33,479 --> 01:13:35,439
Speaker 1: mean k State was in trouble and then I think

1374
01:13:35,479 --> 01:13:37,679
Speaker 1: they got like a fumble return. They kind of changed

1375
01:13:37,720 --> 01:13:41,640
Speaker 1: around the game Arizona. I read a good article on

1376
01:13:41,680 --> 01:13:47,280
Speaker 1: the I didn't realize Fafita and McMillan his last name.

1377
01:13:47,560 --> 01:13:50,600
Speaker 1: I think different wide receiver. Yeah, McMillan, tech McMillan. These

1378
01:13:50,640 --> 01:13:54,959
Speaker 1: guys are like been playing together since high school. Obviously

1379
01:13:55,000 --> 01:13:56,519
Speaker 1: they both could have made a lot of money and

1380
01:13:56,560 --> 01:13:58,960
Speaker 1: left to Washington, they decided to stay. I mean McMillan's

1381
01:13:59,000 --> 01:14:01,760
Speaker 1: going to be a top ten twelve pick depending off

1382
01:14:01,800 --> 01:14:04,679
Speaker 1: fast he runs. I mean he's a star. This game's

1383
01:14:04,760 --> 01:14:10,519
Speaker 1: Friday night, Arizona's now it's in it's in Manhattan, Kansas.

1384
01:14:11,200 --> 01:14:11,320
Speaker 3: Uh.

1385
01:14:11,840 --> 01:14:14,120
Speaker 1: But this is a team that you know, some people

1386
01:14:14,160 --> 01:14:15,960
Speaker 1: thought if they could just be solid on defense, we

1387
01:14:16,000 --> 01:14:19,080
Speaker 1: know how good their offenses could compete to win this conference.

1388
01:14:19,120 --> 01:14:23,439
Speaker 1: And now that what's the quarterback who's played seventy five

1389
01:14:23,479 --> 01:14:26,240
Speaker 1: years for Utah got thrown Did you see the play

1390
01:14:26,280 --> 01:14:30,160
Speaker 1: where he got thrown into the bench and hurt his hand, So, like,

1391
01:14:30,479 --> 01:14:33,679
Speaker 1: you know, obviously Utah with him and without him become

1392
01:14:33,680 --> 01:14:35,600
Speaker 1: a completely like they're a playoff team. And then it's like,

1393
01:14:35,640 --> 01:14:38,679
Speaker 1: what the hell am I watching? But to me, Arizona

1394
01:14:38,760 --> 01:14:40,680
Speaker 1: is a pretty big wild card. I know they look

1395
01:14:40,720 --> 01:14:43,439
Speaker 1: shitty against Northern Arizona, but that's kind of your classic

1396
01:14:43,560 --> 01:14:46,559
Speaker 1: Like they came out the gates swinging Week one, scored

1397
01:14:46,600 --> 01:14:50,400
Speaker 1: like one hundred points. A little letdown. This is a really,

1398
01:14:50,439 --> 01:14:53,559
Speaker 1: really big spot. I'm tempted to dabble a little bit

1399
01:14:53,560 --> 01:14:55,439
Speaker 1: on the money line here. It's not like k State

1400
01:14:55,720 --> 01:15:00,240
Speaker 1: is fucking Alabama. Now you get I set get the

1401
01:15:00,320 --> 01:15:03,080
Speaker 1: plus seven. But this is this is a pretty intriguing

1402
01:15:03,120 --> 01:15:03,600
Speaker 1: game to me.

1403
01:15:04,760 --> 01:15:07,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, it should be a fun one. Both offenses are

1404
01:15:07,600 --> 01:15:10,920
Speaker 3: pretty fun. I'm worried about but the Kansas State defense

1405
01:15:11,000 --> 01:15:14,200
Speaker 3: was very worrisome against Tulane. I mean, they were starting

1406
01:15:14,439 --> 01:15:16,400
Speaker 3: to him, was starting a young kid who they didn't

1407
01:15:16,400 --> 01:15:20,040
Speaker 3: even know he's going to be the starter until like

1408
01:15:20,160 --> 01:15:22,760
Speaker 3: late in camp, and Neve was throwing all over and

1409
01:15:22,760 --> 01:15:25,720
Speaker 3: there was coverage busts all over. That's definitely concerning when

1410
01:15:25,720 --> 01:15:28,240
Speaker 3: you're going up against McMillan, one of the best receivers

1411
01:15:28,280 --> 01:15:32,240
Speaker 3: in the country. But I'm really worried about the Arizona defense,

1412
01:15:32,560 --> 01:15:35,720
Speaker 3: especially up front. So Kansas State's quarterback Avery Johnson still

1413
01:15:35,720 --> 01:15:37,920
Speaker 3: limited as a passer. The Electric Runner. They have a

1414
01:15:37,960 --> 01:15:41,960
Speaker 3: really good backfield with Giddinson company. The Arizona defensive front

1415
01:15:41,960 --> 01:15:42,599
Speaker 3: lost a lot.

1416
01:15:43,680 --> 01:15:43,840
Speaker 1: Look.

1417
01:15:43,880 --> 01:15:45,280
Speaker 3: I mean, you go back to the game against New

1418
01:15:45,320 --> 01:15:49,200
Speaker 3: Mexico and New Mexico was scoring, was scoring at will

1419
01:15:49,200 --> 01:15:52,320
Speaker 3: with Devin Dampier, and they like a mobile quarterback. They

1420
01:15:52,320 --> 01:15:55,320
Speaker 3: were running on them. So I'm just afraid that Kansa

1421
01:15:55,320 --> 01:15:58,040
Speaker 3: State's gonna be able to run at will here because

1422
01:15:58,040 --> 01:16:01,600
Speaker 3: that Arizona defensive front does not look great. Lost a

1423
01:16:01,680 --> 01:16:03,960
Speaker 3: couple of key guys there, and then the offense is

1424
01:16:03,960 --> 01:16:06,439
Speaker 3: not as good as it was last year. Arizon was

1425
01:16:06,439 --> 01:16:09,600
Speaker 3: a team I was always betting number one. I love Jetfish,

1426
01:16:10,000 --> 01:16:14,080
Speaker 3: who they lost. I think he just designed such a

1427
01:16:14,120 --> 01:16:16,960
Speaker 3: beautiful offense. He was putting forfeed in all just the

1428
01:16:17,000 --> 01:16:20,040
Speaker 3: best possible places on the field and giving him such

1429
01:16:20,080 --> 01:16:22,160
Speaker 3: easy throws. And Papete is good, don't get me wrong.

1430
01:16:22,320 --> 01:16:24,839
Speaker 3: But they also had a pro an NFL left tackle.

1431
01:16:26,000 --> 01:16:30,439
Speaker 3: Who's Jordan Morgan is on the Packers. Now, they had

1432
01:16:30,520 --> 01:16:35,240
Speaker 3: a really good second receiver in Cawing, so they don't

1433
01:16:35,280 --> 01:16:38,000
Speaker 3: really have that now. It's all just like McMillan, like

1434
01:16:38,000 --> 01:16:41,320
Speaker 3: in that New Mexico game. Yeah, they won. I think

1435
01:16:41,320 --> 01:16:43,880
Speaker 3: they were trailing at the half or it was almost

1436
01:16:43,880 --> 01:16:47,719
Speaker 3: tied at that He had three hundred and twenty yards.

1437
01:16:48,080 --> 01:16:50,320
Speaker 3: So the next week all the attention was on him,

1438
01:16:51,080 --> 01:16:53,360
Speaker 3: and yeah, I think he only had like two catches

1439
01:16:54,080 --> 01:16:57,679
Speaker 3: for like fifteen yards, and Arizona's offense couldn't do anything.

1440
01:16:57,720 --> 01:17:00,720
Speaker 3: So I would assume that's Kansas State's game plan here

1441
01:17:01,479 --> 01:17:04,080
Speaker 3: can they execute it? I mean they couldn't. It's so

1442
01:17:04,320 --> 01:17:06,479
Speaker 3: I'm worried about this Arizona team. The offensive line is worse,

1443
01:17:06,640 --> 01:17:09,360
Speaker 3: the wide receiver room is worse. You just kind of

1444
01:17:09,360 --> 01:17:11,800
Speaker 3: have to just take away McMillan. They're running back. Their

1445
01:17:11,840 --> 01:17:14,519
Speaker 3: backfield is worse too. They lost their starting running back

1446
01:17:14,600 --> 01:17:19,120
Speaker 3: was now starting at Washington. So I think the Candias

1447
01:17:19,120 --> 01:17:20,200
Speaker 3: State will be able to run. Like if you can

1448
01:17:20,200 --> 01:17:22,760
Speaker 3: stop the run against Kansas State, make Averray Johnson. He's

1449
01:17:22,760 --> 01:17:25,080
Speaker 3: still limited as a passer, that's how you beat him.

1450
01:17:25,080 --> 01:17:26,880
Speaker 3: I'm not sure they'll be able to do it, but yeah,

1451
01:17:26,920 --> 01:17:28,080
Speaker 3: if you want to take a shot in a Friday

1452
01:17:28,120 --> 01:17:32,479
Speaker 3: night on Arizona Money Island, McMillan goes off. I don't

1453
01:17:32,520 --> 01:17:35,000
Speaker 3: hate it, but I have concerns about both of these

1454
01:17:35,000 --> 01:17:35,719
Speaker 3: teams for sure.

1455
01:17:36,080 --> 01:17:38,280
Speaker 1: That's some good nuggets because I guess you know, I

1456
01:17:38,320 --> 01:17:40,840
Speaker 1: saw a quote from their defensive coordinator last year, who's

1457
01:17:41,400 --> 01:17:44,240
Speaker 1: up with or one of the coaches, who's with Jed.

1458
01:17:44,280 --> 01:17:45,799
Speaker 1: He's like I thought, by the end of the season

1459
01:17:45,880 --> 01:17:48,519
Speaker 1: we were playing, we're like a top ten team in

1460
01:17:48,560 --> 01:17:50,720
Speaker 1: the country. And now when you think about it, the

1461
01:17:51,160 --> 01:17:54,519
Speaker 1: left tackle, who's on the backers and who's technically a

1462
01:17:54,600 --> 01:17:56,080
Speaker 1: third tackle, But I mean, he's going to be a

1463
01:17:56,120 --> 01:17:59,080
Speaker 1: starter in the future. Cowing is a starter for the Niner.

1464
01:17:59,120 --> 01:18:01,479
Speaker 1: He's a starting punt turner, and he's gonna as the

1465
01:18:01,479 --> 01:18:03,839
Speaker 1: season goes, play more on offense because of a speed

1466
01:18:03,920 --> 01:18:06,320
Speaker 1: and you lose your started running back like that with

1467
01:18:06,400 --> 01:18:09,400
Speaker 1: Fafita and McMillan, like that team was kind of stacked, right,

1468
01:18:09,760 --> 01:18:12,760
Speaker 1: I mean yeah, like they were really really good.

1469
01:18:12,800 --> 01:18:14,160
Speaker 3: I mean, and a really good running back.

1470
01:18:15,560 --> 01:18:18,320
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean if Jed is a better offensive play

1471
01:18:18,360 --> 01:18:23,280
Speaker 1: caller than Brennan, who's an offensive guy too. But I

1472
01:18:23,600 --> 01:18:26,320
Speaker 1: just maybe it's a Homer pick, but I'm kind of

1473
01:18:26,880 --> 01:18:28,960
Speaker 1: I'd like to see. Aerzona's got a tough little stretch.

1474
01:18:28,960 --> 01:18:30,800
Speaker 1: They play k State and they play Utah next week.

1475
01:18:30,960 --> 01:18:32,400
Speaker 1: This is kind of their season, you know, if they

1476
01:18:32,479 --> 01:18:34,719
Speaker 1: want to compete for the Big twelve. Yeah.

1477
01:18:34,720 --> 01:18:38,559
Speaker 3: The other thing I'll quit mention. The only other player

1478
01:18:38,560 --> 01:18:40,080
Speaker 3: that I have was Titans plus three and a half

1479
01:18:40,439 --> 01:18:42,920
Speaker 3: another a week two trend, which is a pretty crazy one.

1480
01:18:43,080 --> 01:18:46,519
Speaker 3: Teams that had the ball as little as the Jets

1481
01:18:46,560 --> 01:18:49,800
Speaker 3: did last week in week in week one, in week

1482
01:18:49,840 --> 01:18:54,439
Speaker 3: two there's six and twenty five against spread. That's nineteen

1483
01:18:54,520 --> 01:18:57,760
Speaker 3: percent over the past twenty years. When that, I mean,

1484
01:18:57,760 --> 01:18:59,720
Speaker 3: if you watch the Jets sports games, I know you did.

1485
01:19:00,760 --> 01:19:03,360
Speaker 3: The defense is on the field the entire game. You're

1486
01:19:03,400 --> 01:19:05,840
Speaker 3: not all the way up into game shape yet. Fatigue

1487
01:19:06,160 --> 01:19:10,479
Speaker 3: really hits hardest in Week two and they're going Monday

1488
01:19:10,560 --> 01:19:13,840
Speaker 3: night on the road to another road game on a

1489
01:19:13,880 --> 01:19:16,760
Speaker 3: short week. Teams in that spot historically don't do well.

1490
01:19:16,960 --> 01:19:19,160
Speaker 3: And that Jets defense just not the same. I mean,

1491
01:19:19,400 --> 01:19:22,040
Speaker 3: Chanahan ripped them apart new the solid defense, but the

1492
01:19:22,080 --> 01:19:25,040
Speaker 3: defensive line is not the same. You don't have Huff,

1493
01:19:25,280 --> 01:19:28,840
Speaker 3: you don't have Franklin Meyer's reddicks holding out, and maybe

1494
01:19:28,880 --> 01:19:32,080
Speaker 3: the secondary regresses a little bit. They've been so good,

1495
01:19:32,520 --> 01:19:35,040
Speaker 3: but the defensive line is not getting as much pressure.

1496
01:19:35,120 --> 01:19:37,439
Speaker 3: They're not getting they're able to be pushed around because

1497
01:19:37,439 --> 01:19:40,640
Speaker 3: they lost some key pieces there not as talented, So

1498
01:19:42,160 --> 01:19:45,120
Speaker 3: I think the Titans catching over a field goal really

1499
01:19:45,120 --> 01:19:47,680
Speaker 3: good spot here. Historically, teams that blow big leads in

1500
01:19:47,720 --> 01:19:51,200
Speaker 3: week one also are good bets in week two. But

1501
01:19:51,240 --> 01:19:53,680
Speaker 3: the Jets are They're still figuring out. The offensive line

1502
01:19:53,680 --> 01:19:55,599
Speaker 3: needs time to gel. Rogers needs to still work out

1503
01:19:55,600 --> 01:19:59,799
Speaker 3: the kinks. It's like a I know that white touchdowns,

1504
01:19:59,800 --> 01:20:02,000
Speaker 3: but yeah, you're just throwing it to one guy. And

1505
01:20:02,360 --> 01:20:04,880
Speaker 3: I like the Titans additions they added at Ernest Jones,

1506
01:20:05,439 --> 01:20:07,680
Speaker 3: the sweat kid from Texas, look good up front with

1507
01:20:07,720 --> 01:20:12,000
Speaker 3: Simmons they have now they have two veteran solid corners.

1508
01:20:12,080 --> 01:20:14,559
Speaker 3: So I like what I saw last week from the defense.

1509
01:20:14,880 --> 01:20:17,439
Speaker 3: And yeah, you got to worry about just Hey, they're

1510
01:20:17,479 --> 01:20:20,760
Speaker 3: gonna throw it to Wilson on the left side. I mean,

1511
01:20:20,840 --> 01:20:24,240
Speaker 3: I saw a funny memes It showed the passing chart

1512
01:20:24,280 --> 01:20:26,760
Speaker 3: of Aaron Rodgers and then a picture next to it,

1513
01:20:26,880 --> 01:20:28,600
Speaker 3: and he had an eye patch on his on his

1514
01:20:28,720 --> 01:20:32,960
Speaker 3: right eye, So yeah, it's a it's a very limited off.

1515
01:20:32,960 --> 01:20:34,600
Speaker 3: It's Mike Williams isn't gonna give you much right now

1516
01:20:34,720 --> 01:20:38,720
Speaker 3: until he's fully healthy. So I like the uh, the

1517
01:20:38,760 --> 01:20:43,759
Speaker 3: Titans uh catching over a field goal at home against

1518
01:20:43,760 --> 01:20:44,240
Speaker 3: the Jets.

1519
01:20:44,240 --> 01:20:46,840
Speaker 1: That that I heard you say on your show, the

1520
01:20:47,040 --> 01:20:50,080
Speaker 1: like classic reaction because you, if you just weren't super

1521
01:20:50,120 --> 01:20:52,200
Speaker 1: locked into that game, paid to look at the final score.

1522
01:20:52,720 --> 01:20:55,840
Speaker 1: Titans were kicking their ass and they got a punt

1523
01:20:55,840 --> 01:20:58,880
Speaker 1: block for a touchdown, and then the Will Levis Daniel

1524
01:20:58,960 --> 01:21:02,439
Speaker 1: Jones type play. You know, you remove those two, the

1525
01:21:02,479 --> 01:21:07,000
Speaker 1: Bears don't win. The Titans defense was dominating, So.

1526
01:21:06,880 --> 01:21:08,960
Speaker 3: The Bears didn't have one hundred and fifty total yards

1527
01:21:08,960 --> 01:21:10,439
Speaker 3: and didn't score an offensive touchdown.

1528
01:21:10,600 --> 01:21:13,240
Speaker 1: And now it's Keenan Allen's banged up.

1529
01:21:13,720 --> 01:21:16,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, somehow came back. It's one of the worst beats

1530
01:21:16,280 --> 01:21:18,320
Speaker 3: of the season. I had some money on the Titans. Unfortunately,

1531
01:21:18,720 --> 01:21:21,840
Speaker 3: up seventeen to nothing, the opposing offense doesn't get to

1532
01:21:21,840 --> 01:21:23,840
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty total yards for the game, never

1533
01:21:23,880 --> 01:21:27,400
Speaker 3: scores an offensive touchdown. Not only do you lose, which

1534
01:21:27,439 --> 01:21:28,960
Speaker 3: is like a one in a million chance of losing

1535
01:21:29,000 --> 01:21:31,360
Speaker 3: that kind of game, you don't cover four and a half.

1536
01:21:31,680 --> 01:21:35,120
Speaker 3: It's crazy, crazy, But I think you got to say this,

1537
01:21:35,120 --> 01:21:36,680
Speaker 3: this line should be a field goal, Max. I think

1538
01:21:36,680 --> 01:21:37,680
Speaker 3: you got to take the hook at home.

1539
01:21:37,800 --> 01:21:39,840
Speaker 1: Well, and the Jets. They got this game and then

1540
01:21:40,040 --> 01:21:41,720
Speaker 1: I think they played Thursday night, right, I mean they

1541
01:21:41,720 --> 01:21:44,679
Speaker 1: got to like it could unravel on them really fast.

1542
01:21:44,960 --> 01:21:46,800
Speaker 1: I think they played the Patriots on Thursday night.

1543
01:21:47,160 --> 01:21:49,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, get used to the Jets. They're on I think

1544
01:21:49,120 --> 01:21:51,240
Speaker 3: like in the next starting in week one to like

1545
01:21:51,320 --> 01:21:55,719
Speaker 3: week nine, they're on like six times in Island games.

1546
01:21:55,720 --> 01:21:57,719
Speaker 3: I think ones like international they're on like five times

1547
01:21:57,720 --> 01:21:58,400
Speaker 3: in prime time.

1548
01:21:58,920 --> 01:22:02,200
Speaker 1: But they're notre Dame of the NFL. The hype machine

1549
01:22:02,200 --> 01:22:04,040
Speaker 1: behind them, and you watch them, it's like, yeah, they

1550
01:22:04,120 --> 01:22:06,120
Speaker 1: got some good players, but give me a break.

1551
01:22:06,720 --> 01:22:11,880
Speaker 3: Yeah they they have they all the short week. Next

1552
01:22:11,880 --> 01:22:14,680
Speaker 3: week they starting three games in ten days. It's a

1553
01:22:14,720 --> 01:22:19,400
Speaker 3: brutal stretch. They host the Patriots on Thursday, so short week,

1554
01:22:19,439 --> 01:22:23,120
Speaker 3: the short week after back to back road trip. Not great.

1555
01:22:23,240 --> 01:22:27,080
Speaker 3: But I will say I was impressed with the forty

1556
01:22:27,160 --> 01:22:31,480
Speaker 3: nine ers defense. They just looked livelier. There was more adjustments,

1557
01:22:31,520 --> 01:22:35,599
Speaker 3: more more nuanced. So I think it was a good

1558
01:22:35,640 --> 01:22:40,160
Speaker 3: debut for Sheridan And I'll be curious to watch like

1559
01:22:40,200 --> 01:22:44,200
Speaker 3: the Stally influence that there's more wrinkles, but it just

1560
01:22:44,280 --> 01:22:47,639
Speaker 3: looked more lively, like their defense was kind of Colts

1561
01:22:47,760 --> 01:22:50,760
Speaker 3: esque in the past. Now they have more talent and

1562
01:22:50,800 --> 01:22:52,880
Speaker 3: they would just rely on their front. You know, they

1563
01:22:52,880 --> 01:22:57,960
Speaker 3: didn't really do much. It was pretty consistent, but they

1564
01:22:58,040 --> 01:23:00,000
Speaker 3: kind of kind of got stale at the end Underwilks.

1565
01:23:01,080 --> 01:23:03,360
Speaker 3: I thought it was a really good debut and everyone

1566
01:23:03,360 --> 01:23:05,880
Speaker 3: out just looked a lot lively on that side of

1567
01:23:05,920 --> 01:23:06,200
Speaker 3: the ball.

1568
01:23:06,240 --> 01:23:07,960
Speaker 1: Well, they got a couple of things going for him

1569
01:23:08,040 --> 01:23:12,200
Speaker 1: last year with Wilkes, unlike Demico and Sala, there was

1570
01:23:12,240 --> 01:23:15,240
Speaker 1: like a disconnect between the players and him. They knew

1571
01:23:15,280 --> 01:23:18,599
Speaker 1: those two guys so well. And Fred Warner, who's basically

1572
01:23:18,640 --> 01:23:22,800
Speaker 1: like their ray Lewis or Ed Reid, like his communication

1573
01:23:22,880 --> 01:23:24,600
Speaker 1: with the defensive coordinator, they got to be on the

1574
01:23:24,600 --> 01:23:27,360
Speaker 1: same page, and he felt like the communication was off

1575
01:23:27,400 --> 01:23:29,280
Speaker 1: between those two guys the other.

1576
01:23:29,720 --> 01:23:31,639
Speaker 3: I think Mosta came out and said some stuff too,

1577
01:23:31,720 --> 01:23:32,679
Speaker 3: like yeah, they.

1578
01:23:32,560 --> 01:23:34,080
Speaker 1: Didn't They just didn't like him. They didn't think he

1579
01:23:34,160 --> 01:23:37,120
Speaker 1: knew what he was doing. You add Floyd so they

1580
01:23:37,120 --> 01:23:39,920
Speaker 1: get an extra pass rusher. They were in hardgraves ass

1581
01:23:40,000 --> 01:23:42,000
Speaker 1: this offseason, like we paid a lot of money. Last

1582
01:23:42,080 --> 01:23:45,120
Speaker 1: year was not a great year for the hype. So

1583
01:23:45,320 --> 01:23:47,600
Speaker 1: like he comes and motivated how many teams in the

1584
01:23:47,680 --> 01:23:50,559
Speaker 1: NFL have two good corners, it can't be many, right,

1585
01:23:51,080 --> 01:23:54,600
Speaker 1: So they Ward is a good corner and Leonore this offseason,

1586
01:23:54,640 --> 01:23:57,240
Speaker 1: and listen, I hate giving this guy credit, but Leonora's

1587
01:23:57,280 --> 01:24:01,200
Speaker 1: credited him. Brandon Staley's worked closely with him. They think

1588
01:24:01,240 --> 01:24:03,400
Speaker 1: like they're gonna let Ward walk after the season in

1589
01:24:03,439 --> 01:24:06,600
Speaker 1: a perfect world, and Leonor will become that guy that

1590
01:24:06,840 --> 01:24:09,439
Speaker 1: they go like four deep at safety. They're missing green

1591
01:24:09,520 --> 01:24:12,000
Speaker 1: Law right now. But if you have a good defensive

1592
01:24:12,040 --> 01:24:14,400
Speaker 1: backfield and a good defensive line and Fred Warner in

1593
01:24:14,439 --> 01:24:17,680
Speaker 1: the middle, and your defensive coordinator can communicate with your

1594
01:24:17,720 --> 01:24:22,280
Speaker 1: star player like the place like those guys know. So

1595
01:24:22,320 --> 01:24:24,840
Speaker 1: it's like, hey, let's do this. If we don't need

1596
01:24:24,920 --> 01:24:27,120
Speaker 1: like Bill Belichick, I don't need you to tell me

1597
01:24:27,200 --> 01:24:28,920
Speaker 1: everything I'm doing, Like we got a pretty good idea

1598
01:24:28,960 --> 01:24:32,880
Speaker 1: what's going on. And then the physicality, like their physicality

1599
01:24:32,920 --> 01:24:36,599
Speaker 1: on offense, like obviously McCaffrey in theory is a big blow,

1600
01:24:36,640 --> 01:24:40,120
Speaker 1: but like Jordan Mason, like you can't play for Kyle

1601
01:24:40,600 --> 01:24:42,719
Speaker 1: or in this scheme if you don't run hard downhill.

1602
01:24:42,720 --> 01:24:45,519
Speaker 1: It's why the Packers wanted Josh Jacobs. That's why forever

1603
01:24:45,680 --> 01:24:47,880
Speaker 1: the Kubiak guys have always had good running backs to

1604
01:24:47,920 --> 01:24:51,320
Speaker 1: get one cut go right beside Trent Williams. Most of

1605
01:24:51,320 --> 01:24:54,040
Speaker 1: our guys aren't shoving people around, but there are creases

1606
01:24:54,400 --> 01:24:55,840
Speaker 1: and then when that run, I mean, you have no

1607
01:24:55,920 --> 01:24:57,519
Speaker 1: chance against the forty nine if you're not gonna slow

1608
01:24:57,520 --> 01:24:59,920
Speaker 1: down the run. That's when they're in their defense. Get

1609
01:25:00,160 --> 01:25:04,559
Speaker 1: control that. The concerning thing to me in that game was,

1610
01:25:05,360 --> 01:25:08,720
Speaker 1: if I'm a Jets fan, part of getting Rogers was

1611
01:25:08,800 --> 01:25:11,360
Speaker 1: getting this total package. And I know he was older,

1612
01:25:11,840 --> 01:25:15,720
Speaker 1: but like it's pretty clear he's like a stronger armed

1613
01:25:15,800 --> 01:25:18,360
Speaker 1: Jared Goff. Like he's a pocket quarterback. Now he's not

1614
01:25:18,360 --> 01:25:20,840
Speaker 1: gonna be mobile. The difference is Jared Goff plays on

1615
01:25:20,880 --> 01:25:22,479
Speaker 1: a team that is stacked and in a you know,

1616
01:25:22,479 --> 01:25:25,639
Speaker 1: an elite offensive line with elite weapons. It's like Rogers

1617
01:25:25,640 --> 01:25:29,120
Speaker 1: has one guy he can't move. If their defense is

1618
01:25:29,240 --> 01:25:32,280
Speaker 1: no longer high end and just middle of the back,

1619
01:25:33,080 --> 01:25:35,280
Speaker 1: they're kind of fucked. Everyone's like, don't overreact. The diners

1620
01:25:35,280 --> 01:25:37,280
Speaker 1: are great. Yeah, it's not necessarily about that. It's more

1621
01:25:37,360 --> 01:25:40,600
Speaker 1: just like physically the guy doesn't look the same, which unearnerstandable.

1622
01:25:40,640 --> 01:25:43,680
Speaker 1: He's forty years old, coming off like everyone's shitting on Cousins, Like, yeah,

1623
01:25:43,720 --> 01:25:45,840
Speaker 1: cousin has never been able to move and now he's

1624
01:25:45,840 --> 01:25:47,560
Speaker 1: coming off achilles. He's really not gonna be able to

1625
01:25:47,600 --> 01:25:50,560
Speaker 1: move well. Rogers, who was kind of slowing down the

1626
01:25:50,640 --> 01:25:53,519
Speaker 1: last couple of years, now he's got an achilles. He

1627
01:25:53,600 --> 01:25:54,920
Speaker 1: looked pretty stagnant to me.

1628
01:25:56,720 --> 01:25:58,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, he's not gonna be able to move much.

1629
01:25:59,720 --> 01:26:03,720
Speaker 3: And there's like one offensive line injury. It could all

1630
01:26:03,760 --> 01:26:04,679
Speaker 3: fall apart quick.

1631
01:26:05,200 --> 01:26:07,559
Speaker 1: So, especially when they play good defensive tackles they can

1632
01:26:07,640 --> 01:26:09,719
Speaker 1: rush up the middle, he'd be in major trouble.

1633
01:26:10,120 --> 01:26:11,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think their defense is gonna take a

1634
01:26:11,720 --> 01:26:13,519
Speaker 3: step back, but their defensive line is not as good,

1635
01:26:13,560 --> 01:26:16,600
Speaker 3: and it's really hard to maintain how good that secondary

1636
01:26:16,760 --> 01:26:19,719
Speaker 3: was last year and they were really healthy. You already

1637
01:26:19,720 --> 01:26:21,280
Speaker 3: saw a couple of guys getting nicked up. They should

1638
01:26:21,280 --> 01:26:23,880
Speaker 3: all play this week, but there definitely could be some

1639
01:26:23,880 --> 01:26:25,760
Speaker 3: aggression on that side of the ball. But yeah, it

1640
01:26:25,880 --> 01:26:28,360
Speaker 3: was really impressed. Forty nine ers D And I think

1641
01:26:28,640 --> 01:26:30,640
Speaker 3: Staley's he's a good defensive mind. You don't want him

1642
01:26:30,640 --> 01:26:33,080
Speaker 3: like managing anything or running anything, but he's good to

1643
01:26:33,160 --> 01:26:38,040
Speaker 3: have working with the defensive backs, you know, giving his input,

1644
01:26:38,439 --> 01:26:40,200
Speaker 3: adding some wrinkles to the defense. I think it's like a

1645
01:26:40,200 --> 01:26:44,840
Speaker 3: perfect role for him because and he's so different philosophically

1646
01:26:44,920 --> 01:26:48,160
Speaker 3: that I think bouncing off ideas with him and Sheridan

1647
01:26:48,200 --> 01:26:52,080
Speaker 3: can only improve that defense. And yeah, I think ye Autumn,

1648
01:26:52,280 --> 01:26:54,000
Speaker 3: who was terrible early in his career, he was really

1649
01:26:54,000 --> 01:26:55,599
Speaker 3: good last year. Think that was like a sneaky good

1650
01:26:55,600 --> 01:26:57,880
Speaker 3: pick up their other corner who fund it didn't even

1651
01:26:57,960 --> 01:27:00,600
Speaker 3: he's gonna come back to He looks like one of

1652
01:27:00,640 --> 01:27:03,439
Speaker 3: the better safeties in the NFL. So there's a lot working,

1653
01:27:04,120 --> 01:27:09,439
Speaker 3: uh in favor of this defense. I was definitely impressed Yea.

1654
01:27:09,360 --> 01:27:11,720
Speaker 1: And the Niners offensive line beside Trent has been a

1655
01:27:11,720 --> 01:27:13,680
Speaker 1: major question. They look like they hit on this guy

1656
01:27:13,760 --> 01:27:16,960
Speaker 1: named Pooney, the Kansas guard Dominic, So all of a sudden,

1657
01:27:17,000 --> 01:27:19,120
Speaker 1: now it's like, well two of our five off like

1658
01:27:19,120 --> 01:27:21,479
Speaker 1: Pooney could be a pro bowler. So it's like we

1659
01:27:21,520 --> 01:27:23,400
Speaker 1: have the best left tackle pro bowler. And then you,

1660
01:27:23,520 --> 01:27:25,519
Speaker 1: just like most teams, you just find a couple of

1661
01:27:25,520 --> 01:27:26,599
Speaker 1: guys you can function with.

1662
01:27:28,320 --> 01:27:32,479
Speaker 3: Mcimmit's isn't bad. So yeah, he's not great, but.

1663
01:27:32,439 --> 01:27:33,719
Speaker 1: He don't say that too loud.

1664
01:27:34,800 --> 01:27:37,479
Speaker 3: He's uh, I don't I know. Niners fans don't like him.

1665
01:27:37,479 --> 01:27:39,320
Speaker 1: He actually had a good game in pass Pro. He

1666
01:27:39,320 --> 01:27:41,559
Speaker 1: can you know, like mcglinch, he's fine against the run.

1667
01:27:41,600 --> 01:27:43,040
Speaker 1: I think in pass Pro when he gets in one

1668
01:27:43,080 --> 01:27:47,360
Speaker 1: on one situations, limited athlete can just yeah, but you know,

1669
01:27:47,560 --> 01:27:50,080
Speaker 1: no one can block the JJ, you know, the t J. Watts,

1670
01:27:50,120 --> 01:27:50,880
Speaker 1: the MICA's But.

1671
01:27:51,320 --> 01:27:53,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, no he's not. He's definitely not up there

1672
01:27:53,240 --> 01:27:55,280
Speaker 3: as elite. But yeah, if you get Poony on the

1673
01:27:55,280 --> 01:27:59,040
Speaker 3: inside hitting, that's that's huge. I'm roude for you guys,

1674
01:27:59,040 --> 01:28:02,760
Speaker 3: because you we have all these lead players, we're gonna

1675
01:28:02,760 --> 01:28:05,720
Speaker 3: have to pay party. So then that's when you got

1676
01:28:05,760 --> 01:28:08,280
Speaker 3: tired contracts this summer.

1677
01:28:08,800 --> 01:28:12,639
Speaker 1: It's a big year, segie yep, Okay, okay, last question

1678
01:28:13,680 --> 01:28:16,080
Speaker 1: that call from Doug Peterson. Now they ended up missing

1679
01:28:16,080 --> 01:28:18,280
Speaker 1: a field goal, but to go for fourth down on

1680
01:28:18,320 --> 01:28:21,120
Speaker 1: your own thirty in that situation had some brain and

1681
01:28:21,160 --> 01:28:22,000
Speaker 1: stally vibes.

1682
01:28:21,800 --> 01:28:25,280
Speaker 3: Did it not? Yeah? Also, just sneak it, like I

1683
01:28:25,600 --> 01:28:28,360
Speaker 3: don't understand you have a court. Trevor LaRence is such

1684
01:28:28,360 --> 01:28:31,760
Speaker 3: a good seeker. He's like seven foot tall. Sneaking on

1685
01:28:31,800 --> 01:28:34,200
Speaker 3: fourth and one, it's like ninety percent. I don't know

1686
01:28:34,200 --> 01:28:38,080
Speaker 3: what that play call was. It's not like the the

1687
01:28:38,120 --> 01:28:41,280
Speaker 3: Dolphins have this huge front that you can't sneak it on.

1688
01:28:42,600 --> 01:28:46,040
Speaker 3: You're gonna go for it there sneak the ball. But yeah,

1689
01:28:46,080 --> 01:28:47,960
Speaker 3: that was they were just like melting down. There was

1690
01:28:48,000 --> 01:28:50,120
Speaker 3: the fumble, the eighty yard touchdown, and I think they

1691
01:28:50,120 --> 01:28:52,880
Speaker 3: were just like in panic mode. Oh it was.

1692
01:28:53,080 --> 01:28:55,840
Speaker 1: Uh you have the worst feeling as a bit as

1693
01:28:55,840 --> 01:28:58,719
Speaker 1: a better way you could feel control, and then you're

1694
01:28:58,720 --> 01:29:01,800
Speaker 1: just like, oh my god. And when that happens, you

1695
01:29:01,840 --> 01:29:02,559
Speaker 1: just know it's over.

1696
01:29:02,800 --> 01:29:05,200
Speaker 3: And then you're playing Tyreek Hill because a guy pick

1697
01:29:05,240 --> 01:29:07,320
Speaker 3: the Dolphins office. You know they can score so quick,

1698
01:29:07,360 --> 01:29:10,120
Speaker 3: and then they do and then you're like, then they

1699
01:29:10,120 --> 01:29:11,760
Speaker 3: go for it on fourth and you're thinking, I'm like,

1700
01:29:11,840 --> 01:29:16,200
Speaker 3: this is gonna end twenty one seventeen. So yeah, that's

1701
01:29:16,240 --> 01:29:17,840
Speaker 3: that's the most helpless feeling when there's a game that

1702
01:29:17,840 --> 01:29:19,360
Speaker 3: you are not worried about and all of a sudden

1703
01:29:19,400 --> 01:29:21,439
Speaker 3: you're like, oh God, I thought I had this banked

1704
01:29:21,439 --> 01:29:24,640
Speaker 3: as a win. This is gonna change my afternoon. So

1705
01:29:25,000 --> 01:29:25,720
Speaker 3: it's good to have you on.

1706
01:29:25,760 --> 01:29:27,720
Speaker 1: That's part about betting the NFL, man, you just you

1707
01:29:27,760 --> 01:29:30,160
Speaker 1: know them and the Titans. You can never get too cocky.

1708
01:29:30,479 --> 01:29:32,800
Speaker 3: And lets about the Panthers. Then you know it's over

1709
01:29:32,840 --> 01:29:33,519
Speaker 3: in the first minute.

1710
01:29:34,120 --> 01:29:35,840
Speaker 1: Okay, Zucky Man, have a good week. Talk to you

1711
01:29:35,880 --> 01:29:36,280
Speaker 1: next week.

1712
01:29:36,479 --> 01:29:37,519
Speaker 3: Absolutely, brother, have it going

1713
01:29:41,200 --> 01:29:41,879
Speaker 1: The volume