1 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:15,080 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. 4 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Paroltz. 5 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me on socials at sports Talk 6 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 2: Matt across All Socials, Instagram, TikTok, Twitter, all of it's 7 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 2: at sports Talk Matts. This podcast being brought to you 8 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 2: by Omaha Steaks dot Com. Use the promo code jews. 9 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 2: We are about to start a new campaign coming up 10 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:39,839 Speaker 2: on Monday of this coming week for Olmah Steaks. 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Okay, good day, yesterday could have 22 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 2: been great. I'm kicking myself. We got the under right 23 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 2: for the Dolphins game, but I did a seven point teaser. 24 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 2: I teased the Dolphins up to twelve and a half. 25 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 2: I thought that was good. I was teasing the seven 26 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 2: point teaser to get below three for Buffalo because I'm 27 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 2: worried about that game, so I wanted to pull that 28 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 2: down below three. So I did a seven point teaser. 29 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 2: I laid the one forty on it. That misses because 30 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:33,759 Speaker 2: the Dolphins just toa is so bad in the cold, 31 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:36,959 Speaker 2: so bad in the cold weather. I mean the Dolphins 32 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 2: defense couldn't tackle, but you can't. I mean they're so 33 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 2: banged up defensively. I thought they did pretty well actually 34 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 2: against the Chiefs, although that roughing the passer penalty, I mean, 35 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 2: give me a break. It's the playoffs, Like, what are 36 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 2: we doing that set up a touchdown? If that was 37 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 2: a field goal, then maybe we could have got that 38 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 2: in there. It's you know, it's possible we could have 39 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 2: maybe got a you know, last second touchdown or I 40 00:01:58,360 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 2: don't know that. Maybe the Dolphin felt like they were 41 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 2: in the game, but that touchdown to go up twenty 42 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 2: six to seven was it final score? Under comes in 43 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 2: teaser misses, and we also missed on Texas so that 44 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 2: was down two point five units. We won four units 45 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:16,959 Speaker 2: with basketball coming in the underhit. We got Saint John's right, 46 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: we got TechEd, we got Saint John's right, we got 47 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:24,440 Speaker 2: North Carolina right, and then I'm blanking on the other bet. 48 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:26,600 Speaker 1: We went four and one. I'm blanking on the other bet. 49 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 2: Oh, Houston. We got the Texans right at plus two, 50 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:31,119 Speaker 2: So we got that right. So if you had done 51 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 2: the teaser that I talked about on the podcast, giving 52 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:37,400 Speaker 2: the Texans plus eight and then taking pulling the or 53 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 2: sending the total from forty three and a half up 54 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 2: to forty nine and a half, if you did that, 55 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 2: that cashed. 56 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: Like I recommended last night. 57 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 2: I should have played the bet that I talked about, 58 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 2: But I got on the live stream and I just 59 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 2: I was starting to look at when the Bills game 60 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 2: got moved. 61 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: I was live on the air with Pat. 62 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 2: Fitz Morris on our on our YouTube channel for our 63 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 2: NFL live stream, and the game got moved and I 64 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 2: just kind of panned. I went man, and so I 65 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:04,160 Speaker 2: shouldn't have done that. That was my fault to do 66 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 2: a bet like live like that. That was a bad 67 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 2: play by me. So I gave a unit one point 68 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 2: four units back on that. But you know, overall winning day, 69 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 2: It's been a winning week. We're now up seven units 70 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 2: for the year on the podcast plays, which is awesome. 71 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 2: Having a very nice week. So let's end it off 72 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:23,359 Speaker 2: here on a Sunday. I've got three bets in the 73 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 2: NFL for today, one bet for the game on Monday, 74 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:30,079 Speaker 2: which I already gave out on the Discord channels, hopefully 75 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 2: you took advantage of it. And then I got one 76 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 2: college basketball bet for us here today on a Sunday. 77 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 2: So let's start with the first game of the day 78 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 2: with the Packers on the road at the Dallas Cowboys. 79 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 1: Now Green Bay this year on the overall nine and eight. 80 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 2: Ats Dallas ten and seven, four and five green Bay 81 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 2: on the road six and two Dallas at home. Number 82 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 2: is seven or seven and a half. You can pay 83 00:03:57,240 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 2: to get off of seven. I don't mind that, Okay, 84 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 2: I don't mind that. You could go and pay. It 85 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 2: should be like one twenty or so if you want 86 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 2: to do that, But some a is one twenty five 87 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 2: depending on what your book's going to charge you for 88 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 2: the half a point to move it off of seven. 89 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 2: But don't go below seven. Okay, if this number goes 90 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 2: six and a half in the morning, don't play this. Okay, 91 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 2: you don't go below seven. It's got to be seven. 92 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:24,720 Speaker 2: So we've seen the Packers beat the Bears and beat 93 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 2: the Vikings and beat the Panthers in three straight weeks 94 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 2: heading into the postseason to make the playoffs. Now on 95 00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 2: the road this year, they beat Minnesota, they beat Carolina. 96 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 2: They lost to the Giants in somewhat stunning fashion, but 97 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 2: they beat the Lions in a really big game indoors 98 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 2: beat them as eight and a half point dogs, kind 99 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:51,719 Speaker 2: of similar to this game. They lost to Pittsburgh on 100 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 2: the road. They lost to Denver on the road, lost 101 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:56,159 Speaker 2: to Vegas on the road, but those games were early. 102 00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 2: They lost to Atlanta in a Dome as three point dogs, 103 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 2: lost by they covered, and then they lost to They 104 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 2: beat Chicago by eighteen. Dallas has been killing teams at home. 105 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 2: But let me give you the home schedule now that 106 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 2: we know what there's what these teams were, Okay, Jets, trash, Patriots, 107 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 2: trash Rams, playoff team. Okay, playoff team beat them pretty good, 108 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:27,040 Speaker 2: beating them much twenty three. Good win there. Giants trash, Commanders, 109 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 2: trash Seahawks average Eagles. What are the Eagles ten and 110 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 2: one to losing the division? I mean, no team I 111 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:43,840 Speaker 2: think since nineteen ninety, I believe it is have gone 112 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 2: one in five, made the playoffs, and then won a 113 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 2: playoff game that season. 114 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 1: Now, aj Brown, what do we make of that? Eh? 115 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 1: And then they beat Detroit by one. They didn't cover. 116 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:58,040 Speaker 2: My point is the schedule for the Dallas Cowboys at 117 00:05:58,080 --> 00:05:59,599 Speaker 2: home has not been impressive. 118 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 1: He just hasn't. Like they haven't played anybody really like 119 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 1: Dallas on the road. 120 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:08,159 Speaker 2: I mean, okay, they played San Francisco, they lost by 121 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 2: thirty two points. You know, they played the Eagles on 122 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:13,400 Speaker 2: the road when they were good. They lost by five. 123 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 2: They went to Buffalo, they lost by twenty one. Took 124 00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 2: on Miami on the road and they lost by two. 125 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 2: Like when they've played good teams I know, on the road, 126 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,800 Speaker 2: they've lost. When they played crap teams at home, they 127 00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:29,159 Speaker 2: win by a lot. Are the Dallas Cowboys deserving of 128 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 2: being seven point favorites. 129 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 1: In this game? No? I mean no. 130 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 2: I may be dead wrong and Dallas may blow the 131 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 2: doors off of the Packers, but Jordan Love and this 132 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:45,719 Speaker 2: offense is clicking. They got receivers coming back off of injury, 133 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 2: which could be really really big. I think Green Bay 134 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:52,280 Speaker 2: can win the game. I mean I think they might 135 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:55,919 Speaker 2: win the game outright. I'm taking the seven points green 136 00:06:56,000 --> 00:07:00,359 Speaker 2: Bay plus seven one point one units and watch the 137 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 2: injury report because it looks like Luke Musgraves is playing 138 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 2: their really good tight end who's coming back off the 139 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 2: kidney injury which is tremendous for him, and that they 140 00:07:10,680 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 2: could somehow get Christian Watson. He looks like he's out 141 00:07:13,920 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 2: still okay, but Christian Watson, I don't know, but he 142 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:18,040 Speaker 2: looks like he may be officially out. But if he 143 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:20,680 Speaker 2: could come back, we'd be great. Jay R Alexander though 144 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 2: is a question. He is questionable with his shoulder. That's big. 145 00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 2: Left practice on Wednesday. Did not practice on Wednesday. That's 146 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 2: not great. Okay, at your best cover corner, you. 147 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 1: Need him to play. 148 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 2: I think he's going to play, but you need him 149 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 2: to play. Green Bay plus seven one point one units. 150 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:42,239 Speaker 2: Not done with this game. If you want to same 151 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 2: game tease this, you can. You can give the Packers 152 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 2: thirteen points. Take the total at fifty and a half, 153 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 2: pull it down to forty four and a half and 154 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:54,640 Speaker 2: bet over. You can go ahead and one hundred percent 155 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:56,560 Speaker 2: do that. If you would like, you want to add on, 156 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:00,559 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna straight bet it and take the over. 157 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 2: Why well, I think in order for green Bay to 158 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 2: be in the game, I think they're going to need 159 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:08,480 Speaker 2: to score because I think Dallas is going to score 160 00:08:08,520 --> 00:08:09,520 Speaker 2: on the green Bay defense. 161 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: I'm not in love with it. 162 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 2: But the Packers were seven and two to the over 163 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 2: on the road this year, seven and two at home, 164 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 2: Dallas five and three in games of which they were 165 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 2: on the road, and they played in domes for green Bay, 166 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 2: Atlanta over by eight and a half, Detroit on the 167 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:32,079 Speaker 2: road over by four. Who else they played on the 168 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:35,480 Speaker 2: road for a dome Las Vegas. That game did go under. 169 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 2: That was a seventeen thirteen loss, but that was when 170 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 2: Vegas was playing really good defense. So that's, you know, 171 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:42,320 Speaker 2: I'm not going to put a whole lot of stock 172 00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 2: into that. But the game against Chicago where they won 173 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 2: seventeen to nine and the Bears weren't doing very much 174 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 2: and the weather was a factor, game went under. But 175 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 2: that snapped a streak of six consecutive games that went 176 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 2: over for the green Bay Packers. Forty two and a half, 177 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 2: thirty nine and a half, forty one, thirty seven and 178 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 2: a half, forty four and forty seven all went over, 179 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 2: including that forty seven number. Against Detroit went over by 180 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 2: four points. Total is fifty and a half. Here for 181 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:14,680 Speaker 2: the Dallas Cowboys, they were at home against Detroit. Game 182 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 2: went under. Remember that here in a second, the Detroit under. 183 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 2: Remember that Miami on the road, it went under. Buffalo 184 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 2: forty nine and a half. It went under Philadelphia they 185 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 2: won thirty three thirteen and went under. But if you 186 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 2: look back on some of the games in the regular 187 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:33,400 Speaker 2: season that were before the end of the year, well, 188 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:36,280 Speaker 2: against Seattle at home, flew over by twenty eight and 189 00:09:36,280 --> 00:09:38,200 Speaker 2: a half points. Forty seven and a half was the 190 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 2: total flew over. Against Washington, total was forty eight, went 191 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:45,079 Speaker 2: over by seven points. Against the Giants it was thirty nine, 192 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:50,160 Speaker 2: went over by twenty seven points. The Patriot game went under. 193 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 2: Remember that we were on the Patriot under forty three 194 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:56,679 Speaker 2: and the game fell forty one somehow, thirty eight to three. 195 00:09:57,440 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 2: I think green Bay is going to be able to 196 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 2: move the football, think green Bay is gonna be able 197 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 2: to throw the ball. And I think green Bay is 198 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:05,960 Speaker 2: going to have an opportunity here, seriously to win this game. 199 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:09,360 Speaker 2: I don't think this is called the Mike McCarthy whatever 200 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 2: revenge game, and Mike McCarthy can't win playoff games. I 201 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 2: also want green Bay to win this game because I 202 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 2: believe that Dallas would hire Bill Belichick to be the 203 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:19,839 Speaker 2: head coach if they If Mike McCarthy blows this at 204 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 2: home and loses to Green Bay, the green Bay defense 205 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 2: is going to give up points, all right. They give 206 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 2: up twenty point six points per game. 207 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 1: It's the lot. 208 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 2: Okay, Cowboys give up eighteen point five. Obviously, they give 209 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:35,079 Speaker 2: up less points at home, but that's you know, skewed 210 00:10:35,080 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 2: a little bit about the Patriot game and whatnot. But 211 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 2: Dallas's defense against the runs been pretty good. Dallas's defense 212 00:10:41,200 --> 00:10:44,200 Speaker 2: against the pass has been okay, you can you can 213 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 2: move the ball through the air on Dallas. They are opportunistic. 214 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 2: They get a lead, they force you to throw and 215 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 2: that's where they go pick six. And they've been very 216 00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:56,640 Speaker 2: good at returning interceptions for touchdowns this year. Jordan Loves 217 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 2: got to be careful, Okay, Jordan Loves got to be 218 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:01,560 Speaker 2: careful not to get down, not to get down two 219 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 2: scores and then having to force the football in. That's 220 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:06,679 Speaker 2: when the game could get away from Green Bay. All right, 221 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 2: they gotta get up to a fast start. But I'm 222 00:11:08,240 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 2: gonna trust Map the floor. I'm gonna trust Jordan Love. 223 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 2: I like this offense, keep the game close, back and 224 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 2: forth battle, kind of like a Who's Gonna blink type 225 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 2: of game, scoring on both sides over fifty and a half. 226 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 2: Green Bay in Dallas for one point one units. Second game, 227 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 2: so two bets on one game. If you don't want 228 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:30,719 Speaker 2: to have two bets on one game, you want to 229 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 2: have same game tease that you can do that. But 230 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 2: I'm gonna try to limit my teasers here today. I 231 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:38,600 Speaker 2: don't really want to do that. I'man trying that teaser 232 00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:41,440 Speaker 2: yesterday burned me. It's it's really hard to tease games 233 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:45,319 Speaker 2: in the playoffs. It's just it's hard rather just have 234 00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:47,440 Speaker 2: a single game loss and move on to something else 235 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 2: than having to go with back and forth and look 236 00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 2: at two different You know, it's already hard enough to 237 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 2: win one bet in the playoffs alone, win two. Detroit's 238 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:57,480 Speaker 2: lay in three. Once this number came down to three, 239 00:11:57,800 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 2: I started to pay attention to the to the Lions. 240 00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:05,920 Speaker 2: Everyone's on the Rams. Everyone, all right, Karen Williams is 241 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 2: going to run the ball, run the ball. Do you 242 00:12:08,200 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 2: know what the Lions do really well? 243 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:12,840 Speaker 1: I mean, yes, I know. 244 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 2: The Rams have an incredible run offense. I'll give you that. 245 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 2: The Rams are a team late in the year could 246 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 2: run on anybody. But this is the third best rush 247 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:28,199 Speaker 2: defense in football. In the Lions playing their first home 248 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:30,840 Speaker 2: playoff games since nineteen ninety three. They haven't won a 249 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 2: home playoff game since nineteen ninety one. Do you know 250 00:12:33,400 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 2: what was happening in ninety one, ninety two, ninety three. 251 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:39,320 Speaker 2: I was in high school, all right, I'm forty six, 252 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 2: early nineties. That the last time the Lions were winning 253 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:46,280 Speaker 2: a home playoff game. It's a long time ago, all right, 254 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 2: Look at the gray, all right, it's a long time ago. 255 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 2: Third in opposing rush yards, second in opposing rush yards 256 00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:58,120 Speaker 2: per game. I think the Rams are going to be 257 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 2: one dimensional, and that means Matthews Safford's gonna have to 258 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 2: throw the ball to Pokin Nakua and Cooper Cup. 259 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 1: I get you. 260 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 2: I mean I you might go like, well, Matt, they 261 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:08,439 Speaker 2: can really do that, Yes they can, all right, they 262 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:14,000 Speaker 2: can throw absolutely, but Stafford can also throw picks. Matthew 263 00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:16,319 Speaker 2: Staffords as the quarterback of the Lions, was zero and 264 00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 2: three in the playoffs. Now I was four to oh 265 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 2: as a quarterback with the Rams because they went and 266 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 2: won the Super Bowl. It played four games so far. 267 00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 2: This is the second trick for Sean McVay and the 268 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 2: Rams team in the playoffs. The Lion's atmosphere is going 269 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:31,679 Speaker 2: to be stupid. It's gonna be so incredible, and they 270 00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 2: all want to yell at Stafford. 271 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 1: I know he's really good. I get it. 272 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 2: But I'm gonna trust the Lions defense to win this game, 273 00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:43,240 Speaker 2: and I think they'll have a shot to do it. 274 00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 2: I don't think you want to trust Jared Goff. Okay, 275 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:49,880 Speaker 2: I'll give you that, But Gibbs and company run the 276 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 2: rock all right. Detroit four point six yards per rush 277 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:56,280 Speaker 2: this year. That's fifth best in the NFL. One hundred 278 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:58,680 Speaker 2: and thirty five yards rushing per game, fifth best in 279 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 2: the NFL. Okay, run the ball, get the lead, run 280 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 2: the ball, keep the ball away from the Rams. Rely 281 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 2: on your defense, stop the run, make a one dimensional 282 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,720 Speaker 2: turn the football over. That is your recipe for success. 283 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 2: Everyone's on the Rams I'm on the Lions minus three, 284 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 2: give me Detroit at home here by defense. That's why 285 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,680 Speaker 2: I'm not betting the over. I think there's a shot 286 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 2: this game goes under in a dome. Everyone's betting over 287 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 2: don't know about that. I just I don't know about that. 288 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 2: I think this Lions defense is going to have something 289 00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 2: to say. Hutchson Company got something to say about getting 290 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 2: after Matthew Stafford and making his life a living heck tonight. 291 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 2: So that's where I am with that. Okay, final bet. 292 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 2: This bet is for Monday night. However, I gave it 293 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:47,480 Speaker 2: out on the Discord channel because the number might move 294 00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:49,920 Speaker 2: and I wanted you guys to get three. I hope 295 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 2: you got Tampa Bay plus three against the Eagles. AJ 296 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:55,840 Speaker 2: Brown's out. Once he was out, the number moved. It's 297 00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 2: at two and a half. Let me see what the 298 00:14:57,280 --> 00:15:01,160 Speaker 2: latest number is here for that game, because I think 299 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:05,920 Speaker 2: it was three pretty much not everywhere. 300 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 1: But I wanted to make sure I jumped on it. 301 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:08,760 Speaker 2: I'll give it you in the Discord channel because I wanted 302 00:15:08,760 --> 00:15:09,920 Speaker 2: to make sure you guys have it. If you want 303 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:11,360 Speaker 2: guys not in there, you got to be in there. 304 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 2: Betting pros dot COM's last chat to join in. And 305 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:16,760 Speaker 2: that number, Okay, it's still three at DraftKings, so you 306 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 2: can get three. That's good, Tampa Bay plus three. I 307 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 2: don't need to explain too much of it, but I 308 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 2: know Baker Mayfield is questionable. He's playing Mike Evans is 309 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 2: gonna shred that defense, shred that defense for the Eagles. Eagles, 310 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 2: just no, Nick Sara anam I get fired. Jalen Hurt's 311 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 2: got all sorts of questions. Well, a team that went 312 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 2: one in five down the stretch is gonna just like 313 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 2: flip a switch and be like. 314 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 1: Yep, here we are in the playoffs. Let's go. 315 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 2: It doesn't work like that, Okay, Going on the road, 316 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:45,680 Speaker 2: they were I mean just like a Dolphins, right. Look 317 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 2: at the Dolphins. Look at the way they played yesterday. 318 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 2: Dolphins had everything for five games left. Everything was awesome 319 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,880 Speaker 2: for the Dolphins, and they tripped and stumbled and bubbled 320 00:15:54,880 --> 00:15:57,360 Speaker 2: their way into the playoffs. Now they're done. Same thing's 321 00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 2: gonna happen here on the road for Philadelphia. But that 322 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:02,120 Speaker 2: game is tomorrow. But I want plus three, so you 323 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 2: can bet at whatever you want, and I'm giving you 324 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:05,800 Speaker 2: that to pick tomorrow because I don't want that thing 325 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 2: to go below two. Blow three plus three Tampa at 326 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 2: home on Monday. I have no idea what to do 327 00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 2: with the Bills game. None like zero zip none. I 328 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 2: have no idea what to do the Bills game. I 329 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:18,720 Speaker 2: got to think about it. The moving of the venue, 330 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:20,840 Speaker 2: pushing it back, the weather being different. 331 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 1: I don't know. 332 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 2: It screws everything up, it really does. I was gonna 333 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 2: tease it down with the Dolphins game that blew that up. 334 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 2: I may same game tease it. I mean, pull it 335 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 2: down to thirty nine and go over. 336 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 1: I don't know. 337 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:35,840 Speaker 2: I'll give it to you on tomorrow's podcast. I'll tell 338 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 2: you what I'm gonna do for the Bills game. But 339 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:40,960 Speaker 2: right now, our NFL plays for today Packers plus seven 340 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 2: over fifty and a half Dallas and Green Bay Lions 341 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,840 Speaker 2: minus three, And I'll give you one college basketball. 342 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:50,560 Speaker 1: Bet here for today. 343 00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 2: Kempom has this game between Washington and UCLA as a 344 00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 2: four point win for Washington seventy one to sixty seven. 345 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:01,240 Speaker 2: The line is one and a half half opened at three. 346 00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:06,520 Speaker 2: Was bet down? Why I don't understand this. This is 347 00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 2: like Texas and I got this wrong last time. Okay, 348 00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:10,800 Speaker 2: Texas on the road. I couldn't figure out why the 349 00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:14,280 Speaker 2: line moved went against Texas. It did ultimately close at 350 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:16,480 Speaker 2: six and a half. I went back up. We played 351 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:18,960 Speaker 2: five and a half, but it missed because they lost 352 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:21,520 Speaker 2: the game by three. Outright, nice win for West Virginia. 353 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:24,880 Speaker 2: Texas looked. They looked awful in that game, even worse 354 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 2: in West Virginia. I'm not sure anybody looks worse than UCLA. 355 00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:31,560 Speaker 2: We just faded them with Utah. Now they were on 356 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:34,800 Speaker 2: the road and Utah beat them by forty two points. 357 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:38,159 Speaker 2: This is a home game for UCLA, but with the 358 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,040 Speaker 2: line being one and a half, and I have a 359 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 2: Washington team that's been pretty good on the road, and 360 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 2: all I need is Washington is just to win the game. Basically, 361 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:47,359 Speaker 2: they're ten and six on the year. They're two and 362 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,639 Speaker 2: three in the PAC twelve. Last two games have been 363 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 2: the two games they won at home against Oregon State 364 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:57,040 Speaker 2: and at home against Arizona State. They lost at home 365 00:17:57,080 --> 00:18:00,440 Speaker 2: to Oregon, they lost to Utah by five much better 366 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:03,880 Speaker 2: ninety five ninety than what UCLA just did, and lost 367 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 2: to Colorado seventy three to sixty nine. Four straight wins 368 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 2: for UCLA. Two on the road two at home, they 369 00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:13,600 Speaker 2: lost to Stanford fifty nine to fifty three, lost to 370 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:17,880 Speaker 2: Cal sixty six to fifty seven. I know Mack has 371 00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,199 Speaker 2: been playing well. We've talked about him. The youngster has 372 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:22,439 Speaker 2: been playing well. But again to reiterate how bad the 373 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 2: offense is for UCLA three hundred and forty third, an 374 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,719 Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage two hundred and forty first, and 375 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:33,920 Speaker 2: offensive efficiency two hundred and forty three and three point 376 00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:38,560 Speaker 2: percentage three hundred and thirty seconds and two point shooting percentage. 377 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 2: There are three hundred and fifty one teams in D 378 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 2: one football and this is D one basketball. 379 00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:44,359 Speaker 1: Excuse me, and this. 380 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:47,160 Speaker 2: Is where we are here on the flip side, Washington's offense, 381 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 2: you know, forty second, inefficiency, seventy fourth in field goal 382 00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:54,680 Speaker 2: percentage eightieth and three point percentage ninety sixth and two 383 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 2: point percentage, it's one and a half. I know it's 384 00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:02,360 Speaker 2: poly Pavilion. I know it's UCLA games on the PAC 385 00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:04,560 Speaker 2: twelve network. It's going to be on at seven o'clock 386 00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 2: Eastern time, So up against football, I know. But maybe 387 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:09,440 Speaker 2: just bet it and you just forget it and wait 388 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 2: and watch and see what happens. But I'm laying the 389 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:14,640 Speaker 2: one and a half points, give me Washington one point 390 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:19,000 Speaker 2: one units Husky's on the road against UCLA to win 391 00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:21,960 Speaker 2: the game, basically for one point one units. Okay, So 392 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:25,840 Speaker 2: three bets today, one bet tomorrow for the NFL in 393 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,720 Speaker 2: one bet going here for today in college basketball, so 394 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:31,199 Speaker 2: four units are so four point four units going for 395 00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:34,879 Speaker 2: us here on a Sunday as we look to close 396 00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:38,680 Speaker 2: out the week with a good note. Packers plus seven 397 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 2: over fifty and a half with the Cowboys, Lions minus three, 398 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 2: Washington minus one and a half on the road against UCLA, 399 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 2: and then the ad for tomorrow is tip a Bay 400 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:50,160 Speaker 2: plus three, also for. 401 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:51,119 Speaker 1: One point one units. 402 00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:54,480 Speaker 2: Mat Parol's following me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. 403 00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:57,199 Speaker 2: No live stream today, by the way, It's only on 404 00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:58,720 Speaker 2: Saturdays now for the playoffs. 405 00:19:58,760 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 1: No live stream today. 406 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:18,199 Speaker 2: The Eligence podcast Ospring wrote you by Almastaks dot com.