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That's 28 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 1: thirty dollars off your first box and free croissants for 29 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 1: life when you visit wildgrain dot com slash podcast, or 30 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 1: simply use the promo code podcast at checkout. This is 31 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: a sponsor I absolutely embrace, so use that code. Well, 32 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: hello there, and happy Monday. It's Martin Luther King Day. 33 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 1: So I hope you're doing some sort of service project 34 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: if you have a chance to do that in honor 35 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: of him, or however you plan to mark the day, 36 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 1: or if you're doing what I'm doing, which is I'm 37 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 1: here in Miami already as I'm taping for you, I 38 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 1: am going to the big National title game Miami, Indiana. 39 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: I have to tell you I've got a mixed bag 40 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 1: about this entire podcast, because I couldn't be more excited 41 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 1: about this game, and I couldn't be more nervous about 42 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:23,839 Speaker 1: the state of the world, which I'm going to get 43 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 1: to you in a minute. I don't want it to 44 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 1: come across like ipurbole. I really mean it. I'm like, 45 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 1: you know, I am sadly too good at compartmentalizing, so 46 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:37,519 Speaker 1: I have certainly compartmentalized. But yes, I am down here 47 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:41,919 Speaker 1: for Miami. Just got down here, flew from d C. 48 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 1: Apparently DC was the connecting city for all my friends 49 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 1: from Indianapolis who were changing planes. If you didn't get 50 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 1: your non stop from Innnianapolis to Miami, you changed planes 51 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 1: in d C. Apparently. Apparently there we have quite a 52 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: few nonstops. There are about five or six of them, 53 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 1: so I see where we're Sometimes d National is treated 54 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 1: as a sort of quasi hub from some city. So yes, 55 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: there were a ton of Indiana fans a couple of 56 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 1: Miami fans on the plane. But it's been great being 57 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: down here, in the fact that it's nice to see 58 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: I have yet to pass it an electronic construction sign 59 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:29,920 Speaker 1: right that hasn't, said Gokain, So I'm glad to see 60 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 1: that it's a little look, I'm gonna have more to 61 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 1: say about this game at the end. I actually got 62 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 1: something to say about the transfer portal in the state 63 00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 1: of college football, because Miami once again is stirring the 64 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 1: pot if you will, on that good, bad, and indifferent 65 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:46,640 Speaker 1: on there. But let's be honest, college football is the 66 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 1: least of our concerns. Unfortunately for the world right now, 67 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 1: I'm obsessed with the next twenty four hours. Don't get 68 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 1: me wrong on college football, but we're in a serious 69 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 1: situation here. We are in a moment that I don't 70 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 1: know if we are all fully comprehending the moment that 71 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 1: we're in. But I'm going to put this as a 72 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 1: question because I know it's going to sound I am 73 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 1: trying really hard not to overreact here, But here's the 74 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:20,240 Speaker 1: question that we need to be contemplating. With Donald Trump's 75 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 1: use of paris not just his economic policy, but as 76 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 1: a negotiating and coercive tool, which is what he's doing 77 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: to Europe right now increase the likelihood of America stumbling 78 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 1: in to a war. He has started up all sorts 79 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 1: of issues, whether it's on our own border with Canada, 80 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: where he's essentially invited China into Canada. This is all 81 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 1: Donald Trump's fault. Canada running into the arms of China, 82 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 1: the threats to Europe, all of our allies right now 83 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:57,719 Speaker 1: having to do where he wants to buy Greenland, and 84 00:04:57,760 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 1: he doesn't want Europe to stand in the way, and 85 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 1: he's already setting up tariffs, and Europe's actually thinking about 86 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 1: using a tool that was meant because they feared the 87 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: rise of China. They weren't gonna fear their friend America. 88 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 1: But here we are. And I know this may come 89 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:23,919 Speaker 1: across as a bit dramatic, and part of it is 90 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 1: we've not most of us haven't been alive the last 91 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:31,520 Speaker 1: time bad American economic policy drove the world to war. 92 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 1: And that's just a historical fact, which is why I 93 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: think it's time to start warning that Donald Trump could 94 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 1: get us to war because at this point there you know, look, 95 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 1: I believe there's always a line he crosses for somebody 96 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: at any given moment where he gets another opponent, even 97 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: inside his own Republican party. Right. We have seen this. 98 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 1: This has been true ever since he came down that escalator. 99 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:04,039 Speaker 1: He will do something to chase somebody away, chase people 100 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 1: out of the Republican Party will be a line too far. 101 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 1: Remember Liz Cheney was with him all the way until 102 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: January sixth, and then she was out. Everybody has their lines. 103 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:23,840 Speaker 1: Starting destroying NATO and creating an economic war with Western 104 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:27,800 Speaker 1: Europe is going to be one of those moments. The 105 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:31,160 Speaker 1: question is how many Senate Republicans and how many House 106 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 1: Republicans are going to put the country and the globe 107 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:40,600 Speaker 1: ahead of loyalty to Donald John Trump. And I think 108 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: that's something I want you to be thinking about as 109 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 1: I go through this longer distillation here of what we're facing. 110 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 1: So I know I'm sounding a bit dramatic. Imagine how 111 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:55,479 Speaker 1: to sound if the day after Miami lost to the 112 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 1: title game, if they lose the title game, be more 113 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 1: than dramatic. That's the point I sort of want to 114 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 1: and I don't want to make light of this, but 115 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:09,360 Speaker 1: I just focus on this a minute. It is alarming 116 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: what has happened. It is absolutely unarming. So before you 117 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 1: roll your eyes, stick with me here for a few minutes, 118 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: because I want to take you down a little bit 119 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 1: of history here, a bit to understand how Trump's use 120 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 1: of tariffs right now have inched us closer to a 121 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 1: hot war with more countries then we've had, arguably since 122 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: you know, more than anything post nine to eleven. Because 123 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 1: what tariffs do, especially when you use them for coheresive practices, 124 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: is that they do change relationships. And when tariffs are 125 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 1: not used or used not as policy but as leverage, 126 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 1: especially against allies, they can quietly turn economic disputes into 127 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 1: security problems. Let's go back in time. It's June of 128 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 1: nineteen thirty. United States passes the Smoot Holly Tariff Act. 129 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 1: Holly is no relationship, by the way, to the current 130 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 1: Senator Holly from Missouri. In case you're wondering, I've wondered. 131 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 1: Most of you probably haven't wondered, but I wondered, so 132 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 1: I checked. But the intent was simple. At the time. 133 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 1: They wanted to protect American farmers and workers during a 134 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 1: deepening economic downturn. Right this is just after the stock 135 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: market crash. Well, the effect of this was catastrophic, and 136 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:30,040 Speaker 1: not just economically but diplomatically, because here's what Smoot Holly did. 137 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 1: Smoot Holly raised duties or taxes on more than twenty 138 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: thousand imported goods and so as the Great Depression worsened 139 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:44,720 Speaker 1: and prices collapsed. The effective tariff ray on all these 140 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 1: goods that we imported climbed dramatically, and it approached levels 141 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 1: that economists often site near sixty percent by the early 142 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 1: nineteen thirties. And it was even magnified by deflation. Right, 143 00:08:57,400 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 1: the less our money was worth, so it even it 144 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:03,160 Speaker 1: felt even more expensive. It felt like it was even 145 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 1: higher than that sixty percent. But the signal to the 146 00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 1: world was unmistakable. America was done in the nineteen thirties 147 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: are prioritizing cooperation. We were trying to be a global world, right, 148 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: you go back to Woodrow Wilson and all of that. 149 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:24,559 Speaker 1: But when we did smoot Holly, retaliation followed. Barriers spread, 150 00:09:24,760 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 1: trade collapsed, and it slow it collapsed in value terms. 151 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:31,679 Speaker 1: Global trade thanks to the United States and Smoot Holly 152 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: fell by roughly two thirds in the early nineteen thirty 153 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 1: So what did this mean? Countries that depended on exports 154 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:41,440 Speaker 1: to earn dollars suddenly couldn't pay debts, They couldn't stabilize banks, 155 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 1: and they couldn't maintain political order. And this is incredibly 156 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,439 Speaker 1: important because historians will rightly argue that Smoot Holly did 157 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:52,440 Speaker 1: not cause World War two, but boy did it have 158 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 1: a huge impact. Monetary policy, the gold standard, political extremism, reparations, 159 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 1: and capital flows. They all mattered, and they all impacted 160 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:06,360 Speaker 1: Germany and Europe. But smoot Holly became something else. It 161 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 1: also became a symbol the moment the world began shifting 162 00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:14,640 Speaker 1: from economic cooperation to economic survivalism. Does this sound familiar 163 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 1: because Europe and Canada right now are practicing economic survivalism 164 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:23,440 Speaker 1: because decades of cooperation with the United States have been 165 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 1: flushed down the toilet by Donald J. Trump. So here's 166 00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 1: an undertold story of the nineteen thirties. The real damage 167 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:35,439 Speaker 1: wasn't just economic. It was also diplomatic. When trade becomes punitive, 168 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:40,640 Speaker 1: allies stopped acting like partners and they start acting like hedgers. 169 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 1: Again what Canada just did. Democracies didn't want confrontation, but 170 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:51,439 Speaker 1: they began by building essentially different blocks. Britain, the UK 171 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:56,200 Speaker 1: they had to move towards imperial preference in nineteen thirty two. 172 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:59,839 Speaker 1: And it wasn't ideological, it was simply defensive. Cooperation with 173 00:10:59,880 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: the United States a collapsed, so fallback systems started to emerge, 174 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: and once nations start thinking in blocks, economics becomes security 175 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 1: becomes it creeps towards militaries, and if you can't rely 176 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:22,400 Speaker 1: on markets for food, fuel, or raw materials, then leaders 177 00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:28,439 Speaker 1: begin to justify territorial logic as quote resource security. We're 178 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 1: starting to see Donald Trump start to talk about that 179 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:33,680 Speaker 1: in terms of Greenland. He's even quietly now starting to 180 00:11:33,679 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 1: talk about that in terms of Canada, because Canada just 181 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 1: did a big deal with China. Now, the logic didn't 182 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:46,480 Speaker 1: invent aggression, but it made aggression sound necessary. You start 183 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:48,480 Speaker 1: to think you have no other choice. You've got to 184 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:52,000 Speaker 1: secure resources for your country. You've got to secure security. 185 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 1: Maybe it's water, maybe it's energy. That's the danger zone. 186 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:02,360 Speaker 1: Now let's go back to where we are right now, 187 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:06,320 Speaker 1: because this is not some sort of academic history lesson 188 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: I'm trying to give you. We are watching this in 189 00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 1: real time. So President Trump is imposed and threatened escalating 190 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 1: tariffs on several European allies explicitly to force them to 191 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 1: allow the United States essentially to buy Greenland. Remember this 192 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 1: is not we don't have a trade dispute with the 193 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:27,559 Speaker 1: EU on steel or autos. These are tariffs, taxes, levies, 194 00:12:27,600 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 1: whatever you want to call them, used as leverage for 195 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: territorial and strategic gain. Economic bullying is what it is, 196 00:12:36,480 --> 00:12:39,600 Speaker 1: and it's being under the umbrella of national security in 197 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:43,080 Speaker 1: the Arctic, and Europe's response is telling you everything you 198 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: need to know. EU ambassadors are gathering for emergency talks, 199 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:50,880 Speaker 1: emergency talks on how to respond. The United States cannot 200 00:12:50,920 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 1: be treated as an ally right now in Western Europe. 201 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 1: Maybe we're still a military ally for NATO for the moment, 202 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:00,640 Speaker 1: but we'll get to that. The French President Manuel Macron 203 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,680 Speaker 1: has called for the EU to activate an anti coercion instrument. 204 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 1: It's a tool that the EU had, but it had 205 00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 1: never been used before. But they developed it because they 206 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 1: assumed they were going to need it to deal with China. 207 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:15,920 Speaker 1: They never thought they were going to have to use 208 00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:19,320 Speaker 1: it to deal with the United States. So here's what 209 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 1: this anti coersion law allows the EU to do. It 210 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:24,439 Speaker 1: to restrict access to its market for countries that use 211 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:29,720 Speaker 1: economic pressure to extract political concessions, which is exactly what 212 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 1: Trump's doing. He's using economic pressure to extract a political concession. 213 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:37,439 Speaker 1: This has nothing to do with our trade deficit, This 214 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 1: has nothing to do with lowering the cost of groceries. 215 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,440 Speaker 1: In fact, it's going to raise the price of everything. 216 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 1: It is just terrible economics, terrible national security. But other 217 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 1: than that, it's a great idea. In other words, as 218 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:54,880 Speaker 1: streets tariffs, not his trade policy, but his economic coercion. 219 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 1: So if the EU does pull this lever, this will 220 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:02,160 Speaker 1: stop being just a little art argument amongst allies. Then 221 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:06,839 Speaker 1: it becomes a confrontation, a trading block confrontation, and it's 222 00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 1: not going to stop there. Trump's Greenland terror threat is 223 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:14,839 Speaker 1: now likely to freeze USU trade agreement entirely. As one 224 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 1: observer put it bluntly, no deals ever final, not with 225 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. We all know that, and that sentence should 226 00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 1: set off alarm bells in this In Senate Republican conference, 227 00:14:27,240 --> 00:14:30,560 Speaker 1: they cannot keep their mouths shut this time. It can't 228 00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 1: just be old guy Mitch McConnell speaking out saying what 229 00:14:33,440 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: a disaster this would be. John Thune, grow a spine, man, 230 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: stop Trump from taking us to war. He is picking 231 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 1: a war with Europe. Stop this. It's madness. It's got 232 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 1: to stop. And they're the only only entity that can 233 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 1: probably stop this at the moment. The only legitimate entity 234 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,640 Speaker 1: are Senate Republicans. We know, Mike Johnson, that's a joke. 235 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 1: We know that he doesn't do anything. But John Thune, 236 00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:09,280 Speaker 1: Mitch McConnell, plenty of Senate Republicans know this is a 237 00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 1: complete and utter disaster. This is crazy. We are risking everything, 238 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 1: the value of the dollar, the idea of the dollar 239 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 1: is the reserve currency. Any of you that have traveled 240 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: the world and have always remarked how much better things 241 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 1: are here than everywhere else, well that ain't going to 242 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:35,760 Speaker 1: be the case for very long if we stop behaving 243 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: this way. This is how the nineteen thirties completely unraveled. 244 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 1: Because once nations believe that agreements are provisional depended on 245 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 1: leverage rather than trust, they're going to stop investing in 246 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 1: cooperation and they're all going to invest in hedges. Which 247 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 1: brings me to Canada. This is the almost undercovered story 248 00:15:59,880 --> 00:16:01,920 Speaker 1: of last week, because you know, there's so much other 249 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,240 Speaker 1: stuff that Trump throws at the wall. One of the 250 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 1: least discussed consequences of Trump's trade wars for this first 251 00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 1: year in office with allies is what those allies feel 252 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 1: compelled to do next. When the United States becomes an 253 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 1: unreliable or worse aputative partner, it means even our closest 254 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 1: friends starting diversifying risk. They'd be idiots if they didn't. 255 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: Canada has increasingly deepened trade engagement with China. Not because 256 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 1: Ottawa prefers to deal with the untrustworthy thugs in Beijing. 257 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 1: There are a bunch of authoritarians, but because economic coercion 258 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:44,400 Speaker 1: leaves fewer options and he's got to keep the standard 259 00:16:44,400 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 1: of living of Canadians as high as he can. Again, 260 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,080 Speaker 1: this is exactly what a democracy has had to do 261 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 1: in the early nineteen thirties when the United States decision 262 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 1: to go protectionists force their hand. And this is why 263 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 1: this for North America. When China gains deeper trade access 264 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 1: into the North American economy north of our border, China 265 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:10,440 Speaker 1: will gain leverage, influence, strategic presence, and the most integrated 266 00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 1: economic region in the world in America's backyard. Good job, Donald, 267 00:17:17,160 --> 00:17:20,399 Speaker 1: it's not paranoia. It becomes great power competition. And then, 268 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 1: of course what happens right then, all of a sudden, 269 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:28,640 Speaker 1: we're in a doom load because now Trump has already 270 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:32,879 Speaker 1: openly expressed frustration with Canada's Arctic defense, linking it to 271 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:37,280 Speaker 1: China and Russia. He's already joked about the fifty first 272 00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 1: state business with Canada. But now Canada's done a big 273 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,920 Speaker 1: old trade deal with China, one that long ago that 274 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:45,600 Speaker 1: the United States got China to not do business with 275 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:50,479 Speaker 1: China's largest telecom company, yahweh. And in fact it created 276 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:53,879 Speaker 1: this huge dispute. There was this idea that you Canadians 277 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:56,919 Speaker 1: were cooperating with the United States to keep some of 278 00:17:56,920 --> 00:18:00,360 Speaker 1: these executives from going back to China. Is a law 279 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:03,120 Speaker 1: enforcement issue kind of cooperation we're going to get from 280 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 1: Canada now and dealing with China. So and then the 281 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 1: more they do this, then Donald Trump starts to rationalize 282 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 1: treating Canada as a threat. Now you see how these 283 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:23,159 Speaker 1: trade disputes get will be turned into security grievances, and 284 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:27,480 Speaker 1: then suddenly we push allies to some to do things 285 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 1: that we don't like, and then they become liabilities for us. 286 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:34,159 Speaker 1: But we put we force them into these partnerships with 287 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:37,320 Speaker 1: our mistreatment of Canada at the beginning of this craziness. 288 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 1: And it's the same mental shift we saw in the thirties. 289 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 1: Now we know that the chatter about you know that 290 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:51,880 Speaker 1: Trump's joked about Canada as a strategic vulnerability. But now 291 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:53,680 Speaker 1: I don't know if we should laugh any of this off, 292 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:58,960 Speaker 1: because once economic access becomes national security, which is what 293 00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:01,199 Speaker 1: this is all sort of stump. This is what I 294 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,480 Speaker 1: mean when I don't think Donald Trump thinks he's taking 295 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:06,440 Speaker 1: us to war, but he's stumbling into a point where 296 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:08,680 Speaker 1: he's going to end up getting us into a war. 297 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 1: Because nobody passed Smoot Holly in the United States Congress 298 00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:20,200 Speaker 1: thinking it was going to help trigger World War two. 299 00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 1: But that is what happened, and they backed into it 300 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:30,640 Speaker 1: step by step, redefining trade disputes and they became existential threats. 301 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:37,640 Speaker 1: So this is how our and then all these all 302 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:42,240 Speaker 1: of these forced partnerships starts changing our vocabulary from our 303 00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 1: political leaders, and this idea of coercion and these trade 304 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,239 Speaker 1: disputes become normalized, and then we start to see him 305 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:52,639 Speaker 1: as military threats. So I want to bring in a 306 00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 1: warning from the historian Robert Kagan what he wrote in 307 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:58,119 Speaker 1: The Atlantic this weekend, and he wrote this, Americans are 308 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 1: entering the most dangerous world they have known since World 309 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 1: War Two, one that will make the Cold War look 310 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:07,480 Speaker 1: like child's play and the post Cold War world like paradise. 311 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,240 Speaker 1: In fact, this new world will look a lot like 312 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 1: the world prior to nineteen forty five, with multiple great 313 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:19,199 Speaker 1: powers and metastasizing competition and conflict. Kagan goes further and 314 00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 1: he writes this, the United States will have no reliable 315 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,359 Speaker 1: friends or allies and will have to depend entirely on 316 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:29,919 Speaker 1: its own strength to survive and prosper The open access 317 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 1: to overseas resources, markets, and strategic bases that Americans have 318 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:35,800 Speaker 1: enjoyed will no longer come as a benefit of the 319 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:39,879 Speaker 1: country's alliances. Instead, they will have to be contested and 320 00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:46,360 Speaker 1: defended against other great powers. And then he warns Americans 321 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 1: are so accustomed to this basically peaceful, prosperous, and open 322 00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 1: world that they tend to think of it is the 323 00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:59,479 Speaker 1: normal state of international affairs. They can't they can't imagine 324 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 1: it up. And yet that's exactly what's happening. Donald Trump 325 00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 1: is like purposely unraveling this world. He's purposely doing it. 326 00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 1: This has been the greatest two weeks of Vladimir Putin's 327 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,920 Speaker 1: efforts to defang the United States in the West. This 328 00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 1: is better than anything he did in sixteen to hack 329 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 1: the election. This is better than anything he's done with Ukraine. 330 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:30,080 Speaker 1: Donald Trump, it's astonishing. This is a dream scenario for 331 00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 1: the Chinese and the Russians, absolute dream scenario, the post 332 00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:41,359 Speaker 1: nineteen forty five world that all of us have benefited from. 333 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 1: We can say, we can talk about plenty of things 334 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 1: that have not gone as well as they should, but 335 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:51,160 Speaker 1: trust me, we are at the top of the heat 336 00:21:52,200 --> 00:22:01,240 Speaker 1: in this globe. Economically, strategically, militarily. This endangers all of that. 337 00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:07,760 Speaker 1: This was no natural order of history. This was built 338 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:12,000 Speaker 1: by us. This was maintained by us, and now it's 339 00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:16,240 Speaker 1: being dismantled by us. That third one was not what 340 00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:20,879 Speaker 1: Americans voted for, even those that wanted America first and 341 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 1: wanted out of these foreign wars. I promise you, if 342 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 1: you knew it came with this, you wouldn't support this. 343 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 1: Do you want America to be weaker and have less 344 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:36,480 Speaker 1: friends and less prosperity. If you do, then let's continue 345 00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 1: with these policies. If you don't, you better speak up, 346 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:43,359 Speaker 1: You better talk to your favorite Republican senator, because this 347 00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 1: has got to stop. This is so catastrophic it'll set 348 00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:54,159 Speaker 1: us back generations plural. So I'm going to go back 349 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 1: to my opening question. Could Donald Trump's use of tariffs 350 00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:00,680 Speaker 1: as a coercive tool increased the likelihood of america'stuma into war, 351 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 1: not directly and not intentionally, but history tells us that 352 00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:07,600 Speaker 1: this much is true. When trade stops being cooperative and 353 00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:12,600 Speaker 1: starts being punitive, especially amongst countries that all thought they 354 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:19,439 Speaker 1: were allies, miscalculation becomes more likely, not less so. Smooth 355 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 1: Holly didn't directly cause World War Two, but boy did 356 00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:28,359 Speaker 1: it help create the conditions for it. It helped usher 357 00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:32,960 Speaker 1: in a world where cooperation collapse, trading blocks hardened, and 358 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:38,399 Speaker 1: strategic distrust flourished. It allowed a guy like Hitler to 359 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 1: say he had to expand Germany's territory simply because it 360 00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:46,280 Speaker 1: needed access to resources to survive. And that's what you 361 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:50,280 Speaker 1: will start to have more countries rationalizing it just essentially, 362 00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,679 Speaker 1: Donald Trump is rationalizing this land grab of Greenland in 363 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:57,640 Speaker 1: that way, he's rationalizing doing whatever the heck we're doing 364 00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,399 Speaker 1: in Venezuela. We apparently don't give a shit about theocracy 365 00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: in Venezuela because we've we've yet to actually call for 366 00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:06,880 Speaker 1: it or argue for it, to plan for it. All 367 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:11,719 Speaker 1: he wants is a minion to do what he's asking 368 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 1: them to do. And if this former Maduro number two 369 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:20,560 Speaker 1: just pays the duty to the mob boss here, He's 370 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 1: gonna let her be. He doesn't give a shit about 371 00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:28,960 Speaker 1: democracy in Venezuela. What has he done? Here we are, 372 00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 1: So the lesson is smooth, Holly. Isn't just that tariffs 373 00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 1: are bad economics, they are. The deeper lesson is that 374 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 1: economic coercion corrodes alliances, and alliances are what prevents small 375 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 1: crises from becoming large ones. So here we are. Greenland 376 00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:52,879 Speaker 1: is not just a land mass. Canada isn't just a 377 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 1: trading partner in Tariffs aren't just taxes. They are choices. 378 00:24:56,160 --> 00:25:01,720 Speaker 1: They are specific choices, and this president has chosen all 379 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:10,440 Speaker 1: of them. And he's essentially chosen a route to either 380 00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:14,640 Speaker 1: coerce people or to start wars. There's no other There's 381 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:18,639 Speaker 1: no in between here. So history's Look, I've said this 382 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:23,639 Speaker 1: a bunch of times. When the biggest country in the 383 00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 1: world goes isolation his goes out of isolationism. So is 384 00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:32,679 Speaker 1: everybody else. Right When the United States says free trade 385 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 1: is the way to go, everybody wants in on the 386 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 1: free trade agreements. We have been calling the shots, despite 387 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,719 Speaker 1: the bullshit that Trump's been silent for the last ten years. 388 00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, he gets to call the shots his way. 389 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:53,000 Speaker 1: The guy, I guess never took an economics course, not one. 390 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 1: And look what he's doing. And again I don't think 391 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,720 Speaker 1: he's trying to get us into a war, but every 392 00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:06,080 Speaker 1: action he's done has brought us closer to it. It 393 00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 1: should scare the Jesus out of everybody. But most importantly, 394 00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:15,639 Speaker 1: this madness can stop. This has got to stop. And 395 00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:19,639 Speaker 1: there's only one entity that has any leverage to do 396 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:22,240 Speaker 1: it and credibility to do it if they have any 397 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:25,639 Speaker 1: credibility left, and it's Senate Republicans. So get your act together. 398 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:30,840 Speaker 1: Stop this madness. I mean, it's bad enough what he's 399 00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 1: doing to the FED and risking, you know, the credibility 400 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:39,320 Speaker 1: of harmonetary system for the world. 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So refresher winter 427 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:11,480 Speaker 1: wardrobe with Quint's go to quints dot com slash chuck 428 00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:14,040 Speaker 1: for free shipping on your order and three hundred and 429 00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:16,920 Speaker 1: sixty five day returns. And it's also available in Canada. 430 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 1: That's q u i nce dot com slash chuck, free 431 00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:24,680 Speaker 1: shipping and three hundred and sixty five day returns quints 432 00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:32,920 Speaker 1: dot com slash chuck. All Right, a few other political notes, 433 00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:35,760 Speaker 1: by the way, my guest today, it's a fascinating book, 434 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:39,360 Speaker 1: and it's a book that I think, and I'm going 435 00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:41,800 Speaker 1: to say this a few times that if you're running 436 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:45,120 Speaker 1: for president, I don't care what party you're in. I's 437 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:51,880 Speaker 1: you're jd Vance, Marco Rubio, you're Andy Basheer, Pete booteragig Rocanna, 438 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:54,080 Speaker 1: you need to read this book. It's called The Middle 439 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:56,840 Speaker 1: Class New Deal. My guess is University of Texas law 440 00:28:56,880 --> 00:29:01,280 Speaker 1: professor Michelle Dickerson. It's a terrific framework of sort of, 441 00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 1: and it's both a history lesson and a framework, and 442 00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 1: it's look, it's not gonna it's not gonna be without 443 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:13,120 Speaker 1: its detractors, because this decidedly says, hey, focus, you know, 444 00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:18,000 Speaker 1: if you want a middle class, it takes it takes 445 00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:20,800 Speaker 1: a government to you've got to want it, you've actually 446 00:29:20,840 --> 00:29:22,840 Speaker 1: got to invest in it. You've got to create the 447 00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 1: conditions that allow for it. It doesn't magically happen. You let 448 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,320 Speaker 1: capitalism go without any guard rails, you're basically going to 449 00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:31,280 Speaker 1: have a few rich people and a lot of poor people. 450 00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 1: But what America did for the last seventy years was 451 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:41,920 Speaker 1: create a structure that allowed for a middle class to flourish. 452 00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:46,120 Speaker 1: That structure has been worn away, hit hard. Big part 453 00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:48,520 Speaker 1: of it is labor. The loss of labor unions, one 454 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:53,000 Speaker 1: could argue, is certainly a huge impact on that that shifting, 455 00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:58,520 Speaker 1: that that shift, which is why I think if you've 456 00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,120 Speaker 1: noticed labor unions have gotten popular on both sides of 457 00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:04,840 Speaker 1: the aisle. I think more and more people realize that, 458 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,920 Speaker 1: you know, you're if you want to have a living wage, 459 00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:11,360 Speaker 1: you're gonna you know, companies aren't going to do it 460 00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:14,600 Speaker 1: out of the goodness of their heart. Sometimes collective bargaining 461 00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 1: is the only way. But that is not what this 462 00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:21,600 Speaker 1: interview is about. It's about a lot of things about retirement, security, 463 00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:24,480 Speaker 1: health security, all sorts of things. I thought it was 464 00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,040 Speaker 1: a terrific book, and again it's the type of book 465 00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:29,480 Speaker 1: presidential candidates and those that want to work on presidential 466 00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:33,720 Speaker 1: campaigns to figure out how to how to look forward. 467 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,520 Speaker 1: We can sit here and relitigate the past, and look, 468 00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:39,080 Speaker 1: who knows what kind of you know, we could be 469 00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 1: in a could be in a hot war by the 470 00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:43,800 Speaker 1: time twenty twenty eight comes along. And I don't say 471 00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:48,760 Speaker 1: that with just just throwing it out there. What what 472 00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:50,640 Speaker 1: The things that Trump has done over the last couple 473 00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:54,000 Speaker 1: of weeks have inched us closer to that likelihood, has 474 00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:56,600 Speaker 1: not moved us further away. So I do have that. 475 00:30:56,760 --> 00:31:03,720 Speaker 1: So a few other few other notes that I think 476 00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 1: are worth a few other things that I wanted to 477 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:11,040 Speaker 1: make note of. Obviously, the big, the big political news 478 00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: is Donald Trump's decision to indeed go after Bill Cassidy, 479 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:20,440 Speaker 1: Republican Center from Louisiana, despite all of Cassidy's efforts to 480 00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:23,760 Speaker 1: suck up to the Trump administration, give Robert F. Kennedy 481 00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:27,600 Speaker 1: Junior and his kooky health ideas, all the benefited out 482 00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:30,760 Speaker 1: in the world, all the lies that Kennedy told him, 483 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,680 Speaker 1: and sort of Cassidy ate it. He took it, and 484 00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 1: he took it for one reason. He was up for 485 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:37,640 Speaker 1: election this year, and he was just hoping that he 486 00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 1: showed he could be a team player work with the 487 00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:44,200 Speaker 1: Trump administration on a handful of these issues that maybe 488 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:47,720 Speaker 1: he wouldn't endorse against him. Right, he wasn't necessarily hoping 489 00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:51,520 Speaker 1: for the endorsement. Now, remember what Cassidy did, right. Cassidy 490 00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 1: is one of the seven Republican senators who chose to 491 00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:59,840 Speaker 1: vote to convict Donald Trump. He was probably the most 492 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,719 Speaker 1: prizing one at the time. A lot of people were 493 00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:05,920 Speaker 1: surprised because you saw most people thought it would be 494 00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:07,960 Speaker 1: retiring senator centators that weren't going to be trying to 495 00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:11,440 Speaker 1: see he was in his first term. It was, and 496 00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:14,640 Speaker 1: he's from a super red state. Well, Julia let Lowe 497 00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:19,000 Speaker 1: a congresswoman who has been some have been trying to 498 00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:22,520 Speaker 1: recruit her to come against to run in this primary. 499 00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:27,080 Speaker 1: Trump officially endorsed her. Now, the primary deadline filing deadline 500 00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:34,120 Speaker 1: is February thirteenth. You know, let's see. My guess is 501 00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 1: Cassidy's going to do some polling. He's going to see 502 00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:40,520 Speaker 1: and I remember Louisiana changed its rules Cassidy and the 503 00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 1: old in the in the you know, literally they changed 504 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:46,760 Speaker 1: their rules just as to get rid of Cassidy. All 505 00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:48,720 Speaker 1: the more reason why I don't know why Cassidy didn't 506 00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:52,320 Speaker 1: sort of push back a little bit harder at Trump. 507 00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:54,360 Speaker 1: I mean, why he thought this was going to work 508 00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:58,840 Speaker 1: is beyond me. But he, like everybody else, you know, 509 00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:02,160 Speaker 1: the lesson of the and the scorpion. He gave the 510 00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:05,680 Speaker 1: scorpion the ride with Robert F. Kennedy, and scorpion has 511 00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:12,600 Speaker 1: now stung him. But Louisiana Republicans got out of the 512 00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:16,760 Speaker 1: Louisiana was kind of like Washington California. All everybody participates 513 00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,480 Speaker 1: in the primary, if nobody gets fifty percent, then the 514 00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:23,000 Speaker 1: top two meet in a runoff. There's slightly different from 515 00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:26,480 Speaker 1: Washington State in California in that if you you know 516 00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:29,720 Speaker 1: and regularly, you know, you have Senate races, got all 517 00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,120 Speaker 1: their campaigns were done this way. Well, they created this 518 00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,640 Speaker 1: new federal carve out. All of it was just designed 519 00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:39,880 Speaker 1: by sort of mega Republicans in Louisiana to target Bill Cassidy. 520 00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:42,320 Speaker 1: So he's got to deal with a regular old Republican 521 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:46,600 Speaker 1: primary where a Trump endorsement's probably enough to win or loose, 522 00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:48,640 Speaker 1: depending on which side of the endorsement you're in. So 523 00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 1: Cassidy's in big trouble. Let's see what happens, he doesn't 524 00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:54,200 Speaker 1: have the benefit of that there. You know, I happen 525 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:57,000 Speaker 1: to believe he should be running as an independent. Maybe 526 00:33:57,000 --> 00:33:59,320 Speaker 1: he chooses to do that. I think the only path 527 00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:01,800 Speaker 1: the reelection for him was is to run as an 528 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:06,120 Speaker 1: eye and promise that if he wins, he will caut 529 00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:09,759 Speaker 1: us with Republicans A Llah Lisa Murkowski. I think there's 530 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,560 Speaker 1: a path for him if that, if if he chose 531 00:34:12,640 --> 00:34:17,560 Speaker 1: to go to go down that road. So we'll see 532 00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:22,239 Speaker 1: what he does. I'm speculating on the independent run. That's 533 00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:26,279 Speaker 1: not anything that's out there. I know that Cassidy at 534 00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:29,480 Speaker 1: least kicked the tires or at least took the phone 535 00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 1: calls that the folks that at no labels back when 536 00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:37,000 Speaker 1: they were looking for a sort of compromise presidential candidate. 537 00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:43,760 Speaker 1: So I don't think he feels any sort of loyalty 538 00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:47,759 Speaker 1: at this point to Trump's Republican Party. So, you know, 539 00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:50,920 Speaker 1: if he really wants to be a United States senator, 540 00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:53,239 Speaker 1: I think a path exists. I don't think it means 541 00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:55,240 Speaker 1: running as a Democrat. I think that would be a mistake. 542 00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,279 Speaker 1: I don't think he could do that. But if he 543 00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:01,359 Speaker 1: said he pulled the Lisa Murkowski run as an independ 544 00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:06,040 Speaker 1: that's his path if he wants to win, and if 545 00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:08,720 Speaker 1: he wants to try to try to plan a flag 546 00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:12,799 Speaker 1: to to sort of have a say in what the 547 00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:16,920 Speaker 1: Republican Party might look like after Trump. But you got 548 00:35:16,920 --> 00:35:19,600 Speaker 1: to go win first, and you gotta have the guts 549 00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:23,280 Speaker 1: to do something like this. Ain't easy. It's more likely 550 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:27,680 Speaker 1: to lose than win. But if you've if you've got principles, 551 00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:31,959 Speaker 1: you want to fight for Senator Cassidy, that's the path 552 00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,680 Speaker 1: to do it. I think he is the type of 553 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:38,040 Speaker 1: guy that could win just enough Democrats, just enough Republicans 554 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,880 Speaker 1: probably have. Look, there are a lot of Democrats that 555 00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:44,000 Speaker 1: might have that are pretty upset with him over this 556 00:35:44,160 --> 00:35:48,040 Speaker 1: Kennedy debacle. I mean, look, people are dying because Robert F. 557 00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:53,120 Speaker 1: Kennedy Junior is Secretary of Health. Okay, he his these 558 00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:58,320 Speaker 1: decisions are directly impacting the health and wellness of young people. 559 00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:02,800 Speaker 1: So there's there are going to be people that maybe 560 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:06,440 Speaker 1: won't be able to support Cassidy that might have a 561 00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:13,240 Speaker 1: year ago had he chosen this path. But I wonder 562 00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:16,279 Speaker 1: now if he's going to hold back and what he 563 00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:19,320 Speaker 1: has to say. We've seen that when Tom Tillis announced 564 00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:22,120 Speaker 1: that he's retiring instead of running a primary, praying that 565 00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:24,759 Speaker 1: somehow Trump was going to endorse him, which he never was. 566 00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:28,680 Speaker 1: You know, Tillos was the first Republican out of the 567 00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:30,760 Speaker 1: gate to say he wasn't going to confirm a single 568 00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:35,440 Speaker 1: new Trump appointed to the FED until this, until this 569 00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:44,879 Speaker 1: trumped up investigation by Jenny Piro was dropped. So I'm 570 00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:49,160 Speaker 1: fascinated to watch what Cassidy does. I'm not convinced he 571 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:53,560 Speaker 1: runs as a Republican. I'm not convinced he runs, but 572 00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:55,480 Speaker 1: we'll see what he does. But this is a big deal, 573 00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:58,880 Speaker 1: and this was against I mean, this is Donald Trump 574 00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:03,640 Speaker 1: not caring about the future of the Republican party he wants, 575 00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:07,680 Speaker 1: you know, he cares about his retribution more than anything else. 576 00:37:07,960 --> 00:37:10,920 Speaker 1: He cares about his grievances more than anything else. And 577 00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:13,359 Speaker 1: this is something that I try to repine my Republican friends. 578 00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,560 Speaker 1: He does not care if there's a Republican party that's 579 00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:19,760 Speaker 1: viable come January twenty first, twenty twenty nine. He does 580 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:26,080 Speaker 1: not care. He will be perhaps more happy if he 581 00:37:26,160 --> 00:37:28,720 Speaker 1: is seen as the only Republican that could win the presidents. 582 00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:34,520 Speaker 1: So I always remember he is never rarely making a 583 00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:36,440 Speaker 1: decision that's in the best interests of the party in 584 00:37:36,440 --> 00:37:39,279 Speaker 1: the long term. He just cares about what's in the 585 00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:46,680 Speaker 1: best interest of him. So we shall see very curious 586 00:37:46,680 --> 00:37:49,279 Speaker 1: to watch what mister Cassidy does. All right with that, 587 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:52,960 Speaker 1: Let's sneak at a break and when we come back, 588 00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:56,960 Speaker 1: the middle Class New Deal, that's what this book is called. 589 00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:00,799 Speaker 1: I think this is something everybody that listens to the 590 00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:04,719 Speaker 1: podcast Left, Right and Center. We're all trying to figure 591 00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:07,480 Speaker 1: out what does capitalism look like going forward? Because this 592 00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:10,200 Speaker 1: version is messy and broken, and we know we need 593 00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:12,600 Speaker 1: some new guardrails. We know we needed some new focus 594 00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,879 Speaker 1: and some new investment. And Michelle Dickerson has an out, 595 00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:20,760 Speaker 1: has a plan that she's hoping will at least get debated. 596 00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:29,920 Speaker 1: Let's take a break. Having good life insurance is incredibly important. 597 00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:32,880 Speaker 1: I know from personal experience. I was sixteen when my 598 00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 1: father passed away. We didn't have any money. He didn't 599 00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,520 Speaker 1: leave us in the best shape. My mother, single mother, 600 00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:42,200 Speaker 1: now widow, myself sixteen trying to figure out how am 601 00:38:42,200 --> 00:38:44,759 Speaker 1: I going to pay for college? And lo and behold, 602 00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:47,840 Speaker 1: my dad had one life insurance policy that we found 603 00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:50,840 Speaker 1: wasn't a lot, but it was important at the time, 604 00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:54,200 Speaker 1: and it's why I was able to go to college. 605 00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:57,239 Speaker 1: Little did he know how important that would be in 606 00:38:57,440 --> 00:39:01,000 Speaker 1: that moment. Well guess what. 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You can get a quote in as 615 00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:28,399 Speaker 1: little as ten minutes, and you can get same day 616 00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:32,440 Speaker 1: coverage without ever leaving your home. You can get up 617 00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:34,960 Speaker 1: to three million dollars in coverage, and some policies start 618 00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:36,920 Speaker 1: as low as two dollars a day that would be 619 00:39:36,960 --> 00:39:40,680 Speaker 1: billed monthly. As of March twenty twenty five, Business Insider 620 00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:44,239 Speaker 1: named Ethos the number one no medical exam instant life 621 00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:48,880 Speaker 1: insurance provider. So protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. 622 00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:52,080 Speaker 1: Get your free quote at ethos dot com slash chuck. 623 00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:57,840 Speaker 1: So again, that's Ethos dot com slash Chuck. Application times 624 00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:00,480 Speaker 1: may vary, and the rates themselves may vary as well, 625 00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:03,600 Speaker 1: but trust me, life insurance is something you should really 626 00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:10,200 Speaker 1: think about, especially if you've got a growing family. Well, 627 00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,719 Speaker 1: as we get to the run up of not just 628 00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:16,239 Speaker 1: Campaign twenty twenty six, bit Campaign twenty twenty eight, one 629 00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:18,880 Speaker 1: of the things I'm going to actively be seeking out 630 00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:24,839 Speaker 1: are academics and authors and historians that are that are 631 00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:28,400 Speaker 1: trying to lay out visions that look forward, not necessarily 632 00:40:28,440 --> 00:40:34,520 Speaker 1: relitigating the past, and whether it's in how are we 633 00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:37,680 Speaker 1: going to reform and change and modernize the public education system, 634 00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:42,080 Speaker 1: which I think is something that I hope our next 635 00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:47,680 Speaker 1: presidential campaign can begin to discuss. And in that vein, 636 00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:52,480 Speaker 1: there's a terrific new book out by a professor at 637 00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:56,520 Speaker 1: the University of Texas Law School, by Michelle Dickerson. She's 638 00:40:56,520 --> 00:40:59,200 Speaker 1: my guest today. The book is called The Middle Class 639 00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:05,440 Speaker 1: New Deal, Restoring Upward Mobility and the American Dream. This 640 00:41:05,520 --> 00:41:11,000 Speaker 1: is more than just a white paper of saying of aspiration. 641 00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:17,319 Speaker 1: This is a book with a detailed blueprint for how 642 00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:20,480 Speaker 1: we should tackle this and what's interesting about this And 643 00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:21,840 Speaker 1: I'm going to shut up here in a minute and 644 00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:27,200 Speaker 1: bring it Michelle is that I view it as this 645 00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:29,480 Speaker 1: better be a book that anybody running for president, I 646 00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:32,120 Speaker 1: don't care which party you're running from, ought to read, 647 00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:35,799 Speaker 1: because whether you're a liberal or conservative, the goals that 648 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:41,360 Speaker 1: are outlined here in this book, I think are something 649 00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:46,000 Speaker 1: that frankly, both the left and the right aspire to. 650 00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:50,400 Speaker 1: We're just disagreeing on how we get there. But it 651 00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:55,520 Speaker 1: does begin here with I think the reminder that in 652 00:41:55,640 --> 00:41:57,840 Speaker 1: order to have a middle class, you actually have to 653 00:41:57,880 --> 00:42:00,880 Speaker 1: have government policy that wants to have a middle class. 654 00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:04,880 Speaker 1: And I think that was before we begin our conversation, 655 00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:08,040 Speaker 1: the most important insight I think that I took away 656 00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:09,920 Speaker 1: from this book. So, without further ado, let me bring 657 00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:15,399 Speaker 1: in Michelle Dickerson, University of Texas Law School. Been there 658 00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:20,480 Speaker 1: multiple books, She's written multiple books. This is again not 659 00:42:20,520 --> 00:42:23,000 Speaker 1: a I don't this doesn't strike me. It didn't strike 660 00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:25,879 Speaker 1: me as a political book. It struck me as a 661 00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:30,920 Speaker 1: answer to the economic anxiety that has essentially been reflected 662 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:33,759 Speaker 1: in what has been now twenty years of what I 663 00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:36,400 Speaker 1: call vote against politics. We know what we don't want, 664 00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:39,000 Speaker 1: nobody's yet come up with the answer for what we 665 00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:41,840 Speaker 1: do want. So Michelle Dickerson Welcome to the podcast. 666 00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:44,040 Speaker 2: Thanks for having me. I'm glad to be here. 667 00:42:44,560 --> 00:42:46,759 Speaker 1: So let me start with this because I think you 668 00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:49,600 Speaker 1: know you hear the words new Deal, and we've seen 669 00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:52,759 Speaker 1: a lot of economic prescriptions using the umbrella of the 670 00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:56,759 Speaker 1: New Deal, right, and you know a lot of times 671 00:42:57,440 --> 00:43:03,040 Speaker 1: it's just borrowing a popular phrase to sell something that 672 00:43:03,080 --> 00:43:06,120 Speaker 1: people have been trying to sell for years. This didn't 673 00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:11,000 Speaker 1: strike me. They tell me your origin as to what 674 00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:16,319 Speaker 1: motivated you to put these ideas together the way you did. 675 00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:19,600 Speaker 2: The first thing I did is I thought about, how 676 00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:22,920 Speaker 2: is it that we have a middle class. And this 677 00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:24,880 Speaker 2: is a point that you just made in the introduction. 678 00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:29,520 Speaker 2: We have a middle class because political leaders decided we 679 00:43:29,640 --> 00:43:32,040 Speaker 2: needed to have a middle class. Now, part of it 680 00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:35,680 Speaker 2: was in response to the depression, but after the depression 681 00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:39,960 Speaker 2: in World War one, world War two, political leader said, 682 00:43:40,160 --> 00:43:42,360 Speaker 2: you know what, it's not a bad thing to have 683 00:43:42,400 --> 00:43:46,160 Speaker 2: a middle class. They do good things for the US economy, 684 00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:50,240 Speaker 2: and also as political leaders, we need to do good 685 00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:54,240 Speaker 2: things for lower and middle income folks who are looking 686 00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:58,960 Speaker 2: to achieve the American dream to have upward mobility. So 687 00:43:59,040 --> 00:44:04,440 Speaker 2: I landed the middle class New Deal because we created 688 00:44:04,480 --> 00:44:09,399 Speaker 2: the middle class roughly as part of the First New Deal, 689 00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:12,840 Speaker 2: and political leaders need to stop. And I agree with 690 00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:15,200 Speaker 2: the way that you framed this. This is not a 691 00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:18,680 Speaker 2: left or a right, or a Democrat or a Republican book. 692 00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:22,879 Speaker 2: This is a book for all political leaders to make 693 00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:25,480 Speaker 2: a decision do we care about the middle class in 694 00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:26,840 Speaker 2: this country or not? 695 00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:32,680 Speaker 1: I thought the most important insight and it's almost to 696 00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:33,880 Speaker 1: me it's the table stakes. 697 00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:34,040 Speaker 2: Right. 698 00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:36,040 Speaker 1: If you don't accept this premise, then you're not going 699 00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:38,880 Speaker 1: to accept the premise of the book, is that somehow 700 00:44:38,920 --> 00:44:41,600 Speaker 1: a middle class just happens in a free market economy. 701 00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:44,719 Speaker 1: The fact of the matter, it doesn't. And when we lionize, 702 00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:47,799 Speaker 1: you know, you know we it's always one of those things. 703 00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:50,080 Speaker 1: Everybody wants to say they're in the middle class, right. 704 00:44:50,239 --> 00:44:52,440 Speaker 1: It is popular to be in the middle class, even 705 00:44:52,520 --> 00:44:55,600 Speaker 1: as we aspire to be. Even when you're not in 706 00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:57,680 Speaker 1: the middle class anymore, you still want to say, well, 707 00:44:57,719 --> 00:45:00,799 Speaker 1: I've got middle class roots, right, there's something about it, right, 708 00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:04,440 Speaker 1: we want to be here. But this is not something 709 00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:09,319 Speaker 1: a free market economy creates. Free market economies, when left unchecked, 710 00:45:09,760 --> 00:45:13,440 Speaker 1: create uber rich and a lot of poor. It actually, 711 00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:16,479 Speaker 1: it doesn't automatically create a middle class. And I think 712 00:45:17,280 --> 00:45:21,200 Speaker 1: understanding the history of the great building of the middle 713 00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:24,360 Speaker 1: class of the fifties, the GI Bill that was a 714 00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:28,080 Speaker 1: government essentially making sure the troops that came home didn't 715 00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:31,520 Speaker 1: become poor, gave them an opportunity to stay out of poverty, 716 00:45:31,800 --> 00:45:35,200 Speaker 1: not even necessarily bringing people from poverty to the middle class. 717 00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,160 Speaker 1: The development of the suburbs, the development of all of 718 00:45:39,200 --> 00:45:42,680 Speaker 1: these things were in support of the middle of creating 719 00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:45,600 Speaker 1: a middle class. And I think that might be hard 720 00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:48,680 Speaker 1: for some of my free market conservative friends to sort 721 00:45:48,680 --> 00:45:51,719 Speaker 1: of wrap their arms around, but guess what government actually 722 00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:55,240 Speaker 1: has to create the conditions to allow a middle class 723 00:45:55,239 --> 00:45:58,120 Speaker 1: to exist. Did I summarize your argument parally? 724 00:45:58,200 --> 00:46:00,279 Speaker 2: We did exactly. And what I would say is, if 725 00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:02,960 Speaker 2: you want to know what happens when the government is 726 00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:06,160 Speaker 2: not involved, look at what has happened to lower and 727 00:46:06,200 --> 00:46:09,640 Speaker 2: middle income people since the nineteen eighties. So if we 728 00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:12,640 Speaker 2: want the free market to control, what that means is 729 00:46:12,680 --> 00:46:16,120 Speaker 2: we will have the uber uber rich and everyone else 730 00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:20,879 Speaker 2: will be struggling. So it's really hilarious to me when 731 00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:22,840 Speaker 2: people look back at the middle class and all of 732 00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:26,360 Speaker 2: the wonderful things it did. It helps people go to college, 733 00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:29,920 Speaker 2: It helped people buy homes. But if we really wanted 734 00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:34,560 Speaker 2: to put labels on what happened that the factors that 735 00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:37,439 Speaker 2: helped to create the middle class, we'd have to say 736 00:46:37,480 --> 00:46:42,480 Speaker 2: things like socialism and interfering with free markets. And of 737 00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,000 Speaker 2: course nobody wants to say those words. The S word 738 00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:48,600 Speaker 2: is just horrible. Well, fine, don't call it socialism, just 739 00:46:48,719 --> 00:46:52,160 Speaker 2: call it what do we think this government owes to 740 00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:55,520 Speaker 2: people who work hard, get up every day and try 741 00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:58,960 Speaker 2: to do the right thing, and yet continue to struggle. 742 00:46:59,320 --> 00:47:02,719 Speaker 2: If your respond, since we owe them nothing, then we 743 00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:03,640 Speaker 2: need to just say that. 744 00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:07,160 Speaker 1: Well, and you know, I can make a national security 745 00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:10,600 Speaker 1: or if you want a stable and thriving population that 746 00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:14,720 Speaker 1: also is patriotic, then you better have a sustainable middle 747 00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:16,839 Speaker 1: class if we don't have one. 748 00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:21,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, if we want a happy population. So if again, 749 00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:25,920 Speaker 2: even ignoring whether or not you care about the economic 750 00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:30,320 Speaker 2: security of most families in this country, one of the 751 00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:32,680 Speaker 2: things that I always say when people ask me, well, 752 00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:34,640 Speaker 2: why is it so good to have a middle class? 753 00:47:35,200 --> 00:47:40,360 Speaker 2: I can point to lots of things like toasters, or 754 00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:47,560 Speaker 2: trash cans or Ford pickup trucks. Billionaires can only buy 755 00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:51,120 Speaker 2: so many of those. So even if you don't care 756 00:47:51,160 --> 00:47:55,640 Speaker 2: about the stability of human beings. The economic stability of 757 00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:58,799 Speaker 2: human beings. Y'all are to care whether or not you 758 00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:05,560 Speaker 2: can sell lots of pickup trucks and trash cans and microwaves. 759 00:48:05,600 --> 00:48:09,880 Speaker 2: That's what the middle past also does. They drive spending 760 00:48:10,040 --> 00:48:13,880 Speaker 2: in this economy. And if they're struggling financially, or if 761 00:48:13,920 --> 00:48:16,880 Speaker 2: they're scared and we're seeing a lot of fear now, 762 00:48:17,040 --> 00:48:19,520 Speaker 2: which is also unhealthy, then we're going to have a 763 00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:20,280 Speaker 2: weak economy. 764 00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:25,840 Speaker 1: So I feel as if that you made a case 765 00:48:26,280 --> 00:48:32,840 Speaker 1: in this book that government in sort of supporting the 766 00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:36,000 Speaker 1: middle class. It's not about guaranteeing a certain level of income, 767 00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:41,040 Speaker 1: but it is about guaranteeing and the following items the 768 00:48:41,080 --> 00:48:47,800 Speaker 1: ability stable employment, predictable health costs, affordable education, pathways to homeownership, 769 00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:54,520 Speaker 1: and retirement security, and that those things government has to 770 00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:59,440 Speaker 1: involve itself if you want to have those guarantees, and 771 00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:02,560 Speaker 1: that that middle class is less about income and more 772 00:49:02,560 --> 00:49:09,560 Speaker 1: about does the average American able to achieve those five 773 00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:11,320 Speaker 1: goals in life. 774 00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:13,360 Speaker 2: And one of the things when I talk about the 775 00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:17,359 Speaker 2: middle class that I always stress is people who are 776 00:49:17,400 --> 00:49:21,560 Speaker 2: struggling financially are not saying we need to be billionaires. 777 00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:25,279 Speaker 2: They're simply saying, why is it so hard for me 778 00:49:25,400 --> 00:49:29,840 Speaker 2: to find a full time job forty hours a week 779 00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:36,680 Speaker 2: with benefits including health insurance and a retirement plan where 780 00:49:36,760 --> 00:49:40,720 Speaker 2: I am called an employee when I go to work 781 00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:44,120 Speaker 2: and not an independent contractor? So why is that so hard? 782 00:49:44,360 --> 00:49:46,560 Speaker 2: Why is it so hard for me to be able 783 00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:50,440 Speaker 2: to either go to college myself and not drown myself 784 00:49:50,480 --> 00:49:53,800 Speaker 2: in student loan debt or help my kids go to college? 785 00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:56,840 Speaker 2: Why is it so hard for me? And I'll tweak 786 00:49:56,920 --> 00:49:59,759 Speaker 2: one thing that you said. It's not so much now 787 00:49:59,840 --> 00:50:02,440 Speaker 2: to be able to own your own home. It's to 788 00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:06,040 Speaker 2: be able to find affordable housing, even to rent in 789 00:50:06,080 --> 00:50:08,319 Speaker 2: a lot of cities. Why is it so hard for 790 00:50:08,360 --> 00:50:12,560 Speaker 2: me to find stable and secure housing? Why am I 791 00:50:12,680 --> 00:50:15,759 Speaker 2: drowning in debt? Why don't I have savings? So you're 792 00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:20,040 Speaker 2: absolutely right. My book isn't arguing that everybody needs to 793 00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:24,279 Speaker 2: earn the same thing, but everybody in this country that 794 00:50:24,600 --> 00:50:27,600 Speaker 2: works hard and wants to achieve. Whether we call it 795 00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:31,120 Speaker 2: the American Dream, upward mobility, I really don't care. But 796 00:50:31,200 --> 00:50:35,319 Speaker 2: everyone that wants to be stable should have the opportunity 797 00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:35,759 Speaker 2: to do that. 798 00:50:36,600 --> 00:50:39,440 Speaker 1: So let's talk about let's pick out these things one 799 00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:42,960 Speaker 1: at a time. So the role, what are some ideas 800 00:50:43,040 --> 00:50:47,160 Speaker 1: that government could do to create a more stable employment environment. 801 00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:50,640 Speaker 2: Well, one thing is to focus on what I just said, 802 00:50:50,960 --> 00:50:55,359 Speaker 2: why do we continue to allow businesses to treat their 803 00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:59,879 Speaker 2: employees as independent contractors? Because if you say they don't 804 00:50:59,880 --> 00:51:02,680 Speaker 2: have to treat them as employees, then that means they're 805 00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:06,239 Speaker 2: not guaranteed forty hours a week, they don't get benefits, 806 00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:09,839 Speaker 2: they don't have the right to unionize. So we need 807 00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:13,040 Speaker 2: to start asking why is it that we allow companies 808 00:51:13,320 --> 00:51:18,480 Speaker 2: to outsource whole swaths of their employment of their employees 809 00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:22,840 Speaker 2: and then hire them back as an independent contractor. We 810 00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:26,120 Speaker 2: have to ask why is it In the nineteen sixties 811 00:51:26,120 --> 00:51:30,759 Speaker 2: and nineteen seventies, people that worked had a defined benefit 812 00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:33,960 Speaker 2: pension plan. That's what my parents have, and I talk 813 00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:36,960 Speaker 2: about them in the book. My parents get two I 814 00:51:37,000 --> 00:51:39,719 Speaker 2: won't say checks, because it's not checks anymore, two deposits 815 00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:43,759 Speaker 2: into their checking account every month because they worked their 816 00:51:43,920 --> 00:51:48,480 Speaker 2: entire lives and they have guaranteed retirement income. I am 817 00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:52,280 Speaker 2: terrified to think what we're going to see in about 818 00:51:52,280 --> 00:51:56,719 Speaker 2: ten years when people start retiring, they don't have pensions, 819 00:51:57,000 --> 00:52:00,640 Speaker 2: and they have not much saved in a defined contribution 820 00:52:00,920 --> 00:52:03,280 Speaker 2: for a one K four three B plan. 821 00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:06,239 Speaker 1: Oh, baby boomers are the last ones that got pensions, 822 00:52:06,440 --> 00:52:10,520 Speaker 1: and Gen X is the first generation you know, you know, 823 00:52:10,760 --> 00:52:12,160 Speaker 1: we're the ones that I had to figure out what 824 00:52:12,239 --> 00:52:13,359 Speaker 1: is four O one K mean? 825 00:52:13,560 --> 00:52:15,200 Speaker 2: Okay, it's like an alphabet soup? 826 00:52:15,320 --> 00:52:18,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, right, Ira roth Ira? What is that? Right? There 827 00:52:18,560 --> 00:52:21,759 Speaker 1: were all these sort of new sort of you know, 828 00:52:21,960 --> 00:52:25,319 Speaker 1: tax coded you know, numbers and numerologies or the names 829 00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:28,799 Speaker 1: after senators who came up with the idea that we're 830 00:52:28,800 --> 00:52:34,080 Speaker 1: all designed essentially to keep Americans from being angry that 831 00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:36,879 Speaker 1: pensions were going away. I don't know any other way 832 00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:37,640 Speaker 1: to describe it. 833 00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:43,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, they shifted the risk of retirement security from employers 834 00:52:44,200 --> 00:52:48,239 Speaker 2: to employees, and they did it in ways that was 835 00:52:48,360 --> 00:52:51,040 Speaker 2: designed for us to end up exactly where we are. 836 00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:54,960 Speaker 2: I remember the first time I had my first job. 837 00:52:55,360 --> 00:52:57,640 Speaker 2: It was at a law firm, I think, and I 838 00:52:57,680 --> 00:52:59,920 Speaker 2: went there and I had to actually look at the 839 00:53:00,280 --> 00:53:04,080 Speaker 2: retirement offerings. I mean, I was a bankruptcy lawyer and 840 00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:07,840 Speaker 2: I've graduated from law school. It so terrified me. I 841 00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:09,840 Speaker 2: had to put it down and come back the next 842 00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:13,200 Speaker 2: day because it was so complicated. Well, if I can't 843 00:53:13,239 --> 00:53:18,480 Speaker 2: figure it out, imagine just a normal din't doesn't have 844 00:53:18,560 --> 00:53:22,120 Speaker 2: two degrees, you know, isn't in bankruptcy employee that's sitting 845 00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:24,160 Speaker 2: down trying to figure out what do I need to 846 00:53:24,200 --> 00:53:27,000 Speaker 2: invest in and when do I think I'm going to retire, 847 00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:29,399 Speaker 2: and what level of income do I think I'm going 848 00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:33,160 Speaker 2: to need? The things that employers used to do for 849 00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:33,920 Speaker 2: their workers. 850 00:53:36,560 --> 00:53:40,000 Speaker 1: Look, politically, that's going to be very difficult, right you 851 00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:43,160 Speaker 1: look at let's just take Fetex in Amazon. Right. Fed 852 00:53:43,360 --> 00:53:47,240 Speaker 1: X is an older company that arguably is the first 853 00:53:47,280 --> 00:53:52,360 Speaker 1: major company to succeed with independent contractors. Right. And Amazon Obviously, 854 00:53:52,760 --> 00:53:55,200 Speaker 1: many of these people that work at Amazon don't work 855 00:53:55,239 --> 00:53:59,640 Speaker 1: for Amazon. Right there. They they're they're independent contractor. They 856 00:53:59,680 --> 00:54:02,239 Speaker 1: have all lot of political beverage, right and the whole. 857 00:54:02,520 --> 00:54:05,640 Speaker 1: And there's some that will argue, well, independent contractors allow 858 00:54:05,719 --> 00:54:09,560 Speaker 1: people to make more money because it can be a 859 00:54:09,600 --> 00:54:12,480 Speaker 1: side hustle and right, you know, there are different ways 860 00:54:12,640 --> 00:54:17,200 Speaker 1: that have been used frankly to convince or persuade parts 861 00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:19,839 Speaker 1: of the population. No, no, no, no, no, These these 862 00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:24,719 Speaker 1: empower you, These don't hurt you, you know, And I'm 863 00:54:24,719 --> 00:54:27,560 Speaker 1: not asking you to be a political messaging guru here, 864 00:54:27,600 --> 00:54:30,560 Speaker 1: but I think that's going to be the political challenge 865 00:54:30,600 --> 00:54:33,520 Speaker 1: to an obvious policy conundrum. 866 00:54:33,840 --> 00:54:37,279 Speaker 2: Right. And we talk a lot about freedom and choice. 867 00:54:37,719 --> 00:54:41,880 Speaker 2: So you have the freedom. You can choose not to 868 00:54:41,960 --> 00:54:43,719 Speaker 2: work forty hours a week you want to have you 869 00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:47,040 Speaker 2: want to be an independent contract it's good for you. You 870 00:54:46,600 --> 00:54:49,400 Speaker 2: can choose to work in the gig economy, you know, 871 00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:51,600 Speaker 2: pick up a little bit of work here and there. 872 00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:54,839 Speaker 2: But if you actually talk to the people who are 873 00:54:56,160 --> 00:54:59,920 Speaker 2: exercising the choice to be an independent contractor, it's not 874 00:55:00,120 --> 00:55:02,880 Speaker 2: a choice. And I can say this from personal experience. 875 00:55:02,920 --> 00:55:05,640 Speaker 2: I have a twenty five year old son who worked 876 00:55:05,640 --> 00:55:09,719 Speaker 2: briefly for Amazon, but he didn't work for Amazon. He 877 00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:13,799 Speaker 2: worked for a delivery service provider and they were they 878 00:55:13,920 --> 00:55:16,759 Speaker 2: treated him very well, but at the end of the day, 879 00:55:17,000 --> 00:55:20,239 Speaker 2: he was never going to work for Amazon and he 880 00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:22,920 Speaker 2: was never going to get forty hours a week working 881 00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:26,879 Speaker 2: at the DSP because it wasn't set up for them 882 00:55:26,960 --> 00:55:30,279 Speaker 2: to be full time forty hour a week. You got 883 00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:32,040 Speaker 2: to give them benefits. 884 00:55:32,520 --> 00:55:34,719 Speaker 1: Do you think this has to be mandatory legislation that 885 00:55:34,760 --> 00:55:38,480 Speaker 1: basically says is there, you know, can you design what 886 00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:42,480 Speaker 1: would a what would a simple piece of legislation do 887 00:55:42,640 --> 00:55:47,080 Speaker 1: to sort of dissuade the independent contractor route. 888 00:55:47,640 --> 00:55:52,040 Speaker 2: Well, several states have actually tried. I think California tried. 889 00:55:52,120 --> 00:55:55,279 Speaker 2: All have failed, but several states have tried. Basically, if 890 00:55:55,320 --> 00:55:59,520 Speaker 2: you have someone that is doing the same work that 891 00:55:59,600 --> 00:56:03,840 Speaker 2: people you called employees are doing, those people must be 892 00:56:03,960 --> 00:56:08,120 Speaker 2: treated like employees, whether you call them contractors or not. 893 00:56:08,520 --> 00:56:12,400 Speaker 2: So give them health insurance, allow them to participate in 894 00:56:12,480 --> 00:56:16,680 Speaker 2: the retirement plans, and more importantly, allow them to organize 895 00:56:17,040 --> 00:56:23,000 Speaker 2: and to participate in any union organizing attempts at your company, 896 00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:25,480 Speaker 2: because at the end of the day, when you have 897 00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:31,000 Speaker 2: fewer employees, your costs or less as a business, and 898 00:56:31,080 --> 00:56:34,000 Speaker 2: you're not at grade of a risk of having a 899 00:56:34,080 --> 00:56:37,480 Speaker 2: strong union presence because if you have fewer employees, you're 900 00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:48,600 Speaker 2: less likely to have to deal with those pesky unions. 901 00:56:48,600 --> 00:56:51,680 Speaker 1: Got a predictable health cut. You know, there was a time, 902 00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:54,800 Speaker 1: I want to say twenty years ago, where I thought 903 00:56:55,480 --> 00:56:58,239 Speaker 1: that there was a deal to be cut with big business. 904 00:56:58,760 --> 00:57:01,239 Speaker 1: You know, I would hear the complain aints. You know, 905 00:57:02,120 --> 00:57:05,480 Speaker 1: because I've worked where I worked, I'd have interactions with 906 00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:09,080 Speaker 1: this CEO of GE and I've had interactions with the 907 00:57:09,120 --> 00:57:12,440 Speaker 1: CEO of Comcast and interactions with other CEOs, and all 908 00:57:12,520 --> 00:57:14,760 Speaker 1: of them would complain about the cost of health care, 909 00:57:16,160 --> 00:57:18,640 Speaker 1: and so you could I always thought that there was 910 00:57:18,680 --> 00:57:21,280 Speaker 1: this great grand bargain where the government would say, look, 911 00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:24,000 Speaker 1: we can save you some money. We'll take care of 912 00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:27,880 Speaker 1: health We'll take health care out of your situation. Then 913 00:57:27,920 --> 00:57:30,440 Speaker 1: you can go back to having pensions or you can 914 00:57:30,480 --> 00:57:32,320 Speaker 1: go back to you know that there was this grand 915 00:57:32,320 --> 00:57:37,680 Speaker 1: bargain to be had, so to tackle predictable health costs? 916 00:57:38,920 --> 00:57:41,520 Speaker 1: You know, is it realistic to stick with the employer 917 00:57:41,600 --> 00:57:45,800 Speaker 1: based healthcare system that ultimately we're still kind of attached to, 918 00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:47,760 Speaker 1: even though the Affordable Care Act was supposed to make 919 00:57:47,800 --> 00:57:52,360 Speaker 1: this a bit more portable. Do you think we need 920 00:57:52,400 --> 00:57:54,640 Speaker 1: policy fixes that sort of deal with the world that 921 00:57:54,680 --> 00:57:57,160 Speaker 1: we live in, or do we need to radically rethink 922 00:57:57,200 --> 00:58:02,360 Speaker 1: how we deliver health insurance to folks or healthcare work. 923 00:58:03,040 --> 00:58:05,360 Speaker 2: I would say we need to make a radical change, 924 00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:08,400 Speaker 2: and these are a couple of options. And I'll lead 925 00:58:08,440 --> 00:58:11,360 Speaker 2: into this by telling a story involving a class that 926 00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:14,000 Speaker 2: I taught at ut So. It was a class that 927 00:58:14,200 --> 00:58:19,480 Speaker 2: had both law students public policy students, schools from students 928 00:58:19,520 --> 00:58:23,000 Speaker 2: from the School of Education and foreign exchange students. So 929 00:58:23,040 --> 00:58:25,280 Speaker 2: we were talking about the middle class and this particular 930 00:58:25,840 --> 00:58:29,800 Speaker 2: class session we were talking about in insurance and one 931 00:58:29,800 --> 00:58:32,680 Speaker 2: of the students from the Netherlands finally asked a question. 932 00:58:32,720 --> 00:58:35,840 Speaker 2: She says, I don't understand why when we're talking about 933 00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:39,240 Speaker 2: health insurance you all keep talking about jobs. What do 934 00:58:39,440 --> 00:58:41,960 Speaker 2: jobs have to do with anything? And then we had 935 00:58:41,960 --> 00:58:45,120 Speaker 2: to explain to her, Well, in the US, that's how 936 00:58:45,160 --> 00:58:50,520 Speaker 2: we provide health insurance. So if we leave it with businesses, 937 00:58:50,960 --> 00:58:55,160 Speaker 2: businesses have to assume the cost. So rather than pushing 938 00:58:55,240 --> 00:58:59,840 Speaker 2: the costs onto employees, tell them that you know where 939 00:59:00,000 --> 00:59:01,840 Speaker 2: you want to say that there are caps on what 940 00:59:01,920 --> 00:59:07,240 Speaker 2: they can charge or but businesses can lobby Congress and 941 00:59:07,320 --> 00:59:10,920 Speaker 2: be much more effective in coming up with solution than 942 00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:15,320 Speaker 2: individual employees can. I will also say, and this is 943 00:59:15,400 --> 00:59:18,600 Speaker 2: not necessarily a model that can be scaled, but when 944 00:59:18,600 --> 00:59:21,880 Speaker 2: we look at the way that a military personnel in 945 00:59:21,920 --> 00:59:24,960 Speaker 2: this country, how they receive health insurance, they receive it 946 00:59:25,000 --> 00:59:28,600 Speaker 2: from the government. Is it perfect? They would probably say no, 947 00:59:28,960 --> 00:59:33,360 Speaker 2: Is everyone covered? Yes they are. So we have to 948 00:59:33,400 --> 00:59:37,800 Speaker 2: do something radical because we can't continue with the status quo. 949 00:59:38,320 --> 00:59:41,400 Speaker 2: And I would also again thinking back to the past, 950 00:59:41,440 --> 00:59:43,360 Speaker 2: although I'm not going to stick say in the past, 951 00:59:43,440 --> 00:59:45,120 Speaker 2: I want us to be thinking in terms. 952 00:59:44,960 --> 00:59:46,800 Speaker 1: Of the Oh, and this is the point of your 953 00:59:46,800 --> 00:59:49,360 Speaker 1: book is to stop. You know, we can't relitigate stuff 954 00:59:49,360 --> 00:59:50,600 Speaker 1: that has. 955 00:59:50,480 --> 00:59:54,400 Speaker 2: Happened yet, right, But the reason that we have so 956 00:59:54,520 --> 00:59:59,400 Speaker 2: many employee benefits tied into work was because in World 957 00:59:59,400 --> 01:00:03,360 Speaker 2: War Two there was a wage controls so they couldn't 958 01:00:03,400 --> 01:00:06,960 Speaker 2: increase wages. So what businesses did is say, oh, but 959 01:00:07,040 --> 01:00:11,440 Speaker 2: we can give you non wage benefits. Once that happened, 960 01:00:11,520 --> 01:00:14,560 Speaker 2: it became the norm. And so one of the things 961 01:00:14,600 --> 01:00:17,400 Speaker 2: I want political leaders to do is to say, well, 962 01:00:17,440 --> 01:00:20,600 Speaker 2: if it wasn't the norm until we created it, maybe 963 01:00:20,600 --> 01:00:23,760 Speaker 2: we can create something new and that'll then become. 964 01:00:23,520 --> 01:00:27,400 Speaker 1: The norm, a new essentially some new norms exactly if 965 01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:29,680 Speaker 1: you will. But you're right, I mean it was if 966 01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:33,800 Speaker 1: people would panic if they found out healthcare wasn't connected 967 01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:37,160 Speaker 1: to work, Yeah right, that's what Look, that's what the 968 01:00:37,160 --> 01:00:40,439 Speaker 1: Clintons found out when they first touched the healthcare back 969 01:00:40,440 --> 01:00:43,040 Speaker 1: in ninety three. Whoa, whoa, whoa. People hate the system, 970 01:00:43,080 --> 01:00:43,400 Speaker 1: but they. 971 01:00:43,360 --> 01:00:47,320 Speaker 2: Like their own health care exactly, and they're always afraid that, well, 972 01:00:47,400 --> 01:00:50,560 Speaker 2: I have to have the best health care and I 973 01:00:50,640 --> 01:00:53,840 Speaker 2: have to have every single procedure that I want covered. 974 01:00:54,320 --> 01:00:57,760 Speaker 2: And that's great that in theory, until you lose your 975 01:00:57,840 --> 01:01:00,920 Speaker 2: job and then you have no health care. So one 976 01:01:00,960 --> 01:01:03,120 Speaker 2: of the discussions we're going to have to have is 977 01:01:03,120 --> 01:01:06,439 Speaker 2: to ask people, are you going to fight for what 978 01:01:06,520 --> 01:01:09,040 Speaker 2: you have right now, knowing that if you lose your 979 01:01:09,120 --> 01:01:10,480 Speaker 2: job you have nothing? 980 01:01:12,040 --> 01:01:14,360 Speaker 1: You know, I what are I think there are real 981 01:01:14,400 --> 01:01:17,840 Speaker 1: trade offs here that might be net positives for everybody. 982 01:01:17,960 --> 01:01:21,600 Speaker 1: Right if the government takes on the role of essentially 983 01:01:21,640 --> 01:01:27,240 Speaker 1: guaranteeing insurance, guaranteeing healthcare, access to healthcare, in theory, that 984 01:01:27,280 --> 01:01:33,960 Speaker 1: should free up money for corporations. I mean, and you know, 985 01:01:35,280 --> 01:01:37,120 Speaker 1: I don't know. You know, we don't do nuanced very 986 01:01:37,120 --> 01:01:40,360 Speaker 1: well in our country anymore in our political debates. But 987 01:01:40,840 --> 01:01:42,560 Speaker 1: you know, that seems to be the type of thing 988 01:01:42,600 --> 01:01:49,360 Speaker 1: that that that in a in a mature setting, that 989 01:01:49,360 --> 01:01:53,600 Speaker 1: that people would accept the idea that this is trade offs. 990 01:01:53,600 --> 01:01:56,080 Speaker 1: This isn't you know. Okay, I want this guarantee, but 991 01:01:56,120 --> 01:02:00,280 Speaker 1: it means it won't get it over here, okay, and 992 01:02:00,320 --> 01:02:01,120 Speaker 1: you put it out there. 993 01:02:01,360 --> 01:02:04,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, we're again at the where we unfortunately 994 01:02:04,280 --> 01:02:06,400 Speaker 2: spend most of our time in the political space with 995 01:02:06,840 --> 01:02:10,200 Speaker 2: you know, we let perfect be the enemy of good, right, 996 01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:14,160 Speaker 2: and so why not say these are the six things 997 01:02:14,200 --> 01:02:18,400 Speaker 2: that we think people in this country deserve. And if 998 01:02:18,400 --> 01:02:22,479 Speaker 2: we can agree that everyone deserves healthcare, everyone deserves some 999 01:02:22,600 --> 01:02:26,160 Speaker 2: kind of retirement security, we can then say, Okay, now 1000 01:02:26,160 --> 01:02:29,360 Speaker 2: that we've agreed on that, who do we think should 1001 01:02:29,360 --> 01:02:34,120 Speaker 2: be responsible for providing it? Ignoring who may be providing 1002 01:02:34,160 --> 01:02:37,640 Speaker 2: it right now, but who going forward do we think 1003 01:02:37,720 --> 01:02:40,600 Speaker 2: should be responsible for providing it? That to me is 1004 01:02:40,640 --> 01:02:47,080 Speaker 2: a much more productive conversation than re litigating, well, it's 1005 01:02:47,120 --> 01:02:49,200 Speaker 2: not fair if businesses have to do this and it 1006 01:02:49,280 --> 01:02:52,360 Speaker 2: increased their costs. Okay, let's just assume that your true. 1007 01:02:52,680 --> 01:02:53,680 Speaker 2: Let's go forward. 1008 01:02:55,120 --> 01:02:59,200 Speaker 1: Let's talk about affordable education. You know, one of the 1009 01:02:59,240 --> 01:03:03,800 Speaker 1: head scratchers me, I was convinced back in the mid 1010 01:03:03,960 --> 01:03:06,680 Speaker 1: nineties that it was inevitable that we were going to 1011 01:03:07,400 --> 01:03:10,919 Speaker 1: what I called thirteenth and fourteenth grade, that we were 1012 01:03:10,960 --> 01:03:14,040 Speaker 1: going that public education was essentially going to extend another 1013 01:03:14,080 --> 01:03:16,880 Speaker 1: two years, that there was going to be guaranteed public 1014 01:03:17,000 --> 01:03:20,040 Speaker 1: education up through quote unquote fourteen years of it. So 1015 01:03:20,480 --> 01:03:22,280 Speaker 1: you divided up how you want to divide it up. Right, 1016 01:03:22,280 --> 01:03:24,000 Speaker 1: you got your primary and secondary, and then you have 1017 01:03:24,800 --> 01:03:27,280 Speaker 1: essentially free community college, right the first two years of 1018 01:03:27,280 --> 01:03:31,360 Speaker 1: community college. The fact that we haven't gotten there, you know, 1019 01:03:31,520 --> 01:03:34,360 Speaker 1: the fact that we're still like the debating university universal 1020 01:03:34,480 --> 01:03:38,520 Speaker 1: kindergarten in some states we have, I would argue the 1021 01:03:38,640 --> 01:03:42,520 Speaker 1: entire education debate is just sort of stalled, right, and 1022 01:03:42,560 --> 01:03:46,800 Speaker 1: we're stuck with this terrible system of charters and where 1023 01:03:46,800 --> 01:03:51,160 Speaker 1: everybody has taken education in their own hands. And you know, 1024 01:03:51,200 --> 01:03:54,200 Speaker 1: you're discussing in some cases more about higher education. But 1025 01:03:54,240 --> 01:03:58,840 Speaker 1: I feel like the entire educational system just desperately needs 1026 01:03:58,840 --> 01:04:03,280 Speaker 1: a twenty first century makeover, and it's so politically polarized 1027 01:04:03,280 --> 01:04:05,520 Speaker 1: that we don't know how to do it. What are 1028 01:04:05,560 --> 01:04:10,440 Speaker 1: a few steps, sheet, a few ideas you're putting out 1029 01:04:10,440 --> 01:04:13,000 Speaker 1: there in the book that you think could make a 1030 01:04:13,040 --> 01:04:14,280 Speaker 1: tangible progress here. 1031 01:04:14,960 --> 01:04:17,600 Speaker 2: Well, I'll leave by saying one group that we also 1032 01:04:17,680 --> 01:04:22,439 Speaker 2: have to bring into this discussion are employers. Because even 1033 01:04:22,480 --> 01:04:27,000 Speaker 2: if we had K fourteen and everyone had a free 1034 01:04:27,000 --> 01:04:30,320 Speaker 2: community college education, employers need to be willing to hire 1035 01:04:30,400 --> 01:04:35,560 Speaker 2: them and pay them a decent wage. The challenge now 1036 01:04:35,680 --> 01:04:39,600 Speaker 2: is that the bachelor's degree has largely become the gateway 1037 01:04:39,680 --> 01:04:42,520 Speaker 2: to the middle class. So employers also need to come 1038 01:04:42,520 --> 01:04:45,000 Speaker 2: into the conversation and say, we're going to hire people 1039 01:04:45,760 --> 01:04:48,240 Speaker 2: and treat them decently even if they don't have a 1040 01:04:48,280 --> 01:04:52,400 Speaker 2: bachelor's degree. But you're absolutely right, we've got to look 1041 01:04:52,560 --> 01:04:56,880 Speaker 2: at what happens starting in kindergarten. I would like to 1042 01:04:56,920 --> 01:05:01,440 Speaker 2: start actually in preschool as well. And how do we 1043 01:05:01,520 --> 01:05:06,880 Speaker 2: treat lower and middle income children in public schools, And 1044 01:05:06,920 --> 01:05:11,000 Speaker 2: how do we treat rich children and lower rich children 1045 01:05:11,040 --> 01:05:14,400 Speaker 2: who are more likely to be educated in private schools. 1046 01:05:14,640 --> 01:05:16,920 Speaker 2: So we need to have an honest discussion when we're 1047 01:05:16,960 --> 01:05:20,960 Speaker 2: talking about charters and vouchers and all of these other things. 1048 01:05:21,520 --> 01:05:24,920 Speaker 2: Most lower and middle income kids in this country are 1049 01:05:25,040 --> 01:05:28,920 Speaker 2: educated in a public school somewhere if they are in 1050 01:05:29,000 --> 01:05:33,640 Speaker 2: a rural area. There are no such things as choice options. 1051 01:05:33,720 --> 01:05:34,320 Speaker 2: There's no choice. 1052 01:05:34,360 --> 01:05:35,960 Speaker 1: To say this all the time. I mean, you know, 1053 01:05:36,960 --> 01:05:41,800 Speaker 1: it's essentially homeschool exactly. It's the only realistic option if 1054 01:05:41,800 --> 01:05:43,040 Speaker 1: you don't like your school. 1055 01:05:43,160 --> 01:05:47,040 Speaker 2: And some parents are doing that. But as we saw 1056 01:05:47,240 --> 01:05:50,800 Speaker 2: during COVID, exactly parents were like, oh my goodness, we 1057 01:05:50,880 --> 01:05:54,360 Speaker 2: love our school teachers. Boy, can we get these children back, right, 1058 01:05:54,760 --> 01:05:57,320 Speaker 2: and so it's great to say homes Well, you know, 1059 01:05:57,320 --> 01:06:01,160 Speaker 2: people need a homeschool people most parents need two incomes 1060 01:06:01,200 --> 01:06:03,840 Speaker 2: in order to survive. So that's just not a thing. 1061 01:06:04,480 --> 01:06:06,280 Speaker 2: So one of the things I argue, and I know 1062 01:06:06,320 --> 01:06:07,920 Speaker 2: some of the things I propose in the book are 1063 01:06:08,320 --> 01:06:11,520 Speaker 2: are quite radical, but we need to look at the 1064 01:06:11,600 --> 01:06:16,800 Speaker 2: public school buildings and ask ourselves, why are they so underutilized? 1065 01:06:16,880 --> 01:06:20,160 Speaker 2: How can we use them to do more? So we 1066 01:06:20,280 --> 01:06:22,880 Speaker 2: know that there are educational gaps between lower and middle 1067 01:06:22,920 --> 01:06:26,640 Speaker 2: income children and lower rich and rich children. What can 1068 01:06:26,720 --> 01:06:29,520 Speaker 2: we do with the public school system to try to 1069 01:06:29,560 --> 01:06:32,520 Speaker 2: close those gaps. One of the things that we do 1070 01:06:32,600 --> 01:06:36,520 Speaker 2: now is we still treat public school the public school 1071 01:06:37,000 --> 01:06:41,000 Speaker 2: calendar is if we're an agrarian economy. So for three 1072 01:06:41,120 --> 01:06:43,320 Speaker 2: some three months of the summer, got to deal with 1073 01:06:43,400 --> 01:06:47,960 Speaker 2: the crops, everybody, right, that's right. So you have children 1074 01:06:48,200 --> 01:06:51,880 Speaker 2: just in the phrases use as a summer slide. If 1075 01:06:51,920 --> 01:06:55,280 Speaker 2: you're rich or lower rich, you can put your kids 1076 01:06:55,360 --> 01:06:58,920 Speaker 2: in these camps and robotic camps, and you can have 1077 01:06:59,040 --> 01:07:03,720 Speaker 2: them go to these summer high school camps on college campuses. Well, 1078 01:07:03,760 --> 01:07:07,120 Speaker 2: that's lovely, that's not the reality. For lower and middle 1079 01:07:07,120 --> 01:07:10,840 Speaker 2: income families. And so you're what I do, both in 1080 01:07:11,040 --> 01:07:13,520 Speaker 2: the book and also when I'm giving different talks, is 1081 01:07:13,840 --> 01:07:17,600 Speaker 2: we have to focus on K twelve because it's too 1082 01:07:17,680 --> 01:07:21,760 Speaker 2: late once children are about to turn age eighteen. 1083 01:07:22,720 --> 01:07:25,640 Speaker 1: No, And the whole thing is, you know, nobody's happy 1084 01:07:25,680 --> 01:07:28,680 Speaker 1: with the public school system, and everybody would be appalled 1085 01:07:28,720 --> 01:07:33,800 Speaker 1: if it went away, exactly. And and you know it's like, look, 1086 01:07:33,840 --> 01:07:36,400 Speaker 1: I empathize with these parents that go back and forth. 1087 01:07:37,680 --> 01:07:41,120 Speaker 1: I get school choice. I had. You know, my parents didn't. 1088 01:07:41,600 --> 01:07:44,080 Speaker 1: The only choice they had was to find another neighborhood 1089 01:07:44,080 --> 01:07:47,160 Speaker 1: to live in with affordable housing, and they did that. 1090 01:07:47,160 --> 01:07:49,120 Speaker 1: That was that's all they could do, and that's what 1091 01:07:49,200 --> 01:07:52,320 Speaker 1: they did. I had a little bit more the ability 1092 01:07:52,440 --> 01:07:54,960 Speaker 1: to truly choose what was going to be best for 1093 01:07:55,080 --> 01:08:00,080 Speaker 1: my kids. But ultimately, we are not going to have 1094 01:08:00,600 --> 01:08:04,560 Speaker 1: a good labor force if we don't have a good 1095 01:08:04,960 --> 01:08:11,440 Speaker 1: public education system. And well, look, politically, the impediments have 1096 01:08:11,520 --> 01:08:14,880 Speaker 1: been a weird combination of people who don't want you know, 1097 01:08:15,200 --> 01:08:17,040 Speaker 1: I joke in the state of Virginia, it's the people 1098 01:08:17,040 --> 01:08:20,439 Speaker 1: that own an amusement park called King's Dominion that was 1099 01:08:20,479 --> 01:08:23,680 Speaker 1: making it impossible for school districts to even start two 1100 01:08:23,720 --> 01:08:26,920 Speaker 1: weeks earlier, you know, it would be like these weird 1101 01:08:27,360 --> 01:08:29,639 Speaker 1: you know, And then there was some teachers unions are 1102 01:08:29,680 --> 01:08:31,439 Speaker 1: like no, no, no, no, we want our we want our 1103 01:08:32,040 --> 01:08:34,599 Speaker 1: time off, because a lot of teachers, because they're underpaid, 1104 01:08:35,320 --> 01:08:40,000 Speaker 1: spend their summers looking for extra income and are afraid 1105 01:08:40,000 --> 01:08:43,120 Speaker 1: of that going away, right, So which then tells you 1106 01:08:43,200 --> 01:08:45,360 Speaker 1: we really aren't investing very well in our school teachers 1107 01:08:45,360 --> 01:08:46,920 Speaker 1: if they feel like they need a second job in 1108 01:08:46,960 --> 01:08:50,599 Speaker 1: the summer. So it's a it's a it's been a 1109 01:08:50,640 --> 01:08:56,320 Speaker 1: weird challenge to sort of break this norm of summer break. 1110 01:08:57,000 --> 01:09:00,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, but again one of the they're very COVID was awful. 1111 01:09:00,920 --> 01:09:03,360 Speaker 2: It was dreadful, and I've always had to purposes with 1112 01:09:03,400 --> 01:09:05,840 Speaker 2: there's nothing good about COVID, But some good things did 1113 01:09:05,880 --> 01:09:08,439 Speaker 2: come out of COVID. And one of the things we 1114 01:09:08,680 --> 01:09:12,200 Speaker 2: saw during COVID is what happens when you have an 1115 01:09:12,240 --> 01:09:17,120 Speaker 2: extended educational slide. So we have children now who still 1116 01:09:17,240 --> 01:09:21,160 Speaker 2: have not caught up and who are still behind because 1117 01:09:21,160 --> 01:09:24,439 Speaker 2: of the COVID slide. So you're absolutely right, everyone has 1118 01:09:24,479 --> 01:09:29,719 Speaker 2: their own agenda. Actually, before I joined the UT faculty, 1119 01:09:29,760 --> 01:09:31,320 Speaker 2: i worked at I was at the law school at 1120 01:09:31,360 --> 01:09:34,920 Speaker 2: William and Mary and so I know about those gated 1121 01:09:34,960 --> 01:09:35,720 Speaker 2: communities there. 1122 01:09:35,840 --> 01:09:37,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, and it was just striking. 1123 01:09:37,280 --> 01:09:41,200 Speaker 2: It's like, oh, so you all don't want to lose 1124 01:09:41,560 --> 01:09:46,080 Speaker 2: cheap high school labor. That's the reason you want to. Oh, okay, 1125 01:09:46,120 --> 01:09:49,320 Speaker 2: that makes sense. Yeah, but for the school teachers. One 1126 01:09:49,360 --> 01:09:51,559 Speaker 2: of the things that we can do if we're using 1127 01:09:52,000 --> 01:09:56,880 Speaker 2: our K twelve buildings more effectively, we can actually allow 1128 01:09:56,920 --> 01:10:00,080 Speaker 2: the school teachers that want to they don't have to 1129 01:10:00,080 --> 01:10:03,480 Speaker 2: to pick up extra money in their area of expertise. 1130 01:10:04,080 --> 01:10:06,040 Speaker 1: You call this the summer trimester. 1131 01:10:05,760 --> 01:10:09,920 Speaker 2: Essentially concept exactly. Yeah, just the building is there, so 1132 01:10:10,040 --> 01:10:14,000 Speaker 2: why not use the building in ways that can put 1133 01:10:14,000 --> 01:10:16,679 Speaker 2: a little more money in the pockets of school teachers 1134 01:10:16,960 --> 01:10:20,000 Speaker 2: and also make sure that lower and middle income children 1135 01:10:20,080 --> 01:10:26,120 Speaker 2: get the same educational and vocational opportunities that rich kids did. 1136 01:10:26,800 --> 01:10:30,679 Speaker 1: Now, let's talk about labor labor unions, because what's interesting 1137 01:10:30,760 --> 01:10:34,599 Speaker 1: is we're in a moment right now where you know, look, 1138 01:10:34,640 --> 01:10:37,160 Speaker 1: I think you and I are of the generation where 1139 01:10:37,240 --> 01:10:42,240 Speaker 1: labor unions were a punching back, you know, and politically, 1140 01:10:42,880 --> 01:10:46,439 Speaker 1: you know, it's like, you know, it's almost like every 1141 01:10:46,520 --> 01:10:50,320 Speaker 1: labor union was viewed through the prism of Jimmy Hoffa, right, 1142 01:10:50,360 --> 01:10:52,880 Speaker 1: and it's just like they're all, you know, and it 1143 01:10:52,960 --> 01:10:57,439 Speaker 1: really the damage, the perception damage Jimmy Offa did to 1144 01:10:57,520 --> 01:11:01,600 Speaker 1: the entire concept of collective bargaining and unions is is 1145 01:11:01,640 --> 01:11:04,240 Speaker 1: I think one of those one of those moments that 1146 01:11:04,360 --> 01:11:07,519 Speaker 1: probably we as sort of historical journalists need to unpack 1147 01:11:07,560 --> 01:11:11,439 Speaker 1: and realize, look at the damage this did. But there's 1148 01:11:11,479 --> 01:11:14,120 Speaker 1: now sort of an open mind on this. Now there's 1149 01:11:14,280 --> 01:11:19,600 Speaker 1: less ideological divide about labor unions. There's still some skepticism 1150 01:11:19,640 --> 01:11:21,519 Speaker 1: in corporate right now, the divide really seems to be 1151 01:11:21,560 --> 01:11:24,920 Speaker 1: corporate America versus everybody else. Right, you have a Donald 1152 01:11:24,960 --> 01:11:28,479 Speaker 1: Trump that in theory sees, you know, wants to be 1153 01:11:28,520 --> 01:11:33,519 Speaker 1: on the side at least of the trade unions. They're there, 1154 01:11:33,920 --> 01:11:37,320 Speaker 1: and I think with AI, the fear of AI job displacement, 1155 01:11:38,160 --> 01:11:41,360 Speaker 1: why collar workers who you know, I've been, you know, 1156 01:11:41,400 --> 01:11:44,879 Speaker 1: I've been a little skeptical of news of newsroom unions myself, 1157 01:11:45,160 --> 01:11:47,320 Speaker 1: sort of like you know, I've I've always viewed unions 1158 01:11:47,360 --> 01:11:51,240 Speaker 1: as to protect the physical labor folks more than necessarily 1159 01:11:51,320 --> 01:11:54,680 Speaker 1: the But that's my own bias, and I will I'm 1160 01:11:55,360 --> 01:11:57,960 Speaker 1: you know, at the same time, the only way you're 1161 01:11:57,960 --> 01:12:00,160 Speaker 1: going to get equal treatment is through collective bargaining. Right, 1162 01:12:00,200 --> 01:12:01,560 Speaker 1: we're about to I think we're going to see this 1163 01:12:01,600 --> 01:12:04,639 Speaker 1: in college sports. By the way, that's a separate topic. 1164 01:12:05,120 --> 01:12:11,720 Speaker 1: But you seemed to peg one of the one of 1165 01:12:11,760 --> 01:12:13,880 Speaker 1: the reasons why we had a strong middle class in 1166 01:12:13,920 --> 01:12:19,320 Speaker 1: the fifties and sixties was because we openly accepted labor unions. 1167 01:12:19,320 --> 01:12:21,240 Speaker 1: So how do you bring that back? 1168 01:12:22,000 --> 01:12:24,759 Speaker 2: Well, one of the divides that I think we're also 1169 01:12:24,840 --> 01:12:29,160 Speaker 2: seeing is there's a generational divide. So I remember when 1170 01:12:29,160 --> 01:12:33,439 Speaker 2: I first started teaching courses on the middle class. Again, 1171 01:12:33,439 --> 01:12:35,280 Speaker 2: this is one of the sessions where we were talking 1172 01:12:35,280 --> 01:12:38,280 Speaker 2: about labor and I had a student in the class 1173 01:12:39,439 --> 01:12:42,080 Speaker 2: to raise our hand and say, so, you know, we've 1174 01:12:42,120 --> 01:12:45,839 Speaker 2: been talking about this whole thing with you know, rights 1175 01:12:45,880 --> 01:12:50,400 Speaker 2: and workers' power, and you've been talking about unions. Exactly 1176 01:12:50,560 --> 01:12:54,120 Speaker 2: what is a union? And it was jarring to me 1177 01:12:54,680 --> 01:12:57,760 Speaker 2: until it occurred to me that we had so demonized 1178 01:12:58,280 --> 01:13:02,040 Speaker 2: unions that a lot of students fifteen years ago really 1179 01:13:02,080 --> 01:13:07,360 Speaker 2: weren't familiar with the benefits that unions actually could provide. 1180 01:13:07,520 --> 01:13:11,560 Speaker 2: Students now they know exactly what unions do. Part of 1181 01:13:11,600 --> 01:13:13,639 Speaker 2: it is because I think they've looked at their local 1182 01:13:13,680 --> 01:13:16,840 Speaker 2: baristas who have gone out on strike, They've looked at 1183 01:13:16,880 --> 01:13:20,439 Speaker 2: in the educational context, some of the graduate assistants that 1184 01:13:20,439 --> 01:13:23,640 Speaker 2: have gone out on strike. I will not talk at 1185 01:13:23,640 --> 01:13:26,000 Speaker 2: all about sports because I'm very involved in that space 1186 01:13:26,040 --> 01:13:27,600 Speaker 2: at the University of Texas, so I'm not going to 1187 01:13:27,640 --> 01:13:31,200 Speaker 2: talk about that. But yeah, I think that we have 1188 01:13:31,280 --> 01:13:35,720 Speaker 2: to acknowledge that nothing good has happened to lower and 1189 01:13:35,760 --> 01:13:39,559 Speaker 2: middle income workers since we gutted unions. I would say 1190 01:13:39,640 --> 01:13:43,000 Speaker 2: Jimmy Hoffa is a very bad visual. I will also 1191 01:13:43,160 --> 01:13:47,439 Speaker 2: say that the destruction of pat Co by Ronald Reagan 1192 01:13:47,560 --> 01:13:51,520 Speaker 2: was another one of those moments exactly where we forget 1193 01:13:51,640 --> 01:13:54,960 Speaker 2: that that then told everybody else you can go out 1194 01:13:54,960 --> 01:13:56,040 Speaker 2: and destroy union two. 1195 01:13:57,920 --> 01:14:01,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, it is a you know, I look at the 1196 01:14:01,280 --> 01:14:05,320 Speaker 1: model Germany has, and it's always been a fascinating model 1197 01:14:05,360 --> 01:14:10,000 Speaker 1: where workers are actually on the board of directors like 1198 01:14:10,120 --> 01:14:13,840 Speaker 1: they're so the union culture is so embedded with the 1199 01:14:13,920 --> 01:14:18,320 Speaker 1: corporate culture that it actually isn't it as it doesn't 1200 01:14:18,360 --> 01:14:24,160 Speaker 1: strike me as antagonistic? Is there a model there worth copying? 1201 01:14:24,760 --> 01:14:29,400 Speaker 2: We have to look at the union or employees workers 1202 01:14:29,960 --> 01:14:34,439 Speaker 2: as partners and so again, when we're deciding who gets what. 1203 01:14:34,560 --> 01:14:38,200 Speaker 2: If you view the union as a partner rather than 1204 01:14:38,240 --> 01:14:40,759 Speaker 2: as the enemy, I think we have a very different 1205 01:14:40,880 --> 01:14:47,599 Speaker 2: framework going forward. The businesses often views the government as 1206 01:14:47,600 --> 01:14:50,120 Speaker 2: a partner. Well, if you view the government, if you 1207 01:14:50,160 --> 01:14:53,960 Speaker 2: have these public private partnerships with the government, why are 1208 01:14:54,000 --> 01:14:57,880 Speaker 2: you so hostile to the people that actually make it 1209 01:14:58,000 --> 01:15:01,880 Speaker 2: possible for your company to be productive. So, whether it's 1210 01:15:01,920 --> 01:15:06,120 Speaker 2: they're on the boards or you are genuinely working toward 1211 01:15:06,360 --> 01:15:09,439 Speaker 2: these we're all rowing in the same direction. We don't 1212 01:15:09,520 --> 01:15:12,240 Speaker 2: have that now, but I think we may get that 1213 01:15:12,320 --> 01:15:15,680 Speaker 2: if no other reason, young people are going to demand it. 1214 01:15:24,439 --> 01:15:28,160 Speaker 1: How do you eliminate you know, a lot of this 1215 01:15:29,640 --> 01:15:34,840 Speaker 1: take the union issue is that are classified. Sometimes people 1216 01:15:34,880 --> 01:15:38,320 Speaker 1: get blinded by race and ethnicity, when really our divides 1217 01:15:38,360 --> 01:15:42,000 Speaker 1: have always been class, and race and ethnicity have been 1218 01:15:42,040 --> 01:15:47,799 Speaker 1: sort of used as wedges to to advance a class 1219 01:15:47,920 --> 01:15:53,679 Speaker 1: argument one way or the other. You know, well, maybe 1220 01:15:53,720 --> 01:15:56,479 Speaker 1: it's impossible, and maybe I'm asking you a political question 1221 01:15:56,600 --> 01:15:59,559 Speaker 1: and you're not offering a political question. But that seems 1222 01:15:59,600 --> 01:16:02,920 Speaker 1: to be something that we've got to get over as 1223 01:16:02,920 --> 01:16:07,799 Speaker 1: a culture before we all embrace a union mindset. 1224 01:16:08,360 --> 01:16:10,679 Speaker 2: I think we also have to admit it. I mean, 1225 01:16:10,760 --> 01:16:13,600 Speaker 2: you admit it. I know that it is true. A 1226 01:16:13,640 --> 01:16:16,559 Speaker 2: lot of people will not admit even now, a lot 1227 01:16:16,560 --> 01:16:20,240 Speaker 2: of the conversations that we are having are really about 1228 01:16:20,360 --> 01:16:24,040 Speaker 2: race and ethnicity. They are not about anything else. I 1229 01:16:24,040 --> 01:16:27,160 Speaker 2: don't care whether it's in the immigration space or. 1230 01:16:28,320 --> 01:16:30,439 Speaker 1: I look at Todd Donald Trump and the trade unions. 1231 01:16:30,479 --> 01:16:32,720 Speaker 1: He's always worried about the trade unions. He's never worried 1232 01:16:32,720 --> 01:16:36,640 Speaker 1: about anybody at SEIU exactly. And SCIU just looks that 1233 01:16:37,120 --> 01:16:40,160 Speaker 1: union looks different than the Carpenters Union does. Although I 1234 01:16:40,160 --> 01:16:42,519 Speaker 1: would argue the Carpenter's Union looks a lot more like 1235 01:16:42,640 --> 01:16:44,800 Speaker 1: SCIU than he thinks, but you get my drift. 1236 01:16:44,880 --> 01:16:47,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, even the Teamsters, I mean, that was the 1237 01:16:47,160 --> 01:16:51,480 Speaker 2: one union that was more inclined to support the Republican 1238 01:16:51,520 --> 01:16:55,320 Speaker 2: Party than the Democratic Party, and their membership looks very 1239 01:16:55,360 --> 01:16:58,880 Speaker 2: different than the service workers unions. And so one of 1240 01:16:58,920 --> 01:17:00,720 Speaker 2: the things we're going to we're going to have to 1241 01:17:00,720 --> 01:17:05,200 Speaker 2: stop doing is saying that, well, the problems of the 1242 01:17:05,200 --> 01:17:09,400 Speaker 2: middle class are the workers are lazy. Okay, so which 1243 01:17:09,439 --> 01:17:12,720 Speaker 2: workers are we talking about? Are we talking about all 1244 01:17:12,840 --> 01:17:16,000 Speaker 2: workers or do you have a certain profile of a 1245 01:17:16,080 --> 01:17:19,800 Speaker 2: worker in mind? What made me actually think that I 1246 01:17:19,840 --> 01:17:22,320 Speaker 2: was sort of onto something here because I've been writing 1247 01:17:22,320 --> 01:17:26,439 Speaker 2: this book for an eternity. But it was the twenties. 1248 01:17:26,520 --> 01:17:28,840 Speaker 2: It was before the twenty sixteen election. We heard all 1249 01:17:28,880 --> 01:17:33,280 Speaker 2: of this, oh, the angry middle class, and Hillary Clinton 1250 01:17:33,320 --> 01:17:35,800 Speaker 2: and Donald Trump were talking about how much they loved 1251 01:17:35,800 --> 01:17:38,320 Speaker 2: the middle class and the angst of the middle class. 1252 01:17:38,600 --> 01:17:42,120 Speaker 2: And then I kept asking, so exactly which middle class 1253 01:17:42,120 --> 01:17:47,280 Speaker 2: are we talking about here? Because it is absolutely true, 1254 01:17:47,600 --> 01:17:52,320 Speaker 2: absolutely true, that there is economic inequality and that there 1255 01:17:52,439 --> 01:17:56,439 Speaker 2: is anxiety. There's economic anxiety, but that has been true 1256 01:17:56,560 --> 01:18:02,000 Speaker 2: for black and Latunal workers for and the shift that 1257 01:18:02,040 --> 01:18:05,439 Speaker 2: we're seeing now is the same way that the black 1258 01:18:05,439 --> 01:18:09,040 Speaker 2: and Latino middle class has been treated, is the way 1259 01:18:09,080 --> 01:18:13,200 Speaker 2: the entire middle class is being treated. And if we 1260 01:18:13,240 --> 01:18:16,439 Speaker 2: can get lower and middle income workers to say, this 1261 01:18:16,520 --> 01:18:20,200 Speaker 2: is not tribalism, this is not people that don't look 1262 01:18:20,320 --> 01:18:23,840 Speaker 2: like us, we are all being treated the same way. 1263 01:18:24,120 --> 01:18:26,400 Speaker 2: None of us can afford to send our kids to college, 1264 01:18:26,840 --> 01:18:29,559 Speaker 2: none of us can find a forty hour full time 1265 01:18:29,880 --> 01:18:32,320 Speaker 2: job where we are called an employee, and none of 1266 01:18:32,400 --> 01:18:34,759 Speaker 2: us can find an affordable housing either. 1267 01:18:35,720 --> 01:18:39,200 Speaker 1: Look what made I think this book also why I 1268 01:18:39,280 --> 01:18:41,680 Speaker 1: think it should be should be read by all these 1269 01:18:41,720 --> 01:18:45,200 Speaker 1: presidential candidates is that you know, a lot of times 1270 01:18:45,280 --> 01:18:51,480 Speaker 1: presidential candidates will focus on poverty, safe safety net programs 1271 01:18:51,920 --> 01:18:59,720 Speaker 1: primarily focused on helping the poor and these you know, 1272 01:18:59,760 --> 01:19:02,680 Speaker 1: whether it's a fight about medicaid, right, whether it's a 1273 01:19:02,680 --> 01:19:05,840 Speaker 1: fight and and you know, the cynic and me has 1274 01:19:05,880 --> 01:19:10,439 Speaker 1: often said, look, all voters are self centered. Okay, let's 1275 01:19:10,560 --> 01:19:14,960 Speaker 1: let's not pretend that they aren't. And that's okay. It's 1276 01:19:15,000 --> 01:19:17,919 Speaker 1: your job as the politician to figure out a message 1277 01:19:17,960 --> 01:19:22,040 Speaker 1: that both appeals to them and at the same you know, 1278 01:19:22,120 --> 01:19:24,080 Speaker 1: in a self centered way, but at the same time, 1279 01:19:24,520 --> 01:19:29,800 Speaker 1: can help help a greater good. Where do you prioritize 1280 01:19:29,880 --> 01:19:33,679 Speaker 1: poverty programs in your vision here for a renewed middle 1281 01:19:33,680 --> 01:19:35,840 Speaker 1: class or and you sort of see in an odd 1282 01:19:35,840 --> 01:19:40,120 Speaker 1: way that it kind of if you revive a intentionally 1283 01:19:40,160 --> 01:19:43,599 Speaker 1: revive a middle class, right, because essentially we're arguing that 1284 01:19:43,640 --> 01:19:48,599 Speaker 1: we intentionally dismantled it, so you've got to intentionally bring 1285 01:19:48,640 --> 01:19:53,479 Speaker 1: it back that you're actually creating an anti poverty program 1286 01:19:53,479 --> 01:19:54,760 Speaker 1: without having to target the poor. 1287 01:19:55,880 --> 01:19:58,719 Speaker 2: And again I'll answer this with someone with the story 1288 01:19:58,760 --> 01:20:01,280 Speaker 2: with the same course of I taught. I was saying 1289 01:20:01,320 --> 01:20:04,080 Speaker 2: something in class and a student said something about either 1290 01:20:04,120 --> 01:20:07,720 Speaker 2: Medicaid or AFDC, and I said, oh, no, no, no, no, 1291 01:20:07,720 --> 01:20:09,559 Speaker 2: we don't care about poor people in here. And then 1292 01:20:09,560 --> 01:20:11,360 Speaker 2: I had to stop myself and say, no, no, no, I 1293 01:20:11,400 --> 01:20:13,880 Speaker 2: mean I do care about poor people. That's not the 1294 01:20:13,880 --> 01:20:17,680 Speaker 2: focus of this class. And then I realized that my 1295 01:20:17,840 --> 01:20:21,559 Speaker 2: emphasis in teaching and also in the book is the 1296 01:20:21,560 --> 01:20:24,439 Speaker 2: goal in this country has always been to take people 1297 01:20:24,880 --> 01:20:30,559 Speaker 2: from being poor to being middle income upward. Mobility is 1298 01:20:30,720 --> 01:20:34,920 Speaker 2: wired into the DNA of people in this country. So 1299 01:20:35,080 --> 01:20:39,600 Speaker 2: though I am focusing mostly on the middle class, I 1300 01:20:39,680 --> 01:20:42,320 Speaker 2: need us to be sure that we're doing things to 1301 01:20:42,400 --> 01:20:47,599 Speaker 2: help poor people to become somewhat financially stable, because without that, 1302 01:20:48,040 --> 01:20:51,600 Speaker 2: they can't become middle class. And looping back to a 1303 01:20:51,640 --> 01:20:55,400 Speaker 2: comment that you made earlier, everybody wants to be middle class. 1304 01:20:55,640 --> 01:20:59,120 Speaker 2: It's the norm. It's viewed as you know, sort of 1305 01:20:59,200 --> 01:21:05,000 Speaker 2: apple pop and mom and America and the national anthem. 1306 01:21:05,080 --> 01:21:09,040 Speaker 2: Given that, I think we need to say, let's focus 1307 01:21:09,160 --> 01:21:12,000 Speaker 2: on the middle class, because people who are poor are 1308 01:21:12,080 --> 01:21:14,839 Speaker 2: aspiring to be middle class. 1309 01:21:18,040 --> 01:21:22,040 Speaker 1: Who's the uh who do you envision are the biggest optic? 1310 01:21:22,640 --> 01:21:26,679 Speaker 1: Who are what is the biggest obstacle to your middle 1311 01:21:26,720 --> 01:21:29,599 Speaker 1: class new deal. In your mind, when you think about 1312 01:21:29,600 --> 01:21:31,719 Speaker 1: the opposition, who. 1313 01:21:31,120 --> 01:21:38,439 Speaker 2: Is it billionaires? Billionaires that control Amazon, it is in 1314 01:21:38,479 --> 01:21:42,320 Speaker 2: their best interest to keep Amazon, to keep the people 1315 01:21:42,320 --> 01:21:47,680 Speaker 2: that drive Amazon trucks employed by DSPs and not employed 1316 01:21:48,040 --> 01:21:48,880 Speaker 2: by Amazon. 1317 01:21:49,280 --> 01:21:50,439 Speaker 1: DSP would say that. 1318 01:21:50,800 --> 01:21:57,160 Speaker 2: Delivery service providers. It is in the best interest of 1319 01:21:57,760 --> 01:22:02,320 Speaker 2: billionaires to be able to eliminate jobs and to automate jobs, 1320 01:22:02,640 --> 01:22:06,200 Speaker 2: and to have favorable tax credits for being innovative, but 1321 01:22:06,360 --> 01:22:10,280 Speaker 2: not be forced to do anything for the human beings 1322 01:22:10,320 --> 01:22:14,559 Speaker 2: that you have now caused to lose their jobs. So again, 1323 01:22:14,680 --> 01:22:18,479 Speaker 2: if the lower income people that want to become middle class, 1324 01:22:19,160 --> 01:22:21,240 Speaker 2: and if the middle class folks who would like to 1325 01:22:21,439 --> 01:22:25,520 Speaker 2: remain middle class for the rest of their lives looked 1326 01:22:25,640 --> 01:22:29,639 Speaker 2: up economically and said those are the problems, rather than 1327 01:22:29,680 --> 01:22:33,639 Speaker 2: looking around at each other and saying, well, because that 1328 01:22:33,680 --> 01:22:35,880 Speaker 2: person is of a different race, so that person is 1329 01:22:35,920 --> 01:22:39,360 Speaker 2: a different ethnicity, they're are the problem. I think we 1330 01:22:39,400 --> 01:22:41,400 Speaker 2: could actually work on some solutions here. 1331 01:22:43,400 --> 01:22:46,679 Speaker 1: You know, history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes, 1332 01:22:46,760 --> 01:22:50,960 Speaker 1: and you know, it feels like we are in an 1333 01:22:50,960 --> 01:22:53,960 Speaker 1: almost identical place that we were about one hundred years ago. 1334 01:22:54,640 --> 01:22:59,760 Speaker 1: Where you had this incredible new technology industrial revolution. Every 1335 01:22:59,800 --> 01:23:07,080 Speaker 1: day was bringing more incredible developments to market, whether it's 1336 01:23:07,439 --> 01:23:11,640 Speaker 1: the car right, whether it was electricity, personalized, you know, 1337 01:23:11,680 --> 01:23:14,280 Speaker 1: getting it to any place. You know, more and more 1338 01:23:14,320 --> 01:23:19,120 Speaker 1: that we got it, and we had to come up 1339 01:23:19,160 --> 01:23:22,120 Speaker 1: with a whole bunch of laws because left, you know, 1340 01:23:22,600 --> 01:23:25,680 Speaker 1: whether it was the oil barons, the railroad barons, the 1341 01:23:25,680 --> 01:23:28,640 Speaker 1: auto barons, left of their own device, they were you know, 1342 01:23:28,840 --> 01:23:30,960 Speaker 1: not everybody was going to be like mister Hershey, who 1343 01:23:31,000 --> 01:23:33,120 Speaker 1: thought I'm going to build a city with an amusement 1344 01:23:33,160 --> 01:23:35,880 Speaker 1: park and have this wonderful community. There were a few 1345 01:23:36,360 --> 01:23:41,800 Speaker 1: company people like that, but not many Hershey. I find 1346 01:23:41,800 --> 01:23:45,679 Speaker 1: that to be it just just as a quick sort 1347 01:23:45,720 --> 01:23:52,280 Speaker 1: of a sidetrack here. Where do you put Hershey in 1348 01:23:52,439 --> 01:23:56,679 Speaker 1: sort of that in that world of you know, should 1349 01:23:56,800 --> 01:23:59,719 Speaker 1: corporations behave the way he did in building a community 1350 01:23:59,760 --> 01:24:04,559 Speaker 1: and wanting to have that or was that just sort 1351 01:24:04,560 --> 01:24:10,760 Speaker 1: of an outlier type of thing that wouldn't work for 1352 01:24:10,800 --> 01:24:11,560 Speaker 1: other industries. 1353 01:24:12,040 --> 01:24:15,160 Speaker 2: I think it would work for all industries if again, 1354 01:24:15,280 --> 01:24:18,080 Speaker 2: we work on the from the premise that we would 1355 01:24:18,200 --> 01:24:22,599 Speaker 2: like to have happy, healthy workers. So you don't need 1356 01:24:22,640 --> 01:24:26,040 Speaker 2: to build a community, but you could commit, for example, 1357 01:24:26,439 --> 01:24:31,200 Speaker 2: that whatever the top workers earn won't be a larger 1358 01:24:31,240 --> 01:24:34,200 Speaker 2: than a fill in the blanks multiple of what the 1359 01:24:34,640 --> 01:24:36,080 Speaker 2: forest workers earn. 1360 01:24:36,479 --> 01:24:38,599 Speaker 1: You could say that's Costco right now. About the biggest 1361 01:24:38,640 --> 01:24:42,000 Speaker 1: company that does this is Costco right The CEO always 1362 01:24:43,160 --> 01:24:44,240 Speaker 1: emphasizes that ratio. 1363 01:24:44,280 --> 01:24:46,880 Speaker 2: I believe yeah, and I am a Costco member. I 1364 01:24:46,880 --> 01:24:49,559 Speaker 2: will always be a Costco member. When I go into Costco, 1365 01:24:49,600 --> 01:24:53,559 Speaker 2: these are the happiest employees you will ever see. I 1366 01:24:53,600 --> 01:24:56,120 Speaker 2: took my children. Now we're twenty two and twenty five, 1367 01:24:56,160 --> 01:24:58,559 Speaker 2: but we and their boys, so they would eat everything 1368 01:24:58,560 --> 01:25:01,519 Speaker 2: that wasn't nailed down. We'd go into Costco and get 1369 01:25:01,560 --> 01:25:06,559 Speaker 2: those samples. They have gone back now as adults and 1370 01:25:06,640 --> 01:25:09,880 Speaker 2: have seen some of the same employees that used to 1371 01:25:09,960 --> 01:25:13,200 Speaker 2: allow them to raid the samples when they were children. 1372 01:25:13,560 --> 01:25:16,679 Speaker 2: So it can work. It definitely can work. 1373 01:25:20,479 --> 01:25:22,800 Speaker 1: Well, what kind of you know if you had, if 1374 01:25:22,840 --> 01:25:27,000 Speaker 1: you had an hour to brief President Trump on this, 1375 01:25:27,160 --> 01:25:29,080 Speaker 1: what do you think would be your best way to 1376 01:25:29,080 --> 01:25:30,160 Speaker 1: get him interested in US? 1377 01:25:31,040 --> 01:25:35,320 Speaker 2: I would say that your constituents, the people that support you, 1378 01:25:36,120 --> 01:25:41,280 Speaker 2: are struggling. They are not struggling because of race issues 1379 01:25:41,680 --> 01:25:45,519 Speaker 2: and class issues. They are struggling because they don't know 1380 01:25:45,560 --> 01:25:47,479 Speaker 2: how they're going to pay their bills at the end 1381 01:25:47,479 --> 01:25:50,800 Speaker 2: of this month. So if you want these people to 1382 01:25:50,880 --> 01:25:54,120 Speaker 2: continue to support you, you're going to have to figure 1383 01:25:54,160 --> 01:25:57,959 Speaker 2: out a way not to just say they're doing okay, 1384 01:25:58,720 --> 01:26:02,960 Speaker 2: but to actually help them to do okay. We can't 1385 01:26:03,160 --> 01:26:05,360 Speaker 2: he will not be able to continue to tell people 1386 01:26:05,680 --> 01:26:09,640 Speaker 2: that the affordability issue is a hoax, because at the 1387 01:26:09,760 --> 01:26:12,040 Speaker 2: end of every month, when people don't have enough to 1388 01:26:12,040 --> 01:26:14,400 Speaker 2: pay their bills for that month, they know it's not 1389 01:26:14,479 --> 01:26:16,040 Speaker 2: a hoax because they're living it. 1390 01:26:17,240 --> 01:26:20,040 Speaker 1: Do you view the election of Donald Trump as the 1391 01:26:20,160 --> 01:26:21,559 Speaker 1: middle class primal screen? 1392 01:26:23,320 --> 01:26:27,439 Speaker 2: I viewed the twenty sixteen election as the middle class 1393 01:26:27,520 --> 01:26:32,320 Speaker 2: primal screen, and it's but it was the fight middle 1394 01:26:32,320 --> 01:26:35,760 Speaker 2: class primal screen because it was the first time I 1395 01:26:35,760 --> 01:26:39,599 Speaker 2: think that white Americans realized, ooh, something is wrong here, 1396 01:26:40,080 --> 01:26:42,760 Speaker 2: and they didn't exactly know how to react, but they 1397 01:26:42,840 --> 01:26:46,240 Speaker 2: knew it in their heart, their soul, and their pockets 1398 01:26:46,560 --> 01:26:50,000 Speaker 2: that something is happening to us now that isn't supposed 1399 01:26:50,040 --> 01:26:51,439 Speaker 2: to be happening to us. 1400 01:26:52,040 --> 01:26:56,960 Speaker 1: And the risk of not addressing this erosion of the 1401 01:26:56,960 --> 01:27:00,479 Speaker 1: middle class, because that's I mean, look, you give me, 1402 01:27:00,840 --> 01:27:03,560 Speaker 1: you know, I look at You know, how did Venezuela 1403 01:27:03,560 --> 01:27:08,519 Speaker 1: get Chavez and Maduro? You had a wealthy elite and 1404 01:27:08,600 --> 01:27:12,599 Speaker 1: a massive number of poor people, no middle class. How 1405 01:27:12,600 --> 01:27:16,479 Speaker 1: did Ara Towan turn a democracy into an autocracy? No 1406 01:27:16,600 --> 01:27:21,720 Speaker 1: middle class? So I know the political risk here of 1407 01:27:21,760 --> 01:27:25,639 Speaker 1: eroding a middle class. It will drive people into one 1408 01:27:25,640 --> 01:27:27,960 Speaker 1: direction or the other, but it will drive them into 1409 01:27:28,760 --> 01:27:31,679 Speaker 1: you know, is this we've got ten years, we've got 1410 01:27:31,680 --> 01:27:34,320 Speaker 1: twenty years? Is this fear of a lost generation? What 1411 01:27:34,640 --> 01:27:37,639 Speaker 1: is your timetable here of like, look, regardless of whether 1412 01:27:37,680 --> 01:27:41,040 Speaker 1: they your book is the blueprint, we've got to do 1413 01:27:41,080 --> 01:27:44,639 Speaker 1: something about saving the middle class and expanding it rather 1414 01:27:44,680 --> 01:27:45,479 Speaker 1: than what we've seen. 1415 01:27:46,160 --> 01:27:49,360 Speaker 2: I think it's less than definitely less than twenty years. 1416 01:27:49,360 --> 01:27:51,680 Speaker 2: I would say it's less than ten years. One of 1417 01:27:51,720 --> 01:27:53,880 Speaker 2: the reasons I would say it's less than ten years 1418 01:27:53,960 --> 01:27:58,280 Speaker 2: is because even the younger boomers are going to be 1419 01:27:58,400 --> 01:28:02,000 Speaker 2: retiring soon or think about retiring, and they're going to 1420 01:28:02,080 --> 01:28:06,479 Speaker 2: freak out in panic because they can't retire. Their children 1421 01:28:06,840 --> 01:28:11,040 Speaker 2: are going to increasingly have to subsidize their housing and 1422 01:28:11,080 --> 01:28:14,920 Speaker 2: their living expenses. And so I totally agree with you, 1423 01:28:15,160 --> 01:28:17,000 Speaker 2: we need to look a little bit to the history. 1424 01:28:17,000 --> 01:28:20,160 Speaker 2: Though I want to focus going forward to say how 1425 01:28:20,200 --> 01:28:25,519 Speaker 2: do these economies end? They don't end well. So the 1426 01:28:25,560 --> 01:28:28,360 Speaker 2: fact that there was a Great Gatsby party at mar 1427 01:28:28,360 --> 01:28:30,760 Speaker 2: A Lago over Christmas, I thought, oh, that is a 1428 01:28:30,800 --> 01:28:34,400 Speaker 2: symbol that you perhaps really don't want to have. 1429 01:28:35,040 --> 01:28:38,240 Speaker 1: Oh, they've done some things. You're just sitting there going, wow, 1430 01:28:38,280 --> 01:28:40,200 Speaker 1: that was a let the meet cake moment they have. 1431 01:28:40,360 --> 01:28:42,880 Speaker 1: You know, there's this exclusive club that they've created in 1432 01:28:42,960 --> 01:28:45,439 Speaker 1: DC where the entry fee is half a million dollars 1433 01:28:45,479 --> 01:28:47,360 Speaker 1: and you're like, what are we doing? 1434 01:28:47,960 --> 01:28:52,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, and you probably want to hide that from the 1435 01:28:52,479 --> 01:28:55,479 Speaker 2: eighty percent of the people in this country that are 1436 01:28:55,920 --> 01:28:58,400 Speaker 2: terrified that they're going to be shocking. 1437 01:28:58,080 --> 01:28:59,040 Speaker 1: That they didn't hide it. 1438 01:28:59,320 --> 01:29:00,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the part. 1439 01:29:00,400 --> 01:29:02,479 Speaker 1: You're like, why aren't you embarrassed by this? 1440 01:29:04,040 --> 01:29:06,160 Speaker 2: Maybe they're all in an echo chamber and they really 1441 01:29:06,160 --> 01:29:09,200 Speaker 2: don't talk to anybody that earns like, you know, ninety 1442 01:29:09,320 --> 01:29:11,120 Speaker 2: or even one hundred thousand dollars a year. 1443 01:29:11,560 --> 01:29:12,920 Speaker 1: You know, this is why I really like this book. 1444 01:29:12,920 --> 01:29:15,840 Speaker 1: And I'm going to close on this, which is it is. Look, 1445 01:29:16,400 --> 01:29:18,240 Speaker 1: you know, I've always tried to explain, you know, why 1446 01:29:18,240 --> 01:29:22,439 Speaker 1: do why do middle class people not want to rate, 1447 01:29:22,520 --> 01:29:24,960 Speaker 1: not always want to raise taxes on high class people 1448 01:29:25,040 --> 01:29:27,479 Speaker 1: because they think they're going to be wealthy someday. Right, 1449 01:29:27,680 --> 01:29:29,640 Speaker 1: that's the beauty of Americas. We all think, well, that 1450 01:29:29,680 --> 01:29:31,920 Speaker 1: could be me, and it's like the ninety percent chance 1451 01:29:31,960 --> 01:29:34,559 Speaker 1: it ain't going to be you. But you know what, 1452 01:29:34,720 --> 01:29:36,800 Speaker 1: if we don't have that mindset that you know, that 1453 01:29:36,920 --> 01:29:39,360 Speaker 1: is sort of that is what has always sort of 1454 01:29:39,360 --> 01:29:42,519 Speaker 1: created the engine of growth in this in this country. 1455 01:29:43,479 --> 01:29:47,360 Speaker 1: So you know, how do you embrace the aspiration? You know, 1456 01:29:47,439 --> 01:29:50,920 Speaker 1: making middle class aspirational? Is that well? 1457 01:29:51,400 --> 01:29:53,840 Speaker 2: And one of the things that really scares me, and 1458 01:29:53,880 --> 01:29:56,280 Speaker 2: again is because they have a twenty two, twenty five 1459 01:29:56,400 --> 01:29:59,559 Speaker 2: year old and I also teach students sort of ranging 1460 01:29:59,560 --> 01:30:02,160 Speaker 2: from twenty two to thirty, is there's sort of this 1461 01:30:02,320 --> 01:30:07,800 Speaker 2: economic nihilism which terrifies me, where they don't think things 1462 01:30:07,840 --> 01:30:11,559 Speaker 2: are going to get better, where they are angry at 1463 01:30:11,680 --> 01:30:16,160 Speaker 2: older people. We've got to fix that if we want 1464 01:30:16,240 --> 01:30:21,200 Speaker 2: this country to remain normal and stable economically and politically. 1465 01:30:21,439 --> 01:30:23,960 Speaker 2: To the point that you've just made, we have got 1466 01:30:24,000 --> 01:30:28,080 Speaker 2: to make young people believe that if they work hard, 1467 01:30:28,439 --> 01:30:32,000 Speaker 2: they try hard, things will be good for them or 1468 01:30:32,040 --> 01:30:33,120 Speaker 2: things will get better. 1469 01:30:33,640 --> 01:30:35,599 Speaker 1: It's a great Bill Clinton ism, right, work hard, played 1470 01:30:35,600 --> 01:30:35,800 Speaker 1: by the. 1471 01:30:35,840 --> 01:30:37,400 Speaker 2: Rules exactly exactly. 1472 01:30:37,400 --> 01:30:41,160 Speaker 1: That was all. And I think that is a universalism. 1473 01:30:41,439 --> 01:30:44,000 Speaker 1: You know, it's funny. It's like there's for a variety 1474 01:30:44,040 --> 01:30:46,439 Speaker 1: of reasons, there's a lot of sort of of the 1475 01:30:46,439 --> 01:30:49,240 Speaker 1: Bill Clinton era that that gets ignored or it's been 1476 01:30:49,320 --> 01:30:52,519 Speaker 1: sort of washed away and all this stuff. But one 1477 01:30:52,520 --> 01:30:57,440 Speaker 1: thing he understood was the middle class. It's a way 1478 01:30:56,960 --> 01:31:00,200 Speaker 1: that I don't don't I don't know, and in some 1479 01:31:00,240 --> 01:31:03,519 Speaker 1: ways because he was of it, right, And I wonder 1480 01:31:03,920 --> 01:31:08,960 Speaker 1: how important you know that experience truly is with our 1481 01:31:08,960 --> 01:31:09,960 Speaker 1: elected officials. 1482 01:31:10,320 --> 01:31:13,240 Speaker 2: Well, for him it was key because not only could 1483 01:31:13,320 --> 01:31:17,040 Speaker 2: he talk about the middle class, he could talk to 1484 01:31:17,160 --> 01:31:19,240 Speaker 2: the middle class because there was a point in his 1485 01:31:19,280 --> 01:31:21,920 Speaker 2: life when he was poor, right. And so when you 1486 01:31:22,080 --> 01:31:26,320 Speaker 2: have gone, when you understand the importance of upward mobility, 1487 01:31:26,600 --> 01:31:29,800 Speaker 2: that you were a poor kid in arc and Hope, Arkansas, 1488 01:31:30,120 --> 01:31:34,639 Speaker 2: who ultimately occupied sixteen hundred Pennsylvania Avenue, you can speak 1489 01:31:34,760 --> 01:31:38,120 Speaker 2: about the struggles of the poor and what it takes 1490 01:31:38,120 --> 01:31:40,960 Speaker 2: to get from there to where he was because he 1491 01:31:41,080 --> 01:31:42,439 Speaker 2: literally had to do it. 1492 01:31:43,080 --> 01:31:45,519 Speaker 1: Yeah. Now, I remember during his early campaign that the 1493 01:31:45,640 --> 01:31:48,000 Speaker 1: number one place he would campaign, no matter the community 1494 01:31:48,000 --> 01:31:49,719 Speaker 1: he was in, was always the community college. 1495 01:31:50,000 --> 01:31:51,280 Speaker 2: Oh exactly, he. 1496 01:31:51,280 --> 01:31:56,040 Speaker 1: Knew exactly exactly the type of people that he should 1497 01:31:56,040 --> 01:31:59,160 Speaker 1: be talking to. Anyway, Michelle, this was great. Congrats in 1498 01:31:59,200 --> 01:32:01,920 Speaker 1: the book. Like I said, I hope you know, whether 1499 01:32:01,960 --> 01:32:07,400 Speaker 1: it's Gavin Newsom, jd Vance, Ram, Emanuel Pete, Boodagic, Glenn Youngkin, 1500 01:32:07,800 --> 01:32:12,120 Speaker 1: anybody else, this is they ought to consume this book 1501 01:32:12,240 --> 01:32:14,600 Speaker 1: as they think about what they want to say to 1502 01:32:14,640 --> 01:32:16,200 Speaker 1: the American people in twenty twenty eight. 1503 01:32:16,560 --> 01:32:19,639 Speaker 2: And I hope they do too. All right, thanks so much, 1504 01:32:19,880 --> 01:32:20,760 Speaker 2: thanks for having me home. 1505 01:32:28,720 --> 01:32:31,920 Speaker 1: Well, I hope you enjoyed that conversation. And as you 1506 01:32:31,920 --> 01:32:33,760 Speaker 1: could say, look go if you want to take a 1507 01:32:33,760 --> 01:32:36,160 Speaker 1: look at the book and read it. But like I said, 1508 01:32:36,200 --> 01:32:39,840 Speaker 1: I really think, I really hope presidential campaigns and both 1509 01:32:39,840 --> 01:32:42,320 Speaker 1: parties take a look because I think whether you may 1510 01:32:42,360 --> 01:32:45,519 Speaker 1: not agree with the specific policy prescriptions, I think the 1511 01:32:45,520 --> 01:32:48,559 Speaker 1: policy goals are pretty universal. We've got to figure out 1512 01:32:48,600 --> 01:32:52,600 Speaker 1: stable retirement, stable healthcare, and I think those are the 1513 01:32:52,600 --> 01:32:56,479 Speaker 1: guarantees that are necessary. But you know, you have a 1514 01:32:56,520 --> 01:32:59,280 Speaker 1: middle class and revolt right now, and understandably so, and 1515 01:32:59,360 --> 01:33:02,559 Speaker 1: I think that that's that's also an important data point 1516 01:33:02,680 --> 01:33:05,320 Speaker 1: that we need to absorb. All right, so with that, 1517 01:33:05,920 --> 01:33:08,040 Speaker 1: I know I did a little bit of time machine 1518 01:33:08,200 --> 01:33:11,439 Speaker 1: like stuff with my opening monologue there. But now to 1519 01:33:11,600 --> 01:33:22,880 Speaker 1: my real as you know, the toodcast time machine every week, 1520 01:33:23,080 --> 01:33:25,000 Speaker 1: this is the segment I want to step back. It's 1521 01:33:25,200 --> 01:33:27,439 Speaker 1: my version of this week in history. So we don't 1522 01:33:27,479 --> 01:33:30,479 Speaker 1: just remember what happened, but we want to understand why 1523 01:33:30,520 --> 01:33:33,040 Speaker 1: it mattered then and why it still matters down. So 1524 01:33:33,840 --> 01:33:36,000 Speaker 1: I'm taking to you. I'm going to take you back 1525 01:33:36,400 --> 01:33:42,280 Speaker 1: to January twenty second, nineteen sixty four. I wonder if 1526 01:33:42,320 --> 01:33:44,120 Speaker 1: you guys know where I'm going here before I actually 1527 01:33:44,200 --> 01:33:49,080 Speaker 1: say it. Just days after winning the heavyweight championship of 1528 01:33:49,120 --> 01:33:53,080 Speaker 1: the world, a twenty two year old boxer still widely 1529 01:33:53,160 --> 01:33:56,040 Speaker 1: known to the public as cash As Clay, stood before 1530 01:33:56,040 --> 01:33:58,439 Speaker 1: reporters and did something that stunned the country at the time. 1531 01:33:59,160 --> 01:34:02,360 Speaker 1: He announced that he had inverted to Islam. He rejected 1532 01:34:02,400 --> 01:34:04,760 Speaker 1: the name Cassius Clay, and he made clear that he 1533 01:34:04,760 --> 01:34:08,480 Speaker 1: would no longer behave the way America expected its champions 1534 01:34:09,280 --> 01:34:12,400 Speaker 1: of boxing to behave. From that moment forward, he would 1535 01:34:12,400 --> 01:34:16,040 Speaker 1: be known as Muhammad Ali. At the time, this was 1536 01:34:16,040 --> 01:34:22,080 Speaker 1: not treated as a personal or spiritual decision. In many ways, 1537 01:34:22,120 --> 01:34:26,400 Speaker 1: this was treated as a provocation. It's hard to overstate 1538 01:34:26,479 --> 01:34:31,040 Speaker 1: how jarring this actually was. Back in nineteen sixty four, Okay, 1539 01:34:31,080 --> 01:34:33,479 Speaker 1: we had yet passed the Civil Rights Act. You've heard 1540 01:34:33,520 --> 01:34:36,599 Speaker 1: me say before. Honestly, I don't think we've really been 1541 01:34:36,640 --> 01:34:42,719 Speaker 1: a multi ethnic democracy until nineteen sixty six. Okay, Ali 1542 01:34:42,880 --> 01:34:45,200 Speaker 1: wasn't just famous. He was the heavyweight champion. And back 1543 01:34:45,240 --> 01:34:50,360 Speaker 1: then boxing was number two or three. Okay, it was baseball, boxing, football, 1544 01:34:51,040 --> 01:34:55,280 Speaker 1: horse racing, right, those were Big four NBA, way down 1545 01:34:55,320 --> 01:34:58,519 Speaker 1: the list, NHL. You needed binoculars to find out on 1546 01:34:58,560 --> 01:35:03,200 Speaker 1: the list heavyweight champ. Whoever was the heavyweight champion of 1547 01:35:03,200 --> 01:35:05,360 Speaker 1: the world always was among the most famous people in 1548 01:35:05,439 --> 01:35:07,800 Speaker 1: the world, or at least in this country. So he 1549 01:35:08,040 --> 01:35:14,200 Speaker 1: carried enormous symbolic weight. We expected our heavyweight champions, even 1550 01:35:14,200 --> 01:35:17,040 Speaker 1: in eras when we were a racist and openly racist 1551 01:35:17,040 --> 01:35:19,080 Speaker 1: country and we had a black champion. There was this 1552 01:35:20,760 --> 01:35:24,240 Speaker 1: idea that we always unified around our heavyweight champions. Champions 1553 01:35:24,280 --> 01:35:26,560 Speaker 1: were supposed to unify the country. They weren't supposed to 1554 01:35:26,640 --> 01:35:30,759 Speaker 1: challenge it. Well, I'll lead to the opposite. He was loud, 1555 01:35:30,800 --> 01:35:34,599 Speaker 1: he was confident, he was politically aware, and he was 1556 01:35:34,720 --> 01:35:39,559 Speaker 1: of course religiously nonconforming, and he didn't ask to be embraced. 1557 01:35:40,200 --> 01:35:42,759 Speaker 1: He didn't soften his message, and he didn't explain himself 1558 01:35:42,760 --> 01:35:46,719 Speaker 1: in ways that made others comfortable. In fact, he wanted 1559 01:35:46,720 --> 01:35:50,719 Speaker 1: to make us uncomfortable. At the time, sports writers mocked them, 1560 01:35:50,880 --> 01:35:55,200 Speaker 1: political leaders questioned his loyalty to the country. Much of 1561 01:35:55,200 --> 01:35:58,800 Speaker 1: White America recoiled not because he boxed, but because he 1562 01:35:58,840 --> 01:36:01,200 Speaker 1: refused to assimilate the way they want him to assimily. 1563 01:36:01,960 --> 01:36:04,120 Speaker 1: Trust me, those Ali Fraser fights back in the day, 1564 01:36:04,520 --> 01:36:08,360 Speaker 1: White America was with Joe Fraser, Black America was with 1565 01:36:08,439 --> 01:36:11,880 Speaker 1: Muhammad Ali was talk about something that was hard on 1566 01:36:11,960 --> 01:36:16,920 Speaker 1: Joe Fraser as well. So what Ali exposed almost immediately 1567 01:36:16,960 --> 01:36:19,360 Speaker 1: was an unspoken rule. You can succeed in America, but 1568 01:36:19,520 --> 01:36:22,559 Speaker 1: only if you're grateful, deferential, and quiet about who you 1569 01:36:22,600 --> 01:36:26,320 Speaker 1: really are. Well, Muhammad Ali was none of those things. 1570 01:36:28,600 --> 01:36:30,760 Speaker 1: So why did this feel threatening at the time. Well, 1571 01:36:30,800 --> 01:36:34,200 Speaker 1: Ali's name change wasn't just about religion. It was about ownership. 1572 01:36:34,920 --> 01:36:39,200 Speaker 1: He rejected a name that he associated with slavery. He 1573 01:36:39,240 --> 01:36:43,200 Speaker 1: rejected expectations of obedience, and he rejected the idea that 1574 01:36:43,280 --> 01:36:49,200 Speaker 1: fame required submission to some sort of rule book. In 1575 01:36:49,280 --> 01:36:54,559 Speaker 1: nineteen sixty four. Okay, that combination hit three nerves all 1576 01:36:54,600 --> 01:36:59,240 Speaker 1: at once, race, religion, and patriotism. So to say it 1577 01:36:59,320 --> 01:37:01,880 Speaker 1: sparked a lot of outrage is and understatement. We didn't 1578 01:37:01,920 --> 01:37:04,880 Speaker 1: even have social media then. The press did not treat 1579 01:37:04,920 --> 01:37:08,439 Speaker 1: him as a young man asserting autonomy. The press back 1580 01:37:08,479 --> 01:37:10,680 Speaker 1: then treated him as a problem to be managed. The 1581 01:37:10,720 --> 01:37:15,599 Speaker 1: sports can I just tell you so. Look, there were 1582 01:37:15,640 --> 01:37:17,640 Speaker 1: some great sports writers back then, but there were a 1583 01:37:17,680 --> 01:37:23,000 Speaker 1: lot of sports writers that were just terrible and terrible humans. 1584 01:37:24,439 --> 01:37:28,880 Speaker 1: The treatment that Kareem Abdul Jabbar, Muhammad Ali, Jim Brown 1585 01:37:29,560 --> 01:37:32,080 Speaker 1: got from sports writers simply because they had a political 1586 01:37:32,120 --> 01:37:35,840 Speaker 1: opinion was when you look back on it, just outrageous, 1587 01:37:35,920 --> 01:37:40,600 Speaker 1: just outrageous. But two years later, Ali's transformation from controversial 1588 01:37:40,640 --> 01:37:44,439 Speaker 1: to outright villain even accelerated when he refused induction in 1589 01:37:44,479 --> 01:37:48,160 Speaker 1: the US military during the Vietnam War. The backlash was 1590 01:37:48,160 --> 01:37:51,320 Speaker 1: swift and severe. He lost his heavyweight title, he lost 1591 01:37:51,320 --> 01:37:55,240 Speaker 1: his he couldn't even get a license to box. He 1592 01:37:55,320 --> 01:37:58,560 Speaker 1: lost four prime years of his career. It's one of 1593 01:37:58,600 --> 01:38:01,519 Speaker 1: the keys, basically one of the greatest heavyweights of all time, 1594 01:38:01,640 --> 01:38:04,519 Speaker 1: and he lost four years of his career. To some 1595 01:38:04,560 --> 01:38:07,800 Speaker 1: sort of unofficial political banishment because he was labeled as 1596 01:38:07,800 --> 01:38:14,920 Speaker 1: an American ungrateful and dangerous. But Ali didn't change his beliefs. 1597 01:38:14,960 --> 01:38:18,479 Speaker 1: When the pressure intensified, he absorbed the punishment, and he 1598 01:38:18,520 --> 01:38:21,400 Speaker 1: paid the price in real time. But something else was 1599 01:38:21,400 --> 01:38:26,519 Speaker 1: happening slowly, unevenly, and almost reluctantly. The Vietnam War grew 1600 01:38:26,560 --> 01:38:32,080 Speaker 1: more unpopular, the civil rights movement exposed, deeper hypocrisies, Distrust 1601 01:38:32,080 --> 01:38:37,160 Speaker 1: of institutions spread, and in retrospect, Ali's stance began to 1602 01:38:37,200 --> 01:38:42,360 Speaker 1: look less radical and instead a bit more prophetic. Court 1603 01:38:42,439 --> 01:38:47,439 Speaker 1: rulings eventually vindicated him. Public opinions softened, and Ali returned 1604 01:38:47,439 --> 01:38:49,720 Speaker 1: to the ring, not just as a fighter that is 1605 01:38:49,760 --> 01:38:53,120 Speaker 1: a symbol of endurance. I'm sure he was polarizing, but 1606 01:38:53,160 --> 01:38:58,839 Speaker 1: he wasn't dismissed anymore. Now, this part often gets overlooked, 1607 01:38:58,880 --> 01:39:01,000 Speaker 1: but Ali didn't just wait for America to come around. 1608 01:39:01,080 --> 01:39:04,479 Speaker 1: Ali evolved as well. He remained principled, but he also 1609 01:39:04,520 --> 01:39:07,680 Speaker 1: became more reflective as he got older, more generous in 1610 01:39:07,720 --> 01:39:11,559 Speaker 1: tone on his and more willing to let humor, grace, 1611 01:39:11,920 --> 01:39:17,360 Speaker 1: and vulnerability soften the message. Parkinson's disease cruel as it 1612 01:39:17,439 --> 01:39:20,840 Speaker 1: was transformed how the public saw him. He no longer 1613 01:39:20,880 --> 01:39:23,920 Speaker 1: was a threat. They finally saw him as a human being. 1614 01:39:25,240 --> 01:39:28,000 Speaker 1: And then Ali himself leaned into that humanity. But he 1615 01:39:28,040 --> 01:39:31,960 Speaker 1: never leaned into it by recanting, He never apologized, but 1616 01:39:32,000 --> 01:39:33,760 Speaker 1: he did allow the country to see him not just 1617 01:39:33,760 --> 01:39:36,800 Speaker 1: as a defiant rebel, but as a man who carried 1618 01:39:36,840 --> 01:39:41,360 Speaker 1: conviction at great personal cost. And if you want the 1619 01:39:41,360 --> 01:39:46,559 Speaker 1: clear symbol of how America came back to Ali, for 1620 01:39:46,640 --> 01:39:48,479 Speaker 1: those of you a certain age, you'll never forget this 1621 01:39:48,560 --> 01:39:53,160 Speaker 1: moment the nineteen ninety six Atlanta Olympics. There's Muhammad Ali, 1622 01:39:53,640 --> 01:39:56,960 Speaker 1: a gold medal winner. That's why he was there. His 1623 01:39:57,040 --> 01:40:00,439 Speaker 1: hands were shaking, his bodily body was badly weakened. See it, 1624 01:40:01,240 --> 01:40:05,000 Speaker 1: and he lit the Olympic torch. Same man who was 1625 01:40:05,040 --> 01:40:08,120 Speaker 1: once stripped of his title, once branded unpatriotic, was now 1626 01:40:08,160 --> 01:40:16,639 Speaker 1: celebrated as a unifying national icon. Same beliefs, same past, 1627 01:40:17,280 --> 01:40:21,640 Speaker 1: different memory. So this is why I thought I'd do 1628 01:40:21,680 --> 01:40:23,160 Speaker 1: a little try to be in a weird way, try 1629 01:40:23,160 --> 01:40:25,679 Speaker 1: to be a bit uplifting with the time machine today. 1630 01:40:26,000 --> 01:40:28,840 Speaker 1: So January twenty second, nineteen sixty four matters. It reminds 1631 01:40:28,920 --> 01:40:32,360 Speaker 1: us that societies are often terrible at judging dissent in 1632 01:40:32,439 --> 01:40:36,240 Speaker 1: real time, and we're remarkably generous at celebrating it later. 1633 01:40:37,360 --> 01:40:43,280 Speaker 1: Ali didn't change America overnight. America changed its story about Ali, though, 1634 01:40:44,040 --> 01:40:46,160 Speaker 1: and that tells us something important, not just about him, 1635 01:40:46,240 --> 01:40:49,479 Speaker 1: but about all of us. We love our rebels once 1636 01:40:49,520 --> 01:40:53,840 Speaker 1: they're no longer dangerous, We on our courage, once the 1637 01:40:53,920 --> 01:40:57,040 Speaker 1: cost has been paid, and we smoothed the rough edges 1638 01:40:57,040 --> 01:41:00,000 Speaker 1: of history to make ourselves feel wiser than we actually 1639 01:41:00,080 --> 01:41:03,160 Speaker 1: we were at the time. So look, when we look 1640 01:41:03,160 --> 01:41:05,439 Speaker 1: back at Muhammad Ali, we shouldn't just marvel at the 1641 01:41:05,560 --> 01:41:09,040 Speaker 1: arc from villain the hero. We should ask a harder question, 1642 01:41:10,000 --> 01:41:13,559 Speaker 1: who are we dismissing today that we'll pretend we understood tomorrow. 1643 01:41:15,600 --> 01:41:18,280 Speaker 1: January twenty second, nineteen sixty four wasn't the birth of 1644 01:41:18,280 --> 01:41:23,080 Speaker 1: a hero. It was the moment America was challenged, and 1645 01:41:23,160 --> 01:41:27,880 Speaker 1: at the time America didn't know how to respond. They 1646 01:41:27,920 --> 01:41:35,599 Speaker 1: eventually figured it out. All right, let's do a few letters. Letters. 1647 01:41:35,640 --> 01:41:38,519 Speaker 1: Listen to me, letters. I have these letters the mail 1648 01:41:38,600 --> 01:41:42,160 Speaker 1: bag right the post office drops all these letters as Chuck, 1649 01:41:46,560 --> 01:41:49,720 Speaker 1: probably only going to do three or four as you 1650 01:41:50,479 --> 01:41:53,120 Speaker 1: We'll see how I feel. Right, All right anyway, all right. 1651 01:41:53,280 --> 01:41:56,280 Speaker 1: First question comes from Jason Williamsburg, Virginia, and he says, hey, check, 1652 01:41:56,320 --> 01:41:58,760 Speaker 1: I found your podcast through Crystalism. I've really enjoyed the 1653 01:41:58,760 --> 01:42:02,479 Speaker 1: new iteration you, Solissa. Appreciate that brother, especially as someone 1654 01:42:02,520 --> 01:42:05,000 Speaker 1: who lives in the middle politically. I appreciated the year 1655 01:42:05,040 --> 01:42:06,720 Speaker 1: in top five books list. It pushed me to read 1656 01:42:06,760 --> 01:42:08,720 Speaker 1: titles I might have skipped, like one hundred and seven 1657 01:42:08,800 --> 01:42:11,759 Speaker 1: Days the Drift and Fateful Hours. Currently reading The Barn 1658 01:42:11,920 --> 01:42:15,960 Speaker 1: after hearing your interviews, such a powerful conversation. No question here, 1659 01:42:16,040 --> 01:42:18,880 Speaker 1: just heartfelt thanks. Even if we'll always see sports through 1660 01:42:18,920 --> 01:42:22,439 Speaker 1: orange and blue glasses and go Gators. Wow, when a 1661 01:42:22,479 --> 01:42:24,840 Speaker 1: Gator can say something nice and I can say something 1662 01:42:24,920 --> 01:42:27,080 Speaker 1: nice about the Gators. You are a great university. It's 1663 01:42:27,120 --> 01:42:29,559 Speaker 1: a really good academic institution here in the state of Florida. 1664 01:42:29,880 --> 01:42:32,599 Speaker 1: So I should I should give the Gators a little 1665 01:42:32,600 --> 01:42:34,600 Speaker 1: bit more credit than that. So glad you brought up 1666 01:42:34,640 --> 01:42:37,479 Speaker 1: The Barn. Man, I've been thinking, Man, I got it. 1667 01:42:37,600 --> 01:42:40,800 Speaker 1: I write Thompson. Of all the guests I've had, I'm like, 1668 01:42:41,000 --> 01:42:43,160 Speaker 1: who's the guy I want to I just want to 1669 01:42:43,920 --> 01:42:47,320 Speaker 1: watch him, watch sort of watch America's two hundred and 1670 01:42:47,360 --> 01:42:54,559 Speaker 1: fifty eeth birthday with almost constantly. It's with right Thompson anyway, 1671 01:42:54,600 --> 01:42:58,400 Speaker 1: he's I'm glad, glad you're enjoying the barn. That's great 1672 01:42:58,400 --> 01:43:01,479 Speaker 1: to hear, Patrick, from what Herford, Michigan rights. Hey, Chuck, 1673 01:43:01,479 --> 01:43:04,640 Speaker 1: congrats to your knes and that incredible fiestable just bought my 1674 01:43:04,720 --> 01:43:10,799 Speaker 1: fiestable victory victory ensured at the Hurricane store today. Patrick, 1675 01:43:11,120 --> 01:43:13,439 Speaker 1: he goes, I'm struck by the hipocrisy of treating Ashley 1676 01:43:13,439 --> 01:43:15,479 Speaker 1: Babbitt as a martyr while labeling Renee good as a 1677 01:43:15,479 --> 01:43:19,240 Speaker 1: domestic terrorist. Actually Babbott, of course, was the woman that 1678 01:43:19,280 --> 01:43:21,559 Speaker 1: was killed on January sixth, Renee Goods the woman that 1679 01:43:21,640 --> 01:43:24,920 Speaker 1: was killed during that confrontation with an Ice officer a 1680 01:43:25,000 --> 01:43:29,120 Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago. With recent GOP resignations and death, 1681 01:43:29,200 --> 01:43:32,360 Speaker 1: what's their current House majority three? If it's that slim, 1682 01:43:32,360 --> 01:43:35,280 Speaker 1: could you see any Republican temporarily becoming independence to shift 1683 01:43:35,280 --> 01:43:38,800 Speaker 1: control and restore function to the Chamber. Anyone like Don 1684 01:43:38,840 --> 01:43:42,160 Speaker 1: Bacon or Thomas Massey come to mind. Patrick, You know, 1685 01:43:42,200 --> 01:43:45,439 Speaker 1: that's an interesting question, and I don't rule anything out 1686 01:43:45,560 --> 01:43:47,400 Speaker 1: right if you look at it, and it goes back 1687 01:43:47,439 --> 01:43:49,920 Speaker 1: to my opening monologue today, the erratic behavior of this 1688 01:43:49,960 --> 01:43:55,559 Speaker 1: administration as a lot of I think Republicans, particularly ones 1689 01:43:55,600 --> 01:43:57,960 Speaker 1: that are retiring, that could be in a different spot. 1690 01:43:59,520 --> 01:44:03,320 Speaker 1: Look politically, it's terrible for the Democrats to get control 1691 01:44:03,320 --> 01:44:06,320 Speaker 1: of the House before November, but it may be that 1692 01:44:06,400 --> 01:44:11,479 Speaker 1: the country it happens, maybe you know who's to say 1693 01:44:11,560 --> 01:44:14,920 Speaker 1: if leadership isn't responding properly to this threat in Europe. 1694 01:44:14,960 --> 01:44:17,080 Speaker 1: I mean, if it really feels like he's going to 1695 01:44:17,120 --> 01:44:19,760 Speaker 1: start pounding war drums with Canada and Europe over this 1696 01:44:19,840 --> 01:44:24,639 Speaker 1: Greenland business or with the Chinese trade deal that Canada struck, 1697 01:44:26,680 --> 01:44:30,120 Speaker 1: I wouldn't rule anything out. I think you've identified. I 1698 01:44:30,160 --> 01:44:34,880 Speaker 1: think Bacon is the right guy to identify. Maybe Massy right, 1699 01:44:36,080 --> 01:44:37,720 Speaker 1: you could picture both of them. They're both going to 1700 01:44:37,760 --> 01:44:40,240 Speaker 1: be serving out if Massie can lose his primary. But 1701 01:44:40,240 --> 01:44:42,439 Speaker 1: he's still a member of Congress for the rest of 1702 01:44:42,479 --> 01:44:49,240 Speaker 1: twenty twenty six. So look at this point, I don't 1703 01:44:49,280 --> 01:44:53,080 Speaker 1: rule anything out. It's all of those scenarios unlikely, sure, 1704 01:44:53,120 --> 01:44:56,080 Speaker 1: but we haven't had House majorities this slim going back 1705 01:44:56,080 --> 01:45:00,040 Speaker 1: to the turn of the nineteenth and twentieth century, so 1706 01:45:00,520 --> 01:45:04,759 Speaker 1: it's I don't expect any of those things, though, unless 1707 01:45:04,840 --> 01:45:10,639 Speaker 1: there's a perceived emergency. I know some of you may say, well, 1708 01:45:10,680 --> 01:45:15,280 Speaker 1: isn't Trump's danger right now in emergency? I hear you. 1709 01:45:16,560 --> 01:45:19,120 Speaker 1: I think for plenty of us that does sort of 1710 01:45:19,160 --> 01:45:31,840 Speaker 1: meet the definition of emergency. So that's the only that'd 1711 01:45:31,880 --> 01:45:34,840 Speaker 1: be the only way I could picture that scenario where 1712 01:45:34,840 --> 01:45:40,559 Speaker 1: you lawmaker switching in any of that stuff. All right, 1713 01:45:41,520 --> 01:45:44,200 Speaker 1: next question comes from Mike, and he writes, Hey, really 1714 01:45:44,280 --> 01:45:46,479 Speaker 1: enjoy the podcast and your thoughtful coverage. I've been wondering 1715 01:45:46,520 --> 01:45:49,599 Speaker 1: what if policy experts drafted we the People bills on 1716 01:45:49,680 --> 01:45:53,759 Speaker 1: issues with seventy percent plus public support, like campaign finance 1717 01:45:53,840 --> 01:45:56,479 Speaker 1: or gun control, and voters pledge not to support reps 1718 01:45:56,479 --> 01:45:58,760 Speaker 1: who refuse to pass them. Could that force action on 1719 01:45:58,840 --> 01:46:01,160 Speaker 1: popular issues that never get a vote due to the filibuster? 1720 01:46:01,240 --> 01:46:03,160 Speaker 1: Also sports trivia for you. Do you know the pro 1721 01:46:03,240 --> 01:46:06,040 Speaker 1: team that won the most games in its league in 1722 01:46:06,080 --> 01:46:09,439 Speaker 1: a season but still miss the playoffs? Thanks for all 1723 01:46:09,479 --> 01:46:13,439 Speaker 1: that you do, Mike, Huh, the pro team? That's interesting 1724 01:46:13,479 --> 01:46:16,599 Speaker 1: the way you put pro team there that won the 1725 01:46:16,600 --> 01:46:18,840 Speaker 1: most games in its league in a season but still 1726 01:46:18,840 --> 01:46:23,200 Speaker 1: miss the playoffs. I'm going to guess it is. I 1727 01:46:23,320 --> 01:46:27,760 Speaker 1: believe it's the Cincinnati Reds from nineteen eighty one, So 1728 01:46:29,720 --> 01:46:32,360 Speaker 1: nineteen eighty one had that. I'm going to guess. I 1729 01:46:32,439 --> 01:46:34,519 Speaker 1: hope you file back. I'll look it up later. I 1730 01:46:34,520 --> 01:46:37,000 Speaker 1: did not pre I never do that. I want I 1731 01:46:37,040 --> 01:46:39,479 Speaker 1: always want to answer the question sort of this way, 1732 01:46:39,840 --> 01:46:42,320 Speaker 1: you know, do research if I feel like I need 1733 01:46:42,360 --> 01:46:44,599 Speaker 1: to answer the question. But with the trivia question, I'm 1734 01:46:44,680 --> 01:46:47,400 Speaker 1: keeping one on that yet. I think my answer is 1735 01:46:47,400 --> 01:46:50,120 Speaker 1: Cincinnati Reds nineteen eighty one. That was debate. It was 1736 01:46:50,160 --> 01:46:54,400 Speaker 1: a split season, the strike happened, sort of, they literally 1737 01:46:54,400 --> 01:46:56,479 Speaker 1: had we had. It was the first time they ever 1738 01:46:56,520 --> 01:46:58,920 Speaker 1: had divisional playoffs, and then, of course we now have 1739 01:46:58,960 --> 01:47:02,360 Speaker 1: them in the past. So I think the Dodgers won 1740 01:47:02,400 --> 01:47:04,320 Speaker 1: the first half of the NL West, the Astros won 1741 01:47:04,360 --> 01:47:06,839 Speaker 1: the second half of the NL West, the Reds finished 1742 01:47:06,840 --> 01:47:09,600 Speaker 1: second in both. Right, But what and then once you 1743 01:47:09,680 --> 01:47:12,599 Speaker 1: decided you won one, you didn't really have to if 1744 01:47:12,640 --> 01:47:14,519 Speaker 1: you already knew you were in the playoffs, you didn't 1745 01:47:14,560 --> 01:47:20,880 Speaker 1: really have to worry about uh, if you're in the place, 1746 01:47:20,920 --> 01:47:24,040 Speaker 1: he didn't really have to worry about competing in the 1747 01:47:24,080 --> 01:47:27,360 Speaker 1: second time. So I believe and I remember then that 1748 01:47:27,439 --> 01:47:30,320 Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Reds that was. I think it was them, 1749 01:47:30,479 --> 01:47:32,840 Speaker 1: but it was some team and it sticks with me. 1750 01:47:32,920 --> 01:47:34,320 Speaker 1: There was red back then. The Reds were in the 1751 01:47:34,400 --> 01:47:37,920 Speaker 1: NL West. That goes in the crazy horrible divisions we 1752 01:47:38,040 --> 01:47:42,519 Speaker 1: used to have, and so I think that's it. So 1753 01:47:42,560 --> 01:47:44,840 Speaker 1: they didn't get into the playoffs because they finished second. 1754 01:47:46,000 --> 01:47:49,240 Speaker 1: I believe in both halves of that season. Mike. I 1755 01:47:49,280 --> 01:47:51,120 Speaker 1: hope that's the one you have, because then I'll feel 1756 01:47:51,240 --> 01:47:55,080 Speaker 1: really smarty pants about myself that one. All right, last 1757 01:47:55,200 --> 01:47:57,840 Speaker 1: question goes from it. It's gonna be a little Packer question. 1758 01:47:57,840 --> 01:48:00,439 Speaker 1: Here goes Chuck, Chuck, Chuck. Appreciate your take the Packers 1759 01:48:00,479 --> 01:48:03,120 Speaker 1: bear rivalry, but you've got to grow You've got to 1760 01:48:03,240 --> 01:48:05,679 Speaker 1: grow up with it to really understand it. It goes 1761 01:48:05,880 --> 01:48:08,400 Speaker 1: way deeper than football. It's big city arrogance Chicago versus 1762 01:48:08,400 --> 01:48:11,479 Speaker 1: a small town friendly this Wisconsin. Oh, buddy, I know that. 1763 01:48:11,680 --> 01:48:15,280 Speaker 1: My father Waterloo, Iowa. Okay, why was he a Packer 1764 01:48:15,360 --> 01:48:17,080 Speaker 1: fan and water Louiow when he was growing up as 1765 01:48:17,120 --> 01:48:19,960 Speaker 1: a kid in the fifties Because you hated everything Chicago 1766 01:48:20,040 --> 01:48:22,479 Speaker 1: and who was Chicago's greatest rival was the Packers. So 1767 01:48:22,520 --> 01:48:25,120 Speaker 1: that was why he became a Packer fan exactly, for 1768 01:48:25,200 --> 01:48:28,240 Speaker 1: what you're defining there, all right, but you know now, 1769 01:48:28,360 --> 01:48:31,320 Speaker 1: Iowans are split between I think the Vikings and the 1770 01:48:31,400 --> 01:48:34,000 Speaker 1: Chiefs these days more than more than the Packers. But 1771 01:48:34,080 --> 01:48:37,599 Speaker 1: I digress. But yes, he goes. Bears fans often say 1772 01:48:37,640 --> 01:48:40,320 Speaker 1: they're treated great at Lambea. Not so much for Packers fans. 1773 01:48:40,360 --> 01:48:43,559 Speaker 1: It's social field, mind you, not like the respectful Packers 1774 01:48:43,640 --> 01:48:46,639 Speaker 1: Vikings rival Go Packo, john As keep up the great podcast. 1775 01:48:46,720 --> 01:48:49,519 Speaker 1: So no, no, no, You're right about the whole Chicago 1776 01:48:49,600 --> 01:48:54,439 Speaker 1: arrogance thing. That is absolutely why. That is absolutely why 1777 01:48:54,479 --> 01:48:59,879 Speaker 1: my dad became a Packer fan. It was being anti Chicago, 1778 01:49:01,320 --> 01:49:14,120 Speaker 1: no more, no less. All right, A quick word on 1779 01:49:14,400 --> 01:49:20,360 Speaker 1: this in this football game. A few things, and I'm 1780 01:49:20,360 --> 01:49:23,280 Speaker 1: gonna make it a bit Miami as in the community 1781 01:49:23,680 --> 01:49:28,120 Speaker 1: centric more than anything else. It's been amazing to watch 1782 01:49:28,680 --> 01:49:31,559 Speaker 1: this town really get fired up about the Hurricanes, because 1783 01:49:32,439 --> 01:49:34,400 Speaker 1: you know, when Miami went its first national title in 1784 01:49:34,439 --> 01:49:37,960 Speaker 1: eighty three, this was still a Dolphins town. And by 1785 01:49:38,000 --> 01:49:42,000 Speaker 1: the way, deserve it. Okay, it was a deserved Dolphins town. 1786 01:49:42,360 --> 01:49:44,439 Speaker 1: They made everything else run there was We had no 1787 01:49:44,520 --> 01:49:47,320 Speaker 1: other pro sports. It was just the Dolphins. The heat 1788 01:49:47,320 --> 01:49:50,280 Speaker 1: would come in nineteen eighty seven, and then the Hurricanes 1789 01:49:50,640 --> 01:49:53,400 Speaker 1: rose up and Hurricane football, you know, became the number 1790 01:49:53,439 --> 01:49:57,479 Speaker 1: two thing to the Dolphins. I still have that great 1791 01:49:57,479 --> 01:50:00,840 Speaker 1: cover Marino and co Sar on the covers. It's illustrated. 1792 01:50:01,000 --> 01:50:05,880 Speaker 1: You know, it was eighty it's it's uh, it's you know, 1793 01:50:06,000 --> 01:50:09,120 Speaker 1: that's what that was. That was what going viral meant 1794 01:50:09,160 --> 01:50:11,920 Speaker 1: back in the eighties. What's amazing now is I think 1795 01:50:11,960 --> 01:50:15,040 Speaker 1: the Hurricanes are now the number one team in South Florida, 1796 01:50:15,160 --> 01:50:18,280 Speaker 1: the number one the number one team in Miami. I 1797 01:50:18,280 --> 01:50:20,800 Speaker 1: mean the Dolphins are just in this funk that is 1798 01:50:20,840 --> 01:50:24,639 Speaker 1: now three generations. I mean it is basically what Marino 1799 01:50:24,720 --> 01:50:28,240 Speaker 1: retires sometime in ninety nine, ninety eight. I feel like 1800 01:50:28,520 --> 01:50:30,880 Speaker 1: I go back to that sixty three to seven loss 1801 01:50:31,240 --> 01:50:33,799 Speaker 1: that the Dolphins had in the playoffs of the Jacksonville Jaguars. 1802 01:50:33,840 --> 01:50:36,679 Speaker 1: I think it was Johnson's last year's coach, Jimmy Johnson said. 1803 01:50:37,160 --> 01:50:40,080 Speaker 1: It just feels like like that was like this exclamation point. 1804 01:50:40,760 --> 01:50:43,720 Speaker 1: You know, Marino makes a Super Bowl in his first 1805 01:50:43,800 --> 01:50:46,040 Speaker 1: year as a starter, second year as a pro, and 1806 01:50:46,120 --> 01:50:47,920 Speaker 1: the assumption was, oh, he's gonna be back to so 1807 01:50:47,920 --> 01:50:49,800 Speaker 1: many super Bowls. Never gets back to another one that 1808 01:50:49,880 --> 01:50:53,400 Speaker 1: Dolphins haven't really think they were in one other AFC 1809 01:50:53,479 --> 01:50:55,960 Speaker 1: title game, maybe two if I'm if I'm keeping track. 1810 01:50:56,760 --> 01:50:59,800 Speaker 1: So it is this time to watch this town. I 1811 01:50:59,840 --> 01:51:03,639 Speaker 1: have to say, is it is absolutely become a Hurricanes 1812 01:51:03,720 --> 01:51:08,320 Speaker 1: football town. We love football here. High school football is 1813 01:51:08,320 --> 01:51:11,360 Speaker 1: so popular. All the dominant high school football teams in 1814 01:51:11,720 --> 01:51:14,080 Speaker 1: the state of Florida, almost all of them are either 1815 01:51:14,160 --> 01:51:17,719 Speaker 1: in Miami, Dade County, Broward County. You know, South Florida 1816 01:51:17,800 --> 01:51:21,320 Speaker 1: really is one of the dominant sort of high school 1817 01:51:21,360 --> 01:51:25,080 Speaker 1: football areas in the country. So football is just you know, 1818 01:51:25,120 --> 01:51:28,040 Speaker 1: so whoever's the winner. And look, some people say it's 1819 01:51:28,080 --> 01:51:30,360 Speaker 1: fair weather. It's not fair weather. We show up for 1820 01:51:30,400 --> 01:51:33,360 Speaker 1: winning teams. Miami fans don't show up for losing teams. 1821 01:51:33,400 --> 01:51:33,479 Speaker 2: Now. 1822 01:51:33,479 --> 01:51:35,120 Speaker 1: I show up for all my a Hurricane games because 1823 01:51:35,160 --> 01:51:39,680 Speaker 1: I love my games and I feel that loyal to them. 1824 01:51:39,960 --> 01:51:42,840 Speaker 1: But it's I have to say, in the hierarchy, I 1825 01:51:42,880 --> 01:51:46,200 Speaker 1: think it's Kane's football one right now. I still think 1826 01:51:46,200 --> 01:51:48,759 Speaker 1: the Heat are two, and the Heat had the number 1827 01:51:48,760 --> 01:51:50,800 Speaker 1: one spot. I'd argue for a bit there. My friend 1828 01:51:50,880 --> 01:51:54,439 Speaker 1: Barry Jackson at The Herald might have I'd love his 1829 01:51:54,560 --> 01:51:57,160 Speaker 1: opinion on this and Dan Lebttard what they think of this. 1830 01:51:57,200 --> 01:51:58,880 Speaker 1: But I think I think the Heat was sort of 1831 01:51:58,920 --> 01:52:01,680 Speaker 1: in that one slot for a while there, but we 1832 01:52:01,720 --> 01:52:04,000 Speaker 1: didn't like them there, right. We always wanted one of 1833 01:52:04,040 --> 01:52:05,960 Speaker 1: the two football teams to get there. The Dolphins are 1834 01:52:05,960 --> 01:52:09,240 Speaker 1: the Hurricanes. So the Hurricanes getting good and right back. 1835 01:52:10,120 --> 01:52:15,040 Speaker 1: But you know, right now, I'm wondering if if the 1836 01:52:15,160 --> 01:52:18,439 Speaker 1: MLS team and essentially messy is number three and are 1837 01:52:18,479 --> 01:52:22,960 Speaker 1: the Dolphins four, are the Dolphins fourth? Why they got 1838 01:52:22,960 --> 01:52:24,599 Speaker 1: to get this new coach, right? They got to get 1839 01:52:24,600 --> 01:52:26,960 Speaker 1: a new quarterback, They got to get some new juice here. 1840 01:52:28,200 --> 01:52:31,799 Speaker 1: It's you know, it's like watching what's happened to the Dolphins, 1841 01:52:31,920 --> 01:52:35,160 Speaker 1: very similar to what I've watched front row seat with 1842 01:52:35,200 --> 01:52:38,439 Speaker 1: the Commanders and the Washington football team over that period 1843 01:52:38,439 --> 01:52:41,599 Speaker 1: of time. But unlike the Washington football team, I think 1844 01:52:41,640 --> 01:52:44,960 Speaker 1: the Dolphins have a good owner. It just they've just 1845 01:52:46,240 --> 01:52:49,880 Speaker 1: chosen poorly when it comes to quarterbacks. They've just not 1846 01:52:50,000 --> 01:52:54,439 Speaker 1: gotten it right since Marino, and it's however you want 1847 01:52:54,479 --> 01:52:55,840 Speaker 1: to look at it, it's been a mess, but it 1848 01:52:55,880 --> 01:53:01,320 Speaker 1: has just been fascinating. I feel like there's more support 1849 01:53:01,360 --> 01:53:03,880 Speaker 1: for Miami Hurricane football right now than I have ever 1850 01:53:04,200 --> 01:53:06,800 Speaker 1: seen in South Florida. Part of it has been a 1851 01:53:06,840 --> 01:53:09,760 Speaker 1: while since we've had some winning football around here. So 1852 01:53:09,800 --> 01:53:12,120 Speaker 1: there's a little bit of a lot of thirsty people 1853 01:53:12,200 --> 01:53:14,840 Speaker 1: running to the water, cold water, and that cold water 1854 01:53:14,920 --> 01:53:19,920 Speaker 1: is being delivered by the University of Miami. But it's 1855 01:53:19,960 --> 01:53:24,240 Speaker 1: that's been that's been heartening to watch. So look, I am, 1856 01:53:25,600 --> 01:53:28,320 Speaker 1: I'm obviously recording before the game. Some of you may 1857 01:53:28,400 --> 01:53:30,760 Speaker 1: hear this after the game. I'm pretty confident it's gonna 1858 01:53:30,760 --> 01:53:34,320 Speaker 1: be a close game. I am. I would be shocked 1859 01:53:34,439 --> 01:53:38,680 Speaker 1: if Miami lost by more than I'd be by more 1860 01:53:38,720 --> 01:53:42,360 Speaker 1: than one score okay, three, seven, eight, Okay, I'd be shocked. 1861 01:53:42,360 --> 01:53:46,040 Speaker 1: That's why I think that the line is sort of absurd. 1862 01:53:47,200 --> 01:53:49,920 Speaker 1: A few things I'm worried about. If Miami loses a 1863 01:53:49,920 --> 01:53:52,800 Speaker 1: close game because they fizzle in the fourth quarter, Well, 1864 01:53:52,800 --> 01:53:57,080 Speaker 1: Miami's played three playoff games to get here and had 1865 01:53:57,120 --> 01:53:59,920 Speaker 1: to play all four quarters. Indiana's only I had to 1866 01:54:00,080 --> 01:54:01,960 Speaker 1: do two and only had to really play two quarters 1867 01:54:02,000 --> 01:54:04,839 Speaker 1: in each game. Right, they are a little better arrested 1868 01:54:05,680 --> 01:54:09,360 Speaker 1: than Miami is. I worry that the old misgame felt 1869 01:54:09,360 --> 01:54:12,479 Speaker 1: like a war of attrition and we've got we're we're already, 1870 01:54:13,040 --> 01:54:15,720 Speaker 1: you know. So I worry about depth a little bit. 1871 01:54:15,800 --> 01:54:21,479 Speaker 1: I worry about just exhaustion. These guys rare. No, nobody 1872 01:54:21,520 --> 01:54:24,439 Speaker 1: plays sixteen games very often. Now we're going to obviously 1873 01:54:24,479 --> 01:54:28,320 Speaker 1: with the playoff coming full full, you know, becoming a 1874 01:54:28,320 --> 01:54:31,120 Speaker 1: full time thing, this will happen. We'll have eight or 1875 01:54:31,120 --> 01:54:34,000 Speaker 1: ten teams have to play at least, you know, thirteen, fourteen, 1876 01:54:34,040 --> 01:54:38,600 Speaker 1: and then the final two teams play sixteen games when 1877 01:54:38,600 --> 01:54:43,040 Speaker 1: all said and done. But it's, uh, that's the one 1878 01:54:43,040 --> 01:54:46,880 Speaker 1: thing I'm worried about. But you know, it's the strangest thing. 1879 01:54:47,000 --> 01:54:48,760 Speaker 1: And I shared this with you before the last time 1880 01:54:48,800 --> 01:54:53,160 Speaker 1: Miami was an underdog at home playing for a national 1881 01:54:53,200 --> 01:54:56,760 Speaker 1: title at home was against a team whose colors were 1882 01:54:56,760 --> 01:55:01,160 Speaker 1: red and white, those big bad Nebraska Cornhuskers, and they 1883 01:55:01,200 --> 01:55:04,240 Speaker 1: were I think, I think I read today, I'm not 1884 01:55:04,320 --> 01:55:06,080 Speaker 1: going to remember this one. I read this today. They 1885 01:55:06,080 --> 01:55:11,480 Speaker 1: were eleven and a half point favorites. It's a great game, 1886 01:55:12,800 --> 01:55:17,680 Speaker 1: one of the all time games. And by the way, 1887 01:55:17,920 --> 01:55:20,560 Speaker 1: if Nebraska had gotten the two point conversion, there was 1888 01:55:20,600 --> 01:55:23,400 Speaker 1: forty seconds left in that game. Bernie Cossar was not 1889 01:55:23,440 --> 01:55:26,120 Speaker 1: losing that game. Miami was going to win that game. 1890 01:55:26,760 --> 01:55:28,520 Speaker 1: They would have just had to win. The final score 1891 01:55:28,520 --> 01:55:30,800 Speaker 1: would have been thirty four to thirty two rather than 1892 01:55:30,840 --> 01:55:35,200 Speaker 1: thirty one to thirty. But that's how co Star was 1893 01:55:35,240 --> 01:55:38,640 Speaker 1: not going to be stopped. That game just wasn't going 1894 01:55:38,680 --> 01:55:41,640 Speaker 1: to be stopped, and that Nebraska defense was exhausted. They 1895 01:55:41,760 --> 01:55:44,440 Speaker 1: could not cover our guys. It wasn't going to happen. 1896 01:55:47,080 --> 01:55:51,880 Speaker 1: So we'll see. There's a little bit of a weird news. 1897 01:55:52,160 --> 01:55:56,040 Speaker 1: Looks like Miami's got its quarterback. I think it's Darren Mensa. 1898 01:55:56,160 --> 01:55:59,040 Speaker 1: Is his name from Duke? Look, I'm glad Miami's got 1899 01:55:59,080 --> 01:56:03,480 Speaker 1: this quarterback. Look, I'm not comfortable with the circumstances. I 1900 01:56:03,480 --> 01:56:07,000 Speaker 1: don't believe Miami tampered. I actually believe that the fact 1901 01:56:07,040 --> 01:56:10,440 Speaker 1: that Ty Simpson, the quarterback that decided to stay going pro, 1902 01:56:12,480 --> 01:56:15,640 Speaker 1: where he went public saying Miami offered him six and 1903 01:56:15,640 --> 01:56:19,120 Speaker 1: a half million dollars to pull out of the NFL 1904 01:56:19,200 --> 01:56:21,960 Speaker 1: draft like Carson Beck did and play one season for Miami. 1905 01:56:23,040 --> 01:56:26,400 Speaker 1: He chose to pursue the NFL draft. It was weird 1906 01:56:26,440 --> 01:56:28,600 Speaker 1: that he decided to go public with that with how 1907 01:56:28,680 --> 01:56:32,600 Speaker 1: much Miami offered. Now, if you tell me that the 1908 01:56:32,800 --> 01:56:35,760 Speaker 1: an agent or a family member of Mensa said, whoa, 1909 01:56:35,840 --> 01:56:38,000 Speaker 1: Miami needs a quarterback and they're willing to pay six 1910 01:56:38,040 --> 01:56:42,040 Speaker 1: and a half. Well, Mensa's better than Ty Simpson. Yes, 1911 01:56:42,120 --> 01:56:45,320 Speaker 1: Mensa's better than Dye Simpson. How much could he get? 1912 01:56:46,640 --> 01:56:50,560 Speaker 1: So I think it's very possible, you know, I don't 1913 01:56:50,600 --> 01:56:53,000 Speaker 1: I you know, I don't want to presume nefarious things. 1914 01:56:53,040 --> 01:56:55,320 Speaker 1: I don't think, you know, I think with so many 1915 01:56:56,000 --> 01:56:58,400 Speaker 1: eyeballs on Miami, I don't think Miami's breaking any rules. 1916 01:56:59,240 --> 01:57:01,600 Speaker 1: There's barely any rules with this anyway. But I don't 1917 01:57:01,600 --> 01:57:03,760 Speaker 1: think they think they're going to be super careful. So 1918 01:57:04,120 --> 01:57:05,800 Speaker 1: I don't think this is going to be a tampering 1919 01:57:05,880 --> 01:57:08,880 Speaker 1: situation or anything. Ain't that. It's just you think you 1920 01:57:08,880 --> 01:57:10,640 Speaker 1: have a contract with a player. Look, Miami was on 1921 01:57:10,680 --> 01:57:12,120 Speaker 1: the other end of this last year with a couple 1922 01:57:12,160 --> 01:57:16,320 Speaker 1: of receivers. Shoot Duke was the predator on Tulane in 1923 01:57:16,400 --> 01:57:18,760 Speaker 1: sort of a similar situation to get Mensa in the 1924 01:57:18,800 --> 01:57:22,280 Speaker 1: first place last season. So you know, I'm not saying 1925 01:57:22,280 --> 01:57:24,839 Speaker 1: they're good guys. Are bad guys here. The system sucks 1926 01:57:25,840 --> 01:57:28,160 Speaker 1: and you think you have a contract. You know, they 1927 01:57:28,160 --> 01:57:29,960 Speaker 1: thought they had them for a two year deal with 1928 01:57:30,000 --> 01:57:33,800 Speaker 1: this revenue sharing, and it turns out even a contract's 1929 01:57:33,800 --> 01:57:38,480 Speaker 1: not a contract. That's got to change. And like I said, 1930 01:57:38,520 --> 01:57:40,520 Speaker 1: I'm glad Miami got. Miami probably ended up with a 1931 01:57:40,520 --> 01:57:43,240 Speaker 1: better quarterback than any of the three they pursued. I 1932 01:57:43,240 --> 01:57:46,520 Speaker 1: think Mensa is that better than Sam Levitt, Mensus better 1933 01:57:46,560 --> 01:57:55,280 Speaker 1: than Ted Simpson. Mens' is probably better than than than Soresby. 1934 01:57:55,320 --> 01:57:58,720 Speaker 1: But if the roles were reversed, we'd all be crying foul, 1935 01:57:58,800 --> 01:58:02,320 Speaker 1: too complain, and then to do it in conference, it's 1936 01:58:02,360 --> 01:58:04,440 Speaker 1: just a mess. And then of course here in Miami 1937 01:58:04,440 --> 01:58:06,880 Speaker 1: it's the whole Many Dias Mario thing, so it becomes 1938 01:58:06,920 --> 01:58:11,520 Speaker 1: this weird Cuban Cuban rivalry too, you know, Many Dias, 1939 01:58:11,560 --> 01:58:13,720 Speaker 1: it's always kind of been. I think, you know, his 1940 01:58:13,800 --> 01:58:16,320 Speaker 1: father is one of the few Cuban democrats, you know. 1941 01:58:17,280 --> 01:58:19,160 Speaker 1: I've always thought that was a little bit of a 1942 01:58:19,160 --> 01:58:21,160 Speaker 1: cause of a little bit of of why he wasn't 1943 01:58:21,160 --> 01:58:25,480 Speaker 1: as embraced Many Diaz junior as in Miami the way 1944 01:58:25,680 --> 01:58:31,640 Speaker 1: Mario's embraced Mario. Yeah, Columbus high guy two. That was 1945 01:58:31,680 --> 01:58:35,240 Speaker 1: sort of working class Cubans many ideas, wasn't so I 1946 01:58:35,400 --> 01:58:37,200 Speaker 1: you know, I don't look, you could we could all 1947 01:58:37,280 --> 01:58:40,840 Speaker 1: pick through that but boy, talk about adding to what 1948 01:58:40,920 --> 01:58:43,840 Speaker 1: is this week? What is turning into a fascinating little 1949 01:58:44,360 --> 01:58:48,760 Speaker 1: rivalry here between many Dias and Mario Crystal Paul. But 1950 01:58:48,840 --> 01:58:51,560 Speaker 1: if you're wondering, my friend Marco Puto and I were 1951 01:58:51,640 --> 01:58:56,360 Speaker 1: joking about this, the Cuban power Index, Marco Rubio right 1952 01:58:56,400 --> 01:59:00,200 Speaker 1: down here in Miami. Marco Rubio got Maduro. That's that's 1953 01:59:00,240 --> 01:59:03,240 Speaker 1: got him pretty high up on the in the Cuban community. 1954 01:59:03,280 --> 01:59:05,840 Speaker 1: Here right now, Fernando Mendezo won of Heisman. He's probably 1955 01:59:05,880 --> 01:59:08,480 Speaker 1: number one. Ruby was probably number two. Poor Mario is 1956 01:59:08,480 --> 01:59:11,280 Speaker 1: probably number three. But if Mario wins a national title, 1957 01:59:12,120 --> 01:59:15,240 Speaker 1: check the records here, But I believe he's the first 1958 01:59:15,400 --> 01:59:19,720 Speaker 1: non white Anglo to win. It's not an insignificant development. 1959 01:59:21,720 --> 01:59:24,920 Speaker 1: And I remember in the eighties wondering what would with 1960 01:59:25,120 --> 01:59:27,240 Speaker 1: the Cuban community and all of that, with the with 1961 01:59:27,360 --> 01:59:30,840 Speaker 1: they're being embracing of Miami Hurricanes football, of football is 1962 01:59:30,840 --> 01:59:34,080 Speaker 1: a sport and all of that stuff. Boy, thirty five 1963 01:59:34,160 --> 01:59:38,720 Speaker 1: years later, that relationship couldn't be any tighter, and it's 1964 01:59:39,520 --> 01:59:42,680 Speaker 1: done nothing but benefit the benefit the University of Miami. 1965 01:59:42,760 --> 01:59:46,200 Speaker 1: But I will say this, I'm not going to sit 1966 01:59:46,240 --> 01:59:48,640 Speaker 1: here and say the mensa thing. It's you know, this 1967 01:59:48,720 --> 01:59:51,600 Speaker 1: is a reminder that when when Miami starts winning, everybody 1968 01:59:51,640 --> 01:59:55,320 Speaker 1: wants in. You know, we may lose out the Ohio 1969 01:59:55,360 --> 01:59:57,360 Speaker 1: state and recruiting wars when we're not winning, but now 1970 01:59:57,360 --> 02:00:01,560 Speaker 1: that we're winning, those kids are going to stay. They're 1971 02:00:01,600 --> 02:00:04,320 Speaker 1: not those receivers that were going to Columbus Ohio probably 1972 02:00:04,360 --> 02:00:07,760 Speaker 1: going to say and quarterbacks that break records at Duke 1973 02:00:08,200 --> 02:00:10,000 Speaker 1: when they suddenly see that there's an opening for a 1974 02:00:10,040 --> 02:00:13,040 Speaker 1: quarterback here at Miami, they're going to want end. So 1975 02:00:14,960 --> 02:00:17,920 Speaker 1: I think this is the uh, this is what success 1976 02:00:17,920 --> 02:00:22,840 Speaker 1: means with these with this new system. But I mean, 1977 02:00:23,080 --> 02:00:25,000 Speaker 1: we've got to figure out a system where a contract 1978 02:00:25,080 --> 02:00:28,280 Speaker 1: means something, because again we've been on the wrong Miami's 1979 02:00:28,280 --> 02:00:31,040 Speaker 1: been on the wrong end of this. See Isaiah Horton, 1980 02:00:31,560 --> 02:00:34,440 Speaker 1: a few of these other guys, Kobe Young, a couple 1981 02:00:34,480 --> 02:00:39,360 Speaker 1: of receivers from last team. So it's none of us 1982 02:00:39,360 --> 02:00:42,800 Speaker 1: should be celebrating the fact that this can happen. We 1983 02:00:42,880 --> 02:00:44,960 Speaker 1: still need to figure out how to how to get 1984 02:00:45,600 --> 02:00:47,920 Speaker 1: and I promise you Congress is going to get involved. 1985 02:00:48,080 --> 02:00:51,200 Speaker 1: No one's going to cry for Duke. Okay, you know 1986 02:00:51,400 --> 02:00:53,960 Speaker 1: they've got plenty of money, private school, all of that, 1987 02:00:54,080 --> 02:00:58,400 Speaker 1: and again they went and poached from Tulane. Right, they 1988 02:00:58,440 --> 02:01:01,560 Speaker 1: were a predator. It just turned out they had a 1989 02:01:01,640 --> 02:01:05,320 Speaker 1: larger predator coming after them. All Right with that, I'm 1990 02:01:05,320 --> 02:01:08,560 Speaker 1: gonna take a break for forty eight hours. I'm now 1991 02:01:08,560 --> 02:01:13,160 Speaker 1: getting into all Canes mode. Apparently we're supposed to wear 1992 02:01:13,160 --> 02:01:15,680 Speaker 1: orange at the game tomorrow, not green, so you're gonna 1993 02:01:15,680 --> 02:01:17,960 Speaker 1: see a lot of red and orange. So fix your 1994 02:01:17,960 --> 02:01:21,480 Speaker 1: TV screens so that you can see the distinction between 1995 02:01:21,520 --> 02:01:23,040 Speaker 1: the red and the orange. And let's hope it's at 1996 02:01:23,120 --> 02:01:28,120 Speaker 1: least fifty fifty. My prediction is if Miami wins, they 1997 02:01:28,120 --> 02:01:33,920 Speaker 1: win the game twenty four to seventeen. I don't expect 1998 02:01:33,960 --> 02:01:37,640 Speaker 1: a super high scoring, but I think we hold Indiana 1999 02:01:37,720 --> 02:01:44,560 Speaker 1: under twenty four points. So twenty four twenty four Miami loses, 2000 02:01:45,440 --> 02:01:47,640 Speaker 1: I expect it to be something like twenty to seventeen. 2001 02:01:48,560 --> 02:01:53,520 Speaker 1: So there your scores, there's your hot takes. Thanks for 2002 02:01:54,760 --> 02:01:57,280 Speaker 1: humoring me on this journey this year with the college 2003 02:01:57,280 --> 02:01:59,880 Speaker 1: football Playoff, I did not expect that I was going 2004 02:01:59,920 --> 02:02:01,400 Speaker 1: to be able to ride this way all the way 2005 02:02:01,440 --> 02:02:05,680 Speaker 1: to the title game. That's been gravy, but that holy grail, 2006 02:02:05,720 --> 02:02:08,680 Speaker 1: I can touch it. Let's go get that chip. See 2007 02:02:08,680 --> 02:02:09,520 Speaker 1: you in forty eight hours.