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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast is presented by wind

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Speaker 1: ineligible states. To get started, all you have to do

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Speaker 1: is click on the Action Network link in this episode description. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's get things started, all right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty A.

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Speaker 4: Check this clock.

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Speaker 2: Stop dollars.

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Speaker 5: Oh my god, Bets, please stop.

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Speaker 3: Hold that dog.

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Speaker 5: It's a lad. It's not the size on the dog

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Speaker 5: in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog. Welcome

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Speaker 2: to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast, presented by win Bet.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Mike Calibery is the Action Network, and

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Speaker 2: I'm joined by my colleague Mike Ianello. As always, we're

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Speaker 2: back in the saddle. This is our week five. A

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Speaker 2: group of five deep dive and a little bit of housekeeping,

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Speaker 2: some fun stuff to report. Our underdog parlay in Week

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Speaker 2: four cash thanks to the hard work of Ua B

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Speaker 2: and Utsa. And this is pretty simple. My G five

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Speaker 2: Hero of the week is tied to that monumental comeback

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Speaker 2: by the Roadrunners in Memphis, and it's Sincere McCormick carrying

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Speaker 2: the ball forty two times. It struck me as like

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Speaker 2: a nineteen seventies kind of v offense or you know,

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Speaker 2: a student body left, student body right. Almost every play

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Speaker 2: was drawn up for him. I think John McKay was

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Speaker 2: the former coach. He used to say, you know, the

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Speaker 2: ball's not that heavy, so it's not that difficult to

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Speaker 2: carry it forty times. I would disagree, but he cashed

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Speaker 2: in for three touchdowns over one hundred and eighty yards

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Speaker 2: on the ground. And what I like is that we

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Speaker 2: talk about competency and teams having a true identity. Utsa

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Speaker 2: down the stretch, knew exactly what they were doing. And

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Speaker 2: I'll go ahead and pat myself on the back a

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Speaker 2: little bit. Memphis, starting an eighteen year old quarterback, had

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Speaker 2: an opportunity to lead a drive under five minutes put

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Speaker 2: them in a position to win the game, couldn't get

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Speaker 2: it done. The stage seemed a little bit too big

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Speaker 2: for him. So I went with the veteran team and

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Speaker 2: they pull it out of the fire for us and

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Speaker 2: helped cash a parlay north of five to one. Who's

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Speaker 2: your G five Hero of the week?

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Speaker 4: Mic, I'm just gonna I'm gonna give a group one here.

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Speaker 4: I'm just gonna give it to Bowling Green. Not only

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Speaker 4: did they win, but they got paid one point four

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Speaker 4: or five million dollars to go to Minnesota as a

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Speaker 4: thirty one point underdog and beat them on their home turf.

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Speaker 4: And you know, this wasn't a very good app State team.

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Speaker 4: You know, app State has proven to be one of

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Speaker 4: the better G five teams in the country. This was

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Speaker 4: an app State beating Michigan. You know, Bowling Green hasn't

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Speaker 4: beaten any FBS team since November twenty nineteen, and that

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Speaker 4: was Akron. Bowling Green is borderlined the worst team in

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Speaker 4: the country. And they just beat Minnesota at home and

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Speaker 4: they got paid a million and a half to do it.

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Speaker 2: It seems to come up a lot the idea of

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Speaker 2: getting paid to beat somebody. Just on a personal note,

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Speaker 2: is there any activity you ever take advantage of where

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Speaker 2: you get paid, but actually you're benefiting on top of it.

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Speaker 2: Like you ever get to house sit where like the

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Speaker 2: dog's amazing and the house is beautiful and you get paid.

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Speaker 2: Have you ever had an experience where you're getting that

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Speaker 2: double value at the same time.

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Speaker 4: Well, I mean, we get paid by action er to

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Speaker 4: win bets, so I guess we're kind of doubling down

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Speaker 4: on that, aren't We were getting paid a college football.

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Speaker 2: As always, You've set me up perfectly for my best

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Speaker 2: bet of the week. You mentioned Bowling Green, who statistically

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Speaker 2: is still not very good, and I am more than

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Speaker 2: happy to fade the positivity going for the Falcons right

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Speaker 2: now and go ahead with a team that talk about,

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Speaker 2: like us just being all over a team this year.

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Speaker 2: We picked against Kent State three separate times twice on

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Speaker 2: my side of the show, and you went ahead last

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Speaker 2: week and faded them against Maryland. They're owing three in

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Speaker 2: those spots, so you know, three straight winners from us.

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Speaker 2: I'm finally ready to embrace Sean Lewis, who thinks that

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Speaker 2: every game is the super Bowl. Coaches like he's a

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Speaker 2: total maniac.

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Speaker 4: What's your problem?

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Speaker 1: What's your problem?

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Speaker 4: The super Bowl?

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Speaker 2: The offense. Last week, I finally saw what I needed

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Speaker 2: to see. They had their entire receiving corps together. Joshan

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Speaker 2: pok ends up joining Nikeem Johnson and Stephas Cephas had

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Speaker 2: a huge game against Maryland. You know, went for over

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Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty yards receiving, and I think this

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Speaker 2: is finally an opportunity where Dustin Crumb puts it all together.

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Speaker 2: He had over three hundred yards passing, a clean sheet,

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Speaker 2: no interceptions, no turnovers, had a twenty five yard run

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Speaker 2: on a scramble as well. I think they finally put

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Speaker 2: it together and it survived this gauntlet, with the exception

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Speaker 2: of VMI, They had to play Iowa, Texas A and

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Speaker 2: m Maryland. You know, that's probably by the end of

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Speaker 2: the season three top twenty five teams. Laying only sixteen

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Speaker 2: and a half in the spot against the Falcons, I

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Speaker 2: think is a gift. You know, Bowling Green's only scoring

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Speaker 2: sixteen and a half points per game. So even though

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Speaker 2: they shock Minnesota, they do it with just two touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: and I don't think that's going to cut it in

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Speaker 2: MAC play. I think they're going to be exposed and

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Speaker 2: I think they're going to get boat raced in a

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Speaker 2: few spots. On top of it, they're one hundred and

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Speaker 2: twenty fourth in total offense, so it's not like they've

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Speaker 2: been sneaked bit on third downs or not cashing in

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Speaker 2: the red zone. They just can't move the football all together.

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Speaker 2: And then finally, something that I talked about in the

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Speaker 2: A and M game, in the Iowa game with Kent State,

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Speaker 2: Kent State's achilles heel is they can't.

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Speaker 4: Stop the run.

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Speaker 2: And that's not going to change because they can't switch

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Speaker 2: personnel midseason, and really you can only do so much

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Speaker 2: from a schematic perspective. Don't worry. Bowling Green dead last

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Speaker 2: in the FBS in Russian, so everything to me is

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Speaker 2: pointing Kent State. I think this is a neck crack

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Speaker 2: game for them. They're gonna feel good about themselves and

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Speaker 2: win by you know, three plus touchdowns. So sixteen and

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Speaker 2: a half I think is a number to take advantage of.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, like you said, I think Bowling Green's offense is

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Speaker 4: still not very good. The only thing that you know,

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Speaker 4: I will say, give Bowling Green credit. I don't know

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Speaker 4: that any team has ever had a better addition by

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Speaker 4: subtraction than Bowling Green. When Brian Van Gorder retired. I

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Speaker 4: bet you the Bowling Green fans through him a retirement party,

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Speaker 4: very similar to Michael Scott throwing a goodbye party for

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Speaker 4: Toby where they were just goodbye Brian, goodbye Brian, because

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Speaker 4: I mean, look, look how much better defense looks immediately

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Speaker 4: just by him leaving.

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Speaker 2: I think that's a perfect analogy. And I hope that

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Speaker 2: we can keep the office analogies going here and not

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Speaker 2: pull Kevin Malone and spill our best bet chili all

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Speaker 2: over the floor because last week we didn't hit either.

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Speaker 2: After getting off to just a really hot start, I

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Speaker 2: think we're nine to one to start the year. So

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Speaker 2: let's pair it up with another winner here. Who do

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Speaker 2: you like is your best bet in week five?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? So, like you said, we need to get back

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Speaker 4: on track with the best bets. So I'm going back

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Speaker 4: to old faithful. At this point, we are the big

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Speaker 4: Bets on campus podcast group of five Deep Dive sponsored

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Speaker 4: by win Bet and the Fresno State Bulldogs. I'm going

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Speaker 4: back to our beloved Bulldogs. Look, we all know how

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Speaker 4: much everyone who listens knows how much we love Jake Hanner.

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Speaker 4: He's balling out all over the place. Fifteen touchdowns, two picks.

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Speaker 4: Jalen Cropper is awesome, leads the country with eight touchdowns.

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Speaker 4: Josh Kelly's been great, Ronnie Rivers has been The Hawaii

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Speaker 4: pass defense ranks one hundred and twelfth in the country

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Speaker 4: and they're one hundred and sixteenth on finishing drives. This

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Speaker 4: offense is going to torch them. But for me, what

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Speaker 4: I really liked about this and what kind of flies

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Speaker 4: under the raider Considering how well Hayner's played. The Friends

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Speaker 4: of State defense has been awesome. They ranked twenty six

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Speaker 4: and passing success rate on defense, they held both and

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Speaker 4: UCLA under four hundred toll yards. We've talked about this before.

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Speaker 4: I do not believe in Cordero at all for Hawaii.

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Speaker 4: He's got sevent tv six picks. I just don't think

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Speaker 4: he's that good. And the biggest thing, too is Fresno

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Speaker 4: State's defense ranks fourteenth and have a great this season.

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Speaker 4: The Hawaii offense is one hundred and second at preventing havoc.

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Speaker 4: That defense is going to live in the backfield. They're

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Speaker 4: going to force Pudero to make mistakes. The Fresno State

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Speaker 4: secondary has been awesome all season, and yeah, I think

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Speaker 4: this line's a little low just because people, you know, oh,

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Speaker 4: they're going to Hawaii. They're going to Hawaii. There's gonna

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Speaker 4: be no fans there. They really don't have a home

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Speaker 4: field advantage. I don't know that, you know, I don't

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Speaker 4: know what they're factoring in the Hawaii home field advantage,

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Speaker 4: but I think it's too much here. And right now,

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Speaker 4: win bet is the only book offering Fresno State at

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Speaker 4: minus ten instead of ten and a half, So make

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Speaker 4: sure you get that from win bet right now.

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Speaker 2: Just to piggyback on that a little bit. They have

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Speaker 2: their letdown game after the UCLA win, you know, against

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Speaker 2: UNLB that was a stay away spot for me because

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Speaker 2: I think it had letdown and rent all over it.

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Speaker 2: And then Hawaii on the other side, they cover against

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Speaker 2: New Mexico State, which was a tough melt in the

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Speaker 2: fourth quarter, New Mexico State covering the whole way, and

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Speaker 2: then they get themselves in like a fourth and thirty

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Speaker 2: five and decide to go for it like it's NFL

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Speaker 2: blitz and you can just pick up thirty five yards.

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Speaker 2: They don't pick it up. Hawaii scores they end up covering.

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Speaker 2: It was a sad sad cowboy situation for me, just

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Speaker 2: kind of being on my lonesome on the range, having

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Speaker 2: put my faith in one of the worst teams in

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Speaker 2: the FBS.

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Speaker 3: It's I'm put my guns in the ground, I can't

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Speaker 3: shoot them in.

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Speaker 2: So Hawaii getting a little bit of a bump I

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Speaker 2: think is undeserved in that spot. So I'm with you.

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Speaker 2: So now we're going to transition to our underdog moneyline

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Speaker 2: parlay here in week five.

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Speaker 6: Turning good weekends in two great weekends, it's time for

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Speaker 6: the money line parlay.

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Speaker 2: This is one that we've hit twice already this season,

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Speaker 2: and it can be really lucrative if you pair up

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Speaker 2: the right teams as as per usual, one is a

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Speaker 2: little bit conservative and one's out there. So why don't

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Speaker 2: we start with the conservative pick before you know, people

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Speaker 2: get a little too gun shy of what we're throwing

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Speaker 2: out here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm I'm gonna play. I would say a little

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Speaker 4: bit safe, but you know, you know me, I have

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Speaker 4: to go to a ma action game. I'm taking Eastern

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Speaker 4: Michigan plus one twenty at Northern Illinois. You know, we

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Speaker 4: kind of faded Eastern Michigan earlier this year. Preston Hodginson

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Speaker 4: just has struggled kind of early on this season. They

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Speaker 4: made the quarterback switch. They went to Ben Bryant, who

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Speaker 4: is a transfer from Cincinnati. He started Week three and four.

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Speaker 4: He's looked much better. He coated sixty five percent of

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Speaker 4: his passes, four touchdowns, no picks. He's very mobile, which

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Speaker 4: is good something Hudginson doesn't really bring. This Eastern Michigan

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Speaker 4: team is just very experienced. They would turned twenty one starters.

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Speaker 4: They have two good running backs in Jowan Hamilton and

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Speaker 4: Darius Boon. Offense is greatlast year of finishing drives, and

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Speaker 4: you know, their run defense was horrible last year. That

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Speaker 4: was kind of their big issue. But they have looked

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Speaker 4: a little bit better this year. Three and one, you know,

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Speaker 4: beat teams. Really they needed to beat beat Saint Francis,

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Speaker 4: beat you Mass. They smoked Texas State last week, which

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Speaker 4: I was good to see. And obviously, yeah, their one

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Speaker 4: loss was to Wisconsin, but you kind of have to

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Speaker 4: expect that. And you know, we've talked about it before.

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Speaker 4: I'm just not to believe in Rocky Lombardi. He's got

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Speaker 4: five touchdowns five interceptions this year. This Northern Illinois team

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Speaker 4: is still very young. Most of them are true freshmen

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Speaker 4: last year, so now they're just sophomores this year, and

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Speaker 4: Eastern Michigan returns basically all of their starters. So I

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Speaker 4: just to me, I think Eastern Michigan is the better team.

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Speaker 4: So this is kind of a wrong team favorite situation

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Speaker 4: in my opinion, So I'll take Eastern Michigan at plus

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Speaker 4: one twenty against Northern Illinois.

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Speaker 2: We've touched upon it a few times here in the

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Speaker 2: podcast in the opening six weeks, you know, dating back

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Speaker 2: to Week zero and some of the preseason content. It's

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Speaker 2: interesting that there's been multiple teams that have pulled off

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Speaker 2: the multi QB look and it's actually been a positive.

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Speaker 2: I know that Hutchinson's been phased out more and more

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Speaker 2: and Ben Bryant has kind of embraced that QB one designation,

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Speaker 2: but even when they're both playing, they're still moving the

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Speaker 2: football and they're scoring points. So I like that play there.

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Speaker 2: I teed it up as my pick being a little

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Speaker 2: bit more ambitious, and I think it's certainly more ambitious.

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Speaker 2: Plus three fifty five. We're talking about the South Alabama

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Speaker 2: Jaguars to knock off Louisiana, and it's pretty simple when

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Speaker 2: you look at the sun Belt from the preseason and really,

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Speaker 2: you know, a month into the year as we turned

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Speaker 2: to conference play, the sun Belt was a story of

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Speaker 2: two divisions. The East was loaded. You had app State,

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Speaker 2: he had Coastal Carolina, and the West was viewed as

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Speaker 2: a one team race Louisiana, which is going to take

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Speaker 2: it cruise into the title game. And they had some

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Speaker 2: of the worst teams in the sun Belt situated there

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Speaker 2: in the West. But I think it's I think there's

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Speaker 2: value here. I mean, I've already plucked Texas State at

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Speaker 2: times this year. You know, they cover against Baylor in

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Speaker 2: a game that they were in it for four quarters.

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Speaker 2: And South Alabama is off to a three and zho start.

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Speaker 2: Kane Womack, their head coach, has done a really nice

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Speaker 2: job coming down from Indiana. And really it's come down

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Speaker 2: to transforming their defense, which was at best in average

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Speaker 2: Sunbelt defense. At worst, they were just getting punked last year.

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Speaker 2: It's not happening this year. I'm just going to run

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Speaker 2: down some stats real quick. They are first nationally in

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Speaker 2: third down defense, They are fourth against the run, top

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Speaker 2: twenty in interception and sack rate, and they're forcing three

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Speaker 2: turnovers per game. Now, I understand that they played Bowling Green,

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Speaker 2: who we've detailed. You know that they're not exactly world beaters.

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Speaker 2: They played Southern mist they played an FCS school, but

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Speaker 2: they did what they were supposed to do. They won

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Speaker 2: all three of those games. And I think what's nice

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Speaker 2: about what South Alabama is doing is so they finally

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Speaker 2: have a running game to compliment Jalen Tolbert, a guy

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Speaker 2: dating back to last year's last five games, he's averaging

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Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty two yards receiving per game. He's

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Speaker 2: a big kid, He's got an NFL future. He six

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Speaker 2: foot three. He can make explosive plays, he can catch

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Speaker 2: those contested passes, you know, breaking games wide open. And

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Speaker 2: Jake Bentley has provided exactly what I was hoping that

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Speaker 2: Ja Bentley would in the spot for South Alabama, which

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Speaker 2: is he's been competent. He hasn't tried to win the

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Speaker 2: games on his own shoulders. He's over sixty percent completions,

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Speaker 2: he only has one interception. So when you pair that

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Speaker 2: with the defense that has been really stout has done

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Speaker 2: a nice job in terms of, you know, creating havoc

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Speaker 2: visa vie where they were last year, all of that

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Speaker 2: starts to creep in against a Louisiana team that in

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Speaker 2: my opinion, what's happened is that Levi Lewis has gotten

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Speaker 2: a little bit better. He's but more the game plan

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Speaker 2: on his shoulders. But this was really a running team

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Speaker 2: that liked to win close games. Losing Trey Regis, losing

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Speaker 2: Elijah Mitchell to the NFL, you know, now working with

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Speaker 2: the forty nine ers in their backfield, it's just not

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Speaker 2: the same. And their yards per carrey has taken a

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Speaker 2: real dip there at four point one yards per Carrie,

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Speaker 2: only one hundred and fifty one yards per game. And

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Speaker 2: because of that, I think you're going to see a

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Speaker 2: familiar script playout, which is the raising Cajun's letting a

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Speaker 2: team that's not that good hangarounds. Dating back to last season,

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Speaker 2: they've played in nine one score games, and it wasn't

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Speaker 2: just you know, when they took a step up against

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Speaker 2: an Iowa State, they actually won that game, you know,

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Speaker 2: running away. It wasn't against Texas in a game that

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Speaker 2: they got blown out this year. When you look back

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Speaker 2: across their last two seasons, in a lot of cases,

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Speaker 2: you got games against Nicols State and was lost in

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Speaker 2: Week two Georgia Southern twice. You know, the last two

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Speaker 2: years has been a one possession game Georgia State. This

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Speaker 2: team has been playing with fire, and I think it's

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Speaker 2: time they finally get burns. I only go with the

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Speaker 2: Jags here, as I always like to ask, you know,

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Speaker 2: when I throw out these picks, is it too crazy

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Speaker 2: or just your right level of kookiness?

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Speaker 4: It's just crazy enough. I think a it helps that

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Speaker 4: we won our We hit this last week, so we

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Speaker 4: have a little money in our pocket to play with.

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Speaker 4: You know, I feel a lot more comfortable going big

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Speaker 4: game hunting after a win. I've kind of been on

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Speaker 4: the Fate Louisiana train a little bit. They got a

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Speaker 4: ton of hype this offseason. I was very happy to

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Speaker 4: bet Texas against them week won. I bet Coast will

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Speaker 4: win the Sunbelt. So I've kind of been and fade

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Speaker 4: them a little bit already. And like you said, I

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Speaker 4: think the loss of the two running backs has been

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Speaker 4: very noticeable, you know, especially the first couple of weeks.

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Speaker 4: They they looked, they like they didn't know who to

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Speaker 4: give the ball to. They were road hating backs. No

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Speaker 4: one stepped up. Leeby Lewis was great last year in

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Speaker 4: kind of that do enough to win the game role.

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Speaker 4: He was awesome at it. And now that he's the dude,

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Speaker 4: he's proven kind of not to be. And having a

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Speaker 4: veteran quarterback in Jake Bentley, who's like thirty five, he's

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Speaker 4: been in college, you know, when he first started at

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Speaker 4: South Carolina, he was throwing pastes the guys like Hayden

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Speaker 4: Hurst and Deebo Samuel. It's like they've been in the

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Speaker 4: NFL for like three years. I like it. I don't

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Speaker 4: think it's that crazy. I't all, to be honest with you.

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Speaker 2: He's probably got recruited by who Lou Holtz or Steve

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Speaker 2: Spurrier somewhere way back in time for South Carolina was

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Speaker 2: probably getting his in home visit.

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Speaker 4: Last time he got crazy, it worked.

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Speaker 2: And speaking of crazy, you're going to want to go

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Speaker 2: ahead and consult the updated win odds. But as of

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Speaker 2: right now, it's plus eight twenty five on that parlay.

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Speaker 2: So two games, as our voiceover Angel likes to say,

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Speaker 2: turning good weekends into great weekends. Hopefully we can cash

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Speaker 2: in there.

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Speaker 1: Scared money don't make money, you know.

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Speaker 2: And now was a quick reminder to our listeners. Big

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Speaker 2: Bets on Campus podcast is presented by win Bet Sportsbook

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Speaker 2: older to gamble, know when to stop before you start.

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Speaker 2: Gambling problem Call one eight hundred gambler. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: get back to the show. The G five High five here,

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Speaker 2: So the G five High five Round Robin four, Week five.

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Speaker 6: The G five High five.

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Speaker 4: Should we high five high five?

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Speaker 2: We got five picks here. I'm actually feeling really good

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Speaker 2: about it. We talked in the preseason. We talked in

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Speaker 2: week one and week two basically saying, hey, stick with us.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be difficult to get consistency and a

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Speaker 2: good feel on a week week basis on some of

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Speaker 2: the G five teams just they're always playing up in

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Speaker 2: competition non conference play. We're finally here, almost in earnest

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Speaker 2: across the board for conference play, and because of that,

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Speaker 2: it made it, at least from my perspective, a lot

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Speaker 2: easier to find the value. And also looking at teams

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Speaker 2: that the public has been down on, you know, they

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Speaker 2: may limp into conference play one in three or two

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Speaker 2: and two having taken some some serious, high scoring losses

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Speaker 2: to Power five teams. Because of that, I think it

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00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:26,120
Speaker 2: sets up for some real value to be mined out

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Speaker 2: of here. Let's go ahead of NTP your first one

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Speaker 2: as part of our five pack.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, for my first one, I'm gonna go with the five.

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Speaker 4: I think it's gonna be a really fun game. I'm

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Speaker 4: going with Tulane at East Carolina over sixty four and

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Speaker 4: a half. To me, this has all the makings of

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Speaker 4: a shootout. East Carolina ranks ninety seventh in passing success

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Speaker 4: rate on defense to Lane ranks ninety eighth. Both of

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Speaker 4: these teams are allowing over four hundred and fifty yards

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Speaker 4: per game five point nine yards per play, and both

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00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:57,880
Speaker 4: teams have good quarterbacks that I like. You know, Pratt's

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Speaker 4: got ten touchdowns and two picks on the year, up

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Speaker 4: three hundred yards last week against a really good UAB defense.

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00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:06,280
Speaker 4: ECU has been inconsistent at times, but they put up

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Speaker 4: five hundred and sixty one yards against Memphis, who's also

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Speaker 4: a Marshall who has a very good defense. Holand Ayler

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00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:14,679
Speaker 4: is super three hundred and sixty eight yards in that

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Speaker 4: game against Marshall. So you know when Aylers is on,

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Speaker 4: We've seen it. We saw it last year. He can

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Speaker 4: light them up. Both of these teams are run very fast.

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Speaker 4: They both rank in the top forty in place per minute,

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Speaker 4: and they both rank on the outside of the top

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Speaker 4: ninety in tackling. So combine those together, great quarterbacks, really

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Speaker 4: bad pass defenses, I think this can be a shootout.

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Speaker 4: Give me over sixty four and a half to lane

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Speaker 4: it at East Carolina.

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Speaker 2: If I had under in this game, from the very

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Speaker 2: moment it starts, I'm sweating. I need red zone turnovers.

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Speaker 2: I need some some weird inefficiencies to be able to

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Speaker 2: go under that number. Because I agree both of these

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Speaker 2: offenses can pop either one of them. If you told

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Speaker 2: me they scored forty points in this game, I wouldn't

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Speaker 2: blink an eye, so I agree. I think that all

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Speaker 2: the upside on this is on the over for the

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Speaker 2: first one. I'll keep this simple. SMU minus twenty and

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Speaker 2: a half playing against the South Florida team that had

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00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:07,280
Speaker 2: a fly almost all the way across the country to

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Speaker 2: play BYU last week. They get a huge break in

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Speaker 2: Jaron Hall, you know, being a late scratch, and because

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Speaker 2: of that, I think you saw BYU kind of just

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Speaker 2: you know, fulled up shop in the second half. They

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Speaker 2: didn't push the envelope in the second half, they end

433
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 2: up not covering. I don't think it's because South Florida

434
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,160
Speaker 2: all of a sudden is this stout defense and they're

435
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:28,680
Speaker 2: gonna have to face an SMU passing attack that has

436
00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:31,720
Speaker 2: been electric, to say the least. Tanner Mordecai, a plug

437
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 2: and play guy, comes in from Oklahoma, has an embarrassment

438
00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 2: of riches at wide receiver Danny Gray has just been

439
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:41,520
Speaker 2: killing teams. He's thrown at least four touchdown passes in

440
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,000
Speaker 2: his four starts for SMU. He's up to twenty on

441
00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:47,200
Speaker 2: the season. They are now hitting nine point one yards

442
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:50,240
Speaker 2: per attempt. When Mordecai lets it fly. And on top

443
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:54,320
Speaker 2: of that, passing plays of twenty yards or more, they're

444
00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 2: top ten nationally. So it's not dink and dunk. It's

445
00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:58,680
Speaker 2: not a spread you out to beat you by death

446
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:00,760
Speaker 2: by a thousand cuts. This team that's going to make

447
00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:03,520
Speaker 2: chunk plays and because of that, I think they are

448
00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 2: in a spot to score a lot against the South

449
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:09,640
Speaker 2: Florida defense, which honestly, I still don't think that they

450
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,880
Speaker 2: can generate enough pressure to force Mordecai into some mistakes.

451
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:14,640
Speaker 2: And that's what you've seen through him this year. He's

452
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,800
Speaker 2: been electric. He's pushed the ball down the field lots

453
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 2: of touchdowns, but he has had a decent amount of interceptions.

454
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:22,800
Speaker 2: He saw it last week against TCU kept the horn

455
00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:24,680
Speaker 2: Frogs in that game. I think he'll get that cleaned

456
00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 2: up in this spot. And then finally, the South Florida offense,

457
00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:30,159
Speaker 2: having watched them a few times this year, when you

458
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 2: look at what happened in the opener against NC State,

459
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,800
Speaker 2: they end up getting shut out. Timmy McClain comes in

460
00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:38,480
Speaker 2: and he's done a nice job of extending plays, but

461
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:41,159
Speaker 2: when he's under pressure, he's turned the ball over. And

462
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,600
Speaker 2: this SMU team, when you look at the Pro Football

463
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:47,159
Speaker 2: Focused rankings for overall pass rush their top twenty. So

464
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:49,320
Speaker 2: even though they haven't got to the quarterback in terms

465
00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:52,040
Speaker 2: of their raw sack numbers this year, they have a

466
00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:53,879
Speaker 2: lot of hurries and I think they're going to force

467
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,879
Speaker 2: McLean into some mistakes in this one. So I actually

468
00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 2: had this at twenty seven and a half of my

469
00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 2: power rankings. To see it touchdown off at twenty and

470
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 2: a half, I'll go ahead and take the Mustangs here.

471
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on that one?

472
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 4: I had a written down. You know, we talked about

473
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:07,920
Speaker 4: earlier in the year kind of those those G five

474
00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:10,680
Speaker 4: quarterbacks who were gonna fly up the draft rankings this year.

475
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,359
Speaker 4: We talked about, you know, the Carson Strong, the Dustin Crumbs,

476
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:16,400
Speaker 4: Jay Caners, Harry Morriy. Guy's playing himself in that discussion.

477
00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 4: He's been auto. He's just throwing the ball all over

478
00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,880
Speaker 4: the yard, and obviously, you know, having that Oklahoma pedigree

479
00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:22,800
Speaker 4: behind him too kind of makes him look a little

480
00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:24,679
Speaker 4: better as well. So it was definitely on my on

481
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,720
Speaker 4: my card of consideration for my next one, I'm back

482
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,919
Speaker 4: in a team we faded last week. I'm going with

483
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:33,440
Speaker 4: Memphis minus eleven at Temple. You know, this Memphis offense

484
00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,480
Speaker 4: has never been the problem. They lead to aac and

485
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,840
Speaker 4: with seven point twenty five yards per play freshman Seth Henigan,

486
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,080
Speaker 4: it wasn't even expected to be The guys has looked

487
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:42,920
Speaker 4: really good. You know, he's averaging two hundred and ninet

488
00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:45,680
Speaker 4: two yards per game, nine touchdowns, just one pick. They

489
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 4: have three really good running backs. They use Brandon Thomas,

490
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 4: Rodriguez clark Ausesain Martin, and then obviously we've talked a

491
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 4: lot about, you know, the human electric factory that is

492
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,600
Speaker 4: Calvin Austin the third second in the country now with

493
00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 4: with five hundred and thirty three yards and seven touchdowns.

494
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 4: They beat good Arkansas State team, they beat Misissippi State,

495
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 4: and then yeah, they lost last week to Utsa who

496
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,199
Speaker 4: ran it down their throat, and we knew they were

497
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 4: going to do that. That's why we called it. Temple's

498
00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 4: not going to do that. Temple is the last in

499
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 4: the American and rushing they're ninety eighth in the country

500
00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:17,719
Speaker 4: in rushing success rate. They're also one hundredth in passing

501
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 4: success rate. They're expected to start a running back coming

502
00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 4: into this year. Last year's leader Iverson Clement he left

503
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 4: the team, so he's gone. Their their quarterback from last year,

504
00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:29,679
Speaker 4: Anthony Russo, he's off to Michigan State. So you know,

505
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:32,919
Speaker 4: Dewan Mathis is their quarterback. He has not looked good.

506
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 4: And you know, you look at you look into Temple's numbers,

507
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:37,600
Speaker 4: and the first thing that kind of jumps out of

508
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,200
Speaker 4: you that's a bit surprising is their pass defense has

509
00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:44,400
Speaker 4: been excellent this year. But they've played Rutgers, Akron, Boston

510
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:48,520
Speaker 4: College is backup quarterback and Wagner. So I'm not buying

511
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 4: those numbers. I don't think, you know, Rutgers never Rutgers

512
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:54,200
Speaker 4: doesn't even try to pass. Akron is probably the worst

513
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,399
Speaker 4: passing team in the country. And they played you know,

514
00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 4: they held BC's backup in check and then obviously Wagner,

515
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 4: so I didn't This Memphis team is just significantly better

516
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,720
Speaker 4: than Temp widing Temple's, you know, probably the worst team

517
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:08,560
Speaker 4: in the American if not close to it. So I'll

518
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 4: lady eleven with Memphis. I think they bounce back after

519
00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:12,119
Speaker 4: that that tough loss to you TSA.

520
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, seeing a heartbreaking loss like that to UTSA really

521
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 2: to me, I think it just validates how good Memphis

522
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 2: can be when when they get it all together to

523
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:23,800
Speaker 2: be able to race out to a lead like that

524
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 2: and to have that offensive balance. I agree. I think

525
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:28,919
Speaker 2: Temple is going to be totally outguns in this spot

526
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:32,199
Speaker 2: with a non existent home field, so there's really no

527
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:34,719
Speaker 2: reason to get excited about now play there. So I

528
00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 2: like that one. I'm going to turn to one that

529
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 2: we may may disagree on, and this is a name

530
00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 2: that you've probably heard a few times here on the pod.

531
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 2: Bailey Zappi leading the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.

532
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:48,359
Speaker 6: Bailey Zappi.

533
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,840
Speaker 2: They're perfect against the spread this year. You know, in

534
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 2: that very first week we had a few picks team

535
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 2: total on the spread against UT Martin. He ends up

536
00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 2: going ballistic in that game. Since then, I've been on

537
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 2: the sideline because you know, they play army. I think

538
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 2: to myself, that's a tough spot where you could be

539
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 2: off the field for eight or nine minutes. They score

540
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:10,879
Speaker 2: thirty five points, they cover. That's you know, in this

541
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 2: spot in West Point, playing on nine to eleven, one

542
00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:17,920
Speaker 2: of the most electric crowds of all time at West Point,

543
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,240
Speaker 2: just the fact that they walked into that hornet's nest

544
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:22,640
Speaker 2: and we're really an on site kick recovery away from

545
00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 2: winning that game, I think is really impressive for WKU.

546
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:28,840
Speaker 2: And then they go and play Indiana, a team that

547
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 2: defensively really should have been able to match up much

548
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:34,200
Speaker 2: better against them. They score a lot of points there,

549
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 2: they cover another number, and here they come again against

550
00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 2: Michigan State, who's coming off in overtime. You know, victory

551
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 2: over Nebraska, a game that required a miracle, that fluky

552
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 2: trick play almost on that punt return ends up getting

553
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 2: them tied since overtime they win the game. Getting eleven

554
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:52,480
Speaker 2: points here I think is too much because what do

555
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:55,879
Speaker 2: we know about Western Kentucky. They're a top fifteen offense

556
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:59,159
Speaker 2: in total offense, they're top two, top three in almost

557
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 2: every passing metro, so they can really do that through

558
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,080
Speaker 2: the air. And Michigan State eighty first in total defense

559
00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:07,040
Speaker 2: but one hundred and seventh in past defense. I know

560
00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:10,880
Speaker 2: they've played some good teams in Miami. You know, Nebraska

561
00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 2: was able to move the ball on the ground and

562
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:15,400
Speaker 2: through the air. But I think this is a red

563
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 2: flag game for Michigan State. And another small point, I

564
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:22,160
Speaker 2: know there's different coaching staffs and sometimes these historical numbers

565
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:24,880
Speaker 2: are of no value to gamblers. But I think this

566
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,840
Speaker 2: is an interesting fact since twenty fifteen, Michigan State is

567
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,359
Speaker 2: dead last in the Big Ten against the spread in

568
00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 2: non conference games seven and fifteen, and talk about a

569
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,960
Speaker 2: letdown spot and that weird kind of like sandwich where

570
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:39,040
Speaker 2: you're in conference play but then you're back out into

571
00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:41,080
Speaker 2: non conference play. This will mean a lot to the

572
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:43,160
Speaker 2: Western Kentucky kids. I'm not sure you're going to see

573
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,639
Speaker 2: the same kind of energy out of the Spartans. I

574
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 2: know exactly what I'm getting out of a Zapi and

575
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:50,840
Speaker 2: the aerial Tech, so I'm going to go ahead with them.

576
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:53,320
Speaker 2: I like the eleven. I had this at seven and

577
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,760
Speaker 2: a half, so to cross over that key number of ten,

578
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,679
Speaker 2: I think that's where the value is. If you disagree

579
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 2: with me, that's fine. Maybe we can gets a mini

580
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:04,199
Speaker 2: bet or another conference flag bet on the table, but

581
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 2: talk me out of hypothetically this Western Kentucky play.

582
00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:15,200
Speaker 3: We can't see very no good guys, very.

583
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:16,439
Speaker 4: No bad guys.

584
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 3: There's only you and me, and we just disagree.

585
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:29,159
Speaker 4: Look, I love Bailey Zappy and I hate having to

586
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:31,639
Speaker 4: go against him here. Hey, we're a team here. I'm

587
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,919
Speaker 4: rooting for Western Kentucky now because I want the G

588
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 4: five to high five Week five to do very well.

589
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,000
Speaker 4: But this makes me super nervous. I know you talked

590
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 4: about Michigan State's you know, passing success rate, and that

591
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,800
Speaker 4: is concerning, but they also have a twenty seventh best

592
00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:47,919
Speaker 4: coverage grade according to Pro Football Focus, so you know

593
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,520
Speaker 4: their corners have been covering guys well. For me, that

594
00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:52,560
Speaker 4: this comes down to the trenches, I think it's gonna

595
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:55,240
Speaker 4: be big ten football bullyball mission. You know, Indiana doesn't

596
00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 4: really play that style, but Michigan State certainly does. Michigan

597
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:02,920
Speaker 4: State is first in the country in rushing success on offense.

598
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 4: Kenneth Walker has been a beast. He leads the country

599
00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 4: in rushing. He's a man possessed. Western Kentucky is one

600
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty seventh in rush defense. Michigan State is

601
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:15,600
Speaker 4: going to absolutely run it down their throat all game long,

602
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 4: and the Hilltoppers are not gonna be able to stop them.

603
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 4: I just think this is gonna get you know, Michigan

604
00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:22,360
Speaker 4: State is gonna push them around both sides of the ball.

605
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:26,040
Speaker 4: Paynthorne has been surprisingly good for Michigan State. Ten touchdowns,

606
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 4: just one pick, so he's clearly taking a big step forward,

607
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,399
Speaker 4: which is big for them. I don't know. I'm nervous

608
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:34,119
Speaker 4: about this one. I'm rooting for you. I hope you

609
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:36,479
Speaker 4: cover for the podcast sake, but I think this get

610
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:38,280
Speaker 4: I think Michigan State just bullies them.

611
00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:41,640
Speaker 2: I probably should look through the cameo library to see

612
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 2: what Michigan State quarterback I can pay to wish you

613
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 2: well and back in the sporting so here. Maybe a

614
00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 2: Tony Banks.

615
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:49,080
Speaker 4: Jeff Smoker probably can't be Rocky Onmbardi the amount of

616
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 4: times I've ripped him on this podcast.

617
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 2: We need one more. Gonna go with UTEP.

618
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,640
Speaker 6: We're talking minor nation out.

619
00:28:57,360 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 3: In the West Ticks in town O l pass picks up.

620
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 2: Listen the Miners. I believe that they win this week,

621
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 2: they will have surpassed their win total for the entire season.

622
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 2: So not a lot of people were buying on West

623
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 2: Texas the pride of West Texas in this spot. They're

624
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 2: a much better team. The reason why I think they're

625
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,360
Speaker 2: a much better team is because due to some injuries

626
00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 2: and some shuffling in their backfield, they had to grow

627
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:24,680
Speaker 2: up quickly through the passing game, and they have Hardison

628
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 2: at Jacob Calling have connected in a major way. He's

629
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,400
Speaker 2: over ten yards per attempt. Cowing is twenty three point

630
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:34,760
Speaker 2: four yards per reception, which is top five nationally. And

631
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,200
Speaker 2: now that Hankins is back, he hasn't even really been

632
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 2: needed when you look at their performances against New Mexico

633
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 2: State and New Mexico. In both of those wins, he

634
00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,800
Speaker 2: was either injured or limited. So I think this is

635
00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:49,520
Speaker 2: a UTEP team that is still being undervalued. It's pretty

636
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:52,080
Speaker 2: rare to see the minus next to UTEP. I think

637
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 2: last week they were minus one. It's all the way

638
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 2: up to five and a half. But this is an

639
00:29:55,520 --> 00:30:00,120
Speaker 2: ODU team that got their heartbroken last week against your darling,

640
00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 2: you know, the Buffalo Bulls missing that extra point kind

641
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 2: of push into overtime. That's a gut punch. And for

642
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,520
Speaker 2: a team to then have to travel halfway across the

643
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 2: country for a game that's I think there's an interesting

644
00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 2: home field advantage in the Sun Bowl. And finally, UTEP

645
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,080
Speaker 2: has a little bit of juice, so I think you'll

646
00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:19,240
Speaker 2: see the crowd give them a little bit of a

647
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 2: bump here. And I mentioned a few times my power

648
00:30:22,360 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 2: rankings when I was consulting it. This is purely on that.

649
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:26,719
Speaker 2: I had them minus nine and a half minus ten

650
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 2: rate on that line. So to go under the key

651
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:30,760
Speaker 2: number of a touchdown five and a half, give me

652
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:32,800
Speaker 2: the miners. I'm ready to keep rolling with them.

653
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 4: Yeah. So one of the ones I really don't have

654
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:36,200
Speaker 4: a feel for, but I trust you. I know we

655
00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:38,240
Speaker 4: back you kept before. Did we take them last week

656
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 4: or I think.

657
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 2: Yes we did that. They were able to handle New Mexico.

658
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:44,000
Speaker 2: I think twenty to thirteen to kind of a pillow

659
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:46,800
Speaker 2: fight there, but the defense once again bowed their neck

660
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,840
Speaker 2: surprisingly good against the run. I think you'll continue to

661
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 2: see that this weekend.

662
00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:51,480
Speaker 4: Minor Nation.

663
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 2: Any final thoughts on the G five slate, Maybe something

664
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:56,400
Speaker 2: that was left on the cutting room floor that was

665
00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 2: just close to being a bet that you wanted to

666
00:30:59,000 --> 00:30:59,640
Speaker 2: pull the trigger on.

667
00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:02,360
Speaker 4: I kind of like Marshall Lane ten against Middle Tennessee.

668
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 4: The one thing. I don't know that I'm gonna bet this,

669
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 4: but I just wanted to mention it as the group

670
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:09,760
Speaker 4: of five you know stands at the Action Network. It's

671
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 4: pretty wild that a G five team is laying points

672
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 4: at Notre Dame, an undefeated, top ten ranked you know,

673
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,880
Speaker 4: not some not some you know, fluky nerding. They're undefeated,

674
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:22,440
Speaker 4: top ten in the country, and they're a home dog

675
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:24,960
Speaker 4: against the G five team. I think that's pretty cool.

676
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 2: Think if I was.

677
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 4: Gonna bet that game, that is obviously kind of the

678
00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 4: headliner this week from the G five. I like that

679
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 4: first half under twenty four and a half. We don't

680
00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 4: even know No. Dame's quarterback is going to be, so

681
00:31:35,120 --> 00:31:37,680
Speaker 4: you know, whether it's jew Pine, the Pride of Connecticut

682
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,680
Speaker 4: or whoever. We see some feeling out between two really

683
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,640
Speaker 4: good defenses. So I mayned up playing that first half

684
00:31:43,760 --> 00:31:45,520
Speaker 4: under twenty four and a half. But then they I

685
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,440
Speaker 4: think it's awesome that G five teams laying points at

686
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:48,960
Speaker 4: Notre Dame.

687
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 2: I think that's a great play, to be honest, I

688
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 2: think that deserves the designation of an added bonus play

689
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 2: on our side.

690
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:58,480
Speaker 4: Thrown out, were throwing it on the car, throwing it

691
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 4: on and you know, the first half undred twenty four

692
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:00,800
Speaker 4: and a.

693
00:32:00,800 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 2: Half, your logic stands up on top of it. You

694
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 2: have Freeman now the defensive coordinator for Notre Dame, so

695
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,200
Speaker 2: I see that certainly, you know, coming out of the blocks,

696
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,760
Speaker 2: if anyone knows how to corral you know Desmond Ritter

697
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,000
Speaker 2: and this bearcat attack, you would think it would be

698
00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:19,120
Speaker 2: him and Notre Dame their top ten. It's not fluky.

699
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 2: Their performance against Wisconsin couldn't have been flukier with all

700
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter scores. So I think that really dresses

701
00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 2: up the fact that they're still dysfunctional on offense. The

702
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 2: offensive line has taken such a step backwards that Kyran Williams,

703
00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 2: who I thought was you know, headed towards a borderline

704
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 2: first round NFL draft pick evaluation, can't get out of

705
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:41,520
Speaker 2: the starting blocks. So if Cincinnati is able to bottle

706
00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:43,320
Speaker 2: up the running game, it's going to be on the

707
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:46,360
Speaker 2: shoulders of a backup quarterback. I think under in the

708
00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:49,000
Speaker 2: first thirty minutes is absolutely the play. So I love

709
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 2: that one, and I'll just tack on one final thought.

710
00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 2: You mentioned Fresno earlier. I love their team total over

711
00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:57,520
Speaker 2: thirty seven and a half as well. I just think that's,

712
00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:01,080
Speaker 2: you know, the pure matchup of Hainer and Cropper and

713
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 2: really Ronnie Rivers in the passing game as well. Out

714
00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 2: of the backfield. They're gonna eat up that Hawaii pass defense.

715
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:08,240
Speaker 2: So I like them in that spot to go over

716
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:09,320
Speaker 2: thirty seven and a half.

717
00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 4: All right, For those in a hurry, we will quickly

718
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 4: summarize our picks with the help of our tremendous voice

719
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 4: over Lady Tina. For our best bets, we are going

720
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 4: with kent State minus sixteen and a half.

721
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:22,240
Speaker 6: The Kent State Golden.

722
00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:25,320
Speaker 4: Flashes, Fresno State minus ten.

723
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:27,640
Speaker 6: The Fresno State Bulldogs.

724
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 4: For our G five high five round robin for Week five,

725
00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:36,440
Speaker 4: we are going with Tulane and ECU over sixty four

726
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:37,360
Speaker 4: and a half.

727
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 6: The TWU Lane Green Wave over.

728
00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 4: SMU minus twenty and a half.

729
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:47,880
Speaker 6: The SMU Mustangs Skip Holtz knows how.

730
00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:51,000
Speaker 4: To cover Memphis minus eleven.

731
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 6: The Memphis Tigers.

732
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:55,880
Speaker 4: Western Kentucky plus eleven.

733
00:33:56,320 --> 00:34:02,080
Speaker 6: The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, the Prize Commonwealth.

734
00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:05,200
Speaker 4: And UTEP minus five and a half.

735
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 6: We're talking minor nation.

736
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:12,480
Speaker 4: For our G five money line underdog parlay, we are

737
00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:15,919
Speaker 4: taking Eastern Michigan plus one twenty.

738
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,480
Speaker 6: The Eastern Michigan Eagles.

739
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:22,280
Speaker 4: And Big Game Hunting on South Alabama plus three fifty

740
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:23,239
Speaker 4: five the.

741
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:26,200
Speaker 6: South Alabama Jaguars wo.

742
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 4: And you combine those, it's a payout at wind Bet

743
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:33,720
Speaker 4: at eight twenty five and we have two bonus bets

744
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:37,759
Speaker 4: today we have we're taking the under twenty four and

745
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:41,319
Speaker 4: a half in the first half between Cincinnati and Notre Dame,

746
00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,400
Speaker 4: and we're doubling down on the Bulldogs taking the Fresno

747
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,960
Speaker 4: team total over thirty seven and a half. Ooh, baby,

748
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 4: looks like eleven and oh to me.

749
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 2: And that is it for the Group of five deep

750
00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:55,319
Speaker 2: dive here on the Big Bets on Campus Podcast, week

751
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:58,400
Speaker 2: number five. A reminder to our listeners that's Sucky and

752
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 2: Colin Wilson will be back. Thursday night into Friday morning

753
00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 2: is when the episode will drop. It's the full slate,

754
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,880
Speaker 2: the full buffet, G five Power five Independence. They're covering

755
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:10,000
Speaker 2: every single game. They go so far in depth you

756
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 2: can't miss it before you put together your Saturday car

757
00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:15,720
Speaker 2: So be sure to check, to subscribe, to like, to comment,

758
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:17,839
Speaker 2: do all those things. It certainly helps us here at

759
00:35:17,840 --> 00:35:20,839
Speaker 2: the Action Network and we appreciate you listening. This has

760
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:23,480
Speaker 2: been the Big Bets on Campus podcast, presented by Wind

761
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 2: det