1 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:11,000 Speaker 1: Hi everyone, this is Lee Klaskow. We're Talking Transports. Welcome 2 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg Intelligence Talking Transports podcast. I'm your host, Lee Klascow, 3 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: Senior Freight Transportation Logistics analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, Bloomberg's in 4 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: house research arm of almost five hundred analysts and strategists 5 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: around the globe. Before diving in a little public service announcement, 6 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 1: your support is instrumental to keep bringing great guests and 7 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 1: conversations to you, our listeners. So and we need your support. 8 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: So please, if you enjoy this podcast, share it, like 9 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: it and leave a comment. Also, if you have any 10 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: ideas for any future episodes, or just want to talk transports, 11 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:44,839 Speaker 1: please sit me up on the Bloomberg terminal, on LinkedIn 12 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: or on Twitter at Logistics Lee. Now on to our episode. 13 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: We're delighted to have Yon Dileman, President of Cargo Ocean 14 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: Transportation with us today. It's a position he's held since 15 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 1: twenty sixteen. Jan has had a long and successful career 16 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 1: since he joined the company in nineteen ninety nine as 17 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 1: a management trainee in Amsterdam. Johan is also chair of 18 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:10,319 Speaker 1: the Global Maritime Forum, non executive board member of right 19 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 1: Ship Advisory Board, member of Lloyd's Register and a member 20 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 1: of the Board of Advisors for London International Shipping Week. 21 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:22,319 Speaker 1: Twenty twenty five, John graduated from the University of Mastrich 22 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: with a master's degree in Economics, Marketing and organization. Yan 23 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 1: Welcome to the podcast. Thanks for joining us today, Thanks. 24 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:31,960 Speaker 2: For having me. 25 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 1: So, you know Cargill Ocean Transportation. I think a lot 26 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 1: of people listening might know what cargol is. Could you 27 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: talk about you know, the division that you lead. 28 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's an interesting division that I'm actually leading. We'll 29 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 2: have the privilege of leading, and we are quite I 30 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 2: would say you special in our industry because we are 31 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 2: both a charter so you can call it a USU 32 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 2: Littal freight, but we also a operator real freight, so 33 00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 2: we move quite substantial volumes around the world every year. 34 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 2: I would say north of two hundred million tons. You 35 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 2: can call that a fleet of close to seven hundred 36 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 2: ships at all time. And part of what we do 37 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:15,080 Speaker 2: is for the internal product lines is you can imagine, 38 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,959 Speaker 2: so you're being corn and those kinds of products, but 39 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:22,240 Speaker 2: we're also doing a lot of products for other customers 40 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 2: outside cargo, but also outside the industries that we as 41 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 2: cargo are operating in because freight is a big network 42 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 2: of all kinds of commodities being shipped around the world, 43 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 2: and we play a substantial part in that. 44 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 1: So can you talk about the fleet that you operate? 45 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 1: How many ships do you have? Kind of what's the 46 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 1: makeup of the fleet. 47 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, So the majority where we're focusing on is dry 48 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 2: book that is about ninety percent of what we do. 49 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,359 Speaker 2: Then we have about ten percent that is in product carriers, 50 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 2: so that's in liquid form. If you look in the 51 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 2: dry book, we're basically present in every single segment, so 52 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 2: all the way for from cape sizes all the way 53 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 2: through camp sell maxes, ultramaxes and even into some local coasters. 54 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:11,400 Speaker 2: So we are very very spread out. And as I 55 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 2: said earlier, we were running roughly your fleet over around 56 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 2: seven hundred ships, of which a part is very short term, 57 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 2: can be as short as just one voyage of ten days, 58 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 2: fifteen days, all the way up to long term time 59 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 2: charters of up to ten years. 60 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: Okay, and then I guess on the longer term, like 61 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 1: the fleet, like I guess, how many do you own 62 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: versus your charter? 63 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 2: Again, Yeah, so we don't really own the assets. So 64 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 2: what we normally tend to do is take long term leases. 65 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 2: So we're working very closely with owners. We do have 66 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 2: some programs around bare boats, which is a specific way 67 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 2: of leasing. So although I would say we don't own 68 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 2: these ships, if you have a commitment of running these 69 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 2: ships for ten years, it's kind of similar than in. 70 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 1: Them, right, gotcha? And so can you talk about the 71 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 1: markets that you served? You you mentioned they're the traditional 72 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 1: markets you think of when you think of cargo, like soybean. 73 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: Are there some markets that are I guess doing better 74 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 1: than others from your vantage point? 75 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:20,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, So I think most people will appreciate that that 76 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,599 Speaker 2: shipping in general and dry book is not any different. 77 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 2: It's a very cyclical business. You have these times where 78 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:32,520 Speaker 2: there's shortages, there's a lot of product moving. Then you 79 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 2: tend to have a period when there's an overbuilding of 80 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 2: ships and then there's too many ships as the cargo 81 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 2: and the famous boom and bus scenario is something that 82 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 2: I have seen quite a few times over my career. 83 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 2: So at any time there's always a story and that's 84 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 2: that's what I like in freight because, as you say, 85 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:52,440 Speaker 2: there's always a product that is being transported. Right, So 86 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:58,720 Speaker 2: if you want to do well in the ocean transportation sphere, 87 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:01,119 Speaker 2: you need to underst and the products that you ship. 88 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 2: So today, for instance, there's a lot of focus on 89 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 2: on soya beans from Brazil because that's the time of 90 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 2: the year when the crop gets moved. Then at times 91 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 2: that moves into into uh into North America. Then of 92 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 2: course you have a product like I would or which 93 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 2: is a huge product that shipped around the world, and 94 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 2: you have all kinds of events happening all the time, 95 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:27,599 Speaker 2: like weather events, we have congestions or so there's always 96 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:31,840 Speaker 2: a story, I would say behind these commodities. I do 97 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:35,360 Speaker 2: think it's fair to say that at the moment, coming 98 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:39,840 Speaker 2: off the whole COVID period that was very strong for commodities, 99 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 2: we're clearly in a situation where most markets of the 100 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:47,799 Speaker 2: products that we are shipping are over supplied at the moment. 101 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,719 Speaker 1: Gotcha, And so you know, you mentioned that, you know, 102 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:55,400 Speaker 1: there's always there's always stories and about about the industry, 103 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:57,800 Speaker 1: and the last couple of years, there's been a plenty 104 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 1: of geopolitical events that have impacted shipping in the dry 105 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:04,840 Speaker 1: book industry. Can you can you talk about, you know, 106 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 1: how those geopolitical events, whether it's you know, Russia's war 107 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: with Ukraine, whether it's the closure of the Suez Canal, 108 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:14,360 Speaker 1: how that's impacting your business. 109 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, so so that is a glo a global business, 110 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 2: right and and and to be honest with you, there 111 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,360 Speaker 2: is always something happening in the world, and so we 112 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 2: are used to geopolitical tension. Of course, it's fair to 113 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 2: say that if you look at the recent years, that 114 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 2: is that is clearly stepped up a bit from a 115 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 2: wrong period where it was it was less the case. 116 00:06:33,880 --> 00:06:36,800 Speaker 2: What you tend to see with those geopolitical events is 117 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:42,280 Speaker 2: that it creates volatility, absolutely, and because people are also 118 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 2: trying to figure out when these things pop up, what 119 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 2: does it actually mean, right, so there's a lot of 120 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 2: anticipation what that could mean. And what you also see 121 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:54,600 Speaker 2: a lot of these geopolitical events actually are not in 122 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 2: favor of efficient supply chain. So normally you get inefficiencies 123 00:06:59,839 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 2: as a result of these geopolitical events that you have 124 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:06,679 Speaker 2: taken place, and normally that results into longer turn miles. 125 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 2: So it might be that you have to avoid an 126 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 2: area like the Red Sea, or it might be that 127 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 2: certain flows are changing from one origin to another origin. 128 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 2: So there's a lot of things that normally tend to 129 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 2: happen as a kind of first and sometimes even a 130 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 2: secondary or a third kind of level of reaction. So 131 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 2: these things are something that we are used to, and 132 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 2: that's why I think it's important in this industry to 133 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 2: be edgile and to make sure that you can pivot quickly. Right. 134 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 1: And so a lot of these geopolitical issues, whether it's 135 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 1: you know, Russia's war Ukraine or again the closure of 136 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:44,760 Speaker 1: the Swet Canal, you know, they've been kind of good 137 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:48,480 Speaker 1: if you you know, if you're chartering out your ships, 138 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 1: or you know, if you're moving freight for other people, 139 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: how does that impact cargo Because you're obviously moving your 140 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: own stuff, but you're also moving other people's stuff. You know, 141 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 1: it's been helping rate. Obviously, borring those issues, rates will 142 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: probably be a lot lower right now. So can you 143 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: talk about how that impacts your company? Is it a 144 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 1: good thing when rates are high or a bad thing 145 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: when rates are high? 146 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 2: I think I think good good is as an interesting perspective, right. 147 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 2: I think what we're trying to do is that we 148 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 2: in a sense, we are a freight trading business. So 149 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 2: what you're really trying to understand is is our rate 150 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 2: going up or rates going down? And then accordingly we 151 00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 2: can also position ourselves right so we can play with 152 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 2: long time starters, we can take more coverage at any time. 153 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:38,559 Speaker 2: There is quite a large derivative market as well in 154 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 2: dry freight, which you can also use. So for us, 155 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:44,680 Speaker 2: it's difficult to say if high is better than low. 156 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 2: It's really are we able to anticipate what the next 157 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 2: move is is the most important part for us. And 158 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 2: we also need to work with our customers of course, 159 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:58,079 Speaker 2: because they have supply chains to run, so we're trying 160 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 2: to advise them on what we think is going to happen, 161 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:04,319 Speaker 2: or what some of the impacts are, or things that 162 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:07,960 Speaker 2: are in your market right here, right now. And in 163 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 2: that sense, it's a continuous conversation, and it's difficult to 164 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:14,760 Speaker 2: say what's better to be at high levels or low 165 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 2: levels because what I said earlier, we're not an owner, 166 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 2: but we're also not just an end user. We are 167 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:21,959 Speaker 2: buying that space in the middle of which I think 168 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 2: makes it a bit different. 169 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 1: Right and then I'm assuming you're not operating ships through 170 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 1: the twst Canal right now, So what we've this is 171 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:34,199 Speaker 1: a fluid situation, right. 172 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 2: So what we have been doing, like most people is 173 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 2: deviate as much as possible. So we're avoiding the Red 174 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 2: Sea as much as we can. That has been the 175 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 2: case for quite a period of time by now. But 176 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 2: the reality is there is also flows that if you 177 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:52,079 Speaker 2: don't go through the Red Sea, these flows are not 178 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:54,839 Speaker 2: able to go into the world market. And I think 179 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:59,320 Speaker 2: a good example of that is Ukrainian exports of agriproducts. 180 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 2: If you if you want to export products out of 181 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 2: that region, you don't really have a choice then going 182 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 2: through the Red Sea, because otherwise you would not be 183 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:10,560 Speaker 2: able to compete in the world of the eastern side 184 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 2: of the world. Right. So there is some of these 185 00:10:12,679 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 2: things that that we do look at. It's a case 186 00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:19,559 Speaker 2: by case, I would assessment. But we have been having 187 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 2: some ships through the Red Sea and through the sewers 188 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 2: over the would say the last probably twelve months. But 189 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:28,360 Speaker 2: it's clearly not business as usual. 190 00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 1: So you know, I haven't talked to many companies that 191 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: are actually using this to as or Red Sea right now. 192 00:10:35,559 --> 00:10:37,840 Speaker 1: Most of the companies that I spoke to, at least 193 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:41,120 Speaker 1: publicly say they've been avoiding it. So what does that 194 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 1: mean do you guys charge like a premium because the 195 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 1: risk premium that's involved is your insurance much more expensive 196 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,839 Speaker 1: because of you know where you're where you're going. 197 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:55,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, so you know what what you're trying to do 198 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:58,320 Speaker 2: is first of all, as you say, right, and I 199 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:00,960 Speaker 2: think most people say, you're trying to avoid. So I 200 00:11:01,000 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 2: think the first thing is trying to avoid. But then 201 00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 2: you are going to have these kinds of choices to make, 202 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 2: like Okay, are we going to help the Ukraine export 203 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 2: into certain regions or are we just going to shut 204 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:15,440 Speaker 2: that off? And I think we've been around for a 205 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 2: long time to say, okay, let's let's try where we 206 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 2: can move food where it's possible, and then it becomes 207 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:23,040 Speaker 2: a question on is there a way that you can 208 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 2: actually make that work. So what we are doing in 209 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:29,720 Speaker 2: those cases is we're working clearly with owners that have 210 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:33,160 Speaker 2: done this before, so it's it's people that have expertise 211 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 2: in those kinds of trades. Yes, of course, insurance premiums 212 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:42,680 Speaker 2: are high because don't forget that if you are exporting 213 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 2: out of the Ukraine, you're actually passing two war zones 214 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 2: in the insurance world, right, So it is very expensive 215 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 2: to do that and that's why it is. It is 216 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:55,920 Speaker 2: case by case. This is not a standard flow that 217 00:11:56,040 --> 00:12:01,199 Speaker 2: is going continuously, and then you work with all the 218 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 2: all the navy and everything around there to ensure that 219 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:06,319 Speaker 2: you have safe passage. The good thing is, I think 220 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 2: if you look back over the last three four, maybe 221 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 2: even five weeks, we haven't seen really any attacks in 222 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:14,239 Speaker 2: the region, and if you look at the sewer's transitions, 223 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:18,960 Speaker 2: they're actually starting to edge up on different type. 224 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:22,280 Speaker 1: Let's hope the see as you know, finally opens to 225 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 1: everybody and you know there's a little more peace in 226 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:30,840 Speaker 1: that that region of the world, you know. So obviously 227 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: when we're talking about dryball demand, China is a major 228 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:38,200 Speaker 1: importer of commodities around the globe, whether it's you know, 229 00:12:38,679 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 1: dry or wet commodities. Can you talk about you know, 230 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 1: demand out of China and you know, maybe are there 231 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:50,480 Speaker 1: certain commodities that are doing better than others when it 232 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:53,000 Speaker 1: comes to being imported into China. 233 00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, So, as you say, what, China is extremely important 234 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,280 Speaker 2: for the freight market in general, not only big it's 235 00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:05,559 Speaker 2: a huge import, it's also a huge ship builder. It's 236 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:08,880 Speaker 2: a huge financial force in ship lending. So if you 237 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 2: take it all together. It's a very important part of 238 00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:14,680 Speaker 2: the maritime equation if you look at the demand side. 239 00:13:14,720 --> 00:13:20,280 Speaker 2: I think what I always find fascinating in the job 240 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 2: that I am in is that you somehow get a 241 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:25,080 Speaker 2: bit of a front row seat on what is happening 242 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:29,720 Speaker 2: happening economically. And we have seen the slowdown in China, 243 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 2: and that for US probably started already fourteen fifteen months 244 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 2: ago before a lot of people were actually talking about it. 245 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 2: We started seeing that iron ore stocks were moving up, 246 00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 2: steel prices were not doing well. So yes, we have 247 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 2: a front row seat, but sometimes you also get very 248 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:50,000 Speaker 2: interesting things, right that all of a sudden there's a 249 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 2: push of Chinese exports on still, So even if the 250 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:58,440 Speaker 2: economy might not be doing well in China, sometimes the 251 00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 2: result of that is actually that you see more exports 252 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:03,839 Speaker 2: and that is sometimes actually creating more freight demand than 253 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:07,240 Speaker 2: what you would expect. So it is a very complicated equation, 254 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 2: and China is something that we look at day in, 255 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 2: day out because it's a huge factor in the whole 256 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:13,960 Speaker 2: freight pocket. 257 00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 1: So like looking across Pacific from China, you know is 258 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:21,760 Speaker 1: the US. And obviously now a day goes by when 259 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:25,120 Speaker 1: there's not news out of the government when it comes 260 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 1: to trade or trade related issues. 261 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:33,120 Speaker 3: With the risk of tariffs, the threats of tariffs, the 262 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:37,360 Speaker 3: introduction of tariffs, the removal of tariffs, the delays of tariffs. 263 00:14:37,960 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 3: HAPA sat impacted the drybak market. 264 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:43,400 Speaker 1: Did you guys see like a pre buy you know, 265 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:47,280 Speaker 1: early on and kind of I'd love to hear your 266 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 1: thoughts about, you know, how the tariff is going to 267 00:14:49,160 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 1: impact the drybalk space. 268 00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, so so Teif's is nothing new in in principle right, 269 00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 2: that has been around for a long time in many 270 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 2: places in the world. I think what is really the 271 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 2: impact it is the change in terriffs is something that 272 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 2: is driving a lot of volatility. I think is what 273 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 2: we said before. I don't think anybody here has a 274 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 2: crystal ball on what's next or what the exact consequences are. 275 00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 2: So we haven't really seen people trying to outsmart somehow 276 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 2: the TERRORFF discussion. Neither have we. We are sitting here, 277 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 2: We see what happens and we just see how we 278 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 2: can react in the best way. In general, terriffs are 279 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:30,400 Speaker 2: a little bit like sanctions. I would say they create 280 00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:36,720 Speaker 2: inefficiencies somehow, which on the one hand, can be disruptive 281 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:41,760 Speaker 2: and actually positive on freight rates at times. But then 282 00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 2: again it's all the question are we overall shipping more 283 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 2: or less? Because if terrors mean that you're shipping less, 284 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 2: then that clearly will have a negative impact on my Yeah, 285 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 2: and so. 286 00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 1: You know, terror's tender lead to trade wars. If China 287 00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:58,320 Speaker 1: decides to import a lot less, you know, US agg 288 00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:02,120 Speaker 1: is that good or bad for drybok rates? Like, would 289 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 1: they be substituting that with soybean from soybeans from Brazil? 290 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 1: Is that that that would be a good thing for 291 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 1: the drybock market in terms of rates. 292 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 2: Right, well, exactly, And then that's why I think it's 293 00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 2: it's it's it's very dangerous to say terrorts are good 294 00:16:15,760 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 2: to terrots are bad. I think it really depends if 295 00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 2: you are going to see a switch of origins that 296 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 2: could be positive or negative. In trait. We have a 297 00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:28,200 Speaker 2: term that is called the ton mild demand, So it 298 00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 2: basically means not just the tones that you ship, but 299 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:33,400 Speaker 2: also how far away do they actually have to travel. 300 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 2: So if there's a difference between US to China or 301 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 2: Brazil to China, that is also having an impact. It's 302 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:42,720 Speaker 2: not just a one for one equation, and then you 303 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 2: might have shutain oversupplied the regions in the world at times. 304 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:50,800 Speaker 2: So it's really a fluid situation. But in general, I 305 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 2: would say, as I said earlier, it creates inefficiencies. Inefficiencies 306 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 2: normally tend to go to higher freight rates up to 307 00:16:58,680 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 2: the point that you are actually destroying or destructing demand, right, gotcha. 308 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 2: You know, we. 309 00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:07,960 Speaker 1: Started the tariff discussion with talking about the US government. 310 00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:13,440 Speaker 1: There's also you know, some I guess ideas being floated 311 00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:17,879 Speaker 1: around about penalizing Chinese built ships that that that you 312 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:22,119 Speaker 1: know call ports in the US, you know, with fees 313 00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:25,760 Speaker 1: of up to one point five million dollars per sport. 314 00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:29,439 Speaker 1: What do you think of that? Like that that's gota. 315 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 1: How is that going to impact the dry ball market 316 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 1: if that actually becomes law. 317 00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, so I think this is very new, so we 318 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:41,359 Speaker 2: are still assessing I think, what the potential impact of 319 00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:44,959 Speaker 2: that could be. But also depends very much per segment. 320 00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 2: I think you have segments in in in the freight 321 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:53,080 Speaker 2: market where there is a high percentage of Chinese built ships, 322 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:55,600 Speaker 2: and if you go into the dry bilk you're getting 323 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 2: close to fifty percent of the fleet is Chinese built. 324 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 2: When you go to other said classes, it can be 325 00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:03,439 Speaker 2: fifteen twenty percent, and I think containeders is more like 326 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 2: twoty five percent, So it really depends, I would say. 327 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 2: And also also of the dry bill flows to US 328 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:17,120 Speaker 2: is a relatively small percentage of world trade, so that's 329 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:19,960 Speaker 2: also something you have to look at. But clearly it 330 00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 2: will create as I said earlier, this is one of 331 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 2: these things again that will create inefficiencies that probably will 332 00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:30,439 Speaker 2: create some more dedicated kind of fleets going back and 333 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:35,520 Speaker 2: forth in a certain region, which ultimately probably will lead 334 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:36,400 Speaker 2: to a higher freight rate. 335 00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:41,359 Speaker 1: Right, And we can't talk about regulations without talking about emissions. 336 00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 1: You know, the industry is very focused on reducing those 337 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:48,200 Speaker 1: dimissions getting to zero. Can you talk about what Cargol 338 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 1: is doing to kind of meet those goals, you know, 339 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:56,480 Speaker 1: whether it's alternative fuels or whatever. 340 00:18:56,480 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 2: You guys are. 341 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 1: Either testing, playing around where they're actually implementing. 342 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's an interesting question because we've been on 343 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:10,719 Speaker 2: the emissions journey actually twenty seventeen, and I still vividly 344 00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:13,160 Speaker 2: remember that we had a discussion here in our leadership 345 00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:15,960 Speaker 2: team and we just couldn't believe that the whole world 346 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 2: was talking emissions, and everybody thought that shipping was going 347 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,879 Speaker 2: to get excluded, so we felt something had to happen. 348 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,560 Speaker 2: We didn't know what exactly was going to happen. We 349 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:26,520 Speaker 2: knew that it was a hard to bait the industry, 350 00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:29,000 Speaker 2: but we also knew that we actually didn't know a lot. 351 00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:31,960 Speaker 2: And I think that was a really good starting point 352 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:33,720 Speaker 2: for us. And one of the first things we did 353 00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 2: in the very beginning is starting to look at our 354 00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 2: emissions and trying to actually understand our current footprint and 355 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,399 Speaker 2: where the emissions coming from, what are the sources, what 356 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:46,560 Speaker 2: are some of the things you could do, And that's 357 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 2: been very, very helpful. And we also started to very 358 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:54,000 Speaker 2: early on make our numbers actually public and say, you 359 00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,160 Speaker 2: know what, this is what we have. We are committed 360 00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,680 Speaker 2: to haransjucing this. We don't be honest know how we're 361 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:00,639 Speaker 2: going to do it, but want to give it a go. 362 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 2: And it's been a tremendous journey for us. We didn't 363 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:06,199 Speaker 2: do it alone because I think this is one of 364 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,879 Speaker 2: these topics that you have to collaborate. You have to 365 00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,920 Speaker 2: work with other inner players, because otherwise you're just going 366 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:13,919 Speaker 2: to spin your wheels and not going to go anywhere. 367 00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 2: So we worked with partners like the Global Maritime Forum, 368 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:22,200 Speaker 2: we worked with partners like the Musk Institute, and we 369 00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 2: started to learn. And as we started to learn, we 370 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:28,160 Speaker 2: started to implement some of the things and trying to innovate, 371 00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 2: and we've been innovating a lot of energy efficiency. Things 372 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,919 Speaker 2: to think about is different pains. You can have some 373 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 2: different generators, even simple things like laedal its on board 374 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 2: of ships, which is not standard. So we really started 375 00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:45,840 Speaker 2: to look at that and sometimes prey finance that with 376 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,280 Speaker 2: owners because in those days, I think a lot of 377 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 2: the owners were a little bit skeptical. I would say 378 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:54,360 Speaker 2: to invest themselves, and we said, okay, if that's difficult 379 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:57,679 Speaker 2: for you, we are willing to take the lead on that. 380 00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:00,920 Speaker 2: And we went all the way into to things like wind, 381 00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:04,680 Speaker 2: which has been something that we've been actually testing a lot, 382 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 2: and at the moment we have three different wind types 383 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:10,159 Speaker 2: and wind is free and every tone of fuel that 384 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 2: you can save is not only good for emissions, but 385 00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,960 Speaker 2: it's also good for economics. So we really looked at 386 00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:19,359 Speaker 2: that part. And then of course we know that over time, 387 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,200 Speaker 2: if you really want to get to zero close to zero, 388 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 2: you have to also start looking at different shield types 389 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,080 Speaker 2: because it's the only way that you get there. And 390 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:31,720 Speaker 2: we started experimenting very early on. I would say we've 391 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:36,159 Speaker 2: dropping biofuels, which was something the industry wasn't used to, 392 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,439 Speaker 2: and then we started dipping in some of the new technologies. 393 00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:41,720 Speaker 2: And at the moment we have five ships on order 394 00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 2: which are due or fuel for methanol and the plan 395 00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 2: would be to try to see if you can get 396 00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,560 Speaker 2: green methanol in those ships at some point. So we're 397 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:54,200 Speaker 2: really trying to take an innovating role and a little 398 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:57,560 Speaker 2: bit overall where we're trying to showcase the industry of 399 00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:00,879 Speaker 2: what's possible. I think the only problem is if you 400 00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,479 Speaker 2: really want to scale this as an industry, you have 401 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:06,960 Speaker 2: to go somehow. Regulation also following, and up to now 402 00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:10,199 Speaker 2: we've you've seen the first steps into that direction. In Europe, 403 00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:14,200 Speaker 2: there's quite some regulation around emissions already and the IMO 404 00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,480 Speaker 2: was clearly looking at a regulation as we speak. 405 00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,800 Speaker 1: So do you think the goals what is it zero 406 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:21,920 Speaker 1: emissions by twenty fifties? 407 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:22,520 Speaker 2: Is that? 408 00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 1: Do you think that's reasonable? 409 00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 2: Because you know it, you know. 410 00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:30,240 Speaker 1: These are as, you know, very expensive assets that have 411 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 1: long lives. Uh, you know, twenty plus years. So what 412 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,560 Speaker 1: are your thoughts about reaching those goals. Do you think 413 00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 1: those goals or reasonable? 414 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:43,960 Speaker 2: Why? I think it would not be fair to say 415 00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,720 Speaker 2: that that's a slam dunk, that is easy, it's it's 416 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:49,879 Speaker 2: gonna it's it's a it's it's a very ambitious and 417 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:53,320 Speaker 2: and and and complicated journey to get there. I am 418 00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:57,520 Speaker 2: an optimist though in general probably, and I think if 419 00:22:57,560 --> 00:23:00,840 Speaker 2: you really get the industry going with regulation that is 420 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,159 Speaker 2: actually helping to get towards that point, I think we 421 00:23:04,200 --> 00:23:07,879 Speaker 2: can get very very far. Now. I do think that 422 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:10,520 Speaker 2: we have to be a little bit careful talking about 423 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:14,560 Speaker 2: the maritime industry as one, because there's very different pockets 424 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,080 Speaker 2: in there, and all these pockets, in my mind, will 425 00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,960 Speaker 2: not be going at the same speed. Because if you're 426 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 2: talking at the definition of the maritime industry in the IMO, 427 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:27,480 Speaker 2: it goes all the way from cruise ships to container ships, 428 00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 2: bocus tankers and large ships, and also ships that are 429 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 2: tramping in West or East Africa. So I think we 430 00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:36,439 Speaker 2: also need to be a little bit careful just to 431 00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:40,400 Speaker 2: not have one brush to paint all these asset classes. 432 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:43,119 Speaker 2: But I do think with the right regulation in place, 433 00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 2: I think we can get very very close to those 434 00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:48,679 Speaker 2: things if we're all pulling. 435 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:51,960 Speaker 1: Our weight, right, and you imagine Europe has kind of 436 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:58,480 Speaker 1: been leading the you know, the regulations on a mission globally. 437 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:02,240 Speaker 1: Are there any reals at a Europe that you think 438 00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:05,800 Speaker 1: that are are good and makes sense and you'd like 439 00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:09,520 Speaker 1: to see them implemented in other regions to try to 440 00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 1: get the industry to that goal. 441 00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:15,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think there is a cool census, I would say, 442 00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 2: and maybe that's a big word, but if you are 443 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:22,159 Speaker 2: talking about regulation, then there needs to be somehow a 444 00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:26,000 Speaker 2: two step approach to this, and one is working with 445 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,600 Speaker 2: a fuel standard, and that is what Europe has introduced. 446 00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:34,639 Speaker 2: It's called a few EU Maritime. But the expectation is 447 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:38,760 Speaker 2: that your reducial remissions over the years, and if you don't, 448 00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:41,359 Speaker 2: there's a penalty system. There is some compliance that you 449 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,439 Speaker 2: can trade, et cetera, et cetera, which I think is needed. 450 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 2: It's also needed from a regulatory point of view, because 451 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,919 Speaker 2: what you said earlier, these are expensive assets and you 452 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 2: need some regulatory clarity before you're going to invest in 453 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:57,760 Speaker 2: new technology because why would you invest in new technology 454 00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,280 Speaker 2: if it's not going to be backed by regulation? Right? So, 455 00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:02,280 Speaker 2: you get that chicken and the act going. So I 456 00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,280 Speaker 2: think that's an important part. And then what you have 457 00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:08,920 Speaker 2: in Europe is shipping is also since last year part 458 00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:12,160 Speaker 2: of the European the Mission Scheme, so the ETS scheme, 459 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:17,159 Speaker 2: which basically says that you get a penalty for the 460 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 2: use of fossil fuels like you have on land. That's 461 00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:23,720 Speaker 2: also extended to see I think the IMO is looking 462 00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:28,760 Speaker 2: at something similar with I think a distinct difference that 463 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:32,119 Speaker 2: actually some of the collecting of that fund would actually 464 00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 2: flow back into the industry and actually support some of 465 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,320 Speaker 2: these new technologies. And I think if you get a 466 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:40,879 Speaker 2: mechanism like that, I think you can really really accelerate 467 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:44,520 Speaker 2: the investment in this area, which is going to make 468 00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:47,240 Speaker 2: it easier, as you said earlier on to get close 469 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:49,240 Speaker 2: or to the goals for twenty fifty. 470 00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 1: You mentioned earlier about when can you talk about what 471 00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:57,080 Speaker 1: you know what that entails, because I think in most 472 00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:01,400 Speaker 1: people's minds were thinking about sales and you know ships 473 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 1: of your time. 474 00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:05,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, No, it is fascinating and it is to some 475 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:08,119 Speaker 2: extent going a little bit back to the future. I 476 00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:11,159 Speaker 2: would say, so we are looking at at the concert 477 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 2: which is officially called wind assisted propulsion, and that is 478 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 2: actually trying to combine I would say the best of 479 00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 2: two worlds, right, And I don't think in twenty twenty 480 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:24,879 Speaker 2: five we want to be depending in our supply chains 481 00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:27,760 Speaker 2: on the wind being there, yes or no. I think 482 00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:31,320 Speaker 2: we pass that point and so we're still having of 483 00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 2: course ships, revengines and stuff. But I think the wind 484 00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:38,320 Speaker 2: assist of propulsion is actually helping to reduce the amount 485 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:41,360 Speaker 2: of fuel that you use, and it is very efficient 486 00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 2: on certain roots. When you have a lot of wind, 487 00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:46,639 Speaker 2: as you can imagine think about North Atlantic. There's a 488 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,000 Speaker 2: lot of things you can do, and then the wind 489 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:52,160 Speaker 2: the system propulsion comes in. The systems come in very 490 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,840 Speaker 2: very different shapes and forms. So we have the really 491 00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,320 Speaker 2: big ones, and we have one of them on the water, 492 00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:02,320 Speaker 2: which is in this case bar technology, which is a 493 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:06,680 Speaker 2: wind wing which is nearly stretching up forty meters, So 494 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:11,120 Speaker 2: that's significant. Two kind of wings on that ship, which 495 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,639 Speaker 2: is expensive, but of course you also get a lot 496 00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:15,639 Speaker 2: of savings. And then you have also a lot of 497 00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:20,880 Speaker 2: smaller systems which are used and can be probably easier managed. 498 00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:22,919 Speaker 2: But then on the other hand you also have less savings. 499 00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:26,639 Speaker 2: So we're really trying to find the optimum. And I 500 00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 2: think what is important in this case with win the 501 00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:33,639 Speaker 2: system propulsion is it is very important because as you 502 00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:37,560 Speaker 2: go to these more expensive fuels, because let's don't fool ourselves, 503 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,240 Speaker 2: these new fuels are probably two or three times more 504 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:43,480 Speaker 2: expensive than current fuels, every time that you can save 505 00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 2: in that new environment is tremendously important because you make 506 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,760 Speaker 2: the problem bigger, smaller. And on the other hand, the 507 00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:54,080 Speaker 2: economics to get the investments actually paid off also make 508 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:55,840 Speaker 2: a lot more sense at these kinds of levels, as 509 00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:56,639 Speaker 2: you can imagine. 510 00:27:56,960 --> 00:28:00,600 Speaker 1: Right, So, like with the ship that you're operating with 511 00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,919 Speaker 1: the wings, is it paying for itself or is it 512 00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:06,320 Speaker 1: just it's it's a new technology that it's it's kind 513 00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:09,800 Speaker 1: of expensive, and it's it's being tested out, and you 514 00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,840 Speaker 1: know maybe over time those costs will will decrease and 515 00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 1: and and and the productivity will increase. 516 00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 2: Well, it's it's it's clearly a prototype, right, It's it's 517 00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:22,200 Speaker 2: it's something that was never done. So it's it's trying. 518 00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:26,280 Speaker 2: It's learning. It's from these learning making adjustments and and 519 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:28,720 Speaker 2: and and what I always like to think about is 520 00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:32,239 Speaker 2: you're creating this this kind of spinning wheel where you 521 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:34,520 Speaker 2: have innovation on innovation, and I think that is what 522 00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:37,920 Speaker 2: we need. But it's clear that that the first prototypes 523 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,760 Speaker 2: of of of these kinds of new technologies are not 524 00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:44,240 Speaker 2: economically viable, that they shouldn't be, but we're really trying 525 00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,840 Speaker 2: to find a pathway. How can you scale them so 526 00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,920 Speaker 2: they become cheaper, and how can we also just make 527 00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:53,320 Speaker 2: sure that we we find the route roots and all 528 00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:55,959 Speaker 2: these kinds of things as well, because it's a it's 529 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,720 Speaker 2: a complicated equation, so and and we're learning every day. 530 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,520 Speaker 2: I do think, as a said earlier with this, especially 531 00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 2: with these more expensive fuels on the horizon, I think 532 00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:08,840 Speaker 2: the combination of wind with all kinds of other energy 533 00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:10,800 Speaker 2: saving devices makes an awful lot of sense. 534 00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 1: Great And and are there any other regulations that are 535 00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 1: on your radar that you're kind of paying attention to, 536 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,840 Speaker 1: whether the regional regulations or globally. 537 00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:22,840 Speaker 2: Well, I think shipping is it's a global business, so 538 00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:26,320 Speaker 2: you have regulatory changes all the time. I do think 539 00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:30,920 Speaker 2: that by far the most important regulation that we're watching 540 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 2: very very closely is exactly what we just talked about 541 00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:38,560 Speaker 2: around the emissions. So the International Maritime Organization is working 542 00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:43,160 Speaker 2: on legislation to getting us towards the twenty to fifty goal. 543 00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:46,959 Speaker 2: And that is a regulation that is not something that 544 00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:49,080 Speaker 2: is going to change every time. That is really going 545 00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:51,640 Speaker 2: to be there for the medium to longer term, which 546 00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:54,760 Speaker 2: I think is extremely important if you think about how 547 00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:57,200 Speaker 2: is your business going to run or look like in 548 00:29:57,240 --> 00:29:59,719 Speaker 2: ten years, what kind of assets are going to make 549 00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:02,200 Speaker 2: sense in the next ten to fifteen years, And in 550 00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:04,880 Speaker 2: that sense, it's very different than a change in terrorists 551 00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:07,680 Speaker 2: that can be unwound the next day. Again, So that 552 00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,840 Speaker 2: is really something that I think is important, and I 553 00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:15,040 Speaker 2: think a lot of people underestimate the change where this 554 00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:19,360 Speaker 2: industry is going through because we are coming from a period, 555 00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:21,320 Speaker 2: a long period of time where we had a single 556 00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:24,800 Speaker 2: regulator and a single fuel and nowadays we have multiple 557 00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:27,640 Speaker 2: regulators and multiple fuel and that makes the equation a 558 00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:29,120 Speaker 2: lot more complicated. 559 00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:33,080 Speaker 1: Right, absolutely, So if you're gonna look into your crystal 560 00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:35,720 Speaker 1: ball and figure out, you know, the rest of twenty 561 00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:39,120 Speaker 1: twenty five, where do you see demanding rates going for 562 00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:40,080 Speaker 1: the drybock market. 563 00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:46,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I've learned in my twenty five years plus incommodities 564 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,080 Speaker 2: and the big partnershipping that the crystal ball doesn't work, 565 00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:52,080 Speaker 2: So that is the disclaim would I would put straight 566 00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:55,880 Speaker 2: out there. I do think we've come off in the 567 00:30:55,920 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 2: beginning of the year of a very depressed market, rates 568 00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,880 Speaker 2: very very low, most of the asset size is very 569 00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:08,520 Speaker 2: close to to operating costs. So I do think when 570 00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,960 Speaker 2: you look at China that looks a little bit better. 571 00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,720 Speaker 2: To be honest, I don't know what's going to happen 572 00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:17,320 Speaker 2: with with terrorifts and sanctioned so that's the big wild card. 573 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 2: I do believe that the second half of the year 574 00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 2: has a chance of being better than the first half 575 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:29,280 Speaker 2: of the year, but I don't think, barring a mega event, 576 00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:32,080 Speaker 2: we're going to see anything close to the to the 577 00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 2: COVID levels that we've seen over the last couple of years. 578 00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:40,520 Speaker 1: Gotcha, So in the beginning of the conversation, I mentioned that, 579 00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:44,120 Speaker 1: you know, you join the company as as a trainee, 580 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,000 Speaker 1: so what what I know? It was a long time ago, 581 00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:49,760 Speaker 1: so hopefully you're going to remember. 582 00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:50,880 Speaker 2: Uh what what? 583 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:53,560 Speaker 1: What kind of made you gravitate to the shipping industry. 584 00:31:54,160 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's an interesting story. When I aim of university, 585 00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:03,240 Speaker 2: when I started with cargo freight was not on my 586 00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:06,480 Speaker 2: radar at all. Shipping market wasn't on my radar at all, 587 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 2: and I was in commodities the first couple of years, 588 00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,840 Speaker 2: and I got in touch with some of the freight 589 00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,520 Speaker 2: colleagues because we needed trade support to move things around. 590 00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:20,320 Speaker 2: And at some point I was asked to join the 591 00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:23,160 Speaker 2: freight department. And at that time I was thinking, if 592 00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:25,320 Speaker 2: I want to be a good commodity trader, a good 593 00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 2: physical commodity trader, I better understand Fred. So why don't 594 00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:31,840 Speaker 2: I They spend just two three years there, get some 595 00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,239 Speaker 2: of this knowledge under my belt and move on. And 596 00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:38,840 Speaker 2: I moved into this business in two thousand and two, 597 00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:42,560 Speaker 2: and the eight years there I never looked back. We 598 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:46,640 Speaker 2: had China booming, we had all kinds of commodities deregulating, 599 00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:50,120 Speaker 2: we had trade markets completely exploding, and we had a 600 00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 2: ton of fun. And this was the time that that 601 00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 2: shipping started really kind of getting into me. Because it's 602 00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:59,640 Speaker 2: a global market, there's a lot of people contact. Still 603 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:04,280 Speaker 2: I have to say it's still a very network kind 604 00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:08,000 Speaker 2: of business. And then I went to the energy businesses 605 00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,160 Speaker 2: for six years, which I really enjoyed. But when that 606 00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:12,040 Speaker 2: came back, I think it was for me the perfect 607 00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:15,920 Speaker 2: time because shipping is actually for the big part energy 608 00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,440 Speaker 2: as well, White because if you look at how much 609 00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:22,560 Speaker 2: actually these ships are using in terms of energy, it's 610 00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 2: kind of the two worlds coming together and with the 611 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:29,120 Speaker 2: whole energy transition on top of it. It's really an 612 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:32,280 Speaker 2: industry that it's gotten very, very close to my heart. 613 00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:35,479 Speaker 1: Yeah, and you mentioned it's a people business and I 614 00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:39,240 Speaker 1: know on your when it made the introduction you are 615 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 1: a member of the board of advisors for London International 616 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:47,440 Speaker 1: Shipping Week twenty twenty five. That's a big conference in September. 617 00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:51,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's actually having an event that week, so hopefully I'll 618 00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,440 Speaker 1: be able to see you in person and anyone else 619 00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 1: that's listening, you know, have that on your radar. You 620 00:33:57,440 --> 00:34:00,720 Speaker 1: should check out the London International Shipping Week website for 621 00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:04,960 Speaker 1: all the details. That was a shameless plug, but you know, 622 00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:09,440 Speaker 1: could you talk about you know, I guess are there 623 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:11,799 Speaker 1: any books that you that you've read recently? Is something 624 00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:14,279 Speaker 1: I like to ask my guests, either if it's on 625 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 1: leadership or in the industry that's kind of close to 626 00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 1: your heart that really resonated with you. 627 00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:24,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I have to say I'm an on and 628 00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:27,600 Speaker 2: off reader. I like to read when when I'm traveling 629 00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:29,680 Speaker 2: all when when I have a bit of a break 630 00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:32,240 Speaker 2: and that. There's two books I would say I've recently 631 00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:35,960 Speaker 2: read which I thought were interesting. One of them is 632 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,680 Speaker 2: called A Billion Dollar Loser. You probably know the book 633 00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:42,279 Speaker 2: that is around the ad Alnoyman and we work. It's 634 00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:49,120 Speaker 2: a fascinating story of how fast growing business can also 635 00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:52,319 Speaker 2: calm down very very very fast. So I think that's 636 00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:55,560 Speaker 2: always a good reminder to read some of these stories. 637 00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:58,680 Speaker 2: I find that fascinating. Another one I read, which I 638 00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:02,560 Speaker 2: would definitely recommend people as well, is it's called Supremacy, 639 00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:07,399 Speaker 2: and it's all around aicht GPT and and the race 640 00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:10,200 Speaker 2: that will change the world, as they say, And that 641 00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:12,239 Speaker 2: really gives a bit of a background on all the 642 00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,800 Speaker 2: players and the history and some of the dynamics around 643 00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:18,400 Speaker 2: what's all happening in the AI space. So not so 644 00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:21,880 Speaker 2: much about the use cases and the product, but really 645 00:35:22,040 --> 00:35:25,000 Speaker 2: how we got there, and it's fascinating to see how 646 00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:28,440 Speaker 2: the technologies and some of these personalities are interacting. So 647 00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:30,440 Speaker 2: for me, it was a very interesting book. 648 00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:33,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, I just got back from TPM and Long Beach 649 00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:38,239 Speaker 1: earlier in the week and AI was frightened center are 650 00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:43,839 Speaker 1: is cargo transportation utilizing AI or machine learning, and and 651 00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:46,120 Speaker 1: how are you how are you leveraging that technology? 652 00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:48,560 Speaker 2: If you are, there's no way of escaping AI, right, 653 00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:50,960 Speaker 2: I think that that's what we all see. So I 654 00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:53,840 Speaker 2: think what we're trying to do is we spent the 655 00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:56,760 Speaker 2: last couple of years a lot on the digital roadmap. 656 00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 2: It's interesting because when I was talking to you around 657 00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:05,160 Speaker 2: the whole sustainability drive, the whole emissions drive that we 658 00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:09,200 Speaker 2: started to identify in twenty seventeen, in that same meeting, 659 00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:12,120 Speaker 2: we also had a long discussion on digital that was 660 00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:15,000 Speaker 2: going to disrupt the maritime industry and and up to 661 00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:18,319 Speaker 2: last year, I would say that that's been very underwhelming. 662 00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 2: Those days we were talking about Uber for shipping and 663 00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:24,640 Speaker 2: all these things which never really happened, to be honest 664 00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:27,319 Speaker 2: with you, And so that disruption was a lot less 665 00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:30,080 Speaker 2: and actually the DICO went a lot faster than that 666 00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:32,120 Speaker 2: we thought. I would have never thought that we would 667 00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:35,200 Speaker 2: have zero carbon fuel capable vessels on the water in 668 00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:38,600 Speaker 2: twenty twenty four, and we're there. So that was an 669 00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:40,719 Speaker 2: interesting one. I do think we're had to point out 670 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:43,920 Speaker 2: where the digital is really going to accelerate, and AI 671 00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:46,360 Speaker 2: is absolutely going to play a role in there. We 672 00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:50,000 Speaker 2: spent a lot of time on getting out data in order. 673 00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:52,480 Speaker 2: As you can imagine, we have. We're sitting on a 674 00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:55,760 Speaker 2: lot of data, having seven on the chips, many many boards, 675 00:36:56,400 --> 00:37:00,000 Speaker 2: many many customers, many products that we ship, etc. Said 676 00:37:00,840 --> 00:37:04,000 Speaker 2: and now we're starting to do with baby steps, I 677 00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:07,600 Speaker 2: would say, starting to apply AI and trying to learn 678 00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:13,120 Speaker 2: also making sure that we understand it. Eighty or ninety 679 00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:17,040 Speaker 2: percent accuracy is sometimes okay in certain things that's maybe 680 00:37:17,040 --> 00:37:19,839 Speaker 2: not okay. So we're really trying to go step by 681 00:37:19,840 --> 00:37:23,000 Speaker 2: step on the journey. But it's clearly something that we're embracing, 682 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,680 Speaker 2: and I think we're also having the organization very energized 683 00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:28,440 Speaker 2: about and nothing that's important. Great. 684 00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:30,600 Speaker 1: Well, well, John, I really want to thank you for 685 00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:33,000 Speaker 1: your insights and your time today. This is a great conversation. 686 00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:35,440 Speaker 2: Thanks for having me, and I want to thank you 687 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:36,120 Speaker 2: for tuning in. 688 00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:38,960 Speaker 1: If you liked the episode, please subscribe and leave a review. 689 00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,319 Speaker 1: We have lined up a number of great guests for 690 00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:44,040 Speaker 1: the podcast, so please check back to your conversations with 691 00:37:44,120 --> 00:37:48,440 Speaker 1: C suite executives, shippers, regulators, and decision makers within the 692 00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:50,839 Speaker 1: freight markets. Also, if you want to learn more about 693 00:37:50,840 --> 00:37:53,680 Speaker 1: the freight transportation markets. Check our work on the Bloomberg 694 00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:57,319 Speaker 1: Terminal at big and on social media. Thanks everyone, and 695 00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:07,080 Speaker 1: take care and let's keep those supply chains moving.