WEBVTT - China Targets Apple, AMD Disappoints With AI Outlook

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news from the heart of

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<v Speaker 1>where innovation, money and power collide in Silicon Valley and beyond.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde.

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<v Speaker 2>And Ed Lovelow live from New York on Caroline Hyde.

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<v Speaker 3>And Aunt Jackie Devalos in San Francisco. This is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>Technology coming up.

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<v Speaker 2>Apple in the geopolitical cross has as.

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<v Speaker 4>China weighs a potential antitrust pope into the app store practices,

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<v Speaker 4>plus Alphabet shares tumble after posting slower growth in its

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<v Speaker 4>cloud business and a seventy five billion dollar capital expenditure commitment,

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<v Speaker 4>and AMD falls on a disappointing outlook for its AI

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<v Speaker 4>chip growth. That and so many more earnings coming up

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<v Speaker 4>and Apple off by one point three percent. A key

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<v Speaker 4>issue here is China and the US and a potential

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<v Speaker 4>antitrust probe coming from China all regarding its app store.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's get to it, Bloomberg's Peter Alstrom, because the timing

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<v Speaker 4>here is of course amid this tip for Tap from

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<v Speaker 4>US and China in Taris.

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<v Speaker 2>But this started before Trump came to office.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that's exactly right.

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<v Speaker 6>So what we've heard from sources is that Beijing regulators

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<v Speaker 6>are looking at Apple and specifically the policies around its

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<v Speaker 6>app store.

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<v Speaker 5>It takes a thirty percent.

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<v Speaker 6>Of cut of app revenue, like it does in other

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<v Speaker 6>countries too, and also it kind of walks down payment

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<v Speaker 6>systems because it wants you to make those payments through

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<v Speaker 6>the Apple Store in particular. So we've heard that SAMR,

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<v Speaker 6>the regulator there, is taking.

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<v Speaker 5>A close look at Apple.

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<v Speaker 6>They've called in executives from the company and some other

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<v Speaker 6>executives too to find out more information. Now the balls

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<v Speaker 6>and Apple's court to respond to some sort of in

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<v Speaker 6>some sort of way and see whether they're able to

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<v Speaker 6>address this or whether regulators are going to have to

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<v Speaker 6>take more action to be fair. Though this is the

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<v Speaker 6>same kind of action that Apple has faced in other

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<v Speaker 6>countries too, where there are concerns about the app store,

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<v Speaker 6>how much money it takes away from developers, and whether

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<v Speaker 6>that's actually a level playing field for other companies.

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<v Speaker 3>Peter, one of the outstanding questions is is this just

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<v Speaker 3>a bit more bark than bite and what is the

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<v Speaker 3>time horizon here? Because a lot of these probes take

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<v Speaker 3>time to play out. Do you have a sense of

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<v Speaker 3>how long it'll take before companies actually see a hit

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<v Speaker 3>from some of these probes.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, that's a very good question. This is coming, of course,

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<v Speaker 6>in the middle of this kind of geopolitical tit for

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<v Speaker 6>tap between the United States and China. So the US

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<v Speaker 6>levied the ten percent tariffs on Chinese imports, and China

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<v Speaker 6>has responded with some more careful targeted things, including an

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<v Speaker 6>investigation into Google, which has a similar kind of app

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<v Speaker 6>store issue. Doesn't have that many operations in the country

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<v Speaker 6>beyond that, so I think.

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<v Speaker 5>Politics are going to play a role here.

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<v Speaker 6>We're going to see how that plays into the negotiations

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<v Speaker 6>with these companies. Visiing has a very forceful regulatory arm.

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<v Speaker 6>If they do decide to go ahead and take action

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<v Speaker 6>against Apple, Google, we know they're investigating in Nvidia too,

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<v Speaker 6>it could be very putitive for those countries, but at companies,

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<v Speaker 6>but it may have to do with the dynamics between

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<v Speaker 6>the two countries in fact, rather than the companies themselves.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's Peter Alstrom, we thank you. Alphabet's share is dropping

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<v Speaker 3>after fourth quarter earnings missed expectations yesterday. Investors were disappointed

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<v Speaker 3>by a slowdown in sales and Google's cloud unit. For

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<v Speaker 3>more on this, we're joined by Brent phil from Jeffries. Brent, I,

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<v Speaker 3>you know when we look at Google, Alphabet's cloud sales

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<v Speaker 3>lagged by two percent. This was, you know, behind estimates.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the second hike per scaler to lag on this

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<v Speaker 3>front in the last week. Microsoft last week posted disappointed

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<v Speaker 3>cloud numbers. What's driving the decline for Google specifically because

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<v Speaker 3>the Microsoft story was a little bit different there.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean the common thread is Google and Microsoft

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<v Speaker 7>are indicating, you know, slower growth.

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<v Speaker 8>Now.

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<v Speaker 7>Want to be clear, last quarter was an anomaly for Google,

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<v Speaker 7>so growth went to thirty five and then went to

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<v Speaker 7>thirty this last quarter, So I think everyone is concerned

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<v Speaker 7>about the magnitude that they did say there were some

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<v Speaker 7>one time items. Growth in Q four is still up

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<v Speaker 7>from the front half of the year, so it's not

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<v Speaker 7>like things are falling out of the sky.

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<v Speaker 8>And even for Microsoft, right.

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<v Speaker 7>They had low thirty percent growth, they wanted to see

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<v Speaker 7>mid thirties and they didn't see that acceleration.

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<v Speaker 2>They took up the table.

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<v Speaker 7>So we're still talking, you know, thirty percent growth across

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<v Speaker 7>both companies, and we were at the beginning of the

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<v Speaker 7>AI changed, So I wouldn't I'd be careful to look

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<v Speaker 7>at just one quarter and say it's a massive trend.

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<v Speaker 7>The trend has actually been pretty healthy. And then I

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<v Speaker 7>think the other thing is you kind of have this

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<v Speaker 7>bug zopper light as we call it with AI. Everyone

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<v Speaker 7>gets attracted to this light over here and says.

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<v Speaker 1>AI AI AI, and then.

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<v Speaker 7>They forget about the core workloads, right, And so Microsoft

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<v Speaker 7>highlighted that their aipiece was strong, the non aipiece was

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<v Speaker 7>a little weaker. So again I think part of this

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<v Speaker 7>is we're on a journey, or at the beginning of

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<v Speaker 7>the journey, there are going to be some rocks and

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<v Speaker 7>pebbles and you know, barking dogs across the path on

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<v Speaker 7>the way that you got to navigate. And it's not

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<v Speaker 7>like a straight line up. But ultimately I think it's

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<v Speaker 7>pretty good.

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<v Speaker 2>Now that but Brent, just on the pretty good thing.

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<v Speaker 4>Can I just ask about the seventy five billion dollar

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<v Speaker 4>capex though, because we are trying to understand whether you

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<v Speaker 4>should be committing such significant investment at this time. If

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<v Speaker 4>the return on AI is still questioned.

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<v Speaker 7>One hundred percent, you should be committing the question that

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<v Speaker 7>everyone's asking in every company when you ask the companies

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<v Speaker 7>of this question, and Microsoft will say do you want

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<v Speaker 7>us to get five percent market share fifty We're at

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<v Speaker 7>one of the big biggest tectonic shifts, the CM medtronic

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<v Speaker 7>every board in America. Globally, we're talking about China taking

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<v Speaker 7>down a trillion dollars in market cap last Monday. Do

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<v Speaker 7>you you want to be involved or not? And there's

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<v Speaker 7>a price to admission. And so this is very clear

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<v Speaker 7>that the time to spend is now, and the time

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<v Speaker 7>to spend is now in four or five six quarters.

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<v Speaker 4>And so to your point, what happened last Monday, the

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<v Speaker 4>takedown was born by Deep Sea And actually we did

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<v Speaker 4>hear from soopitch I talking about Deep Seak. Just take

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<v Speaker 4>a listen.

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<v Speaker 9>Run There's been a lot of observations on deep Seek.

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<v Speaker 9>First of all, you know, I think tremendous team. I

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<v Speaker 9>think they've done very very good work. I would say

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<v Speaker 9>both are two point zero flash models or two point

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<v Speaker 9>zero flash thinking models. You know, they are some of

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<v Speaker 9>the most efficient models out there, including comparing to Deep Seeks.

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<v Speaker 4>From your perspective, does Alphabet able to compete when it

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<v Speaker 4>comes to cheaper models?

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean, look, the China training thing is nonsense. Okay, dude,

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<v Speaker 7>Sacks from the White house came nonsense. Nonsense, Okay, so

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<v Speaker 7>we got to get that off the table. The technology

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<v Speaker 7>is there, but the training run costant six million is nonsense.

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<v Speaker 7>So I think, yeah, look they're going to be We

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<v Speaker 7>have software companies using twenty five lll ms and lasting

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<v Speaker 7>twenty five into it using ten. These are all going

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<v Speaker 7>to commoditize and they're all going to have a place,

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<v Speaker 7>and deepseq will have a place.

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<v Speaker 8>But it's not this.

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<v Speaker 7>You open your garage s dooor with one button and

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<v Speaker 7>you open your iPhone with another button. There's getting me

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<v Speaker 7>multiple multiple buttons. Okay, it's not just one.

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<v Speaker 8>And so we think.

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<v Speaker 7>Ultimately the big platforms with the users, with the capital

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<v Speaker 7>and the data win and Google has a lot of data,

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<v Speaker 7>they have a lot of great technology. So again this

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<v Speaker 7>is why Meta is doing so well. Meta is going

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<v Speaker 7>to perform very well with LAMA. So we are o

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<v Speaker 7>a believer that look, yeah, better AI efficiency will come,

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<v Speaker 7>but it's not coming at the pace that the market

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<v Speaker 7>thinks with deep seak.

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<v Speaker 8>It's just not.

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<v Speaker 7>And look at all the capics numbers between the last

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<v Speaker 7>Meta and Google. They've raised capis by twenty five billion.

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<v Speaker 7>If it was that efficient, these are pretty smart companies.

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<v Speaker 7>They don't want to waste shareholder money. They don't want

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<v Speaker 7>to waste They have a lot of loyees that work

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<v Speaker 7>there because they get paid in stock, Like they wouldn't

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<v Speaker 7>do this if they felt like, oh, yeah, it's so efficient,

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<v Speaker 7>Like why would you jack up the numbers as much

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<v Speaker 7>as they have. So again, I think everyone's being misled

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<v Speaker 7>by one comment from a Chinese comment firm that you

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<v Speaker 7>can validate the spend and the bring.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm curious if you can kind of speak to maybe

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<v Speaker 3>you know, shifting back to Google's bread and butter search

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<v Speaker 3>YouTube and bring in the artificial intelligence picture here, because

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<v Speaker 3>while we're steeing seeing some of this still kind of

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<v Speaker 3>come out on the cloud side, what sort of benefit

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<v Speaker 3>are investors pricing in on the YouTube and search side.

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<v Speaker 3>What AI boost are you expecting there in the next

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<v Speaker 3>couple quarters.

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<v Speaker 7>Well, no one's pricing anything today, so obviously stocks off

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<v Speaker 7>big on this kind of you know, minor miss if

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<v Speaker 7>you will. But ultimately, we think AI is going to

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<v Speaker 7>have a huge role. Like you look at Gemini. I've

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<v Speaker 7>and using it every day and over time, Gemini is

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<v Speaker 7>going to get smarter and I think there's a role

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<v Speaker 7>of core Search. I'm looking for a restaurant. I'm looking

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<v Speaker 7>for hours of the local small business. I need to

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<v Speaker 7>visit too. I need to get the answer of what's

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<v Speaker 7>the population of Iceland, And I want to ask Gemini

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<v Speaker 7>or I want a quick quick response in Gemini. These

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<v Speaker 7>things are going to effectively I think searching, what's happening

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<v Speaker 7>with AI and these AI agents are going to are

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<v Speaker 7>going to effectively melt together, and so it will be

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<v Speaker 7>a seamless experience. I think Google can do this, So

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<v Speaker 7>there'll be chance, there'll be times where you've seen it

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<v Speaker 7>at and sometimes you don't. Is that going to force

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<v Speaker 7>advertisers to run away?

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<v Speaker 8>I don't think so.

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<v Speaker 7>Look at YouTube great numbers, Look at core search good numbers.

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<v Speaker 7>The issue in Google's quarter has nothing to do with

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<v Speaker 7>the core business, has to do with the smallest business

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<v Speaker 7>at Cloud and Capex is up massively. Guess what Meta Microsoft,

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<v Speaker 7>everyone else is doing the same thing.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and you've got to.

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<v Speaker 8>Do it right now.

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<v Speaker 7>So and look, we've said at this AI journey is

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<v Speaker 7>going to take time. It's going to be a long journey,

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<v Speaker 7>and we're at the beginning of it.

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<v Speaker 2>Well said.

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<v Speaker 4>And Alphabet just coming down from some record hires of

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<v Speaker 4>yesterday as well. Jeffrey's Analystprent phil is so good to

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<v Speaker 4>catch up with you, Thank you very much. Coming up,

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<v Speaker 4>we're going to talk more earnings, AMD disappointing with its

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<v Speaker 4>AI outlook. More of the chip maker's earnings and other

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<v Speaker 4>in the silicon sector next. But as AMD fall, so

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<v Speaker 4>tutors snap quick check on those earnings after a mixed outlook,

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<v Speaker 4>basically sparing a load of downgrades on the street. Wills Fargo,

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<v Speaker 4>for example, cutting it to an equal weight, saying solid

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<v Speaker 4>revenue trends, but not enough to outweigh the period of reinvestment.

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<v Speaker 2>This is BlueBag Technology.

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<v Speaker 4>Shares of AMD tumbling today after the chipmaker left investors

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<v Speaker 4>with a disappointing outlook for its AI data center business,

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<v Speaker 4>saying they see strong double digit growth for more. Joanne Feoenie,

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<v Speaker 4>Advisor's capital management partner joins us in investors, they don't

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<v Speaker 4>just want double digit glows. They want a doubling of

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<v Speaker 4>AI business, right.

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<v Speaker 10>They want a lot line, that's for sure. And what

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<v Speaker 10>they overlook is what's going on with the rest of

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<v Speaker 10>the business. I mean, you know, look at how much

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<v Speaker 10>share that AMD has taken from Intel. A data center

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<v Speaker 10>business has nearly doubled twenty twenty four or twenty twenty three.

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<v Speaker 10>It's PC client business up more than.

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<v Speaker 8>Fifty percent for the whole year. They've done a tremendous.

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<v Speaker 10>Job of really taking advantage of Intel's problems. But I've

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<v Speaker 10>been doing it by being able to develop superior chips

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<v Speaker 10>of its own.

0:11:37.920 --> 0:11:40.079
<v Speaker 3>You're right, you know, Joanne, They're not getting a ton

0:11:40.120 --> 0:11:45.040
<v Speaker 3>of credit for that revenue beat doubling their other unit.

0:11:45.280 --> 0:11:47.760
<v Speaker 3>I'm curious if you can kind of speak to what

0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:51.439
<v Speaker 3>they said about that estimate miss on the data center

0:11:51.559 --> 0:11:54.160
<v Speaker 3>unit and what does it say about AMD's standing in

0:11:54.200 --> 0:11:55.720
<v Speaker 3>the AI ecosystem broadly.

0:11:56.360 --> 0:11:58.480
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, so, you know, the problem they had with their

0:11:58.559 --> 0:12:02.439
<v Speaker 10>report was that the their entry into the AI side

0:12:02.440 --> 0:12:05.720
<v Speaker 10>of data center is something that's a little bit slower

0:12:05.720 --> 0:12:08.240
<v Speaker 10>to roll out than people were hoping, and expectations were

0:12:08.280 --> 0:12:11.160
<v Speaker 10>high heading into the quarter. And so this new chip

0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:14.959
<v Speaker 10>that is expected to you know, really push AMD into

0:12:15.040 --> 0:12:18.480
<v Speaker 10>this business, you know, more securely, and they've only just

0:12:18.640 --> 0:12:21.640
<v Speaker 10>started rolling out this whole line of chips. That new chip,

0:12:21.679 --> 0:12:24.439
<v Speaker 10>the mi I three point fifty, is now expected to

0:12:24.520 --> 0:12:27.160
<v Speaker 10>ramp until the second half of this year, and so

0:12:27.280 --> 0:12:30.880
<v Speaker 10>consequently their guidance was softer than expected for the data center.

0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:34.000
<v Speaker 10>That doesn't take anything away from the core datata center.

0:12:33.920 --> 0:12:35.280
<v Speaker 8>Business, which continues to grow.

0:12:35.320 --> 0:12:38.240
<v Speaker 10>But we are in a seasonally weaker quarter for PCs

0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:41.040
<v Speaker 10>and for data center, and with a little bit less

0:12:41.120 --> 0:12:44.160
<v Speaker 10>of a ramp on those new chaps, the gross margin

0:12:44.200 --> 0:12:45.840
<v Speaker 10>takes a bit of a hit. And so you know,

0:12:45.840 --> 0:12:48.720
<v Speaker 10>in the semiconductor world, gross margin is everything. And so

0:12:48.880 --> 0:12:51.959
<v Speaker 10>whenever you see a decline in the gross margin expectations

0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:55.960
<v Speaker 10>relative to or you know, outlook relative to expectations, typically

0:12:56.000 --> 0:12:59.640
<v Speaker 10>stocks go down. But you know, more importantly, their second

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:03.360
<v Speaker 10>half for this ramp remains intact. It's just become a

0:13:03.360 --> 0:13:04.200
<v Speaker 10>little bit of a wait.

0:13:04.080 --> 0:13:04.680
<v Speaker 8>And see game.

0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:07.840
<v Speaker 10>And some shorter term investors don't tolerate that well and

0:13:07.880 --> 0:13:09.360
<v Speaker 10>they get out of the stock and they say, okay,

0:13:09.400 --> 0:13:12.640
<v Speaker 10>we'll get back in later. You know, for long term investors,

0:13:12.960 --> 0:13:16.080
<v Speaker 10>you know, it becomes a ride this out moment. You

0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:19.120
<v Speaker 10>don't know when sentiment is going to change. People could say, okay,

0:13:19.120 --> 0:13:20.280
<v Speaker 10>it's coming in the second half.

0:13:20.320 --> 0:13:22.080
<v Speaker 8>Well that's July. Oh maybe I should.

0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:24.800
<v Speaker 10>Start buying it, you know, in March, or you know,

0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:26.920
<v Speaker 10>maybe I had better get ahead of that buying spurt

0:13:26.920 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 10>and buy it, you know, later this month now that

0:13:29.040 --> 0:13:31.240
<v Speaker 10>it's come down. So it's really hard to time this

0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:33.280
<v Speaker 10>kind of thing. What you have to rely on is

0:13:33.280 --> 0:13:34.480
<v Speaker 10>that the fundamentals are good.

0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:38.240
<v Speaker 3>Speaking of the short term disruptions, Deep Seek also came

0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:40.120
<v Speaker 3>up on the earnings call, and I was surprised to

0:13:40.600 --> 0:13:44.079
<v Speaker 3>hear that the CEO projected a tone of confidence that

0:13:44.120 --> 0:13:47.000
<v Speaker 3>they could actually benefit from some of these algorithmic breakthroughs.

0:13:47.320 --> 0:13:50.200
<v Speaker 3>I'm curious if you can explain how does AMD and

0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:54.360
<v Speaker 3>you know, perhaps even Qualcom's foothold and edge devices like

0:13:54.480 --> 0:13:58.160
<v Speaker 3>phones make it better position perhaps to handle some of

0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:01.160
<v Speaker 3>you know, the disruptions coming from a deep Seek or

0:14:01.320 --> 0:14:04.360
<v Speaker 3>models like it, as opposed to an Invidia that really

0:14:04.440 --> 0:14:06.440
<v Speaker 3>saw it shares tank in the wake of that.

0:14:07.760 --> 0:14:11.920
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, so the deep Seek innovation, the news was surprising

0:14:12.080 --> 0:14:16.120
<v Speaker 10>because they were able to achieve efficiency potentially more quickly

0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:19.640
<v Speaker 10>than folksould imagine. But efficiency is always something that comes

0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 10>to this space. Right, Chips get smaller, faster, cheaper over time,

0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:26.440
<v Speaker 10>but that never led folks to buy fewer chips. Same

0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:30.280
<v Speaker 10>thing here, Right, the models become cheaper and more efficient

0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:33.280
<v Speaker 10>over time, but that doesn't mean that folks are going

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:35.480
<v Speaker 10>to step away from buying the best ships they can

0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:39.400
<v Speaker 10>now AMD Qualcom you have more of a focus on

0:14:39.440 --> 0:14:42.160
<v Speaker 10>the inference side of this, that is the use of

0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:45.960
<v Speaker 10>the models, and that's where greater efficiency will mean more use,

0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:48.120
<v Speaker 10>and I think that's what they're focused on. More use

0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:50.480
<v Speaker 10>is good for them. It's going to mean more chips

0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:53.280
<v Speaker 10>are going to be needed to roll out those applications,

0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:56.720
<v Speaker 10>and so hey, if the market shifts from the training chips,

0:14:56.720 --> 0:14:59.280
<v Speaker 10>where you absolutely have to have the highest quality, most

0:14:59.320 --> 0:15:02.640
<v Speaker 10>powerful and vid chips over to the inference side where

0:15:02.760 --> 0:15:06.760
<v Speaker 10>there are different components like memory and speed, that plays

0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:08.680
<v Speaker 10>into their strengths and on benefits.

0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:10.480
<v Speaker 2>You go amine Qualcom off to the bell today.

0:15:11.360 --> 0:15:12.520
<v Speaker 8>Yeah. Absolutely.

0:15:12.560 --> 0:15:16.440
<v Speaker 10>You know, ARM is more diversified, I say, in a

0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:17.920
<v Speaker 10>more diffuse in their exposure.

0:15:17.920 --> 0:15:19.160
<v Speaker 8>I mean, yes, they.

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:21.120
<v Speaker 10>Certainly play a role in a lot of the chips

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:23.920
<v Speaker 10>that go into the AI infrastructure, but they also are

0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:27.640
<v Speaker 10>more heavily tilted towards smartphones and in a very broad way,

0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:32.400
<v Speaker 10>Qualcom obviously more smartphone oriented. But fortunately for them, the

0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:34.640
<v Speaker 10>smartphones they go into tend to go to the higher

0:15:34.720 --> 0:15:37.520
<v Speaker 10>end consumer and that is an area that continues to

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 10>be strong. So we actually We do own Qualcom. We've

0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:42.920
<v Speaker 10>owned it for a long time for clients. We like

0:15:43.000 --> 0:15:46.160
<v Speaker 10>their growth potential. We also like the income with their

0:15:46.360 --> 0:15:47.320
<v Speaker 10>pretty solid dividend.

0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:50.240
<v Speaker 3>Lots to see today after the bell, Joey un Feenie

0:15:50.320 --> 0:16:02.200
<v Speaker 3>of Advisor's Capital Management, Thank you. Electronic Arts cut its

0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:04.960
<v Speaker 3>full year revenue outlook yesterday. That follows a decline in

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:07.440
<v Speaker 3>the company's third quarter sales. For more on what we

0:16:07.520 --> 0:16:10.080
<v Speaker 3>learned from the video game publisher, were joined by Bloomberg's

0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 3>Jason Schreyer. Jason, This stirred concerns among investors that EA

0:16:15.760 --> 0:16:18.840
<v Speaker 3>Games can continue to squeeze growth from its Tent Bowl

0:16:19.560 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 3>soccer franchise games that counts for a big slice of

0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:27.680
<v Speaker 3>its overall revenues. What did you learn from the earnings

0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 3>call about how the company plans to turn this around?

0:16:31.040 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, so it was an interesting call last night. EA

0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:37.640
<v Speaker 11>had already reported preliminary results a couple of weeks ago

0:16:37.720 --> 0:16:41.920
<v Speaker 11>and taking a bath in the sock as a result.

0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:43.760
<v Speaker 11>I believe they're down about twenty percent.

0:16:43.840 --> 0:16:44.600
<v Speaker 8>They had a.

0:16:44.560 --> 0:16:49.040
<v Speaker 11>Slight gain overnight, partially because they said they were buying

0:16:49.080 --> 0:16:50.600
<v Speaker 11>back a billion dollars in the stock.

0:16:52.040 --> 0:16:53.160
<v Speaker 8>And yeah, I mean.

0:16:53.120 --> 0:16:55.160
<v Speaker 11>They are looking at the Soccer franchise that is their

0:16:55.200 --> 0:16:58.200
<v Speaker 11>big money maker. I believe it's something like seventy four

0:16:58.360 --> 0:17:02.000
<v Speaker 11>seventy five percent of revenue, and their business is now

0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:05.600
<v Speaker 11>from live service, meaning not just selling a game on

0:17:05.640 --> 0:17:09.320
<v Speaker 11>a store shelf, but also recurring revenue getting players to

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:12.480
<v Speaker 11>buy stuff within the game after it launches, and the

0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:16.240
<v Speaker 11>soccer game is a big part of that. This recent

0:17:16.440 --> 0:17:19.280
<v Speaker 11>kind of disappointing quarter as a result of this new

0:17:19.320 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 11>soccer game not having the same kind of long term revenues.

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:23.600
<v Speaker 5>That they hoped for.

0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:27.080
<v Speaker 4>Anice in augustanding for example, calling out lower user acquisition

0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:29.679
<v Speaker 4>software engagement with FC. They also then turn their attention

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:33.640
<v Speaker 4>to Battlefield and basically a slipping calendar date there too

0:17:33.680 --> 0:17:33.880
<v Speaker 4>a bit.

0:17:33.960 --> 0:17:37.040
<v Speaker 11>Jason, Yeah, it looks like they are planning on releasing

0:17:37.040 --> 0:17:40.160
<v Speaker 11>the new Battlefield at some point this coming fiscal year,

0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:44.040
<v Speaker 11>so before April of next year. And yeah, this one

0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:45.879
<v Speaker 11>has been a little while in the making. It's been

0:17:45.920 --> 0:17:49.639
<v Speaker 11>a while since Thea's recent Battlefield A most recent battlefield game,

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:53.440
<v Speaker 11>Battlefield has never been able to keep up with the

0:17:53.520 --> 0:17:57.440
<v Speaker 11>biggest rival, Call of Duty from Activision Blizzards, so it'll

0:17:57.440 --> 0:18:00.720
<v Speaker 11>be interesting to see how they perform this time they

0:18:01.200 --> 0:18:02.680
<v Speaker 11>for I believe the first time.

0:18:02.720 --> 0:18:04.480
<v Speaker 8>They have four different.

0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:07.919
<v Speaker 11>Studios within the EA organization just working on this single

0:18:08.000 --> 0:18:11.160
<v Speaker 11>battlefield game, so it is a humongous bet for them.

0:18:11.720 --> 0:18:14.240
<v Speaker 3>Jason, one of the company's challenges right now is getting

0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:17.679
<v Speaker 3>users to play the updated version of the game, but

0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:19.960
<v Speaker 3>they're still pretty interested in playing the older version of

0:18:19.960 --> 0:18:22.359
<v Speaker 3>the game. How does the company typically deal with something

0:18:22.400 --> 0:18:22.680
<v Speaker 3>like that?

0:18:23.840 --> 0:18:27.440
<v Speaker 11>This is the eternal video game industry problem right now,

0:18:27.480 --> 0:18:30.080
<v Speaker 11>which is that you have so many people who just

0:18:30.119 --> 0:18:33.040
<v Speaker 11>don't feel compelled to keep buying new games every single

0:18:33.080 --> 0:18:35.359
<v Speaker 11>year when they can still have a great time playing

0:18:35.359 --> 0:18:39.160
<v Speaker 11>their older games, playing Fortnite, or playing a previous iteration

0:18:39.280 --> 0:18:41.800
<v Speaker 11>of the sports game. In the sports it's been interesting

0:18:41.840 --> 0:18:44.760
<v Speaker 11>Traditionally a company like EA has been able to get

0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:50.639
<v Speaker 11>people to keep buying new releases because of roster updates

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:54.199
<v Speaker 11>and kind of slight feature enhancements. In the case of

0:18:54.280 --> 0:18:58.200
<v Speaker 11>the soccer games formerly called FIFA now called EA Sports FC,

0:18:59.200 --> 0:19:01.199
<v Speaker 11>one of their biggest in restences is kind of like

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:05.720
<v Speaker 11>this Ultimate Team mode where basically players have to buy

0:19:05.840 --> 0:19:08.439
<v Speaker 11>these kind of loop boxes or card packs that give

0:19:08.480 --> 0:19:11.879
<v Speaker 11>them randomly generated players and stats, and it's this whole

0:19:11.880 --> 0:19:14.320
<v Speaker 11>big ecosystem that a lot of people have criticized for

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:17.119
<v Speaker 11>filling a whole lot like gambling, and EA's hope is

0:19:17.160 --> 0:19:20.680
<v Speaker 11>that EA has said that the most recent entry is

0:19:20.680 --> 0:19:23.639
<v Speaker 11>a little bit unbalanced, players didn't like a lot of

0:19:23.680 --> 0:19:26.480
<v Speaker 11>things about it, and they're hoping that a big update

0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:28.399
<v Speaker 11>they just released a couple of weeks ago will fix

0:19:28.520 --> 0:19:30.359
<v Speaker 11>things and kept people back on track.

0:19:30.600 --> 0:19:33.040
<v Speaker 4>Jason, Sure, thanks so much for the update on EA.

0:19:33.240 --> 0:19:35.840
<v Speaker 4>Now on to more earnings. Uber shares falling on wheat

0:19:35.840 --> 0:19:38.440
<v Speaker 4>gross booking guidance, bloomag In challenges analyst Man it's seeing

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:40.920
<v Speaker 4>is in the house, and look they're blaming weather. You're

0:19:40.920 --> 0:19:44.159
<v Speaker 4>actually more worried about broader deceleration from ultimately months of

0:19:44.200 --> 0:19:45.240
<v Speaker 4>music with Yeah.

0:19:45.359 --> 0:19:47.840
<v Speaker 12>Look, I think when you look at their three year

0:19:47.920 --> 0:19:52.040
<v Speaker 12>target of mid to high teens, what could kind of

0:19:52.080 --> 0:19:54.879
<v Speaker 12>get them there? It has to be the mobility segment

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:57.959
<v Speaker 12>that is the core business. The delivery side isn't that

0:19:58.040 --> 0:20:01.280
<v Speaker 12>profitable still, then you compare them to DoorDash and on

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:04.800
<v Speaker 12>the mobility side, everyone is so worried about Wemo rolling

0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:07.720
<v Speaker 12>out to ten more cities. Now, granted, the number of

0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:10.040
<v Speaker 12>rides that Wemo is doing is a fraction of.

0:20:10.000 --> 0:20:13.440
<v Speaker 2>What Aniba has a relationship but only in two cities.

0:20:13.480 --> 0:20:14.640
<v Speaker 5>So that's the catch here.

0:20:15.040 --> 0:20:18.200
<v Speaker 12>It's not, you know, a relationship that spreads across all

0:20:18.240 --> 0:20:21.160
<v Speaker 12>the cities. And that's what I think investors are worried about.

0:20:21.359 --> 0:20:24.400
<v Speaker 12>If testa robotaxis were to come this year, and that's

0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:27.600
<v Speaker 12>a big if, and they get all the regulatory approvals

0:20:27.640 --> 0:20:30.800
<v Speaker 12>they need, then you could make the case that mobility,

0:20:31.560 --> 0:20:35.720
<v Speaker 12>you know, growth will slow down. And DoorDash has partnered

0:20:35.840 --> 0:20:39.840
<v Speaker 12>with Lyft now, so I would say lift should benefit

0:20:39.880 --> 0:20:43.840
<v Speaker 12>from Doordasher's distribution. So all those factors kind of weigh

0:20:43.880 --> 0:20:46.520
<v Speaker 12>on the user growth, and then it's very hard to

0:20:46.600 --> 0:20:49.679
<v Speaker 12>make a case that the right frequency will grow given

0:20:50.040 --> 0:20:52.040
<v Speaker 12>Wemo is expanding in all these new cities.

0:20:52.800 --> 0:20:56.840
<v Speaker 3>Man Deep in thirty seconds. Uber sid it's self driving business. Car,

0:20:57.359 --> 0:21:00.720
<v Speaker 3>It's self driving car business years ago. What's it's strategy today?

0:21:00.720 --> 0:21:02.720
<v Speaker 3>Has the company said anything about how plans to go

0:21:02.760 --> 0:21:03.160
<v Speaker 3>about that?

0:21:03.480 --> 0:21:06.119
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, they mentioned that they will be looking for the

0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:09.720
<v Speaker 12>right acquisitions and you know, they don't want to spend

0:21:09.760 --> 0:21:12.680
<v Speaker 12>too much in terms of making an acquisition, but it's

0:21:12.800 --> 0:21:15.639
<v Speaker 12>pretty obvious that they will be looking for tokens and

0:21:15.680 --> 0:21:19.280
<v Speaker 12>you know, adding their own technology to avoid being disintermediated.

0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:22.960
<v Speaker 3>Here wull bring intelligence analysts man deeps in me.

0:21:23.080 --> 0:21:33.200
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, Welcome back to Blue meg Tenology. I'm Caroline

0:21:33.240 --> 0:21:34.040
<v Speaker 2>Hid in New York.

0:21:34.480 --> 0:21:36.200
<v Speaker 3>And I'm Jackie Devalas in San Francisco.

0:21:36.480 --> 0:21:38.760
<v Speaker 4>Quick check on these markets. First, Disney off by a

0:21:38.840 --> 0:21:41.320
<v Speaker 4>one percent. Interesting is they managed to do particularly well

0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:44.199
<v Speaker 4>in streaming in terms of profitability. They're still seeing the

0:21:44.280 --> 0:21:47.800
<v Speaker 4>more honor to effect really bullying up. What's happening in

0:21:47.840 --> 0:21:50.960
<v Speaker 4>terms of their movie making business. Entertainment was flat. Let's

0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:52.400
<v Speaker 4>have a little look at what the CFO was talking

0:21:52.440 --> 0:21:54.120
<v Speaker 4>about in terms of the Disney numbers, which did.

0:21:54.040 --> 0:21:55.080
<v Speaker 2>Beat on a profit basis.

0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:57.760
<v Speaker 4>Jonathan Pharaoh and Lisa ramo It sat down with the CFO,

0:21:57.840 --> 0:21:59.320
<v Speaker 4>Hugh Johnston earlier this morning.

0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:01.040
<v Speaker 2>Here's what he said about streaming strengths.

0:22:02.200 --> 0:22:05.639
<v Speaker 13>The streaming business is doing extremely well. This is a

0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:08.560
<v Speaker 13>business we invested pretty heavily in a couple of years ago,

0:22:09.000 --> 0:22:12.159
<v Speaker 13>and what you're seeing now is the benefit of those investments.

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:17.000
<v Speaker 13>Our expectation is will continue to grow, subs, will improve margins.

0:22:17.000 --> 0:22:18.760
<v Speaker 13>We should make more than a billion dollars in that

0:22:18.800 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 13>business this year and next year we're looking at double

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:25.159
<v Speaker 13>digit margins in that business. So certainly a ton of

0:22:25.200 --> 0:22:28.080
<v Speaker 13>positive momentum. Now you get into the question of why.

0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:30.800
<v Speaker 13>A lot of it is the great content that's coming

0:22:30.840 --> 0:22:33.239
<v Speaker 13>from the studio side of the house, both on the

0:22:33.240 --> 0:22:36.920
<v Speaker 13>TV and the movie side of our entertainment business. We

0:22:37.000 --> 0:22:41.400
<v Speaker 13>wanta to Inside Out to Deadpool, all terrific hits, and

0:22:41.480 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 13>on the TV side, the combination of Abbot, Elementary, Showgun

0:22:45.680 --> 0:22:50.879
<v Speaker 13>and high potential causing viewership to grow. We're seeing higher engagement,

0:22:51.440 --> 0:22:54.760
<v Speaker 13>We're seeing churn ultimately coming down over the course of

0:22:54.800 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 13>this year. So we feel like the streaming business is

0:22:57.359 --> 0:22:59.439
<v Speaker 13>going to be one of the big drivers for our

0:22:59.480 --> 0:23:00.440
<v Speaker 13>company going going forward.

0:23:00.800 --> 0:23:00.960
<v Speaker 9>Here.

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 14>You know how much I love Showgun and Les so

0:23:03.040 --> 0:23:05.040
<v Speaker 14>I can say love Mowana two as well. So the

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:08.440
<v Speaker 14>content slen is looking pretty good so far. I did

0:23:08.480 --> 0:23:10.639
<v Speaker 14>want to talk about the cost issue though, and clearly

0:23:10.640 --> 0:23:13.160
<v Speaker 14>not an issue from you, so I appreciate the explanation.

0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:15.720
<v Speaker 14>Conversation we've had over the last few days or so,

0:23:15.880 --> 0:23:18.440
<v Speaker 14>is if we get tariffs, can companies pass on the costs?

0:23:18.600 --> 0:23:20.399
<v Speaker 14>I'd like to know from your perspective and for the

0:23:20.440 --> 0:23:23.440
<v Speaker 14>company the additional tariffs that have gone onto China, how

0:23:23.440 --> 0:23:24.679
<v Speaker 14>that could impact your business.

0:23:24.720 --> 0:23:26.119
<v Speaker 2>How are you thinking about things?

0:23:26.800 --> 0:23:30.199
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, right, right now, based on what's been proposed. And

0:23:30.240 --> 0:23:33.119
<v Speaker 13>obviously this is a rapidly evolving environment, so we're going

0:23:33.160 --> 0:23:36.480
<v Speaker 13>to react as we learn things. The impact would be

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 13>in material to us. So from that perspective, really, the

0:23:39.760 --> 0:23:41.719
<v Speaker 13>Walt Disney Company will be fine based on what's on

0:23:41.760 --> 0:23:42.680
<v Speaker 13>the table right now.

0:23:44.160 --> 0:23:46.720
<v Speaker 3>That was Disney CFO Hugh Johnston, and we stay with

0:23:46.760 --> 0:23:49.720
<v Speaker 3>Disney earnings. Joining us now is Ross Gerbert, CEO of

0:23:49.720 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 3>Gerbert Kawasaki. Ross. One of the things that stood out

0:23:52.880 --> 0:23:55.480
<v Speaker 3>to me in this report is not just that quarterly profits,

0:23:55.960 --> 0:24:00.080
<v Speaker 3>but that positive performance might have a few drivers here,

0:24:00.119 --> 0:24:01.959
<v Speaker 3>And the thing that stood out to me is that

0:24:02.080 --> 0:24:05.480
<v Speaker 3>price hike from the fall. I want to know how

0:24:05.600 --> 0:24:09.960
<v Speaker 3>much of that profit came from that price hike or

0:24:10.119 --> 0:24:12.719
<v Speaker 3>versus you know, organic customer growth.

0:24:12.760 --> 0:24:15.680
<v Speaker 15>What are you saying, Well, we didn't see a huge

0:24:15.680 --> 0:24:18.520
<v Speaker 15>amount of organic growth in customers and that was part

0:24:18.520 --> 0:24:21.840
<v Speaker 15>of the strategy in making streaming profitable by charging the

0:24:22.000 --> 0:24:24.760
<v Speaker 15>right amount for the content. But what they proved is

0:24:24.760 --> 0:24:27.760
<v Speaker 15>that they could jam a pretty you know, big price

0:24:27.840 --> 0:24:31.160
<v Speaker 15>hike into the system and not lose subscribers by any

0:24:31.200 --> 0:24:34.680
<v Speaker 15>meaningful amount. And therefore increased profitability. And when you look

0:24:34.720 --> 0:24:38.080
<v Speaker 15>at exactly what the CFO said, the enormous amount of

0:24:38.080 --> 0:24:40.960
<v Speaker 15>money they've invested in streaming to now see it becoming

0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:43.720
<v Speaker 15>a very profitable business, which double digit margins.

0:24:43.760 --> 0:24:45.240
<v Speaker 8>That was always our hope for Disney.

0:24:45.480 --> 0:24:48.600
<v Speaker 15>Disney's the top holding in my fund GK, and I

0:24:48.640 --> 0:24:51.680
<v Speaker 15>think the stock is just wildly undervalued when you compare

0:24:51.720 --> 0:24:53.680
<v Speaker 15>it to Netflix, which is actually the top holding in

0:24:53.720 --> 0:24:54.159
<v Speaker 15>my fund.

0:24:54.520 --> 0:24:57.000
<v Speaker 8>And Netflix is killing it on all corners.

0:24:57.000 --> 0:25:01.479
<v Speaker 15>But it's really a two horse streaming between you know,

0:25:01.560 --> 0:25:02.600
<v Speaker 15>Disney and Netflix.

0:25:02.720 --> 0:25:05.000
<v Speaker 4>Barbigo is talking on the conference call with investors such

0:25:05.000 --> 0:25:07.040
<v Speaker 4>as yourself, talking about how he's so pleased with the

0:25:07.119 --> 0:25:09.359
<v Speaker 4>subs numbers, the fact that you didn't see more churn,

0:25:09.880 --> 0:25:12.200
<v Speaker 4>But what about the growth story back to the likes

0:25:12.200 --> 0:25:14.919
<v Speaker 4>of entertainment. Yes, you want to see streaming being a

0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:18.560
<v Speaker 4>real pillar for Disney going forward, but we've got broader entertainment.

0:25:18.600 --> 0:25:20.879
<v Speaker 4>We've got TV and cable being difficult for them not

0:25:20.960 --> 0:25:23.240
<v Speaker 4>to mention people getting onto the latest boat or into

0:25:23.240 --> 0:25:23.960
<v Speaker 4>the latest park.

0:25:25.240 --> 0:25:27.920
<v Speaker 15>Well, the big thing about you know, linear TV is

0:25:27.960 --> 0:25:30.040
<v Speaker 15>dying and that's not going to change. But what it

0:25:30.080 --> 0:25:33.000
<v Speaker 15>really is about is good content, and that's the Iigre

0:25:33.080 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 15>effect is real, and we're seeing the benefits of having

0:25:36.080 --> 0:25:39.280
<v Speaker 15>Aigre back at the Helm because the content has improved

0:25:39.359 --> 0:25:43.000
<v Speaker 15>dramatically from the Japek era and that drives results. It

0:25:43.080 --> 0:25:45.439
<v Speaker 15>drived in in in the theaters with Moana too, and

0:25:45.440 --> 0:25:47.480
<v Speaker 15>then it drives it onto the streamer because I'm just

0:25:47.520 --> 0:25:50.280
<v Speaker 15>waiting for Maana two to drop on Disney Plus. And

0:25:50.320 --> 0:25:53.400
<v Speaker 15>you know, and subscriber numbers will soar because people want

0:25:53.440 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 15>to watch these really successful movies that they'll pay in

0:25:56.359 --> 0:25:58.639
<v Speaker 15>the theaters, but then they'll watch it again on the streamers,

0:25:58.760 --> 0:26:01.359
<v Speaker 15>probably for the next ten years, you know. So you

0:26:01.400 --> 0:26:06.000
<v Speaker 15>know Disney's Experiences division, you know, the parks, and they

0:26:06.119 --> 0:26:07.879
<v Speaker 15>made a lot of investments, and then they had the

0:26:07.920 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 15>storm that kind of hurt earnings a little bit. But

0:26:10.680 --> 0:26:13.800
<v Speaker 15>with the new cruise ships coming out too, this business

0:26:13.920 --> 0:26:15.639
<v Speaker 15>is is a goal mine. So if you look at

0:26:15.680 --> 0:26:18.919
<v Speaker 15>Disney's cash flow, it's just a wonderful business at a

0:26:18.960 --> 0:26:21.600
<v Speaker 15>really decent price. So, you know, we're very bullish on

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:22.359
<v Speaker 15>Disney's future.

0:26:22.520 --> 0:26:24.280
<v Speaker 2>What about the future of the CEO.

0:26:25.640 --> 0:26:28.199
<v Speaker 15>Well, you know, Iiger is a young you know, seventy

0:26:28.320 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 15>or whatever, and you know, I hope he stays forever.

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:33.600
<v Speaker 15>And Disney has a long history of having CEOs. They

0:26:33.640 --> 0:26:35.639
<v Speaker 15>keep saying they're going to retire and don't retire, but

0:26:35.680 --> 0:26:39.000
<v Speaker 15>I think ultimately they should drive the industry towards the

0:26:39.040 --> 0:26:41.600
<v Speaker 15>digital part of their business, or maybe a co CEO

0:26:41.760 --> 0:26:44.480
<v Speaker 15>situation where you have experience and a digital you know,

0:26:44.600 --> 0:26:47.280
<v Speaker 15>kind of like what Netflix has done, because the businesses

0:26:47.280 --> 0:26:50.280
<v Speaker 15>are huge and quite different. But we need somebody who

0:26:50.320 --> 0:26:54.720
<v Speaker 15>can really drive creativity because that's what drives Disney's earnings.

0:26:55.920 --> 0:27:00.359
<v Speaker 3>Ross let's pivot shift years to another game or another

0:27:00.600 --> 0:27:04.159
<v Speaker 3>name that you cover Tesla No pun intended there, gerber

0:27:04.240 --> 0:27:07.760
<v Speaker 3>Kowas hockey holdings peaked in twenty eighteen and they've come

0:27:07.800 --> 0:27:11.040
<v Speaker 3>down quite a bit. And what do you make of

0:27:11.080 --> 0:27:15.360
<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk's growing side project with Doge and his role

0:27:15.400 --> 0:27:18.000
<v Speaker 3>in government? At what point do you think you'll really

0:27:18.000 --> 0:27:21.880
<v Speaker 3>start to pair back more or if not completely, if

0:27:21.920 --> 0:27:23.800
<v Speaker 3>his attention continues to be diverted there.

0:27:25.119 --> 0:27:27.600
<v Speaker 8>Well, there's a lot of things so i'd pack with Tesla.

0:27:27.640 --> 0:27:29.520
<v Speaker 15>First of all, his full time job is at the

0:27:29.520 --> 0:27:32.080
<v Speaker 15>government right now, so we all know he doesn't really

0:27:32.119 --> 0:27:34.919
<v Speaker 15>work at Tesla, and that's not so bad. Because many

0:27:34.960 --> 0:27:36.600
<v Speaker 15>of the people at Tesla are actually fine with that

0:27:37.080 --> 0:27:41.439
<v Speaker 15>because it's he's quite disruptive. That said, the goals for

0:27:41.520 --> 0:27:44.439
<v Speaker 15>Tesla are quite immense, and you know, they have very

0:27:44.480 --> 0:27:47.359
<v Speaker 15>little time to achieve them based off the timelines that.

0:27:47.240 --> 0:27:48.440
<v Speaker 8>They've set out.

0:27:48.880 --> 0:27:52.040
<v Speaker 15>Tesla you know, has a lot of issues that they

0:27:52.040 --> 0:27:54.760
<v Speaker 15>have to deal with, especially from a marketing perspective as well,

0:27:54.800 --> 0:27:58.080
<v Speaker 15>because like the numbers in Europe. So you know, we've

0:27:58.080 --> 0:28:00.679
<v Speaker 15>been a seller of Tesla over the years because we

0:28:00.720 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 15>had such an overweight position because we made so much

0:28:03.119 --> 0:28:06.080
<v Speaker 15>money in Tesla from twenty eighteen to let's say today,

0:28:06.440 --> 0:28:09.159
<v Speaker 15>and so you know, we still owned Tesla because it's

0:28:09.200 --> 0:28:12.560
<v Speaker 15>the most impactful company for climate change in the world,

0:28:12.760 --> 0:28:14.720
<v Speaker 15>and that's a theme that we very much believe in.

0:28:14.800 --> 0:28:17.200
<v Speaker 8>They make the best evs and if.

0:28:17.080 --> 0:28:20.360
<v Speaker 15>They just focused on their core business and really stopped

0:28:20.359 --> 0:28:22.720
<v Speaker 15>all the political noise, I think Tesla would be fine.

0:28:23.560 --> 0:28:26.560
<v Speaker 15>So you know, it's a really difficult stock to own,

0:28:26.600 --> 0:28:29.000
<v Speaker 15>and we still own it, and you know it's not

0:28:29.040 --> 0:28:31.399
<v Speaker 15>a big position, but then it you know, doubled in valued,

0:28:31.480 --> 0:28:33.000
<v Speaker 15>so we've been taking profits.

0:28:33.000 --> 0:28:33.320
<v Speaker 8>Again.

0:28:34.320 --> 0:28:37.880
<v Speaker 3>Ross to your point about the climate change opportunity, does

0:28:37.920 --> 0:28:41.880
<v Speaker 3>that still exist? In a Trump administration where perhaps that's

0:28:41.960 --> 0:28:44.120
<v Speaker 3>not as prioritized as it was previously.

0:28:45.560 --> 0:28:46.400
<v Speaker 8>Well, I can tell.

0:28:46.240 --> 0:28:48.920
<v Speaker 15>You because I just fought the fires myself and the Palisades,

0:28:48.960 --> 0:28:51.160
<v Speaker 15>that when you're looking at seventy foot flames burning up

0:28:51.160 --> 0:28:54.680
<v Speaker 15>an entire city in one night, or hurricanes in Florida,

0:28:54.800 --> 0:28:57.120
<v Speaker 15>or ridiculously cold weather in the North, or whatever you

0:28:57.120 --> 0:28:59.760
<v Speaker 15>want to look at, climate change is not a political issue,

0:29:00.120 --> 0:29:02.880
<v Speaker 15>real issue that all of us in the world are facing,

0:29:03.120 --> 0:29:05.400
<v Speaker 15>whether we like it or not. I've seen her firsthand.

0:29:05.600 --> 0:29:08.120
<v Speaker 15>Mother Nature does not want us here anymore. So we

0:29:08.160 --> 0:29:12.080
<v Speaker 15>need solutions real badly, and Tesla is the best solution

0:29:12.200 --> 0:29:15.880
<v Speaker 15>for climate change between battery storage charging and the ev business.

0:29:15.880 --> 0:29:17.760
<v Speaker 15>So people are going to buy evs because they're better

0:29:17.880 --> 0:29:19.520
<v Speaker 15>cars than gas cars.

0:29:19.720 --> 0:29:20.720
<v Speaker 8>They're a better.

0:29:20.560 --> 0:29:23.560
<v Speaker 15>Value for consumers, and it's good for the environment. And

0:29:23.600 --> 0:29:26.760
<v Speaker 15>this business is growing globally and every car maker is

0:29:26.840 --> 0:29:29.000
<v Speaker 15>making grad evs now and that was the goal of

0:29:29.000 --> 0:29:33.160
<v Speaker 15>Tesla originally. So we've been successful, but this trend towards

0:29:33.600 --> 0:29:36.520
<v Speaker 15>evs is not going away because of politics.

0:29:37.440 --> 0:29:39.720
<v Speaker 4>Thoughts with you with your neighbors for what you've been

0:29:39.760 --> 0:29:42.120
<v Speaker 4>fighting over the course of the month in La ross

0:29:42.440 --> 0:29:44.680
<v Speaker 4>I want to go back to what you said about Europe, because,

0:29:44.960 --> 0:29:47.280
<v Speaker 4>as I mentioned earlier, the numbers out of Germany are

0:29:47.280 --> 0:29:50.640
<v Speaker 4>pretty astonishing, down sixty percent in terms of sales, France

0:29:50.760 --> 0:29:54.479
<v Speaker 4>down sixty percent. Is Europe feeling the impact of Elon

0:29:54.880 --> 0:29:57.720
<v Speaker 4>and the marketing impact more than the US or is

0:29:57.720 --> 0:29:59.000
<v Speaker 4>this just a lack of a lineup.

0:30:00.440 --> 0:30:02.800
<v Speaker 8>No, no, no, this is one hundred percent politics.

0:30:02.800 --> 0:30:04.960
<v Speaker 15>I mean, when you go into Germany and you start

0:30:05.160 --> 0:30:08.760
<v Speaker 15>supporting the right wing almost like Nazi Party of Germany,

0:30:09.120 --> 0:30:10.960
<v Speaker 15>you're going to get a lot of Germans not buying

0:30:10.960 --> 0:30:14.800
<v Speaker 15>your vehicles. Remember, Europeans are very conscious people and they

0:30:14.800 --> 0:30:17.000
<v Speaker 15>pay a lot of attention to things that are important,

0:30:17.000 --> 0:30:19.280
<v Speaker 15>whether it be you know, the quality of their food

0:30:19.360 --> 0:30:20.920
<v Speaker 15>or water, and also they.

0:30:20.800 --> 0:30:21.760
<v Speaker 8>Care about climate.

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:24.760
<v Speaker 15>But when push comes to shove, Elon's agenda is a

0:30:24.880 --> 0:30:28.840
<v Speaker 15>direct affront to the direction of Europe and Europeans are

0:30:29.160 --> 0:30:31.360
<v Speaker 15>you know, voting with their dollars and they're not going

0:30:31.360 --> 0:30:33.240
<v Speaker 15>to buy Tesla's because they know they can buy other

0:30:33.640 --> 0:30:36.840
<v Speaker 15>evs that are just as good. So you know, we're

0:30:37.400 --> 0:30:39.880
<v Speaker 15>just starting to see this. It's happening in California as well.

0:30:40.480 --> 0:30:42.560
<v Speaker 15>This is a big problem for Tesla long term and

0:30:42.640 --> 0:30:45.080
<v Speaker 15>I'm really concerned they're going to be unable to grow

0:30:45.160 --> 0:30:48.760
<v Speaker 15>sales moving forward with the current I would say anti

0:30:48.840 --> 0:30:50.120
<v Speaker 15>marketing campaign of YEW.

0:30:51.160 --> 0:30:53.600
<v Speaker 4>You mentioned, of course, the IFD, which is that the

0:30:53.600 --> 0:30:56.520
<v Speaker 4>far right party in Germany which in many ways Elon

0:30:56.600 --> 0:30:59.320
<v Speaker 4>Musk has has led to support to us. Bringing it

0:30:59.360 --> 0:31:02.320
<v Speaker 4>back to therefore, what the company needs to do fundamentally, Look,

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:05.080
<v Speaker 4>it doesn't matter the numbers didn't live up to expectations.

0:31:05.400 --> 0:31:08.840
<v Speaker 4>We've got ultimately following Weimo in terms of robotaxes on

0:31:08.880 --> 0:31:11.480
<v Speaker 4>the ground. But that's right the market, the market still

0:31:11.480 --> 0:31:15.400
<v Speaker 4>posts the stock higher. So is it completely disassociated with

0:31:15.480 --> 0:31:18.480
<v Speaker 4>fundamentals at this point, Well, we.

0:31:18.480 --> 0:31:20.320
<v Speaker 15>Look at it as the fundamentals of the business are

0:31:20.320 --> 0:31:22.720
<v Speaker 15>worth about two hundred dollars and then the rest of

0:31:22.760 --> 0:31:26.320
<v Speaker 15>the stock price is hoe premium based off Robotaxi and

0:31:26.440 --> 0:31:30.040
<v Speaker 15>robotics in AI, which you know are legitimate, you know,

0:31:30.160 --> 0:31:31.320
<v Speaker 15>opportunities for Tesla.

0:31:31.360 --> 0:31:32.560
<v Speaker 8>So I don't want to poop poo them. But I

0:31:32.600 --> 0:31:34.200
<v Speaker 8>live in Santa Monica.

0:31:33.720 --> 0:31:38.080
<v Speaker 15>And every day I drive there's Weaimo's everywhere really doing well.

0:31:38.080 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 15>They're driving perfectly, they're taking rides from Uber. We sell

0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:43.480
<v Speaker 15>that and we're going to see this in Uber's numbers,

0:31:43.520 --> 0:31:46.600
<v Speaker 15>which we now don't own Uber, because I think Weimo

0:31:47.160 --> 0:31:50.800
<v Speaker 15>is a wonderful opportunity for investors for robotaxi and it's

0:31:50.840 --> 0:31:54.520
<v Speaker 15>way better than driving than Tesla. So I would say

0:31:54.560 --> 0:31:57.160
<v Speaker 15>with the decline in Google today, boy, that's an opportunity

0:31:57.200 --> 0:32:00.120
<v Speaker 15>for investors because that's a reasonably priced stock with thing

0:32:00.320 --> 0:32:02.120
<v Speaker 15>like Weimo that could be worth a ton of money

0:32:02.120 --> 0:32:04.560
<v Speaker 15>in the future. So now they're launching in Austin, right

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:07.920
<v Speaker 15>in Tesla's backyard, and it's almost like spitting an elon

0:32:08.000 --> 0:32:11.560
<v Speaker 15>space now as he's pitching a robotaxi that basically doesn't work,

0:32:11.800 --> 0:32:16.920
<v Speaker 15>and Weimo is really successfully, you know, rolling out robotaxi.

0:32:17.040 --> 0:32:18.800
<v Speaker 8>So this is a real competitor.

0:32:19.440 --> 0:32:22.320
<v Speaker 4>And certainly we're getting outlines from Alphabet overnight of how

0:32:22.360 --> 0:32:24.200
<v Speaker 4>many rides are being done by Weimo at the moment.

0:32:24.280 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 4>Ross Gerba of Gerber Kawasaki. Great to catch up with you,

0:32:27.200 --> 0:32:29.600
<v Speaker 4>Thank you. Coming up, we're going to be joined by

0:32:29.600 --> 0:32:32.000
<v Speaker 4>Sarah Glow of Conviction. We're going to be discussing the

0:32:32.040 --> 0:32:34.320
<v Speaker 4>state of AI investing. That's coming up next. This is

0:32:34.360 --> 0:32:49.880
<v Speaker 4>BLUEBG Technology Time now for Talking Tech and first up

0:32:50.120 --> 0:32:52.080
<v Speaker 4>work Day says it's cussing about eight and a half

0:32:52.080 --> 0:32:54.760
<v Speaker 4>percent of its workforce. In the note to employee, CEO

0:32:54.880 --> 0:32:58.000
<v Speaker 4>Carl Escherbucht says about one seven hundred and fifty workers

0:32:58.040 --> 0:33:00.000
<v Speaker 4>will be let go as the company focuses on quote

0:33:00.200 --> 0:33:01.160
<v Speaker 4>durable growth.

0:33:01.480 --> 0:33:02.080
<v Speaker 2>He goes on to.

0:33:02.080 --> 0:33:04.280
<v Speaker 4>Say that the company intends to hire for areas such

0:33:04.280 --> 0:33:08.920
<v Speaker 4>as AI and plans to take on more people overseas. Plus,

0:33:09.000 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 4>Oklahoma set to become the first Republican state to challenge

0:33:12.400 --> 0:33:15.960
<v Speaker 4>Corporate America's DEI policies as an investor, Oklahoma Treasurer Todd

0:33:16.000 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 4>Russ plans to submit share holder proxy proposals to six companies,

0:33:19.440 --> 0:33:22.200
<v Speaker 4>including Alphabet and Amazon, in an effort to promote quote

0:33:22.240 --> 0:33:26.920
<v Speaker 4>political neutrality and challenge corporate donations to organiations organizations that

0:33:26.920 --> 0:33:31.040
<v Speaker 4>advocate for LGBTQ rights, for example, and Open A CEO

0:33:31.160 --> 0:33:34.840
<v Speaker 4>Sam Altman called India the most important international market for

0:33:34.880 --> 0:33:37.280
<v Speaker 4>the startup after it saw a tripling in users last year.

0:33:37.400 --> 0:33:37.560
<v Speaker 13>Now.

0:33:37.560 --> 0:33:39.840
<v Speaker 4>The comments come as Altman makes a stop in New

0:33:39.880 --> 0:33:43.280
<v Speaker 4>Delhi meeting with Indian government officials and entrepreneurs. It's the

0:33:43.400 --> 0:33:47.040
<v Speaker 4>latest picture course on Altman's worldwide tour, which also included Japan,

0:33:47.160 --> 0:33:48.880
<v Speaker 4>South Korea, Germany's next Jackie.

0:33:49.720 --> 0:33:52.320
<v Speaker 3>Let's keep talking about the global AI race on today's

0:33:52.400 --> 0:33:55.320
<v Speaker 3>VC Spotlight with Sarah guaB, which is the founder of Conviction,

0:33:55.720 --> 0:33:59.760
<v Speaker 3>a venture firm focused on AI native companies. Sarah, it's

0:33:59.760 --> 0:34:03.240
<v Speaker 3>been over two years since you've founded Conviction, just a

0:34:03.360 --> 0:34:06.400
<v Speaker 3>month before Chad GPT really took the world by Storman

0:34:06.480 --> 0:34:08.560
<v Speaker 3>You've wasted no time in getting to the cap table

0:34:08.760 --> 0:34:11.880
<v Speaker 3>and some of the most promising AI startups from Estrall

0:34:12.000 --> 0:34:15.440
<v Speaker 3>to Harvey. But I want to know what's changed in

0:34:15.480 --> 0:34:18.760
<v Speaker 3>the AI landscape from your perspective as a venture capital

0:34:18.760 --> 0:34:21.839
<v Speaker 3>investor since you launched, because AI has come a long way.

0:34:22.760 --> 0:34:23.000
<v Speaker 8>Yeah.

0:34:23.080 --> 0:34:25.680
<v Speaker 16>When we launched, we had this very strong belief that

0:34:25.760 --> 0:34:29.399
<v Speaker 16>AI would be a a decade plus shift, the most

0:34:29.440 --> 0:34:31.880
<v Speaker 16>important shift in technology we were likely to see in

0:34:31.920 --> 0:34:34.680
<v Speaker 16>our lifetimes. And then we made some early bets that

0:34:35.160 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 16>application companies and companies that sort of invested vertically up

0:34:38.560 --> 0:34:41.840
<v Speaker 16>and down the stack would create a lot of value.

0:34:41.920 --> 0:34:45.040
<v Speaker 16>I think that is even more true now and the

0:34:45.239 --> 0:34:48.160
<v Speaker 16>myth of the GPT rapper has been brushed away.

0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:50.640
<v Speaker 2>One of the major.

0:34:52.000 --> 0:34:54.319
<v Speaker 16>Developments over the last few weeks that everyone has been

0:34:54.320 --> 0:34:56.480
<v Speaker 16>paying attention to is of course a more and more

0:34:56.520 --> 0:34:59.239
<v Speaker 16>competitive foundation model landscape.

0:35:00.080 --> 0:35:02.560
<v Speaker 3>That's right. I mean you were tweeting about deep seek

0:35:02.640 --> 0:35:06.520
<v Speaker 3>in December before the world freaked out just last month.

0:35:07.480 --> 0:35:10.560
<v Speaker 3>But we also had another venture capital investor on the

0:35:10.600 --> 0:35:15.680
<v Speaker 3>show last week who called it a grave national security threat.

0:35:15.800 --> 0:35:17.920
<v Speaker 3>And I would love to get your thoughts on the

0:35:17.960 --> 0:35:21.840
<v Speaker 3>strength of that model, what it means for AI startups

0:35:21.840 --> 0:35:25.120
<v Speaker 3>competing in this space, and do you agree with that

0:35:25.200 --> 0:35:27.520
<v Speaker 3>statement is it a national security threat?

0:35:28.360 --> 0:35:31.480
<v Speaker 16>Let's take the first part first. So it's an incredibly

0:35:31.840 --> 0:35:37.920
<v Speaker 16>useful model and considered on many capability tests a state

0:35:37.960 --> 0:35:40.000
<v Speaker 16>of the art. And I think what was really interesting

0:35:40.080 --> 0:35:43.120
<v Speaker 16>about it is that deep Seek as a company released

0:35:43.320 --> 0:35:45.560
<v Speaker 16>a base model, which you can think of as just

0:35:45.719 --> 0:35:49.640
<v Speaker 16>pre training than a instruction tuned model, which is a

0:35:49.960 --> 0:35:53.040
<v Speaker 16>set of work that allows the model to be more

0:35:53.080 --> 0:35:56.160
<v Speaker 16>helpful to respond in a sort of chat interface, and

0:35:56.200 --> 0:35:59.200
<v Speaker 16>then a reasoning model, which is parallel to for example,

0:35:59.320 --> 0:36:03.000
<v Speaker 16>opening eyes model. And so right at the frontier, now

0:36:03.040 --> 0:36:05.640
<v Speaker 16>you have an open option. I'll be at one from

0:36:05.719 --> 0:36:09.239
<v Speaker 16>a Chinese hedge fund. I think that was quite surprising

0:36:09.320 --> 0:36:12.880
<v Speaker 16>to the world and quite democratizing two application developers to

0:36:13.000 --> 0:36:18.000
<v Speaker 16>have this force of open source, from meta, from mistral,

0:36:18.120 --> 0:36:22.720
<v Speaker 16>from deep seek. Now, whether it serves as a push

0:36:22.800 --> 0:36:26.200
<v Speaker 16>for the US to get more competitive on this incredibly

0:36:26.280 --> 0:36:29.120
<v Speaker 16>important industry front of you know, being first in the

0:36:29.280 --> 0:36:33.720
<v Speaker 16>race to AI a technology, stronger AI technologies or remains

0:36:33.760 --> 0:36:35.640
<v Speaker 16>to be seen. But I think it's very clear that

0:36:36.280 --> 0:36:39.640
<v Speaker 16>export controls are not leak proof and no country has

0:36:39.640 --> 0:36:41.280
<v Speaker 16>a monopoly on AI talent.

0:36:41.800 --> 0:36:44.120
<v Speaker 4>Sarah, Let's go into how it changes the game in

0:36:44.200 --> 0:36:47.120
<v Speaker 4>terms of the valuation stack because you are in at

0:36:47.200 --> 0:36:51.080
<v Speaker 4>the large language model layer with a smallcasion towards a mistral,

0:36:51.239 --> 0:36:53.960
<v Speaker 4>but you're also in the application layer of these large

0:36:54.040 --> 0:36:56.440
<v Speaker 4>language models. When I think a cognition, for example, how

0:36:57.160 --> 0:36:58.319
<v Speaker 4>do you think the money's going to flow?

0:36:58.360 --> 0:36:58.800
<v Speaker 2>Ultimately?

0:36:59.560 --> 0:37:03.680
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, one of our core beliefs is that AI makes

0:37:03.719 --> 0:37:05.960
<v Speaker 16>the pie bigger, and you can think about it as

0:37:06.000 --> 0:37:10.480
<v Speaker 16>the stack as you describe right, infrastructure tooling model companies,

0:37:10.520 --> 0:37:13.959
<v Speaker 16>application companies, and those that are verticalized. But we're much

0:37:14.000 --> 0:37:19.800
<v Speaker 16>more interested in application companies and verticalized companies to date,

0:37:20.880 --> 0:37:24.279
<v Speaker 16>and part of it is seeing the LM landscape play out.

0:37:24.560 --> 0:37:27.719
<v Speaker 16>It's been a very expensive game to play, despite Deep

0:37:27.760 --> 0:37:30.879
<v Speaker 16>Seeks claims around a six million dollars single training run

0:37:31.239 --> 0:37:36.759
<v Speaker 16>that vastly under prices the cost of experimentation and all

0:37:36.800 --> 0:37:39.760
<v Speaker 16>of the infrastructure that was used in for example, post

0:37:39.760 --> 0:37:42.000
<v Speaker 16>training and inference as well, and so it's still a

0:37:42.120 --> 0:37:45.200
<v Speaker 16>very expensive game to play. I think in terms of

0:37:45.280 --> 0:37:50.360
<v Speaker 16>economic opportunity of sort of you know, the traditional venture

0:37:50.400 --> 0:37:55.239
<v Speaker 16>capital game being capital efficient growth, we think that is

0:37:55.280 --> 0:37:58.319
<v Speaker 16>going to be most concentrated in the application layer.

0:37:58.000 --> 0:38:00.960
<v Speaker 4>And it was at our age Sarah for that, and

0:38:01.160 --> 0:38:03.799
<v Speaker 4>Sierra you're in rettailor leading that business, and that of

0:38:03.800 --> 0:38:05.840
<v Speaker 4>course taking on a sales force of example, is a

0:38:05.880 --> 0:38:07.680
<v Speaker 4>gent ki where the real value.

0:38:07.440 --> 0:38:08.640
<v Speaker 2>Is going to come in the next year or so.

0:38:09.360 --> 0:38:11.719
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, agentic is a really hard thing to define. But

0:38:11.920 --> 0:38:14.040
<v Speaker 16>I think one thing that we're really excited about with

0:38:14.200 --> 0:38:19.040
<v Speaker 16>companies like Sierra and others is the more, like very simply,

0:38:19.080 --> 0:38:22.200
<v Speaker 16>the more that AI does for you, the more people

0:38:22.239 --> 0:38:24.239
<v Speaker 16>will be willing to pay for it, right, And so

0:38:24.320 --> 0:38:27.759
<v Speaker 16>something like Sierra improves the customer experience, especially for people

0:38:27.840 --> 0:38:33.760
<v Speaker 16>with very high value customers. So think of finance, subscription, travel,

0:38:33.880 --> 0:38:38.400
<v Speaker 16>et cetera. And I think as we see AA models

0:38:38.440 --> 0:38:42.160
<v Speaker 16>get more capable beyond answering simple questions to completing tasks,

0:38:42.760 --> 0:38:45.040
<v Speaker 16>which is something that will take a lot of vertical,

0:38:45.120 --> 0:38:48.240
<v Speaker 16>specific and last mile work. We should expect these companies

0:38:48.239 --> 0:38:49.960
<v Speaker 16>to be able to capture a lot of that value too.

0:38:50.920 --> 0:38:53.160
<v Speaker 2>Always great to have you on Seragua.

0:38:53.320 --> 0:39:03.480
<v Speaker 17>We love it from Conviction, Thank you.

0:39:03.600 --> 0:39:06.880
<v Speaker 3>Amazon's efforts to cut out middle management bloat is sending

0:39:07.000 --> 0:39:10.200
<v Speaker 3>ripples throughout the company, with many employees fearing uncertainty and

0:39:10.280 --> 0:39:14.080
<v Speaker 3>a lack of promotions. For more Bloomberg, Spenser Soaper joins

0:39:14.160 --> 0:39:17.560
<v Speaker 3>us now Spenser. Amazon veterans are used to periods of

0:39:17.600 --> 0:39:21.000
<v Speaker 3>bell tightening. What did you glean from employees about how

0:39:21.160 --> 0:39:23.760
<v Speaker 3>Jase's tactics this time around are different?

0:39:24.680 --> 0:39:26.400
<v Speaker 18>Well, a lot of it is a sign of the times.

0:39:26.520 --> 0:39:30.600
<v Speaker 18>You know, employees historically within Amazon, when Jeff Bezos was

0:39:30.640 --> 0:39:33.360
<v Speaker 18>CEO would maybe try to figure out what he was

0:39:33.400 --> 0:39:35.239
<v Speaker 18>excited about because they figured that was going to get

0:39:35.239 --> 0:39:37.239
<v Speaker 18>a lot of money and investment and that would be

0:39:37.239 --> 0:39:39.920
<v Speaker 18>a nice career path for them. And the big difference

0:39:39.920 --> 0:39:42.760
<v Speaker 18>with Jase's CEO, he's a lot more disciplined. He doesn't

0:39:43.080 --> 0:39:45.919
<v Speaker 18>chase as many moonshot projects. The money's a little less

0:39:45.920 --> 0:39:50.560
<v Speaker 18>free flowing, So those career paths paths for advancement are narrower.

0:39:50.880 --> 0:39:53.560
<v Speaker 18>And then you layer on top of that that Amazon's

0:39:53.600 --> 0:39:55.960
<v Speaker 18>trying to kind of out with the old in with

0:39:56.000 --> 0:39:59.120
<v Speaker 18>the new in terms of a reduction in management, you know,

0:39:59.200 --> 0:40:04.520
<v Speaker 18>replace more senior workers with lower level employees. And it's

0:40:04.520 --> 0:40:07.000
<v Speaker 18>just kind of rippling through through.

0:40:07.320 --> 0:40:11.879
<v Speaker 4>A morale, particularly the time where other giants and tech

0:40:11.920 --> 0:40:13.279
<v Speaker 4>a laying off salesforce.

0:40:13.480 --> 0:40:15.520
<v Speaker 2>We see that with work day to day as well. Spencer.

0:40:15.520 --> 0:40:19.239
<v Speaker 4>It's a difficult market, but investors want to see this

0:40:19.280 --> 0:40:21.080
<v Speaker 4>sort of belt tightening. We look at it the earnings

0:40:21.080 --> 0:40:22.640
<v Speaker 4>for share expectations for Thursday.

0:40:23.600 --> 0:40:27.840
<v Speaker 18>Yeah, so they've had the past six quarters I believe,

0:40:27.880 --> 0:40:31.399
<v Speaker 18>of increasing profits and they're expecting the same when they

0:40:31.400 --> 0:40:34.600
<v Speaker 18>report tomorrow. And that's the thing he's been. He's been

0:40:34.600 --> 0:40:37.920
<v Speaker 18>pleasing Wall Street, but making the workforce unhappy. And that's

0:40:37.960 --> 0:40:40.480
<v Speaker 18>a calculated move, right, Like you mentioned with the layoffs,

0:40:40.800 --> 0:40:44.200
<v Speaker 18>you can work your workforce a little higher, make promotions

0:40:44.200 --> 0:40:46.960
<v Speaker 18>a little more scant when they have fewer opportunities with

0:40:47.080 --> 0:40:49.880
<v Speaker 18>other companies elsewhere. And so that's the calculator gamble they

0:40:49.920 --> 0:40:51.759
<v Speaker 18>have right now is you know, we can lean on

0:40:51.760 --> 0:40:53.920
<v Speaker 18>folks a little harder just for the sake that they

0:40:54.000 --> 0:40:56.440
<v Speaker 18>have they have less opportunities.

0:40:55.760 --> 0:40:57.040
<v Speaker 2>To leave us.

0:40:57.480 --> 0:40:59.960
<v Speaker 4>We meg Spencer, SOPA as we build into these earning

0:41:00.239 --> 0:41:00.799
<v Speaker 4>later in the week.

0:41:00.880 --> 0:41:01.239
<v Speaker 17>Thank you.

0:41:01.880 --> 0:41:04.400
<v Speaker 4>Meanwhile, that does it for this edition of Bloomberg Technology.

0:41:04.480 --> 0:41:06.200
<v Speaker 4>Don't forget to check out our podcast you can find

0:41:06.239 --> 0:41:08.640
<v Speaker 4>on the terminal as well as online on Apple, Spotify,

0:41:08.680 --> 0:41:11.040
<v Speaker 4>and iHeart. And don't forget about the earnings coming after

0:41:11.080 --> 0:41:14.200
<v Speaker 4>the bell arm qualcomm The of course shows will be

0:41:14.239 --> 0:41:17.080
<v Speaker 4>across it throughout the afternoon, but from New York from

0:41:17.080 --> 0:41:25.360
<v Speaker 4>San Francisco where it's a little rainy. This is Bloomberg Technology.