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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: This week on Prime Cuts, Chad Milman, Sharper Square, John

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Speaker 2: Middlekoff on Lamar Jackson playing the best football of his

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Speaker 2: career in my Top takes of the week. Okay, you

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Speaker 2: know I'm from the Pacific Northwest, so this one feels special.

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Speaker 2: My favorite team as a kid growing up was the

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Speaker 2: Washington Huskies. They beat the Longhorns thirty seven to thirty one.

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Speaker 2: I think I felt the entire game. I bet a

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Speaker 2: money line on DraftKings today. I just kept saying Texas

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Speaker 2: has better players, Texas has better players, and then over

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Speaker 2: the last twenty four hours, I'm like, what am I doing.

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Speaker 2: Washington's receivers and quarterback are a huge mismatch edge over

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Speaker 2: the secondary for the Longhorns, and I like Sark. I

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Speaker 2: love Calin de bor as a coach, and the time,

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Speaker 2: I mean, their execution until the final minute of the

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Speaker 2: game was the cleanest of the four teams that played

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Speaker 2: in the playoff, and they have the fewest foreign five

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Speaker 2: star recruits. So this staff develops and coaches. It's butt off.

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Speaker 2: By the way, when you put in four really good

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Speaker 2: football teams instead of three really good teams and one

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Speaker 2: that's deserving whatever that means Florida State. This is what

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Speaker 2: it looks like. That was the best day of college football,

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Speaker 2: the best playoff day of college football in its history,

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Speaker 2: because nobody got caught up on deserving. It was just

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Speaker 2: four really good teams with big time quarterbacks and big

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Speaker 2: time coaches, most important position healthy and ready to roll. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Florida State would have dragged this entire thing down. So

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Speaker 2: bigger argument is Georgia getting in. But let's not waste

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Speaker 2: any time talking about that.

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Speaker 3: They didn't.

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Speaker 2: So thirty seven to thirty one. I think Washington will

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Speaker 2: probably be a three to a four point underdog against Michigan.

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Speaker 2: I'll take Washington in the points, although I'm not sure

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Speaker 2: they'll win. I think the game Michigan's got much better

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Speaker 2: defensive backs than Texas and.

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Speaker 3: Are a handful.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Washington just went through a battle with a big,

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Speaker 2: strong Texas team and here we go one week from

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Speaker 2: now it's Michigan. So that's going to be an all

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Speaker 2: time classic. Let's start with Washington. This is how they play,

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Speaker 2: so all their games look like this. It's exhausting. I

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Speaker 2: grew up in the Pacific northwestn a Husky fan forever.

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Speaker 2: This has been I mean, in the history of college football,

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Speaker 2: the team that wins the National Championship looks like it

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Speaker 2: in about Week four or five, and they usually have

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Speaker 2: six to seven blowouts. Even in the NFL over the

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Speaker 2: last decade, all but one team in the last decade,

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Speaker 2: one Super Bowl champ has had fewer than six blowouts.

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Speaker 2: And that's in pro football. The margins are very tight.

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Speaker 2: In college football, your national championship team usually has seven

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Speaker 2: or eight blowout that's what you know, like Michigan had

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Speaker 2: this year, that's what Texas had. Washington doesn't blow anybody.

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Speaker 2: I mean the Apple Cup against Washington State was close.

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Speaker 2: Oregon State and the rain was close. Aeron Zona State

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Speaker 2: was close. Washington plays close football games. They don't have

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Speaker 2: a loaded four and five star roster, they don't play downhill.

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Speaker 2: What they do is have the ability, if they play poorly,

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Speaker 2: to score quickly and score late. Because of Michael Pennix.

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Speaker 2: And let's talk about Pennis. I think he throws the

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Speaker 2: best football since maybe Joe Burrow in college. You know,

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Speaker 2: it's interesting. So justin Herbert and C. J. Stroud at

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Speaker 2: Oregon and Ohio State in their last college game, their

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Speaker 2: coaches let him run. Did you notice tonight Pennix doesn't run.

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Speaker 2: He was a running quarterback to some degree at Indiana,

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Speaker 2: had a couple of surgeries acl so they make him

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Speaker 2: a pocket quarterback. But Washington's coaches had a couple of

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Speaker 2: quarterback draws drawn up tonight, and they're gonna let him run.

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Speaker 2: They will let him run against Michigan, and it is

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Speaker 2: a weapon. So JJ McCarthy and Michael Pennix will be

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Speaker 2: moving in that game, their final college game for Pennix,

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Speaker 2: who's a more pure thrower of the football than JJ McCarthy. Again,

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Speaker 2: Washington is the kind of team. They're really built for

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Speaker 2: these kind of playoff games. Because even if Washington would

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Speaker 2: have been out played tonight, and they weren't they outplayed Texas,

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Speaker 2: they're just built the comeback and score two touchdowns in

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Speaker 2: two minutes, three minutes, four minutes.

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Speaker 3: That's what.

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Speaker 2: So Washington's never out of a football game because they

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Speaker 2: get very good pass protection. Pennis was only sacked eleven

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Speaker 2: times all year. That's insane for a guy that just

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Speaker 2: sits in the pocket. He's not hyper mobile anymore. Although

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Speaker 2: he's mobile, he's not hyper mobile. JJ McCarthy's probably more mobile.

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Speaker 2: He was sacked eleven times, and the PAC twelve had

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Speaker 2: the best conference attead in years, so he faced Oregon's

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Speaker 2: defensive front twice and Texas couldn't get to him. One

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Speaker 2: of the things about Michigan is the and I talked

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Speaker 2: about this on FS one.

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Speaker 3: Whatever makes you sleep better at night, go ahead.

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Speaker 2: But the Patriots and Brady were better after Spygate, and

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Speaker 2: they were better after the flate gate. Brady's numbers went

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Speaker 2: up after the flate Gate. The Colts were bitter because

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Speaker 2: New England was dominating the series, and so they turn

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Speaker 2: the Patriots in for deflate gate. Bretdy's numbers went up

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Speaker 2: once there was no extra additive air to the ball

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Speaker 2: or less air in the ball. Connor Stallions, it wasn't

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Speaker 2: most one percent for Michigan. They've played. If they beat

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Speaker 2: Washington and their favor to beat Washington, they will have

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Speaker 2: beaten Washington, Alabama, and Ohio State in order with no

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Speaker 2: quote cheating. This team is about hardball, their O line,

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Speaker 2: D line, their lack of penalties, their NFL bodies, their

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Speaker 2: upper classmen, their discipline and intelligence. Whatever makes you sleep

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Speaker 2: better at night, Spygate, the flate gate or Stallions. But

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Speaker 2: now we know they're not quote cheating if they beat Washington.

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Speaker 2: When's the last time Washington lost a football game? They've

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Speaker 2: beaten Oregon twice and Texas twice in those four games.

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Speaker 2: The last time they've played Texas twice two bowl games,

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Speaker 2: beat them both Texas Texas who hammered Alabama, overwhelmed them

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Speaker 2: in Tuscaloosa, physically.

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Speaker 3: Pushed them around. So they're gonna have.

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Speaker 2: Beaten Washington, Ohio States a juggernaut, and Alabama without the

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Speaker 2: Connor Stallion's advantage. This team is about so many things.

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Speaker 2: If you think it's cheating, signals there's no reason. Like

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Speaker 2: I said before, I'm not gonna argue uncertain things like

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Speaker 2: the vaccines absolutely saved millions of lives, especially for older people.

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Speaker 2: They weren't needed for kids. I'm not a fan of mandates.

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Speaker 2: They saved a lot of lives. I know six or

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Speaker 2: seven people that didn't get them. They were stubborn or

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Speaker 2: they don't like needles. They got sick as hell. My family,

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Speaker 2: me friends, lots of we took the vaccines. We had

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Speaker 2: COVID boom two days. Fine, right, So I'm just not

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Speaker 2: gonna argue with you. You go ahead and live in your

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Speaker 2: conspiracy theory. I don't care, And you can go ahead

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Speaker 2: and convince yourself that you know Connor Stallions is the

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Speaker 2: reason they won. Yeah, I'm gonna go with no. They're

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Speaker 2: gonna give Washington's offense problems, and virtually nobody gives Washington's

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Speaker 2: offense problems. And you're gonna watch mondy night and go, jeez,

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Speaker 2: Washington's facial little pressure, Washington seems to be off, and

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Speaker 2: you're gonna look up and realize this has never been

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Speaker 2: about an iPhone's shaky video and hand signals. This Michigan

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Speaker 2: team is one great college receiver away from being an Alzheimer.

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Speaker 2: This is a really good football team. Thank you to

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Speaker 2: the committee for not bending a knee for a team

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Speaker 2: that's deserving on a third quarterback. Let them play somewhere else.

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Speaker 2: Let's get what does deserve being mean? Remember there's only

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Speaker 2: four playoff spots. There's five conferences plus Notre Dame. The

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Speaker 2: structure of this playoff was always we could have six

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Speaker 2: undefeated teams and four spots. Esthetics matter, Optics matter.

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Speaker 3: Always have.

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Speaker 2: The very foundation of college football's playoff is four spots,

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Speaker 2: five conferences plus Notre Dame. It's how you look, especially

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Speaker 2: at the end of the season, and these teams looked

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Speaker 2: really good. You know what, Texas losing. What it told

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Speaker 2: you was the SEC team was the weakest team in it.

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Speaker 2: So Michigan and Washington win and Texas thumped Alabama in Tuscaloosa.

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Speaker 3: So how about that.

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Speaker 2: The SEC not only is not in the championship, they

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Speaker 2: had the weakest and I do believe that their offense

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Speaker 2: is one dimensional with Jalen Milroe, Bama SEC had the

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Speaker 2: weakest team in the playoff.

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Speaker 3: Wow day one a night. And I've said this.

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Speaker 2: I didn't grow up in Texas, but I've always had

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Speaker 2: an affinity for Sark and the Longhorns. Great program. They'll

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Speaker 2: be back their nil. Their collective is raises a lot

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Speaker 2: of money. Sark's good coach. The SEC is a different ballgame.

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Speaker 2: Nobody's gonna go undefeated in the SEC anymore, and nobody's

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Speaker 2: going undefeated in the Big Ten. I don't care how

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Speaker 2: good Michigan is. You got to go out to Seattle, Eugene,

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Speaker 2: La Columbus. Nobody's going undefeated in these conferences anymore. And

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Speaker 2: that's okay. You'll be able to lose. Now if you're

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Speaker 2: a Big Ten or an SEC team. You could lose

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Speaker 2: two games and still get into the tournament if you're

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Speaker 2: if they're the right two games you lose on the

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Speaker 2: road close to a you know, an Oregon or an LSU.

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Speaker 2: But I you know undefeated. Boy, that that seems highly unlikely.

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Speaker 2: Highly unlikely.

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Speaker 3: God, I love college football.

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Speaker 2: Former NFL scout John Middelkoff who has the podcast a

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Speaker 2: very popular podcast at the volume three and out. Let's

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Speaker 2: start with Miami Baltimore for a lot of reasons. You know,

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Speaker 2: you add an extra week into the regular season of

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Speaker 2: the NFL. I was not a fan of it. I

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Speaker 2: have defended Thursday night football though. I don't think a

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Speaker 2: lot of veteran players are ready to go. But here

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Speaker 2: we are teams falling apart. Miami Chubb probably out for

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Speaker 2: the playoffs, to a banged up Howard the defensive back,

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Speaker 2: banged up. You know, here you go to last weekend,

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Speaker 2: you feel pretty good. You know. Baltimore is a little

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Speaker 2: like San Francisco. They pound you. You come out of

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Speaker 2: these games against the Niners or the Ravens, and I

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Speaker 2: look at what is Miami today. They're gonna be a

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Speaker 2: wild card team, A real possibility of that what to you,

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Speaker 2: because I got thoughts on Dallas just isn't close to

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Speaker 2: the team that I thought they should have lost to Detroit.

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Speaker 2: What's Miami to you today?

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Speaker 1: Well, to me, I think they are a one and

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Speaker 1: done team in the playoffs, you know, assuming they lose

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Speaker 1: to Buffalo, which I'm sure you and I know I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take Buffalo next week. Yes, and that's a team

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Speaker 1: that's you know, obviously trending in the right direction. You

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Speaker 1: know what sucks for Miami is they were having an

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Speaker 1: awesome season for them, right, They're not like some powerhouse

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Speaker 1: franchise over the last couple of decades, and now it

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Speaker 1: all comes unravel. And here's the thing. What has been

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Speaker 1: their downfall when they've played good teams? Now, they didn't

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Speaker 1: take care of business last week against Dallas right after

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Speaker 1: Dak let them on that drive, they drove and they

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Speaker 1: won the game. But today they were manhandled like that

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Speaker 1: was a difference in class. And here's the thing with

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Speaker 1: the you know, not winning the division. Do you like

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Speaker 1: this team on the road in Kansas City? Do you

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Speaker 1: like this team on the road in Buffalo? Like this

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Speaker 1: is not even an indictment on McDaniel. Intua. It's the

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Speaker 1: history of the franchise. They don't play well in weather

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Speaker 1: Like listen, Kansas City's comfortable playing these twenty five twenty games.

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Speaker 1: They'll do it all day long and say come on

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Speaker 1: into Arrowhead. You're not gonna beat us, because that's that's

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Speaker 1: got the three six written all over it, right or

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Speaker 1: however the seeding breaks down now maybe I guess depending

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Speaker 1: on how it breaks, could they I guess if they

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Speaker 1: lost next week, they wouldn't even be the five, they'd

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Speaker 1: be the sixth seed. So you'd be looking at going

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Speaker 1: on the road in Kansas City, and I don't think

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Speaker 1: there's a soul that's gonna pick them, and they would be,

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Speaker 1: you know, a one and done team, which sucked because

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Speaker 1: they really did make some good strides. I do think

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Speaker 1: big picture, you got Fangio, you keep improving the roster

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Speaker 1: like they're not going away. But like, physicality is a

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Speaker 1: huge part of this league, and the Niners, who are

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Speaker 1: clearly one of the more physical teeths, got shoved around

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Speaker 1: by the Ravens. And today was did that look like

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Speaker 1: Alabama playing cal Paly or something to that.

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Speaker 2: I know what John think about this. In the last

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Speaker 2: twenty years. Who has dominated the NFL. New England cold

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Speaker 2: weather team, Baltimore has been a great team, cold weather

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Speaker 2: outdoor team San Francisco. It's the Bay Area, but it's Chile.

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Speaker 2: You get some in the late New Year. It's Wendy

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Speaker 2: and Chile. You don't see think about the warm weather teams.

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Speaker 2: Brady goes down to Tampa quickly. But there is there

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Speaker 2: is an argument that the Philadelphias and the Baltimore's and

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Speaker 2: the New England's, you know, it's it's and I'm not

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Speaker 2: saying warm weather dome teams can't be really really good.

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Speaker 2: But we've watched Buffalo, Cincinnati, Kansas City, New England, you know,

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Speaker 2: and I and Baltimore and the AFC and the Steelers

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Speaker 2: have underperformed the last ten years. They've still been viable.

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Speaker 2: So I do think there is something. I mean, John,

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Speaker 2: there's no question. I live in California. When I go

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Speaker 2: on the road a forty seven degree day, I'm like,

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Speaker 2: get me out of here. What is going on? When

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Speaker 2: you play in Miami. It's not a criticism, it's a reality.

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Speaker 2: I just don't trust them on the road.

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Speaker 1: In jam We'll think about two of the better organizations

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Speaker 1: with Drew Brees and the Saints and Peyton Manning and

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Speaker 1: the Colts over the last couple decades were not great

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Speaker 1: outdoor teams. You know, in the playoffs, right, they had

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Speaker 1: to be in a confined environment to have their best opportunity.

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Speaker 1: And they had Drew Brees and Peyton Manning right, just

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Speaker 1: because the culture of your franchise offensive cultures both those

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Speaker 1: two teams right. Look at Miami and today was less

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Speaker 1: about Miami. I didn't think they were gonna win. Was

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Speaker 1: much more to me about Baltimore, who now checks all

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Speaker 1: the boxes of a super Bowl level team. They have

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Speaker 1: a super Bowl winning coach, they have a quarterback who's

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Speaker 1: gonna win the MVP and is playing the best football

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Speaker 1: of his career. I texted with a buddy who's on

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Speaker 1: the staff after they kicked the Niners ass, and he's like,

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Speaker 1: I don't think people quite understand how good this defensive

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Speaker 1: coordinator is. He's like a boy genius. He's pretty special.

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Speaker 1: And so they have incredible coaching, great talent. Nailed some

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Speaker 1: draft picks. I mean, Zay Flowers looks like Hilriek junior.

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Speaker 1: The personnel department has always been top notch. What happened

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Speaker 1: last year trade for Roquan Smith, leading tackler in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: They have guys on that defense on their front four

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Speaker 1: that aren't sexy, huge TJ Watt, JJ Watt and Nick Boston.

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Speaker 1: You don't even beside Clowney. They're not famous group. They

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Speaker 1: dominate so and that's always kind of been their thing

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Speaker 1: upfront physicality. We know they can run the ball. Now

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Speaker 1: Lamar's throwing like this, I think the pressure, uh listen.

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Speaker 1: I think the two to one seeds is super Bowl

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Speaker 1: or bust. Like anything less than a Super Bowl championship

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Speaker 1: for the Niners or the Ravens is gonna feel like

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Speaker 1: a letdown. Now, you would say in the AFC, just

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Speaker 1: playing Kansas City, who has championship medal Buffalo, if they

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Speaker 1: win with Josh Allen that they're gonna be a tough out.

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Speaker 1: It's still to me a little harder in the AFC

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Speaker 1: than it will be for San Francisco. But I think

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Speaker 1: Baltimore is clearly the heavy favorite right now.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, And I gotta be honest with you.

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Speaker 2: Whenever I see this on the internet, and I don't

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Speaker 2: mind when fans do this, I not that my standard

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Speaker 2: for fans. Fan is short for fanatics, So when fans

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Speaker 2: want to get all fiery, I have no problem with it.

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Speaker 2: And I see the media to this stuff. You know,

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Speaker 2: if I want Baltimore, I'm really happy for Baltimore and

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Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson. I had real doubts he was skinny and

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Speaker 2: ran too much. And my takeaway is, I don't know

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Speaker 2: if it's going to work in the pros. If these

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Speaker 2: GM if there was a secret to successful quarterbacks, then

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Speaker 2: seventy seven percent of drafted quarterbacks round one through seven

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Speaker 2: wouldn't fail.

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Speaker 3: Like nobody knows.

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Speaker 2: I mean outside of Andrew Luck, Trevor Lawrence, Joe Burrow,

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Speaker 2: Elway Marino. It's like, you don't know. But I will

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Speaker 2: say this. I think one of the things I really

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Speaker 2: and I can explain it with Lamar. He was so

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Speaker 2: magnificent stylistically and so unique that people just don't know

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Speaker 2: what to do with players like that. I grew up

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Speaker 2: with a player named George Gervin in the NBA. There's

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Speaker 2: never been a player that played like him. The guy

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Speaker 2: weighed I sort of got.

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Speaker 3: He weighed one.

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Speaker 2: Hundred and fifty, he was six seven. Everything was a

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Speaker 2: finger roll. He was an All Star for years, but

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Speaker 2: he never got listed among the great because nobody played

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Speaker 2: like George Kurbin. He was this six seven wiry, small

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Speaker 2: school odd game and Alex English led the eighties in

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Speaker 2: the NBA scoring, didn't jump angle angle jump shooter, He

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Speaker 2: didn't make top seventy five team. He led the eighties

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Speaker 2: and scoring. Yeah, so when you get these players that

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Speaker 2: are so unique, we don't know what to We don't

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Speaker 2: know what to do with Lamar, but we have to

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Speaker 2: acknowledge this. He just keeps getting better. He's clearly coachable,

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Speaker 2: and he is the soul of that team. Those he's

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Speaker 2: the opposite of Russ. His teammates love him. I mean

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Speaker 2: they love him.

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Speaker 1: He to me, you know, for a guy now who's

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Speaker 1: worth two hundred million dollars, still has a humility around

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Speaker 1: him and there's a connectivity to him clearly in the

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Speaker 1: locker room that I think Jalen showed last year that

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Speaker 1: you can't fake that. You either got it or you don't.

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Speaker 1: It comes naturally to you. And like you said, this

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Speaker 1: is why you draft on character, worketh and love of football,

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Speaker 1: because that's how you improve. Like you don't improve, you

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Speaker 1: know what happens the six months when you're not practicing

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Speaker 1: in the offseason. He's gotten dramatically better. The other conversation

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Speaker 1: on the internet is laughable, is like, I can't believe

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Speaker 1: no one went after him. It's again, the Ravens were

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Speaker 1: never letting him go. Never. It's one of those things

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Speaker 1: like in the NBA with restrictive free agency, why did

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Speaker 1: no one make Austin Reeves an offer? Because the Lakers

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Speaker 1: are gonna match it. The Ravens weren't trading you, Lamar Jackson, right,

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Speaker 1: And clearly, you know, here's the other thing, young people,

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Speaker 1: The situations financially impact you know, mentally, we get impacted

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Speaker 1: by all sorts of things, and clearly last year threw

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Speaker 1: them off the contract. This is a business, though, and

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Speaker 1: I'm sure we'll talk about Sean Payton and Russell like

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Speaker 1: we're talking a lot of money, So sometimes they get

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Speaker 1: kind of contentious. Last year was weird. They figured it out.

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Speaker 1: Everything's good, and not only this year, don't you feel

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Speaker 1: just for the next several years, he's kind of come

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Speaker 1: into his own a lot like Mahomes did several years ago.

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Speaker 1: Josh Allten, I mean, he's one of the best players

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Speaker 1: in recent memory.

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Speaker 2: I remember when Aaron Rodgers was in his prime and

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Speaker 2: Vegas said he was worth eleven points a game. If

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Speaker 2: you look at the Ravens with Lamar twenty eight, a

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Speaker 2: game without him seventeen, so he's worth eleven points. He

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Speaker 2: is Aaron Rodgers in his prime. And what I like

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Speaker 2: about him. Whereas Aaron sort of a finesse player. You know,

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Speaker 2: he throws it off his feet, throws it.

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Speaker 3: Away if he doesn't like to play.

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Speaker 2: Lamart has a weird physicality about him, like he kind

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Speaker 2: of likes to get hit. He's kind of physical, and

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Speaker 2: I think players feed off it.

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Speaker 1: I think he is so much better than he was

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Speaker 1: when he won the MVP and kind of took the

356
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Speaker 1: league by storm. He's so much under control, you know,

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Speaker 1: for a running quarterback. He feels much more poised now

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Speaker 1: when he's scrambling around because he's scrambling looking to throw.

359
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Speaker 1: I also think he's always kind of had a knack.

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Speaker 1: When I was in Philly, Michael Vick was kind of reckless.

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Speaker 1: He didn't know how to slide. He went into a

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Speaker 1: lot of contact and got molly wopped. Lamar's pretty good

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Speaker 1: at like kind of hitting the ground on some runs.

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Speaker 1: He's not trying to be a hero, and no one

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Speaker 1: questions that. Like it's like, Lamar, we got to pick

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Speaker 1: your spots. You're too valuable. And he's just come into

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Speaker 1: his own with his talent. Like I He's gonna have

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Speaker 1: a lot of pressure though in the playoffs because it's

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Speaker 1: home games. He hasn't much had much, you know, postseason success.

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Speaker 1: This team's built to win big. It's a tough place

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Speaker 1: to play. He's got you know, they kind of get

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Speaker 1: two weeks now. This game doesn't mean anything. Next week

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Speaker 1: you get the two week rest a lot like the

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Speaker 1: forty nine ers, and it's just it's everyone's looking at them,

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Speaker 1: like if you're not in the super Bowl, it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a major, major disappointment all right.

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Speaker 2: Time for Sharper Square Chad Millman, CCO, The Action Network.

378
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Speaker 2: All odds provided by DraftKings. I'm not prone to brag,

379
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Speaker 2: but I.

380
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Speaker 3: Am on a little bit of a heater.

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Speaker 4: I don't talk about it, don't say it. You're gonna

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Speaker 4: turn yourself into a cooler man. I know.

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Speaker 2: So listen, there's only two games all year that have

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Speaker 2: made me bitter and losing. I lost a dooint in

385
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Speaker 2: the Saints game because they hit the crossbar and a kick,

386
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Speaker 2: and that Colts Raiders game. You told me to stay away.

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Speaker 2: I still contend this morning the Colts was aside.

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Speaker 3: Whatever whatever.

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Speaker 4: You know what though, here's the good news. Here's the

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Speaker 4: good news.

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Speaker 5: You and I were texting and I was begging you

392
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Speaker 5: to bet the Cardinals, to.

393
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Speaker 4: Be my betting daddy, and you did. I did, and

394
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Speaker 4: it felt good, right, it felt great.

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Speaker 2: But I you know what's funny, I really I Greg

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Speaker 2: co Sel comes on my show and I told Greg today,

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Speaker 2: I said, Greg, I watch him play, and I'm like,

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Speaker 2: there's not three of him on the planet. I like

399
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Speaker 2: Kyler Murray. I don't care about his video games. I

400
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:37,920
Speaker 2: watch him. I'm like, I wouldn't want to tackle him.

401
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Speaker 3: He's just great.

402
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Speaker 2: He's just like if you were in a school yard

403
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Speaker 2: and you're like, who's the guy that nobody can.

404
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Speaker 3: Tackle, you'd be like that guy him and Lamar like,

405
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Speaker 3: I just like him. So all right, let's start. Let's

406
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Speaker 3: start with this because it's it's a weird week. It's

407
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Speaker 3: a bad week. You don't have starters. Who really cares.

408
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Speaker 2: One of the things a sports gambler told me years

409
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Speaker 2: ago he loved betting March madness he goes because everybody's in.

410
00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 2: There's no like, oh, you know, it's a long road trip,

411
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Speaker 2: like the NBA goes.

412
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Speaker 3: NBA. You've got to pick your spots. March Madness.

413
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Speaker 2: All games are true. This is the most untrue week

414
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Speaker 2: of the NFL season, Like who cares? So I would

415
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Speaker 2: take the Texans minus one and a half against the

416
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Speaker 2: Colts because basically you're saying to yourself, who do you trust?

417
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Speaker 4: Yes, I think c J.

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Speaker 3: Stroud is better.

419
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Speaker 2: Than we think, and I think we all think he's good.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Texans. I I think c J.

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Speaker 3: Stroud.

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Speaker 2: I watch him play. I love his I love his setup,

423
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Speaker 2: I love his arm strength, I love his accuracy.

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Speaker 3: I think he's sensational.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I had no idea his comp was Jared Goff.

426
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Speaker 2: I didn't know he would be slightly better than Jared

427
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Speaker 2: his first year. I thought comp is like he'll become.

428
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Speaker 2: I'm like, he's Jared Goff with more of a power

429
00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 2: arm that moves better.

430
00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:53,639
Speaker 3: So I like the Texans. Here Sharper square.

431
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:55,360
Speaker 4: Well, Look, we.

432
00:22:55,400 --> 00:23:00,320
Speaker 5: Discussed this exact game today, and for those who are

433
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:02,920
Speaker 5: listening for the first time on my podcast The Favorites,

434
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 5: we will do this segment where we do something called

435
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 5: sharp Calls, and we get calls me and my co

436
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 5: host Simon Hunter. We'll get calls from professional betters throughout

437
00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:14,280
Speaker 5: the week who listen to our show on Tuesday and

438
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,760
Speaker 5: then on Thursday. By Thursday, they've got opinions, and they

439
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,119
Speaker 5: will call us over the forty eight hours between Tuesday

440
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:23,879
Speaker 5: and Thursday and give us their opinions. This game was

441
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:28,440
Speaker 5: completely divided, so the Texans opened as one and a

442
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:32,160
Speaker 5: half point underdogs in this game Sunday night. I will

443
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 5: tell you right now, it was the first game that

444
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 5: I bet the Texans plus one and a half. The

445
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:40,399
Speaker 5: wise guys bet at two, They bettered at one, then

446
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:43,120
Speaker 5: they better at pick, then they better at Texans minus one.

447
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 5: Now it's minus one and a half. So you're I

448
00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:49,480
Speaker 5: agree the Texans are still the right side. I think CJ.

449
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,159
Speaker 2: Strebber last week. I told you I think they're going

450
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:53,400
Speaker 2: to clobber the Titans.

451
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 3: They're a better team.

452
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 5: One hundred percent right, they are a better team. Gardner

453
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:00,200
Speaker 5: Minshew plays with fire every week.

454
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:00,920
Speaker 4: He has the.

455
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 5: Fourth most turnover worthy throws of anybody in the NFL,

456
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:12,480
Speaker 5: behind Josh Jobbs, Desmond Ritter, Daniel Jones, Okay, Shane Steichen

457
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,360
Speaker 5: just keeps him out of trouble. But when Gardner Minshew

458
00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:19,120
Speaker 5: has to come back or potentially is in trouble, that's

459
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,399
Speaker 5: when there's trouble, right, And so you're kind of betting

460
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 5: on CJ. Stroud to be better than Gardner Minshew in

461
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 5: a post game where every possession is going to matter

462
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 5: on the field. That's what you're doing, totally sharp. Here's

463
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 5: why the wise guys might not be on your side,

464
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 5: and this is why this game was split in such

465
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:41,399
Speaker 5: a good debate today. When you start betting on a

466
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:45,960
Speaker 5: team that goes from being an underdog to being a favorite,

467
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:50,439
Speaker 5: historically the percentages work against you in terms of covering.

468
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 5: So that's why wise guys, when it's at one and

469
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 5: a half Texans minus one and a half, they start

470
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:57,640
Speaker 5: to walk away and start to think about the Colts.

471
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 2: The second game is Bill Belichick is nothing if not

472
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:06,119
Speaker 2: a grudge holder. He wants to win this game so

473
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:10,439
Speaker 2: much because his career. I mean, there's like multiple stories

474
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 2: out of the Boston Herald Belichick's out. He's told his

475
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 2: staff he wants to screw up their draft. He's gonna

476
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 2: walk out of here, get the Washington job. He cares

477
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 2: so deeply about winning, you think he wants to hand

478
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:28,560
Speaker 2: them Michael Pennix or Drake May you want them fifth.

479
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:34,159
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna say they they if you watch them

480
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,640
Speaker 2: the last three weeks, I mean it. Guess Buffalo. You're like, oh,

481
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:41,200
Speaker 2: they're really competing. Oh yeah, they're really competing. I'm gonna

482
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,120
Speaker 2: take the Patriots minus two and a half at home

483
00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 2: to beat a listless Jets team.

484
00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's totally square. You're stepping in. Look, it's not

485
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:51,680
Speaker 5: a game that anybody wants to bet. This all of

486
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:55,880
Speaker 5: a sudden is the corner TV game, right, because you're

487
00:25:55,920 --> 00:26:00,120
Speaker 5: getting a short home favorite, in which the book maker

488
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,680
Speaker 5: are saying to the squares, come on, I dare you

489
00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 5: take the short home favorite. Take the team that has

490
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:10,080
Speaker 5: been competitive the past few weeks at less than a

491
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 5: field goal.

492
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 4: That's what we want you to do.

493
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:15,879
Speaker 5: And if the bookmakers are telling you they want you

494
00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:18,920
Speaker 5: to do something, then you want to do something else.

495
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,040
Speaker 5: So the wise guys are going to be on the

496
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:23,399
Speaker 5: Jets here. But this is not one of those games

497
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:27,159
Speaker 5: where everyone's like, oh, yeah, I gotta take. There is

498
00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:31,240
Speaker 5: huge edge in the Jets or the Patriots in this game.

499
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 5: I will tell you one other thing, and it's interesting

500
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:37,840
Speaker 5: for this week because it's applicable for every game Home

501
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:42,400
Speaker 5: teams in Division games the past five years forty seven

502
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 5: percent against the spread.

503
00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:46,399
Speaker 3: That's weird.

504
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:49,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's weird. It is.

505
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 5: But then you got to like, look, Colin, there's a

506
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:55,159
Speaker 5: million stats and trends that you could sort of layer

507
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:57,800
Speaker 5: onto this. Right, you got to think about and it's

508
00:26:57,800 --> 00:26:59,800
Speaker 5: not applicable in this game, but it will be in others.

509
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 5: You can't take every trend and just say, Okay, I'm

510
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:07,040
Speaker 5: going to do it. Trends are the handrail on the

511
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,880
Speaker 5: roller coaster. If you've got an opinion. They might make

512
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:12,639
Speaker 5: you feel a little more secure. It can make you

513
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,080
Speaker 5: feel like you're making a better decision. It should not

514
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 5: be what you base your decision on.

515
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 2: All Right, a game, I like Bills minus three at Miami.

516
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:25,160
Speaker 2: Now Chubb and Phillips are out no pass rush against

517
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:29,160
Speaker 2: Josh Allen. I think the Bills are a better team.

518
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:31,359
Speaker 2: I think they were looking ahead to Miami when they

519
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:35,480
Speaker 2: played New England. I thought the Dolphins were awful defensively.

520
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 2: I think the reality has hit Miami. They now their

521
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:42,479
Speaker 2: defense had a pass rush and not much else, and

522
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:45,280
Speaker 2: now it doesn't have a pass rush. Buffalo is a

523
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:50,320
Speaker 2: better team. Josh Allen has eaten against Miami like Brian

524
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:51,720
Speaker 2: Flores couldn't stop him.

525
00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:53,879
Speaker 3: Mike mcdet, they just don't have the personnel.

526
00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Buffalo to win by a touchdown minus

527
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:57,880
Speaker 2: three Sharper square.

528
00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:00,720
Speaker 5: Most interesting game on the board. I'll tell you right

529
00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:04,159
Speaker 5: now it's square. But I will also tell you and

530
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:08,240
Speaker 5: I and our best friend Simon, we're making an executive

531
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:10,200
Speaker 5: decision on this. We're going to be in the fox

532
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:14,399
Speaker 5: hole together. We like the Bills in this spot. Let

533
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:15,679
Speaker 5: me give you some interesting stats.

534
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 2: I did Tyreek Hill by the way, house burns down midweek. Look,

535
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 2: so i'll mention you tell me that's not disrupt.

536
00:28:22,080 --> 00:28:24,720
Speaker 5: Listen, you mentioned Chubb, You mentioned the injuries on the

537
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:28,920
Speaker 5: defensive side of the ball. Tyreek Hill has been playing injured.

538
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:31,720
Speaker 5: Waddle has been playing injured. I do think I am

539
00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 5: not a guy who believes that there are emotional storylines

540
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:39,440
Speaker 5: that can be hindrances, because these guys are professionals. But look,

541
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 5: Tyreek Hill, there was video from practice. He did not

542
00:28:41,960 --> 00:28:45,080
Speaker 5: look like it looked like he was taking this as

543
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,640
Speaker 5: he should, which is scary and something that can be

544
00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:50,640
Speaker 5: a distraction. Right, I agree with you in every respect

545
00:28:50,680 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 5: on this game. Here's something cool October second. So on

546
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 5: October second, Buffalo was minus one point forty to win

547
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:06,880
Speaker 5: the AFC East. Miami was plus one thirty eight. On

548
00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:12,760
Speaker 5: December third, two months later, Buffalo plus I let me

549
00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:14,120
Speaker 5: got my glasses on here because I want to make

550
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:15,760
Speaker 5: sure you'd it right. I didn't know you were gonna.

551
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:16,240
Speaker 4: Ask me this question.

552
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:19,320
Speaker 5: So it just just happens to be Buffalo plus fifteen

553
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 5: hundred to win the AFC East, Miami minus four hundred. Okay,

554
00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:28,440
Speaker 5: So basically, for those listening, you don't know, Buffalo was

555
00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 5: such a long shot that they were not even a

556
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 5: consideration to win the AFC East. Miami was so much

557
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 5: was expected to win so easily that you had to

558
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 5: spend so much money if you wanted to bet on them.

559
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,880
Speaker 5: Right now, Buffalo has the shortest odds it's had all season,

560
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:44,840
Speaker 5: minus one sixty five to win the AFC East.

561
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 4: It has been a roller coaster.

562
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:49,040
Speaker 5: What's amazing is Buffalo could end up being the best

563
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 5: team in the NFL right now, and if they don't

564
00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:52,960
Speaker 5: win this game, they might not make the playoffs.

565
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 2: Okay, now we do a dumpster dive, but since most

566
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 2: of the schedules dumpster die, Yes, I want to end

567
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:04,800
Speaker 2: this week with Michigan and Washington. So I took Washington

568
00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:07,800
Speaker 2: money line against Texas, and I took Michigan against Bama,

569
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 2: went to and Oh. I do think Michigan matches up

570
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 2: much better against Washington. They don't give up cheap, over

571
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 2: the top touchdowns, and I do worry Kaylin de Boor

572
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:23,600
Speaker 2: is a remarkable coach with extra time. They don't have

573
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 2: extra time. So now you've got to play back to

574
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:32,600
Speaker 2: back against a superior team. Washington heavily penalized, Michigan never penalized.

575
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 2: The older team is Michigan. They're the better team. They

576
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 2: have seven blowouts. Washington just keeps winning narrowly. I'm a Husky.

577
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:43,560
Speaker 2: I'm out down to Washington, but I think Michigan wins

578
00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 2: this game by a touchdown. I would swallow the four

579
00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 2: four and a half all odds provided by DraftKings Sharper Square.

580
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 4: I don't have a strong opinion.

581
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 5: I haven't gotten that much intel in the market of

582
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 5: whether or not the wise guys are going to be

583
00:30:58,600 --> 00:31:01,640
Speaker 5: on the Huskies gonna be on the Wolverines. I don't

584
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 5: want to mislead you in any way with that. I

585
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 5: don't disagree with your assessment. And look, I love this

586
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:13,800
Speaker 5: Washington team. I've like I went to Indiana. I'm a

587
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:16,320
Speaker 5: huge fan of Michael Pennix. Like the only time we've

588
00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:20,040
Speaker 5: been relevant since I graduated college was when Michael Penix

589
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:23,120
Speaker 5: was playing quarterback for half of three seasons because he

590
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:26,120
Speaker 5: couldn't stay healthy. I think the guy got job not

591
00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 5: getting the Heisman. You put someone with that record, those stats,

592
00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 5: the gauntlet of teams that he played in the SEC,

593
00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:37,320
Speaker 5: or the Big Ten or even the ACC, He's winning

594
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 5: the Heisman hands down, I think it's I think he

595
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 5: got robbed completely.

596
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 4: But I do agree with you. Like this Michigan team.

597
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:50,360
Speaker 5: They are unafraid and they beat people up and at

598
00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:54,080
Speaker 5: the line of scrimmage, they are just so freaking physical.

599
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:56,640
Speaker 4: It is really daunting.

600
00:31:56,880 --> 00:32:00,480
Speaker 5: And there is nothing like that in the past twelve

601
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 5: and there is that is something that Alabama was used

602
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 5: to seeing, like something that combination of speed and physicality

603
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 5: that doesn't exist in the Pac twelve. So I do

604
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:15,160
Speaker 5: think that it'll be a quarter of Washington being like, oh,

605
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 5: even on film, we thought it was different, but it's

606
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 5: different when you're playing it. So I can't give you

607
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 5: a specific side, but I do like your analysis.

608
00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 4: All Right, my man, you don't want to bet the Giants.

609
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:30,920
Speaker 5: You don't want to bet the Panthers, you don't want

610
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:32,240
Speaker 5: to bet the Titans.

611
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,760
Speaker 2: Ough gross. I will say this. I took the Giants

612
00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 2: against the Rams. You know I've said this before. I

613
00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 2: think Tyrod Taylor is the best backup.

614
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 3: In the league. That's my opinion. So what's the number?

615
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:44,840
Speaker 3: This week?

616
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 5: The Giants were at five five and a half. I

617
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,720
Speaker 5: like the Giants. A buddy of mine we were talking

618
00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 5: about Tyrod Taylor and he used a great analogy. He said,

619
00:32:55,040 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 5: Tyrod Taylor is like nineteen at the blackjack table. You're

620
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 5: not going to get excited about it. You got a

621
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:07,480
Speaker 5: pretty good chance at winning, but there's still a chance

622
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 5: you can lose, but you're comfortable with it.

623
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:13,520
Speaker 4: You feel like you got a shot. Yeah.

624
00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:16,800
Speaker 5: I thought that was brilliant and I'm stealing it and

625
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:18,200
Speaker 5: I'm giving it to you and I want you to

626
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 5: steal it. It is exactly who Tyrod Taylor is. So

627
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 5: I think, Look, the Giants are more competitive with him.

628
00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:31,720
Speaker 4: They will want to win this game. They will blitz.

629
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 5: The Eagles offensive line is in really struggling right now.

630
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:40,480
Speaker 5: They're play calling you struggling. AJ Brown is struggling. There's

631
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 5: something going on. We have seen it all year long

632
00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 5: with this locker room. So I'll be playing the Giants

633
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,400
Speaker 5: and I will definitely playing the Tennessee Titans plus five

634
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 5: and a half.

635
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 3: I'm not even gonna talk about that. I can't. They're unwatchable.

636
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:56,040
Speaker 4: You can talk about Arizona and Seattle.

637
00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:58,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I love Kyler Murray, so I love watching

638
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:01,720
Speaker 2: them playing. I love watching Kyler Murra love him, I

639
00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 2: really do. Connor's great there running back Kyler. I can

640
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:10,080
Speaker 2: watch them all day. Tennessee is like walking past the

641
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:13,799
Speaker 2: construction site. It's just loud, overbearing. I can't get out

642
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:17,319
Speaker 2: of it fast enough. It's just gross, clanking, nothing good

643
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:17,719
Speaker 2: about it.

644
00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 4: What about Minnesota Detroit, That's another one, fascinating.

645
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:23,720
Speaker 2: I stay away, you know again, it's it's what's Detroit

646
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,479
Speaker 2: playing for. I don't like those. I don't like these

647
00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:32,440
Speaker 2: games where I wouldn't be shocked. Two series, Detroit lead

648
00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:34,759
Speaker 2: seven nothing and they sit all their starters. They just

649
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 2: wanted their guys to get practice.

650
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 5: That's why you're taking Minnesota in that game, ugh, Nick Mullins.

651
00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:44,359
Speaker 5: Nick Mullins lit him up. Listen, Nick Mullins is the

652
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:52,479
Speaker 5: epitome of gambling. If Tyrad Taylor is you know, comfortable nineteen, Nick.

653
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 3: M he was a fourteen.

654
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 4: Nick Mullens is hidden on sixteen.

655
00:34:56,080 --> 00:35:00,279
Speaker 5: That is, Nick Mullins is hidden on sixteen when and

656
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,520
Speaker 5: the dealer is showing twenty like you are just going

657
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:04,040
Speaker 5: for it.

658
00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:06,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, but you know what a sixteen is in blackjack.

659
00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 2: You're embarrassed, you're holding, but you know you have to

660
00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:13,000
Speaker 2: or the table disrespects you. But you literally feel like

661
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:18,160
Speaker 2: I've lost all my testosterone. I mean you literally every

662
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 2: time I have a sixteen, I'm like, you got to

663
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:21,920
Speaker 2: hit a sixteen, but you can't because you're being judged

664
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:23,400
Speaker 2: at the table by all the smart people.

665
00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 4: And that's how Nick Marlins plays.

666
00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:28,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think he's a twelve is what he is.

667
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 3: It's like you want to hit it, but not supposed to.

668
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 4: Wow, all right, fine, all right buddy, And then taught

669
00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:34,919
Speaker 4: to you later

670
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:37,600
Speaker 1: The volume