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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast Poda.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Every pitch is your pitch.

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Speaker 2: The greatest show on dirt.

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Speaker 3: Deep till that playback, that God Show.

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Speaker 1: Now they can add college baseball to their trophy case.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus College Baseball version. Yes,

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Speaker 3: this is the first time Action Network is putting out

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Speaker 3: a college baseball pod exclusively here on the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus. You guys have heard us during March Madness.

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Speaker 3: You've heard a durn college football season on the way

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Speaker 3: up to the college football Playoff, and now we are

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Speaker 3: officially on the road to Omaha. And joining me is

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Speaker 3: my great friend Brad Audrain. You can find him on

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Speaker 3: Twitter at real Brad Audrain.

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Speaker 2: Brad, how are you doing tonight?

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Speaker 1: Man? I'm doing well. I'm excited, and I'm unprepared and

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Speaker 1: I'm ready to roll.

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Speaker 3: That's how we need to be in this college Baseball pod,

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Speaker 3: just unprepared and going off the hook. Now, for those

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Speaker 3: of you that need brads like does he have the

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Speaker 3: certification to be on this podcast? He was with me

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Speaker 3: in the Cosmo when we visited the will Hill Counter

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Speaker 3: and saw Tennessee was plus one fifty a joke of

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Speaker 3: a number. But more importantly, Brad watches every single inning

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Speaker 3: of college baseball when it comes to the Razorbacks, the SEC,

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Speaker 3: all of college baseball.

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Speaker 2: I know there's three hundred and one teams.

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Speaker 3: He watches as much college baseball as I do during

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Speaker 3: college football season. I didn't need to bring in a

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Speaker 3: big podcast partner when I have a very close friend

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Speaker 3: that I have chemistry with that knows everything about college baseball.

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Speaker 3: So we are going to attempt to deliver you guys

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Speaker 3: a short you know, within thirty minute podcasts every week until.

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Speaker 2: We lead up to Omaha.

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Speaker 3: We're going to do some marquee matchups, We're going to

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Speaker 3: talk about futures, We'll give you a deliverable each week,

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Speaker 3: some power arms that you need to know about, injuries

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Speaker 3: that you need to know about, and we'll get you

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Speaker 3: out of here in about thirty minutes with a bunch

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Speaker 3: of betting deliverables and hopefully we all have a good,

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Speaker 3: profitable Omaha coming up here in June. So with that,

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Speaker 3: we're gonna start off with power pitchers to back. So Brad,

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna start off here from a gambling perspective. A

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Speaker 3: lot of people are like you, know who do I

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Speaker 3: bet on tonight? Am I gonna look at Gonzaga? Am

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Speaker 3: I gonna look at Texas? Southern, Dartmouth, Davidson. Give me

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Speaker 3: some people with some teams to bet. But in college baseball,

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Speaker 3: you don't bet teams. You bet arms. You bet pitchers.

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Speaker 3: And a lot of books have you know, real issues

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Speaker 3: putting out correct lines on some of these pitchers and

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Speaker 3: don't realize that there's some heavy righty lefty splits.

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Speaker 2: Having a left handed, you know.

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Speaker 3: Having a southpaw on your roster, like you know, whick

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Speaker 3: Lander last year for Arkansas is just invaluable. So a

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Speaker 3: couple that I'm going to start off with is Cooper Jerpy.

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Speaker 3: He's at Oregon State, and I know Brad does not

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Speaker 3: We both do not want to discuss Orgon State as

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Speaker 3: both being Razorback alums and losing the College World Series

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Speaker 3: a few years ago. But he is eight to no

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Speaker 3: on the season. He has one hundred strikeouts and sixty

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Speaker 3: innings pitched, only fourteen earned runs on this season compared

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Speaker 3: to thirteen walks. He has less walks than he's has

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Speaker 3: earned runs. He is number one in strikeouts for nine

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Speaker 3: in all of college baseball. So Cooper Jerpy auto bet

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Speaker 3: every single time for Oregon State. Oregon State is a

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Speaker 3: team that I think is gonna you know, they're gonna

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Speaker 3: pull a super regional seed. They're gonna be in the

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Speaker 3: College World Series. Before I move on to my next arm, Brad,

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Speaker 3: do you have any fond memories of Oregon State and

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Speaker 3: the Beeves.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's probably the only time that I've ever cried

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Speaker 1: in public.

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Speaker 2: With the.

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Speaker 1: With the drop foul ball. It was a tough moment.

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Speaker 1: She had some Oregon State fans patting me on the back,

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Speaker 1: sitting there devastated with my younger brother. So it was

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Speaker 1: a tough moment. But it's hard to overlook Carner Jerpy.

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Speaker 1: The guy's been absolutely dominant, and Oregon State continues to

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Speaker 1: to get w's out there on the West Coast and

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Speaker 1: obviously they're, you know, continuing to recruit. And for what

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Speaker 1: you're saying, it's not just college baseball, you bet on arms,

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Speaker 1: it's baseball, right, It's like having a different quarterback out

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Speaker 1: there every every Saturday in college football. Whoever's on the hump,

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Speaker 1: is you pretty key? But I'll let you, I'll let

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Speaker 1: you give back.

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Speaker 2: Well, Cooper Jerpy is always the Friday starter.

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Speaker 3: So when you see a series start like with Long

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Speaker 3: Beach on a Thursday, he still pitched on a Friday.

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Speaker 3: So no matter where Oregon State goes, he is going

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Speaker 3: to pitch on Friday for them. So if you're trying

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Speaker 3: to get an early line on Oregon State, look for Friday,

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Speaker 3: look for Jerpy. That number is probably never going to

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Speaker 3: be high enough. Now. The second pitcher I had listed

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Speaker 3: was from Liberty, Garrett Horn, and he has just thirty

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Speaker 3: nine innings pitch this season and sixty four strikeouts and

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Speaker 3: a two dots six ERA. But he has been increasing

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Speaker 3: his innings limit throughout the season. He just threw six

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Speaker 3: full against North Florida, struck out twenty six in his

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Speaker 3: last three starts. I mean he's allowed just more than

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Speaker 3: one and run just twice this season. So Garrett Horn

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Speaker 3: for Liberty, they're going to be in the regionals.

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Speaker 2: As of right now. Keep an eye on for that name.

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Speaker 3: Brad, do you have an SEC pitcher that I would

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Speaker 3: definitely want to bet on if I saw his name listed?

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Speaker 1: I mean, right now, it's hard to avoid Tennessee. Everywhere

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Speaker 1: you look in college baseball, it's Tennessee. This Tennessee. That

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Speaker 1: they've What's what's really kind of pathetic for all the

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Speaker 1: rest of us is that they already had three basically

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Speaker 1: A starters going in and then their real stud came

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Speaker 1: back from an injury just recently. Blade Tdwell, I think

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Speaker 1: he's you know, if you're looking at prospects from MLB,

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Speaker 1: you know he's somewhere between twenty and thirty and he

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Speaker 1: could be as high as ten. You know, Florida's got

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Speaker 1: a guy, Auburn's got a stud. But at the end

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Speaker 1: of the day, Blade Tidwell, with Tennessee, I think you're

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Speaker 1: locked in for a for a number one Friday night

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Speaker 1: when if you if you came up at decent odds,

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Speaker 1: which I know the odds based on what we saw

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Speaker 1: where in Vegas, the odds are are not going to

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Speaker 1: be good at all. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Absolutely, I don't know what you're gonna do with Tennessee

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Speaker 3: in these futures numbers. I have seen some Twitter chatter

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Speaker 3: out there about people that got twenty to one before

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Speaker 3: the season. If you're holding onto that, we're gonna talk

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Speaker 3: about Tennessee here in a little bit at the end

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Speaker 3: of the show. So I'm gonna move on to Campbell. Yes,

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Speaker 3: the Campbell's who I love in college football. I love

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Speaker 3: them in college baseball. Listen, if any team is a

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Speaker 3: baseball team that comes from the Carolina Regions, they can

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Speaker 3: play ball.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't matter if it's coastal, it doesn't matter.

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Speaker 3: If it's Campbell, n C State. You know all of

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Speaker 3: them except for South Carolina. I don't know what's wrong

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Speaker 3: with them this year, but the Campbells are currently slated

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Speaker 3: to be a dangerous four seed in the regionals. You

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Speaker 3: want to look for Thomas Harrington. He has ninety three

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Speaker 3: strikeouts and the sixty five innings pitched. He's allowed just

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Speaker 3: nine to earned runs this season, one point two to

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Speaker 3: five e R. He is always the Friday starter and

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Speaker 3: he's gone at least a minimum of six innings in

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Speaker 3: every start this season. Thomas Harrington for Campbell, that's an

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Speaker 3: auto bet. Brad, you got one more for us?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Man, So I'm gonna sneak out side of the SEC

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Speaker 1: for just a little bit of knowledge that I have

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Speaker 1: on the subject. And Gabrielle Hughes is a stud pitch

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Speaker 1: a couple of years ago, and this guy, he just

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Speaker 1: always brings it. He's got Gonzaga right on the edge

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Speaker 1: of hosting a super regional right now. They had a

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Speaker 1: huge I think they swept Oklahoma State on the road.

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Speaker 1: But he's always the game one starter in every series

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Speaker 1: he pitches. So whether that be a Thursday, Friday, Saturday,

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Speaker 1: he'll be the game one starter. I want to say,

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Speaker 1: what is it ninety seven strikeouts? Guys got about a

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Speaker 1: two point four e r A. His k rate is

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Speaker 1: has been I want to say, it's skyrocketed since the

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Speaker 1: beginning of the season and continues to do so. So

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Speaker 1: if you, if you have a chance to get Gabriel Hughes,

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Speaker 1: put him down and except winnings.

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Speaker 3: Pull back the rubber band and throw some money down.

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Speaker 3: I will say this about Gonzaga. I get a lot

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Speaker 3: of questions and I've had a few dams about Gonzaga futures.

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Speaker 3: They're two hundred and seventieth and home runs per night.

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Speaker 3: And so while I love this pitching staff and they

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Speaker 3: have a lot of great stats, a lot of metrics

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Speaker 3: in the top fifty, they don't have the pop in

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Speaker 3: the bat for me to.

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Speaker 2: Take them for a future. But I do love Gabriel Hughes.

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Speaker 3: Like you said, all right, last question on pitchers, we

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Speaker 3: need to talk a lot about Arkansas because it's the

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Speaker 3: SEC and the SEC dominates Omaha. Would you rather bet

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Speaker 3: your money on Connor Nolan on a Friday night or

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Speaker 3: Hagen Smith on a Saturday night?

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Speaker 1: Well, I've I've watched Connor Nolan a little too much over.

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Speaker 2: His career to bred Beilen his quarterback right.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. You know, I've seen him fail at the

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Speaker 1: quarterback position. I've seen him thrive it on the mound.

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Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, I like Hagen

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Speaker 1: smith man. I like I like his stuff better. Though.

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Speaker 1: I think if you, if you, if we're playing a

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Speaker 1: team that comes in and there looking for off speed stuff,

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Speaker 1: Connor Nolan can find himself in trouble, Whereas I think

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Speaker 1: Hagan Smith has a little bit more in his repertoire

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Speaker 1: to to get through whatever bad situations. All that said,

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Speaker 1: he's a freshman, a smarter place. Probably gott to know Onen.

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Speaker 1: But you know, let's hope it doesn't matter. You've bet

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Speaker 1: on the Hogs and you're gonna win the rest of

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Speaker 1: this season is the plan, right now, That's how we

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Speaker 1: get to host a Super regional right currently.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, So if you hear any bitterness out of

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Speaker 3: Brad and I Brad was nice enough to invite me

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Speaker 3: to his family's gathering last year for the NC State

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Speaker 3: Super Regional. First game was good, second two games not

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Speaker 3: so good. So we're hoping there's a different outcome this year.

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Speaker 3: Let's move into marquee matchups, all right, for the weekend

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Speaker 3: of April twenty ninth. Obviously, the big matchup on the

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Speaker 3: border is Virginia Tech against Virginia that's number seven versus

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Speaker 3: number eleven. Obviously, both of these teams are going to

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Speaker 3: be playing in the postseason, possibly hosting a regional, and

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Speaker 3: you know, of course Virginia Tech is in line to

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Speaker 3: get that super regional right now. Not going to spend

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Speaker 3: too much on this, it should be you know, I

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Speaker 3: would expect the third game of the series to be

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Speaker 3: the rubber match. Virginia Tech has been dominating on the

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Speaker 3: offensive side of the ball third and home runs per game,

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Speaker 3: second and slugging. Worries me about that is their seventieth

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Speaker 3: and strength of schedule, so they haven't seen the you know,

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Speaker 3: the type of SEC type teams on their schedule that

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Speaker 3: you would want out of a future there. Although they

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Speaker 3: are very high in fielding percentage now before I move

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Speaker 3: on to Auburn and Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: Brad tell the people how important.

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Speaker 3: Fielding percentages in college baseball, because when you go to

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Speaker 3: a Major League baseball game, a six to four to

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Speaker 3: three is no big deal.

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Speaker 2: It's the easiest thing ever. College baseball it's a little

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Speaker 2: bit different, right.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's huge. It's part of the reason why

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Speaker 1: you see Arkansas's name in there year in and year out, defense, offense,

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Speaker 1: special teams in football, batting, pitching, and you know, fielding

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Speaker 1: percentage in baseball. It's extremely important and can take you

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Speaker 1: a long way in the postseason when the bats aren't

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Speaker 1: going or when you're going up against the market pitchers.

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Speaker 3: Like you're talking about, fielding percentage is one of the

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Speaker 3: most important stats you can get behind. Besides having a

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Speaker 3: power arm on the mound, you have to have an

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Speaker 3: elite defense. And I reference home runs per game. You

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Speaker 3: don't look at that in MLB, but I look at

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Speaker 3: it in college baseball because you have to have pop

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Speaker 3: to win.

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Speaker 2: Omaha.

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Speaker 3: Things happen in Omaha. They're pretty crazy and you've got

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Speaker 3: to have hot sticks. So the one marquee matchup on

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Speaker 3: the board that we'll finally end up talking about and

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Speaker 3: I might just turn the.

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Speaker 2: Mic over you.

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Speaker 3: Auburn's going to Tennessee, and I'm getting a little annoyed

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Speaker 3: with Tennessee. All right, let's give them credit. They remind

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Speaker 3: me of the Razorbacks of twenty twenty one. Number one

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Speaker 3: in home runs per game, number one in slugging fifth

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Speaker 3: and on base. This team is number one in the

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Speaker 3: nation in era and whip. The problem with Tennessee right now,

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Speaker 3: they have a strength of schedule of sixty seventh. They've

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Speaker 3: dodged Arkansas on the schedule, the SEC schedule. They did

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Speaker 3: take care of Vanderbilt, but they are going to end

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Speaker 3: up with a cumulative strength of schedule of forty third,

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Speaker 3: so that's gonna come up a little bit. I don't

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Speaker 3: know if they're gonna be at Arkansas and the SEC Tournament,

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Speaker 3: although I would say both head coaches probably don't care

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Speaker 3: that much about the results in Hoover.

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Speaker 2: What do you think about Auburn traveling to Tennessee?

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Speaker 3: And can this Tennessee just this ridiculous circus of abundance

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Speaker 3: of offense and pitching.

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Speaker 2: Is this going to come to an end soon?

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Speaker 1: It's hard to believe that it can maintain. Colin I

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Speaker 1: appreciate Tennessee and what they've done this season. I appreciate

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Speaker 1: Tony Vtello. I'm glad that Tennessee is holding on to

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Speaker 1: him for us until Dave decides to leave here, because

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Speaker 1: he's a great coach and they're doing awesome things over there.

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Speaker 1: These numbers are I mean, they're unreal. And we all

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Speaker 1: know that baseball is a game of averages. You know,

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Speaker 1: nobody wins every game, and yes, they do have three

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Speaker 1: losses or whatever. But it's something's got to give. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if it's gonna be this weekend. It's it's

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Speaker 1: hard to say, Hey, at Tennessee with the top ranked

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Speaker 1: team coming in, is gonna be where they slip up

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Speaker 1: for the first time. But man, something eventually has to give.

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Speaker 1: Uh And And no, I don't I don't believe that

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Speaker 1: Tennessee can keep this up. I think, you know, I

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Speaker 1: believe we're gonna see him slip later, you know, it

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Speaker 1: gets Mississippi State. Maybe I hope it's this weekend, but

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Speaker 1: I'm just not sure we're gonna see it happen.

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Speaker 3: Talk about one of the biggest weekends of the years,

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Speaker 3: right before the SEC Tournament, Tennessee is going to go

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Speaker 3: down to Duty Noble, and I know the Missippi State

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Speaker 3: has struggled this year, there's still to me a team

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Speaker 3: that's going to make it in the regionals, probably is

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Speaker 3: a three seed. You know, they have lack consistency, but

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Speaker 3: it's hard to replicate what was going on with Land

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Speaker 3: and Sims and the rest of that pitching staff last year.

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Speaker 3: But keep your eyes on Tennessee right now. They are

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Speaker 3: sixty seventh and strength of schedule. They're going to finish

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Speaker 3: the season right now at forty third, so they have

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Speaker 3: some tough games coming up.

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Speaker 2: And Auburn I project. I project they're going to be one.

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Speaker 3: Of the teams that could make it to Omaha seventh

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Speaker 3: and cumulative strength of schedule. Auburn has played a murderer's row,

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Speaker 3: so we'll see if they can steal one here against Knoxville.

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Speaker 1: Against the Bulls, I think I think they'll take one over.

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Speaker 3: Under on number of Tony Btello chess bumps into the

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Speaker 3: umpire this weekend.

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Speaker 1: Let's the more the better, you know, anything anything to

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Speaker 1: give potentially get that team thrown out. I don't have

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Speaker 1: to watch these yeah def monks continue to win win

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Speaker 1: at this pace.

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Speaker 3: I'm kind of hoping Arkansas dodges and in the SEC Tournament,

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Speaker 3: although we wouldn't back there. Ye know.

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Speaker 1: SEC Tournament is what it is. We want it, we

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Speaker 1: want it once, and uh we didn't make it anywhere

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Speaker 1: that last year or so, you know, screw screw.

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Speaker 3: Yeah and those of you that are wondering at the

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Speaker 3: end of the season, right before the regionals start. There's

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Speaker 3: a conference tournaments everywhere, but it's not the deciding factor

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Speaker 3: of whether you're hosting a regional, Uh, if you're in

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Speaker 3: line for a super Uh, it's really I mean, it's

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Speaker 3: just for a conference title.

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Speaker 1: It really is like basketball, you automatically get in right

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Speaker 1: if you win it. But outside of that, uh, they've

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Speaker 1: already got their picks made. So maybe you can move

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Speaker 1: yourself up a seed here or there, a position or two,

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Speaker 1: but it doesn't it doesn't change anything. And uh, ultimately,

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Speaker 1: the teams that that do well in that tournament don't

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Speaker 1: don't tend to go as far later on.

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Speaker 2: That's true.

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Speaker 3: I actually will probably look up some research for next

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Speaker 3: week's pod. How many SEC Conference winners actually went on

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Speaker 3: and won the Cultural Series or even made the I mean,

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Speaker 3: I can't remember any of them, So I have to

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Speaker 3: go back to the Georgia.

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Speaker 1: Maybe maybe LSU some of those Yeah, Bregman's team.

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Speaker 2: Might have done it.

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Speaker 3: Oh, Alex Bregman, who's anyone banging the trash can.

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Speaker 2: In the LSU dug out?

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Speaker 3: All right, So we're gonna move on to the College

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Speaker 3: World Series futures. Taking a look at the leader board

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Speaker 3: from draft Kings right now, they have Tennessee plus four fifty,

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Speaker 3: which is a much better number than that plus one

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Speaker 3: fifty you and I saw in Vegas a couple of

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Speaker 3: weeks ago. Oregon State ten to one, Texas eleven to one,

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Speaker 3: Arkansas thirteen to one. And this has been our problem

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Speaker 3: all year. I've been nibbling on the Arkansas number, but

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Speaker 3: I would love to get past fifteen to one. I

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Speaker 3: just don't think we're ever going to get it with

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Speaker 3: the way the rest of the season is lining up.

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Speaker 2: Vandy fifteen to one, LSU eighteen to one.

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Speaker 3: If you're new to college baseball, the SEC dominates college baseball,

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Speaker 3: and usually half the teams populated in Omaha are from

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Speaker 3: the SEC, so get used to seeing a bunch of

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Speaker 3: big names, some names that are not SEC twenty to

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Speaker 3: one Oklahoma State twenty to one Virginia. Now, I had

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Speaker 3: a couple of Twitter questions coming in. The first one

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Speaker 3: was from Austin. He said, Miami twenty eight to one

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00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:03,960
Speaker 3: in Oregon State ten to one. We touched on Oregon

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Speaker 3: State before about how much I love them, and I

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Speaker 3: love them much more than Miami even at these current prices.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the Hurricanes just lost to stets In this

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Speaker 3: week the other day, But I don't really take midweek games.

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Speaker 3: They're not really that important because you don't throw your starters,

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Speaker 3: you don't play all of your starters on offense. But

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Speaker 3: Miami has really struggled defensively this season and their homers

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Speaker 3: and slugging have just not been there. They did sweep Virginia,

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Speaker 3: so it's encouraging, you know, until Virginia Tech obliterated the

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Speaker 3: Canes in the first two games of the series there,

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Speaker 3: so Miami's a little bit up and down. Oregon State

356
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Speaker 3: is a different story. They've got all of the stats

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Speaker 3: where it needs to be their strength to schedule. I said,

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Speaker 3: you know, twenty first or sixth and whip twelfth in OBP,

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Speaker 3: they are a lock to be a super regional host.

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Speaker 3: Doesn't matter what happens So if you can get a

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Speaker 3: good number on Oregon State, I'd say above ten to one,

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Speaker 3: I think you got a fire. Michael Emmerling asked about

363
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Speaker 3: West Virginia at one hundred and fifty to one odds.

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Speaker 3: They're currently slated to be a three seed with Kansas.

365
00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:00,440
Speaker 3: They got Kansas on tap this weekend, but there's slated

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Speaker 3: to be a three seed in the regionals. After Kansas weekend,

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Speaker 3: They've got a pivotal three game set against Texas and Oklahoma,

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Speaker 3: and that's going to decide their future. But if you're

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Speaker 3: asking me if they can actually get to Omaha and win,

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Speaker 3: not with the strength of schedule that ranks at one fifty,

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Speaker 3: you know, and your home runs per game, your OBP

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Speaker 3: and you're slugging are outside of the top one fifty.

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Speaker 2: So will they make the field of sixty four? Probably?

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Speaker 2: Are they gonna win?

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Speaker 1: No?

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Speaker 3: So with that in mind, I wanted to start it

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Speaker 3: off with futures we're betting. Now, Brad, I'm gonna let

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Speaker 3: you lead off before I get into mind. Every week

379
00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:35,120
Speaker 3: we're gonna give you deliverable. Here's what Brad's betting this week,

380
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Speaker 3: win to win in Omah.

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Speaker 1: So obviously, you know I'm I'm an Arkansas fan, and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna steer clear of that, despite the

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Speaker 1: fact that I do think that at thirteen to one,

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Speaker 1: it's getting better. But all that to say, I like

385
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Speaker 1: Mississippi State right now, they're at forty five to one,

386
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Speaker 1: and I guess part of me says that now is

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Speaker 1: the time to bet, because they're either they're either going

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Speaker 1: to move up in a trajectory and and that's gonna

389
00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:08,760
Speaker 1: end up, you know, in Omaha or in a super

390
00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:11,840
Speaker 1: regional at least, or they're not going to make the

391
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Speaker 1: tournament at all, and we're about to find out. But

392
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Speaker 1: I think if you're gonna bet somebody like that, God

393
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Speaker 1: blessed West Virginia. But we know that they can't win

394
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Speaker 1: in Omaha. Mississippi State's a team that I could, I

395
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:28,119
Speaker 1: believe could win if they got there. So you know,

396
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Speaker 1: when I'm looking at teams out of the SEC at least,

397
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Speaker 1: I like, I like where they are. Georgia at sixty

398
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Speaker 1: five to one. Man, George has been playing very good baseball,

399
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:42,040
Speaker 1: and uh, you know, I think that I think they

400
00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:43,720
Speaker 1: have a very good shot as well. So you know,

401
00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:46,639
Speaker 1: those are two two choices out of the SEC to

402
00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,879
Speaker 1: look at it as far as you know, not not

403
00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:53,280
Speaker 1: immediate favorites, but uh, you know, real have real potential

404
00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:56,200
Speaker 1: if they can make it, make it to Omaha.

405
00:18:56,640 --> 00:18:58,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you a Mississippi State. I mean,

406
00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:01,320
Speaker 3: they are the third best defensive team in the nation,

407
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:04,560
Speaker 3: they're eighth in homers per game. But you know, their

408
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:06,480
Speaker 3: schedule is gonna make it or break it. They got

409
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Speaker 3: Tennessee up, they got the SEC Tournament. They've got to

410
00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:10,720
Speaker 3: have a good standing in all of that to come

411
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Speaker 3: in as it's sort of a sleepy three seed. I

412
00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:16,160
Speaker 3: can't imagine a region not being played at Duty Noble.

413
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:19,720
Speaker 3: But you know they're gonna have to. Yeah, not gonna

414
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 3: have but yes, so you.

415
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Speaker 2: Know we'll see.

416
00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:25,840
Speaker 3: But May nineteenth, that series with Tennessee, you're buying right

417
00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:28,160
Speaker 3: now at the perfect time before they either get hot,

418
00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:31,560
Speaker 3: get some wins against Tennessee, win the SEC tournament, or

419
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Speaker 3: they flame out. So I completely agree with Brad I

420
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:38,320
Speaker 3: on Mississippi State taking them forty five to one. I

421
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,879
Speaker 3: am gonna switch gears. I'm gonna go outside of the SEC,

422
00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:44,439
Speaker 3: but I'm gonna stay in SEC territory. I'm gonna go

423
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Speaker 3: Southern miss They are listed at fifty to one on CIRCA.

424
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Speaker 3: I've seen them forty five to one in some other spots.

425
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Speaker 3: Southern miss is ninth and RPI. But and they're zero

426
00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:56,400
Speaker 3: to three against top twenty five competition, five and two

427
00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:59,359
Speaker 3: against teams ranked twenty six to fiftieth all quad two games.

428
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Speaker 3: There's second the nation whip an RA and that comes

429
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:04,399
Speaker 3: to starting pitchers Hirston Waldrip and Tanner Hall, who have

430
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:08,240
Speaker 3: just been unbelievable. Waldrop two complete games this season, seventy

431
00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:11,200
Speaker 3: seven k's and fifty one innings pitched, and then Hall

432
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Speaker 3: their their Saturday starter, a sub two ERA seven to oh,

433
00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:18,880
Speaker 3: ninety strikeouts and sixty five innings. These guys are elite pitchers.

434
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Speaker 3: And if you have a Friday Saturday, elite pitching and

435
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,840
Speaker 3: host a regional, possibly host a super regional. I know

436
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,000
Speaker 3: D one Baseball ranks them as their number four team

437
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:29,919
Speaker 3: in the nation, above Arkansas. This team is legit, and

438
00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:31,679
Speaker 3: they're being offered at fifty to one. Now I know

439
00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:34,400
Speaker 3: the history of this team, but I can't ignore that.

440
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 3: You know, offensively this team is You know this is

441
00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:39,440
Speaker 3: one of the best pitching and hitting teams in the nation.

442
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:42,480
Speaker 3: You know their their top twenty five losses came to

443
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:46,000
Speaker 3: Dallas Baptist back on March twelfth, and you know, they

444
00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:48,720
Speaker 3: really only lost those two games by a combined, you know,

445
00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 3: five to one score. So I'm not really worried about

446
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:52,879
Speaker 3: Southern Miss, but I want to get ahead of this

447
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:55,399
Speaker 3: number before they play Old Miss in a midweek game

448
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:56,840
Speaker 3: on May eleventh.

449
00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,840
Speaker 2: Old Miss is kind of a corpse right now, right, Bren.

450
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,800
Speaker 1: They've really fallen apart from starting the season off at

451
00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,320
Speaker 1: number one to now. I mean, I'm not sure. I

452
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 1: guess if they sweep Arkansas this weekend and then win

453
00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:12,119
Speaker 1: out in every series, they can still somehow make it.

454
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,640
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's looking it's looking pretty nasty. And I'm

455
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,640
Speaker 1: with you, man, Southern Miss at these kind of numbers

456
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 1: for how the kind of baseball they've been playing. Now's

457
00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: the time because that number will not stay the same,

458
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 1: you know, once people start paying attention.

459
00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:28,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's not the Ole Miss is not coming to

460
00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:31,479
Speaker 3: uh the bomb and uh sweeping anything.

461
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:32,640
Speaker 1: So I hope no.

462
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:35,960
Speaker 3: All right, so we're gonna play a game, We're gonna

463
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:37,720
Speaker 3: wrap up the podcast. We want to go over the

464
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:41,040
Speaker 3: Marquee matchups. Uh, and of course we'll we'll see if

465
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:43,159
Speaker 3: Auburn can take a game from Tennessee this weekend. We

466
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,320
Speaker 3: want to give you betting deliverables on futures as we

467
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:47,680
Speaker 3: go on the road to Omaha. And then the final

468
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,440
Speaker 3: thing we're gonna play every week is name the four

469
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:54,360
Speaker 3: teams that are gonna make Omaha to the College World Series.

470
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,159
Speaker 3: I've got a list of the projected number one seeds

471
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 3: that will host Regionals, and then the top eight, of course,

472
00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:01,879
Speaker 3: will host the super. If there's an upset, then that

473
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 3: team kind of takes over the pod. We'll get into

474
00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 3: that much later when we get Regionals out. So I'm

475
00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:08,399
Speaker 3: gonna name off my four teams and then I'll let

476
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:10,359
Speaker 3: you do yours, and let's shoot some holes for some

477
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:14,360
Speaker 3: of these. So I've got Tennessee, Arkansas, Auburn, and Vanderbilt

478
00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:17,440
Speaker 3: as the four SEC teams that I think are gonna

479
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 3: make it to Omaha. Vanderbilt and Auburn right now projected

480
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,680
Speaker 3: as a two seed in the regionals. Of course, Arkansas

481
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:29,399
Speaker 3: and Tennessee projected to host supers and regional weekend. Do

482
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:31,040
Speaker 3: you have an argument against that? Do you think another

483
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 3: team has a chance to get to there besides Mississippi State.

484
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 2: We already have a future on here.

485
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:39,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean truly, I think that when you're

486
00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:44,320
Speaker 1: talking about Auburn and Vanderbilt, if you were to replace

487
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:49,919
Speaker 1: those two with Georgia and Mississippi State, or again, Mississippi

488
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 1: State's kind of an outlier because of they need to

489
00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:56,880
Speaker 1: win really hard series to even make shit. But let's

490
00:22:57,000 --> 00:23:01,400
Speaker 1: throw Georgia in and I don't know about Vandy. I'm

491
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:05,199
Speaker 1: not sure. I can't decide on Vandy right now. I

492
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,439
Speaker 1: get I get to watch them in person in two weeks,

493
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 1: and I've watched them a little bit. They're not the

494
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:15,560
Speaker 1: same Vandy with the now I know, an lighter I mean,

495
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,679
Speaker 1: just the dominant pictures that we've seen that that scare

496
00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:20,760
Speaker 1: you to death when they step on the hump. They

497
00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 1: have not scared anyone this year, and having getting just

498
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:28,359
Speaker 1: spanked the way they did by Tennessee, I guess it

499
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:32,680
Speaker 1: just kind of put a different viewpoint on Vandy than

500
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 1: what I've had in the past. So so I'm gonna

501
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,840
Speaker 1: remove Vandy from that and I'm gonna put Georgia in there.

502
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,399
Speaker 1: I like the up and coming team. I like what

503
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:43,879
Speaker 1: they're doing, and I think that they've got a Friday

504
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 1: Night stud that that maybe can cause a little bit

505
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 1: more damaged, you know, in in a super regional especially,

506
00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:54,159
Speaker 1: But yeah, so I'm gonna go with Georgia on this one.

507
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 1: I don't hate the Bulldogs, but yeah, I'm especially after

508
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 1: that national time, but now I gotta go with Georgia.

509
00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 1: I'm I'm gonna give them the nod over Vandy and

510
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,680
Speaker 1: I'll leave Auburn and you know, I gotta go with Arkansas.

511
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 1: I'm in to see I mean, good lord.

512
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:12,920
Speaker 2: Hopefully that's the College World Series final right there. But yeah, Vanderbilt.

513
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 3: Touch them back on Vanderbilt like seventy ninth a homers

514
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:16,560
Speaker 3: per game, fifty second and slugging.

515
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:18,600
Speaker 2: I don't know who this team is. They don't look.

516
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:20,680
Speaker 3: Anything like they have the last couple of years. And

517
00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 3: now you know, Lighter, Junior and Kumar are not there.

518
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,879
Speaker 3: So good luck to the Vandy boys. I may switch

519
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 3: my top four. I might slide in LSU. They got

520
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,200
Speaker 3: great stats, their ninth and team era in the nation.

521
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 3: They're twelfth and slugging seventeenth and homers per game. They're

522
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,480
Speaker 3: going to finish the season with the cubultive strength of

523
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 3: schedule of eleventh in the country. But this team just

524
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 3: barely swept Missouri by combined five runs. You know, they

525
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:48,640
Speaker 3: got swept by Arkansas. They lost series at home to Auburn,

526
00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:50,000
Speaker 3: they lost the series at home.

527
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 2: To Texas A and M.

528
00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:53,159
Speaker 3: And they lost to Texas six to one, and then the

529
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:55,359
Speaker 3: minute made Classic at the beginning of the season. Is

530
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,640
Speaker 3: LSU the team you think can sneak in there? Or

531
00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 3: do you think that maybe another team such as maybe

532
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 3: Texas A and M it could.

533
00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 2: Could possibly slip into the top four.

534
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:06,840
Speaker 1: I'm not a believer in LSU or Texas A and M.

535
00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:07,680
Speaker 2: Uh.

536
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 1: I think Texas A and M maybe has more talent. Well, actually,

537
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 1: LSU probably has more talent. I like what A and

538
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,400
Speaker 1: M's doing. I think A and M is so much

539
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,680
Speaker 1: better at home than they are on the road that

540
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:22,840
Speaker 1: that's gonna be what affects them down the stretch. And

541
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 1: when you get you know, because they're not going to

542
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:27,639
Speaker 1: be hosting a super regional, they're more than likely not

543
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:30,480
Speaker 1: going to be hosting a regional. So I think A

544
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 1: and M's not gonna They're not gonna have all their

545
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 1: cute little cheers ready for everybody in a regional. And

546
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 1: if they did i'd feel a little bit different, but

547
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 1: but that's a hard place to play. A stadium is

548
00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 1: not big, man, they pack it in there and LSU again.

549
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 1: You know, there their talents all over the Major League

550
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:54,600
Speaker 1: Prospects boards, but there's some I don't know. I'm not

551
00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 1: sure if I'm not sure if it's that West Coast

552
00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:59,959
Speaker 1: pace of play or what it is. But I just

553
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:04,159
Speaker 1: I don't think that they I didn't like I didn't

554
00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:08,160
Speaker 1: like their their ability to move through a postseason, and

555
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:12,120
Speaker 1: you know, I don't I don't think that they're Yeah,

556
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to have a high enough

557
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,320
Speaker 1: seed to be in a position to do that.

558
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:18,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, this West Coast baseball is starting to infiltrate the SEC.

559
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:21,080
Speaker 3: Makes me a little scared as an Arkansas alum and

560
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 3: fan and and uh you know, crazy fanatic, because I

561
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:27,160
Speaker 3: don't think Dave van Horn's going to change his style

562
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 3: for anybody, but this, you know, there is a style

563
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 3: of play that's coming in that's.

564
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:31,920
Speaker 2: Going to be much different.

565
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:33,480
Speaker 3: So we'll see if some of these other teams can

566
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:36,359
Speaker 3: catch up. Listen, I said, Old miss is a corpse.

567
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:40,560
Speaker 3: You know, they split their series of Mississippi state adds

568
00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:43,400
Speaker 3: after losing a series South Carolina. They got swept by Alabama,

569
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,440
Speaker 3: and Alabama's going to make a regional but these numbers

570
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:49,120
Speaker 3: are terrible, one hundred ninety six and OBP one hundred

571
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:52,120
Speaker 3: and tenth and slugging. I can't back the tide either.

572
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,160
Speaker 3: Florida just lost their staff ace Hunter Barco this week.

573
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:57,480
Speaker 3: He's been shut down for the season with elbow discomfort.

574
00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:00,440
Speaker 3: And they're a team that already struggled with. Yeah, have

575
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:02,520
Speaker 3: an e r RA rank of seventy fifth in the nation,

576
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 3: so we'll review this.

577
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 2: Bam.

578
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:07,399
Speaker 1: They're dead in the water, by the way. Yeah, he

579
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:08,120
Speaker 1: was really good.

580
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 3: Yes, don't Florida, Old miss You can toss him out

581
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 3: of the SEC boat.

582
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 2: Nothing coming out there.

583
00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:15,479
Speaker 3: We will keep our eyes on LSU, Texas, A, and M,

584
00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:18,159
Speaker 3: and I expect Alabama to continue to be pedestrian.

585
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 2: So there you have it. First college baseball podcast in

586
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:23,080
Speaker 2: the books.

587
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 3: Listen for the power Arms at the beginning of the show,

588
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:29,000
Speaker 3: where we talk about guys that you just automatically bet.

589
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:32,120
Speaker 3: Go ahead and look for those futures on Southern miss

590
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,080
Speaker 3: at fifty to one, go ahead and look at forty

591
00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:36,600
Speaker 3: five to one or better on Mississippi State, and of

592
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,920
Speaker 3: course Brad and I think Alabama Tennessee are going to

593
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:42,560
Speaker 3: be in the College World Series in Omaha. A little

594
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:45,719
Speaker 3: bit of different opinion on Auburn Vanderbilt, Miss State, and

595
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,360
Speaker 3: we'll talk next week more after we get more LSU

596
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:51,720
Speaker 3: action and more Georgia action on the table. We'll be

597
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:53,320
Speaker 3: here to talk about it every week leading up to

598
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:54,879
Speaker 3: Regionals and through the College World Series.

599
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:56,159
Speaker 2: Brad, thanks for joining me.

600
00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 1: Man, it's been a pleasure. I know I probably showed

601
00:27:59,880 --> 00:28:02,119
Speaker 1: up been acted like the rookie that I am, but

602
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,199
Speaker 1: it's been fun and truly I think we will know

603
00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:09,320
Speaker 1: more after watching Georgia LSU this weekend and after seeing

604
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:12,640
Speaker 1: a few of these marquee matchups that you highlighted, and Man,

605
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:13,399
Speaker 1: thanks for having me.

606
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 2: We'll talk to you guys next week.

607
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 3: This has been big bets on campus college Baseball version