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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros college Football Week nine

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Speaker 1: look Ahead and who am I? Yes it's Chris Well.

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Speaker 1: She've heard me, maybe over on Fantasy Pros, maybe not.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, but I'm going to be filling in

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Speaker 1: through hopefully the rest of the college season here to

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Speaker 1: hang with my buddy Thornton I strim is. We are

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Speaker 1: going to be doing the look Ahead show. You can

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Speaker 1: find me on Twitter at is it Welsh if you

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Speaker 1: would like. But all you're going to get is my

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Speaker 1: manic college football bets, which I'm usually tailing the likes

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Speaker 1: of my buddy Scott Bogman of four. I'm gonna be

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Speaker 1: tailing these guys wake Force, thank you very much this weekend.

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Speaker 1: And thor We're coming off of a Week eight that

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Speaker 1: didn't have a ton of crazy movement. I don't believe

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Speaker 1: off of the top twenty five, we had a few

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Speaker 1: nothing in the top end, a few big changes here

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Speaker 1: before we look to week nine. Any big major takeaway

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Speaker 1: you're going to be stepping into week nine with.

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Speaker 2: From this past weekend? Yeah, yeah, I mean just another

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Speaker 2: great week into college football. Yeah, I'm you know, we

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Speaker 2: didn't have the matchups that we had the week before,

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Speaker 2: but we still got a whole bunch of interesting games.

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Speaker 2: I thought it was interesting Oklahoma State with a compromise

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Speaker 2: Spencer Sanders was able to come back on Texas had

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Speaker 2: a dominant second half. I'm sure we're going to talk

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Speaker 2: about TCU and Kansas State a little bit. I thought

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Speaker 2: it was interesting too that the TCU basically did the

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Speaker 2: same thing after Kansas State started to have a rash

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Speaker 2: of injuries during that game.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, lots of interesting games this past weekend.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and we're going to be doing the look ahead

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Speaker 1: here as thora is going to give you all the

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Speaker 1: information that he has got early on and obviously you

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Speaker 1: can follow him all week long as you're going through

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Speaker 1: and you're making all your picks. We're going to do

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Speaker 1: the very very early look through, but make sure to

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Speaker 1: follow him at four KU on Twitter so you don't

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Speaker 1: miss anything. So let's just jump right into it. Thursday,

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Speaker 1: we've actually got two ranked teams playing. First up, you

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Speaker 1: got Vontech who's two and five up against INC State

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Speaker 1: who moved to two and moved to twenty fourth on

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Speaker 1: the AP Top twenty five. They're five and two. Talk

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Speaker 1: to us about votech and NC State on Thursday.

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Speaker 3: Well, I mean the big thing for the on the

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Speaker 3: NC State side.

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Speaker 2: Remember again Devin Leary there starting quarterback, is out for

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Speaker 2: the season, so we're gonna get Jack Chambers again, who

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Speaker 2: is not nearly as good. It's an enormous downgrade for

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Speaker 2: them after the bye week. They've gotten a chance to

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Speaker 2: get a little bit healthier. They had other guys on

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Speaker 2: their depth chart that were beaten up. You'd expect them

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Speaker 2: to be a little bit fresher for this game. But

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Speaker 2: again Leary's going to be out, so you have to

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Speaker 2: downgrade NC State quite significantly. Virginia Tech was a team

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Speaker 2: he downgraded significantly in middle of September. Can Virginia Tech

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Speaker 2: score enough points to be viable in this game? With

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Speaker 2: the line opening up around fourteen and a half, I

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Speaker 2: would lean Virginia Tech early in the week again with

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Speaker 2: Jack Chambers starting at quarterback from North Carolina State feels

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Speaker 2: a little bit much. My justed line on that game

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Speaker 2: is NC State minus thirteen point three, So showing a

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Speaker 2: little bit of value on Virginia Tech.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and I saw even over on a couple different

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Speaker 1: spots they may have been taking your route where I've

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Speaker 1: even seen some adjusted lines down to like thirteen esp

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Speaker 1: If you just Peru's ESPN, they've got a little marker

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Speaker 1: there that's now showing NC State by thirteen.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, he's no surprise that the money's coming in

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Speaker 3: early on Virginia Tech at all where it open.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's a really really early movement, especially because

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Speaker 1: I mean for everybody to know, like there's like a

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Speaker 1: six hour window between like when this information was posted

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Speaker 1: on here and when we're even talking about it, So

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Speaker 1: that might really tell you where this game is headed

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Speaker 1: and might be one on the docket. We've also got

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Speaker 1: the now number fourteen Utah, who's five and two up

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Speaker 1: against Washington State pexwell matchup four and three. What do

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Speaker 1: we think on this one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, another game where the teams are coming off of byes,

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Speaker 2: so that sort of nulla fides it Utah it had

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Speaker 2: the big win against USC. You know, prior to that,

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Speaker 2: I'd be like right now with where that one was

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Speaker 2: it opened up at seven and a half that I

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Speaker 2: had seen. My line on that game is Utah minus nine.

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Speaker 2: I would expect the line to be closer to double

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Speaker 2: digits by the time game time role around. I think

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Speaker 2: that's probably justified in that one. The key for the

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Speaker 2: Washington State side is can kim Ward keep down the

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Speaker 2: turnovers against the Utah defense. If he can, Washington State

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Speaker 2: could be viable as sort of the live home dog here.

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Speaker 2: But Utah secondary is very good, and kim Ward is

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Speaker 2: showing a propensity just going back to his FCS days

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Speaker 2: as well to put the ball up for grabs a

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Speaker 2: little bit. If he does that, Utah is gonna flip

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Speaker 2: the field on Wazoo and the game could could start

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Speaker 2: getting away from Wazoo very very quickly out there on

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Speaker 2: the polue.

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Speaker 3: But that's a game that I'm going to be digging

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Speaker 3: into this week in my handicaps.

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Speaker 1: So obviously you're not making any picks necessarily on this show.

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Speaker 1: We're just talking about the early stuff and this is

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Speaker 1: a look ahead. But when you look at these two games,

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Speaker 1: the value, the value based on your adjusted line versus

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Speaker 1: what the public spread is is kind of relatively the same.

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Speaker 1: But do you think you're going to lean more Utah

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Speaker 1: in the PAC twelve matchup versus this ACC matchup on

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Speaker 1: VA Tech NC State?

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Speaker 2: Well, if the line on VA Tech and NCCA, if

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Speaker 2: that's come beneath fourteen, yeah, then and the Utah Washington

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Speaker 2: State one library is seven and a half, then yeah,

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Speaker 2: maybe a little bit more towards Utah. But like you know,

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Speaker 2: if that line's over fourteen over fourteen with NC State,

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Speaker 2: then I'm definitely playing on Virginia at Tech.

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Speaker 3: It's it's too many points again with all Leary.

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Speaker 1: When you get into when you get into bets, do

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Speaker 1: you like to find yourself jumping in on the Thursday

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Speaker 1: games a whole lot, even though it's a little bit early,

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Speaker 1: because I know you're gonna wait a little bit later

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Speaker 1: in the week where you're doing a lot of your

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Speaker 1: over enders and stuff. Do you jump in on the

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Speaker 1: Thursday games more often than not?

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Speaker 3: I bet? I bet the Thursday games for sure.

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Speaker 2: And if Thursday rolls around and I don't have a

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Speaker 2: play on one of them, we wet our vehicle a

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Speaker 2: little bit with like a quarter unit or you know,

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Speaker 2: a money line parlay. Last Thursday we hit it right

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Speaker 2: because I Virginia was a side that I like, Virginia

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Speaker 2: plus three against Georgia Tech, and I sort of leaned

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Speaker 2: towards Troy.

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Speaker 3: They were also plus three against South Alabama and so

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Speaker 3: I and now when I parlayed the money lines of

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Speaker 3: the two dogs in addition to the ticket I had

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Speaker 3: on Virginia and that worked out well. But yeah, this.

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Speaker 2: Week we'll see if I ended up having an official

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Speaker 2: play on the Thursday of Friday games. But yeah, if

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Speaker 2: I don't and it rolls around like just me personally,

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Speaker 2: I wet my beak on him for sure, because I'm

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Speaker 2: sitting in front of the TV watch and I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: have some investments.

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Speaker 1: Like hey, listen, well you're new here and everything, but

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Speaker 1: like we're degenerates here. I'm the same way, Like I

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Speaker 1: can be five minutes before a game and I'm like,

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Speaker 1: do I not have something on what.

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Speaker 3: We need to get going?

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Speaker 1: We need to absolutely get going, so regardless, you know,

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Speaker 1: before we get into the Saturday games, this is something

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Speaker 1: our mutual friend and my one of my best friends,

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Speaker 1: Scott Bogman, shared this with me, and I figure, you're

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Speaker 1: gonna have a take on this, and this isn't something

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Speaker 1: we're probably necessarily going to talk about, but this was

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Speaker 1: this came out that the Iowa Northwestern over under is

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Speaker 1: currently said at thirty one and a half. This is

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Speaker 1: via Circus Sports, and if it holds, it's going to

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Speaker 1: be the lowest game total in college football history. Poor,

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Speaker 1: what do you think about this?

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Speaker 3: Bad boy?

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Speaker 1: I know you have it on the spread side, you've

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Speaker 1: already put it on your sheet. But the lowest total

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Speaker 1: in college football history is theoretically on the line with Iowa.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and it might be too high total anyway, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: might be too high. I have to watch a both

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Speaker 2: these teams playoffs, particularly Iowa. I'm an Iowa grat so

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Speaker 2: I don't miss any of their snaps and this year

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Speaker 2: I wish I had. But I mean it's a justifiable

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Speaker 2: total where they sat at you know, the way that

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Speaker 2: these teams play. And there was a I saw on

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Speaker 2: Twitter what was the closest to that of a game

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Speaker 2: between two non option teams? And there was one where

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Speaker 2: it was like thirty three and a half. Corey Cavender

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Speaker 2: I got to give a shout out to him because

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Speaker 2: he was the guy that replied with that. But this

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Speaker 2: was going back late nineties or something like that. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: I mean, this is it's a historically low total. It

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Speaker 2: was one when I was looking over the circle openers.

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Speaker 2: It dropped my yah. Not because again not because it

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Speaker 2: wasn't justified. I was expecting a low total, but you

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Speaker 2: see thirty one and a half on on the page

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Speaker 2: like that as a total, it was you know, it

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Speaker 2: was pretty surprising because you know when the circle one

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Speaker 2: when they tweeted out every Sunday, you know, I'm going

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Speaker 2: through line by line, and uh, you don't. You don't

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Speaker 2: see totals that low. So it's that one's very interesting.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be interesting this week to see where the

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Speaker 2: money comes. And I hope the sharps love the under

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Speaker 2: because I want that total in the twenties by the

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Speaker 2: time that game kicks off. I don't know if we're

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Speaker 2: gonna we're gonna get there, but that would be epic

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Speaker 2: and it's gonna be probably historical either way, because I

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Speaker 2: think that it would have to toggle up a couple

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Speaker 2: of points to even get above that other game that

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Speaker 2: I was talking about years ago, where it was, you

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Speaker 2: know whatever, thirty three and a half thirty four, very

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Speaker 2: low total.

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Speaker 1: Also on the U on your justed line, there's actually

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Speaker 1: some value in there because you've got this over a

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Speaker 1: two score touchdown in favor of Iowa, and it looked

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Speaker 1: like it opened up around Iowa a round ten. So

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Speaker 1: if let's this scenario, Let's say it gets to like

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Speaker 1: twenty nine. Are you more likely to play the over

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Speaker 1: on a twenty nine? Are you going to continue with

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Speaker 1: taking the value on the spread for Iowa?

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Speaker 2: Well, I do show value on Iowa, and I do

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Speaker 2: think there is some value on Iowa.

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Speaker 3: I mean circumstantially the.

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Speaker 2: Games that were coming off of which which sometimes informs

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Speaker 2: a lot of this the perception of it Iowa.

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Speaker 3: Last week, obviously they had just about.

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Speaker 2: The worst matchup that they can have for them with

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Speaker 2: Ohio State, and they got blasted in that game, and

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Speaker 2: then with Northwestern they got They benefited from circumstances this

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Speaker 2: past weekend playing Maryland after Tala Tagovailoa was ruled out,

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Speaker 2: Maryland's backup quarterbacks not very good. It's a similar thing

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Speaker 2: with NC State, where you go from the stud quarterback

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Speaker 2: to just some noodle alarm scrambler that they brought in

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Speaker 2: for depth purposes. But that kid shouldn't be on the field.

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Speaker 2: And so Northwestern they had a shot to beat Maryland

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Speaker 2: in that game. They were actually leading at halftime seventeen

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Speaker 2: to ten. They lose by a touchdown, but again it's

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Speaker 2: not as impressive as otherwise.

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Speaker 3: Would have been.

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Speaker 2: Keeping it within seven against Maryland on the road. But perceptually,

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Speaker 2: I don't know that a lot of the you know,

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Speaker 2: the entire betting market is going to recognize Tago by

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Speaker 2: Low wasn't playing in that game. You were playing against

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Speaker 2: a depreciated Maryland team that was unable to leverage what

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Speaker 2: their greatest strength is, which is their receiving corps, because

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Speaker 2: the backup quarterback can't throw the ball, which which you know,

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Speaker 2: drag Maryland down to northwesterns level as opposed to Northwestern

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Speaker 2: playing up. I like Iowa this thing. They're a lot

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Speaker 2: better than this Northwestern team. This Northwestern team stinks. They're

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Speaker 2: one and six. They haven't won since the opener against Nebraska,

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Speaker 2: and again, circumstances helped them in that one, similarly to

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Speaker 2: how they helped them in the game against Penn State

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Speaker 2: three four weeks ago whatever. That game was in a monsoon.

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Speaker 2: But when you just look at the box score, that

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Speaker 2: Northwestern only lost by ten and that so, I mean,

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Speaker 2: Northwestern is this terrible record. But again, some of these

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Speaker 2: games have been closer, but when you know the context,

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Speaker 2: they shouldn't have been.

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Speaker 1: Well, my favorite tweets about this game have been, you know,

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Speaker 1: thirty one and a half is the over under and

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Speaker 1: everyone goes Iowa thirty one Northwestern zero. So that's my

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Speaker 1: favorite tweets about it. We should all be looking for. Hey, friends,

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Speaker 1: do you want to track all of your wagers in

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Speaker 1: one place, Well, you've got to check out betting prospicktracker

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00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:32,199
Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com slash pick dash tracking. It syncs

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00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:34,400
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Speaker 1: look at what the public is doing. So you can

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Speaker 1: use real time tracking determine which plays to make and

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Speaker 1: which to fade, get on the leaderboard and quickly become

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Speaker 1: a sharp by using the free advice we offer over

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Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com slash pick dash Tracking. Do it today.

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Speaker 1: Let's go over to the Saturday Game store looking over

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Speaker 1: probably the biggest one number two Ohio State seven and

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Speaker 1: zero versus the now number thirteen Penn State six and one.

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Speaker 1: This is going to be a powerhouse matchup. Talk to

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Speaker 1: me about this game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think where that line opened up, it feels

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Speaker 2: to me a little bit inflated towards the Ohio state side,

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Speaker 2: with the opening up at fourteen and a half for

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Speaker 2: Ohio State, especially with that game being in Happy Valley.

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Speaker 2: My justin line on it is Ohio State minus twelve

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Speaker 2: point nine. You do have to mention Ohio State did

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Speaker 2: get back. They got back Jackson Smith and Jig But

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Speaker 2: in the last game, although he didn't do much and

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Speaker 2: he played very limited reps.

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Speaker 3: He hadn't done much all season.

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Speaker 2: We'll see if he's anywhere closer to one hundred percent,

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Speaker 2: but Ohio State has not needed him to have the

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Speaker 2: number one EPA passing offense so far or you know,

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Speaker 2: in the parts of the three games where he's played.

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Speaker 2: They also got back Mayan Williams in that game. The

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Speaker 2: good news on the Penn State side, Sean Clifford was

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Speaker 2: able to play against Minnesota at least the first three

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Speaker 2: quarters and then they put all air in for the

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Speaker 2: fourth quarter.

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Speaker 3: But Clifford's going to be fine for this game.

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Speaker 2: Penn State's without or was without their starting left guard

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Speaker 2: in that Minnesota game. We'll have to check on his

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Speaker 2: status because their backup center's hurt too. So Penn State

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Speaker 2: was a little bit weak in interior offensive line depth

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Speaker 2: during the Minnesota game. But obviously Penn Sate just blasted

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Speaker 2: Minnesota in that game. I think the market maybe is

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Speaker 2: a little bit pessimistic on Penn State after they watched

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Speaker 2: what happened the week before where Michigan just played Big

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Speaker 2: Brother with them and put their hand on their head

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Speaker 2: and Penn say was swinging and couldn't hit Michigan.

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Speaker 3: But we've seen going.

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Speaker 2: Back several years, Penn State's been a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a thorn in the side of Ohio State. Ohio State

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Speaker 2: now again heading into Happy Valley. I think if that

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Speaker 2: line's above fourteen, I would probably lead towards the Penn

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Speaker 2: State side.

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Speaker 1: Is this going to be one of those games you

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Speaker 1: think that is going to be just heavy, heavy bedded

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Speaker 1: because both teams this is the big powerhouse game. Or

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Speaker 1: do you think that line kind of like you're speaking to,

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Speaker 1: is going to have a right around that space that

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Speaker 1: might take people out of it.

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Speaker 2: Well, you know that part's always interesting. I mean, Ohio

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Speaker 2: State certainly is a public team. Will Penn State, I mean, yeah,

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Speaker 2: will Penn State Will.

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Speaker 3: That side take the sharp action?

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Speaker 2: We'll find out, But yeah, I mean, with with where

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Speaker 2: the line is now, it's going to need to take

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Speaker 2: heavy money on the Penn State side to drop an

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Speaker 2: E fourteen.

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Speaker 3: But We'll just see how it goes.

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Speaker 2: But with it over fourteen, especially if it gets any

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Speaker 2: like if it was to climb the other way towards seventeen,

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Speaker 2: Penn State would be the side for me.

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Speaker 1: Okay, another big dog one with two ranked teams. We've

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Speaker 1: got seven to zero Tennessee, number three ranked in the nation,

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Speaker 1: up against Kentucky, who's number nineteen. They're five and two,

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Speaker 1: and it looks like, according to your Justice spreadline, there

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Speaker 1: is some value on this game coming into the weekend.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, my adjusted line on that game is Tennessee minus

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Speaker 2: nine point eight. It opens up at Tennessee minus thirteen

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Speaker 2: and a half. That's obviously the you know both the books.

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Speaker 2: I suppose the books anticipating the markets love for Tennessee. Essentially,

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Speaker 2: I feel like Kentucky is a little bit undervalued some

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Speaker 2: of their down performances in a lot like, for instance,

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Speaker 2: that the South Carolina game will leave us wasn't playing

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Speaker 2: and now leave us back to one hundred percent. He

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Speaker 2: had a turf toe injury, which typically is a two

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Speaker 2: week injury. He was able to come back on in

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Speaker 2: the second of those weeks, and Kentucky won that game

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Speaker 2: and again now he's back at one hundred percent. I

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Speaker 2: feel like that this thing is inflated towards the Tennessee side.

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Speaker 2: For me, that line should be right around Tennessee minus ten.

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Speaker 2: So for me early week, I'm leaning towards Kentucky with

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Speaker 2: where that line is.

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Speaker 1: Do you foresee that this game could move in that

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Speaker 1: other direction? Do you think you could see it get

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Speaker 1: beyond or it could get past two touchdowns or you

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Speaker 1: think it's going to move in closer to your line?

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Speaker 2: Well, I would assume Tennessee would take the money here. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: you know, I don't know if it's you know, does

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Speaker 2: it get to fourteen?

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Speaker 3: Does it get over fourteen? That I'm not sure of.

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Speaker 2: Well, we'll just have to see what, you know, I mean,

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Speaker 2: how much money the books are taking on the Tennessee side.

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Speaker 2: But you would have to imagine and that they're going

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Speaker 2: to at least be the public side in this game.

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Speaker 2: Tennessee not only are they undefeated, not only are they

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Speaker 2: a prime playoff contender at this point, but they have

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Speaker 2: weake in and week out been cashing for betters. I

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Speaker 2: mean even friggin last week. You know, like I was

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Speaker 2: in on Tennessee against Alabama. You know, I was fortunate

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Speaker 2: on that and some other folks as well. This past week,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee goes and they host Tennessee Martin in what was

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Speaker 2: the classic letdown spot of all time. Tennessee covered that

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Speaker 2: game too, and you know, and I realized it's an

355
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Speaker 2: FCS team, but a lot of times, you know the

356
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Speaker 2: next week you're not going to get the same kind

357
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Speaker 2: of effort. But Tennessee been doing this over and over

358
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Speaker 2: and over again. They have won the trust at the

359
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Speaker 2: betting market. And what you know, once that stuff starts

360
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Speaker 2: to happen, you have to start to pay the tax.

361
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Speaker 2: The bucks are going to start to imbue the lines

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Speaker 2: with that, and that's what we're seeing with the Tennessee side.

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Speaker 2: But on the other side, with Kentucky, not only do

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Speaker 2: I think they're undervalued, the metrics that they put up

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Speaker 2: this season are also a bit depressed because you had

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Speaker 2: the game where Lewis was out, you had some of

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Speaker 2: the sample beyond that, Levis was compromised during it. And

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Speaker 2: by the way, that's not all folks. Chris Rodriguez recall,

369
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Speaker 2: Kentucky's star running back was suspended for the first four

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Speaker 2: games of the season, and Kentucky had some problems running

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Speaker 2: the ball early on in the season. The guy that

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Speaker 2: they thought was going to take over for Rodriguez in September,

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Speaker 2: like when he got suspended, was this kid named Ramon

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Speaker 2: Jefferson that they brought in.

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Speaker 3: He tears his ACL.

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Speaker 2: So Kentucky was, you know, for the first month of

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Speaker 2: the season they were playing with their third Sturning running back.

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Speaker 2: Then after that Levis gets hurt. They're there again. They're

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Speaker 2: ancillary stats that are making up a lot of these

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Speaker 2: you know, both my numbers also, you know, the the

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Speaker 2: baseline for the Bucks and the other power ratings out

382
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Speaker 2: there for everybody else that does this. Kentucky's are just

383
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Speaker 2: a little bit lower than they probably should if they

384
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Speaker 2: had been full strength the entire season.

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Speaker 3: I think they're the undervalued side.

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Speaker 2: They're also a team that doesn't get blasted a lot,

387
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Speaker 2: you know, when circumstances are not going against them. I

388
00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,520
Speaker 2: think they could probably get I'm not certainly going to

389
00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:47,399
Speaker 2: call them to upset or whatever, but I think that

390
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Speaker 2: they can do some things here. They can give at

391
00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:53,560
Speaker 2: least slow Tennessee down and maybe give Tennessee a little

392
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Speaker 2: bit of problems as well, and and we'll find out

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Speaker 2: how that goes but specifically Tennessee's pass defense. If Levis

394
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Speaker 2: is on and then game Leaves is going to be

395
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Speaker 2: able to feast on that thing. And Leavas is probably

396
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Speaker 2: looking at this as one of those NFL showcase opportunities

397
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Speaker 2: against this undefeated team that again is a front runner

398
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Speaker 2: potentially to make the playoff right now. This is a

399
00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:17,159
Speaker 2: big game for his evaluation, and he's not going against

400
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,520
Speaker 2: a great Tennessee pass defense. So I do think Kentucky's

401
00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:22,119
Speaker 2: gonna be able to do more through the air than

402
00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,879
Speaker 2: people probably anticipate. I would be looking at will leave

403
00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:27,360
Speaker 2: us over props in the market this week as well.

404
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:29,919
Speaker 1: That's a great bet. Also coming back to we were

405
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,199
Speaker 1: talking about the letdown spot with Tennessee, I believe that

406
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:34,720
Speaker 1: number this week was thirty nine thirty nine and a

407
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Speaker 1: half and they covered, which is going to have more

408
00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:39,680
Speaker 1: public money and more confidence on the Tennessee side, which

409
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Speaker 1: may move this line to your point, which may end

410
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Speaker 1: up having Kentucky becoming even more of a value in

411
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Speaker 1: this game. Another big matchup Number one in the nation

412
00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:51,120
Speaker 1: Georgia seven and l going up against Florida. They're four

413
00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,480
Speaker 1: and three. There's a little bit of value on this line.

414
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Speaker 1: What do you think about the number one team of

415
00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,919
Speaker 1: the nation up against Florida, which man higher expectations for

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00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:01,040
Speaker 1: Florida overall this year, especially with Chardson, But what do

417
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:01,400
Speaker 1: you think?

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00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:04,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, my justin line on it is Georgia minus twenty

419
00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:08,720
Speaker 2: point seven, so it's around where the thing opened. My

420
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:12,560
Speaker 2: concern for the Florida side in this one is Florida's

421
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:16,639
Speaker 2: run defense is an abomination. Anybody can run on Florida,

422
00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:19,760
Speaker 2: and that's what Georgia does. They're they're going to be

423
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:23,399
Speaker 2: blasting Florida's front off the line the entire game. The

424
00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:25,200
Speaker 2: running back the first time he's going to be touched

425
00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,560
Speaker 2: his four yards downfield. If they can touch him, then

426
00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:31,080
Speaker 2: on any given play, George is gonna stampede them on

427
00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:33,120
Speaker 2: the ground. This is going to have to be one

428
00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:35,680
Speaker 2: of those games. If Florida is to cover or put

429
00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:38,919
Speaker 2: any sort of scare whatsoever into Georgia, We're going to

430
00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:41,639
Speaker 2: need Anthony Richardson to put back on the Superman cape

431
00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:44,159
Speaker 2: like he had on against Utah and the opener and

432
00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:48,320
Speaker 2: where we've only seen it in Spurts Flashes a series

433
00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:51,560
Speaker 2: year a play there since then. But he needs to

434
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Speaker 2: We need Utah Anthony Richardson to show up in this

435
00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:58,359
Speaker 2: game or Florida's gonna get blown off the field in

436
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Speaker 2: Jackson bel And.

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Speaker 1: I think we could use a little bit more of

438
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Speaker 1: that big Anthony richard I just want to see him

439
00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:05,600
Speaker 1: in that opening day performance that has stuck in my

440
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 1: brain and it hasn't left. Every time I look at

441
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:10,720
Speaker 1: them in a market to bet or anything like that,

442
00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:12,639
Speaker 1: I think about that opening day with him, and we

443
00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 1: need that big, big play from him. One more on

444
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 1: the big one you mentioned TCU TCU. It's a big

445
00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:21,640
Speaker 1: twelve matchup seven and oh on the year, number seven

446
00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:24,199
Speaker 1: in the nation going up against West Virginia. They're going

447
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,479
Speaker 1: to West Virginia, who's three and four. It's a big

448
00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:28,600
Speaker 1: twelve matchup. TCU's four and oh in the big twelve

449
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:30,920
Speaker 1: one and three for West Virginia. He said, you wanted

450
00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:32,639
Speaker 1: to You definitely wanted to hit on this. So what

451
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:33,640
Speaker 1: do you think on TCU?

452
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 3: Here?

453
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:37,760
Speaker 2: I would lean TCU. I would lean them even if

454
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,120
Speaker 2: my system wasn't showing that there's value on them.

455
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:40,960
Speaker 3: But it is.

456
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,200
Speaker 2: My line in this game is TCU minus nine point four.

457
00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 2: It opened curiously low at TCU minus seven and a half.

458
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:50,719
Speaker 2: A part of that is West Virginia, of course has

459
00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:53,480
Speaker 2: a pretty good home field advantage, and they play better

460
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:56,480
Speaker 2: when they're at home. But I hate this West Virginia team.

461
00:20:56,520 --> 00:21:01,240
Speaker 2: I've been fading them all season, mostly successfully, and particularly

462
00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:03,359
Speaker 2: you know I was talking about a key strength on

463
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:06,880
Speaker 2: weakness in the last handicap. We got another enormous one here,

464
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,320
Speaker 2: which is West Virginia has one of the worst pass

465
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 2: defenses in all of America. It's not just the P five,

466
00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:16,640
Speaker 2: it's all the way down. Anybody can throw on West Virginia.

467
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 2: It is not hard TCU of course as the explosive

468
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 2: passing game. TCU's receiving core is one of the best

469
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:25,359
Speaker 2: in the nation. And again they're going up against this

470
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 2: crappy secondary of West Virginia's. And then the TCU running

471
00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 2: game is there as well. West Virginia is better against

472
00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:33,960
Speaker 2: the run for sure, but TCU is going to have

473
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 2: their lunch through the air. Expect a big game out

474
00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:38,680
Speaker 2: of Quinton Johnston, should be a big game for Max

475
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:42,640
Speaker 2: Dugan through the air in this one. I definitely lean TCU.

476
00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:46,639
Speaker 2: West Virginia to me is getting closer and closer to

477
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,480
Speaker 2: the point where that team quits on Neil Brown. Before

478
00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:51,640
Speaker 2: the season, I said Neil Brown wasn't going to make

479
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 2: it out of the regular season. He's got a shot

480
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:56,800
Speaker 2: now to make it out of the regular season. He

481
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 2: has zero shot to go six and six this year.

482
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,359
Speaker 2: I think the best case scenario for West Virginia at

483
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:05,400
Speaker 2: this point it's finishing five and seven and we'll see

484
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:08,160
Speaker 2: if they can even get there. But once it gets

485
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 2: to the point where the players realize like, oh, we're

486
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:13,240
Speaker 2: not going to a bowl game, We've seen that already

487
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:14,359
Speaker 2: this season with the coach.

488
00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:15,959
Speaker 3: It was on the hot seat in West Virginia.

489
00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:18,800
Speaker 2: The players certainly know that Neil Brown is, you know

490
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:23,400
Speaker 2: in some of these other you know, Arizona State, Colorado, Nebraska,

491
00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 2: it's some of these other ones where they fired the coach.

492
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:28,480
Speaker 2: The last couple of weeks in the lead up, the

493
00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 2: players just weren't showing up and and you saw some

494
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:35,120
Speaker 2: really embarrassing results because of that. West Virginia is not

495
00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:38,280
Speaker 2: quite there yet, but they are moving ever so closely

496
00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:41,920
Speaker 2: to getting there. TCU matches up really well in this one,

497
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,679
Speaker 2: and people have been anticipating a letdown spot for TCU

498
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 2: at some point, but we haven't seen that. They've had

499
00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:51,159
Speaker 2: some letdown first halves, right like, you know, they had

500
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,840
Speaker 2: to come back and in the last game against Kansas

501
00:22:53,880 --> 00:22:55,400
Speaker 2: State they were helped a little bit.

502
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 3: You know. I was referring to this before where Kansas

503
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,399
Speaker 3: State had some injuries. They also had to come back.

504
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:03,560
Speaker 2: On Oklahoma State, you know, and with Kansas they just

505
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 2: held them off at the end. But you're now starting

506
00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 2: to see this battle tested team, a team that last

507
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:11,280
Speaker 2: year was so bad. They got their head coach fire

508
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 2: the legendary Patterson, and they sort of had to learn

509
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:16,680
Speaker 2: how to win. Not only have they learned how to

510
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:20,440
Speaker 2: win under sunny dikes, they're beating all of these diametrically

511
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:24,879
Speaker 2: opposed opponents and multiple times, like I mentioned recent history

512
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:28,680
Speaker 2: here have had to overcome extreme circumstances in order to

513
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:30,840
Speaker 2: pull the win out. I trust this team going on

514
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:33,920
Speaker 2: the road to a place like this now. I definitely

515
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:35,240
Speaker 2: like TCU in that one.

516
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:37,920
Speaker 1: Coming jacked up for TCU. Hey, friends, if you want

517
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 1: a chance to win a signed T. Higgins Cincinnati Bengals

518
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:44,040
Speaker 1: helmet courtesy of our friends over at Pristine Auction, all

519
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 1: you got to do is subscribe to the Betting Pros

520
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:49,200
Speaker 1: YouTube channel right now, just like go do it right now,

521
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:51,959
Speaker 1: comment below on this video, and then that's it. So

522
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 1: subscribe and comment, boom your set. We'll be announcing a

523
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:56,679
Speaker 1: winner right here on the channel, so make sure to

524
00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:59,320
Speaker 1: tune turn on those notifications so you can be alerted

525
00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 1: when new episodes are up and claim your prize. How

526
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:08,720
Speaker 1: about some rival reaction or Michigan Michigan State. It doesn't

527
00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 1: quite look as pretty as maybe in previous years, but

528
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,520
Speaker 1: Michigan number four in the nation seven to zero. Michigan

529
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:17,359
Speaker 1: State is three and four. But you and the books

530
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:18,520
Speaker 1: got this line pretty close.

531
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, well you tried telling that to some of my

532
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 2: Michigan grad friends. They think this one is about as

533
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:27,040
Speaker 2: pretty as it can possibly get, exactly.

534
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:28,280
Speaker 3: Yeah.

535
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 2: Boy, if I'm melt Tucker heading into this game, I'm

536
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:35,840
Speaker 2: feeling pretty nervous. Michigan State has one of the worst

537
00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:39,000
Speaker 2: defenses in the entire nation, whether it's by counting stats,

538
00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 2: whether it's the efficiency to success rate, whether it's EPA

539
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,359
Speaker 2: per play against the run in the past, like whatever

540
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 2: you look at, Michigan State is way down there at

541
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 2: the bottom. And now Michigan their offense, of course, they

542
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 2: run the ball so well that you know, you know what,

543
00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 2: Now it's Corum and Edwards. But now now you also

544
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 2: have a more explosive element to the passing game as well. Man,

545
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:00,840
Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, like my line on this one

546
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 2: is twenty and a half that the Vegas line opened

547
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:05,399
Speaker 2: at twenty one and a half. I would certainly not

548
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 2: be backing Michigan State in that one. It might end

549
00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:11,199
Speaker 2: up being a stay away for me, just because it

550
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 2: is a rivalry game. Maybe they keep it a little

551
00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 2: bit closer, but I don't like Michigan States chances in

552
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 2: that game.

553
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:21,359
Speaker 1: How about we go to the ole Miss.

554
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:22,119
Speaker 3: Texas A and M.

555
00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 1: LSU just took to gave ole Miss the lost forty

556
00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:28,360
Speaker 1: five to twenty, which moved ole Miss down a little bit,

557
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:30,640
Speaker 1: LSU moving up in the rankings in the top twenty five.

558
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:33,240
Speaker 1: Ole Miss is now fifteen or seven and one coming

559
00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 1: up against Texas A and M which is three and four. Again,

560
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:38,640
Speaker 1: this is another one of those that is a very

561
00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,000
Speaker 1: very close line here. So what do you think on

562
00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 1: this bad boy?

563
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, to me, this line open spot on. My adjusted

564
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 2: line on it is ole Miss minus two point six.

565
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:51,680
Speaker 2: In College station, the line opens at ole Miss minus

566
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:55,040
Speaker 2: three again spot on, Because I don't think perceptions dragging

567
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:56,880
Speaker 2: this one one way or the other because both these

568
00:25:56,880 --> 00:26:01,199
Speaker 2: teams are coming off really disappointing performances. I loved LSU

569
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 2: last week. I also loved the under and both of

570
00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:05,680
Speaker 2: them ended up getting there. I didn't expect Mississippi to

571
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:09,399
Speaker 2: look quite as bad as they ended up looking for LSU.

572
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 3: That wasn't even a sweat.

573
00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:13,600
Speaker 2: They just blew past them there once once the gates

574
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,800
Speaker 2: opened after halftime, and then A and M. You just

575
00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,520
Speaker 2: scratch your head, like, what's going on with them? South

576
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:22,159
Speaker 2: Carolina controlled that entire game and this is not a

577
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,760
Speaker 2: particularly good South Carolina team. A part of the problem

578
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,879
Speaker 2: for A and M. You have this antiquated, slow moving,

579
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:32,760
Speaker 2: predictable offense, vanilla offense, which you know has been sort

580
00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:35,919
Speaker 2: of Jimbo's ethos going back several years. The problem with

581
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,320
Speaker 2: this team is you don't have any talent a quarterback,

582
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:41,320
Speaker 2: at least until Connor Weigman. Like maybe a couple of

583
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:42,920
Speaker 2: years down the row, Connor Weigman.

584
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:43,479
Speaker 3: Will become something.

585
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,520
Speaker 2: But Max Johnson was no great shakes and now he's

586
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 2: out for this season. Haynes King, we know, is not

587
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,880
Speaker 2: a you know, a guy that an SEC contender wants

588
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 2: to be starting, and Weigman's a true freshman, and then

589
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 2: A and M had a dearth of offensive playmakers. They

590
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 2: really only had the two in Aught Chain and an

591
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:03,280
Speaker 2: Ice Smith, and an I Smith was knocked out for

592
00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 2: the season several weeks ago. So they're just so limited,

593
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 2: and they remain predictable and vanilla and slow moving on

594
00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:14,160
Speaker 2: the offensive side of the ball, and their defense, it's

595
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:16,800
Speaker 2: you know, it's put up some decent performances, but it

596
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 2: needs to be utterly dominant to make up for that offense,

597
00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:21,959
Speaker 2: and it certainly has not been. I would trust all

598
00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:24,440
Speaker 2: Miss in this one a bit more than I would

599
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 2: A and M. Even though it's flipping back to college

600
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,520
Speaker 2: station where A and M gets to host this thing.

601
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:32,199
Speaker 2: Old Miss is not as bad as they ended up

602
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:35,159
Speaker 2: looking last week. That was a really really good spot

603
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:36,959
Speaker 2: for LSU. It's part of the reason why why they

604
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,160
Speaker 2: were one of my favorite bets of the week. I

605
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:41,119
Speaker 2: early on in the week, you know again, I'll go,

606
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 2: I'm going to go into all these games and handicap them,

607
00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:46,240
Speaker 2: But right now I would lean towards laying those the

608
00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:48,639
Speaker 2: short amount of points with Ole Miss. And if you

609
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 2: agree with me, probably one where you might want to

610
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:54,199
Speaker 2: better earlier rather than later, to make sure that you

611
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:57,119
Speaker 2: get it at three as opposed to if it potentially

612
00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:59,160
Speaker 2: climbs the other way, because I don't know who wants

613
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:01,000
Speaker 2: to bet on Texas A and M right now.

614
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 1: Great call, really great call. Oklahoma State, who is number

615
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:07,440
Speaker 1: nine in the nation now they're six and one, coming

616
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,919
Speaker 1: up against Kansas State number twenty two. Kansas State, who

617
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:12,160
Speaker 1: is five and two. Kansas State lost to number eight

618
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:14,640
Speaker 1: TCU at that time thirty eight, twenty eight. Oklahoma State

619
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 1: coming off of a huge win against Texas which knocked

620
00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:19,480
Speaker 1: Texas off at the top twenty five in a forty

621
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:24,200
Speaker 1: one thirty forty one thirty four win. Oklahoma State Kansas State,

622
00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 1: what do you think for this.

623
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:28,880
Speaker 2: Is a big time health status check game where you're

624
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,080
Speaker 2: gonna have to check it throughout the week for the

625
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:32,040
Speaker 2: Kansas State side.

626
00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:32,800
Speaker 3: You know, it's funny.

627
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 2: Last week, you know, when I was talking about the

628
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,080
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State and Texas game, it was all the health

629
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:40,600
Speaker 2: status on Spencer Sanders because we knew he had the

630
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:43,200
Speaker 2: throwing shoulder thing. Is he going to play, is he

631
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:45,920
Speaker 2: not going to play? If he does play, what percentage

632
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 2: is he going to be? You know, et cetera, et cetera,

633
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 2: and he did end up playing, and Oklahoma State was

634
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 2: able to come back in that game in the second

635
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 2: half and beat Texas. This time around, the health questions

636
00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 2: are decidedly on the.

637
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 3: Kansas State side.

638
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 2: Kansas State probably would have beaten TCU and maybe you

639
00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 2: can even take the work probably out of that if

640
00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:07,320
Speaker 2: they hadn't suffered this rash of injuries during that game.

641
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 2: I mean, one of the most injury reddle games you're

642
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 2: gonna see in the Power Five this year. Adrian Martinez

643
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:15,480
Speaker 2: gets knocked out on the opening drive and that actually

644
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,320
Speaker 2: turned out not to matter as much as you would

645
00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:20,280
Speaker 2: think because Will Howard their backup. He comes in and

646
00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:23,560
Speaker 2: played absolutely awesome. Will Howard was a kid who was

647
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,280
Speaker 2: with so Bally who coming out out of high school

648
00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 2: comparison to what Kansas State usually signs, you know, you

649
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 2: know in in recruiting that initially Kansas State fans wanted

650
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:39,480
Speaker 2: him playing over Skyler Thompson. And then Will Will Howard

651
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 2: had had struggled a little bit. We hadn't seen him

652
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:44,200
Speaker 2: for a while, but he came in and looked absolutely

653
00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 2: awesome when when Martinez got hurt. But then Will Will

654
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:49,040
Speaker 2: Howard got knocked out of the game as well, so

655
00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 2: then Kansas State was down to their third quarterback.

656
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:53,080
Speaker 3: Duce Vaughan gets injured in that game.

657
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:55,720
Speaker 2: For Kansas State, they had they had anythink three other

658
00:29:55,760 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 2: starters ended up. Daniel Green, Kansas State's top linebacker, got

659
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:04,800
Speaker 2: hurting that game. Other uh Julius Brents, Josh Hayes, ben

660
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 2: sonnat all Kansas State contributors, they all get knocked out

661
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,680
Speaker 2: of the game as well. So Kansas State by the

662
00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 2: end of that game, where was the walking wounded? And

663
00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:16,040
Speaker 2: that's why they blew this twenty eight to ten lead

664
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 2: and then ended up losing that game.

665
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 3: What are the statuses of these guys? Are we gonna

666
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:21,360
Speaker 3: get Martinez? If not?

667
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 2: Is Howard going to be available? What's duce vond status?

668
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:27,840
Speaker 2: He's the most important player on that team? And then

669
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 2: the linebacker Brents, what's what's his you know, what's his status?

670
00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 3: Right?

671
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 1: Like?

672
00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 3: Are they going to be getting I'm sorry Daniel Green?

673
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 2: And then and then the guys like Brent's, Hayes, Sinat,

674
00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 2: what are their statuses? If you're gonna invest on the

675
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 2: Kansas State side, you need to know the hell status

676
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:44,800
Speaker 2: of all these different guys because of how many injuries

677
00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:46,000
Speaker 2: they suffered in the last game.

678
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 1: Friends, have you been having fun listening to getting your

679
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 1: you know, side picks here not quite the full takes.

680
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 1: You're getting a few little player props. Well, you can

681
00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 1: have twice, maybe three, maybe four times more if you

682
00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:01,240
Speaker 1: want those free picks player props and break almost every

683
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:04,520
Speaker 1: game the college football has to offer. You can join

684
00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 1: Thor Mike for Game Day Live, presented by DraftKings, each

685
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,400
Speaker 1: and every Saturday at ten thirty am Eastern. And you

686
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:13,680
Speaker 1: have questions you need answered, Our team of experts will

687
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:16,080
Speaker 1: be live for ninety minutes of NonStop action leading up

688
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:17,840
Speaker 1: to kickouts. So join the live stream and toss your

689
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 1: questions into the chat, and I can tell you personally

690
00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 1: watch it every single week. It is fun, It is informative,

691
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,160
Speaker 1: and it gets me going because I need that extra

692
00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:29,400
Speaker 1: push when I'm making my bets because I am a degenerate.

693
00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:32,000
Speaker 1: I'm a degenerate. If Thor gets hyped up about something,

694
00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 1: I'm already ready to go and bet TC. I'm already

695
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 1: ready to bet ole mess. I'm right, I'm getting hyped up.

696
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:39,400
Speaker 1: I'm a total dejon And Thor helps me with that,

697
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:42,560
Speaker 1: So go check out Thor and Mike every Saturday. Thor,

698
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 1: this is where I'm going to just give you an

699
00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 1: opportunity for your standout lines. Obviously early you're not making

700
00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:50,000
Speaker 1: any picks, but a couple of games we haven't talked

701
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 1: about that stand out to you as far as what

702
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:55,000
Speaker 1: your projections have spit out versus what is coming out

703
00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 1: on the industry.

704
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:58,640
Speaker 3: I got too that caught my eye.

705
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 2: One of them, I'm sure showing a decent discrepancy. On

706
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 2: the other one, my line is exactly on what Vegas is,

707
00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:06,800
Speaker 2: but they they both come eyes.

708
00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,280
Speaker 3: So one of the first one.

709
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:12,680
Speaker 2: East Carolina is catching three and a half points at

710
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 2: BYU this week. I don't think the BYU should be favored,

711
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 2: and I'm not really sure why they are after they

712
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 2: just got absolutely annihilated by Liberty's third string quarterback, this

713
00:32:22,960 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 2: Jonathan Bennictt, who would never looked, He'd never look good

714
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:26,720
Speaker 2: his entire career.

715
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 3: He'd also never had a successful game in his whole career.

716
00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 3: He absolutely shredded this awful BYU defense. BYU defense been

717
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 3: awful all season. I mean that was stunning, just Benett

718
00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 3: being good. BYU's defense being that bad to facilitate that.

719
00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 2: But on the other side, the BYU wasn't able to

720
00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:47,400
Speaker 2: do what they wanted against Liberty's defense. You give a

721
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:49,000
Speaker 2: little you know, you tip your hat a little bit

722
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:53,280
Speaker 2: to Liberty. But BYU is way down this year. East Carolina.

723
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 2: You know, I was talking about how LSU is one

724
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 2: of my favorite bets last week. The other one was

725
00:32:56,920 --> 00:33:01,080
Speaker 2: East Carolina getting five points against UCF and easy, you

726
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:05,480
Speaker 2: absolutely dominated UCF. They won that game by twenty plus points.

727
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 2: I don't know why b YU is getting this excess

728
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 2: amount of credit while East Carolina again is not. But

729
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 2: my line on this game is EACU minus one point three.

730
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:19,760
Speaker 2: That's just my system spitting out numbers I would probably

731
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:21,800
Speaker 2: favor if it was just me setting the line, like

732
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 2: in a vacuum, where like I would have ECU minus three.

733
00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:29,520
Speaker 2: I probably just flipped the line. So ECU is a

734
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,120
Speaker 2: front runner to be one of my best bets this week,

735
00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 2: especially if that line stays above b YU minus three,

736
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 2: which is where it is right now, and then a

737
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:42,400
Speaker 2: line where or a game where my line line up

738
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 2: exactly with where the Vegas one was. But I still

739
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 2: like a side. My line on Syracuse hosting Notre Dame.

740
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 2: And this this is a shout out for for Thomas

741
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:54,080
Speaker 2: who you know, we did, we did the show with

742
00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:57,880
Speaker 2: him before. Syracuse is favored in this one by two

743
00:33:57,880 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 2: points is where it came out. My line on it

744
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 2: is here minus two point one against Notre Dame.

745
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 3: I like Syracuse in that game.

746
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:09,440
Speaker 2: And and I would even lay you know, certainly three

747
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 2: and probably even a tick more than that. I'd probably

748
00:34:12,680 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 2: go up to four. Syracuse is a better team than

749
00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 2: Notre Dame. Like like, at this point, it's you know,

750
00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 2: it's a part of the just the name value on

751
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:22,480
Speaker 2: Notre Dame. I haven't been impressed with Notre Dame all

752
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 2: season long. I mean you can go back and like,

753
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:28,479
Speaker 2: look through last week against UNLV, Notre Dame finally beats

754
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 2: a team by margin. Keep in mind that UNLV was

755
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:35,000
Speaker 2: without their starting quarterback, without their starting running back, and

756
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 2: without their starting their their top wide receiver, just just

757
00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:41,520
Speaker 2: for starters. So you you had this Mountain you know,

758
00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 2: lower tier Martin West team that was also injury decimated.

759
00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 2: Don't buy that, you know, Notre Dame has gotten back

760
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:54,160
Speaker 2: on track. I certainly don't. Whereas Syracuse absolutely should have had,

761
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:58,320
Speaker 2: absolutely should have beaten Clemson and absolutely should be undefeated

762
00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:02,879
Speaker 2: right now. They circumstances win against them. In that one,

763
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:05,080
Speaker 2: they had a late hit uh you know again again

764
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:07,960
Speaker 2: on the quarterback. This rough in the passer where they

765
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:10,640
Speaker 2: were gonna get the ball back Syracuse was when they

766
00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 2: were they were up by two possessions late in that game.

767
00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:15,640
Speaker 3: Instead, Clemson gets to keep the ball. They end up

768
00:35:15,640 --> 00:35:18,560
Speaker 3: scoring the touchdown and then they were able then you know,

769
00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:19,840
Speaker 3: a couple drives later.

770
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:22,959
Speaker 2: To pull ahead of Syracuse. Syracuse wasn't getting the same

771
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,280
Speaker 2: calls on the other side with Garrett Trader was getting

772
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:29,120
Speaker 2: knocked around. But far far be it from me. Syracuse

773
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 2: a really, really solid team. They still are not getting

774
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 2: the credit I think from the market that they probably deserve.

775
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 3: For me, I really like Syracuse in that game. I

776
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:40,080
Speaker 3: expect him to beat Notre Dame.

777
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:43,960
Speaker 1: The Mighty Thor has got me jacked up. I am

778
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,120
Speaker 1: gonna literally be I'm gonna I have three. I'm gonna

779
00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 1: blind tail. I'm not gonna even think twice about it.

780
00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:49,759
Speaker 1: You got me jacked up about it. I hope he

781
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:51,680
Speaker 1: does for you as well. Make sure you guys are

782
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:54,360
Speaker 1: locked in over at bettingpros dot com. Where you guys

783
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 1: can check all of the great content, all of the

784
00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:58,640
Speaker 1: great articles, and make sure you're also paying attention to

785
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:00,799
Speaker 1: this YouTube channel so you can get all of the

786
00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:03,319
Speaker 1: shows that are coming out this week. Because Thor got

787
00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:05,640
Speaker 1: you set for a look ahead, but you're gonna get

788
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:08,239
Speaker 1: the deep dive into this week. As you're preparing and

789
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:09,960
Speaker 1: making your bets for week nine. You can find them

790
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:12,759
Speaker 1: on Twitter at Thor Ku. You can find me on

791
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:14,879
Speaker 1: Twitter at is it the Welsh if you just want

792
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,360
Speaker 1: to follow a degenerate. That's all that you would be

793
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:19,919
Speaker 1: following me for at this point. And thank you guys

794
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:21,920
Speaker 1: for all tolerating me. And it's got to be a

795
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:23,799
Speaker 1: very I was telling Thor before the show, it's gonna

796
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,320
Speaker 1: be kind of a weird vibe when you have someone

797
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 1: the whole season and then someone just jolts themselves in.

798
00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:32,520
Speaker 1: I'm quite different across the board. But hopefully, as I

799
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:34,839
Speaker 1: told Thor, I could be in a Minnesota talk.

800
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:36,280
Speaker 3: I could be like old it's called Ricky Rubio.

801
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:40,120
Speaker 1: Just eleven, twelve, thirteen assists, maybe two points here, one

802
00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 1: little point I'll throw in. But I'm just assistant Thor.

803
00:36:42,280 --> 00:36:44,320
Speaker 1: That's all I'm here to be so hopefully I'm not

804
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 1: too much of a noisance. So Thor, thank you for

805
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,040
Speaker 1: letting me get all hyped up with you this week,

806
00:36:49,040 --> 00:36:49,439
Speaker 1: my friend.

807
00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 2: Absolutely, and go back to the Minnesota thing. You did

808
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:54,560
Speaker 2: better than Minnesota's backup quarterback when he came in against

809
00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:57,719
Speaker 2: Penn State, so that's a positive for first one touch.

810
00:36:58,120 --> 00:36:59,880
Speaker 1: All right, friends, you know where to follow us on Twitter,

811
00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:01,120
Speaker 1: over to Bettingpros dot com.

812
00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:02,600
Speaker 3: Make sure that you like and.

813
00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:04,880
Speaker 1: Review and do all the stuff for the podcast. Go

814
00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 1: when the autograph Jersey. We'll be back with you again

815
00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:09,560
Speaker 1: next week for an early look, but tune in all

816
00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:11,839
Speaker 1: week long for all of your stuff coming up later

817
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,960
Speaker 1: this week. Fourth or I'm Welsh, it's Betting Pros and

818
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:15,680
Speaker 1: we are out of here.

819
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:16,400
Speaker 3: By friends,