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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action awesome.

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Speaker 1: All right. Here we go.

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Speaker 2: Throwing in Joe speak, so I'm saying it's a catch

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Speaker 2: touch till.

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Speaker 3: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to wind.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible, Big Banks'm all banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 4: All right.

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Speaker 1: This is the ultimate kabak.

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Speaker 4: You want to pack.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway.

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Speaker 4: What's going on? Everybody? Welcome into the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 4: We are presented by fan Duel Brendan Glasheen with Brandon

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Speaker 4: Anderson and Joe Gallant. Fellas, good to see you again.

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Speaker 4: Hope you had a great Thanksgiving. I was not here

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Speaker 4: last week, so good to be back. It feels weird

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Speaker 4: you miss a week and you feel like you missed

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Speaker 4: so much. Talking to you guys for a recap show.

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Speaker 4: This is the Week twelve NFL recap and Monday Night

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Speaker 4: Football preview. We will get to the Colts and the

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Speaker 4: Pittsburgh Steelers later on in the pro GM. Also get

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Speaker 4: Brandon Anderson's hot Red for Week thirteen. We just had

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Speaker 4: a loaded Sunday of football, twelve games no buyes. For

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Speaker 4: Thanksgiving week, we had the three games from Thursday. We

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Speaker 4: will discuss those games briefly and what it means for

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Speaker 4: the future of the NFC and the AFC playoff pictures.

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Speaker 4: We will start with Green Bay and Philadelphia. Not often

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Speaker 4: this season have we had the luxury of beginning the

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Speaker 4: podcast by recapping the game that just happened, because that's

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Speaker 4: the whole idea prime time it delivers. In this game

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Speaker 4: delivered fireworks in the first thirty minutes. It got interesting

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Speaker 4: at the end if you had the Packers at six

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Speaker 4: and a half. I'm sorry I was one of those people,

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Speaker 4: so I was bummed out. Jordan Love looks like I

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Speaker 4: can kind of play, but Brandon the Packers held their own.

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Speaker 4: Aaron Rodgers did get hurt in this game, but a

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Speaker 4: bunch of fireworks. Philadelphia now can win in different ways, right.

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Speaker 4: They barely hold on against the Colts Lafe. Last week

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Speaker 4: it was their defense, and this week their offense had

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Speaker 4: to show out.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not gonna lie. I kind of thought after

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Speaker 1: the first five minutes or so, I was like, man,

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Speaker 1: we might be recording about three hours early tonight. Eagles

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Speaker 1: right down the field, get a touchdown, Rogers in reception,

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Speaker 1: another touchdown. I'm like, all right, we're done.

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Speaker 4: Here.

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Speaker 1: We're just gonna frozen pizza, this baby all the way

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Speaker 1: to the moon. And yeah, Packers bounced back wild first half.

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Speaker 1: It's like back and forth twenty twenty halftime, and then

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Speaker 1: it felt like the Eagles put it away, but never

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Speaker 1: really put it away. Jordan Love kind of kept it around.

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Speaker 1: If you got the seven in the middle of the week,

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Speaker 1: there was a seven out there, so you pushed your

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Speaker 1: seven thanks to some Jordan Love heroics, thanks to my

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Speaker 1: guy Christian Watson. But I mean the story has to

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Speaker 1: be Eagles running the football forty nine carries, three hundred

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Speaker 1: and sixty three yards, three touchdowns, seven and a half

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Speaker 1: yards of carry, Jalen Hurts one hundred and fifty yards

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Speaker 1: passing and throwing to that in the first quarter running

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Speaker 1: the football. So the Packers just had no answer to

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Speaker 1: the Eagles running the ball tonight.

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Speaker 2: I honestly, guys, I thought this first half was just

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Speaker 2: drunk uncle man like it was.

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Speaker 1: So it was just drunk football. Four turnovers, six touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: I mean the over hit in the first half, and

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Speaker 2: you were just talking about Jalen Hurts like ran for

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Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty six yards just in the first half.

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Speaker 1: Like I mean Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 2: We didn't even talk about Aaron Rodgers getting knocked out

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Speaker 2: of the game, like, you know, getting sacked like five

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Speaker 2: times and pretty bad to A lot of those were

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Speaker 2: on third down. The Eagles defense pretty strong at where

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Speaker 2: it needed to be. But then we see Jordan Love

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Speaker 2: coming and complete a touchdown to Christian Watson, your boy, Brandon.

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Speaker 2: Christian Watson now six touchdowns in three games, and to

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Speaker 2: put that in perspective, he is now sixth in the

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Speaker 2: NFL in receiving touchdowns. Just based on that, there's only

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Speaker 2: five guys ahead of him now, which I just find hilarious.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, Jahurs, I mean ten four and one ats

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Speaker 2: did his career at home now and pretty impressive. I

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Speaker 2: think that's the one thing I would just take away

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Speaker 2: from it. Forty points on this defense, even though I

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Speaker 2: think the Packers defense does have some struggles there. But

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Speaker 2: I think the Jordan Love aspect here got me a

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Speaker 2: little excited at the end.

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Speaker 1: Great, yeah, they think there's a chance. I think, you know,

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Speaker 1: the Packers are four and eight now, Aaron Rodgers went

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Speaker 1: out with the oblique injury. There's really no reason they

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Speaker 1: need to push for anything like the playoff hopes are gone.

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Speaker 1: I know they put that graphic up late in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter. We got the Lions and Packers quote in

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Speaker 1: playoff contention, thanks for that graphic, Like it's not happening

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Speaker 1: for these guys. So I don't know. I tweeted this out,

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Speaker 1: non zero chance that we just Sion Rodgers in a Packers'

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Speaker 1: uniform for the last time. I think we're expecting him

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Speaker 1: to leave at the end of the season. You're four

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Speaker 1: and eight. You need to see what you have and

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Speaker 1: join the love look pretty good for a few plays tonight,

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Speaker 1: But what do you guys think? Is there any chance

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Speaker 1: of that? Or am I just creating storylines here?

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Speaker 4: Let me ask you this, because you had a look

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Speaker 4: ahead spot over in the action app you had Green

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Speaker 4: Bay at minus two and a half at Chicago. Now

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Speaker 4: FanDuel Sportsbook has it too. I ask you, this, is

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Speaker 4: that with Rogers baked in as the starting quarterback? Because

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Speaker 4: you don't know what fields is Jordan Love the whatever

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Speaker 4: the Bears put out there, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I'm just asking, Yeah, I'm trying to figure that out. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: I would have the whole play was Aaron Rodgers in Chicago.

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Speaker 1: We remember the last time you played, I own you

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Speaker 1: and he does. There's all sorts of trends you like

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Speaker 1: with Rodgers and the Bears, so obviously you like it

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Speaker 1: less with Jordan Love, Like, let's just be real about that.

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Speaker 1: But I think if you're the books and you have

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Speaker 1: to set a line and open it, it feels right now,

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Speaker 1: if you had to say which quarterback is more likely

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Speaker 1: to play, Rogers or Fields, it feels like Rogers is

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Speaker 1: the more likely quarterback to play. And frankly, right now,

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Speaker 1: the way Fields has been playing and the way Rodger

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Speaker 1: has been playing, I'm not sure which one of them

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Speaker 1: should be worth more to the spread, Like it's Rogers,

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Speaker 1: but it's closer than it really ought to be, So

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Speaker 1: I think that that's probably a bit of a hedge.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, it's it's certainly not a bet that I

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Speaker 1: would advise you to make right now. I would just

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Speaker 1: hold off and wait until we see what happens with

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Speaker 1: the quarterbacks. There.

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Speaker 2: The only thing I would just point out with Aaron Rodgers,

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Speaker 2: I'm not one convinced that he won't be back next

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Speaker 2: year just because the Packers would have a huge cap

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Speaker 2: hit if they just let him walk, even as part

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Speaker 2: of the trade, so I think they're stuck with it

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Speaker 2: at least.

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Speaker 1: Just for one more year.

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Speaker 2: But after that, yeah, you're starting to see the wheels

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Speaker 2: fall off there.

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Speaker 1: But one more thing about this game too, It feels like, Okay,

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Speaker 1: well the Eagle has just rolled and the Packers got

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Speaker 1: you know, they kept it close. Good for them, but

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Speaker 1: Eagles had this I'll say, though Packers averaged seven yards

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Speaker 1: of play in this game, the Packer's defense was the problem.

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Speaker 1: But I'm not feeling great about the Eagles defense here.

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Speaker 1: It's been regressing some in recent weeks. Not feeling great

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Speaker 1: about the Eagles passing offense either. That hasn't been a

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Speaker 1: strong lately. Tonight it didn't really matter. Maybe that's all

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Speaker 1: it was is they could just run the ball for

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Speaker 1: ten yards of pop every time. But really the Eagles

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Speaker 1: third down defense got them off the field. But Philadelphia,

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Speaker 1: as much as they were running this game, they should

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Speaker 1: have been able to really win by a lot more

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Speaker 1: than seven here and put this away. So I think

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Speaker 1: this is disguising a little bit that mid season not slump.

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Speaker 1: We can't say because the Eagles only lost once, but

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Speaker 1: it does feel like this team is not quite what

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Speaker 1: it was earlier in the year, and another injury to

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Speaker 1: a safety. They're unlike, there's six safety back there. So

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Speaker 1: there are some problems starting to mount for this team.

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Speaker 4: It feels a little bit like Buffalo, and we'll get

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Speaker 4: to the Bills later, the NFC version of Buffalo in

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Speaker 4: terms of what you look like early on, and it's like, okay,

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Speaker 4: there are some cracks. Let's get to some other games

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Speaker 4: from today, and we will go to Seattle Island. Brandon

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Speaker 4: has made his way home from Seattle Island. It was

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Speaker 4: not a pleasant Sunday trip. Hopefully the other days you

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Speaker 4: were there on the island, you had a great time

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Speaker 4: leading up to the game. But the Raiders winning overtime

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Speaker 4: forty thirty four. They were an underdog in this game.

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Speaker 4: They covered the three and a half points. What was

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Speaker 4: your takeaway?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the takeaway is Josh Jacobs. Josh Jacobs had a

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Speaker 1: monster game and obviously was the guy that goes eighty

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Speaker 1: six yards to the house in overtime. Then this game

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Speaker 1: on a walk off or a forced gump off, like

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Speaker 1: he's just running straight out the stadium, still to glory.

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Speaker 1: So thirty three carries two hundred and twenty nine yards

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Speaker 1: and two scores on the flip side Kenneth Walker. He

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Speaker 1: had two touchdowns also, but only fourteen carries for twenty

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Speaker 1: six yards. And I think that was the big difference

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Speaker 1: here is that the Raiders got what they wanted on

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Speaker 1: the ground. Seahawks, they couldn't run the ball, and they

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Speaker 1: were very committed to running. They're trying to do a

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Speaker 1: balance offense. The Raiders pass defense is not very good

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Speaker 1: and wasn't holding up all that great, but they got

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Speaker 1: a few stops on third down and they were really

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Speaker 1: just bottling up Walker early on. So the seattlefelt like

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Speaker 1: really gave this one away. They had two field goals

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Speaker 1: they kicked when they made it to the red zone.

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Speaker 1: They had a fumble at the twenty three in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter. They get the ball back in overtime at

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Speaker 1: basically the fifty. All you have to do is get

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Speaker 1: a first down or two and kick the field goal

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Speaker 1: for the win. They got nothing out of it. And

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Speaker 1: don't forget early in the game, Derek Carr interception first

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Speaker 1: play of the game. We get a seven to nothing

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Speaker 1: gifted lead to Seattle. Another interception first ten minutes of

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Speaker 1: the game. Seattle Island, you failed me this week that

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Speaker 1: this was just a game that Seattle should have had.

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Speaker 1: And the Raiders put up something like five hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty yards or like some absurd number in this game.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, five hundred and seventy six yards. Seattle's defense

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Speaker 1: early bad, then they started to get better. Might be

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Speaker 1: going back the wrong way this time third down regression.

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Speaker 1: It's getting close, guys. It might be time to abandon

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Speaker 1: Seattle Island soon. They are out of the playoffs right

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Speaker 1: now if it started today. So not a good loss

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Speaker 1: for Seattle.

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Speaker 4: No, they are the number eight seed at the moment

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Speaker 4: in the NFC with Washington in front, and Jill and

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Speaker 4: I were talking about that before he came on. Brandon

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Speaker 4: just how their path kind of it's very thin as

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Speaker 4: far as how they could carve away through the NFC.

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Speaker 4: Let's go to our friend Cliff Kingsbury and the Arizona Cardinals.

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Speaker 4: So Brandon Staley goes for two, they win the game.

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Speaker 4: Eckler catches the touchdown for the Chargers. They win outright,

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Speaker 4: they win twenty five to twenty four. The Cardinals do

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Speaker 4: cover though, So a good job, Cliff. You covered at home.

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Speaker 4: Normally you cover on the road. You never cover at home.

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Speaker 4: So Cliff Kingsbury with the victory against the spread, who typically,

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Speaker 4: by the way, after week eight is brutal our own.

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Speaker 4: Evan Abrams has this record here eleven twenty and two

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Speaker 4: against the spread post week eight for Cliff in his

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Speaker 4: NFL career. But Jill, he gets there and then the

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Speaker 4: Chargers they bury him and go for two and they

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Speaker 4: win the game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Are there two coaches that you just do not trust

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Speaker 2: more in the NFL than these two guys? Like just

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Speaker 2: where the clock management? Just like what you're just the

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Speaker 2: randomness that comes with these two coaches and just how

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Speaker 2: some games they look so prepared and it's like, Wow,

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Speaker 2: they really got up for this team, and then other

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Speaker 2: times they don't even belong on the sideline and you

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Speaker 2: live by the Staly you died by the stay, like

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Speaker 2: he goes for two instead of ot If the Chargers busted,

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Speaker 2: we can't wait to say what a bad decision it was.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I still feel like they got kind of

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Speaker 2: lucky with Gerald Everett there, even though they have been

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Speaker 2: getting diced up by tight ends pretty much all year.

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Speaker 2: But I just thought it was a pretty bold move.

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Speaker 2: Usually it's the Chargers chargering, like they go for two

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Speaker 2: in this spot and then you know it's classic, just

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Speaker 2: what kind of play call was that move? And you know,

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Speaker 2: I kind of feel bad for underbedters because by them

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Speaker 2: going for two and you know, the lower probability of

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Speaker 2: that hitting, you know, that sealed the over forty eight

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Speaker 2: and a half in that game, you know, So, I

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Speaker 2: mean it probably would have went over to if they

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Speaker 2: just kicked the extra point and went to overtime. But

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Speaker 2: I know the underbetters that that was their last prayer

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Speaker 2: and you know that obviously didn't show up for them.

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Speaker 2: But the Chargers have now trailed by double digits in

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Speaker 2: each of their last four wins, and the fact that

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Speaker 2: they're still able to kind of come back and win

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Speaker 2: that just shows maybe a little bit of what their

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Speaker 2: offense is still capable of, even though they just have

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Speaker 2: been in and out of the infirmary all year with

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Speaker 2: a lot of their skill players. But yeah, from an

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Speaker 2: Arizona standpoint, it was the James Conner Show, and I

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Speaker 2: actually had to look it up.

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Speaker 1: They said it on the broadcast, first one hundred yard

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Speaker 1: rushing game in his time with the Cardinals, and if

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Speaker 1: you think about just how successful he was last year

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Speaker 1: getting into the end zone never had a hundred yard game,

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Speaker 1: and they needed it because Kyler was just awful on

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Speaker 1: third down for at a lot of times in that game.

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Speaker 1: You see seven to thirteen on third down.

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Speaker 2: A lot of that was James Connor and it wasn't

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Speaker 2: really Kyler.

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Speaker 1: Putting them positions to succeed.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he kind of said the scheme was shit,

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Speaker 2: you know what I mean, and a press conference after

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Speaker 2: the game, like, I don't.

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Speaker 1: That's a pretty bad indictment, you know.

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Speaker 2: So I think at this point, guys, just kind of

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Speaker 2: what we just talked about there, I think we could

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Speaker 2: just pretty much write off Arizona now at four and eight.

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Speaker 2: I think at this point I don't even want to

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Speaker 2: talk about them in any kind of contention forum for NFC.

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Speaker 4: Futures, Fortnite downloads, and hard knocks, that is the topic

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Speaker 4: topics of conversation now. By the way, also a good

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Speaker 4: note on Justin Herbert. That was just his third win

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Speaker 4: the Chargers and Justin Herbert their third win against the

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Speaker 4: spread in the second half this year. They're now three

284
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Speaker 4: to eight against the spread in the second half. Herbert

285
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Speaker 4: entered this week eleven twenty nine to two in his

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Speaker 4: career against the second half spread. Least profitable quarterback since

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Speaker 4: he was drafted, so since he was drafted, worse than

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Speaker 4: the league, so that's a rit. To Jill's point, the

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Speaker 4: Chargers did not charger themselves at the end. Baltimore and Jacksonville,

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Speaker 4: this was a phenomenal finish. Trevor Lawrence displaying Brandon number

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Speaker 4: one pick in the draft kind of stuff there at

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Speaker 4: the end. Did not play well early, but Jacksonville comes

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Speaker 4: in here, they get the win, speak of going for

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Speaker 4: two and winning the game. They win the game at

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Speaker 4: the end by going for two. Doug Peterson likes this trick,

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Speaker 4: and they get the victory and they hand the Ravens

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Speaker 4: another meltdown loss.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Man, the Ravens absolutely gave this game away. And

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Speaker 1: this one's stun because I was on the Ravens on

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Speaker 1: the look ahead here I talked about how ridiculous I

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Speaker 1: thought this line was. To be fair, Ronnie Stanley, the

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Speaker 1: left tackle went out last Sunday. I liked it a

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Speaker 1: little less as the week went on, but I still

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Speaker 1: liked it at three and a half for sure, And really,

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Speaker 1: Baltimore should have won. I should have covered this game.

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Speaker 1: They should have put this game away any number of times.

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Speaker 1: They're up nine with six minutes left, they give up

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Speaker 1: a touchdown, and on the following play, first play the drive,

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Speaker 1: they fumble get a field goal, so now they're down one. Nevertheless,

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Speaker 1: they come back. They get the bomb to DeShawn Jackson,

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Speaker 1: score a touchdown, get the two. You're up seven again

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Speaker 1: under a minute left, and then Trevor Lawrence has, you know,

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Speaker 1: the best drive of his career so far. To hand

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Speaker 1: it to them, made some amazing throws on that drive.

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Speaker 1: And then I think they got a little bit fortunate there.

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Speaker 1: I think we got the review at the end, gave

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Speaker 1: them a little bit of time to decide, you know what,

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Speaker 1: let's go ahead and go for two for the win,

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Speaker 1: and they got it there. So Baltimore, to me, this

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Speaker 1: felt like a game where the Ravens came in thinking,

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Speaker 1: we got this. This is easy, a piece of cake.

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Speaker 1: We don't have to really show our cards too much.

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Speaker 1: Let's just finish the job and get out of here

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Speaker 1: with the win. They settled for field goals from the twelve,

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Speaker 1: the ten, and the six. That is not Baltimore football.

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Speaker 1: John Harbaugh normally is very aggressive on these, and you

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Speaker 1: have what's usually this great running attack wasn't that great today?

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Speaker 1: So I mean, look, that's a lot of points you're

329
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Speaker 1: leaving on the table there. What was wild is the

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Speaker 1: game finishes. They get the ball back one more time,

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Speaker 1: throw a twelve yard pass and trot Justin Tucker on

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Speaker 1: for the sixty seven yard field goal that, let's be honest,

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Speaker 1: we all thought was good. It up his foot and

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Speaker 1: we're like, oh, well, Justin Tucker has done it again.

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Speaker 1: And you know, I think it wasn't ashually as close

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Speaker 1: as it looked from the fire angle. I think it

337
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Speaker 1: balanced like halfway to the end zone. But this dude's

338
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Speaker 1: gonna be in the Hall of Fame someday before that kick,

339
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Speaker 1: And this is gonna be honest plaque sixty five straight

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Speaker 1: FUEHLD goals made in the fourth quarter or overtime. That's

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Speaker 1: the one that broke the streak. But that is the

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Speaker 1: asterisk to end all asterisk that the potential game winner

343
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Speaker 1: NFL record fell a couple of yards short there. So

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Speaker 1: it's a bad loss for the Ravens. Jaguars first win

345
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Speaker 1: in twenty six years when they trailed by seven or

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Speaker 1: more in the last two minutes, last one against the

347
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Speaker 1: Ravens nineteen ninety six, because of course that's how those

348
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Speaker 1: stats outs work. So Baltimore's offense just not good enough lately.

349
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Speaker 1: To a five in the red zone, two turnovers, Ravens

350
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Speaker 1: had nine drives where they got to at least their

351
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Speaker 1: forty seven. They got twenty seven points out of it.

352
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Speaker 1: It's not good enough. They gotta find ways to convert

353
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Speaker 1: a little better. And uh, it's just Samara Jackson that's

354
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Speaker 1: not been enough lately.

355
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Speaker 4: Yeah, they're hot. Streak against the first half to the

356
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Speaker 4: first half, number came to a close. Jacksonville hung around.

357
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Speaker 4: It was ten to nine at recess.

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Speaker 1: Jill.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And I was just going to say this game

360
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Speaker 2: was one of those kind of games that is just

361
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Speaker 2: a full on trend buster, Like you like Evan Abras.

362
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Speaker 2: We use a lot of his stuff from Action Network.

363
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Speaker 2: He puts together a weekly betting primer for us, a

364
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Speaker 2: lot of his stuff that shows very convincing trends that

365
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Speaker 2: a lot of it will point to stuff just based

366
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Speaker 2: on data that he collects, and a lot of it

367
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Speaker 2: is over sixty percent hit rates. And they all went

368
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Speaker 2: down Jags on long rest, you know, the Ravens first half,

369
00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:43,360
Speaker 2: Ravens off a bye, you know, all these different ones

370
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Speaker 2: that you could find, So it was just kind of

371
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Speaker 2: weird to see how that happened and how that kind

372
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Speaker 2: of collapsed there at the end. So especially with the

373
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Speaker 2: Ravens being one of the most bet sides this week, well.

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Speaker 4: There you go, and a lot of folks at Action

375
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Speaker 4: were on the other side. So that's how it goes.

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Speaker 4: It's a great way of putting it. Okay, let's go

377
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Speaker 4: to the frozen pizza. If you're new to the program,

378
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Speaker 4: we just kind of take these games and we whip

379
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,800
Speaker 4: them together. It's something to eat. It's really if you

380
00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:09,159
Speaker 4: run out of the Thanksgiving food, if you went somewhere

381
00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:12,160
Speaker 4: for Thanksgiving like Seattle Island or to a relative's home

382
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,320
Speaker 4: and you need something to eat quick, let's just cook

383
00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:16,480
Speaker 4: up a frozen pizza. We'll call it a day and

384
00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:19,080
Speaker 4: we'll move on to the next meal tomorrow. Not delivery.

385
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Speaker 1: And it's not exactly pizza either.

386
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Speaker 4: It's almost pizza. It's very nearly pizza, but not quite pizza.

387
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Speaker 2: That's practically pizza in every way except for a few

388
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Speaker 2: key ones come.

389
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Speaker 4: On DIGE like Cincinnati and Tennessee. Good matchup on paper.

390
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:34,920
Speaker 4: A lot of field goals in this game too. Derek

391
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 4: Henry had a hell of a play off a catch

392
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:42,920
Speaker 4: which then it got knocked away and the receiver drawing

393
00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:46,280
Speaker 4: a blake on his names Burks. Burks picks it up

394
00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:50,520
Speaker 4: and scores a touchdown. Bengals win Brandon twenty to sixteen.

395
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Speaker 4: This was a pick them by kickoff and they covered

396
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Speaker 4: whatever the number you got, one one and a half.

397
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Speaker 1: Yeah, this felt extremely like the opening playoff game. Like,

398
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Speaker 1: you know, it's Saturday day and that was that was

399
00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:04,520
Speaker 1: an AFC game. It's like the Bengals somebody or used

400
00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:07,640
Speaker 1: to be the Colt somebody or the Texans whoever they

401
00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:10,080
Speaker 1: were playing, Like whoever that first game is that the

402
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,120
Speaker 1: networks are like, well, I mean, they're gonna watch because

403
00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:15,920
Speaker 1: it's the playoffs, so let's put this one first. They'll

404
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:18,920
Speaker 1: watch that. That was the Bengals Titans game today. It's

405
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Speaker 1: it was the one game of the day with both

406
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Speaker 1: teams above five hundred in the playoffs. You know, it's

407
00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:27,199
Speaker 1: a good game, it's it's a close game. It just

408
00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:29,119
Speaker 1: wasn't really a fun game. There's not a lot to

409
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,240
Speaker 1: say about it. So that's why you buried it down here.

410
00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:34,320
Speaker 1: Two key stats for me in this one, Derrick Henry.

411
00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 1: You mentioned the long catch, but only seventeen rushes for

412
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:41,160
Speaker 1: thirty eight yards on the ground. So Bengals DJ Reider

413
00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:43,879
Speaker 1: is back now. That run defense was stout. And then

414
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:45,560
Speaker 1: the biggest stat of the game for me is this

415
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:49,600
Speaker 1: Titans all of three in the red zone. This is

416
00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:52,560
Speaker 1: a historically great red zone offense. You get in the

417
00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:54,560
Speaker 1: red zone, Derrick Henry puts it in the in the

418
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:57,240
Speaker 1: end zone. That's it. That's what they've done all season long.

419
00:19:58,119 --> 00:19:59,840
Speaker 1: The Bengals stopped them all three times, held them the

420
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:02,160
Speaker 1: field goals and another one at the twenty I believe

421
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:04,720
Speaker 1: as well. So that's the difference here. You can really

422
00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 1: win one of those to a touchdown. We're at a

423
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,920
Speaker 1: tight game and see what happens from there. So I

424
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Speaker 1: think that was the key. Bengals have now covered eighteen

425
00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:14,640
Speaker 1: out of their last twenty second half against the spread.

426
00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:17,480
Speaker 1: Titans only three and eight ats in the second half

427
00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:17,920
Speaker 1: this year.

428
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Speaker 4: Jill I got a whiff of the Niners feeling really

429
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,480
Speaker 4: good about that win in Mexico City. I think hearing that,

430
00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 4: you know, the bulletin boar material, everyone's out talking about them.

431
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:30,479
Speaker 4: They're the biggest threat to Philadelphia or the Vikings and

432
00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:34,040
Speaker 4: they win thirteen to nothing. The Saints give you nothing

433
00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:36,800
Speaker 4: to see on offense. The Niners just kind of took

434
00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:38,560
Speaker 4: care of business. They did cover the spread eight and

435
00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:38,880
Speaker 4: a half.

436
00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:41,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Saints offense, man, they fucking stink.

437
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,719
Speaker 2: Like the album Kamara fumble at the end of that

438
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:50,679
Speaker 2: game just epitomized everything about this game, like struggling for

439
00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:54,199
Speaker 2: more yards, Niners strip them right at the goal line

440
00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 2: and we're seeing like a twelve nothing, thirteen to nothing game.

441
00:20:56,760 --> 00:20:59,280
Speaker 1: It's just clown shoes, bs man.

442
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 2: And the reason why I'm annoyed is because I had

443
00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:04,560
Speaker 2: some Saints touchdown scores and the Niners gave them so

444
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 2: many opportunities in the second half.

445
00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:08,240
Speaker 1: They were dying to give this game away. The Saints

446
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 1: defense played.

447
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:12,160
Speaker 2: Pretty well overall, you know, they gave they had three

448
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,320
Speaker 2: red zone trips in the second half, no points for

449
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:17,400
Speaker 2: the Saints. You got the one brain fart interception from

450
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,800
Speaker 2: Jimmy g that you're gonna get per game, you know,

451
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,200
Speaker 2: to kind of save your game here, and they still

452
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,440
Speaker 2: couldn't convert. And it was just really annoying to watch.

453
00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:29,560
Speaker 2: So you didn't miss much other than just the Saints stink.

454
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:35,120
Speaker 4: Speaking of Jill's point about teams that play well off

455
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:40,119
Speaker 4: the by and trends from Evan Abrams, well, Tampa Bay

456
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:43,639
Speaker 4: fits that same criteria to Jill's point, which is it

457
00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:47,000
Speaker 4: doesn't always necessarily deliver at a high hit rate. And

458
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:50,240
Speaker 4: that's Tom Brady off of Bye Brandon And it looked

459
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:52,399
Speaker 4: okay at first they responded to scored the touchdown of

460
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 4: the tie the game with Chris Godwin defensively, it felt

461
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:57,520
Speaker 4: like they had it going there. Then they allow a

462
00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 4: fourth and ten freaking touch Jill, I want to swear

463
00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:02,600
Speaker 4: now too, because I mean, I'm a Brady No, no,

464
00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:09,199
Speaker 4: what the fuck? Like it's right there. They close the

465
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,480
Speaker 4: game out and they allow a fourth and ten touchdown

466
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:15,120
Speaker 4: and it goes to overtime, and of course Tampa doesn't

467
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,200
Speaker 4: find a way to score in Cleveland wins the game outright.

468
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 1: And they Tampa has the last couple of years, they've

469
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:22,800
Speaker 1: been a team that came out of the bye a

470
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,119
Speaker 1: week and closed the season out well. So I was

471
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,359
Speaker 1: one of those people back in the trends. I thought

472
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,920
Speaker 1: this was a great spot to say, Okay, you made

473
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 1: it through the early slog. Tom Brady got some rest,

474
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 1: you're home from Germany, get a little time with the line.

475
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 1: The receivers are getting healthy, the defense is getting healthy.

476
00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:42,320
Speaker 1: Let's see what you can do. Well. If that's what

477
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 1: they can do, then it's not great for this team.

478
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,480
Speaker 1: They failed to score the last thirty three minutes of

479
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,560
Speaker 1: the game against a defense that is not good. They're

480
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:54,359
Speaker 1: four to fifteen on third down. Kristin Wurf's got carted

481
00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 1: off in overtime. That could be a really big loss

482
00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,639
Speaker 1: for them. That's that's the penalty of giving up. Not

483
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,160
Speaker 1: only like you said that fourth and ten, not only

484
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,359
Speaker 1: do you go to overtime and lose, might have cost

485
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 1: you Tristan Wurfs here your best offensive lignment. So that's

486
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:11,680
Speaker 1: big as well. First time ever Tom Brady is under

487
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:15,000
Speaker 1: five hundred entering December. The last time he was under

488
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 1: five hundred, even in November, was two thousand and two.

489
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:22,879
Speaker 1: So yeah, the men can play some football. But Tampa

490
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 1: Bay five and six division leading, we'll see, we'll come

491
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 1: back to that. They host the New Orleans Saints on

492
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:34,080
Speaker 1: Monday night next weekend. You may recall the Saints have

493
00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:36,280
Speaker 1: given the Bucks some problems in recent years, and by

494
00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:38,639
Speaker 1: the way, that entire division is sitting on five or

495
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 1: four wins now, so we'll see Tom might be along.

496
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:44,879
Speaker 4: For the ride here down the stretch and they're laying

497
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:48,520
Speaker 4: They're laying five and a half. Yuck. Like that just

498
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:51,200
Speaker 4: tells you, like, what do we do with these two teams?

499
00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:54,000
Speaker 4: To Jill's point about the Saints, they fucking suck. Tampa

500
00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:55,600
Speaker 4: fucking sucks. We don't know what to do with this game.

501
00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:57,400
Speaker 4: We're gonna make it five and a half. We dare

502
00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,879
Speaker 4: you to take the bucks to get their crap together?

503
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:01,960
Speaker 4: How can you at this point, how can you trust

504
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,119
Speaker 4: the Saints do to get their crap together? Oh? That

505
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:07,359
Speaker 4: division's terrible, it really is. Tom Brady so that's his

506
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 4: tenth loss in his career off thirteen days of rest,

507
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:13,639
Speaker 4: and that's not many. And he's ever tied before, and

508
00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 4: he noticed that on the broadcast. I was like, this

509
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:17,359
Speaker 4: Brady ever tied and nope, he has never been at

510
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:19,199
Speaker 4: a tie. So that could have happened, would have been

511
00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 4: better than that. Rams Chiefs next in our list, speaking

512
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:26,239
Speaker 4: of just like how do they get this stuff right?

513
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:28,639
Speaker 4: Chiefs win twenty six to ten. They cover fifteen and

514
00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 4: a half points. Jill, so Vegas was on the money

515
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 4: on this one, and Travis Kelsey, Patrick Mahomes, they got

516
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 4: all these new weapons, Andy REI just knows how to

517
00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:40,439
Speaker 4: piece this thing together, and again just felt like goin

518
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 4: to the handle our business kind of game.

519
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was one of those conspiracy theories like Vegas

520
00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 2: knew like kind of games, which I don't subscribe to.

521
00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 2: But then you see Bryce Perkins throw two late interceptions

522
00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 2: in the second half, they get two field goals as

523
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 2: a result, which puts them up by sixteen, and it

524
00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 2: feels a little convenient anyway. I'm not going to actually

525
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,439
Speaker 2: go down that road. But the one thing that I

526
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:04,720
Speaker 2: did find concerning those six red zone trips for the

527
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 2: Chiefs only one touchdown out of that, it almost kind

528
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 2: of felt like, I don't another conspiracy theory. I don't

529
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 2: know if guys do look ahead games. We do look

530
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:15,560
Speaker 2: ahead lines. I don't know if guys think about look

531
00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 2: ahead games. Because they have the Bengals coming up here

532
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:19,840
Speaker 2: and they knew the Rams kind of were battered. There

533
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,040
Speaker 2: were starting a third string quarterback. I'm not sure if

534
00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:25,359
Speaker 2: they put their best effort out there, but yeah, the

535
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,639
Speaker 2: Rams have now lost five straight first time in then

536
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:30,480
Speaker 2: Sean McVay era, So you know, maybe you might see

537
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:31,639
Speaker 2: your retirement, maybe you might not.

538
00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:32,159
Speaker 1: I don't know.

539
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, you got whacked in the jaw too, do you

540
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:34,560
Speaker 4: guys see that?

541
00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:34,960
Speaker 1: Yeah?

542
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:35,720
Speaker 4: Whack?

543
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 1: Yeah.

544
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 2: Locked.

545
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:39,639
Speaker 4: He said it's been as tough ast year as a coach,

546
00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 4: and then that happened to him, so earned jaw.

547
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 1: Have always seen that coach going to concussion protocol before,

548
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:48,679
Speaker 1: because we if we saw that hit on a player

549
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 1: and we put him in the blue tent. So the

550
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,440
Speaker 1: Chesselo's receiver definitely.

551
00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:56,000
Speaker 4: A good point. It's a good point. We sure McVeigh

552
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:57,600
Speaker 4: wants to go out like this, like I know, he

553
00:25:57,640 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 4: won the title last year, but it looks kind of

554
00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 4: maybe he'll maybe he'll h'll, he'll relish this opportunity, you know.

555
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 4: Oh okay, now I got to skip me back up.

556
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:09,399
Speaker 4: But then again, no draft picks, so good luck with

557
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:10,200
Speaker 4: that man.

558
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:13,160
Speaker 1: Maybe Lanta was the setup. Maybe he's gonna go into

559
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 1: protocol and be out the last couple of months. It's

560
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 1: the perfect crime. Yeah, conspiracy theory as much John.

561
00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:24,160
Speaker 4: McVeigh for a comeback Coach of the Year next year, Atlanta, Washington.

562
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 4: This game bothers me because I took Atlanta in the

563
00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:29,359
Speaker 4: points and like, what are the fel what are the

564
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 4: Falcons doing? Taylor Heinike Brandon is just a covering machine.

565
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 4: This guy can't not cover and not lose. Washington wins

566
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:40,679
Speaker 4: nineteen thirteen. They cover interception in the end zone of

567
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:42,040
Speaker 4: Mariota at the end to seal it.

568
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, this was my one best bet that actually hit

569
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:48,720
Speaker 1: this week. I was on Washington and Boyle, was it undeserved.

570
00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 1: I'm sorry to your Atlanta bet, Brennan, because Atlanta's driving down,

571
00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:55,879
Speaker 1: they're inside the ten. I almost tweeted out only Marcus

572
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:58,480
Speaker 1: Mariota can save us now, and I couldn't get the

573
00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:00,879
Speaker 1: tweet out there in time before where he pulled the

574
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 1: old Russell Wilson and get tipped at the line trying

575
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:07,240
Speaker 1: of throwing the end zone intercepted and then and then

576
00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 1: Washington gets stopped three times. Atlanta used their timeouts. Washington's

577
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:15,639
Speaker 1: gonna kick or pump the ball away and Atlanta runs

578
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:18,720
Speaker 1: into the punter first down, kneel the ball game over.

579
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,639
Speaker 1: This was such an undeserved cover for the Washington side.

580
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 1: But you know what betting is live in Maryland now

581
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:28,400
Speaker 1: in the DMV, A lot of folks probably put their

582
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:32,359
Speaker 1: money on Washington and Baltimore this weekend. They didn't get Baltimore.

583
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:35,720
Speaker 1: You all deserve Washington. So hope you enjoyed the ride

584
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,200
Speaker 1: for those two games. That was. That was quite a time.

585
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,520
Speaker 1: Washington seven and five, very much in the playoff hunt

586
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 1: now and by the way, weird schedule glitch they now

587
00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 1: play the Giants, then a bye week, then the Giants again,

588
00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 1: so we'll see how that goes.

589
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,560
Speaker 4: Taylor heinike eleven two and one against the spread in

590
00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 4: his last fourteen starts, eleven two and one and now

591
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:04,240
Speaker 4: seven zero to one is last eight. It's pretty good, guys,

592
00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,639
Speaker 4: just winning games, even though it doesn't always look very pretty.

593
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:14,440
Speaker 4: Let's go to Houston, Miami Dolphins cover fourteen, fourteen and

594
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:16,480
Speaker 4: a half, whatever you go to that they went thirty

595
00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:19,680
Speaker 4: to fifteen. Jill, this was over really from the beginning.

596
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 4: Miami just put an absolute beating on him. They were

597
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,200
Speaker 4: up shutting them out and then some garbage points for Houston.

598
00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 1: Yeah.

599
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,520
Speaker 2: I mean, I didn't think we could find a worse

600
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:32,240
Speaker 2: quarterback on the roster than Davis Mills, but here we

601
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:35,520
Speaker 2: are with Kyle Allen with two picks, could have had

602
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 2: four Honestly, there was a pick six early that pretty

603
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,760
Speaker 2: much swung the game. Game was over at halftime, Dolphins

604
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:43,880
Speaker 2: led by thirty and had they just kept their foot

605
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:45,320
Speaker 2: on the gas, they probably could have got the over

606
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:48,480
Speaker 2: by themselves. And they do hang on to cover. Got

607
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 2: a little tricky there at the end. But now probably

608
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 2: the quietest eight to three of the week, you know

609
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 2: what I mean, Just like where we're talking about all

610
00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 2: these different wins, the different results. You know, they're second

611
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 2: in the AFC now very comfortab with eight and three.

612
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:04,800
Speaker 4: I'm fascinated by that game next week against San Francis. Wells,

613
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:08,080
Speaker 4: As Brandon pointed out on some of our shows the podcast,

614
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 4: take a look at TUA for MVP because the schedule

615
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:13,280
Speaker 4: really softens, and they just got through that part. Now

616
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 4: the schedule, now here's it. Here's right, here's a legitimate

617
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 4: test at San Francisco and you're three and a half

618
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 4: point underdogs. Makes sense, Chicago and the Jets. This was

619
00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 4: the best part about this game was before the game, Brandon,

620
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:32,479
Speaker 4: if you'd like to.

621
00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:33,040
Speaker 1: Don't steal my thunder. That's the only thing I have

622
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 1: to say about this game, Okay, please go Yeah, justin

623
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,040
Speaker 1: the fields banged up all week, the line starts rising,

624
00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 1: he's out. Then we have the drama Sunday morning. Trevor

625
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:45,440
Speaker 1: Simeon's supposed to start. Oh just wait, Trevor Simeon injures

626
00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 1: himself warming up. Nathan Peterman, the corpse of Nathan Peterman

627
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 1: is back, and betters are running to get their bets

628
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:56,520
Speaker 1: in at any number against the Bears. And then, literally,

629
00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 1: like fifteen minutes before the game, suddenly Chefter tweets out

630
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 1: just kidding, Trevor Simeon might be starting after all. Literally,

631
00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 1: the game starts, the Jets win the coin toss, Mike

632
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,800
Speaker 1: Waite marches right down the field. Another new quarterback by

633
00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 1: the way, Mike White, fantastic eleven yards per attempt in

634
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:16,760
Speaker 1: this game. Not even the story because literally they're marching

635
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 1: on the field, we still know who was playing quarterback

636
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,360
Speaker 1: for the Bears. The game is happening and we don't

637
00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 1: know who's playing. Anyway, it turns out it didn't matter

638
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,840
Speaker 1: because Trevor Simeon and Nathan Peterman and both are awful.

639
00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 1: So Simeon started. I had a Jets three and a

640
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 1: half ticket from early in the week when I thought

641
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:34,719
Speaker 1: this might be going to stretch with the fields and

642
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 1: the Bears come out and get ten points on the

643
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:38,560
Speaker 1: first two dives. I'm like, you have got to be

644
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,920
Speaker 1: kidding me. I'm gonna get the Bears cover on a

645
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 1: Trevor Simeon Nathan Peterman. It didn't happen from there. Jets

646
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:50,760
Speaker 1: thirty one ten. Mike White looked great. Something named Zonovit

647
00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 1: and Night ran for sixty nine yards for the Jets.

648
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 1: Apparently that's their running back now New York. They keep winning,

649
00:30:58,000 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 1: so legit defense too.

650
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,959
Speaker 4: I think, imagine if Mike White played like this and

651
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:04,320
Speaker 4: it was fields on the other side, and the Jets

652
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 4: win this game, don't we look at this a little

653
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 4: bit like it's a kind of a big time win

654
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,920
Speaker 4: if the Jets beat if they hold justin Fields in

655
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,480
Speaker 4: check based on how well he'd been playing before he

656
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 4: had gotten.

657
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:16,000
Speaker 2: Hurt, imagine I think Songland last week.

658
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:19,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, and we'll see with Mike White as well.

659
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:24,040
Speaker 1: Mike White looked fantastic his first full game last year,

660
00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:26,880
Speaker 1: had the big upset win against the Bengals, then played

661
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 1: a couple more games and quickly went back to the bench.

662
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:32,440
Speaker 1: So we'll see Mike White hits the road next week.

663
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:35,520
Speaker 1: Two Minnesota with a little extra rest. So that's a

664
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 1: really interesting one. I really really wanted to get to

665
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 1: Minnesota on my hot read. And you guys know, I

666
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 1: don't trust my Vikings very much. But man, Mike White

667
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 1: Road start only a three point underdog against what a

668
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:50,360
Speaker 1: nine and two Viking side? That seems a bit disrespectful.

669
00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 4: I you know, I missed last week's pod and I'm

670
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 4: just really happy to be back. And we're going to

671
00:31:56,320 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 4: wrap up the frozen Pizza section with the Denver Broncos

672
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 4: using twenty three to ten at Carolina, and I get

673
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 4: to ask Jill Galant what he thinks on a Denver Bronco.

674
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 2: I just have some questions. That's it, no statements, So questions.

675
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 2: First question, can we just ignore the Broncos the rest

676
00:32:18,320 --> 00:32:20,440
Speaker 2: of the season, like we don't even have to recap him, Like,

677
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:23,160
Speaker 2: whatever the result is, they could go into Philly tomorrow

678
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:26,880
Speaker 2: and win, it doesn't matter. So that's to me my answer.

679
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,120
Speaker 2: But again i'll post that question to the general public.

680
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 2: Question number two, how many more weeks is it before

681
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 2: a defensive lineman just punches out Russell Wilson Because it's

682
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:37,040
Speaker 2: getting pretty close. You saw it on the sideline. I

683
00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 2: know blowouts are all different, and you know they happen

684
00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:42,320
Speaker 2: all the time in the NFL, but there's a lot

685
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:45,080
Speaker 2: of vitriol coming from that sideline right now to Russ.

686
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:47,320
Speaker 2: I think people is going to get a little test

687
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:51,760
Speaker 2: here as the season goes on. And finally, can we

688
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,200
Speaker 2: just say that Nathaniel Hackett is probably not going to

689
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:56,800
Speaker 2: be there next year? I think that's a fair assessment,

690
00:32:57,040 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 2: Like I don't know at this point if he's got

691
00:32:58,880 --> 00:32:59,720
Speaker 2: control of this team.

692
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:02,240
Speaker 1: And yeah, I mean other than that.

693
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:05,440
Speaker 2: Patrick certain I don't think should be considered the best

694
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 2: cornerback in the league anymore.

695
00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:08,160
Speaker 1: There we go. I said it.

696
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 4: You know, that whole narrative about the Broncos or that

697
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 4: stat had they scored eighteen points in all of their

698
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 4: games that have a great record. Well now, the last

699
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,280
Speaker 4: two weeks they've allowed twenty two and twenty three, which

700
00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:21,320
Speaker 4: is like for any defense, that's not a bad day.

701
00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:25,120
Speaker 4: But their offense can't score sixteen to Vegas in overtime

702
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:29,440
Speaker 4: last week and ten to the freaking Panthers on the road.

703
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,480
Speaker 4: They go to Baltimore next week, they get Baltimore, Kansas City.

704
00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:34,840
Speaker 4: They still have Kansas City twice yike.

705
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:37,160
Speaker 1: Oh and by the way, Kansas City that first time,

706
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:41,760
Speaker 1: good news, Joe. Sunday Night, we get Broncos in primetime again.

707
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,400
Speaker 1: And then a little gift for you, a little Christmas

708
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 1: gift Christmas Afternoon, Sunday standalone island game Broncos Rams eat

709
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,280
Speaker 1: it up Christmas Afternoon. Watch an NBA during that.

710
00:33:54,240 --> 00:34:06,600
Speaker 3: Oneations I never starting.

711
00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:18,680
Speaker 1: I can't believe you and Chris.

712
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 4: They could flex that game, and they should flex that

713
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 4: game now.

714
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:24,799
Speaker 1: They can flex the Chiefs game out of Sunday Night.

715
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:28,839
Speaker 1: You can't flex the Christmas dates games like that. That

716
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:31,839
Speaker 1: game is going nowhere except on the back burner while

717
00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 1: we're all trying to open the presence and bring some

718
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:34,960
Speaker 1: Megan hog Ye.

719
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 4: Please flex that plase flex the Sunday night game, please please. Okay,

720
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:43,520
Speaker 4: let's go back to Thanksgiving. That was Thursday. But some

721
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:47,160
Speaker 4: big matchups five of the six teams and legitimate playoff discussion.

722
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:50,800
Speaker 4: Sorry Detroit Lions, but I want to get your thoughts

723
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 4: on these games, guys, what it means sort of now,

724
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 4: because we're at a point in the year now where

725
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,279
Speaker 4: we're kind of coming down the stretch. Now there's five

726
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,319
Speaker 4: six games remaining for most of these teams to before

727
00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:04,319
Speaker 4: the playoffs star so Buffalo Detroit Bills win, they don't cover.

728
00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:06,799
Speaker 4: It gets hectic at the end. They need the game

729
00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:09,520
Speaker 4: winning field goals. The Lions cover as a giant dog.

730
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,880
Speaker 4: By the way, for all the games we just recapped,

731
00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:16,080
Speaker 4: there were four teams this week. The Niners, the Chiefs,

732
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:19,800
Speaker 4: the Dolphins, and the Jets all cover a seven point

733
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:22,520
Speaker 4: or more spread, so they cover a touchdown plus spread.

734
00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:24,759
Speaker 4: The Bills and the Giants to play in Thanksgiving did not.

735
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 4: Giants lost. They get the fit back door cover with

736
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:30,320
Speaker 4: the Giants was phenomenal at the end. So the Cowboys

737
00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:32,759
Speaker 4: won twenty eight to twenty. But the Giants get the

738
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:37,719
Speaker 4: ten cover ten points and Patriots Vikings, which was fantastic.

739
00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:39,840
Speaker 4: That was a great game Vikings win. We'll get to

740
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 4: Brandon in a second on that, but we'll start first

741
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:46,840
Speaker 4: with Buffalo Detroit. Jill nice work on the best bet

742
00:35:47,040 --> 00:35:49,120
Speaker 4: under thirty one and a half points.

743
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:53,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it was getting pretty sweaty there at

744
00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:55,359
Speaker 2: the end, because there was quite a few times there

745
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:57,040
Speaker 2: where it felt like the Lions were just going to

746
00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,880
Speaker 2: give up forty to forty five points on this offense.

747
00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:02,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it got really testy there.

748
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:04,879
Speaker 2: I thought we were going to overtime in that game,

749
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,560
Speaker 2: and then you know Stefon Diggs, like just a bullet

750
00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:10,360
Speaker 2: over the middle to step on Diggs. It's like it

751
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:12,440
Speaker 2: feels like a lifetime ago now compared to what we

752
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 2: just saw today. But yeah, I mean the Bills are

753
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:17,760
Speaker 2: sitting at eight and three. They've still got that matchup

754
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:20,160
Speaker 2: again with the Dolphins before the end of the season

755
00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 2: that probably will decide the AFC East at this stage,

756
00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:26,319
Speaker 2: but right now they're sitting as a wildcard team behind

757
00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:27,520
Speaker 2: the Dolphins in the AFC.

758
00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:33,640
Speaker 4: How about you Brandon about this game Bills and Lions.

759
00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:36,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, starting to feel like more of the same here

760
00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 1: at Josh Allen, another backbreaking interception in the red zone,

761
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 1: Like how many of these can this guy have in

762
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:45,400
Speaker 1: one season? Eleven picks? Now, hey, look at the end

763
00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:48,880
Speaker 1: of the game, Josh Allen is the MVP. One player

764
00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 1: right down the middle of bam field goal run a

765
00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 1: couple more times, get out of here with the way

766
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:55,080
Speaker 1: and you stole it. But you only had to steal

767
00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:57,880
Speaker 1: it because you gave the red zone interception a la earlier.

768
00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:01,319
Speaker 1: Like you can be the MVP and LVP apparently all

769
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:03,400
Speaker 1: in one, and that's kind of what the Josh Allen

770
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:06,319
Speaker 1: package has been for the last month. I think too.

771
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:09,720
Speaker 1: The other thing is sometimes it's just not your season,

772
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 1: and I have to say I'm starting to wonder if

773
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:15,520
Speaker 1: that's the case with the Bills health wise. They finally

774
00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:19,080
Speaker 1: get Tredavius White back finally after he was week to

775
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:22,200
Speaker 1: week for the entire season, and now Von Miller goes

776
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:24,520
Speaker 1: out and it looks pretty bad. We'll see how long

777
00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:26,600
Speaker 1: it is. I don't think it's season ending, but it's

778
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 1: going to be some time. That's a huge loss. He

779
00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:32,360
Speaker 1: has really changed their pass rush this year, and I

780
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 1: don't know, man the Bills. They continue to start slow.

781
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:37,560
Speaker 1: They're not to get first quarter team. They're kind of

782
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:40,680
Speaker 1: relying on that Josh Allen heroic to come through, and

783
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:44,480
Speaker 1: it certainly can. But no one would be surprised to

784
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:46,880
Speaker 1: see them win four games and win a super Bowl.

785
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:49,279
Speaker 1: But can they do it four in a row? Can

786
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 1: they actually not have the one backbreaking mistake or the

787
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:55,440
Speaker 1: low point. That's the thing that we're starting to get

788
00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:56,399
Speaker 1: a little worried about here.

789
00:37:57,040 --> 00:37:59,440
Speaker 4: They have the weapons, but they're like the Ravens in

790
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,960
Speaker 4: a way where they rely so much on Lamar to

791
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,200
Speaker 4: bail them out, and Lamar does not have the weapons

792
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:09,600
Speaker 4: anywhere close to Josh Allen. But it's so individually driven.

793
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 4: It feels like how they scheme it up that, Yeah,

794
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:14,880
Speaker 4: at some point you can win some games and have

795
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:17,560
Speaker 4: some firework performances, but is that going to take you

796
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:20,040
Speaker 4: to the promised Land. I'm not too sure. Jill will

797
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:22,680
Speaker 4: spend a moment here. So, as I mentioned, the Cowboys won,

798
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:26,200
Speaker 4: they didn't cover, but you have to be encouraged with

799
00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:29,760
Speaker 4: the explosiveness of this offense. They went down in this game,

800
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:33,600
Speaker 4: and they responded well to adversity in this game at least.

801
00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:37,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Steedee Lamb was unstoppable pretty much. He

802
00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:38,920
Speaker 2: didn't get into the end zone, but he set up

803
00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:41,359
Speaker 2: pretty much three of those scores for them. I mean

804
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:44,160
Speaker 2: the Giants scored with eight seconds left like a touchdown.

805
00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 2: Like the game was not as close as the final

806
00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:50,359
Speaker 2: score indicated. Zeke Elliott owns the Giants though, like he

807
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:52,960
Speaker 2: now has a touchdown on them in nine of twelve

808
00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:55,319
Speaker 2: games in his career, So just kind of keep that

809
00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 2: in mind, you know, as going forward as a touchdown better.

810
00:38:58,239 --> 00:38:59,319
Speaker 1: But looking kind of.

811
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:02,400
Speaker 2: At the Cowboys now more from their POV instead of

812
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:03,280
Speaker 2: kind of the Giants.

813
00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 1: You know, Cowboys got a little bit of an easy schedule.

814
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:08,919
Speaker 2: I don't want to call it easy, because no, there's

815
00:39:08,920 --> 00:39:11,600
Speaker 2: no real easy games in the NFL, especially with the Cowboys.

816
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:13,960
Speaker 2: They kind of played outnder their competition. But you know,

817
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:16,480
Speaker 2: you got the Colts, Texans and Jags portion of your

818
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:17,359
Speaker 2: schedule coming up.

819
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:20,440
Speaker 1: If you can kind of take care of business in

820
00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:22,799
Speaker 1: that sets up a nice little showdown for Christmas Eve

821
00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:23,600
Speaker 1: with the Eagles.

822
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:26,360
Speaker 2: But again, you still need some luck, you know, for

823
00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:28,560
Speaker 2: the Eagles to maybe drop one along the way just

824
00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:31,279
Speaker 2: to put you in a position. So I almost kind

825
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:33,600
Speaker 2: of feel like the Cowboys. I don't want to say

826
00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 2: they can go and cruise control you know, the rest

827
00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:37,560
Speaker 2: of the season. But at the same time, the way

828
00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:41,480
Speaker 2: that the NFC is played out right now, that they

829
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 2: could probably win two or three more games at most

830
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:45,560
Speaker 2: and still make a wildcard, and they're probably not going

831
00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:47,240
Speaker 2: to be able to catch the Eagles in the division.

832
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:51,080
Speaker 4: So crazy to think back now when Cooper Rush was starting,

833
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:55,360
Speaker 4: you're getting a touchdown on the line, or even like

834
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 4: when they played against the Bengals, right, you're getting a

835
00:39:57,600 --> 00:40:01,759
Speaker 4: touchdown now these next three. Dallas is probably favored by

836
00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:03,960
Speaker 4: at least a touchdown in all three of these games.

837
00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:07,160
Speaker 4: Maybe Jacksonville if they like going a little run, we'll see,

838
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:11,760
Speaker 4: could be close, but just about like a touchdown or so.

839
00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:14,359
Speaker 4: So Indianapolis is getting nine and a half points. That's

840
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,239
Speaker 4: for next week. They play play Monday Night, which we'll

841
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:19,360
Speaker 4: get to Monday Night in the second Brandon, finally your Vikings,

842
00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:21,400
Speaker 4: see you look at this. Your team's one Thursday. This

843
00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:24,319
Speaker 4: is great. My Patriots didn't win. They were don't even

844
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:27,160
Speaker 4: get me started on that. Never mind Tampa in New England.

845
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:31,840
Speaker 4: But anyway, Vikings win, they cover the spread. This game

846
00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 4: I felt was a seven point finish, but this was

847
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 4: pretty close all the way through. It's a great game.

848
00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:41,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, primetime Kirk actually came through for once. The Vikings

849
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:43,600
Speaker 1: scored ten on answer in the fourth cour to come

850
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:48,319
Speaker 1: back another big justin Jefferson game, Kirk Cousins five point

851
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:50,719
Speaker 1: six averaged up the target And normally we'd make fun

852
00:40:50,719 --> 00:40:52,520
Speaker 1: of the quarterback. What do you do in like, let's

853
00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:55,279
Speaker 1: get them passes down the field. I think that was

854
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,399
Speaker 1: schematic this gaming that was on purpose. New England's pass

855
00:40:58,520 --> 00:41:00,680
Speaker 1: rush wasn't quite getting to him because getting the ball

856
00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:03,080
Speaker 1: out fast, getting it to the weapons, get all those

857
00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 1: Minnesota weapons. Let's just let Cook and Jefferson feel And

858
00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:09,719
Speaker 1: now Hawkinson has really settled in nicely. I think that's

859
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 1: the right thing here. Her cousins, we know he's accurate.

860
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 1: We know that's the thing he can do. Just get

861
00:41:15,680 --> 00:41:19,480
Speaker 1: it accurately to these other talented playmakers and let them

862
00:41:19,480 --> 00:41:22,799
Speaker 1: do their thing. Vikings give up seven and a half

863
00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:24,759
Speaker 1: yards of play to the Patriots, though, to a team

864
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 1: that was dead last in DVA offensively for the last

865
00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:31,360
Speaker 1: few games. MATC. Jones lit them up ten yards per attempt.

866
00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:34,920
Speaker 1: Not great for the Vikings defense here. So I don't

867
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:37,080
Speaker 1: think you get too excited about a Minnesota win. But

868
00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:39,040
Speaker 1: we've been saying that all year and they just keep

869
00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:43,200
Speaker 1: on winning. Brennan to your Patriots, the Vikings got five

870
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:46,520
Speaker 1: first downs on penalties. It felt like it they got

871
00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:49,360
Speaker 1: every call in that game. Like I got a little

872
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:52,480
Speaker 1: thanksgiving gift from the gods on that one, because definitely

873
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 1: that helped it over the line. But Minnesota, Buffalo Dallas,

874
00:41:57,040 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 1: New England was the three game stretch. They just had

875
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:02,480
Speaker 1: argue with two and one. The one boy, the one

876
00:42:02,600 --> 00:42:04,799
Speaker 1: was really bad, but you can't argue with two and

877
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 1: one against Bill's Cowboys Patriots. So yeah, I feel pretty good,

878
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:09,200
Speaker 1: no question.

879
00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:12,000
Speaker 4: So we are two thirds of the way through the season,

880
00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:15,480
Speaker 4: because we're twelve weeks in and like we mentioned, playoff

881
00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:19,279
Speaker 4: picture is coming. It's starting to come to light here.

882
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:20,799
Speaker 4: We're starting to figure out like what this is going

883
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:24,799
Speaker 4: to look like we think, I mean, Brandon, I'll go

884
00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:27,799
Speaker 4: to you first, then Jill, Just big picture thoughts now

885
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:29,680
Speaker 4: with this week kind of in the rear you hear

886
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:33,200
Speaker 4: you hear it all the time after Thanksgiving or on

887
00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:35,880
Speaker 4: or post Thanksgiving. That's when the season kind of really

888
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:38,120
Speaker 4: begins for like the teams that are in it. But

889
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:42,360
Speaker 4: what comes to mind big picture thoughts, maybe some actionable

890
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:44,920
Speaker 4: things that you're looking at now that we know what

891
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:46,400
Speaker 4: we know through two thirds of the season.

892
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:48,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll just give you three quick hitters here. So

893
00:42:49,160 --> 00:42:53,080
Speaker 1: NFC playoffs we got Seattle the Giants and Washington three

894
00:42:53,160 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 1: teams for two spots. Really and Washington the Giants we

895
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,160
Speaker 1: just said they play each other two times the next

896
00:42:59,200 --> 00:43:02,120
Speaker 1: three weeks. They've got tough schedules both of them coming up,

897
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:05,959
Speaker 1: so they're gonna kind of cannibalize each other. Seattle still

898
00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:08,840
Speaker 1: plays the Rams twice, and they really luck into The

899
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,760
Speaker 1: Rams were bad before, but boy, they're really bad now

900
00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:14,480
Speaker 1: that we don't know if Stafford will play again, Cooper

901
00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:17,000
Speaker 1: Cup is out, Allen Robinson is now out. I'm not

902
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,680
Speaker 1: sure if that even counts as a loss. But Seattle

903
00:43:19,760 --> 00:43:22,319
Speaker 1: has a pretty good path here with their schedule, so

904
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:25,440
Speaker 1: I like them for the playoffs. Talked about the Buccaneers

905
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:29,239
Speaker 1: Division that somebody has to win a division. I got

906
00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:31,200
Speaker 1: my eye on the Saints. We know how the Saints

907
00:43:31,239 --> 00:43:33,720
Speaker 1: have matched up against the Bucks. They played them this Monday.

908
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 1: They're gonna have to win that one. But if they do,

909
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:38,600
Speaker 1: they go into the bye week and then close out

910
00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:43,000
Speaker 1: with Falcons, Browns, Eagles, Panthers. That's winnable. That is a

911
00:43:43,040 --> 00:43:45,640
Speaker 1: winnable stretch. And the Saints I think are around plus

912
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 1: seven to fifty plus eight hundred for the division. I

913
00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:51,360
Speaker 1: think that's worth of play eight to fifty even better.

914
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 1: So I like that. And then the one more. The

915
00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:58,000
Speaker 1: AFC is a jumble. We got like four AFC East teams. Well,

916
00:43:58,200 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 1: here's where I'm at. Chiefs are the one seed. The

917
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:03,480
Speaker 1: Titans win the divisions, that's two teams, and then we've

918
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:05,799
Speaker 1: got the Ravens and Bengals I think are both in

919
00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:08,799
Speaker 1: I like Ravens Division, but the odds aren't really worth

920
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:13,960
Speaker 1: playing right now. So basically you've got Jets, Patriots, Dolphins, Chargers.

921
00:44:14,000 --> 00:44:17,080
Speaker 1: I think for two spots, I like the Jets here

922
00:44:17,200 --> 00:44:19,840
Speaker 1: and I play We talked about this Brendan when the

923
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:23,000
Speaker 1: Mike White news broke last week on Green Dot Daily. YEP,

924
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:24,960
Speaker 1: I still think there's some value on the playoffs here.

925
00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:28,040
Speaker 1: They're sound and four. They go at Minnesota at Buffalo,

926
00:44:28,160 --> 00:44:30,040
Speaker 1: so not a great stretch here. But if you can

927
00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:32,760
Speaker 1: get one of those two wins, you're at eight wins.

928
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:36,239
Speaker 1: Then home Detroit, home Jacksonville. That's the key stretch. You

929
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:38,480
Speaker 1: get those two wins, and you get one of these

930
00:44:38,520 --> 00:44:41,000
Speaker 1: next two, you're at ten. Maybe you close out with

931
00:44:41,040 --> 00:44:43,920
Speaker 1: one more after that. I think the Jets, with a

932
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:47,759
Speaker 1: real not Zach Wilson quarterback can make the playoffs. So

933
00:44:48,200 --> 00:44:50,759
Speaker 1: I'm looking for Seattle and Jets playoffs and maybe a

934
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:52,800
Speaker 1: little nibble on the Saints to win the division.

935
00:44:53,080 --> 00:44:55,600
Speaker 4: If you're right about the Jets, that means Mike White

936
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:57,160
Speaker 4: is probably the start of the rest of the year.

937
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:01,920
Speaker 1: I'm just not Zack Willson them well.

938
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:05,759
Speaker 4: Robert Sala will then take back his word of our

939
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:09,480
Speaker 4: intent is to get Zach back on the field at

940
00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:11,600
Speaker 4: some point this year. That will not happen if they

941
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:13,760
Speaker 4: if they go on a roll, he can.

942
00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:15,480
Speaker 1: Come back on the field. He could be a holder

943
00:45:15,640 --> 00:45:18,200
Speaker 1: for an exer point. He could come in and kneel

944
00:45:18,200 --> 00:45:21,000
Speaker 1: the ball down. On a win, he gets some garbage

945
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:23,160
Speaker 1: time in the fourth Quarter's a lot of ways to

946
00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:24,280
Speaker 1: be true to that word.

947
00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:28,240
Speaker 4: Way to utilize a second overall pick Jill, your lasting

948
00:45:28,280 --> 00:45:31,640
Speaker 4: thoughts from two thirds of the way through the season.

949
00:45:32,239 --> 00:45:33,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, just conference ods.

950
00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:36,400
Speaker 2: Just looking at some buy sell options here, kind of

951
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 2: like at the Bengals at ten to one right now

952
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:40,880
Speaker 2: at fandle to win the AFC. I think right now

953
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:42,440
Speaker 2: this is probably the best price you're going to get

954
00:45:42,440 --> 00:45:44,600
Speaker 2: because if they beat the Chiefs this upcoming week, their

955
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:47,279
Speaker 2: home underdogs is three point underdogs right now from a

956
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:51,080
Speaker 2: look ahead standpoint. If they win this game, they're going

957
00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:53,080
Speaker 2: to drop down to like plus five hundred plus six

958
00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:55,160
Speaker 2: hundred range to win the conference at that point. So

959
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:57,759
Speaker 2: I think at that stage you just want to kind

960
00:45:57,760 --> 00:45:59,279
Speaker 2: of get ahead of that movement if you think they

961
00:45:59,320 --> 00:46:01,279
Speaker 2: are going to go whin the AFC. And then also

962
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:03,920
Speaker 2: from a Seal standpoint, I know that they're probably just

963
00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:07,640
Speaker 2: going to backdoor into the playoffs because their tire division sucks.

964
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:10,319
Speaker 2: But I'm fading the Bucks in the NFC. I don't

965
00:46:10,360 --> 00:46:12,920
Speaker 2: want any part of that. You know, they've got the Niners,

966
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:15,919
Speaker 2: the Bengals, the Cardinals, Panthers, and the Falcons to round

967
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:18,080
Speaker 2: up the season. We just talked about this off air

968
00:46:18,120 --> 00:46:22,080
Speaker 2: that Week eighteen. The January fourth game or the against

969
00:46:22,120 --> 00:46:24,400
Speaker 2: the Falcons could end up be could end up being

970
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:28,680
Speaker 2: for the division title at this right, so and I

971
00:46:28,680 --> 00:46:30,399
Speaker 2: don't really know if I trust the Bucks to win

972
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:32,760
Speaker 2: that game, just with the way that they've played. So again,

973
00:46:32,840 --> 00:46:34,600
Speaker 2: I just don't want any part of the Bucks, and

974
00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:36,360
Speaker 2: I don't think that they should be plus eight fifty

975
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:37,440
Speaker 2: to win the NFC.

976
00:46:38,120 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 4: Okay, that was a lot to unpack. Fifteen games every

977
00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 4: team in the league in action this week. As a reminder, folks,

978
00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:48,400
Speaker 4: you can find all of our picks from the Best

979
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:51,320
Speaker 4: Bets episodes that will record every Thursday. We did Tuesday

980
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:54,960
Speaker 4: last week because of Thanksgiving, but you can follow our

981
00:46:55,160 --> 00:46:59,479
Speaker 4: two accounts Action Network NFL picks. Our two shows, meaning

982
00:46:59,520 --> 00:47:02,400
Speaker 4: the Sundays six Pack and then the NFL Best Bets episode.

983
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:05,480
Speaker 4: We have one more pick pending from one of our

984
00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:07,800
Speaker 4: fill in guys. I think it was Dubundo who picked

985
00:47:08,120 --> 00:47:10,640
Speaker 4: the Steelers, who are at plus two and a half

986
00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:14,759
Speaker 4: tonight against the Colts over under set at thirty nine

987
00:47:14,800 --> 00:47:16,879
Speaker 4: and a half points. Brandon, I'll go to you first

988
00:47:16,920 --> 00:47:21,640
Speaker 4: because you gotta line at three Steelers plus three earlier

989
00:47:21,640 --> 00:47:24,240
Speaker 4: in the week and you're riding the TJ want. Impact

990
00:47:24,320 --> 00:47:26,920
Speaker 4: of Tomlin's numbers post week five against the spread are

991
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:27,319
Speaker 4: very good.

992
00:47:28,000 --> 00:47:30,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with the Bundo on this one. Look, the

993
00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:33,000
Speaker 1: Colts have obviously gotten better with Jeff Saraday, there's no

994
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:36,560
Speaker 1: denying it. Two games, he won one game, they nearly

995
00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:40,320
Speaker 1: beat Philadelphia the other game. In those two games, small sample,

996
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:43,799
Speaker 1: but up to twentieth in Dvoa, that's really good. It's respectable.

997
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:47,120
Speaker 1: There's still pretty pretty good. Defensively, they're up to twenty

998
00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:50,840
Speaker 1: fifth and offense on that stretch that's really not thirty second,

999
00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:53,320
Speaker 1: which is what they are the rest of the season. Genuinely,

1000
00:47:53,360 --> 00:47:56,560
Speaker 1: they've improved a lot, very good. Well, guess what, over

1001
00:47:56,640 --> 00:47:59,560
Speaker 1: the same two games, the Colts have improved the Steelers

1002
00:47:59,600 --> 00:48:02,600
Speaker 1: also wrought someone back, and as someone that actually plays

1003
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:05,480
Speaker 1: on the field named TJ. A. Watt, unlike the high

1004
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:07,680
Speaker 1: school coach on the sideline. Make it all the difference

1005
00:48:07,680 --> 00:48:10,920
Speaker 1: for the Colts and the Steelers in their two games

1006
00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:14,920
Speaker 1: with their guy back are ninth in DVA, top five defensively,

1007
00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:19,440
Speaker 1: top five rushing offense and defense, and the offense has

1008
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:23,040
Speaker 1: been top fifteen as well during that stretch. So small samples,

1009
00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:25,440
Speaker 1: but the whole thing with the Colts is well, I

1010
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 1: don't know, maybe the Colts are good now with Jeff Saturday. Well,

1011
00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:30,839
Speaker 1: the data we have tells us that the Steelers are

1012
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:33,319
Speaker 1: even better now with TJ. A. Watt, and they've been

1013
00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 1: better the rest of the season too, So it's not

1014
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:39,319
Speaker 1: as strong I mean Tomlin underdog spot, but seventy one

1015
00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:42,160
Speaker 1: percent against the spread Week five foard as an underdog,

1016
00:48:42,880 --> 00:48:45,520
Speaker 1: so I still like it here. It's not a slam

1017
00:48:45,600 --> 00:48:48,799
Speaker 1: dunk Tomlin underdog spot for me, but probably like a

1018
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:50,799
Speaker 1: half unit play more than a full, especially if you

1019
00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 1: don't get the plus three. But I do like the

1020
00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:55,239
Speaker 1: Steelers here. I think they have a good chance to win.

1021
00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:59,840
Speaker 4: Out right, chill anytime. Touchdown scores tomorrow night, Jonathan Taylor

1022
00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:03,360
Speaker 4: the leader in the clubhouse at minus one fifty five.

1023
00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:06,400
Speaker 4: That is not your that's not your wheelhouse. You like

1024
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:07,440
Speaker 4: looking down the board.

1025
00:49:07,760 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, but not too far.

1026
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:12,359
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Friarmouth with the Steelers at plus two

1027
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:15,800
Speaker 2: ninety really starting to get a rapport with Kenny Pickett.

1028
00:49:15,840 --> 00:49:18,080
Speaker 2: You know, he has five red zone targets and thirty

1029
00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:21,480
Speaker 2: seven targets overall just in his last four games. I

1030
00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:23,920
Speaker 2: think Stefan Gilmour is probably gonna line up with Deontay

1031
00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:26,319
Speaker 2: Johnson as much as he can. So if you're not

1032
00:49:26,360 --> 00:49:28,440
Speaker 2: looking at Deontay, you could look at George Pickens too.

1033
00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:29,760
Speaker 2: I just think that they're going to try to funnel

1034
00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:33,280
Speaker 2: the offense more towards the middle from a Steelers perspective.

1035
00:49:33,480 --> 00:49:35,880
Speaker 2: Now from the Colts side, I think you got to

1036
00:49:35,920 --> 00:49:38,880
Speaker 2: look at Paris Campbell. He's around plus three thirty second

1037
00:49:38,880 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 2: on the Colts and touchdown catches and red zone targets

1038
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:45,760
Speaker 2: the Steelers. Their secondary is woeful twenty two passing touchdowns,

1039
00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:47,800
Speaker 2: that's last in the NFL. And the only thing that

1040
00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:49,839
Speaker 2: I would just mention is that while I do think TJ.

1041
00:49:49,960 --> 00:49:54,640
Speaker 2: Watt his impact defensively is obvious, it's still worth mentioning

1042
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:59,719
Speaker 2: that defenses that offenses rather have had seven passing touchdowns

1043
00:50:00,160 --> 00:50:01,799
Speaker 2: the three games that he has played this year. So

1044
00:50:02,080 --> 00:50:04,000
Speaker 2: even though he does get to the quarterback, you can

1045
00:50:04,080 --> 00:50:06,279
Speaker 2: only do so much when the secondary isn't helping you out.

1046
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:10,719
Speaker 4: Okay, good points Matt Ryan to rip off another run.

1047
00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:16,920
Speaker 4: He's at plus one thousand. Just Jill, Jill does not

1048
00:50:16,920 --> 00:50:21,120
Speaker 4: want any part of that conversation. No, Okay, Pittsburgh is

1049
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:23,880
Speaker 4: getting eighty seven percent of the money fifty percent of

1050
00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:25,799
Speaker 4: the bets, so the bets are pretty split even between

1051
00:50:25,800 --> 00:50:27,560
Speaker 4: the two teams, but most of the money, according to

1052
00:50:27,600 --> 00:50:31,480
Speaker 4: the Action app coming in on Pittsburgh for Monday Night Football.

1053
00:50:31,600 --> 00:50:33,319
Speaker 4: Before we wrap the show, we always like to look

1054
00:50:33,360 --> 00:50:36,480
Speaker 4: ahead to the following week. That would be Week thirteen.

1055
00:50:37,080 --> 00:50:38,799
Speaker 4: Let's kick off the hot read.

1056
00:50:39,080 --> 00:50:40,000
Speaker 1: Hot Wrap.

1057
00:50:41,840 --> 00:50:49,120
Speaker 4: On ice rights, ice creams nineteen sound nineteen dollars trade

1058
00:50:51,520 --> 00:50:53,920
Speaker 4: again if you if you're new folks, if you're tuning

1059
00:50:53,960 --> 00:50:56,759
Speaker 4: in down the stretch post Thanksgiving, you're trying to get

1060
00:50:56,760 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 4: hot before the year ends. This isn't always about analysis

1061
00:51:00,080 --> 00:51:04,040
Speaker 4: of a matchup, but it's more so anticipating a significant,

1062
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 4: possibly significant shift in the line before kickoff and getting

1063
00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:13,280
Speaker 4: the best number possible. So Brandon, with that being said,

1064
00:51:13,640 --> 00:51:15,799
Speaker 4: you're hot read for week thirteen, what do you have

1065
00:51:15,840 --> 00:51:16,200
Speaker 4: for us?

1066
00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:18,359
Speaker 1: So we're gonna do a teaser. I think we did

1067
00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:20,080
Speaker 1: this once before on the High Read. So if you

1068
00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:22,520
Speaker 1: don't know teasers, you get to grab two teams. You

1069
00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 1: move the line six points in your favor, and the

1070
00:51:25,080 --> 00:51:28,560
Speaker 1: goal here, of course, is move your line across hopefully

1071
00:51:28,680 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 1: multiple key numbers. So I'm gonna tease the Pittsburgh Steelers.

1072
00:51:33,600 --> 00:51:36,040
Speaker 1: They're at plus one and a half at Atlanta, so

1073
00:51:36,080 --> 00:51:38,040
Speaker 1: we'll tease them to seven and a half. See we

1074
00:51:38,080 --> 00:51:40,560
Speaker 1: cross the three, we cross the seven there, and then

1075
00:51:40,560 --> 00:51:43,680
Speaker 1: I'll tease the Raiders. They're home against the Chargers two

1076
00:51:43,719 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs. We'll tease that one to

1077
00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:48,439
Speaker 1: eight and a half. So the key thing is here,

1078
00:51:49,000 --> 00:51:51,920
Speaker 1: we get both teams, just keep it within one score,

1079
00:51:52,120 --> 00:51:56,520
Speaker 1: one score game, and we are set. So Steelers Falcons

1080
00:51:56,880 --> 00:51:59,200
Speaker 1: Atlanta has only one win all season by more than

1081
00:51:59,200 --> 00:52:02,400
Speaker 1: four points, so we see a one score game. Pittsburgh.

1082
00:52:02,400 --> 00:52:05,640
Speaker 1: I mentioned top five run defense their last couple of games.

1083
00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:07,920
Speaker 1: I think Pittsburgh is the better team. I probably will

1084
00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:11,719
Speaker 1: be just on Pittsburgh outright against Atlanta. But Steelers have

1085
00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:13,640
Speaker 1: covered a seven and a half point spread in eight

1086
00:52:13,680 --> 00:52:16,000
Speaker 1: of ten games so far this year, so I like

1087
00:52:16,040 --> 00:52:19,399
Speaker 1: that one and then Raiders Chargers. Six of the last

1088
00:52:19,400 --> 00:52:21,920
Speaker 1: seven games between these teams have been one score. Games

1089
00:52:22,239 --> 00:52:25,120
Speaker 1: like these are the most wonky and predictable teams that

1090
00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:27,360
Speaker 1: always comes down to the end. With both these teams,

1091
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:31,720
Speaker 1: Chargers nine of eleven games this year one score, Raiders

1092
00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:34,879
Speaker 1: eight of eleven games one score, So Chargers have only

1093
00:52:34,960 --> 00:52:38,799
Speaker 1: won by more than five points once all year. We

1094
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:41,680
Speaker 1: see the keep these both the one score. I'll take

1095
00:52:41,719 --> 00:52:45,279
Speaker 1: the Steelers and the Raiders teaser rabbiant now because a

1096
00:52:45,320 --> 00:52:47,560
Speaker 1: lot of times when there's an obvious teaser like this,

1097
00:52:48,160 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 1: the lines move a point or a point and a

1098
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:52,960
Speaker 1: half purposely to get out of that teaser range. So

1099
00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:54,920
Speaker 1: that's why this works for high reed for one week.

1100
00:52:55,239 --> 00:52:58,279
Speaker 4: Well. The other thing, too, right is if Pittsburgh with

1101
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:01,440
Speaker 4: the two and a half to if they could win

1102
00:53:01,520 --> 00:53:05,840
Speaker 4: outright against Indy, and then you're looking at Pittsburgh possibly

1103
00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:08,640
Speaker 4: I don't know about favored, but know that line could

1104
00:53:08,680 --> 00:53:09,800
Speaker 4: move with Atlanta.

1105
00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:12,040
Speaker 1: They could. They could because you know when it gets

1106
00:53:12,080 --> 00:53:14,520
Speaker 1: to a number there were plus one half, right or

1107
00:53:14,560 --> 00:53:16,680
Speaker 1: one and a half right now, when it's so close

1108
00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:19,680
Speaker 1: to zero, you flip to the other side and you

1109
00:53:19,760 --> 00:53:21,839
Speaker 1: often lose from a plus one to a minus one

1110
00:53:21,880 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 1: like that, Like that's a two point swing. So yeah,

1111
00:53:24,680 --> 00:53:27,600
Speaker 1: if the Steelers come out and look good and dominate

1112
00:53:27,680 --> 00:53:30,279
Speaker 1: on the road, which is possible they could, then yeah,

1113
00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:32,440
Speaker 1: I think that that's entirely possible. They could end up

1114
00:53:32,440 --> 00:53:35,560
Speaker 1: being favored, and so you possibly lose as much as

1115
00:53:35,600 --> 00:53:37,719
Speaker 1: a field goal of points there.

1116
00:53:38,080 --> 00:53:40,120
Speaker 4: Right, you'd have to tease through zero. Maybe you're getting

1117
00:53:40,160 --> 00:53:40,600
Speaker 4: five points.

1118
00:53:40,640 --> 00:53:43,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, never never, never, never, never teas through zero. So

1119
00:53:44,000 --> 00:53:46,520
Speaker 1: it's it's now or never. If you want to teaser.

1120
00:53:46,800 --> 00:53:49,600
Speaker 1: It's important to get the teasing is only works well

1121
00:53:49,640 --> 00:53:52,520
Speaker 1: at the right numbers. So you want to grab teasing

1122
00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:53,920
Speaker 1: here to get to seven and a half and eight

1123
00:53:53,920 --> 00:53:56,319
Speaker 1: and a half. You're crossing those three and seven on

1124
00:53:56,400 --> 00:53:59,759
Speaker 1: both times. That's the key tees are teaching. Love it.

1125
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:02,279
Speaker 4: How we're wrapping up the podcast, Jill, final thoughts, you

1126
00:54:02,280 --> 00:54:03,920
Speaker 4: have a hot read for us or anything?

1127
00:54:03,920 --> 00:54:04,399
Speaker 1: Are you good?

1128
00:54:05,640 --> 00:54:08,280
Speaker 2: Just over under twelve and a half hours of sleep

1129
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:11,879
Speaker 2: after that Stewarts Colts game with the over heavily.

1130
00:54:11,640 --> 00:54:14,920
Speaker 4: Juiced over under twelve and a half hours of sleep,

1131
00:54:16,080 --> 00:54:16,560
Speaker 4: So I'll.

1132
00:54:16,440 --> 00:54:18,520
Speaker 1: Take the over my signce and in faction that is

1133
00:54:18,520 --> 00:54:20,080
Speaker 1: going to have me in a comb after that thing,

1134
00:54:20,120 --> 00:54:21,680
Speaker 1: I'll start halfway through the game too.

1135
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:23,680
Speaker 2: A lot of football over the last few days. Good

1136
00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:26,120
Speaker 2: football too, I see your college football as well. I'm

1137
00:54:26,160 --> 00:54:28,000
Speaker 2: just be nice to have a little bit of sleep

1138
00:54:28,000 --> 00:54:31,120
Speaker 2: after of expecting a snoozer for Monday night football.

1139
00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:36,040
Speaker 4: Okay, all right, very very good, that's fair. We're gonna go.

1140
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:38,200
Speaker 4: Thank you all so much for tuning in. We hope

1141
00:54:38,280 --> 00:54:41,040
Speaker 4: you had a wonderful holiday weekend. Thanks for starting your

1142
00:54:41,040 --> 00:54:44,719
Speaker 4: week after the holidays, which is always difficult, we understand.

1143
00:54:44,880 --> 00:54:47,920
Speaker 4: Hopefully we made that better for you today or whenever

1144
00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:50,799
Speaker 4: you're listening thanks to Brandon Anderson Joe Galant. We will

1145
00:54:50,880 --> 00:54:54,000
Speaker 4: join you again for the Best Bets episode Week thirteen

1146
00:54:54,080 --> 00:54:56,799
Speaker 4: later in the week on the Action Network podcast. We

1147
00:54:56,840 --> 00:54:59,520
Speaker 4: are presented by Fandel I'm Brendan glass Ge. You all

1148
00:54:59,560 --> 00:55:16,919
Speaker 4: have the great talty against you, Sho