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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Read in the court ten seconds of eight, so it

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Speaker 3: just goes throw out of the basket, under the basket.

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Speaker 2: It's not a seven second where it's the.

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Speaker 4: Crew for the wind. God, they go a miracle.

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Speaker 3: I'm just water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 4: Shuck it all.

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Speaker 2: It's codge basketball.

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Speaker 1: It's not the size on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 1: It's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 5: What's up, Degenerate Nation? Welcome to the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 5: This is the college basketball betting creview. I'm stucky and

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Speaker 5: with me as always is Colin Wilson. And so it's

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Speaker 5: college basketball season. Mister Mike Randall joins us as well.

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Speaker 5: Twenty nine days until selection Sunday, thirty three until Christmas morning,

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Speaker 5: and the opening round on that Thursday.

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Speaker 4: What's going on, gentlemen.

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Speaker 1: I feel great.

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Speaker 3: I have a lot of stamina, a lot of energy,

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Speaker 3: which is way different than the university that I graduated from.

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Speaker 1: They are dead in the water.

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Speaker 2: I feel fantastic. I mean, are we going to sleep

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Speaker 2: for the next month? Who cares? Honestly? I mean it's

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Speaker 2: gotta be the best time of year.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, no sleep for the next month and a half

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Speaker 6: and then baseball start up.

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Speaker 4: CONN. I know you're going to do a baseball.

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Speaker 6: Podcast here shortly with our baseball savon Sean Zerrillo.

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Speaker 1: Correct, Yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 3: Everybody should look at the Action Network podcast feed next week.

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Speaker 3: I believe early in the next week we're gonna have

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Speaker 3: two separate pods. One's gonna be for the American League

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Speaker 3: and one's going to be for the National League. And

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Speaker 3: for each team, we're gonna cover it from three different angles.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna look at futures on each team, the win

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Speaker 3: total on the team, and fantasy value. So for you

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Speaker 3: fantasy players out there, there's going to be a little

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Speaker 3: bit in there about sleepers, you should say, guys that

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Speaker 3: are following with the average draft position. It's going to

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Speaker 3: be a lengthy podcast, but if you've been looking forward

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Speaker 3: to MLB, it's going to take care of everything you need.

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Speaker 6: All right, let's get into the week that was, and

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Speaker 6: then we'll talk some conference USA, touch on little AAC.

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Speaker 6: We have some crazy curgy scheduling stuff today, so there's

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Speaker 6: no guest, but we should have I think a guest

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Speaker 6: on at least almost every podcast college basketball podcast going forward.

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Speaker 6: But we'll get into Friday, we'll get into Saturday. We'll

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Speaker 6: talk some Conference USA as I mentioned, but let's first

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Speaker 6: start with.

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Speaker 4: The week that was.

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Speaker 6: There's a lot going on, so let's just go around

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Speaker 6: the horn. We can ran a little bit talk about

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Speaker 6: what happened. I guess before we go around the horn,

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Speaker 6: I have to start with that UNC Duke game.

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Speaker 4: I mean, that was.

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Speaker 6: One of the most absurd games I can remember, and

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Speaker 6: I mean, do we know, Duke. It's not great from

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Speaker 6: the free throw line, but I guess all those misses

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Speaker 6: they get practiced, missing all those free throws, and a

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Speaker 6: paid off. I've never seen so many missed free throws

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Speaker 6: get offensive rebounded. And then that play by Trey Jones

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Speaker 6: was just unbelievable, and then UNC can't win their Super Bowl.

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Speaker 6: Somehow Duke steals that game. Rand I'll start with you

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Speaker 6: in any takeaways from that Duke UNC game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I am a big and I'm in the minorio here.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to big. Do not foul when you're up

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Speaker 2: three unless unless you have practiced exactly how to execute it.

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Speaker 2: Bill says on the game. Okay, they want to foul

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Speaker 2: here before the ball gets inbounded six point one seconds

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Speaker 2: of they want to foul little over half court under

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Speaker 2: five seconds. Trey Jones gets the ball, he sprints up

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Speaker 2: the court. They found him right at half court four

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Speaker 2: point four seconds. What does BILLI say, Well, it's a

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Speaker 2: little early. I mean, no, people talk about it, but

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Speaker 2: they don't talk about the finer details. Trey Jones goes

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Speaker 2: to the line, he makes the first He's a good

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Speaker 2: free throw shooter. Then, instead of going through his whole

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Speaker 2: routine while all the UNC players have their hands below

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Speaker 2: their waist they're bending down, he cuts the routine short

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Speaker 2: because the UNC players, like Pavlov's dogs, are expecting the

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Speaker 2: whole thing, and off the room and gets it back.

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Speaker 2: I don't think guys, now that we've seen this over

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Speaker 2: and over again, I think teams are adjusting. Once Trade

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Speaker 2: Jones gets that ball back, you U and C has

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Speaker 2: no idea what to do. Are they going to foul?

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Speaker 2: Are they not going to fail? They're totally on the defensive.

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Speaker 2: Reminds me in Pro football when teams play prevent and

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Speaker 2: you go right down the field on them because you're

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Speaker 2: not playing any defense. I think if you're going to

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Speaker 2: do that, you have to practice it. You can't just

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Speaker 2: tell your team to do it. Great job by Trey

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Speaker 2: Jones eighteen to twenty one. I would have liked to

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Speaker 2: see you and see double him. Maybe live or die

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Speaker 2: with someone else making a three here, like Jordan Goldwire

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Speaker 2: okay instead of Trade Jones. Terrible loss. As you said,

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Speaker 2: stuck last week. That was their super Bowl and they

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Speaker 2: lost it.

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Speaker 6: Some of the math actually suggests that failing up three

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Speaker 6: overall doesn't make sense, but I would argue that it

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Speaker 6: always does as long as you know how to execute it,

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Speaker 6: and there's other variables that come into play. You have

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Speaker 6: to do it under a certain amount of time, you know,

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Speaker 6: especially if the other teams isn't one and one, then

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Speaker 6: you definitely always want to yes, not even a question,

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Speaker 6: but there's so many other variables. But I think that

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Speaker 6: if you can execute it and you practice it, then

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Speaker 6: you know you have to wait till the teams fouled

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Speaker 6: up three with six seven seconds left. That's way too

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Speaker 6: much time because then you you can miss the free

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Speaker 6: things you have to take into account. Also, if you're

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Speaker 6: in the double bonus.

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Speaker 2: With four point four seconds left, I would have told

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Speaker 2: Jones make them both because they have to get the

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Speaker 2: ball in bounds, right, that's not automatic. We saw that

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Speaker 2: in the overtime, right, It's not easy to get the

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Speaker 2: ball and bound. So I thought it was way too early.

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Speaker 6: I mean, even if you do fad, there's still enough

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Speaker 6: time to get down the court. I mean, we saw

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Speaker 6: South Florida get down the court and shout out to

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Speaker 6: Rideau for.

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Speaker 4: That amazing cover.

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Speaker 6: He just got the ball and said, I'm going to

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Speaker 6: go cover this game last night against Houston in one

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Speaker 6: of the more more epic fashions we've seen.

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Speaker 4: Con Any thoughts on the UNC dude.

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Speaker 3: No, I mean North Carolina had a nine point lead

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Speaker 3: at halftime and then they had a ninety percent win

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Speaker 3: expectancy from like six minutes on for the rest of

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Speaker 3: the game, and then just a complete melt down there

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Speaker 3: in the final minute of overtime. This seems to be

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Speaker 3: a theme for teams where they're having meltdowns just at

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Speaker 3: the most crucial moments. And I'll bring up West Virginia.

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Speaker 3: You know, they got to forty nine points of five

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Speaker 3: minutes left and they scored again against Kansas at one

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Speaker 3: point had a nine point lead. So it's just you know,

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Speaker 3: We're getting closer and closer to March Madness, and some

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Speaker 3: teams are choking.

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Speaker 6: That brings up an interesting point that I wanted to

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Speaker 6: talk about here, which is we had some a lot

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Speaker 6: of losses at the top. You know, Baylor keeps winning,

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Speaker 6: San Diego State keeps winning, and they're doing an impressed

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Speaker 6: the fashion even though they're not playing anybody in their conference.

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Speaker 6: Dayton keeps rolling. I mean, their offense is just unbelievably efficient.

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Speaker 6: You know, you have dou got a little bit of

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Speaker 6: a role, but then you had, you know, kind of

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Speaker 6: that next tier in Gonzaga. I mean good Gonzaga did

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Speaker 6: to Saint Mary's last weekend. I mean that was just

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Speaker 6: a complete evisceeration. I mean that game was over five

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Speaker 6: minutes into it, so you know, and then I think

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Speaker 6: Kansas probably had the most impressive win of the weekend

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Speaker 6: or the week I should say, at West Virginia in

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Speaker 6: a game where West Virginia just went stone cold and

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Speaker 6: I mean build self.

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Speaker 4: Out Coach Huggins in that second half.

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Speaker 6: But West Virginia scored three points in the final nine

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Speaker 6: minutes and no points in the final five minutes of

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Speaker 6: that game. But it raises the question who is the

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Speaker 6: best team? If I look at my power ratings right now,

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Speaker 6: we're going to start publishing these on actionework dot Com,

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Speaker 6: I have Kansas as the number one team in the country,

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Speaker 6: and I think, you know, I think that they're the

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Speaker 6: most complete team. You have two potential All Americans of

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Speaker 6: an inside out duo, right with Dots and Azubuki Garrett,

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Speaker 6: who is just the ultimate glue guy. Now you have

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Speaker 6: some shooters surrounding them, right with Moss Christian Brown, and

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Speaker 6: then you know, if a Bagi is also playing well,

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Speaker 6: I mean that team is just super dangerous.

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Speaker 4: He's the wild card. They're really hard to beat.

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Speaker 6: Now, the thing is that they're not unbeatable is what

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Speaker 6: I think could come back to bite them. And what

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Speaker 6: it's going to come down to in the tournament is

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Speaker 6: does Azubuki pick up two quick thousand.

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Speaker 4: At any one point right?

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Speaker 6: And if he does, they're a different team on the

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Speaker 6: defensive end on the offensive end as well, So that's

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Speaker 6: going to determine I think whether or not they can

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Speaker 6: get upset. But I think overall, when healthy and nonfeul triable,

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Speaker 6: I think they're the most complete roster. I currently have

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Speaker 6: Zaga number two. Then do then a little bit of

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Speaker 6: a drop off, you know to Dayton Bale or San

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Speaker 6: Diego State, and then it's a you know, it's a

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Speaker 6: big mush. I mean, it's just a Louisville Seaton Hall.

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Speaker 6: Both of those teams drop games this week. Then you know,

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Speaker 6: Maryland almost lost in bad call in out of bounce,

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Speaker 6: but I almost lost a home to Nebraska. Hence State

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Speaker 6: maybe the most impressive and other impressive team in the

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Speaker 6: top twenty five this week. And then you have the

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Speaker 6: questions of Sparti and Arizona. Where do you put them?

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Speaker 6: Kentucky's on the rise in my opinion before we get

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Speaker 6: to Arizona and Michigan State, because I think that those

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Speaker 6: are interesting case studies. Let me just start with Red

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Speaker 6: All Star with you, who do you think is the

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Speaker 6: best team in the country and then just kind of

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Speaker 6: give me a lay of the land for your like

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Speaker 6: top ten and.

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Speaker 4: How and what those tiers look like.

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Speaker 2: Best team in the country right now I agree is Kansas.

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Speaker 2: They're seven and zero in conference on the road. That's

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Speaker 2: the main reason why I picked them against West Virginia

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Speaker 2: because I've picked against them a couple times on the road.

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Speaker 2: They come out like Gangbusters. They play well, they battle,

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Speaker 2: they have a huge advantage to the guard position against

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Speaker 2: West Virginia. I'm looking guys for teams all around talent,

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Speaker 2: really solid guard play, and a superior coach. Those teams

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Speaker 2: to me are separate and post thrown.

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Speaker 4: Post Py two is maybe the best post player in

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Speaker 4: the country.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the bonus. If you have the post play

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Speaker 2: without the guard, like West Virginia, I get a little sketchy.

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Speaker 2: But if you have the guard and you have the

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Speaker 2: post play, that's a deadly combination. And I'm looking for

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Speaker 2: teams with a superior coach, So I agree, I'm going Kansas.

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Speaker 2: I'm going Gonzaga if Patrussev stays on the court and

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Speaker 2: he plays well. And I want to see, guys, how

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Speaker 2: they're going to do against BYU. BYU has Baxter Now,

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Speaker 2: who can give Childs a couple of minutes. That's a

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Speaker 2: huge test for me. If they go in and pound

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Speaker 2: BYU like they did against Saint Mary's, then they're right

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Speaker 2: up there with Kansas to me. So right now, it's

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Speaker 2: Kansas one, Gonzaga one. A after that, Duke sure, listen, Baylor.

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Speaker 2: I think Scott Drew has been a real good coach

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Speaker 2: for a long time. He has a style, he has

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Speaker 2: good guard play. I think they match up well with

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Speaker 2: West Virginia, by the way, for that reason, because I

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Speaker 2: think they can rebound inside with Gillespian limit West Virginia's strength.

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Speaker 2: So to me, those teams are separated themselves from the

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Speaker 2: rest of the pack.

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Speaker 6: Gonzaga b Yu, by the way, is next Saturday Night,

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Speaker 6: and you can't just look the market like I would

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Speaker 6: have them at close to one and a half point

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Speaker 6: favorite over Gonzaga, two point favorite over Duke, three point

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Speaker 6: favorite over Dayton, three and a half over Balor San

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Speaker 6: Diego State for reference, for over Louisville.

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Speaker 4: And seat Hall.

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Speaker 6: The market just I don't think thinks Kansas is as

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Speaker 6: good as they are, and you see that there were

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Speaker 6: their lines open, they get steamed against, and they cover

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Speaker 6: every game.

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Speaker 4: Almost in conference.

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Speaker 6: It's it's been very impressive and I think they're the

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Speaker 6: most complete team by far. But Gonzaga did to Saint

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Speaker 6: Mary's last Saturday night. Now it's one game and they're

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Speaker 6: not going through the grueling, a grueling Power Conference schedule

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Speaker 6: like Kansas, but you have to respect what they did there,

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Speaker 6: and you know some of what they did out of

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Speaker 6: conference and the pedigree, you know, and the coaching of

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Speaker 6: Mark few Colin. What are your thoughts on the top

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Speaker 6: team and kind of just the lay of the land

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Speaker 6: at the top.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the question proposed I remember that we that we

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Speaker 3: talked about prepodcast was what's the best team in the

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Speaker 3: country for the money? So immediately I started looking at

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Speaker 3: Yale being fifteen and five against the spread, Winthrop was

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Speaker 3: twelve and one against the spread on the road. But

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Speaker 3: let's get serious here when it comes to, you know,

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Speaker 3: national title contenders. The thing that's really important to me

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Speaker 3: when I start picking brackets, not just the matchups because

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Speaker 3: those are important too, but what team has proven to

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Speaker 3: me on neutral sites and on the road. San Diego

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Speaker 3: State is eight and one against the spread. And that's

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Speaker 3: fine because we've looked at the level of competition they've

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Speaker 3: been going up against. But the thing is is oddsmakers

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Speaker 3: have not been able to catch up to the San

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Speaker 3: Diego State team all season. I mean, eight and one

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Speaker 3: against the spread on the road. But even more impressive

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Speaker 3: than that, they're covering the road number by an average

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Speaker 3: margin of plus fourteen point three points. They are blowing

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Speaker 3: the point spread out of the water on the road.

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Speaker 3: For me, that is a big indicator about what's going

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Speaker 3: to happen in the postseason.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, and we've said this before, but I think that

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Speaker 6: a major addition for San Diego State, and they think

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Speaker 6: that they might be able to get him back for

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Speaker 6: the Mountain West Conference tournament, which I mean he would

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Speaker 6: obviously be back for the NCAA tournament. Is Nathan Mensa

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Speaker 6: who's out with the respiratory issues. He hasn't played since

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Speaker 6: December twenty eighth. He hasn't played it any conference games

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Speaker 6: after those two random ones early in the season in

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Speaker 6: early December, we played well offensively, you know, it'll give

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Speaker 6: you sometimes team twelve, but his presence on the defensive

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Speaker 6: end I think can really make them a player and

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Speaker 6: compete with some of these better teams. But yeah, I

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Speaker 6: mean the results are there for San Diego State and

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Speaker 6: they they're a covering machine as well. I think that

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Speaker 6: the two most interesting teams in the top twenty five

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Speaker 6: are Michigan State and Arizona. And the reason I say

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Speaker 6: that is, look, Michigan State, we're talking about teams that

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Speaker 6: can cover in Kansas and San Diego State. Michigan State

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Speaker 6: can't cover. When's the last time they covered? I mean

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Speaker 6: Northwestern a hawns.

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Speaker 1: On the road. Yeah, that's it once.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 6: And then at Minnesota they had that game, but Wisconsin

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Speaker 6: they lose under man Wisconsin. Did they lose at home

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Speaker 6: to Penn State? They lose at Michigan. They do beat Illinois,

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Speaker 6: but they were down what eighteen in that game, and

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Speaker 6: you know they had a dunk of the final seconds

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Speaker 6: they went by one lane one and a half. They're

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Speaker 6: still top twenty to adjust the deficiency on offense and

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Speaker 6: defense overall and during conference play the best defensive team

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Speaker 6: by far. Their defense but out standing at home, but

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Speaker 6: something is just missing offensively, but the analytics love them.

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Speaker 6: And then same with Arizona. And Arizona has one of

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Speaker 6: the most puzzling losses of the year last weekend at

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Speaker 6: home against UCLA double digit favor they lose sixty five

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Speaker 6: to fifty two.

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Speaker 4: This this team has multiple.

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Speaker 6: Pros and you know, they're top fifteen adjusted efficiency on offense.

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Speaker 6: Their defense is okay, forty first adjusted efficiency. But the

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Speaker 6: talent is just so palpable.

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Speaker 4: On that team.

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Speaker 6: And you know, some of the advanced metrics, a lot

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Speaker 6: of models like I currently I drafter that game. I

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Speaker 6: dropped them significantly. I have them down at nineteenth overall,

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Speaker 6: but you'll see, you know, some others around tenth twelfth.

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Speaker 6: I think Kempom has in the fourteenth right now. But

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Speaker 6: you know they lose that game, but twenty two point

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Speaker 6: lead to Arizona State, they lose by one. They did

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Speaker 6: lose by one to Oregon and overtime. You know, they

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Speaker 6: lost three to Saint John's on a neutral. They lost

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Speaker 6: at home to Gonzaga in the closest game. They haven't

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Speaker 6: been able to close them out. Well, you know that

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Speaker 6: lost to UCLA at home is just extremely perplexing to me.

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Speaker 6: So are you buying Arizona anddor Michigan State? What do

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Speaker 6: you make of those two teams? That just seems like

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Speaker 6: something's off, But you know a lot of models and

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Speaker 6: people out there still continue to like both teams ran

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Speaker 6: at all.

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Speaker 4: Start with you any thoughts on either.

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Speaker 2: Well, Michigan State is very dependent. Like you said, Kansas

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Speaker 2: with Azabuki on Cassius Winston when he got his fourth

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Speaker 2: found that game against Illinois, they were fourteen, the game

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Speaker 2: change when he goes out. But I think that's unfair

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Speaker 2: to say because everyone is sensitive to one player. This year,

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Speaker 2: it's like a constant Jenga puzzle. The Michigan State thing

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Speaker 2: that concerns me is they're four and seven after that

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Speaker 2: win in Quad one wins when they went into the

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Speaker 2: bracket preview last week, they only had three wins in

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Speaker 2: Quad one. So I think we're still just relying on

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Speaker 2: Michigan State because of last year and because we know

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Speaker 2: Quotezo always gets it going. I mean, their strength to

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Speaker 2: schedule is fifty six. Their non conference strength to schedule

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Speaker 2: is eighty. So it's not like they've been fantastic. It's

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Speaker 2: just we're used to seeing them, you know, doing what

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Speaker 2: they normally do.

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Speaker 6: I think what makes you say too, is they on

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Speaker 6: a neutral site loss earlier in the season of vot Tech,

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Speaker 6: and then people took that as well.

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Speaker 4: Look at the spaw Tech.

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Speaker 6: Team even though the stop Tech team, right, it's pretty

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Speaker 6: devoid of talent outside of Landers noted, but they were like, oh,

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Speaker 6: maybe the law Tech team's gonna be good, but has

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Speaker 6: done nothing since then, So keep that in mind as well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, because they have the Lawford coach, so people expected

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Speaker 2: the Watford Magic to rebo into Virginia Tech. I just

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Speaker 2: think they got hot in that game. I think Arizona

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Speaker 2: you want to say paper tiger, call them paper wildcats.

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Speaker 2: I think Arizona is very overvalued. They're a fascinating team.

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Speaker 2: You said it fourteenth and Ken Palm, they're ninth in

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Speaker 2: the NET. I have no idea why. My guess is

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Speaker 2: strength to schedule is seventh. Non confidence strength to schedule

364
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Speaker 2: is thirteenth. They're only two and five against Quadrant one teams,

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Speaker 2: only two quadroon wins. They had the twenty one point

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Speaker 2: win over Illinois at home. That was the big win.

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Speaker 2: But the losses are kind of even misleading. You talked

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Speaker 2: about UCLA. They lost big at Baylor, but they closed

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Speaker 2: it at the end to make it look respectable. They

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Speaker 2: were getting blown out at home against Gonzaga, but they

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Speaker 2: closed it at the en to make it look close.

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Speaker 2: They blew the huge lead at Arizona State lost by one.

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Speaker 2: Then they lost on a neutral to Saint John's. They

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Speaker 2: were getting blown out there and they closed. It was

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Speaker 2: in California, so I don't think they've been that impressive.

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Speaker 2: They do have a lot of talent, but they were young,

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Speaker 2: and I think when you look at the numbers of

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Speaker 2: their games, they look a lot closer than they really were.

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Speaker 2: I don't think they really dominated in a point outside

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Speaker 2: for the Illinois game at home back in November.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, that was in November eight till we know how

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Speaker 6: different teams looking. Not to take too much from those,

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Speaker 6: you know, first week of November games, And speaking of Illinois,

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Speaker 6: who's now you know, who's proved itself to be a

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Speaker 6: bona fide top twenty five, top thirty teen since early

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Speaker 6: in the season. They beat Nickels Stay at home in overtime, right, so,

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Speaker 6: I mean, and then they went, you know, they beat

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Speaker 6: Grand Canyon on the road, so I mean, this team

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Speaker 6: wasn't clicking as it was now. This team had lost

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Speaker 6: to Miami at home in early December, so it's not

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Speaker 6: like the Illinois that we've seen lately. Although the Illinois

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Speaker 6: lost three straight here and now they go two Rutgers

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Speaker 6: in what should be a big game for Illinois and

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Speaker 6: seeding and just where they stand. And I don't know

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Speaker 6: if we have we have any update on Desumo.

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Speaker 2: I know that yeah he's good, but he's yeah, he's

397
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Speaker 2: goods he avoided damage.

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Speaker 4: But how long is the out there we now?

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Speaker 2: I think it's yeah.

400
00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:18,240
Speaker 6: So that's something to keep an eye because he's obviously

401
00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:22,399
Speaker 6: extremely important for Illinois. But yeah, I mean, you know,

402
00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:24,520
Speaker 6: if you just pull up a mock draft, I mean

403
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:29,320
Speaker 6: you have three Arizona players and three freshman Arizona players

404
00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,119
Speaker 6: all going in the top fifteen to twenty and some

405
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Speaker 6: mock drafts with potentially many being a lottery pick. So

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Speaker 6: the talent is all there. I mean, I don't know

407
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Speaker 6: how many other teams can say they have three first

408
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Speaker 6: potential first round picks.

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Speaker 2: I know, you know, you know what I'll tell you.

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Speaker 2: The key is, you're right. I mean, those are first

411
00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:47,760
Speaker 2: round talents, but their first round talents are going to

412
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Speaker 2: have to sit for a little bit. You know, when

413
00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:51,520
Speaker 2: we think first round talent, we're thinking of a guy

414
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Speaker 2: comes in like a Naihon John Moran who makes an

415
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,640
Speaker 2: impact right away. So yeah, I mean, Comman, you could

416
00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:58,320
Speaker 2: play a little bit for sure, But I don't think

417
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Speaker 2: those three guys step into a starting line in the NBA.

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Speaker 2: I think they are guys that come in, they play

419
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Speaker 2: a little bit here and there, and they're groomed for

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Speaker 2: two or three years. So I think what you're seeing

421
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Speaker 2: is the talent is there, but whether they're ready to

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Speaker 2: actually step forward and dominate here on the court. In

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Speaker 2: college that's another question.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, Now, I mean you could are in Kentucky with

425
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Speaker 6: Hagan's Maxie, I maybe Kansas Dotson, Azubuki and Agaji. I

426
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Speaker 6: mean I could see those three going in the first round.

427
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Speaker 6: And then Washington actually has two projected first rounders and

428
00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:29,560
Speaker 6: they're going to get their point guard back.

429
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Speaker 4: But they can't win a game year. But that's what

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00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:31,800
Speaker 4: maybe we talk about the Spore.

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Speaker 6: That's what makes them an interesting potential sleeper in the

432
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Speaker 6: PAC twelve tournament. Any thoughts on what are just general

433
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Speaker 6: thoughts of either Arizona or Michigan State.

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Speaker 3: I've said it on a podcast before and I'll say

435
00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,399
Speaker 3: it again. I don't trust Michigan State with my money

436
00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:47,280
Speaker 3: for or against. It's just a team that I'm going

437
00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:50,119
Speaker 3: to try to avoid having any kind of investment on whatsoever.

438
00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,919
Speaker 3: Arizona is a different story though for me. I mean,

439
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:55,120
Speaker 3: they had a three game winning streak until they shot

440
00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:58,119
Speaker 3: twenty five percent in a loss against UCLA. But there

441
00:18:58,160 --> 00:18:59,880
Speaker 3: were signs out there that this was going to happen

442
00:18:59,880 --> 00:19:02,679
Speaker 3: because they shot lower than forty percent from the field

443
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:05,119
Speaker 3: and wins against Washington and Wazoo leading up to this

444
00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:08,240
Speaker 3: UCLA game. And if you look at their overall shooting

445
00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:11,800
Speaker 3: percentage on the season, you know, from from three it's

446
00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:14,399
Speaker 3: thirty six percent and from two point ranges fifty one percent.

447
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:16,760
Speaker 3: But that's a little bit misleading because in conference play

448
00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:18,920
Speaker 3: they've been one of the worst two point shooting teams

449
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,760
Speaker 3: in the conference at forty six percent. So you know,

450
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:23,960
Speaker 3: I just think right now they're currently in a shooting funk.

451
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,440
Speaker 3: They haven't shot over forty percent and a multiple number

452
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,159
Speaker 3: of games. They're second in offensive efficiency in fifth and

453
00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:30,680
Speaker 3: defensive efficiency.

454
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:31,240
Speaker 1: In all of the Pac twelve.

455
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,200
Speaker 3: And like you said, I mean, all the individual talent

456
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,439
Speaker 3: in the world is there, and they have, you know,

457
00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,720
Speaker 3: an advantage on the boards on both sides of the

458
00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 3: on both sides of the court against everybody inside the

459
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,920
Speaker 3: PAC twelve. They're twentieth in the nation and average height,

460
00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:47,399
Speaker 3: but they're extremely inexperienced and they don't have much with

461
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,199
Speaker 3: minutes continuity. So you know, this is a team that

462
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:52,480
Speaker 3: is uber talented and can make a run if they

463
00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:53,959
Speaker 3: can pick it up with the shooting. But the shooting

464
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:55,920
Speaker 3: is what's really hurt in the last four games.

465
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:58,840
Speaker 4: All right, Well, much more on the top of the class.

466
00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:03,320
Speaker 6: As February progresses and as we get into March, before

467
00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:06,919
Speaker 6: we get into the weekend, let's start with Conference USA.

468
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:07,320
Speaker 1: Now.

469
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:09,880
Speaker 6: Conference Today is a really interesting conference in that their

470
00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:14,280
Speaker 6: conference play scheduled conference place should say ends this weekend.

471
00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:17,479
Speaker 6: There's fourteen teams and they have a very innovative schedule.

472
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:22,199
Speaker 6: What they do is after their fourteen games, then the

473
00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:26,200
Speaker 6: top five play in the first pod, right, and they'll

474
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 6: play each other. So that's four games each, and then

475
00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:31,159
Speaker 6: six through ten or in one pod, and then eleven

476
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:34,120
Speaker 6: through fourteen are in another pod, and then the top

477
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:37,800
Speaker 6: twelve make the conference tournament. The thinking behind them changing

478
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:40,160
Speaker 6: this is that at the top, you know, those top five,

479
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:44,200
Speaker 6: top five teams, they're going to get to play better

480
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:47,119
Speaker 6: teams more. Right, So if it's a year where you

481
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:49,959
Speaker 6: can get an at large, you can improve your resume

482
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,639
Speaker 6: by playing other top teams. And the conference out doesn't

483
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 6: look like the Conference USA will get an at large

484
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:59,720
Speaker 6: this year. It's I would say it's a fairly down

485
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:03,000
Speaker 6: year and it looks like it's a very wide open conference.

486
00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 6: I look at my power adas I still have and

487
00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:07,760
Speaker 6: I might need to change it. I still have Louisiana

488
00:21:07,840 --> 00:21:11,600
Speaker 6: Tech as there are seventieth my power and he is

489
00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:15,399
Speaker 6: in North Texas seventy two, then Western Kentucky hundred and fifteen.

490
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:18,359
Speaker 6: Charlotte's actually one forty two. Yeah, Charlotte's actually a really

491
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 6: interesting team in that you know, last year they were

492
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,600
Speaker 6: extremely young and they had a new coach, sanchezz that

493
00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 6: Tony Bennett protegee implemented the pack line. They had to

494
00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:29,320
Speaker 6: learn a new system defense. And for those who aren' familiar,

495
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:31,240
Speaker 6: when we say pack line, it's like a mandam, you know,

496
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 6: it's of Virginia runs. It's essentially a man de man

497
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,000
Speaker 6: in a way, like you play man on the ball

498
00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:40,040
Speaker 6: while the other four defenders are packed inside the paint.

499
00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,679
Speaker 6: So it makes it really hard to drive to dribble,

500
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,679
Speaker 6: drive and kick out. You always have someone pressuring the ball.

501
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:47,680
Speaker 6: You know, if someone picks up his dribble, you can

502
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:49,879
Speaker 6: go pressure that ball, try to create a turnover. But

503
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 6: it really tries to create forced shots, forced outside contested shots.

504
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:56,880
Speaker 6: Charlotte's doing a really good job. But they also had

505
00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 6: the best recruiting class at any team in conference to USA,

506
00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:03,399
Speaker 6: and Jamiir Young has been a revelation for them as

507
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 6: a freshman. So Charlotte's a really interesting team, one of

508
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 6: the most improved in the conference. And as of right now,

509
00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 6: if you look at the conference standings, you know, because

510
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,320
Speaker 6: you're going to keep this in mind on Saturday because

511
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:17,200
Speaker 6: some games could matter for these pods. But as of

512
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 6: right now, North Texas is sitting at ten and two

513
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,520
Speaker 6: in the conference, and Western Kentucky is nine and three,

514
00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:25,480
Speaker 6: LA Tech eight and four, FIU eight and four, Charlotte

515
00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 6: eight and four. So those are the five teams that

516
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:29,480
Speaker 6: you probably should see in the top pot because if

517
00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 6: there's a big drop off to FAU at six and six,

518
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,359
Speaker 6: Marshall six and six, oh to U six and six,

519
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 6: UAB Utsa, U tep uh Tsa, and you type have

520
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:41,639
Speaker 6: been very disappointing. Then Rice, Southern miss and Middle Tennessee.

521
00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:44,560
Speaker 6: Rice is actually one of the more interesting teams because

522
00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:47,400
Speaker 6: they're in that bottom pod and they were a disaster

523
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,160
Speaker 6: for most of the year, but they they've beat North

524
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:51,719
Speaker 6: Texas at home, they won at UAB and then they

525
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:54,600
Speaker 6: won at Middle Tennessee States. They've won three straight, which

526
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 6: is three of their four conference wins. It's a team

527
00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,879
Speaker 6: that just bombs threes. That's all they do. High variance

528
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,920
Speaker 6: they play no defense, but just keep that in mind.

529
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:06,639
Speaker 6: With Rice, they're just their bombers. But I think if

530
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 6: I were to give my quick thoughts on the conference

531
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 6: and who I'm interested in, I think the most complete team,

532
00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:15,399
Speaker 6: you know, and lot of Tech has a lot of

533
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,680
Speaker 6: talent with Bracy at guard, they run a four guard lineup,

534
00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:22,240
Speaker 6: but something just seems off with them. I think North

535
00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 6: Texas is probably the most complete team. I love their coach.

536
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,639
Speaker 6: They do it on both ends. Their snail on offense.

537
00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 6: Their defense has been there all year, but their offense

538
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 6: is now starting to really come around. And a lot

539
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:38,520
Speaker 6: what a lot of that has come to is James Rees,

540
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 6: who's playing a lot better. He's giving them an outside shot.

541
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:45,520
Speaker 6: It's opening up their offense. Thomas Bell comes off the bench,

542
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,680
Speaker 6: you know, and then you have Hamlet, the Juco kid,

543
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 6: top twenty Juco kid. They brought in a big from

544
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:55,360
Speaker 6: North Dakota State, so you know, and then throwing Simmons

545
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 6: and Gibson there. It's a really it's a really complete

546
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 6: team in my opinion, and they've won every game since

547
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,920
Speaker 6: January third, outside of that Rice game on the road

548
00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:08,879
Speaker 6: they lost eighty four to seventy five and you know,

549
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,199
Speaker 6: Rece just went bombs away from three when fifteen to

550
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 6: twenty eight. But I think North Texas is the most

551
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:17,200
Speaker 6: intriguing team in this conference as far as getting into

552
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,520
Speaker 6: the dance, maybe making some noise. They're going to grind

553
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:22,640
Speaker 6: you down, play good defense. The offense is really trending up.

554
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,439
Speaker 6: Offensive rating about ten to twelve points higher in their

555
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:27,640
Speaker 6: last six conference games, and it was their first six.

556
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:31,000
Speaker 6: Western Kentucky have to throw them out there. I mean,

557
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,239
Speaker 6: they're just so small and they have no depth. I mean,

558
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 6: they lost Charles Bassi, which was just a killer, but

559
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:38,880
Speaker 6: you know, you still have Hollingsworth and it's a really

560
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 6: talented team. I just don't know if they have enough

561
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,880
Speaker 6: to cause any to make any noise in the tournament.

562
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:47,399
Speaker 6: And then keep in mind FIU tempo. They don't want

563
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 6: to get any rebounds. They just want to They just

564
00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:50,679
Speaker 6: want to go, so you're gonna get a lot offensive

565
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 6: rebounds with them. One of the fastest teams in the country.

566
00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:54,879
Speaker 6: They just want to go, go, go, oh do you

567
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:56,639
Speaker 6: and the opposite and they want to get every rebound.

568
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 4: They're slow, their offense is terrible.

569
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:03,640
Speaker 6: Good defense, and uh, that's kind of my quick thoughts

570
00:25:03,800 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 6: on the Conference USA and catching you up on as

571
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 6: many teams as I can in a in a in

572
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 6: a quick rundown fashion, and keeping Javon Jackson probably one

573
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,640
Speaker 6: of the most exciting players for utsa met meat.

574
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 4: He can go for forty five on any given night.

575
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:22,320
Speaker 6: Well, obviously have to talk about the conference essay before

576
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:24,639
Speaker 6: the Conference USA tournament when we preview that. But I

577
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:27,200
Speaker 6: just wanted to kind of catch people up on a

578
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 6: conference that not many people follow closely. So let me

579
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:33,159
Speaker 6: throw it to you Randall. First, what do you you

580
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 6: have a team that you want to call out in

581
00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 6: the Conference USA or or just any general thoughts.

582
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:41,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, you talked about it. The grouping here is very interesting,

583
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,720
Speaker 2: especially for betting, because, like you said, a team like Rice,

584
00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,280
Speaker 2: you can really identify who can win a few games

585
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:50,120
Speaker 2: here because they're standing out amongst that lower group. Last year,

586
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,360
Speaker 2: if you look at the records in these in these

587
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:54,399
Speaker 2: games that they played now when they were in those

588
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 2: those separate brackets, there groups of five. In the group

589
00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 2: of four, you had Marshall who ended up going four,

590
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 2: and despite the fact that they were at the bottom

591
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,399
Speaker 2: of that top five, you would FIU going three and

592
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,920
Speaker 2: one in the middle, and surprise, surprise, you had Rice

593
00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:09,040
Speaker 2: going three and one even though they were on the bottom.

594
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:11,359
Speaker 2: So if you can identify the team that's sort of

595
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:13,400
Speaker 2: standing out from their group, I think there's some money

596
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,679
Speaker 2: to be made there. You talked about Western Kentucky. Rick

597
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:17,680
Speaker 2: Stansbury's done a real nice job there when they lost

598
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 2: Bassie to the knee injury in that OT win over Arkansas.

599
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 2: Sorry Colin, that Hilltoppers are now nine and three in

600
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:26,280
Speaker 2: conference play. They're just right behind North Texas. Ever since then,

601
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 2: the team that I'm staring at you mentioned them is Charlotte.

602
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,400
Speaker 2: You know, Sanchez has been for fifteen years Washington State,

603
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,960
Speaker 2: the UVA. Now it's a second year in Charlotte. The

604
00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 2: defense is really starting to peak for him in Conference

605
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:40,120
Speaker 2: USA play. The third and adjusted defense they hold opponents

606
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:42,879
Speaker 2: to thirty percent from three and their third defensive rebounding.

607
00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:46,680
Speaker 2: So Charlotte has wins over Davidson, Wake Forest, and Valco,

608
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,360
Speaker 2: which is not bad for a team that was predicted

609
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,960
Speaker 2: twelve out of fourteen in the preseason poll. So a

610
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 2: team that I think can make some noise late in

611
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:54,879
Speaker 2: the season is definitely Charlotte. Besides, in North Texas, like

612
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 2: you said, who's doing real well and really has everything

613
00:26:57,280 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 2: going on here at the top of the conference.

614
00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:00,719
Speaker 6: Yeah, I think that the most think part about this

615
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:04,040
Speaker 6: conference is there's such a contrast and a lot in

616
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 6: the way that a lot of these teams play, which

617
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 6: makes it really interesting and with no one clear dominant team,

618
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,639
Speaker 6: it also makes it pretty wide open, and like I mentioned,

619
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:16,920
Speaker 6: Western Kentucky has zero depth, especially now with Bassie out,

620
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:19,880
Speaker 6: they might start wearing down here, especially you know, maybe

621
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 6: at UTSA on Saturday, maybe Jackson goes nuts for UTSA.

622
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:27,000
Speaker 6: I mean, you saw it against Southern Miss last Saturday.

623
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,879
Speaker 6: After Western Kentucky beat law Tech a couple of days later,

624
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,480
Speaker 6: they really struggle with Southern Mess. So that's something to

625
00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 6: keep in mind as well. Colin, any thoughts on Conference

626
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 6: USA do you want to touch on.

627
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 3: I mean, we touched some of the teams that I

628
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 3: had in my notes. I mean North Texas currently slots

629
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:42,879
Speaker 3: at a thirteen seed in bracketology. No other team in

630
00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 3: Conference USA is on the bubble or left out or anything,

631
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 3: So I mean it's a race.

632
00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 1: For the rest of these teams.

633
00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:52,119
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky's beaten North Texas back on January second, so

634
00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:54,520
Speaker 3: that's something to watch for. But when stuck you mentioned

635
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 3: that there's a contrast in styles. I mean, North Texas

636
00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 3: the top team and is projected to make the tournament

637
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:02,119
Speaker 3: three hundred and forty ninth in the country and tempo.

638
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:04,680
Speaker 3: There's some top twenty five paces here in this conference,

639
00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 3: Florida International, Marshall Utsa. So it's definitely something to watch

640
00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 3: down the stretch. But the team that I circled and

641
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,720
Speaker 3: was going to talk about, you guyss already have is Rice.

642
00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 3: I mean, Rice started out one to eight in conference.

643
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:17,919
Speaker 3: They're now on a three game winning streak, but it

644
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:19,480
Speaker 3: doesn't matter because they're going to end up in this

645
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 3: eleven to fourteen seeding pod and they're going to go

646
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:25,480
Speaker 3: up against other teams like Southern Miss and Middle Tennessee

647
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 3: and and like you said, Rice loves to shoot shoot threes.

648
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 3: Y're second the conference and offensive efficiency. They may have

649
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 3: the worst defense in the conference, but so does Middle

650
00:28:34,760 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 3: Tennessee and so does Southern Miss. I think Rice is

651
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:39,600
Speaker 3: good to go for a number of games until we

652
00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:41,640
Speaker 3: get to the conference tournament and maybe they'll, you know,

653
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:43,480
Speaker 3: catch fire and start to believing themself a little bit

654
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 3: and get a win or two.

655
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:45,280
Speaker 4: Fair enough.

656
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 6: Yeah, so that should give you a better idea of

657
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 6: what's going on in Conference USA before we get to

658
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 6: some rants in the weekend, which is why everyone is

659
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,800
Speaker 6: here just to quick update on the American You know

660
00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 6: you houstonn't get another win last night. I thought it

661
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:00,480
Speaker 6: was an impressive winn against a South Flow, a team

662
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 6: that I think is playing a lot better and a

663
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:05,640
Speaker 6: team the watch here down the stretch with Rudeau and

664
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 6: Collins in the backcourt. Temple has come back to win.

665
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:12,560
Speaker 6: I still think they're absolutely terrible. They've had two miracle

666
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:16,440
Speaker 6: miracle wins the last two games against SMU and two Lane.

667
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:20,480
Speaker 6: They'll now actually play Villanova on Sunday and an interesting

668
00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 6: out of conference Big Five game. I still think they're terrible.

669
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 6: Tulsa is kind of coming back down to earth. You know,

670
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 6: you have SMU just all offense, no defense. Memphis is

671
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 6: kind of just hanging on here, Whichita State I think

672
00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:38,520
Speaker 6: is starting to fall. And then I think you're starting

673
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:41,680
Speaker 6: to see separation at the top with Cincinnati and Houston.

674
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 6: Talked about Cincinnati's defense. We know that they were going

675
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:46,880
Speaker 6: to be really good, but their offense is starting to

676
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 6: figure it out a little bit here. They did lose

677
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,719
Speaker 6: that game to Connecticut in overtime, but before then they

678
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 6: had wins over Temple, SMU, Houston, Wichita State, and ECU.

679
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 6: They won five straight. I think Houston's clearly the best

680
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 6: team in this conference. You know, especially when Grimes is on,

681
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,239
Speaker 6: you know, to go along with Derou and Mills, this

682
00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 6: team is extremely dangerous and you got White in the middle,

683
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 6: but you know they're going to redound, you know they're going.

684
00:30:12,800 --> 00:30:13,480
Speaker 4: To play defense.

685
00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:15,400
Speaker 6: But I think that these are the two best teams

686
00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 6: in the conference and starting to separate themselves. I think

687
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,080
Speaker 6: Wichita State, which you got to give credit to Marshall

688
00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:23,000
Speaker 6: what he's done, but they're just so young. But I

689
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,880
Speaker 6: think Wichita State Tulsa, we're a little bit of fools

690
00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:28,080
Speaker 6: goal here. I think Temple stinks. Connecticut I think is

691
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:30,080
Speaker 6: a little better than what they've played. They've been a

692
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 6: little unlucky here. South Florida I think is trending up

693
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:34,959
Speaker 6: and you know, s me, you know what you're going

694
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 6: to get. They just don't really guard anybody and they

695
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:38,800
Speaker 6: have a pretty good offense.

696
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 4: Rand thoughts on American.

697
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:44,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, impressive job by Houston. They seem disjointed the beginning

698
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:46,880
Speaker 2: of the year. I don't trust the shooting outside. I

699
00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,080
Speaker 2: mean this goes back to when when Quentin Grimes is

700
00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 2: in Kansas. I just didn't trust them at all. But yeah,

701
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 2: Houston's rebounding has been tremendous. I'm a little higher on

702
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 2: Tulsa than you are. I mean, they played that unique zone.

703
00:30:57,120 --> 00:30:59,760
Speaker 2: They had a good run there. Rachelle got hurt, he's back,

704
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:02,680
Speaker 2: so I think they can actually make some noise. And

705
00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:04,880
Speaker 2: then of course the one to me, if you're looking

706
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:06,520
Speaker 2: for like a lower seed that can make a run,

707
00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:08,720
Speaker 2: it's tough to believe in Memphis. I'll believe in Memphis

708
00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:11,120
Speaker 2: if they win tonight at Cincinnati that spread a six.

709
00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 2: I kind of like Cincinnati to win big there or

710
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 2: Chill was warming up so he's going to play. But

711
00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 2: I will see how that goes. But Connecticut, Danny Hurley

712
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:20,000
Speaker 2: said they're coming. You know, get us now because we're coming.

713
00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:22,440
Speaker 2: And since he gave that big speech, they lost away

714
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 2: at Memphis. It was close. They beat Tulsa away, that's

715
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:27,760
Speaker 2: impressive by sixteen. They beat Cincinnati. I know it was

716
00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 2: a foul, but they beat Cincinnati at home by one,

717
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 2: and then they played tough at SMU, which is an

718
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:33,479
Speaker 2: easy place to play and lost by four. So if

719
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:35,120
Speaker 2: you're looking for a team that can get hot here

720
00:31:35,120 --> 00:31:36,840
Speaker 2: that no one wants to play, that's towards the bottom.

721
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 2: I would look at Yukon, but Houston, Cincinnati, and Tulsa

722
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,560
Speaker 2: have separated themselves from me. SMU is a lot of talent,

723
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 2: but they just haven't put it together. And Memphis is

724
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:47,480
Speaker 2: young and they're free throw shooting in Memphis is atrocious,

725
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 2: so tough to trust them.

726
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 4: And Connecticut's just still running a little bad.

727
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:52,280
Speaker 6: They were running really bad for the last couple of

728
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 6: games from three, both offensively and defensively. You can expect

729
00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 6: I would think a little correction towards the back end

730
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 6: of the conference. I didn't even mentioned for Houston, Naten

731
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 6: and do it all guard who's averaging close to a

732
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 6: double double, extremely impressive sophomore Colin thoughts on the American No, I.

733
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:09,120
Speaker 1: Just had South Florida here.

734
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:11,040
Speaker 3: I mean, this is obviously right now just a one

735
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:14,520
Speaker 3: bid league with Houston at the top, Cincinnati's last four out,

736
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 3: so there's not going to be a lot of teams

737
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 3: from this conference that make it into the Dance. But

738
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 3: South Florida for me, got a cover won me some

739
00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 3: money last night. Got a cover against Houston.

740
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 1: Well yeah yeah, pounding my chest on that one. It's

741
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 1: going to lead right into my ranting a little bit.

742
00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:31,960
Speaker 3: But I mean there's three straight wins against Memphis, UCF

743
00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 3: and two lane, with Memphis being the most impressive out

744
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,840
Speaker 3: of there a two point win on the road. South

745
00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:39,560
Speaker 3: Florida is a grinder of a team. Adjusted tempo three

746
00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:41,920
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty six in the nation and their top

747
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:45,760
Speaker 3: fifty in offensive rebounds, so they're they're a tough They're

748
00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:47,320
Speaker 3: a tough team to handle. If you don't got the

749
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:49,880
Speaker 3: goods on the boards and you know their pace, a

750
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:53,080
Speaker 3: play can can hammer you down. They got a relatively

751
00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:56,160
Speaker 3: a schedule that's manageable. I mean they got Tulsa witch

752
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:59,719
Speaker 3: toss State in Connecticut and then lowly East Carolina coming up,

753
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 3: and and I think that this team can gets some confidence.

754
00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:04,440
Speaker 3: There's definitely someone in the conference tournament that long shot odds.

755
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:05,560
Speaker 3: Maybe I'll take a look at.

756
00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:06,600
Speaker 4: It's good recaut there.

757
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 6: I think South Florida Tulsa a game will tell us

758
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:10,840
Speaker 6: a lot, like how much on the upswing is South

759
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:14,080
Speaker 6: Florida and where is Tulsa's where does Tulsa stand. You know,

760
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:18,080
Speaker 6: Tulsa did get a win the other day, but it

761
00:33:18,120 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 6: was a home against East Carolina. How much can you

762
00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,640
Speaker 6: take from that? So you know, they have South Florida

763
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 6: and then Houston on the road, so we'll learn a

764
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:28,600
Speaker 6: lot about Tulsa. And is it what Randall's thinking? He's

765
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 6: still a little believer in that defense. The thing that

766
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 6: scares me South Florida is they turn it over a ton,

767
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:35,440
Speaker 6: which is not great against Tulsa, but they should be

768
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 6: able to crash the glass. So it'll be an interesting

769
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:39,640
Speaker 6: game I might get involved in. But let's move on

770
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 6: to before we get to the weekend. Let's get in

771
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:42,720
Speaker 6: some rats here.

772
00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:47,880
Speaker 1: Losing money is never fun, but sometimes it's worth the

773
00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:52,560
Speaker 1: story because a bad beat is a dope beat money.

774
00:33:52,600 --> 00:33:55,520
Speaker 4: The dope be a dope, be a dope.

775
00:33:57,520 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 6: I'll start here. I'm going to go with the two

776
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,240
Speaker 6: melt downs last night. Now, luckily I had some first half,

777
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 6: but Villanova Colin benefited from this thick he had Marquette.

778
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 4: I mean up eighteen in control.

779
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 6: If I lose another goddamn game with Marquette is hitting

780
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,279
Speaker 6: this bomb threes in the last two minutes can test

781
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 6: it and everyone goes in. Marquette Nova, you know, leads

782
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:21,240
Speaker 6: his entire game up ten with two minutes to go. Marquette,

783
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:23,000
Speaker 6: it's a three, and then they keep missing free throws.

784
00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:25,439
Speaker 6: Robinson earls and eighty five percent free throw shooter miss

785
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:27,319
Speaker 6: is a front end, goes four to eight over a

786
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 6: long stretch, and then of course Marquette misses the front end.

787
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:35,239
Speaker 6: They get a rebound tie up possessions obviously Marquette, and

788
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:38,400
Speaker 6: then Marcus Howard hits a three, and then of course

789
00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 6: Villanova goes to the line up three.

790
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 4: I even got a good number earlier.

791
00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:43,439
Speaker 6: Four.

792
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:47,160
Speaker 4: They missed the first again, eighty five percent free throw shooter.

793
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 6: Make the second, and I tweeted, I'm almost forty five

794
00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 6: seconds before this play happened.

795
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:54,080
Speaker 4: Marcus Howard three at the bell.

796
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:58,400
Speaker 6: Dot gift and that's exactly what happened, and Marquette loses

797
00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 6: by one. Lenova gets to win that along with the

798
00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 6: two lane meltdown where they didn't score bucket. I think

799
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:07,719
Speaker 6: over the last nine minutes and Temple took their first

800
00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:10,399
Speaker 6: lead in the final thirty seconds and then made all.

801
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:11,439
Speaker 4: Their free throws and went up four.

802
00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:15,760
Speaker 6: And then while West Virginia just went into a coffin

803
00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:16,800
Speaker 6: for the last nine minutes.

804
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:18,680
Speaker 4: Those were frustrating. Now you gotta remember the good ones.

805
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 6: Look South Florida after they missed four free throws, get

806
00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:23,360
Speaker 6: a little layup at the end of the Texas santam

807
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:25,520
Speaker 6: Corpus Christy hits a three to get me in the

808
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:29,920
Speaker 6: back door. But those I had a rant about them

809
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:33,360
Speaker 6: because those were just to have all those happen at

810
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:36,920
Speaker 6: the same time where you just feel like your team

811
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:44,160
Speaker 6: cannot score in the last couple of minutes was extremely frustrating.

812
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:46,760
Speaker 6: Vanderbilt melting down on Tuesday, I'll throw that one.

813
00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:50,240
Speaker 4: In there as well. And then Texas.

814
00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:52,040
Speaker 6: I don't know how much money I'm gonna lose on

815
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 6: Texas this year. People, they're a simple team, like I

816
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:57,799
Speaker 6: said on the College Football Pot, And by a simple team,

817
00:35:57,800 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 6: I mean just fade them.

818
00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:02,640
Speaker 4: But man six and a half and they lose by seven.

819
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,520
Speaker 6: That was frustrating because after what happened last weekend and

820
00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:07,120
Speaker 6: then the LSU game the other weekend.

821
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 4: Oh boy, Yeah, those are some of my rants for

822
00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:10,319
Speaker 4: the week.

823
00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:12,799
Speaker 2: Randall we got I'll tell you I would have been

824
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,560
Speaker 2: in a straight jacket and unable to be on this pod.

825
00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 2: If Ohio State did not cover barely against Rutgers last night.

826
00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 2: They dominated that game, they played well, they were up,

827
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:24,280
Speaker 2: and then again this late game comeback drove me nuts.

828
00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:26,680
Speaker 4: That Rutgers three goes in late You fuck.

829
00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:28,799
Speaker 2: I know it's exactly right. It's been a very good

830
00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:30,640
Speaker 2: week for me. But I'm going back to last Friday

831
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:32,399
Speaker 2: because that was the night that kept me up all night.

832
00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:36,439
Speaker 2: First off, Yale, can you beat Harvard? You're four and zero,

833
00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 2: You lost by two at Penn State, you beat for

834
00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 2: mod at home by thirteen. You have a true road

835
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 2: win at Clemson. No seth Towns for Harvard out for

836
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:45,560
Speaker 2: the year, knee Andrey at the plus for two years ago,

837
00:36:45,600 --> 00:36:48,360
Speaker 2: he's never gotten right. No Bryce ach and foot injury.

838
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 2: Your home to Harvard. You've lost six in a row.

839
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:54,000
Speaker 2: You can control this league because Princeton sales and played

840
00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:55,719
Speaker 2: a lot of the top teams, and they still have

841
00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 2: to play Harvard again. Yale gags it. They let Danillo

842
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 2: do jurorcheck have a season high of seventeen points, three

843
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:04,879
Speaker 2: or four from three? The guy such a stud? How many?

844
00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,759
Speaker 2: How against Brown the next night zero and losing to

845
00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:11,400
Speaker 2: a color is never good, guys. Terrible job by Harvard,

846
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:13,960
Speaker 2: and then Yale comes back and loses the night before,

847
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:16,560
Speaker 2: just awful. As for Troy, later that night.

848
00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 6: Swain had thirty three acts in at twenty eight and

849
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:21,360
Speaker 6: they right exactly, free throw at the end and the

850
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:21,759
Speaker 6: free through.

851
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:24,840
Speaker 2: Then a terrible job also that night later on Troy.

852
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:26,759
Speaker 2: I love Scott Cross as a coach. I think he

853
00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:29,160
Speaker 2: got screwed to Texas Arlington. Now he's at Troy. They

854
00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:32,080
Speaker 2: push at home against South Alabama and then just to

855
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 2: finish me off, on Friday, Buffalo's leading thirty five nineteen

856
00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 2: to the offensive juggernaut that is Central Michigan. They give

857
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:42,080
Speaker 2: a forty one second half points at home and I

858
00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:44,960
Speaker 2: lose by the hook. So Friday was not fun for me.

859
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 2: Good week, but bad Friday. This Friday's gotta get better.

860
00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:50,839
Speaker 4: I'm curious to get a quick when we get to Friday.

861
00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:52,319
Speaker 6: I'll ask you about the IVY, but let me get

862
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 6: we'll get back to Yale.

863
00:37:54,160 --> 00:37:56,000
Speaker 4: Kyle, I'm not gonna let you get some rants in here.

864
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,360
Speaker 3: They all can't be again. Zaga against Saint Mary's. I

865
00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:01,319
Speaker 3: know that was again game that we potted about, I

866
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:04,040
Speaker 3: wrote about, and I just like the Gonzaga size and

867
00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:07,120
Speaker 3: they boat raced them almost double their points by halftime.

868
00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:09,040
Speaker 1: And when you bet on games like that, and they

869
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:10,080
Speaker 1: can't all be like that.

870
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 3: And I'm not the kind of guy that I mean,

871
00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:16,960
Speaker 3: I'm leading in. I'm leading into how bad I am.

872
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 3: So you know that they can't all be like that.

873
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:22,799
Speaker 3: And you turn around and in the past week, I've

874
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:26,160
Speaker 3: had Lehigh minus eight against Holy Cross, Texas, plus six

875
00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:29,200
Speaker 3: against Baylor, Oral Roberts plus six against North Dakota State,

876
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:33,080
Speaker 3: Eastern Michigan, Eastern Illinois, minus seven and a half against Eastern Kentucky.

877
00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:35,160
Speaker 3: What do these all have in common? These are point

878
00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 3: spreads that I lost on a last by one point late.

879
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:41,359
Speaker 3: And I don't know what it is like if it's

880
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:44,359
Speaker 3: Oddsmeggers or if it's Ken Palm. But I suffer more

881
00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 3: half point and one point losses in college basketball, but

882
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:49,680
Speaker 3: than I do in any sport. I mean, I could

883
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:51,480
Speaker 3: take a golf loss and a head to head matchup

884
00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:54,399
Speaker 3: by one stroke. Fine, I rub it off. I now

885
00:38:54,440 --> 00:38:56,320
Speaker 3: have to deal with pitchers in MLB that are forced

886
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 3: to pace three batters, but the meltdown from the bullpen

887
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 3: has come fine. It happens college football. I've seen bad beats.

888
00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:05,439
Speaker 3: You know, it happens, You move on, you take notes,

889
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:07,320
Speaker 3: you move on. I don't know what it is about

890
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:10,880
Speaker 3: college basketball. There is a plethora of these one point losses.

891
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:12,880
Speaker 3: I've had six of them in the past seven days,

892
00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:15,520
Speaker 3: and I think it's the ones. I don't know about

893
00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:17,359
Speaker 3: you guys, but it is just the one sport where

894
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:20,080
Speaker 3: I feel more depressed and helpless. When I have a

895
00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 3: one point loss. In college basketball, it just it just

896
00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:26,319
Speaker 3: addresses you. It sends you to bed extremely unhappy. And

897
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:28,120
Speaker 3: that's I've had one of those almost.

898
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 1: Every day this week.

899
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,200
Speaker 2: Colin. Don't you feel like this year college basketball has

900
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:33,279
Speaker 2: become like the NBA, You know, in the NBA, where

901
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:35,960
Speaker 2: everybody makes a run, they're like a twelve point you're

902
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:38,320
Speaker 2: down twelve, then you're up for I feel like college

903
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:40,359
Speaker 2: basketball has been that this year. In the second half,

904
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 2: it's hard to feel like you get a good dagon.

905
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:44,920
Speaker 4: That blasts me ever again on this podcast.

906
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:47,880
Speaker 3: And I think the counter to that is, I mean,

907
00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:49,680
Speaker 3: you look at this Duke North Carolina game. If you're

908
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:52,240
Speaker 3: a what we call a day trader in Wall Street,

909
00:39:52,520 --> 00:39:54,520
Speaker 3: like you can have a field day just getting money

910
00:39:54,520 --> 00:39:57,319
Speaker 3: lines and point spreads on either side. But I mean,

911
00:39:57,440 --> 00:39:59,160
Speaker 3: you can only do that for so long, Like I

912
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:01,719
Speaker 3: mean betting second half have totals. You know that you

913
00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:04,440
Speaker 3: can only do that so much before you know you're

914
00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:07,880
Speaker 3: where the tread off the tire. But these one point losses,

915
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:11,560
Speaker 3: it's a different feeling with a one point loss in

916
00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:13,360
Speaker 3: college basketball than it is in any other sport.

917
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 6: For me, Yeah, well, speaking of you brought up football,

918
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 6: and we should have this quick conversation home court advantage.

919
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:22,640
Speaker 6: Just as someone asked me about this on Twitter, I

920
00:40:22,680 --> 00:40:24,120
Speaker 6: might as well talk about it really quick in Colin.

921
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:26,680
Speaker 6: You can bring in your different perspective that's kind of

922
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:28,840
Speaker 6: similar to how you do it with college football. But

923
00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:31,000
Speaker 6: you know, home court advantage A lot of people who

924
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 6: say just average, you know, three three point two points

925
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 6: per home court when you're trying to set a line

926
00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 6: and set a power rating, and you know, that's what

927
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 6: I do, and it's a humbersome process. And you got

928
00:40:41,440 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 6: to up your updating all these teams all year long,

929
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,480
Speaker 6: three hundred and fifty three teams. You're not updating them

930
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:48,759
Speaker 6: memory Now. I have it based on certain performances and

931
00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:51,480
Speaker 6: I adjusted box scores and things like that. But you know,

932
00:40:51,520 --> 00:40:53,800
Speaker 6: then you take what one team's power rating is and another,

933
00:40:53,840 --> 00:40:56,160
Speaker 6: and then you adjust for home court advantage. Home court

934
00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:59,719
Speaker 6: advantage is wildly, wildly different in college basketball. If you

935
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,799
Speaker 6: go to Ken Bomb publishes home court numbers, and what

936
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,879
Speaker 6: he's looking at is like the last sixty conference home

937
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 6: and road games fifty or sixty and looking at the

938
00:41:08,560 --> 00:41:13,280
Speaker 6: difference in performance. I do something similar with historical exercise.

939
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:16,000
Speaker 6: And then also I have subjective changes, like I know

940
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:18,200
Speaker 6: that like a team like Auburn, you know that they

941
00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:20,600
Speaker 6: weren't great before, but they're really good now.

942
00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:23,239
Speaker 4: Their home court now is a lot more formidable.

943
00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:26,239
Speaker 6: A team like Denver that's been so bad that there's

944
00:41:26,239 --> 00:41:28,280
Speaker 6: a lot more noise in their blowouts.

945
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 4: So I mean I have them still.

946
00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:31,920
Speaker 6: Having one of the best home court advantages in the

947
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:34,520
Speaker 6: country because of the altitude. You know. So it's it's

948
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,239
Speaker 6: part regression based on past results. And then you know

949
00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:40,480
Speaker 6: what's driving home court and basketball is the surroundings, how

950
00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:44,520
Speaker 6: familiar you're familiar with, your home gym, the home crowd, altitude,

951
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:47,520
Speaker 6: travel La Tech Louisiana Tech is one of the best

952
00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:50,600
Speaker 6: home courts in college basketball because it's really hard to

953
00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:52,719
Speaker 6: get there flying and then bussing and then it's one

954
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:54,160
Speaker 6: of the hardest cities in the country.

955
00:41:53,840 --> 00:41:54,200
Speaker 1: To get to.

956
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:56,680
Speaker 4: But there's there's a multitude of factors.

957
00:41:56,880 --> 00:41:59,759
Speaker 2: You know, and stuck to that point, if you look

958
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:02,240
Speaker 2: at the teams who are doing the best against the spread,

959
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:04,480
Speaker 2: the home teams this year, you really don't see a

960
00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:07,799
Speaker 2: lot of Power five schools. It's North Carolina, Central South,

961
00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:11,920
Speaker 2: Dakota State, Austin, p Boise State, UMass Go, Figure Iowa

962
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:14,120
Speaker 2: was in there. But the rest Murray State, Belmont. They

963
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,279
Speaker 2: tend to be, like you said, those smaller schools North

964
00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,399
Speaker 2: Texas that are hard to get to. So you can

965
00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:21,600
Speaker 2: pack the big stadiums, but it's not necessarily translating to

966
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:23,040
Speaker 2: good betting opportunities.

967
00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:26,400
Speaker 6: Yeah, and you know, like the worst home court advantages

968
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:29,439
Speaker 6: in college basketball, and I think Colin you would agree

969
00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:31,680
Speaker 6: with this. In college football, it's the MAC because it's

970
00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:34,400
Speaker 6: you know, not not a lot of states easy travel,

971
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:38,120
Speaker 6: but like your your MAC schools, you know, your Canciuses,

972
00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:42,759
Speaker 6: your Riders, your QUINNIPIAX, your Patriot League schools, your Colgates,

973
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:47,320
Speaker 6: your Naviies, your Armies, your your NYC schools, your your.

974
00:42:47,120 --> 00:42:49,120
Speaker 4: Marymacks, your Long Islands.

975
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:51,239
Speaker 6: These are schools that are around one and a half

976
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:53,759
Speaker 6: to two points for home court advantage. The other end

977
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:57,200
Speaker 6: of the spectrum, you know, you have Colorado Air Force

978
00:42:57,360 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 6: altitude right New Mexico altitude and the pit is usually crazy, Utah,

979
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:04,840
Speaker 6: Louisiana Tech, Texas Tech.

980
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:05,719
Speaker 4: Altitude, and Lubbock two.

981
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:09,400
Speaker 6: Keeps that in mind, Perdue, I have up there, West Virginia, Kansas,

982
00:43:09,560 --> 00:43:15,560
Speaker 6: Utah State, you know, Kentucky, Iowa State, generally Iowa, Denver,

983
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 6: Colorado State.

984
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:19,560
Speaker 4: Wyoming is actually a good one with the altitude, tough

985
00:43:19,560 --> 00:43:21,640
Speaker 4: place to go. Those are the ones I have at.

986
00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 6: Like four points in higher So God, do you want

987
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:26,560
Speaker 6: to give a quick just an insight into home court

988
00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 6: advantage or home field?

989
00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:27,879
Speaker 4: Yeah?

990
00:43:28,239 --> 00:43:31,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean home field advantage for college football. The

991
00:43:31,120 --> 00:43:32,880
Speaker 3: way that we do it, the way I do it

992
00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:34,480
Speaker 3: is I'll take a ten year sample set, and I'll

993
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,080
Speaker 3: take a three year sample set, and I want to

994
00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:39,840
Speaker 3: know how you do against the spread against odds makers numbers,

995
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:42,239
Speaker 3: not exactly like do you win at home? Of course

996
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:44,320
Speaker 3: you're going to win at home. It's college football. A

997
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:45,919
Speaker 3: lot of teams win at home. But that doesn't tell

998
00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:47,799
Speaker 3: me that you're good at home. I want to know

999
00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:50,759
Speaker 3: if you're consistently beating bookmakers' numbers. So I take a

1000
00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:53,439
Speaker 3: ten year sample versus a three year sample. I wait

1001
00:43:53,480 --> 00:43:55,719
Speaker 3: the three year sample a little bit more. Home field

1002
00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,000
Speaker 3: advantage is generally two point five, and then I use

1003
00:43:58,160 --> 00:44:01,759
Speaker 3: like a mathematical series to balance out a deviation off

1004
00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 3: of two point five, so you could have four, you

1005
00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:06,120
Speaker 3: could have half.

1006
00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:08,520
Speaker 1: A point for home field advantage. But you're right about

1007
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:09,279
Speaker 1: the MAC. The MAC.

1008
00:44:09,600 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 3: I think the good example about the MAC is what

1009
00:44:11,640 --> 00:44:13,320
Speaker 3: kind of reminds me of some of these home courts

1010
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:16,759
Speaker 3: for college basketball. If you think about Eastern Michigan football, well,

1011
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:18,440
Speaker 3: at least I do every day of the year, But

1012
00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:20,520
Speaker 3: if you think about Eastern Michigan football, they have a

1013
00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,600
Speaker 3: track around their field, and when fans are yelling at

1014
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:27,080
Speaker 3: the teams, the players can't hear them. I mean, you

1015
00:44:27,080 --> 00:44:29,320
Speaker 3: can get up an audible three or four times because

1016
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 3: the fans are so far away from the actual football

1017
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:34,920
Speaker 3: field itself. It's like you could hear a pin drop

1018
00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 3: because there's a track around the entire stadium, and there's

1019
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:39,600
Speaker 3: not that many people there in the first place. And

1020
00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:42,719
Speaker 3: so for years, for over twenty years, thirty years, I

1021
00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:45,600
Speaker 3: used to have this place called Barnhill Arena where I

1022
00:44:45,640 --> 00:44:49,239
Speaker 3: would go and watch Razorback basketball. We cram in like

1023
00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:52,080
Speaker 3: a sardine can, eight thousand of us and you couldn't

1024
00:44:52,120 --> 00:44:55,640
Speaker 3: hear anything. It was the loudest place in the world

1025
00:44:55,680 --> 00:44:57,640
Speaker 3: to watch a basketball game. And they moved us into

1026
00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:00,200
Speaker 3: Budwalton Arena. And what they did is they immediately put

1027
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:02,480
Speaker 3: the students all in one little section. They'll give you

1028
00:45:02,560 --> 00:45:05,319
Speaker 3: one little section. They'll feed it up right, they'll feed

1029
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:08,120
Speaker 3: it vertically up. And I've said this a billion times.

1030
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:11,479
Speaker 3: There's something about elevation, right. Colorado has four point nine

1031
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:14,400
Speaker 3: home court advantage and their elevation is fifty four hundred feet.

1032
00:45:14,600 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 1: To me, that matters.

1033
00:45:15,600 --> 00:45:19,879
Speaker 3: But places like Duke and Grand Canyon, they take their

1034
00:45:19,920 --> 00:45:22,080
Speaker 3: students section and they give them like the first five

1035
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:24,080
Speaker 3: to ten rows and they whip it around the entire

1036
00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:28,040
Speaker 3: court to make it much less friendly for the opposing team.

1037
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:31,080
Speaker 3: I think teams that have that advantage, I mean, the

1038
00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:35,319
Speaker 3: elevation is important. The values in game. Difference between your

1039
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 3: home and road margin, I think is extremely important. But

1040
00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:39,400
Speaker 3: I don't think it's talked about enough. Some of these

1041
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:42,080
Speaker 3: home courts where you have students that line the first

1042
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:44,000
Speaker 3: five to ten rows all the way around stadium.

1043
00:45:44,160 --> 00:45:44,879
Speaker 4: Great points there.

1044
00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:47,600
Speaker 6: And with college basketball too, if you start to get

1045
00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:49,360
Speaker 6: really good and you're not used to being good, what

1046
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:49,920
Speaker 6: you know.

1047
00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:51,840
Speaker 4: Obviously you can feed off of a crowd.

1048
00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:54,680
Speaker 6: You won't come out flat, you can feed off the energy.

1049
00:45:55,239 --> 00:45:56,880
Speaker 6: You can really get an other team's head. But it

1050
00:45:56,960 --> 00:45:59,480
Speaker 6: also the main impact it has is on refs. Right,

1051
00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:01,120
Speaker 6: you might get a call or to the other way.

1052
00:46:01,520 --> 00:46:03,840
Speaker 6: If you blow a call and the crowd is getting

1053
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:06,440
Speaker 6: on you, it's only human nature to maybe you give

1054
00:46:06,480 --> 00:46:08,200
Speaker 6: an extra call or too when the crowd is just

1055
00:46:08,480 --> 00:46:12,239
Speaker 6: in a complete insanity. So that's a little little one

1056
00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:13,840
Speaker 6: of the answer to someone that asked me on Twitter.

1057
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:17,800
Speaker 6: But let's move on to the weekend. Let's first start

1058
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:20,960
Speaker 6: with some Friday night lights. Talk about any spots that

1059
00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:21,880
Speaker 6: we have circled.

1060
00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:26,240
Speaker 2: Why let football have all the fun, Let's be Friday

1061
00:46:26,320 --> 00:46:29,160
Speaker 2: night lights.

1062
00:46:29,520 --> 00:46:32,680
Speaker 4: I'll mention a couple here. Iona.

1063
00:46:32,920 --> 00:46:34,919
Speaker 6: You know, I know that they're playing without just too

1064
00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:37,479
Speaker 6: is out with an injury long term. But they've played

1065
00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:39,279
Speaker 6: a lot better the last couple of games. Maybe they've

1066
00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:41,960
Speaker 6: found something with the starting part. They still have no depth.

1067
00:46:42,200 --> 00:46:45,800
Speaker 6: They have major revenge against Manhattan. They do struggle with turnovers,

1068
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:48,279
Speaker 6: which isn't great against Manhattan. But I might look at

1069
00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:52,800
Speaker 6: Iona home Siena against Ryder, and then a team to

1070
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:56,799
Speaker 6: keep an eye on is Saint Bonadventure, potential sleeper in

1071
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 6: the Atlantic Ten. With those Soon back, you know, this

1072
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:03,640
Speaker 6: team is playing extremely good basketball. They are a different

1073
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:06,759
Speaker 6: team when he is in the lineup. All of their

1074
00:47:06,800 --> 00:47:10,719
Speaker 6: losses in the A ten happened when he was out.

1075
00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:15,400
Speaker 6: Now they only played you know, the good teams when

1076
00:47:15,440 --> 00:47:17,400
Speaker 6: he was out. Or they lost the VCU, Dayton and

1077
00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:20,680
Speaker 6: Rhode Island, and they weren't really close to any of them.

1078
00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:22,400
Speaker 6: That's by six round. They got bown up by VC,

1079
00:47:22,560 --> 00:47:24,560
Speaker 6: blown up by Dayton. You gotta remember earlier in the

1080
00:47:24,640 --> 00:47:26,520
Speaker 6: year a Soon missed some time. He's there big, he's

1081
00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:28,319
Speaker 6: six to ten big. Their defense is so much better,

1082
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:30,920
Speaker 6: the rebounding, but their defense is particular with him and

1083
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:34,560
Speaker 6: the paint. But Jaron English sophomore, he missed a lot

1084
00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:36,400
Speaker 6: of time early in the season, and they had some

1085
00:47:36,480 --> 00:47:40,120
Speaker 6: bad losses out of conference to Canisius, Vermont, Ohio at

1086
00:47:40,120 --> 00:47:43,320
Speaker 6: home Sianna, but that was at everyone loses at Sienna.

1087
00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:46,719
Speaker 6: But when this team's healthy in conference play, they've been

1088
00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:50,319
Speaker 6: playing really well and then they proved it at Duquine. Right,

1089
00:47:50,400 --> 00:47:53,200
Speaker 6: they finally played a team in the upper echeland of

1090
00:47:53,200 --> 00:47:57,120
Speaker 6: the conference. Went healthy so at home against Davidson, who

1091
00:47:57,160 --> 00:48:00,960
Speaker 6: I think the markets tend to overvalue and good teams,

1092
00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 6: especially this one, this version of that team, they might

1093
00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 6: be worth a look as well. Bonnie's just a different

1094
00:48:06,040 --> 00:48:07,560
Speaker 6: team with those soon, right, what are you looking at

1095
00:48:07,600 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 6: for Friday?

1096
00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:10,520
Speaker 4: Anything? Yeah? And also just first what are you what

1097
00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:11,120
Speaker 4: are you looking at?

1098
00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:13,760
Speaker 2: Fourth spots? You named a couple of them. Totally agree

1099
00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:16,120
Speaker 2: on Saint Bonaventure. Last time they lost with assun he

1100
00:48:16,239 --> 00:48:19,600
Speaker 2: was Buffalo back in December. Different team, Davidson's King and

1101
00:48:19,640 --> 00:48:21,759
Speaker 2: the little People. They play at home, they blow teams

1102
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:24,399
Speaker 2: out at home, like Fordham. They play anyone good, they lose.

1103
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:26,640
Speaker 6: I'm curious by the way, sorry to off, but oh

1104
00:48:26,719 --> 00:48:29,160
Speaker 6: soon in that Buffalo game, five fouls played fifteen minutes

1105
00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:29,879
Speaker 6: stout out and.

1106
00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 2: That's exactly right. Yeah, absolutely, I'll risk you guys, tell

1107
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:35,359
Speaker 2: me I have take lock Yelle going to Princeton. Yale

1108
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:37,480
Speaker 2: is going to be favorite at Princeton, I don't think so.

1109
00:48:37,560 --> 00:48:40,280
Speaker 2: I'll take the points there. With Princeton at home, Northern

1110
00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:44,160
Speaker 2: Kentucky has Dantes Walton back. They're playing an Iupui team

1111
00:48:44,200 --> 00:48:47,319
Speaker 2: that they destroyed. They're playing very well now. They've won

1112
00:48:48,160 --> 00:48:50,160
Speaker 2: nine of their last ten games. The only loss was

1113
00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:52,600
Speaker 2: the blowout to Wright State. They're a little bit behind

1114
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:54,879
Speaker 2: there there one game behind in the horizon, but they've

1115
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:57,440
Speaker 2: been playing very well and beating team solidly. They played

1116
00:48:57,440 --> 00:48:59,719
Speaker 2: Detroit at home in one by twenty. So depending on

1117
00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:01,279
Speaker 2: what that line is, that's another one I'm going to

1118
00:49:01,320 --> 00:49:04,239
Speaker 2: look at and listen. Harvard, I still think they have talent.

1119
00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:06,879
Speaker 2: They're going to be home against Cornell. That's probably one two.

1120
00:49:07,040 --> 00:49:09,440
Speaker 2: So some teams at home here on a Friday night

1121
00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:11,560
Speaker 2: that I think can do really well. Also, for some reason,

1122
00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:15,120
Speaker 2: really quick, people aren't buying into Saint Peter's. Saint Peter's

1123
00:49:15,160 --> 00:49:17,520
Speaker 2: has a really good record against the spread. They're playing

1124
00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:20,840
Speaker 2: Quinnipiac at home. For some reason, they don't buy to

1125
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:22,919
Speaker 2: the Peacocks here, small school out here in the East.

1126
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:25,359
Speaker 2: But Saint Peter's doing well against the spread. So at

1127
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:26,799
Speaker 2: home I'm probably gonna roll with them as well.

1128
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:28,960
Speaker 4: Col what do you got for Friday night?

1129
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:30,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, check schedule.

1130
00:49:31,440 --> 00:49:35,120
Speaker 3: Yes, Sianna is playing at home it seems like every

1131
00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:37,000
Speaker 3: time we get to this part of the podcast, I'll

1132
00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:39,960
Speaker 3: remind people that Sanna's won every game this year at home.

1133
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:42,440
Speaker 3: They've lost every road game except for one they got

1134
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:46,000
Speaker 3: writer on on Friday night, So it's it's auto played.

1135
00:49:46,000 --> 00:49:48,960
Speaker 1: At this point with Sianna Randall, I have.

1136
00:49:48,960 --> 00:49:52,000
Speaker 4: To ask you IVY League, just very high level? Is

1137
00:49:52,000 --> 00:49:52,920
Speaker 4: Harvard winning this thing?

1138
00:49:53,120 --> 00:49:55,520
Speaker 6: Because the reason I say that, you know Yale can't

1139
00:49:55,520 --> 00:49:58,320
Speaker 6: beat them. I know Penn is intriguing. This is the

1140
00:49:58,360 --> 00:50:00,279
Speaker 6: IVY League tournament at the end of the year. Only

1141
00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:02,799
Speaker 6: four teams make it. You would assume, you know, it's

1142
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:06,279
Speaker 6: probably gonna be Princeton, Harvard, Yale, and Hen you know,

1143
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:09,520
Speaker 6: maybe you have a wild card in there. But Harvard's

1144
00:50:09,520 --> 00:50:12,840
Speaker 6: playing at home and they're hosting the tournament, and I

1145
00:50:12,880 --> 00:50:14,920
Speaker 6: still don't know the status of Bryce Aikin. Might be

1146
00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:17,560
Speaker 6: the best guard in the conference of when he's coming back,

1147
00:50:17,560 --> 00:50:21,680
Speaker 6: but he does, that makes them only that much more dangerous.

1148
00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:23,279
Speaker 4: Who's dancing here at the end of the point it's

1149
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:24,279
Speaker 4: all said and done.

1150
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:26,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if Bryce Aikin doesn't come back, I

1151
00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:28,680
Speaker 2: can't take Harvard, even though Harvard seems to really have

1152
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:31,240
Speaker 2: it down in the big games in the IVY with Amaker,

1153
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:33,319
Speaker 2: I mean, since Amaker's been there, they won like five

1154
00:50:33,360 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 2: titles in a row. Then they were fourth, second, and first.

1155
00:50:36,200 --> 00:50:39,480
Speaker 2: So if Akin comes back, that's absolutely the bet. But

1156
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:41,560
Speaker 2: I mean, I guess I have to say Yale, I mean,

1157
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:43,319
Speaker 2: because they certainly have the most talent. And I told

1158
00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:45,160
Speaker 2: you about those out of conference wins. They were playing

1159
00:50:45,239 --> 00:50:48,960
Speaker 2: very well Brunner inside their controlling pace, just very frustrating.

1160
00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:51,040
Speaker 2: Yale right now is five and one, so is Princeton.

1161
00:50:51,080 --> 00:50:53,680
Speaker 2: I buy into Yale's talent over Princeton, particularly on a

1162
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:55,960
Speaker 2: neutral court, even though I think Princeton's going to show

1163
00:50:56,000 --> 00:50:57,640
Speaker 2: up here at home. They beat Harvard at home, they

1164
00:50:57,640 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 2: were winning by a lot. Harvard came back on him

1165
00:50:59,520 --> 00:51:02,160
Speaker 2: last week, but the rest of the league, Penn Brown,

1166
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:04,840
Speaker 2: I mean, Harvard has struggled against the mediocre teams. But

1167
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:07,960
Speaker 2: if Aking comes back, it's Harvard for me. Otherwise I

1168
00:51:08,080 --> 00:51:09,319
Speaker 2: have to reluctantly go with ye.

1169
00:51:10,120 --> 00:51:12,960
Speaker 6: Fair enough, all right, Let's move on to Saturday and

1170
00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:15,080
Speaker 6: talk about a couple spots that we have circled.

1171
00:51:15,480 --> 00:51:19,759
Speaker 1: So many games, so little time. Let's look at the

1172
00:51:19,840 --> 00:51:20,800
Speaker 1: Saturday slate.

1173
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:26,160
Speaker 6: What I'll mention is Mercer. Mercer is quietly playing extremely

1174
00:51:26,200 --> 00:51:31,360
Speaker 6: good basketball. They have won seven and nine, an important

1175
00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:34,720
Speaker 6: game against UNC Greensboro in the Southern at home on Saturday.

1176
00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:38,560
Speaker 6: Should be catching hopefully over six or seven. But this

1177
00:51:38,640 --> 00:51:41,000
Speaker 6: is a team they won at Wafford. Last game they

1178
00:51:41,000 --> 00:51:43,000
Speaker 6: won at East Tennessee State, who I think is the

1179
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:45,280
Speaker 6: best team in the conference. The Southern's a really intriguing

1180
00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:49,360
Speaker 6: conference was East Tennessee State. You know Furman, UNC Greensboro.

1181
00:51:49,480 --> 00:51:51,040
Speaker 6: They're the top three teams, and you also have Wafford,

1182
00:51:51,040 --> 00:51:53,400
Speaker 6: who's right there. They're all playing well. Not Wafford, but

1183
00:51:53,440 --> 00:51:56,319
Speaker 6: the top that are playing really well, but they're going

1184
00:51:56,360 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 6: So they're playing UNC Greensboro at home. It's an important

1185
00:51:58,680 --> 00:52:02,319
Speaker 6: game for conference standing. And you know UNC Greensboro beat

1186
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:04,520
Speaker 6: them by nine early on this season.

1187
00:52:04,920 --> 00:52:08,080
Speaker 4: The one thing that does scare you is Mercer turns the.

1188
00:52:08,080 --> 00:52:11,800
Speaker 6: Ball over a ton and that is not good against

1189
00:52:11,880 --> 00:52:15,600
Speaker 6: UNC Greensboro, who you know the West Miller's pressure and

1190
00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:19,680
Speaker 6: press and they're the are aggressive stoff defense. It's not ideal.

1191
00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:22,880
Speaker 6: I think UNC Greensborough's third of the nation in turnover

1192
00:52:22,960 --> 00:52:26,719
Speaker 6: percentage forced. But it's a terrible spot because Mercer needs

1193
00:52:26,719 --> 00:52:30,799
Speaker 6: this game they're playing really well. And UNC Greensboro, who

1194
00:52:31,080 --> 00:52:36,399
Speaker 6: has hosts Wafford next And why is that important? Well,

1195
00:52:36,440 --> 00:52:39,759
Speaker 6: they lost the Wafford earlier this year in double.

1196
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:42,120
Speaker 4: Overtime, even though they're much better than Wafford.

1197
00:52:42,120 --> 00:52:45,560
Speaker 6: This year and last year they lost to Wafford three times.

1198
00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:47,799
Speaker 6: They lost to them at home by like thirty, they

1199
00:52:47,840 --> 00:52:50,600
Speaker 6: lost on the road by thirty, and then that had

1200
00:52:50,640 --> 00:52:54,080
Speaker 6: the Southern Conference Tournament. In the title game, they lost

1201
00:52:54,080 --> 00:52:55,719
Speaker 6: to them by twelve, and then they lost to him

1202
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,759
Speaker 6: again this year. This year doubled a major revenge. UNC

1203
00:52:58,880 --> 00:53:02,440
Speaker 6: greens brats this game at home against Wawford. We might

1204
00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:04,640
Speaker 6: be looking ahead here. It's important game for mercer team

1205
00:53:04,680 --> 00:53:06,440
Speaker 6: that's playing well, So I'll start there, Randall.

1206
00:53:06,880 --> 00:53:09,800
Speaker 2: The one I like is Richmond minus two, probably depending

1207
00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:12,879
Speaker 2: on the line against VCU. I think the Spiders cover

1208
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:16,080
Speaker 2: here against VCU. Blake Francis is back for Richmond. He

1209
00:53:16,160 --> 00:53:19,320
Speaker 2: was a second game back. He came back there against Fordham.

1210
00:53:19,360 --> 00:53:21,680
Speaker 2: They didn't cover on the road. Then they go on

1211
00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:25,160
Speaker 2: the road against LaSalle and they absolutely destroy Lasal seventy

1212
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:27,239
Speaker 2: four to forty seven. Game was never in doubt, neither

1213
00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:30,920
Speaker 2: was the cover. So they've played VCU tough in the past,

1214
00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:33,080
Speaker 2: and I think this year they actually have with Francis

1215
00:53:33,120 --> 00:53:35,560
Speaker 2: more talent. They lost by three at home last year

1216
00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:38,319
Speaker 2: they won by one in twenty eighteen. Remember this is

1217
00:53:38,320 --> 00:53:41,000
Speaker 2: a Richmond team here that went on the road and

1218
00:53:41,040 --> 00:53:43,680
Speaker 2: won at Rhode Island. So they're eight and three. They

1219
00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:46,719
Speaker 2: lost two games there in the middle end of January.

1220
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:49,399
Speaker 2: They lost Dayton at home by eight and they lost

1221
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:51,879
Speaker 2: VCU away got blown out in that game, so they're

1222
00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:54,720
Speaker 2: gonna want revenge here. Other than that, they've won seven

1223
00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:56,720
Speaker 2: games in a row besides those two in the middle.

1224
00:53:56,920 --> 00:53:59,719
Speaker 2: They get Francis back, they're home, they're looking to make

1225
00:54:00,040 --> 00:54:02,680
Speaker 2: and they're getting healthy. They had some impressive winnesday are against

1226
00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:05,440
Speaker 2: some bigger schools like you're Vanderbilt. The beginning of the year

1227
00:54:05,480 --> 00:54:08,160
Speaker 2: when they had Nest Smith Boston College, they beat Old

1228
00:54:08,160 --> 00:54:10,480
Speaker 2: Dominion Rhode Island. I already mentioned was a nice road win.

1229
00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:12,319
Speaker 2: So I like them to cover what's going to be

1230
00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 2: a small number. VCU on the road has not been

1231
00:54:14,800 --> 00:54:17,239
Speaker 2: very impressive at all. So this is a VCU team

1232
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:19,880
Speaker 2: that lost at Dayton, they lost at Rhode Island, so

1233
00:54:19,960 --> 00:54:21,560
Speaker 2: this is one that can keep it close here. So

1234
00:54:21,600 --> 00:54:23,640
Speaker 2: I like Richmond to pull ahead and to win this

1235
00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:24,200
Speaker 2: one out right.

1236
00:54:24,640 --> 00:54:27,560
Speaker 3: Lowly De Paul is one in ten in conference. They're

1237
00:54:27,600 --> 00:54:30,239
Speaker 3: still fighting hard. They had a four point loss to Georgetown,

1238
00:54:31,120 --> 00:54:32,360
Speaker 3: four point lost to Marquette.

1239
00:54:32,360 --> 00:54:34,919
Speaker 6: In recent games, they tried to lose by like seven

1240
00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:36,439
Speaker 6: or eight sept Four to eight every game.

1241
00:54:36,440 --> 00:54:38,239
Speaker 4: So they're still fight right.

1242
00:54:38,320 --> 00:54:40,200
Speaker 3: And Creighton just beat Seaton Hall on the road, and

1243
00:54:40,200 --> 00:54:42,840
Speaker 3: they have Marquette on deck. This is a great sandwich

1244
00:54:42,880 --> 00:54:44,560
Speaker 3: spot for DePaul to get in and get a cover.

1245
00:54:45,400 --> 00:54:50,320
Speaker 4: Yep, agreed, there had that one circled. I'll mention. I'll mention.

1246
00:54:51,680 --> 00:54:54,719
Speaker 6: Michigan State. I gainst Maryln Michigan States. Their numbers are there,

1247
00:54:54,719 --> 00:54:56,240
Speaker 6: They're going to be at home. This is an enormous

1248
00:54:56,239 --> 00:54:58,560
Speaker 6: game for them. They dropped out the top twenty five

1249
00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:01,080
Speaker 6: Michigan State, you know, so if I try to identify

1250
00:55:01,120 --> 00:55:03,799
Speaker 6: their problems, it's you know, to relinea Winston, who are

1251
00:55:03,800 --> 00:55:06,240
Speaker 6: these secondary scores are going to step up, but their

1252
00:55:06,360 --> 00:55:08,960
Speaker 6: all their efficiency numbers are still elite. When things go wrong,

1253
00:55:08,960 --> 00:55:11,160
Speaker 6: they're turning it over too much that Maryland does not

1254
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:12,120
Speaker 6: turn you over.

1255
00:55:13,200 --> 00:55:15,800
Speaker 4: So I think Michigan State is a small home favorite.

1256
00:55:15,800 --> 00:55:18,359
Speaker 4: I have not bought them over the last month. I've

1257
00:55:18,360 --> 00:55:18,840
Speaker 4: been waiting.

1258
00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:21,480
Speaker 6: I think this is the spot where they get a

1259
00:55:21,520 --> 00:55:25,600
Speaker 6: cover against a top team. So I'll mentioned Sparti here

1260
00:55:25,640 --> 00:55:27,440
Speaker 6: and then a bonus. You know I have more to

1261
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:29,279
Speaker 6: come his ole Miss. I'd probably have to take ole

1262
00:55:29,320 --> 00:55:31,359
Speaker 6: Miss against Kentucky. I think I've taken all Miss eight

1263
00:55:31,400 --> 00:55:34,319
Speaker 6: games in a row. First half in game. I love

1264
00:55:34,360 --> 00:55:37,120
Speaker 6: that team to death, Tyree, if you haven't watched them,

1265
00:55:37,120 --> 00:55:39,040
Speaker 6: plays on a tear he went for a forty other

1266
00:55:39,160 --> 00:55:45,320
Speaker 6: night Kurma Davis. Finally, as that team playing Randall.

1267
00:55:44,000 --> 00:55:46,920
Speaker 2: Frank Martin is making chicken soup out of chicken salad.

1268
00:55:47,120 --> 00:55:50,600
Speaker 2: That freshman Jermaine Queens Cuzinard got his first start over

1269
00:55:50,719 --> 00:55:54,080
Speaker 2: junior the junior at George Washington transfer Gyra Bolden, and

1270
00:55:54,120 --> 00:55:56,200
Speaker 2: he had twenty six points in that first game, including

1271
00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 2: the game winning running three pointer at the buzzer against Kentucky.

1272
00:55:59,400 --> 00:56:02,480
Speaker 2: Since that point game, Cocks are seven and two. Defense

1273
00:56:02,480 --> 00:56:04,520
Speaker 2: has been solid fifty nine or less points, and three

1274
00:56:04,520 --> 00:56:07,000
Speaker 2: of the last four games they are somehow tied for

1275
00:56:07,120 --> 00:56:10,040
Speaker 2: fourth with Florida in the conference, despite the fact they

1276
00:56:10,080 --> 00:56:12,200
Speaker 2: lost at home to b U and Stetson. If those

1277
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:14,080
Speaker 2: two losses didn't happen. This team would be in in

1278
00:56:14,120 --> 00:56:16,759
Speaker 2: most bracketologies. Right now, Justin and I is out with

1279
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:19,440
Speaker 2: risk surgery, but they're hopefully can come back in early March.

1280
00:56:19,719 --> 00:56:21,560
Speaker 2: I like them here in a revenge spot. They went

1281
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:24,520
Speaker 2: to Tennessee, they lost by one on a last second shot.

1282
00:56:24,640 --> 00:56:27,120
Speaker 2: They're playing very well at home, They're beating team solidly.

1283
00:56:27,200 --> 00:56:29,520
Speaker 2: The defense is there. I like them to bounce back

1284
00:56:29,560 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 2: big here against Tennessee at home. Yeah.

1285
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:33,560
Speaker 6: Frank Warns did a great job with that team. And

1286
00:56:33,560 --> 00:56:35,000
Speaker 6: you're right, I mean they see they did. They do

1287
00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:36,960
Speaker 6: this last year too, just the hard out of conference

1288
00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:38,920
Speaker 6: and they get the conference and then all of a

1289
00:56:38,920 --> 00:56:39,759
Speaker 6: sudden they turn it on.

1290
00:56:39,840 --> 00:56:40,120
Speaker 4: Colin.

1291
00:56:40,680 --> 00:56:41,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're the team they don't want to play. They

1292
00:56:41,960 --> 00:56:43,480
Speaker 2: played Georgia last night to destroyed them.

1293
00:56:43,640 --> 00:56:45,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, Colin, what do you got?

1294
00:56:45,719 --> 00:56:48,440
Speaker 3: Duke has not blown anybody out really in a while.

1295
00:56:48,520 --> 00:56:50,560
Speaker 3: And Notre Dame takes the second most three pointers in

1296
00:56:50,640 --> 00:56:53,279
Speaker 3: the ACC, and Duke is the best perimeter defending team

1297
00:56:53,280 --> 00:56:55,560
Speaker 3: in the nation. And on the flip side, Notre Dame

1298
00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:58,600
Speaker 3: is the worst team in the ACC and three point defense,

1299
00:56:58,680 --> 00:57:01,040
Speaker 3: but Duke does have a higher point distribution from in

1300
00:57:01,120 --> 00:57:03,719
Speaker 3: the paint where they should dominate, and they have a

1301
00:57:03,880 --> 00:57:07,080
Speaker 3: major rebounding advantage, especially offensive rebounding in this game. So

1302
00:57:07,440 --> 00:57:09,240
Speaker 3: I think Duke is due to route.

1303
00:57:09,239 --> 00:57:10,839
Speaker 4: Somebody, don't hate it.

1304
00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:13,680
Speaker 6: I got to bring up this is I know our

1305
00:57:14,040 --> 00:57:16,320
Speaker 6: front of the pod ELI is listening. I have to

1306
00:57:16,320 --> 00:57:19,440
Speaker 6: bring up Oklahoma State. I am not buying this Texas

1307
00:57:19,480 --> 00:57:21,160
Speaker 6: Tech team. People are now are saying as a Final

1308
00:57:21,200 --> 00:57:24,680
Speaker 6: four sleeper. It is making me vomit. I love Chris Beard,

1309
00:57:24,920 --> 00:57:28,800
Speaker 6: but Oklahoma State lost by what one hundred and fifty

1310
00:57:28,800 --> 00:57:30,880
Speaker 6: five the first time these two teams played early in

1311
00:57:30,920 --> 00:57:34,360
Speaker 6: the season. Thus eighty five to fifty major revenge. Oklahoma

1312
00:57:34,400 --> 00:57:36,560
Speaker 6: State is playing much better basketball.

1313
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:39,200
Speaker 4: They're home with Baylor. They beat TCU at home easily.

1314
00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:40,720
Speaker 4: They won at Kansas.

1315
00:57:40,280 --> 00:57:43,360
Speaker 6: State, you know, and so they're playing better of late.

1316
00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:46,080
Speaker 6: Texas Tech cannot you know, they've won. They want to

1317
00:57:46,280 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 6: beat Oklahoma Texas TCU. Next up they have Oklahoma State.

1318
00:57:49,720 --> 00:57:52,040
Speaker 6: They're at Okaha State, then their homageinst Kansas State on

1319
00:57:52,120 --> 00:57:53,840
Speaker 6: the road that I would stay without Halbert and who

1320
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:55,600
Speaker 6: might be worth ten points to the spread, I don't know.

1321
00:57:55,880 --> 00:57:57,880
Speaker 6: And then they're you know, Oklahoma they have on a

1322
00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:01,240
Speaker 6: neutral then their Homa gets Tech, then Baylor. So I mean,

1323
00:58:01,280 --> 00:58:03,080
Speaker 6: this is just an easy stretch of them. I think

1324
00:58:03,080 --> 00:58:06,520
Speaker 6: they come out a little, you know, flat against Oklahoma State,

1325
00:58:06,520 --> 00:58:08,680
Speaker 6: and there's no way they can keep this up during

1326
00:58:08,760 --> 00:58:12,400
Speaker 6: conference play. Texas Tech is shooting thirty nine point eight

1327
00:58:12,440 --> 00:58:15,640
Speaker 6: percent from three, and they're holding teams to twenty six

1328
00:58:15,720 --> 00:58:19,880
Speaker 6: percent from three. There is zero chance that persists. Enormous

1329
00:58:19,880 --> 00:58:22,960
Speaker 6: regression coming for Texas Tech. Oaks State, Live.

1330
00:58:22,800 --> 00:58:25,840
Speaker 2: Home Dog Preach, Stucky preach. I agree with you. They

1331
00:58:25,840 --> 00:58:28,120
Speaker 2: are one point three one average years of experience two

1332
00:58:28,160 --> 00:58:30,080
Speaker 2: hundred ninety third and their donut no one in the middle.

1333
00:58:30,120 --> 00:58:32,439
Speaker 2: I agree, beer goggles here for Texas Tech. I don't

1334
00:58:32,440 --> 00:58:35,640
Speaker 2: think they're legit. Last one for me, I said it earlier.

1335
00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:39,200
Speaker 2: West Virginia Baylor. This is not the matchup for West Virginia.

1336
00:58:39,240 --> 00:58:42,520
Speaker 2: Baylor can rebound inside with Gillespie. They haven't played great

1337
00:58:42,520 --> 00:58:45,959
Speaker 2: on the road West Virginia. Their guards aren't great. Baylor does.

1338
00:58:46,000 --> 00:58:48,160
Speaker 2: They're gonna have to get some outside shots against that zone,

1339
00:58:48,160 --> 00:58:50,880
Speaker 2: which they're not able to do. West Virginia in conference

1340
00:58:50,920 --> 00:58:53,680
Speaker 2: sixty two point nine percent from the free throw line.

1341
00:58:53,720 --> 00:58:55,360
Speaker 2: That's brutal. If you're talking about a team that you

1342
00:58:55,440 --> 00:58:57,760
Speaker 2: want to cover. Only team that's worse in Big Twelve

1343
00:58:57,760 --> 00:59:00,240
Speaker 2: play is TCO. It's sixty point four percent. Does that

1344
00:59:00,280 --> 00:59:03,240
Speaker 2: even mean they The guard play against Kansas was tough.

1345
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:06,720
Speaker 2: Culver had six points, Tshibe only had two points. After halftime,

1346
00:59:06,760 --> 00:59:08,880
Speaker 2: they were limited. They probably are going to be again

1347
00:59:08,920 --> 00:59:11,200
Speaker 2: against Baylor. I think this is a Mountaineers team that's

1348
00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:13,240
Speaker 2: actually starting to slide a little bit. Maybe Huggins had

1349
00:59:13,280 --> 00:59:15,920
Speaker 2: them playing above what really their talent level is. Two

1350
00:59:16,040 --> 00:59:18,480
Speaker 2: consecutive losses, three of the last five, and four of

1351
00:59:18,480 --> 00:59:20,280
Speaker 2: the last five on the road. I think this is

1352
00:59:20,320 --> 00:59:21,800
Speaker 2: a big Baylor one here on Saturday.

1353
00:59:22,320 --> 00:59:24,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, last one for me. I'm going back to the well.

1354
00:59:24,360 --> 00:59:26,240
Speaker 3: I mean it hasn't failed me yet. It was a

1355
00:59:25,840 --> 00:59:28,120
Speaker 3: little nerve racking last night, but I'm going to be

1356
00:59:28,120 --> 00:59:30,240
Speaker 3: fading Auburn again while they're on.

1357
00:59:30,120 --> 00:59:33,840
Speaker 1: This monster a lot of times streak I can't get over.

1358
00:59:33,920 --> 00:59:36,400
Speaker 2: I mean, colin twenty two threes, they were out rebounded

1359
00:59:36,520 --> 00:59:38,360
Speaker 2: nineteen to forty. Oh my god.

1360
00:59:38,400 --> 00:59:40,720
Speaker 3: I couldn't believe that Auburn didn't cover with some of

1361
00:59:40,720 --> 00:59:44,040
Speaker 3: the most frustrating, especially because I was stupid enough to

1362
00:59:44,040 --> 00:59:45,520
Speaker 3: think that I could take the under here. Like I

1363
00:59:45,520 --> 00:59:47,440
Speaker 3: saw this steam, it opened up and just moved and

1364
00:59:47,480 --> 00:59:50,400
Speaker 3: moved and moved. I understood the pace. I know Alabama's

1365
00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:51,720
Speaker 3: three in pace, and I know all they do is

1366
00:59:51,720 --> 00:59:53,920
Speaker 3: shoot threes, and I know that Auburn is terrible at

1367
00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:56,440
Speaker 3: defending threes. I know all of this, but at some

1368
00:59:56,600 --> 00:59:59,320
Speaker 3: point this team has to run out of gas. How

1369
00:59:59,320 --> 01:00:02,840
Speaker 3: many overtime games can you play? So we're going to Missouri.

1370
01:00:02,840 --> 01:00:05,200
Speaker 3: Missouri is six in the SEC and shooting threes. Like

1371
01:00:05,200 --> 01:00:08,520
Speaker 3: I said, Auburn's thirteenth in perimeter defense. Missouri does have

1372
01:00:08,600 --> 01:00:10,280
Speaker 3: that going for him. I can't make a huge case

1373
01:00:10,480 --> 01:00:13,160
Speaker 3: for Missouri being this great team, but they are playing

1374
01:00:13,160 --> 01:00:15,280
Speaker 3: at home. They are taking on an Auburn team that

1375
01:00:15,360 --> 01:00:19,080
Speaker 3: won an overtime against Alabama, LS two Arkansas doublet against

1376
01:00:19,080 --> 01:00:21,840
Speaker 3: Old miss and a Kentucky winning there. The gas has

1377
01:00:21,880 --> 01:00:24,280
Speaker 3: to run out of the tank at some point, and

1378
01:00:24,280 --> 01:00:26,080
Speaker 3: at least Missouri can shoot it from beyond the arc.

1379
01:00:26,160 --> 01:00:28,040
Speaker 3: So we're gonna go fade Auburn again.

1380
01:00:28,320 --> 01:00:30,360
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm with you, Missouri's playing better of late staying

1381
01:00:30,360 --> 01:00:34,320
Speaker 6: in the SEC. I'll mention Alabama huge game for the

1382
01:00:34,400 --> 01:00:35,680
Speaker 6: tournament resume.

1383
01:00:36,000 --> 01:00:37,360
Speaker 4: Against LSU at home.

1384
01:00:37,680 --> 01:00:41,600
Speaker 6: LSU their perimeter defense is not great, and we know Alabma'

1385
01:00:41,600 --> 01:00:44,880
Speaker 6: probably gonna shoot forty or fifty threes. I think Alabama

1386
01:00:44,920 --> 01:00:47,520
Speaker 6: gets this win against an LSU team that I think

1387
01:00:47,640 --> 01:00:48,800
Speaker 6: is a little overvalue.

1388
01:00:48,840 --> 01:00:49,000
Speaker 4: Now.

1389
01:00:49,000 --> 01:00:53,240
Speaker 6: The problem is is that I think LSU will be

1390
01:00:53,400 --> 01:00:55,720
Speaker 6: a dog here and I'm going to take Alabama as

1391
01:00:55,720 --> 01:00:58,000
Speaker 6: a small home favorite, which is not good because the

1392
01:00:58,280 --> 01:01:00,840
Speaker 6: underdog in every yellow teo game covers.

1393
01:01:01,200 --> 01:01:03,320
Speaker 4: I mean, go look at it. I mean it's.

1394
01:01:03,080 --> 01:01:09,160
Speaker 6: Missouri last game dog, Auburn dog, Vanderbilt dog, Mississippi dog Alabama.

1395
01:01:09,400 --> 01:01:11,120
Speaker 6: There we go Alabama and they beat Alabama. It's the

1396
01:01:11,200 --> 01:01:13,240
Speaker 6: last time a favorite one and then you know it's

1397
01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:16,920
Speaker 6: insane just they always cover as a dog. They struggle

1398
01:01:16,960 --> 01:01:19,040
Speaker 6: to cover as a favorite. But I like the match

1399
01:01:19,120 --> 01:01:21,640
Speaker 6: up here for Alabama. Place should be rocking. I think

1400
01:01:21,680 --> 01:01:24,720
Speaker 6: Alabama gets this win and then puts themselves in position

1401
01:01:24,840 --> 01:01:27,360
Speaker 6: to make the tournament for big Gays.

1402
01:01:27,400 --> 01:01:30,680
Speaker 4: Out of Petty and Lewis the only things I had.

1403
01:01:31,040 --> 01:01:32,960
Speaker 6: I mean, I don't know, Maybe we go to Texas

1404
01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:35,400
Speaker 6: again just because I like the torture myself, But I

1405
01:01:35,440 --> 01:01:38,160
Speaker 6: mean I don't Iowa State, I mean, I don't know

1406
01:01:38,200 --> 01:01:40,080
Speaker 6: how much they were already bad, but now they lose

1407
01:01:40,120 --> 01:01:42,560
Speaker 6: a lottery pick. How much worse are they without Alberton?

1408
01:01:43,080 --> 01:01:46,280
Speaker 6: I'm not sure. Other than that, I think we covered all.

1409
01:01:46,280 --> 01:01:48,320
Speaker 6: You guys set some circle that I did as well.

1410
01:01:48,520 --> 01:01:50,360
Speaker 6: Look out for our coverage on the Action NETWORKAP and

1411
01:01:50,400 --> 01:01:53,920
Speaker 6: actionwork dot Com. We'll cover Marquee games. We'll have a

1412
01:01:53,920 --> 01:01:56,560
Speaker 6: couple pieces out there for other games, including my best

1413
01:01:56,560 --> 01:01:59,800
Speaker 6: spots of the weekend. Thanks for listening, Thanks for joining me,

1414
01:02:00,080 --> 01:02:04,400
Speaker 6: Mike and Colin, and leave a review, Tell a friend,

1415
01:02:04,560 --> 01:02:07,200
Speaker 6: subscribe on subscribe subscribe.

1416
01:02:06,560 --> 01:02:08,280
Speaker 4: That really helps us, you know the deal.

1417
01:02:09,160 --> 01:02:12,720
Speaker 6: Good luck this weekend, and let's enjoy the rest of

1418
01:02:12,760 --> 01:02:16,200
Speaker 6: February on route two March Madness.

1419
01:02:16,200 --> 01:02:17,000
Speaker 4: We'll catch you all later.

1420
01:02:17,080 --> 01:02:19,280
Speaker 1: Cheers, he's out, bring it.

1421
01:02:27,960 --> 01:02:29,000
Speaker 4: We're finished talking.