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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into BP NFL Thursday Night football addition,

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Speaker 1: it's an AFC North clash that Cincinnati Bengals at the

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Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, filling in for

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Speaker 1: the ever talented Joe piece of Pia and look Man.

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Speaker 1: Handicapping Thursday night football games is no joke.

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Speaker 2: Joe's done it for.

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Speaker 1: Nine weeks straight and there's been some absolute stinkers, and

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Speaker 1: we finally get a banger and he's like, no, thanks,

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Speaker 1: can't do it anymore. I'm good on this one. No,

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Speaker 1: I'm just kidding. I think he's on vacation for the

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Speaker 1: rest of the week. But have no fear because we

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Speaker 1: do have someone joining us who's gonna keep it one

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Speaker 1: hundred tonight as he despises both these teams more than

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Speaker 1: anything in the world. Steelers fans, Scott Bogman, how's it going, Pal.

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Speaker 3: I'm doing great.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this game is filled with hate for you and

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Speaker 4: I as Steelers fans both, but I do think it'll

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Speaker 4: be at least a fun game to watch, at least

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Speaker 4: a good one for a Thursday. I mean, you know again,

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Speaker 4: we're betting props here, right, Will Joe and I were

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Speaker 4: completely wrong about the game last week. Houston just could

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Speaker 4: not move the ball. Aaron Rodgers made a couple good throws,

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Speaker 4: but four and one on the Props got the touchdown

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Speaker 4: call as well. So Joe hit his single game parlay.

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Speaker 4: So you know we're we're winning your money, but we're

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Speaker 4: sticking to Props oversides. We have a pick in this game.

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Speaker 4: But Thursday Night football so weird every week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm excited to hear.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully this one isn't a letdown because it's the highest

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Speaker 1: total on this entire Week ten slate. The outline for

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Speaker 1: today's program looks like this will break down the game

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Speaker 1: and the odds. We'll get into Bog's favorite prop bets

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Speaker 1: and my same game parlay. Then we'll round it out

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Speaker 1: with our touchdown calls.

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Speaker 2: Thanks for everyone who tunes in.

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Speaker 1: The easiest way to support us is like this video.

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Speaker 1: If you enjoy this type of content, also subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros YouTube channel or wherever you get your podcasts.

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Speaker 2: You also can join our NFL podcast group.

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Speaker 1: You can do this by visiting the community tab on

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pro Sports betting app, or go to Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com slash NFL Contest Again, that's bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: Slash NFL Contest. Sink your picks and use the quick

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Speaker 1: pick feature on the app to get a chance to

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Speaker 1: win some free monthly prizes or weekly prizes as well.

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Speaker 1: Elevate your betting strategy and join the conversation today at

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com Slash NFL Contest. Let's jump into the

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Speaker 1: breakdown as the six and three Ravens are favored by

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Speaker 1: six and a half points over the four and five Bengals.

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Speaker 1: The Bengals are looking to get back into the mix

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Speaker 1: here as both them and the Ravens are looking up

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Speaker 1: at the Steelers in the division. The total here set

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Speaker 1: at fifty two and a half, the highest of Week ten.

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Speaker 1: As I alluded to earlier, these defenses, Honestly, Bogman, they're

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Speaker 1: both kind of cheeks right now, both in the top

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Speaker 1: half of the league and yards allowed per game. They're

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Speaker 1: also in the top ten and points allowed per game.

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Speaker 1: But we have two elite offenses led by Joe Burrow.

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Speaker 2: And Lamar Jackson.

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Speaker 1: Some injuries to know on both fronts, though Bengals running

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Speaker 1: back Chase Brown should be up for this one. However,

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Speaker 1: they'll likely be without t Higgins for the third straight

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Speaker 1: game and return man Charlie Jones. Zach Back Moss expected

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Speaker 1: to miss the remainder of the regular season with a

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Speaker 1: neck injury, and for the ravens Lamar he'll be ready

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Speaker 1: to go. He has been nursing a knee injury, hasn't

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Speaker 1: practiced much, and probably without Isaiah likely tight end in

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Speaker 1: this one, who's been nursing an injury.

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Speaker 2: This week. Also, we might see the debut of running

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Speaker 2: back Keaton Mitchell. I know you're a big Mitchell fan.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I like Mitchell.

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Speaker 4: I don't know how many carries he's gonna get, but yeah,

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Speaker 4: I do like him. As you know, he just he's

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Speaker 4: lightning to Derek Henry Sleunder.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely so, Bogman.

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Speaker 1: When you're looking at the spread, when you're looking at

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Speaker 1: this total that currently sits at fifty two and a

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Speaker 1: half points, where.

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Speaker 2: Are we going?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: I mean, look, this game was fun the first time

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Speaker 4: they played it, right, forty one thirty eight in overtime,

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Speaker 4: A nice high scoring affair, and that's kind of I

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Speaker 4: expect that to happen again, even with some pieces down,

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Speaker 4: likely being down, T Higgins being down right. I think

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Speaker 4: we're gonna be okay with the points because I don't

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Speaker 4: think these teams are fooling each other anymore, right, you

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Speaker 4: know what's coming. It's hard to from both these sides,

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Speaker 4: and we saw that before. So I like the over

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Speaker 4: in this game. Again, not my favorite pick. I like

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Speaker 4: the props way more playing a side or a total.

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Speaker 4: In this game, the side is tougher because the Bengals

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Speaker 4: did tough. The Bengals bowed up last week, right, and

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Speaker 4: they played a good game, but it was against a

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Speaker 4: very bad opponent in the Raiders.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the Raiders are an absolute mess right now.

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Speaker 4: And I just think the Ravens is still one of

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Speaker 4: the premier teams in the AFC, even if they're not

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Speaker 4: clicking on all cylinders right now. They did drop that

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Speaker 4: one of the Browns a couple of weeks ago. They

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Speaker 4: looked really good last week against the Broncos. That's a

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Speaker 4: tough defense. They put up forty one points on them.

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Speaker 4: That offense they've been rolling a little bit. They held

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Speaker 4: them to ten points as well. So I'm gonna take

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Speaker 4: Baltimore in this game. But I think there's gonna be

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Speaker 4: a decent amount of scoring so we'll go with the

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Speaker 4: over here as well as I think Joe Burrow's kind

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Speaker 4: of turned it on over the last couple of weeks.

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Speaker 1: This is such a tough one because we saw that

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Speaker 1: high scoring affair earlier this season Bogs. But at the

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Speaker 1: same time, usually AFC North Divisional games, you like taking

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Speaker 1: unders in these Thursday night football game?

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Speaker 2: Do you like taking under?

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Speaker 1: So like conventional wisdom kind of saying, maybe we should

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Speaker 1: bet the unders, but then you see, hey, we have

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Speaker 1: two terrible defenses here, two elite offenses. So it's really

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Speaker 1: tough to pick the total. Also tough to pick the

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Speaker 1: side because the Bengals they hung tight in that game

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Speaker 1: earlier this season.

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Speaker 4: Man, yeah, yeah they did, and it's they're having an

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Speaker 4: extremely disappointing season, right. I mean, you beat the Raiders,

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Speaker 4: that's great, You beat the Browns, barely beat the Giants

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Speaker 4: in the Panthers. You haven't even got really into the

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Speaker 4: meat of this schedule yet. Got the Ravens coming up,

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Speaker 4: the Chargers, the Steelers, the Cowboys, the Browns again. You're

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Speaker 4: gonna get the Steelers twice, right, and the Broncos in there,

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Speaker 4: who you know at that point could be even better

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Speaker 4: than what they are right now. We'll see based on

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Speaker 4: injuries and all that stuff, of course, But yeah, the

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Speaker 4: Bengals are disappointing right now. But I think Joe Burrow

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Speaker 4: is about to turn on and Burrow making it to

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Speaker 4: the end of the year has resulted in a couple

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Speaker 4: of things here, Super Bowl, AFC Championship, right, So yeah,

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Speaker 4: it's about keeping him up right and they you know,

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Speaker 4: Amarus Mems played decent and I think one of his

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Speaker 4: first games last week too, so we'll see. You know,

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Speaker 4: there's meat on the bone here for the Bengals. They've

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Speaker 4: definitely not been playing up to expectations.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think if I were to pick a side,

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Speaker 1: I'd probably just go with the money line on Baltimore

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Speaker 1: mis two fifty five. Try to parlay that with something

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Speaker 1: to get some of that juice down.

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Speaker 2: But it's a tough one. Are you ready to jump

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Speaker 2: into the props?

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Speaker 3: Then yeah, let's go.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's go ahead and get to that. But first

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Speaker 1: I did want to remind everyone maximize your.

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Speaker 2: Prop betting success.

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Speaker 1: With the Betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet, you can

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Speaker 1: instantly compare sportsbook lines with expert projections to find the

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Speaker 1: best values, customize your bets by filtering props by matchup

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Speaker 1: odds and bet type to ensure you're only seeing the

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Speaker 1: most profitable opportunities available. Get tailor recommendations, and track winning

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Speaker 1: trends with ease using the comprehensive tool to take your

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Speaker 1: prop betting to the next level at bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: slash props or on the Betting Pro Sports betting app.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you what, Bogman, this tool has been a

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Speaker 1: life saver for me. It's been a life saver for

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Speaker 1: my girlfriend as well. Every morning Sunday morning, we both

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Speaker 1: crack open our laptops down in the living room and

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Speaker 1: we're just using it, trying to define the best parlays

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Speaker 1: that we can put together using this prop betting cheat

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Speaker 1: sheet and just betting straight props as well. So I

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Speaker 1: know you use it as well when you come to

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Speaker 1: the table with your five best props each week.

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Speaker 4: Of course, it never hurts to have a little confirmation bias,

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Speaker 4: you know what I mean.

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Speaker 3: Just take a look and so am I crazy for

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Speaker 3: liking this?

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Speaker 4: Let me double check, you know, even if that's what

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Speaker 4: you're using it for, or use it as a jumping

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Speaker 4: off point like Okay, this has a big lean. Should

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Speaker 4: I be taking this? Let me look into it. You

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Speaker 4: know it's great. Absolutely you should use it. And as

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Speaker 4: we always say, confirmation biases, it's something that everybody wants.

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Speaker 1: Let's jump right into Bogman's favorite props here, Week nine,

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Speaker 1: four and one. Great season for you so far as well.

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Speaker 1: So you're above five hundred after last week? Where are

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Speaker 1: we heading with your first prop today?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: These they tend to come in bunches. I'm like four

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Speaker 4: and one or one in four a bunch of the times.

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Speaker 2: This season sounds like our college football shows.

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Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, it's it's all or nothing, it feels like.

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Speaker 4: But for this week, as we think this is going

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Speaker 4: to be a high scoring affair, I do have a

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Speaker 4: decent amount of overs. The first one Lamar Jackson over

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Speaker 4: nineteen and a half completions and he was twenty six

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Speaker 4: for forty two and that last game against since he

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Speaker 4: has passed this total in five of nine games so

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Speaker 4: far this season, so over fifty percent. And really you

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Speaker 4: go in last week and you look and they didn't

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Speaker 4: have a lot of passing yards, the Raiders, and they

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Speaker 4: split between two quarterbacks, right Minshew got benched and they

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Speaker 4: went to Desmond Ritter, and they had combined twenty one completions.

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Speaker 4: Heurts didn't do it the week before sixteen and nineteen.

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Speaker 4: We'll talk about him because he scored three touchdowns against them.

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Speaker 4: Watson dtr In Winston all combined to go thirty one

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Speaker 4: for fifty three against the Bengals. Daniel Jones twenty two

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Speaker 4: completions against them, Andy Dalton twenty five, Jane Daniels twenty one.

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Speaker 4: Mahomes and Brissett just didn't need to complete that many passes.

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Speaker 4: So I think nineteen and a half, especially for a

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Speaker 4: team in Cincinnati that is not doing very well in

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Speaker 4: time of possession, I think the Ravens have the ball

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Speaker 4: more than since He in this game. I think this

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Speaker 4: is an easy total for Lamar to surpass.

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Speaker 1: It's funny because with Lamar you usually don't think, at

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Speaker 1: least I don't taking his completions over most of the time.

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Speaker 2: But nineteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's a good line here, and the fact that he

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Speaker 1: was seven over this line with twenty six completions last

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Speaker 1: time against since He, I like it a lot. Bogman,

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Speaker 1: I think you have thoughts on the other quarterback in

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Speaker 1: this game as well.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, that's right, Joe Burrow, We're going to go over

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Speaker 4: two hundred and sixty nine and a half passing yards

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Speaker 4: and Baltimore has allowed the most passing yards per game

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Speaker 4: two hundred and eighty point nine. Now, a lot of

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Speaker 4: that is because teams are playing comeback, but they're six

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Speaker 4: point favorites here in this game, so most likely Cincinnati

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Speaker 4: is going to be playing comeback, right, So since he

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Speaker 4: passes at a sixty four point four percent clip and

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Speaker 4: Joe Burrow thirty of thirty nine for three hundred and

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Speaker 4: ninety two yards and five touchdowns in that first game,

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Speaker 4: so he knows what to do to slice and dice

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Speaker 4: those Baltimore defense even without t Higgins in the first game. Again,

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Speaker 4: the play selection forty two to twenty three passed to

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Speaker 4: run Ravens are number one in PFF in graded run

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Speaker 4: defense as well. So you also have Chase Brown back

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Speaker 4: there kind of by himself. The trade for Khalil Herbert

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Speaker 4: not likely to play in this game though, as it's

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Speaker 4: you know, early in the week, so I think it's

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Speaker 4: going to be a lot of passing from Joe Burrow.

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Speaker 4: That is what they're going to have to do if

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Speaker 4: they want to win this game, and I think this

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Speaker 4: total is in danger.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I like to call there also, it looks like

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Speaker 1: you have some thoughts on some Baltimore scale players.

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Speaker 2: What are those?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, We're gonna go Dereck Henry longest rush over twenty

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Speaker 4: and a half yards. He's hit this in all but

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Speaker 4: two weeks, Week one at Kansas City and then last

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Speaker 4: week against Denver. He had a fifty one one yard

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Speaker 4: rush against the Bengals the last time they played, and

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Speaker 4: since he has given up some big gainers as well.

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Speaker 4: And I mean, it's Thursday Night football and it's Derrick Henry, right.

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Speaker 4: He is a freak of nature. He's the only one

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Speaker 4: not tired right now for whatever reason it is. And

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Speaker 4: we've seen him put up gigantic runs on Thursday Night

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Speaker 4: Football over and over. How many times has he gashed

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Speaker 4: the Jaguars for seventy yards on Thursday Night Football?

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Speaker 3: Right?

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Speaker 4: This is just another cat team to him. He doesn't care.

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Speaker 4: So I think I think Henry is gonna have at

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Speaker 4: least a twenty and a half rush and then I'm

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Speaker 4: gonna go under on Mark Andrews still hasn't seen more

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Speaker 4: than five targets in a game, likely being down could

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Speaker 4: change out a little bit, but Deontay Johnson should get

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Speaker 4: a bump in snaps and targets in this game. Bateman

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Speaker 4: has been better recently, and Mark Andrews still thirteen point

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Speaker 4: nine percent first look over the last month, it's like

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Speaker 4: sixteen point eight percent. So he's just not the first

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Speaker 4: option on this team in most situations. Right, it's Derrick Henry.

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Speaker 4: They throwing the ball to Justice Hill out of the backfield.

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Speaker 4: We might see a little more of Keaton Mitchell, we

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Speaker 4: might see him up in this game. They just traded

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Speaker 4: for Deoncea. What does that look like? There's just there's

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Speaker 4: so many options in this game. Well, I do think

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Speaker 4: Lamar is gonna have a good game. I think this

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Speaker 4: is high scoring. I just Mark Andrews has let us

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Speaker 4: down so many times this year. I just cannot go

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Speaker 4: back to the Well.

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Speaker 1: That's probably the one I'm the least confident in on

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Speaker 1: your list here. I really do like that Derek Henry

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Speaker 1: one though, because while I do expect a lot of

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Speaker 1: passing in this game, gamescript would tell us that the

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Speaker 1: Ravens are gonna have to run out the clock at

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Speaker 1: some point, and what better way to run out the

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Speaker 1: clock than give it to Derrick Henry and hoping he

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Speaker 1: can break one for over twenty and a half yards.

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Speaker 2: So I like that call there as well. It looks

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Speaker 2: like you have one more prop for us today.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go big And I kind of lamented

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Speaker 4: this one. I thought about maybe getting cute and taking

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Speaker 4: the over on like a Rashad Bateman, but you just

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Speaker 4: never know. What I do know is Jamar Chase is

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Speaker 4: going to get Pepper with targets point three nine yards

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Speaker 4: per target, and he's averaging eleven over the last two

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Speaker 4: weeks with t Higgins going down. The last game that

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Speaker 4: these two played, twelve targets, ten catches, one hundred and

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Speaker 4: ninety three yards, and two scores. Now, one of those

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Speaker 4: was a seventy yard touchdown, right, but I mean that

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Speaker 4: one of those was a seventy yard touchdown. I mean

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Speaker 4: Jamar Chase is outstanding. Baltimore has allowed forty three plays

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Speaker 4: of over twenty plus yards this season. That is the

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Speaker 4: most in the NFL. Jamar Chase is number two in

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Speaker 4: YAK in the NFL, behind only Alvin Kamara, and one

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Speaker 4: five and a half is an all line that will

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Speaker 4: pay you double and we do the three to one

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Speaker 4: one on the Monday show with a out of bounds

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Speaker 4: with myself, Joe and Welsh in my one hundred yard

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Speaker 4: pick at receiver this week was Jamar Chase. I just

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Speaker 4: think Jamar Chase. He was the one guy that didn't

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Speaker 4: get a touchdown last week. I think Burrow might pay

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Speaker 4: extra special.

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Speaker 3: Attention to him.

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Speaker 4: So we're gonna go with Jamar over this total of

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Speaker 4: eighty three and a half, which surprising did not move

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Speaker 4: up at all from last night to you this morning.

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Speaker 2: Like that call quite a bit.

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Speaker 1: I'll talk more about Chase in my same Game parlay.

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Speaker 1: If you're looking to build your own, check out the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros Same Game Parlay builder. Combine multiple bets with

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Speaker 1: a single NFL game, leveraging insights like correlated bet recommendations,

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00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:22,640
Speaker 1: EB ratings, cover probability and more. Perfect your betting strategy

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00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:27,280
Speaker 1: by analyzing our overall correlation grades and projections, and stay

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Speaker 1: ahead of the following latest sgps placed by fellow betters.

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Speaker 1: Start building winning parlays today at bettingpros dot com, slash

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00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:40,840
Speaker 1: parlay or on the Betting Pros Sports Betting app. All Right, Bodman,

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Speaker 1: I got an SGP for you. I'm taking a couple altlines,

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Speaker 1: ptating a couple of TD predictions, wrap them into one here.

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Speaker 1: This is gonna give us combined odds of plus two

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Speaker 1: to twenty one at Vandom Sportsbook. The first leg Mark

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Speaker 1: Andrews twenty five plus receiving yards. This is minus three forty.

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Speaker 1: I agree, I was a little timid to go all

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Speaker 1: the way over the forty three and a half mark there,

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Speaker 1: but we have no Isaiah Likely and Mark Andrews has

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Speaker 1: also hit this twenty five plus in five straight games.

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Speaker 1: The Bengals have allowed the seventh most receiving yards two

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Speaker 1: tight ends this season, and the sixth most over.

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Speaker 2: The past month.

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Speaker 1: They haven't played the best tight ends lately, and I

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Speaker 1: feel like they're still going over this mark quite easily.

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Speaker 1: So I like Mark Andrews twenty five plus receiving yards

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Speaker 1: minus three forty. I'm parlaying that with Derrick Henry. We

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Speaker 1: touched on Derrick Henry. If we're expecting points to be

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Speaker 1: in this game, Derek Henry has to get in the

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Speaker 1: end zone right minus two to ninety. It's a crazy line,

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Speaker 1: but the Bengals have allowed a rushing touchdown in seven

340
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Speaker 1: of nine games I'm not getting cute with this one.

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Speaker 1: And then Jamar Chase over seventy nine and a half

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Speaker 1: receiving yards, bogs. You kind of just laid out the

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Speaker 1: case for Jamar Chase. I think they're having to lean

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Speaker 1: on him without t Higgins, without Zach Moss moving forward

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Speaker 1: as well. BP projections are giving him a projection of

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Speaker 1: eighty eight point three receiving yards. So I feel still

347
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Speaker 1: good that. I think it's the riskiest part of my

348
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Speaker 1: parlay is this MR over, but I'm expecting him to

349
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Speaker 1: have a big game here.

350
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Speaker 2: How do you feel about this parlay?

351
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Speaker 4: I mean, if he hits one of those big gainers,

352
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Speaker 4: he's going to get the majority of those yards on

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Speaker 4: one play, right, And yeah, So, I mean I obviously

354
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Speaker 4: am on the Jamar Chase one. The only reason I

355
00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:17,520
Speaker 4: didn't take Derrick Henry as my anytime touchdown calls because

356
00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:19,280
Speaker 4: the odds are so bad you have to put it

357
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Speaker 4: into a parlay if you're going to play it. And

358
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Speaker 4: while I'm not the biggest Mark Andrews guy, because he

359
00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,240
Speaker 4: hasn't had more than five targets in a game, He's

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Speaker 4: had at least twenty five yards in most of these games,

361
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Speaker 4: he's done the disappearing act on occasion, but we don't

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Speaker 4: expect that to happen against Cincinnati, especially if Cincinnati is

363
00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:39,520
Speaker 4: scoring and they need to throw the ball. So I

364
00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:43,160
Speaker 4: still think that there is plenty of room for Mark

365
00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,920
Speaker 4: Andrews to catch the ball. And if I'm wrong about

366
00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:50,320
Speaker 4: my one under, it wouldn't be shocking. I don't like

367
00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:53,960
Speaker 4: taking unders as much because I always seem to have

368
00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:57,680
Speaker 4: a pathway for my guys to get to that at.

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00:16:57,480 --> 00:16:59,200
Speaker 3: Some point, but unders hit more often.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, and by the way, we can easily thread

371
00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:03,960
Speaker 4: the needle if he just does what he's done for

372
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,439
Speaker 4: most of the season. We thread this needle and hit

373
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Speaker 4: it both on both sides. So yeah, I like this parlay.

374
00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:11,520
Speaker 4: I think this is a good one. And you're doubling

375
00:17:11,600 --> 00:17:14,720
Speaker 4: up your money on a couple of easy bets here plus.

376
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Speaker 2: Two twenty one.

377
00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:17,359
Speaker 1: I don't know what piece of p is coming in

378
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:19,960
Speaker 1: with every week, probably a little bit higher odds than that,

379
00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:23,040
Speaker 1: but yeah, give me a plus two twenty one. I'm

380
00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:25,080
Speaker 1: a safer guy when it comes to parlays because these

381
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Speaker 1: sports books, they're always trying to trap us into building

382
00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:29,800
Speaker 1: parlays getting up to three to one four to one

383
00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:32,320
Speaker 1: to boost it. I'm just not there, man, I'm just gonna,

384
00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:33,440
Speaker 1: you know, play it safe.

385
00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:37,280
Speaker 4: This week, billions of dollars in the first three quarters

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Speaker 4: all on parlays.

387
00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:40,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, so they're hard to hit.

388
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:43,760
Speaker 4: You have to have so many things hit specifically, and

389
00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:46,879
Speaker 4: you know, it's it's a funny meme at this point,

390
00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:49,320
Speaker 4: and it's a T shirt. Now if this parlay hits,

391
00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:54,080
Speaker 4: you know, and you know they're hard to hit. So

392
00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:56,400
Speaker 4: taking some of them with long odds to make them better,

393
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:57,560
Speaker 4: I think is a smart play.

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00:17:58,040 --> 00:17:59,760
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and let's round it out with our

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00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:02,000
Speaker 1: tea calls for Thursday night football.

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Speaker 2: What are you on here, Bogman?

397
00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:05,119
Speaker 1: Who do you think gets in the end zone and

398
00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:05,920
Speaker 1: touches pay dirt?

399
00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:08,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, there's a lot to pick from, especially because we

400
00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 4: think this is going to be a high scoring game, right.

401
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:15,680
Speaker 4: I thought about maybe get Sicky. I think his is

402
00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:18,680
Speaker 4: like plus two to fifteen. He scored twice last week,

403
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:20,960
Speaker 4: so that one I don't hate, but I just I

404
00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:23,399
Speaker 4: really like Lamar Jackson plus one fifty. That's going to

405
00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:25,760
Speaker 4: be my official call here since he's giving up the

406
00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:29,000
Speaker 4: most rush yards to the quarterback per game. Hurts scored

407
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:32,520
Speaker 4: three on them the three push push touchdowns a couple

408
00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:35,080
Speaker 4: of weeks ago, right, I just think that once we

409
00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:37,240
Speaker 4: get to the goal line, usually it is Derrick Henry,

410
00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:41,240
Speaker 4: but Lamar is as apt to score at the goal

411
00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:44,240
Speaker 4: line as anyone else as well. So you're getting one

412
00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,200
Speaker 4: and a half times your money on this one. That's

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00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:47,040
Speaker 4: why I like this play.

414
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:48,640
Speaker 3: Okay, I like.

415
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:49,359
Speaker 2: That as well.

416
00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:52,240
Speaker 1: I'll go with Jamar Chase minus one twenty at bet

417
00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:54,920
Speaker 1: three six five. I've seen this all the way down

418
00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:56,720
Speaker 1: to minus one fifty at other shops, so I feel

419
00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:58,240
Speaker 1: like you're getting a little bit of a value here

420
00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:01,680
Speaker 1: over at three sixty five. Allow an average of one

421
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:05,480
Speaker 1: point four to four touchdowns per game two opposing wide receivers,

422
00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:08,120
Speaker 1: and Chase he didn't have one last week, but as

423
00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:11,280
Speaker 1: he said, he's been hot as of late. He scored

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00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:14,160
Speaker 1: seven touchdowns in the previous six games prior and has

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00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:17,200
Speaker 1: scored three touchdowns against Baltimore in the past two games

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00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:19,360
Speaker 1: as well. So I'm going Jamar Chase here.

427
00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:22,960
Speaker 3: We know it ain't gonna be Jermaine Burton, that's for sure.

428
00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:26,040
Speaker 1: Oh at the casino after his last game as well,

429
00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:29,960
Speaker 1: it looks like allegedly, I mean I thought about yos Voss.

430
00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 1: I thought yosavas he found the ends. Yeah, he was

431
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:34,639
Speaker 1: at like plus two to fifty at a lot of books.

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00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:36,880
Speaker 1: But again, I think I just want to keep it simple.

433
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:39,879
Speaker 1: If anything, I don't mind Jamar Chase two touchdowns plus

434
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:41,320
Speaker 1: four to fifty still, so.

435
00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:44,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, that wouldn't be bad either. Yeah.

436
00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,119
Speaker 4: I mean I think there's there's a lot of options.

437
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 4: Like Mark Andrews could score a touchdown, that wouldn't be surprising.

438
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,400
Speaker 4: He's getting plus one seventy. If this is as high

439
00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:54,239
Speaker 4: scoring as we anticipate, then there's gonna be a lot

440
00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:55,160
Speaker 4: of options for you.

441
00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:56,600
Speaker 3: But I like our calls.

442
00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:59,520
Speaker 4: I think yours is probably, outside of Derrick Henry, the

443
00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:02,520
Speaker 4: most like to score in Jama Chase. And you know,

444
00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:04,560
Speaker 4: Lamar hasn't been doing it a lot this season, but

445
00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:06,800
Speaker 4: the Bengals give up a lot of rushing yards, so

446
00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:08,960
Speaker 4: if he just breaks one, he can score, or he

447
00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:11,040
Speaker 4: can do it at the goal line. Like there's multiple

448
00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 4: outs to Lamar, there's multiple outs to Jamar. So I

449
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:17,160
Speaker 4: think we're pretty safe here and that's.

450
00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:19,480
Speaker 1: Going to do it for us today on BP NFL.

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00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:22,040
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Speaker 1: your sportsbooks today. For Scott Bogman, I'm Seth Woolcock. Thanks

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00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 1: for watching.

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