1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 2: Single best idea, which is visit Houston. 3 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,919 Speaker 3: Just got back from a wonderful moment with the Houston 4 00:00:19,040 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 3: CFA Society, their celebration their seventieth anniversary of Financial analysis, 5 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 3: and of course all the bustling energy and medical businesses 6 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 3: of Houston. A much much more extraordinary flying out of Iah, 7 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 3: the Houston Airport, the Bush Airport, just you see the 8 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 3: warehouse and distribution juggernaut that we in the East never see. 9 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 3: Absolutely extraordinary. And that goes to what I'm really focused 10 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,159 Speaker 3: on now and in the coming weeks, which is the 11 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 3: supply supply line study of our trade dynamics. Mister Besson 12 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:00,080 Speaker 3: and mister Kreer had a press conference today talk and 13 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 3: alluding to that with China a bit, but I think 14 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 3: going forward, supply line dynamics will be something really to 15 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 3: talk about. Really interesting day on the show. Christopher Whalen 16 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 3: joined us from whalan Global, and he's out with his 17 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 3: second edition of his book, Inflated. It's a musty of 18 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 3: sprawling history of the American financial system. Here's Chris Whalen 19 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 3: on the moment at hand. 20 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: It's almost like we're back to December twenty eighteen when 21 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:34,399 Speaker 1: Jerome Powell almost ran the ship aground. You recall they 22 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 1: pivoted very quickly in January nineteen and started easing. That's 23 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: when they went to this ample reserve policy that they've 24 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: had since then. And I think that what we're worried 25 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: about is that the model that the FED uses to 26 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: judge whether liquidity is adequate or not is based on GDP, 27 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: which has nothing to do with anything. Liquidity is highly compartmentalized, 28 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: does not flow one way and another, so you really 29 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 1: don't know until there's not enough. Chris, I think that's 30 00:02:06,920 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 1: where we are today. 31 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 3: Chris Whalen, we're gonna get him in the studio and 32 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:14,000 Speaker 3: celebration of his new book, Inflated as well. Stephen off 33 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 3: with us today with Federated hermy as we talked to 34 00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 3: him about this market. All the bank results coming in 35 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 3: so good. Allison Williams, thank you so much for careful 36 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 3: analysis from Bloomberg Intelligence here of Federated on our bull market. 37 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 4: It's just set up tom right now in a very 38 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:36,799 Speaker 4: attractive way these stocks. And we'd even lean into the 39 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 4: regional regional banks because they have not fully participated yet 40 00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:44,799 Speaker 4: and there's catch up trade there. But you know, you've 41 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 4: got like a perfect world here. You know, the yeal 42 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 4: curve is steepening. That's always good, particularly for the regional banks. 43 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 4: The economy is reaccelerating. You got Scott Bessetting Company focused 44 00:02:56,200 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 4: like laser beams on lowering the mortgage rate, which is 45 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 4: artificially high relative to the tenure. They're going to do that. 46 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 4: The housing sector takes off. That really helps the regional banks. 47 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 4: So you've got loan growth improving. You've got all this 48 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:15,519 Speaker 4: inbound investment happening that requires financing. 49 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:17,080 Speaker 2: That's more loan. 50 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 4: Growth, and the big banks, of course, as we're seeing, 51 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 4: have m and a animal spirits picking up IPOs. 52 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 1: It's just like. 53 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 4: Everything at once against a backdrop where these stocks are. 54 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 4: You know, you can make the case are cheaply valued. 55 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 4: They're certainly cheaply valued versus the market, and even on 56 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 4: a relative historical basis, that cheapness is still pretty reasonable. 57 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 2: So it's a kind of perfect storm. Steve author Federated, 58 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 2: I would point out that with his analysis, you don't 59 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 2: get to participate unless you're in the market before the event. 60 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 2: There's not enough discussion of that. 61 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 3: Outh Chivarone and the team at Federated and said, you've 62 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 3: got to play, you've got to be invested for moments 63 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 3: like this. Got much more Coming up again tomorrow, the 64 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 3: conversation with Governor Waller. That'll be in the nine o'clock 65 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 3: hour Eastern time. On podcasts, We're on an Apple, on Spotify, 66 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 3: on YouTube podcasts. It's single best idea