WEBVTT - Sophomore Slumpbusters 0:00:01.120 --> 0:00:04.840 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.960 --> 0:00:10.320 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:10.560 --> 0:00:15.000 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:15.120 --> 0:00:17.959 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. 0:00:18.440 --> 0:00:24.520 Now here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I 0:00:24.520 --> 0:00:27.200 am Paul Charchy and my co host is usual Brian Johnson. 0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:31.760 Great to talk to you. We tease this subject at 0:00:31.800 --> 0:00:35.760 the end of the show last week, and that is 0:00:36.560 --> 0:00:41.280 sophomores that we think are going to improve potentially dramatically 0:00:41.800 --> 0:00:45.320 over last year. So these are these are not There 0:00:45.360 --> 0:00:47.479 is not justin Jefferson, although I think he's going to 0:00:47.520 --> 0:00:50.200 improve as well. But these are the guys who under 0:00:50.280 --> 0:00:52.960 kind of underperformed last year and we think can have 0:00:53.040 --> 0:00:55.960 a much better second year. Super Softmares, if you will. 0:00:56.360 --> 0:00:58.959 Before we dive into these guys, let me mention this 0:00:59.160 --> 0:01:01.959 Guarante Leagues are live at Guillotine leagues dot com if 0:01:01.960 --> 0:01:05.800 you haven't already heard about Guillotine Leagues. The premise is 0:01:06.080 --> 0:01:08.440 you start the season with eight teen players. Every week 0:01:08.480 --> 0:01:10.600 the low scoring team gets cut, all their players go 0:01:10.600 --> 0:01:14.000 to the waiver wire, and pandemonium ensues. As a bidding 0:01:14.000 --> 0:01:17.560 frenzy takes hold for those guys. Eighteen teams because we're 0:01:17.560 --> 0:01:21.959 still getting used to the seventeen week regular season, eighteen 0:01:22.000 --> 0:01:26.119 week regular season, seven games and game regular season. Yeah, 0:01:26.160 --> 0:01:28.960 so it's um, yeah, it's it's tons of fun. We 0:01:29.040 --> 0:01:30.959 encourage you to check it out that you can get 0:01:30.959 --> 0:01:33.839 private league support for for this if if you've got 0:01:34.000 --> 0:01:36.759 seventeen friends who want to play, and if you don't, 0:01:36.800 --> 0:01:39.200 we've got contests you can join at all the major 0:01:39.280 --> 0:01:41.840 price points for depending on what kind of prizing you 0:01:41.880 --> 0:01:44.080 want to play for guilloteine leagues dot com. All right, 0:01:44.120 --> 0:01:46.280 second year rookies, So last year was a tough year 0:01:46.280 --> 0:01:48.640 to be a rookie. Brian no o t a s. 0:01:48.840 --> 0:01:52.360 No rookie camps, no mini camps, no training camp, no 0:01:52.480 --> 0:01:55.760 preseason games, I mean, all those things working against that 0:01:55.960 --> 0:01:59.400 rookie class. Last year. They have the Zoom meetings in 0:01:59.440 --> 0:02:02.400 place of in person meetings. I mean just every almost 0:02:02.400 --> 0:02:05.560 everything outside of like injury that could be folly class 0:02:05.560 --> 0:02:08.640 of rookies happened and for some guys it didn't matter. 0:02:08.760 --> 0:02:11.760 Justin Jefferson was great last year. He's you know, he 0:02:11.880 --> 0:02:14.799 was Justin Herbert was great, and there were guys that 0:02:14.840 --> 0:02:17.200 didn't matter. But for many, there's every reason to think 0:02:17.760 --> 0:02:19.760 they'll make a big jump in year two with the 0:02:19.880 --> 0:02:22.080 benefit of a season under their belt and a full 0:02:22.200 --> 0:02:26.359 off season program. And now some of these guys will 0:02:26.360 --> 0:02:29.160 talk about didn't necessarily struggle, But when you just look 0:02:29.200 --> 0:02:32.320 at their full season, you know, the landscape of their 0:02:32.320 --> 0:02:35.120 production from last season, it doesn't tell the whole story 0:02:35.240 --> 0:02:38.000 of how big a jump they could make this year. 0:02:38.080 --> 0:02:42.720 I like it. Um Almost every highly drafted second year 0:02:43.200 --> 0:02:45.560 player has got room for improvement. Most players do get 0:02:45.560 --> 0:02:47.440 better in the second year. The one I'll say, the 0:02:47.480 --> 0:02:49.160 one thing they had going for them last year. He 0:02:49.240 --> 0:02:53.320 had all all the detractors, We still had the fans 0:02:53.320 --> 0:02:55.080 in the stands to tell them how much they were 0:02:55.080 --> 0:02:58.000 stud they were, they were getting food by their own 0:02:58.000 --> 0:03:00.840 home fans. Depends how south of them Dixon line you were. 0:03:01.960 --> 0:03:04.960 But yeah, um, so most of them. I don't think 0:03:04.960 --> 0:03:07.320 there's any need to say for any of these guys, Brian, 0:03:07.400 --> 0:03:08.679 you know there's room for him to get better in 0:03:08.720 --> 0:03:10.240 your two. There's room for all these guys get better 0:03:10.280 --> 0:03:12.480 in your two. But we're gonna give Billed a case 0:03:13.200 --> 0:03:17.000 for about like fifteen guys here that we think all 0:03:17.080 --> 0:03:19.160 have the have the potential to take a big step 0:03:19.240 --> 0:03:21.360 up in year two. Okay, I'll go first with a 0:03:21.440 --> 0:03:23.480 rookie that I think has got a lot of room 0:03:23.520 --> 0:03:25.600 for improvement and can can get better in year two. 0:03:26.240 --> 0:03:30.799 That is Gabriel Davis, Buffalo wide receiver. His current ADP 0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:34.680 is around twelve wide receiver sixty, so you know you're 0:03:34.760 --> 0:03:36.520 you're gonna get him at a at a real value, 0:03:37.280 --> 0:03:39.760 and I like to he took a big jump over 0:03:39.880 --> 0:03:42.640 Buffalo's by week in Week eleven coming out of the 0:03:42.720 --> 0:03:48.560 by his snaps per game jumped by twenty one and 0:03:48.640 --> 0:03:52.800 that helped with injuries to John Brown who's gone and 0:03:52.840 --> 0:03:55.960 gold Beasley who's somewhat healthy. Yeah, but basically slot guy, 0:03:56.120 --> 0:03:57.960 and I don't think that will affect him a lout here. 0:03:58.160 --> 0:04:00.680 After the bye week, his targets for Gabriel Davis jumped 0:04:00.680 --> 0:04:03.440 from three per game to five per game. His yards 0:04:03.480 --> 0:04:06.320 doubled from twenty eight per game to fifty four per game. 0:04:06.600 --> 0:04:09.840 His touchdowns per game doubled from point three to point seven. 0:04:10.440 --> 0:04:13.640 Point seven touchdowns per game is a ton touchdown year. 0:04:14.640 --> 0:04:17.960 That's a double digit touchdown season that Gabriel Davis was posting. 0:04:18.279 --> 0:04:23.000 From week week twelve forward, he was the starter in 0:04:23.120 --> 0:04:28.599 every Buffalo game after the bye, and his average line 0:04:28.760 --> 0:04:33.360 for Gabriel Davis again after the bye three catches, fifty 0:04:33.400 --> 0:04:35.680 four yards and at the point seven touchdowns. I mentioned 0:04:35.720 --> 0:04:38.560 that was good enough for He was wide receiver thirty 0:04:38.600 --> 0:04:42.720 after the bye as a rookie. The attack Buffalo Bill 0:04:42.800 --> 0:04:46.400 for the Buffalo Bills, a team that passes all the time. Um, 0:04:46.440 --> 0:04:48.480 there are really no blockers to starting time. I mean 0:04:48.480 --> 0:04:50.640 there's Steffandiggs is gonna be a starter and it's gonna 0:04:50.640 --> 0:04:53.440 be h Emmanuel Sanders at all. Sanders will be uh, 0:04:53.520 --> 0:04:55.320 you know, Sanders will be in the in the mix. 0:04:56.000 --> 0:04:59.160 But no way, no way. They've given him that an 0:04:59.200 --> 0:05:05.320 aging journey and veterans Davis decomposing corpse territory. I think 0:05:05.320 --> 0:05:07.200 he's gonna be a guy when you need eleven yards 0:05:07.320 --> 0:05:10.120 and you need somebody just catch the ball that you 0:05:10.160 --> 0:05:12.560 throw to him, that's gonna be. That is gonna be 0:05:12.560 --> 0:05:15.679 Emmanuel Sanders, Gabriel Davis. So he's my first guy. Who 0:05:15.839 --> 0:05:18.840 is your your second year sophomore that you think can 0:05:18.880 --> 0:05:21.280 do can do better next year? Well, I got no quarterbacks. 0:05:21.320 --> 0:05:23.240 It might have been Jordan's love, but Aaron Rodgers still 0:05:23.279 --> 0:05:26.080 in town. So a nothing to mention at the quarterback position. 0:05:26.279 --> 0:05:29.479 And sadly, I'm not gonna mention Jalen Reagor and the 0:05:29.520 --> 0:05:32.000 Eagles might want me to, but I don't see a 0:05:32.080 --> 0:05:35.240 jump from Reager. It could be a decline, as sad 0:05:35.240 --> 0:05:36.960 as that may be. So the first guy I want 0:05:36.960 --> 0:05:40.039 to talk about is Brandon You of the forty Niners, 0:05:40.080 --> 0:05:42.800 who is already getting drafted as a top twenty five 0:05:42.880 --> 0:05:46.279 wide receiver. He's going right in the Kenny Golladay Cooper Cup, 0:05:46.839 --> 0:05:51.200 Jamaar Chase, who was a rookie range but which is justified. 0:05:51.320 --> 0:05:55.080 But if he can replicate his epic six games stretch 0:05:55.120 --> 0:05:57.200 he had last year starting in like Week six or seven, 0:05:57.200 --> 0:06:00.679 where he totaled or sorry, averaged eleven tar gets, seven 0:06:00.680 --> 0:06:04.000 and a half catches, nine four yards per game, four 0:06:04.120 --> 0:06:10.200 touchdowns during that span with Jimmy Garoppolo and alrighty the 0:06:10.320 --> 0:06:14.120 cast of Castle character C J. Beth. Yes, so people 0:06:14.120 --> 0:06:16.840 are expecting the leap he's getting drafted as a wide receiver. 0:06:17.360 --> 0:06:22.120 Who but have that there's competition, of course, Deebo Samuels, 0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:27.159 their George Kittle and Jimmy Garoppolo rookie Tray Lance at quarterback. 0:06:27.279 --> 0:06:30.039 But still he's gonna make that leap. But he could 0:06:30.680 --> 0:06:34.400 go beyond bottom tier wide receiver two to top tier 0:06:34.400 --> 0:06:38.159 wide receiver two, lower tiered wide receiver one territory pretty easily. 0:06:38.200 --> 0:06:40.760 I think he has got that. If you watch them play, 0:06:40.800 --> 0:06:43.880 he's a freak of nature, like Across and very different 0:06:43.880 --> 0:06:47.240 from Deebo Samuel. Deebo Samuel is yard after catch guy 0:06:47.320 --> 0:06:49.280 you throw to. You throw a bubble screen to him. 0:06:49.480 --> 0:06:51.560 He's so strong he'll break the tackle and get you 0:06:51.600 --> 0:06:55.800 some yards. I Yuk is your big play, splashy down 0:06:55.920 --> 0:07:01.040 field receiver, and Trey Lance has a cannon. I love 0:07:01.240 --> 0:07:04.560 the potential of that connection for years to come. I 0:07:04.600 --> 0:07:06.680 hope we see Trey Lance sooner than later. That's all. 0:07:07.200 --> 0:07:08.760 I hope we see him when the time is right. 0:07:09.320 --> 0:07:12.200 And that's an offensive that's an offensive system that I 0:07:12.240 --> 0:07:15.880 think they'll get that right. The next sophomore I want 0:07:15.920 --> 0:07:18.400 to talk about is Buffalo running back Zach Moss. Current 0:07:18.440 --> 0:07:22.360 ADP is round nine running back forty two, and you 0:07:22.400 --> 0:07:25.720 get the lead back for an NFL team. Last year 0:07:25.880 --> 0:07:29.280 he was a bust and that hurt me. Grievously because 0:07:29.280 --> 0:07:31.840 I had championed his cause and I was mostly wrong. 0:07:32.000 --> 0:07:35.440 Nearly as big a bobo as you are. For Zack Moss, Um, 0:07:35.520 --> 0:07:37.880 the reasons he was a bus last year were opportunity 0:07:38.120 --> 0:07:41.880 and losing rushing touchdowns to his quarterback. The team barely 0:07:41.960 --> 0:07:45.120 ran it all last year, and Zack Moss only averaged 0:07:45.200 --> 0:07:51.640 eight rushes per game through of the time. At minimum, 0:07:51.680 --> 0:07:53.680 it wasn't quite that, but they were. They were. Ye 0:07:54.560 --> 0:07:57.080 hold on, you know go, I might have it in 0:07:57.160 --> 0:08:00.000 my notes here. Um. He never had more than four 0:08:00.000 --> 0:08:02.280 a team touches in any game, Zach Moss, so opportunity 0:08:02.320 --> 0:08:05.080 really hurt him. Buffalo didn't draft a running back, which 0:08:05.160 --> 0:08:08.400 suggests that they are confident in his improvement. And remember 0:08:08.480 --> 0:08:12.360 he said every meaningful Utah rushing records. Zack Moss did 0:08:13.040 --> 0:08:16.040 built to score touchdowns at two thirty pounds, but Josh 0:08:16.040 --> 0:08:19.280 Allen ran the ball eleven times from inside the five eleven. 0:08:19.440 --> 0:08:24.600 Only Cam Newton among quarterbacks had more rushing attempts inside 0:08:24.640 --> 0:08:29.280 the five than Josh Allen did. But eventually almost all 0:08:29.400 --> 0:08:34.559 quarterbacks stop running the ball. It's part of the progression 0:08:34.640 --> 0:08:37.400 of keeping your your quarterback up right and maybe that 0:08:37.440 --> 0:08:39.240 will happen this year with Allen and maybe they'll start 0:08:39.240 --> 0:08:41.520 dialing back some of that running. And then there's Devin 0:08:41.600 --> 0:08:43.480 Singletary who just isn't a very good runner, and they 0:08:43.480 --> 0:08:45.719 could face him out of the running game in particular, 0:08:45.760 --> 0:08:49.320 almost entirely. So if you believe Mosque gets better, you 0:08:49.440 --> 0:08:51.160 think that Josh Allen is not gonna run the ball 0:08:51.200 --> 0:08:53.760 eleven times inside the five, if you think Devin Singletary 0:08:53.800 --> 0:08:56.440 is not that good, there's your window for Zack Moss 0:08:56.480 --> 0:09:00.440 to improve on his current ADP. Right, And I'm right 0:09:00.480 --> 0:09:02.079 there with you, And I was a little high. It's 0:09:02.080 --> 0:09:04.679 about I'm gonna guess it's about sixty eight percent for 0:09:04.960 --> 0:09:06.720 it was sixty two on the season, but the last 0:09:06.800 --> 0:09:11.000 five games it was, which is incredibly high for any team, 0:09:11.080 --> 0:09:16.000 especially Buffalo over the past ten years. Right, correct, Okay, Brian, 0:09:16.240 --> 0:09:18.520 or who is your next sophomore? I'm going with the 0:09:19.200 --> 0:09:22.280 wide receiver of the Los Angeles Rams Van Jefferson, who 0:09:22.360 --> 0:09:25.880 they sunk a lot of draft capital into the seventh 0:09:26.040 --> 0:09:29.880 overall pick overall past and the jettison Josh Reynolds, which 0:09:29.920 --> 0:09:33.680 is fairly significant here, and they signed to Shan Jackson, 0:09:33.880 --> 0:09:37.200 which um I'm assuming he's in a walking boot already, 0:09:37.280 --> 0:09:40.280 So I'm gonna call Jefferson the wide receiver three right 0:09:40.280 --> 0:09:42.840 now basically, and and an injury to the big two 0:09:43.000 --> 0:09:46.720 Robert Woods or Cooper Cup opens up a huge door 0:09:46.760 --> 0:09:50.600 of opportunity for Jefferson on an offense that is upgraded 0:09:50.640 --> 0:09:54.440 significantly with Matthew Stafford now the quarterback over Jared goff 0:09:54.480 --> 0:09:57.040 Now Jefferson who has good sized by the way six 0:09:57.120 --> 0:09:59.800 to two d plus pounds. So at least five targets 0:09:59.800 --> 0:10:02.280 in a four games last year. One was in the 0:10:02.320 --> 0:10:04.680 Divisional round against Green Bay, but he had at least 0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:07.240 four catches in each game, and he caught six, including 0:10:07.240 --> 0:10:09.440 a touchdown in that playoff game against the Packers. So 0:10:09.480 --> 0:10:13.319 he's proven to be an able receiver if given the volume. 0:10:13.400 --> 0:10:16.200 So and again, he was a rookie last year. Not 0:10:16.320 --> 0:10:20.000 all wide receiver rookies pop off. He's got the pedigree 0:10:20.040 --> 0:10:23.120 and right now and best best ball redraft, he's going 0:10:23.679 --> 0:10:27.559 wide receiver eight three with Marquez Valdez Scantling and Tyrell 0:10:27.640 --> 0:10:31.320 Williams and Marie Rogers and that's the Packers cast offs. 0:10:31.360 --> 0:10:34.479 I love the upside for Van Jefferson at the bignet 0:10:34.520 --> 0:10:36.959 him at I'm with you on that Stafford is going 0:10:37.000 --> 0:10:38.960 to I think the Rams are a sneaky super Bowl 0:10:39.000 --> 0:10:42.679 team and a Stafford's gonna make that offense much better. 0:10:42.800 --> 0:10:45.120 And Jefferson is a guy you might find in your 0:10:45.840 --> 0:10:48.920 dynasty rookie drafts who just got cast off after last year. 0:10:49.360 --> 0:10:51.480 Somebody's gonna drop their teams are gonna drop him off 0:10:51.520 --> 0:10:54.920 and how deep. But definitely the next sophomore I want 0:10:54.920 --> 0:10:58.800 to talk about is Jets wide receiver Denzel Mims. His 0:10:58.920 --> 0:11:03.240 current ADP is the fourteenth round wide receiver seventy nine, 0:11:03.440 --> 0:11:06.440 so he's in that same Van Jefferson range. Brian, You'll 0:11:06.480 --> 0:11:09.880 remember that Mims had a triple whammy last year. Like 0:11:09.920 --> 0:11:12.800 all rookies, he missed the whole preseason, then he suffered 0:11:12.800 --> 0:11:15.200 a hamstring injury that costs him the first six weeks 0:11:15.240 --> 0:11:18.360 of the season, and then of course the third whammy 0:11:18.640 --> 0:11:23.720 Adam Gaze. When Mims did play, he started, but he 0:11:23.760 --> 0:11:27.240 wasn't terribly effective. He did not score a touchdown last year. Remember, 0:11:27.240 --> 0:11:29.840 he was the first pick of the second round of 0:11:29.880 --> 0:11:34.120 the deepest wide receiver draft in a generation, and he 0:11:34.240 --> 0:11:36.200 would have been the first wide receiver taken in some 0:11:36.280 --> 0:11:38.720 years drafts in all probability, tall and range, you with 0:11:38.760 --> 0:11:42.200 a massive catch radius, very fast. He'll be catching passes 0:11:42.200 --> 0:11:44.440 from Zach Wilson, who appears to be pretty NFL ready, 0:11:44.440 --> 0:11:46.240 and Wilson throws a great deep ball, and that was 0:11:46.320 --> 0:11:49.800 much of Mims's success at Baylor. Um. It's a crowded 0:11:49.800 --> 0:11:52.679 wide receiver field right now, Corey Davis and Keelan Cole 0:11:52.760 --> 0:11:57.240 and Jamison Crowder um. But Mims has got a pedigree 0:11:57.320 --> 0:12:00.640 that none of those guys really have, and so he's 0:12:00.679 --> 0:12:02.880 got He's got a ton of room to improve here. 0:12:03.000 --> 0:12:06.840 I I don't love Denzel Mims, and I think he'll 0:12:06.960 --> 0:12:10.560 I think this conversation might be better in one but 0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:14.439 this uh he almost by default we'll get better this year. 0:12:15.040 --> 0:12:17.880 He has the potential to I think be the best 0:12:17.880 --> 0:12:20.040 wide receiver in this draft class in a few years. 0:12:20.160 --> 0:12:25.760 He's not would I know, there's justin Jefferys, I know, 0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:28.599 I know right he's ceedee Lamb. He was not in 0:12:28.679 --> 0:12:30.959 good spot last year and it's not still spot. But 0:12:31.920 --> 0:12:34.240 I think if Zach Wilson is his requisite of the 0:12:34.280 --> 0:12:37.679 number two pick overall, then Denzel Mims can grow with him. 0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:39.599 Let me say one of the best. All right, that 0:12:39.679 --> 0:12:43.240 might be a small potential and more sane. Right, let's 0:12:43.240 --> 0:12:46.440 take a break. When we come back, we've got more 0:12:46.600 --> 0:12:53.840 sophomores we thinking have a significant growth spurt this year. 0:12:55.360 --> 0:12:58.360 Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. We're talking about sophomores that 0:12:58.400 --> 0:13:00.240 we think are in a position to have a far 0:13:00.480 --> 0:13:04.680 better season next year. I think if you're redraft or dynasty, 0:13:04.720 --> 0:13:07.080 this is a very salient conversation. I thought of the 0:13:07.080 --> 0:13:09.520 title of the show just now during the break, Sophomore 0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:13.120 slump Busters. I kind of like it. Sophomore. Let me 0:13:13.120 --> 0:13:19.240 write that down slump busters. Okay, so done, that'll be 0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:21.360 the title of the show. I did it. All right, 0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:26.480 we've done it. Jaguars wide receiver Laviska Channel. It's Chanel. 0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:31.920 I found out we've been calling him Channel. I'm yeah, 0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:34.480 you're yeah, You're this moment old, I'm learning at Laska 0:13:34.600 --> 0:13:38.160 che Uh. Current ADP is the ninth round wide receiver forty. 0:13:38.320 --> 0:13:41.319 He gets a massive quarterback improvement going from the combination 0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:44.360 of Mike Lennon, Gardner Minshew and Jake Luton remember him 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:47.440 to Trevor Lawrence, the first player taken in the draft. 0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:51.720 He's luten free Now, I love it. Uh, you may 0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:57.080 have forgotten. Laviska Chanel scored four times in the final 0:13:57.240 --> 0:14:02.040 five weeks of last year. From week twelve forward. Lavishka 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:06.559 Chano was wide receiver twenty two. Last year he was 0:14:06.600 --> 0:14:10.200 a stopper. Oh that's pretty good too, that's excellent. It's 0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:14.800 heating up in Minnesota, Keen Keelan Cole, as I mentioned earlier, 0:14:14.840 --> 0:14:16.520 now with the Jets stole a lot of his work 0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:19.000 from the slot last year. Calls gone gone, he leaves 0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:22.920 behind five hundred thirty four snaps. Keiling Cole does so. No, 0:14:23.000 --> 0:14:26.000 it's gonna be on the field constantly. Remember he was 0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:28.080 a second round pick last year. He's a jack of 0:14:28.120 --> 0:14:30.520 all trades type. They run him a bit. There's a 0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:33.400 lot to like about Laviska sho number two. He's very 0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:35.840 much a Curtis Samuel in the making for sure. I 0:14:35.840 --> 0:14:40.680 think you're right, all right, who's your next sophomore slump buster? Now, 0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:43.840 a couple of months ago, this guy was gonna bust 0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:45.840 all the slumps because he was gonna be the starting 0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:48.400 running back for the Packers. And that's j Dillon. Because 0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:51.120 we all assumed Green Bay was going to let Aaron 0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:54.800 Jones walk after failing to let him run year after 0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:57.720 a year, but they resigned Jones, so a little bit 0:14:57.760 --> 0:15:00.480 of a pullback on a J. Dillon. I'm one of 0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:04.320 those dynasty owners that was counting on that. But regardless, 0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:06.880 he's he's an absolute monster and it's not a one 0:15:06.920 --> 0:15:08.480 trick pony and this is gonna run you over. He 0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:10.440 does have some wiggle, he can catch the ball. He's 0:15:10.440 --> 0:15:13.000 got a lot of potential, and he figures the factor 0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:14.840 at the goal line this year at the very least 0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:17.720 you'd hope so, and his size demands it. He didn't 0:15:17.760 --> 0:15:19.760 have a ton of opportunities last year, but if you 0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:25.040 really look into his two carries inside, he had nine yards, 0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:27.240 so he basically took every yard that was given to 0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:30.400 him and opportunities no one, and he scored on one 0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:33.040 of them. All right, four carries for sixteen yards inside 0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:36.400 the tent. So he's a force inside, in the in 0:15:36.440 --> 0:15:39.240 the in the gold zone, the infrared zone, whatever we 0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:43.160 call it. But Aaron Jones clearly a blocker. I still 0:15:43.160 --> 0:15:46.240 think Dylan takes a significant leap from last year. They're 0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:48.960 still gonna want to spell Jones at times, especially now 0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:51.920 that they paid him, right, and and they will they 0:15:51.920 --> 0:15:55.320 always do. Jones is never a workhorse. And you know 0:15:55.440 --> 0:15:58.320 with Jamal Williams gone, all that extra works gonna go 0:15:58.360 --> 0:16:00.680 to Dylan. Yeah, I'm with you. And right now Dylan's 0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:04.120 lumped in. He's like RB thirty three ish right with 0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:08.440 Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones, Raheem Moster, David Johnson, Kenyan Drake. 0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:11.160 Give me Dylan over those guys all day long. It's 0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:13.640 based on like, of course, one injury to Aaron Jones 0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:16.000 and yeah, that's it. It's to the moon for Dylan. 0:16:16.080 --> 0:16:18.880 So expect we're not gonna get the production we were 0:16:18.880 --> 0:16:22.680 hoping for right most like starters production, but he will 0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:25.360 see a significant increase in touches, one would hope. I 0:16:25.400 --> 0:16:28.800 think he's a j. Dylon shaping up as a flex 0:16:29.440 --> 0:16:35.280 level running back this year. The player who has turned 0:16:35.280 --> 0:16:41.200 the most heads in Broncos O t a s. Jerry Judy. 0:16:41.280 --> 0:16:49.760 It's not you, it's it's Jerry Jude Beauty. I like it. 0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:53.120 Current ADP is the eighth round, He's wide receiver, thirty seven, 0:16:53.680 --> 0:16:56.360 his solid rookie season. I think it's been overlooked by many. Brian, 0:16:56.560 --> 0:16:58.720 you had fifty two catches eight hundred fifty yards and 0:16:58.720 --> 0:17:03.440 three touchdowns. Despite really inconsistent quarterbacking in Denver, he was 0:17:03.480 --> 0:17:06.360 held back by drops. He had twelve drops last year 0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:09.240 I saw. I don't have the exact stat but a 0:17:09.280 --> 0:17:12.240 lot of his drops or in completions were accounted to 0:17:12.320 --> 0:17:17.760 the court to Drew Lock. Essentially they weren't really his. Yeah, 0:17:17.800 --> 0:17:21.560 I would I would not be surprised by um. I 0:17:21.600 --> 0:17:25.000 think there's a sixty chance Teddy Bridgewaters the starter. You know, 0:17:25.080 --> 0:17:28.880 Teddy has many deficiencies which long time listeners know how 0:17:28.880 --> 0:17:31.880 I feel about it. But he does catch a very 0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:34.800 he throws a very catchable short pass and so there's 0:17:34.840 --> 0:17:37.240 there's that for Judy. Hopefully it'll be it'll be more 0:17:37.280 --> 0:17:40.239 accurate here. Um. He'll also be helped I think by 0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:42.320 the return of Courtland Sutton, which will mean he will 0:17:42.359 --> 0:17:44.040 not need to carry so much of the burden of 0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:46.639 the receiver's group and he will not he will not 0:17:46.720 --> 0:17:50.960 receive as much coverage because Courtland Sutton is on the field. Also, 0:17:51.040 --> 0:17:53.560 there's a chance Aaron Rodgers is throwing balls to Jerry 0:17:53.640 --> 0:17:57.840 Judy that is that is possible here um. Remember he 0:17:57.880 --> 0:18:00.480 was a first round pick. He has got fantastick folk 0:18:00.560 --> 0:18:04.560 work a great yard after catch at Alabama. So yeah, 0:18:04.640 --> 0:18:12.000 Jerry Judy is my next sophomore slump buster. Who is 0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:15.520 your next sophomore slumpbuster. We're going to the tight end position. 0:18:15.600 --> 0:18:18.560 It's a cold commit of the Chicago Bears, who was 0:18:18.600 --> 0:18:22.760 the overall pick last year in the second und got 0:18:22.760 --> 0:18:25.760 a draft capital there, and uh, the Bears were one 0:18:25.760 --> 0:18:28.320 of seven teams last year they got double digit touchdowns 0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:32.840 from their tight ends. Yes, Jimmy Graham accounted for seven 0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:35.359 or eight of those, but and he's still on roster. 0:18:35.520 --> 0:18:39.560 But talk about decomposing corpses, Graham is decomposing more by 0:18:39.560 --> 0:18:43.879 the day. He's gonna be goal line package guy. Most 0:18:43.920 --> 0:18:46.280 likely not gonna factor between the twenties, which isn't great 0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:50.399 for commit. Graham could get cut very Yeah, he's definitely 0:18:50.359 --> 0:18:53.720 gone and age and everything else. Yeah, they drafted him 0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:55.760 to be tight into the future for sure, drafting him 0:18:55.760 --> 0:18:58.400 in the second round last year. And Chicago also top 0:18:58.440 --> 0:19:01.160 twelve in UH tight end catches last year. So there's 0:19:01.200 --> 0:19:03.680 a nice role for commit waiting this year. And there's 0:19:03.680 --> 0:19:06.639 an upgraded quarterback either way, whether it's justin Fields or 0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:11.240 any Dalton over Mitch Drubisky or Nick Foles. So Chicago 0:19:11.359 --> 0:19:14.800 utilizes their tight end, and UH, if I'm investedly heavied 0:19:14.800 --> 0:19:19.840 to the invested. If I'm invested heavily at tight end, 0:19:20.280 --> 0:19:23.439 like drafting Travis Kelsey or Dale and Darren Waller, Uh 0:19:23.480 --> 0:19:27.200 commits a guy I'm looking at, uh tight end eighteen 0:19:27.280 --> 0:19:29.399 right now, he's going right after your boy John U, 0:19:29.480 --> 0:19:32.480 John U. But he's right there with Gronk and Austin Hooper. 0:19:32.840 --> 0:19:35.640 H cam me commits upside here. I like what we're 0:19:35.640 --> 0:19:37.120 gonna see out of him in his the year two. 0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:44.240 My next sophomore slump buster is Raiders wide receiver Henry 0:19:44.359 --> 0:19:51.280 Ruggs ADP is Round ten wide receiver fifty one. Remember 0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:53.320 he was the first wide receiver taken in the draft 0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:57.280 two years ago. Uh, and a disastrous season unfolded for him. 0:19:57.320 --> 0:20:01.240 Despite starting twelve games, he never more than three passes 0:20:01.240 --> 0:20:03.520 in a game and he only scored two times. Do 0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:06.280 you remember either was two touchdowns? Off the top of 0:20:06.320 --> 0:20:09.320 your head, the one was total bs to beat the Jets, 0:20:09.359 --> 0:20:13.760 That's exactly that's right. It was the five seconds left 0:20:13.760 --> 0:20:17.920 on the clock falls on the forty six yard line. 0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:21.000 They have to go forty six yards to pass with 0:20:21.040 --> 0:20:24.280 a touchdown to score, and Greg Williams dials up a 0:20:24.359 --> 0:20:29.200 blitz dumbest call history of football maybe, and it ended 0:20:29.280 --> 0:20:32.080 up ended up being a disaster for the Jets. At 0:20:32.080 --> 0:20:35.040 the time, it was one of the Henry Ruggs touchdowns. 0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:36.560 At the time, it was one of the smartest thing, 0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:38.919 right because they were probably still trying to lose unfeeded 0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:41.920 at the time, right, not not undefeated, but yeah, then 0:20:42.040 --> 0:20:44.879 who did they beat? That doesn't matter? But yet, so 0:20:45.200 --> 0:20:47.840 Ruggs walks in this year and they they basically they 0:20:47.920 --> 0:20:50.960 let most half of the receivers go. Tyroll Williams has gone, 0:20:50.960 --> 0:20:54.840 Nelson Agilar is gone. So he's wide receiver one on 0:20:54.880 --> 0:20:57.280 this team. Listen to the other receivers on the Raiders, 0:20:57.920 --> 0:21:01.600 Z Jones, Brian Words who was somehow even worse than 0:21:01.680 --> 0:21:05.480 Ruggs last year, Hunter Renfro who plays the slot, and 0:21:05.640 --> 0:21:09.400 John Brown adds it, I mean Rugs in with his pedigree. 0:21:09.560 --> 0:21:12.439 He is wide receiver one on a team led by 0:21:12.480 --> 0:21:15.440 Derek Carr, who was shockingly productive last year. He threw 0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:20.720 twenty seven touchdowns and four thousand, one hundred yards. Twenty 0:21:20.760 --> 0:21:23.080 seven touchdowns are they're not all going to Darren Waller 0:21:23.320 --> 0:21:27.480 next year. So with that, if if you think Derek 0:21:27.480 --> 0:21:29.840 car is gonna be around that twenty seven touchdown range 0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:33.040 and you think Waller is gonna account for twelve of them, right, 0:21:33.160 --> 0:21:36.720 we still fifteen on accounted touchdowns. That gotta go somewhere. 0:21:36.760 --> 0:21:40.240 How about his number one wide receiver, Henry Ruggs, It 0:21:40.400 --> 0:21:44.440 better go to Ruggs again, drafted over Jerry Judy Steedee Lamb, 0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:49.520 Justin Jefferson. I know we we hated that, we hated 0:21:49.560 --> 0:21:52.399 that draft pick them when it happened live. We did 0:21:52.480 --> 0:21:55.520 not like that draft pick. Um. It was a mistake 0:21:55.640 --> 0:21:59.399 for sure, But Ruggs has got massive room for improvement 0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:01.720 and and we'll have the opportunity which is which is 0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:05.800 half of it. Okay, your next guy another tight end, 0:22:06.000 --> 0:22:08.439 and you know most rookie tight ends don't produce, so 0:22:08.480 --> 0:22:10.520