1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:03,920 Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information. 2 00:00:04,720 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree? 3 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:10,119 Speaker 1: I've got five dollars? This is a radule leon. How 4 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:10,920 Speaker 1: they traveled. 5 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 3: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable. 6 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 4: Humans need fantasy to be human. 7 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:26,080 Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, that mistake. 8 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 5: Prone the best, relentless, refusing to give up. 9 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless. 10 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 5: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from the Action Network 11 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 5: and Fantasy Labs. I'm your host, Chris raybaond NFL. 12 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:43,440 Speaker 4: Week five is here. 13 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:47,199 Speaker 5: This is your Week five Fantasy DFS preview, as always, 14 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 5: joined by one of the top projectors most accurate rankers 15 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 5: in the game, the odds maker Sean Kerner. 16 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 4: Sean, what's going on? 17 00:00:56,840 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: It's up? Yeah. 18 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 3: Last week there was another week where not only did 19 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 3: a few of our players that we gave out or 20 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 3: dart throws they gave out do good in DFS, they 21 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 3: also score a touchdown, including your Ty Johnson call. 22 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:12,960 Speaker 1: Only Bills player to score touchdown. 23 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 3: So again we're giving DFS advice, but we're kind of 24 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 3: using a lot of logic where these guys probably pretty 25 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 3: good dart throws when it comes to you know, touchdown 26 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 3: score markets where some of these guys are offering double 27 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 3: digit odds. 28 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: So nice call in the Ty Johnson play last week. 29 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 5: Yeah, and you had the Rochean and you had Trey Tucker. 30 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 5: So yeah, we hit some hit a few of these 31 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 5: each week. We'll try to keep it going. We'll preview 32 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 5: each game our our top top low cost dfs play 33 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 5: cheap guy kind of dart throw from each game starting 34 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 5: with Thursday Night Football. But before we do, just want 35 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 5: to remind everyone all of our fantasy football content is 36 00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 5: available over a Fantasy labs dot com. You can find 37 00:01:56,200 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 5: all of our award winning rankings and projections, tools and 38 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 5: more as dot com. All right, Thursday Night Tampa Bay 39 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:10,720 Speaker 5: Atlanta NFC South Divisional matchup. The Falcons favored by a 40 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:12,919 Speaker 5: point and a half the total round forty three. 41 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 4: Who do you like in this one? 42 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 5: All of the books receivers seem to be on the 43 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 5: injury reports, tep Chris Godwin or. 44 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 3: Sterling Shepherd who is yes, my dart throw in this 45 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 3: game at sixteen hundred, but yeah, you nailed it. Like 46 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 3: we need to monitor this wide receiver three situation because 47 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 3: last week rookie Jalen McMillan missed the game due to 48 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 3: a Hams free injury. 49 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: Didn't practice Monday. 50 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:43,920 Speaker 3: Not sure what the deal is today, but I'm just 51 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 3: guessing on the short week, he's probably closer to doubtful, 52 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 3: and his replacement, Trey Palmer suffered a concussion, so I 53 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 3: would say he's closer to a doubtful. So Sterling Shepherd 54 00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 3: would be the odds on favorite to be the number 55 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 3: three receiver, certainly the floor option, so like him, Cameron 56 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 3: Johnson would be like a sneaky dart throw. He could 57 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 3: pop in this game, but he himself is dealing with 58 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 3: an ankle injury, so again, this could just lead to 59 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 3: even more targets for Sterling Shepherd. So I think when 60 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 3: it comes to this wide receiver group, I think Shepherd's 61 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 3: the way to go. But still we need to monitor 62 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 3: the situation. Anything can happen from now until kick off. 63 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:27,839 Speaker 5: Yeah, Shepherd look good out there. He got caught three 64 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:28,839 Speaker 5: balls for fifty one. 65 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 4: He was flexing. 66 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,360 Speaker 5: I think after one of the catches, Nice ran a 67 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:35,119 Speaker 5: round on I think like sixty. 68 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 4: Five of the dropbacks. 69 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 5: So yeah, I mean he's always been kind of underrated 70 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 5: with the Giants. He always was able to get open 71 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 5: and get separation, just suffered a string of devastating injuries. 72 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 5: But maybe he's a little he's back. You know, he's 73 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 5: thirty one now, so you don't expect too much from him. 74 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 5: But he looked he look pretty decent out there in 75 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 5: that Eagles game. 76 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: All right, the one got. 77 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 4: The first London game of the year. Jets Vikings. 78 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 5: Vikings favored by two and a half the total forty 79 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 5: and a half, so lower total. Two pretty good defenses 80 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:16,080 Speaker 5: yere on the Vikings side. Actually, let's start the Jets. 81 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:20,240 Speaker 5: I'll go with former Viking Tyler Conklin. He is a 82 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 5: cheap play and running around on ninety percent of the dropbacks. 83 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 5: The Vikings are allowing eight point six schedule adjusted targets 84 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 5: to tight ends. That's third most according to FTN. So 85 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 5: Conklin got the routes, you got a cheap price, that's 86 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:36,599 Speaker 5: what you're looking for. And then I'll also mention the 87 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:38,919 Speaker 5: other tight end on the opposite side, Johnny Mutt. So 88 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 5: the Jets really haven't been giving up anything to tight ends. 89 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 5: They've been really good against the position. But that'll probably 90 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 5: suppress his ownership. And Jalen Naylor and Brandon Powell split 91 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 5: wide receiver three duties last week. So Powell's an option, 92 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 5: but it Nailor is the better player. He's just priced 93 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 5: up more. So I think the value in terms of 94 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 5: routes is actually on Johnny mut because he's the same 95 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:03,840 Speaker 5: price or even a little cheaper than Powell, and he's 96 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 5: projected to be on the field about seventy percent of 97 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:11,480 Speaker 5: the dropbacks, whereas Powell and Nailers probably about forty percent each, 98 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 5: thirty forty percent each. So Johnny Munt, especially after Josh Oliver, 99 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 5: is going a touchdown last week. 100 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 4: I don't think many people will be on a month 101 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 4: in this spot. 102 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 5: But he's been getting pretty consistent route rate, and every 103 00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:29,040 Speaker 5: once in a while he'll he'll pop off for a game, 104 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 5: and maybe Darnald's needs to start looking for it more 105 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,800 Speaker 5: after the way they ended that that game against Green Bay, 106 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 5: it was kind of ugly. 107 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:39,599 Speaker 4: All right, let's go to the main slate. 108 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 5: First up, we've got the Dolphins at Patriots minus one 109 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 5: for the Pats home favorites. 110 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 4: The total thirty five and a half. Ugly, Ugly, ugly? 111 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 4: Who do you like? 112 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 1: First off? 113 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:53,840 Speaker 3: That total seems pretty high at thirty five and a 114 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:56,479 Speaker 3: half if you ask right, But this isn't a game 115 00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 3: that I would be, you know, seeking players out. But 116 00:05:58,880 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 3: if I must, I think Jalen Polk is a good 117 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 3: dart throw here. He's thirty seven hundred, but he finally 118 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:09,680 Speaker 3: emergedes you know, the top wide receiver for the Patriots, 119 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 3: at least in terms of routes run rate, with the 120 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 3: season high eighty seven percent last week. He was only 121 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,039 Speaker 3: able to convert that into three catches for thirty yards. 122 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 3: But you know, you're not expecting much from this passing 123 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 3: attack anyway, and you know the Dolphins defense has been shaky, 124 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 3: so I think, you know, Polk could you know, get 125 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 3: a couple of longer catches here. But either way, he's 126 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 3: more of just like, I don't know, like a higher 127 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 3: floor play at thirty seven hundred. 128 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:38,040 Speaker 1: There's just not much to like in this light. 129 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 3: But I still think Polk, you know, he's worth investing 130 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 3: in his upside. 131 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:43,479 Speaker 1: I think he's a talented rookie. 132 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 3: So I think if you do target someone from this game, 133 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 3: Polk would make sense at such a cheap price tag 134 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:50,279 Speaker 3: at thirty seven hundred. 135 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 5: Yeah, and we're here and we might actually get some 136 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 5: Drake may sooner, we think. So that's always that could 137 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 5: always boost everyone ceiling in this game if you just 138 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 5: get Drake May in like the second quarter or something 139 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 5: like that. 140 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:06,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, so yeah, I like it. 141 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:10,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, he was up to what like almost mid eighty 142 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 5: percent in terms of the route rate last eighty eighty 143 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 5: seven percent. 144 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 4: Yeah, a season high. So that's encouraging. 145 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 5: Next up, we got the Ravens at the Bengals. Ravens 146 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 5: favored by two and a half on the road. The 147 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 5: total is fifty one. I'm going to roll with Mike 148 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 5: Gasiki here. He's thirty four hundred. He's still not running 149 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 5: a route on as many dropbacks as we like, only 150 00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 5: about fifty percent. With over that and Eric all the 151 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 5: rookie tight end, he's also a dart throw and you 152 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 5: know he's playing well as well. But Gasiki still I 153 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 5: think has some value Against Baltimore. They've allowed the second 154 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 5: most schedule adjusted targets and yards to the tight end 155 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 5: position according to FTN eight point nine targets eighty one 156 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 5: yards per game, and Mike Gasiki is underlying you know, 157 00:07:57,160 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 5: target rate looks pretty good in this offense. Now, t 158 00:08:00,640 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 5: Higgins his back, so that cuts into it a little bit. 159 00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 5: But still I think, you know, Mike Giseki talented player, 160 00:08:07,840 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 5: does it not really gonna get too much coverage and 161 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 5: this could be a higher, you know, higher scoring game, 162 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 5: which I think, you know, that's what Gaseki's gonna need 163 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 5: to really hit his ceiling, so he's gonna be a 164 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 5: very low floor. Could goose egg. But like the like 165 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 5: the ceiling here for Gaseki. I think he got an 166 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 5: overturned touchdown? Was it a couple of weeks ago? So 167 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 5: he's underperforming like his you know, expectation as well. Bill's 168 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:37,320 Speaker 5: looking to rebound. Just a gaunt with the games first Baltimore, 169 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 5: Now you got to go to Houston play his Texans team, 170 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:42,920 Speaker 5: Texas favorite by one of the total was forty seven. 171 00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 4: Who do you like in this spot? 172 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:50,120 Speaker 3: I like Matt Collins here at thirty one hundred. Heading 173 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:52,720 Speaker 3: into Sanit football, I was eight and two. I felt 174 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 3: like having some fun, so I was on Matt Collins 175 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 3: over and I quickly realized or remembered how painful it 176 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:00,680 Speaker 3: is for us root for over. 177 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:02,480 Speaker 1: So that was awful. 178 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 3: But he's led this wide receiver room in terms of 179 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:10,040 Speaker 3: routes run rate on the season, averaging seventy eight percent. 180 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 3: Very low target guy, but like I said this week 181 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:18,120 Speaker 3: he saw six targets and what was you know, trailing 182 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:21,199 Speaker 3: game stript. I figured when they're trailing, they're going to 183 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 3: be a little bit more aggressive. 184 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 1: You know. 185 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 3: Mac Collins is more of the downfield higher a dot 186 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:30,440 Speaker 3: kind of receiver in this group along with Nbs, So 187 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 3: that could be a similar game script here. Not quite 188 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 3: a blowout, but still this is going to be a 189 00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 3: game where the Bills are going to be more pass 190 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:40,079 Speaker 3: heavy to just keep up with the Texans offense. And 191 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 3: of the five incompletions to mac Collins, like a lot 192 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 3: of them. 193 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:46,760 Speaker 1: It was like there's many of them. 194 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 3: Believe me, Josh Allen and Maccollins, they weren't on the 195 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 3: same page. And the field is kind of slippery, and 196 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,880 Speaker 3: you got to remember mac Collins, he rarely wears shoes, 197 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 3: so you know, the field condissions were probably like even 198 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:02,719 Speaker 3: more for someone like him. So now that we're kind 199 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,959 Speaker 3: of in a dome environment in Houston, I'm expecting less 200 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 3: shoe issues for Matt Collins. So I think he'll catch 201 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:12,120 Speaker 3: a couple more balls here. But either way, I like 202 00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 3: the upside he provides that thirty one hundred and what 203 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:16,880 Speaker 3: should be a shootout here yeah. 204 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:18,079 Speaker 4: It can't get it much worse though. 205 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 5: His last three games he's had nine targets for twenty 206 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:24,440 Speaker 5: one yards two catches after but in week one two 207 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:26,439 Speaker 5: for twenty five in a touch. So that's if you 208 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:28,680 Speaker 5: can do that one every four, he's due, right, Yeah, 209 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 5: that's that's. 210 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 1: What Collins experienced. 211 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 5: Baby Yeah, oh wow, Yeah I didn't even look at that. 212 00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 5: I didn't see that stat. Watch six targets five yards 213 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 5: last week? What is he a tight end? 214 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:43,120 Speaker 3: It's even worse. It's even worse. He caught like the 215 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 3: first throw of the game for like, yeah, five yards. 216 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 4: I saw that. 217 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:50,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, they're trailing by like thirty. They're just running this 218 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:55,000 Speaker 3: air raid offense. Just he's out there seeing targets, running routes. 219 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 3: Couldn't couldn't the probab is twelve. 220 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 1: And a half. I'm not like no, I felt like, yeah, 221 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:06,080 Speaker 1: yeah it was Curtis Samuel Under. Well yeah, no, just 222 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:06,680 Speaker 1: any under. 223 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:09,959 Speaker 3: Just rooting for unders or it's way more fun people 224 00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:13,439 Speaker 3: trust me, So yeah, I was. I was given Charlie 225 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 3: de Circo about overs, because again it's just rather you 226 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:20,080 Speaker 3: rather root for an under you're winning it until you're not. 227 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:24,959 Speaker 5: So Lessons learned yeah, but in this case, we're rooting 228 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 5: for Over with Mac Collins. 229 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 1: Yes, touch a long touchdown for sure. 230 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:33,480 Speaker 5: Uh Cleveland at Washington, the Command is favored by three 231 00:11:33,520 --> 00:11:36,480 Speaker 5: the total forty four and a half. I'm gonna rode 232 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:40,000 Speaker 5: Elijah Moore here, kind of a squeaky wheel situation, but 233 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:43,880 Speaker 5: he had a bad matchup last week against the Raiders. 234 00:11:43,920 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 5: Now he gets Washington, and Washington's been one of the 235 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:50,839 Speaker 5: the worst teams against wide receivers period, so I think 236 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:53,880 Speaker 5: there's a decent bounce back spot. And obviously, you know 237 00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 5: everyone's going to be on Amari Cooper. I think Jerry 238 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 5: Judy is going to attract some attention as well, because 239 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 5: you know he he's been running around and over ninety percent, 240 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:04,959 Speaker 5: so More is kind of the forgotten guy, especially if 241 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:07,960 Speaker 5: the Djoku returns. You know, no one's really gonna be 242 00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 5: thinking about More too much. But he's still averaging about 243 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 5: an eighty two route rate on the season, and I 244 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:17,720 Speaker 5: just think this matchup sneaky one for Elijah at thirty 245 00:12:17,720 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 5: five hundred, you know the price is right, somebody's gonna 246 00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:23,760 Speaker 5: go off on this on this Browns team, even with 247 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:25,400 Speaker 5: Deshaun Watson at quarterback. 248 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:30,320 Speaker 4: So yeah, give me some Elijah. 249 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:32,720 Speaker 5: Colts at Jags Jags favored by two and a half 250 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 5: the total forty six and a half. Jonathan Taylor questionable 251 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:37,600 Speaker 5: with an ankle injury in this one. 252 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 4: Who do you like? 253 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:43,000 Speaker 3: I'm going to go out Pierce here. He's a little price, 254 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 3: He's forty nine hundred, so I think his roster ship 255 00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 3: could be a bit lower kind of spending up to 256 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:51,400 Speaker 3: be contrarion here. But there's just a lot of moving 257 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:53,320 Speaker 3: pieces on the Colts right now. It's really tough to 258 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 3: project them because I'm assuming Jonathan Taylor is going to 259 00:12:56,960 --> 00:12:59,040 Speaker 3: miss this week, which should make, you know, the Colts 260 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:02,640 Speaker 3: a bit more pass heavy, and Anthony and Richardson might 261 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 3: be out, so Joe Flacco would kind of make them 262 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:07,840 Speaker 3: more pass heavy. And I've I've always been saying that 263 00:13:07,880 --> 00:13:10,560 Speaker 3: when Joe Flacco's under center, it's going to really boost 264 00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 3: all the pass catcher's value. And the Jags defense is 265 00:13:14,280 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 3: one where we kind of want to use pass catchers 266 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:20,679 Speaker 3: against them. So Michael Pittman, Josh downs are going to 267 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,840 Speaker 3: be fantastic high end options if Flacco's under center here. 268 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 1: But I think you know, Alec Pierce certainly worth a 269 00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:28,160 Speaker 1: dart throw. 270 00:13:28,200 --> 00:13:30,839 Speaker 3: Here, he's gonna be running route eighty to eighty five 271 00:13:30,880 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 3: percent of Flacco's dropbacks or richardson and plenty of time 272 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:38,160 Speaker 3: to see a downfield target or two. So I think 273 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 3: out of the group, you know, he stands out as 274 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 3: a dart throw and you know Adie Mitchell, he's always 275 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 3: worth a dart throw. 276 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:46,600 Speaker 1: One of these passes, he's going to catch a touchdown. 277 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 3: Just last thing there, there's two passes where he could 278 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:55,040 Speaker 3: have easily scored on him, but for whatever reason, you know, 279 00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 3: good defense, he was blanket on one of them. But 280 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 3: if he gets on the same page with Flaco, he 281 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,200 Speaker 3: could have a big game. So I think Mitchell's always 282 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,720 Speaker 3: getting work with the dart throw. And he saw his 283 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,480 Speaker 3: rout sound rate back up over twenty five percent. It 284 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:10,920 Speaker 3: was at twenty seven percent. So he's a player that 285 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:14,839 Speaker 3: you know, in bigger GPPs, we're really looking for a fire. 286 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 3: You could certainly do worse than Nady Mitchell. 287 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:21,479 Speaker 5: Yeah, the last last week he had sixty seven incomplete 288 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 5: air yards the week before thirty eight, So over the 289 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:28,000 Speaker 5: past two weeks he's had one hundred and five incomplete 290 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 5: fah air yards. So yeah, he's uh he's due, He's 291 00:14:32,800 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 5: definitely do for him. 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Just visit actionnetwork dot com, 316 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:10,200 Speaker 6: slash pricing or follow the link in this episode's description. 317 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 5: Carolina Chicago the Bears favored by four, the total forty 318 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 5: two and a half. I'm gonna actually go back to 319 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 5: the well you liked to mask. He did absolutely nothing, 320 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 5: Tommy Tremor. But that's sometimes this is this is what happens. 321 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:26,480 Speaker 5: You know, a guy's just not part of the game plan. 322 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 5: One week he was, but he was out there about 323 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,320 Speaker 5: ninety percent of the pass naps ran a route was 324 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:34,800 Speaker 5: it seventy seven percent of the time for the second 325 00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:39,840 Speaker 5: straight week, So the underlying usage is good. And because 326 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 5: he was out there at such a high rate and 327 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 5: didn't do absolutely nothing, people will probably be off of him. 328 00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 5: But usually the routes, you know, targets are gonna follow 329 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 5: the route. So on the season, only a nine percent 330 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:55,280 Speaker 5: target rate so probably do for a little regression there. 331 00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:58,440 Speaker 5: I have his like true target rate around like just 332 00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:01,800 Speaker 5: about fourteen to fifteen, so I think he's due for 333 00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 5: a little bit about ran thirty three routes last week, 334 00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 5: thirty routes the week before, seventy seven percent route rate 335 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 5: in both games. So that's really are you're looking for here. 336 00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 5: And there's gonna be a lout of you know, Roshawn 337 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 5: Johnson and I'm sure the Carolina like Mingo, and I mean, 338 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:22,080 Speaker 5: we'll get some little priced up, but there's gonna be 339 00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:24,679 Speaker 5: a lot of other options where Tremble is gonna go 340 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:26,200 Speaker 5: completely under the radar. 341 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 4: But you get in the. 342 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:29,119 Speaker 5: Routes and this is it's tight end, right, So he 343 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:31,600 Speaker 5: Tommy Trumple, he catches what he got a touchdown, he 344 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:33,720 Speaker 5: might finish his T five or something like that, one 345 00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 5: catch six touchdown. 346 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. 347 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 3: I mean Tremble busted for me this week. I think 348 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 3: he's going to go off for you, of course, but 349 00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 3: zero catches last week. You know who else had zero catches, 350 00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:47,200 Speaker 3: Kyle Pitts, Mark Andrews. I'm sure I'm missing some other 351 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 3: stud tight end, but yeah, you just can't get caught 352 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 3: playing wlack the Walls tight Ends. It's, if anything, it's 353 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 3: better to investing in these guys after a dud like 354 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:56,840 Speaker 3: this because, like you said, the usage is there, like 355 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,320 Speaker 3: he's gonna get his one of these weeks where he 356 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,399 Speaker 3: catches a few asses, and I think his ownership, especially 357 00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 3: after last week, is going to be like really really low. 358 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 1: So love him as dart throw here for. 359 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:12,240 Speaker 5: What it's worth, Chicago, twenty seventh in Dvoa against tight Ends. 360 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:16,959 Speaker 5: Let's go to the cards at the Niners. Niners favored 361 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:20,120 Speaker 5: by a touchdown, seven and a half at some spots, 362 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:21,880 Speaker 5: the total right around fifty. 363 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:26,120 Speaker 4: Who you like in this NFC West showdown? 364 00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:29,639 Speaker 3: Gotta go with my boy Michael Wilson here at forty 365 00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 3: four hundred. You know, Wilson's always going to be a 366 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 3: sneaky flyer. I think he's very underrated still and most 367 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 3: people are going to be on you know, Marvin Harrison 368 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:42,320 Speaker 3: Junior and Trey McBride assuming he's back this week for 369 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:42,920 Speaker 3: good reason. 370 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 1: Those those are the top two targets. 371 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:49,640 Speaker 3: But you know, Michael Wilson, he's a good downfield weapon, 372 00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:52,439 Speaker 3: a good red zone weapon. So all we need is, 373 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:54,879 Speaker 3: you know, a longer catch or a longer touchdown catcher 374 00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:58,120 Speaker 3: and they'll head value here. This is a matchup where 375 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 3: you know the Cardinals will likely be down most of 376 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:03,240 Speaker 3: the time. They're seven and a half point underdogs right now, 377 00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:06,439 Speaker 3: So this is just a great spot for Michael Wilson. 378 00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:09,800 Speaker 3: Last week I was on Greg Dortsch because with you know, 379 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:13,280 Speaker 3: Trey McBride out that bumps up Dorsch in my model. 380 00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:15,360 Speaker 1: But with all the weapons there, I think. 381 00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:18,120 Speaker 3: It does set up defenses to kind of pay attention 382 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:19,959 Speaker 3: to the top two targets a little bit more and 383 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:22,879 Speaker 3: open up things for Michael Wilson. So I think this 384 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,840 Speaker 3: is a great matchup, great spot for you know, take 385 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:27,760 Speaker 3: a flyer on Michael Wilson here at forty four hundred. 386 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,439 Speaker 4: Oh yeah, we love Michael Wilson. He's I think he's 387 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:31,040 Speaker 4: a good player. 388 00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:34,439 Speaker 5: So that car just hopefully Kyler Murray can get it 389 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:36,600 Speaker 5: going down the field. I mean it's just been you 390 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,639 Speaker 5: had the one breakout game and it's just been nothing. 391 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:43,680 Speaker 5: But yeah, I think Wilson is a talented guy. Raiders 392 00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 5: Broncos in Denver, Denver favored by three the total thirty 393 00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:49,719 Speaker 5: six and a half. I'm gonna go with Trey Tucker 394 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:54,240 Speaker 5: in this one. He is forty one hundred. I think 395 00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 5: he's he came through for you last week right with 396 00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:59,920 Speaker 5: a touchdown. Yeah, scored two weeks straight, and I think 397 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:01,960 Speaker 5: Avante Adams sounds like he's gonna be out again as 398 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:05,240 Speaker 5: his mayor. But even if they play, I like Tucker 399 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 5: because he has a lot of speed, a lot of 400 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:11,160 Speaker 5: upside he can get. He had ten carries for seventy 401 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,160 Speaker 5: seven yards last year. This year, his first carry went 402 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:17,440 Speaker 5: for a three yard touchdown. He caught seven of nine 403 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 5: for ninety six in a touchdown a couple of weeks 404 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:22,920 Speaker 5: ago at Carolina, and then five for forty one last 405 00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:26,280 Speaker 5: week with Mayor and Adams out on six targets, he 406 00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:30,000 Speaker 5: ran around on ninety three percent of dropbacks, and he's 407 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,399 Speaker 5: just kind of worked his way into that. You know, 408 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 5: he's that number three receiver. You know, he's been eighty 409 00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:38,320 Speaker 5: three percent or more route ray in three of the 410 00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,000 Speaker 5: four games. So it's not even he's not even totally 411 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:44,360 Speaker 5: dependent on guys missing time. And he's one of those 412 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:48,440 Speaker 5: guys that can play inside outside and get some high aight. 413 00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:49,200 Speaker 4: Out targets as well. 414 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,639 Speaker 5: So I remember he had that big breakout game against 415 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,560 Speaker 5: the Chargers last year when the Raiders put up sixty, 416 00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,320 Speaker 5: so he has he has some upside. So like Trey 417 00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:58,880 Speaker 5: Tucker going back to the well here. 418 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:02,960 Speaker 3: Do you think catches her ten shadows anybody in this 419 00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:06,360 Speaker 3: matchup or just kind of covers Myers and Tucker equally? 420 00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 4: I mean I would probably be Myers if anyone, I. 421 00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:10,680 Speaker 1: Don't know that would help. 422 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't think Tucker's the kind of guy you 423 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:15,240 Speaker 5: would want to ten to shadow. I mean I could 424 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:17,480 Speaker 5: be wrong, but yeah, I would think Myers would still 425 00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:20,399 Speaker 5: be Myers got ten targets last week, so he's still 426 00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:25,080 Speaker 5: the would be the consider the number one if Adam's rout. Okay, 427 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 5: Giants at the Seahawks Giants coming off the long rest 428 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 5: the league neighbor's questionable with UH concussion protocol. The Seahawks 429 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:34,480 Speaker 5: are favored by six. 430 00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:36,480 Speaker 4: The total is forty two. 431 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:42,800 Speaker 3: Darius Slayton at thirty nine hundred right now, and this 432 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,199 Speaker 3: Giant's passing offense is so top heavy right now with 433 00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 3: Milake Neighbors and Jandiale Robinson just dominating targets. But Slayton's 434 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:54,440 Speaker 3: out there, you know, the clear number three wide receiver 435 00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,960 Speaker 3: running around on eighty five percent of Daniel Jones dropbacks 436 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:01,359 Speaker 3: this year. He's actually caught three passes in three or 437 00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,720 Speaker 3: four games this year too, so he's actually being pretty 438 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 3: productive all things considered. So he's the kind of guy 439 00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:10,760 Speaker 3: that's always a threat for a potential downfield target or two. 440 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,360 Speaker 3: So I think in this matchup, where you know, likely 441 00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 3: be a pass heavy, trailing game script, he's certainly worth 442 00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:18,960 Speaker 3: a fire at three and three nine hundred. No matter 443 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,359 Speaker 3: what you know, neighbors status ultimately is. You know, if 444 00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:26,119 Speaker 3: Neighbors is in, he's a very sneaky dart throw in 445 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:29,639 Speaker 3: big tournaments. But if Neighbors is out, you know his 446 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:33,000 Speaker 3: ownership will be much higher. But you know, I think 447 00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:35,359 Speaker 3: probably not high enough. So I think Slayton either way, 448 00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 3: for me, will be a dart throat thirty nine hundred here. 449 00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 5: Yeah, him, he's like Ady Mitchew. Him and Daniel Jones 450 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 5: have had a bunch of near misses. I mean I 451 00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:46,560 Speaker 5: can just off the top of my head, I remember 452 00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:48,760 Speaker 5: like three or four already this year where it could 453 00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 5: have gone from the big yardage. 454 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,120 Speaker 3: So which is I mean they probably have the most 455 00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,600 Speaker 3: chemistry out of all they Yeah. 456 00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:56,280 Speaker 1: They had. 457 00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,360 Speaker 5: They If you look at Daniel Jones's just career splits 458 00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:00,119 Speaker 5: with different you. 459 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:01,680 Speaker 4: Swayton's usually at the top. 460 00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:04,879 Speaker 5: So yeah, I mean it hasn't worked out yet this 461 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,040 Speaker 5: year really too much. But like you said, he's still 462 00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:10,359 Speaker 5: been He's he's always earning that playing time over what's 463 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:13,920 Speaker 5: his over Jay and High crazy. 464 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:17,440 Speaker 1: Targeted game incomplete? 465 00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:17,960 Speaker 4: Yeah? 466 00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:21,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, well maybe over under. 467 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,440 Speaker 4: When half a touchdown for Jay and Hyatt this year. 468 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 3: Oh that's that's a good one, man. I think over 469 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 3: I think he'll catch, He'll catch a long one. I 470 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:33,760 Speaker 3: thought you were going to offer me an air yard sprout. 471 00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:36,880 Speaker 4: Like a completed air yard. 472 00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:39,040 Speaker 3: Well no, just like over under thirty two en off 473 00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:42,920 Speaker 3: air yards this week. But with with neighbors being questionable, 474 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:44,200 Speaker 3: that's kind of a tricky line. 475 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 1: But yeah, that's a fun one. 476 00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:50,640 Speaker 5: I mean, knowing, knowing Brian Dable. If neighbors is out, 477 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,399 Speaker 5: you'll just see Bryce Ford Wheaton take all of his 478 00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 5: Nats and high. It will remain in the same yeah situation. Yeah, 479 00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 5: he'll try out a mere Smith Marsett or somebody out there. 480 00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 1: David still the fifth or the fourth. 481 00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,680 Speaker 4: I think he's isn't on Denver I thought he was. 482 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 3: I think he's on the way of Cole Featheringham Bothering. 483 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:17,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, no, he's uh so's so's the fifth is 484 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 5: on the Broncos practice squad. But uh, you know they 485 00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:23,560 Speaker 5: already got like six receivers up, so I don't think 486 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:24,399 Speaker 5: he's getting called up. 487 00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:27,160 Speaker 4: Well, I think Mims got banged up, so who knows? 488 00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:32,480 Speaker 5: All right, last game on the main slate, Packers at Rams, 489 00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:36,280 Speaker 5: the Rams or three and a half point underdogs at home. 490 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:40,080 Speaker 4: The total is forty eight. Uh, gotta go with Jordan. 491 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:43,120 Speaker 5: Wittington at forty six hundred, you know, just a ton 492 00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:43,880 Speaker 5: of upside. 493 00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:44,639 Speaker 4: He might be that. 494 00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:48,359 Speaker 5: You know, Cooper cut pooka Nakula replacement ninety route rate 495 00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:51,080 Speaker 5: last week and on the Packer's side, Tucker Craft thirty 496 00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 5: five hundred eighty six route rate last week, top ten 497 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 5: tight end in our rankings this week, So he got 498 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,720 Speaker 5: some options in this in this spot. But I think 499 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:04,600 Speaker 5: like going with some of like the guys who didn't 500 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,639 Speaker 5: who are kind of busts these last few weeks, like 501 00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:12,320 Speaker 5: Musgrave and like a Tyra Johnson. That's also an option too, 502 00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 5: because this should be there should be a fairly high 503 00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:18,200 Speaker 5: scoring game, and I do think Whittington and Craft they're 504 00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:21,560 Speaker 5: they're great plays, but they'll probably be pretty popular, So 505 00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 5: like a Tyra Johnson and Luke Muskrave would be the pivots. 506 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 5: Sunday Night Football Cowboys at Steelers Classic seventies Super Bowl matchup, 507 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:38,400 Speaker 5: Starbuck versus Bradshaw, Frank o'harris, Tony Dorset, all those dudes. Yeah, 508 00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:42,560 Speaker 5: Steelers favored by a couple totals forty three. Who you 509 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:46,000 Speaker 5: like in this one where I don't know we was it? 510 00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:48,200 Speaker 5: Cowboys must have been favored on the look ahead right, 511 00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:51,680 Speaker 5: Like I can't see the Steelers being favored on the 512 00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,680 Speaker 5: look ahead wine, So yeah, this is must be Let's 513 00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,040 Speaker 5: totally do to the Justin fields breakout. 514 00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, well that's interesting because the Cowboys essentially pushed on 515 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,919 Speaker 3: the spread and the Steelers lost than their favorite, so 516 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,760 Speaker 3: that that would be weird if the line moved that much. 517 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:13,680 Speaker 1: True, I would say Micah Parsons is probably worth one 518 00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: and a half. 519 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,280 Speaker 3: Maybe I would say that's probably the main reason we 520 00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:19,040 Speaker 3: saw this, you know, move so much. 521 00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:21,880 Speaker 1: And yeah, Justin feels are great. 522 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 3: But my dart throw for this game is Jalen Tolbert 523 00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,560 Speaker 3: because you know, the Steelers have been using Joey Porter Jr. 524 00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:33,080 Speaker 3: To shadow opposing team's number one receiver this year, and 525 00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:35,960 Speaker 3: you know, Ceedee Lamb is the clear number one receiver. 526 00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:38,159 Speaker 3: I do think Dallas will be able to move him 527 00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:41,560 Speaker 3: round like in the slot and avoid Yeah. 528 00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that's right. Yeah give him. 529 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:44,760 Speaker 4: That's another reason. 530 00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:51,439 Speaker 3: Exactly, Yeah, yeah, exactly. And yeah, so it'll be easier 531 00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 3: for them to avoid Joey Porter Jr. But either way, 532 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,960 Speaker 3: I think it is worth you know, rolling the dice 533 00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:01,199 Speaker 3: on Brandon Cooks or Jail and Tolbert. It's hard to 534 00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 3: call Brandon Cooks a dart throw and he's also been 535 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 3: bad this year, so I just decided to go with 536 00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:09,920 Speaker 3: Jaalen Tolbert. But Tolbert's you know, shown some flashes this year. 537 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,119 Speaker 3: So I think this is a game where, especially on 538 00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 3: a Showdown slate, I think he makes a ton of 539 00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 3: sense where I think his rosters ship probably won't be 540 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,399 Speaker 3: as high as it should be. So I think on 541 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 3: the Cowboys side, definitely give me some Jaalen Tolbert here. 542 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, I've been I've been liking he's been moving up 543 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 5: my ranks like steadily. 544 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:26,840 Speaker 4: I've been like what I've seen. 545 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 5: I think it was what that first or second game 546 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,560 Speaker 5: and they got blown up by Cleveland. I think it 547 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:33,600 Speaker 5: was he would I think he looked pretty good in 548 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,040 Speaker 5: that one, and he's looked pretty good overall, so yeah, 549 00:27:36,320 --> 00:27:38,679 Speaker 5: wouldn't be surprised if he has a big game. You 550 00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,200 Speaker 5: know the Cowboys, I think they're gonna go pretty pass 551 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:42,040 Speaker 5: heavy in general. 552 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:43,560 Speaker 4: So remember that year they. 553 00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:46,760 Speaker 5: Had like Cedric Wilson is their number four guy and 554 00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:51,280 Speaker 5: he and he blew up. So yeah, right, yeah, yeah, 555 00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:56,280 Speaker 5: I see something similar. You have Tolbert Jalen Brooks. He's 556 00:27:56,280 --> 00:28:01,080 Speaker 5: another one I like. So yeah, like that Monday night 557 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:04,720 Speaker 5: football sinks at the Chiefs chief Saver by five and 558 00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:08,280 Speaker 5: a half total forty two and a half. Not the 559 00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:11,320 Speaker 5: same necessarily Chiefs offense that were used to Mahomes thrown 560 00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 5: it shorter than ever before. But still gonna go with 561 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:20,760 Speaker 5: Justin Watson, who can catch some deep targets, but he 562 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:24,560 Speaker 5: just never dies. Man. It's like he was just starting 563 00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:27,720 Speaker 5: wide receiver for a good portion of the last couple 564 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:29,639 Speaker 5: of years and you thought, Okay, now they got worthy, 565 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,280 Speaker 5: they got Marquis Brown or sheee Rice, There's no way 566 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,920 Speaker 5: Justin Watson's still a factor. And lo and behold seventy 567 00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:39,440 Speaker 5: four percent route rate last week was Rice going down 568 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:43,200 Speaker 5: early in the game, ran more routes than Juju Smith Schuster, 569 00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 5: so those two look like the next man up on 570 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 5: Casey sky Moore had a bad drop, so he's probably 571 00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:52,360 Speaker 5: not gonna get too much work. And Hardman's role is 572 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:56,280 Speaker 5: mostly on special teams, so Watson could be a factor 573 00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,800 Speaker 5: yet again. And then on the same side, I got 574 00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:05,000 Speaker 5: a a real dart throw for you, Yale graduate Mason Tifton, 575 00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:07,440 Speaker 5: the number three receiver for the Saints. 576 00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 4: Taysom Hill banged up. 577 00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:12,640 Speaker 5: We saw Foster Moro see a decrease in snaps last week, 578 00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 5: and the Chiefs are still, you know, still a formidable opponent. 579 00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 5: The Saints around the road five point underdogs, so they 580 00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,440 Speaker 5: might have to you know, go to their one to 581 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 5: one personnel a little more than usual in this spot, 582 00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:29,440 Speaker 5: and that would benefit Tipton, who has been playing ahead 583 00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:32,200 Speaker 5: of Cedric Wilson and Bob Means and At Perry and 584 00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:34,240 Speaker 5: all these guys all year long. So he kind of 585 00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,760 Speaker 5: won that job out of camp and he was creating 586 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:39,760 Speaker 5: some buzz. Hasn't really done too much yet this year. 587 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:43,000 Speaker 5: He has I think four catches on the year. Yeah, 588 00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 5: four catches on the year for twenty three yards, so 589 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,600 Speaker 5: nothing crazy five targets, but he's on the field about 590 00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:51,600 Speaker 5: about over forty percent of the time on average, and 591 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,040 Speaker 5: that could bump up against the Chiefs. And he's kind 592 00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:55,800 Speaker 5: of a guy no one really knows who he is 593 00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:58,320 Speaker 5: or much about him, so I want to get ahead 594 00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:00,520 Speaker 5: of him. He's going to probably p for a big 595 00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:04,440 Speaker 5: game one of these days. In the Saints offense, you 596 00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 5: just gotta figure. I mean you the Saint They're kind 597 00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:09,160 Speaker 5: of like an equal opportunity. You never know who's going 598 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:12,360 Speaker 5: to go off. It's like Juan Johnson. You got all 599 00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 5: these guys that could catch like three for forty in 600 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:18,040 Speaker 5: a touchdown or go goose egg. So yeah, give me 601 00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:22,040 Speaker 5: some Mason Tipton before he gets like a like a 602 00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:24,520 Speaker 5: cheap touchdown and then everyone's like, oh, yeah, who's this guy? 603 00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 5: And then you know he Mason Yeah, pre Mason Tipton hype. 604 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:30,960 Speaker 5: That's why I love this format. Where else can we 605 00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 5: talk about Mason Tipton. But yeah, like when I look 606 00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 5: at the routes run right, he is clearly their number 607 00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:37,360 Speaker 5: three receiver. 608 00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:39,200 Speaker 1: He beat out Bob Means of all people. 609 00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:43,800 Speaker 3: Yeah and more, Well, yeah, yeah, Cedric Wilson's actually a 610 00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:46,520 Speaker 3: pretty solid vet, but like they probably need an upgrade 611 00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:47,800 Speaker 3: at the receiver three. 612 00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:49,960 Speaker 1: So what what happened with Michael Thomas? Where is he? 613 00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:51,240 Speaker 1: Is he just retired? 614 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 4: Uh? Probably injured? I don't know. 615 00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:58,640 Speaker 5: Kind I mean, I mean he's so I think initially 616 00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 5: what was going on was he didn't want to like 617 00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:02,280 Speaker 5: have to compete for a job, you know, he just 618 00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:04,840 Speaker 5: wanted to just kind of come in and I mean, hey, 619 00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:07,280 Speaker 5: maybe the Chiefs kick the tires, who knows. But at 620 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:10,760 Speaker 5: this point, I don't know if he's I just don't 621 00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 5: know where he is physically, you know, he I mean, 622 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:15,920 Speaker 5: he was okay, what was it was it last year? 623 00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:16,760 Speaker 5: Is it two years ago? 624 00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:16,920 Speaker 1: Now? 625 00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 5: Don't even seems like forever? It was last year? Right, Yeah, 626 00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,440 Speaker 5: first half of last year he was okay. He was 627 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:24,040 Speaker 5: catching like four or five balls a game most games. 628 00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:27,400 Speaker 5: But I just don't know the separations there, and the 629 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:30,320 Speaker 5: fact that no one I haven't heard anything about him 630 00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:30,800 Speaker 5: is not. 631 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,520 Speaker 4: Doesn't really bode too well. Right, Yeah, I agree, I 632 00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:33,720 Speaker 4: think this. 633 00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:35,720 Speaker 5: I mean, the Saints they just don't really value I 634 00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 5: guess that this year, like they're playing, they're going. 635 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:39,680 Speaker 4: With a lot of the tight ends. And you know, 636 00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:40,600 Speaker 4: it's one of those. 637 00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:44,400 Speaker 5: Heavy play, action, cheap the opposing defense and base kind 638 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:45,040 Speaker 5: of offenses. 639 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,160 Speaker 4: But if you're playing the Chiefs like they're four and 640 00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:48,000 Speaker 4: oh and they haven't. 641 00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:50,520 Speaker 5: Even played their best football, so uh, you're probably gonna 642 00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 5: see some trailing game spirit, which would which would be 643 00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:55,640 Speaker 5: beneficial for Tipton. All right, that is going to do 644 00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:59,320 Speaker 5: it for our NFL Week five Fantasy DFS preview. Be 645 00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:02,760 Speaker 5: sure two subscribe to the Fantasy Flex podcast wherever you 646 00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:05,840 Speaker 5: listen so you don't miss an episode all season long. 647 00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:10,040 Speaker 5: Fantasylabs dot com is where all of our fantasy football content, 648 00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 5: award winning rankings, and projections. Is how you can use 649 00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:16,320 Speaker 5: code flex forty fl ex four zero forty dollars off 650 00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,800 Speaker 5: right now, Sean's one x at the underscarage maker on 651 00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:20,640 Speaker 5: Actress Raybon. 652 00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:22,880 Speaker 4: We're at those same handles on the free award winning 653 00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:25,760 Speaker 4: Action Network app. So next time we'll get this. 654 00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 2: Monnies Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 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