1 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Tuesday morning 2 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:18,480 Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt Paralt 3 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: at Sports Doc. Matt is my Twitter handle at Betting 4 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:24,480 Speaker 1: Pros is the Betting Pros Twitter handle. BETMGM is always 5 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 1: the title sponsor of this podcast. They've been so for 6 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: well almost two years now. At You can go to 7 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:34,479 Speaker 1: betemgm dot com new account. You sign up for a 8 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 1: new account, use do promo code Juice one fifty. When 9 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: you sign up, you get a ten dollars bet one 10 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,319 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars three fifty bucks bets we put 11 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:45,120 Speaker 1: into your account ten bucks on any event. Juice one 12 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: fifty the promo code for us. YouTube for the video 13 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 1: with a Betting Pro YouTube channel or audio where you 14 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:52,239 Speaker 1: get your audio podcasts. All right, so one one in 15 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 1: one night last night, we get the Oklahoma State plus 16 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 1: four and a half correct. They lose an overtime, but 17 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,639 Speaker 1: they cover, which is good for us. There we get 18 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 1: a push on the under for the Bruins, who somehow 19 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:06,480 Speaker 1: scored five goals by themselves against Colorado. I didn't see 20 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 1: that coming. I saw one or two goals for Colorado 21 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 1: till I talked about it. 22 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 2: Last night. 23 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 1: I like the Bruins should have bet the Bruins would 24 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: have been a one to oho and one night with 25 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 1: the Bruins, but instead the Bruins get plus money at home. 26 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,880 Speaker 1: They blow out the Avalanche. Low scoring game between Winnipeg 27 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: and calgarys of the over six goals does not come 28 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 1: in there, so we wind up one and one in 29 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 1: hockey in one to know in college basketball for last night, 30 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 1: so no real harm down, a little juice, nothing too significant. 31 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: So technically a losing day, but nothing that big of 32 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:37,959 Speaker 1: a deal. So we go into a Tuesday here with 33 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: three college basketball games. It's a big, big college basketball night. 34 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:42,680 Speaker 2: Okay. 35 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: I got three plays, half unit and all of them 36 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 1: going to keep going with this three. 37 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 2: I like this three. 38 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: Right, we go one and two, two and one, we're 39 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 1: gonna wind up either winning or losing. I like it's 40 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: three to oho oho and three. It's a good it's 41 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: a good strategy in my opinion. Okay, So I'm going 42 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: to start here with the game of the night, which 43 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 1: is Yukon and Villanova Nova plus two on the road 44 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 1: at Yukon fourteen, twelve and one against the number of 45 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 1: Villanova Yukon twelve and fourteen against the number this season 46 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 1: at home Huskies seven and seven ats on the road 47 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: Villanova seven, seven and one ats last ten three six 48 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: and one for Villanova four and six for a Yukon. 49 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 2: No real advantage there. 50 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 1: In the first matchup a four point spread for Nova 51 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 1: at home, they win by eleven, covering this thing by 52 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:40,639 Speaker 1: seven points. However, even though it's been five straight wins 53 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 1: for Villanova straight up, they've only covered twice during that 54 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: five game stretch. Against Georgetown, in their last game they 55 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:50,800 Speaker 1: were laying nineteen and a half trap game. 56 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 2: We talked about it a bit, talked about on Twitter. 57 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,519 Speaker 2: Trap game for Nova. They win by eight. 58 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: Time before that, we were on them against Providence on 59 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 1: the road they won by five as four point favorites 60 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 1: Seaton Hall only nine against Seaton Hall and six against 61 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 1: Saint John's they won by six in both those games. 62 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 1: Did not cover in a push in that one here 63 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:15,079 Speaker 1: for Yukon. Last time out at home again Xavier win 64 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 1: by eleven, covering that minus six and a half against 65 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,560 Speaker 1: Seaton Hall they won by five as five and a 66 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 1: half point favorites. They did not cover in the two 67 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 1: previous game before that Saint John's and Xavier won by 68 00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:29,359 Speaker 1: three lost by six. They did not cover both these 69 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:33,360 Speaker 1: teams two and three over the last ten against the spread. 70 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: But Villanova sorry Yukon. At home, they beat Xavier, they 71 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 1: beat Seaton Hall. They beat Marquette, They lost to Creighton 72 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: back on the first of February. Three and one over 73 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 1: the last four games at home straight up for Villanova. 74 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 1: On the road, they beat Providence, they beat Saint John's. 75 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: They lost to Marquette on the second of February, two 76 00:03:57,200 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: and one straight up over the last three games. Look, 77 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 1: I think this is a coin flip game, and when 78 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 1: we're talking about coin flip games, there are a couple 79 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 1: of things. I'm gonna look at. Coaching Jay Wright. You 80 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: guys know how I feel about Jay Wright. I know 81 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: Hurley's a good coach, but I'm gonna give the nod 82 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 1: to Jay Wright. Two experience, there's nobody more experienced than Villanova. 83 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:24,159 Speaker 1: And three who's catching points. I think I got the 84 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:26,240 Speaker 1: better team as the dog here. Okay, this is going 85 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 1: to be a rocket atmosphere in Hartford. I'm not debating 86 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:32,039 Speaker 1: this point. I just think Nova understands where they are 87 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 1: and what they need to do here to win this 88 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 1: regular season conference championship. They're twenty one and six. They're 89 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:46,159 Speaker 1: fourteen and three against the against against the Big East. 90 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:50,279 Speaker 1: They won their last five ten and five on the road. 91 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: Yukon's twelve and two at home, straight up, no debate. 92 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:56,279 Speaker 1: They're a really tough team. I've seen a lot of 93 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,920 Speaker 1: people in sports betting, in sports Twitter, sports gambling Twitter, 94 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 1: they're gonna lay the two points and. 95 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 2: Take Yukon here. 96 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: I'm gonna ride with the team that I've been high 97 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:09,320 Speaker 1: on all year, and that's Villanova. I've been very high 98 00:05:09,320 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 1: on Nova. I'm taking the two points road dog Villanova 99 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 1: plus two half a unit coming up here for the 100 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 1: game of the night's huge game in the Big East. 101 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 1: We need this for Villanova to win the Big East Conference. 102 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: They gotta win this and then they gotta beat Providence. 103 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 1: I think they were overlooking Georgetown looking straight ahead at 104 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: this game. They play this game, and then they're gonna 105 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 1: play at home against Providence. 106 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 2: Big, big, big games that win game this weekend. 107 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 1: But I'm taking Nova plus two half a unit on 108 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 1: the road at Yukon. Second game of the night, We're 109 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 1: gonna talk about two sec games here, Arkansas at Florida, 110 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:49,719 Speaker 1: Monster game Arkansas now laying a point. 111 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:50,719 Speaker 2: It was pick. 112 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 1: Literally as I was betting, I was buying this bet. 113 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:57,920 Speaker 1: The bet changed number change to Arkansas minus one, which 114 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:02,360 Speaker 1: is fine, okay. Arkansas this year is seventeen and ten 115 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:05,119 Speaker 1: against the spread. They're seven and four on the road. 116 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 1: They're nine and one ATS over the last ten games. 117 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:14,840 Speaker 1: Florida thirteen and fourteen at home. They are outstanding nine 118 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,479 Speaker 1: and six ATS, but they've won their last six games 119 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:21,119 Speaker 1: at home, including upsetting number two Auburn in their last game. 120 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:25,159 Speaker 1: Last home game, they are one in four though ATS 121 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 1: over their last five, and they're just five and nine 122 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: ATS against the SEC. Arkansas a slight one point favorite here, 123 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 1: and they have been a machine covering flip side. Florida 124 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 1: has not been a machine. Over the last ten. They 125 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:45,279 Speaker 1: are four and six one and four ATS. Like I mentioned, 126 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 1: over the last five. I think this is an Arkansas 127 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 1: team that simply is more talented and Florida I think 128 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 1: is going to have an emotional letdown from that win 129 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 1: over Auburn sixty three sixty two. I mean, they beat 130 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:01,960 Speaker 1: Georgia by now laying fourteen and a half. They beat 131 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 1: Ole Miss by five, laying eleven. They beat Oklahoma State 132 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:07,760 Speaker 1: at home as laying three and a half points and 133 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 1: they went by nine. That's the last time that they 134 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 1: won and covered outside of the game against Auburn. I 135 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 1: just don't think this is going to be It was 136 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 1: a pick. It's minus one. I think Arkansas is the 137 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:21,600 Speaker 1: better team in Florida. Like I said, five and nine 138 00:07:21,600 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 1: against it, spreading the SEC. Versus ten and four in 139 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 1: conference play, eight straight covers, make it nine Arkansas minus one. 140 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 2: On the road. 141 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:33,600 Speaker 1: I know road dog or home dogs are very attractive 142 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:36,160 Speaker 1: right now, but this is a coin flip game. 143 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 2: It's basically a pick. 144 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: Arkansas minus one half a unit on the road at Florida. Finally, 145 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 1: Alabama at Vanderbilt Vandy home dog, catching four points to 146 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: the Crimson Tide. Alabama in their last game was outstanding 147 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 1: in the first half against Kentucky and then fell apart 148 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: and lost the game by nine. Failed to cover. Alabama 149 00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 1: has not covered in the last three games. Alabama is 150 00:08:02,560 --> 00:08:05,000 Speaker 1: one in four and two and eight one and four 151 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 1: against the spread over the last five, two and eight 152 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 1: ats over the last ten. They're five and eight on 153 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:14,840 Speaker 1: the road this year, and they're two and twelve in 154 00:08:14,920 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 1: the SEC against the spread. 155 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 2: Why because they're a chuck. 156 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: And duck team and they can hit fifteen threes and 157 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 1: they can look really great, like they did against ole Miss. 158 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 1: The last time we feeded Alabama on the road, we 159 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:28,400 Speaker 1: took ole Miss as a home dog and they hit 160 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 1: fifteen threes, won the game by fourteen points. Laying five 161 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:37,520 Speaker 1: and a half won by fourteen. But other games like Auburn, Kentucky, Arkansas, 162 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: Missippi State Kentucky again did not cover. This team has 163 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 1: covered against Florida and they've covered against Ole Miss. Those 164 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 1: are only two times they've covered this season. Okay, in 165 00:08:50,880 --> 00:08:54,960 Speaker 1: the SEC for the fifth of January and the ninth 166 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:55,960 Speaker 1: of February. 167 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 2: That's it. 168 00:08:57,480 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 1: I got a team on the other side in Vanderbilt 169 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 1: at home. Vandy is seven and eight at home ATS 170 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:07,839 Speaker 1: seven six and one, ATS in the SEC four to 171 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 1: zero to one. Over the last five games been hot 172 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 1: on the cover. They have won three of their last five. 173 00:09:15,960 --> 00:09:18,440 Speaker 1: They won at home against Texas A and M. They 174 00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 1: won at home against Missouri, they won at home against 175 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:24,680 Speaker 1: LSU they won. So they covered on the road against 176 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 1: against Tennessee eleven point Dogs lost by nine. 177 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 2: Auburn got him pretty good with a. 178 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 1: Push, lost by fourteen points with Auburn laying fourteen thirteen 179 00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 1: was a number most people bet. But back at home 180 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: bound right back and won the game against A and M. 181 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:40,679 Speaker 1: I think Bama's in trouble here. This is one of 182 00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:43,440 Speaker 1: these games where I just think defensively, Vanderbilt can limit 183 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:46,080 Speaker 1: the three point shooting. I don't mind an underplay of 184 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: one to fifty one. I don't mind an underplay of 185 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:51,440 Speaker 1: this game. But I think Vanderbilt plus four. Give me 186 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: the home dog, Vandy Rocket atmosphere, tough place to play 187 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 1: Tuesday night in Nashville. Give me Vandy plus four at 188 00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:04,199 Speaker 1: home home against Alabama. All right. Three plays in college basketball. 189 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:09,720 Speaker 1: Villanova plus two on the road at Connecticut, Arkansas minus 190 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:13,720 Speaker 1: one on the road at Florida, and Vanderbilt plus four 191 00:10:13,840 --> 00:10:18,480 Speaker 1: at home against Alabama. Three bets, all half unit wagers 192 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 1: for us here on a Tuesday. Myn's Matt Perrault. Follow 193 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt. Each and every 194 00:10:23,840 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 1: morning it's the Deal Juice podcast. I was being brought 195 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:39,079 Speaker 1: to you by BETHAMGM