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Speaker 1: The championship odds right now as we head into the

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Speaker 1: the volume. Have you Monday again? Everybody up. All of

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Speaker 1: you guys are having a great start to your week.

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Speaker 1: We have our first series preview of the Conference finals today.

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Speaker 1: We're hitting the Indiana Pacers and the Boston Celtics. You

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Speaker 1: guys know the job before we get started. Subscribe to

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Speaker 1: our brand new YouTube channels. You don't miss any more

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Speaker 1: of our videos. Follow me on Twitter at underscore Jason

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Speaker 1: lt So you guys don't miss show announcements. So forget

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Speaker 1: about our podcast feed where you get your podcast un

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Speaker 1: our hoops tonight. Then keep dropping mail bag questions and

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Speaker 1: those YouTube comments that we can keep hitting them throughout

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Speaker 1: the rest of the postseason. All right, let's talk some basketball.

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna do just like we usually do on

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Speaker 1: the series previous. We're gonna go through the season series,

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Speaker 1: talk about some stats that we saw from the regular

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Speaker 1: season between these teams, go over the gambling odds, Pacers

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Speaker 1: on offense, Celtics on offense, and then I will give

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Speaker 1: my pick. So Boston won the season series three to two.

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Speaker 1: Boston beat them by forty one at home in early November.

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Speaker 1: The Pacers beat them in the N Season Tournament quarterfinals.

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Speaker 1: Remember that was in the N season tournament games where

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Speaker 1: you actually hosted the game at home, so Indiana was

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Speaker 1: at home in that game they ended up winning I

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Speaker 1: think one twenty two to one twelve. Boston then went

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Speaker 1: and beat them in Indiana by seventeen in early January,

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Speaker 1: but then two days later, still in Indiana, Indiana one

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Speaker 1: by two points. So Indiana did get two wins both

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Speaker 1: in Indiana in the series, and then the Celtics beat

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Speaker 1: them by five in Boston on January thirtieth. So I

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Speaker 1: only look at the matchup where Pascal Siakam played, but

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Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken to think Al Horford did not

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Speaker 1: play in that game, and I think that was one

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Speaker 1: of the games that Tyres Halliburton still missed a good

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Speaker 1: chunk of the game with his hamstring injuries. So not

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Speaker 1: too much that we can take away from the regular

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Speaker 1: season series except for that Indiana has been more confident

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Speaker 1: in this matchup at home. Stats from the season series,

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Speaker 1: Boston had a one twenty six offensive writing, Indiana a

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Speaker 1: one to fourteen offensive ratings, so that's a plus twelve

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Speaker 1: net in favor of Boston. Boston dominated the rebound the

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Speaker 1: rebounding battle, fifty six point one percent of available rebounds

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Speaker 1: went to Boston. Indiana one points off of turnovers sixteen

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Speaker 1: point six to thirteen point eight per game, second chance

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Speaker 1: points fifteen point four to fourteen point eight per game,

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Speaker 1: fast break points scored thirteen point four to twelve point

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Speaker 1: eight per game, and points in the paint fifty five

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Speaker 1: point two to fifty one point six. So Indiana does

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Speaker 1: have advantages in the margins in this series, but I

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Speaker 1: think Boston is very clearly the better half court team,

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Speaker 1: which we'll get into in detail here in just a minute.

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Speaker 1: Per DraftKings, the Celtics are favored once again to win

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Speaker 1: by a massive margin. They are minus nine hundred on

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Speaker 1: DraftKings to advance to the NBA Finals. Right, let's start

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Speaker 1: with the Pacers on offense. I'm gonna go through the

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Speaker 1: matchups really quick and then we'll get into some details.

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Speaker 1: So Jalen Brown, Drew Holliday, and Derek White all spent

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Speaker 1: time on Tyre Saliburton as a primary matchup during the

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Speaker 1: regular season, but I think they'll probably start with Derek White,

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Speaker 1: and Derek White was the direction they went in their

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Speaker 1: most recent matchup, so I think that's the direction they're

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Speaker 1: gonna go with Andrew Nemhard. I think we'll see Drew

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Speaker 1: Holliday in that matchup with Aaron Nei Smith. I think

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Speaker 1: we'll see Jalen Brown at least to start. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: go over some options here in a minute with the

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Speaker 1: Siakam Turner matchups. That's where it gets interesting because Miles

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Speaker 1: Turner is shooting forty six percent from three in these playoffs,

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Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam is only shooting thirty two percent. So Boston

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Speaker 1: may end up starting with Horford on Turner, but they'll

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Speaker 1: be extremely vulnerable to the pick and pop there, right Like,

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Speaker 1: that's one of the pet actions that Indiana's gonna run.

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Speaker 1: Halliburton's gonna bring the ball up the floor. Turner's gonna

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Speaker 1: set the screen. As Halliburton turns the corner, it goes

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Speaker 1: downhill and attacks at Horford or at Porzingis, whoever it is,

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Speaker 1: and Derek White or whoever it is on the ball

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Speaker 1: is chasing after Halliburton. Turner is just gonna pop out

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Speaker 1: to that three point line and he's gonna be wide open.

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Speaker 1: That's gonna be a big coverage gap. That Indiana can

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Speaker 1: take advantage of in this series. This is where Jason

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Speaker 1: Tatum and his defensive versatility comes to the table. And

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Speaker 1: we talked a lot about this in this playoff run,

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Speaker 1: like for all of the conversations surrounding Tatum's scoring inconsistency,

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Speaker 1: which I think is fair when it comes to his

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Speaker 1: total packages a basketball player, because he's such a big,

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Speaker 1: strong forward, because he has such a high basketball IQ

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Speaker 1: through his experience in all these big games, he's a

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Speaker 1: very useful like Swiss army knife and a lot of

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Speaker 1: these types of situations we saw, for instance, in the

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Speaker 1: Cleveland series, Jason Tatum take Evan Mobley for long stretches

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Speaker 1: because he could switch ball screens. Right. That's going to

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Speaker 1: be a big direction that I think we'll see Boston

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Speaker 1: go in this series. I think sooner than later we'll

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Speaker 1: see Jason Tatum move over to the Miles Turner matchup.

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Speaker 1: The advantage there is Turner's not going to be able

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Speaker 1: to bully Tatum in the post. And then if you

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Speaker 1: run a ball screen with Haliburton and Turner, you can

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Speaker 1: literally just switch it. And now Tatum is on Halliburton

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Speaker 1: and Derek White will or excuse me, Now, Tatum's on Haliburton,

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Speaker 1: you have Derek White or whoever it is that's on

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Speaker 1: the ball, that's on Miles Turner. And again if they

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Speaker 1: go if Indiana tries to attack through the post with

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Speaker 1: Miles Turner, you're just kind of ok hey with that there, right, So, like,

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Speaker 1: I think we'll see that direction eventually because Pascal Siakam

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Speaker 1: is shooting only thirty two percent from three, and also

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Speaker 1: Al Horford is very gifted positional defender. One of the

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Speaker 1: Horford's best traits as a defender is he can read

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Speaker 1: you and find out which direction you're going, beat you

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Speaker 1: to the spot, and then offer contests and make you

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Speaker 1: shoot over the top. Like he's not a super aggressive

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Speaker 1: ball pressure like forced turnovers guy, but he's a guy

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Speaker 1: that can at least play you into your weaknesses as

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Speaker 1: a basketball player. And so with Siakam, that's what that's

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Speaker 1: going to be, preventing him from getting downhill and all

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Speaker 1: the way to the rim, but rather just beating him

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Speaker 1: to spots and forcing him to make shots over the top.

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Speaker 1: So in ISO situations, I like Horford to at least

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Speaker 1: be able to do a decent job on Siakam and

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Speaker 1: then closing out to the three point line. I expect

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Speaker 1: hit him to be able to close out short and

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Speaker 1: kind of just contain as he's driving. Now, what if

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Speaker 1: Siakam gets going, Because we've seen this right, Like, Siakam

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Speaker 1: has had issues where like let's say, for instance, that

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Speaker 1: they the Pacers go to Turner ball screens and Tatum

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Speaker 1: switches and they kind of shut that down. So they go, Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's bring Horford up into the ball screen. Let's attack

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Speaker 1: with Siakham as a screener. Right, Siakam's probably going to

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Speaker 1: pop and in those situations you're having Horford off for

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Speaker 1: a late close out. Now, let's say that Horford, Let's

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Speaker 1: say that Siakam gets going, right, Siakam hits a few threes.

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Speaker 1: Maybe it turns out that Siakam's too fast for Horford

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Speaker 1: at this phase of his career and he just starts

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Speaker 1: toasting Horford off the dribble. Maybe even when Porzingis is

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Speaker 1: in the game later points in the series, if you

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Speaker 1: have similar problems there, there's another option that Boston can

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Speaker 1: go to that I think makes some sense. You could

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Speaker 1: actually end up sliding Jalen Brown onto Siakam and once

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Speaker 1: again switch those screens in the event that they run

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Speaker 1: Siakam in the ball screen because of the fact that

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Speaker 1: Aaron Smith has not been shooting the ball particularly well

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Speaker 1: from three. He's shooting thirty percent from three in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: He hit two for two in Game seven against the Nick,

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Speaker 1: but he was pretty cold in the few games before that.

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Speaker 1: So you could basically just put Horford on Nie Smith

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Speaker 1: in Rome and try conceding those threes, which will allow

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Speaker 1: you to contain the ball screen actions with Halliburton and

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Speaker 1: Siakam or Halliburton in Turner. And that's just the advantage

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Speaker 1: of having two forwards like Jalen Brown and Jason Tatum

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Speaker 1: that have the versatility to guard guards and to guard

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Speaker 1: bigger players. Now, the biggest issue Boston will have, in

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Speaker 1: my opinion, is going to have to do mainly with

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Speaker 1: Halliburton when he's coming off of those screens with speed

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Speaker 1: when Horford is in the action. So let's say Horford's

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Speaker 1: on Nie Smith and they and Horford comes up to

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Speaker 1: the level of the screen on Halliburton. One of the

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Speaker 1: weaknesses that Boston has, as we saw with Donovan Mitchell

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Speaker 1: in the last round, and as we saw a little

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Speaker 1: bit with Tyler Harrow in the first round. Although it's

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Speaker 1: a much lesser player, they can be somewhat vulnerable to

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Speaker 1: pull up shooters, right, guys that can come off the

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Speaker 1: screen with pace and kind of cause issues for that

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Speaker 1: screen defender coming up to the level. That's something that

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Speaker 1: Boston has shown some vulnerability too. So that's like the

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Speaker 1: one thing in the half court where I could see

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Speaker 1: Indiana having a good amount of consistent success is Like,

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Speaker 1: I do think that Tyris Halliburton is capable of doing

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Speaker 1: some damage to Horford in ball screens or Porzingis in

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Speaker 1: ball screens. But outside of that, though, I think they've

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Speaker 1: got the personnel to make things a lot more difficult

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Speaker 1: elsewhere on the floor. Indiana's main advantage as an offensive

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Speaker 1: team in this series is going to be in transition.

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Speaker 1: So they've scored three hundred and twenty nine points in

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Speaker 1: transition in this playoff run. That's twenty five point three

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Speaker 1: per game. That's the most out of any of the

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Speaker 1: playoff teams that have appeared in this playoff run. They

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Speaker 1: are the only one of the four remaining teams in

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Speaker 1: the Conference finals to average over twenty transition points per game.

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Speaker 1: So as much as Boston's half court personnel has the

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Speaker 1: ability to match up with Indiana in all of these ways.

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Speaker 1: That's not where Indiana is going to look to attack.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna look to run like absolute crazy. This is

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Speaker 1: where Halliburton and TJ. McConnell, they are just these these

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Speaker 1: straight line, drive, dribble penetration wreck havoc type of guys

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Speaker 1: right and getting out in transition, getting cross matches, getting

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Speaker 1: you know, they'll they'll they'll try to push and see

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Speaker 1: if they can't get early offense opportunities for Siakam to

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Speaker 1: attack against like a Derek White or one of their

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Speaker 1: smaller guards. Right Like, they're going to constantly be looking

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Speaker 1: to push as much as possible. But there's another side

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Speaker 1: of this point. Boston has been the best transition defense

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Speaker 1: in our transition defense, i should say, in the playoffs

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Speaker 1: so far, they've allowed just fourteen point six points in

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Speaker 1: transition per game. That is the fewest out of any

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Speaker 1: of the sixteen teams that have appeared in a playoff

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Speaker 1: series this year. So it's kind of like a you know,

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Speaker 1: it's kind of like a clash of two elite units there,

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Speaker 1: Indiana's transition offense versus Boston's transition defense. Here are the

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Speaker 1: keys for both teams in my opinion, for Boston have

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Speaker 1: to contain the ball. They have excellent guard defenders Drew

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Speaker 1: Holliday and with Derek White right. If they contain drible

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Speaker 1: penetration for TJ McConnell and Tyrs Alliburn, that will shut

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Speaker 1: Indiana's offense off. They're an advantage creation offense. All their

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Speaker 1: guys off the ball are play finishers. Aaron E. Smith

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Speaker 1: is a play finisher. Andrew Nemhard can run second side action,

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Speaker 1: but not to a super effective level against super elite defenses.

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Speaker 1: So I look at him as a guy that if

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Speaker 1: you can avoid advantage situations, you can contain a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Siakam is a guy that can operate on an island

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Speaker 1: a little bit, but he's an elite play finisher. Miles

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Speaker 1: Turner is a play finisher. The Obi Toppen is a

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Speaker 1: play finisher. These are guys that you know, even Ben

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Speaker 1: Sheppard play finisher. These are guys that are primarily looking

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Speaker 1: to attack with an advantage. So if you can contain

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Speaker 1: drible penetration not just in the half court, but also

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Speaker 1: in transition by getting back and just kind of containing

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Speaker 1: their ball handlers, you will go do a lot of

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Speaker 1: damage to Indiana's offense. Second part of it protect Horford

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Speaker 1: and Perzingis as much as possible by giving them easier

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Speaker 1: matchups Miles Turner pick and pop. That can be an issue,

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Speaker 1: right Siakam potentially could be an issue, although I think

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Speaker 1: Corford has a chance to do a decent job on him.

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Speaker 1: But finding ways to stash him on a guy like

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Speaker 1: a Nie Smith, who you don't need to necessarily worry

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Speaker 1: about to a great extent on the three point line,

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Speaker 1: that could go a long way to protecting those guys

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Speaker 1: in ball screens. Nie Smith is also not a great

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Speaker 1: movement shooter, so if he pops to the three point

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Speaker 1: line in ball screens, as long as they're up at

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Speaker 1: the level and they contain the ball, you can almost

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Speaker 1: deal with some of the issues that you have in

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Speaker 1: terms of foot speed containing Haliburton by like just being

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Speaker 1: super aggressive, like coming way out to the level, just

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Speaker 1: making him get rid of the basketball because he's going

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Speaker 1: to be getting rid of it to Niemith, who hasn't

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Speaker 1: shot the ball particularly well. Now, Nie Smith will slash

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Speaker 1: off the catch on the wing, and that's a way

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Speaker 1: he can do a lot of damage. Hit a lot

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Speaker 1: of that in Game seven against the Knicks, right, But

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Speaker 1: that's something that you can deal with in defensive rotation.

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Speaker 1: So again, containing the ball in transition in the half

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Speaker 1: court is going to be the major piece there, and

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Speaker 1: protecting Horford in porzingis by giving them easier matchups for Indiana,

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Speaker 1: attack Horford whatever he is. As we saw, like I

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Speaker 1: talked about earlier with Donovan Mitchell and Tyler Harrow, you

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Speaker 1: can have success against Boston's defense by attacking them in

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Speaker 1: ball screens with pull up shooters. Right, tyres Alburton has

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Speaker 1: been shooting the ball a lot better as of late.

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Speaker 1: He brings a lot of speed to the equation there.

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Speaker 1: That is their best entry point in the half court.

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Speaker 1: Attacking the big guys in ball screens push in transition

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Speaker 1: to the maximum possible extent. This is going to have

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Speaker 1: another layer to it on the defensive end, which we'll

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Speaker 1: get to in a minute. But I think they're going

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Speaker 1: to lose the half court battle. Boston is better half

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Speaker 1: court personnel, so you have to sow chaos as much

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Speaker 1: as possible. Get push the ball at the floor, look

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Speaker 1: for quick cross matches for Siakam, look for runouts, quick

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Speaker 1: early threes, early offense, just upping the pace as much

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Speaker 1: as possible to turn the series into a track meet.

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Speaker 1: That to me is their only hope. Let's look at

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Speaker 1: Boston on offense with Derek White. I think I think

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Speaker 1: we'll see Andrew Nemhart there with Drew Holliday. I think

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Speaker 1: we'll see Tyre's Halliburton. Their main reason why is Drew

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Speaker 1: Holliday is not as good of a movement shooter as

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Speaker 1: Derek White is. Right, So if Halliburton's going to hedge

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Speaker 1: and recover, you want to hedge and recover and leave

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Speaker 1: an opening with Drew Holliday. Like we talked about with

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Speaker 1: the Knicks series. I remember there's a lot of hedging

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Speaker 1: and blitzing from Halliburton, but it was Duce McBride who

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Speaker 1: was primarily operating out of that right, So you want

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Speaker 1: to make the worst movement shooter of the group try

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Speaker 1: to move a work off of those Halliburton hedges. I

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Speaker 1: think we'll see Siakam on Jaln Brown, and I think

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Speaker 1: we'll see Aaron Nesmith on Jason Tatum at least to start.

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Speaker 1: We'll see if they tweak the matchups over the course

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Speaker 1: of the series. The Tatum White. So here's the thing

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Speaker 1: I want to start with. Let's start with Aaron E.

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Speaker 1: Smith on Jason Tatum. So Aaron Nesmith is quicker than

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Speaker 1: Jason Tatum, and he's got a really strong build, so

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Speaker 1: he can avoid some of the bully ball stuff. So

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Speaker 1: on an island, whenever they go like one on one,

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Speaker 1: he should be able to force Tatum to settle into

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Speaker 1: pull up jumpers. And the main issue there is just

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Speaker 1: fouling because like in the for instance, in Season Tournament

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Speaker 1: championship game, there were a bunch of possessions down the

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Speaker 1: stretch of that game where Nie Smith forced Tatum to

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Speaker 1: settle for tough contested mid range jumpers, but he like

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Speaker 1: fouled him on one on the left baseline where he

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Speaker 1: kind of pressed too far up underneath him. So that's

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Speaker 1: the main piece is just be careful not to foul him.

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Speaker 1: But in the on an Island of situations, I really

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Speaker 1: really like that matchup, specifically with the Tatum White two

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Speaker 1: man game. They ran that a bunch down the stretch

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Speaker 1: of the n Season Tournament not championship, excuse me, quarterfinal,

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Speaker 1: but in the Ncason Tournament quarterfinal, they ran a lot

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Speaker 1: of Derek White, Jason Tatum two man game and in

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Speaker 1: those setups, Nee Smith was able to fight over the

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Speaker 1: top of the screens and avoid switches in many of

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Speaker 1: those cases, and that actually helped stagnate Boston's offense down

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Speaker 1: the stretch of that game. Anything with Drew Holliday, like

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Speaker 1: I mentioned earlier, you hedge and recover with Aliburton. If

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Speaker 1: Boston looks to just attack Haliburton, so like they just

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Speaker 1: throw the ball to Drew Holiday and try to post

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Speaker 1: up or Iso Halliburton, I take that as a win

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Speaker 1: for Indiana because that's like a rhythm disruptor for the

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Speaker 1: rest of the offense. Even if he scores a few

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Speaker 1: buckets in the post each half, like it just kind

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Speaker 1: of disrupts the flow of Boston's offense, which at its

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Speaker 1: best is i and kicking for wide open threes right

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Speaker 1: keys for both teams with Boston ball movement, don't get

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Speaker 1: carried away with matchup hunting, generate a quick advantage and

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Speaker 1: playoff of that. The main advantage actions that I look

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Speaker 1: at for them are Horford pick and pop right because

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Speaker 1: Miles Turner is going to run a drop coverage. So

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Speaker 1: just like we talked about earlier with Miles Turner. If

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Speaker 1: like let's say Aaron E. Smith is on Tatum. If

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Speaker 1: Nie Smith is gonna chase Tatum over the top and

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Speaker 1: Turner is gonna corral him in a drop coverage, then

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Speaker 1: Horford can pop to the three point line. He's gonna

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Speaker 1: be open every single time from there. If he's got

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Speaker 1: the three point shot going, he can keep shooting it.

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Speaker 1: If not, he can play drive and kick. Just rip

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Speaker 1: to the middle, bring that next defender, or swing to

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Speaker 1: a probably a really good shooter standing in the corner. Right,

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Speaker 1: So that's a good entry point for them. Secondly, Drew

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Speaker 1: slipping out of the hedge and blitz just like what

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Speaker 1: the Knicks did with with Duce McBride, right, Halliburton hedges

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Speaker 1: just quickly get rid of the ball to Drew on

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Speaker 1: the roll. I think that's where you go with Tatum

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Speaker 1: because Tatum can see over the time really well and

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Speaker 1: he'll handle those blitzes really well. I think Tatum's the

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Speaker 1: best passer, So just have that. Have Tatum handle that action.

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Speaker 1: When Haliburton hedges, just dump it off to Drew. Same

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Speaker 1: thing we just talked about with Al Horford. If he's

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Speaker 1: got the shot going, take the shot. If not, just

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Speaker 1: drive the drive that advantage from the top of the key,

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Speaker 1: bring in an extra defender, make those kickouts from there.

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Speaker 1: But again, ball movement's gonna be key. Do not play

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Speaker 1: down to the competition. Hunt elite shot quality throughout this series.

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Speaker 1: And again this you gotta look at it like there's

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Speaker 1: a decent chance. According to Vegas, I think Minnesota is

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Speaker 1: a minus one ninety favorite to beat Dallas. I will

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Speaker 1: be picking Minnesota in all likelihood. I haven't done my

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Speaker 1: series preview yet, but that's what I'm most likely gonna pick.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna be playing just an unbelievably good defense potentially

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Speaker 1: in the championship round. And I think Dallas is better

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Speaker 1: defense than Indiana anyway. So like, it's gonna be a

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Speaker 1: tough battle in the NBA Finals, And like, this is

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Speaker 1: another series where you have an opportunity to kind of

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Speaker 1: polish up some of your decision making before you get

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Speaker 1: to that point. Lastly, get favorable Tatum. I like Tatum

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Speaker 1: attacking literally anybody except for Aaron Nesmith on this Pacers roster.

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Speaker 1: I think he's got a quickness and strength advantage against

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Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam. I think he's got a speed advantage against

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Speaker 1: any of any of the bigger players that Indiana will play.

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Speaker 1: I think he can do damage to the smaller guards,

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Speaker 1: guys like or Nemhard and Halliburton. But Nis Smith specifically,

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Speaker 1: I think is like the fire hydrant type that can

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Speaker 1: keep him in front and force him into contested jumpers.

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Speaker 1: So set solid screens to four switches, pushing the ball

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Speaker 1: in transition to get cross matches. And then whenever you

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Speaker 1: get those mismatches for Tatum, just clear the side and

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Speaker 1: let him go to work. That's where I think Tatum

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Speaker 1: is at his best. Cleared side usually from the right block,

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Speaker 1: is where I prefer Tatum going to work. And then lastly,

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Speaker 1: I put this in all bold just shot selection, just

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Speaker 1: decision making and shot selection. Like I mentioned earlier, you're

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Speaker 1: prepping for a much tougher challenge in the future. This

405
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Speaker 1: is a series where you've got to tighten those things

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Speaker 1: up before you get into the next round. On the

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Speaker 1: Indie A front, how do you play Boston into poor

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Speaker 1: shooting Knights. That's your best chance to win, right. The

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Speaker 1: easiest way to play a team and do a poor

410
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Speaker 1: shooting night is by fatiguing them. How do you fatigue

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Speaker 1: them through physicality, which is like ball pressure right, just

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Speaker 1: doing everything with force to make sure they're tired, and

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Speaker 1: then two push the pace. This is the defensive element

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Speaker 1: of making the game into a track meet. Tired legs

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Speaker 1: are more likely to miss shots, make Boston play faster

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Speaker 1: than they're typically used to playing. You have a better

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Speaker 1: opportunity of playing them into poor shooting nights. But the

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Speaker 1: reality is Boston is going to get good looks from

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Speaker 1: three in this series, and if they make them, you're

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Speaker 1: probably going to lose. That's the problem with having five

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Speaker 1: shooters on the floor the way that Boston does and

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Speaker 1: having a guy like Halliburton that you can easily attack

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Speaker 1: and get the defense in rotation. So even just having

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Speaker 1: a pick and pop pig like the Celtics are gonna

425
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:49,920
Speaker 1: have two easy actions they can run at any given time,

426
00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:51,960
Speaker 1: which is the Horford pick and pop or the Drew

427
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:55,480
Speaker 1: Holiday pick and slip. Any one of those, you're gonna

428
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,800
Speaker 1: get the defense in rotation. From there, you're playing drive

429
00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 1: and kick with five shooters, so Boston's gonna get great

430
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:05,480
Speaker 1: looks in the half court. Really, I think Indiana's only

431
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:09,320
Speaker 1: chance is to just play crazy fast and try to

432
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 1: fatigue Boston into having poor shooting nights and just kind

433
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:16,040
Speaker 1: of leaning into their specific advantages. I'm picking Boston. I

434
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:17,960
Speaker 1: think they have better personnel on both ends of the floor,

435
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:19,640
Speaker 1: and I think they have the best player in the series.

436
00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:22,200
Speaker 1: But I do think Indiana is gonna push this series

437
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:25,479
Speaker 1: to six games. Boston has a tendency to ease up

438
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 1: after getting a lead, which we've seen multiple times in

439
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:31,000
Speaker 1: this playoff run already, and Indiana's really good at home.

440
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:34,399
Speaker 1: Indiana six to oh, undefeated at home in this postseason.

441
00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:37,840
Speaker 1: They have a one twenty six offensive rating at home.

442
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,639
Speaker 1: They've beat Boston at home twice this year. So I

443
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 1: think that Indiana's gonna find ways to extend the series

444
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:47,720
Speaker 1: through just the energy of their home crowd and through

445
00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:51,159
Speaker 1: their speed and just them playing super super hard. But

446
00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:53,760
Speaker 1: I just have a hard time believing Indiana can win

447
00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 1: a series like this four times out of seven when

448
00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,440
Speaker 1: Boston has the personnel advantages that they have on both

449
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:01,639
Speaker 1: ends of the floor. We will be live on YouTube

450
00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 1: after the final buzzer of Game one tomorrow night to

451
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 1: break it all down. I will see you guys there.

452
00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:30,480
Speaker 1: The volume