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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The Crown

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Speaker 1: is yours. Super wild Card Weekend is upon us. I'm

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Speaker 1: Brandon Kravitz, joined by the Favorites crew, the Prime Minister

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Speaker 1: of Degenerate Nation, Stucky, the Queen of the Pod, Miss

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Speaker 1: Kendra Middleton. On today's episode, we have got a loaded

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Speaker 1: edition of Action or Distraction. We've got our stat of

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Speaker 1: the Day coming up in moments, A two Kings and

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Speaker 1: a Queen parlay courtesy of DraftKings. See if we do

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Speaker 1: this the same way, six games to choose from, so

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Speaker 1: we can probably nominate to a piece. You'll find out

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Speaker 1: at the end of the episode. We've got a Sling

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Speaker 1: TV look ahead to Monday night football and breaking news

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Speaker 1: right before we hit record. ESPN sources Dolphins have fired

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Speaker 1: head coach Mike McDaniel. Dolphins owner Stephen Ross met with

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Speaker 1: McDaniel this week to discuss the season, and after that meeting,

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Speaker 1: which I guess did not go well and some reflection,

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Speaker 1: Stephen Ross decided to move on. I'm sure that the

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Speaker 1: John Harball dismissal in Baltimore had a little something to

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Speaker 1: do with it. Ross definitely has an affinity for the

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Speaker 1: Harballs being a Michigan guy stuck you your initial reaction

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Speaker 1: to the Mike McDaniel dismissal.

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Speaker 2: I'm not surprised, but I think that he becomes a

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Speaker 2: very very attractive offensive coordinator higher for many teams, including

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Speaker 2: my Ravens. I would love for that to be the case.

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Speaker 2: So I'm curious to see where he goes. But I

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Speaker 2: think he would be an elite offensive coordinator. He's kind

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Speaker 2: of a little maybe he's just like a little too

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Speaker 2: quirky to be a head coach in some aspects. Maybe

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Speaker 2: he's just not cut out for that. There's a lot

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Speaker 2: of like really good coordinators that become head coaches that

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Speaker 2: shouldn't really be head coaches, and they just would thrive

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Speaker 2: as coordinators. But it's kind of there's a lot of

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Speaker 2: similarities to how corporate America works, right, Like I when

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Speaker 2: I used to work in finance, I was I got

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Speaker 2: to like a senior derivatives analyst, and then like the

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Speaker 2: natural next step to make more money is to go

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Speaker 2: become like a a big like leader of a team, right,

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Speaker 2: And but I that's not my that's not my passion.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that's my strength. So I was fine

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Speaker 2: where I'm at. But you a lot of people just

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Speaker 2: do that because it's the natural next step, But really

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Speaker 2: they might not be the best type of person or

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Speaker 2: leader to be a head coach or you know, a

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Speaker 2: certain type of executive in the corporate world, and then

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Speaker 2: you have people that just aren't in the right positions

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Speaker 2: for the wrong reason. So yeah, I mean, maybe he

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Speaker 2: will just try to go for another head coaching job

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Speaker 2: for the money, and I wouldn't blame him, but I

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Speaker 2: think that he would be and one of the best

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Speaker 2: offensive coordinators in the NFL. Would love for the Ravens

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Speaker 2: to get them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that. Vic Fangio is another good

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Speaker 1: example of that. There's countless examples of guys that just

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Speaker 1: work well as coordinators and not as head coaches. Daniels, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels is a phenomenal example and even more relevant

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Speaker 1: on the offensive end. Do you think it's his personality

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Speaker 1: that got him fired? Because he had swag during portions

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Speaker 1: of his tenure, But the last couple of months, listening

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Speaker 1: to this guy, I do a radio show in Florida,

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Speaker 1: we are a lot of his pieces of his press conference.

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Speaker 1: This does not sound like a confident individual. He stammers

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Speaker 1: over his words constantly. It just doesn't sound like a

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Speaker 1: leader of football is about more than that. But as

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Speaker 1: a head coach, sometimes it starts there. Do you think

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Speaker 1: it's his personality, the substitute teacher vibe that got him canned?

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Speaker 3: Ultimately, I don't.

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Speaker 4: I gotta be honest. If you watch his press conferences

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Speaker 4: from when he first became a head coach to now,

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Speaker 4: there's just such a complete difference in the vibe of

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Speaker 4: him and the vibe of the room. I hate to

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Speaker 4: say it because this sounds meaner than I mean it too,

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Speaker 4: but I genuinely think that this has a lot to

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Speaker 4: do with Tua, Like he had to change so much

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Speaker 4: of his style, scheme, offense, everything to cater to the

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Speaker 4: type of football that to a plays, and then eventually

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Speaker 4: trying to keep to a healthy and so I after

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Speaker 4: coaching through that would probably lose my confidence, my edge,

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Speaker 4: my swag, whatever you want to call it. There's so

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Speaker 4: many of these tight khaki pants, young swaggy guy like

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Speaker 4: look at Liam Cohen in the NFL. Very similar vibe,

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Speaker 4: like fighting with Robert Sala and the small market, like,

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Speaker 4: how does that feel like? Whatever? Very similar vibe. I

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Speaker 4: just if I was coach in a situation where my

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Speaker 4: entire life revolved around two a tongue of Iloa's abilities,

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Speaker 4: I would probably eventually be like just another day closer

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Speaker 4: to death.

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Speaker 1: Well, and and not just his abilities are lack thereof.

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Speaker 1: I went through his seasons with the Miami Dolphins. He

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Speaker 1: had seven starting quarterbacks during his tenure with Miami. He

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Speaker 1: was starting Skyler Thompson, Teddy Bridgewater at points throughout his

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Speaker 1: time in Miami. It's hard to sustain success when that

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Speaker 1: is the case.

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Speaker 4: I don't think they really gave him the keys either,

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Speaker 4: you know, like they to A had like to A.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna I hate I. I'm gonna blame a lot

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Speaker 4: of this on too. I'm trying to sit here and

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Speaker 4: think of other excuses. But like, the organization didn't help

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Speaker 4: him at all, and Tua just was not the answer.

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Speaker 4: And I think that them paying him and keeping him

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Speaker 4: around for as long as that contract is is just diabolical.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah it was. There was Look, I'll spend thirty

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Speaker 2: more Stitzwalkar we super wowk A right, yeah, I'm not

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Speaker 2: gonna spend one we can't on the Dolphins. But the

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Speaker 2: organization failed miserably in building that team, drafting, trading, building

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Speaker 2: the offensive line. Yep, all of the moves they made.

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Speaker 2: The defense as a disaster, so he was just put

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Speaker 2: into a really tough spot. They need and this looks

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Speaker 2: like what they're doing they need a complete tear down

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Speaker 2: and rebuild.

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Speaker 1: That was some breaking news right before we hopped on here,

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Speaker 1: so I wanted to get that out there. But let's

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Speaker 1: kick things off the way that we usually do. On

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Speaker 1: the Thursday episode, Evan Abrams shrimply unbelievable stat of the week,

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Speaker 1: straight from the primer. This weekend, we have some first

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Speaker 1: time playoff quarterbacks in action, quarterbacks making their first playoff

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Speaker 1: start taking on quarterbacks who have playoff experience twenty thirty

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Speaker 1: nine and one ats. That's thirty four percent and twenty

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Speaker 1: and forty straight up since two thousand and two. When

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Speaker 1: those less experienced quarterbacks play at home, which are all

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Speaker 1: three this week, they are twelve and twenty one straight

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Speaker 1: up and against the spread. That is, Bryce, Young, Caleb Williams,

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Speaker 1: and Drake May all fit into that bucket. Kendro, was

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Speaker 1: that part of your analysis at all as you have

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Speaker 1: made your way towards the window this week?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, It's definitely something I've thought about. But I still

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Speaker 4: am sitting here in the struggle bus that we talked

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Speaker 4: about the other day where I love every single underdog

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Speaker 4: this week. So that's another thing that's playing into it.

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Speaker 4: It's like, you can look at all the stats, but

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Speaker 4: sometimes you have to weigh the stats about versus how

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Speaker 4: you actually feel and what's going on in this current season.

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Speaker 4: And I think that some of these guys are getting

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Speaker 4: really lucky with the matchups that they're getting stuck.

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Speaker 3: You or do you land on that being a major factor.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't say major, but it's definitely a consideration. I

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Speaker 2: think there's real actual that's actually a thing like I

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Speaker 2: just think about and you look back historically, there's been

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Speaker 2: some elite It's not just all rookie quarterbacks, even if

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Speaker 2: he removed like rookie quarterbacks, there's been some really good

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks who have struggled in their first playoff game when

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Speaker 2: they face a quarterback who has playoff experience. Lamar Jackson

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Speaker 2: was one Iron Rogers Golf, although that was probably outdoors.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Flacco really struggled in his first that So

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Speaker 2: there's been a couple. I mean, Darnold was a disaster.

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Speaker 2: So that was last year. I mean he was that

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Speaker 2: was a disaster against Stafford. So yeah, I think that

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Speaker 2: there's it's not just noise. I think that there's some

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Speaker 2: signal there. And you know, you could you could have nerves.

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Speaker 2: Even these quarterbacks at home like that. You just haven't

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Speaker 2: been on that stage yet, so you don't know how

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Speaker 2: they're going to perform. So I think it is valuable

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Speaker 2: to have that playoff experience in your back pocket against

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Speaker 2: a quarterback who doesn't. So looking at those three, you know,

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Speaker 2: I mean I don't have the Panthers this week, but

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Speaker 2: I could really see Bryce Young struggling. I do have

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Speaker 2: the Packers, and I think that that's certainly valuable in

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Speaker 2: this game. We don't know what we're gonna get from

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Speaker 2: Caleb Williams and the other game. What is the other one?

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Speaker 1: Good Bryce Young, Caleb Williams, Drake May.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Drake, I mean I have the Chargers. You just

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Speaker 2: don't know what there's a chance at Drake May. The

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Speaker 2: other I mean, Drake May has never played in the

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Speaker 2: playoffs and he basically hasn't played a tough defense all year.

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Speaker 2: So there's, uh, there's a lot of uncertainty there with

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Speaker 2: how or perform going up against a defense that takes

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Speaker 2: away the explosive passing play. So yeah, now you can

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Speaker 2: argue that Herbert's been a disaster in playoff games.

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Speaker 4: Yeah you could.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you could also catching three and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's also a tiny sample size.

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Speaker 4: But that night was the best night of my life.

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Speaker 4: I'm not even kidding. It was years ago, yesterday.

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Speaker 1: I don't I don't deny that, but I think on

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Speaker 1: this show, we only have one between the three of

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Speaker 1: us on one of these first year in the playoff quarterbacks,

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Speaker 1: and it's my bet on the Sad Cats the Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 1: But none of us are on the Bears. I know

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Speaker 1: Stucky's on the Packers. Kendrew, I don't have you taken

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Speaker 1: aside on that yet.

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Speaker 4: I have not, but I am so close to being

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Speaker 4: in on the Chargers the Patriots games at prison for me,

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Speaker 4: So that's why I haven't done it. But I really

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Speaker 4: like the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: We had the community bet on the Tuesday episode where

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Speaker 1: everybody was pretty much consensus on the Chargers.

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Speaker 3: I did throw that one in the.

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Speaker 1: App Stucky has as well, so there's definitely we are

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Speaker 1: as a podcast this is definitely some valuable information for us.

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Speaker 1: It's not everything that goes into the analysis of these games,

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Speaker 1: but the two of these three I'm not touching with

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Speaker 1: a ten foot pole that Caleb Williams and Drake Mayodly.

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Speaker 4: It's kind of a yuckiest. I want to call it

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Speaker 4: super wild Card weekend, but I think that that's going

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Speaker 4: to like show that I'm getting old, but like it's

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Speaker 4: a weird wild card weekend. Like usually I feel like

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Speaker 4: I have such a stronger stance on these games, but

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Speaker 4: these are kind of yucky from a betting perspective, Like,

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Speaker 4: I mean, I get a really boring weekend.

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Speaker 1: I think this weekend is going to be phenomenal, but

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Speaker 1: it goes to the unpredictability of the season. We just

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Speaker 1: feel like there's so many flaws with all these teams.

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Speaker 3: Stucky.

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Speaker 1: Anything else you want to add to this conversation before

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Speaker 1: we jump to the next thing.

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Speaker 2: Now, No, I'm looking forward to this weekend. I mean,

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Speaker 2: you have one double digit spread and the rest are

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Speaker 2: basically between a pick and three and a half, three

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Speaker 2: and a half, four and a half now with the Eagles,

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Speaker 2: so I think we're gonna get some competitive games. It's

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Speaker 2: wide open, like if you look at that Jags Bills

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Speaker 2: game winner or that, I think it's a really good

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Speaker 2: chance of going to the super Bowl.

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Speaker 4: I'll send you guys videos from the stands, please.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm looking forward to all these games. And yeah,

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Speaker 2: I mean forty nine Ers, Eagles and Panthers Rams probably

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Speaker 2: the to least games that I'm looking forward to Steeler.

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Speaker 4: The Steelers game being on Monday night football pisses me off.

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Speaker 4: That's the one that I'm kind of like, why are

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Speaker 4: you doing this to us?

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Speaker 2: I think that'll be close, close, low scoring. We'll get

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Speaker 2: to that game later. But yeah, I'm looking forward to

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Speaker 2: all these games.

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Speaker 1: All right, stuck you Before we dig back into it,

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Speaker 1: what is your weird, bizarre, random question of the week.

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Speaker 2: Hey, this is a dumb question. Let me ask you

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Speaker 2: a personal question kind of question?

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Speaker 3: Is that is question?

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Speaker 2: Oh my gosh, I totally forgot pime up up on

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Speaker 2: something Dealer on the fly. All right, Uh, let's what

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Speaker 2: is the next segment? Can you give you the two

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Speaker 2: minutes to think about it?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna do action or distraction. We could do that.

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Speaker 2: Did you prepare anything? This is distracted?

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Speaker 4: Distracted?

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Speaker 2: I'm not I want it on the action.

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Speaker 1: We'll make this one quick because I do want to

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Speaker 1: make this much more about the bets that we have

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Speaker 1: and the leans and all of that stuff.

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Speaker 3: But action or distraction.

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Speaker 1: On John Harball in the Ravens parting ways sending shock

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Speaker 1: waves across the NFL community, Kendra, action or distraction that

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Speaker 1: John Harball will have a job somewhere in the NFL

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Speaker 1: before the end of Wildcard weekend.

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Speaker 4: I don't know if we'll know about it, but I'm

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Speaker 4: sure that there will be contract something somewhere going on

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Speaker 4: through this weekend. But the only thing that we have

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Speaker 4: to keep an eye on is if the Bills lose,

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Speaker 4: McDermott has to be out. And that's the only question

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Speaker 4: mark I have are is he hanging on for the

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Speaker 4: potential of that team? Because for me, there's truly only

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Speaker 4: two destinations for him. It's one Buffalo if McDermott gets fired,

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Speaker 4: and to the New York Giants. Those are truly the

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Speaker 4: only two teams that I personally see that Does that

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Speaker 4: obviously mean that there's not another option? No, those are

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Speaker 4: just the two teams that make sense to me. So

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Speaker 4: do I think that there's conversations, Yes, but that Bill's

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Speaker 4: opening looming is a little bit of a question, but

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Speaker 4: I think it's the right choice for the Ravens. Like

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Speaker 4: I think, I said this on our show on Tuesday,

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Speaker 4: Like this feels very much like the Mike Rabel wrong situation,

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Speaker 4: right coach, like good coach, wrong situation. He's been given

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Speaker 4: every single thing to finally get over that hump, and

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Speaker 4: they basically had to choose between him and Lamar Jackson.

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Speaker 4: And I think that that fan base would have lit

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Speaker 4: that place on fire if they chose him over Lamar.

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Speaker 1: Stucky this this is your squad. Were you good with

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Speaker 1: it when you saw the news?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought it was probably coming. It was time

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Speaker 2: for change. There was rumors that the locker room was

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Speaker 2: splintered and the relationship between him and Lamar wasn't Nah

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Speaker 2: wasn't great this year, which I think was fairly obvious

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Speaker 2: that there were some issues there. So I think it

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Speaker 2: made sense. I think it was just time. I think

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Speaker 2: it all work out for both parties. I think the

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Speaker 2: organization needed to change, Harbor needed to change, And I'm

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Speaker 2: super curious to see who they break in. Hopefully not

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Speaker 2: Matt Naggi, but like I would love if they like

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Speaker 2: my dream would be like Mintor as the head coach

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Speaker 2: and uh Nicdaniel as the offensive coordinator. That would get

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Speaker 2: me excited.

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Speaker 4: I can't remember if I said this on this show

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Speaker 4: or a different show, but I think it's a great

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Speaker 4: time to need a head coach in the NFL because

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Speaker 4: so many of these young guys are coming in and

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Speaker 4: changing teams. Did I say this on this show about

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Speaker 4: how like these young guys are what's really turning teams

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Speaker 4: around for me, just because they're so much more relatable

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Speaker 4: to like the gen Z type of player.

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Speaker 3: I think it's a good time to eat on one

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Speaker 3: of your many Boston shows.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, well, then my whole point was just that I

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Speaker 4: think it's a really good time to need a head

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Speaker 4: coach because we keep seeing these young guys getting promoted

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Speaker 4: to head coaches. Look at Ben Johnson, look at Liam Cohen,

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Speaker 4: and just turning teams around. By taking a chance on

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Speaker 4: this younger guy who relates to your team more, it

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Speaker 4: absolutely has turned people around. I think that that's exactly

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Speaker 4: what the Ravens need, as someone who's younger and more relatable.

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Speaker 1: One thing that gets me excited is Nick Giffen's luck rankings,

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Speaker 1: and it points us in the direction of one game

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Speaker 1: in specific or specifically is a if we're talking sides

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Speaker 1: and that's the Packers plus one is the official play

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Speaker 1: that is on the app. Packers are now minus one

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Speaker 1: and a half at minus want to wait on DraftKings

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Speaker 1: Stucky action or distraction the Packers right side, especially considering

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Speaker 1: the way these first two matchups have gone.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, by the way, my dream would we saw how

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Speaker 2: coaches going fit to cap off that conversation, we saw

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Speaker 2: how much impact coaches can have. Speaking of the Bears,

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Speaker 2: Ben Johnson goes from Detroit to Chicago, turns them around.

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Speaker 2: Detroit misses the playoffs. Liam Cohen goes to Jacksonville, helps

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Speaker 2: turn them around. The Bucks don't make it exactly and

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Speaker 2: grizz they're they're often new offense coordinator to replace going

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Speaker 2: got fired today, So it can it can drastically change

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Speaker 2: my dream. Mintor head coach, McDaniel's coordinator, Flora's Flora as

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Speaker 2: a defensive coordinator. It's not that won't happen.

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Speaker 4: But it's a beautiful dream.

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Speaker 3: Stucky Laoria is probably going to get a head coaching job.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm just giving you my my dream.

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Speaker 2: So no, I think that the Packers are the right side.

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Speaker 2: And I don't think that you can discount the luck

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Speaker 2: that the Bears had. I mean, they were plus had

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Speaker 2: a plus twenty two turnover margin. They led the league

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Speaker 2: in takeaways and giveaways. And it's not like capleer Williams

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Speaker 2: didn't put the ball in Harm's way. You know, you

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Speaker 2: didn't have a lot of picks, but his turnover worthy

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Speaker 2: plays were pretty high, so you might see some bounces

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Speaker 2: go green Bay's way. I mean, this was a defense.

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Speaker 2: The green Bay defense was thirtieth in turnover EPA. The

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Speaker 2: Bears were obviously number one. And then you can just

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Speaker 2: look at how these games played out for Chicago. They

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Speaker 2: were two plays away from going owen six in the division.

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Speaker 2: They needed a miracle on side kick recovery, and before

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Speaker 2: that they needed like a face mask, and Jordan Love

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Speaker 2: went down in that game. By the way, Jordan Love

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Speaker 2: destroyed the Bears when he was healthy, before he got

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Speaker 2: hurt the first game, and then before he got hurt

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Speaker 2: in the second game. And the Packers really should have

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Speaker 2: swept the Bears if not for all that fluky stuff

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Speaker 2: that happened late. So I mean, you look at the Bears,

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Speaker 2: they had that and then they had the long kick

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Speaker 2: return at the end against the Vikings. The usily could

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Speaker 2: have went owen six in the division. They finished two

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Speaker 2: and four, only the second team since nineteen eighty five

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Speaker 2: to win the division with a losing record. But you

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Speaker 2: go back to the Raiders game. They could have lost that.

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Speaker 2: They could have lost of the Commanders. They could have

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Speaker 2: lost to the Browns or the Bengals with Joe Flacco.

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Speaker 2: They could have lost of the Steelers with Mason Rudolph.

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Speaker 2: I mean, these are all bad teams that they arguably

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Speaker 2: should have lost agains if they'd needed to, Like last

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Speaker 2: second wins. They set an NFL record with six wins

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Speaker 2: when trailing under two minutes to go. The defense doesn't

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Speaker 2: do anything well outside of taking the ball away, which

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Speaker 2: is just not sustainable. Take away you know you remove

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Speaker 2: tournaments are thirtieth the EPA per play. This is not

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Speaker 2: a good defense. They do not get pressure. And Jordan

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Speaker 2: Love number one in the NFL this year in EPA

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Speaker 2: per play. With a clean pocket, I think he'll be

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Speaker 2: able to do whatever he wants. This offense, by the way,

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Speaker 2: got a bye last week, should come in healthier. The

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Speaker 2: wide receiver room is as healthy that's been all year.

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Speaker 2: They get Zack Tombak, their elite right tackle. Jacobs came

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Speaker 2: out and said he's as healthy as he's been all year.

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Speaker 2: That buy was super valuable last week because both the

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Speaker 2: Bears and the Packers had buys in Week five. Early

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Speaker 2: year buys you get worn down. Both teams had a

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Speaker 2: lot of injuries they were dealing with at the end

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Speaker 2: of the year, and Green Bay probably spent that entire week,

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Speaker 2: that extra week prepping for this game in Chicago. They

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Speaker 2: went all out trying to beat Detroit, thinking they needed

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Speaker 2: to win for the two seed. Turns out they didn't,

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Speaker 2: but that might hurt them. Here. The two things that

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Speaker 2: you know that the Packers defense has regressed and it's

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Speaker 2: fallen off as you know the pretty much since week eleven.

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Speaker 2: I mean, they've been a bottom five to ten unit.

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Speaker 2: They lost Wyde in week eleven, then Parsons has been

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Speaker 2: the huge loss. Should be a little healthier here, but

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Speaker 2: I do think the Bears will be able to run

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Speaker 2: the ball. I do think that the Packers will be

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Speaker 2: able to run the ball. To me, this comes down

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Speaker 2: to the Packers' ability to generate explosives and take away explosives.

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Speaker 2: The Bears are also of an explosive offense, but they're

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Speaker 2: bottom five and defending explosives, so I think the Packers

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Speaker 2: will just hit more explosive plays, which will be the

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Speaker 2: difference the two the only two things I really worry about.

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Speaker 2: And look, this will be a raucous crowd in Chicago.

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Speaker 2: It's our first home game since the double doink, but

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Speaker 2: it's a divisional game, so home field advantages is generally

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Speaker 2: less for that. And then there's gonna be weather that's

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Speaker 2: not going to bother Green day. The two things I

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Speaker 2: do worry about love coming back from an extended break

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Speaker 2: off of a concussion, could be you know, are there

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Speaker 2: any ill effects there is or any rust? Does he

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Speaker 2: come out a little slow? And then how bad is

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Speaker 2: the wind? Because if the wind is really bad, then

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Speaker 2: that's gonna favor Chicago, right because both teams are gonna

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Speaker 2: be able to run the ball. Chicago's an elite rushing offense,

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Speaker 2: and where I think Green Bay has one of the

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Speaker 2: advantages of their ability to connect on deep passes. If

401
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Speaker 2: the wind is too bad, that's going to hamper their

402
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Speaker 2: ability to take advantage of one of those primary strengths

403
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Speaker 2: in this particular matchup. But I do think that the

404
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 2: Packers are the right side and the Packers on They're

405
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Speaker 2: on the complete opposite end of the spectrum in terms

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Speaker 2: of luck. I mean, this is a team that went

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Speaker 2: oh to three when they didn't punt. The rest of

408
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Speaker 2: the NFL, it only happened eleven times the whole year.

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Speaker 2: The rest of the NFL went eight no, and there's

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Speaker 2: other eight instances. I think green Bay gets it done

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Speaker 2: here in the advance.

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Speaker 4: I agree, No, I don't think so. I am on

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Speaker 4: the opposite side of this. I don't have a bet

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Speaker 4: on it. I probably won't, but I'm going to drop

415
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Speaker 4: the L word. I don't. I don't like the Packers

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Speaker 4: this weekend. I lean the Bears here. The Packers have

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Speaker 4: sixteen guys on ir. If this were the beginning of

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Speaker 4: the season and everybody was healthy, I would absolutely take

419
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Speaker 4: the Packers here. But Bears at home. Bear is healthier.

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Speaker 4: I just it's hot, and you know, Jordan Love coming

421
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Speaker 4: back from that concussion like that also scares me. We

422
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:12,480
Speaker 4: see We've talked about on their show time and time again.

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Speaker 4: Guys coming back from concussions feel like they need a

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00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:18,000
Speaker 4: minute to establish themselves. Back into a game and it's

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Speaker 4: been a while since he got that concussion. But I

426
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Speaker 4: also think that that hurts him in this situation, and

427
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Speaker 4: god forbid, he's not one hundred percent or whatever. Leak

428
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Speaker 4: Willis is hurt and then Desmond ritters behind him. It's

429
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Speaker 4: just the fact that there's sixteen people on IR and

430
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Speaker 4: you pushed all your chips in on getting Michael Parsons

431
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Speaker 4: this season, and now he's not playing for you. He's

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Speaker 4: not making a difference. I think the Bears can keep

433
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:41,360
Speaker 4: up with the Packers defense and score points. I'm worried

434
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 4: about the Packers being able to score thirty points and

435
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 4: be able to keep up with this Bears offense. That

436
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:50,360
Speaker 4: is my concern here. It's genuinely just that there are

437
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:54,560
Speaker 4: sixteen people on IR for the Packers. That is a

438
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 4: lot of people. You can't overcome that in these type

439
00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 4: of situations.

440
00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 5: In January, Jalie I will say, I will say that

441
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:05,840
Speaker 5: the Packers just you know, a few weeks ago, went

442
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 5: to Chicago without Michael Parsons and an even more beat

443
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:09,920
Speaker 5: up defense.

444
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 2: And the Bears had six points with three minutes to go.

445
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 2: So even without Parsons, they were in control of that game,

446
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 2: and there was a third and fifteen where Caleb got

447
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,680
Speaker 2: sacked when they were down sixteen to six in the

448
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,119
Speaker 2: fourth and there was a face mask and without that

449
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,359
Speaker 2: face miss, the game is over. And then they needed

450
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,199
Speaker 2: a field goal and then an onside kick, which is

451
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,679
Speaker 2: like five percent chance, and then they needed to win

452
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:36,080
Speaker 2: an overtime.

453
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,760
Speaker 4: And this is before But you're the king of people

454
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:42,360
Speaker 4: needing time to come back from concussions and worrying about that,

455
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:44,639
Speaker 4: like you've talked about that on the show too. Does

456
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:45,320
Speaker 4: that not worry you?

457
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just said it. It's a concern of mine.

458
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:51,120
Speaker 2: But their defense held their own against Chicago without Parsons

459
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:56,639
Speaker 2: a few weeks ago in Chicago, so I and we

460
00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,359
Speaker 2: don't know how healthy Adonsay is. The Bears have some

461
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:03,880
Speaker 2: other injuries on defense with you know, CJ. Gardner Johnson

462
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 2: that I mean, Kylo Gordon Kate. It might play, but

463
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:09,000
Speaker 2: he's made of glass.

464
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 4: They need an early season Kyle Manungai game they.

465
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,760
Speaker 2: Left tackle at Trapello, he's dealing with an injury. So

466
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:17,920
Speaker 2: they have some injuries as well. The Green Bay offense

467
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:21,399
Speaker 2: should be pretty healthier outside of Jenkins and Crafto obviously

468
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 2: aren't coming back, but I mean love in the five

469
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:28,600
Speaker 2: quarters that he played the Bears, they did whatever they

470
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 2: wanted moving the ball.

471
00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:32,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Bears defense is awful, Like there's there's no

472
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 4: skipping that this. This has to be a shootout here,

473
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:41,119
Speaker 4: There's there's no other what's the total in this game?

474
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, there might be snow, depends on I'd like the over.

475
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,400
Speaker 2: I the wins aren't too bad. I do think both

476
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 2: teams will move the ball. I mean, if you go

477
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 2: back to that game, that that last game that ended

478
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:57,359
Speaker 2: twenty two sixteen in overtime, I mean you had the

479
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:01,480
Speaker 2: Packers had here were their drives start the game, nine

480
00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 2: plays forty six yards to start the game, they turned

481
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:09,760
Speaker 2: it over, they didn't convert on a fourth and one

482
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 2: inside the ten. Their next drive fourteen plays seventy yards,

483
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 2: ended in a field goal. The next drive, sixteen plays

484
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:22,120
Speaker 2: ninety one yards, ended in a field goal. So they

485
00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 2: had three drives in the first half. Now they're probably

486
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,200
Speaker 2: gonna be run heavy, so these drives might be long.

487
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,080
Speaker 2: See once they if they all start ending in like

488
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,720
Speaker 2: fourth down fails or at field goals, you're screwed. But

489
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 2: both teams were able to move the ball. The Bears

490
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:37,399
Speaker 2: also had a ten plays seventy yard drive that ended

491
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 2: in a turnover on downs, so there was The Packers

492
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:43,399
Speaker 2: then had in the third quarter their first drive, nine

493
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:48,000
Speaker 2: plays sixty five yards fumble. So I mean they were

494
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 2: moving the ball with Willis or Love, but they just

495
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,920
Speaker 2: couldn't convert into touchdowns. But as long as the wind

496
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:56,040
Speaker 2: isn't too bad, and even if there's a little snow

497
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:59,240
Speaker 2: on the ground, I agree. I like this over with

498
00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:02,160
Speaker 2: two great offensive minds that are very familiar with both

499
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:03,480
Speaker 2: of these defenses at this point in.

500
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: The year, I'm gonna sit right in the middle between

501
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:10,080
Speaker 1: the two of you. I have two bets on this game.

502
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 1: One is a prop. I'm gonna queue that one up

503
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:17,800
Speaker 1: later potentially. The other is in the derivatives market thirteen

504
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:22,120
Speaker 1: to one. This game goes to overtime, a one point spread,

505
00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:27,399
Speaker 1: a divisional game, third meeting. I think this game is

506
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 1: going to come down to the wire. I want no

507
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:31,120
Speaker 1: part of either side because I could just see it now.

508
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:34,040
Speaker 1: This game, hopefully in overtime because of the bet I've

509
00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:38,960
Speaker 1: placed scoop and score touchdown one of these two defenses.

510
00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:42,240
Speaker 1: This is just gonna be a weird game and I'm

511
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 1: out on that. We will get to your Etsy Witch

512
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:48,359
Speaker 1: in a moment, Kendra, but first you're gonna tell us

513
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 1: about DraftKings.

514
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:53,360
Speaker 6: The Favorites podcast has teamed up with Dropkings sportsbook, where

515
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 6: new customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred

516
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,879
Speaker 6: dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins. Staying

517
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,640
Speaker 6: on the action and use bonus on DraftKings same game

518
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:04,359
Speaker 6: parlays for a shot at an even bigger payout to

519
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,680
Speaker 6: get started to use promo code of Favorites when signing

520
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:09,639
Speaker 6: up with DraftKings. Again, use Code of Favorites when signing

521
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:11,840
Speaker 6: up and bet five bucks to get three hundred back

522
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 6: in bonus bets. If your bet wins, the crown is yours?

523
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 1: All right, Stuck, You've given you time to think about it.

524
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:19,159
Speaker 1: Do you have a question for us?

525
00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:23,159
Speaker 2: Hey, this is a dumb question. Let me ask you

526
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 2: a personal question kind of question?

527
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:26,639
Speaker 3: Is that is question?

528
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:29,399
Speaker 2: I just forgot. I forgot to think about it, but

529
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:33,200
Speaker 2: I can. I can come with one quick. You gotta

530
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:38,560
Speaker 2: be rambling about games and then I, uh.

531
00:27:36,320 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 3: Uh so that is technically my job.

532
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:43,600
Speaker 2: I will say, what's one thing that you've bought? You've

533
00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:47,560
Speaker 2: purchased in your life that your biggest regret purchase, like

534
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:53,160
Speaker 2: the dumbest thing that you bought. I'll start. I bought

535
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 2: want it for my basement. I have like a that's

536
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,159
Speaker 2: why I watch games is a cool bar area and

537
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:03,520
Speaker 2: it's kind of like a big man gave. But so

538
00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:11,720
Speaker 2: I bought this like cocktail type arcade table, and I

539
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:13,800
Speaker 2: mean it was I don't know. I think I got

540
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:16,439
Speaker 2: it for it was like three thousand dollars and like

541
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 2: you can like sit around it and then there's joysticks

542
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 2: and then the screen comes up and there's like five

543
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 2: thousand arcade games on it. I was like, oh, this

544
00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:29,639
Speaker 2: would be cool to have just for like when people.

545
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:34,080
Speaker 2: I've never played it once. It's never been used. So

546
00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 2: I had one friend who used it who was over

547
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:38,800
Speaker 2: and was like playing something on there. It was cool.

548
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 2: I mean I've actually looked went and looked at it

549
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:42,160
Speaker 2: and look and there was like every game you could

550
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 2: ever think of arcade game. So it sounded cool in theory,

551
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:49,000
Speaker 2: and it's cool that it's there, like it looks cool,

552
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 2: but I've never used it, and I regret purchasing that.

553
00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:56,840
Speaker 2: I guess I could like resell it, but I haven't.

554
00:28:56,840 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 2: Maybe maybe my kid will enjoy it one day.

555
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:01,959
Speaker 1: There you go, there is still time to get use

556
00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,000
Speaker 1: out of this thing. My answer to this is easy.

557
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:07,480
Speaker 1: This one still haunts me. I worked a summer job

558
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 1: when I first got to college, and they didn't pay you.

559
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:12,440
Speaker 1: It was like a maintenance thing, which is hilarious because

560
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 1: I don't know how to fix anything. I don't know

561
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:15,960
Speaker 1: how I got this job, but I worked the summer

562
00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:18,640
Speaker 1: and then they gave you, which I'm sure hourly breakdown.

563
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 1: I was vastly underpaid, but they gave me, at eighteen

564
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:25,440
Speaker 1: years old, a one thousand dollars check. I'd never gotten

565
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,520
Speaker 1: that much money at once in my life, so I

566
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:30,720
Speaker 1: went immediately to the fanciest mall in town. I went

567
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:34,920
Speaker 1: into the Burberry store and I bought an expensive wallet.

568
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 1: Two hundred and fifty dollars. I dropped on a wallet.

569
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:39,959
Speaker 1: Mind you, I probably had. I mean, that was all

570
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:41,800
Speaker 1: the money I had in my account, was that thousand

571
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 1: dollars that they gave me.

572
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 3: But I felt so good about myself.

573
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 1: And then a week later I go to the gym,

574
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:51,440
Speaker 1: I leave the wallet in my cup holder and it

575
00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 1: gets stolen. So I have not paid more than eight

576
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:56,840
Speaker 1: dollars for a wallet. Since that moment in my life.

577
00:29:57,080 --> 00:30:00,680
Speaker 4: Lesson learned mine's going to be my my last car

578
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 4: that I had. I bought a BMW three thirty five.

579
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 4: I tricked out lower tented whole bit. I live in

580
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 4: fucking Massachusetts and it snows like crazy. I had zero

581
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 4: business driving a lowered car. I had it for a year.

582
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 4: Drove to work in the snow. One time, thought I

583
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 4: was going to die, and I was like, this bitch

584
00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 4: has gotta go.

585
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 3: That was it. That was a low key flex right

586
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 3: there by the way.

587
00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 1: So I feel pretty confident in saying that this is

588
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 1: the best sports week of the year so far, unless,

589
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 1: of course, you're a Kentucky basketball fan zero and two

590
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:35,479
Speaker 1: in Conference WOOLF.

591
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 3: But if you if you like ish stakes football, this

592
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 3: week is for you.

593
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:45,280
Speaker 1: Thursday and Friday, we've got college football playoffs semifinals in

594
00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 1: this weekend. Well, you know what's going on in the NFL,

595
00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:50,120
Speaker 1: and when you think of big football games, you.

596
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 3: Need to be thinking about Sling TV.

597
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 1: Sling TV offers flexible package options one, three and seven

598
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 1: day passes for access to thirty plus live channels, which

599
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:05,640
Speaker 1: includes ESPN and tnt SO you're covered for the semi

600
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:09,320
Speaker 1: final games, the National Championship and for Monday Night Football.

601
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 1: And since this is an NFL show and we're talking

602
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 1: Monday Night football, let's fit in a little Texans Steelers

603
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:19,040
Speaker 1: will give out one pick a piece for the Monday

604
00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 1: Night Football action. Kendra get Us started.

605
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 4: So Stucky has something that I have later on in

606
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 4: the show to discuss. So I'm gonna go with Pat

607
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 4: Fryarmouth for in anytime plus three to ninety, like the

608
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 4: tight end matchup here. He's been getting a lot of

609
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:39,040
Speaker 4: love recently. I don't know if you guys saw that

610
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 4: video of him after the game after the kick on Sunday.

611
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 4: He just he is their go to guy and clutch moments.

612
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,000
Speaker 4: Most of his catches wind up in the end zone. Somehow,

613
00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:52,360
Speaker 4: it seems I'm gonna go Pat Fryarmouth in a big moment.

614
00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 4: I think the obvious answer he would probably be to

615
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 4: b DK Metcalf, But I like the Friarermuth value at

616
00:31:57,040 --> 00:31:58,560
Speaker 4: plus three ninety on DraftKings right now.

617
00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 1: But I think DK bet jail for what he did

618
00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 1: and getting himself suspended at the end of the year,

619
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 1: and he should give his game check to Tyler Loop.

620
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:11,200
Speaker 1: I like the look at Pat Fryarmouth. Rogers loves those

621
00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:11,880
Speaker 1: tight ends.

622
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:15,520
Speaker 2: What about you, Stucky, Let's go Steelers money line. I

623
00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 2: think this is an obvious money line dog this week.

624
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,600
Speaker 2: It's a low total. I think this will be a

625
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 2: low scoring game. Points are at a premium, so higher variance.

626
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 2: And the Steelers, as long as they're in this game,

627
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,960
Speaker 2: you know they Riders is bad under pressure at this

628
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,560
Speaker 2: point in his career, but they like to get rid

629
00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 2: of the ball as quick as you'll ever see a

630
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:41,280
Speaker 2: team with short passes throw to their backs their tight ends.

631
00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:44,000
Speaker 2: You know, maybe a quick slant to DK hopefully he

632
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 2: breaks one. So that kind of can neutralize the Texans

633
00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:49,840
Speaker 2: pass rush a bit. Now where the Steelers are going

634
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:51,760
Speaker 2: to get in trouble. It's very difficult to do that

635
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 2: consistently against one of the best defenses in the NFL,

636
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:57,800
Speaker 2: because if you don't have success on first and second down,

637
00:32:57,800 --> 00:32:59,240
Speaker 2: and then you're in third and long, and then you

638
00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:01,440
Speaker 2: got to go up against Texans pass rush where Rodgers

639
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:03,440
Speaker 2: probably isn't going to be able to do much. So

640
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:05,200
Speaker 2: that's where they're probably going to get into trouble. But

641
00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 2: I could say the same thing for the Steelers defense,

642
00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:10,640
Speaker 2: which is vulnerable against the run. But Texans aren't really

643
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 2: an efficient rushing attack. So on these known passing situations

644
00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,680
Speaker 2: for the Texans the Steelers, they're going to blitz a lot.

645
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,719
Speaker 2: Their defensive line is now healthy and Stroud has been

646
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 2: bad against the blitz and this is not a great

647
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:26,040
Speaker 2: offensive line, so I could see the Steelers causing some

648
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,240
Speaker 2: havoc and chaos as well. This could come down to

649
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 2: just which defensive line on a passing down makes forces

650
00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:35,120
Speaker 2: the other quarterback into a mistake. And we know that

651
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:37,960
Speaker 2: Rogers generally, it's one of the best in NFL history

652
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 2: at avoiding those mistakes. So this will be like a

653
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 2: field position game. And don't forget this is a dome

654
00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:47,800
Speaker 2: team traveling outdoors in freezing temperatures. I think the teams

655
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:49,720
Speaker 2: in that spot are one to fourteen in the past

656
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 2: fifteen instances that's occurred in the postseason. So yeah, I

657
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:55,360
Speaker 2: think this will be a low scoring game where the

658
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 2: Steeers will have a shot to win it. You might

659
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 2: have the voodoo on your side as well, with you know,

660
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 2: just a couple deflections or flat forced fumbles that go

661
00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:06,920
Speaker 2: your way, and that might be all it takes, so yeah,

662
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,760
Speaker 2: let's go Steelers money line to get it done on Monday.

663
00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:12,479
Speaker 2: One of these streaks has to end, either the steep

664
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:14,960
Speaker 2: the Steers finally have to win a playoff game, or

665
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,600
Speaker 2: their Monday Night streak. The last thing. I think it's

666
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,400
Speaker 2: thirty three years now they haven't lost on Monday Night football,

667
00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:22,200
Speaker 2: So we'll see.

668
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:24,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I was like ninety three or something, which is crazy.

669
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:27,760
Speaker 1: We'll just end up reframing that to regular season Monday

670
00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 1: Night football games come next year if they lose. But

671
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:34,120
Speaker 1: I have We're all in the Steelers here. I have

672
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:37,760
Speaker 1: a correlation to the Steelers. Look, if they are able

673
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,920
Speaker 1: to move the ball down the field against this Houston defense,

674
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:44,439
Speaker 1: it's going to be because of the quick passing game

675
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:47,400
Speaker 1: to Kenneth Gainwell. I like him over five and a

676
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 1: half receptions at plus one h nine. Rogers has to

677
00:34:50,640 --> 00:34:52,720
Speaker 1: get the ball out of his hands quickly to mitigate

678
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,040
Speaker 1: this pass rush, and he has been doing that quite well.

679
00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:58,480
Speaker 1: They have the quickest snap to throw average in the NFL.

680
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 1: That bodes well for this stat a lot of easy

681
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:05,640
Speaker 1: dumpoffs to gain well. The Texans rank above league average

682
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 1: in terms of receptions allowed to the running back position,

683
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:13,400
Speaker 1: so screen game on full effect. We've got Pat Fryarmouth

684
00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:18,040
Speaker 1: anytime touchdown Stealer's money line, both of those at plus odds,

685
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:21,640
Speaker 1: including Kenneth Gainwell, who's also at plus money, which means

686
00:35:22,120 --> 00:35:26,440
Speaker 1: your three legs. Sling TV parlay comes in at twenty

687
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:27,279
Speaker 1: to one.

688
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:29,719
Speaker 3: Let's go Stealers.

689
00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:32,200
Speaker 1: With so many great, great games still to come, sling

690
00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 1: TV is your solution to instant access to live TV,

691
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 1: starting as low as four ninety nine. There is not

692
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:41,680
Speaker 1: a better time to acquaint yourself with the one to

693
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:46,040
Speaker 1: three and seven day passes from Sling TV offer applies

694
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:51,680
Speaker 1: to Orange one day pass restrictions apply. It is time

695
00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:55,400
Speaker 1: for the reason you all came here today. Two kings

696
00:35:55,400 --> 00:36:09,240
Speaker 1: and a queen get nominated right here, right now, Stucky,

697
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:10,520
Speaker 1: get us going.

698
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna go. I already mentioned I would

699
00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:16,560
Speaker 2: have my plant. The Flag game is JAG's first half

700
00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:19,279
Speaker 2: money line, which I still love. But we'll give two

701
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:23,799
Speaker 2: other looks here. I'm gonna go with the Packers money line.

702
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:28,000
Speaker 2: I think I rambled enough about that game earlier and

703
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:35,880
Speaker 2: the let's go the Chargers plus three and a half

704
00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:40,400
Speaker 2: talked about that game a bit earlier. Look the Patriots

705
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 2: have the highest explosive play right in the league, even

706
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 2: though they faced the easiest schedule of defenses and the

707
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:48,880
Speaker 2: easiest schedule of opposing quarterbacks. I mean, think about it.

708
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:52,680
Speaker 2: The only they beat Josh Allen once they split and

709
00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:54,879
Speaker 2: that's about it. The rest of the quarterbacks they faced.

710
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:59,279
Speaker 2: The next best quarterback, it's Baker Mayfield. I mean, Lamar

711
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:02,520
Speaker 2: Jackson was roasting them before he got hurt, and then

712
00:37:02,560 --> 00:37:05,000
Speaker 2: it was Tyler Huntley the rest of the game. But

713
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,759
Speaker 2: I think this defense that who has some injuries, is vulnerable.

714
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 2: And the biggest concern I have is with the Chargers

715
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:13,840
Speaker 2: offensive line. I mean they're bad. I mean since we

716
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:16,280
Speaker 2: you know, the second half of the year, they're thirty

717
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:19,759
Speaker 2: first in pressure rate allowed. But the Patriots in the

718
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 2: second half of the year without blitzing and you don't

719
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:24,920
Speaker 2: want to blitz Herbert, are thirty first in pressure rate

720
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:29,000
Speaker 2: without blitzing, twenty seventh and adjusted pressure rate for the year.

721
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:31,719
Speaker 2: So this is not a defensive line that's going to

722
00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:35,080
Speaker 2: get gobs of pressure and ruin this game for Herbert,

723
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:37,560
Speaker 2: as we've seen quite a few times in the past.

724
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:40,160
Speaker 2: Maybe it still happens, but the numbers I think Herbert

725
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:42,839
Speaker 2: will have a chance here to move the ball, and

726
00:37:43,800 --> 00:37:47,520
Speaker 2: that Patriots offense that hits so many explosives is going

727
00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 2: up against the defense that excels in that department. And

728
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:53,040
Speaker 2: the red zone will be huge here because what the

729
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:55,160
Speaker 2: Chargers are gonna have a huge emphasis on taking away

730
00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:57,600
Speaker 2: those explosives forced the Patriots to move the ball down

731
00:37:57,600 --> 00:38:00,279
Speaker 2: the field and then execute in the red zone. Well,

732
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:04,839
Speaker 2: the Charters have an elite red zone defense under Minter.

733
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 2: They did last year forty five percent touchdown rate forty

734
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:10,200
Speaker 2: five percent touchdown rate this year, both top five in

735
00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:13,279
Speaker 2: the NFL. Patriots have struggled some in the red zone

736
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:15,440
Speaker 2: and then on the other side of the ball, the Chargers.

737
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:17,000
Speaker 2: They don't have a great red zone offense, but the

738
00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:20,080
Speaker 2: Patriots are thirtieth in the NFL and red zone defense

739
00:38:20,120 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 2: in terms of touchdown rate allowed, and they've played nothing

740
00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:26,040
Speaker 2: but backup quarterbacks the entire year. So this might be

741
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 2: a chance for Herbert and company to actually finish off

742
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:33,359
Speaker 2: drives with touchdowns. And the Matriots have been pretty lucky

743
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:35,839
Speaker 2: this year, not only with their schedule, but May's gotten

744
00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:38,160
Speaker 2: away with some throws. I could see him throwing a

745
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 2: pick or two against this mintor defense. They've been lucky

746
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:43,440
Speaker 2: with fumbles and especially on fourth downs on both sides

747
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:45,160
Speaker 2: of the ball, so he might get a few bounces

748
00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:48,160
Speaker 2: here for the Chargers, but I think that they keep

749
00:38:48,200 --> 00:38:50,560
Speaker 2: this close. I think this line should be no higher

750
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 2: than three. So give me the Chargers plus three and

751
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:57,280
Speaker 2: a half. So my two choices are Packers money line

752
00:38:57,560 --> 00:38:59,000
Speaker 2: and Chargers plus three and a half.

753
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:02,280
Speaker 3: For me, I already bet it. I like the Chargers

754
00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 3: plus three and a half.

755
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:06,359
Speaker 1: Stucky continues to try and recruit Jesse Minter to his

756
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:09,320
Speaker 1: football team. Kendra, I imagine America.

757
00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:11,839
Speaker 3: This one easy, Yeah, Chargers.

758
00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:14,759
Speaker 4: The best part is if the Pats lose and the

759
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 4: Jags win, I could be packing to go home for

760
00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:18,640
Speaker 4: three days or I could be packing to go home

761
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:19,200
Speaker 4: for three weeks.

762
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:23,440
Speaker 1: I really don't know, Evan, where would you be voting

763
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:25,239
Speaker 1: on this? So that was one of the easiest votes

764
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:25,880
Speaker 1: we've had all.

765
00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:27,520
Speaker 4: Year, Chargers the easiest.

766
00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:32,280
Speaker 3: Thank Yeah, Wow, Get Kendrick.

767
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:33,920
Speaker 1: Do you want me to piss you off first or

768
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 1: after you make your selections this week?

769
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 4: You're the host to your world. We just live in it,

770
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:39,960
Speaker 4: all right.

771
00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:42,799
Speaker 1: Let's just get this out of the way. You gotta

772
00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:47,359
Speaker 1: rip the bandaid off. Here my two nominees are a

773
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:48,680
Speaker 1: prop and a side.

774
00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:50,920
Speaker 4: Can I just say, can I just preface this with

775
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 4: I filled out our notes at nine forty five this morning,

776
00:39:54,120 --> 00:39:56,879
Speaker 4: and when I logged on at ten thirty, Kravits had

777
00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:58,160
Speaker 4: completely flipped the script.

778
00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:02,000
Speaker 3: Yep, I had. I had not bet this game yet.

779
00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 1: As of the prep that I was doing this morning,

780
00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:07,319
Speaker 1: I was fully I've been fully convinced all week that

781
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:11,840
Speaker 1: I've I was going to bet the Jacksonville Jaguars. And

782
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:14,360
Speaker 1: the more I dug into this game, the more it

783
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:17,360
Speaker 1: became obvious to me that I've got to bet the Bills.

784
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:20,719
Speaker 1: So my nominees are Colston Lovelin over three and a

785
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:26,680
Speaker 1: half receptions against the Packers or the Bills minus one here.

786
00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:29,479
Speaker 3: Here?

787
00:40:29,640 --> 00:40:31,960
Speaker 1: Which one are you shaking your head out more stucky?

788
00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 1: The the prop or the or the Bills?

789
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:38,560
Speaker 2: The Bills? I mean, I like the Jags, and uh

790
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:41,200
Speaker 2: like you're just basically betting on them. I think, like, oh,

791
00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:43,040
Speaker 2: Josh Allen is going to get it done. I'm not

792
00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 2: even sure Josh Allen is fully healthy. But and then

793
00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:49,840
Speaker 2: you just changed like you're going to try to convince

794
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:52,480
Speaker 2: this and you just changed your earlier in the day,

795
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:54,120
Speaker 2: you were thinking Jags. Now, so you're going to try

796
00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:54,799
Speaker 2: to convince the Bills.

797
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:56,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, can you couple the knife out of my back

798
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:57,720
Speaker 4: really quick?

799
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:01,920
Speaker 2: We're have been the Jags podcast all year. But you know,

800
00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:04,439
Speaker 2: I like the jack. The Jags offensive researchers is real.

801
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:06,440
Speaker 2: Since they got Myers, they put Cole van Land in

802
00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:11,040
Speaker 2: that tackle. Parker Washington has emerged. B TJ's gotten healthier,

803
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:14,560
Speaker 2: Breton Strange came back. The Liam Cohen effect has just

804
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:17,920
Speaker 2: magnified as they started throwing the ball down the field.

805
00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 2: The defense has real improvement. They're a lead against the run.

806
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:25,239
Speaker 2: I mean the Antonio Johnson has emerged at safety, mon

807
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:28,880
Speaker 2: Terrek Brown is playing better. And this defense, this Bill's

808
00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:34,040
Speaker 2: defense is terrible. So Josh Allen could lead them to

809
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:36,399
Speaker 2: a win. And they're they're going to play a ton

810
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:39,239
Speaker 2: of zone. There'll be opportunities there. But I would not

811
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 2: bet against this Jags team in this spot.

812
00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 3: And Witch, So I do want to get to the

813
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:48,720
Speaker 3: Etsy Witch. But here's what I noticed.

814
00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 2: We'll get to the second went. My vote is I

815
00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:52,480
Speaker 2: guess Loveland because I'm not same.

816
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,360
Speaker 4: I don't can I ask you why? I mean, like,

817
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 4: here's The thing am I nervous about this game? Absolutely?

818
00:41:58,000 --> 00:41:59,760
Speaker 4: Do I think that the Bills can come into Jacksonville

819
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:03,879
Speaker 4: and win game. Absolutely, But the Bills strength is their

820
00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:06,640
Speaker 4: run game, and the Jags have such a good run defense,

821
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 4: and I don't under And the thing is that the

822
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:13,439
Speaker 4: Jags will run the ball down their throats. I don't

823
00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:16,239
Speaker 4: understand other than the Josh Allen angle. What you're what

824
00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 4: you're looking at here?

825
00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:20,839
Speaker 3: Well, yeah, believe me, this was.

826
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:21,920
Speaker 4: We had the real Josh Allen.

827
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:25,240
Speaker 1: By the way, This is the been the thought process

828
00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:28,879
Speaker 1: all week is I like the Jaguars better as as

829
00:42:28,920 --> 00:42:32,839
Speaker 1: a team, and I like Josh Allen better as the

830
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:35,120
Speaker 1: quarterback that I trust the most in this matchup. And

831
00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:38,000
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna bet a single quarterback over an entire

832
00:42:38,040 --> 00:42:41,040
Speaker 1: team that I like better. I think that the hot

833
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:44,760
Speaker 1: streak the Jags have been on has some phony written

834
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:47,560
Speaker 1: into it, and I can't unsee it. Since they're loss

835
00:42:47,600 --> 00:42:51,240
Speaker 1: to the Texans. Trevor Lawrence has been the hottest quarterback

836
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 1: in the NFL. He has played so many bad teams.

837
00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:59,200
Speaker 1: Six of his final eight matchups were against the Titans twice,

838
00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:03,240
Speaker 1: the Cold twice, the Jets, and the Cardinals. The average

839
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:05,640
Speaker 1: e p a per pass for those teams on defense

840
00:43:06,040 --> 00:43:07,840
Speaker 1: is twenty second in the NFL.

841
00:43:08,120 --> 00:43:14,760
Speaker 3: It's no wonder the Chargers and Abscos.

842
00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:21,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, defenses destroyed both, which I think puts merit to it.

843
00:43:22,400 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 2: Like literally, they went into Denver.

844
00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:25,480
Speaker 3: The Chargers could.

845
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,520
Speaker 2: They're at the Chargers.

846
00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:33,239
Speaker 1: That was the bottom of the barrel for this bad

847
00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:34,279
Speaker 1: offensive line for the.

848
00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:36,680
Speaker 2: Talking about what they did to the Chargers defense.

849
00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:40,279
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, it's a lot easier to score when you're

850
00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:42,440
Speaker 1: the opposing offense can't move the football.

851
00:43:42,480 --> 00:43:43,880
Speaker 3: And we have decided the.

852
00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:50,000
Speaker 1: Denver Denver are quite possibly the most overrated number one

853
00:43:50,040 --> 00:43:53,200
Speaker 1: seed in NFL history.

854
00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:55,560
Speaker 2: Their defense, I'm not going to throw which defense in

855
00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:58,480
Speaker 2: the NFL is good the Charge, the Charges and Broncos

856
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:00,400
Speaker 2: defenses aren't good. Which defense which.

857
00:44:00,920 --> 00:44:03,600
Speaker 1: I'm not saying they're not good, I'm saying that the

858
00:44:04,680 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 1: that is two of the last eight matchups have been impressive.

859
00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:13,840
Speaker 1: I'm not selling Jacksonville as a team and telling you

860
00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:17,719
Speaker 1: that they're bad or that it's all overrated in terms

861
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:19,720
Speaker 1: of what they've done for the last couple of months.

862
00:44:20,320 --> 00:44:23,640
Speaker 1: But against this team, I think it is.

863
00:44:24,280 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 2: If if Bills are a bad defense, they're going to

864
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:27,480
Speaker 2: play another bad defense here.

865
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:30,160
Speaker 1: So the Bills defense this year has held quarterbacks to

866
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:32,640
Speaker 1: a seventy nine rating. They're number one in yards per

867
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:36,160
Speaker 1: game allowed to quarterbacks. The red zone defense hasn't been great,

868
00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:39,680
Speaker 1: their fourth best in terms of allowing opposing offenses to

869
00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:41,319
Speaker 1: get to the red zone in the first place. I

870
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:44,239
Speaker 1: just worry that if the Jags offense gets stuck in

871
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:47,840
Speaker 1: the mud, bad Trevor shows up, And if bad Trevor

872
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:50,600
Speaker 1: shows up, They've got no chance in winning this game.

873
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:53,160
Speaker 3: They're not beating Josh Allen in a playoff game.

874
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:57,200
Speaker 1: And I think it is awfully telling that you bet

875
00:44:57,320 --> 00:45:00,839
Speaker 1: the Jags in the first half and wanted no of

876
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:02,280
Speaker 1: the full game when.

877
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:04,880
Speaker 3: We talked about this the other day. If we're talking

878
00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:05,319
Speaker 3: we have this.

879
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:06,560
Speaker 2: Com I mean I would take the Jacks for the

880
00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:08,200
Speaker 2: full game. I just prefer the first taxt I think

881
00:45:08,200 --> 00:45:10,319
Speaker 2: their script's gonna better. I think the Bills run it

882
00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:13,719
Speaker 2: too much early. The numbers bear that out. I mean,

883
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:17,200
Speaker 2: the Bills offense first half or second half is drastic,

884
00:45:17,280 --> 00:45:19,560
Speaker 2: and the same with the Jags first half, first second

885
00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:21,960
Speaker 2: half offense. But I mean I could say the Bills

886
00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:24,280
Speaker 2: like you you mentioned their defense, I mean their defense

887
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:27,040
Speaker 2: I think is twentieth and DVA. They cannot defend the

888
00:45:27,120 --> 00:45:29,319
Speaker 2: run you mentioned, like the quarterback. I mean, you can

889
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:31,239
Speaker 2: make the same case for the Bills who they face

890
00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:33,439
Speaker 2: this year. I mean, look at the quarterbacks they face

891
00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:38,839
Speaker 2: down the stretch, the Chador Sanders who they almost lost to, that.

892
00:45:38,880 --> 00:45:42,120
Speaker 1: Was in Cleveland, which is one of the toughest places

893
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:46,000
Speaker 1: to play in the NFL. Their last defense the last

894
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:49,799
Speaker 1: month plus we're talking about. What I'm mentioning here is

895
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:53,480
Speaker 1: the cupcake schedule overall that the Jags played in the

896
00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:57,719
Speaker 1: last two months. I think that with them playing the

897
00:45:57,840 --> 00:46:00,200
Speaker 1: schedule that they played down the stretch, if you look

898
00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 1: season long, they actually had a tougher strength of scheduled

899
00:46:02,520 --> 00:46:06,319
Speaker 1: than Buffalo. But down the stretch the Bills went to Pittsburgh,

900
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:10,279
Speaker 1: to New England, to Houston, to Cleveland and played the

901
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:14,799
Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles that is battle tested down the stretch and

902
00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:16,200
Speaker 1: they're rolling in As one.

903
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:19,680
Speaker 2: Point, they lost to Davis Mills, and I mean they

904
00:46:19,719 --> 00:46:22,279
Speaker 2: lost to the Eagles at home with the Eagles not

905
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,960
Speaker 2: completing a pass in the second half. Like those aren't

906
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:29,560
Speaker 2: the greatest data points. Like the Eagles offense and the

907
00:46:29,600 --> 00:46:33,440
Speaker 2: Texans offense with Davis Mills and losing.

908
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:35,640
Speaker 1: The bottom line is I think if this game was

909
00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:40,239
Speaker 1: played in Week fourteen in this exact setting, the Bills

910
00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:42,840
Speaker 1: would be two and a half point favorites. Their point

911
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:47,600
Speaker 1: favorites here, I think they're the right side. Kendre, What

912
00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:52,719
Speaker 1: have you done in terms of witchery for me to

913
00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:53,480
Speaker 1: lose this bet?

914
00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:58,839
Speaker 4: So I hired an Etsy witch yesterday to curse the Bills,

915
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:01,600
Speaker 4: but I made to add in my notes that I

916
00:47:01,640 --> 00:47:03,960
Speaker 4: don't want anybody to get hurt. That was like the

917
00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:05,359
Speaker 4: big thing. I was like, I just want a good

918
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:08,359
Speaker 4: old fashioned ass kicking. I don't want anybody to get hurt.

919
00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:13,000
Speaker 2: My wife did that for before the Ravens Chiefs Safty

920
00:47:13,080 --> 00:47:17,840
Speaker 2: Championship game. She hired a witch on EPSCY and wanted

921
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:22,239
Speaker 2: she wanted Patrick Mahomes. This is literally what she paid

922
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:26,359
Speaker 2: for Patrick Mahomes to shit his pants during the game.

923
00:47:26,920 --> 00:47:27,520
Speaker 2: Didn't happen.

924
00:47:27,719 --> 00:47:29,879
Speaker 4: Oh that's amazing. I get my money back in thirty

925
00:47:29,960 --> 00:47:31,000
Speaker 4: days if it doesn't happen.

926
00:47:31,160 --> 00:47:34,440
Speaker 1: So wow, how much do you mind me asking how

927
00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:35,680
Speaker 1: much this runs?

928
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:37,080
Speaker 3: You'll whopping?

929
00:47:37,280 --> 00:47:40,719
Speaker 4: Twelve dollars was the most expensive one. It was the

930
00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:42,560
Speaker 4: most expensive one I could get all the other ones

931
00:47:42,560 --> 00:47:44,239
Speaker 4: were like a dollar and she's supposed to send me

932
00:47:44,239 --> 00:47:47,880
Speaker 4: a video of like her doing the spell. But all

933
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:50,319
Speaker 4: of the weird Southern Baptists on Twitter have gotten really

934
00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:53,200
Speaker 4: strange about this. But they can ligma because me and

935
00:47:53,200 --> 00:47:54,880
Speaker 4: my edsy witch are going to hold hand to the

936
00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:56,560
Speaker 4: AFC Championship game.

937
00:47:56,960 --> 00:47:58,880
Speaker 3: All right, So nobody's voting for the Bills.

938
00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:01,880
Speaker 4: Wait, Evan, where would you have gone with this.

939
00:48:04,000 --> 00:48:04,680
Speaker 2: Jaguars?

940
00:48:05,120 --> 00:48:07,920
Speaker 7: The stats that I like that's kind of on the

941
00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:10,560
Speaker 7: field here, which would be that the Jaguars this year

942
00:48:10,680 --> 00:48:13,480
Speaker 7: faced four teams who allow four plus yards per rush

943
00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:15,480
Speaker 7: on the ground. Jacksonville is not only four and oh

944
00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:17,520
Speaker 7: straight up and against spreading those games, but they've covered

945
00:48:17,520 --> 00:48:20,000
Speaker 7: by nineteen points per game. Throw it out the window

946
00:48:20,040 --> 00:48:22,399
Speaker 7: if you'd like. But they Jacksonville is not the best

947
00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:24,239
Speaker 7: running team. They should be able to run the ball

948
00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:27,120
Speaker 7: here and if that's possible, everything else will come into place.

949
00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:28,160
Speaker 2: And I like Jacksonville.

950
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:28,560
Speaker 3: Yeah.

951
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:31,319
Speaker 2: The second most wins over playoff teams. We talk about

952
00:48:31,360 --> 00:48:33,839
Speaker 2: people's team schedules. The only team with more playoff win

953
00:48:33,920 --> 00:48:36,000
Speaker 2: team wins over playoff teams is the Seahawks.

954
00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:39,400
Speaker 7: I like the Meyers edition. Jaya Parker White, like everyone

955
00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:41,200
Speaker 7: is kind of coming into play. You start to look

956
00:48:41,200 --> 00:48:44,000
Speaker 7: at Bill's pass catchers, It's like, who the heck is

957
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:45,359
Speaker 7: going to make a play in this game If it's

958
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:48,920
Speaker 7: not Josh, and I think that's the problem.

959
00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:51,560
Speaker 1: I'm just going to say, if it's not Josh and

960
00:48:51,640 --> 00:48:53,880
Speaker 1: throw that out like he is.

961
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 3: He is right now.

962
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:57,520
Speaker 7: So Brandon Cooks is going to have to have a

963
00:48:57,560 --> 00:49:00,359
Speaker 7: pass on his helmet, like for fifty yards. I feel

964
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:01,640
Speaker 7: like maybe magic happens.

965
00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:04,840
Speaker 1: But if you play we've been watching how long have

966
00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:07,840
Speaker 1: you been watching the NFL guys? How long have these quarterbacks,

967
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:10,319
Speaker 1: the Mahomes at least now the world, been throwing the

968
00:49:10,320 --> 00:49:14,400
Speaker 1: ball to these below average wide receivers in the postseason

969
00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:18,479
Speaker 1: and getting by. I just don't worry that much about

970
00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:21,240
Speaker 1: it when you're talking about a player of his caliber.

971
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:24,320
Speaker 1: I'm not betting the Bills simply because of Josh Allen.

972
00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:26,760
Speaker 2: But of course is the big well you mentioned Mahomes.

973
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:29,400
Speaker 2: The last couple of years of our receivers, the defense,

974
00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:33,600
Speaker 2: their defense has carried them in the playoffs. This Bill's

975
00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:37,880
Speaker 2: defense is not good. Their linebackers are old and watched,

976
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:40,759
Speaker 2: their safeties aren't great. The corner rock room isn't great.

977
00:49:40,760 --> 00:49:42,600
Speaker 2: Like they can get some pressure, but they can't defend

978
00:49:42,600 --> 00:49:45,359
Speaker 2: the run. I mean, you mentioned how many playoff teams

979
00:49:45,360 --> 00:49:49,560
Speaker 2: does the Bills beat this year too? I guess three

980
00:49:49,560 --> 00:49:50,280
Speaker 2: with the Panthers.

981
00:49:51,360 --> 00:49:54,000
Speaker 4: Do we think Gabe Davis has over eight and a

982
00:49:54,040 --> 00:49:56,120
Speaker 4: half receiving yards in this game? Because I feel like

983
00:49:56,160 --> 00:49:58,200
Speaker 4: this might be the Gabe Davis revenge game. And I'm

984
00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:01,040
Speaker 4: sitting here and it's staring at me like the gob mask, our.

985
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:03,120
Speaker 7: Producers telling us to kind of move on here. But

986
00:50:03,120 --> 00:50:04,799
Speaker 7: I think we should retee it up. You want to go,

987
00:50:04,880 --> 00:50:08,279
Speaker 7: let's do this whole thing again, Jaguars Bills. No, I'm kidding, all.

988
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:11,040
Speaker 3: Right, let's go all right?

989
00:50:11,040 --> 00:50:13,759
Speaker 2: So, yeah, you couldn't even go on a side or

990
00:50:13,800 --> 00:50:15,480
Speaker 2: total Loveland. I have no opinion.

991
00:50:15,520 --> 00:50:19,400
Speaker 1: I mean I could get so I did come prepared

992
00:50:19,560 --> 00:50:20,520
Speaker 1: for a non prop.

993
00:50:20,560 --> 00:50:22,000
Speaker 3: I just thought i'd throw one in there.

994
00:50:22,320 --> 00:50:26,040
Speaker 1: I do like the Chargers Panthers under or I'm sorry,

995
00:50:26,080 --> 00:50:28,800
Speaker 1: the Rams Panthers under forty six and a half, Chargers

996
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:31,000
Speaker 1: Patriots under forty six and a half, or the forty

997
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 1: nine Ers Eagles under forty four.

998
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:33,360
Speaker 3: And a half.

999
00:50:33,400 --> 00:50:35,600
Speaker 1: I love the stat that Evan put in the primer

1000
00:50:35,920 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 1: all six wild Card games are being played in outdoor stadium.

1001
00:50:39,600 --> 00:50:43,000
Speaker 1: Since two thousand and four, outdoor wild Card games sixty

1002
00:50:43,040 --> 00:50:45,720
Speaker 1: eight percent to the under. I think the Texans Steelers

1003
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:46,680
Speaker 1: number is too.

1004
00:50:46,560 --> 00:50:48,040
Speaker 3: Low for my blood.

1005
00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:52,560
Speaker 1: The Packers and the Bears are probably going to put

1006
00:50:52,600 --> 00:50:54,640
Speaker 1: up points on each other. There could be a million

1007
00:50:54,640 --> 00:50:58,040
Speaker 1: points scored in the Jags Bills game. So those are

1008
00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:00,480
Speaker 1: the three unders that I like. I'd be happy to

1009
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:03,279
Speaker 1: add any one of those as my nominee if we

1010
00:51:03,320 --> 00:51:03,879
Speaker 1: don't like the.

1011
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:07,880
Speaker 2: Pro Rams Panthers under. Personally, there was a bunch of

1012
00:51:07,880 --> 00:51:12,600
Speaker 2: fluky scoring in the first meeting battle on that Yeah,

1013
00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:15,360
Speaker 2: I like that under a lot. I think the Panthers

1014
00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:18,000
Speaker 2: went super slow the lowest passway to over expectation game

1015
00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:20,400
Speaker 2: of the season. The Rams only round fifty two plays

1016
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:23,080
Speaker 2: twenty percent less than and they had to pick six

1017
00:51:23,120 --> 00:51:25,719
Speaker 2: and their season long average. Quentin Lake should be back

1018
00:51:25,960 --> 00:51:29,000
Speaker 2: the Rams. You know, Dotson might not be healthy, and

1019
00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:31,399
Speaker 2: you got to remember in that game the Panthers didn't

1020
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:34,160
Speaker 2: have their best corner, their best safety, a bunch of linebackers,

1021
00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:37,719
Speaker 2: So I think that they'll be some I don't see

1022
00:51:37,719 --> 00:51:39,759
Speaker 2: the Panthers offense doing much. I think it's going to

1023
00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:44,560
Speaker 2: be some long drives in here. And ever Row disguis's coverages.

1024
00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:48,279
Speaker 2: That's one of the blemishes on If you look at

1025
00:51:48,600 --> 00:51:50,960
Speaker 2: Stafford and what he struggles against, it's when teams disguise

1026
00:51:51,000 --> 00:51:53,160
Speaker 2: covered his postam. Panthers do that more than any team

1027
00:51:53,440 --> 00:51:57,080
Speaker 2: in the league. And Everro's had success against the Shanahan

1028
00:51:57,680 --> 00:52:01,520
Speaker 2: McVeigh trees. I mean, look this year, Purty struggled against Carolina,

1029
00:52:01,640 --> 00:52:04,759
Speaker 2: Jordan Love lost to Carolina at home. Stafford all those

1030
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:09,880
Speaker 2: turnovers against Carolina, and Stafford against his old coordinators Raheem Morris, Everrow,

1031
00:52:11,239 --> 00:52:14,320
Speaker 2: He's throned four eleven picks in four meetings. So I

1032
00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:18,800
Speaker 2: think the Panthers can do enough women explosives, and I

1033
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:20,640
Speaker 2: think this will stay under forty six and a half.

1034
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:22,680
Speaker 2: Might have some impactful cross winds too.

1035
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:25,279
Speaker 3: So that's what I'm good with that.

1036
00:52:26,480 --> 00:52:31,360
Speaker 4: N Okay, I brought the Steelers plus three. I know

1037
00:52:31,400 --> 00:52:33,560
Speaker 4: that we might have to double down on something that

1038
00:52:33,719 --> 00:52:35,440
Speaker 4: we already gave in a parlay earlier. And then I'm

1039
00:52:35,480 --> 00:52:37,120
Speaker 4: gonna throw the Eagles money line in here, just because

1040
00:52:37,120 --> 00:52:40,359
Speaker 4: it's a parlay. We're getting value other places. We've talked

1041
00:52:40,440 --> 00:52:42,160
Speaker 4: enough about both of these games, so hopefully this is

1042
00:52:42,200 --> 00:52:43,680
Speaker 4: an easy decision for you guys.

1043
00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:46,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would love to throw the Eagles in here.

1044
00:52:46,719 --> 00:52:49,279
Speaker 1: That way, I could perhaps mitigate my losses with the

1045
00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:52,080
Speaker 1: horrible forty nine ers plus three bet that I'm sitting

1046
00:52:52,120 --> 00:52:52,799
Speaker 1: on right now.

1047
00:52:52,840 --> 00:52:57,080
Speaker 3: So I'm biased. I would like to get out of that, Okay,

1048
00:52:57,640 --> 00:52:58,080
Speaker 3: that'll be.

1049
00:53:01,280 --> 00:53:03,360
Speaker 2: Yeah. It's just hard for me to see San Francisco

1050
00:53:03,480 --> 00:53:07,440
Speaker 2: moving the ball consistently on Philadelphia, especially with their injuries,

1051
00:53:07,440 --> 00:53:11,360
Speaker 2: and their defense is just so bad that even with

1052
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:13,759
Speaker 2: the Eagles offensive was they should be able to do enough.

1053
00:53:15,120 --> 00:53:17,480
Speaker 2: I'm okay with either. I mean, I would like to

1054
00:53:18,280 --> 00:53:21,200
Speaker 2: if we could. I would buy the hook since it's

1055
00:53:21,239 --> 00:53:24,719
Speaker 2: a parlay on Pittsburgh's so super valuable here with a

1056
00:53:24,719 --> 00:53:26,760
Speaker 2: low scoring game like get debt to three and a half.

1057
00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:31,359
Speaker 2: So I'm okay with either. Evan, I'll let you. I'm

1058
00:53:31,400 --> 00:53:35,200
Speaker 2: curious your thoughts here. Eagles money line would be mine.

1059
00:53:35,200 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 7: I'm actually a Texan stan, so I disagreed with kind

1060
00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:39,400
Speaker 7: of a lot of the things you discussed are in

1061
00:53:39,400 --> 00:53:41,759
Speaker 7: that segment, but I could be biased as well. I

1062
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:43,480
Speaker 7: just I'm a big fan of the AFC South. I

1063
00:53:43,480 --> 00:53:46,000
Speaker 7: put it in our bets. I like them to win

1064
00:53:46,080 --> 00:53:48,399
Speaker 7: the Super Bowl at six to one. I put both

1065
00:53:48,440 --> 00:53:51,960
Speaker 7: teams together, so I would lean Philly. I agree, I

1066
00:53:52,200 --> 00:53:55,080
Speaker 7: don't even see Like Shanahan's done some amazing things this

1067
00:53:55,160 --> 00:53:57,040
Speaker 7: year to win games. He shouldn't have that Rams game,

1068
00:53:57,080 --> 00:53:59,800
Speaker 7: like all sorts of different things. It is completely possible

1069
00:54:00,040 --> 00:54:01,719
Speaker 7: two to zero in the wildcard round, like he just

1070
00:54:01,760 --> 00:54:02,399
Speaker 7: figures it out.

1071
00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:06,120
Speaker 2: But I'll take Philly. Yeah, and Fangio's own Shanahan and

1072
00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:09,239
Speaker 2: their meetings. Defense has kind of built the tack and

1073
00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:12,600
Speaker 2: the Eagles are number one against tight ends, should contain Kittle.

1074
00:54:12,760 --> 00:54:15,560
Speaker 2: They're number one in the NFL again short passes, and

1075
00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:18,280
Speaker 2: like that's what san fran has to do here. Pierceall

1076
00:54:18,360 --> 00:54:19,920
Speaker 2: not being one hundred percent, he could have been big

1077
00:54:19,960 --> 00:54:21,600
Speaker 2: in this matchup. That's kind of where they're when their

1078
00:54:21,600 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 2: offense exploded. They also feasted on some bad beat up defenses,

1079
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:27,760
Speaker 2: but when they stepped up in class, it wasn't pretty

1080
00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:30,799
Speaker 2: so and you gotta remember they're traveling across country after

1081
00:54:30,920 --> 00:54:34,600
Speaker 2: a war and the Eagles basically rested. Everyone should be

1082
00:54:34,640 --> 00:54:37,840
Speaker 2: healthier or how to buy week, So I think this

1083
00:54:37,920 --> 00:54:40,200
Speaker 2: is the end of the road for the forty nine ers. Yeah,

1084
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:43,000
Speaker 2: I mean, even their backup linebackers are now all hurt.

1085
00:54:43,080 --> 00:54:47,760
Speaker 2: So yeah, let's go with the Eagles money line, Rams,

1086
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:51,600
Speaker 2: Panthers under and Chargers plus three and a half.

1087
00:54:52,200 --> 00:54:55,719
Speaker 1: You can get that over on DraftKings at plus four

1088
00:54:55,840 --> 00:55:00,480
Speaker 1: seventeen where the Crown is yours. We'll cut off today's

1089
00:55:00,560 --> 00:55:03,640
Speaker 1: episode so the Gifford Gould and David Payne don't turn

1090
00:55:03,800 --> 00:55:07,920
Speaker 1: our streams off forever the Favorites we'll return. We might

1091
00:55:07,960 --> 00:55:09,920
Speaker 1: have an episode on Sunday night. Keep it locked on

1092
00:55:09,960 --> 00:55:12,200
Speaker 1: the Action Network YouTube page. We'll have something for you.

1093
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:14,960
Speaker 1: If not then, then definitely by Tuesday, and we'll be

1094
00:55:15,000 --> 00:55:19,319
Speaker 1: breaking down the divisional round in the NFL Playoffs. You

1095
00:55:19,320 --> 00:55:21,680
Speaker 1: can catch it all right here on the Action Network

1096
00:55:21,680 --> 00:55:24,879
Speaker 1: YouTube page or wherever you download your favorite podcast. Thanks

1097
00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:26,920
Speaker 1: for hanging out. We'll see you next time here on

1098
00:55:26,960 --> 00:55:29,520
Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast. Have fun at the game, Kendra.

1099
00:55:30,000 --> 00:55:33,080
Speaker 3: We have been presented by DraftKings. The crown is yours.

1100
00:55:33,520 --> 00:55:44,080
Speaker 8: Go Jaggs, Go Jaggs.

1101
00:55:45,200 --> 00:55:48,640
Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1102
00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:51,920
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1103
00:55:52,200 --> 00:55:55,160
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred.

1104
00:55:55,239 --> 00:55:55,680
Speaker 4: Gambler