1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to Jimmy's Three Things. Thank you very 2 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 1: much for tuning in. There's three things in the world 3 00:00:04,480 --> 00:00:06,000 Speaker 1: of Major League Baseball I want to talk to you 4 00:00:06,080 --> 00:00:09,200 Speaker 1: about today. One, the Yankees avoid the sweep and win 5 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 1: Game four to force a game five. Two are all 6 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: elimination games equal? No, So who's the best at flip games? 7 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: And how does the momentum swing? Kind of a guest entry, 8 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 1: And three MLB's media writes changing kind of they want 9 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 1: to We'll get into it. I'm gonna take a breath 10 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 1: as always. Jimmy's Three Things is a production of Dan 11 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 1: Patrick Production's John Boy Media and Workhouse Media. As I 12 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 1: start the show today, it is twelve twenty nine on 13 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:44,519 Speaker 1: is it on Wednesday, Wednesday morning, the game, just the 14 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:47,519 Speaker 1: game wrapped up. Jake and I just recorded talking Yanks. 15 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 1: I pre recorded the two to three segments that are 16 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 1: after this, but I figured being topical would play nice 17 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: because I thought maybe baseball would there's a chance baseball ended, 18 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 1: so I would have to open in the show with like, 19 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: well that's the end of baseball season, but there's still 20 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,040 Speaker 1: more fun stuff we're going to talk about. Congratulations to 21 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 1: the Dodgers because if that happened, to not address it 22 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:13,400 Speaker 1: would have been odd. So I saved the beginning, but hey, 23 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 1: Yanks won, they went up big. Did the Dodgers throw 24 00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: they're A pitchers? No? Did they throw their B pictures 25 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:27,559 Speaker 1: no C pittures? Yes? Yeah, it was a one run game. 26 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 1: And did the Dodgers go to someone they wanted to 27 00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:34,680 Speaker 1: really make sure held that lead or did they prioritize 28 00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:39,399 Speaker 1: keeping relievers fresh and not burning anyone that they would? 29 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:42,399 Speaker 1: They would they would care about burning in a in 30 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 1: a winning effort. Yeah, So I'm not a naive, dumb 31 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 1: Yankee fan. I h it's nice to win and have 32 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 1: some good memories and not feel like the dread that 33 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: the came with the first three games. As far as optimism, 34 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: you start saying, well, Cole's good, but then you got 35 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: to go back to La with ro Don and Clark 36 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 1: and I don't know and that bats. Is this enough 37 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:12,400 Speaker 1: to get them hot? Is this enough to get them 38 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: hot versus better pitchers? Who knows? Because tomorrow you know 39 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:19,560 Speaker 1: today if you're listening, as Dodgers are gonna run out 40 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 1: Floherty and have a short leash, and they can do it. 41 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: They're A and B plus bullpen for like six innings 42 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 1: if they want. So it's still super tough. Hopefully they 43 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 1: can make a series out of it, get the casual 44 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:33,799 Speaker 1: viewer back, because I think you lose that with a sweep. 45 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:36,400 Speaker 1: You're like, ah, whatever, that stinks. So hopefully we can 46 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 1: get it to go six. You get a whole day 47 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,959 Speaker 1: of promotion on the travel day, more baseball for everyone, 48 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 1: even if you're a third party, right, that'd be nice. 49 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 1: We're actually going to the game game five tomorrow, so 50 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 1: i'd really like it if that's not the last game 51 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 1: and we can do one final stream stream of the 52 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: season afterwards, because those have been a ton of fun. 53 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 1: If you haven't been joining in. I did a live 54 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,200 Speaker 1: breakdown today on the stream wall, like a minute break 55 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: down of the fan who grabbed the ball out of 56 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 1: Mookie's glove, like ripped his glove open. Uh. Insane move, 57 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: absolutely insane move. Uh. People are very upset with us 58 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:21,519 Speaker 1: because our reaction was laughter, but it was kind of like, yeah, 59 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 1: I don't know, did he interfere. Let's see the replay 60 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 1: and then the most blatant, obvious, most lunatic interference you've 61 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: ever seen. It's terrible. The shot that shows that Mookie 62 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: like couldn't really stand, so he's like hurting him potentially, 63 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 1: like stretching his for him is awful. Uh, and like 64 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 1: obviously fucked up and he got kicked out. They called 65 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: made the right call and they should be banned. Still, 66 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 1: such a blatant disregard for like the rules and like 67 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 1: being like what's like the code of like how you 68 00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: how he should operate in public? Like what's the blanket 69 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 1: on the term? There such a play in disregard for 70 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 1: what is proper and what it's just fucking not that 71 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: still makes me laugh a little bit. And the face 72 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 1: he was making, like dude, that guy was like all 73 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 1: his might ripping his glove open and to spin the 74 00:04:15,920 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 1: ball out. Just never seen it like you'd be like 75 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:21,480 Speaker 1: all the fans took it out of his glove and 76 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 1: usually it just gets knocked around, banged around. This was 77 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: like a full on tear not cool. Glad Mookie's fine, 78 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:31,919 Speaker 1: and glad the umpires got the call right, and glad 79 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 1: those guys got the boot. Don't don't do that. Don't 80 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: throw stuff. I say this shit all the time. Don't 81 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 1: throw stuff at players, don't touch players, don't do any 82 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:47,240 Speaker 1: of that. But Yeah, that'd be like a ball got 83 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:49,479 Speaker 1: thrown in the outfield and they're like, well, I don't know, 84 00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 1: are we gonna be able to tell who threw it? 85 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 1: And they like go to the crowd and there's a guy, 86 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 1: Buddy the l throwing balls with both hands. I think 87 00:04:57,320 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 1: it's that dude. That's kind of what that was. Is 88 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:08,799 Speaker 1: there anything else about this game? Volpi? Big game? Freddy? Oh? Yeah, 89 00:05:09,320 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 1: what Freddy Freeman's doing is insane, and what the Yankees 90 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 1: are doing is crazy. Why are you pitching to him? 91 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,040 Speaker 1: Otani has the same stats as Judge and it might 92 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:21,680 Speaker 1: be really banged up. You can get Mookie out if 93 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:23,880 Speaker 1: you pitch right. He's been really really good. But stop 94 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: throwing him fastballs away? And then why are they pitching 95 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 1: to Freddy Freeman? There's no need. There's no need to 96 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 1: let Freddy Freeman give up two run home runs in 97 00:05:34,600 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: the first inning. Do you know who? The Dodgers aren't 98 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 1: pitching to Soto in the first inning right away? They're 99 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 1: not doing it. What are the Yankees doing? Nicole's gonna 100 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: go after him. That'll be interesting. All right, Well, I'm 101 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:51,360 Speaker 1: gonna snap, my laptop's gonna appear, and here's the next topic. Okay, 102 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:56,719 Speaker 1: welcome to Jimmy. Before Game four, when I am numb, 103 00:05:57,279 --> 00:06:01,640 Speaker 1: I'm probably more numb. Maybe I'm just reflectively happy because 104 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 1: the Yankees lost. Maybe I'm still in torture chamber because 105 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:08,280 Speaker 1: they won. Anyway, here's the next two things. A ready, 106 00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 1: I'm doing this before it starts because I got time. 107 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:14,919 Speaker 1: Aaron em sent me this and I really appreciate it. 108 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:18,040 Speaker 1: Sent me over on Reddit, and it's an interesting theory. 109 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:19,840 Speaker 1: He said, I was watching one of your recent Jimistry 110 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 1: things reminded me of some personal research I was doing 111 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 1: for fun. I thought I would share it. He's a 112 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 1: Dodgers fan, and he says since both the Dodgers and 113 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 1: Guardians forced winner take all game fives after trailing two 114 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:35,479 Speaker 1: to one in their series, he heard a stat that 115 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 1: the Guardian snapped an eleven game losing streak in elimination games, 116 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:41,480 Speaker 1: and he says he wanted to a deeper dive on that. 117 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 1: Aaron says, I was thinking about how not all elimination 118 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:48,720 Speaker 1: games seem to be created equal. If you win a 119 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:51,719 Speaker 1: game four trailing three zero, which is what the Yankees 120 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:54,040 Speaker 1: are up against today, you already know if they won 121 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 1: it or lost it, or even Game five when trailing 122 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:01,920 Speaker 1: three to one. Those games seem less impact then forcing 123 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: a game five in a five game series, or forcing 124 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:09,360 Speaker 1: a Game seven in a seven game series, which makes 125 00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 1: so much more sense beause like it's balancing of the scales, 126 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 1: he is coining them, he says, So I invented a 127 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:21,120 Speaker 1: new concept stat called the flip game. So like, yeah, 128 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: balancing the scales game, he's calling it the flip game 129 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: because the momentum is flipped. You know, in game six, 130 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 1: the team that already has three wins, they have all 131 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: the momentum. They win and they win the World Series, 132 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 1: or they move on to the World Series, whereas the 133 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 1: other team backs against the wall, but all of a 134 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:45,120 Speaker 1: sudden they win. They have no momentum going into game seven. 135 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: You do see this happen a lot, especially in the 136 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:50,960 Speaker 1: five game series. I think we just saw it with 137 00:07:51,000 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 1: the Dodgers and the Guardians. As he says, the Yankees 138 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 1: did it to the Guardians twice in twenty seventeen. They 139 00:07:57,160 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 1: were down to nothing, they won the next three, so 140 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 1: they won the flip game game four, and then in 141 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two the Yankees in DS again with the Guardians. 142 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 1: I think the the Rays were up three to nothing 143 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty against the Astros and they took it 144 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: to a seven game and then the raise one game seven. 145 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 1: So it is interesting and it's way different than winning 146 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,480 Speaker 1: the three to zero game or the two O game, 147 00:08:26,520 --> 00:08:30,120 Speaker 1: for sure. So our guy Aaron looked at all MLB 148 00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: playoff series since twenty ten, not including three game wildcard series. Nice, 149 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: those don't count, No one ever thinks they do. And 150 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 1: he found every flip game, So every game, every game 151 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: four in the DS, every game six in the CS 152 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 1: and World series. He looked at all of those. There 153 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: have been sixty nine flip games in MLB since twenty ten, 154 00:08:57,400 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 1: So what's sixty nine divided by twenty four that's around 155 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: two a little under three a year. That's a good amount. 156 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:07,200 Speaker 1: That means we're getting exciting playoffs, heeri, hees exciting enough. 157 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: Thirty six of those have seen the team trailing in 158 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: the series win the flip game. So thirty six out 159 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:23,320 Speaker 1: of sixty nine times game five or game seven is 160 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:28,360 Speaker 1: forced more often than not, right, thirty six out of 161 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,560 Speaker 1: sixty nine thirty six diout it by sixty nine is 162 00:09:32,200 --> 00:09:35,439 Speaker 1: fifty two. It's a coin flip. It's a coin flip, 163 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: but a little more often than not, a Game seven 164 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 1: and a Game five are forced. But in twenty two 165 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 1: of those thirty six final games the how does he 166 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 1: phrase it, and twenty two of those teams have won 167 00:09:56,760 --> 00:10:00,840 Speaker 1: the following winner take all game as well. So if 168 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 1: you are down four to two or three to two, sorry, 169 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:11,560 Speaker 1: three to two, and in game six you win, you're 170 00:10:11,679 --> 00:10:13,840 Speaker 1: more likely to then win game seven because you have 171 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: the momentum. Now you're feeling hot. Maybe that team burned 172 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 1: all their good pitchers and lost. This happened to my 173 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 1: Yankees in twenty seventeen. They were up three to two 174 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: on the Astros. They went back to Houston, and the 175 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:30,560 Speaker 1: Astros won Game six, and then they won Game seven. 176 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:35,840 Speaker 1: What about in the twenty nineteen World Series, because that 177 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 1: went seven as well, Right, Game six, that's game that's 178 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:49,800 Speaker 1: after game six. So Houston was up three to two, 179 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 1: the Nationals won Game six, which force game seven, and 180 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: then the Nationals won. Interesting, so he had he said, 181 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:00,840 Speaker 1: he included a spreadsheet, then you can figure out how 182 00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 1: to include it. And I tried to get in touch 183 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:05,560 Speaker 1: with him, but I decided it's my fault, not our 184 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 1: guy's fault, so that I don't have the spreadsheet, but 185 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 1: I am interested in the spreadsheet. Twenty twenty alcs how 186 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:19,360 Speaker 1: did this one play out? Because this might be an 187 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 1: example of that not happened because Rays Rays, Rays, Houston, Houston, Houston, 188 00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:27,200 Speaker 1: and then the Rays won Game seven, So that's that's 189 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 1: not the example. So sixty one percent of the teams 190 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 1: that win the flip game go on to win the series, 191 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:38,599 Speaker 1: So momentum is real. I guess wow Ah. Then he 192 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 1: says I looked at the same numbers since twenty thirteen, 193 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 1: the first year of his Dodgers playoff streak, and that 194 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: percentage is up to sixty nine percent of the time 195 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 1: since twenty thirteen, so even in recent years even more likely. 196 00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 1: Also looks since twenty twenty one posts the pandemic era, 197 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 1: with the Dodgers and Guardians winning this weekend, all six 198 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: teams that want to flip game since twenty twenty one 199 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:03,440 Speaker 1: have gone on to win their series one hundred percent 200 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 1: of the time. Damn close it out? Maybe, well, I 201 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 1: think the Yankees are gonna lose. I don't think Theyes 202 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 1: have any chance. So the Yankees, if they can win 203 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:17,360 Speaker 1: Game four and then win Game five, and as I'm 204 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 1: saying this, you guys already know what happened. So in 205 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:28,480 Speaker 1: the scenario, the Yankees won today, win the next two. Whatever. 206 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 1: That's so hard, it's not gonna happen. I probably didn't. 207 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 1: I probably already did it. I wanted to compare this 208 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 1: to some other sports. Look at this, my guy, Aaron 209 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 1: loves it. So I looked at the NBA and the 210 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:40,600 Speaker 1: WNB games as well. There aren't any statistically significant differences. 211 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 1: He's a data scientist, so I had to check. But 212 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 1: the raw numbers for MLB are better in favor of 213 00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:49,320 Speaker 1: teams that win the flip game. Since twenty ten, only 214 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 1: fifty one percent of NBA trailing teams that win the 215 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:53,800 Speaker 1: flip game win the series, and only thirty percent of 216 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:58,079 Speaker 1: WNB team wins. Baseball is so much more unique, where 217 00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 1: you have a new pitcher, right, and you're as good 218 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:05,200 Speaker 1: as your starting pitcher, and maybe your bullpen got used. 219 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 1: Whereas basketball and hockey, you can make changes. Obviously, you 220 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 1: can adapt to make changes, give more playing time to 221 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:13,120 Speaker 1: this guy, switch goalies, make changes, change up the line 222 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: formations in hockey, but ultimately none of that is nearly 223 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 1: as big as the starting pitcher for the next game 224 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:24,200 Speaker 1: and the bullpen usage. So baseball is definitely more has 225 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:28,319 Speaker 1: more going on. When we do our podcast for the 226 00:13:28,640 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 1: New York Rangers Bandwagon Blue Shirts, where we recap every 227 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 1: playoff game for the Rangers as Bandwagon fans. If you've 228 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 1: never listened to it, I would suggest go listening to it. 229 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:44,080 Speaker 1: If you of your diehard hockey fan, No, because you'll 230 00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:47,880 Speaker 1: you'll hate our guts because it's not real. But it's 231 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:51,840 Speaker 1: very fun. Ten minute hard clock ridiculous. But anyway, that's 232 00:13:51,880 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 1: one thing. Following playoff hockey, I'm like, there's not as 233 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,680 Speaker 1: much to chew on in between games as baseball, where 234 00:13:57,679 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 1: you have, well, now he's going to start, and if 235 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:02,080 Speaker 1: we could get to him then okay, and this is 236 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 1: going to be a bullpen game, okay, And now you 237 00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 1: know there's so much more to chew on in baseball 238 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:12,559 Speaker 1: series because of the starting pitcher situation. And then said 239 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 1: he attached a spreadsheet, which I wish we knew how 240 00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 1: to do it, but he wasn't able to. He says, anyway, 241 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 1: I thought you might be interested in this. Yes, love it, 242 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 1: love this is exactly what this show is. So I'm 243 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,000 Speaker 1: very happy that you send this in Aaron, and then 244 00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:27,960 Speaker 1: he sent me this a while ago. Here's hoping for 245 00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 1: a Dodgers Jankees world series. He got his wish. Cheers 246 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:34,160 Speaker 1: hoping for a great world series. He got his wish. 247 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 1: I didn't get mine. He got his. So that's the 248 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 1: flip game, which I do like that data some other 249 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 1: stuff I wanted to talk about. Call this thing number three. 250 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:51,080 Speaker 1: And then there's some odds and ends. Manfred Commissioner. Manfred 251 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 1: went on a podcast. Let me make sure I click 252 00:14:54,560 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 1: this open to give the podcast proper credit. I'm reading 253 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 1: an article from Awful and now Sing and they are 254 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 1: quoting a podcast that Manford went on, John Oran's Our Urans. 255 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:12,760 Speaker 1: I don't know how his name the Varsity podcast for 256 00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 1: Puck on Sunday. So Rob Manford won in this contest 257 00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 1: podcast and talked about the media landscape, which I had 258 00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:24,400 Speaker 1: talked to some people at I MOB a little bit 259 00:15:24,520 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 1: just and heard tinket little trinkets of this and I 260 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 1: liked h hearing what they were talking about. But man 261 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:32,880 Speaker 1: Friends said, and this is a Manfred quote. As we 262 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 1: started to think about the landscape more generally, we came 263 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: to realize that our broadcast product needs to be more 264 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:46,680 Speaker 1: national like most crisises. The difficulties with the rsns, which, 265 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 1: if you don't know what a RSN is, a regional 266 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 1: sports network, presented an opportunity for us to get into 267 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 1: a more centralized media strategy. So a very quick, abrupt, 268 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:02,280 Speaker 1: boiled down history if you have no idea, And I 269 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: talked about this last episode a little bit. Regional sports 270 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 1: networks existed and the teams had the rights to sell 271 00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 1: their broadcast, and the Yankees sold their rights to you know, 272 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 1: yes network, you know, but then they created their own networks, 273 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 1: so they're not selling their rights, they're just distributing it themselves. 274 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 1: Ballys bought all the rights and so on, and so 275 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:30,200 Speaker 1: far as your Comcast or whoever it is, you know, 276 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: you're selling your rights on these regional sports networks. And 277 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:38,080 Speaker 1: to make the price point better, they charge for exclusivity. 278 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:42,040 Speaker 1: So oh okay, you you have to pay one hundred 279 00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 1: million dollars for the rights to one hundred and fifty games. 280 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 1: The other twelve we get to sell to whoever, or 281 00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 1: one hundred and forty game package, you had to pay 282 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: one hundred million dollars. Well, if I'm buying all those 283 00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 1: games for one hundred million dollars. They better be exclusive 284 00:16:58,240 --> 00:16:59,840 Speaker 1: to us. I don't want to find out that someone 285 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 1: can watch it elsewhere and say, okay, it's exclusive. That's 286 00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 1: how it worked before the Internet, when it was regional 287 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,359 Speaker 1: sports and you just had you watch your team in 288 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:14,120 Speaker 1: your city. That's what happened. Teams that had really big 289 00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:18,480 Speaker 1: markets sold their rights for way more Dodgers, Yankees, you know, 290 00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 1: all these huge markets. Then teams that built their own 291 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:24,760 Speaker 1: network it was even better, which a lot of teams 292 00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:30,639 Speaker 1: ended up doing. But this led to this is what 293 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:33,840 Speaker 1: Manford says. He says, you know, the rsns were really 294 00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:36,400 Speaker 1: good for us from a financial perspective, which is true. 295 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:39,199 Speaker 1: It's why baseball has crazy amounts of money because they 296 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:42,160 Speaker 1: have so many games and the teams are getting rich 297 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 1: off those. But they did make the game more and 298 00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 1: more local and did not give us a full opportunity 299 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:54,800 Speaker 1: for reach. Absolutely, it's the most local regional game ever. 300 00:17:55,320 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: Most of that's by nature of if you watch your 301 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: team every night, you don't have time to watch other teams, 302 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:03,800 Speaker 1: because that's a lot of time you're devoting to watch 303 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:08,640 Speaker 1: your team six sometimes seven nights a week. He says. 304 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:11,080 Speaker 1: To get the most fans. Let fans watch the game 305 00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:13,800 Speaker 1: they want to watch, which is obvious. You know, everyone's 306 00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 1: been crying about this for a while. But because Balies 307 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:21,120 Speaker 1: went bankrupt and they and they got MLB got rights back. 308 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 1: They got the rights to Colinda Rockies, Arizona Diamondbacks, San 309 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:28,959 Speaker 1: Diego Padres, and then they were able to put them 310 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,919 Speaker 1: on MOBTV. They're not blocked out. You pay for mobtv 311 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,560 Speaker 1: and all that stuff. Next season, the league is adding 312 00:18:34,560 --> 00:18:37,440 Speaker 1: three more teams to that list. Cleveland Guardians, Milwaukee Brewers 313 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,800 Speaker 1: and Minnesota Twins, all not on Ballet's anymore, will be 314 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:46,159 Speaker 1: MLB owned. And MLB does do a good job with 315 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 1: their broadcast. Like I I'm Stickler. I like broadcast. It's 316 00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:54,160 Speaker 1: my world. I like living in it. I like modeling 317 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 1: what we do in the warehouse where we have a 318 00:18:56,080 --> 00:19:03,000 Speaker 1: sixteen camera, forty person crew broadcasting games. Basically, I really 319 00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:05,119 Speaker 1: like it. And there's a lot out there in the 320 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 1: regional sports over that's not good and I don't like 321 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:08,679 Speaker 1: what they do, and I don't think they're paying attention. 322 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: I don't think they care. The MLB broadcast for the Rockies, 323 00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:16,119 Speaker 1: Diamondbacks and Padres is actually really good. It's well done. 324 00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 1: They care And I talked to some people at MLB 325 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:21,560 Speaker 1: about this and they said, yeah, we really want to 326 00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:23,680 Speaker 1: standardize it more and will hope this work. So I 327 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:27,720 Speaker 1: knew they were talking about this, but now they're gonna 328 00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:30,000 Speaker 1: have six teams. And Manfred suggests that the league is 329 00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:32,119 Speaker 1: approaching how it sees local rights a bit differently, with 330 00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:34,680 Speaker 1: emphasis on making these games accessible no matter where a 331 00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 1: fan it may be located. If Manfred ends blackouts and 332 00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:41,440 Speaker 1: brings in the automated strike zone, he will have made 333 00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:44,240 Speaker 1: the most changes to the industry and the sport of 334 00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 1: baseball than any other commissioner like Barnun. In my mind, 335 00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:51,679 Speaker 1: he already banned the sticky stuff, He banned the shift, 336 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 1: He got the pitch clock in the game. If he 337 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 1: ends blackouts and brings in automatic strike zones in the 338 00:19:57,560 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 1: next year or two before he leaves, that's going to 339 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:02,639 Speaker 1: be you know, down the line, that's gonna you're to 340 00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 1: look at that and you'd be like, oh, that was 341 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:06,520 Speaker 1: all under Like, it's gonna be crazy the amount of 342 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:10,639 Speaker 1: changes he made that so far, I am enjoying, you know, 343 00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:16,240 Speaker 1: the three I mentioned. So he says what I'd like 344 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:19,440 Speaker 1: to see happen over time. Is we do our national 345 00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,640 Speaker 1: deals that we convert some of the local inventory into 346 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,879 Speaker 1: national inventory, it increases our reach. And at the same time, 347 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:28,439 Speaker 1: when you think about it, we own the out of 348 00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 1: market rights already. If we control local rights as well, 349 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 1: we can sell anything anywhere, right, So they don't own 350 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:39,400 Speaker 1: the local rights to a lot of teams, you don't 351 00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:42,639 Speaker 1: have to just sell on your market. So he's saying 352 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 1: whether if it's where I'd like, He says, I'd like 353 00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 1: to get in a mode where if it's not in 354 00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:51,000 Speaker 1: a national package, the consumer has the ability to go 355 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 1: in by what he wants, buy what he wants to watch. 356 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 1: They she come on rob wherever he they she is, 357 00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:01,320 Speaker 1: and we get rid of that really questionable business concept 358 00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:03,520 Speaker 1: of the blockout. So he's saying, there will still be 359 00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:10,120 Speaker 1: games that will be sold to national TV ESPN, Fox, TBS, Apple, 360 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:15,199 Speaker 1: and those you have to have ESPN, Fox, you have 361 00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:17,800 Speaker 1: to have the national TV to watch those. But if 362 00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:21,600 Speaker 1: and that'll be a select few. But if they're not, 363 00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:25,840 Speaker 1: anyone should be able to watch them anywhere on MLBtv. 364 00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 1: The biggest issue with this is teams like the Yankees 365 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:35,439 Speaker 1: and Dodgers will lose. In my head, a ton of 366 00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:39,520 Speaker 1: money if they don't have their right, like the Dodgers 367 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:41,720 Speaker 1: are able to spend as much as they do because 368 00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:45,359 Speaker 1: their broadcast deal is like crazy, so they'd have to 369 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:50,520 Speaker 1: make They'd have to make some deal of revenue sharing. 370 00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:56,439 Speaker 1: I don't know how you do it. Oh. The article 371 00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:00,840 Speaker 1: says that idea may still be a ways off, as 372 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 1: getting teams with more lucrative local media rights agreements on 373 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 1: board with a revenue sharing model is likely to prove difficult. 374 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:10,959 Speaker 1: And yeah, it's gonna be proved very difficult. I don't know. 375 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,200 Speaker 1: I'd be like owners versus owners, or like Manfred would 376 00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:19,639 Speaker 1: have to I don't know it'd be I don't know 377 00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:22,440 Speaker 1: why the Dodgers owe so much money now to all 378 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:26,160 Speaker 1: this deferred money. It's all their broadcast package and deal 379 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:32,680 Speaker 1: is like so lucrative. So but Manford wants to end blackouts. Now, 380 00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:35,240 Speaker 1: it's just can you because you've dug yourself into such 381 00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:39,840 Speaker 1: a hole. That'll be interesting some other quick odds and 382 00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:42,520 Speaker 1: ends before I get out of here. Tropic and a Field. 383 00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:46,480 Speaker 1: They're gonna play somewhere. They want to stay in the 384 00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:49,240 Speaker 1: local market in the area, so they're spring training teams. 385 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:52,199 Speaker 1: They said Sarasota might be an option because that's the 386 00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:54,520 Speaker 1: Oriel spring training facility and they don't have a minor 387 00:22:54,600 --> 00:23:00,560 Speaker 1: league team. But they're probably gonna play in a training 388 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 1: facility in Tampa or maybe many which because the Trop 389 00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:08,679 Speaker 1: the roof is just closed and then don't repair the trop, 390 00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,480 Speaker 1: like use this as an opportunity. That'll be interesting though, 391 00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:15,480 Speaker 1: two teams playing out of minor league facilities, this one 392 00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:21,320 Speaker 1: for more understandable reasons than the A's and Stockton. I 393 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 1: did like this quote from Manfred at the end. The 394 00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 1: one thing I can tell you for sure they're playing 395 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:28,919 Speaker 1: next year. We're going to find them someplace to do it. 396 00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,960 Speaker 1: I don't think until I read that sentence, I didn't 397 00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:36,199 Speaker 1: think it was an option. That the Rays weren't going 398 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:39,720 Speaker 1: to play baseball last year. So that's good news. And 399 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,680 Speaker 1: then I was like, let's check in on managers Marlins. 400 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 1: I haven't read any of these reports at all. The 401 00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,880 Speaker 1: Marlins into manager and they According to a report from 402 00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,560 Speaker 1: Craig Mish of the Miami Herald, the Marlins have identified 403 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:55,000 Speaker 1: Guardians Bench Coast Craig Albernass and Rangers associate manager Will 404 00:23:55,320 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 1: Enable Venable as their finalists, and then the White Sox 405 00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:06,639 Speaker 1: are looking at Phil Nevin, hard nosed guy like Phil 406 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 1: nice to us uh Cardinals bench coach Daniel Descalzo, Rangers 407 00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,720 Speaker 1: bench coach Will the Nebel the Nabel. I say, he's 408 00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:18,440 Speaker 1: got up for two jobs. And White Sox interim Grady Sizemore. 409 00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 1: What's in a manager? You know, vote did a great 410 00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:25,960 Speaker 1: job until the postseason where it didn't think he did 411 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:33,919 Speaker 1: a good job at all. Who knows, like Quatruro and 412 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:35,879 Speaker 1: the Royals. He went to the Royals and they had 413 00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,119 Speaker 1: a terrible season and then they like regrouped and he 414 00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:42,520 Speaker 1: was like, well, yeah, this front office, this analytics apartment 415 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:44,959 Speaker 1: is way behind. We need to catch up. So like, 416 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 1: that was a good job by Quatarro, but that's not 417 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: his job. He's not supposed to be managing the rest 418 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,879 Speaker 1: of the analytics apartment. That's supposed to be the GM. 419 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:56,360 Speaker 1: It took hiring a manager from the Rays to come 420 00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,000 Speaker 1: in and be like, you guys, are you guys? We're dumb? 421 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,199 Speaker 1: We need to get smart. So I don't even know 422 00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 1: what's in a you know, head coaches, temperament, energy, vibes, 423 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 1: and then postseason decisions where it gets magnified. I guess 424 00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:17,360 Speaker 1: in a small, small series. There you go, Jimmy's Three 425 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,119 Speaker 1: Things plus some odds or ends. I started the episode 426 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,600 Speaker 1: in a mood that's different than now, because now I'm 427 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:26,960 Speaker 1: gonna go watch the game, and then at the end 428 00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,600 Speaker 1: of the game, it will put me in the mood 429 00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:33,440 Speaker 1: you saw at the beginning of the episode. Appreciate you subscribe. 430 00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:38,320 Speaker 1: Is it the off season? Are these episodes about to 431 00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 1: get off seasony and fun and I'll read some history 432 00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 1: books and find some dumb stuff. Or are the Yankees 433 00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:49,080 Speaker 1: live in to torture me another day? You guys know 434 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:50,320 Speaker 1: I don't see you.