WEBVTT - FFW Micro - Mike Evans

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<v Speaker 1>You found Fantasy Football Weekly Micro, a deep dive on

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<v Speaker 1>one player in just five to ten minutes. Now here's

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<v Speaker 1>your host, Paul. It's Fantasy Football Weekly Micro. Addition, it

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<v Speaker 1>is an experiment with me and geteen leagues Dot Com

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<v Speaker 1>writer Tyler Kenney Billy. It's a deep dive on one

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<v Speaker 1>player five to ten minutes. Who do you want to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about today, Tyler? Entire little Mike Evans, polarizing player. Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>I like it, and I've got very strong feelings on

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<v Speaker 1>this and we'll see if they match up with with

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<v Speaker 1>your observations. So, um, let's start here. Let's do a

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<v Speaker 1>let's do a deeper dive on his season last year

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<v Speaker 1>and what will have been his last season with Tom Brady. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so he finishes with the wide receiver seventeen last season,

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<v Speaker 1>wideceiver fourteen and average points per game. But he would

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<v Speaker 1>he didn't like he did, but he did not because

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<v Speaker 1>if you remember Week seventeen, ten catch two seven yards,

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<v Speaker 1>three touchdown, nuclear explosion, right, the Fantasy League winner that game,

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<v Speaker 1>consolation championship. Yeah, well, it depends, you know, it depends

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<v Speaker 1>on if you're playing, You're you're hopefully you're not playing

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<v Speaker 1>your Week eighteen you're not playing your championship in week eighteen,

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<v Speaker 1>we hope not anyway. Ten catches, two hundred and sevent

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<v Speaker 1>yards and three touchdowns. That's certainly. That certainly skews it.

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<v Speaker 1>How about before that though, So before that game, he

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<v Speaker 1>was the wide receiver thirty six thirty six and average

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<v Speaker 1>points per game and he finishes the dciver fourteen. That's

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<v Speaker 1>eighteen yeah, one in geez in one game. That is crazy.

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<v Speaker 1>That is crazy, And it tells you a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>about why you have to be wary of the points,

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<v Speaker 1>the average, the average Fantasy production per game when you

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<v Speaker 1>trended across the whole season. I think, for me, and

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<v Speaker 1>maybe it's because of my Guillotine League leanings, I want

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<v Speaker 1>steady performers every week. And that's the opposite of Mike Evans.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh for sure. Man, did he have some dude games.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah he was. There's just the offensive was not the

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<v Speaker 1>same Lester. He was going pretty high in drafts. Oh

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<v Speaker 1>it was him, and he was going way above Chris Godwin.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Chris Godwin, I don't think you finished. Godwin

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<v Speaker 1>is coming out the ACL injury and fairness exactly so.

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<v Speaker 1>And I mean, there's all this talk of Julio Jones,

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<v Speaker 1>Russell Gage, just old line, the running backs, like everyone though,

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<v Speaker 1>there's going to run it back. There were to be

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<v Speaker 1>an NFC championship game again, and it was just gonna

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<v Speaker 1>be all the happy times going forward. But it was

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<v Speaker 1>not that. It was not that by any means. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and I thought the offensive line worries turned out to

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<v Speaker 1>be dead on. I mean that offensive line was awful

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<v Speaker 1>and that and certainly affected the passing game, infected the

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<v Speaker 1>offense um. All right, well let's talk about this. What

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<v Speaker 1>kind of player do we have in Mike Evans. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I was looking at some of this stuff. I was

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<v Speaker 1>looking at reception, perception. Matt Harman does a great job

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<v Speaker 1>over there. You can pay for it, but it's a

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<v Speaker 1>great job. He looked at. He breaks down a route trees,

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<v Speaker 1>kind of how we talked about with Jamison Williams earlier.

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<v Speaker 1>And during his first two seasons with Tom Brady, he

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<v Speaker 1>ran go balls on eighteen point five percent of his

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<v Speaker 1>routes in twenty twenty twenty one percent in twenty twenty one.

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<v Speaker 1>In twenty twenty two, that went all the way up

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<v Speaker 1>to twenty eight percent. When the old line was seemingly worse.

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<v Speaker 1>You would think they'd want to do more quick passes,

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<v Speaker 1>and I just send him down the field. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>he's not gonna have time to hit the ball right,

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<v Speaker 1>So that I thought that was very interesting. He also

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<v Speaker 1>Matt Harmon also wrote in that article he also struggled

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<v Speaker 1>on digs and out routes more than he had in

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<v Speaker 1>the past, which could be indicator of declining and he

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<v Speaker 1>needs to be thirty this season. I'm worried if you

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<v Speaker 1>ask me whether or not Mike Evans has got one

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<v Speaker 1>more big season left in him. Nope, Yeah, I'm with

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<v Speaker 1>you on this one. I don't I've never really been

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<v Speaker 1>on Mike Evans. I don't know why. I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>because I value receptions and target share a lot. And

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<v Speaker 1>it felt like even when Tom Brady was there, it

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<v Speaker 1>was two yard fades touchdowns in the back of the

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<v Speaker 1>end zone, which I mean you could kind of count

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<v Speaker 1>on for the whole career. Well, no, and it's what

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<v Speaker 1>that big body he is. That was one of the

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<v Speaker 1>things you could countdown was touchdowns because he could box

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<v Speaker 1>out defenders so easily win those jump balls. I loved

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<v Speaker 1>that part of Mike evans career. I'm just worried now

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<v Speaker 1>for even a guy who hasn't relied on speed and

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<v Speaker 1>was won with physical play. But there's a point at

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<v Speaker 1>which you have to have enough speeds you can separate,

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<v Speaker 1>and if you don't, then the wheels just come off.

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<v Speaker 1>And I look at the identically built Brandon Marshall, and

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<v Speaker 1>I mean identically built. They are to the pound, to

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<v Speaker 1>the exact same height. He hit the wall at age

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<v Speaker 1>thirty one, and it was game over for Brandon Marshall.

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<v Speaker 1>At that point he couldn't separate anymore and his productivity

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<v Speaker 1>ended and he was He had been winning with physical play,

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<v Speaker 1>not speed, But you have to be able to get

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<v Speaker 1>some separation. My worry on Evans is that he's already

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<v Speaker 1>here at age thirty. He's right where Brandon Marshall was.

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<v Speaker 1>And I don't trust the quarterbacks that they have in

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<v Speaker 1>Cleveland to make the situation any better for Mike Evans

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<v Speaker 1>in Tampa Bay. Sorry, copy, Yes, I'm totally with you

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<v Speaker 1>on the quarterback thing. I dug into the numbers. These

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<v Speaker 1>are Baker Mayfield's wide receiver and there finishes all average

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<v Speaker 1>points per game twenty nineteen. Jarvis Lanzi twenty two OBJ

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<v Speaker 1>wide receiver thirty three not great. Twenty twenty, Jarvis Landry

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<v Speaker 1>wide receiver thirty eight, OBJ wide receiver thirty nine, that's

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<v Speaker 1>not good twenty twenty one, Jarvis Lanzry wide receiver thirty nine,

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<v Speaker 1>Don and People's Jones wide receiver seventy eight terrible twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two. DJ Moore wide deceiver fifty three. Over the

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<v Speaker 1>first five weeks that Mayfield was the starter, right, atrocious. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>those are of terrible numbers, and it suggests that Baker

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<v Speaker 1>Mayfield can't power a wide receiver to a meaningful play. Now, granted,

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<v Speaker 1>Mike Evans is way better than all of these players

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<v Speaker 1>outside of DJ Moore, better than a hobbled ob j

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<v Speaker 1>better than Jarvis Landry, so he's better. He is better.

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<v Speaker 1>But I would say that it feels like Baker Mayfield

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<v Speaker 1>is like if he's going to support anyone, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>Jarvis Landry WI sever twenty two, it isn't that bad.

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<v Speaker 1>It feels like he kind of needs more of like

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<v Speaker 1>the over the field, middle of the guy, the slot guy,

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<v Speaker 1>the short routes kind of the stuff that Jarvis Landry

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<v Speaker 1>was doing in Cleveland, and Mike Evans is not going

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<v Speaker 1>to do that. I struggle, and I worry that Baker

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<v Speaker 1>Mayfield can't throw the ball deep down the field, which

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<v Speaker 1>is where Mike Evans really excels at. Last year on

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<v Speaker 1>deep passes, Baker Mayfield graded out by Pro Football Focus

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<v Speaker 1>again on deep passes thirty second. Now I have reason

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<v Speaker 1>to believe there are thirty two teams in the NFL

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<v Speaker 1>tyler that would make him last way do the math

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<v Speaker 1>real quicks out a nice um. So there's there's reason

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<v Speaker 1>to doubt that Baker Mayfield can power Mike Evans to

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<v Speaker 1>a resurgent ear, which worries me as well. Let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>ADP and some of the players going around Mike. By

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<v Speaker 1>the way, obviously in Dynasty, for me, I'm out. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>out of Mike Evans. Trade him now, I'm out of

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<v Speaker 1>been already and you read draft, I'm done. Where's he going?

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<v Speaker 1>Average draft position right now? Right now, he's the wide

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<v Speaker 1>receiver thirty five. Oh, it's pretty low law he's ever been,

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<v Speaker 1>including his rookie year, for sure. So the discount is

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<v Speaker 1>already built into that draft position, which makes us a

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<v Speaker 1>much more interesting conversation. Exactly, there's some of the players

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<v Speaker 1>around him, which is very interesting. Okay, I'll read him

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<v Speaker 1>off all right, we'll start with go for it. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>go Brandon, I Yuke. Who would you rather have? I'd

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<v Speaker 1>rather have a part of the Niners' offense, honestly, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>with you, Okay, Somna, I'd rather buy Yuke, all right.

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<v Speaker 1>Hollywood Brown, oh man, that's trick here, because you got

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<v Speaker 1>the Kyler thing, and I know that Brown did nothing

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<v Speaker 1>Hopkins now Hopkins on Hopkins, Hopkins might be gone, so

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<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna I think I'd go Hollywood Brown right now,

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<v Speaker 1>under the presumption that that passing offense needs to largely

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<v Speaker 1>go through him. I also think Hollywood Brown is just

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<v Speaker 1>a better player right now than like Evans, So Hollywood

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<v Speaker 1>Brown Tyler Lockett, who is just vastly disrespected as I'd

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<v Speaker 1>rather Locke it. I mean, lock It. Lock It's good

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<v Speaker 1>every year. Granted it's those explosive games like in for guillotine.

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<v Speaker 1>Locket's always super dangerous, although he was much better last

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<v Speaker 1>year with Gino Smith Locke. Locke's close. All right, George Pickens,

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<v Speaker 1>I'd go Evans pick I would do on this. Pick

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<v Speaker 1>I'm a little lower on Pis. Yeah, I wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>see him way more consistency than I said. If you've

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<v Speaker 1>got points for pancakes, I would pick Pickens, but I

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<v Speaker 1>think I'm gonna go with just in terms of fancy points. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>the last one very interesting. Chris Godwin, who's going wide

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<v Speaker 1>receiver thirty one right now his teammate, which one would

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<v Speaker 1>you rather have on the buck? Well? Okay, so we

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<v Speaker 1>saw Baker Mayfield get Jarvis Landry up to wide receiver

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two, right, and Landry is a slot over the

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<v Speaker 1>middle style receiver, shorter patterns, just like Chris Godwin. I

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<v Speaker 1>think Baker Mayfield's just his style of play is better

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<v Speaker 1>suited for Chris Godwin than it is Mike Evans. So yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think i'd go Chris Godwin and just take my

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<v Speaker 1>seven receptions for seventy yards and point three touchdowns that

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<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna get out of Chris Godwin every week. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>with you on that one, I think, especially. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>he's another year removed from the ACL injury, which I

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<v Speaker 1>think is really gonna help help him kind of this

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<v Speaker 1>season especially. But yeah, I'm I'm in on Chris Godwin.

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<v Speaker 1>I think a little more than I thought I was

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<v Speaker 1>going to because he's wide receiver thirty one, So yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm taking him over Avidson drafts this year. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>there you go. Fantasy Football Weekly Micro edition. We welcome

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<v Speaker 1>your feedback at Paul Charchin on Twitter at Tyler Kennabie

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<v Speaker 1>k n A E b L if you want to

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<v Speaker 1>give us some feedback on this. This is still a

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<v Speaker 1>work in process, trying to flesh out the best way

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<v Speaker 1>to do a deep dive on the players that many

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<v Speaker 1>times very controversial players we hope, including one coming up tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got a very interesting player tomorrow for you as well.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to tip my hand as do that is,

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<v Speaker 1>stay tuned tomorrow and then of course Friday, we've got

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<v Speaker 1>the full edition Fantasy Football Weekly coming for you as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Talk to you shortly. Thanks everybody, byebye,