1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: This is straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up 2 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: straight Fire? Fam, It's me Jason McIntyre. Straight Fire for 3 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:26,160 Speaker 1: Friday January and nice little Friday thirteenth action heading into 4 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: NFL wild Card weekend. It was in Nate late. It 5 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: was a late night for your boy last night. Celebrated 6 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:36,400 Speaker 1: a little birthday with UM Lakers maths at the Crypt. 7 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 1: Really really good game goes double overtime, Lakers take the album. 8 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: My worst part is at the end of it, my 9 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: buddy Dan goes and the Lakers didn't even cover. The 10 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 1: spread was three. Lakers lose by four. Listen, Um, I 11 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 1: could spend fifteen minutes on this game and now it's 12 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: another devastating close loss for the Lakers, who really should 13 00:00:57,600 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 1: have won this game. They could not close it out 14 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: in regulation, and they could not close it out in 15 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:06,199 Speaker 1: overtime because Luka Donchech is a killer. He hit money 16 00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: shots to tie it up both times, and then in 17 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 1: double ot um MAVs pull away and are able to 18 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 1: hold off the Lakers. Um lebron over seven from three. 19 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 1: Dennis Shooter a nightmare night shooting. I don't I mean 20 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: rest Brook had a good game. He got into it 21 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 1: with Luca. I'll say the things I really enjoyed watching 22 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 1: were Russ and Luca just going at it. Luca chirps 23 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:31,399 Speaker 1: at the officials. I've never seen anyone before. Literally, if 24 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 1: he doesn't score, coming down the floor, he's talking to refs. 25 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: He's just saying to all the game that they don't tech, 26 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 1: they don't team him up. He's not yelling or being disrespectful. 27 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 1: And then it's like, you know, a break in the action, 28 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:45,399 Speaker 1: twenty twenty, tie out, whatever, and he's still talking to 29 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: the refs. This is, you know, my second favorite player 30 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 1: in the league, after Steph Curry. Thirty five, fourteen and 31 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: thirteen for Luca Christian Would, I gotta say that guy 32 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: came up big. Now, listen, it's an NFL playoff weekend, 33 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:00,120 Speaker 1: so I'm not going to spend all this time. I'm 34 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 1: talking about Christian Wood's fourteen and six and five blocks, 35 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: including an incredible one after he got injured seconds before. 36 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 1: The scene was good at the um at the Crypt 37 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:11,640 Speaker 1: like I should have got the win at any rate. 38 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 1: We got a great guest today, the one and only 39 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 1: David Baker, one of the most popular guests we have 40 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: on the pod. NFL gambling legend. It's scary how like 41 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 1: minded he and I are on games this weekend. We 42 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 1: like a lot of favorites, we like maybe one underdog. 43 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 1: It's it's a weird place to be, but I think 44 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 1: you guys are gonna enjoy it. It's lengthy. Will do 45 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 1: more NBA next week as the NBA whiddles down a 46 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 1: is the NFL sorry woodles down. You can tell us 47 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:41,679 Speaker 1: a look, it gonna be a long day for me. Um. 48 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:49,680 Speaker 1: That's all for now. Enjoy. David Baker, poker superstar, NFL gambler. 49 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 1: Jason likes to think he knows everything when it comes 50 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 1: to sports. I know what sports dance want, but for 51 00:02:57,240 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 1: everything he doesn't, he knows a guy who does. Let's 52 00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: just say I know a guy who knows a guy 53 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:07,080 Speaker 1: who knows another guy. All right, let's welcome into straight fire. 54 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 1: One of the foremost gambling superstars in sports gambling. Seriously, 55 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 1: I mean, not only is he a big time poker player, 56 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: but you guys know he cashes regularly in the Super 57 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:20,799 Speaker 1: Contest and the Circuits Sports Contest. We've had him on 58 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: the podcast multiple times. He's always in high demand. David Baker, 59 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: how you doing? But man, I'm great. I was excited 60 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 1: to get your textas morning. I love coming on and 61 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:34,320 Speaker 1: discussing football with you and have enjoyed this year talking 62 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 1: with you most weeks before we get going. Uh. I 63 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 1: know you and I have conversations a lot of weeks 64 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: before we decide what we're gonna play, so I always 65 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 1: like to hear your ideas and bat around mine with 66 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: you and kind of see if we come to consensus. Yeah, 67 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:50,920 Speaker 1: but Baker obviously the dominant in the contest, so I 68 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: sent him what I'm kind of looking at just to 69 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 1: see if he's in the same ballpark. I gotta say, 70 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: this is a weird weekend, David. I look at the lines, 71 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: and it's tough for me to make a case for 72 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 1: more than one dog. Um, But perhaps you see it differently. 73 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 1: We um Listen, the lines have barely moved, with the 74 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 1: exception of the quarterback um shuffle in Miami due to 75 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 1: two A being ruled out. But these are tight lines. 76 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 1: I don't think we're gonna see a lot of movement 77 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:16,480 Speaker 1: on any of them. Is there one that you want 78 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:19,280 Speaker 1: to start talking about ahead of any of them, whether 79 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: it's Dallas Tampa. UM. I saw your tweet about the 80 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 1: Chargers Jags. It feels like a favorite weekend to me, 81 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:31,000 Speaker 1: but I'll defer to you to get us started. Yeah, well, 82 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 1: I mean we're on the same page as far as 83 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:36,039 Speaker 1: that goes. I am very going to be very heavy 84 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 1: on the favorites this weekend. Um. Obviously it's not really 85 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 1: the most comfortable place to be in the NFL is 86 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 1: being on the favorites. But I think playoff time, you know, 87 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: just a perfect example was the Georgia TCU game. I 88 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: mean that game, if it's played in the regular season, 89 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 1: probably a back and forth and uh, you know, we're 90 00:04:57,640 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 1: probably going to look at like a ten point lone, 91 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 1: ten point game with you know, coming down to you know, 92 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:05,280 Speaker 1: possession or two. But when the playoffs are in the line. 93 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:08,039 Speaker 1: That's the great thing about the NFL. You know, every possession, 94 00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 1: you know these teams are going to be out there fighting, 95 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 1: whether they're ahead or behind. There's always you know, you're 96 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 1: really going to get maximum effort on on both sides 97 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 1: by both teams. So I think most of the time 98 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 1: you're just gonna have the better team is going to 99 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: come out on top. And we have some real quarterback 100 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: mismatches this week for sure. There are a couple of 101 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 1: games that are obviously a tighter spread. It looks like 102 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 1: we have three lines that are are relatively close, and 103 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 1: I think it's the three lines that are not so. Um. 104 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:41,599 Speaker 1: I guess we can attack the not so great lines 105 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 1: and then kind of step back into the I mean 106 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 1: not so big lines and then kind of step back 107 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 1: into you know, what we make about the non quarterbacks 108 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 1: that are going in the other games. But I mean, 109 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 1: we can start with the first, the first good game 110 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 1: that we have, which is Chargers Jacksonville Georgers Jackson Yes, 111 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:01,240 Speaker 1: Saturday night should be a good one. Right. So it 112 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 1: looks like right now as we record this Thursday afternoon, 113 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 1: Chargers two and a half, it's kind of toggled between 114 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 1: two two and a half. Um yet two and a 115 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 1: half a sports book two and a half a circle 116 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 1: too at bet Chris. Those are kind of like the 117 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:17,919 Speaker 1: market leading books. I mean, I know, everybody's like always 118 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: Mike Williams gonna play. Obviously they're better with him, But 119 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 1: this is a Jaguar secondary. David is not good. You 120 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: look at the quarterbacks they faced all season and that 121 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:28,840 Speaker 1: joker of a division. I mean, obviously they're gonna look sharp, 122 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: Dak Prescott carved him up. He did have unfortunate pick 123 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: six to end the game. Um, I I think I 124 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 1: gotta go Chargers. But I I you know, I could 125 00:06:38,360 --> 00:06:41,240 Speaker 1: see how somebody would say, well, the Jags get an 126 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: extra day of rest having played last Saturday and the 127 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 1: Chargers played Sunday, that had to fly across the country. 128 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 1: Maybe there's a slight coaching edge to Peterson over Staley, 129 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:54,920 Speaker 1: but maybe that balances out with the quarterbacks, Herbert being 130 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:56,479 Speaker 1: better than Lawrence. I don't know where are you on 131 00:06:56,520 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 1: this one. Well, if if I'm if I can see 132 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 1: a favorite losing this week, the Chargers are that team 133 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: for me. Um, I do, I will pick the Chargers. 134 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 1: I do like the Chargers. I predicted the Chargers make 135 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:14,360 Speaker 1: the championship game before the season started and was looking 136 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:17,360 Speaker 1: like a bad pick for a while. But they've really 137 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:20,200 Speaker 1: found themselves. This is this team's kind of jelled at 138 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 1: the right time. But I mean, I am kind of 139 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 1: concerned about Mike Williams. He does stretch the defense. Yes, 140 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: it's just a receiver, it's not justin Jefferson, it's not 141 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 1: Jamaar Chase. But he does stretch. And the thing about 142 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 1: this Chargers. This Chargers offense is it's kind of predicated 143 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: on a lot of short passes, and when you have 144 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 1: my Mike Williams in there, he kind of stretches and 145 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 1: kind of opens up those holes for Alan and nukela 146 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 1: are inside and Everett. And I really like Josh Palmer Honestly, 147 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 1: I think he is a very underrated receiver. I think 148 00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 1: he's a star in the making, especially with Herbert. I've 149 00:07:57,480 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 1: I've liked what Josh Palmer has done, but Mike Williams 150 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: is just such a such a big guy to stretch 151 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:07,680 Speaker 1: the defense. Um, if the Charges would have done what 152 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 1: they're supposed to do on Sunday and and maybe let 153 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 1: their guys go out for a quarter and then rest 154 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 1: them all, I would be really heavy on this Chargers team. 155 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 1: But I mean they just they went hard, they got 156 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:21,360 Speaker 1: banged up, and they have a short day and flying 157 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:26,920 Speaker 1: across the country. UM. I do trust Doug Peterson more 158 00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 1: than uh Staley when it comes to the fourth quarter 159 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:34,200 Speaker 1: decision making. So those things kind of give me concerned. 160 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:38,360 Speaker 1: I do love Herbert and this offense, and uh Derwin 161 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 1: James is a difference maker on defense, but I also 162 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 1: really like what what Lawrence has done with these receivers 163 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 1: and E. T N and the Jags have really jailed too. 164 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 1: So it's not gonna shock me if the Jags win, 165 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 1: but I will be picking the Chargers anything on the 166 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,679 Speaker 1: total here forty seven and a half, two first time 167 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 1: quarterbacks in the postseason, Staley coaching his first postseason game. 168 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: It to me feels like an under. But when these 169 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: offenses are full strength that you could easily see this 170 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: being a thirty seven type shootout. Well, I think that 171 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 1: my intuition kind of would lead towards over because I 172 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: trust both offensive teams more. But I do agree with you. 173 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:23,440 Speaker 1: I think it's an under when you think a little 174 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 1: bit more about it, because even though the Charges are 175 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 1: very half heavy pass offense, they do complete most of 176 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 1: their pastes and they are mostly short, so that does 177 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 1: keep the clock running. They do have a lot of 178 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 1: long sustained drives, and you know, if it bogs down 179 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:43,160 Speaker 1: and ends up in a field goal or fourth down 180 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 1: conversion that goes awry, you know you can really uh 181 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 1: click a nice six seven eight minutes off the clock 182 00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 1: with the Chargers drive. In the football um, the Jags 183 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:57,240 Speaker 1: are are similar. Um, they do try to stretch it 184 00:09:57,240 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 1: a little bit with Kirk, but it does signed of 185 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 1: kind of seem like they're a little more ball control 186 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:06,079 Speaker 1: as well and don't have as many splash plays. So 187 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:09,560 Speaker 1: I kind of do think that these teams are going 188 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 1: to score, but it might take them a little bit longer, 189 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 1: so maybe the under might be a small lean there. 190 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:20,480 Speaker 1: Sometimes I look at special teams on Football outsiders to 191 00:10:20,520 --> 00:10:22,679 Speaker 1: see if like one is awful and the other is 192 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: very good. Looks like the Chargers are sixth in special teams, 193 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:30,520 Speaker 1: Jags eleven, So nothing really there, Um, but to file 194 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:34,080 Speaker 1: this away, uh please David, Tampa Bay thirty one in 195 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,440 Speaker 1: special teams. Okay, anyways, Um, let's get to the next game. 196 00:10:37,880 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 1: What is it? Um, the next close game. We'll go 197 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 1: Sunday Giants. You want to go Giants, Gants, Vikings. Yeah, 198 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:49,720 Speaker 1: let's do Giants. Let's do Giants Vikings. So I'm seeing 199 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:54,079 Speaker 1: it looks like, uh, Vikings are favored by three. Initially 200 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 1: last week I had liked the Giants. I'm like, oh, 201 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 1: this is a great shot, great opportunity, and then more 202 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 1: you look at it, you're like, woof. But with these 203 00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:04,000 Speaker 1: teams at a negative point differential um You've got two quarterbacks, 204 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:06,000 Speaker 1: one who's been in the playoffs a bunch, the other 205 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 1: who's never been in the playoffs, two first time playoff coaches, 206 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 1: Minnesota at home. It almost feels like the Giants are 207 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 1: a bit of a public dog. I'm starting to lean Minnesota, 208 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 1: but oh man, it's really tough to back this team 209 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 1: the number of mistakes they make, and for what it's worth, 210 00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 1: their kicker usually stinks. I know, he hit like a 211 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:28,000 Speaker 1: sixty yard again in the playoffs. Their thirty in special teams. Yeah, 212 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:30,960 Speaker 1: so I've probably watched more in Minnesota Vikings than any 213 00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:34,840 Speaker 1: other team this year. Um I made. I made a 214 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 1: few preseason plays, but only one past the regular season, 215 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:42,640 Speaker 1: and I bet before the draft this year, actually, I 216 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 1: bet the Minnesota Vikings to win the NFC at twenty 217 00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 1: three and a half to one, So I have I 218 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 1: have a very large ticket on them. And obviously it 219 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:57,559 Speaker 1: was looking better, you know, a little while ago. But um, 220 00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 1: I've continued to just listen to the national media and 221 00:12:00,920 --> 00:12:04,480 Speaker 1: basically anybody who has a voice in football continue to 222 00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 1: say how lucky and not good and overrated the Vikings are. 223 00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:13,559 Speaker 1: And yes, some of the metrics are not that great. 224 00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:18,680 Speaker 1: But I think people just completely discount the ability to win, 225 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:21,080 Speaker 1: and they just think that just the ability to win 226 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 1: is is just all luck. And I don't know how 227 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:29,199 Speaker 1: we can just assign such strong feelings and biases to 228 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 1: some parts of the game but not other parts of 229 00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:34,000 Speaker 1: the game. And the fact of the matter is some 230 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:38,240 Speaker 1: teams and coaches throughout history have the propensity to win 231 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 1: when it matters and have the propensity to choke when 232 00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:43,120 Speaker 1: it matters. I'm not saying this is going to translate 233 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:46,200 Speaker 1: into the playoffs. It may or may not, But the 234 00:12:46,320 --> 00:12:48,280 Speaker 1: Vikings have all the confidence in the world when it 235 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:51,000 Speaker 1: comes to the end of the games and that they're 236 00:12:51,040 --> 00:12:53,680 Speaker 1: gonna fight to the end no matter how far they're down. 237 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:56,559 Speaker 1: There are teams that quit on their coaches, quit on 238 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 1: their quarterbacks, just quit when they get down. I mean, 239 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 1: this team proved that there's no deficit too big for 240 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:06,200 Speaker 1: them to try to overcome and that Indianapolis game, so 241 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 1: I semi trust them. Um. And if you want to 242 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:13,480 Speaker 1: look at lucky teams, I mean they're the Giants are 243 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:17,200 Speaker 1: right behind the Vikings and luck factors. So um, I 244 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:21,199 Speaker 1: think people have just been waiting all year to fade 245 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:24,440 Speaker 1: this Minnesota Vikings team in a meaningful game, and they're 246 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 1: not necessarily looking at this matchup. I think three points 247 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:29,520 Speaker 1: is a nice little discount. You're basically just saying these 248 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 1: two teams are equal on a neutral field. And I 249 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:37,160 Speaker 1: don't see that there's there are four units taking out 250 00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:39,679 Speaker 1: special teams and the only one that's you lead is 251 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 1: the Minnesota offense. So I have the best unit on 252 00:13:44,040 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 1: the field at any time, and I have home field advantage, 253 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 1: and I have the quarterback that's been there before, and 254 00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:56,200 Speaker 1: I have playmakers. Uh. I don't really see why there's 255 00:13:56,200 --> 00:14:00,599 Speaker 1: so much dis taste and distrust for this Vikings team. 256 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:06,439 Speaker 1: I think as a football viewing society, we want to 257 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 1: just latch on too certain narratives and everybody tries to 258 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:13,320 Speaker 1: fit the same narrative. Um, and that's that the Vikings 259 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 1: are overrated. And do I still think that they're going 260 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:18,439 Speaker 1: to win the NFC. I mean I didn't really think 261 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 1: they were gonna win the NFC at twenty three and 262 00:14:20,120 --> 00:14:21,800 Speaker 1: a half to win. I just thought the Packers were 263 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 1: gonna be down and they were gonna win the division, 264 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,360 Speaker 1: and they were gonna have home field, and then anything 265 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:28,440 Speaker 1: can happen if you get a you know, home field 266 00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 1: game or two. Unfortunate for me that they ended up 267 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:35,560 Speaker 1: getting blown out by the Packers and the Niners went 268 00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:37,080 Speaker 1: on to win all those games at the end, and 269 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 1: they fell to the three seed instead of the two seed. 270 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 1: I would have much preferred to have that Niners game 271 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 1: at home, but I think this Vikings team is formidable, 272 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:48,320 Speaker 1: and um at home. It's not prime time, so we 273 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 1: don't have to worry about prime time. Kirk And yeah, 274 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:53,840 Speaker 1: I like I like the Vikings quite a bit here. 275 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 1: I think they win this game and we're getting a 276 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 1: nice little discount. I think this line should before and 277 00:14:57,440 --> 00:15:01,200 Speaker 1: a half. Honestly, Yeah, I'm most slee with you. The 278 00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 1: pushback would be, hey, well, in that last meeting when 279 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 1: the Viking's won by three, the Giants had like a 280 00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 1: hundred yards more six point seven yards per play. Oh 281 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:11,640 Speaker 1: and by the way, they turned the ball over twice, 282 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:14,400 Speaker 1: like they could have won that game. And I think 283 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:16,760 Speaker 1: people could kind of take that and latch onto it 284 00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 1: as Oh, Daniel Jones had three hundred plus yards. I 285 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 1: don't want probably the best game of the season through 286 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 1: the air against the Vikings and yet they lose because 287 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 1: the Vikings get lucky but again, like this idea that 288 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones is gonna come out like slinging it like 289 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 1: he's a veteran uh in his first playoff game. It's 290 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 1: gonna be kind of I think the crowd's gonna be 291 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 1: very fired up in Minnesota. I don't think they've hosted 292 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 1: a playoff game in a few years. That could be 293 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:42,640 Speaker 1: a tough place to play. Yeah, and you're just dismissing 294 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 1: the I mean I love Dable, I mean I have. 295 00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:48,400 Speaker 1: You can even go back in my tweets for years 296 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:50,800 Speaker 1: and search table like I was I was from. I 297 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 1: was finding for that guy to get a job for 298 00:15:53,760 --> 00:15:55,880 Speaker 1: the last several years. And and he's done a great 299 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:58,000 Speaker 1: job in New York. And I'm not gonna take anything 300 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: away from him or them. But are we just dismissing 301 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:04,760 Speaker 1: this Vikings coaching staff to make adjustments? I mean, maybe 302 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 1: they they haven't done so on off on defense. I 303 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 1: mean I really have been disappointed with their lackluster defense, 304 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 1: and and they do kind of play a Vanella scheme. 305 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:16,240 Speaker 1: But I'm going to assume that that game that they played, 306 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 1: you know, versus Giants, they're gonna go back and look 307 00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 1: at film and make adjustments. As far as that goes to. 308 00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:24,240 Speaker 1: And I mean people want to say the Vikings got 309 00:16:24,320 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: lucky there to win, but I mean they were up 310 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:28,960 Speaker 1: eight also late in that game. They had a chance 311 00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 1: to cover that game, and the Giants scored and then 312 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:33,920 Speaker 1: it was tied, and then they went down and did 313 00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:35,520 Speaker 1: what they needed to do to kick the field goal. 314 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:38,080 Speaker 1: Like the Vikings always do, they find a way to 315 00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 1: do something too to win the games at the end. 316 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 1: And I just don't understand why everybody just dismisses winning 317 00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:48,720 Speaker 1: as a skill. Is it the is it the be 318 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: all end all No, But I mean in the metrics 319 00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:55,080 Speaker 1: of things that we need to discuss and think about, 320 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: it's the ability to win football games. And you know, 321 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:00,320 Speaker 1: I see it in poker all the time. And there 322 00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:04,680 Speaker 1: are some people who have the best fundamentals and um, 323 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 1: you know, they can't get it done in the in 324 00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:09,639 Speaker 1: the clutch moments of a big poker tournament. There's some 325 00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 1: people who have bad fundamentals, but they just know how 326 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:17,200 Speaker 1: to navigate through the tournament and and either get off 327 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 1: of hands or make big bluffs or do certain things 328 00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: and people look at them and they're like, you know, 329 00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:25,640 Speaker 1: I don't really understand how that person want they don't 330 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 1: really have, like the this person has better fundamentals and 331 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:31,439 Speaker 1: and sometimes it's not all about funding. Sometimes it's just 332 00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:34,560 Speaker 1: it's just having that feel for the situation and being 333 00:17:34,600 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 1: able to put yourself in position to win. And Look, 334 00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:39,919 Speaker 1: I don't know if this is I don't know if 335 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 1: this is a trend or something that's real or tangible, 336 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 1: or maybe it has just been lucky. But um, give 337 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 1: me the team that's been lucky, you know, thirteen times 338 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,600 Speaker 1: this year and is at home and laying a field 339 00:17:51,640 --> 00:17:54,359 Speaker 1: goal versus another team that's been lucky and has you know, 340 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 1: nine wins, and you know, their best offensive weapons, I mean, 341 00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:01,640 Speaker 1: aside from Barkeley. I mean it's would would any would 342 00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:04,920 Speaker 1: anybody on the Giant even start on the Minnesota Vikings 343 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:08,760 Speaker 1: probably left tackle Andrew Thomas, But Derrissole has been incredible, 344 00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 1: so it might be a wash. I don't know, that's 345 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:13,240 Speaker 1: a good question. Um, certainly not tight end. I mean, 346 00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:17,040 Speaker 1: Hockinson slaughtered these guys last time. Fox Sports Radio has 347 00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 1: the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all 348 00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:23,360 Speaker 1: of our shows at Fox sports radio dot com and 349 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 1: within the I Heart Radio app. Search f s R 350 00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 1: to listen live. So here are the Vikings losses. They 351 00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 1: lost at Philly early night game Kirk Cousins outdoors. Then 352 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,000 Speaker 1: they lost to the Cowboys at home, kind of an 353 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 1: outlier forty three they got their doors blown off. They 354 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:41,800 Speaker 1: lost at Detroit, not a bad loss. Detroit is proven 355 00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 1: to be a good team second half of the season 356 00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:45,679 Speaker 1: and that was a payback game for Detroit for the 357 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 1: earlier loss. And then green Bay they got crushed in 358 00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:51,639 Speaker 1: a very high profile spot that everybody remembers. And another 359 00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:55,840 Speaker 1: revenge spot outdoors. That's it, that's all the you know, 360 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,680 Speaker 1: those are the losses to nearly playoff teams and two 361 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,919 Speaker 1: very good teams in the NFC, right and people right, 362 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:04,639 Speaker 1: and people want to look at point deferential like it matters. 363 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:06,280 Speaker 1: I mean, what does it matter if they lost that 364 00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:09,359 Speaker 1: Cowboys game forty two three, or if they you know, 365 00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:12,359 Speaker 1: kept the starters in and it was for seven at 366 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:14,400 Speaker 1: the at the end of the day, it doesn't matter. 367 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 1: I mean, they they got behind, and you know sometimes 368 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,800 Speaker 1: teams they get behind, you know, a team that they know, 369 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:24,680 Speaker 1: and and they pull out all the stops to try 370 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,080 Speaker 1: to score, and then other teams are punting, you know, 371 00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:30,000 Speaker 1: uh in spots where they probably should go for it 372 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:32,880 Speaker 1: based on you know, where they are down in the game, 373 00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,800 Speaker 1: and and sometimes games get away from you. And I'm 374 00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:39,320 Speaker 1: just not going to assign that as you know, Okay, 375 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 1: this Dallas, I don't even know what it was. Thirty 376 00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 1: seven point loss or something that that equals that, that 377 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:49,040 Speaker 1: equals ten four point wins, like those things do not 378 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,600 Speaker 1: equal out to zero in my opinion. And and everybody 379 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:54,639 Speaker 1: just wants to use this point differential as the be 380 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 1: all end all, and it's basically just just choosing your 381 00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:03,159 Speaker 1: narrative and and taking the stats to tooh you know, um, 382 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:07,880 Speaker 1: I guess confirm, confirm your narrative that you want to portray. Look, 383 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:11,520 Speaker 1: I don't I wish the Vikings look better for my 384 00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 1: futures and that that they had a better chance to 385 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,800 Speaker 1: um win the NFC. But I'm not just going to 386 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:20,639 Speaker 1: dismiss this team this week or at all. Um. Look, 387 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 1: we have we have brock Party, who's playing enough playoff 388 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:25,600 Speaker 1: game this week. I think that the consensus is that 389 00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 1: he's gonna win the game. Um, but look, let's see 390 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,080 Speaker 1: how he looks in the playoffs. And and before we 391 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 1: just go ahead and assigned Minnesota to be an easy 392 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:38,120 Speaker 1: out there as well. So, um, the Giants were thirteen 393 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:41,840 Speaker 1: and four against the spread, best in the league. Pretty impressive. 394 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 1: But I I asked one of these guys, you know, 395 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:47,440 Speaker 1: these guys come through FS one about Wink Martindale, and 396 00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:51,080 Speaker 1: Sanchez said, Wink Martindale loves to blitz, Well, Kirk Cousin, 397 00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 1: if you blitz, you're leaving Justin Jefferson in man to 398 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:56,640 Speaker 1: man against who it's not, oh, Dorry Jackson on the outside. 399 00:20:57,080 --> 00:21:00,760 Speaker 1: They lost Bradberry to the Eagles. Their quarterbacks are not good, 400 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,800 Speaker 1: and you're like, you, really, is Wink going to keep 401 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:07,199 Speaker 1: blitzing and leave Justin Jefferson a man a man and 402 00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:09,840 Speaker 1: T J. Hockinson against these bad linebackers. So it's just 403 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:13,280 Speaker 1: not a great matchup against Kirk Cousins. So I'm with you. 404 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,600 Speaker 1: I'm definitely on the vikings here. So we now are 405 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 1: an agreement in two, which is a little scary. Perhaps 406 00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:24,680 Speaker 1: Monday night football, Dallas Tampa. Maybe we're disagreeing. Cowboys looking 407 00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:28,200 Speaker 1: right now like two and a half point favorites. This 408 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,880 Speaker 1: was three. I would assume David it took some big 409 00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,719 Speaker 1: money to come off the three. Is this another narrative 410 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:36,480 Speaker 1: game where it's it's Tom Brady. He's never lost to Dallas, 411 00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:39,800 Speaker 1: and Cowboys are fading. They got killed last week by 412 00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:42,080 Speaker 1: Sam Howell. Is it one of those deals, because if 413 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 1: you look at the season long metrics, this is not close. 414 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 1: Dallas is by far the better team. Yeah, it's funny 415 00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:54,640 Speaker 1: because I do a weekly show on Sundays, and basically 416 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:57,120 Speaker 1: we've known this matchup was gonna occur for at least 417 00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 1: a month, and I've been talking about up Tampa is 418 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,199 Speaker 1: going to win these last few games there they had 419 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:08,280 Speaker 1: a cream puff schedule. Don't don't fall into the trap 420 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:12,879 Speaker 1: that Tampa Bay is good and worthy of your money. 421 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:15,280 Speaker 1: At first, Dallas and I thought that this line would 422 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:17,840 Speaker 1: would open at between six and seven. This was a 423 00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:22,480 Speaker 1: few weeks ago, and now Dallas as just decided to 424 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 1: play horribly for the last several weeks. And here we 425 00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: are at three, and here I am trying to talk 426 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 1: myself back into this Tampa Bay team, and I need 427 00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:35,480 Speaker 1: to take a step step back and say, Okay, yes, 428 00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:40,880 Speaker 1: Dallas looked terrible against Washington, but when his Tampa looked good, 429 00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:44,600 Speaker 1: like literally, when they looked good for the in the 430 00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:47,879 Speaker 1: near the end of the game versus Carolina, that was 431 00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:51,159 Speaker 1: a game that. I mean, I Carolina plus three and 432 00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,120 Speaker 1: a half in that game, and I never really thought 433 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:57,840 Speaker 1: I was gonna lose it. Um, Arizona they barely beat 434 00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 1: was it? Tracey mcsortley and the Arizona Cardinals on Christmas Night? Um? 435 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:09,280 Speaker 1: They what? They looked good? You know, Brady played for 436 00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:11,960 Speaker 1: a quarter against the Falcons and they scored a couple 437 00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:15,000 Speaker 1: of times. I just really don't know what Why Why 438 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:18,000 Speaker 1: are we all of a sudden having faith in the Buccaneers. 439 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,720 Speaker 1: I mean it has to just be a history thing 440 00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:23,480 Speaker 1: with Brady, because if you just want to look at 441 00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 1: what's happened during the season, the Bucks have been one 442 00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:28,880 Speaker 1: of the worst teams against the spread. They can't run 443 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:33,119 Speaker 1: the football um Todd Bowls. The rushing. The rushing scheme 444 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 1: on the Buccaneers is absolutely atrocious. I mean, I can 445 00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:38,720 Speaker 1: how many times can we just watch the Land of 446 00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 1: four Nett lunge into the line on so I get 447 00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,520 Speaker 1: one third and one and then lose two on fourth 448 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,959 Speaker 1: and one, turned the ball over. I mean, this rushing 449 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:52,400 Speaker 1: scheme is terrible. And look, Dallas is the ball hawking defense. Um, 450 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 1: I think they get a couple of guys back this 451 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:57,679 Speaker 1: week do I am I in love with Doc. No, 452 00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 1: he has not looked great lately and he hasn't shown 453 00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:04,320 Speaker 1: it to us in the playoffs. But at the end 454 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:06,280 Speaker 1: of the day, I think they have enough there. I mean, 455 00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:09,920 Speaker 1: Pollard has really looked good. I trust cd uh Shultz. 456 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: He has a nicer port with Schultz. Um, I think 457 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,280 Speaker 1: Dallas has enough to get the job done against the 458 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:18,919 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay team that I just do not trust. I 459 00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:22,520 Speaker 1: have been a huge Tom Brady fan my entire life. 460 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,119 Speaker 1: I grew up as a Patriots fan. I rooted for 461 00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:28,840 Speaker 1: him early on in Tampa. But this Tampa team is 462 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,359 Speaker 1: not the same Tampa team. This is not the same 463 00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:36,679 Speaker 1: Tom Brady that I have loved and supported throughout his career. UM. 464 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:38,760 Speaker 1: As scary as it is, based on what they've done 465 00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:40,840 Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks, I just have to I 466 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:42,960 Speaker 1: just have to hold my nose and go with what 467 00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:46,240 Speaker 1: I've seen all year and just bet this Cowboys team 468 00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,320 Speaker 1: to take care of what I think is an absolutely 469 00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:52,560 Speaker 1: putrid Bucks team. No, yeah, I'm I'm with you. By 470 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:54,840 Speaker 1: the way, you were your spot on Tampa Bay worst 471 00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,879 Speaker 1: in the NFL against the Bread and I think that 472 00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,360 Speaker 1: might be some of the Brady tax right there, four 473 00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:03,000 Speaker 1: twelve and one, because some people were posting, like some 474 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:05,600 Speaker 1: of these advanced stats from like five thirty eight in 475 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,520 Speaker 1: all these places and their season long metrics all have 476 00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,480 Speaker 1: Dallas undervalued in this spot and this, like you said, 477 00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:13,879 Speaker 1: should be much higher than three. But the public is 478 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:17,320 Speaker 1: coming in hand over fist on Tom Brady, and you know, listen, 479 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:19,959 Speaker 1: maybe Brady orchestrate some late magic like he did against 480 00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 1: as you said, some of those crappy teams. I mean, goodness, gracious, 481 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,719 Speaker 1: they could barely beat Andy Dalton. Andy Dalton is is, 482 00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:30,320 Speaker 1: you know, barely a starting quarterback. They anytime they had 483 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,280 Speaker 1: to face a good team, they pretty much got crushed 484 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:35,200 Speaker 1: San Francisco. I remember, because you and I talked, Dave, 485 00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: there were so many sharps that were on Tampa against 486 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 1: San fran Do you remember that. I was like, absolutely 487 00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:43,440 Speaker 1: not Brock Purty. I trust Brock Purtty and Brock pretty 488 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:46,120 Speaker 1: And it was thirty five seven. And then the Sharps 489 00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 1: came back again the next week Tampa Cincinnati, and for 490 00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:50,600 Speaker 1: a quarter and a half, two quarters they look good. 491 00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:53,399 Speaker 1: It was I think seventeen nothing. What Brady in the 492 00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:56,560 Speaker 1: offense imploded. I think you're right about the coaches left, 493 00:25:56,560 --> 00:26:01,080 Speaker 1: which in bowls have been terrible this year in every 494 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:04,040 Speaker 1: situation that I've seen. Yeah, And what does against the 495 00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:08,080 Speaker 1: spread really mean? I mean, all against the spread means 496 00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:13,359 Speaker 1: is that the market and the money over values or 497 00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 1: undervalues a particular team and their skill set. So basically, 498 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,320 Speaker 1: by looking at this Tampa team and they're they're bad 499 00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 1: against the spread record, I mean, all that basically is 500 00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:28,800 Speaker 1: telling us is that the market vegas the sharps um 501 00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:32,160 Speaker 1: the people who put money on on these type of things. 502 00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:36,040 Speaker 1: I think that the Bucks are better than they are. 503 00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 1: And I mean you can say the same thing on 504 00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:41,720 Speaker 1: the opposite side with the Giants and the Bengals. Who 505 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:43,920 Speaker 1: are you know, the best teams against the spread? Is 506 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:48,680 Speaker 1: that the market is continually undervaluing them. Um, So if 507 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,400 Speaker 1: the market thinks that the Bucks are good and my 508 00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:53,920 Speaker 1: eyes are telling me that they're not, I mean that's 509 00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:57,359 Speaker 1: one thing that I've just learned to do. Yes, the 510 00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,560 Speaker 1: sharp people are sharp, and they're sharp a reason, and 511 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:03,160 Speaker 1: they make money. But just because you have money doesn't 512 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,399 Speaker 1: necessarily mean you're sharp. Just because you move the market 513 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:07,920 Speaker 1: doesn't necessarily mean you're sharp. I mean a lot of 514 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:10,440 Speaker 1: times the movement is by the sharp people, but sometimes 515 00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:14,000 Speaker 1: it's just by just pure money. Um, And I'm just 516 00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,600 Speaker 1: gonna try. I just trust myself and my eyes and 517 00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,159 Speaker 1: what I've seen, and my eyes have told me that 518 00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,320 Speaker 1: this Bucks team is not a true contender this year. 519 00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:25,400 Speaker 1: So if I don't think they're a true contender this year, 520 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:28,600 Speaker 1: and we're only having to lay a field goal with 521 00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:31,000 Speaker 1: a team that, look, four or five weeks ago, we 522 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:34,199 Speaker 1: were having the conversation, uh, there are three teams that 523 00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:37,560 Speaker 1: can win the NFC, the Eagles, the Cowboys, and maybe 524 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,000 Speaker 1: the Niners. And now we're four weeks later and it's 525 00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 1: Philly and the Niners and Dallas isn't even in the discussion. 526 00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:47,600 Speaker 1: And so I mean, look, I've never thought that the 527 00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:49,680 Speaker 1: Bucks were going to be good this entire year. So 528 00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:52,560 Speaker 1: at least Dallas I thought was good at some point. So, 529 00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:54,920 Speaker 1: I mean, we have two teams that are very much 530 00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:58,159 Speaker 1: on a downhill slide. So I'm just gonna take the 531 00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:02,360 Speaker 1: team that at least have seen lumpses of goodness before. Yeah, 532 00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:04,560 Speaker 1: I'm I'm with you, like I I like Dallas. I 533 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,360 Speaker 1: don't have a lot on this game the bet. Why 534 00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:09,960 Speaker 1: simply because I have futures on both, just as a 535 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,960 Speaker 1: in case Brady wakes up and left, which changes everything. 536 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:14,919 Speaker 1: I do have a small futures on Tampa to win 537 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:17,480 Speaker 1: the NFC, but I also have Dallas from weeks ago 538 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:21,040 Speaker 1: to win the NFC, So I'm not gonna do much here. Listen, 539 00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:22,639 Speaker 1: if it drops, if it drops to two or one 540 00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:24,280 Speaker 1: and a half, I think I at that point, you 541 00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,480 Speaker 1: think it'll go that low. Know, I think it's gonna 542 00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:30,720 Speaker 1: stay around two and a half. I think that there's 543 00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:34,840 Speaker 1: I think, yeah, I don't think it's a much lower 544 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,479 Speaker 1: than that. But but the reality is if you like 545 00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:39,440 Speaker 1: it at one and a half, like, why not like 546 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:41,400 Speaker 1: it at two and a half? Games just don't land 547 00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:45,400 Speaker 1: on too that often. I mean, I'm not really big 548 00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:50,560 Speaker 1: into this micromanaging the line and um, you know there's 549 00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:53,920 Speaker 1: some points that are more important than others. But I mean, 550 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,000 Speaker 1: if you like it, if you like it at two 551 00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,040 Speaker 1: and a half, they like it at one and a half. 552 00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:01,960 Speaker 1: It's the same thing. Dallas number two and special teams. 553 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 1: According to Football Outsiders, uh, Tampa is thirteen. I mean, 554 00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,320 Speaker 1: I don't love either of those kickers. Somebody, Dave, what 555 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:10,120 Speaker 1: are you doing? Some random guy hits you on a 556 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:12,600 Speaker 1: social after they hear something you said and said, hey, 557 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,760 Speaker 1: by the way, you might have missed this. And this 558 00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:17,000 Speaker 1: guy sent me this. He said, Dallas is one in 559 00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 1: four on grass this year. They just don't look as 560 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:22,360 Speaker 1: good on that, you know, my buddies, And I'm like, okay, 561 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 1: I hadn't thought about that. Is that like a data 562 00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 1: point that you would consider something like that. My buddy 563 00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:30,680 Speaker 1: actually sent me something very similar. He's got a big guy. 564 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 1: He has a big Dallas super Bowl future that he 565 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: did preseason and he sent me that and I said, yeah, 566 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:38,719 Speaker 1: but I mean, what is that really being driven by. 567 00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:42,120 Speaker 1: First of all, they play a nine nine home games 568 00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 1: on turf, so obviously they're gonna look better on turf 569 00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:48,560 Speaker 1: games because they're playing at home. Um, you know, they 570 00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:51,640 Speaker 1: went on the road and we saw I like, if 571 00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:54,040 Speaker 1: you're dealing with a limited sample size, I mean that 572 00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:58,120 Speaker 1: Washington game, they were so outlied or bad that like 573 00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:02,960 Speaker 1: that's gonna skew them matt ricks anyway. Um, I'm not 574 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,320 Speaker 1: sure where the other games were, but I think they 575 00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:08,040 Speaker 1: had some of the most of those natural grass games 576 00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:10,760 Speaker 1: were difficult games. You also look at what they did 577 00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 1: in Minnesota, where they were at the peak of their powers, 578 00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:16,760 Speaker 1: Like Dallas was as good as they had been, and 579 00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:20,400 Speaker 1: that game is gonna gonna sway things. So, I mean 580 00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:22,560 Speaker 1: when did they play him? Who did they play? Where? 581 00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:25,920 Speaker 1: They found two of them? So one was the Eagles 582 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:28,479 Speaker 1: in Philadelphia with Cooper Russia quarterback. I think he had 583 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:31,680 Speaker 1: three picks, and that one was one was probably the 584 00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:35,360 Speaker 1: Packers game. Right was the Packers, didn't they lead by fourteen? 585 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:38,360 Speaker 1: And the fourth Yeah, I don't really remember. I just 586 00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:40,960 Speaker 1: know that they blew that game. Um. And the other 587 00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:45,960 Speaker 1: was Jacksonville. Uh, they were in total control. Dax was 588 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,560 Speaker 1: a bad pick and then the game walk off pick 589 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,440 Speaker 1: six A bit of a tough loss. I guess the 590 00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:53,800 Speaker 1: other one will be Washington, which I don't know how 591 00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 1: much stock you put in that week a team game. 592 00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:59,840 Speaker 1: It's not like Dallas is going out there trying to 593 00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:02,400 Speaker 1: put anything on tape that they're going to value. That's 594 00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:05,560 Speaker 1: why I didn't understand why their guys played so much. Yeah, 595 00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:09,320 Speaker 1: I mean, I actually thought they were going to come 596 00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:12,480 Speaker 1: out there and play well. Usually one of my favorite, 597 00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 1: you know, end of the year trends is teams that 598 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,160 Speaker 1: have been fighting for playoffs spots as soon as they 599 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:20,440 Speaker 1: get eliminated at the end, that it's good time to 600 00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:24,120 Speaker 1: fade them because they've just been going like super hard 601 00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 1: and then they can take a breath, whereas like teams 602 00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:28,640 Speaker 1: that have been just out of it for a while, 603 00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:30,720 Speaker 1: they're kind of used to it or things like that. 604 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,320 Speaker 1: I really thought Washington would come out debt, but they 605 00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:37,480 Speaker 1: really they showed up um and wanted to play good 606 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,160 Speaker 1: in their final game, and they did and Dallas just 607 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:43,480 Speaker 1: didn't meet them intensity wise, and it's hard really to 608 00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:46,040 Speaker 1: get too much for them the game and know was 609 00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:49,360 Speaker 1: that more just a factor of Dallas not playing hard 610 00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 1: or are they really just that bad right now? I'm 611 00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 1: just gonna I'm just gonna lean on the side of 612 00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:59,280 Speaker 1: watch Dallas for most of the year be between really 613 00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:02,120 Speaker 1: good and good it and just kind of dismissed a 614 00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:04,719 Speaker 1: couple of these things. It might come back to bite me. 615 00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:08,680 Speaker 1: And obviously we run the chance of Tom Brady being 616 00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:12,960 Speaker 1: Tom Brady. Um. I think another nice play you could 617 00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:14,760 Speaker 1: play on this game might be the under in the 618 00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 1: first half. I mean, the Bucks have come out extremely 619 00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:21,520 Speaker 1: sleepy and we don't have to worry necessarily about the 620 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:26,760 Speaker 1: Brady comeback factor, and a lot of times what they 621 00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:29,000 Speaker 1: do just plunge it for a little while until they 622 00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:31,920 Speaker 1: realized they can't plunge it anymore. And then Brady does 623 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:35,920 Speaker 1: the quick pass offense, and he does that more, you know, 624 00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,040 Speaker 1: in the second half. I mean, you think about what 625 00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,640 Speaker 1: happened in the Saints game and several of the Bucks 626 00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:43,920 Speaker 1: games throughout the year, and where they at the you know, 627 00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:47,280 Speaker 1: the Cardinals game, the Saints game, um, I think the 628 00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:51,520 Speaker 1: Panthers game where they kind of came out kind of sleepy, 629 00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:55,640 Speaker 1: plunged in a bunch, and then you know, Brady did 630 00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:57,800 Speaker 1: the quick dropbacks and then he got them back in 631 00:32:57,880 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 1: the game. So if they decided to run that that 632 00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:01,920 Speaker 1: I think we could be looking at, you know, a 633 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:05,680 Speaker 1: lower scoring beginning of the game, maybe Dallas first half, 634 00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,320 Speaker 1: maybe under first half. That way, you don't have to 635 00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:11,120 Speaker 1: fight the Brady mystique if you're a little worried about 636 00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:14,440 Speaker 1: that part. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk 637 00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,200 Speaker 1: lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at 638 00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,560 Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart 639 00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:23,840 Speaker 1: Radio app search f s R to listen live. By 640 00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:25,520 Speaker 1: the way, I just looked this up in the Super 641 00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:29,640 Speaker 1: the Circus Sports Contest. You'll like this so teams that 642 00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:31,880 Speaker 1: I bet on. I was six and oh when betting 643 00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:34,320 Speaker 1: on the Steelers this year in the contest, basically when 644 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,680 Speaker 1: they had t J. Watt, I was betting on them. Um, 645 00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:38,560 Speaker 1: and then I was four and no betting on the 646 00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:42,320 Speaker 1: forty Niners. Are you ready for this betting on the 647 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,760 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Bucks, because I listen, I fell forward against 648 00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:49,800 Speaker 1: Carolina a couple others oh and four, I fell into 649 00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:52,160 Speaker 1: that sucker trap of old this Tom Brady. They're gonna 650 00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:54,120 Speaker 1: turn it around. I just I'm not doing that this time. 651 00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:56,240 Speaker 1: I'm not doing it. I'm gonna tell you you're probably 652 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:58,040 Speaker 1: ahead of the curve only oh and four. If you 653 00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:00,560 Speaker 1: only bet against them four times, you probably or only 654 00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:03,200 Speaker 1: been on them four times, you probably did well. I mean, 655 00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:05,680 Speaker 1: there's seventeen weeks in the season, and there were a 656 00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:09,520 Speaker 1: lot of tasty Tampa lines. I don't know what mine is, 657 00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:12,839 Speaker 1: but I'm sure it's probably pretty poor as well. I mean, 658 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,359 Speaker 1: anybody who picked the picked the Bucks is pretty poor. 659 00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:17,719 Speaker 1: I think they where were they like four thirteen or 660 00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 1: something like that and one something like that against the spread? Um? Alright, 661 00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 1: so the other games, you know, big spreads San France 662 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 1: nine and a half ten. Um, I know people are 663 00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:33,880 Speaker 1: talking themselves into Seattle. The rookie quarterback brought Purty the 664 00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:37,480 Speaker 1: bright lights there. I think that applies to Geno Smith too. 665 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 1: But the the weather apparently is going to be a 666 00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:43,760 Speaker 1: factor in northern California getting destroyed by storms and wind. 667 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:45,920 Speaker 1: I don't know this is Niners or past. I just 668 00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:49,279 Speaker 1: think it's a bad matchup David all around for Seattle. Yeah, 669 00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:52,320 Speaker 1: I'm I'm all on the Niners on this one. I 670 00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:57,520 Speaker 1: don't think this Seattle team has been good for two months. Um, 671 00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:01,840 Speaker 1: it took everything in their power to be a horrible, repeated, 672 00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:08,560 Speaker 1: deflated Baker Mayfield's weaponless team at home in overtime just 673 00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:12,200 Speaker 1: to get to this spot. Uh, this is a really, really, 674 00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:16,399 Speaker 1: really nice landing spot for brock Parties first game. Um, 675 00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:21,760 Speaker 1: he's already played them once. They're pretty vanilla on defense. Um, 676 00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,120 Speaker 1: I think this is I think this is just a 677 00:35:24,160 --> 00:35:27,720 Speaker 1: smash spot for the Niners, and the weather really doesn't 678 00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:29,880 Speaker 1: matter to me. I mean, if it's nice, I trust 679 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:33,520 Speaker 1: the Niners more. And if it's a slog fest where 680 00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:37,600 Speaker 1: you know, the physicalness of the defense and the offensive 681 00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:41,560 Speaker 1: lines really matter, I trust the Niners more. Again, head coaching. 682 00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:45,839 Speaker 1: I trust the Niners more. Um, And this is one 683 00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:48,239 Speaker 1: spot where you know, Gino has had a nice year 684 00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:51,000 Speaker 1: and and U props to him, and you know I 685 00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:53,160 Speaker 1: carried him in fantasy for a few weeks there in 686 00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:55,480 Speaker 1: the middle, and he did some good job. He did 687 00:35:55,520 --> 00:35:59,759 Speaker 1: a good job for us. But um, the reality is 688 00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:02,640 Speaker 1: like this is as good as close to an even 689 00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:05,360 Speaker 1: quarterback matchup as you could ever hope for for Brock Purty. 690 00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,759 Speaker 1: I mean he's not really He's not having to go 691 00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:13,400 Speaker 1: against any of the other you know, juggernaut quarterbacks around 692 00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:15,960 Speaker 1: the league. I mean in the NFC. I mean, Gino 693 00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 1: is probably the worst after Purty, maybe Daniel Jones. Um. So, 694 00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:24,720 Speaker 1: I mean it's a nice it's a nice landing spot 695 00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:26,759 Speaker 1: for parties first game to try to get him a 696 00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:31,040 Speaker 1: little confidence. And I think this is probably somewheres around 697 00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:35,520 Speaker 1: type game. I'm with you, Um, I don't think it's 698 00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,800 Speaker 1: closed the Sunday game. Listen. I we could do thirty 699 00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:42,600 Speaker 1: seconds Buffalo Miami. If anybody puts their hard earned after 700 00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:46,000 Speaker 1: tax dollars on Skyler Thompson, you get what you deserve. 701 00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:47,640 Speaker 1: And then you look around the rest of the team there, 702 00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:49,359 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be on their third string left 703 00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:52,560 Speaker 1: tackle and their backup right tackle. I don't know how 704 00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:57,000 Speaker 1: healthy Bradley Chubb Tyre Week kill. This would not be shocked. 705 00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:59,640 Speaker 1: A just was like thirty seven to nine or something. Yeah, 706 00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:02,360 Speaker 1: this is really a shame that the Dolphins went ahead 707 00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:04,279 Speaker 1: and won that game against the Jets. It really would 708 00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:07,799 Speaker 1: have been nice to see Kenny Pickett and this this 709 00:37:08,040 --> 00:37:11,000 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh defense in there. I really like what they've done. 710 00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:14,680 Speaker 1: I've been down on the on the Dolphins the entire year. Um, 711 00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:16,520 Speaker 1: if you get Teddy and then you might be a 712 00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:19,840 Speaker 1: competitive game. But if it's Skyler, I mean, just fire 713 00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:23,080 Speaker 1: all the alt lines and just um, yeah, this this 714 00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:26,239 Speaker 1: could really be a whitewash. On top of it, the 715 00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:30,560 Speaker 1: Bills have already played them twice, so um, I don't 716 00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:33,000 Speaker 1: think they're just gonna sleep walk through the game because 717 00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:35,160 Speaker 1: the Dolphins beat them once and almost beat them the 718 00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:38,560 Speaker 1: second time, So I think that you don't really have 719 00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:41,319 Speaker 1: any of that sleepiness factor there in the division. They 720 00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:44,839 Speaker 1: want to just go ahead and uh, you know, get 721 00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:47,480 Speaker 1: this team out of there and dispose of them rather quickly. 722 00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:52,360 Speaker 1: I'm sure it's gonna be inspired crowd. I imagine Hamlin 723 00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:58,200 Speaker 1: will be on the big screen or even there or something. Yeah. 724 00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:02,279 Speaker 1: So yeah, it's it's bills or nothing for me, and 725 00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:04,959 Speaker 1: it's really just bills, So I'm gonna just gonna fire 726 00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:07,200 Speaker 1: the bills. I hesitate to say anything with the total. 727 00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:09,399 Speaker 1: If you want to do something total wise, I would 728 00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:12,200 Speaker 1: just play under Dolphins points. I think it's like seventeen 729 00:38:12,200 --> 00:38:13,719 Speaker 1: and a half or do you think their team total 730 00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:16,680 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half sounds about right? Yeah, I thought 731 00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:19,080 Speaker 1: it was like seventeen and a half, but oh wow, No, 732 00:38:19,160 --> 00:38:22,200 Speaker 1: I don't have it in front of me. I think 733 00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:24,000 Speaker 1: it was seventeen and a half, but it might have 734 00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:26,560 Speaker 1: it might have gone down since uh, since two has 735 00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:28,800 Speaker 1: been officially ruled out. I don't know. I haven't checked 736 00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:32,200 Speaker 1: the lines today, but yeah, if you can get if 737 00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:34,880 Speaker 1: you can get anything under, if you can get anything 738 00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:37,240 Speaker 1: over fourteen and a half, I would probably go under. 739 00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:39,440 Speaker 1: I mean I don't. I really just don't see the 740 00:38:39,480 --> 00:38:42,799 Speaker 1: Dolphins scoring. And again, it's the playoffs, so they're not 741 00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:47,160 Speaker 1: gonna play any relaxed downs or anything. Um And this 742 00:38:47,200 --> 00:38:50,839 Speaker 1: game also could get out of hand because I could 743 00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:55,280 Speaker 1: see McDaniel. You know, they're down thirteen, you know, midway 744 00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:59,160 Speaker 1: through this second quarter and it's fourth and three from 745 00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:02,359 Speaker 1: their own four pready going for turning the ball over there, 746 00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:05,279 Speaker 1: giving short fields and having a chance to just kind 747 00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:07,520 Speaker 1: of get this game out of hand. So yeah, it's 748 00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:10,040 Speaker 1: builds for me, and I hate it because, you know, 749 00:39:10,080 --> 00:39:11,719 Speaker 1: like we said at the beginning, we kicked it off, 750 00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:15,080 Speaker 1: it's all favorites. But look, every game has to be 751 00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:17,560 Speaker 1: evaluating on its own. Well, there's one more way. There's 752 00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:23,040 Speaker 1: one more David Um Baltimore Tyler Huntley a rematch with 753 00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:27,120 Speaker 1: round three with the Bengals. It looks like of the 754 00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:31,800 Speaker 1: money is on Cincinnati. I'm seeing it now at nine 755 00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 1: and a half Bet, Chris Sports Book, Circus Sports. I 756 00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:39,480 Speaker 1: haven't seen whether or not Tyler Huntley through passes today. Listen, 757 00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:41,680 Speaker 1: if it's Anthony Brown, that's really tough. But I'll just 758 00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:44,520 Speaker 1: say this Hardball is a damn good coach, and I 759 00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,400 Speaker 1: think my guess is his defense will be juiced up 760 00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:51,160 Speaker 1: and ready to lay the lumber. I would not be 761 00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:54,560 Speaker 1: surprised if this somehow was like moderately close. If I 762 00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:57,320 Speaker 1: don't think the Baltimore Raven's gonna upset them. But Andrews's 763 00:39:57,400 --> 00:40:00,200 Speaker 1: back Dobbins is back. I can see this d fans 764 00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:03,680 Speaker 1: keeping it close. The total is kind of what is 765 00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:06,399 Speaker 1: eye opening to me. Forty and a half that does 766 00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:10,080 Speaker 1: that not seem very very odd forty and a half. 767 00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 1: I'm with you. I'm with you on this game. Uh, 768 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:17,279 Speaker 1: this is the one underdog that I kind of lean 769 00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:20,520 Speaker 1: to um and and kind of for the reasons that 770 00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:24,320 Speaker 1: you said, this is a division game and these teams 771 00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:28,080 Speaker 1: played last week. One thing that I think it's really 772 00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:35,120 Speaker 1: beneficial is Baltimore has seen the speed of Cincinnati as 773 00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:39,120 Speaker 1: recently as seven days earlier. So they're not just gonna 774 00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:41,040 Speaker 1: come in. It's not like they played, you know, a 775 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:44,520 Speaker 1: team like Pittsburgh or some you know, or Cleveland or 776 00:40:44,560 --> 00:40:47,160 Speaker 1: some slog the week before. I mean, they're used to 777 00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:50,200 Speaker 1: the speed of the Cincinnati Bengals. They just played them. 778 00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:53,960 Speaker 1: Uh hardball, very very smart coach. He's gonna come up 779 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,279 Speaker 1: with some wrinkles. He's gonna have a special teams play, 780 00:40:56,360 --> 00:40:59,600 Speaker 1: you know, he's gonna have He's gonna do everything to 781 00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:03,400 Speaker 1: slow this game down. Um. He held out Andrews to 782 00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:06,280 Speaker 1: get him healthy. He held out Dobbins to get him healthy. Meanwhile, 783 00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:09,799 Speaker 1: Cincinnati played everybody they got a big offensive lineman hurt 784 00:41:10,200 --> 00:41:13,279 Speaker 1: in that game. I really could see this game being 785 00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:18,520 Speaker 1: a twenty to sixteen slugfest. I do think Cincinnati's gonna win. 786 00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:22,400 Speaker 1: I do hope Cincinnati wins. UM. For all those people 787 00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:26,279 Speaker 1: who who root for upsets and things like that, take 788 00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:29,600 Speaker 1: it breath. We don't need upsets this round. Let's have 789 00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:33,759 Speaker 1: the Chargers, Chiefs and Bengals Bills next week. That's what 790 00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:37,360 Speaker 1: we that's what we want. We need Herbert mahomes Alan 791 00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:42,080 Speaker 1: that's the matchups. Oh wow, that would be spectacular. That's 792 00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:45,360 Speaker 1: what we needs. Always play the chief stuff exactly. We don't. 793 00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:49,240 Speaker 1: We don't need this Lamar Jackson List Ravens team going 794 00:41:49,280 --> 00:41:52,880 Speaker 1: in to get their doors blown off by the you know, 795 00:41:52,960 --> 00:41:55,840 Speaker 1: by the Chiefs, and then Jacksonville going up to Buffalo. 796 00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:59,840 Speaker 1: We don't need those games. We need Bills verse the Bengals, 797 00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:03,239 Speaker 1: Chargers first, Chiefs. Let's just hope we get that, and 798 00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:06,680 Speaker 1: then next week will be the best weekend of football 799 00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:09,440 Speaker 1: we have for sure. Yeah. Division round is usually the 800 00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:11,319 Speaker 1: best round. All right, David Baker, I kept you wait 801 00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:14,120 Speaker 1: too long. I know you've got poker to go play. Um, 802 00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:16,799 Speaker 1: hey man, thanks again, congrats on all your success and 803 00:42:17,040 --> 00:42:18,919 Speaker 1: love having you on to chop up the games. Yeah, 804 00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:22,200 Speaker 1: I appreciate you and congrats on your success. It's a 805 00:42:22,239 --> 00:42:23,960 Speaker 1: couple of years ago we did this for the first 806 00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:28,560 Speaker 1: time and um, you're just doing this podcast, you know, 807 00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:31,440 Speaker 1: out of your out of your study and next thing, 808 00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:33,719 Speaker 1: I know, every time I look on Fox Sports, your 809 00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:37,439 Speaker 1: guerrillas right next to the man, the one, the only, 810 00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:40,640 Speaker 1: Colin Cowhard. So man, I'm I'm really happy for your 811 00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:43,680 Speaker 1: success and thanks for letting me be a little bit 812 00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:46,520 Speaker 1: part of it. And uh, maybe we'll talk later on 813 00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:48,440 Speaker 1: these playoffs, if not the beginning next year.